Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-08-22 | Marquette +7 v. Connecticut | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Marquette/U Conn 6:30: Golden Eagles gelled with a blend of portal transfers and jucos. HC Smart is doing a solid job playing to their strengths; as a result, they're on a 9-0 ATS run. They're looking to avenge the December 21st loss at home. That was during a rough 4 game stretch from Dec 11th through January 1st. Marquette has gotten it together since and should continue to be competitive here catching U Conn on an 0-3 ATS / 1-3 SU slide. With Marquette 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and the road team 7-2 ATS in this series, Marquette the call. |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Kansas/Texas 9:00: Two coaching heavyweights go at it tonight: Self vs Beard. We'll give the edge to Bill Self's Jayhawks which are a bit ahead of the curve at this time of season. Beard has shaped his team into the fierce defensive stop unit he was accustomed to doing while at Texas Tech. Only problem is that Longhorns foul a bit too much - 206th nationally sending opposition to free throw line. Consequently, Kansas should be in an attacking mode to the rim tonight. Texas is at its best when they can control pace of game and choke teams out with stifling defensive pressure; after all, they're 17-0 SU when holding opponents to 60 points or less. Kansas has a Top 20 offense. Agbaji, Braun and Wilson starting to find a nice rhythm this time of year and difficult to contain for 40 minutes. On the other hand, Kansas defense looked good the last two games and I don't see a letdown tonight. Kansas protecting the ball well and have good veteran floor leadership. Texas offense, 68.2 PPG - 256th nationally, can be painfully stagnant at times. Jayhawks 14-6 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. We'll grab the Jayhawks here. |
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02-06-22 | Houston -6 v. Cincinnati | 80-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Houston/Cincinnati 6:00: Bearcats remain a decent defensive team under HC Miller but lack rhythm offensively, especially down stretch of close, competitive games. Bearcats just 3-9 ATS at home vs teams with a winning % above .600. Houston Cougars well balanced under HC Sampson. They'll lock you down (#1 defense in FG%) and have good flow to their offense despite season ending injuries to their stars Sasser and Mark. Houston has covered 8 of last 9 in this series and I'm not jumping off board here. Cougars 18-7 ATS on Sundays, and 8-3 ATS vs teams with a home winning % above.600. Houston the call. |
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02-06-22 | Providence -6.5 v. Georgetown | 71-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Providence/Georgetown Noon: These two teams played a few weeks ago and Georgetown had their full arsenal as sharp shooters Carey and Rice combined for 10 of 16 from 3-point range while Mohammed and Harris chipped in 12 and 8, respectively. And they had the Friars trying to get their legs back after an extended layoff. The Hoyas lost as usual but barely snuck inside the generous number. So, the Hoyas are not devoid of talent. Devoid of coaching - Ewing - yes! They're in the bottom of the nation defensively, as exhibited Thursday at home vs mediocre St. John's which lit them up for 90 points! Hoyas 9-21 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Well coached Friars, 6-1 ATS on road, should stay hot as overachievers and sweep the season series. |
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02-05-22 | SMU +2 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-72 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
SMU/Wichita State 6:00: Wichita State has maintained a solid defense under Isaac Brown but no longer a functional offensive team like they had with Gregg Marshall. There are no playmakers down the stretch to go to and the offense is sometimes painful to watch vs good competition. With a FG% under 40%, the Shockers will have trouble late in this game sealing the deal. SMU is well guided under Jankovich who has four double digit scorers including the Weathers' brothers, Bandoumel and Davis. Road team has the edge in this series and the dog is 4-0-1. Shockers just 5-13 ATS as road chalk. With SMU covering 5 of their last 6 on the road, we'll grab the bucket with the Mustangs. |
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02-05-22 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. NC State | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
ND/NC State 3:00: Notre Dame starting to heat up on an 8-2 ATS run. They came off a devastating loss to Duke and went into Miami to pull the upset Wednesday. This veteran Irish team should maintain focus and follow up strong at NC State to complete the season sweep; after all, NC State's front line is thin and they're struggling defensively. ND maintains their offensive consistency on the road and should deliver. |
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02-05-22 | East Carolina v. Tulane -7.5 | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
East Carolina/Tulane 2:00: After Mike Dunleavy nearly killed the Tulane basketball program, Ron Hunter is bringing it back to respectability this season. Tulane has a chance to get to .500 with a win here and we'll grab them. The Green Wave is coming off a competitive loss to Top 10 ranked Houston. They're looking to avenge January 5th 88-80 OT loss at ECU. The Pirates play well at home but a money burning 9-21 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Pirates on the road, average a pitiful 59 PPG but give up 77 PPG. Roll with the Green Wave! |
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02-05-22 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +7.5 | 81-57 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Tennessee/South Carolina 1:00: Tennessee coming off a shootout win at home vs TX A&M now goes to South Carolina to scrum in out with the more methodical Gamecocks. Volunteers worked the Gamecocks in Tennessee on January 11th 66-46. SC couldn't stop Garrison Brooks and the Volunteers which out-boarded SC 41-24. That didn't settle well with the fury SC HC Frank Martin. Look for a much more competitive game here. Gamecocks 8-3 ATS at home and much better shooters in their building. Tennessee not the prolific scoring team on the road that they are at home; as a matter of fact, Vol's score 67 PPG on the road and a shaky 28% from 3 point range. Home team 5-0 SU in this series. Look for Gamecocks to exact revenge here. |
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02-04-22 | Creighton +6.5 v. Seton Hall | 55-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Creighton/Seton Hall 7:00: Creighton coming off a big win at U Conn to break a two-game slide. We'll look for the Blue Jays to follow up with a solid outing here. Seton Hall not playing their best ball now on a 3-7 ATS slide. Pirates are coming off a win at Georgetown but that's not a ringing endorsement knowing that the Hoyas are the bottom feeder of the Big East. Much to the chagrin of HC McDermott, the Blue Jays don't have the 3 point marksmanship they're accustomed to having in their history; however, Hawkins led the Blue Jays to 41% from trey land on Tuesday. Seton Hall struggling to close out games now and vulnerable here. Creighton's covered 4 straight in this series and they're 6-2 ATS vs teams with a winning % above .600. The young Blue Jays have grown up fast and have some good road wins this season. We'll look for them to cover here. |
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02-04-22 | Miami-OH v. Akron -7 | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami Oh/Akron 6:30: Akron's covered 4 of the last 5 in this series. They're coming off a competitive loss at Toledo - class of the MAC. Akron was stone cold from 3 point land at Toledo shooting 28%. Zips back on their home floor hit 37% at Rhodes Arena. Miami OH has been soft on the defensive end as a traveler allowing 78 PPG and 39% from 3 point land. And Miami Ohio's F Delonte Brown sprained his ankle a minute into Tuesday's game at home vs Kent State. Chances are he'll be limited here if he does go. Miami OH on a 1-11 slide and 3-12-1 ATS off a loss is live bait for the Zips tonight. |
