Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-17-09 | Marquette v. Providence +1 | 91-82 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major Big East Bailout (ESPN 2) on Providence +1
Providence is a better team than it is getting credit for and you'll see that in Prime Time action Saturday night. The Friars are 9-1 at home this season and off to a 3-1 start in Big East play. History supports a letdown for Marquette here and I'll have to agree. Marquette is 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons and 1-9 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 3 seasons. It's tough to win in the Big East on the road and Marquette finds that out the hard way here. |
|||||||
01-17-09 | Ohio State v. Michigan -3 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
3* Big Ten BOMB on Michigan -3
Off a blowout loss at Illinois, the Wolverines strike back at home where they are 10-1 SU and 5-1 ATS this season. The Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Wolverines are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-17-09 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Charlotte Bobcats +2.5 | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Bobcats +2.5
For as talented as Portland is, it has not been a reliable road bet. The Blazers are only 10-11 SU and 8-13 ATS away from home. The Bobcats have had four days to rest and prepare for this one and I'll take them here against a road-weary Blazers squad. THe Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Also, the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points! |
|||||||
01-17-09 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville -2 | Top | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
5* ESPN Game of the Year on Louisville -2
Pitt gets its first loss of the season Saturday in Louisville. The Cardinals will be well prepared for this one following back to back wins over ranked opponents Villanova and Notre Dame. Pitt is coming off a pair of wins over Big East bottom feeders and that's going to make it hard for the Panthers to match the intensity Louisville will be playing with from the start. Louisville's fullcourt pressure defense takes the Panthers away from pounding the ball inside to Blair as much as they would like and that gives the advantage to the Cards. The Cardinals have won four consecutive conference home games against Top 25 teams while the Panthers are just 1-7 in their last 8 conference road games against ranked opponents. The Cardinals are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 vs. the Big East, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games, and 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall. Pound the Cards! |
|||||||
01-17-09 | Ohio v. Buffalo -4.5 | 66-70 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
3* MAC MONSTER on Buffalo -4.5
Buffalo returns all 5 starters from last year's team and it shows as the Bulls are much improved. Buffalo picked up some great momentum off an upset win over Akron on the road and now it returns home where it is 3-1 ATS on the year. Buffalo is 12-3 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997, exploding to win in these spots by an average score of 77.1 to 68.6. Ohio is only 1-9 ATS in road games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Ohio offense has struggled the past couple games out of the gates and that doesn't look good against a Buffalo team which has been very sound defensively at home. Remember that this Bulls team played UConn to a 4-point game. We'll lay the number. |
|||||||
01-17-09 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -2 | 78-68 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
3* Battle of Unbeatens(ABC) on Clemson -2
Clemson will stay undefeated on its home floor Saturday. It's tough to win on the road in conference play and after blowing out a good Boston College team on the road, the Demon Deacs find themselves in a letdown spot. Wake is 4-16 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games since 1997, losing in these spots by an average score of 70.9 to 85.2. Wake is 6-18 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots after 15+ games since 1997 while Clemson is 14-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Take Clemson. |
|||||||
01-16-09 | New Orleans Hornets v. Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major Non-Conference Game of the Week on Cavs -4.5
I know Cleveland played an overtime game last night in Chicago, but playing back-to-back has not been tough on this team as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing with no days rest and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss. The loss to the Bulls, in a game where Lebron was not as his best is the key motivator here, along with the fact that the Cavs were beaten in New Orleans earlier this season. Cleveland is a perfect 19-0 at home this season and 15-4 ATS in those games. The Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Eastern Conference. The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Western Conference. Bet the Cavs! |
|||||||
01-16-09 | New York Knicks v. Washington Wizards -2.5 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
5* NBA Surprise BLOWOUT on Wizards -2.5
This is the second of a home and home and I like the Wizards to return the favor to the Knicks tonight. NY has beaten the Wiz 3 times this season, by 6,5,6 points and yet the NY is still the underdog? In other words, the books don't trust a 6-14 road team laying points and neither do I. The Wizards are due in this matchup and the fact that the public is one New York makes me like this one even more. Washington is 13-2 ATS in home games after having lost 20 or more of their last 25 games since 1996 and 24-10 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses since 1996. NY is 9-24 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 9.3 ppg. The revenge factor in this one is huge tonight and I believe it produces a double digit win for the Wizards! |
|||||||
01-16-09 | Yale v. Brown -3.5 | Top | 70-62 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
5* Ivy League Game of the Year on Brown -3.5
