02-01-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Portland Trail Blazers -7 |
|
103-106 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Trailblazers -7 Bottom Line: The Blazers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Raptors, including 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at home. Their last 4 home wins in the series have all come by double digits and by an average of 13.8 points. Portland has had 3 days to let its ugly loss to Memphis fester, and I expect it to deliver an inspired performance this evening.
|
02-01-14 |
Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks |
|
106-91 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Heat -5 Bottom Line: Playing on any team that is looking for revenge for an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 points or more and is also coming off a home loss has resulted in a 23-5 ATS record since 1996. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
|
02-01-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks +13 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
90-99 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13 Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee.
|
01-31-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +5 |
Top |
95-90 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5 Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah.
|
01-31-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +5.5 |
|
120-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +5.5 Bottom Line: Oklahoma City will be looking for revenge for a 95-93 home loss to the Nets earlier this month, but Brooklyn will be equally motivated following a 1-point loss to Toronto that snapped a 5-game win streak. Consider that playing against teams that are seeking revenge for a home defeat to an opponent has resulted in a 58-26 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that is off an upset defeat to a division foe. This system is off to a 4-1 ATS start this season. Bet the Nets.
|
01-30-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Indiana Pacers -11.5 |
|
102-94 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11.5 Bottom Line: Playing home favorites that are playing their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team playing 4th game in 5 days. Not only does Indiana have a significant advantage in terms of rest, it will be extremely determined because it was embarrassed in Phoenix last week.
|
01-29-14 |
Washington Wizards +9 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
103-110 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Wizards +9 Bottom Line: We were on Washington +8.5 last night and watched the Wizards upset Golden State. I normally look to stay away from teams playing without rest, but the Wizards had two days off prior to last night's contest so I think they'll still have plenty left in the take to keep this one within the number. The Clippers cruised 113-97 in Washington last month but Chris Paul was huge in that game with 38 points and 12 assists. John Wall had 24 points and 12 assists and should really be able to take it to the Clippers tonight without having to expend as much energy on the defensive end against Paul. The Wizards are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. They are 21-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss over the last 2 seasons and 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 or more points.
|
01-29-14 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +5 |
Top |
99-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5 Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento.
|
01-28-14 |
Washington Wizards +8.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
88-85 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5 Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards.
|
01-28-14 |
San Antonio Spurs +1.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
90-97 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Spurs +1.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games all season. They are 10-0 following their losses, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. They will be very motivated tonight after a poor showing against the Heat Sunday. They will be even more incensed by losses to Houston in the season's first 2 matchups. Bet San Antonio.
|
01-28-14 |
Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks -6 |
|
88-114 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Divisional Dominator on Knicks -6 Bottom Line: The Knicks have regained their confidence following back-to-back wins, and they'll be hungry tonight after losing the season's first 2 matchups. The Knicks were absolutely humialated 114-73 by Boston at MSG last month, and they'll be out for some serious revenge as a result. Teams playing with double revenge are 118-71 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that is off a home loss where it was held to less than 80 points. This system tightens up to 20-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Boston is 1-10 in its last 11 road games with the losses coming by 12.6 points.
|
01-27-14 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Milwaukee Bucks +10 |
Top |
114-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10 Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks.
|
01-27-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +6 |
|
124-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +6 Bottom Line: The Suns won in Cleveland yesterday, but they had lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 on the road prior with the win coming by a single point. I don't think they'll have enough legs left to cover this number after playing yesterday. The 76ers have lost their last 3 home games, but 2 of those were against Miami and Oklahoma City. Nevertheless, they'll be motivated to get back in the win column. They've lost their last 2 overall and are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games following back-to-back losses. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win.
|
01-26-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 |
Top |
88-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5 Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State.
|
01-26-14 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Boston Celtics +4.5 |
|
85-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Major Divisional Dominator (ESPN) on Celtics +4.5 Bottom Line: After a really poor showing last time out versus an OKC team that was playing without Kevin Durant, I expect Boston to come storming back. The Celtics lost the first meeting in Brooklyn, and they'll be motivated to make sure the return of Pierce and Garnett doesn't go as planned. This time Boston will benefit from having Rondo on the floor. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 divisional games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a loss. The Celtics are also a too good to ignore 13-1 ATS in Sunday home games the last 3 seasons. The Nets are just 4-15 ATS on Sunday the last 3 seasons and 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Celtics are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
|
01-25-14 |
Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz +1 |
Top |
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1 Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah.
