03-18-23 |
Auburn +5.5 v. Houston |
|
64-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 60 m |
Show
|
Auburn/Houston 7:10: Both coaches are outstanding in their prep and game adjustments. But we'll give the edge to Bruce Pearl (6-1 ATS last 7 tournament appearances) considering the injuries that have befallen on the Cougars. Cougars top gun Sasser (groin) most likely won't be himself. And Shead is struggling with a knee injury. Cougars just 1-5 ATS off a SU win. Edge to Auburn.
|
03-18-23 |
Duke v. Tennessee +3.5 |
|
52-65 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
03-17-23 |
Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana |
|
60-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
Kent State/Indiana 9:55: Kent State can plain and simply ball. Earlier in the season, they traded blows with heavyweights Gonzaga and Houston, and narrowly lost to College of Charleston - all easy covers on the road! And they've gotten better as the season progressed. They blew out the #2 scoring team in the nation - Toledo in the MAC Championship - one of my big plays of the season. The Golden Flashes are a dangerous team under Senderoff - a disciple of Kelvin Sampson. Fundamentally solid defense and great point guard play, look for the Flashes to deliver.
|
03-17-23 |
Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -1 |
|
66-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
03-17-23 |
Iona +9.5 v. Connecticut |
|
63-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-17-23 |
USC +2 v. Michigan State |
|
62-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
USC/Michigan State 12:15: Michigan State may have a proximity and time advantage here. Playing in Columbus early gives the edge to the Spartans; however, not happy how the Spartans played on the road this year and their status of NCAA Tournament consistency and coach (25 straight under Izzo) got them a slightly higher seeding. USC more of a complete team under Enfield. Trojans are 7-2 ATS in NCAA Tournament games. Also like the backcourt play of Ellis and Peterson which plays a big role in these games. USC the call.
|
03-16-23 |
Auburn -125 v. Iowa |
|
83-75 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-23 |
College of Charleston +5.5 v. San Diego State |
|
57-63 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-23 |
Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Alabama -24 |
|
75-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
03-15-23 |
Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 |
|
61-84 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
03-14-23 |
Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 |
|
59-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
03-14-23 |
Toledo +6.5 v. Michigan |
|
80-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-23 |
Memphis +6 v. Houston |
|
75-65 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
Memphis/Houston 3:15: Got to go with the Tigers here; after all, they've covered 9 of the last 10 in this series, including March 5th 67-65 loss in Memphis. With Houston's top gun - Sasser (groin) questionable after sustaining a groin injury in the first half yesterday, Tigers have the talent to hang again. Memphis the call.
|
03-12-23 |
Texas A&M +5 v. Alabama |
|
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
TX A&M/Alabama 1:00: Aggies have virtually owned this series going 5-0 SU/ATS in its last 5 vs the 'Tide, including 67-61 win on March 4th in Texas. Buzz Williams is an excellent tournament coach and has the dudes to match Alabama's talent. Every team has its weakness. The 'Tide is amazing on the offensive glass but in the bottom tier in the nation on the defensive glass. Aggies more disciplined in their defense. Aggies are 26-9 ATS off a SU win while the 'Tide sports a money burning 1-5 ATS mark in the same role. With the dog at 6-1 ATS in this series, grab the Aggies.
|
03-11-23 |
Kent State +1.5 v. Toledo |
|
93-78 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
Kent State/Toledo 7:30: Toledo, the #2 scoring team in the nation, can trade points with anyone in the nation; however, defensively, they're challenged. And that bites them in the ass every year this time of year. Kent State, which swept the season series, has covered 7 of the last 8 in this series. Kent plays them tough with great defensive design. Take the Flashes.