Home court is huge in the Ivy League and Brown has absolutely dominated Yale at home in this series. Yale is only 2-8 on the road this season and is just 3-8 SU and ATS at Brown since 1997. Brown is an outstanding 17-5 ATS in all games in this series since 1997. Brown is also 5-1 at home this season. The Yale Bulldogs are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this matchup and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Brown. The Bulldogs are also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Ivy League. The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Take Brown! |
|||||||
01-15-09 | Arizona v. UCLA -11 | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
3* Pac-10 SMASH (FSN) on UCLA -11
Arizona has been blown out at Cal and at Stanford and now the Bruins will have their turn. UCLA survived a tough 3-game road trip in the Pac-10 without a loss and now it will return home even more confident tonight where it is 9-0 this season. The Bruins are 4-0 against Zona over the last 3 seasons, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games. The Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-15-09 | Phoenix Suns +2 v. Denver Nuggets | 113-119 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT GOTM on Suns +2
The Nuggets will really miss Melo in this one and they will also miss Marcus Camby in the paint, who was dealt away in the offseason, because Shaq is playing at an extremely high level once again and that has been the difference for Phoenix recently. The Nuggets won't be able to replace Melo's 25 points tonight against a Suns team which has started to push the tempo again. Plays against favorites (DENVER) after a win by 6 points or less against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games are 40-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver is also just 6-19 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots since 1996, losing by an average score of 105.2 to 113.5 in these spots. The Suns have no reason to look ahead to Minnesota so maximum effort will get them the win on the road tonight. |
|||||||
01-15-09 | Arizona State v. USC +1 | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-10 BAILOUT on USC +1
USC has been a much better team at home this season where it is 8-1 and I'll gladly take the Trojans at home tonight. USC has won 9 of the last 11 at home in this series. The key to USC winning tonight is Tim Floyd's defense, which is only allowing 59.8 ppg. USC is 8-0 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons, exploding to win in each spot by double digits. This late play will get you out of any earlier jams. |
|||||||
01-15-09 | Washington State v. Oregon State +6.5 | Top | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
5* Pac-10 Punisher of the Month on Oregon State +6.5
A big win over Stanford creates a big letdown spot for Washington State tonight. Conversely, the Beavers will be ready to get back in the win column at home following back-to-back road losses. While Washington State is still playing its patented defense, it is not doing enough offensively to win many games on the road this season. Plays against a favorite (WASHINGTON ST) - good defensive team - allowing <=64 points/game on the season, after scoring 55 points or less 4 straight games are 26-5 ATS since 1997. Washington State is 0-9 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games this season, losing by an average of 4.5ppg in these spots, and 0-8 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less this season, losing by an average of 4.1 ppg in these spots. Take the Beavers! |
|||||||
01-14-09 | Wake Forest -4 v. Boston College | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC Monster BEST BET on Wake Forest -4
Since BC beat UNC, it has come back down to earth with consecutive losses. The Demon Deacs are riding high off a win against UNC but I don't see them falling into the same letdown trap here as Boston College more than fired a warning shot be beating the Heels. WF is 9-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BC is 0-6 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 64.7 to 75.5. If the Eagles couldn't stop Harvard or Miami, they certainly won't be able to hold Teague and company down tonight. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-14-09 | Michigan +7.5 v. Illinois | 51-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
3* Big Ten SMASH on Michigan +7.5
Illinois is being overvalued here and we're going to take advantage. Illinois is 0-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 10 points in these spots. Illinois is also 0-6 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 3 seasons, losing outright in these spots. Lastly, Illinois is 0-6 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons,losing by an average score of 63.8 to 71.8. We'll take this 19-0 ATS Angle to the bank. |
|||||||
01-14-09 | Duke v. Georgia Tech +11.5 | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
3* ESPN Game of the Week on Georgia Tech +11.5
The Yellow Jackets will be ready for the Dukies tonight and odds makers have given us more than enough points to cover this number as I expect to see a defensive battle. GT allows only 64.4 ppg at home and holds its opponents to only 38% shooting. Here's the key: Tech is 28-12 ATS as a home underdog or pick since 1997, losing by only 3.3 ppg on average in these spots. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-14-09 | Bowling Green v. Kent State -6.5 | 48-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major MAC Game of the Month on Kent State -6.5
Bowling Green has really struggled on the road this season and Kent State returns home after 3 straight games on the road and in a revenge spot following back-to-back losses. Kent State has won 8 of the last 11 in this series at home and is 17-6 against BG since 1997. The Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 20-41 ATS in their last 61 vs. the Mid-American, and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Golden Flashes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Mid-American and 8-1 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Also, BG is 4-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons,losing by an average score of 58.4 to 71.8. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-13-09 | TCU v. BYU -14 | 61-73 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