|
01-24-14 |
Washington Wizards +4 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
101-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4 Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington.
|
01-24-14 |
Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Houston Rockets |
|
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Grizzlies +6 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are the more rested team heading into this contest having not played since Monday. They will also be the hungrier side because they have lost the season's first two battles. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record.
|
01-24-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +7.5 |
|
101-83 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7.5 Bottom Line: Now is the time to go against the Thunder. They've won 5 in a row SU and ATS and are coming off back-to-back huge wins over Portland and San Antonio. They are catching all kinds of hype right now and are laying too big of a number on the road as a result. OKC is 2-11 ATS under coach Brooks after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The Thunder have lost by 0.3 points on average in these contests. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Celtics will be very motivated here because of the embarrassing loss they took in OKC earlier this month.
|
01-24-14 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. New York Knicks -3.5 |
|
96-125 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3.5 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are off a big win over the Clippers but are 7-20 ATS the last 2 seasons following an upset win, losing by an average of 6.8 points in this spot. The Knicks have lost 5 in a row, but I expect them to get up for the Bobcats in this revenge spot. Charlotte won last week 108-98, but the Knicks are 28-13 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more.
|
01-23-14 |
Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
Top |
105-110 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5 Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver.
|
01-22-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -6 |
|
111-105 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -6 Bottom Line: I don't see an OKC team that is playing its 5th game in 7 days having enough left in the tank down the stretch to cover this number against a rested San Antonio squad. Not only will the Spurs be fresher, but they will also be hungrier because they have dropped the first two meetings of the season and were embarrassed by 13 points at home in the most recent matchup. The Spurs are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
01-22-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Houston Rockets -10 |
Top |
98-119 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10 Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston.
|
01-21-14 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz +3.5 |
|
112-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Jazz +3.5 Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been wildly inconsistent this season, going 5-13 in games immediately following victories. They are are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a win and 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also a soft 11-26 ATS in their last 37 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Jazz have won 5 of 6 overall versus Minnesota and 7 straight at home in the series. Grab the points.
|
01-21-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Oklahoma City Thunder -6 |
Top |
97-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder.
|
01-20-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
102-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors.
|
01-19-14 |
Sacramento Kings +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
93-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5 Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento.
|
01-18-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Pelicans +4 |
|
97-87 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pelicans +4 Bottom Line: The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home versus teams with a winning road mark so they have shown they can compete on their home floor against some of the best teams in the league. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more in 3 straight games. Golden State is 1-8 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season. New Orleans is the more rested team, and it will be lacking no motivation as it seeks revenge for losing the season's first 2 matchups with Golden State. The Warriors go back home after this and have a big game against Indiana Monday so this is a look-ahead spot as well.
|
01-18-14 |
Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves -10 |
Top |
72-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10 Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota.
|
01-18-14 |
Detroit Pistons +5.5 v. Washington Wizards |
|
104-98 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Pistons +5.5 Bottom Line: Playing road teams that average 98-102 ppg, and have allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games, has resulted in a 75-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Off 3 consecutive satisfying wins (2 over Chicago, 1 over Miami), I look for Washington to suffer a letdown. The Pistons will be motivated by last night's ugly loss to Utah as well as losses in their last 2 meetings with Washington.
|
01-17-14 |
Golden State Warriors +1.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
121-127 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors +1.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder won by double-digits in Houston last night but this will be its third game in 4 nights, and they likely won't have enough left in the tank to handle the Warriors. The Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Golden State is on a 47-29 ATS run as a road underdog, a 19-8 ATS run when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and a 29-16 ATS run in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent.
|
01-17-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. San Antonio Spurs -6 |
|
109-100 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Spurs -6 Bottom Line: Plays on any team like San Antonio that averages 102.0 ppg or more has resulted in a 93-60 ATS records the last 5 seasons provided they have scored 100 points or more in 4 consecutive games and are facing a team that allows 102.0 ppg or more. Playing January home teams that are off a home win where they did not cover has resulted in a 55-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 24-10 ATS the last 3 seasons and 4-1 ATS this season. The numbers are in our favor, and the Spurs will be lacking no incentive as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series.