|
03-11-23 |
Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M -5.5 |
|
75-87 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
03-10-23 |
Ohio State +4.5 v. Michigan State |
|
68-58 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
03-09-23 |
Villanova v. Creighton -4.5 |
|
74-87 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
03-09-23 |
Villanova v. Creighton UNDER 134.5 |
Top |
74-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
03-09-23 |
Arkansas v. Auburn +3.5 |
|
76-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
03-09-23 |
Washington State v. Oregon -2.5 |
|
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
03-09-23 |
West Virginia +4.5 v. Kansas |
|
61-78 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
West Virginia/Kansas 3:00: Kansas already secured top seeding in NCAA Tournament, will have to face a hot WV team that has covered 5 straight, including in yesterday's Big12 Tournament with a solid win over Texas Tech. Huggins has the Mounties playing the inspired defense he's been teaching for years. Bill Self (illness) won't be controlling the bench today and that's a big loss. West Virginia is on the bubble for NCAA Tournament participation and will certainly attain an at large bid with a win here. Take West Virginia
|
03-09-23 |
George Mason +5.5 v. St. Louis |
|
54-82 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
George Mason/St. Louis 2:00: St. Louis not having its dominating defensive presence this year should open the door for the Patriots to cover. Billikens not capitalizing on takeaways this season as guard play has been suspect with a -1.6-turnover margin. GM has an inside presence and solid on the defensive boards (19th in nation). They traded blow for blow with St. Louis in St. Louis on January 11th. On this neutral floor in NY, we'll grab the Patriots.
|
03-08-23 |
Oklahoma +2 v. Oklahoma State |
|
49-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 46 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma State/Oklahoma 9:30: Analysis to follow...
|
03-08-23 |
Ole Miss v. South Carolina +6.5 |
|
67-61 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 12 m |
Show
|
Ole Miss/South Carolina 7:00: Analysis to follow...
|
03-08-23 |
Georgia Tech +7.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
81-89 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
Georgia Tech/Pittsburgh 2:30: Analysis to follow...
|
03-07-23 |
Notre Dame +7.5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 27 m |
Show
|
ND/Virginia Tech 7:00: Mike Brey's swan song for ND and we'll ride him and his crew here. He's been a good coach for the Irish and his men won't go down without a fight. Sure, they didn't win on the road all season; however, they'll be fine on the neutral floor in Greensboro. Irish lost 11 games by single digits including five one possession defeats. They got swept in the regular season series but should be competitive here. VT perimeter sizzle will not be sustainable here. We'll grab the points.
|
03-07-23 |
Georgia Tech -1.5 v. Florida State |
|
61-60 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 44 m |
Show
|
Georgia Tech/Florida State 2:00: GT on a great 8-0 ATS tear down the stretch. The Engineers took a while to get their perimeter game cranking and that is what led to their winning run. Seminoles, on the other hand, can be dangerous but their inconsistencies, especially defensively rear their ugly heads too much. And they don't have enough offense to outshoot opponents. Yellowjackets the call.
|
03-06-23 |
BYU +7.5 v. St. Mary's |
|
69-76 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
BYU/St. Mary's 9:00: BYU is playing for its NCAA Tournament life now; therefore, little margin for error. St. Mary's is most likely going to the Big Dance and has already swept the regular season series. between these two. BYU plays the Gaels tough - covering six straight in series. We'll grab the hungry Cougars.
|
03-05-23 |
Army +12 v. Colgate |
|
74-91 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
03-05-23 |
Houston v. Memphis +6 |
|
67-65 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
Houston/Memphis Noon: Memphis has covered 8 of the last 10 in this series. Sure, Houston is worthy of that #1 ranking with a stifling defense (#2 in nation), and an efficient offense; however, Memphis has been a thorn in the side of Houston, especially on this floor at FedEx Forum. Memphis lost only one game on this floor this year with a 1-point loss in OT to Tulane. And keep in mind that Hardaway's bunch traded punches with Alabama and beat Texas A&M outright here. Take the points!
|
03-04-23 |
Tennessee v. Auburn -1.5 |
|
70-79 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
Tennessee/Auburn 2:00: Both teams without some key players here; however, Tennessee's loss of Zeigler is one that takes notice. Zeigler not only averaged 10.3 PPG and 5.4 APG, but extremely valuable on the defensive end with 59 steals. His leadership and defensive prowess is a major blow to a team playing into revenge on the road against a hungry Auburn team that's in a desperation mode for a big win in an attempt for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. Look for Bruce Pearl to have Auburn deliver the win here.