3* Big Chalk Blowout on BYU -14
The Horned Frogs will not be able to keep up with BYU's uptempo style of hoops tonight. The Cougars average 83.1 ppg at home this season while the Horned Frogs average only 67.1 ppg on the road. BYU is 6-0 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons, 9-0 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, and 21-6 ATS in home games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1997. TCU is 0-6 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points tonight. |
|||||||
01-13-09 | Charlotte Bobcats +7 v. Detroit Pistons | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Fade of the Week on Bobcats +7
I'm fading the Pistons here. The Bobcats are only 4-12 on the road, but they are 10-6 ATS in those games. In fact, they have only lost by more than 7 points on the road 4 times this season with 2 of those coming to a Cleveland team that is yet to lose on its home floor. While Detroit is 12-5 at home, it is only 6-11 ATS in those contests. Charlotte has already lost to the Pistons twice this season by 8 and 4 points respectively at home. It's awfully hard to beat a team 3 straight times in a season and I don't think the Pistons will get it done tonight. Charlotte is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The Bobcats are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 while the Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite period. Take the Bobcats. |
|||||||
01-13-09 | Bradley v. Indiana State +2 | Top | 63-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Game of the Month on Indiana State +2
Harry Marshall will likely be out for ISU, but that won't matter here. The Sycamores are improving quickly and are getting additional value here because of Bradley's fast start. ISU is certainly one of the toughest places to play in the Valley and it has been a nightmare for Bradley, who is 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS there since 1997. ISU returns 4 starters from a team that defeated Bradley by 10 points at home a season ago. The Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Also, plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BRADLEY) - poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 15+ games are 42-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is pertinent because ISU has been hurt with 3's at times this season but we won't have to worry about that tonight. With almost all of the public on the Braves, odds makers are setting Bradley backers up for a terrible blood bath tonight. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-12-09 | Texas v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
5* Big 12 GOTM on Oklahoma -4
This is a huge revenge game for the Sooners who I think have the better team this season. Texas has won all 5 meetings over the last 3 seasons and the Sooners will be out for blood on their home floor tonight. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Longhorns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Big 12. The Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. OU is a strong 9-0 at home this season while the Longhorns are 4-3 on the road with losses to Michigan State, Arkansas, and Notre Dame. Against good team, the Longhorns have come up short. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after a combined score of 125 points or less are 47-20 ATS since 1997. Take the Sooners! |
|||||||
01-12-09 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Chicago Bulls +2 | 109-95 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Bulls +2
The public will be all over the Blazers in this game but I like the Bulls to win outright. While the perception is that Portland is the better team, as it has the better record, the Blazers are only 8-10 SU and just 6-12 ATS on the road. The Bulls are 12-6 at home this season and have two big motivational factors in their favor tonight. First, they are coming off a double digits home loss to the worst team in the NBA, Oklahoma City. Secondly, they were crushed 116-74 in Portland back in mid-November. The Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and are only 4-17 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago! |
|||||||
01-12-09 | Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 v. New Jersey Nets | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NBA SMASH on Thunder +7.5
We have had several nice cashes on the Thunder lately and we will ride them again here. OKC is playing its best basketball of the season and while it is not showing up in the win column, it is the in ATS win column. The Thunder has covered the spread in 12 of their last 15 games and 19 of their last 25. The public has jumped on the Nets early but they are just 8-12 SU and ATS at home this season. While the Thunder are just 2-16 SU on the road, they are 13-5 ATS. OKC is 12-1 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season and 11-1 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Take the points! |
|||||||
01-11-09 | Orlando Magic +3 v. San Antonio Spurs | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Smash of the Week on Magic +3
Here's the major key: the Spurs are -34 against teams with winning records this season while the Magic are +43. This is because of how dominant the Magic have been on the road, compiling a 13-5 SU and ATS mark. Also, at 25-12 ATS overall, the Magic are the best covering team in the NBA. Tim Duncan still has game but the younger more athletic Dwight Howard poses major problems for him on both sides of the ball. Orlando is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning outright by an average score of 104.1 to 98.6 in these spots. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-11-09 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +5 | Top | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
