Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Cowboys are America's team? Maybe that explains how they can be considered a Super Bowl contender every year, even when they almost always finish 8-8 and miss the playoffs. Dak Prescott impressed as a rookie, but he's proven to be perhaps the most overrated QB in the NFL since. Dallas has no business coming into a road game on the West Coast as a favorite. The Rams were 9-7 in 2019, winning five of eight home games. Dallas lost five of it's eight games on the road. Ezekiel Elliott hasn't been the same player since spending his holdout in Mexico, and he has just recently recovered from Covid19. The star RB and his QB made headlines for hosting a birthday bash in the middle of the pandemic. We saw what happened to Todd Gurley last year, and Zeke appears to be well on his way to following in his footsteps. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -125 | 2788 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Browns. The Ravens looked unbeatable during the regular season a year ago, especially at home. Their only home loss came by a score of 40-25 to the Cleveland Browns. It was yet another early exit in the playoffs though, with Derrick Henry and the Titans running for over 200 yards in a 28-12 win at Baltimore. The Ravens come into Week 1 as big favorites in the AFC North, but I am not convinced this team can repeat what they did a year ago. The Browns underachieved last year, and should be better in 2020. They are well equipped to come into Baltimore and give the Ravens problems with their running game again. Baltimore hasn't been a sharp play when asked to cover points in recent seasons, they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Packers v. Vikings -140 | 43-34 | Loss | -140 | 145 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers were 13-3 last year, and they beat the Vikings twice. Heading into the playoffs though, there were plenty of warning signs that this team wasn't as good as it's record would lead you to believe. After sneaking past Seattle, they were embarrassed in a 37-20 loss at San Francisco. Everyone knew the 49ers would try to run the ball, but there was nothing the Packers could do to stop it. This off-season Green Bay chose to draft another quarterback, rather than add offensive weapons for the HOF quarterback they already have. Aaron Rodgers is 6-6 in his career in Minnesota, and I think he's in a tough spot in this season opener. The Vikings have a tough defense, and a beast in the backfield in Dalvin Cook. The Vikings are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in September, and they have covered the spread in four straight season openers. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 53.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 152 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans were eliminated from last year's playoffs in a 51-31 loss to the Chiefs. They opened up an early 24-0 lead, only to trail 28-21 at halftime. The Chiefs offense is as unstoppable as we have ever seen, and last year they score 40 points in Week 1. They scored 38 points in their first game of the pre-season last year, so expecting them to get off to a slow start might be misguided. The over is 5-0 in the Chiefs last five season openers, and the over is 6-1 in the Chiefs last seven games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53 | 20-31 | Loss | -115 | 329 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 53.5. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. He's capable of driving down the field and putting points on the board quite quickly. The 49ers ranked second in the NFL in scoring this season behind Baltimore, and the Chiefs have scored a combined 87 points in their wins over Tennessee and Houston. With two weeks for these coaching staffs to scheme, expect both offenses to be explosive. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -105 | 254 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco 49ERS. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. As difficult as it is for me to bet against Mahomes, I am more than a little concerned about just how much pressure he will be facing. The 49ers don't need a great game from their quarterback, or any single player. If their defensive line can control the line of scrimmage the way they did against Green Bay, Mahomes might not be able to save the Chiefs. Kansas City has been very impressive in these playoffs, but let's not forget that they fell into a big hole in both their wins over Houston and Tennessee. It might not be so easy to come from behind against this San Francisco team. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 103 | 118 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the 49ers. The Packers took advantage of a banged up Seattle team at home, and they barely hung on in the second half of that game. Seattle outscored them 20-7 after halftime, and they will need to avoid another blowout loss in San Francisco. The 49ers beat them by 29 points in San Francisco earlier in the season. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times and threw for just 104 yards on 20-of-33 passing. As much as you could call this a revenge game, the Packers might not be equipped to do anything about the ferocious San Francisco pass rush. The Packers are thin at several key positions, and they have a rookie head coach. An interesting stat to keep in mind is that over the last five seasons, seven times we've seen Conference Championship games featuring teams that played during the regular season. The team that won the first meeting has won six of those seven games. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs OVER 51.5 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 113 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Titans to go Over the team total. The Chiefs were down 24-0 early in the second quarter at home against the Texans, and Houston suffered the worst collapse since Atlanta's in Super Bowl 51. The Titans come in as a big underdog, and the bookmakers aren't expecting them to score a lot of points. I think that's a mistake, as this team averaged over 33 points per game in their final seven games of the regular season. They have the NFL's leading rusher, and the top ranked quarterback during that span. Kansas City on the other hand gives up a lot of points, as evidenced in their 51-31 win last week. Even if the Chiefs have a big lead, their inability to run should allow the Titans plenty of opportunity to score points of their own. Henry ran for 188 yards and two TDs in the previous matchup versus the Chiefs. He's been a beast in the playoffs, and he should get every opportunity to score here in Kansas City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Packers will be four point favorite at home versus Seattle, and this is a game that figures to be decided in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks beat the Packers by a score of 27-24 at home last year, and the last time these two teams met in the playoffs the Seahawks won in overtime in a thriller. As much as Green Bay has the home field advantage, the Seahawks won seven of eight games on the road this season. The Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. At this point it appears that Russell Wilson is a better quarterback than Aaron Rodgers, and the defense looked great in Philly last week. The Packers deserve to be the favorite, but it might be wise to take the points in a game that could go either way. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-20 | Texans +9.5 v. Chiefs | 31-51 | Loss | -120 | 171 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. The Chiefs are a double digit home favorite against the Texans, and historically these two teams have been pretty evenly matched. They are 4-4 in the last eight head to head meetings, and only one of the last seven meetings were decided by double digits. The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games at Kansas City, and only one of those two losses came by as many as 10 points. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home playoff games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10.5 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 153 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. This game has the potential to be very close, and an upset isn't out of the question. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47 | Top | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEN@BAL to go Under the total. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -115 | 142 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were an 8* underdog in New Olreans last week, and there were plenty of questions heading into that game. Was Dalvin Cook healthy? Can Kirk Cousins step up in a big game? Can their defense keep them in the game? I bet on the Vikings, and here is what I said prior to that game: "There is no question that the Saints are the better team, and they deserve to be the favorite at home in the dome. The question is, how much better are the Saints than the Vikings? New Orleans won three more games than Minnesota during the regular season, but three of the Vikings six losses came in games decided by seven points or less. Kirk Cousins doesn't have the same resume as Drew Brees, but he's younger and he's perfectly capable of outplayng his counterpart. Dalvin Cook might be the best running back in the NFL when healthy, and he will be ready to go for this game. The Vikings defense allowed fewer yards and fewer points than the Saints. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and I think it might be asking too much for them to win by more than a TD." As far as I am concerned, the Vikings answered all those questions last week. Give me seven points and I'll take the underdog all day. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -119 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 92 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The injuries just keep piling up for the Eagles, but they just keep winning games. They closed the season with four straight wins, clinching first place in the NFC East. Not one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, playing the Giants twice and beating the Redskins in Washington. Now they host the Seattle Seahawks, an eleven-win NFC West team that missed a first round bye by literally inches. Seattle's would be go ahead TD came up inches short as time expired in their season finale versus San Francisco. The Seahawks come into Philly with a 7-1 road record. Seattle has the better quarterback, and I think that finally the injuries should catch up to the Eagles. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 109 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
There is no question that the Saints are the better team, and they deserve to be the favorite at home in the dome. The question is, how much better are the Saints than the Vikings? New Orleans won three more games than Minnesota during the regular season, but three of the Vikings six losses came in games decided by seven points or less. Kirk Cousins doesn't have the same resume as Drew Brees, but he's younger and he's perfectly capable of outplayng his counterpart. Dalvin Cook might be the best running back in the NFL when healthy, and he will be ready to go for this game. The Vikings defense allowed fewer yards and fewer points than the Saints. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and I think it might be asking too much for them to win by more than a TD. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. After an embarrassing home loss to the Dolphins, everyone is predicting the end of the Patriots Dynasty. There is no doubt that New England isn't as mighty as they once were, but keep in mind that they also lost to Miami last Decemnber, and they went on the win the Super Bowl. They beat a very solid Buffalo Bills team by seven points the previous week, and they still have the NFL's # 1 scoring defense. The Titans looked sharp last week, beating the Texans backups, but had lost back to back games the previous two weeks. The Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff home games. It's going to take a lot more than +4.5 points to tempt me to bet against Belichick and Brady in a January game at Foxboro. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -135 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 86 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. I am not all that excited about betting against the Buffalo Bills. This team has impressed, especially on defense. That being said, they are on the road in a dome against a team with a superior (far better) quarterback. The Texans have more weapons on offense, and the return of JJ Watt should spark the defense. The Bills offense sputtered down the stretch, failing to score 20 points in each of their last four games. They say defense wins championships, but maybe quarterbacks win Wild Card games? My money is on Deshaun Watson and the Texans. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* |
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12-29-19 | Titans -190 v. Texans | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
