04-15-13 |
New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats -107 |
Top |
95-106 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats pk Bottom Line: The Knicks have wrapped up the #2 seed in the East and are now content with calling off the dogs until the postseason begins. Carmelo Anthony, among other key players, is expected to sit this one out. The Bobcats are trying to build some momentum for next season and definitely want to notch their 20th win of the season. While the road has been hard on them all year, they have won 6 of their last 8 at home. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus Atlantic division opponents. Also, the Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
04-14-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 196.5 |
Top |
86-91 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Lakers OVER 196.5 Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to the Kobe Bryant injury as these two have combined for 213, 218 and 203 total points in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Lakers are 4-0 OVER in their last 4 and have scored at least 100 points in 9 of their last 11 games. The Spurs have given up an average of 98.5 in their last 4 games. I like L.A. to score enough to push this one over even without Bryant.
|
04-13-13 |
Phoenix Suns +5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
93-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +5 Bottom Line: The Suns will be out for some serious revenge for a 31-point home loss they were handed by Minnesota last month, and they should from having the last 2 days off. Minnesota, meanwhile, will have taking the floor for the second time in as many nights and the fourth time in five days. History shows you should play against home favorites that have lost 4 of their last 5 games if they are in the second game of a back-to-back because doing so has turned in a 50-22 ATS result the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have laid an average of 5.0 points, but they have won by only 1.3 points on average.
|
04-12-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trail Blazers +10 |
|
106-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +10 Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 6 of their last 8 are 38-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Blazers are clearly being undervalued because of their losing streak and have a good opportunity to earn a cover against a fatigued OKC squad that is playing its 3rd road game in 4 days.
|
04-12-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Hornets +9 |
|
96-93 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +9 Bottom Line: The Hornets have lost 2 straight to the Clippers since winning the first meeting of the season, but they are 34-20 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge.
|
04-12-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
104-109 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +6.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks can't be trusted laying this many points at home where they are 14-23 ATS on the season and 0-5 ATS in their last 5. Also, Atlanta is a soft 36-55 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
|
04-12-13 |
New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
|
101-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavs +5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Knicks, who just lost a tough overtime game in Chicago last night. They'll have a very tough time bouncing back here against a much fresher Cleveland club. NY is a soft 2-14 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
|
04-12-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers -5.5 |
Top |
117-109 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Pacers -5.5 Bottom Line: With an opportunity to lock up the No. 3 seed in the East, I fully expect the Pacers to have their revenge against the Nets. The Nets have won this season's two prior meetings but you want to fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 2 consecutive games against an opponent if they check in off an upset win in division play. That's because teams fitting these parameters are just 8-54 SU & 17-44-1 ATS the last 17 seasons. The Pacers have had 2 full days to gear up for this one. They are at home where they are 30-9 on the season, and they are the fresher, more motivated side. Pound the Pacers!
|
04-11-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +4 |
|
116-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Warriors +4 Bottom Line: Golden State isn't getting the respect it deserves at home where it is 27-12 on the season, especially since the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Warriors won the season's prior home meeting by 5 points and lost by just 3 points the previous time they hosted the Thunder. The Warriors are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600.
|
04-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls +5 |
|
111-118 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5 Bottom Line: Bulls have won 4 straight against the Knicks by 4 or more, including all 3 meetings this season, and aren't about to lay down here after an ugly home loss to Toronto. Nothing has ignited the Bulls like losing on their home floor. They are 22-8 ATS all-time under Tom Thibodeau following a home defeat, winning in these spots by an average of 10.0 points.
|
04-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191 |
Top |
111-118 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 191 Bottom Line: After a stretch where the Bulls held 4 straight opponents to 94 points or less, they have given up 99+ the last 2 games and lost them both as a result. They gave up 101 at home to Toronto last game which is uncharacteristic considering the Bulls have allowed an average of only 90.3 at home this season. Their recent losses actually play in our favor as Chicago is 19-6 UNDER since Tom Thibodeau took over at home if its enters with losses in 2 of its last 3 games. The Bulls have held their opponent to 88.0 points on average in these spots. We've seen total scores of 178 and 184 in the last two matchups between these teams in the United Center, and I expect another low-scoring one tonight in a game that should have a playoff feel.
|
04-10-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
86-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: With both teams well-rested and both playing for home court advantages in the playoffs, I expect to see a very intense playoff atmosphere that greatly favors the under. The Spurs have really picked up the "D", especially on the road where they are 6-0 under in their last 6. The under is also 2-0-2 in the Spurs' last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. It's also worth noting that the under is 3-0-1 in the Nuggets' last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 7-0-1 in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. We saw only 199 total points scored when these two last met March 27, and I expect this meeting to be lower scoring with the stakes ramped up even more. Pound the Under!