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02-03-22 | St. John's v. Georgetown +5.5 | 90-77 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
St. John's/Georgetown 6:00: Georgetown has lost nine straight games. They're hanging in games but failing to close. St. John's has similar issues but did beat the Hoyas handily January 16th at MSG. However, the Hoyas didn't have their best shooter - Donald Carey in that one. Carey is back in the fold and the struggling Hoyas overdue to be ultra-competitive; after all, they do have talent. Hoyas are 10-3 ATS at home vs a team with a losing road record. The underachieving Red Storm are on a money burning 5-12 ATS slide and do not play well on Thursdays (5-17 ATS). With the home team 14-6-1 ATS in this series, we'll look for the vengeful Hoyas to deliver tonight. |
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02-02-22 | Georgia Tech +10.5 v. Virginia Tech | 66-81 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech 9:00: Georgia Tech gives the Hokies trouble. They've covered 4 straight in this series including an outright 69-53 at Virginia Tech. GT HC Pastner doesn't have a whole lot of talent but makes the best of it. And pretty good spot for the Engineers. They're coming off a home loss to Miami. GT is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games following 3+ home games. They've covered 8 of their last 10 on the road and a sweet 40-17-1 ATS on Wednesday. VT finally got on the winning track with a satisfying win at Florida State. With the road team at 5-2 ATS and the dog at 6-2 ATS in this series, my money is on Georgia Tech. |
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02-01-22 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +7.5 | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall/Georgetown 8:30: Two struggling Big East teams trying to get in the win column. Seton Hall has fallen on hard times lately going 3-6 SU/2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Just bad shooting slump. As for Georgetown, they've lost 8 straight games but did cover 3 of their last 4. Their defense is not good but do have some dangerous 3 point shooters with Carey and Haris. And go-to-guy Mohammed can score from all points of floor. With the home team in this series at 8-2 ATS, we'll look for Georgetown to hang around and deliver. |
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02-01-22 | Texas A&M +11.5 v. Tennessee | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
TX A&M/Tennessee 7:00: Aggies getting good value here. Sure, they've lost 4 straight but went 3-1 ATS in the process. Buzz Williams' bunch has comparable skill to Tennessee and actually do well at this venue where they've won and covered 3 of the last 4. A&M shot poorly at home vs SC but played well in their last 2 conference road tilts - taking Arkansas to OT and easily covering at LSU. With the road team at 5-1 ATS in this series, we'll grab the double digits with A&M. |
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02-01-22 | Michigan State -4 v. Maryland | 65-63 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Maryland 7:00: Michigan State on the surge covering 3 straight after an impressive blowout of intra-state rival Michigan. They've covered 6 straight road games. They're now set on atoning for last year's losing efforts at MD and in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The Spartans are getting good work off their bench which is creating a deep and dangerous team for Izzo. MD still can't garner momentum under interim HC Manning. They're coming off a home loss to Indiana. We'll look for Michigan State to deliver. |
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02-01-22 | Boston College v. Virginia -8.5 | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston College/Virginia 6:00: Boston College occasionally shows flashes of success; for example, they're coming off a good win at home vs Pittsburgh on Sunday. But they haven't shown that sustainability in their follow up game going 5-13 ATS off those SU wins. And they're now going on the road against a pissed off Virginia team coming off a close loss to ND on Saturday. BC hasn't had success at this venue, and this is the lowest amount of points Virginia will be laying in this series since 2013. Cavaliers very strong off losses recently at 5-0 ATS. Virginia struggles from perimeter but should find a way to the basket with BC giving up a generous 41% from the field (311th nationally). Virgina the call. |
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01-29-22 | Houston -6.5 v. UCF | 63-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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01-29-22 | Kansas State -1 v. Ole Miss | 56-67 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
analysis to follow.... |
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01-29-22 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 68-86 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma/Auburn 2:00: Auburn may be #1 but too many points to give to the dangerous Sooners. Oklahoma, led by the brilliant mind of Porter Moser, in a good spot to be extremely competitive here. The Sooners are coming off a strong win at West Virginia, which is a tough venue to play at. The Sooners have already knocked off 3 Top 15 teams this season, including two SEC opponents Arkansas and Florida; as a matter of fact, Oklahoma is now a perfect 9-0 SU vs the SEC. Auburn, declared #1 before Missouri game, got overconfident and almost lost on Tuesday at lightweight Missouri as a 12' point favorite. Top player Jabari Smith went a miserable 2 of 15 recording just 5 points in the narrow win. Moser's vaunted defense will find a way to keep Smith and company from running away with this one. Oklahoma a sweet 16-5 ATS as a dog should give Auburn a run for the money here. |
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01-28-22 | Ohio +3.5 v. Buffalo | 74-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Ohio/Buffalo 7:00: Away team in this series is 4-1 ATS and we're on Ohio U. Bobcats were on a nice roll until they ran into the class of the MAC last Friday vs Toledo. I jumped all over Toledo and the "over" on that in our parlay winner. Tonight, I'm getting back on Ohio U. Bobcats a better team here with a heating up Sears who is the facilitator of the offense. When he's on Vander Plas and Carter play so much better. Bobcats have covered 10 of their last 14 road games while Bulls 0-4 ATS at home vs a road team with a winning road % above .600. Take Ohio U and the points |
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01-27-22 | Purdue v. Iowa +2.5 | 83-73 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Purdue/Iowa 9:00: Home team in this series is 16-6 ATS. Iowa lost earlier this season (Dec 3rd) in a competitive 77-70 loss as a 14' dog. We'll look for the Hawkeyes, which are 11-1 SU at home, to deliver tonight. Purdue is loaded with talent, including leading scorer Jaden Ivey who is struggling with a hip pointer, and big men Edey and Williams. But Iowa has the athletes to compete and McCaffery can coach them up in a revenge mode. Iowa gets the offense rolling on this floor and should deliver. Purdue has had trouble covering on the road (1-4 ATS) especially vs home teams with a home winning % above .600 at 1-4 ATS. We'll grab the points at home with Iowa. |
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01-27-22 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +7 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
OSU/Minnesota 8:00: Gophers delivered the goods Saturday against Rutgers despite playing without three key starters. Loewe, Thompson, and Payton Willis who dropped 32 points including eight 3 pointers filled the void. Tonight, we're staying with the Golden Gophers at home where they've covered 3 of the last 4 vs the Buckeyes. Buckeyes are coming off a blowout of non-conference lightweight IUPUI but haven't played in 11 days (Covid postponements). Moreover, they've struggled covering in the Big 10 going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Minnesota a feisty bunch that plays well on Thursdays (10-4 ATS). With the home team covering 10 of the last 14 in this series, we'll look for the Golden Gophers to cover their fifth straight in this series. |