7* |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -109 | 127 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYG. If you checked last Sunday's scores, you might think that the Eagles beat the Cowboys last week? Well I watched that game quite closely, and let me tell you that Dallas beat the Cowboys. Poor decisions from head coach Jason Garrett beat the Cowboys. A boat load of dropped balls by the Dallas receivers beat the Cowboys. On a crucial 3rd and 1 late in the game, with Dallas having an opportunity to take the lead, they ran a toss to Tony Pollard that lost yards. Zeke Elliott was on the bench. Philly is a mess, banged up in the secondary and in their receiving corps. Zack Ertz has fractured ribs, and they come into New York asked to cover a bunch of points. My money is on Danny Dimes and Saquon to terrorize this Eagles team, and I think the Giants win outright. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -200 | 23-10 | Loss | -200 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers scored 21 points in a home win over the Vikings in Week 3, but they were held scoreless in the second half of that game and Minnesota rallied late but came up just short. They are seeking to avenge that loss here in a huge game in Minnesota on Monday Night Football. The Packers have lost three straight at Minnesota dating back to 2015, and they are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. The Vikes are 6-0 at home this season, and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears +7 | 26-3 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bears have won three straight home games and three of their last four overall, but they will be a sizeable underdog here against Kansas City. The Chiefs come into Chicago riding a four game win streak, and they have already clinched the AFC West. With the Patriots winning at home versus Buffalo on Saturday, and playing their final game at home against the Dolphins, the Chiefs are unlikely to improve their playoff position with a win here over the Bears. The Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 overall at home. I'll take the points with a tough Bears team looking to salvage some pride. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys -130 v. Eagles | 9-17 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Both Dallas and Philly are coming off big wins helping set up this epic battle for the NFC East, but you have to be far more impressed with the Cowboys win over the Rams than the Eagles win over Washington. The Eagles injury troubles have taken their toll, with an extremely thin receiving corps and a lack of talent in the backfield. Perhaps most significant is the injury to offensive lineman Lane Johnson. Dallas ran all over the Rams last week, with 263 rushing yards and three rushing TDs. Dallas has won four straight against the Eagles, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Philadelphia. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. Back in September, the Bills outplayed New England at home, and still lost 16-10. They had a huge edge in total yards, more than double the first downs, and they dominated time of possession. New England looked pretty bad last week in Cincinnati, and still they won and covered. This Patriots team simply knows how to win, even if their tactics are sometimes questionable. A home game at Foxboro in December isn't exactly a good spot to be betting against Belichick and Brady. The Bills might make in interesting, but I expect history to repeat itself. My money is on the Pats to win and cover. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | Rams +1 v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -106 | 146 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos +12.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -125 | 158 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. Denver comes into this rivarly game with Kansas City with a record of 5-8, and because of that they will be a double digit underdog. Only three of Denver's eight losses have come by 10 or more points, and they are coming off back to back outright wins. Drew Lock was impressive in his debut as a starter, throwing for 309 yards and three TDs on 22-of-27 passing in a 38-24 win over the Texans. The Broncos will be looking to avenge a 30-6 home loss to the Chiefs earlier this season, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Kansas City. The Weather could also play a role here today, which may favor the underdog. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | Patriots v. Bengals +10.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -130 | 158 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG@PHI to go Under the total. The Eagles secondary has been a glaring weakness this season, and they were exposed in a 37-31 loss to the Dolphins last week. Prior to that game though, they had held four straight opponents to fewer than 20 points. Eli Manning has been riding the pine for the majority of the season, and it's asking a lot of him to come in and compete on the road in Philly in bad weather in the middle of December. The Eagles are 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings versus New York, and the under is 7-2 in the Giants last nine visits to Philly. Another low score should be expected in the City of Brotherly Love tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. The Seahawks come into LA with a better record, and they will be the favorite. Keep in mind that when the Rams played in Seattle earlier this season, the difference was a missed field goal by Greg Zuerlein. The Rams have since quietly turned their season around, winning four of their last six overall. They have allowed 20+ points just once in those six games. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Los Angeles. This looks like a potential let down spot for Seattle, a team that I think comes in slightly overrated. My money is on the home dog. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@NE to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs +3 v. Patriots | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@NE to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +7 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills came into Dallas on Thanksgiving day with an 8-3 record, but critics (including myself) said they had a soft schedule. After they completely dismantled the Cowboys, that's no longer a valid argument. They have the 3rd best defense in the NFL, and they should have a puncher's chance at home versus the Ravens today. Baltimore has been piling up the wins, but they aren't always covering the spread. The Ravens are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. The home team has won all six meetings between these teams dating back to 2006. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Bears | 24-31 | Loss | -102 | 104 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 69 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texas. |