|
04-09-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +3.5 |
|
90-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Jazz +3.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz will want this game just a little bit more as they are in a dog fight for the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. They are 29-10 at home this season and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. They have also won their last 2 at home versus OKC by 7 and 15 points. Home court has been huge in this series as the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
04-09-13 |
Washington Wizards +9.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
99-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +9.5 Bottom Line: Off one of its biggest wins of the season and with a big showdown against the Bulls on deck, New York won't give Washington its full attention. Plus, the Knicks are being overvalued here due to their 12-game winning streak. I'll grab the points with a Washington team that continues to compete as it is 12-4 ATS on the road as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season.
|
04-07-13 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 |
Top |
96-91 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +3.5 Bottom Line: Dallas really can't afford any losses the rest of the way as it trails the Lakers by 3 games for the last playoff spot in the West. While the Mavs will be motivated, this is a tough spot for them as it's their 3rd game on the road in 4 days. The Blazers will be fresher, and I expect them to give Dallas all it wants and more. It has lost to the Mavs at home by more than 3 points only once in the last 7 meetings. Dallas is on a 24-37 ATS slide after covering the number in 2 of their last 3 games while Portland is on a 28-14 ATS run in home games after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3. Bet the Blazers.
|
04-06-13 |
Indiana Pacers -3.5 v. Washington Wizards |
|
85-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MOTIVATIONAL MISMATCH* on Pacers -3.5 Bottom Line: While last night's 22-point home loss to Oklahoma City is motivation enough, the Pacers can clinch their first Central Division title in nine years with a win. That's where the true motivation lies. The Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 9-0 in their last 9 versus Washington with these wins coming by an average of 9.8 points. It's also worth mentioning that the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
04-05-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 |
|
116-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +5.5 Bottom Line: The underdog is on a 6-1-1 ATS run in the series, and I expect this trend to continue. The Blazers have been without LaMarcus Aldridge, but he's expected to return tonight and I believe he'll give them a big lift. The Rockets have been overvalued against losing teams and are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games versus teams that have a losing record as a result. They have also failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road.
|
04-05-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns +8 |
|
111-107 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Suns +8 Bottom Line: Phoenix is 13-2 in its last 15 home games versus Golden State. Both of the losses came by only 2 points so the Suns are showing value here. Golden State is only 3-10 in its last 13 on the road and hasn't been on the road for a couple weeks so this is a difficult spot for the Warriors.
|
04-05-13 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings -2 |
|
117-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Kings -2 Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Dallas which blew a 4th-quarter lead and lost by a point at Denver last night. It will be mighty tough for the Mavs to picks themselves back up from that one. The Mavs have won the season's first 3 meetings but Sacramento is an impressive 112-78 ATS when playing with triple revenge since 1996.
|
04-05-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Indiana Pacers -2 |
|
97-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major Marquee Matchup on Pacers -2 Bottom Line: The Pacers have a big advantage in terms of fresh legs as they have had the last 3 days off while OKC played last night. The Pacers are a terrific 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Indiana is 29-8 at home which is worth mentioning since the Thunder are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
|
04-05-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
83-101 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks +7.5 Bottom Line: I love the Bucks catching a generous number as they have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 19 of the last 23 meetings in the series. Now that's a 19-4 trend I can get behind. The Bucks still haven't clinched a playoff spot but can do so tonight with a win and a little help so I expect them to be the more motivated side.
|
04-04-13 |
Dallas Mavericks +7 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
94-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +7 Bottom Line: The Mavs aren't getting nearly the respect they deserve here considering how badly they need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Plus, the road team has absolutely dominated this series, going 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The road team has won 7 of these SU with one of the losses coming by a single point. Dallas has won its last 2 in Denver by double digits, and I expect it to give the Nuggets a game tonight.
|
04-03-13 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -16 |
|
101-126 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers -16 Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points, but the Clippers have lost 3 in a row and will be ready to take out their frustrations on the Suns. Phoenix actually won the most recent meeting, but LA is 14-6 ATS this season when out for revenge for a defeat. The Clippers will be further motivated by an opportunity to set a franchise record for regular season wins. They can also clinch their first division title with a win and a loss by Golden State. Phoenix has packed it in. It's giving its young guys more minutes as it is already focused on next year.
|
04-03-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Boston Celtics -7.5 |
Top |
93-98 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Celtics -7.5 Bottom Line: The C's will be out for blood against a Pistons team that has defeated them 4 straight times. The Pistons enter off a road win, but they have been awful on the road this season. Consider that they are 1-8 ATS off a road win this season, losing in this situation by an average of 14.1 points. Plus, Boston is 20-9 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. Pound Boston!