5* ACC GOTY on Wake Forest +5
Wake is being undervalued at home against the Heels here. The Demon Deacs will be jacked up for this one and UNC won't have the same edge in terms of intimidation with a loss on their schedule. Like BC, Wake matched up very well with the Heels. Wake is unbeaten on the season at 13-0, having won all 7 of its home games. The Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Atlantic Coast Conf., 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, and 1-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Wake is in this one to the end with an excellent opportunity to win so I'll take the points. |
|||||||
01-10-09 | Evansville +4 v. Southern Illinois | 63-70 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major MVC Game of the Month on Evansville +4
The Aces are still not getting the respect they deserve. With all 5 starters returning, they are off to an 11-3 start and should not be this big of a dog against 6-9 SIU. SIU is 2-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons, 4-15 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, and 3-14 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. SIU is also just 3-11 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
01-10-09 | Harvard v. Dartmouth +8 | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Letdown Game of the Week on Dartmouth +8
Off a big upset win over Boston College as a 19-point dog, the Crimson are in a major letdown spot here. Dartmouth will be jacked up for this Ivy League opener at home against a team they are 2-0 SU and ATS against at home the last 2 seasons. Home court in the Ivy League can produce huge swings. For example, Harvard won 82-56 on its home floor in this matchup last year and Dartmouth won 73-56 on its home floor. Harvard is 0-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons, and 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-10-09 | Duke v. Florida State +9.5 | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
3* ACC SMASH on FSU +9.5
The Blue Devils are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5, and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the ACC. The Seminoles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the ACC, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog, 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home underdog, and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. Odds makers have overvalued Duke again on a Saturday. What's new? Take the points. |
|||||||
01-10-09 | West Virginia v. Marquette -2.5 | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
3* Big East SMASH on Marquette -2.5
Marquette is a perfect 11-0 at home this season and I'll take the Eagles laying a small number on their home floor here. Marquette has the better team this season with 4 starters returning to WVU's two. Its great guard play gives it a big edge in this matchup. WVU lost to UConn last time out and the Mountaineers have not been very good in bounce back spots. WVU is 11-33 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997, losing by an average score of 64.8 to 69.8. The Golden Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Big East. All Marquette in this one. |
|||||||
01-10-09 | Louisville +2.5 v. Villanova | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major 23-0 ATS High Noon Annihilator on Louisville +2.5
The records don't reflect it yet, but Louisville is the better team and that will be reflected in the final Big East standings. L'ville is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons, 27-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, 10-2 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons, and 12-3 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997. Nova is 1-9 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons, 0-9 ATS after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and 0-8 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-09-09 | San Diego v. San Francisco +1.5 | 65-50 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
3* Friday Night NCAAB Bailout on San Francisco +1.5
San Fran would have a better record, but it has played a ton of road games in the early part of the season. This is a team which beat a Boise State team on the road that San Diego could not defeat at home. The Dons are a perfect 5-0 at home this season and are coming off a 40-point home win over Cal Hayward. That shapes up nicely for the system that we will employ here. Plays on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a blowout win by 30 points or more against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 63-29 ATS since 1997. In addition, the Dons are very good defensively, allowing just 54.4 ppg at home. They have only been hurt by teams who hoist a lot of threes and they shouldn't have to worry about that tonight. SF is 9-1 ATS versus teams who attempt 14 or less 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997, winning these games by an average score of 69.5 to 61.7. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-09-09 | Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder +7 | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Thunder +7
Odds makers have done it again, not because they are stupid, but because the public continues to fade one of the hottest covering teams in the league. I'm referring to the fact that the Thunder have been continually overvalued recently and the result has been 8 covers in their last 10 games and 17 covers in their last 23. This one also shapes up nicely because the Rockets are coming off an emotional win over Boston and will be prone to packing it in a little early in the last game of their road trip. On the other side of things, the Thunder are coming off a terrible loss at Minnesota and we'll be playing to avenge it here. OKC is 13-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
01-09-09 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -4 | Top | 83-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
5* ESPN Game of the Month on Cavs -4