|
01-17-14 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. New York Knicks +4 |
|
109-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +4 Bottom Line: New York is 24-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 24-11 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back under coach Woodson as well as 18-5 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days under their current coach. Look for New York to respond following last night's ugly loss to the Pacers.
|
01-17-14 |
Miami Heat -10 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
Top |
101-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10 Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami.
|
01-16-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
104-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder.
|
01-15-14 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 |
Top |
82-77 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5 Bottom Line: Now's the time to get behind the Bucks, who have lost 6 straight and in a roundabout way were called out by coach Larry Drew following Monday's 22-point loss in Toronto. "They played a much more physical game than we did and we just didn't respond to it," Bucks coach Larry Drew said. I fully expect the Bucks to respond with a physical game tonight. Memphis just played last night and beat Oklahoma City so it will riding high on the horse, and I expect it to complete overlook the NBA-worst Bucks. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Pound Milwaukee.
|
01-15-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Boston Celtics +4.5 |
|
83-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +4.5 Bottom Line: The home team is a commanding 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Boston's home court has especially held up as it has won 10 in a row at home against the Raptors. In terms of the spread, Boston is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 home games versus Toronto.
|
01-15-14 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Philadelphia 76ers -115 |
|
92-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers -115 Bottom Line: The Bobcats have struggled on the road where they are 1-6 in their last 7. They have also struggled in Philadelphia where they are 0-5 in their last 5. Charlotte won't have enough left in the tank following last night's game in New York to get the job done against a 76ers squad that has had 3 days of rest.
|
01-14-14 |
New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats -109 |
Top |
98-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -109 Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. Charlotte has played the Knicks tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings and covering the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups. The Bobcats are in excellent position to take down the Knicks again considering they have 2 days of rest and preparation on their side while New York just played an overtime contest last night. Pound Charlotte.
|
01-13-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz +4.5 |
Top |
103-118 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5 Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 39-14 ATS record since 1996 if the team we are playing against is off a cover as a double-digit favorite. This system has gone 9-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver has lost 3 of 4 on the road while Utah has won 4 of 5 at home. Pound the undervalued Utah Jazz.
|
01-11-14 |
Orlando Magic +12 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
94-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Magic +12 Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 points or more off a road loss of 20 points or more are 73-35 ATS since 1996 if they carry a win percentage of 25-40% and are playing a team with a winning record. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 12.4 points on average but have lost by only 9.2 points on average. This system is 4-1 ATS this season.
|
01-11-14 |
Charlotte Bobcats +5 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
97-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bobcats +5 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 versus Central division opponents, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a defeat of more than 10 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Chicago. Chicago is 16-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
|
01-11-14 |
New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers +5 |
Top |
102-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +5 Bottom Line: Look for the Knicks to come out flat following their big win over Miami. The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Atlantic division foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
01-10-14 |
Orlando Magic +7.5 v. Sacramento Kings |
Top |
83-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Feast on Magic +7.5 Bottom Line: Road underdogs that are off back-to-back double-digit defeats are 47-16 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that has combined with its opponents for 215 points or more in two straight games. This system is 4-1 ATS this season and 18-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Sacramento is being overvalued because it beat Portland 123-119 in its last game while the Magic lost to Portland 110-94 in their last game. Portland's win over the Magic was in response to its loss in Sacramento so I'm not buying that the Kings should be laying this many points, especially since they defeated the Magic by just 5 points in the first meeting in a game where they shot out of their minds from 3-point range (12 of 23). The Kings have been favored 10 times at home this season, and they are 0-10 ATS in those games. Take the points.
|
01-10-14 |
Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +4 |
|
81-72 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +4 Bottom Line: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 67-36 ATS since 1996 when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 or their last 8 games. This system is a sweet 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks.
|
01-09-14 |
Miami Heat v. New York Knicks +8.5 |
Top |
92-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York.
|
01-08-14 |
Boston Celtics +10.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
105-111 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Celtics +10.5 Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that allowed 85 points or less last game has resulted in a 94-48 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that allowed 110 points or more last game. This system is already 1-0 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Playing road underdogs of 10 or more points that are off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more has resulted in a 72-34 ATS record since 1996 if they have a .250 to .400 win percentage and are playing a winning team. This system is already 3-0 ATS this season.