|
04-03-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -3.5 |
|
78-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Major Home Court *POWER PLAY* on Raptors -3.5 Bottom Line: Major home court advantage in play here as the home team is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Toronto is 5-1 in its last 6 home meetings in the series.
|
04-02-13 |
Dallas Mavericks +3 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
81-101 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Mavs +3 Bottom Line: Dallas has been playing better basketball down the stretch, and I don't see LA getting enough stops to get the job done here. The Mavs are 12-3 ATS the last 2 seasons in the second half of the season versus poor defensive teams that give up 99.0 ppg or more. The Lakers are constantly overvalued at home, especially against teams that have losing records. They are just 3-15 ATS in home games in the second half of the season versus teams with a losing record the last 3 seasons.
|
04-01-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Los Angeles Clippers -4 |
|
109-106 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers -4 Bottom Line: The Clippers won and covered easily at Indiana in the season's first meeting and are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 versus Central division foes. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Indiana is only 4-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It has lost these by an average of 6.5 points.
|
04-01-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 v. Utah Jazz |
Top |
102-112 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Blazers +9.5 Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot and revenge spot for Portland, which lost Friday to Utah and was crushed Saturday by Golden State. Plays on road underdogs that are coming off a lopsided defeat of at least 20 points and are matched up against a team that has hit the century mark in 4 straight games are 50-26 (66%) ATS since 1996. These teams have faced an average line of 9.8 points but have lost by only 6.6 on average. Looks like this number is about 3 points off the mark.
|
03-31-13 |
Boston Celtics +7 v. New York Knicks |
|
89-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major Atlantic Division *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7 Bottom Line: The Celtics are being undervalued here considering they have won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 18 of the last 20 meetings in the series. Now that's an 18-2 trend I can get behind. They've lost the last 2 in the series and were embarrassed in Boston Tuesday so they will be motivated to say the least. Take the points as the Celtics take the Knicks down to the wire.
|
03-31-13 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs -108 |
Top |
88-86 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs pk Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 4th road game this week. That's a lot of ball and a lot of travel without much rest. The Spurs have been home since last Sunday night and have played only 2 games this week. They will be the fresher side. San Antonio will be lacking no confidence following back-to-back wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. The Spurs have beaten just about everyone at home where they are an impressive 32-4 on the season. They are 12-1 in their last 13 at home against the Heat, winning the last 2 home meetings in the series by 30 points. Pound San Antonio!
|
03-30-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Phoenix Suns +10 |
|
112-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Suns +10 Bottom Line: The value lies with the Suns as home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 68-34 ATS (67%) since 1996 if they're matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 5 of its last 7 games. This system is surefire evidence of the way oddsmakers over inflate lines for hot teams against cold ones.
|
03-30-13 |
Brooklyn Nets +4.5 v. Utah Jazz |
|
107-116 |
Loss |
-113 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nets +4.5 Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade the Jazz. They have won 3 in a row and have covered the number in each of their last 6, but they take a big step up in competition tonight. Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, are 31-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season.
|
03-30-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -107 |
|
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rockets pk Bottom Line: I locked in the Rockets on the money line but would not be surprised at all if they end up as a small home dog by the time this one closes. I like Houston here regardless because I feel this is a flat spot for LA as it is coming off a tough loss in San Antonio and is playing its 4th game in 5 days. In case the Rockets ended up catching points, I should mention that they are 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I should also mention that the Clippers are 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less this season.
|
03-30-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Dallas Mavericks -4 |
Top |
98-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Mavericks -4 Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to fall flat on their faces here after an epic win over Miami. The Mavs will be out for blood after getting pummeled by the Pacers. They need this game because they are 1.5 games out of the #8 spot in the West. The Mavericks are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Pound Dallas.
|
03-29-13 |
Utah Jazz v. Portland Trail Blazers -3 |
|
105-95 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trail Blazers -3 Bottom Line: Utah can't be trusted on the road where it has lost its last 9. The Jazz are 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season, losing by an average of 10.0 points in this situation. The Jazz lost the most recent meeting in Portland by 6 and are 9-21 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to and opponent the last 2 seasons.
|
03-29-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Denver Nuggets -6.5 |
|
87-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nuggets -6.5 Bottom Line: Denver has been tough as nails at home where it is 24-11 ATS this season. They are 14-4 ATS on the season at home where matched up against a team with a winning record and have won by an average of 9.4 points in this situation. The Nets are a soft 12-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
|
03-29-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves +8 |
|
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major on T-Wolves +8 Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are playing their best basketball since early in the season. They lost a tough one to the Lakers Wednesday but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. They have a win over the Thunder at home earlier in the season, and not has come easy for OKC in the Twin Cities. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
03-29-13 |
Miami Heat v. New Orleans Hornets +7 |
|
108-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +7 Bottom Line: I don't believe Miami will be over Wednesday's loss to the Bulls yet. It really wanted the record and coming up short puts it in a letdown spot. The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Also, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-29-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 |
Top |
94-103 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -4.5 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their first two this week after concluding last week with a win over Boston, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. They have won by an average of 9.4 points in these spots. Also, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Rockets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. Pound the Grizz.