|
03-04-23 |
Georgia v. South Carolina +1.5 |
|
55-61 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
Georgia/South Carolina 1:00: Two of the bottom feeders of the SEC but like the Gamecocks here. SC has been competitive over their last 10 games going 7-3 ATS while the Bulldogs are a money burning 1-9 ATS. SC looking to avenge the January 28th OT loss at Georgia. Bulldogs defense has been abysmal on the road - allowing 11 PPG more than they do at home. That should open the door for the offensively challenged Gamecocks to deliver the win here. SC the call.
|
03-04-23 |
Alabama v. Texas A&M -1.5 |
|
61-67 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Texas A&M Noon: Alabama living on the edge over their last three games. They've managed to come from behind to eke out victories down the stretch including 2 of last 3 in OT. Over that span, they've struggled from three-point range going 11 of 53 (28%). A&M presents a strong home floor and on a 7-1 ATS tear. The Aggies are 4-0 SU and won 6 of their last 8 SU on this floor vs Alabama. Buzz Williams has them well prepared and we'll grab A&M here.
|
03-04-23 |
Iowa State v. Baylor -7.5 |
|
73-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
Iowa State/Baylor Noon: ISU looked like a lock for the NCAA Tournament early in the season with wins over Texas, TCU, OK and Baylor. Since January 21st though, they've gone on a dismal 3-7 SU/2-10 ATS slide. And one of their top scorers - Grill - dismissed from the team. Grill had 18 points on December 31st win over Baylor at Iowa State. The Cyclones are not the same team on the road as they struggle to score (62 PPG) while less defensive (allow 69 PPG). Meanwhile, Baylor, despite their injury woes, is coming off two solid wins and should get sweet revenge here.
|
03-03-23 |
Wolves -1 v. Lakers |
|
110-102 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-23 |
Michigan v. Illinois UNDER 144.5 |
|
87-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Illinois 7:00: Heavy "under" trends on both sides. Illinois ranks 334th in the nation from 3-point range at a paltry 31%; moreover, over their last 3 games, they've shot a measly 25.8% from downtown. Michigan is defensively solid, including guarding the perimeter - allowing 32.1%. On the other hand, Illinois is a strong defensive team and has held opponents to just 60.5 PPG on this floor this season. Illinois may be a #9 NCAA Tournament seed heading into this game while Michigan is on the bubble. Both teams need a win here to solidify an at large bid. Look for the defensive intensity to increase. We'll give the edge to Michigan in a lower scoring game. "Under" the call.
|
03-02-23 |
Michigan +5 v. Illinois |
|
87-91 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
03-01-23 |
Texas v. TCU -2 |
|
73-75 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
Texas/TCU 9:00: Last time these teams met (January), the Longhorns climbed back from a 13-point deficit to upend the Horned Frogs 79-75. That game was in Austin. On the road, the Longhorns struggled on a 1-4 ATS slide. Now that Mike Miles is back in the fray for TCU, look for TCU to deliver the goods here.
|
03-01-23 |
Massachusetts v. Duquesne -10 |
|
79-88 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
Massachusetts/Duquesne 7:00: U Mass upset Duquesne back on January 28th in Massachusetts. They've gone 1-6 SU/ATS since. Duquesne has enjoyed a solid resurgence in their basketball program under form University of Akron HC Dambrot. They're coming off a disappointing home loss to Davidson. Dukes have responded well off losses (6-1 ATS) and 4-0 ATS on Wednesday. Look for the Dukes to get it together back on their home floor in an easy double-digit win.
|
02-28-23 |
Marquette v. Butler +8 |
|
72-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
|
Marquette/Butler 6:30: Tonight, Marquette looks to clinch the Big East title but it won't be easy. Butler, playing with same season revenge, is competitive under competent veteran coach Thad Matta. Butler has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and 10-3 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. Hinkle Fieldhouse no easy place to play for road teams. Matta established a strong home court there in his first stint with the Bulldogs and he's holding up the trend in his second. Marquette just 1-4 ATS off a SU win and giving a bit too many points here. And C Bates could be back tonight; if not, Jalen Thomas holding the fort well. Butler the call.
