Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-20-18 | Purdue v. Iowa +12 | 87-64 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa +12) It's been a rough season for the Hawkeyes, but I think we are getting too many points with Iowa at home to pass up. Purdue comes in having won 14 straight and are fresh off a 28-point blowout win at home against Wisconsin. I just have a hard time seeing the Boilermakers being all that excited about playing this game as they are well aware of how big a favorite they are on the road. This is an Iowa team that has talent but just hasn't been able to put it all together for 40 minutes. I expect a rowdy home crowd and for the Hawkeyes to play as hard as they have all season in this game. It wouldn't shock me if they won the game outright, but more than anything I think they give the Boilermakers a scare here and are right there with a chance to win late. Give me the Hawkeyes +12! |
|||||||
01-18-18 | USC v. Oregon -3.5 | 75-70 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Oregon -3.5) I'll be the first to admit that I wasn't high on the Ducks early on, as they had so many new faces that they needed to incorporate into the rotation. I wasn't wrong, as Oregon struggled out of the gates. I had a feeling Dana Altman would eventually get things turned around and the Ducks come into this one playing much better. Last time out they lost by only 7 on the road at Arizona. The game before that they upset Arizona State. Now they return home after 3 straight on the road and will be pumped up for this game against the Trojans. USC is a team everyone loved coming into the season, but things haven't clicked for them so far. I simply don't trust this team on the road in a hostile environment like the Matthew Knight Arena. Give me the Ducks -3.5! |
|||||||
01-18-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +8 | 64-48 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Ga Tech +8) I'm willing to roll the dice here with the red-hot Yellow Jackets as a near double-digit dog at home against Virginia. Big things were expected of this Georgia Tech team but injuries and suspensions kept them from playing up to their potential early. They have got all their key pieces back, most notably leading-scorer Josh Okogie and are starting to finally play to that potential. The Yellow Jackets come in having won 4 straight, which includes wins over both Miami and Notre Dame. This is a team that when they have it going like they do now can be extremely difficult to beat on their home floor. I know Virginia has been great so far, but I think we could see the Cavaliers lose outright tonight. Give me Georgia Tech +8! |
|||||||
01-17-18 | Tennessee v. Missouri -1.5 | 55-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Missouri -1.5) The fact that No. 21 Tennessee is a dog on the road against unranked Missouri really says it all. The public loves nothing more than to take ranked teams and will think they are getting value here with the Volunteers. My money is on the Tigers, who continue to play well in spite of the fact that they loss their star player in Michael Porter Jr. Last time out the Tigers lost by just 2 as a 5-point dog at Arkansas and have really looked good in SEC play. Tennessee is a good team and worthy of their ranking, but winning on the road in conference play is no easy task and I think the Vols are primed for a letdown here off 3 straight wins. Missouri is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and the road team is just 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in the series. Give me the Tigers -1.5! |
|||||||
01-17-18 | Texas Tech -3 v. Texas | 58-67 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Texas Tech -3) I have a lot of respect for this Texas team and how hard they play under Smart, but I just feel the loss of Andrew Jones is too much for this team to overcome in the long run. On top of that they won't have Kerwin Roach for this game, leaving them without two of their 4 double-digit scorers. Texas Tech comes in off a win over West Virginia to improve to 4-1 in Big 12 play, which includes a 12-point win at Kansas. This team is the real deal and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve in this spot. They also aren't going to overlook this game against their rivals. Tech would love nothing more than to lay it on the Longhorns on their home floor. Give me the Red Raiders -3! |
|||||||
01-17-18 | Houston v. Tulane +7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB AAC GAME OF THE MONTH (Tulane +7.5) I think we are getting an exceptional price here to back the Green Wave at home against the Cougars. Houston comes in at 14-3, but that strong record has had them overvalued here of late. The Cougars are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4 and this is far from an ideal spot for Houston. It will be their second straight on the road and they only will have had two days off. They also have a monster game on deck against Wichita State this Saturday at home, making it that much harder to give Tulane their full attention. The Green Wave have lost their last two, but were competitive in both and have a win over SMU at home as a 8.5-point dog. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Tulane pulled out an outright win, but I'll gladly take the points as some added insurance. Give me the Green Wave +7.5! |
|||||||
01-16-18 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St +2.5) Oklahoma has been the big surprise of college basketball and it's all result of the outstanding play of true freshman Trae Young. The media is going crazy over this kid and as a result it has the Sooners way overvalued, especially on the road here against a very good K-State team that just nearly won outright on the road against KU. I also don't love the spot for Oklahoma, who is coming off a grueling 102-97 win at home over TCU and have quite a trio of games on deck. First they play their in-state rival Oklahoma State on the road, then they host Kansas and after that travel out of conference to take on Alabama. All of that in a 7-day span. If they are going to come out flat, this would be the game and even if they show up and play well, I still like Kansas State to win this game. Give me the Wildcats +2.5! |
|||||||
01-16-18 | Cincinnati v. UCF +8 | 49-38 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER on UCF +8 I think we are getting a great price here to back the Knights at home against the Bearcats. Cincinnati comes in at 15-2 and are simply getting way too much respect here against a good UCF team that is very tough to beat on their floor. The Knights are 8-1 at home this season, where they are outscoring teams by more than 10 ppg. Both of the Bearcats losses have come away from home. The last real road test they had was at Temple back on 1/4 and they barely escaped with a 2-point win as a 7.5-point favorite. The same Temple team that UCF defeated in their last home game 60-39. The Knights also beat the Bearcats at home a year ago as a dog and are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 home games with a perfect 8-0 ATS mark in their last 8 home games when they come in having won 3 of their last 4. Take UCF! |
|||||||
01-15-18 | Maryland +7 v. Michigan | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Maryland +7) I think the price is right here to take a shot on the Terrapins. Michigan has been a big surprise in Big Ten play and are fresh off a 82-72 upset win on the road over in-state rival Michigan State on Saturday. That came after a massive home game against Purdue just a few days prior. I see this as a big letdown spot for the Wolverines and that's going to make it hard for them to cover this big number. In fact, I don't think it's out of the question that Maryland wins this game outright. One thing is for sure, we are going to get a big time effort here from the Terps off that blowout loss at Ohio State last Thursday. Note that Maryland has had 3 days off before this game, while Michigan is playing on just 1 day of rest. Give me the Terrapins +7! |
|||||||
01-13-18 | Alabama v. LSU -4 | 74-66 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (LSU -4) For those of you who haven't been paying attention, Will Wade is doing work in his first year at LSU. Wade has a track record of winning and he's got the Tigers playing better than anyone expected. Last time out LSU went on the road and rolled Arkansas 75-54 as a 10-point dog. The previous game they won 69-68 at Texas A&M as a 6.5-point dog. Their only loss in league play is a mere 3-point home loss to Kentucky. Alabama is a team that had some lofty expectations, but are just 5-6 in their last 11 after a 5-0 start to the season. Most of the struggles for the Crimson Tide have come on the road, where they are just 3-5. Last time out they lost by 19 at Georgia. LSU is 7-2 at home with one of those losses being the previously mentioned game against Kentucky. Tigers will be motivated for their first win at home in SEC play and I think they get it in convincing fashion. Give me LSU -4! |
|||||||
01-13-18 | Missouri v. Arkansas -5 | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Arkansas -5) Last time out the Razorbacks looked like they just assumed that LSU was going to hand them a win on their home floor. The Tigers caught Arkansas by surprise, like they have a lot of teams, and came away with a 75-54 win. It was the Razorbacks first loss at home this season, as they had started out 8-0. It was also Arkansas' third straight loss, leaving that at 1-3 in SEC play. I think we get a desperate Razorback team on Saturday when they host Missouri, who I think is primed for a letdown off two big home games against Florida and Georgia. The most recent being a 12-point win over the Bulldogs. The Tigers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a win, while Arkansas is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after a game where they failed to cover. I think we get a huge performance here from the home team and could see this turning into a blowout. Give me the Razorbacks -5! |
|||||||
01-13-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State -2 | 64-65 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oklahoma St -2) I just think it's asking a lot for Texas to go on the road and keep this close against the Cowboys on Saturday. The Longhorns got some horrible news leading up to Wednesday's home game against No. 16 TCU. Star guard Andrew Jones was diagnosed with cancer. Texas put forth a remarkable effort for their teammate and managed to escape with a 99-98 double-overtime win. This team has to be both emotionally and physically drained from the events this week. Oklahoma State isn't going care about their situation once the ball is tipped and the Cowboys desperately need a win after a 1-3 start in league play. It hasn't been an easy slate early, as they have had to play both Kansas State and Oklahoma on the road and host West Virginia. The lone win was at home over ISU by 9-points. I think we see a similar type outcome here with the Cowboys winning by double-digits. Give me Oklahoma State -2! |