|
01-08-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets +6.5 |
|
98-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Non-Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nets +6.5 Bottom Line: Playing January home underdogs that are off a home win has resulted in a 49-20 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing with 1 day of rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 versus the Pacific division. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a cover and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings at the Nets. This is an extremely fatigued spot for the Warriors, and I can't see them covering this large of a number on the road against a Brooklyn squad that is playing with a lot of confidence right now.
|
01-08-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks +5 |
Top |
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5 Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks.
|
01-07-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +7 |
Top |
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7 Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz.
|
01-07-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Milwaukee Bucks +9 |
|
101-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Oddsmaker Error on Bucks +9 Bottom Line: Milwaukee has had the Warriors' number. It is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. It is also 4-0 at home during this span. In terms of the spread, the Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. While Golden State would like to put an end to its struggles against the Bucks, it will have a difficult time doing so in what is a fatigued spot. This is the Warriors 4th road game in 6 days. The Bucks, meanwhile, have 2 full days of rest on their side.
|
01-05-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 |
|
82-78 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Cavs +8.5 Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Indiana, which has a pair of double-digit wins over Cleveland already this season, including one earlier this week. The Pacers will be much more concerned with their next opponent, a Toronto squad that defeated them New Year's Day. Whether Irving is able to go or not, this is a great spot to back the Cavs who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
01-05-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Washington Wizards +3.5 |
Top |
112-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5 Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards.
|
01-04-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +2 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
115-111 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2 Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC.
|
01-03-14 |
Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 |
|
99-110 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -3.5 Bottom Line: D'Antoni's teams are 16-5 ATS lifetime after 6 or more consecutive losses. Plus, the Lakers are 16-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 6-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are just 5-14 on the road, and their road issues will continue against an LA squad hungry to end a lengthy skid.
|
01-03-14 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets -3.5 |
|
108-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -3.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Nuggets to get off the snide against a Memphis team they have defeated 10 times in their last 11 home matchups. The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Nuggets are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Grizzlies are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Denver.
|
01-03-14 |
New York Knicks v. Houston Rockets -11.5 |
|
100-102 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets -11.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks stunned San Antonio last night, but I don't expect an encore performance from them. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. They Knicks are 1-12 ATS in the last 13 meetings, including 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
|
01-03-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Atlanta Hawks +3 |
Top |
101-100 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Hawks +3 Bottom Line: Look for the Warriors to crash and burn tonight. After an emotional win over Miami and playing a third road game in four nights, the Warriors will have little left in the tank. Atlanta has had two days to prepare, and it hasn't forgotten the 115-93 beating it took the last time it hosted Golden State. The Hawks will be motivated to say the least. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 home games, winning them by 13.6 points on average. Pound the Hawks.
|
01-03-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards -2.5 |
|
101-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major Eastern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards -2.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Toronto following a big-time victory over the Pacers. The Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss ATS and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus Eastern Conference foes.
|
01-02-14 |
Charlotte Bobcats +11.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
104-134 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Bobcats +11.5 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Trail Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win.
|
01-02-14 |
Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
99-91 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +6 Bottom Line: Phoenix was crushed by 19 at Memphis in the first meeting, and playing against home teams that are looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat has resulted in a 31-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they carry a win percentage of 60-75% and are taking on a team with a losing record.
|
01-02-14 |
New York Knicks +11 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
105-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +11 Bottom Line: The Knicks were brutally embarrassed at MSG by the Spurs in November, but New York is 25-8 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996, winning by an average of 3.4 points in these contests. Pound New York.
|
01-01-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Washington Wizards -121 |
Top |
87-78 |
Loss |
-121 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -121 Bottom Line: The Wizards are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games. They are 8-1 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 this season. They are 24-11 ATS under coach Wittman in home games when matched up against a winning team. Dallas won the season's first meeting 105-95, but Washington is 8-1 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 100 points or more. It has won by an average of 4.9 points in this spot. Pound Washington.
|
12-31-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
94-79 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Bucks +6.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 1-9 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 5.9 points in this spot. The Bucks are 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. The underdog is 14-4-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Pound the Bucks.