|
02-27-23 |
Baylor -1 v. Oklahoma State |
|
74-68 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
Baylor/Oklahoma State 9:00: Okie State trending in wrong direction at wrong time. Cowboys looked to be a lock in the NCAA Tournament field after huge win at Iowa State February 11th; however, after four straight losses, they find themselves on the bubble. It won't get easier tonight. Baylor gaining momentum off big win over Texas. George (ankle) questionable for this game but Bonner proved he is worthy of filling the void. Bears 5-1 ATS on Mondays and road team in this series 15-5-2 ATS. Bears the call.
|
02-26-23 |
Manhattan +9 v. Quinnipiac |
|
72-70 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 23 m |
Show
|
Manhattan/Quinnipiac 2:00: Manhattan has been a spread winner this season. They're not a talented team but they play hard. They actually play better on the road (5-1 ATS run). They're coming off a blowout home loss but usually respond well after that; as a matter of fact, they're 4-0-1 ATS off a loss of 20+. They've covered 5 of their last 6 off a SU loss and have been money on Sunday at 5-1 ATS. Road team in this series is 4-0 ATS and look for the Jaspers to hang tight.
|
02-25-23 |
Texas v. Baylor -3.5 |
|
72-81 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
Texas/Baylor 2:00: Baylor off 2 road losses to Kansas and Kansas State. Today, they're back home looking to avenge their January 30th loss at Texas. The Bears should have it back together against a Longhorns squad that's 3-9 ATS on the road vs a home team with winning % above .600. With the favorite in this series at 6-0 ATS, Baylor the call.
|
02-25-23 |
Louisville v. Georgia Tech -5 |
Top |
67-83 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
|
Louisville/Georgia Tech 2:00: Both of these conference bottom feeders starting to cover down the stretch of the season. Cardinals on a 4-0 ATS run while GT has covered 5 straight. Tech is looking to avenge its February 1st loss and should do it here. Louisville has been pathetic defensively on the road - allowing 82 PPG. And although GT is surely no offensive juggernaut, they should pull away late from the pitiful Cardinals. GT's Pastner doesn't have great personnel but utilises it better than his counterpart Payne. We'll lay the points here.
|
02-25-23 |
Clemson v. NC State -5.5 |
|
96-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
Clemson/NC State Noon: Don't like how Clemson is playing on the road. They come off big wins at home and get worked on the road. February 15th, blasted FSU at home and then dropped their next game to lowly Louisville as an 11-point favorite. Inexcusable and put them on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. Sure, they rebounded well at home vs Syracuse on Wednesday but once again have to fight their demons on the road. And NC State is hot and hungry. And the Wolfpack, which got ambushed at Clemson back on December 30th, is looking for revenge and should deliver.
|
02-23-23 |
Memphis -2 v. Wichita State |
|
83-78 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-23 |
Penn State +3 v. Ohio State |
|
75-71 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-23 |
Wake Forest +6.5 v. NC State |
|
74-90 |
Loss |
-113 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
WF/NC State 9:00: WF has shooters who can score consistently. They keep games close on the road as exhibited by their 4-1 ATS mark on the road vs teams above .600. Deacons will be looking to avenge earlier season 79-77 loss at home on January 28th. However, Demon Deacons were without Frank Clark who is working his way back in condition. He's a huge compliment to DJ Burns. WF is coming off competitive loss to Miami and desperately need a signature win if they have aspirations for postseason play. WF 11-5 ATS off a SU loss while NC State a money burning 9-23 ATS off a SU win. WF the call.
|
02-21-23 |
Miami-FL +2 v. Virginia Tech |
|
76-70 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 5 m |
Show
|
Miami Fla/Virginia Tech 7:00: Tech showing a level of inconsistency alternating wins and losses since January 28th. Meanwhile, Hurricanes on a nice six game winning streak starting with their home win over Virginia Tech. Tech starting to crack down defensively but can't keep pace with the athletic Hurricanes. Pack and Wong lighting it up. 'Canes 24-8 ATS as a traveler against a home team with winning percentage above .600. And they're 4-0 ATS off a 90+ point game. Miami Florida the call.