|
03-28-13 |
Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns +2 |
Top |
117-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +2 Bottom Line: The Suns have owned the Kings in Phoenix where they are 12-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Kings won at Golden State last night, but they are still just 7-30 on the road. Plus, that win sets them up for a major letdown as it was their first of the entire season on the road versus a winning team. The Kings will be feeling pretty good about themselves, and I believe they'll already be looking ahead to Saturday's matchup with the Lakers. Suns continue their home dominance in the series tonight.
|
03-28-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Milwaukee Bucks +1.5 |
|
103-113 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Bucks +1.5 Bottom Line: Very tough spot for the short-handed Lakers, who just played last night and are playing their 3rd road games in 4 days. The Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Lakers are 21-44-1 ATS in their last 66 games versus a team with a losing record, 17-39 ATS in their last 56 games following a win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Lakers are also 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. The underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Milwaukee just played last night too, but it has a deeper bench and this is just its 2nd game in 4 days.
|
03-27-13 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls +5.5 |
|
97-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Bulls +5.5 Bottom Line: Miami's 27-game run very well could come to an end tonight. The Heat have been down by double digits against 4 of their last 5 opponents but have been able to flip a switch. It will be much harder to flip that switch against a Bulls team that is capable of playing championship-caliber defense. The Bulls won at Miami earlier this season but were beat badly at home in the most recent meeting, which will provide added incentive. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus teams from the East.
|
03-27-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Oklahoma City Thunder -13 |
|
80-103 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major *BIG CHALK BLOWOUT* on Thunder -13 Bottom Line: This is a game OKC wants badly. The Thunder were defeated in Washington in the first meeting and will be out for some cold, hard revenge as a result. The Thunder are 13-4 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. The Thunder kicked Portland by 20 points last time out and are 12-4 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.
|
03-27-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
120-117 |
Loss |
-101 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers -4.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers will be lacking no motivation following 3 consecutive defeats that have shrunk their lead over Utah for the 8th spot in the West to one game. I'll gladly take them against Minnesota in this motivated spot as they are 21-0 in their last 21 against the Wolves, winning these games by an average of 11.9 points. Minnesota just earned a road win last night but hasn't won back-to-back games since mid-December. Pound LA.
|
03-27-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +1 v. New York Knicks |
|
101-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major Non-Conference *POWER PLAY* on Grizzlies +1 Bottom Line: Memphis will be the fresher and hungrier team tonight. The Grizzlies have had a day off and will be motivated by Monday's poor showing against the Wizards. The Knicks will be playing on consecutive days and enter this one feeling good about themselves following a big win over divisional rival Boston. The Grizzlies beat the Knicks by 10 in the season's first meeting clear back in November, but plays against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent that's coming off a road loss are 109-64 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
03-26-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks +1 |
Top |
102-109 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Bailout on Mavericks +1 Bottom Line: The Mavs are showing good value at home catching a point against LA considering they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home in the series. These 10 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. The Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Pound the Mavs.
|
03-26-13 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics -2 |
|
100-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2 Bottom Line: Boston has lost 4 in a row, but 3 of these losses were on the road and the other came to the Miami Heat in a game that it should have won. Betting against Boston at home hasn't been an option lately. The Celtics are 11-1 SU & ATS in their last 12 home games with notable wins over the Heat, Clippers, Lakers, Nuggets and Bulls during this run. Lay the deuce.
|
03-25-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +1 v. Golden State Warriors |
|
103-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Lakers +1 Bottom Line: The Lakers will be very motivated after back-to-back defeats, especially since they were called out by D'Antoni after blowing an 18-point second-half lead in Friday's 103-100 home loss to Washington. They should be the much fresher team tonight as they have played just once in the last 6 days. It's also to their benefit that Stephen Curry is banged up with an ankle injury that should limit him if he is indeed able to go. The Lakers have won the season's first two meetings and 18 of the last 19. Take LA.
|
03-25-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. New Orleans Hornets +6.5 |
Top |
86-110 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +6.5 Bottom Line: After getting humiliated in Denver in the first two matchups of the season, the Hornets will be hungry tonight. They are on an impressive 32-17 ATS run when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. They've lost in this situation on average but only by 3.2 points. New Orleans gives the Nuggets all they want here. Pound the Hornets.