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01-26-22 | Texas A&M +8.5 v. LSU | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/LSU 9:00: Both teams coming off losses. A&M lost two straight while LSU dropped three in a row. Tigers go to guy Pinson (knee) missed the last 4 games and leading scorer Days is struggling with a bad ankle. Meanwhile, Buzz Williams' team staying competitive and should be pumped to get back on track; after all, A&M 5-1 ATS off a SU loss. Aggies now getting key contributions from freshman Taylor IV who dropped 25 on Arkansas on Saturday. He can help alleviate pressure on leading scorer Jackson. LSU has owned this series at 6-1 ATS but A&M on track to cover tonight. |
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01-25-22 | Texas v. TCU +3 | 73-50 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Texas/TCU 9:00: TCU on a sweet 8-1 ATS run and we'll ride them here. Jamie Dixon has assembled his best team in years and they're playing well together, especially defensively. O'Bannon Jr. leads a disruptive, opportunistic bunch that's creating turnovers and making buckets in transition. Texas is vulnerable to turnovers and despite being well coached on the defensive end by Beard, they're not quite that offensive team that can close out games. Texas 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Longhorns have covered 5 straight in this series but TCU should finally deliver here. |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Illinois 7:00: Illinois dependent on 7" Cockburn. When he's on, Illinois is tough to stop. MD, a lightweight in the Big 10, took advantage of his absence on Friday. Cockburn is back tonight, but the Spartans have the big, long bodies to contain him. Izzo should adjust his defense down to the lower block to help disrupt him around the basket. Spartans got their wake up call January 15th in home loss to Northwestern. Spartans came back strong off that with double-digit win at Wisconsin. Look for momentum to carry over here. Spartans 5-0 ATS on the road against teams above .600. Spartans 7-3 ATS on Tuesdays. Illini, on the other hand, just 1-4 ATS vs teams with road winning % above .600. Grab the points with the surging Spartans. |
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01-24-22 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -5.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech/North Carolina 8:00: Both of these teams coming off losses. VT got beat on the road vs ACC lightweight Boston College. Meanwhile, NC got blown out in their last 2 games, both on the road to Miami and Georgia Tech. Look for UNC's fortune to change tonight; after all, they do their best work at home (9-0 SU) where they've covered 4 straight easily. Hokies are offensively challenged (69 PPG) but play strong defense (16th ranked in nation). Unfortunately for the Hokies, they won't be able to shuttle in enough bodies to effectively counter the up-tempo Tar Heels on this strong floor. UNC's offense gets rolling on this floor and hopefully Bacot (tail bone), who drops nearly 17 PPG and a strong rebounder, is good to go. He's questionable as of now. Nevertheless, like the value with UNC. Holies a money burning 3-13 ATS on the road vs teams with a winning home record and just 1-5 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. UNC the call. |
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01-23-22 | Xavier v. Marquette +2 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Xavier/Marquette 2:00: Marquette running hot and we're riding them again. The Golden Eagles have now whipped four Top 25 teams and on a 5-game win streak under HC Smart. Playmaker Justin Lewis is hitting the mark and getting great support from starters including the bench. Xavier is dealing with some injuries with Edwards and Miles. We'll look for the Golden Eagles to avenge their December 18th loss and deliver here. |
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01-22-22 | Rutgers v. Minnesota -1.5 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +5 v. Ohio | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
Toledo/Ohio 6:00: The class of the MAC meet tonight. Value with the Rockets which sport a sweet 12-4-1 ATS mark for the season. Coach Massey has the talent to hang with the lead dog of the MAC. Toledo has 4 starters who average double digits and can hang with most mid-major conference teams. Toledo is a better defensive team and rebounding team. No question, Ohio U can light it up, but Toledo is more than capable of hanging around. Rockets 6-1 ATS on Fridays and covered 6 of last 7 road tilts. The road team in this series is 8-2 ATS and the dog is 7-2 ATS. Rockets the call. |
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01-21-22 | Toledo v. Ohio OVER 146.5 | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
Toledo/Ohio 6:00: Both of these teams can light up the scoreboard and this game should continue to be high scoring in the series; after all, the last 3 sported totals of 157, 173 and 167, respectively. Rockets are 10-3 O/U on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. Bobcats 19-7 O/U in their last 26 at home vs teams with a road wining % above .600. We'll go "over" |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown +11.5 v. Providence | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Georgetown/Providence 5:00: Providence has a solid team this year under Cooley with 4 grad transfers and lots of talent; however, they've been idle since January 8th after 3 straight postponements. Meanwhile, Georgetown had their long layoff last month with before dropping 3 straight games. They're on an 0-4 SU/ATS slide and in a desperation mode. Ewing has some talent including a few 3 point marksmen including Donald Carey (47.3% from treyland) who will be back tonight. He missed the last 3 games. Carey can surely help take pressure off Harris, Rice and add to free up leading scorer Mohammed. Dog in this series is 9-3 ATS and we got some value with the Hoyas as the Friars attempt to get their legs back and try to restart after a red-hot run. Georgetown the call. |
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01-19-22 | TCU +5.5 v. Oklahoma State | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
TCU/Oklahoma State 8:00: Okie State coming off huge win over #5 Baylor. I'm going to look for a letdown here vs a more the more TCU Horned Frogs. TCU is coming off a big win themselves over a strong Oklahoma team. TCU, the more consistent team, on a 6-1 ATS tear. Horned Frogs' HC Dixon has a strong resume as a winner in the regular season going back to his days at Pittsburgh. His teams were strong on the boards and very good defensively. This TCU team resembles those old Pittsburgh teams. Okie State has some big wins but not consistent and just 1-6 ATS on Wednesdays, 1-4 ATS at home. With TCU on the road vs teams with a home winning % above .600, we'll take the points with TCU. |
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01-18-22 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-18-22 | Baylor v. West Virginia +6.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
Baylor/West Virginia 5:00: Both teams coming off losses. Baylor in a bit more decline off two straight home losses. The #6 ranked Bears, which play really well on the road, earned the right to be a road favorite but a bit overvalued here considering the circumstances. WV sports a perfect 10-0 SU mark at their strong home venue albeit not a strong schedule. However, WV has held its own in this series the last few years on its home floor winning outright March 7, 2020 and taking Baylor to OT on March 2, 2021. The Mounties still have a big piece of that team in place with McNeil, Bridges and Sherman. They no longer have McBride and Culver but Huggins added Malik Curry to fill the void. The Bears, however, came out of their loss to Okie State banged up a bit with Akinjo (glute) and F Sochon (ankle) questionable. WV is aggressive defensively on their home floor and will surely target Flagler who made a few key turnover errors late vs Oklahoma State. WV, 5-1 ATS off an ATS loss, will be fired up to gain ground in the Big 12 and boost resume for Big Dance with a huge win opportunity over the #5 team in the nation which is vulnerable here. Bears just 3-7 ATS off a SU loss and 1-4 ATS on Tuesdays. West Virginia the call. |