|
12-30-13 |
Miami Heat v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 |
Top |
97-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Heat following an emotional win in Portland. Also, expect to see a motivated Denver squad as it looks to bring a six-game skid to an end. The Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Denver.
|
12-30-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. New Orleans Pelicans +3 |
|
108-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +3 Bottom Line: The Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the Pelicans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Blazers have had a terrible time with New Orleans and are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Portland just lost a tough one to Miami and plays the Thunder tomorrow so this could be a flat spot for the Blazers.
|
12-30-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Detroit Pistons -138 |
|
106-99 |
Loss |
-138 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -138 Bottom Line: The Pistons were hammered at Washington last game, but I expect them to have their revenge at home where they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
12-29-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 |
Top |
108-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +6.5 Bottom Line: The Cavaliers have been very tough at home where they have won 8 of 14, including a win over the Clippers. They also recently took Portland down to the wire, losing by 3 in a game that appeared headed for OT before Damian Lillard drained a 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds remaining. The Cavs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a winning team, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the West. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the NBA Central. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS as a home underdog this season. Pound Cleveland.
|
12-28-13 |
New Orleans Pelicans +9 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
98-107 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +9 Bottom Line: I expect New Orleans to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think as Houston gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's matchup with Oklahoma City. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Pelicans are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings, and the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. New Orleans just played last night while Houston had the night off, but New Orleans is one of the deeper teams in the NBA. Pound the Pelicans as they have plenty left in the tank to give Houston a run for the money.
|
12-27-13 |
Miami Heat v. Sacramento Kings +8 |
|
103-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Kings +8 Bottom Line: The Heat will go through the motions tonight as they look ahead to tomorrow's showing in Portland. The Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record, and they are on a 31-15 ATS run as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.
|
12-27-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Orlando Magic +3.5 |
|
92-109 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +3.5 Bottom Line: The home team has had the decisive edge in the series, going 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The dog has been a strong play in the series as well, going 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings. We'll grab the home dog tonight.
|
12-27-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats +9 |
Top |
89-85 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +9 Bottom Line: Look for the Thunder to get caught looking ahead to upcoming games against Houston and Portland. The Bobcats are the more rested team, and they'll go after this game hard because they embark on a stretch where they play 5 straight on the road following it. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record and 14-5 ATS as an underdog this season. Pound the Bobcats.
|
12-26-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +8 v. Houston Rockets |
|
92-100 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* (TNT) on Grizzlies +8 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Rockets following yesterday's big win over the Spurs. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Rockets should be showing some fatigue as well. They are playing a 5th game in 7 days and are on an 8-28 ATS slide at home when playing 5 games in 7 days. The Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are on a 73-44 ATS run in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
|
12-26-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3 |
Top |
127-125 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +3 Bottom Line: Playing on any team that's coming off an upset defeat of 15 or more points has resulted in a 50-19 ATS record the last 17 years if they're up against an opponent that is coming off a cover on the road in a game they lost. This system tightens up to 29-9 ATS if the team we are playing on is at home. Pound Cleveland.
|
12-25-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors -2 |
|
103-105 |
Push |
0 |
29 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors -2 Bottom Line: Playing against road teams that have a winning record when the line is +3 to -3 has resulted in a 44-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game and are playing another winning team. The Warriors are 16-6 ATS in home games after covering the number in 2 of their last 3 over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
12-25-13 |
Miami Heat v. Los Angeles Lakers +9 |
Top |
101-95 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +9 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 15-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Playing against any team like Miami that has combined with its opponents to score 215 points or more in its last two games and allows 92-98 ppg has resulted in a 20-3 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that allows 102 ppg or more. This system tightens up to 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound LA.
|
12-25-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets -2.5 |
|
95-78 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Early *BLOOD BATH* on Nets -2.5 Bottom Line: The Nets will be out for payback because they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Bulls last season. Chicago has really struggled on the road where it is 3-11 SU & 4-10 ATS this season. The Bulls are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest, 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win.
|
12-23-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets -114 |
|
89-81 |
Loss |
-114 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nuggets -114 Bottom Line: The Warriors have struggled on the road where they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also struggled in Denver where they are 2-16 in the last 18 regular-season meetings. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a victory. The Warriors knocked Denver out of the playoffs last season, and it will be out for a little revenge tonight.
|
12-23-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +8 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
90-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Lakers +8 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Playing road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have gone under the total by 36 points or more combined in their last five games has resulted in a 47-20 ATS record the last 5 season provided they have a win percentage between 45-55%. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
12-23-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets +7 |
Top |
103-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Nets +7 Bottom Line: Playing against good offensive teams like Indiana that average 98-102 ppg and have held their last two opponents to 90 points or less has resulted in a 41-15 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Brooklyn that gives up 102 ppg or more. Also, playing against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana that are off a blowout win of 15 points or more has resulted in a 36-13 ATS record since 1996 if the game involves a pair of teams that average 98-102 ppg. This system is 3-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nets have played the Pacers as tough as anyone in recent years winning 4 of the last 5 meetings and keeping the score within 5 points in 6 straight meetings. Pound Brooklyn.
|
12-22-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +6 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
116-120 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on T-Wolves +6 Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade the Clippers who are on a 19-40 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. The Timberwolves are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU loss, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Plus, they will be very motivated here having dropped the season's first two matchups. Third time's a charm for Minnesota.
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12-22-13 |
Toronto Raptors +11 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
104-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Raptors +11 Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points after 8 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they have a winning record and are playing a losing team.
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12-22-13 |
Boston Celtics +12.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
79-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +12.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers can't be trusted laying this many points. They are just 2-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season and 1-3 ATS when favored by 12 or more. The Celtics are 3-0 ATS on the season when catching at least 12 points so there is definitely value in them at this number. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings at Indiana. Pound Boston.
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12-21-13 |
New Orleans Pelicans +9 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
107-110 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Pelicans +9 Bottom Line: Portland's Achilles' heel is its defense, and it will have a hard time covering this big number against a New Orleans squad that can really score the rock. The Pelicans will be very focused here because they've lost their last two by double digits. Fortunately, they are 26-8-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a loss of more than 10 points. And, playing road underdogs after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more that are up against an opponent that has tallied a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 45-16 ATS record since 1996. The Pelicans have given Portland trouble lately and are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings as a result.
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12-21-13 |
Utah Jazz +4.5 v. Charlotte Bobcats |
Top |
88-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz were smoked last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Bobcats wasted their legs in last night's come from behind victory and are 16-34 ATS when playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 12.1 points in this spot. This is also Charlotte's 4th game in 5 days, and it is 2-15 ATS when playing a 4th game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons, losing by 14.6 points in this spot. The Jazz are 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Pound Utah.
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12-20-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 |
|
91-104 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +6.5 Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Kobe Bryant being out with an injury. Plus, this is a bad spot for Minnesota, which is off a huge win against Portland and has a revenge game against the Clippers up next. I don't see the T-Wolves being completely focused on the task at hand since they crushed the Lakers in the season's first meeting. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points, 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following any win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Lakers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
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12-20-13 |
Sacramento Kings +11 v. Miami Heat |
|
103-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Kings +11 Bottom Line: I'm expecting a letdown from the Heat following a huge win over the Pacers. Plus, we have some convincing numbers supporting this play. Playing underdogs of 10 points or more on Friday nights has resulted in a 99-59 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that are off a home win and are playing on Friday night has resulted in a 48-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
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12-20-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 |
Top |
120-121 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +6.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely humiliated by the Nets the last time they took the floor. Motivated by that defeat, I expect the 76ers to give Brooklyn a game this time around. Philly will be very rested and very prepared for this contest as it has had 3 days off. It will be further motivated by the fact it plays 6 straight on the road following this one. The 76ers really want to carry a little momentum into their road trip. Also, Philly is expected to get Michael Carter-Williams back tonight so that is a big boost. Playing home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games has resulted in a 69-37 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that has covered the number in 5 of 6 of their last 7 games. Pound Philly.
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12-19-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors -157 |
Top |
104-102 |
Loss |
-157 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Warriors -157 (I expect the Warriors to cover the spread but am taking them on the ML for insurance as I really like them to win this game) Bottom Line: This game is far more important to the Warriors, who lost to San Antonio in last season's playoffs and were defeated 76-74 in San Antonio in this season's first meeting. The Warriors didn't have Curry for that game and his presence was missed. The Spurs won't have Parker tonight, and they just played last night in Phoenix with Leonard, Duncan and Ginobli seeing big minutes. The Spurs will be much more concerned with Saturday's revenge game against Oklahoma City and will want to make sure they have something left in the tank. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound Golden State.