|||||||
01-11-18 | Stanford v. Washington State +3 | 79-70 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Washington St +3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cougars catching points at home against the Cardinal. Stanford is getting a ton of love here due to the fact that they just upset UCLA and USC at home in a span of just 4 days. On the flip side, Washington State is undervalued due to the fact that they have lost 3 straight, but two of those were true road games at UCLA and USC and the other a mere 5-point loss at home to in-state rival Washington, who has been playing extremely well. I expect a big time effort here from the Cougars at home, as they try to get their first conference win, while Stanford is primed for a letdown and are 0-4 away from home this season, which includes a loss at Long Beach State as a 6.5-point favorite in their only true road game so far. Give me Washington State +3! |
|||||||
01-11-18 | Oregon State +15 v. Arizona | Top | 53-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Oregon St +15) The perception here is that Arizona is just going to return home off that upset loss to Colorado and lay a beating on Oregon State. I'm not buying it. Don't get me wrong, I'm not calling for a win here by the Beavers. I just think 15 points is way too much. Oregon State is playing with a ton of confidence off a 76-64 win at home against Oregon. Completing a 3-game stretch where they also knocked beat Colorado by 19 and and lost by just 2 to Utah. The matchup zone the Beavers are playing has really caused problems for opponents. Oregon State is only giving up 62.3 ppg and holding teams to just 38.6% shooting in their 3 conference games. In comparison, Arizona is allowing 80 ppg and teams are shooting 45% vs them in league play. I think that edge defensively lets the road team hang around. Give me the Beavers +15! |
|||||||
01-10-18 | UCF v. Connecticut +1 | 53-62 | Win | 102 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (UConn +1) I think it's worth a shot here to back the Huskies at basically a pick'em at home against the Knights. While UConn is down this year, I don't think they are as bad as a lot of people think. Out of their 7 losses, 6 have come on the road and they weren't exactly against bad teams, as they were against Michigan St, Arkansas, Syracuse, Arizona, Auburn and Tulsa. Their lone loss at home came against Wichita St, where they covered as a 10.5-point dog. I think this is a team that can make some noise in AAC play and it starts here against UCF. The Knights aren't a bad team, but they are getting way too much respect here. Keep in mind the Huskies have won 4 straight in the series and are 10-1 in the last 11 with a 5-0 streak in their last 5 at home vs UCF. Give me UConn +1! |
|||||||
01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS MASSACRE (Ga Tech -1) I give a lot of props to the Irish for how well they have played in the two games without their best player in Bonzie Colson, who was lost for the year. They also won their last game without senior guard Matt Farrell, who will be out again tonight. I just don't see Notre Dame being able to keep it going, especially in their second road game in just 4 days. Georgia Tech is a team that has underachieved to this point, in large part because of injuries. They are close to full strength now and showcased their potential last week in a 64-54 upset win at home over a very good Miami team. They followed that up with a 14-point win and cover at home over Yale on the weekend and I look for them to come out looking to make a statement here against the Irish and to do just that. Give me the Yellow Jackets -1! |
|||||||
01-09-18 | Baylor +9.5 v. West Virginia | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Baylor +9.5) I think it's worth a shot here to back Baylor as a big road dog against the Mountaineers. West Virginia is a good team, there's no denying that. I just think this is a tough spot for the Mountaineers coming off that huge game at home Saturday against then No. 7 Oklahoma and a game at No. 8 Texas Tech looming on deck this Saturday. Baylor might not be ranked, but the Bears are 11-4 and fresh off a 69-60 win at home against Texas and have showcased well against the top teams they have faced like TCU, Xavier, Wichita St and Creighton. The Bears have also won 3 of the last 5 in the series and are 18-7 ATS in their last 26 road games, while WVU is a mere 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 off a cover. Give me Baylor +9.5! |
|||||||
01-09-18 | Penn State v. Indiana | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 10 GAME OF THE MONTH (Indiana Pk) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hoosiers at a pick'em at home against Penn State. Indiana has a 9-7 record and some ugly losses on their resume, but most of those struggles have come on the road. The Hoosiers are 7-3 at home and are coming off an impressive 75-71 win at Minnesota as a 8-point dog in their last contest. The Nittany Lions won big at home against Northwestern in their last game, but have not been the same team on the road as they have at home. I think Indiana takes control of this game early and cruises to an easy win. Give me the Hoosiers PK! |
|||||||
01-07-18 | Iowa +8 v. Maryland | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa +8) I know it's been an ugly start for the Hawkeyes in Big Ten play, but I believe it has Iowa way undervalued here on the road against the Terps. The Hawkeyes aren't just capable of keeping this within the number, but could easily win this game outright. Maryland isn't an elite team by any means and were just annihilated in their last game, losing by 30 to Michigan State. I think they have a tough time picking themselves up, while we can count on an all out effort here from Iowa, as they don't want to fall to 0-5 in Big Ten play. Give me the Hawkeyes +8! |
|||||||
01-06-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia -4.5 | Top | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (West Virginia -4.5) It's been quite a run here by Trae Young and the Sooners, but I just feel there's too much value here with the Mountaineers laying a short number at home. WVU Coliseum is one of the most difficult places in college basketball for opposing teams to get a win and I believe the defensive pressure and likely face-guarding is going to be a problem for Young. West Virginia is going to do whatever it takes to get the ball out of Young's hands and not let him get it back. I just don't think Oklahoma can keep this close without him having a monster game and even if he does play well I like the Mountaineers chances of winning here by at least 5. Keep in mind last time on the road for the Sooners they were very fortunate to escape with a win at TCU as they trailed by 13-points in that contest. West Virginia won't let them back in it. They are 7-0 at home, where they are averaging 90.4 ppg and giving up just 58.7 ppg. That defense will be the key, as Oklahoma isn't very good on that side of the ball (allowing 83 ppg on the road). Give me the Mountaineers -4.5! |
|||||||
01-06-18 | Wake Forest v. Boston College -4 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Boston College -4) The Eagles come in having lost their last two, but there's nothing to be ashamed about either of those losses. The first as a 58-59 defeat at Virginia as a 15.5-point dog. They followed that up by losing by just 4 at home to Clemson as a 5.5-point dog. Keep in mind this a team that knocked off Duke at home back in early December as a 15-point dog. I just love the way this team is playing and think they are catching Wake Forest at the perfect time. The Demon Deacons come in off a cover and win at home over Syracuse, but it came at a price, as Keyshawn Woods suffered a knee injury and is listed as doubtful for this game. Woods is one of just two players for Wake Forest that is averaging double-figures, making him really hard to replace. This is also a big letdown spot for the Demon Deacons. Their last 3 games have been against Tennessee, UNC and Syracuse and next week they have to host Va Tech and play at Duke in a span of just 5 days. Give me the Eagles -4! |
|||||||
01-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -6 | 51-49 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO BRAINER (Syracuse -6) I'll take my chances here with Syracuse. This might seem like a big number for the Orange to be laying against a talented team like Notre Dame, who is 12-3 and fresh off a 88-58 blowout win at home over Nc State in their first game without star forward Bonzie Colson. It's one thing to play well without Colson at home, I just don't see them doing so on the road, especially with senior guard Matt Farrell also out with an ankle injury. Not a ton of hype surrounding this Syracuse team so far this season, but they are 12-3 and going to be highly motivated coming off a loss at Wake Forest. They are also a dominant 10-1 at home, where they are outscoring teams by 10+ points/game. Give me the Orange -6! |
|||||||
01-04-18 | SMU v. Tulane +8.5 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Tulane +8.5) The Green Wave are definitely worth a look here as a near double-digit home dog against the Mustangs. Tulane is one of the more improved teams in the AAC this season and they showed that right away with a 85-75 win at Temple as a 10-point dog. Not a big surprise to see them come out flat the very next game and lose at home to Tulsa. I'm confident we get a big time effort here from the Green Wave and they are catching SMU in a great spot. The Mustangs are going to have a big head after a 40-point win at home over USF and will have a hard time taking this game seriously with the massive game on deck at Cincinnati this Sunday. If SMU isn't careful, they could lose this one outright. Give me Tulane +8.5! |
|||||||
01-04-18 | Maryland +15.5 v. Michigan State | 61-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Maryland +15.5) Michigan State is the No. 1 team in the country and are certainly getting treated like it by the books with this massive line here at home against Maryland. The Terps aren't an elite team and have lost a couple key pieces, but there's still a lot of talent on this roster and they come in having won 7 straight and are 13-3 on the season. The Spartans have been on a roll, but the schedule has featured a bunch of cupcakes of late. You could argue the last time this team was really tested was a road game at Rutgers back in early December. They have been a 31 or more point favorite in 4 straight games. I don't think Maryland has a shot of winning this game, but this is simply too many points to pass up given the Spartans haven't been tested in close to 30 days. Give me the Terrapins +15.5! |
|||||||
01-04-18 | Ohio State v. Iowa +1.5 | Top | 92-81 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa +1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a home dog against the Buckeyes on Thursday. Iowa is going to lay everything on the line here, as they have started out Big 10 play at 0-3 and simply can't afford another loss. For whatever reason they just didn't have the energy on Tuesday that you would expect. It also didn't help that Michigan shot lights out from long distance in that game. Ohio State is just 2-3 on the road and I look for the Buckeyes to have a hard time matching the intensity of Iowa with a much bigger game on deck Sunday at home against No. 1 ranked Michigan State. Give me the Hawkeyes +1.5! |
|||||||
01-03-18 | Oklahoma State +9.5 v. Oklahoma | 89-109 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Oklahoma St +9.5) Oklahoma has a special player in freshman Trae Young and I think all the hype around Young has the Sooners overvalued here basically laying double-digits against in-state rival Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are a team that likes to play defense and we know they are going to give everything they got on that side of the ball to be the ones to slow Young down. Keep in mind that while the Sooners are scoring a ton, they aren't exactly playing a lot of defense, as they come in giving up 79.9 ppg. I think the Cowboys can not only keep this close enough to cover, but I wouldn't be shocked if they won the game outright. Take Oklahoma State +9.5! |
|||||||
01-03-18 | NC State +7 v. Notre Dame | Top | 58-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (NC State +7) I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack catching what I feel is a big number against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame comes in sitting at 11-3 and are fresh off a 68-59 win at home over Georgia Tech in their ACC opener. Unfortunately for the Irish, their best player, Bonzie Colson, who was the favorite to win the ACC Player of the Year has been lost for at least 8 weeks to a left foot fracture. Colson leads the Irish at 21.4 ppg and 10.4 rpb. He was also averaging 2 steals and 2.4 blocks a game. He's the one guy they couldn't afford to lose and I think it's going to take some time for them to adjust to life without him. NC State isn't an elite team, but one that has a neutral site win over Arizona. I think the Wolfpack have an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Give me NC State +7! |
|||||||
01-02-18 | Michigan v. Iowa +3 | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa +3) I'll take my chances with Iowa as a home dog against the Wolverines. The Hawkeyes got off to a slow start as some key guys worked there way back from injuries and some young freshmen adjusted to the game. They have been rolling ever since, as they come in having won 5 straight. Note that this was a team that was expected to finish near the top half of the Big Ten. Michigan's a quality team, but no way should they be favored on the road over Iowa. Give me the Hawkeyes +3! |
|||||||
12-31-17 | Georgia +9 v. Kentucky | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia +9) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a near double-digit dog against Kentucky on Sunday. This is simply too many points for Georgia, a legit Top 20 caliber team to be catching, especially in this spot. The Wildcats just played a huge game two days ago against Louisville, which was arguably their best performance of the year so far. It's asking a lot for them to blowout the Bulldogs on just 1-day of rest. While Kentucky has to be fatigued, Georgia has had the last week off (last played Fri. Dec. 22nd) and this isn't just another game for the Bulldogs. Georgia lost all 3 meetings to Kentucky last year. They lost in overtime at Kentucky and by just 5 at home. Two of those came without their best player Yante Maten, who might just be the best player on the floor in this one. I think the Bulldogs give the Wildcats a major scare and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me Georgia +9! |
|||||||
12-30-17 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -1 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama -1) I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide at basically a pick'em at home against the Aggies. You might be wondering why Texas A&M, who is No. 5 in the country, isn't favored by more here. The reason for that is the Aggies are without their best player in D.J. Hogg, who is serving a 3-game suspension. Hogg leads the team in scoring at 14.6 ppg and does a little bit of everything, which makes him very hard to replace. They also are going to be without third leading scorer in Admon Gilder, who like Hogg fills up the stat sheet. Texas A&M has been able to keep winning without these two of late, but it's a whole different story winning on the road, especially inside conference play. Alabama is 8-4, but could easily be 11-1 right now, as they have 3 losses by 6-points or less. Keep in mind this is team that is loaded with young talent and expected to be a NCAA Tournament team. Give me the Crimson Tide -1! |
|||||||
12-29-17 | Washington +11 v. USC | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Washington +11) The Huskies went just 9-22 last year with Markelle Fultz and not a lot was expected of them this year. I think this is a young team with a ton of potential and they have already showed that early on with a 74-65 win against an elite Kansas team. A lot was expected of USC this year, but the Trojans have not lived up to the hype, as they are just 9-4 through their first 13 games. They have already lost at home to Texas A&M by 16 and to Princeton by 10 as a 14-point favorite. They continue to be without one of their best players from a season ago in De'Anthony Melton and while they might win this one, I expect Washington to give them a serious scare and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won the game outright. Give me the Huskies +11! |
|||||||
12-27-17 | Nevada -2 v. Fresno State | 80-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Nevada -2) I really like this Nevada team and will roll the dice here with the Wolf Pack at basically a pick'em on the road against the Bulldogs. Fresno State is off to a respectable 10-3 start to the season, but a big reason for that is the schedule. Their best win to this point would be a 79-73 victory over George Mason on a neutral court. We just recently saw them lose at home to Oregon as a 2-point favorite and note the Ducks are way down this year. Nevada comes in at 11-3 and are a few plays from being 14-0, as their 3 losses have come by 6-points or less. This is hands down the best team in the Mountain West this year and I expect them to be locked in and get the win in their conference opener. Give me the Wolf Pack -2! |
|||||||
12-22-17 | Wright State v. Georgia Tech -8.5 | Top | 85-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Georgia Tech -8.5) I've had my eye on this Yellow Jackets team, as they are going to be a lot better going forward than their current 5-5 record would suggest. Georgia Tech has played the majority of their season without their best player in Josh Okogie. This will be just his 3rd game back and he's already made his presence felt, as he's averaged 20 ppg in his first two contests. Senior guard Tadric Jackson also missed 3-games for this team and he's second in scoring at 16 ppg. This is a team that when at full strength, which they pretty much are now, is a legit NCAA Tournament team. Given their slow start and the fact they are coming off a ugly loss at in-state rival Georgia, I think we get a big time effort here. That should be more than enough to dispose of Wright State by double-digits. The Raiders just lost by 16 in their last game at Missouri State, which continued their woes in true road games. This team also lost by 18 at Western Kentucky, as well as loosing outright at both Miami (OH) and Loyola-Chicago, neither of which are any good. Give me the Yellow Jackets -8.5! |
|||||||
12-21-17 | Connecticut +15.5 v. Arizona | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (UConn +15.5) I just think that it's worth the risk here to back the Huskies as a massive road dog against the Wildcats tonight. There's a decent chance that Arizona could be without by far their best player in Allonzo Trier and without him I think UConn could win this game outright. That's how important Trier is to this team. At the same time, given how much pain Trier was in when he injured his knee on Monday, I think even if he does play he's not going to be the same playmaker that he's been so far this season. Let's also not forget that this Wildcats team has struggled against quality opponents even when Trier was 100%, losing 3 straight to NC State, SMU and Purdue. They have since righted the ship with 6 straight wins, including victories over UNLV, Texas A&M and Alabama, but could have easily lost all 3, as they were all by 6-points or less. UConn is going to be locked in for this game and have had over 10 days to prepare for this contest. Give me the Huskies +15.5! |
|||||||
12-20-17 | Houston -4.5 v. Providence | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Houston -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Cougars laying a short number in this neutral site showdown with the Friars. Houston has got off to a strong 9-2 start under Kelvin Sampson and I think they are a team that's flying a bit under the radar this season. It's the exact opposite with Providence, who I think is getting a lot of love after winning 20 games last year and off to a respectable 8-3 start to this season. The thing is, I'm just not impressed with the resume for the Friars. They lost by 12 at home to Minnesota early in the year and recently have lost on the road to the likes of Rhode Island and UMass. The even bigger concern I have with Providence right now is the injuries that are starting to pile up. They already lost one of their best players in Emmitt Holt for the season before it ever started. Now the guy that really gets everything going for this team in Kyron Cartwright is doubtful with an ankle injury and another key piece in Alpha Diallo is questionable with an ankle injury. I think Houston wins here going away. Give me the Cougars -4.5! |
|||||||
12-19-17 | Stephen F Austin +15 v. Missouri | 81-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Stephen F Austin +15) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Lumberjacks catching a big number against the Tigers. I just don't think Missouri is as good as their 9-2 record would suggest. They have played a really easy schedule to this point and Stephen F. Austin is no joke. The Lumberjacks are 10-1 with their only loss being a 5-point defeat in a true road game against Mississippi State, who many believe will be a NCAA Tournament team. It's really no surprise that Stephen F. Austin is off to such a strong start. They brought back 4 starters and 8 of their top 9 scores from a year ago and the one guy they lost wasn't one of their best players. I think this team can give Missouri a run for their money and simply think 15 is too much here. Give me the Lumberjacks +15! |