|
03-25-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Washington Wizards +3 |
|
94-107 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards +3 Bottom Line: Washington has been undervalued against quality competition at 22-10 ATS on the season versus opponents with a winning record. The Wizards are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and the home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. I like Washington outright in this one but will take the points for insurance.
|
03-24-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers +3 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
117-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on 76ers +3 Bottom Line: The 76ers will be very motivated here because they have lost 15 in a row on the road. They will also be fresher than Sacramento as they will be playing on 2 days' rest while the Kings just played in Denver last night. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
|
03-24-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 |
|
104-97 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Surefire on T-Wolves -2 Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bulls following last night's win over Indiana. Plus, Chicago is expected to be without Joakim Noah, arguably its best player. T-Wolves have won 3 of their last 4 at home with a decisive win over the Spurs during this stretch. Chicago has dropped 5 of its last 6 on the road. Lay the deuce.
|
03-24-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +1.5 |
Top |
95-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets +1.5 Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with the Rockets at home. They have won 10 of 12 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 at home versus San Antonio with the loss coming in OT in a game where James Harden did not play. Houston has been a home dog of 6 or fewer points 10 times since the beginning of last season and has covered the number in 9 of these matchups while winning outright by an average of 2.3 points.
|
03-24-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 |
|
104-99 |
Loss |
-101 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -2.5 Bottom Line: Milwaukee has lost the season's first two meetings, but plays on home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are playing with double revenge against an opponent coming off a home loss by 10 points or more are 67-33 ATS since 1996.
|
03-23-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls -3.5 |
Top |
84-87 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Bulls -3.5 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to lay the small number with the Bulls here as home faves of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that is coming off a win of at least 20 points against a divisional foe are 46-19 ATS the last 17 years. This system, which is 13-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, carries an average winning margin of 8.6 points. Since Thibodeau took over, the Bulls have responded well following any loss at home. They've lost their last 2 at home so I expect them to play inspired tonight. Chicago is 21-8 ATS under coach Thibs following a home loss, winning by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. Pound the Bulls.
|
03-22-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Atlanta Hawks -7.5 |
Top |
104-93 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -7.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Blazers which are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Hawks were at home resting yesterday, and they'll go after this one hard knowing their next 4 are on the road. Portland has been awful on the road this season. It had lost 10 of 11 on the road before last night's 10-point win in Chicago. Don't expect the Blazers to build on that win as they are 2-14 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. The Blazers have also dropped their last 4 in Atlanta by an average of 8.5 points.
|
03-21-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers +14 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
100-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +14 Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more and are up against an opponent that has had a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Teams in this scenario have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have been defeated by just an average of 9.0 points. This system is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over the Thunder while the 76ers are in bounce-back mode following a humiliating loss to the Clippers.
|
03-20-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs -8 |
|
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs -8 Bottom Line: The Spurs are well rested (had last 3 days off) and hungry as they were defeated in Golden State the last time these two met. I like them to have their revenge at home where they have won 28 in a row in the series by 17.0 point on average.
|
03-20-13 |
Orlando Magic +11 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
94-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Year on Magic +11 Bottom Line: The Knicks have gone from being a 10.5-point underdog at Utah last game to being an 11-point favorite at home. That's one of the biggest line jumps you'll ever see and it's not warranted. Carmelo Anthony returns to the lineup, but the Knicks did not perform well the last time he returned after sitting out several games. In fact, they were blown out by 29 at Golden State. Melo's return throws a hitch in the giddy-up of New York. Orlando was crushed in Indiana last night but will have no problem getting up for this one as they have lost the season's first three meetings and will be motivated to avoid the sweep. The Magic are 26-15 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Pound Orlando.
|
03-20-13 |
Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers +11.5 |
|
98-95 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavs +11.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami playing its third road game in four days, especially since it enters off an emotionally and physically draining game against Boston. The Heat are just 1-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite during their winning streak.
|
03-19-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Sacramento Kings +9.5 |
|
101-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +9.5 Bottom Line: The Kings have lost the season's first two matchups by double digits. However, they are 13-2 ATS lifetime under coach Smart when out for revenge for 2 straight losses of 10 points or more to a foe. They have lost in this spot on average but only by 2.8 points. Plus, Kings have won or lost by fewer than 8 points in each of their last 8 at home.
|
03-19-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -9 |
Top |
114-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -9 Bottom Line: The Thunder were upset in Denver earlier this month on a last second shot. You can bet that defeat hasn't been sitting well. OKC typically responds following such losses. It is 8-1 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for an upset loss on the road. It has won by an average of 12.8 points in these contests.