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01-17-22 | Purdue v. Illinois -1.5 | 96-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Purdue/Illinois Noon: Purdue was red hot early in the season but has cooled down recently on a 2-7 ATS slide including losing outright at Rutgers and at home to Wisconsin. Sure Boilermakers' Williams and Edey are beasts inside and Stefanovic and Ivey are great on the perimeter; however, Illinois' Cockburn a major problem for teams in the low post and the Fighting Illini have a host of dangerous perimeter shooters (Plummer, Frasier, Grandison). I do like Illinois defensive intensity and their ability to handle the ball a bit better than their counterpart. With the home team 6-1-1 ATS in this series, we'll ride Illinois here. |
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01-15-22 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -1 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-14-22 | Akron +1.5 v. Kent State | 55-67 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
Akron/Kent State 8:00: Zips on a pretty good 6-2 ATS run since November 24th. Defensively, they're 41st in the nation allowing 62.5 PPG. And remember, Zips took Ohio State to the buzzer in Columbus. This game is a 25-minute bus ride to Franklin Township against their hated rival. Kent State, 1-6 ATS slide, sports a sluggish offense ranked 245th in the nation. The Zips are simply a better team offensively, on the boards and defensively. Zips getting consistently great work from F Ali Ali who's been strong on the boards and a big boost offensively. Zips have won 3 straight in this series and I expect a 4th tonight. Akron the call. |
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01-13-22 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
Ohio State/Wisconsin 7:00: Big revenge game for Wisconsin. Back on December 11th, the Buckeyes throttled the Badgers 73-55 in Ohio. Badgers couldn't stop 6'7" F Liddell who dropped 28 on them. Badgers haven't lost since, going on a 6-0 SU/3-2 ATS run. On paper, Badgers' numbers don't look good but they're great at making needed adjustments in matchups; for example, locked down Indiana, beat Purdue -class of the Big 10- on the road as Jonathan Davis went off for 37, and outscored the prolific offensive machine of Iowa 87-78 with 5 Badgers scoring double digits. The Badgers are coming off winning and covering at Maryland while the Buckeyes are coming off a satisfying win over Northwestern. Buckeyes 2-5 ATS off SU win and 0-4 ATS on Thursdays. With the favorite at 14-6 ATS in this series, we'll look for the rolling, vengeful Badgers to deliver on their strong home floor. |
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01-12-22 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -12.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-11-22 | Miami-FL +6.5 v. Florida State | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami-Fla/Florida State 8:00: Miami Florida stewing over lack of respect after Saturday's upset on the road over then #2 Duke. Larranaga finally has a solid team of shooters and a great facilitator in Charlie Moore. Meanwhile, Florida State handed Louisville its first ACC loss. Florida State going into this one knowing they've knocked off Miami-Florida seven straight times. Florida State 0-4 ATS off SU wins this year. I don't see Miami-Florida with a letdown for they're hungry to beat their intra-state rival after a long drought. Look for Final-4 Coach Larranaga to keep his boys focused. Canes 7-3 ATS on the road vs a home team with a winning % above .600. Miami U the call. |
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01-08-22 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -7.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Kansas State/West Virginia 2:00: K State struggling with Covid off 2 straight losses and still not at full strength including their bench leader - Webber (out). Jermaine Henderson fills in vs an angry Bob Huggins who's coming off a loss to Texas on the first and then a postponement vs TCU. Fortunately for WV, they're back at full strength including go-to-guy Taz Sherman. WV strong on their home floor should deliver the goods and then some vs a shell team of K-State. |
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01-08-22 | Texas -3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 51-64 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Texas/Oklahoma State 2:00: Didn't take long for Chris Beard to steer Texas on to the winning road. Already 2-0 in conference play and like their chances here. Okie State, which is no longer equipped with Cade Cunningham (NBA), suffered their 4th home loss on Tuesday. Like the poise the Longhorns have in their backcourt with Carr and Ramey. They're operating at a +7 turnover margin and road savvy. Texas delivers. |
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01-08-22 | Virginia +6 v. North Carolina | 58-74 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Virginia/North Carolina 1:00: Virginia has owned North Carolina - winning and covering seven straight. I still find value in Virginia today. North Carolina's first year HC Hubert Davis has talent but won't have 6'11" Garcia (10 PPG) and versatile 6'9" Manek (12.4 PPG) is a game time decision. The Tar Heels couldn't close out ND on the 5th and now going to lay 6 points to a team they haven't beaten since February 2017. Meanwhile, Tony Bennett's bunch is coming off 2 impressive conference road wins over Syracuse and Clemson. Moreover, they've had an extra day of prep. Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS on the road vs a team with a home win % above .700. Cavaliers have a veteran group led by Gardner and Franklin who are part of a group that can slow the Tar Heels down and work their methodical attack successfully. Take the points with the Cavaliers. |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Marquette/Georgetown 6:30: Georgetown has been idle for nearly 3 weeks due to Covid issues. Wednesday, was their first full practice in more than 2 weeks. Going to be hard to establish a rhythm and keep up with the frenetic pace that Shaka Smart will employ with his Golden Eagles. Marquette is coming off a blowout of Providence on Tuesday. Smart's blend of transfer talent Morsell (MD), Kuath (OK) and PG Kolek (George Mason) appear to be establishing a rhythm offensively. And their big man - Justin Lewis - adds a strong dimension to their inside game. GT does have some 3 point marksmen in Rice, Carey and dangerous Mohammed but Smart surely will shift defensive pressure to the perimeter. Eagles 4-1 ATS on the road vs home team with a home win % above .600. And they're 6-2 ATS on Fridays. Marquette, under Wojciechowski, had some success at Georgetown and under the new leadership of Smart, the Golden Eagles should deliver tonight. |
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01-06-22 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
OSU/Indiana 7:00: Hoosiers were horrendous at Penn State on Sunday where they were a brick laying 4 of 17 from 3-point range, out-boarded yet still managed a narrow 3-point loss. Hoosiers now return home where they're 9-0. Indiana returned home successfully with a win in each of their last 2 road defeats this season. They're taking on an OSU team struggling defensively (198th nationally). Buckeyes had trouble getting their legs back at lightweight Nebraska where they needed OT to pull off a win. Prior to that, OSU was on an extended break (Dec 11th) after Covid issues occurred. We'll give the edge to the hungry Hoosiers here. Home team in this series is 6-1 ATS. Indiana the call. |
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01-05-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -2.5 | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow..... |