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12-19-13 |
Chicago Bulls +13.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
95-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA on TNT *SUREFIRE* on Bulls +13.5 Bottom Line: Playing against double-digit home favorites that are in the midst of a win streak of 6 games or more has resulted in a 40-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing a losing one. Teams fitting this scenario have been favored by an average of 13.2 points but have won by only 10.8 points on average. Bet Chicago.
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12-18-13 |
New Orleans Pelicans +10.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
95-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Pelicans +10.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Pelicans to respond following last night's 11-point loss at Golden State. They should also get some help from a Clippers squad that is in for a letdown following a big win over the Spurs. New Orleans is an outstanding 20-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this situation.
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12-18-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Minnesota Timberwolves -116 |
Top |
109-120 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year on Timberwolves -116 Bottom Line: This is a nightmare of a spot for Portland, which is playing its 4th road game in 5 days and is coming off an emotionally and physically draining last-second victory in Cleveland last night. The T-Wolves will be the much fresher side having had last night off. They'll also be the hungrier side because they are coming off a defeat in their last game, and they were swept by the Blazers last season. The Timberwolves are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss, 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 1 day of rest. The favorite is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Pound Minnesota.
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12-17-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets +3 |
|
105-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Nuggets +3 Bottom Line: Denver is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games versus winning teams. It is 8-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons versus very good teams that outscore opponents by 6.0 points or more per game. It has won these games by an average of 7.3 points. The Nuggets are even 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600. Denver is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the loss coming by only 2 points.
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12-17-13 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
Top |
119-116 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +5 Bottom Line: The Blazers are being overvalued on the road against a Cleveland club that is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 home games. The Cavs have had 2 days to gear up for this game while Portland will be playing on the road for the 3rd time in 4 days. This kind of a stretch is difficult enough, but it was made more difficult by getting taken to OT by the Pistons Sunday. The Cavs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Blazers with the losses coming by 6 points and 1 point. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus winning teams. Pound the Cavs.
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12-16-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Boston Celtics +2 |
Top |
97-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +2 Bottom Line: This is a difficult spot for Minnesota, which is playing the second game of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. Boston is also 15-4 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. It has defeated these teams by an average of 10.6 points.
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12-16-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Atlanta Hawks -6 |
|
100-114 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks -6 Bottom Line: The Lakers upset the Bobcats last game but are 2-11 ATS in road games after an upset win the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 10.6 points in this spot. LA's lack of back court depth will be a major issue tonight against an Atlanta team with some very capable guards (Teague, Williams, Korver, Mack).
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12-15-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
111-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: Portland's 139-point outburst in Philadelphia places it in fade territory as it is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game. We saw this trend in action recently as the Blazers dropped 130 on Utah and then lost to Dallas the next night. The Pistons played the Blazers tough in Portland earlier this season, losing by only 6 points despite shooting 3 of 14 from 3-point range. Look for them to avenge that loss at home as the home side is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings.
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12-15-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 |
Top |
91-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +6.5 Bottom Line: The Kings have been at their best at home against good teams. Recently, they have played the Clippers, Warriors and Thunder to within 6 points or less, and they beat the Mavs. In fact, the Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team that has a winning record on the road. The Rockets are a soft 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 away games versus clubs with a losing mark at home.
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12-14-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3 v. Charlotte Bobcats |
Top |
88-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +3 Bottom Line: Expect the Lakers to respond following last night's embarrassing loss in Oklahoma City. L.A. is 0-3 since Kobe Bryant's return and that can't be sitting well with the future Hall of Famer. Look for a big-time performance from Bryant here. The Bobcats lost a tough one in Indiana last night, a game they led late in the fourth. I believe they'll still be hanging on to that one. The Lakers are a strong 14-4 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Pound LA.
|
12-13-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Detroit Pistons -5.5 |
|
99-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -5.5 Bottom Line: The Pistons are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 versus NBA Atlantic division foes and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Playing against road teams that are looking for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more has resulted in a 93-53 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided they have a win percentage of 25% to 40% and their opponent has a losing record.
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