|
03-18-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns +3 |
Top |
76-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +3 Bottom Line: Not hesitating to grab the points with the home dog here considering the home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 10.75 points. The Suns are 3-0 at home during this stretch with wins of 12, 20 and 6. This veteran Lakers team just played yesterday while the more youthful Suns have had a day off. The extra rest helps the Suns here while vets like Nash, Jamison and World Peace struggle to be at the top of their game on consecutive nights.
|
03-18-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Hornets +3.5 |
|
93-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +3.5 Bottom Line: Hornets have lost the season's first two matchups but are 32-16 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge. Plus, Golden State is off a huge revenge win over Houston and has the Spurs on deck. In other words, look-ahead spot. Also can't ignore the Warriors' road woes. They're just 2-9 in their last 11 on the highway. Hornets should be the hungrier, more focused team tonight.
|
03-18-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls +4.5 |
|
119-118 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bulls +4.5 Bottom Line: Nuggets have reeled off 11 straight wins but just 4 of those came on the road and were all against sub-.500 competition. Nuggs haven't won on the road against a team with a winning record since Jan. 23. They're 15-19 away from home on the season with only six victories over teams that are currently .500 or better. Expect Denver's road struggles to continue considering how strong the home team has been in this series. The home team has won or lost by 4 points or less in 16 of the last 17 matchups.
|
03-18-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Charlotte Bobcats +7.5 |
|
114-119 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +7.5 Bottom Line: Bobcats are struggling but have won 2 of 3 versus Washington this season and Wizards are only 2-8 in L10 on the road. Plus, cold underdogs that have dropped 12 or more of their last 15 ATS and are up against a team that has won at least 4 of its last 6 ATS are 67-35 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been dogs of 7.9 points on average but have lost by only 3.4 on average.
|
03-17-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks +5 |
Top |
107-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +5 Bottom Line: The Thunder can't be trusted on the road laying this many points against a team playing as well as Dallas. The Thunder are 3-4 in their last 7 on the road with only 1 win coming by more than 4 points during this stretch. That was against lowly Charlotte. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss in this stretch coming by 1 point at San Antonio. Keep in mind OKC just lost by 12 at San Antonio. The Mavericks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. They've covered the number in 2 of 3 against OKC this season with one of those being a loss of only 3 points at home. The underdog is a potent 22-6-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Grab the points.
|
03-17-13 |
Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
108-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Warriors +7.5 Bottom Line: The Warriors have been incredibly resilient since Mark Jackson took over and instilled his grit and toughness. Golden just got whacked by Chicago and it has been taken out behind the woodshed 3 times by Houston this season. I expect the Warriors to be out for blood here as a result. Golden State is 25-12 ATS under Jackson in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. They have lost these contests on average but only by 2.6 points. Take the points in what should be a tight one.
|
03-16-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Utah Jazz -1.5 |
Top |
84-90 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Blowout on Jazz -1.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are in great position to blow this spread out of the water. The Grizzlies are coming off a tough loss in Denver last night and will be playing their fourth road contest in five days. Utah has had two days of rest, and it will be hungry for revenge after losing the season's first two meetings. The Jazz have been tough as nails at home once again this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 at home against the Grizzlies with those nine wins coming by an average of 15.9 points.
|
03-16-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Philadelphia 76ers +5 |
|
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on 76ers +5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Pacers playing their second game in as many night and third in four days. Plus, it's on the road where they are just 14-17 on the season. Philly enters this contest with confidence after giving Miami all it wanted and more last time out. It also enters rested as it has had the last two days off. Philly has lost the season's first two meetings and was embarrassed 88-69 when Indy visited last month. The 76ers, who have a winning record at home, should have an excellent chance to pull the upset as I fully expect them to take the Pacers down to the wire. The Pacers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on two days of rest. Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-16-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Boston Celtics -15.5 |
|
88-105 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big Chalk Blowout on Celtics -15.5 Bottom Line: Boston has Miami Monday but won't get caught looking ahead here. That's because the Celtics have lost their last two with Charlotte and were humiliated 100-74 at Charlotte Tuesday. Boston will be out for some serious revenge, and it should also be the much fresher side. The C's have had two days off while the Bobcats will be playing their second road game in as many days. Charlotte has lost its last six road games by an average of 22.7 with five of those losses coming by at least 17 points.
|
03-15-13 |
Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
86-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy on Cavaliers +7.5 Bottom Line: I love Cleveland's chances of keeping this one within the number considering it has had 2 days of rest and will be up against a team that just played last night. Plus, Dallas struggles on the defensive end and Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season in road games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99.0 points or more per game. Dallas like to play uptempo but the Cavs have shown they can hang with such teams, even on the road. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS this season in road games versus uptempo teams that average 83 or more shots per game. No Kyrie Irving, but Cleveland will be the much fresher side.