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12-10-21 | Murray State +11.5 v. Memphis | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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12-07-21 | Butler v. Oklahoma -11 | 66-62 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
Butler/Oklahoma 9:00: Butler sports a respectable 5-3 SU mark on the surface but all wins come against lightweight teams. When they managed to step up in competition, the Bulldogs fell flat dropping to Michigan State, Houston and Texas A&M. The 1-5 ATS Bulldogs now have to travel to their first true road game with one of their top playmakers - Bryce Nye (torn labrum) most likely out. Offensively challenged Butler averaging just 64.6 PPG (306th nationally) will have difficulty manufacturing points vs Porter Moser's well-disciplined bunch. Moser, who had lock-down teams while at Loyola University Chicago, still driving his men to improve on the defensive end despite allowing only one team to shoot better than 37% this season. Butler likes to shoot from the perimeter but Oklahoma allows just 26.5% from the perimeter. Duke transfer Goldwire working well at the point and 6'10" Tanner Groves should be too much for the Bulldogs tonight. Oklahoma the call. |
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12-03-21 | Clippers v. Lakers +2 | 119-115 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
Clippers/Lakers 10:10: Two underachievers going at it on their home floor. Lakers will be designated home team and the crowd is usually partial to the Lakers at The Staples Center. Clippers on an 0-5 ATS/1-4 SU slide but they do get Paul George back tonight. The Lakers, on a 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS run, will have LeBron James back as he cleared Covid19 protocol and that will help ignite the loaded talent roster of the Lakers. They've lost three straight in this series and tonight is the optimum time to get up another game in the standings on the Clippers and re-establish their presence as a serious contender in the Western Conference Pacific. We'll take a bucket with the Lakers. |
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12-02-21 | Bucks v. Raptors +5 | 93-97 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Bucks/Raptors 7:40: Red hot Bucks won its 8th straight game last night in a 127-125 thriller at home vs Charlotte. Following that emotional win, the Bucks have to travel to Toronto unrested to face a pissed off Toronto team that's lost 3 straight and sports a poor home floor mark of 1-9 ATS. Toronto, however, sports a sweet 9-1 ATS mark off 3 straight losses outgunning their opponent by an average of 13 PPG in that situation. Toronto has held their own in this series at 3-1 ATS in its last 4 meetings. And the Bucks sport a disappointing 1-5 ATS unrested. Sure, Toronto has its share of injuries but the Bucks are thin inside without Lopez (out). We'll look for Van Fleet and Siakam to lead a big effort here in Toronto. Take Toronto. |
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12-02-21 | Bulls v. Knicks +2 | 119-115 | Loss | -106 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
Bulls/Knicks 7:40: Knicks have showed resilience off losses at 5-2 ATS and we'll grab them here. They won in Atlanta and then had a solid cover (SU loss) in Brooklyn led by Alec Burks. Burks took over the starting PG duties in place of Kemba Walker as announced Monday by Thibodeaux. Too early to tell if it's the right decision but NY has a pretty deep bench of playmakers including former Bull - Derrick Rose. Randle needs to continue to elevate his game like he did on November 21st (34 points) in the Knicks loss to successfully counter Vucevic. Bulls coming off big win over Charlotte on the 29th but kind of choppy off SU wins as of late at 1-3 ATS. Bulls are a good road favorite but 1-4 ATS on 2 days rest and 0-4 ATS at MSG. We'll take NY and the bucket. |
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12-01-21 | Utah v. USC UNDER 137.5 | 73-93 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Utah/USC 11:30pm: These teams are both well-disciplined on the defensive end. USC's Enfield has his boys holding foes to a smothering 34.4% from the floor and hasn't allowed a single opponent to shoot 40% this season. Utah's first year HC Craig Smith - who came from defensively stout Utah State - has his team allowing just 60 PPG (48th nationally) and guard the perimeter well (24.8% - 4th nationally). Trojans aren't going to light it up from 3 point land for Ellis is their top gun hitting the trey at a 41% clip but averaging around 15 PPG. USC does have the interior presence with Mobley but Utah defense stingy at allowing 38% from floor. And USC can get to the foul line but clanks it at a disappointing 57.7% clip. On the offensive end for Utah, they're more workmanlike than sizzling shooting. 7' C Craig Smith and G Jenkins are key contributors but aren't going to light it up on USC's home floor. USC is 3-8 O/U after allowing less than 50 points in previous game while Utah is 1-4 O/U in their last 5 road tilts. "Under" the call. |
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11-30-21 | Duke -2.5 v. Ohio State | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Duke/Ohio State 9:30: There's always a chance of a letdown by a team after a huge win; after all, Duke took out top ranked Gonzaga in Las Vegas on Friday 84-81 to surge to #1. OSU will surely be hungry to knock them off but unlikely. Coach K, in his final season, will have his guys even keeled and well prepared. He's got a great mix of experienced talent including captain - Wendell Moore Jr., Roach and Williams to blend with super freshman - Banchero. And the Blue Devils are far more disciplined on both sides of the floor at this stage; for example, Duke is 2nd in the nation in fouls per possession while OSU ranks 234th; moreover, Buckeyes turned the ball over 17 times resulting in 23 points vs Florida. Duke forced #1 Gonzaga into 17 turnovers on Friday. Duke is 21st in nation in forcing turnovers. And the crowd surely won't sway Duke. They delivered on Friday in front of 20,400! We'll grab the Blue Devils. |
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07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -106 | 43 h 58 m | Show | |
Suns/Bucks 9:05: With the Suns' backs against the wall in a win or go home game, we'll look for Phoenix to deliver here. Suns 14-6 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 of last 5 games in Milwaukee. Giannis effort incredible down stretches and Phoenix will have to surely counter that. Suns shot the lights out in Game 5 yet still came up short despite a lackluster effort at the foul line for Milwaukee (53%). Phoenix knows what's at stake and the veteran presence of Chris Paul and Jae Crowder should support Booker well. Suns will need to step up defensive game and Ayton will have to show up strong. We'll bet on it. Suns the call. |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -4 | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Bucks/Suns 9:05: Suns clearly in Game 4 until the final moments when Giannis came up with the big block on Ayton. Booker, after a sluggish Game 3, played outstanding in Game 4 but Paul was sluggish and the rest of the Suns didn't assert themselves enough to close out a cover; however, back at their venue where they're 17-5 ATS vs teams above .500, we'll look for the urgency to come back for Phoenix. Phoenix the call. |