|||||||
12-16-17 | Northern Iowa +2.5 v. Iowa State | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (UNI +2.5) Iowa State comes in having won 7 straight to improve to 7-2 after an 0-2 start. I think it has the Cyclones way overvalued here against a very good UNI team that has already knocked off the likes of SMU, UNLV and NC State, while also playing both UNC and Villanova tough in defeat. A big reason for ISU's recent surge is the schedule got a heck of a lot softer. I'm simply not buying this 7-2 start as a sign of things to come. This is a down year for the Cyclones, who lost 4 starters from last year, including one of the best point guards in program history in Monte Morris. I actually wouldn't be shocked if the Panthers won here going away. Give me UNI +2.5! |
|||||||
12-14-17 | Santa Clara v. USC -14.5 | 59-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (USC -14.5) I like this spot here with USC at home against Santa Clara. I feel like we are getting a great price here with the Trojans due to the fact that they come in having lost 3 straight. However, there's nothing to be ashamed about their 3-game skid, as the losses came against the likes of Texas A&M, SMU and Oklahoma. If anything, their poor run here of late should have them 100% locked in for this game against Santa Clara and the Broncos figure to be no match here, as they come in at 3-6 with their only 3 wins coming against the likes of Laverne, Northern Arizona and Arkansas-Pine Bluff. The closest team in terms of talent they have played to USC is Nevada and they lost by 30. I don't think the Trojans are quite on the same level as the Wolf Pack, but a win here by 20+ isn't asking a lot. Give me USC -14.5! |
|||||||
12-13-17 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (WKU +6.5) This is simply not your typical powerhouse team with Wisconsin as we have seen in years past. The Badgers lost 4 starters from last year and were going to be down. They are a mere 4-7 in their last 11 games and if not for what they have done in the past, I think this would be closer to a pick'em. Keep in mind Wisconsin just lost point guard D'Mitrik Trice, who was on the floor a ton for this team, averaging a team-high 31.5 mins/game. They also lost guard Kobe King, who was playing close to 20 mins for them. Last time out they lost to Marquette by 19 to Marquette, which was the first without Trice. WKU only lost to Villanova by 8 on a neutral court and beat both Purdue and SMU on a neutral court. This team isn't going to be the least bit intimidated. Give me the Hilltoppers +6.5! |
|||||||
12-12-17 | Fordham v. Rutgers -11 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Rutgers -11) I really like this Rutgers team and simply don't think people realize how good they are. The Scarlet Knights are 8-3 and have proven themselves against some of the better teams in the country. They had FSU on the ropes at home and only lost by a final of 73-78. They also had a chance at knocking off Michigan State at home, losing by just 10 as a 15 point dog. This team needs all the wins it can get to build up that resume and I simply don't see Fordham keeping this close at all. The Rams are just 4-5 and have several losses to bad teams. They also lost by 24 on a neutral court to the same Seminoles team that Rutgers nearly beat. Fordham lacks size and are going to get destroyed on the boards in this game and are an anemic offensive team, averaging a mere 63 ppg on 40% shooting. Those averages get a lot worst on the road, where they are averaging 49 ppg and shooting 31.2% from the field. Give me the Scarlet Knights -11! |
|||||||
12-11-17 | Texas Southern +20 v. Oregon | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Texas Southern +20) The Tigers have played the toughest schedule of any team in the country and are simply a much better team than their 0-8 record would suggest. Texas Southern has played Gonzaga, Washington St, Ohio St, Syracuse, Kansas, Clemson Oakland and Toledo to start the season, all on the road. What's impressive is how competitive they were in a lot of these games. They only lost to Washington St by 2-points, by only 18 to Ohio State, by jut 13 at Syracuse, 7 at Clemson 10 at Oakland and a mere 2-points at Toledo last time out. I know Oregon is coming in off a 30-point win over Colorado State, but I'm still not all that high on this Ducks team and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Tigers gave them a run for their money here. Give me Texas Southern +20! |
|||||||
12-09-17 | Pennsylvania v. Dayton -5.5 | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Dayton -5.5) I cashed in on the Flyers in their last game as a mere 8.5-point favorite at home against Tennessee Tech. I didn't think the books were giving them near enough respect and I think the same thing here with Saturday's home game against Penn. The Quakers are 7-4, but haven't really beat anyone. They have losses to the likes of Fairfield, LaSalle and Towson State. They also lost by 28 on the road to Villanova. Dayton is no Villanova, but they are a much better team than their 4-4 record would lead you to believe. They have simply played a tough schedule early. It's also worth noting that Penn has to be about out of gas, as this will be their 8th straight game away from home and 5th straight true road game. Give me the Flyers -5.5! |
|||||||
12-08-17 | Oklahoma v. USC +1 | Top | 85-83 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (USC +1) The Trojans come into this game off a pair of losses to Texas A&M and SMU, two really good basketball teams. Oklahoma might look like another tough test for USC, but my money is on them to rebound here with a great performance in what will feel like a home game for the Trojans at the Staples Center in LA. The Sooners are off to a strong 6-1 start and have a freshman putting up ridiculous numbers, but a lot of that has to do with a soft schedule. Their best win came against Oregon, who is way down this year. The lone loss was to Arkansas by 9 and I think the Razorbacks are a less talented team than USC. Sooners are also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral site. USC is 4-0 in their last 4 on a neutral site and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs the Big 12. Give me the Trojans +1! |
|||||||
12-07-17 | Iowa +7.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
50* NCAAB IN-STATE RIVALRY GAME OF THE MONTH (Iowa +7.5) It's been a brutal start to the 2017 season for the Hawkeyes, who are just 3-4 in their first 7 games and fresh off a blowout loss at Indiana. On the flip side of this, Iowa State comes in having won 5 straight to improve to 5-2. What gets overlooked here is the Cyclones run here have come against some really bad teams. Keep in mind this team started out 0-2 with a 15-point loss at Missouri and a shocking 18-point home loss to Wisconsin-Milwaukee as a 13.5-point favorite. At the same time, this Iowa team does have some nice pieces and have played really well for stretches in these recent losses. I not only think they can keep this within the number, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won this game outright. Give me the Hawkeyes +7.5! |
|||||||
12-06-17 | Austin Peay v. Illinois -18 | 57-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Illinois -18) The Fighting Illini should have no problem here winning by 20+ points at home against Austin Peay. Illinois is simply not getting the respect they deserve here against an inferior opponent because of the fact that they come in having lost 3 straight. However, those 3 losses were against the likes of Wake Forest, Northwestern and Maryland, with 2 of the 3 coming on the road and the lone loss at home by just 1-point to the Terps. Austin Peay hasn't beat anyone worth a lick and have had multiple ugly losses when up against good teams. Given how much Illinois needs this game to get back on track, this should get ugly in ah hurry. Give me the Fighting Illini -18! |
|||||||
12-06-17 | Tennessee Tech v. Dayton -8.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS KNOCKOUT (Dayton -8.5) I'll take my chances here with the Flyers winning by at least 9 at home against Tennessee Tech. It's been a rough start to the season for Dayton, who comes in at just 3-4, but the slow start has a lot to do with a tough schedule. They have only played 3 home games and one of those was against a good Auburn team. They do have a win over Ball State, who just knocked off Notre Dame. Given the slow start, this team can't afford to take any games off and I just think there's a huge gap here in talent. Tennessee Tech is 7-2, but have played a cupcake schedule. Their two losses were a 37-point defeat at TCU and most recently a 14-point loss at Furman. Dayton should be able to score at will here and take complete control of this one early. Give me the Flyers -8.5! |
|||||||
12-05-17 | Oral Roberts v. UNLV -19 | 66-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (UNLV -19) I think this is a great spot and price to jump on UNLV at home. The Rebels had started out 6-0 before dropping their last two, but no shame in either of those losses. The first was a true road game against UNI and the other was an overtime 3-point loss to Arizona. I think those two losses will have UNLV locked in to make sure they get a win here and I just don't see Oral Roberts putting up much of a fight. The Golden Eagles are one of the worst teams in the Summit (projected to finish 2nd to last) and have already lost by 19 at Tulsa, 43 at Oklahoma State and 38 at Penn State. I don't know what else you need to see here. Give me the Rebels -19! |
|||||||
12-05-17 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +14.5 | 62-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers +14.5) There's no denying that Michigan State is the superior team, but I just don't think the Scarlet Knights are getting nearly enough credit here at home. It's simply not that easy to blow out opponents on the road in conference games and I think this Rutgers team is a lot better than people think. The Scarlet Knights had started out 6-0 before dropping their last 2. The most recent was an ugly 22-point loss at Minnesota, but no real surprise to see Rutgers struggle on the road against a good team. The other loss was a 5-point home defeat to FSU and they had a great shot at winning outright. That's the same Seminoles team that just rolled an elite Florida team on the road last night. Look for Rutgers to give the Spartans a scare here and keep this within the number. Give me the Scarlet Knights +14.5! |
|||||||
12-04-17 | Iowa v. Indiana -5.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Indiana -5.5) I think these are two similar teams in that they are capable of beating any team on their home floor, but simply don't have the experience to be trusted on the road. Just look at how well Indiana played at home against Duke and then how poorly they played on the road at Michigan. Iowa has been struggling no matter where they play and a big reason for that is they just don't have a true point guard. I look for the Hoosiers to jump all over the Hawkeyes here at home and win by double-digits. Give me Indiana -5.5! |
|||||||
12-02-17 | Penn State v. Iowa | 77-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS NO BRAINER (Iowa PK) It's been a rough go for the Hawkeyes early on in 2017. After losing to Lafayette and South Dakota State in their Thanksgiving tournament last week, Iowa lost by 24 on the road to Virginia Tech. It was a horrible 2nd half for Iowa, as they looked good early on in that game and were tied with the Hokies at 38-38 at the half. The Hawkeyes are a team that have struggled away from home under Fran McCaffery and all 3 of their loses this year have been on the road. I think we are going to a completely different Iowa team at home here against Penn State. Keep in mind the Hawkeyes have a lot of young talent they brought back from last year. Penn State will be improved this season, but I think they are getting way to much respect here. It's not easy winning on the road in the Big ten and this team just lost by 7 at NC State as a 3-point favorite. Give me the Hawkeyes! |
|||||||
12-02-17 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Ole Miss | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Virginia Tech -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies as a short road favorite against the Revels. Virginia Tech is a team that I think is flying under the radar coming into this season. The Hokies won 22 games last year and are a legit NCAA Tournament team, yet no one is talking about them, despite a 6-1 start. Last time out they beat a decent Iowa team by 24 as a 8.5-point dog. They have covered 5 of 6 on the season, which is another sign of how undervalued they are. Ole Miss is the complete opposite. The Rebels are coming off a 22-win season, but are still a bottom of the pack team in the SEC. Ole Miss has started out 4-2, but the 4 wins are against bad teams. They lost by 9 to Utah on a neutral court as a 1.5-point favorite and last time out lost 97-99 at home to South Dakota State as a 10.5 point favorite. A game in which they trailed by 23 at the half. Give me the Hokies -2.5! |
|||||||
12-02-17 | Indiana +7.5 v. Michigan | 55-69 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB DOG OF THE DAY (Indiana +7.5) The Hoosiers are worth a shot here catching a big number against the Wolverines. Indiana is a team I think is flying under the radar. They were stunned in their opener at home, losing to Indiana State by 21 as a 13-point favorite. They also lost at Seton Hall by 16 in their first 3 games. They got things turned around with a 17-point win over USF and had won 3 straight before losing to Duke by 10 at home. A game they failed to cover as a 9-point dog. However, if you watched that game, you know Indiana was the right side and had a great shot at winning outright. Michigan lost by 15 at North Carolina in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge and I just haven't been impressed with this team early on. They deserve to be favored at home, but not by this much, as Indiana is more than capable of winning outright. Give me the Hoosiers +7.5! |
|||||||
12-01-17 | Purdue v. Maryland +2.5 | 80-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland +2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Terps catching points at home against the Boilermakers. Purdue got all the pre-season press and are going to be at or near the top of the Big 10 standings, but so is this Maryland team. While they lost a big time player in Melo Trimble, they have a ton of young talent coming back, as well as some stud freshman who are already making a big impact. All 3 starters they returned are sophomores in Anthony Cowan, Justin Jackson and Kevin Huerter. All 3 have started out strong, as has true freshman big man Burno Fernando. Purdue is coming off wins over Arizona and Louisville, but we also saw them lose on a neutral court to Tennessee and Western Kentucky. I think they fall again here. Give me the Terrapins +2.5! |
|||||||
11-30-17 | Memphis v. UAB -4.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (UAB -4.5) I think this line really tells you all you need to know about what the oddsmakers think of this Memphis team. The Tigers are sitting at 3-1, while UAB is just 4-3, yet it's the Blazers laying 4.5-points at home. I couldn't agree more and see UAB winning by double-digits. I know the Blazers didn't do well in their tournament last week, losing on a neutral court to Richmond, Buffalo and Iowa over a 3-day stretch. I still really like the talent with this UAB team. They got 4 guys averaging double-figures and one of those is a legit NBA prospect in William Lee. Memphis is in year two under Tubby Smith and are in full on rebuilding mode after basically the entire team save for two starters either graduated or transferred out of the program. Their 3 wins have come against Arkansas-Little Rock, New Orleans and Northern Kentucky and they struggled to put away all 3. I just don't see this team playing well on the road with such an inexperienced team and this is their first true road game of the season. Give me the Blazers -4.5! |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Boston College v. Nebraska -3.5 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nebraska -3.5) It hasn't been pretty for the Big Ten early on in this Big Ten/ACC Challenge, but I'm confident that the Cornhuskers can take care of business here at home against the Eagles. Only Pitt, who is just awful this season is worse than Boston College. The Eagles have started out 5-2, but have lost by double-digits in their only two games against good competition and the most recent was an ugly 20-point loss at Providence where they were just a 6.5-point dog. Nebraska is 5-2 and aren't likely a real threat in the Big Ten, but they are also far from a pushover, especially on their home floor. I wouldn't be surprised here if this one turned into a blowout in favor of Nebraska. Give me the Cornhuskers -3.5! |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Louisiana Tech +11 v. Alabama | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Louisiana Tech +11) I'll gladly back the Bulldogs here as a double-digit dog against the Crimson Tide. Louisiana Tech won 23 games last year and brought back a big time talent in senior guard Jacobi Boykins, as well as two stud sophomores in Jalen Harris and DaQuan Bracey. The Bulldogs have started out 5-0 and have solid wins on a neutral court over both Georgia Mason and Evansville, which is a good sign they can compete here with Alabama. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 and ranked inside the Top 25. I'm not saying they won't be a really good team down the road, but they are missing some big pieces right now, including their leading returning scorer in Braxton Key. They are also without reserve Armond Davis and their highly touted freshman John Petty is questionable with a ankle injury. Give me the Bulldogs +11! |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Penn State v. NC State +1.5 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (NC State +1.5) The Wolfpack are getting zero respect here at home against the Nittany Lions and I'll gladly take them here as a home dog against a good but not great Penn State team. Yes the Nittany Lions returned just about everyone from last year and have started 6-1, but are still being picked to finish in the bottom half of the Big Ten and have got off to their hot start thanks to an even schedule. The only legit opponent they played was Texas A&M and they lost by 11 on a neutral court. I wasn't sure what to expect from NC State this season, but I've really liked what I have seen. The Wolfpack made a statement with a 90-84 win over Arizona this past week. While they followed it up with losses to UNI and Tennessee, they were right there in both of those games. I think coming off 2 straight losses is certainly playing into this line and overlooking how big the homecourt edge is here. Give me the Wolfpack +1.5! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Iowa +9.5 v. Virginia Tech | 55-79 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Iowa +9.5) Iowa had a couple of surprising losses last week in their Thanksgiving tournament, as they lost 71-80 to UL-Lafayette and 72-80 to South Dakota State. Things could have went the other way in both of those games and I still see a ton of potential in this team, as they can score at an alarming rate when the shots are falling from the outside. Winning on the road here against a good Virginia Tech team won't be easy, but I really like their chances of keeping this within single digits. Give me the Hawkeyes +9.5! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Florida State -4.5 v. Rutgers | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Florida St -4.5) The Scarlet Knights have started out the season 6-0 and I think are getting a little too much respect here at home against the Seminoles. Florida State is 5-0 and while they have played an easy schedule, they have won all 5 by 17, so they are taking care of business against the bad teams. As easy as the Seminoles schedule has been, Rutgers has been even easier. What stands out to me is FSU's efficiency on offense, as they have shot 48% or better from the field in all 5 games. However, it's not just the offense, as the defense has also been playing well and I think they make life miserable here for a Scarlet Knight's offense that has shot under 40% from the field in 3 games, which is a pretty staggering number given the teams they have played. Give me the Seminoles -4.5! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | North Carolina v. Michigan State -1 | 45-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Michigan St -1) I really like this Michigan State team and after losing to Duke earlier this season in a game they could have easily won, I think the Spartans take care of business here against the Tar Heels. North Carolina is a good team, but won't be able to overpower teams inside like they have against Michigan State. Keep in mind this Spartans team held what I think is the best team in the country in the Blue Devils to just 39.5% shooting. That defense will be the difference here, as UNC has struggled on the defensive side of the ball early on. Give me the Spartans -1! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. Oregon | 90-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Oklahoma -2.5) Oregon is 5-1, but have feasted on bad teams and I just think they are overvalued right now, as this is not the same caliber a team as the one that went to the Final Four a year ago. We saw signs of that in their recent 8-point loss to a pretty average UConn team in a game they were favored to win by 8. Oklahoma's only loss came to a very good Arkansas team and this is a team that I think is a lot better than people realize. I look for the Sooners to make easy work of the Ducks in this one. Give me Oklahoma -2.5! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Alabama v. Minnesota -3.5 | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers needing to win by just 4 points over the Crimson Tide. Both these teams come in having yet to lose in 2017. Alabama is 5-0 and Minnesota is 6-0. I think that's a big reason we are seeing value here with the Gophers, as I don't think there's any doubt that Minnesota has been playing the better basketball. All 6 of the Gophers wins have come by double-digits, including an impressive 12-point win in a true road game against a good Providence team. Alabama covered last time out, but are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after a cover in their last game. Minnesota on the other hand is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a non-conference opponent. Give me the Golden Gophers -3.5! |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Indiana | 67-87 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Eastern Michigan +9) Indiana has put together a couple of impressive showings against USF and Arkansas State after their 1-2 start which saw them lose by 11 at home to Indiana State and by 16 at Seton Hall. The public hasn't wasted any time jumping back on the Hoosiers and I think it's created some value here with Eastern Michigan, who is 4-0 and has posted similar results against two common opponents in Howard and Arkansas State. Indiana beat Howard by 9, while the Eagles defeated them by 10. Both teams beat Ark St by 17. I'll take my chances here with Eastern Michigan, as I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Give me the Eagles +9! |
|||||||
11-23-17 | SMU v. Arizona -7.5 | 66-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Arizona -7.5) I was on the Wildcats in yesterday's upset loss to NC State and while I didn't see that coming, I'm not backing down on this Arizona team just yet and will take my chances on them rebounding with a big time effort here against what I feel is a very overrated SMU team, who just lost as a 8-point favorite to UNI. The effort on the defensive side of the ball was a big part of the problem for the Wildcats in the loss to NC State and it didn't help they were ice-cold from long-distance. Look for the defensive intensity to be turned up a notch and for Arizona to win here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7.5. |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Butler v. Texas -1.5 | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas -1.5) I've got really high expectations for Texas in year two under Shaka Smart and so far the Longhorns have looked the part with a 3-0 start and all 3 coming in blowout fashion. Butler is a good program and I believe that's keeping this line closer than it should be. The Bulldogs are 3-1, but lost by 14 at Maryland in their only real test so far this season. The Terps defense really caused problems for Butler and this Texas defense has been lights out to start the season. The Bulldogs also let Maryland shoot 57.4% from the field. Give me the Longhorns -1.5! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Detroit v. St. Louis -11 | 72-70 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (St. Louis -11) I don't see this one being close at all, as the Billikens are simply not getting the respect they deserve against an inferior opponent. Detroit is 2-2 and we are going to focus here on the 2 losses, which were a 31 point defeat to Virginia Tech and 31-point defeat to Seattle. Why are those important to note? St Louis has played both teams and won each, defeating Seattle by 16 and the Hokies by 6. Unless they decide to take the night off and don't show up to play, the Billikens should have no problem winning here by 20. Give me St. Louis -11! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Kentucky -19.5 | Top | 67-86 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kentucky -19.5) It's been a rough start for Kentucky against the spread, as the Wildcats have covered just one spread in their first 5 games. It might have some looking to take the points here with Fort Wayne, but not me. This is the ideal opponent for Kentucky to lay a beating on. The Mastodons are 3-1, but the 3 wins are against bad teams. The lone loss is important to note, as they lost by 14 to Oakland, who isn't a good team. The Grizzlies already have a 10-point loss to Toledo and a 24-point loss to Syracuse. Look for Kentucky to score at will here, while the defense makes life miserable for the Mastodons. Give me the Wildcats -19.5! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | NC State v. Arizona -13 | 90-84 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Arizona -13) I've really been impressed from what I've seen from the Wildcats so far this season. Arizona has a legit player of the year candidate in junior guard Allonzo Trier, as he's averaging 30.0 ppg through the Wildcats first 3 contests and already has made 10 3-pointers. Arizona also has one of the top freshman in the country in 7-1 forward DeAndre Ayton, who is averaging 18.7 ppg, 11.7 rpg and 1.7 bpg. While NC State is 4-0 to start the year, they haven't played anybody and I think it has them getting too much respect here, as the Wildcats are poised for a down year here after losing 3 double-digit scorers, including NBA Lottery pick Dennis Smith. Not to mention they are in the first year under a new coach. NC State is simply outclassed here and will be lucky to keep this within 20 points. Give me the Wildcats -13! |
|||||||
11-21-17 | Davidson +7 v. Nevada | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Davidson +7) I'll gladly take my chances here with Davidson as a 7-point dog against the Wolf Pack. The Wildcats have been an offensive juggernaut to start the season, scoring 110 in their opener against Charleston Southern and 108 against UNC-Wilmington. Most expected big contributions from senior Peyton Aldridge, but two youngsters have really impressed early in sophomore Jon Axel Gudmundsson and freshman Kellan Grady. While Aldridge leads the way at 27 ppg, both Gudmundsson and Grady are averaging 20+ ppg. Senior Oskar Michelsen is also producing well early at 10.5 ppg. These 4 players are absolutely lighting it up from downtown. Each has made at least 7 3-pointers and are a combined 31 for 57 (54%) from downtown. Nevada hasn't seen anything like this and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Davidson pulled off the upset here. Give me the Wildcats +7! |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Penn State -9.5 v. Pittsburgh | 85-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Penn St -9.5) I've went against Pitt with success early on this season and will gladly back the Nittany Lions here in this one. Penn State has started out 4-0 and covered both games that have had lines and that includes a 70-57 win over Montana as a 12-point favorite. The same Montana team that beat Pitt on their home floor 83-78 as a 2.5-point favorite. Penn State has a ton of experience and that should pay off big here in this neutral site game, as the Panthers are in full on rebuilding mode with just 3 players back from last years team. I just don't see Pitt making a game of this and wouldn't be shocked if they lost by 20. Give me the Nittany Lions -9.5! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Boise State +1.5 v. Iowa State | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Boise St +1.5) Iowa State is way down this year. The Cyclones are way down this year. They have lost a ton a talent the last two years and are in a major rebuilding phase right now. Boise State on the other hand is a program that doesn't get near the respect they deceiver and are going to be one of the top teams in the MWC again. I look for the Broncos to pull off the upset here. Give me Boise State +1.5! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Georgia State v. Ole Miss -10 | 72-77 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss -10) Georgia State comes in at 2-0 and fresh off an impressive 75-54 win over Rice, where they easily covered as a 9.5-point favorite. I think it has them getting a little too much love here against a talent Ole Miss team that I think is flying under the radar. I actually considered taking Georgia State in that game against the Owls. Rice is getting way to much respect out of the gates due to winning 23-games a season ago. That team was absolutely gutted once head coach Mike Rhoades left for VCU. They lost junior Marcus evans, who was a 2x All-CUSA player, as well as two other double-digit scorers. It simply wasn't as good as win as it looks. The Rebels won 22 games and went 10-8 in SEC play. They were firmly on the bubble and got left out of the dance. I believe that has this team on a mission early to build up that resume so they don't get left out again. Ole Miss has 3 starters back including one of the best players in the SEC in senior guard Deandre Burnett, who is poised for a monster final year in Oxford. They also bring back junior Terrance Davis, who put in nearly 15 ppg and add Memphis transfer Markel Crawford. I just think this is a bigger gap in talent than this line would suggest, as I think Ole Miss wins here by 20. Give me the Rebels -10! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | East Tenn State v. Kentucky -23 | Top | 61-78 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -23) This is the first really big favorite (20+) that I'm going to lay the points with and I don't think it's going to be close. Kentucky comes in off a much better showing than most were expecting in a 4-point loss to Kansas in the United Center after a couple of less than impressive showing to start the season against Utah Valley and Vermont. Two teams you would expect this team to dominate given all that talent, but this is a young Wildcats team that's starting 5-fresman. Both Utah Valley and Vermont were experienced teams with 4 returning starters, so not a big surprise to see them keep it closer than expected. I believe those two showings and the loss to Kansas has Kentucky way undervalued here against East Tennessee State, who has no business being on the same floor. The Buccaneers won 27 games last year, which is part of why this number isn't higher, but they only have 1 starter back and simply don't have the talent to keep it competitive against a team like Kentucky. They already lost by 18 to Northern Kentucky, which says it all. With the Wildcats motivated off a loss, I think they win here by 30 or more. Give me Kentucky -23! |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Xavier +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Xavier +3.5) Last time these two teams played was the 2016 NCAA Tournament and the Musketeers blew a 9-point lead and lost on a last second buzzer-beater, which propelled the Badgers to the Sweet 16. Several of the Xavier players who were on that team are still around, including the dynamic backcourt duo of Trevon Bluiett and J.P Macura. This isn't just another non-conference game for the Musketeers and I think they are the much better team. We are simply seeing the Badgers get some love because it's on their home floor and they have looked good out of the gate. They are 2-0 with 2 blowout wins over South Carolina St and Yale. Big deal. This is not your same caliber Wisconsin team, as they have to replace 4 starters. That lack of experience is going to be hard to overcome here against a legit Final Four caliber opponent this early in the season. Give me the Musketeers +3.5! |
|||||||
11-15-17 | South Dakota +19 v. TCU | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (South Dakota +19) Most will look at the TCU team, which returns all 5 starters from last year's 24-win team that won the NIT and just expect them roll against a team like South Dakota. I don't think that's going to be the case. This Coyotes team is no pushover. South Dakota has 3 starters back from last year's squad that won 22 games and won the Summit League regular-season title. That includes a big time playmaker in junior guard Matt Mooney, who can not only torment teams with his great outside shooting but he's an excellent defender. TCU is also a team that's not built to blow teams out, we saw that in their opener when they only won by 10 at home over ULM as a massive 25-point favorite. I think this one is close the whole way. Give me the Coyotes +19! |
|||||||
11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | 65-61 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas -4.5) My money is on the Jayhawks in Tuesday's big showdown between Kansas and Kentucky. No surprise that the Wildcats are getting a lot of love out of the gate, but this is far from the juggernauts that we have seen from Kentucky in years past. The biggest thing is they don't have any experience to fall back on and are starting 5 freshman. They trailed Utah Valley by 9 at the half before eventually winning by 10. That's the same Utah Valley team that lost by 30 to Duke on the road. Kansas also has a ton of young talent, but also bring back some veteran players who played big roles and others who were at least with the program last year. I just think it's going to take some time for Calipari to get this team at the level needed to compete with a team like Kansas. I also think a big thing here is Kentucky has little to no outside shooting and the Jayhawks have the talent inside to not give them easy baskets. Give me Kansas -4.5! |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +13.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisc-Milwaukee +13.5) The Cyclones are getting a little too much respect here to open the season, as they are going to be way down this year after losing 4 double-digit scorers, including one of the best point guards in college basketball in Monte Morris. Just not enough talent left on the roster for this team to be laying this many points against the Panthers, who should be greatly improved with 4 returning starters and several of their top reserves back from last year. Keep in mind ISU lost 59-74 as a short road favorite against Missouri and the Tigers best player and potential No. 1 overall pick in next year's NBA draft, Michael Porter Jr, played just 2 minutes because of an injury. Give me the Panthers +13.5! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Vermont +13.5 v. Kentucky | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Vermont +13.5) I'm just not buying this Kentucky team being as good as previous years and believe we saw a sign of their struggles to come in their opener against Utah Valley State, where they trailed by 9 at the half and needed an 18-0 run in the 2nd half to pull out a 73-63 win as a 20.5-point favorite. The Wildcats are starting 5 freshman and that lack of experience makes them primed for an upset here against an experienced and talented Vermont team that returns 4 starters, including reigning American East Player of the Year Trae-Bell Haynes, who forms quite a 1-2 punch with sophomore Anthony Lamb. Give me the Catamounts +13.5! |
|||||||
11-11-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Bradley -8.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Bradley -8.5) I think we are getting a great price here on the Braves at home against the Jaguars. Bradley went just 13-20 last year, but finished the season strong and have reason to be excited about the 2017-18 season, as they basically bring everyone back from last year's team, including all 5 starters. I believe this is the year head coach Brian Wardle gets this team to post a winning record. Either way I like them to win by double-digits against IUPUI, who lost 3 starters who combined for over 40 ppg, including leading scorer Darell Combs, who put in 16.8 ppg. This is a rebuilding year for the Jaguars, who are expected to finish at or near the basement of the Horizon League. Give me Bradley -8.5! |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Pittsburgh v. Navy -4 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Navy -4) A lot of people are going to look at this line and wonder how in the world is Navy laying points against a ACC power like Pittsburgh. I believe it's for good reason. The Midshipmen were one of the big surprises of the Patriot League last year and are a serious threat to win the league this year with 4 starters back. As for the Panthers, things aren't looking good for them this season. Pitt lost it's top 5 scorers from last year and only return 3 players and one of them is a walk-on. One of the players the Panthers lost was point guard Cameron Johnson and they really don't have anyone suitable to fill the void at the most important position on the floor. I think a loss to Navy is just the beginning of a miserable season. Give me the Midshipmen -4! |
|||||||
04-03-17 | North Carolina -1 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
50* UNC/Gonzaga NCAAB Championship Game of the Year (UNC -1) The public has jumped on the Gonzaga bandwagon and I believe it's created exceptional value here with North Carolina. I firmly believe that the Tar Heels are the more talented team and if they play up to their potential, this could turn into a blowout. The Bulldogs have had the much easier route to the Championship Game and who knows if the beat South Carolina if Thornwell was 100%. North Carolina's size is going to make it tough on Gonzaga's offense to find easy shots and defensively with foul trouble and rebounding. Give me the Tar Heels -1! |
|||||||
04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Final Four Game of the Year (North Carolina -4.5) I'll gladly back the Tar Heels laying at this line against the Ducks. I believe North Carolina is head and shoulders above the rest of the field in terms of talent. On top of that the Tar Heels have experience from last year to fall back on. The biggest factor here in my opinion is the size and depth that North Carolina has. They should be able to abuse the Ducks inside. Oregon's offensive rebounding will be negated and the Tar Heels should get plenty of second chances. I also think the size of North Carolina will force Oregon to be strictly a jump shooting team and really make it tough on them to keep pace with the Tar Heels high-powered offensive attack. Give me North Carolina -4.5! |
|||||||
03-26-17 | Kentucky v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (North Carolina -2.5) These two teams played earlier this season in a shootout, as the Wildcats won 103-100. The defense will be a lot better this time around and I just trust North Carolina's ability to score a lot more than Kentucky. The Wildcats don't have a lot of great shooters and I just think they are outclassed inside by the Tar Heels. The size of North Carolina will be too much for Kentucky to overcome unless they get another crazy game from Monk like they did in the previous meeting with UNC. Monk had 47 points on 18 of 28 shooting (8 of 12 from 3-pointers). I'm confident he won't put up those same kind of numbers with the Tar Heels defense locked in on him. Give me North Carolina -2.5! |
|||||||
03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga -7.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
50* Elite 8 Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -7.5) I really like this matchup for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga has been pushed to the limit in their last two games against Northwestern and West Virginia. Both of which are excellent defensive teams. Xavier is not all that great defensively and have been playing out of their minds offensively in the tournament, shooting better than 50% from the field in all 3 games. The Musketeers are lucky Arizona choked in the final minutes and I just don't think Gonzaga even lets it get to that point. Not only do I look for the Bulldogs to go off offensively, but I believe this is where their underrated defense will shine. It's been quite a ride for Xavier, but the Cinderella story ends here in a blowout loss. Give me Gonzaga -7.5! |
|||||||
03-24-17 | UCLA -1 v. Kentucky | Top | 75-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UCLA -1) The Bruins went on the road and beat Kentucky in the regular season 97-92 and believe there's an excellent chance that UCLA knocks off the Wildcats again. Keep in mind that the Bruins shot 53% from the field against Kentucky's defense and held the Wildcats to just 41% from the field. The only thing that kept it from being a blowout was the fact that UCLA turned it over 18 times. Sure a lot of that had to do with Kentucky's defense, but the Bruins should be better prepared this time around. Not to mention they have had a total of 9 turnovers in their first two tournament games. What makes the Wildcats so great is their ability to lock down their opponents, as they can be a bit limited offensively. UCLA just has too much fire-power. Give me the Bruins -1! |
|||||||
03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina -7 | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (North Carolina -7) As much as I like Butler, I think this is a horrible matchup for the Bulldogs. The Tar Heels are extremely athletic and have a ton of size that Butler won't be able to match. UNC should feast inside on offense and get a number of second chance points with offensive rebounds. The Bulldogs are going to have to work extremely hard on offense for everything they get and would need to shoot lights out just to keep this close. Let's also not overlook the fact that Butler has benefited from getting to play a couple double-digit seeds in Winthrop and Middle Tennessee. I also like the fact that North Carolina got out to a big lead and lost it before pulling out the win against Arkansas. They aren't going to mess around with a lead anymore. Give me the Tar Heels -7! |
|||||||
03-23-17 | Xavier v. Arizona UNDER 145 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
40* Late Night Sweet 16 Total No Brainer (UNDER 145) This Arizona team is the real deal and I believe their defense is going to be the deciding factor in this one. The Wildcats held a potent St. Mary's team to just 60 points in their last game and I look for them to slow down the Musketeers. Xavier has shot lights out in their first two tournament games, but this Arizona defense is by far the best they have seen. Musketeers are no slouches on defense either, as they have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 66 or less. It's also worth pointing out that neither of these teams like to play at a fast pace, which only adds that much more value here. Give me the UNDER 145! |
|||||||
03-23-17 | Michigan -1 v. Oregon | Top | 68-69 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
50* Sweet 16 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -1) I'm not the least bit surprised to see the Wolverines in the Sweet 16. Like with every sport, it's not always about the overall record, but how you are playing when it matters the most. Michigan is without a doubt playing at an elite level right now. They are extremely difficult to stop offensively, as they are efficient and have a number of different players who can beat you. The Wolverines have shot 49% or better from the field in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7. Oregon isn't the same team after losing Boucher and have benefited from getting to play two double-digit seeds to this point. Not that they allowed Rhode Island to shoot 51% from the field. I don't see them being able to slow down this Michigan attack. Give me the Wolverines -1! |
|||||||
03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA UNDER 153.5 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAA Tournament Total No Brainer (UNDER 153.5) UCLA and their high-powered offense leaves the books no choice but to lay a big number on the total, but I think the matchup here with Cincinnati is going to be a lot more lower scoring than most people think. The Bearcats know they can't win this game by trying to trade blows offensively with UCLA in transition offense. Their only chance is to ugly up the game and slow the tempo way down and really bring the intensity on defense. That's the stretch of this Cincinnati team and I think it's going to take the Bruins some time to figure out how to attack the Bearcats defense. Keep in mind this is a Cincinnati team that went on the road and held the likes of Iowa State's high-powered offense to just 54 points. Give me the UNDER 153.5! |
|||||||
03-19-17 | Rhode Island +5.5 v. Oregon | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NCAA Tournament ATS Knockout (Rhode Island +5.5) Rhode Island is worth a look here as I actually think this line should be closer to a pick'em. Don't get me wrong, Oregon was an elite team this season. They simply aren't that same elite team after losing Boucher. While the Rams are a No. 11 seed, this team has been playing it's best basketball and not a lot of people realize that there was a lot of big things expected from this Rhode Island team. It's similar to Duke and their emergence down the stretch, just on a much smaller scale. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Rams won this game outright. Give me Rhode Island +5.5! |
|||||||
03-19-17 | Wichita State v. Kentucky -4 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -4) I was on the Shockers in their win over Dayton and while they covered the 5.5 for me, it wasn't the dominant performance I was expecting. Regardless, I think there's been so much talk about how Wichita State got screwed on their seeding that it's got people loading up on them. I don't think that's a wise move, as this not an elite Shockers team. Kentucky on the other hand is elite and are playing their best basketball. The Wildcats are loaded with NBA talent and will be too much for Wichita State to handle. Give me Kentucky -4! |
|||||||
03-18-17 | Virginia +2 v. Florida | Top | 39-65 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Virginia +2) I'm shocked that Virginia is getting points here. I'm not buying the Gators as a Sweet 16 team and more than anything I just think the Cavaliers are the much better team here. Virginia played in the much tougher ACC conference and Florida just isn't the same team after losing center John Egbunu. We saw the Gators offense really struggle against a solid Vanderbilt defense in the SEC Tournament, managing just 62 points on 34.4% shooting. Now they face an elite Cavaliers defense and I just don't see them doing enough here offensively to get the win. Virginia is a streaky team offensively and I love the fact that they just shot 50% in their last game. Give me the Cavaliers +2! |
|||||||
03-18-17 | St. Mary's v. Arizona -5.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS Knockout (Arizona -5.5) St. Mary's is a strong team and looked good in the win over VCU, but I look for them to struggle to keep up with an elite team like the Wildcats, who just might be the best team in the tournament. I have them rated right there with Gonzaga and the Bulldogs beat the Gaels by 10 or more all 3 times they faced off this season. I don't see any reason why the Wildcats won't do the same. Give me Arizona -5.5! |
|||||||
03-18-17 | Northwestern +11.5 v. Gonzaga | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS No Brainer (Northwestern +11.5) The Wildcats are worth a look here as a double-digit underdog. Gonzaga struggled out of the gate in their opener before pulling away late. It's not that I don't think the Bulldogs are a good team, I just think they are way overvalued. I don't believe they would be anywhere close to a No. 1 seed if they played in a legit conference. I look for Northwestern to keep this close and wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the huge upset. Give me the Wildcats +11.5! |
|||||||
03-17-17 | Kent State v. UCLA UNDER 162 | 80-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 162) I think the smart play here is to take the UNDER. I know UCLA comes in averaging 90.4 ppg, but Kent State is not a team that wants to run with them. In fact, they want to limit the number of possessions and to do that they have to grind it out each time they have the ball and make sure they avoid letting UCLA get out in transition. Easier said than done, but you also have to factor in that the Bruins could come out a bit flat here like a lot of the top seeds have so far in the tournament. There's also much bigger games looming for UCLA, so if they get up big, they aren't going to be looking to run up the score. I also think we are getting an inflated number here with how much the public likes to back the over in UCLA games. Give me the UNDER 162! |
|||||||
03-17-17 | Wichita State -5.5 v. Dayton | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Wichita St -5.5) There's been a lot made about Wichita State and their No. 10 seed and for good reason. The committee dropped the ball on this one. I know Dayton is a good team and won't go down without a fight, but the Shockers are the more talented team and have the much better coach, which is a big factor in these tournament games. Wichita State gets it done on both sides of the ball. They are 21st in scoring at 82.1 ppg and 14th in points allowed at 62.4 ppg. Give me the Shockers -5.5! |
|||||||
03-17-17 | USC +6.5 v. SMU | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (USC +6.5) The Trojans already beat SMU 78-73 earlier this season and keep in mind that USC was a 3.5-point home favorite in that contest. That suggests that this line should be closer to a pick'em. The Trojans come in off that big win over Providence and I expect them to come out with a chip on their shoulder when they see this line. Don't be fooled by the Mustangs overall record. they padded their resume in a very weak American Athletic Conference. I'll gladly take the points here as I think there's a good chance USC wins outright. Give me the Trojans +6.5 |
|||||||
03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon OVER 152 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 152) This one should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Oregon can light up the scoreboard, as they come in averaging 79.1 ppg. They will be facing an Iona defense that is awful. Keep in mind they allowed 90+ to both FSU and Nevada early in the year and 80+ in 4 of their last 8 overall, including 103 points to Rider at home on 2/19. The key here is that while the Ducks will be soaring up and down the court, Iona is capable of keeping pace. The Gaels average 80.5 ppg and will be facing an Oregon defense that is minus one of the better defenders in Chris Boucher, who averaged an impressive 2.5 blocks per game. Give me the OVER 152! |
|||||||
03-17-17 | New Mexico State +12.5 v. Baylor | 73-91 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Knockout (New Mexico St +12.5) The Aggies are worth a look here as a big dog against the Bears. Baylor got off to a fantastic start this season, but they haven't looked nearly as good down the stretch. The Bears went just 5-6 in their last 11 games and really played poorly in their Big 12 Tournament opener against K-State, losing 64-70 as a 4.5-point favorite. Most haven't had a chance to watch this New Mexico State team, but I have and I like the way they matchup with the Bears. I see this one coming right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Aggies won this game outright. Give me New Mexico State +12.5! |
|||||||
03-16-17 | Vermont v. Purdue -10.5 | Top | 70-80 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
50* Vegas NCAA Tourn 1st Round Game of the Year (Purdue -10.5) I personally think Purdue should be a No. 3 seed, but the Big Ten is getting no love. The conference as a whole might not be great, but this Boilermakers team is the real deal and I love that they are coming into the tournament with a chip on their shoulder. Purdue won the Big Ten regular season title by a full 2 games and more than proved themselves in non-conference play. On top of the Boilermakers being undervalued, Vermont isn't that good of a team. They lost by 22 to Providence, 18 to South Carolina and 12 to Butler. The size of Purdue will be too much to overcome and I think this one gets ugly in a hurry. Give me the Boilermakers -10.5! |