|
03-15-13 |
New Orleans Hornets +4 v. Washington Wizards |
|
87-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +4 Bottom Line: The Wizards are a dismal 3-12 ATS the last 2 seasons as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Also, the Hornets are a potent 17-4 ATS the last 2 seasons off a road loss of 10 points or more. Washington is getting a little too much respect here against a Hornets side that has bounced-back well.
|
03-15-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +10 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
99-93 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Lakers +10 Bottom Line: Fading double-digit home favorites that exploded for 60 points or more in the first half of their last game, as long as they give up 91 ppg or less on the season, has produced a 35-11 ATS mark since 1996. Teams fitting this criteria have won by just 7.5 points on average. Also, this system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. No Kobe for LA tonight, but I still like its chances of keeping this one closer than the oddsmakers think.
|
03-14-13 |
New York Knicks +6 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
Top |
90-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Knicks +6 Bottom Line: The Knicks will be without Carmelo Anthony and could also be without Tyson Chandler, but they are still very capable of beating the Blazers. New York has been completely embarrassed in its last two games and also lost at home to the Blazers in the first meeting so it will be very motivated tonight. The Knicks are an awesome 20-7 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. They are also 29-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
|
03-14-13 |
Dallas Mavericks +9.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks +9.5 Bottom Line: The Mavs have lost the season's first three meetings with the Spurs and will be very hungry as a result. Dallas is 14-6 ATS when out to avenge a same-season loss to an opponent this season. It is also 79-53 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - since 1996. San Antonio had Tony Parker in the first 3 meetings and he averaged 20.7 points in those games. The Spurs will have a tough time covering this hefty number without him.
|
03-13-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Atlanta Hawks +1 |
|
92-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hawks +1 Bottom Line: The Lakers won and covered in Orlando last night but have been a terrible investment this season off a cover. Under D'Antoni, fading the Lakers following a cover has produced an 18-6 ATS mark.
|
03-13-13 |
Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers +9 |
|
98-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +9 Bottom Line: Miami has defeated Philly twice during its 19-game win streak but will have a difficult time winning this one by double digits on the road with no rest. The value clearly lies with the 76ers, who are 16-5 ATS under coach Collins when they check in with 8 losses or more in their last 10 games. They have actually won by an average of 3.4 points in this situation.
|
03-13-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Indiana Pacers -14 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Pacers -14 Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on Minnesota after it crushed the Spurs last night, but I believe Indiana will be ready to rock and roll. Fading the Wolves following a victory is currently on an unbeaten 7-0-1 ATS run. Minnesota has been blown out by 23 and 16 following its last 2 wins. Also, fading the Wolves on the road against teams that carry a home winning percentage above 60% is on a 7-0-1 ATS run. Indiana won by 23 the last time Minnesota visited, and I'm expecting a similar result.
|
03-12-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 |
|
83-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major on T-Wolves +9.5 Bottom Line: The T-Wolves will show up in a big way after getting humiliated by Dallas last time out. Rick Adelman has a proven track record of making adjustments and getting his teams to respond following lopsided losses. In fact, his teams are 64-38 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996. His teams have won by an average of 2.8 points in this situation. Also, this is a rough spot for the Spurs, who will struggle to get up for this one following last night's big win over OKC.
|
03-12-13 |
Atlanta Hawks +10 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
81-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +10 Bottom Line: I'll back the Hawks catching big points in what is a highly motivated spot. They've lost the first 3 meetings of the season with Miami but kept the score within single digits in 2 of those. They lost the most recent meeting by 13 but are an impressive 15-5 ATS lifetime on the road when looking for revenge for a double-digit loss under coach Drew. They have actually won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation.
|
03-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 |
|
63-92 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a winning home record while the Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Knicks are just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. They won the first meeting at home by 4, but I expect a different result at Golden State where they have lost 9 of 10.
|
03-11-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -1.5 |
Top |
93-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -1.5 Bottom Line: Well-rested home faves that are playing only their second game in five days are an amazing 105-65 ATS since 1996 when matched up against a team that's playing its fourth game in five days. This system has produced a 5-1 ATS result this season. The Spurs are coming off their worst loss of the year but are on a dominant 35-19 ATS run following a blowout loss of 20 points or more.
|
03-11-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 |
|
97-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +6.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers lost 109-89 at home in the most recent matchup, but they are on a 38-23 ATS run when looking for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 points or more.
|
03-10-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -6.5 |
Top |
91-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -6.5 Bottom Line: This is a statement game for the Heat, who have lost the season's first two meetings after winning the previous three by an average of 17.3 points. I expect them to have their revenge here in impressive fashion. Miami has won 17 in a row overall and 13 straight at home, which shows you the level its playing at right now. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound Miami.