|
02-21-23 |
Tennessee v. Texas A&M -1 |
|
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 41 m |
Show
|
Tennessee/Texas A&M 7:00: These teams going into the opposite direction. Tennessee has lost 3 of their last 4 games while the Aggies are undefeated in February. Aggies going into this one still hungry; after all, they're seeking triple revenge while catching the struggling Vols at the right time. Aggies have them on their dominant home floor tonight. Look for Buzz Williams' boys to get er done.
|
02-20-23 |
Kansas +2.5 v. TCU |
|
63-58 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
Kansas/TCU 9:00: Miles' return made a huge difference for TCU as the Horned Frogs blew by Oklahoma State Saturday. In the meantime, Kansas overcame a double-digit deficit vs Baylor with a dominant second half to cruise to victory. Kansas looking to avenge its earlier season home loss to TCU and should deliver. TCU sports a 2-6 record following a 100 or more-point performance. And they're an underwhelming 4-9 ATS on Mondays. Self is revving up his Jayhawks for post-season play on a 4-0 ATS run. Road team in this series is 7-2 ATS and the dog is 4-1 ATS. Kansas the call.
|
02-19-23 |
Georgetown v. Butler -5 |
|
68-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
Georgetown/Butler 3:00: Hinkle Fieldhouse not an easy place to play for any team. Georgetown, the bottom feeder of the Big East, will find a way to lose again. Butler won at Georgetown New Year's Day and should deliver again today.
|
02-19-23 |
Memphis +14 v. Houston |
Top |
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
Memphis/Houston 3:00: Memphis has been a major thorn in the side of Houston. Tigers have covered 7 of last 8 in this series. Tigers pumped up to avenge conference tournament loss last March. We'll look for the Tigers to stick around here.
|
02-19-23 |
Manhattan +5 v. Fairfield |
|
73-72 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 44 m |
Show
|
Manhattan/Fairfield 2:00: Manhattan not as bad as their record indicates. They've been money on the road where they are consistently competitive. They've had success vs Fairfield including an outright earlier this season. Fairfield doesn't have the offensive firepower to thrash through teams. We'll take the points with the Jaspers.
|
02-18-23 |
Villanova v. Providence -3.5 |
|
72-85 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-18-23 |
Baylor v. Kansas -5 |
|
71-87 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-18-23 |
Oklahoma +11 v. Texas |
|
83-85 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
02-18-23 |
Wake Forest v. Miami-FL -7 |
|
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-23 |
Manhattan +17.5 v. Iona |
|
60-71 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-23 |
Wizards v. Wolves OVER 235 |
|
114-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 14 m |
Show
|
Wizards/Wolves 8:10: Heavy "over" trends on this one and it being the last game before the All-Star break gives us extra value. These teams are checking out defensively and we'll look for the "over" to hit.
|
02-15-23 |
Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 238.5 |
|
111-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
02-15-23 |
Pistons v. Celtics OVER 223.5 |
|
109-127 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-23 |
Kansas v. Oklahoma State |
|
87-76 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
02-11-23 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -6 |
|
64-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-11-23 |
Alabama v. Auburn +3 |
|
77-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-23 |
Iowa v. Purdue OVER 149 |
|
73-87 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
02-08-23 |
Oklahoma +9.5 v. Baylor |
|
72-82 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-23 |
Auburn +3.5 v. Texas A&M |
|
78-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Auburn/Texas A&M 7:00: Saturday, Auburn played lights out defensively by holding the Vol's to 28% from the floor; unfortunately, their shooting was atrocious: 24%/11% from floor/3 point range. Meanwhile, the Aggies are coming off a home blowout win over Georgia. Aggies haven't been good off SU wins (0-4 ATS) let alone a 20+ blowout in which they're 9-24-1 ATS. Pearl's bunch has been strong off losses at 4-0 ATS and covered 5 straight road tilts. Not much of a falloff in offensive and defensive production for the Tigers as a traveler. They're looking to avenge January 25th 79-63 loss at home. Road team is 13-4 ATS in this series. Grab the points!
|
02-06-23 |
Texas v. Kansas -3.5 |
|
80-88 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
Texas/Kansas 9:00: Texas hasn't missed a beat since Chris Beard was fired earlier this year. They're coming off a huge revenge win at Kansas State which surely took a lot of them in the dramatic late game comeback. Meanwhile, Bill Self's Jayhawks got worked at a strong venue in Iowa State. Self not used to being in this position this late in the season; however, if any coach can straighten his team out and step it up in February, it's Self. We'll put our money on him in this spot.
|
02-06-23 |
Duke v. Miami-FL -3.5 |
|
59-81 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 54 m |
Show
|
Duke/Miami Fla 7:00: Miami should avenge earlier season loss at Duke. Small but super athletic 'Canes very dangerous on their home floor. Duke is coming off a huge win against area rival NC. Duke a solid defensive team on paper; however, on the road allow a generous 70.3 PPG; consequently, that contributes to their 1-6 ATS road slide. Look for the Hurricanes to deliver here.
|
02-04-23 |
Oregon +1 v. Arizona State |
|
75-70 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
02-04-23 |
North Carolina +3.5 v. Duke |
|
57-63 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
02-04-23 |
Texas v. Kansas State +1.5 |
|
69-66 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
02-04-23 |
Florida State -5 v. Louisville |
|
81-78 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
Florida State/Louisville 2:00: Florida State has covered 6 straight in this series and there is no reasonable reason to fade them here. 'Noles coming off a beatdown at NC State should bounce back strong; after all, they're 8-1 ATS off a SU loss and 4-0 ATS on Saturdays. They played well in recent road tilts at Pittsburgh and ND. Louisville, the bottom feeder of the league, is offensively inept averaging 62.7 PPG. They're feeling good off a win over GT. But winning is not sustainable for this team: 8-22-1 ATS off a SU win. Take Fla State
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02-04-23 |
Michigan State +4.5 v. Rutgers |
|
55-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-23 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -7.5 |
|
65-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-23 |
Towson +3 v. Hofstra |
|
72-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
|
Towson/Hofstra 7:00: Towson has gotten the best of Hofstra recently. They've won 3 straight primarily because they've beaten them on the glass. That's what Towson does. They defensively lock you down and establish great rebounding position. They're great at defense and rebounding. On the other hand, Hofstra is not! Hofstra is in the lower tier in both categories. Road team in this series is 12-4-1 ATS and we'll stay with the road strong Tigers.
|
01-30-23 |
Virginia v. Syracuse +5.5 |
|
67-62 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
01-30-23 |
Virginia v. Syracuse UNDER 132.5 |
|
67-62 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
01-28-23 |
Alabama v. Oklahoma +5.5 |
|
69-93 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Oklahoma 2:00: Oklahoma has hit a rough patch - losing 4 of its last 5 games - coming off blowout loss at TCU. Look for Moser to have his men motivated here. Oklahoma won this game outright as 8-point dogs back in January 2021. Alabama is rolling but overdue for a slide and it should come here. Need Sherfield to get busy after halftime. Look for his confidence to come back here.
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01-24-23 |
Celtics +1.5 v. Heat |
|
95-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-23 |
Kansas +2.5 v. Baylor |
|
69-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
01-18-23 |
Oklahoma +2.5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
56-72 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma/Oklahoma State 9:00: Cowboys have lost 3 of their last 4 conference games and really struggling offensively. No consistent step up guy for Cowboys. Sometimes it's Boone, sometimes Thompson, sometimes Anderson. The offensively challenged Cowboys should be stifled by Moser's always tough defense. Oklahoma, offensively challenged itself, but has that playmaker in Sherfield. Edge to visiting team here which sports a 7-1 ATS mark on the road vs winning teams.
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01-17-23 |
Creighton v. Butler +7.5 |
|
73-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-23 |
Yale +2.5 v. Cornell |
|
82-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 46 m |
Show
|
Yale/Cornell 5:00: Not convinced Cornell is the better team here despite their record and home dominance. They're flawed defensively (280th) and not a good rebounding team. Yale plays sound defense (8th in the nation) and a respectable scoring team with good shot selection at 47.4%. Yale pounds the glass hard with Knowling and Jarvis. Yale has a good history of winning on Fridays and has done well at this arena. They're 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road tilts. We'll grab the Bulldogs here.
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01-12-23 |
Utah +12.5 v. UCLA |
|
49-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
01-11-23 |
Mississippi State v. Georgia +2.5 |
|
50-58 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 30 m |
Show
|
Mississippi/Georgia 6:30: Analysis to follow...
|
01-10-23 |
Oklahoma +10 v. Kansas |
|
75-79 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
01-05-23 |
Maryland v. Rutgers UNDER 131.5 |
|
50-64 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
Maryland/Rutgers 6:30: Both of these teams are offensively challenged in the bottom tier of the NCAA in shooting. What separates these teams is Rutgers' strength on the offensive glass and their +4.7-turnover margin. Maryland is not a great rebounding team but not that opportunistic at -1 turnover margin. But both of these teams can flat out play defense. Rutgers a top tier defensive team that's even more stifling at home - allowing just 50.2 PPG. MD, which averages a paltry 61.3 PPG, is 11 points worse on the road. MD, which got pummeled in Michigan on January 1st, is 0-4 O/U off a SU loss of 20+. They're 0-4 O/U last 4 on road. Rutgers is 1-4 O/U vs a winning team above .600. This series has gone under three straight times. "Under" the call.
|
12-14-22 |
UCLA v. Maryland -1.5 |
|
87-60 |
Loss |
-118 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
UCLA/MD 9:00: MD off two straight losses should end the skid here. The Terps are now facing their 4th straight ranked opponent and the hardened schedule will surely pay dividends. Defensive oriented Wisconsin and Tennessee were able to slow the Terps down on the road, but the Terps can get back to a higher tempo vs the prolific scoring UCLA Bruins. Bruins have faced a relatively light schedule, and this will be only their second true road game. Terps are 9-1 ATS on their home floor and we'll grab them here.
|
12-13-22 |
Memphis +7 v. Alabama |
|
88-91 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
Memphis/Alabama 9:00: Alabama with an impressive win on the road over then #1 Houston on Saturday. That was the second #1 team they knocked off this year. The other was NC on November 27th. After that win, they did not cover the big number (19) at home vs South Dakota State. They find themselves in for another tough outing here; after all, Memphis is coming off with an impressive win over a very good Auburn team on a neutral floor. Kendrie Davis and Williams are big time athletes for the Tigers. And they have great support from a deep bench. Tigers are ultra-competitive vs very good teams; as a matter of fact, they're 13-4 ATS vs teams above .600. Good situation for the Tigers where they're 4-1 ATS on the road off 3+ home games. Tide has not been a good money winner under Oats. 10-22-2 ATS slide, 6-14 ATS off a SU win, and just 5-15 ATS at home. Take Hardaway's athletic bunch and the points!
|
12-09-22 |
Kings v. Cavs UNDER 222.5 |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
Sacramento/Cleveland 7:40: This series is 1-5 O/U in its last 5, including 0-2 O/U at Cleveland. Surely, Donovan Mitchell adds a new offensive dimension to the Cavaliers this season, but he fits in schematically defensively. Cavaliers the #1 defensive team in the NBA allowing 104.9 PPG. Sacramento, on the other hand, is the #2 offensive team in the NBA led by De'aaron Fox. Kings lose ground defensively (allow 116 PPG), however, but defensive minded Brown constantly reinforces defensive technique. Kings are 1-5 O/U on the road vs teams with winning records. Cavs on an 0-6 O/U run and 0-6 O/U after opponent scores 100+. We'll stay under here.
|
12-07-22 |
Michigan State v. Penn State -4 |
|
67-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
|
Michigan State/Penn State 6:30: Michigan State running out of gas early. They've already had a rough very competitive traveling schedule, then came off a tournament where they went a respectable 2-1, then got blown out at ND and got upset at home to Northwestern on December 4th. They've had some injuries to key players (Akins and Hall). Now they have to travel to a pretty strong Penn State venue. Nittany Lions (6-2) are off a double OT loss at Clemson on November 29th. They've had time to prep and deliver. Lions are dangerous from the perimeter launching 12 per game at a 40% clip. Lions are 6-0 ATS off a SU loss and on a sweet 21-7-1 ATS run. We'll give them the edge here at Bryce Jordan Center.
|
12-06-22 |
St. Louis v. Iona +1.5 |
|
62-84 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
St. Louis/Iona 7:00: These teams went at it last year with the Billikens sneaking by 68-67 in St. Louis. Iona covered the 3'-point spread. Pitino looks to avenge that defeat today in NY. The Gaels are on an 18-0 SU run at the Hynes Athletic Center, including 3-0 this season. Both teams play fast and score well in transition. Statistically, the Gaels are a bit better at it (16 PPG vs 14.5 PPG). This is the Billikens second true road game. They did compete well at Auburn November 27th losing 65-60 covering the 7 points. Gaels know what to expect and will be fired up for this one. They've picked up the tempo since leading scorer Slazinski (18 PPG) went down with appendicitis. Clayton Jr. headlines the show with two other double-digit scorers. Iona is better disciplined defensively and takes care of the ball - 4th Nationally in assist to turnover ratio (1.78). Take Iona.
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11-30-22 |
Kansas State v. Butler |
|
64-76 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 31 m |
Show
|
Kansas State/Butler 6:30: Both teams coming off tournaments overseas. Kansas won theirs in Cayman Island while Butler fell short in the Bahamas. Kansas has yet to lose a game this year and is talented under their first year HC Tang. Butler no pushover especially with Thad Matta now running the show. Matta has come full circle in his career beginning a very successful career at Butler before leaving to Xavier, then Ohio State and now back at Butler. Matta has an amazing career coaching record of 74% including multiple NCAA Tournament appearances, including a pair of Final Fours. He has talent to work with in Jayden Taylor and Chuck Harris. Butler has an amazing 67-2 SU mark at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Like their chances here in the Big East/Big 12 Battle. Butler the call.
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11-29-22 |
Maryland -12.5 v. Louisville |
|
79-54 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 15 m |
Show
|
Maryland/Louisville 7:00: Major mismatch. Two teams heading in opposite directions. #22 Maryland is ascending under new HC Kevin Willard while Louisville hitting the skids under first year HC Kenny Payne. Maryland scoring 83 PPG while allowing just 61.3 PPG en route to their 6-0 start. Louisville allowing a generous 72 PPG while scoring a measly 58.7 PPG (355th nationally). Only way Terps can't win and cover is if they sleep walk through this one. I doubt that will be the case since it is a nationally televised game (ACC/Big Ten Challenge). Julian Reese and company should dominate the paint. Maryland cruises.
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11-23-22 |
Pistons v. Jazz -11 |
|
125-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 22 m |
Show
|
Pistons/Jazz 9:10: Detroit has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and coming off a big upset at Denver Tuesday night but should find trouble here. Jazz are coming off a loss on Monday and catch the Pistons unrested. Detroit is not that deep of a team, especially with Cunningham (shin) out. Now they have to travel to another high-altitude venue in Utah. Utah is 5-2 ATS on 1 day rest, covered 4 straight vs team below .400, and covered 4 of their last 5 at home. Lay the wood.
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11-17-22 |
Nets v. Blazers -2 |
|
109-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
Nets/Blazers 10:10: Tale of two performers in opposite directions. Blazers an overachieving 10-4 SU/11-3 ATS while the underachieving Nets sinking 6-9 SU/5-9-1 ATS slide. Lillard remains a dominant shooting threat and has reliable scoring options. Durant, on the other hand, is surrounded by a mediocre lineup with limited scorers. And the Nets apparently forgot how to defend: Lakers torched them at 48.4% before the Kings lit them up like a torch on Tuesday to the tune of 60.2%. In that game, they were outscored in the paint 66-44. Blazers are 5-0 ATS on 1 day rest, and they're 10-2 ATS after opponent allows 100+ previously. Blazers the call.
|
06-16-22 |
Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 |
|
103-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Celtics 9:00: Celtics lost composure in Game 5 with turnovers and meltdowns (Smart) and the Warriors capitalized on it late to secure the win. Look for Boston to bounce back here; after all, they're 13-3 ATS off a SU loss, 8-2 ATS on 2 days rest. And they've been money on Thursdays at 5-0 ATS. Golden State just 6-13-2 ATS in the last 21 in this series and 1-3-1 ATS in Boston. Warriors won their playoff road game already but tough to follow up at this tough venue. We'll look for Boston to stay alive tonight.
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