The Cavs have had this one circled on their calendar since losing by 5 at Boston back on October 28. There is no better home team in the NBA than Cleveland, which has a 18-0 SU and 14-4 ATS record. The Cavs have also won 6 straight at home against the C's over the last 3 seasons. Including playoff games, Cleveland was a perfect 5-0 at home against Boston last season, winning by an average of 13.3 ppg in those three playoff contests. This game is all about revenge from last year's playoff defeat and all about sending a message that they are now the team to beat in the East. Cleveland will show no mercy for Boston's 2-6 skid. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season, winning by an average score of 111.1 to 90.3 in these spots. Take the Cavs! |
|||||||
01-09-09 | Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic -5 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Magic -5
The Magic have been dominant at home and they have been dominant as a favorite. The Magic are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Magic have also played their best ball against their toughest opponents so it comes as no surprise that they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. While the Hawks have made major strides in recent years, they aren't ready to win on the road against elite teams and the numbers support that as they are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. I'll follow the numbers here. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-08-09 | Oregon State +21 v. Arizona State | 38-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Oregon State +21
ASU is off a lost at Cal, but with Oregon on deck, the Sun Devils will get caught looking past the Beavers tonight. OSU broke a 21-game Pac-10 losing streak last time out with a big win over USC and that will give the Beavers added confidence. ASU has not had a win over OSU by 21 points or more since 1999. OSU comes in having won 5 of 6 and that is significant as Plays on Underdogs of 20 or more points after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 28-9 ATS since 1997. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-08-09 | Cal Riverside v. UC Davis -3.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on UC Davis -3.5
The key here is how poorly Riverside has played on the road, with just a 2-4 SU and 1-4 ATS record. This has stemmed from an offense which averages only 50 ppg on the road. Davis averages 80 ppg at home and its more uptempo style of play will be trouble for Riverside tonight. The Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Also, Riverside's coach Wooldridge is just 2-10 ATS in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) in all games he has coached since 1997, losing by 9.4 ppg on average in these spots. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-08-09 | Minnesota v. Iowa -2 | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Homer of the Month on Iowa -2
Iowa is a fantastic home team. Even in years when they aren't as good as they are this year, they still win almost all of their home games. Iowa is 11-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in lined games this season. It is a perfect 9-0 at home and 3-1 in home lined contests. Iowa's home dominance has translated into owning the Gophers at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Iowa has won 7 of its last 9 at home in this series. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Golden Gophers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Big Ten. Minnesota is just 6-15 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons,losing by an average score of 57.2 to 68.1 in these spots. Minnesota has the better record and it is ranked and yet Iowa is getting the edge. The odds makers are thinking exactly what I'm thinking. Take Iowa. |
|||||||
01-07-09 | New Orleans Hornets v. Utah Jazz -4 | Top | 90-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
5* NBA Late Night BAILOUT on Jazz -4
Off a big upset win over LA last night, the Hornets are not going to be able to bounce back strong enough to cover this number against one of the elite home teams in the NBA. Utah is 13-4 at home this season and the Jazz have had the Hornets' number, winning 11 of the last 14 meetings at home. New Orleans is a terrible 2-12 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996,losing by an average score of 85.6 to 99.3 in these spots. Take the Jazz. |
|||||||
01-07-09 | Gonzaga v. Tennessee -3 | 89-79 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Tennessee -3
Since Tennessee lost to the Zags, it has continued to play good basketball. Gonzaga is struggling, having lost 3 in a row SU and ATS to fall out of the top 25. With home court and revenge in their favor, we'll take the Vols here. Tennessee is 12-1 ATS in home non-conference games over the last 3 seasons and 13-1 ATS in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. The Vols are also 13-4 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-07-09 | Marquette v. Rutgers +9.5 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Rutgers +9.5
Rutgers has had 4 days to rest and prepare for this one after a treacherous stretch against UNC, Pitt, and UConn. The Knights gave Pitt all they wanted and more,losing by only 6 points as a 14.5 point dog. But, emotionally and physically drained, they were crushed at UConn in their next game. Rutgers is back home, well rested, and out for revenge against a team that has struggled away from home. Rutgers defense is holding its opponents to 59.1 ppg at home and this "D" keeps them close in this one. Marquette is 0-6 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
01-07-09 | Harvard +19 v. Boston College | Top | 82-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Underdog of the Month on Harvard +19
This is a classic sandwich game for BC. The Eagles are in a letdown spot after pulling off a huge upset win over UNC and also in a look ahead spot with Miami on deck. Harvard returns all 5 starters from last season and is now healthy. The public is flocking to BC here as the odds makers have set their trap by keeping this one under 20. In all reality, I see the margin here finishing much closer to 10. At its bare essentials, plays against a home team in non-conference games, off a win against a conference rival are 117-68 ATS the last 5 seasons (63.2%) and this one fits into a lot stronger situation than that. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-07-09 | Michigan v. Indiana +7.5 | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Indiana +7.5
The Hoosiers are not getting the respect they deserve on their home floor. Indiana is 4-2 at home this season and 2-1 ATS in home lined game. This Indiana team plays with a lot of heart and confidence in Bloomington and I have no reason to believe it will be any different tonight. Michigan has struggled severely at Indiana, having lost 9 straight there, and the Hoosiers have won 16 of the last 20 overall. Michigan's halfcourt style of hoops is not conducive to many blowouts and with as strong as Big Ten home court is, I'll take the points here. |
|||||||
01-06-09 | New Orleans Hornets +7.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
3* Underdog SMASH on Hornets +7.5
The Lakers are 18-1 at home so naturally the money is rushing in on them, but a good Hornets team will be up to the challenge tonight. New Orleans has already lost to LA twice this season and off a loss to Denver in its last game, the Hornets have all the incentive in the world to leave it all out on the floor. New Orleans is actually 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in its last 3 meetings in LA. The Lakers are just 2-10 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games this season while New Orleans is 16-5 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons, 25-10 ATS revenging a home loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, and 13-3 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-06-09 | Purdue -2 v. Penn State | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
5* Big Ten Line Mistake of the Year on Purdue -2
Purdue has won all 4 meetings with Penn State the last couple seasons and it will be out for blood here following a loss to Illinois in its last game. In this case, I think the outcome of its last game is carrying too much weight and that Purdue should be around a 5-point favorite in this game. Purdue is 9-2 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 69.8 to 64. Purdue is also 14-5 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.4 to 62.1. Lastly,Purdue is 15-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, winning these contests by an average score of 68.1 to 63.2. The Boilermakers are the most talented and balanced team in the Big Ten this season and they will not lose two in a row. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-06-09 | Washington Wizards v. Orlando Magic -13 | 80-89 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Magic -13
This one has blowout written all over it as the Magic are off a loss and returning home out for blood while the Wizards are in a letdown spot after surprising Cleveland. Orland already has wins of 25 and 15 against the Wiz this season as they have had no answer on the interior. Orlando is 19-2 AT off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Enough said. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-05-09 | Georgetown v. Notre Dame -2 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
5* Big East GOTY on Notre Dame -2
Notre Dame got caught looking ahead to this game on Saturday with a loss at St. John's, but that loss has kept this line down for us and it now gives the Irish an even bigger incentive to win. The Irish are the better team this season and they are a perfect 6-0 at home. The Hoyas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Irish were picked to be among the top teams in the Big East preseason while G-Town was projected to be in the middle of the pack and I still see this being the case. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-04-09 | Drake v. So Illinois -2 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3* MO Valley SMASH on SIU -2
SIU opened as a 3.5-point favorite at home in this one and the public has jumped on Drake. Neither team is as good as they were a year ago, but odds makers were severely tipping there hand in this one. SIU has won 21 of its last 23 games against the Bulldogs and is a perfect 11-0 at home against Drake since 1997. SIU is off to an 0-2 start in conference play and will really gear up for this one to get on the board. Drake is only 2-2 on the road this season and has looked susceptible. SIU is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-04-09 | Dallas Mavericks v. Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA SMASH of the Week on Grizzlies +6.5
Everything about this one should say all Dallas, and yet the Grizz are just 6.5-point dogs and the books know the public will be all over the Mavs. I smell a rat and I'm not about to get caught in that trap. This is the 3rd time these two teams will have faced off this season. Dallas has won big at home in the other two and the Grizzlies will really get geared up for matchup number 3. Dallas is just 1-11 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. The Mavs are due for a letdown and it comes today. |
|||||||
01-04-09 | Illinois v. Michigan -1.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
5* Big Ten GOTY on Michigan -1.5
With Illinois in a letdown spot after a big win at Purdue and with Michigan in a bounce back spot after going down at home to Wisconsin, we'll pound the Wolverines here. Michigan is much better this season than it has been the last several years and yet the Wolverines are still 2-0 SU and ATS the last 2 seasons at home against Illinois. The Wolverines are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Illini are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Michigan. The Home team is 15-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Take Michigan! |
|||||||
01-03-09 | Creighton v. Illinois State -1.5 | 64-86 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major MO Valley Massacre of the Month on Illinois State -1.5
I love Illinois State at home laying a small number. It is a perfect 7-0 at home this season. It has also beat Creighton 3 straight times by at least 10 points. Illinois State is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season, 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% this season, and 8-0 ATS in home games after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by double digits in all of these spots. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-03-09 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Charlotte Bobcats -1 | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NBA Saturday Night SMASH on Bobcats -1
The Bobcats have already lost three times to the Bucks this season and were blown out last night. I like the Bobcats to finally step up to the plate and get the job done at home. Milwaukee is just 7-13 on the road this season and it is not catching enough points to pick up another road cover here. Lay the point! |
|||||||
01-03-09 | Pittsburgh v. Georgetown -2.5 | 70-54 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major High Noon Hard Hitter on Georgetown -2.5
Georgetown rose to the occasion against UConn and now it's time for the Hoyas to do it again against Pitt. The Hoyas are 7-0 at home this season and 3-0 in home lined games. G-Town is 22-10 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons. Pitt is just 3-11 ATS in road Saturday games over the last 3 seasons. The Hoyas will go after the target on Pitt's back hard and get the job done here. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-02-09 | Atlanta Hawks v. New Jersey Nets +4 | 91-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Nets +4
New Jersey is 19-4 at home against the Hawks since 1996. It is 7-2 SU and ATS in all matchups over the last 3 seasons, including 4-1 SU and ATS at home. New Jersey has already beaten the Hawks twice as an underdog this season and yet they continue to get points because the books know the public will be on Atlanta. The Nets are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-02-09 | Santa Clara v. Harvard +3.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake of the Year on Harvard +3.5
This is a tough spot for Santa Clara having already played two games this week and now having to fly clear across the country to get it done tonight. I just don't see it happening. Santa Clara is just 2-6 on the road this season and should not be the favorite here. Harvard is more talented than its record indicates and got one of its best players back last game. The Broncos are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 road games following three or more consecutive home games, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-02-09 | USC v. Oregon +2.5 | 83-62 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
3* Pac-10 SMASH on Oregon +2.5
This is a big revenge game for the Ducks who were swept by USC last season. USC is just 1-3 on the road this year and will face a hungry Ducks team this afternoon. USC is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by 3.4 ppg. Oregon is 12-2 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 39-14 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins since 1997. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-31-08 | Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Thunder +2.5
While OKC is only 3-29 on the season, it has now covered the spread in 14 of its last 19 games, including 5 of its last 6. The road has been unkind to Golden State this season where the Warriors are only 4-16 SU and 7-13 ATS. Golden State is just 3-13 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season, losing by an average score of 103.5 to 113.9 in these games. Since making a coaching change, the Thunder have been extremely competitive and I'll ride them here tonight. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-31-08 | Michigan State +1 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
5* Big Ten Game of the Month on Michigan State +1
Minnesota has not played anyone and it is not better than a Michigan State team which has only lost to UNC and Maryland and has a quality win over Texas. Michigan State has won 15 of the last 19 meetings and all 3 over the last 3 seasons. Minnesota started off as a home dog when this line opened and is just is 1-9 ATS as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by 10.9 ppg. Pound the better team tonight. |
|||||||
12-30-08 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State -1 | 68-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on New Mexico State -1
The road has been unkind to New Mexico with just 1-4 SU and ATS mark this season and no team will be gunning for the Lobos more that its rival New Mexico State. The Aggies lost at New Mexico one week ago and will be out for revenge tonight. New Mexico State is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home versus the Lobos the past two seasons. It is a perfect 6-0 at home and 4-1 ATS in home lined games. The Aggies are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Taking the home team in this series has been the play as it is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take New Mexico State. |
|||||||
12-30-08 | Mississippi v. Southern Mississippi -2 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Rivalry Game of the Week on So. Miss -2
So. Miss is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons, 20-6 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, 7-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games since 1997, and 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. So. Miss returns 4 starters and will be out for revenge against an Ole Miss team which beat it by 20 a season ago. So. Miss has the better team this season and we'll lay the points. |
|||||||
12-30-08 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers +1 | 110-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Indiana Pacers +1
Indiana has the edge at home tonight as the Hawks played last night and then had to travel, which always makes for a tough situation when playing back-to-back. Indiana is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS at home against the Hawks the last 3 seasons, having already put a 113-96 beatdown on them this season. If there is a night to bet against the Hawks, it is Tuesday as Atlanta is just 3-14 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 10.1 ppg. Despite having lost 3 in a row, the Pacers are playing good basketball, only losing by 1,3, and 2 points respectively to New Jersey, Memphis, and New Orleans. With home court and fresher legs on their side tonight, I like the Pacers to get the job done. |
|||||||
12-30-08 | Clemson -2.5 v. South Carolina | 98-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Clemson -2.5
Plain and simple, South Carolina is 0-8 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 60.3 to 78.3. SC is also 0-7 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number. |
|||||||
12-29-08 | Phoenix Suns -9 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
3* Monday Night NBA BEST BET on Suns -9
The Suns have had 4 days off since a X-Mas day 1-point heartbreaker to San Antonio. They will wash that sour taste of that defeat out of their mouth with a blowout win tonight. OKC is just 2-13 at home this season and only 5-9-1 ATS in those games. The Suns also remember how tough the Thunder played them in the first meeting this season and will not take them lightly tonight. Plays on any team (PHOENIX) off a home loss, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 104-60 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the number. |
|||||||
12-29-08 | Georgetown v. Connecticut -6 | 74-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
3* Big East SMASH on UConn -6
This will be G-Town's first true road test of the season and it couldn't have come against a tough Big East opponent. The Huskies are 22-1 at home in their last 23 and I have them easily able to cover this 6-point number. Besides having the revenge factor in their favor after last season's narrow road defeat to G-Town, the Huskies did not play all that well in their last game against Fairfield and you can bet they've heard about it plenty by now. G-Town is 0-6 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 2 seasons. UConn is 16-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Lay the number. |
|||||||
12-28-08 | Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 | 86-93 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Major 22-0 ATS Sunday NBA BEST BET on Cavs -10.5
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. The Cavs are 15-0 at home this season and 12-3 ATS in those games, winning by an average score of 105.1 to 89.3. We'll ride the Cavs again at home Sunday. Cleveland is 22-7 ATS in all games this season, a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season, and 7-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Miami is 0-7 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Lay the number. |
|||||||
12-28-08 | Drake v. Evansville -3 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Evansville -3
Evansville returns all five starters this season and its experience has showed as it is off to a strong 8-2 start. It is a perfect 8-0 at home and 4-1 ATS in home lined games. Evansville is 15-3 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.4 to 56.2 and 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.8 to 58.2. Lay the number. |
|||||||
12-27-08 | New Jersey Nets +3 v. Charlotte Bobcats | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bounce Back GOTM on Nets +3
After going down at home last night to the Cats, I like the Nets to come right back with a win tonight in the second game of this home and home. New Jersey has been a much better road team this season with a 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS mark. New Jersey has also won 7 of the last 8 games played in Charlotte. The Nets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5 and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Pound the Nets! |
|||||||
12-27-08 | UAB +13.5 v. Louisville | Top | 62-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
5* NCAAB GOTM on UAB +13.5
The Cards have lost 4 straight against the number as they've been overvalued in each, and that is the case again here. Louisville just doesn't start really playing until the conference season starts. The Underdog is a sizzling hot 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and UAB is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-27-08 | Drexel +6.5 v. Rider | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Drexel +6.5
Drexel's record is very misleading because of the tough schedule it has played. Playing teams like Georgetown and Memphis will only help Drexel out when it plays teams on its own level like Rider. Drexel won last year's meeting by 7 points and is capable of winning again. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
12-26-08 | Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Hornets | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
3* SMASH on Hornets pk
After scoring only 68 points in a blowout loss yesterday, the Hornets will return home looking for revenge. New Orleans is 9-4 at home this season and 3-1 SU and ATS at home against the Rockets the last 3 seasons. NO is 17-6 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 9.0 points on average. NO is 17-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 12-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 12-3 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where they attempted 10 or less free throws over the last 3 seasons. Take the Hornets! |
|||||||
12-26-08 | Charlotte Bobcats +5 v. New Jersey Nets | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Bobcats +5
This line has already moved a half-point in our favor as the public continues to fade the 10-19 Bobcats. Bad move! While Charlotte is only 2-9 on the road this season, it is 8-3 ATS in those games, and it is playing a Nets team which is only 5-10 SU and ATS at home on the year. The Bobcats have covered the spread in four of their last 5 and have won 3 of their last 4 SU. New Jersey is only 9-23 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 4-13 ATS in home games in December over the last 2 seasons. Odds makers have given the Bobcats too many points again tonight. |