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12-01-19 | Chargers -155 v. Broncos | 20-23 | Loss | -155 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. The Chargers are coming off back to back losses in close games, and Philip Rivers has to take most of the blame. The veteran quarterback was picked off seven times in losses to Oakland and Kansas City. The coaching staff though should share the blame, as they could have used Melvin Gordon more in both of those losses. This week they play at Denver, and they will get some reinforcements on defense. Derwin James and Adrian Phillips will be active this Sunday, bolstering a defense that already ranks 3rd in the NFL in total yards. Rivers doesn't have to win this game for LA, he simply needs to avoid losing it for the Chargers. Take LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are the only remaining NFL team that hasn't won a game this season, and they have a pretty good shot of getting their first W today at home. The Jets are in town, and they are coming off a blowout win over the Raiders. This is a huge let down spot for a team that has lost four of five on the road. The Jets are asked to cover a handful of points here, and I think they have become overrated. The Bengals are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games in December, and today we will see the return of the Red Rifle. My money is on the home dog. Take CIN. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF 49ERS. As much as I have a ton of respect for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson, I think it's clear that they have become a prohibitive favorite. The hype train has arrived at the station in Baltimore, and the fans and the media are ready to hand Lamar Jackson the MVP before Christmas. Meanwhile, the 49ers have a better record, and a better defense. The Ravens are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games, and I think this line is way out of whack. This game should be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | Browns -119 v. Steelers | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -119 | 144 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. After losing 21-7 at Cleveland two weeks ago, you might call this a revenge game for the Steelers. The truth is that they might not have the personnel to compete with Cleveland. This isn't the same team that has won five of their last six overall. They will miss their leading rusher, their top wide receiver and they have a third string quarterback under center. Cleveland is now looking for a fourth straight win, and Baker Mayfield has turned his season around. He's thrown seven TD passes with just one INT in his last three starts. The Browns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six versus Pittsburgh. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6 | 26-15 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. People have been asking all year... Are the Bills for real? Even after starting the season 3-0, nobody really believed in the Bills. It appeared that they proved their doubters wrong when they lost a close game to New England at the end of September. While they lost, they looked great defensively holding the Patriots to just 16 points, and limiting Tom Brady to just 150 passing yards. So does this mean that the Bills who are statistically one of the top defensive teams in the NFL are the real deal? Hell no! The Patriots are coming off back to back games failing to score 20 points in wins over Dallas and Philly. The Bills have been padding their stats against the league's weakest teams. When their wins include games against the Bengals, Giants, Redskins, Jets and Miami twice, it's hard to be a believer. They are on the road today against a legit contender with the NFL's leading passer under center, and an elite running back in the backfield. Dallas needs this win, and I don't think today will be a good day for Buffalo fans. Take Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-19 | Bears -4 v. Lions | 24-20 | Push | 0 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bears have been losing an awful lot of games lately, but you can't blame their defense. They are only allowing 17 points per game this season, only New England and San Francisco have allowed fewer. They come into Thanksgiving Day off three straight games allowing 14 points or less. One of those games was a home win over the Lions, and Mitch Tribisky actually played quite well in that game. Tribisky might not have to be great here today, as Detroit has been hit hard by injuries. It's not yet clear if backup quarterback Jeff Driskel will play hurt with an injured hamstring, or if third string quarterback David Blough will face the mighty Chicago defense. Either way, this game should be ugly, and I like the Bears to win a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47.5 | 45-6 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-24-19 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | 8-37 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. The 49ERS unbeaten run came to an end at home in a 27-24 loss to Seattle two weeks ago. Russell Wilson outplayed Jimmy G in that game, and now the Niners must try to stop Aaron Rodgers and the 8-2 Geen Bay Packers. Rodgers is having himself another fine season, and he threw for 435 yards and two TDs in a 33-30 win over San Francisco last year. He played his college ball at the university of California, so these games in Santa Clara are like a home coming for Rodgers. The Packers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine meetings in San Francisco, and they are 11-5-2 ATS in the last 18 head to head meetings. Anytime you got the better QB and you're getting points, the odds are in your favor. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. During the Brady and Belichick era, no matter who the Patriots played on any given Sunday, they could always say they have the better quarterback. Now 10 games into the 2019 season, and it's a tough argument to make that Brady is better than Dak (currently). Even in a 28-24 loss to the Vikings, Prescott threw for 397 yards and three TDs. While Zeke has been underperforming, Prescott has been carrying the Cowboys. The Patriots on the other hand have had to lean on their defense, and Belichick's genius. The result has been an offense that is ranked 17th in the NFL in total yards. The Cowboys rank 1st overall in total yards. New England is tough to beat at home, but I think they are being asked to cover too many points here against a dangerous opponent. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Steelers v. Bengals +7 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers pulled off a shocking turnaround, winning four straight after starting the season 1-4. They suffered a heartbreaking loss in Cleveland last week, which likely put the playoffs out of reach. This sets them up for a massive let down here on the road as a big favorite against the winless Bengals. Cincinnati isn't just any winless team, this is the Steelers most hated rival. The Bengals will have all the motivation in the world to go for a W here at home. While Pittsburgh is the better team when healthy, they come into this week's game with a backup QB, missing their #1 WR, a key offensive lineman, and their leading rusher. I'll take the points. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -176 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Houston Texans. Houston is coming off a blowout loss at Baltimore on Sunday, but I really think the Texans can regroup here at home against a banged up Colts team. The Colts will be without leading ruaher Marlon Mack, and star wideout T.Y. Hilton is listed as a game time decision. The Texans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Carlos Hyde has been playing well for the Texans in recent weeks, and I also like him to go over his yards total of 61.5 (BET365). GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@LAC to go Under the total. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. The Rams have struggled this season, but they have a home game against a Bears team that appears to have far bigger problems. As good as their defense is, they rank 30th in the NFL in passing averaging just over 180 yards per game, and their running game isn't a lot better. Chicago's leading rusher David Montgomery is listed as a game time decision with an ankle injury. If the Bears need Mitch Tribisky to do all the heavy lifting, they will likely be in trouble. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Patriots -175 v. Eagles | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 157 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. The Patriots suffered their first loss of the season in Baltimore, but they've had a week off to regroup. They take on the Eagles here on Sunday, and Philly looks vulnerable. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. The over is 6-1 in Patriots last seven games following a bye week. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Cowboys -175 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 154 h 57 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-17-19 | Bills -6 v. Dolphins | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 154 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is coming off back to back wins, and a home game against the lowly Bengals looks like a potential for a blowout. Cincinnati ranks dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 429 yards per game. They are particularly bad against the run, allowing opponents to average more than 170 rushing yards per game. The Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -113 | 44 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers have completely flipped the script after losing four of their first five games. They have since won four straight, and they have a real shot to make the playoffs. The Browns are a team looking to turn their season around, and last week's home win over Buffalo was perhaps a step in the right direction. The pessimist might see the glass half full though, and while they beat the Bills they were not all that impressive in doing so. They trailed 16-12 with less than two minutes to play, but Mayfield was able to score on a game winning drive with just 1:44 left on the clock. The Steelers have been in every game they have played since being blown out in New England in Week 1. They lost by two points to the Seahawks, by points to the 49ers and by three points against the Ravens. Those teams have a combined record of 22-5, so it seems rather generous that they are getting three points here against a team that is 3-6. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SEA@SF to go Over the total. The Seahawks defense has struggled this season, and that is especially true lately. Over their last five games they have allowed 28 or more in four of five games. The 49ers defense ranks first overall in the NFL in yards allowed, but they face a Seattle quarterback that has thrown for 22 TDs and one INT so far this season. The over is 6-2 in the Seahawks last eight road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 games overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -140 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. I predicted Baker Mayfield's redemption tour last week, and that didn't work out well at all: "Everyone is talking about how bad Baker Mayfield is, and how bad the Cleveland Browns are. What people aren't talking about, is who they have played the last three weeks. Their last three losses have come to Seattle, San Francisco and New England. Those three teams have a combined record of 22-2. When you look at the Browns schedule, it's no wonder Baker Mayfield has such poor numbers. They really need a win here in Denver this week, and the Broncos appear to be tanking. Joe Flacco is out for the year and will be replaced by a third stringer Brandon Allen who has no starting experience. This should be the beggining of Baker Mayfield's redemption tour." Surely the Browns have hit rock bottom, and there is nowhere to go but up? The Bills are 6-2 and I gotta believe they are terribly overrated. Call me a glutton for punishment, but I am back on the Browns this week. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-19 | Giants -145 v. Jets | 27-34 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYG. I had the Giants +7.5 on Monday Night Football, and they looked great early in the game. When play was stopped because of a black cat on the field, I knew my bet would take a turn for the worst. Here is what I said prior to kickoff: "The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. " This week the Giants face a New York Jets team that is playing as bad as any team in the league. Injuries to several key players have derailed the Jets, and I don't think they have much fight left in them. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@OAK to go Over the total. The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +9 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 193 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the NYG. The Cowboys will be a huge road favorite in New York on Monday night, despite the fact that Dallas has lost three of it's last four overall. The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. The Cowboys have lost two of three road games including a loss in New York to the Jets. They have no business being favored by more than a TD here. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -155 v. Ravens | 20-37 | Loss | -155 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the New England Patriots. New England is still undefeated, but experienced bettors know that eventually there will be money to be made betting against the Patriots. Apparently there are many that think this week's game in Baltimore is just such an opportunity. I can't see it myself. Belichick has had plenty of success against young quarterbacks, and this defense is going to make life tough on Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady is 6-1 lifetime against the Ravens during the regular season, and New England simply has more weapons. This is a game where Belichick is likely to scheme his way to victory. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-24 | Loss | -115 | 137 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Everyone is talking about how bad Baker Mayfield is, and how bad the Cleveland Browns are. What people aren't talking about, is who they have played the last three weeks. Their last three losses have come to Seattle, San Francisco and New England. Those three teams have a combined record of 22-2. When you look at the Browns schedule, it's no wonder Baker Mayfield has such poor numbers. They really need a win here in Denver this week, and the Broncos appear to be tanking. Joe Flacco is out for the year and will be replaced by a third stringer Brandon Allen who has no starting experience. This should be the beggining of Baker Mayfield's redemption tour. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders -143 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. I bet on the Raiders last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss (and cover) versus Houston: "The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright." They are back at home after playing five straight on the road (including London). With Detroit at less than full strength, this looks like a great spot to back the Raiders as a home favorite. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Vikings -130 v. Chiefs | 23-26 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +3 | 26-3 | Loss | -125 | 156 h 25 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins +15 v. Steelers | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-27-19 | Packers -5 v. Chiefs | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs came into last week's game in Denver off back to back losses, and then they lost starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes to a serious knee injury. The fact that they won in a blowout with third string quarterback Matt Moore says a lot more about how bad Denver is rather than giving any indication that the Chiefs are in good shape in the absence of Mahomes. The Packers have won three straight, and that includes a double digit road win over Dallas. Aaron Rodgers lit up Oakland last week, throwing for 429 yards and five TDs. He's going up against a Chiefs defense that has allowed opponents to score 25+ points four times in seven games so far. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright. As well as Deshaun Watson has played, Houston has given up a ton of points. The total for this game is one of the highest on the board, and in a projected shootout it might be the last score that wins. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +11.5 | 33-0 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYJ. You look at the New England Patriots, and they look unbeatable. They have cruised to a 6-0 record, and they boast the leagues top rated defense. Remember though that just a few weeks ago they really struggled in a game on the road in Buffalo. That was against the same Bills team that played a game decided by a single point here in New York versus the Jets. This Jets team is just 1-4, but three of their losses came without starting quarterback Sam Darnold. Last week's win over the Cowboys brings new found confidence and should be a spark. While New England is without a doubt the better team, absolutely capable of blowing out the Jets (as they did earlier this year), in this spot I'll take the points. Take NYJ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 40 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. The Cowboys are a hot mess at the moment, and Jason Garrett is on borrowed time. Rumors had him being canned mid-week, and surely he's gone if they lose here on Sunday night. Dak Prescott might want to reconsider the multi-million dollar contract offer he turned down in the off-season, as he's been terrible lately. It won't get any easier this week as his receiving corpse is banged up. The Eagles are a team with one glaring weakness, but Dallas might not be in a position to take advantage of a struggling Philly secondary. The Cowboys might have trouble running on this stout defensive line, and if Zeke doesn't get going it will be a disaster for Dallas. I'll take Philly plus the points. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +7 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 135 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is flying high after a dominant win over the Chicago Bears in London, and coming off a bye week they should be ready to put up one hell of a fight in Green Bay. The Packers were very lucky to win a MNF game against the Lions, and they come limping into this Sunday's game on short rest with a ton of injuries. Devante Adams is out, and both Geronimo Allison and Valdez-Scantling are questionable. The Raiders might now fancy themselves as a contender in the AFC West, now that first place Kansas City is going to be without Patrick Mahomes for the next several weeks. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -143 | 179 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the #NYG. The Giants are just 2-4, but they still have a shot in the NFC East, with Dallas and Philly sitting at just 3-3. The Cardinals on the other hand aren't going anywhere, with a stranglehold on last place on the NFC West. Both Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray have given their teams reason to be optimistic about the future, but Jones has showed the world why he was drafted 6th overall in the first round, and he's been more consistent than Murray. When you consider what he's had to work with, his performance is even more impressive. This week he's going to have Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram back. He's going up against an Arizona defense that ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass. While the Giants defense is stastically just as bad, they have played tougher opposition, and they have scored significantly more points of their own. This is a tough spot for an NFC West team traveling to the East Coast for an early game. All signs point to a blowout win for the Giants. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -183 | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers are 4-1, and their only loss was in a Thursday night game against the Eagles, and they just didn't appear ready to play on that particular day. Every other game has been an impressive display defensively, and their offense has been well balanced with Aaron Jones carrying the load when needed. Jones has been taking on a bigger role since the injury to Davante Adams, and he caught seven passes for 75 yards last week. Detroit has been competitive so far, but they failed to beat Arizona in Week 1, and despite outplaying Kansas City in their last game, they couldn't hang on for a win. I think the Lions may keep it close, but the Packers should win this game at home. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -175 | 20-7 | Loss | -175 | 110 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. The Rams are coming off a loss at Seattle, but when Greg Zuerline was preparing to kick a 40 yard field goal at the end of the game, there was roughly a 90 percent chance the Rams would win and move to 4-1. Instead we are talking about the 5-0 San Francisco 49ers, who have exactly zero wins versus teams with a winning record. I am not ready to write off the Rams just yet, and in a must win game at home against a banged up opponent playing on short rest, I like Sean McVay and the Rams. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -140 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 141 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Eagles are flying high after winning back to back games over Green Bay and the New York Jets. The Vikings got a feel good win in a "get right" game against the Giants, getting their passing game going again. A home game against the Eagles might be a good spot for the Vikings to do some damage in the air. The Eagles pass defense was lit up for over 400 yards in the win over Green Bay, and they weren't a lot better in a home loss to the Lions. The Vikings have won both their home games by double digits, and they are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 home games. The last time the Eagles played in Minnesota they lost 48-30, and I expect the Vikings to win another high scoring game here this week. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-19 | Panthers -135 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 138 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers come rolling into London as winners of three straight, while Tampa has lost two of three. This is a big revenge spot for Carolina, who lost at home to the Bucs by a score of 20-14. Since replacing Cam Newton with Kyle Allen, the Panthers have score and average of 29 points per game. Christian McCaffrey is the NFL's leading rusher, so I don't expect the Bucs to have as much success stopping the run as they did the last time these teams met. It was good news and bad news for Jameis Winston last week. He didn't throw an interception, but he was sacked six times in the loss to the Saints. If the Bucs can't protect Winston, he's inevitably going to turn the ball over. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -185 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 164 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the San Francisco 49ERS. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers are 26-7 ATS in their last 33 Monday Night Football games. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers UNDER 48 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@SF to go Under the total. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games, and these teams have gone under in six straight head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Colts +12 v. Chiefs | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-06-19 | Packers +4 v. Cowboys | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 161 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Cowboys looked like Super Bowl favorites after starting the season with three straight wins. The problem is that while they looked great against the Dolphins, Giants and Redskins, they were held to just 10 points in a loss at New Orleans last week. The Packers are also coming off a loss, but they scored 27 points against Philly and came two yards away from tying the game. The Packers defense was sharp in wins over Chicago, Minnesota and Denver, but they appeared to be out of sorts on a short week versus Philly. The will have had a few more days (than Dallas) to prepare for this game, and I like their chances of pulling off an upset. I really like getting the points. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 158 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Jacksonville. Both the Jags and the Panthers have won back to back games since their backup quarterbacks took over. The difference is that Gardner Minshew is winning games for the Jags, while the Panthers are winning games with Kyle Allen. Minshew was brilliant in a come from behind win over the Broncos at Mile High, and I love getting points here with the Jags. Take JAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 133 h 1 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +4 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 133 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers -4 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 180 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Pittsburgh. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Saints. Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Patriots -6 v. Bills | 16-10 | Push | 0 | 193 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NE Patriots.
I've seen this story before. The Bills look good a few weeks into the season, and now they gotta get over the hump in a home game against the Patriots. Just when you think they might have a chance, they get a cold hard dose of reality. The reality is that beating the Jets and the Giants isn't any indication that they can compete with New England. This line looks a little short. Take NE, GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Redskins v. Giants -135 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 192 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG.
The Giants host the Redskins in Week 4, and this looks like a good spot for the new starting QB to get a W at home. Washington is on a short week, and after a tough MNF game against the Bears, they should be vulnerable. Case Keenum is expected to play through an injury, after throwing three INTs in a loss to the Bears. You look at the success the Bills are enjoying with their young quarterback Josh Allen, and I think Daniel Jones has a chance to be even better. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Browns v. Ravens -3.5 | 40-25 | Loss | -120 | 192 h 31 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -165 | 34-27 | Loss | -165 | 127 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers.
Green Bay has overhauled their defense, and so far the results have been impressive. They have allowed opponents to average less than 200 passing yards per game, and they have a dozen sacks in three games (tied for 2nd). They face a Philly team on Thursday night that has really struggled on defense, and has been dealing with a ton of injuries. It might surprise some to learn that Philly ranks worse against the pass than the Miami Dolphins so far this year. That comes after facing Case Keenum, Matt Stafford and Matt Ryan. Playing the Packers at Lambeau looks like a disaster waiting to happen for this Eagles team. Expect Rodgers to light them up early and often. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-19 | Bears -187 v. Redskins | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 191 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins OVER 41 | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-22-19 | Rams -140 v. Browns | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 169 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAR. |
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09-22-19 | Steelers v. 49ers +1.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-0 49ERS will host Pittsburgh in Week 3, and the Steelers are in danger of falling to 0-3. Jimmy G is coming off a huge game on the road at Cincinnati, and he faces a Steelers defense that was picked apart in back to back weeks by Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. Injuries threaten to derail the Steelers season, as Big Ben left last week's game due to elbow soreness. |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 50 | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have announced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better. |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks +100 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -100 | 166 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have annouced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-19 | Dolphins v. Cowboys -16.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 161 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are finally ready to remove any limits to Zeke's workload, and he faces a Miami team that appears to be tanking. The Dolphins defense has allowed over 1000 yards in their first two games, and Zeke might go over 100 yards in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-19 | Lions +9 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 149 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. |
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09-16-19 | Browns -6 v. Jets | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on Cleveland to win. The Browns offense struggled in Week 1 at home against the Titans, but part of the problem was that they were penalized 18 times for 182 yards. The pressure is on as they get set to take on the Jets on Monday Night Football, and this looks like a get right game for Cleveland. Sam Darnold is out and Le'Veon Bell is questionable, but the Jets injuries on defense might be even more significant. C.J. Mosely and Quinnen Williams will both be out for tonight's game, and the Bills really moved the ball in the second half last week after Mosely left. This should be good news for Nick Chubb, who ran for 75 yards on 17 carries in Week 1. I expect this game to be over at halftime, and that should mean a healthy workload for Chubb in the second half. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Redskins | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 112 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cowboys. Washington was expected to be one of the league's worst teams this season, but after they opened up a big lead early on the road in Philly in Week 1, maybe they are better than we thought? I don't think so. They were out-scored 25-7 in the second half, and Philly racked up 436 yards of total offense. Washington only attempted 13 running plays, for a total of 28 yards. That's simply not a recipe for success. They are in for a world of hurt here against the Cowboys in Week 2. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Steelers | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 112 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Both Pittsburgh and Seattle are coming off a disappointing season opener, but while the Seahawks barely held on to beat Cincinnati by a single point, the Steelers lost by 30 at New England. This looks like a good spot to back Seattle as an underdog. The Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Pittsburgh has performed poorly as a home favorite, the Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers defense looked sharp in a 10-3 win over the Bears, but I think that tells us more about the Bears problems on offense than it does about Green Bay's defense. They will face a tougher challenge here in Week 2 against the Vikings. Last year was a disappointment for Kirk Cousins, but one of his best games was a 29-29 tie at Lambeau. Cousins threw for 425 yards and four TDs in that game. Sure the Packers have improved since then, but so have the Vikings. Their defense sacked Matt Ryan four times and picked him off twice in Week 1. They ran for 172 yards and three TDs on 38 attempts. The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings, and I'll the points in this game. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. While Carolina lost a close game to defending NFC champs LA in Week 1, the Bucs looked downright terrible in a home loss to San Francisco. Jameis Winston was picked off three times, picking up right where he left off last year when he threw 10 picks in his first four games. He played a total of 11 games last season, and only three times did he manage to avoid throwing any INTs. Tampa was 1-7 on the road last year, and they lost by 14 at Carolina. The Panthers scored 35 points in the first half of that game, and Christian McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs on 157 rush/rec yards. Look for a similar result here tonight. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-19 | Broncos +110 v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. Over the last year the Raiders have lost the likes of Khalil Mack, Amari Cooper and Antonio Brown. After dealing with a pre-season full of drama, Brown was cut and has since signed with New England. The Raiders haven't even played a game yet, but so far this season looks like a disaster. The Broncos have quietly added a Super Bowl winner at quarterback, and a defensive genius at head coach. There is still a lot of talent left from the team that won a Super Bowl just a few years ago, and I expect Denver to be a force this season. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |