Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-25-08 | LA Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | 84-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
3* Spurs -5
After being embarrassed in game 2 because of a fourth quarter collapse, I like the Spurs to bounce back very strong in this desperation game just as they did in game 3 against the Hornets. The Spurs are 22-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 15-4 ATS in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse since 1996, and 13-3 ATS in home games as a # 3 seed in the playoffs over the last 2 seasons. Take the resilient Spurs in game 3. |
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05-24-08 | Boston Celtics v. Detroit Pistons -5 | Top | 94-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Point Spread BLOWOUT of the Year on Pistons -5
Boston is yet to win a game in the 2008 NBA playoffs. If they couldn |
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05-23-08 | San Antonio Spurs +7 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 71-101 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major on Spurs +7
The Spurs went down 0-2 to the Hornets and came back to win that series, but they realize that the Lakers are a different animal. If Manu Ginobli does anything at all in game 1, the Spurs win rather easily. I like San Antonio to bounce back in game 2 to even this series. Even if they aren |
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05-22-08 | Detroit Pistons +4.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Line Mistake of the Year on Pistons +4.5
Now that Billups has a game under his belt after nearly a 2-week layoff and the rest of the Pistons got their feet wet after not playing for a week, I like Detroit's freshness to play to their benefit tonight against a Celtics team which has not had even one chance to let their legs recover. Detroit is 18-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season, busting out to score 98.5 ppg in these spots so I don't expect Boston to be able to hold them down again. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season, 12-3 ATS after allowing 90 points or less 3 straight games this season, and 14-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. Take the Pistons big tonight as I look for them to finally beat Boston on its home court. |
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05-21-08 | San Antonio Spurs v. LA Lakers -7.5 | 85-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
3* Lakers -7.5
The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and I fully expect that trend to continue. The Lakers are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Spurs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. If you remember right, the Spurs were crushed in all of their road games against the Hornets but one. We expect the same to be the case in game 1 of this series. |
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05-20-08 | Detroit Pistons v. Boston Celtics -4.5 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major Eastern Conference Finals Opener on Celtics -4.5
I like Boston to stay true to form and take care of business on its home floor. Detroit is 1-11 ATS in the conference finals over the last 3 seasons and 4-13 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 16-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season and 11-1 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Because Boston gets to play this game at home the quick turnaround won't be a factor at all. You'll see the Celtics on top of their game while the Pistons start out rusty. Lay the number. |
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05-19-08 | San Antonio Spurs +4.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | Top | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Game 7 Series Clincher on Spurs +4.5
Experience and freshness will help the Spurs take game 7 on the road to move into the Western Conference Finals. The Spurs exploded to a 19 point win facing elimination in game 6 and I like them to rise to the occasion again tonight. The Spurs have won 12 of the last 18 meetings between these teams and are a phenomenal 20-9 ATS in their last 29 with 3 or more days of rest. The Spurs are 24-14 ATS after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season and 60-36 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals since 1996. Expect San Antonio's best game of the playoffs tonight. |
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05-18-08 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8 v. Boston Celtics | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA on ABC Game of the Week on Cleveland Cavs +8
Cleveland is showing their best value of the series in Game 7 at Boston. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games and obviously 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Cleveland knows how to play the Celtics due to their tremendous defense that keeps the Cavs in every single ball game. They have been blown out just once in this series. Odds makers are expecting a blowout here, but they are badly mistaken. Take the Cavs on ABC this afternoon in Game 7. |
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05-16-08 | Los Angeles Lakers +4 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs GOTY on Lakers +4
Kobe and the Lakers will say goodbye to the Jazz in game 6 as I like Kobe's killer instinct to take over. The Lakers are 21-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season, 13-3 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and 14-4 ATS in road games off an home win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Neither of Utah's home wins came easy and with a chance for LA to close out this series, I like the Lakers to rise to the occasion to get the job done. |
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05-15-08 | New Orleans Hornets +7 v. San Antonio Spurs | 80-99 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
4* Major Do-or-Die GOTM on New Orleans Hornets +7
We have to take the points here as the Hornets are going to give it everything they have to try to finish off the Spurs in game 6. The Hornets are 20-5 ATS after 3 straight games forcing their opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season. The Hornets know they must force the Spurs into more mistakes tonight if they want to walk away victorious and that is something that Byron Scoot will be sure to address. The Spurs are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss and 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Hornets are 49-18-1 ATS in their last 68 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. You just might see the passing of the torch tonight, but this game is sure to be a nailbiter so we have to take the points. |
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05-14-08 | Cleveland Cavaliers +9 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Line Mistake of the Year on Cavs +9
Cleveland has a ton of confidence after beating the Celtics two straight to even the series. I expect a very close game like we saw in game 1 so we'll gladly take this 9-point gift from the books. The Cavs are an impressive 22-9 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game since 1996, losing these games by just 1.9 ppg on average. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, 5-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Boston, and the Underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. It is highly unlikely that the Celtics can keep Lebron in check again as I think his big 3-pointer and dunk in the closing minutes of game 4 will have him heading into this one with a lot of swagger. Bet the Cavs. |
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05-13-08 | San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Hornets -4 | 79-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major Massacre of the Month on Hornets -4
The Hornets return home off a blowout defeat in game 4. They'll be looking to return the favor to regain the series lead tonight. The Spurs are 3-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season and just 6-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. New Orleans is 10-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent this season and 9-1 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more this season. The Hornets are 30-16 ATS in all home games this season. Take the Bees tonight. |
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05-12-08 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 181 | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Major Game 4 "TOTAL" Domination Play on Celtics/Cavs UNDER 181
After playing terrible defense in game 3, I expect the Celtics to play much better defensively in game 4 and the result will be an UNDERS win. The Under is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 7-2 in Celtics last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, and 37-14 in Celtics last 51 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points, 12-2 in Cavaliers last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and 16-5 in Cavaliers last 21 home games. Take the UNDER. |
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05-11-08 | Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 115-123 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ABC Primetime GAME OF THE YEAR on Lakers +1.5
I really like the Lakers to bounce back in game 4 and hit the Jazz in the mouth. LA is a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent this season. The Lakers are also 18-5 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season. The Jazz |
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05-10-08 | Boston Celtics +2 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 84-108 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy on Eastern Conference Playoffs GOTY on Celtics +2
The Celtics are well aware of the problems they had on the road in round one, but they were the best road team in the NBA during the regular season and I expect them to return to form in round two against a Cavs team which has been stifled by the defense of the Celtics. The Cavs are 4-14 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 4-15 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 32-14 ATS after playing a home game this season, 34-15 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season, and 20-7 ATS after allowing 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1996. Boston does not want this series to turn into one like they had against the Hawks so expect the Celtics to come with a whole lot more defensive intensity here. Take Boston. |
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05-09-08 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz -4.5 | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy BEST BET on Jazz -4.5
First of all, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-20 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Utah is 15-5 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season, 7-0 ATS after a game where they were called for 10+ more fouls than opponent this season, and 7-0 ATS in home games on Friday nights this season. The Lakers are 8-22 ATS in road games after a game where they were called for 10+ less fouls than opponent since 1996. The Jazz know they need this one to still have a shot in this series. They were the best team in the league at home this season and they'll get the job done tonight. |
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05-08-08 | New Orleans Hornets v. San Antonio Spurs -7 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Semifinal GOTY on Spurs -7
The Spurs are not ready to pass the torch to this young Hornets squad without a dog fight. I fully expect San Antonio to bounce back in a big way here tonight. The Hornets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Spurs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 14-3-2 ATS in their last 19 playoff games as a favorite, and 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Pound the Spurs. |
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05-07-08 | Detroit Pistons v. Orlando Magic OVER 187 | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major Second Round Total of the Year on Pistons/Magic OVER 187
With the series shifting back to Orlando, we'll see some more scoring tonight as the Magic average 104.7 ppg at home on the season. The Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. The Over is 54-24-2 in the Magic's last 80 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5, 4-1 in the Magic's last 5 playoff games as a favorite, and 8-3 in the Magic's last 11 vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Over is 4-1 in the Pistons last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and also 8-3 in the Pistons last 11 vs. a team with a winning SU record. This is a desperation game for the Magic so they will leave it all out on the floor tonight. That means a higher scoring game for this team at home. Take the OVER. |
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05-05-08 | San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Hornets -2.5 | 84-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT GOTM on Spurs +2.5
The Spurs have won 11 of the last 16 games at New Orleans and 9 of the last 13 meetings the past 3 seasons. After a terrible performance by Tim Duncan and company in game 1, I fully expect the defending champs to come storming back tonight. The Hornets are 21-39 ATS off a win against a division rival since 1996, losing these games by 1.3 ppg on average. The Spurs are 37-23 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 6.5 ppg on average. San Antonio is also 91-63 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season since 1996, winning in these spots by 3.1 ppg on average. I like the Spurs outright here so we'll take the points for some insurance. |
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05-05-08 | San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 182.5 | 84-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
3* Spurs/Hornets UNDER 182.5
A play on the Under on Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season is 43-15 UNDER the last 5 seasons. The Spurs are 17-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 15-2 UNDER in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. New Orleans is 17-6 UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Take the Under. |
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05-04-08 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics -14.5 | 65-99 | Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show | |
3* Boston -14.5
With wins of 23, 19, and 25 points at home in this series, Boston has really put the hurt on the Hawks in front of its home crowd and I like the same to happen again here. There's no way that this stacked Boston team wants to go down in history known as the greatest choke of all-time so I full expect the big 3 to rise to the occasion. Boston is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. Atlanta is 4-14 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season and 3-11 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Boston is 30-14 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Take the Celtics. |
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05-03-08 | San Antonio Spurs +3 v. New Orleans Hornets | Top | 82-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Second Round GOTY on Spurs +3
The Spurs will waste no time showing the Hornets that they aren't ready to pass the torch yet. The Spurs have won 11 of their last 15 games at New Orleans. I think the rest will have done this veteran Spurs team more of a favor than the younger Hornets who have now lost some of their momentum. The Spurs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this matchup. Take the Spurs to win Game 1. |
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05-02-08 | Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -7.5 | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
3* Utah -7.5
After being brutally embarrassed in game 5, I like the Jazz to come storming back at home tonight. Utah is 19-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season, 17-5 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons, and 18-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Utah is a perfect 9-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season, and 11-2 ATS revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more this season. Take the Jazz in this bounce back spot. |
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05-02-08 | Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 105-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Elimination GOTY on Cleveland +3.5
The Cavs let game 5 slip away against an Arenas-less Wizards team. They won't let it happen again in game 6. Cleveland is 26-12 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, 17-7 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, and 22-11 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 1-10 ATS in home games after a combined score of 175 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Outside of one game, Cleveland has dominated the tempo in this series. Lebron will not be denied tonight. Take the points. |
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05-01-08 | Detroit Pistons -5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 100-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
3* Pistons -5.5
The Pistons have fooled around long enough in this series and they know it's time to move on into round two. I expect a suffocating defensive effort to take them there tonight. Detroit is 15-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season, 16-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this season, 16-5 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season, and 21-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season period. Take Detroit. |
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04-30-08 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics -14 | 85-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major on Boston -14
Boston will say enough is enough tonight and really drive the 76ers into the ground. The Hawks are just 12-31 on the road this season and I fully expect to see the same result we saw in games 1 and 2. Boston is 14-5 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season, 15-5 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season, and 19-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season. The Hawks are 4-13 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season and 6-16 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. After Atlanta taking 2 in a row, oddsmakers are trying to get bettors to jump on the Hawks catching points here, but we won't bite. Lay the number. |