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07-14-21 | Suns +4.5 v. Bucks | 103-109 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4 | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Suns/Bucks 8:05: Bucks out of their element at Phoenix. In Game 1 bricked free throws to the tune of 56% and failed to execute down the stretch. Game 2 shot a ridiculous 9 or 31 from 3 point land instead of attacking the rim where they had a degree of success. In Milwaukee, we'll look for their game to be more fluid. Giannis (62 combined points in Game 1 and 2) is showing no residual effects of his knee injury. Middleton and Holiday should now feed off Giannis and a more aggressive Lopez who is overdue to step up. Lay the buckets. |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Bucks/Suns 9:05: Suns worked Milwaukee on Monday despite little output offensively from veteran Jae Crowder (1 point) and Booker going 1 of 8 from perimeter. Paul came up large while Ayton won the battle of the big men down low with Lopez as the Suns got to the free throw line and delivered (96%). Giannis looked good but his mates were tentative on whether or not to shoot with him in the game. Milwaukee will surely be stepping up their intensity as they've done throughout playoffs off a loss; however, Suns have much room for improvement and I see them upping their game level as well. We'll grab Phoenix again in this spot. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -6 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Bucks/Suns 9:05: Suns have covered 6 of last 7 in this series. Suns achieved narrow one point victories both games vs Milwaukee this year. Giannis turned in massive 33 and 47 point showings, respectively. Bucks did do a nice job with reserves in Game 6 vs Atlanta. Portis had a huge game and Connaughton was solid; moreover, Lopez did sensational, enabling Holiday and Middleton to do their thing successfully. Tonight, Suns a bit too savvy to take a back seat. Ayton can handle Lopez much better than Capella did. Crowder has that big game experience (Miami last year in Finals), and Booker overdue for another big game. Throw in veteran PG Paul to run the show and Bucks should wither down the stretch. |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 8:35: Back to Atlanta, Young most likely back in action, no Giannis on the road makes way for a likely Game 7. Lopez was a monster in Game 5 and fueled the way for quality performances from Middleton, Holiday and Portis. But Bucks 1-6 ATS as a road dog and inconsistency with Bucks gives value back to Atlanta here. Reddish now in the fray gives that quality depth needed. Atlanta, 18-3 ATS as home chalk, the call. |
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07-01-21 | Hawks +3 v. Bucks | 112-123 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Hawks/Bucks 8:35: At first glance, inkling to take Milwaukee on account that they've won without Giannis (out) on the floor before. However, disturbing that the Bucks were flat into Game 4 when had a chance to take command of series, especially with Atlanta's top player - Young - out. Tonight, most likely Young (bone bruise) will take the floor. Sure Capella (eye) and Bogdanovic (knee) are questionable but lean towards playing. Nevertheless, Okongwu, Reddish have proven to turn in quality minutes off the bench for the Hawks; moreover, Lou Williams proved he can still come off the bench with productivity. On the other hand, not sure if Portis, Connaughton or Forbes can make up the point void left without Giannis. Middleton and Holiday have been hot and cold under Budenholzer. And don't like the 0-4 ATS mark when the Bucks are off a 10+ point loss. Hawks 5-2 ATS as a road dog and we'll grab the points. |
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06-30-21 | Suns -102 v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:00: As anticipated in Game 5, Suns came out flat; consequently, Clippers jumped all over them early and sustained high energy throughout the game. Suns have the veteran leadership to counter effectively tonight. Suns need to work Ayton on pick and roll with a void in the Clippers lack of low post top tier players, especially with Zubac (knee) questionable. We'll look for a more intensified effort from veterans Paul and Crowder. Booker should continue to do what he does best - score. Not sure Clippers can top Game 5 effort. Suns need killer mentality and should deliver. |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 130-103 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
Suns/Clippers 9:00: As expected in Game 5, shots that were bricking in Game 4 found their way in the basket in Game 5 to go "over" the adjusted down over/under (215). Tonight, back in Los Angeles where this series has gone 2-8 O/U. Now 5 of the last 7 in the series went "under". And Game 5 seemed like an easy "over" throughout 3.5 quarters but stalled out late to create a sweat. In Los Angeles, the last three games total output has accumulated 213, 198 and 164 respectively. Got some wiggle room with the total and considering the history of the scrums in this series in LA and that the Suns are 0-4 O/U off a SU loss, we'll stay "under". |
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06-29-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Hawks | 88-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 8:35: Hawks threw some haymakers early in Game 3 but the Bucks survived the assault and closed it out strong. Budenholzer decided to use his Big 3 virtually the entire game and it paid dividends. Wouldn't be surprised if Middleton, Giannis and Holiday go the duration again tonight. Atlanta's Young shut down after his ankle bone bruise (again, we're talking basketball players here). Wasn't effective at all in 4th quarter. And it's almost automatic when Giannis wants to take the ball to the rack as Capella is rendered useless; after all, Lopez does a bang up job in the low post on both ends of the floor. I like Collins but he has limited help down low. We'll look for the Bucks to pull away. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers +6 v. Suns | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Clippers showed grit climbing back in Game 4 before falling down the stretch. Both teams shot horribly but Clippers managed to stumble worse in the scrum with pitiful numbers of 33% from floor, 16% from perimeter and an inexcusable 66% from free throw line. Tonight, with back against the wall and everything to lose, we'll look for a rejuvenated Clippers team despite the absence of Leonard (knee). Clippers are 16-7 ATS in this series, 5-1 ATS on Mondays and covered 4 of last 5 as a playoff dog. Clippers' HC Lue has made some decent adjustments, but needs Reggie Jackson back to his prime time ways. In addition, need George to show more ready for prime time play and Mann needs to shoot more. Clippers should leave it all out on the floor here. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 214 | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Game 4 numbers were ugly. Suns were clanking to the tune of 36% from floor and 20% from 3 point range. That was good enough to whip a Clippers team shooting a brick laying 33%/16% and a disgraceful 66% from the free throw line considering they were #1 in free throw shooting % during regular season. Tonight, let's look for those rim rollers to align in the net; after all, this series has gone 10-4 O/U in Phoenix. And the 'total' has now dropped to a reachable 214. We'll look for the Clippers as the #1 three point shooting team in the NBA to play more relaxed. Phoenix should maintain their groove on their home floor. "Over" the call. |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 113-102 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 8:35: Hawks were awful in Game 2. There were promising moments as Cam Reddish got his first bit of action in four months and did OK. As for the rest of the Hawks - a step slow and a bucket short in each quarter. The second quarter was a complete disaster getting outscored 42-17! At home, we'll look for a different story. Hawks a strong 30-12-1 ATS at home off a SU loss and covered 20 of their last 26 home games. Bucks 1-5 ATS on the road vs a home team with home win % above .600. We'll look for Young and company to get their traction and hit some buckets tonight. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | 84-80 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-25-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | 91-125 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Hawks/Bucks 8:35: Hawks clearly not intimidated by the Bucks. Hawks now 5-1 ATS run as a road dog in the playoffs. In Game 1, Young went off to continue his excellent post-season; in addition, Collins was a great compliment. The good news is that there is room for improvement, especially from 3 point range (25%). And that could change if Bogdanovic and Gallinari get their perimeter range back. Nevertheless, the Hawks did a nice job adjusting when the long ball wasn't dropping. Trae Young was doing a great job dropping floaters and alley oop lobs. As for Milwaukee, similar box score numbers as they were a more pathetic 22% from 3 point range yet a solid 46% from floor. Defensively, however, Budenholzer not coming up with the defensive adjustments. Technically, Hawks now 19-7 ATS in Milwaukee and 13-6 ATS in last 19 meetings in this series. Bucks 1-4 ATS off a SU loss and 1-4 ATS as chalk. Take the points again. |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1.5 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Suns/Clippers 9:05: As stated in my last write up, Clippers were there in Game 2 and needed a thread more clutch play (free throws from George) down the stretch for the outright; nevertheless, they covered and should be in line to get the win here despite the return of Chris Paul. Beverly is doing as best as he can pestering hot shot Booker. Reggie Jackson has been huge and George is playing well. At home, Mann, Batum and Kennard should lock in as key support players. Even Zubac is holding his own vs Ayton. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games, 6-1 ATS as a home dog and should deliver. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. Bucks | 116-113 | Win | 102 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-22-21 | Clippers +5.5 v. Suns | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Clippers held their own in Game 1 despite not having Leonard. They hit 45% from floor, 43% from 3 point land and 82% of free throws. Unfortunately for them, Suns shot 55%/41% and 100%. Booker dropped 40 and Ayton was strong with 20. Tonight, I believe Coach Lue will make the needed adjustments to cover like he did vs Utah. Remember, he went small against Utah in Game 6 and exploited Defensive Player of Year - Gobert - who was rendered useless trying to stretch to the perimeter. Tonight, Clippers need Mann to shoot more and Zubac and Batum to step up their game to assist Jackson and George. Sure, Payne is doing a bang up job keeping Chris Paul's seat warm at the point, but Clippers are a better defensive team than what they showed in Game 1. We'll look for better defense and a bit more successful on the offensive perimeter. Clippers have covered 14 of the last 20 in this series. |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-20-21 | Clippers +4 v. Suns | 114-120 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -1 | 115-111 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
Bucks/Nets 8:35: Great players aren't always great; they're just great when they have to be. Durant should go off on the biggest stage. And Harden, after two mediocre - by his standards - games, he's overdue to have a great game. Of course, Griffin, Green and someone else - perhaps Bruce Brown, will have to step up with support. The Bucks have shown resilience but, at times, have shown inability to close. At home, we'll look for the home team to keep with the trend of having the advantage. |
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06-18-21 | Jazz -1 v. Clippers | 119-131 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 104-99 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
76ers/Hawks 7:35: 76ers should come out with guns a blazing; however, those Doc Rivers' moves are rearing their ugly heads again. In the playoffs, Rivers has a history of leaving starters out too long and failing to utilize his bench. And he's got a dilemma on whether or not to use free throw bricking but defensive stalwart - Ben Simmons - down the stretch of games. Late in the 4th, if Rivers takes him out, their is a glaring defensive void that the sharp shooting and slashing Hawks can exploit; at the same time, with Simmons on the floor in the 4th, he is an offensive liability. His free throw shooting is an atrocious 32.8% in the playoffs! McMillan doing a fine job with adjustments and we'll roll with the Hawks which play well at home (20-6 ATS); moreover, they're 7-1 ATS at home vs Philadelphia. |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -6 | 89-104 | Win | 101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -6 | 109-106 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-14-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | 104-118 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
76ers/Hawks 7:35: Sixers up 2-1 but don't count out Atlanta yet. McMillan has been around the NBA for a while and he does a nice job with defensive adjustments while letting his ballers play loose on the offensive end. Capela surely can't handle Embiid but Danny Green's absence hurts their depth. I don't see Kurkmaz or Thybulle scorching Atlanta again. The Hawks should tighten the bolts on the defensive end while they seek to get back their touch from the perimeter; after all, they're perimeter game has progressively gone down from Game 1 of this series - from 43%, 37% and just %26 in Game 3 at home. Atlanta's Trae Young is at his most dangerous penetrating with either a floater or kick out. Bogdanovic, Gallinari, Collins should step up. Atlanta is 50-23 ATS off a double-digit home loss at home and covered 5 of last 7 as a home dog. 76ers 0-5 ATS after scoring 125+ points and just 7-18-2 ATS on the road vs a home team with winning % above .600. Moreover, Atlanta has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series at home. Atlanta the call. |
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06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Suns/Nuggets 8:05: Suns just overwhelming the Nuggets in series. Jokic playing at his MVP (well deserved) level; however, supporting cast not good enough. Important shooting cog - Porter Jr. is sporadic in his play at best. It's never been more apparent that Murray is sorely missed. Suns cruising with Chris Paul hitting short jumpers, floaters and facilitating like he does best. Denver has no answer for him or Booker. And Ayton is doing a solid job and underrated Crowder is that final piece that every championship contender needs. Phoenix should deliver. |
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06-13-21 | Nets -2 v. Bucks | 96-107 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Nets/Bucks 3:05: Disturbing trend for the Bucks. Hot shooting from the perimeter for most of the season and in Round 1, has given way for a sluggish 23% for this series. It's not that Brooklyn has clamped down defensively, the Bucks have open looks; the shots are just not dropping. Giannis, Middleton and Holiday are forced to drive to the hole with a modicum of success. Yes, they're getting fouled, however, a poor 55% from the free throw line in this series isn't cutting it. On the other hand, Durant has found his range with that short jumper outside the paint, Irving is hitting clutch shots and facilitating well while the Nets are getting more than they bargained for from Bruce Brown, Joe Harris and Griffin. Milwaukee 0-4 ATS as a home dog, 2-5 ATS in this series. We'll stay on the hot Nets (9-1 ATS run). |
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06-12-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | 106-132 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -1.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +1.5 | 127-111 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Clippers/Jazz 10:00: Going to stay on the Jazz here despite the good outing the Clippers turned in for Game 1. Jazz had that extended layoff and the rust showed in the first half; moreover, Donovan Mitchell was under the weather yet still managed to turn it up a notch in the second half to lead his team to victory. Tonight, with a healthy Donovan Mitchell and a Jazz team that re-established their rhythm, they'll be tough to beat. Sure, Kennard had the game of his life and Zubac was trouble in Game 1; however, those two rarely are consistent big game players. We'll look for the Jazz to tighten the bolts with the needed adjustments tonight. Jazz 13-4 ATS at home vs teams with winning road records. And the Clippers have not had success in Utah at 8-21-1 ATS. |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Nets/Bucks 7:30: Nets shot the lights out on their home floor in Game 1 and 2; unfortunately for Milwaukee, they couldn't keep up. Consequently, with four straight going "under" in this series, oddsmakers adjusted this 'total' to lowest level since August 4th, 2020 (230). On that day in Milwaukee, the teams combined for 235. Let's remember, in the regular season, Milwaukee controlled the #1 offensive output in the NBA at 120 PPP. They didn't forget how to manufacture points. They've had a few days to digest the loss and find ways to attack a Brooklyn defense that has its share of weaknesses (21st in league). The Milwaukee brick laying from the perimeter should cease tonight in their comfortable confines. Bucks 36-16 O/U on 2 days rest. "Over" it is. |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Nuggets/Suns 9:30: This series has gone 6-1 O/U in the last 7 meetings and 6-0 O/U last 6 in Phoenix. Nuggets faded down the stretch of Game 1 but Malone should use his bench better late tonight. We'll look for newly crowned MVP Jokic to turn up his game after mediocre (to his standard) performance in Game 1. Of course he'll need supporting help and will need Porter Jr. and someone else to hit shots consistently. we'll bet they do. Suns continue with great offensive chemistry after coming off series against a number 1 defense (Lakers) and Paul seems like his shoulder is getting better. We'll stay on the "over" here. |
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06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -3.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Clippers/Jazz 10:00: Clippers have not had much turnover time since their Game 7 win. Now they have to play in the high altitude of Utah where they haven't had much success (8-21-1 ATS). Well rested Utah may have Conley (hamstring) back in the fray on limited minutes. He's been a huge part of their success. More importantly, Jazz have too much talent, depth and discipline to fall here. With Donovan Mitchell back on the court, the Jazz rolled vs Memphis. Sure, Leonard and George are a dangerous duo but they don't have the supporting cast to challenge the likes of Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Conley and most likely Defensive Player of the Year - Gobert. Throw in Sixth Man of the Year - Clarkson and Utah is a tough out. LAC just 1-6 ATS off a 10+ point win. The emotional and draining win will make it difficult to regroup in a limited turnover time. Tread lightly though, Utah has been historically sluggish off extended layoffs. |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Hawks/76ers 7:30: Had Hawks in Game 1 but will jump on Philadelphia here. Hawks are shooting lights out as they are peaking at right time; however, 76ers fought way back in game by putting long lanky Simmons on Trae Young, limiting his effectiveness to a certain extent. Most likely see a similar strategy. Embiid surely didn't show lingering effects of knee issue. As good as Capella is, he still had trouble containing Embiid. And we'll look for Curry and Harris to show up tonight. Sixers should turn it up a few notches here. |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers OVER 223 | 102-118 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets +5 v. Suns | 105-122 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
Nuggets/Suns 10:05: Nuggets have 4 consecutive victories at Phoenix including the last two in OT. Sure, Murray and Barton were in those; however, love how Porter Jr. and Campazzo have stepped up their game to fill the void of Murray. Jokic is the MVP favorite for a good reason. The offense is run through him and he's making everybody around him better. We'll take the points with the road strong Nuggets. |
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06-07-21 | Bucks +2 v. Nets | 86-125 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
Bucks/Nets 7:35: Bucks, the #1 scoring offense and #3 perimeter shooting team in NBA showed plenty of rust after a 6 day layoff with a poor 20% shooting from 3 point range. They were effective, however, getting in the paint (45%) and getting to free throw line. As bad as they shot, they almost covered. Harden (hamstring) won't play tonight, which puts stress on the starters Irving, Durant and veteran journeyman - Blake Griffen. Griffen had a great game but I don't expect on encore performance here. Milwaukee's Middleton and Holiday can only get better while Lopez and Giannis continue to create problems for teams in the low post. Brooklyn won't play DeAndre Jordan because of his poor defensive consistency and that puts lots of minutes on Griffen who shouldn't be able to hold up under the fire for 40 minutes. We'll grab the bucket with Milwaukee here. |
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06-06-21 | Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers | 111-126 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Mavericks/Clippers 3:35: Mavericks do their best work as an underdog and sport an impressive 5-0 ATS mark as a road dog. This series has gone to the road team with each team winning 3 games on their opponent's home floor. Mavericks play well in LA where they've covered 4 straight. Sure, Leonard was sensational in Game 6 and his supporting mate - George has his moments; moreover, Reggie Jackson is having a solid series. On the other hand, Dallas has one superstar that is carrying the team - Doncic. He has average - by NBA standards - talent surrounding him in Marjanovic, Hardaway Jr., Brunson and Porzingis. Doncic has been sensational at Los Angeles and if he hits near or above 40 points, it usually results in a Dallas win. Clippers will surely try to find another creative way on stopping him by throwing different bodies on him, cutting him off early in sets and trapping him; however, we'll look for him utilize his superior skills and hopefully get decent support from his teammates who can close on the rim. Clippers 2-6 ATS on Sundays and don't do their best work as a favorite or when expected to win. We'll take the points. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +3 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Hawks/76ers 1:05: Like how McMillan resurrected the Hawks season after it was going in the toilet under Pierce. Moreover, he did an outstanding job prepping Atlanta defensively in the playoffs in shutting down the Knicks. We'll look for him to work more magic against a 76ers team with an ailing star - Embiid (knee). Embiid is questionable as I write this; however, he's not at his most mobile and I'm going to lean on him missing this one; consequently, that leaves a void for underrated Hawks' center - Capela to exploit. Dwight Howard not equipped to handle long minutes either. Trae Young showed in Round 1 that the stage wasn't too big for him. He did a great job lighting it up from the perimeter, tear dropping it in the low post and as a distributor when NY clamped down on him. He has some good shooters supporting him too in Bogdanovic, Hunter and Collins. On the other hand, Curry is coming off a huge game and Harris is playing great. But going into this one with the team dependent on Curry, Harris and poor foul shooting Simmons, it should be a different story. 76ers just 10-11 SU without Embiid. Hawks play well on Sundays (7-0 ATS) and now a confident road team that's grown substantially since they last visited Philly. Atlanta the call. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | 107-115 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
Bucks/Nets 7:35: Well rested Bucks not intimidated going into Brooklyn where they've gone 16-4-1 ATS. Sure, they'll play the Big 3 - Irving, Durant, Harden - together for the first time but like their chances. With the addition of Jrue Holiday, Bucks have much more versatility than last year. Giannis and Middleton are continue to play at an elite level during the playoffs. And Lopez has been a force down low that Brooklyn should have trouble with. We'll look for the Bucks to keep this competitive tonight. |
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06-04-21 | Clippers -2.5 v. Mavs | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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06-03-21 | Nuggets +5 v. Blazers | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |