Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-16-19 | Iowa State +2 v. Kansas | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa State +2) We cashed in free picks on the Cyclones Thursday and Friday and I'm not jumping off the ISU bandwagon in the Big 12 Championship. Cyclones were my pick to win the Big 12 Tournament and nothing has changed after impressive wins over Baylor and top seeded Kansas State. Kansas is still a team I don't trust in the slightest. This is going to feel like a home game for Iowa State and the Cyclones beat up on the Jayhawks 77-60 at home during the regular-season. No way should they be an underdog here. Give me ISU +2! |
|||||||
03-16-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -1 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kentucky -1) I'll take my chances with the Wildcats at a pick'em against the Vols. Kentucky was my pick to win the SEC Tournament coming into this thing and that was an easy choice given they have won the last 4. Calipari simply knows how to get his team to peak at the perfect time. Tennessee is a good team and did beat the Wildcats by 19 earlier this month, but that was on their home floor where they were nearly unbeatable and Kentucky had already won the first meeting 86-69. Wildcats also played the second meeting without one of their best players in Reid Travis. Give me Kentucky -1! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Duke -2.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
50* DUKE/UNC IN-STATE RIVALRY GAME OF THE MONTH (Duke -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Duke at basically a pick'em agains the Tar Heels. This isn't just another game for the Blue Devils. They got routed at home by UNC in the game where Zion hurt his knee and then lost at North Carolina again without him on the floor. This time Zion is going to be in action and he looked like the best player in the country in yesterday's blowout win over Syracuse. The big key is how Zion will impact the game defensively. May and other Tar Heels won't be getting near as many easy looks. Keep in mind Duke was favored by 10 at home in the first meeting, which means they should be around a 7 or 6.5 point favorite on a neutral site. Give me the Blue Devils -2.5! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -8 | 53-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Michigan -8) I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines winning by double-digits over the Hawkeyes. Iowa had one of the more impressive wins on Thursday, as they rolled Illinois 83-62 as a 4.5-point favorite. Hawkeyes shot 52% from both the field and behind the 3-point line. Thing is they did the same thing to Illinois when they played them in the regular-season. Michigan is a much better defensive team and when Iowa doesn't have easy looks they find it tough to score. Hawkeyes also playing on no rest against a Wolverines team that has been off since Saturday and Michigan is playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Iowa. Wolverines are 9-1 ATS last 10 when revenging a road loss. GIve me Michigan -8! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -5.5 | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Tennessee -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Tennessee covering the 5.5 against the Bulldogs. No question Mississippi State is a quality team, but I just think the Volunteers are on a different level. That certainly seemed to be the case in the only meeting between the two during the regular-season, as the Vols won by 17 and in the process Mississippi State to just 54 points and 33% shooting. Bulldogs are also a bit overrated in my opinion, they didn't beat any of the top 3 teams in the SEC (LSU, Tenn, Kentucky). Give me the Vols -5.5! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Seton Hall v. Marquette -4 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Marquette -4) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Eagles covering the small number against Seton Hall. We cashed in an easy winner on Marquette yesterday as they rolled St. John's 86-54 as a similarly priced 4-point favorite. After struggling offensively down the stretch, the Golden Eagles shot 51% and I like them to carry that over to this one. No question Marquette will be motivated, as they just recently lost at Seton Hall. Golden Eagles get their revenge and I wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Colorado v. Washington -1.5 | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS DESTROYER (Washington -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em against the Buffaloes. We suffered a tough loss yesterday with Washington, who blew a double-digit lead and ended up winning by just 3 as a 5-point favorite. I still think this is the best team in the Pac-12 and the only reason this line isn't more is because Colorado has been playing well. Given that, the Huskies won both regular-season meetings, beating the Buffaloes by 7 on the road and by 9 at home. I see a very similar outcome here. Give me Washington -1.5! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Alabama v. Kentucky -11.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Kentucky -11.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats covering the big number against Alabama. Kentucky was my pick to win this tournament before it started. Wildcats have won this thing each of the last 4 years and while teams like Tennessee and LSU are good, I still believe Kentucky is the most talented team in the conference and capable of winning the NCAA Tournament. Sure Alabama upset the Wildcats in conference play, but that was way back in early January and that's only going to have Kentucky that much more motivated for this one. Give me the Wildcats -11.5! |
|||||||
03-15-19 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -7.5 | Top | 62-66 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Wisconsin -7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the 7.5 against the Cornhuskers. I paid the price for going against Nebraska yesterday, as they upset Maryland 69-61. That's not going to stop me from going against them again. Nebraska is not a deep team and will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while Wisconsin had a double-bye and is playing their first game in the Big Ten Tournament. Nebraska basically played 6 guys against Maryland, as Heiman only played 6 minutes. Badgers are the last team you want to play on tired legs, as they are going to really grind you down. The other big key for me is Cornhuskers are pretty much a one-man show offensively with James Palmer and Wisconsin has one of the best defensive players in the country in Khalil Iverson. Look for the Badgers to take control early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me Wisconsin -7.5! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | Illinois v. Iowa -4 | 62-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS DESTROYER (Iowa -4) I'll take my chances with the Hawkeyes snapping out of their late season funk and covering the small number against the Fighting Illini. Illinois is 12-20 and Iowa is 21-10. Hawkeyes have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover 8 straight. 3 of the 4 losses were on the road during their 4-game skid. Iowa has a big edge playing on multiple days of rest, while Illinois had to play in-state rival Northwestern on Wednesday. Iowa won the only meeting between these two by 24 and shot 68% from the field. Give me the Hawkeyes -4! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | UCLA v. Arizona State -4 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Arizona St -4) I'l take my chances here with Sun Devils covering the small number against UCLA. Bruins had to play on Wednesday against Stanford and snuck out a 7-point win. I don't see UCLA having any shot here of keeping this close on no rest against Arizona State. Only meeting between these two was at UCLA and the Sun Devils won by 11 as a 1.5-point dog. Give me Arizona State -4! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech -12.5 | 79-74 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -12.5) I'll take my chances here with Texas Tech easily covering the big number here against the Mountaineers. West Virginia was able to pull off the big upset over Oklahoma in the opening round of the Big 12 Tournament, but lets be real, this team is a joke and are just not even close in terms of talent as the Red Raiders. Texas Tech enters on a 9-game winning streak and are motivated to win this thing to increase their chances at a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. they won by 31 last time the face West Virginia and it wouldn't shocked me if we saw a similar outcome in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -12.5! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | St. John's v. Marquette -2 | Top | 54-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marquette -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Marquette at basically a pick'em against St. John's I get the Golden Eagles had their struggles down the stretch, but I expect them to come out refocused and on a mission to win the Big East Tournament. It certainly helps they have the best player in the conference in Markus Howard. St. John's is a good team, but they haven't won a game on the road since early February. Red Storm are also 3-12 ATS last 15 on a neutral site and 2-10 in their last 12 tournament games. St John's did win at Marquette, but the Golden Eagles are 29-12 ATS last 41 when revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me Marquette -2! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | Missouri v. Auburn -8.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Auburn -8.5) I'll take my chances here with Auburn winning by double-digits over Missouri. That shouldn't be a problem seeing how Auburn won by 34 in the only meeting between the two in the regular-season. Auburn is also one of hotter teams in the country, as they have won 4 straight and are 9-3 in their last 12 with two of those losses coming on the road to LSU and Kentucky. Missouri has won 3 of their last 4, but two of those were against Georgia and they are playing on no rest in this one. Give me Auburn -8.5! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | Nebraska v. Maryland -5.5 | 69-61 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Terps covering the small number against Nebraska. Maryland has been flying under the radar all season it feels like. They had lost 2 straight before a much-needed win over Minnesota in the final game of the season and I just think they are the far superior team. These two played in early February at Nebraska and Maryland won by 15 despite shooting just 38% from the field. Terps have feasted on mediocre teams like the Cornhuskers, as they are 9-1 ATS last 10 vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me Maryland -5.5! |
|||||||
03-14-19 | USC v. Washington -5 | 75-78 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Washington -5) I'll take my chances here with Washington covering what I feel is a really low number against USC. Washington didn't play their best down the stretch, going 2-2 in their final 4 after starting 13-1. I look for them to use that as motivation to play well in this tournament. Huskies were hands down the best team in the Pac-12 this year and won by 13 at home over the Trojans and really didn't play their best. I think the Huskies win here by double-digits easy. Give me Washington -5! |
|||||||
03-13-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -7 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -7) I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 7-point spread against the Panthers. Pittsburgh in my opinion is getting way too much respect in this one. Panthers had lost 13 straight before beating a couple fellow bottom feeders in their last 2 games. They will be on no rest against a Syracuse team that will be playing desperate after losing their final 2 and 4 of their last 5. Orange are without a doubt the better team and should win here by double-digits. Give me Syracuse -7! |
|||||||
03-13-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville -7.5 | Top | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cardinals laying it on the Irish in the second round of the ACC Tournament. I'm not reading anything into Notre Dame's win over Georgia Tech in the opening round on Tuesday. Irish had a fluke 1st half where they scored 52 points. Note they hadn't scored more than 62 in an entire game over their final 5. Louisville is just 3-7 in their last 10, but a lot of that is because of the schedule and playing all the top teams late. What I love is the Cardinals are built on defense and with how Notre Dame struggles to score, this should get ugly in a hurry. Give me Louisville -7.5! |
|||||||
03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -2 | 85-69 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Cincinnati -2) I'll take my chances here with the Bearcats at basically a pick'em at home against the Cougars. These two teams played a tightly contested game at Houston earlier this season. The Cougars wound up winning by 7, but there's every reason to think a change of venue will be more than enough for Cincinnati to come out on top. The Bearcats shot just 33.3% from the field in the first meeting at Houston and had the lead with just over 6 minutes to play before missing their final 11 field goals of the game. Have to think Cincinnati shoots better at home and the defensive intensity won't be as high on the road for the Cougars. Give me the Bearcats -2! |
|||||||
03-09-19 | St. John's v. Xavier -3 | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO-BRAINER (Xavier -3) I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers taking care of business at home against the Red Storm. Xavier comes in off a loss at Butler, but have been a different team down the stretch. Musketeers have won and covered 5 of their last 6 including a 11-point win on the road against St. John's I don't think them going home is going to reverse things in this one. Give me Xavier -3! |
|||||||
03-09-19 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Oklahoma State -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cowboys covering this small number at home against the Mountaineers. I just think West Virginia is getting way too much love off a 90-75 win at home against a short-handed ISU team as a 5.5-point dog. Mountaineers are 2-12 away from home with a 0-9 record in true road games. Add in this being Oklahoma State's senior day and I don't know how you pass up on a play here. Give me the Cowboys -4.5! |
|||||||
03-09-19 | Florida +10 v. Kentucky | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Florida +10) I'll take my chances here with Florida as a double-digit dog against the Wildcats. The Gators had Kentucky on the ropes in the first meeting, as they actually led by 11 in the 2nd half, only to end up losing the game by 11. Kentucky is sitting 3rd in the SEC behind Tenn and LSU and need to win and have both lose for them to earn a 3-way share of the SEC title. That's not important to this team. What's important is getting right for tournament time. Reid Travis is questionable to play, but I don't see him playing much at all if he does suit up. Florida simply needs this game more and that makes them an easy play at this price. Give me the Gators +10! |
|||||||
03-09-19 | NC State -3 v. Boston College | 73-47 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (NC State -3) I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack laying just 3-points on the road against the Eagles. Perfect spot to jump on NC State as they come in off an ugly loss at home to Georgia Tech, where they simply didn't shot up to play. Wolfpack shot 31.9% while letting the Yellow Jackets shoot 58.1%. That was a direct result of them coming off a crushing loss to FSU. They will be ready to go for this one and should win here going away. Give me NC State -3! |
|||||||
03-07-19 | Indiana v. Illinois -2 | Top | 92-74 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -2) I'll gladly take my chances with Illinois laying a short number at home against the Hoosiers. The Fighting Illini have really been a different team down the stretch and just as expected they bounced back from a 3-game losing streak to knock off Northwestern at home in their last game. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games with 3 of those losses coming on the road. Indiana comes in having won 2 straight shockers at home over Wisconsin and Michigan State by a combined 3-points. I'm expecting a big letdown on the road, where the Hoosiers are just 3-9 this season. Give me Illinois -2! |
|||||||
03-07-19 | Cincinnati v. UCF -2.5 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO-BRAINER (UCF -2.5) I'll take my chances here with UCF covering as a small home favorite against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are sitting tied on top the AAC standings with Houston at 14-2, who they will meet in the finale at home this weekend. Not only is this a big lookahead spot for Cincinnati, UCF is a team that is playing just as good as the top dogs in the American down the stretch. The Knights are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The only loss coming by a mere 5-points at Cincinnati and that was them only scoring 18 points in the 1st half (trailed by 8). I think UCF wins this one outright, making them an easy play at basically a pick'em. Give me the Knights -2.5! |
|||||||
03-06-19 | Oregon State v. Washington -6 | Top | 76-81 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Washington -6) I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington covering the 6-point spread at home against Oregon State. The Huskies already won by double-digits on the road against the Beavers and are 14-0 at home, where they are winning by over 12 ppg. Oregon State is also trending in the wrong direction. They just lost back-to-back at home against Arizona and Arizona State. Huskies are 12-4 ATS in their 16 conference games this season and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home when they come in having won 8 of 10. Give me Washington -6! |
|||||||
03-06-19 | Penn State v. Rutgers +2 | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers +2) I’ve been on this Rutgers team quite a bit this year and simply put there’s no reason they are a home dog in this matchup against Penn State. The Scarlet Knights are sitting at 7-11 in the Big Ten, which is a full 2-games ahead of the Nittany Lions, who are at 5-13. They also already beat Penn State on their home floor, winning 64-60 as a 7-point road dog back in late January. I just think a lot of people overlook how well this team is playing right now. Rutgers comes in off back-to-back wins, the most recent being a 14-point victory at Iowa as a 8.5-point dog. They are in a position to get a 1st Round bye in the Big Ten Tournament and guaranteed to finish out of the basement of the Big Ten standings for the first time since joining the conference. It’s not just the back-to-back wins that have impressed me. They are 6-5 in their last 11 Big Ten games and were competitive in just about everyone of those losses. I get that Penn State has also been playing well, but the Nittany Lions had their 3-game winning streak snapped last time out in a crushing 57-61 loss at Wisconsin. I just think that loss will be a difficult one for them to bounce back from, as there’s nothing left for this team to play for outside of a miracle run in the Big Ten Tournament. Penn State is also just 2-9 SU in true road games this season. It’s also worth noting that this will be the home finale/senior day for Rutgers, which is just another extra source of motivation for this team. I not only think they win the game outright, but I think this one could get ugly. Give me Rutgers +2! |
|||||||
03-05-19 | Kentucky -5 v. Ole Miss | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Kentucky -5) I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats bouncing back with a big win and cover on the road against the Rebels. I went against Kentucky on Saturday with Tennessee and it went just as I anticipated. Vols are an elite team and hadn't lost a game at home all season. Ole Miss has been a pleasant surprise, but are no where close to the elite teams in the SEC and I just don't see them being able to keep this one close. Give me Kentucky -5! |
|||||||
03-05-19 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State -3.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Florida St -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Seminoles laying a short number at home against the Hokies. Virginia Tech comes in off an upset win over Duke at home, but the Blue Devils were once again without their star big man Zion Williamson. I just think that victory has the Hokies getting way too much love against a FSU team that has quietly been playing as well as any team in the country. The Seminoles are 10-1 in their last 11 games and with a win here can secure the No. 4 seed and a double-bye for the ACC Tournament. Not to mention this will be the finale home game for FSU, which adds that much more incentive. Give me the Seminoles -3.5! |
|||||||
03-02-19 | Arizona v. Oregon -4.5 | 47-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Oregon -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Ducks covering the small number at home against the Wildcats. I cashed in an easy winner on Oregon in their last game, as they absolutely rolled Arizona State 79-51 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Ducks had lost 3 straight prior all on the road before the blowout win against the Sun Devils. That win over Arizona State continued a trend of home blowout wins. Arizona is getting too much love for beating some bad teams here of late. Ducks roll. Give me Oregon -4.5! |
|||||||
03-02-19 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -2.5 | Top | 52-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Tennessee -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Vols getting revenge against the Wildcats in one of the best games of the day. I was all over Kentucky when they hosted Tennessee earlier this season and they won going away. Vols are a perfect 16-0 at home and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Tennessee is also 16-6 ATS last 22 at home when revenging a loss where they gave up 85 or more. Give me the Volunteers -2.5! |
|||||||
02-28-19 | Arizona State v. Oregon -3 | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3) I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a small home favorite as a 3-point home favorite. I think we are getting a great number with Oregon because they come in having lost 3 straight and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6. The 3 straight losses were all on the road, where they are just 4-8 this season. Ducks are 11-4 at home, winning by 12 ppg. ASU is just 2-9 ATS last 11 after winning 5+ of their last 7 and the Ducks are 15-5 ATS last 20 homes games after 2 straight conference games. Give me Oregon -3! |
|||||||
02-28-19 | Connecticut v. Wichita State -4.5 | 63-65 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Wichita St -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Shockers laying another short number at home. We failed to cash in on Wichita State in their last home game against Memphis, but I think that has created the great number we are getting here. UConn has lost 5 straight and are simply not the same team since Jalen Adams went down to injury. They have especially struggled on the road, losing by 18 at SMU and Temple. Give me Wichita State -4.5! |
|||||||
02-27-19 | Marquette v. Villanova -5 | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Villanova -5) I'll gladly take my chances with Villanova laying a small number at home against Marquette. The Wildcats have lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 after their perfect 10-0 start to Big East play. It has a lot of people looking to play Marquette here, who started this all with a 66-65 win. I just think now is the time to jump on Villanova, as we know we are going to get the best they got in this one. Not just to snap the losing streak, but to get revenge. The big thing to keep in mind with the Wildcats struggles is all 4 of the losses during this stretch came on the road. They are 12-2 at home and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after getting dropped from the Top 25. Give me Villanova -5! |
|||||||
02-27-19 | Florida -4 v. Vanderbilt | 71-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Florida -4) Florida really didn’t live up to expectations early on this season and I think a lot of people wrote them off with all the other fire-power in the SEC. Those early struggles are a distant memory right now, as Florida comes in playing arguably their best basketball of the season. The Gators have won 4 straight and are now 8-6 in SEC play and definitely in the conversation for the NCAA Tournament. I believe they are showing such great value here because of the fact that they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and certainly didn’t play their best last time out at Missouri, having to rally from 12-points down in the 2nd half to sneak out a 64-60 win as a 10-point favorite, but that shouldn’t really come as a surprise. They were destined for a letdown coming off that thrilling overtime win at LSU. That should work in our favor here, as that lessons the likelihood that they will overlook the Commodores. That’s really the only thing that I think could keep Florida from winning and covering the spread. Vanderbilt hasn’t won a conference game, as they are 0-14 in league play. They are 0-7 in SEC play at home and all but two of those losses have come by at least 9 points. They did just cover in a 68-61 loss as a 8.5-point dog at Alabama, but are a mere 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They have also gone just 9-23 ATS last 32 at home. Note that Florida won by 9-points in the first meeting at home between these two teams and did so despite an awful shooting night, as they were just 33.3% from the field and 23% from deep. Their defense was the difference as they stifled the Commodores offense and forced Vandy into 19 turnovers. It hasn’t gotten any better for the Commodores offensively, as they are averaging just 56.8 ppg and shooting 37% from the field in their last 5 games. Give me the Gators -4! |
|||||||
02-27-19 | Illinois +13 v. Purdue | 56-73 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB UNDERDOG ATS MASSACRE (Illinois +13) I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Illini as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. While Purdue has the better overall resume, they have not been playing great of late. They were extremely fortunate to get road wins over two struggling teams in Indiana and Nebraska in their last 2 games and a big reason for that is the struggles of Carson Edwards, who has scored just 22 points on 7 of 40 shooting in his last 2 games. That includes 1 for 20 from deep. We are talking about a guy that averages 23.4 ppg on the season. Without him putting up big numbers Purdue is average at best. Illinois comes in off a couple of losses, but were competitive in both and have really been a different team in February. I'm not saying they pull off the upset, but I think they are primed to give the Boilermakers all they can handle. Give me the Fighting Illini +13! |
|||||||
02-26-19 | Temple v. Memphis -4.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Memphis -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Owls. The Tigers are just too good on their home floor to pass up at this price. Memphis is 13-2 at the FedEx Forum and outscoring opponents by nearly 15 ppg, as they average 88 on their home floor. Temple won the first meeting at home, but only by 9, despite Memphis shooting a pathetic 39.7%. Tigers dominated the glass, as they were +12 on the board (+8 offense rebounds). I'm confident they maintain that edge on the glass and shoot much better at home. Give me Memphis -4.5! |
|||||||
02-26-19 | Missouri v. Mississippi State -11 | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Mississippi St -11) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs laying one on the Tigers at home. Not only do I think Mississippi State is the far superior team, but this is a great spot to fade Missouri off a heartbreaking 64-60 loss at Florida, where the Tigers blew a 12-point 2nd half lead. Missouri took advantage of the Gators in a big letdown spot off that huge upset win at LSU. I don't see the red-hot Bulldogs looking past them in this one. Mississippi State has won 4 straight with 3 of the 4 wins coming by double-digits. While Missouri kept it close at Florida, that's a rare competitive game on the road for the Tigers, as they had lost their previous 4 road games all by double-digits. Missouri is also 1-9 ATS last 3 seasons in road games off a loss by 6 or less, losing by an average of 13.2 ppg in this spot. Give me the Bulldogs -11! |
|||||||
02-24-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -3.5) I'll take my chances with Michigan as a small home favorite against just about any team in the country. I get this is a rivalry game, but Michigan State is not 100%. The Spartans lost Joshua Langford to season-ending injury back in January and are without star big man Nick Ward right now. I'm sure Michigan State will play hard, but it won't be enough against this Michigan team, which is a perfect 16-0 at home this season. Give me the Wolverines -3.5! |
|||||||
02-23-19 | Memphis v. Wichita State -3.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wichita St -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against Memphis. Wichita State is just 13-12 overall, but are playing their best basketball of the season right now. The Shockers have won 5 of their last 6 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS during this stretch. They are 9-3 on their home floor and will be taking on a Memphis team that is just 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS away from home. Wichita St is 13-2 ATS last 15 at home off a win by 15 or more, while Memphis is 1-8 ATS last 9 on the road off a home win by 10 or more. Tigers are also 0-7 ATS last 7 off a conference win by 20 or more. Give me the Shockers -3.5! |
|||||||
02-23-19 | Ohio State v. Maryland -5.5 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Maryland -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Terps as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Maryland is so much better than they get credit for and this is just not asking a whole of them to win by 6 or more at home. The Terps are 13-2 on their home floor and already beat Ohio State 75-61 on the road. The Buckeyes come in off a blowout win at home over a struggling Northwestern team, but overall all Ohio State is on a massive slide. They are just 5-8 SU and 4-9 ATS in their last 13. Their only road wins in Big Ten play are against Nebraska and Indiana. Maryland hasn't lost a game at home in Big Ten play. Give me the Terps -5.5! |
|||||||
02-20-19 | North Carolina +9 v. Duke | 88-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB UNC/DUKE PRIME TIME ATS MASSACRE (N Carolina +9) I just think this is way too many points for the Tar Heels to be catching in arguably the best rivalry in college basketball. I don’t think there’s a more public play on the bard than Duke right now and with them moving back to No. 1 in the polls, there’s no doubt in my mind the line for this one is inflated by at least a couple points if not more. At the same time, I don’t feel like this North Carolina team gets the respect they deserve. Sure they are No. 8 in the country, but there’s been so much hype around Duke and Virginia in the ACC people fail to realize how good UNC is. I think a lot of people would be surprised that with a win the Tar Heels would move into a tie for 1st place in the ACC. One of the reasons that I think UNC is flying under the radar right now is they had that early 21-point loss at home to Louisville, which just isn’t something you expect to see from a elite team. I think that loss really knocked this team down a notch in a lot of people’s eye. They also had that recent home loss to Virginia by 8, but that was a game they should have won. UNC led the majority of the 2nd half and had a 7-point lead with 8 to play. Those are the only two losses for the Tar Heels in the ACC and it’s worth noting that they later returned the favor and beat Louisville by double-digits on their home floor. What really impressed me about North Carolina and that loss to gut-wrenching loss to Virginia, is how they responded by annihilating Wake Forest on the road 95-57. For them to show up with that kind of focus against the Demon Deacons, coming off that loss to the Cavaliers and this game against Duke on deck, really says a lot about the make-up of this team. I also think it’s worth pointing out that this is a very veteran team that really understands what the atmosphere is going to be like. It certainly doesn’t hurt to see that UNC has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings overall and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Give me the Tar Heels +9! |
|||||||
02-20-19 | Florida v. LSU -6.5 | Top | 82-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE YEAR (LSU -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with LSU laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Gators. All the talk in the SEC is around Kentucky and Tennessee right now, yet the Tigers come into this game sitting at 11-1 in league play with their only loss in conference play coming by a single-point. Not to mention they went on the road and beat Tennessee. Not surprised at all they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite at Georgia off the big upset of Kentucky. It's not like they played bad, as they shot 56% from the field on the road. LSU comes in averaging 85.8 ppg at home and I just don't see Florida being able to keep pace. The Gators shot 54% in their last game against Alabama, but prior to that had shot 36% or worse in 4 of their previous 6 and are only averaging 61.9 ppg on the road. It just seems like every time the Gators get matched up with a top tier team in the SEC they lose by double-digit and I don't think this will be any different. Give me the Tigers -6.5! |
|||||||
02-20-19 | Mississippi State v. Georgia +7 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia +7) Just a week ago I went against Georgia after head coach Tom Crean called out his team in a real negative way and they didn't disappoint, losing 73-56 at Texas A&M. I was curious to how they would respond after that game and they came out and played their hearts out against LSU at home, narrowly losing 83-79. That's now 6 straight losses for Georgia and I just think they are sick and tired of losing and will give another big effort here against Mississippi State. Whether or not it's enough to get the win is up in the air, but I really like their chances of at least keeping it within the number. The Bulldogs have been extremely inconsistent in SEC play and are now playing short-handed with the suspension to sophomore guard Nick Weatherspoon. Only 7 players were in the rotation in Miss State's last game against Arkansas. This is a game Georgia can win outright. Give me the Bulldogs +7! |
|||||||
02-19-19 | Maryland v. Iowa -2 | 66-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa -2) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes riding that massive wave of momentum to a hoem win over the Terps. Iowa has won each of their last 2 games on a 3-pointer at the buzzer and have won 4 straight overall. They are 13-2 on their home floor and the last time they hosted a ranked team they cruised to a 74-59 win as a 5.5-point dog against Michigan. Maryland has been better than expected, but are just 3-4 in their last 7 with the only win during this stretch on the road coming against a Nebraska team that is really struggling. The Terps are also a very young team with multiple freshmen playing big roles. I just think the grind of a college season is really starting to take it's toll on these guys and I just don't see them having the energy in their second road game in a 4 day stretch. Give me Iowa -2! |
|||||||
02-19-19 | Nebraska v. Penn State -3 | Top | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Penn St -3) I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions laying a short number at home against the Cornhuskers. I believe we are getting a great price on Penn State due to the fact that Nebraska comes into this won off back-to-back wins. I'm not buying into the victories for the Cornhuskers, both were at home and they shot 50% from the field and only beat Minnesota by 1. In their 9-point win over Northwestern they only managed 59 points and shot 32.8% from the field. That was the 8th time in the last 9 games for the Cornhuskers where they shot 42% or worse. Trying to take that offense on the road and win is a monumental task. Note they shot 49% from the field back in a mere 6-point win over Penn State. That was back prior to losing Isaac Copeland to a season ending injury. I just don't see Nebraska scoring enough to keep this close. Give me the Nittany Lions -3! |
|||||||
02-19-19 | Dayton v. Davidson -3.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE (Davidson -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Davidson laying a small number at home. Dayton is a good team and have been playing well, but I think that has the Flyers getting a little too much respect on the road against the Wildcats. Davidson is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and are tied for 1st with VCU on top the Atlantic 10. Wildcats did fail to cover at home last time out against St Joe's, winning by just 8 as a 11.5-point favorite, but have yet to fail to cover back-to-back games in conference play. It's also worth pointing out that Dayton is a team that has been overvalued quite a bit this season. The Flyers are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! |
|||||||
02-18-19 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -10.5 | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisconsin -10.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the big number at home against the Fighting Illini. The betting public is all over Illinois as a double-digit dog and while it's not a guarantee by any means, I love going against the public when they are backing a big dog. It certainly looks good for Illinois to cover, as they have won 4 straight, including a win over Michigan State at home. You can take that win over the Spartans however you want, but I'm pretty confident that had a lot more do with how unfocused Michigan State was than anything. The other 3 wins during the winning streak are nothing to get overly excited about. Wisconsin already won by 12 at Illinois and what I love is we can bank on a max effort here from the Badgers, who have lost their last 2 with the most recent a hard fought loss at home to Michigan State. This is only the third time Wisconsin has lost back-to-back games this season. The first time they dropped two in a row they came out the next game and beat Penn State by 19 on the road. The other time saw them respond with a 10-point win at home against nationally ranked Michigan. Give me the Badgers -10.5! |
|||||||
02-17-19 | Arizona v. Colorado -4.5 | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Colorado -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Colorado as a 4.5-point favorite at home against Arizona. The Buffaloes come into this one arguably playing their best basketball of the season. Colorado has won and covered each of their last 4 and it's not like they have been beating up on bad teams. The 4-game win straight has come against Oregon, @ UCLA, @ USC and Arizona St. It's no secret that Arizona is way down this year. Wildcats have lost 6 straight and are just 5-7 in Pac-12 play. This team has zero confidence and nothing to play for right now, as their only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the Pac-12 Tournament for an automatic bid. Not only will Colorado be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Arizona, but the Wildcats are a program you always get up to play. I think the Buffaloes win here going away. Give me Colorado -4.5! |
|||||||
02-16-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -3.5 | Top | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* TENN/KENTUCKY SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Kentucky as a small home favorite. I get that the Vols are ranked No. 1, but I'm shocked that the public is all over Tennessee on the road in this one. I for one think the Vols are overrated right now and shockingly a Wildcats team that entered the season ranked No. 1 is undervalued despite the fact that they are 10-1 in their last 11. It just seems like whenever Kentucky is doubted, especially at home, they deliver in a big way. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! |
|||||||
02-16-19 | West Virginia v. Kansas -14 | 53-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas -14) I'll take my chances here with the Jayhawks covering the big number here at home against the Mountaineers. It's hard to believe that Kansas actually lost to this West Virginia team earlier this season, but that should work in our favor here, as it will keep the Jayhawks from looking past an inferior opponent. Things have really spiraled out of control for Bob Huggins team. It was already a rebuilding year and now they got some key guys out with injury and two other suspended. They just lost at home to Texas by 22 and prior to that by 31 at Texas Tech. That blowout loss to the Red Raiders was their 4th straight road loss by at least 17 points. Give me Kansas -14! |
|||||||
02-16-19 | Indiana v. Minnesota -3.5 | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. I just think Minnesota is hands down the better team in this one, yet they are showing value due to the fact that they have lost 4 straight. The thing is, 3 of the 4 losses have come on the road and the other was at home to Wisconsin. Indiana is 1-9 in their last 10 and have followed up that fluke win over Michigan State with back-to-back home losses to Iowa and Ohio State. Gophers are 12-2 at home and this is one they desperately have to have to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Give me Minnesota -3.5! |
|||||||
02-15-19 | Buffalo v. Toledo OVER 157.5 | Top | 88-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 157.5) I'll take my chances here with Buffalo and Toledo going OVER the mark set by the books. These two teams played at Buffalo back in early January and combined for 190 points in a 110-80 win for the Bulls. I just don't see a change in venue being enough for the Rockets to slow down this high-powered Buffalo offense, which is averaging 85.2 ppg and shooting 47% from the field in conference play. However, I could see Toledo keeping pace at home, as the Rockets are scoring 78.7 ppg at home. OVER is also a perfect 9-0 in the Bulls last 9 road games in the month of February. Give me the OVER 157.5! |
|||||||
02-13-19 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 137.5 | 61-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 137.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 137.5 in Wednesday's Big Ten clash between Minnesota and Nebraska. Gophers have lost 3 straight and the Cornhuskers have dropped 7 in a row, so both of these teams are going to be highly motivated for a win. I think that leads to a big defensive effort and a much lower-scoring game than the books are expecting. While these two combined for 163 points back in early December, a lot has changed since that game. Nebraska has lost one of their best players in Isaac Copeland and their offense has simply been non-existent of late. Cornhuskers are averaging 56.4 ppg on a mere 32% shooting over their last 5. They have no choice but to rely on their defense to win and they are only giving up 56.8 ppg at home. Minnesota is also a completely different offensive team on the road, as they average 72.6 ppg on the season, yet have only put up 63.4 ppg on 39% shooting away from home. Give me the UNDER 137.5! |
|||||||
02-13-19 | SMU v. Temple -4.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Temple -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Temple covering the 4.5-point spread at home against the Mustangs. I don’t know why the books keep giving this SMU team so much respect. The Mustangs are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games and the lone cover came with them as a double-digit underdog. In their last two games they lost outright as a home favorite to South Florida and UCF. They are now just 12-11 overall with a 4-7 mark in the AAC. Their only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the AAC Tournament, so that makes these final regular-season games pretty meaningless. I just don’t see them snapping out of their funk against a quality Temple team that will be extremely motivated to get a win after an ugly loss at Tulsa. In fact, I think that 18-point defeat to the Golden Hurricane is playing a big part in this favorable line we are getting here. I know the Owls are just 3-7-1 ATS at home this season, but they are 9-2 SU and there’s a good chance if they win this game they cover the 4.5. Mustangs are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs a team that simply has a winning record and have covered just once in their last 5 on the road. Give me Temple -4.5! |
|||||||
02-13-19 | Clemson -2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 64-65 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clemson -2) I'll take my chances here with Clemson as a small road favorite here against Miami. A lot of people wrote off this Tigers team after they started out 1-5 in ACC play, but what the failed to take notice of is that 4 of the 5 losses came on the road (all against good teams in Duke, Syracuse, FSU and NC State) and the other was at home to Virginia. Since that rough start they have won 4 straight and covered 5 in a row. Miami is 2-9 in ACC play and simply aren't very good. However, they are coming off a surprisingly close game at home to UNC, where they lost in overtime as a 15.5-point road dog. I think that's definitely playing into this line, as well as the fact that they have covered 3 in a row, but I don't see them winning this one. I actually think this is a brutal spot for the Hurricanes off that emotional loss to the Tar Heels. There will also be no overlooking Miami by Clemson, as they need to keep winning to keep their tournament hopes alive. Give me the Tigers -2! |
|||||||
02-12-19 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin UNDER 132 | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 132) I'll take my chances here with Michigan State and Wisconsin going UNDER the total of 132. These are two really good defensive teams and it's no secret that the Badgers love to slow things way down and really grind out a win. The Spartans had lost 3 straight before a dominant 79-55 win at home over Minnesota, where they held the Gophers to just 37% shooting. Tom Izzo really pushed his players after the 3-game losing streak and I think we see that same effort we saw against Minnesota in this one. As for the Badgers, they absolutely have to have this one if they want a shot at a Big Ten title. Give me the UNDER 132! |
|||||||
02-12-19 | Purdue v. Maryland | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland PK) I'll take my chances here with the Terps at a pick'em on their home floor. While Maryland is currently ranked in the Top 20, this is a team that I feel gets overlooked in a loaded Big Ten. They were a 9-point dog earlier this season at Purdue and loss by just 2-points (62-60). I really think they should be favored here, but because the Boilermakers are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8, we are getting big time value. Give me Maryland PK! |
|||||||
02-11-19 | Oklahoma v. Baylor UNDER 138 | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 138) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 clash between Oklahoma and Baylor. The Bears have seen the OVER cash in each of their last 3, but did manage just 63 points last time out against K-State and are dealing with some major injuries. They already lost Tristan Clark to a season-ending injury and may be without their next best player in Makai Mason, as well as King McClure. Both were held out of Saturday's game, which makes unlikely they will play just a couple days later. Baylor is going to have focus more on the defensive side of the ball. As for Oklahoma, they have really been struggling offensively and are coming off a game against Texas Tech where they managed just 54 points. I think both teams will struggle to reach 65. Give me the UNDER 138! |
|||||||
02-09-19 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (USC -4.5) I'll take my chances here with USC as a small home favorite against Colorado. I think we are seeing some great value here with the Trojans due to the outcomes of the last game for both teams. USC lost 77-70 as a 6-point home favorite to Utah, while the Buffaloes won 84-73 as a 6-point dog at UCLA. Perfect spot for a bad road team like Colorado to revert back to their losing ways and for USC to bounce back with a big time effort. Give me the Trojans -4.5! |
|||||||
02-09-19 | Auburn v. LSU -2.5 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (LSU -2.5) I'll take my chances here with LSU as a small home favorite. Auburn is a quality team and get a lot of respect from oddsmakers, but they have not played well on the road in SEC play. Auburn is 1-3 away from home in the conference and the lone win was against Texas A&M, who is 1-8 in league play. LSU on the other hand is a team that I think has been flying under the radar for quite a while now. They are 11-1 at home this season and a dominant 10-1 ATS last 11 with a line of +3 to -3. Give me LSU -2.5! |
|||||||
02-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis +4.5 | 69-64 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Memphis +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a home dog against the Bearcats. I think the books have the wrong team favored in this game. Memphis is getting no love right now because of their recent ATS run. The Tigers are 2-6 ATS last 8 games. On top of that, Cincinnati is way overvalued right now due to them riding a 7 game winning streak. The big key here is just how good Memphis is at home. The Tigers only home loss this season is to Tennessee and they played the Vols tough. Give me Memphis +4.5! |
|||||||
02-06-19 | Utah v. USC -5.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (USC -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Trojans laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Utes. This has really been a different team in Pac-12 play, as they have gotten some key guys back from injury. I just don’t think it’s asking a lot for them to cover this number. USC is a perfect 5-0 at home in Pac-12 play and 4 of the 5 wins have come by 9 or more, including a 23-point win over Arizona and a 13-point victory against UCLA. Utah comes in with a winning record in Pac-12 play at 5-4, but 4 of their 5 conference wins have come against teams who currently have a losing record in the conference. They also come in having just lost back-to-back games at home to the likes of Oregon and Oregon State. I just don’t think they will be able to keep this thing close. Both of these teams are very efficient offensive teams, as both come in shooting around 47% from the field. Where USC has the big advantage is on defense. The Trojans are only giving up 65.4 ppg and 38% shooting at home and have carried over that stingy defense at home into conference play. Utah on the other hand is allowing opponents to score 78 ppg and shooting 49% from the field away from home. USC also should have the edge here in both rebounding and turnovers, which I believe will be more than enough to create the separation needed for the cover. Utah is also a mere 4-11 ATS last 15 vs a team with a winning record and the favorite has covered 7 of the last 9 in the series. Give me the Trojans -5.5! |
|||||||
02-06-19 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 56-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH (Wisconsin -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers laying such a short number on the road against the Gophers. Wisconsin comes in red-hot having won and covered each of their last 5. They certainly won't be looking past this game against Minnesota, as the Gophers beat them on their home floor earlier in conference play. Badgers couldn't have played much worse early in that game, as they had just 14 points at the half. Wisconsin is 35-19 ATS last 54 when revenging a home loss. It's also worth noting that road favorites who returned all 5 starters are 37-5 (88%) against the money line when revenging a home loss. While we are laying the points on the spread, this is basically a pick'em at this number, so I feel there's a ton of value with that ML trend. Give me the Badgers -2.5! |
|||||||
02-05-19 | Michigan v. Rutgers +10 | 77-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers +10) I'll take my chances here with Rutgers covering as a double-digit home dog against the Wolverines. Michigan just lost by 15 at Iowa and everyone is going to be on them to bounce back. No question that has this line inflated. I fully expect the Wolverines to find a way to win, but I'm also confident that Rutgers will be able to keep it close enough to cover. Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and Michigan is just 2-5 ATS last 7 off a game where they failed to cover. Give me Rutgers +10! |
|||||||
02-05-19 | St. John's +7 v. Marquette | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (St. John's +7) I'll take my chances here with the Red Storm getting 7-points at Marquette. I think this is the perfect time to jump on St. John's, who are coming off an ugly 30-point loss at Duke. Couldn't have gone much worse, as they shot 34% from the field and allowed the Blue Devils to shoot 56%. Marquette just won at Butler in similar style, as they shot 57% and held the Bulldogs to 33%. All of this has the Golden Eagles way-overvalued. I not only think St John's keeps it close, but I give them a legit shot at winning this one outright. Give me the Red Storm +7! |
|||||||
02-04-19 | Louisville +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville +5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cardinals at +5. I not only think Louisville covers this number on the road, but I like them to win here outright. Virginia Tech comes in off that crazy 47-24 win at NC State. While they get all the credit for holding the Wolfpack to 24 points, part of that was NC State settling for way too many 3-pointers (more than half their field goal attempts) and a lot of bad luck. There were countless shots by NC State that went in and out of the basket. What gets overlooked in the win for the Hokies is how bad their offense was in the first game since losing star senior point guard Justin Robinson. I think Virginia Tech is in a lot of trouble with him out. Give me the Cardinals +5! |
|||||||
02-02-19 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +3 | Top | 65-56 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Pittsburgh +3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Panthers as a home dog in a game I think they win pretty easily. The reason we are getting such great value with Pitt is the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight. Syracuse also won and covered as a 8-point favorite in a meeting between these two on Jan. 19th. The 4-game losing streak looks bad on paper, but 3 of the 4 were on the road and the only game at home during the losing streak was Duke. Prior to losing at home to the Blue Devils, Pitt had beat FSU by 13 and upset Louisville. Syracuse just barely won at BC and were rolled by 22 at Va Tech in their previous road game. Doesn't help the Orange that this is their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Panthers +3! |
|||||||
02-02-19 | Texas Tech v. Kansas -4 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas -4) I'l take my chances here with the Jayhawks getting right at home in a big showdown with nationally ranked Texas Tech. Kansas doesn't lose often, but we catch them coming into this game off back-to-back losses, as they followed up a 8-point loss at Kentucky with a 10-point loss at Texas a few days later. Those are two really good teams. Jayhawks are going to lay it all on the line in this one and they are 11-0 at home. Texas Tech has a 17-4 record, but they are just 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games. Give me the Jayhawks -4! |
|||||||
02-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Boston College -2 | 79-73 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS MASSACRE (Boston College -2) I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em on their home court against the Irish. For starters, Notre Dame is 1-5 away from home this season and while they did beat BC earlier this season, that was at home. That's also the only conference game the Irish have won all season and it was by a mere 3-points. BC covered that game and are 4-1 ATS last 5. They just played Syracuse really tough at home in their last game and their previous home game they beat FSU by 5 as a 7-point dog. Eagles get their revenge and I wouldn't be shocked if they won going away. Give me Boston College -2! |
|||||||
02-01-19 | Maryland v. Wisconsin UNDER 131 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Under 131) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 131 in Friday's Big Ten action between Maryland and Wisconsin. These two teams already played once this season in a defensive battle, as the Terps squeaked out a 64-60 win at home back on Jan 14th. Both teams shot under 39% from the field. I don't see any reason to expect anything different. Maryland is allowing 62.2 ppg on the road and will be motivated to get a big signature win after losing 2 of their last 3. Wisconsin only gives up 61.7 ppg at home and will be out for revenge. Give me the UNDER 131! |
|||||||
01-31-19 | Temple +10 v. Houston | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Temple +10) I'll take my chances here with the Owls as a double-digit dog at Houston. The Cougars are 20-1 and ranked No. 13 in the country, which has them way overvalued. Houston's lone loss came on the road against Temple. While winning on the road against the Cougars will be a much bigger challenge, you have to like the Owls chances of keeping this close. Give me the Owls +10 |
|||||||
01-30-19 | St. John's v. Creighton -4 | 83-67 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Creighton -4) I'll take my chances here with the Bluejays getting their revenge at home against the Red Storm. Creighton has responded in a big way after their 1-4 start to Big East play. After losing 4 straight, the Bluejays went on the road and upset Georgetown 91-87 and then rolled Butler 75-61 at home. Just so happens the last team they lost to was St John's. That's a big motivator here for Creighton and the Red Storm aren't exactly playing their best basketball right now. St. John's is just 1-4 SU in their last 5. Creighton is 34-21 ATS last 55 as a favorite and 29-14 ATS last 43 at home when revenging a same season loss. Give me the Bluejays -4! |
|||||||
01-30-19 | Marquette v. Butler -2.5 | 76-58 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Butler -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Butler Bulldogs -2.5 at home against the No. 10 ranked Marquette Golden Eagles. We have an unranked Butler team that has lost two straight and are just 3-5 in Big East play laying points against a Marquette team that has won 7 straight, are 7-1 in Big East play and ranked inside the Top 10 in the country. Any time I see an unranked team laying points against a ranked opponent, I’m almost always going to play the favorite, especially when everything points to the other side. Not to take take anything away from Marquette, who is a solid team and have a really special player in Markus Howard, but the Golden Eagles are pretty fortunate to be sitting where they are in Big East play. Marquette’s largest margin of victory in their last 6 games is 11-points with 4 of the 6 games decided by 5-points or less. Butler is 3-5 in the Big East, but 4 of the 5 losses are by 8-points or less, including back-to-back 1-point losses at Seton Hall and Xavier. This is a better team than people realize and a big reason why the books have them favored. Butler is also very tough to beat at Hinkle Fieldhouse, where they are 9-2. It’s also worth pointing out that in Marquette’s 18-3 start, they are a perfect 14-0 at home compared to just 4-3 on the road. They have gone 3-0 in road games in the Big East, but needed overtime to win at Creighton, won by just 3 at Georgetown and by 5 at Xavier. The most recent game they played was at the Musketeers and this will mark the first time this season they have played back-to-back on the road. Butler has won 5 straight in the series and are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Give me the Bulldogs -2.5! |
|||||||
01-29-19 | Wisconsin +3 v. Nebraska | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Wisconsin +3) I'll take my chances here with the Badgers as a road dog. I'm shocked that Wisconsin is getting points in this contest. The Badgers are rolling on a 3-game winning streak, while the Cornhuskers have lost 3 straight and just fell at home to an Ohio State team that was playing some of their worst basketball going into the matchup. In the loss to the Buckeyes, Nebraska lost second leading scorer Isaac Copeland for the season and I just think that's too big a loss for this team to overcome. Give me Wisconsin +3! |
|||||||
01-29-19 | Virginia v. NC State +7.5 | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (NC State +7.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack covering as a decently priced home dog against the Cavaliers. Virginia comes in having covered 10 straight and 13 of their last 14 overall. The books are going to start jacking up their lines and I think we are seeing exactly that in this game. NC State is 16-4 and 12-1 on their home floor. They are more than capable of not only covering, but leaving this game with a win. Give me the Wolfpack +7.5! |
|||||||
01-27-19 | UCF v. Memphis -1.5 | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Memphis -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis at home against the Knights. This is just too good a price to pass up on the Tigers at home. Memphis is 10-1 at home this season and the only loss came to Tennessee, who is currently the No. 1 team in the country. Had the Tigers not lost last time out at Temple, this line would be at least a few points higher. Either way UCF is getting way too much respect. Take Memphis -1.5! |
|||||||
01-26-19 | Pittsburgh +11 v. Louisville | 51-66 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pittsburgh +11) I'll take my chances here with the Panthers as a double-digit dog at Louisville. The Cardinals come in having won 4 straight and I think they are way overvalued right now. These two teams already played once this season and Pitt won 89-86 at home as a 3-point dog. I would expect Louisville to win the rematch on their home floor, but there's definitely no guarantee of that. Plus, all we need is for the Panthers to just keep it respectable. Give me Pitt +11! |
|||||||
01-26-19 | Kansas State -4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 53-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with Kansas State as a small road favorite against Texas A&M. The Wildcats come in playing their best basketball of the season. Kansas State has won 5 straight and covered each of their last 4. That includes road wins at Iowa State as a 8.5-point dog and a road win at Oklahoma as a 5 point dog. While the Wildcats are surging, Texas A&m comes in having lost 3 straight and 6 of their last 7. In their last two games at home they have lost by 23 to Missouri and by 19 to Auburn. Give me Kansas State -4! |
|||||||
01-24-19 | Washington v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 61-56 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Oregon -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a small home favorite against the Huskies. Washington comes in having won 7 straight and are off to a perfect 5-0 start in the Pac-12. Oregon is a team that people have written off after they lost Bol Bol, but there's a lot of talent still on this team and they recently got back one of their better players in Wooten. Not to mention how difficult it is to win at Oregon. Huskies are 2-0 on the road in Pac-12 play, but those two wins came against Utah and Colorado, who are both bottom half of the league. Give me the Ducks -2.5! |
|||||||
01-24-19 | Michigan State v. Iowa +5.5 | 82-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa +5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a home dog against the Spartans. Michigan State is sitting at No. 6 and are a perfect 8-0 in Big Ten play. No doubt this line is shaded their way, which I believe has created big time value with Iowa. The Hawkeyes are playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they come in having won 5 straight. These two played in early December with Michigan State winning by a final of 90-68. It was a much closer game than the final score would indicate and the biggest thing here is the Hawkeyes are extremely tough to beat on their home floor. I actually like Iowa to pull off the upset, but I'll gladly take the points as some added insurance. Give me the Hawkeyes +5.5! |
|||||||
01-23-19 | Purdue v. Ohio State +1.5 | 79-67 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Ohio St +1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Buckeyes as a home dog. I just think we are getting some really good value here with Ohio State in what has to feel like a must-win game. The Buckeyes were sitting pretty at 14-1 and 2-0 in the Big Ten when they started back up conference play in January, but a home loss to Michigan State, back-to-back road setbacks at Rutgers and Iowa, and another home defeat to Maryland has Ohio State sitting at 2-4 in the Big Ten. Add in the fact that their next two games are on the road and this probably is a game they need to have if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. The good news is that Purdue is a team I think they can handle, especially at home. The Boilermakers have arguably the best player in the conference in Carsen Edwards, but definitely not a team that I feel should be a road favorite against a quality team like Ohio State. Offense has been a bit of a problem for Ohio State of late, but Purdue is not that great of a defensive team. The Boilermakers are giving up 75.6 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 48% from the field on the road this season. Ohio State on the other hand is a very good defensive team. The Buckeyes are only giving up 65.2 ppg at home and Purdue’s offense is not near the same on the road. Boilermakers average 78.2 ppg overall, but just 68 ppg on the road. They are also shooting just 39% from the field, well below their season average of 46%. It’s also worth noting that Ohio State’s most recent loss to Maryland at home came by a final of 75-61. The Buckeyes are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Underdog is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Give me Ohio State +1.5! |
|||||||
01-23-19 | Georgia v. LSU -11.5 | Top | 82-92 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ATS BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH (LSU -11.5) I got no problem laying the big number with LSU at home against the Bulldogs. The Tigers are 4-0 in SEC play (covered all 4) and it's time to start taking them seriously. They just whooped South Carolina t home by 22 points. Based on what I have seen from Georgia, they got no shot of keeping this close if the Tigers show up to play. The Bulldogs have played 2 conference road games and lost by 15 at Auburn and by 46 at Tennessee. They also have a 10-point loss at home to Florida and a 20-point loss at home to Kentucky. Key here is I think LSU is still playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just got back into the Top 25, something they accomplished earlier this season, but poor play had them back out of the rankings quickly. They aren't getting big heads the second time around. Tigers are also out for revenge. No one on the roster has a win over Georgia, who swept last year's series. That should be more than enough reason for the Tigers to show up. Give me LSU -11.5! |
|||||||
01-22-19 | Duke v. Pittsburgh +13.5 | 79-64 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Pittsburgh +13.5) I'll take my chances here with Pittsburgh covering as a double-digit home dog to Duke. The Panthers are one of the most improved teams in the league and a big reason for that is first year head caoch Jeff Capel, who got the job based on the work he did as an assistant under Coack K at Duke. His players are going to play their hearts out for him in this game. Blue Devils are also primed for a letdown off that huge win at home against Virginia. This is also their first road game without starting point guard Tre Jones. Give me Pittsburgh +13.5! |
|||||||
01-22-19 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -113 | 45-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Kansas St -113) I'll take my chances with Kansas State securing a win at home against the Red Raiders. Even though Texas Tech comes in having lost their last 2, they are still getting a ton of love after that 15-1 start. I just think the Wildcats are playing their best basketball and this just too good a price to pass up on a team that most thought was going to contend for a Big 12 title. The defense for K-State has been outstanding during their 4-game winning streak and I just see them pulling this one out. Give me the Wildcats -113! |
|||||||
01-21-19 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -4 | 82-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (N Carolina -4) I just can't pass up the Tar Heels as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Hokies. Virginia Tech is getting a ton of love from the books due to their impressive start to the season, but they come in having failed to cover 4 straight. They are 4-1 in ACC play, but in their only two conference road games they have lost by 22 at Virginia and snuck out a 3-point win at Georgia Tech as a 7-point favorite. Hokies shot poorly in both road games. As for UNC, I somehow think they are flying under the radar right now. I think Duke is getting so much of the headlines that people are sleeping on this team and I think they make a statement against Virginia Tech. Give me the Tar Heels -4! |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Oregon State +4.5 v. Arizona | 71-82 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PRIME-TIME NO-BRAINER (Oregon St +4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Beavers as a small road dog against the Wildcats. I'm just not a fan of Arizona this year, but there's always a premium on the Wildcats, especially at home. I actually like Oregon State to win this game outright. Beavers didn't play their best and still only lost by 3 at Arizona State last time out. Arizona just lost at home to Oregon and we saw them lose at home to Baylor not that long ago. Give me the Beavers +4.5! |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Louisville v. Georgia Tech +5 | 79-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Ga Tech +5) I'll take my chances here with Georgia Tech as a home dog, as I think the Yellow Jackets are going to win this game outright. Louisville had that big win at UNC and then did the tough thing of not suffering a letdown with a win at home over BC. I think they struggle to bring that same intensity on the road against a Georgia Tech team that has been playing much better of late. Yellow Jackets had covered 3 straight before just missing out on a cover in a 12-point loss as a 9-point dog at Clemson. Give me Georgia Tech +5! |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Kentucky v. Auburn -4 | 82-80 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* KENTUCKY/AUBURN BIG MONEY MASSACRE (Auburn -4) I'll take my chances here with Auburn covering the small number at home against the Wildcats. The Tigers are a beast at home, where they are 9-0 this season. Auburn is averaging 91.2 ppg and shooting 48% as a team at home this season. Kentucky will struggle to keep pace, as they have not brought the same intensity on defense away from home. Not to mention the atmosphere here will be electric. Give me Auburn -4! |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Alabama +14 v. Tennessee | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Alabama +14) I'll take my chances here with Alabama covering this massive spread at Tennessee. The Volunteers are really good, but this is too many points against a quality opponent. It's simply an inflated number because Tennessee has looked so good and come in having covered 5 straight. I don't think Alabama has enough to pull off the upset, but I think it's a lot closer than expected. Give me the Crimson Tide +14! |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss -7 | 67-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss -7) I'll take my chances here with Ole Miss laying it on the Razorbacks at home. The Rebels have been a surprise team, as no one thought they would be 13-3. However, some of the buzz around this team was lost in their last game, which saw them get handled at home by LSU. It happens. I love what Kermit Davis is doing here and this is not a good Arkansas team. Give me the Rebels -7! |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -3 | 75-61 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB FRIDAY NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Ohio State -3) I'll take my chances here with Ohio State bringing home a win and cover here against the Terps. I think this line is a combination of Maryland being overvalued after their 6-1 start to Big Ten play and the Buckeyes being undervalued right now after losing their last 3. Ohio State is just 2-3 in league play and this is one they have to have. The big thing to keep in mind with the Buckeyes slow start in Big Ten play, they have only had two home games and one of those was against Michigan State. Give me the Buckeyes -3! |
|||||||
01-17-19 | Oregon State v. Arizona State -4.5 | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Arizona State -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils winning and covering the small number here at home against Oregon State. There's not a lot of room for error for these Pac-12 teams in terms of making the NCAA Tournament. Even with non-conference wins over Kansas and Mississippi State, a lackluster showing in Pac-12 play will likely keep them out. Coming off an ugly loss at Stanford this feels like a must-win for Bobby Hurley's team and I fully expect them to come through. Give me Arizona State -4.5! |
|||||||
01-17-19 | Stanford v. Washington -9.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Washington -9.5) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies winning by at least 10 at home against the Cardinal. Washington is one of the top teams in the Pac-12, which is way down this year. Huskies are a perfect 3-0 in Pac-12 play and 2 of the first 3 have been on the road. They won by 18 in that lone home game against Washington State. They also won by 16 as a mere 2-point favorite at Utah and by 7 as a 2.5-point dog at Colorado. Stanford comes in off a home win over ASU, but the Cardinal are not good. Stanford is just 2-7 in road games. They have played 2 on the road in the Pac-12 and lost by 22 at UCLA and by 11 at USC. Washington is a perfect 8-0 at home and I think there's some big motivation here after getting swept by Stanford in the two games last year. Give me the Huskies -9.5! |
|||||||
01-17-19 | Oregon +5 v. Arizona | 59-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Oregon +5) I'll take my chances here with Oregon keeping this closer than expected and cashing in a cover here as a small road dog. I actually think there's a decent chance the Ducks win this outright. A lot of people wrote off Oregon after they lost big man Boi Bol, but there is still a ton of talent on this roster and one guy that is really making a difference right now is 5-star true freshman Louis King, who is just now rounding into form after missing time early with a knee injury. The other thing is the Ducks can get after you defensively and that's what makes them a dangerous road team. Give me Oregon +5! |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Georgia Tech +9 v. Clemson | 60-72 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia Tech +9) I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets at this price. Not much was expected of Georgia Tech and we can see how undervalued they have been with their 12-4 ATS mark and 5-0 ATS record on the road. Clemson on the other hand was expected to be stronger and they are 4-12 ATS overall with a 2-7 ATS mark at home. I would give the edge to the Tigers in winning the game, but I don't think it's out of the question that the Yellow Jackets pull off the upset. I mean we just saw Georgia Tech win 73-59 at Syracuse. The same Orange team that beat Clemson at home 61-53. GIve me the Yellow Jackets +9! |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Iowa v. Penn State -1 | 89-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS INSIDER (Penn St -1) I'll take my chances here with Penn State. Iowa is No. 23 and come in having won 3 straight, including home wins over ranked Nebraska and Ohio State teams, as well as a road win at Northwestern. Penn State on the other hand has lost 4 straight and are winless at 0-6 in Big Ten Play. I think the books could have made Iowa a 1-point favorite and they would have still got all kinds of action on the Hawkeyes, but making them a dog is begging the public to take them. That tells me that Penn State is without a doubt the right side in this one. A closer look and you can start to see why. While Iowa won at Northwestern in their last road game, this is a team that has really struggled in true road games of late. That was just the 5th win in a true road game since the start of the 2016-17 season for Iowa. Their only other true road games this season were a 16-point loss at Purdue and a 22-point loss at Michigan State. They were 1-10 in true road games last year. I think you also have to add in just how much this game means to Penn State. While the damage has probably already been done, this has to feel like a must-win for the Nittany Lions. Penn State is also not as bad as their record, especially in conference. 3 of their losses in the Big Ten are by 6 points or less. This is also a team that has had to face Maryland, Alabama, Michigan and Nebraska all on the road. They also have had to host two of the better teams in the league in Wisconsin and Michigan State. This is still that same team that upset Virginia Tech at home in the ACC/Big Ten challenge and that’s the only loss the Hokies have suffered, as they enter Tuesday 14-1 and No. 9 in the country. Iowa doesn’t just struggle to win on the road, they are a mere 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games overall and the home teams is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Give me Penn State -1 |
|||||||
01-15-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss -4 | 83-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
40* VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS MASSACRE (Ole Miss -4) I'll take my chances here with Ole Miss laying a short number at home against LSU. Kermit Davis is doing big things with this Rebels team and I just think they are still being undervalued. All they have done is win on the road at Vandy by 10, put it on Auburn by 15 at home and then go back on the road and take down in-state rival Mississippi State. LSU is a good team, but I think this is a tough spot with it being their second straight on the road and the Rebels a perfect 7-0 at home. Give me Ole Miss -4! |
|||||||
01-15-19 | Florida v. Mississippi State -4.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Miss St -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs in what has to feel like a must-win after starting out 0-2 in SEC play and the next two coming on the road against Vandy and Kentucky. Gators are simply not as good as we thought they would be and are coming off a tough loss at home to Tennessee, where they couldn't hold on to a lead late. Mississippi State was 9-0 at home before losing to Ole Miss, so chances are they return to form at the Humphrey Coliseum. Give me the Bulldogs -4.5! |
|||||||
01-14-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3 | 73-69 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Oklahoma St -3) I'll take my chances here with Oklahoma State as a small home favorite against Baylor. I think we are seeing some value here with the Cowboys because of the fact that they just recently went on a streak where they failed to cover 8 straight. However, they have covered their last 2, beating Texas at home as a 3.5-point dog and winning as a 7-point dog at West Virginia. I'm way down on Baylor this season and they are lucky they aren't 0-3. Tough spot as well for the Bears off a crushing home loss to Kansas on Saturday. Give me the Cowboys -3! |