|
03-09-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns +6.5 |
Top |
105-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +6.5 Bottom Line: The Rockets are getting too much respect on the road tonight. We're talking about a team that's only 14-20 on the highway. Houston is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games versus teams with a losing record, and it is only 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 road games versus teams that have a losing home record.
|
03-08-13 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
102-99 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: The Pistons have lost their last 3 ATS but that won't keep me off them here. They haven't lost more than 3 consecutive games ATS all season and are 28-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is a dismal 10-21 on the road this season, a record that does not warrant being favored here. Plus, the Mavs are an ultra-soft 19-44-1 ATS in their last 64 versus the NBA Central division.
|
03-08-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats +14.5 |
|
116-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +14.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder were lucky to escape New York with a win last night, and I expect a flat performance from them following such an emotionally and physically draining game. That's been the norm following close wins. They are just 10-24 ATS under Brooks after a win of 3 points or fewer. They have actually lost by an average of 3.0 points in these spots.
|
03-07-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
92-107 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers +4.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers just played last night but are an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Plus, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and even 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus teams that have a winning record at home. The Nuggets won the previous meeting, but the Clipps are 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 at Denver.
|
03-06-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks -1.5 |
|
108-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Mavs -1.5 Bottom Line: Houston ended a 9-game losing streak in the series Sunday, but I expect the Mavs to have their revenge at home where they are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with a 7.2-point average margin of victory. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Houston is 2-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
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03-06-13 |
New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons +3 |
Top |
87-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for the Knicks for so many reasons. It's a fatigue spot as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. It's a letdown spot following a big comeback win against Cleveland. It's a look ahead spot with the Thunder on deck tomorrow, especially since the Knicks have made easy work of the Pistons in the first three meetings. Meanwhile, this is a strong spot for Detroit. It's had two days of rest and it will be hungry to end a six-game skid in the series. The Pistons are 30-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons and 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It's unclear if Melo will play but I love Detroit here regardless.
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03-05-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +5 |
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120-113 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +5 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are being overvalued on the road, where they are just 13-19, because the offense has been rolling of late. They are 1-12 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 9.2 points in this spot. The Nuggets won the season's first 2 matchups big, but the Kings are on a 12-1 ATS run when out for revenge for two consecutive double-digit defeats to an opponent.
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03-04-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats +13 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
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105-122 |
Loss |
-101 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Bobcats +13 Bottom Line: Fading double-digit favorites that have lost at least 4 of their last 6 games, if they are playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 36-13 ATS mark since 1996. Bet the Bobcats.
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03-04-13 |
Miami Heat v. Minnesota Timberwolves +10 |
Top |
97-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +10 Bottom Line: Playing on double-digit dogs that have won just 25% to 40% of their games and have failed to cover the number in at least two consecutive contests has produced a 175-110 ATS record since 1996. This system is 32-15 ATS the last 3 seasons and 10-4 ATS this season. I don't see Miami giving the Timberwolves its full attention following an emotionally and physically exhausting win in New York Sunday.
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03-03-13 |
Atlanta Hawks +6 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
98-99 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Hawks +6 Bottom Line: The Lakers have been a dead fade following a victory as they are a dismal 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games following a win. They check in off a 22-point win over the T-Wolves but are even a poor 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Hawks are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 on the road and 19-5 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons when they enter with wins in 3 of their last 4 games.
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03-02-13 |
Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
114-122 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Raptors +5.5 Bottom Line: The Raptors were defeated at home by Indiana last night, but they have been trustworthy on the road and with short rest. They have covered the number in 6 of their last 7 on the highway. Also, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a days' rest. The Bucks are just 9-18 ATS at home this season and 15-27 ATS as a home favorite the last 2 seasons.
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03-01-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets |
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103-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder pk Bottom Line: Road favorites that have a winning record and are off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more are 60-20 ATS the last 5 seasons.
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03-01-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Miami Heat -8 |
Top |
91-98 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -8 Bottom Line: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 111-65 ATS since 1996.
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02-28-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
94-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +10.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are being overvalued at home as they so often are. They are only 10-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The T-Wolves have struggled on the defensive end but the Lakers haven't been able to take advantage against such teams in terms of the spread. They are 0-9 ATS in home games in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons versus poor defensive teams that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or better. The Lakers have won these games but only by 4.0 points. The Lakers haven't been hitting the offensive glass very well the past couple games and that's cause for concern. They are 0-8 ATS this season after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds.
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02-27-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Utah Jazz -4.5 |
|
102-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
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4* Major on Jazz -4.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are 21-7 at home where they beat Miami by 7 and OKC by 15. This just goes to show you how hard it is to beat Utah on its home floor. Also, the Jazz are 12-2 in their last 14 home meetings versus Atlanta.
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