Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-27-23 | Manchester United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 115 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League Thursday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - With the managerial change after the embarrassing 6-1 loss, Tottenham is sure to respond here. However, they lost their current top goalie and now go back to the guy that had been demoted to the #2 goalie spot. So, instead of the injured Lloris it will be Forster in between the sticks for the hosts in this one. It will be a challenge as Manchester United, even without the injured Fernandes, has plenty of scoring threat and they are fired up for some big scoring here after the scoreless draw versus Brighton. That one actually featured solid chances and I know Man U is going to bring it here as they have not scored a goal in last two matches. The thing is, Tottenham will have extra aggression on the attack here too as they respond to the ugly loss and subsequent managerial change. What I like about this total being at a 2.5 or 3 in most spots, is the fact that Tottenham has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches. Not only that, there has not been a draw in an EPL match at this stadium since 2021. So the point is, we can fully expect at least a 2-1 final in this one the way I see it. But truly I am expecting at least 4 goals as both clubs bring their A game on the Attack in this one! The last meeting between these clubs was a 2-0 Man U win but this followed 4 matches that all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged nearly 5 goals per match! We'll see plenty of scoring in this one is my strong prediction here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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04-27-23 | Cardiff City v. Rotherham United OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #200229: English League Championship Thursday OVER 2 in Rotherham United vs Cardiff City @ 3 ET - Excellent line value with this total at a 2 even with juice in the -135 range. Both clubs should score at least once and that would mean nothing less than a push and a 1-1 final. However, considering both clubs proximity to the relegation zone, they also are pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and all signs point to at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. Note that Rotherham has allowed at least 1 goal (and average of 1.6 goals conceded) in last 7 matches on their home pitch. Rotherham also has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 on home pitch and averaged scoring 2.2 goals in those 5 matches. Cardiff has both scored and conceded in 5 of their 6 matches this month. Those 5 matches averaged totaling 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 to be a winner here. Also, Ryan Allsop has an abductor injury and is expected to miss the rest of the season. He is the starting goalie for Cardiff so that means little used #2 Jak Alnwick (struggling in 2023) will get the start here. OVER 2 in Rotherham |
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04-27-23 | Newcastle United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 2:45 ET - If I could write the script for this I would say Everton scores an early goal and then Newcastle immediately responds to tie and then eventually wins the match 2-1. That is the type of match I am expecting here. Newcastle is off that 6-1 thrashing of Tottenham so I could see them coming out flat here and Everton - finally getting some key players back - takes advantage and gets an early marker. The issue for Everton is that they will have then poked the bear so to speak and this Newcastle club has it sights set on a top four finish in the Premier League. They are in excellent current form and there solid goal-scoring run should continue here. However, in support of my script for this one, do note that Newcastle has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight road matches. Overall, 4 straight Newcastle matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these 4 matches have averaged nearly 5 goals per match! Everton is off a shocking scoreless draw but this was preceded by a 7-match stretch that averaged 3 goals apiece. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Everton |
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04-26-23 | West Bromwich Albion v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200221: English League Championship Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Sheffield United vs West Bromwich Albion @ 3 ET - Sheffield can clinch automatic promotion with a win. For West Bromwich, this match is ultra important due to playoff reasons. That said, both clubs going strong here for the full 3 points in the table and I expect at least a 2-1 match here at a minimum. West Bromwich is averaging 1.24 goals per match on the road this season. Sheffield is averaging 2 goals match at home this season. In terms of recent form, Sheffield has won each of last 4 as a host and is averaging 2.2 goals per match during that 4-0 run. West Bromwich has scored 2 goals in each of last 2 road matches and has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight road matches. Overall, 4 of last 5 West Bromwich matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this one to reach that mark as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Sheffield United |
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04-26-23 | Liverpool v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 50 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Liverpool @ 2:45 ET - West Ham has scored 10 goals last 3 matches across all competitions. West Ham also has averaged 2.2 goals last 9 matches across all competitions as a host. Their last two matches with Liverpool have both been 1-0 wins for the Reds but this one sure looks different. Note also that the 3 meetings prior to those 2 all totaled 3 or more goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. As for the key to why this one will be more like the former 3 rather than the latter 2 , both of these clubs enter this one having scored goals like crazy of late. Liverpool has scored 11 goals last 3 matches. However, Liverpool also has allowed 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches. Looking at just EPL matches, Liverpool has scored 2.3 goals per match last 9 matches! Given all of the above, I would not be surprised to see each of these clubs get to the 2 goal mark in this one. 2-2 draw or a 3-2 final and, in my mind, at the very least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United |
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04-25-23 | Burnley v. Blackburn Rovers OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200225: English League Championship Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Blackburn vs Burnley @ 3 ET - Burnley wants to clinch the title finally after a rare 3-match winless streak and what better place to do that than at rival Blackburn. However, you know the hosts will do all they can to prevent that from happening. I expect all this to translate to goals because Blackburn will put up a fight on their home pitch but they have conceded 14 times in last 9 matches. Burnley has conceded 10 goals in last 5 matches away from home across all competitions. Blackburn has given up late equalizers in each of their last two matches and Burnley also frustrated with not getting winning results of late. This will lead to extra goal-scoring push in this one the way I see it. A strong attack from both clubs likely in an entertaining affair that should get to at least 2-1 the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Blackburn |
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04-25-23 | Leicester v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #200085 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - These are two of the worst clubs in the league in terms of goals allowed but both have been scoring decently of late as well. These two clubs are down near the bottom of the table so both are pushing for the full 3 points here and I don't foresee a draw as a result. Look for at least a 2-1 final. Note that Leeds home matches have averaged about 3 goals apiece this season and Leicester road matches have averaged about 4 goals apiece this season. The fact that their recent meetings (the last 3) have all totaled 2 or less goals is helping to keep this total lower than it should be. The two meetings prior to those each totaled 4 or more goals. Leeds last 7 matches have ALL totaled 3 or more goals and have averaged FIVE goals apiece! 9 of last 13 Leicester City matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 9 have averaged 4 goals apiece. All signs pointing to a wide open affair here totaling at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds |
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04-25-23 | Crystal Palace v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace @ 2:30 ET - Crystal Palace is off a scoreless draw last week so the low total of 2 here makes sense in that regard. However, under Hodgson, Palace has been revitalized and I am not going to let one tough effort against a nemesis impact the thought process here. The fact is that Crystal Palace had won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 3 goals per match. As for Wolverhampton, they should also get on the board here on their home pitch and they also have had just 2 draws in 16 home matches this season. In other words, a 1-1 match is very likely to end up at least 2-1. Note that the Wolves have scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches! Also, Crystal Palace has scored 2 goals in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs. This is why I feel we have excellent value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* OVER 2 in Wolverhampton |
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04-24-23 | Middlesbrough v. Luton Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 102 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200373: English League Championship Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Luton Town vs Middlesbrough @ 3 ET - Middlesbrough has been scoring a lot of goals of late but this is also a club that allows about twice as many goals on the road as they have at home this season. They are traveling here and facing the club that is just above them in the standings and this Luton Town club actually has allowed more goals at home than on the road this season. So this one sets up well for goals and we should see plenty here as the recent trending of Middlesbrough has been for very high-scoring matches. Luton Town is not as high-scoring as their opponents for this one but they are averaging scoring 1.8 goals per match their last 5 matches. Middlesbrough has seen 12 of last 14 matches total at least 3 goals! Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Luton Town |
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04-24-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - The value of an over 2 is big in Romania and I definitely look for 3 or more here but like the fact that 2 would be a push rather than a loss. 14 of last 17 FC Voluntari matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 14 matches have averaged 3 goals! Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 20 of last 27 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 20 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti had scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches before being shutout at home in most recent match. They should respond here as they have scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight road matches. Of course you know that FC Voluntari is favored for a reason here. So you can see, given the above, there is reasoning behind why I am expecting a 2-1 final at the very least in this one. Neither club has had many losses of late so they are playing with plenty of confidence too as the defeat for Petrolul Ploiesti last week was a rare one. They had won 4 straight before that loss. Also, the hosts in this one are unbeaten last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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04-23-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Rapid and FCSB last 3 matches have averaged 3.3 goals and two of those were 3-1 finals. Rapid enters this one having allowed 2 goals per match last 5 matches. However, Rapid has scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 16 home matches this season. You can see why this match getting to 2-2 would not be shocking in the least given numbers like this. The key here is FCSB has seen 7 of last 12 matches total at least 3 goals. 9 of last 10 FCSB matches have seen them both score and concede at least 1 time. These clubs each had only about a 20% draw rate in the regular season but have each had 2 draws in 4 matches in the play-off round. In other words, extra effort a win here to earn full points and long-term trending shows the odds favor that as well. Look for a 2-1 final at least here and 4 or more would not surprise me at all here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid |
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04-23-23 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200405: English FA Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -145 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET from Wembley Stadium in London - Fernandes and Rashford both should play for Man U here but each club has some injury issues defensively. 4 of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. Man U had scored 2 goals in 3 straight before getting shutout 3-0 by Sevilla which was the 2nd time in 3 matches in which they had allowed at least 2 goals. Also, they have won all 4 of their English FA Cup matches by identical 3-1 scores. We should again see 4 goals here for a 5th straight match but we only need 3 to be a winner here. That is noteworthy too as Brighton has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 3 goals. In fact, those have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton |
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04-23-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #200065 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 9 AM ET - Both clubs scoring quite well of late while Tottenham has had issues all season with allowing too many goals on the road. Newcastle normally solid on their home pitch in terms of goals allowed but that has not been the case recently. They are having trouble lately with a leaky backline. I am sure Tottenham is going to take advantage of this weakness and will generate plenty of chances with an aggressive attack. However, Newcastle is sure to get their high quality scoring chances at home too. That means at least a 2-1 final here is likely the way I see it. The last 4 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Tottenham enters this match with 4 of last 5 totaling at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals. Newcastle has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 3 goals and those have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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04-22-23 | CFR Cluj v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 -130 in Farul vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Laying a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals but, this way, if it lands on 2 we get a push rather than a loss. In the regular season, these were the two highest-scoring clubs in the league! Not only that, their two meetings this season each totaled at least 3 goals. Also, their current trending absolutely supports a play on the over here as well. Farul tends to be so strong at home but, though they do score well, they also have been conceding goals of late as well. In fact, Farul has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. As for CFR Cluj, their story is similar as 8 of their last 9 matches have seen both they and their opponent find the back of the net! Those 9 matches have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. I am expecting 4 goals in this one but 3 also serves our purposes just fine and I do love the value of a push if this one shocks me and ends with only 2 goals. This should be a high-scoring wide-open affair. OVER 2 -130 in Farul |
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04-22-23 | Sheffield United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200401: English FA Cup Saturday OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City vs Sheffield United @ 11:45 AM ET - Of course the huge underdogs, Sheffield United, would love to turn this match into a low-scoring grinder. However, Manchester City simply is too talented and strong and will not let that happen. Of course once City starts going goals it will put pressure on Sheffield to open things and take risks. I would not be surprised to see them find the back of the net in this one but City is a 2-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. I am looking for a 3 to 1 type of final here. Either way we get to 4 goals even if City goes ballistic and gets to that number all by themselves. Yes they have a big match on deck with Arsenal but this one is also very important and they will likely use this as a tune-up to be a well-oiled machine heading into Wednesday's big EPL match. Remember that City is averaging 2.6 goals scored per match in league action this season. Also, City has averaged scoring 4 goals per match last 7 matches across all competitions. As for Sheffield, they average about 1.6 goals per match in Championship League action and, again, they will be forced to be aggressive on the attack here and take some risks as this match goes along. OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City |
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04-22-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 -135 in FC Botosani vs U Craiova 1948 @ 10:30 AM ET - Laying a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals but, this way, if it lands on 2 we get a push rather than a loss. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches overall. Also, as a host, FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals in the process. As for U Craiova 1948, they have had 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 4 matches, in fact, have averaged 4 goals apiece! As for FC Botosani matched up with U Craiova 1948, their two matches this season were each 1-0 finals. However, this followed 3 straight that totaled at least 2 goals and the last two averaged 4 goals apiece. The way these clubs are trending right now (including FC Botosani solid scoring at home), that is the type of result I expect here. OVER 2 -135 in FC Botosani |
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04-22-23 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #200049: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2 -130 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 10 AM ET - Don't be surprised if Dominic Calvert-Lewin ends up playing some for Everton in this match and that would certainly give the visitors a boost. However, even if he does not play, I expect Everton to find the back of the net here as last week's clean sheet that Crystal Palace delivered was a rare one for them of late. But what has not been rare of late for them is plenty of goals. They have absolutely enjoyed a resurgence under manager Roy Hodgson. They have scored in each of last 4 matches and have averaged 2.5 goals scored per match. Getting this total at 2 goals is a great bargain here even at a price in the -130 range. Crystal Palace, prior to last week's 2-0 win, had allowed a goal in 6 straight matches. They are playing a more aggressive style under Hodgson now and should score well in this one but could struggle to an Everton club desperate for a victory. They are winless in their last 4 matches and those averaged a total of 3 goals apiece and manager Sean Dyche is desperate to get his club back on track. As a result, we'll see more attacking in this match than you might would normally expect. Everton has scored 7 goals in last 6 matches but also conceded an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches. OVER 2 -130 in Crystal Palace |
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04-21-23 | Southampton v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League Friday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Southampton @ 3 ET - Amazingly, in English Premier League matches, Arsenal has had 9 of last 10 including 7 straight total at least 3 goals! Those 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and I am expecting to get to at least the 4 goal mark in this one. Look for Arsenal to be relentless on the attack here as their last two matches have been 2-2 draws as a result of letting 2-0 leads slip away in each match. They will push hard to get to at least the 3 goal mark here I am sure! As for Southampton, they have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches and now face one of the top clubs in the league. However, Arsenal does have a huge match Wednesday against Manchester City. That said, if they get caught looking ahead Southampton could certainly make this one interesting! They have not been scoring much but certainly should do some damage here against a leaky Arsenal defense. The storyline though will be a huge rout for the hosts though ultimately as they are massive favorites here - including -2 goals on the goal line - with good reason! OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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04-21-23 | CS U Craiova v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #206897 Friday OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Craiova won 1-0 here when these clubs last met way back in October. However, the two prior meetings each totaled 4 goals. Also, each of the 3 prior meetings saw each club score at least one goal in each match. Likewise, Universitatea Craiova has played 5 straight matches overall in which they have both scored and conceded at least once in every single match. Their last two matches have each totaled at least 4 goals and I am looking for more of the same here. As for Sepsi, their last 18 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. I love the value here of the over 2.5 goals at plus money. Sepsi has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 9 at home. Also, last week's 2-1 loss was the 5th time last 8 matches in which Sepsi has conceded at least 2 goals. We'll see plenty of scoring here as Universitatea Craiova will enjoy plenty of success as well. OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi |
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04-20-23 | Manchester United v. Sevilla OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #224429 Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 in Sevilla vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Sevilla always seems to rise to the occasion in events like this. I am looking for plenty of goals here as Manchester United is certainly hungry to advance as well and they are not happy about giving up 2 late goals and blowing a 2-goal lead in their 2-2 draw with Sevilla in the first meeting. That is all part of a 4-match stretch in which Sevilla has scored 2 goals in all 4 matches. The thing is, Manchester United has been playing well also and they have scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches. They will also have Rashford back for this one. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and note that each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same in another highly entertaining affair between these clubs. After what happened in the first one, Manchester United knows no lead is safe and they will be relentless here but of course they are on the road for this one too. The hosts will be on the attack on their home pitch as well. OVER 2.5 in Sevilla |
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04-19-23 | Manchester City v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
Champions League OVER 3 in Bayern Munich - Manchester City won the first meeting 3-0 so Bayern Munich must be aggressive on their home pitch and they are known for scoring goals here. However, Manchester City is on an incredible goal-scoring run of their own. That means the hosts being forced to be aggressive will absolutely open things up for the visitors to continue their onslaught of goal-scoring across all competitions. OVER 3 in Bayern Munich |
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04-18-23 | Real Madrid v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224217: Champions League Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - Down 2-0 on the aggregate so far in this one, Chelsea has to dig deep and get a miracle 3-goal win to advance. Of course that is a tall order and I am not forecasting that but I am forecasting a very aggressive effort on the part of Chelsea. They can not afford to sit back here. Of course this will open up the scoring options for Real Madrid on the counterattack and this could result in a very entertaining high-scoring affair here with some great breakaway opportunities. Note that Chelsea did finally make the net ripple in their recent 2-1 loss to Brighton. They can at least take something from that as it finally ended their scoreless drought. The issue here is they are hosting a Real Madrid club that has scored an average of 3.2 goals last 5 matches and will be up to the challenge here no matter how spirited the effort of the hosts in this one! OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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04-17-23 | Liverpool v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200029: English Premier League OVER 3 in Leeds United vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool very hungry for a win and should build momentum off last week's comeback against Arsenal as they rallied for the 2-2 draw. However, it is hard to trust the Reds to get the victory here considering how they have struggled on the road all season. Also, they enter this match having failed to notch a victory in 5 straight matches. That said, the play here is the over. Leeds has a leaky defense but they are solid up front and should pressure (and have success) against a Liverpool club known for conceding more goals on the road. Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last 5 meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals apiece. Liverpool has seen 2 of last 3 matches total at least 4 goals. Leeds United has had 5 straight matches total at least 3 goals and these 5 have averaged 5 goals apiece! They should notch at least 1 goal here on their home pitch but you know Liverpool is going to be relentless on the attack as they are desperate to notch a victory and get back into the win column finally. OVER 3 in Leeds United |
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04-17-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Farul @ 1:30 ET - This match-up has goals written all over it. These are two of the top clubs in the league now meeting in the play-off stage. Note the last 3 meetings have each totaled at least 4 goals and, also at least one of the clubs has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last 5 meetings. We'll see goals here! Farul enters this one with 3 of last 4 matches each totaling at least 3 goals. In each of those 4 matches both Farul and their opponent has scored at least once in every single match. As for FCSB, 6 of last 11 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. These 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and considering FCSB is now matched up with a very high-scoring Farul club for this one, goals should be aplenty! On the season FCSB has averaged 1.9 goals scored in their 16 home matches! On the season, in all matches, Farul has averaged 1.8 goals scored per match! You can see, given numbers like that, why 4 goals in this one would not be a shock at all and why I am absolutely expecting at least 3 goals in this one. OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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04-16-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation # 206881: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid @ 2 ET - We need 3 here to be a winner but I like our odds on that in this one. Universitatea Craiova is off a 3-2 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and they have both scored and conceded in all 4 matches! Rapid is off a 2-0 loss and will respond after being held scoreless. Prior to that match, Rapid had both scored and conceded in 3 straight matches and those averaged 3 goals apiece. Both clubs have had 2 draws and a loss so far in the play-off post-season and so they are extra hungry for a victory here. That said, and given both clubs propensity to both score and concede in recent weeks, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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04-16-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200017 Sunday OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - There is a hidden key to the value in this one because if you look at overall stats rather than home/road stats it could lead you astray here. No team has conceded fewer goals at home than Man U this season and no team on the road has scored fewer goals than Nottingham Forest this season. However, this match is at Nottingham Forest. They are a scrappy bunch at home and Man U has had trouble giving up too many road goals all season long. That said, I am looking for Man U to push hard after what just happened against Seville when they blew a late 2-0 lead in Europa League action. Both of these clubs are currently dealing with injury issues right now but I just can't see Man U being held down here as they will be relentless on the attack no matter which players are out there on the pitch. At the same time, I do not see the hosts being held scoreless at home as they have been so strong here this season. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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04-16-23 | Arsenal v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation # 200021: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - We should see plenty of goals here as Arsenal should be ruthless on the attack after blowing a 2-0 lead at Liverpool last week and having to settle for a 2-2 draw. The key to the over here is I do expect West Ham United to make the net ripple at least once as they are at home and will put up a fight here. Across all competitions, West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight and they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals during this stretch. 4 of last 5 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and these averaged 3.6 goals apiece. 9 of Arsenal's last 11 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and those 11 have averaged 4 goals apiece. Arsenal is a great club but has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 and actually allowed 2 goals in 3 of those 6. Excellent line value here. OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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04-15-23 | Leicester v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester might get some extra bounce in their step here with new manager Dean Smith. Look for them to be on the attack here and possibly get one goal. However, the reason that Manchester City is such a huge favorite here is because they are on a rampage right now and can not be stopped. They have won 5 straight matches and averaged 4.8 goals per match in this red hot run! Leicester is off a 1-0 loss but was fortunate they did not allow more goals in that one. Also, they allowed about two goals per match in their 14 matches prior to that tight loss. Now they face the current most high-powered attack in all of football. This one gets ugly for Leicester as they are on the road here. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final here but truly expect much more given the circumstances. OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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04-15-23 | Sepsi v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Sepsi @ Noon ET - The ability to get an over 2 at a very fair juice price of -135 here makes this a must play the way I see it. CFR Cluj is very hungry for a victory after 3 straight draws and they are hosting here. Oddly enough, in the regular season no club had fewer draws than CFR Cluj as they had 3 in 30 matches for a 10% draw rate. The reason I keep talking about draws here is because a 1-1 match gets us a push but a 2-1 match would us a winner. I see plenty of reason to expect each club to score at least 1 goal here and then I feel the extra motivation in pushing for a victory is going to be a difference maker in a match that should end with at least 3 goals scoring in a 2-1 final the way I see it. CFR Cluj has had 9 straight Romania Liga 1 matches total at least 2 goals. Sepsi has had 16 of last 17 matches total at least 2 goals. Also, only 1 of last 8 Sepsi matches has ended in a draw. Looking for at least 3 goals and here and love the value with this total. OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj |
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04-15-23 | Crystal Palace v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Southampton vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - This one very important in the relegation battle and I am looking for plenty of attacking from both sides and feel we have great value with this total. Southampton should get some scoring going here as they are on their home pitch but, as for Crystal Palace, they are hot since the managerial change and are like a new club. Crystal Palace has scored 7 goals in their 2 victories in their past two matches. Overall, 3 straight matches for Crystal Palace have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4.7 goals apiece. Southampton has allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Southampton has scored an average of 2 goals in last two matches as a host. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals as well. Take advantage of the big plus money in this one. OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Southampton |
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04-14-23 | Norwich City v. Middlesbrough OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200277: English League Championship Friday OVER 2.5 goals -125 in Middlesbrough vs Norwich City @ 3 ET - Norwich City is off a frustrating scoreless draw with Rotterham United as they dominated that match but had nothing to show for it. They will be hell-bent on scoring in this match after the way that played out. Norwich City did have success hosting Middlesbrough earlier this season though they lost 2-1. The hosts were very strong in that match and I look for more of the same here. Trouble for Norwich City is that Middlesbrough is hosting this one and is one of the top clubs in the league plus one of the highest scoring. The hosts will get their goals here but they have been conceding a lot this season as well including of late. Middlesbrough has allowed 8 goals last 3 matches but also scored 9 goals last 4 matches! They are a favorite here in this match for a reason but I also do not foresee them delivering a clean sheet here either. That said, this looks like it has 2-1 written all over it. At a minimum, I am looking for 3 goals and that has been the average total goals scored in this home club's matches this season. OVER 2.5 goals -125 in Middlesbrough |
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04-14-23 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #206893: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 goals -120 in UTA vs FC Botosani @ 2 ET - Both clubs have trended to lower-scoring games of late but I love the value of the over 2 in this one. Both regular season meetings between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals and the match-up with UTA hosting totaled 4 goals and now they meet here again. Also, 5 of last 6 UTA matches have totaled at least 2 goals and UTA has scored 22 goals in their 16 home matches this season. UTA has averaged scoring 2 goals in last 4 home matches! FC Botosani is off a 1-0 win but, prior to this, 8 of last 10 of their matches totaled at least 2 goals. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 12 matches. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting each club to make the net ripple at least once in this one and I like the value with this low total as I again look for a meeting between these clubs to get to at least the 3-goal mark. OVER 2 goals -120 in UTA |
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04-14-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 101 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #206873 Friday OVER 2 goals -130 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 11 AM ET - The ability to get an over 2 in a reasonable price range of -130 is too good to pass up on here. FC Voluntari 13 of last 16 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Of course we are looking for 3 or more here and to get a win and that is why I like this match-up even more because U Craiova 1948 has been involved in a number of high-scoring matches of late. 3 of last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, if you look at just the matches in which U Craiova 1948 has hosted, 4 of last 6 have totaled at least 3 goals and the hosts have averaged scoring 2 goals per match. The way FC Voluntari is going as well - scoring at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches - I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this match. OVER 2 goals -130 in U Craiova 1948 |
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04-10-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -51 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Sepsi vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - 15 of last 16 Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged 3 goals so there is excellent line value here with this total available at over 2 goals for some extra juice. Looking for at least 3 here as Sepsi is off a 2-1 home loss and will be looking to respond here on a home pitch that has seen them score an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches. They scored at least 1 goal in all 8 of those matches! As for Rapid, they have scored 5 goals in the 2 wins over Sepsi this season and both matches reached the 3-goal mark. Rapid has seen 19 of last 22 matches total at least 2 goals. Their last 3 road matches all have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Sepsi |
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04-10-23 | Middlesbrough v. Bristol City OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200269: English Championship League Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bristol City vs Middlesbrough @ 12:30 ET - Bristol City is hosting and scores better at home than on the road. Middlesbrough has a knack for high-scoring results and particularly on the road where they have allowed 32 goals but scored 35 in their 20 matches this season. That comes out to an average total of 3.35 goals per match. I expect Bristol City to score at home and I also certainly do not see Middlesbrough going through this match without scoring. They are one of the highest scoring clubs in the league. That said, what about the odds of a draw? They are very slim as Middlesbrough has only 1 draw in 20 road matches for a measly 5% draw rate. That is why I am fully expecting this match to get to at least a 2-1 final here. Bristol City has scored 14 goals in last 9 home matches. Middlesbrough has seen 9 of last 11 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 11 matches averaged nearly 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 in Bristol City |
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04-10-23 | Mioveni v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206857: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Mioveni @ 10:30 AM ET - The two matches between these clubs this season were very low-scoring. Also, Petrolul Ploiesti enters this match off 4 straight low-scoring matches. That said, this one is a contrarian play but CS Mioveni, prior to last week's 1-0 loss, had 12 of last 16 matches total at least two goals. Those dozen matches averaged 3 goals and I look for this one to get there too. 7 of last 8 CS Mioveni road matches have totaled at least 3 goals so they have definitely shown a tendency toward higher scoring matches as travelers. They were shutout 3-0 in most recent road match but this followed 7 straight road matches in which they scored at least one goal. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 15 home matches. Overall, they enter this match having scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches. Keep in mind Petrolul Ploiesti had only 3 draws out of 30 matches in the regular season. That is just a 10% draw rate and with each team, per the above, likely to get to 1 goal then we should be looking at a 2-1 final at a minimum here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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04-09-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -52 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206853: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This one we have to go over the 2.5 goals rather than just 2 goals but it gets us a nice plus money return and the odds are favoring a good shot at 3 goals here. These are two solid scoring clubs and CFR Cluj is off a 1-1 draw last week but this followed 6 straight matches in Liga 1 action totaling at least 3 goals! Those 6 matches averaged 4.3 goals apiece and I expect more of the same here! FCSB has seen 6 of last 10 matches total at least 3 goals. These 10 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 4 straight FCSB road matches have totaled 3 goals. This one will too as there is plenty of firepower for both these clubs! 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in CFR Cluj |
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04-09-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #200189: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a scoreless draw versus Chelsea. That seems to be the norm these days for that series. Also, Liverpool has been struggling recently but a lot of this is due to a road-heavy schedule. At home this season Liverpool has been fantastic and scoring plenty of goals. However, the same holds true for league-leading Arsenal on the road. Their away form has been fantastic and they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match as visitors. Liverpool also topping that 2-goal average as a host. That said, the value here is with the over as we only need something along the lines of a 2-1 final to be a victor buy many sings are pointing to a wild 3-2 type affair. This Arsenal club has never been more confident and they will be on the attack here. However, we all know that Liverpool is a different animal when they host and they will be answering Arsenal goal for goal in what should be a highly entertaining affair. Before the scoreless match with Chelsea, Liverpool allowed 4 goals in their most recent match. However, they also scored 7 goals in their most recent match as a host! Arsenal is a scoring machine right now and their last 7 matches across all competitions have averaged 4 goals apiece and there is certainly nothing average about that! 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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04-09-23 | Crystal Palace v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 130 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #200181: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - With Hodgson replacing Viera as manager at Crystal Palace they were relentless on the offensive last week. Look for continued attacking here as they face a Leeds United backline that tends to be leaky. However, Palace has been struggling on the road and Leeds has a knack for scoring well again recently. Even though Palace will be without Zaha, I expect them to continue what they started last week under Hodgson - a very aggressive effort in the offensive zone. The last 4 Leeds matches have totaled an average of 4.5 goals and there is certainly nothing average about that. Crystal Palace won the first meeting this season 2-1 and also is off a 2-1 win last week that, based on shots on goal, could have seen even a lot more scoring. Palace did concede 4 goals in most recent road match and I am expecting a 2-2 type battle given all these numbers and the new attacking style for Palace because they are now have Hodgson patrolling the sideline. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 |
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04-09-23 | Arges v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani vs FC Arges @ 8:30 AM ET - Someone knows something here. The total here is a 2 with heavy juice on the over. In fact some books have moved to a 2 and 1/4 on this total. But this does not make sense when you consider that FC Arges has not scored a goal in 5 straight matches! However, do note that FC Arges has conceded 1.6 goals per match last 7 matches. Also, FC Botosani has conceded 1.4 goals in last 8 matches but has also scored 1.6 goals per match in last 8 home matches. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal each of their last 8 matches as a host. FC Botosani is favored with good reason but you can also see why I am expecting FC Arges to surprise and get on the board here. That said, looking for a 2-1 final and if it would happen to end in a 1-1 draw we at least get a push here but I am looking for 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani |
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04-08-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206841: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -145 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Solid value with this total available at 2 goals. We lay some extra juice to have the over at that number but it is an excellent value. 27 of 32 matches for Farul this season have totaled at least 2 goals. They are a fantastic club at home. Farul has scored an average of 2.5 goals in their last 13 matches at home in Constanta! As for Universitatea Craiova, 17 of last 25 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. The big key here too is how these clubs play when they are matched up! Each of their last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. With this match being played at Stadionul Central Academia Gheorghe Hagi in Ovidiu (suburb of Constanta) by the Black Sea, the beautiful scenery will be especially beautiful if you like scoring! This one should see plenty of goals as both clubs have been playing well of late but are off draws and they want more here! OVER 2 goals -145 in Farul |
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04-08-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in Universitatea Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 10:30 AM ET - Solid value with this total available at 2 goals. We lay some juice to have the over at that number but it is an excellent value. Universitatea Cluj has seen 10 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals. In fact, those 10 matches averaged 3.1 goals per match. U Craiova 1948 is off a 1-0 loss but this followed a stretch in which 6 of 9 matches totaled at least 3 goals. Those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece and I am looking for a 2-1 type of match here. The two matches between these clubs in the regular season averaged 3.5 goals apiece. OVER 2 goals -135 in Universitatea Cluj |
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04-08-23 | Newcastle United v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 103 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Newcastle United @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle is hot again but Brentford has only one loss on home pitch this season. This should be a great match as a result. Note that Brentford's average home match this season equates to a 2-1 final as they have scored 28 and allowed 14 in their 14 matches as a host this season. As for Newcastle, they are averaging scoring 1.64 goals per match this season. 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled 6 goals and we only need half that to be a winner here! We certainly should get to the 3-goal mark as Newcastle has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and is on a 4-match winning streak including a 5-1 win Wednesday! Also, Newcastle has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions. Brentford is off a shutout loss at Manchester United but this followed a stretch in which they scored 14 goals in 8 matches. Now they are at home and will bounce back after being held scoreless but they also struggle to stop a Newcastle United club that is certainly flowing well again now on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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04-07-23 | Burnley v. Middlesbrough OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 106 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
2022-23 English League Championship, Regular Season, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Middlesbrough vs Burnley @ 3 ET - I know this is a key top of the table battle but this match also features the two highest scoring clubs in the league. I expect plenty of scoring here as Burnley needs to get back on track after a scoreless draw in most recent match. Keep in mind they had scored 3 goals in each of two prior matches in league action. However, they also got throttled and allowed 6 goals to Manchester City in recent English FA Cup action. 8 of last 10 Middlesbrough matches have totaled at least 3 goals! In fact, those 10 matches have averaged 3.8 goals apiece. I would not be surprised to see 4 goals here and hit that average but certainly 3 or more are likely given a determined effort from the host on their home pitch but also a strong effort from a Burnley outfit focused on their scoring output here! In the reverse fixture at Burnley just prior to Christmas, the match was scoreless at half but ended a 3-1 victory for the visitors. The momentum of that 2nd half goal-scoring will permeate this entire match in what should be an exciting affair here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Middlesbrough |
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04-05-23 | Brentford v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - Manchester United has not been scoring goals of late in the league matches and is well aware of that fact and is ready to do something about it here. Brentford is off a 3-3 draw with Brighton and has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 8 matches. Manchester United, across all competitions, has been scoring plenty of goals but has actually not scored. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 6 matches outside of league action. I am sure that Man U is going to respond here on their home pitch but I also expect Brentford to continue their solid scoring ways. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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04-04-23 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - A lot of turmoil in Chelsea with the departure of Graham Potter. Look for that to lead to more of an unstructured match than you might otherwise expect here. A little bit more of a wide open affair and this match-up involves rival Liverpool. Look for this match-up of heavyweights to result in plenty of goals. Chelsea has had a disappointing campaign and could be exposed by Liverpool here but I also look for them to respond on their home pitch too and the result should be plenty of scoring. Chelsea has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches. But also, prior to a shutout loss in most recent match, Chelsea had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 4 matches across all competitions. Liverpool's last match with Chelsea was a scoreless draw but will be looking to respond here off a 4-1 loss to Manchester City and that means we should see solid scoring here from a determined Reds club. Liverpool, like Chelsea, has been out of form of late and comes in off 3 straight losses across all competitions. This followed Liverpool averaging 2.5 goals scored in 6 matches across all competitions. There have been some scoreless battles between these clubs in recent meetings across all competitions. But the most recent meeting which Chelsea hosted in Premier League action was a 2-2 draw. Look for something similar to that here given the current state of these two clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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04-04-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:45 ET - Look for plenty of goals here as 4 of last 5 Bournemouth matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, 4 of last 5 Brighton & Hove matches have totaled at least 4 goals. Incredibly, those 4 matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. We only need 3 goals to be a winner here. I am confident we will get that as both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table here. I do not expect either club to settle for a draw. I expect both clubs to score at least 1 goal considering their recent form. This means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Brighton is part of a 4-club logjam in the 6th through 9th position in the table that sees the clubs separated by just 2 points! Bournemouth has 27 points in the table just like 3 other clubs and this has them just 1 point above the relegation line right now. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth |
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04-03-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 +125 in Sepsi vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Always nice to get an over 2 in soccer but taking advantage of the plus money here with the over 2.5 in this one. Sepsi actually has seen 9 of last 15 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 15 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and there is nothing average about 3 goals in Romania Liga 1 action! So the points is we have some nice line value here because I expect Sepsi to play well on their home pitch here but they have a big challenge here with facing an FCSB club that defeated them 1-0 in each of the two matches this season. I know those low-scoring results may not seem conducive to an over here but this one is all about the current trending and the fact FCSB is off a 1-1 draw after that 1-0 victory over Sepsi but these two matches preceded by a high-scoring run. FCSB 5 of 7 matches prior to those two totaled 3 or more goals. Those 5 matches actually averaged 4 goals apiece and it shows the potential for fireworks in FCSB matches. In the regular season Sepsi averaged 1.6 goals per match and FCSB averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match. I have this match pegged for a 2-1 final. OVER 2.5 +125 in Sepsi |
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04-03-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2 in CS Mioveni vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10:30 AM ET - These clubs just met early last month and CS Mioveni got the 2-0 win. This is part of a stretch in which 8 of 9 matches for CS Mioveni have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 8 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 3 goals is what I am looking for here as the hosts have allowed 26 goals in last 16 matches. As for Chindia Targoviste, they are off a 1-0 loss at FC Botosani but this followed a stretch in which 15 of last 17 matches totaled at least 2 goals and those 15 matches averaged 2.7 goals apiece. We have a great shot of this match getting to 3 goals and I love the value here with the posted total on this one available at 2 goals. OVER 2 in CS Mioveni |
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04-02-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 -120 in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 2 ET - Both clubs off draws as Universitatea Craiova off a 1-1 final and CFR Cluj off a 2-2 final in their most recent matches. Odds are strong we will again see each one of these clubs both score and concede on Sunday. Universitatea Craiova was off a 2-1 win prior to that draw and they have scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. CFR Cluj was tied with Farul for highest-scoring club in the league as they average 1.8 goals per match. The recent action for CFR Cluj continues to be very high scoring and I expect more of the same here. Each of the last 6 matches involving CFR Cluj have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece and there is certainly nothing average about that. Love the fact that getting to just 2 goals gets us at least a push here but absolutely expecting 3 or more goals and a solid win. Keep in mind, CFR Cluj had only 3 draws in 30 league matches in the regular season. That is only a 10% draw rate and I see strong odds that each team scores at least once here and all of these factors considered you can see why I am then expecting at least a 2-1 final as a draw is unlikely. OVER 2 -120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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04-02-23 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Sunday OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle seeks revenge for a 2-0 loss to Manchester United in February's English Carabao Cup final. I do expect Newcastle United to score well against a Man U side that has allowed 2 goals per match on the road this season in league action! However, though Newcastle is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season in league action, so too is Man U. Also, Man U will take advantage of a Newcastle side that has allowed at least one goal in 8 straight matches across all competitions. I like the fact that Newcastle is back on track with B2B 2-1 victories but also allowed 2 goals in each of their 3 matches before these wins. Man U, since the calendar flipped the page to 2023, has played 22 matches across all competitions. 16 of the 22 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Also, those 22 matches have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. Fully expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United |
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04-01-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #206813 Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta @ 2:45 ET - Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and the most recent one totaled 3 goals in a 2-1 Farul win at Constanta. Now, in a play-off match-up, I look for another high-scoring match and will take advantage of this over available at 2 goals for a -135 price which is very reasonable to have the added value of an over 2. Note that 18 of last 21 Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 18 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. As for Farul, they are one of the highest scoring clubs in the league. Farul has seen 23 of last 26 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 26 matches have averaged 3 goals apeice. OVER 2 goals -135 in Rapid |
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04-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 +100 in Chelsea vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 ET - Chelsea had hit rock bottom not too long ago with a 2-0 loss to Tottenham. However, they have since turned things around in a big way with 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 matches. Chelsea has averaged scoring 2 goals in their last 4 matches. Aston Villa's last 7 matches have averaged 3.4 goals per match. I know Chelsea has some injury issues here but they are battling hard and will be ready to get rolling again at home. They had a disappointing draw before the international break so I look for them to be a little more ruthless here and they are favored for a reason. However, can't see them completely shutting down an Aston Villa squad that has scored in 17 straight matches and average 1.7 goals scored in this 11 matches. Great value with this total. OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Chelsea |
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04-01-23 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - Brighton & Hove have scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches. Brentford is known for being a scrappy bunch and should be tough to beat here. The Bees have only one loss last nine matches and Brentford, other than that one loss, has scored an average of 2 goals last 6 matches. So two clubs rolling with confidence but Brighton at home and with an attack-minded manger. That said, this one likely to be a high-scoring battle and I like the value of this total at 2.5 goals. OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Brighton |
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03-31-23 | Petrolul 52 v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206801 - Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -130 in U Craiova 1948 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Good value with this total available at over 2 goals. These are the top two clubs in the play-out this season in Liga 1 action in Romania. Both won their matches last week and both delivered clean sheets. Though neither club surrendered a goal last week and their most recent meeting this season ended 1-1, I like the fact that Petrolul Ploiesti had allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 10 matches prior to B2B wins via shutout fashion! Also, U Craiova 1948 has scored an average of 1.7 goals per match last 9 matches. They are hosting here and will be tough at home but Petrolul Ploiesti continues to fight hard in the play-out! Also, the hosts have allowed about a goal per match this season and, prior to this most recent win, were off a loss in which they allowed 4 goals! OVER 2 -130 in U Craiova 1948 |
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03-29-23 | Sheffield Wednesday v. Cheltenham Town OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
English League One Wednesday OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Cheltenham Town vs Sheffield Wednesday @ 2:45 ET - Cheltenham Town will put up a fight at home and should score at least 1 goal on their home pitch here but Sheffield Wednesday is favored by a solid margin for good reason. The visitors enter this match angry off B2B losses and they have outscored Cheltenham Town 9-3 in the last 3 meetings and all of those matches have been in the past 18 months so it is not like it is ancient history. The visitors will score well and each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals. Sheffield Wednesday is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league and currently #2 in the table. Cheltenham Town, however, is off B2B wins in which they scored 3 goals in each victory. The hosts are playing with confidence and are not safe yet from relegation so they keep pushing for points in the table. However, the visitors off B2B losses know they must win too after B2B losses and I see each team scoring and neither team settling for a 1-1 draw either. Neither team has a high draw and considering the situation here, there will also be an extra push for goals in this one. OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Cheltenham Town |
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03-28-23 | Belarus v. Romania OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Romania vs Belarus @ 2:45 ET - Of course Romania is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here for a reason. I expect them to get a multi-goal win here but am most comfortable with the over. I expect Belarus to score a goal here and a likely 2-1 or 3-1 final. Belarus is off B2B shutout losses but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and 8 of last 11 matches. The last 5 meetings between Romania and Belarus have seen 4 of them total at least 4 goals and those 4 averaged 5 goals! Romania is still angry from missing out on the 2020 European Championship and wants to make sure they participate this time around. That means they keep the hammer down here. Their first match ended 2-0 but their opponent had a red card at about the 60' mark and that is what likely prevented the match from seeing a 3rd goal. This one should get there as Romania is at home plus enters this one having averaged 3 goals per game last 4 games. OVER 2.5 +110 in Romania |
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03-28-23 | Latvia v. Wales OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 -125 in Wales vs Latvia @ 2:45 ET - Of course Wales is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here for a reason. I expect them to get a multi-goal win here but am most comfortable with the over. I expect Latvia to score a goal here and a likely 2-1 or 3-1 final. Latvia is off a 3-2 loss to Ireland and actually has scored at least 1 goal (and averaged 1.8 goals scored!) in last 12 matches! Granted that included some weaker competition too of course but, still, 12 straight matches with at least 1 goal is impressive. Wales has conceded at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match during this 9-match stretch. Wales has not scored that well of late but, again, they are a huge favorite here for a reason and they are off a 1-1 draw with Croatia. That was quite impressive as Croatia has been so tough including that huge World Cup run. This one is in Cardiff and the hosts should do some damage against on out-classed foe. That helps insure we see at least 3 goals here. OVER 2.5 -125 in Wales |
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03-27-23 | Czech Republic v. Moldova OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Monday OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova vs Czech Republic @ 2:45 ET - Czech Republic just has too much for an out-classed Moldova squad here but rather than laying a heavy goal-line on the road, I feel the best way to play this one is the total. Moldova has scored 10 goals in last 7 matches and failed to score only once in those 7 and I expect Czech Republic to be very aggressive on the attack here like they were in their 3-1 win over Poland last time out. That said, do not be surprised if Moldova breaks through for a goal. However, the big key to the over is the fact that Moldova has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 7 matches and is likely to struggle to slow down their opponents in this one. Moldova is off a 1-1 draw with Faroe Islands and that is essentially the same group of players that Czech Republic just defeated in November by a 5-0 count. It has been two decades since these clubs met but coincidentally, that one was also a 5-0 win for Czech over Moldova. There is just a big disparity between the level of talent of the hosts here and Czech Republic and I expect that to lead to a rather wide open match that easily gets to at least the 3-goal mark. OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova |
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03-26-23 | Ukraine v. England OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -142 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in England vs Ukraine @ Noon ET - We have to lay some juice to have the over 2.5 here but it should prove well worth it as England could get this total by themselves and it certainly would not be a shock. However, I do expect a revitalized (new manager and fresh legs) to find the back of the net in this match too. That means a 3-1 final would be likely based on the big 1.5 number on the goal line in favor of England. So whether it ends 3-0 or 2-1 or 3-1 we would be fine here with this play and I like our chances. England, in the only meeting with Ukraine in past 9 years, won the match 4-0 in July 2021 in UEFA European Championship action. Look for another one to total 4 goals here as well although 3 goals also serves our purposes just fine. England won 2-1 at Italy Thursday and that was their 4th straight match to total at least 3 goals and there should have been even more scoring there. Ukraine off a scoreless draw in UEFA Nations League action in September but this was preceded by 3 of 4 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Ukraine had scored 23 goals in 14 matches prior to the scoreless draw with Scotland. The high-scoring ways resume here! OVER 2.5 -145 in England |
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03-23-23 | Estonia v. Hungary OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
International Friendly Thursday OVER 2.5 in Hungary vs Estonia @ 2:30 ET - This is very similar to yesterday's play on the over 2.5 in Ireland and that one had 4 goals by half-time and finished with a total of 5 goals scored. Hungary is favored to win this match by 1.5 goals on the goal line. That means decent odds they could even win this match by a multi-goal margin but I really like the fact they are about a -300 favorite on the money line and yet decent odds on Estonia scoring at least 1 goal in this one. Yes it sets up to be a bit of a mismatch but if that is the case also don't be surprised if Hungary wins 3-0 as they have averaged scoring 3.3 goals in last 3 meetings with Estonia. However, I really do not expect a clean sheet here. Don't be surprised if this match instead finishes 2-1 or 3-1 as I do expect Estonia to make the net ripple at least once. Across all competitions, Estonia has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and averaged 1.8 goals scored in those half-dozen matches. As for Hungary, they have scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 13 matches and have averaged 1.6 goals scored in last 12 matches. Considering they will be without their top goalie choice here, there are even higher odds that Estonia scores at least once in this one and that puts a little more pressure on Hungary to score so I am expecting a 2-1 final at a minimum but more likely 3-1. Either way, I am looking for 3 here at least! OVER 2.5 in Hungary |
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03-21-23 | Plymouth Argyle v. Accrington OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
English League One Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Accrington Stanley vs Plymouth Argyle @ 3:45 ET - Accrington having a rough season but they are on their home pitch here and should do some damage against a Plymouth side that has allowed 1.5 goals per match as travelers this season. However, the key to the over is Accrington has allowed 3 or more goals in each of last 3 meetings with Plymouth! I just can not see that coming to an end here as Accrington is on a 4-match winless run and has allowed an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Plymouth has scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches but also has allowed an average of 4 goals in last two road matches. This one should be very entertaining if you like goals! OVER 2.5 in Accrington Stanley |
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03-19-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs Rapid @ 1 ET - Not only have 5 straight CFR Cluj matches in league action totaled at least 3 goals these matches have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. Getting a total of 2 goals here is a great value! CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals in last 14 matches as a host in league action. As for Rapid, 17 of last 20 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 17 matches averaged 3 goals per match and this one should get to that number too! OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-19-23 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Sunday OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Look for Crystal Palace to get a jolt with the firing of their manager Friday. However, Arsenal will still prove to be too much. The point is though that I do expect Palace to finally get something going offensively after their manager and 3 other coaches had their duties with the club terminated on Friday. Crystal Palace will give a better effort here and Arsenal does have some defensive injuries so don't be surprised if Palace gets a goals here. However, Arsenal is a huge favorite here for a reason and I am expecting at least a 2-1 final if not 3-1 or even 3-0 or 4-1 works fine for our purposes here as we just need 3 goals to be a winner! Arsenal off a frustrating 1-1 result against Sporting Lisbon in Europe League action in which they lost on penalty kicks. Arsenal entered that match having averaged 3 goals scored per match in their 6 matches across all competitions preceding that one. With that said, look for a huge response from the hosts here and they should be relentless on the attack throughout as they make up for that disappointment in the Europa League. OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-18-23 | Burnley v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Quarterfinals Saturday OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Burnley @ 1:45 ET - Burnley plays much more of a free-flowing attacking style under Vincent Kompany compared to they defensive style they had under Sean Dyche. This should lead to plenty of goals here no matter who sits and who plays for Manchester City here. Note that City has scored 2.8 goals per match in winning each of last 5 meetings with Burnley. Also, Manchester City enters this match off a huge 7-0 win versus RB Leipzig and they continue piling up goals at home. Burnley is having a huge season and scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their English League Championship campaign. City is scoring an average of 3.3 goals in English Premier League matches when they are at home. OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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03-18-23 | Leicester v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
EPL Saturday OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Leicester @ 11 AM ET - We should see plenty of scoring here as the last 4 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Also, on the season in EPL action, Leicester's average score in road matches is averaging 4 goals! Brentford's average score in home matches is a 2-1 aggregate score totaling 3 goals! That said, looking for at least 3, if not 4, goals in this one! Take advantage of the rather low total here as we got solid line value here. OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-18-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 105 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
EPL Saturday OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Tottenham @ 11 AM ET - I know recent trending from these clubs might scare you with this over but note that Southampton has been aggressive on the attack but just has not been getting the results. On their home pitch, they could surprise here. I also like the fact that Tottenham finally got going on the attack in a 3-1 victory in most recent EPL match. It had been a long-time coming and I look for the Hotspur to build off that as they now face the club in the basement of the league table. Though Southampton is having a rough season, there have been some signs they are about to turn it around...at least in terms of creating goal-scoring chances. That said, I like the fact that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals as well! Note that the 5 matches averaged 4.4 goals and I look for yet another high-scoring battle between these clubs here. OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-17-23 | Newcastle United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Friday OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - Solid line value here because Newcastle is favored for a reason of course but Nottingham has scored at least 1 goal in all but one of their home matches this season. So as bad as Nottingham is in terms of scoring away from home they usually put up a strong fight at home. At the same time, Newcastle knows they need to be more aggressive and start making sure they pick up 3 points in the table rather than being stuck on draws earning just 1 point. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Nottingham desperate to avoid relegation and it looks like it is going to be a fierce battle in that regard which makes the full 3 points even more important. Newcastle has allowed 1.6 goals in last 5 matches. Nottingham allowing 2 goals per match on the season. OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-17-23 | SV Werder Bremen v. Borussia Monchengladbach OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen @ 3:30 ET - The last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 6 goals! Borussia Monchengladbach is scoring an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Also, Werder Bremen is conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. However, Werder Bremen should also score well here as they have scored 7 goals in the last 2 meetings and have averaged scoring 2 goals in last 3 matches overall. Also, Borussia Monchengladbach has one scoreless draw last 5 matches but, in the other 4, they allowed 3.3 goals per match. OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach |
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03-16-23 | Sporting Lisbon v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first match between these clubs was a 2-2 draw and that means both clubs are motivated to be on the attack here early on and getting that early goal will be top of mind and force the other club to fight back. The thing is that Arsenal has allowed some goals recently with, prior to the 3-0 win over Fulham, having given up 2 goals apiece against Sporting Lisbon and AFC Bournemouth. As for Sporting Lisbon they will be missing a mid-field and a centre-back here which should make the Arsenal attack even more successful. Sporting Lisbon has averaged 2.4 goals scored last 5 matches and Arsenal is on their home pitch here plus has scored an average of 3 goals last 4 matches. Honestly 3-2 would not surprise me at all here and certainly we should get to at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal |
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03-16-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 107 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi vs U Craiova 1948 @ 3 ET - Neither club has been scoring well recently in last few matches but Sepsi is on their home pitch and they have to push hard here. That is because they are 1 point behind U Craiova 1948 so they can not settle for a draw here as then they would remain behind them in the standings. This is the final match of the regular season so it does carry some extra importance in this regard. So Sepsi pushes hard for that first goal but also U Craiova 1948 then will need to push too because they need at least a draw here to remain ahead of Sepsi in the standings. That said, I just can not envision this match not getting to at least a 2-1 final due to the motivational factors here. OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi |
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03-15-23 | Liverpool v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Champions League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Liverpool @ 4 ET - Liverpool has to go for it here. They were up 2-0 in the first match and then lost 5-2 to Real Madrid. Down 3 goals on the aggregate, Liverpool has no choice but to be aggressive here. Of course this will be dangerous as Real Madrid can do damage on the counterattack. This is particularly true with Benzema expected back for this one for the hosts. That said, the result should be plenty of scoring in this match. Remember Liverpool did recently thrash Manchester United 7-0 so there is some sliver of hope here for the Reds though it would take a minor miracle of course to win big on the road here at Real Madrid. That said, I am simply looking for a score-fest here as Liverpool must be aggressive throughout in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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03-15-23 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Southampton vs Brentford @ 3:30 ET - I know that Southampton is off a scoreless draw with Manchester United but both clubs had plenty of scoring chances and that one is serving to give us some line value here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3.7 goals per match and all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. Southampton will respond at home here after being delivered a clean sheet last week but Brentford is favored here with good reason. I am looking for the Bees to take this 2-1 but regardless of the winner I feel the best value is the over because I expect both clubs to find the back of the net and neither team to settle for a draw. Southampton can move out of the relegation spots by picking up a full 3 points in the table here and Brentford also pushing hard for a full 3 points after their 12-match unbeaten run came to an end last week with a tough loss. Brentford averaged scoring 2 goals in going 2-0-2 since the start of February and will get back on track here. But the Saints put up a tough fight at home here as they host the Bees. The result should be at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-14-23 | RB Leipzig v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Champions League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City vs RB Leipzig @ 4 ET - With the first meeting in RB Leipzig ending in a 1-1 draw, I feel certain that Manchester City is going to be relentless here on the attack as they let that match slip away after getting a 1-0 lead and trying to sit on it. Keep in mind, the two meetings between these clubs prior to that one saw an average of 6 goals scored including a wild 6-3 win here for Manchester City the last time they hosted. RB Leipzig is known for being a high-scoring club but, of course, so too is City. Here Manchester City is at home where they are at their best and they are entering this match off a tight 1-0 win at Crystal Palace. They entered that match having scored 3 goals per match in their 3 prior matches so I expect them to respond big here and get back to high-scoring ways considering the current 1-1 aggregate situation with RB Leipzig here too. I just do not see high-scoring RB Leipzig being shut out here and, of course, City is favored by a 1.5 margin on the goal line for a reason. In other words, look for a 3-1 type of match here as both clubs push hard with the pace and aggressiveness on the attack. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City |
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03-13-23 | Salernitana v. AC Milan OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan vs Salernitana @ 3:45 ET - AC Milan has scored 2 goals in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. However Salernitana has scored in each of the last two meetings as well including earning a 2-2 draw in one of those. AC Milan will be fired up here as they played a boring scoreless draw with Tottenham in most recent UEFA Champions League action plus they lost in most recent Italian Serie A action as well. That 2-1 loss to Fiorentina insures proper focus from AC Milan in this one and they get back on track with a big win. I know some of the metrics here will point toward an under but Salernitana has gone undefeated last two matches including a 3-0 win in one of those. They also have scored against AC Milan in each of last two meetings so they have multiple reasons for some extra confidence entering this one. However, the hosts are a large favorite for a reason and fully expected to win this match by a multiple-goal margin. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan |
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03-13-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj @ 2:30 ET - Of course CFR Cluj is a pricey favorite for a reason here and I do expect them to roll in this one. Either way, looking for a lot of goals because Universitatea Cluj on a 5-game unbeaten run that has seen them average scoring 1.8 goals per match. Not only that, Universitatea Cluj won their most recent road match 1-0 but that was against a Hermannstadt club that struggles to score goals particularly at home. Prior to that 1-0 win, Universitatea Cluj had allowed an average of 2.1 goals per match their last 7 road matches. So you can see why I am expecting them to score well here but also to struggle to stop the opposition. That is particularly true when you when you consider that the opposition is one of the top clubs in the league and has been scoring well. CFR Cluj won the first meeting between these clubs 2-1 and also enters this match on fire in the goal-scoring department in their league matches. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches in league action. Overall, their last 5 matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and actually those averaged 4 goals apiece. Each of last 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj |
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03-13-23 | Voluntari v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs FC Voluntari @ 11:30 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste has allowed 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches. Chindia Targoviste has been shutout in 3 straight matches but this is now their season finale and they are on their home pitch. Prior to the rough goal-less patch, Chindia Targoviste had scored an average of 1.8 goals in last 5 matches and they will get back on track here. Chindia Targoviste won first meeting with FC Voluntari 3-0 earlier this season and that was the 2nd time in last 3 meetings that the match had totaled 3 goals. Also, Chindia Targoviste enters this one with 14 of their last 16 matches having totaled at least 2 goals. FC Voluntari comes into this one on a surprising 3-match streak of clean sheets. That will not continue here. FC Voluntari is off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by 9 of last 11 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Each of last 5 matches for FC Voluntari that made it to the 2-goal mark actually got to the 3-goal mark and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste |
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03-12-23 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 3 ET - This one sets up well for plenty of goals based on the current trending of these two clubs plus current situation with the standings. I expect plenty of push from both clubs here to get points in the table. 5 of last 7 FCSB matches have totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, those 5 matches averaged 4 goals. 7 of last 12 Sepsi matches have totaled at least 3 goals and each of those dozen matches totaled 2 goals and actually averaged 3 goals apiece. So no matches of just a goal or less since October for Sepsi and these dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. That is value here with this total at 2.5 goals and I am looking for plenty of fireworks here. Given the situation now, look for a much different match than we saw in the 1-0 final earlier this season. Sepsi still has another match Thursday and they are pushing hard for points in the table here but you know FCSB is favored for a reason here in their season finale. Look for at least a 2-1 finish here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in FCSB |
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03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - This is a contrarian play but Newcastle simply must start winning again and, after facing a tough slate of opposition, they should go all out here at home against Wolverhampton. Note that the Wolves have been scoring more goals since Julen Lopetegui took over. They also have only 5 draws in 25 matches this season. Also, in the last 15 meetings between these clubs in premier league action, only 1 has been a match in which both teams did not score. In other words, history plus the situation here favors both clubs scoring. Newcastle has actually conceded 2 goals in 3 straight matches and has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. So I am projecting a 2-1 final here based on the above parameters and we get plus money here. I expect that, given the situation, Newcastle is finally going to be relentless on the attack here but I do expect Wolverhampton, rejuvenated under Lopetegui, to push hard in this one as well. They have scored 7 goals in last 5 matches and 3 in last 3 road matches. Newcastle is projected by most to win this match by a 1 goal margin and I am looking for a 2-1 final and will grab the plus money on this over. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United |
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03-12-23 | Arsenal v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Fulham is hurting without Palhinha patrolling the midfield and it has made them more susceptible to opposing attacks as Brentford exposed them last week. This will be the 2nd of his 2-match ban and Arsenal is sure to take advantage. However, the Arsenal backline has not exactly been water-tight of late and Fulham at home should be able to have some success on the attack as well. The result should be solid scoring here. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals their last 6 matches across all competitions. Arsenal has seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 4 goals! We only need 3 here to be a winner and we should get at least that as Arsenal has only 1 draw in 13 road matches this season and odds favor each club scoring at least once here and that low draw rate for Arsenal means the odds also favor at least a 2-1 final here! 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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03-11-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - These are two of the top clubs in the league yet both are off shutout losses. That sets this one up well for goals from both clubs and an eventual 2-1 final at a minimum in my opinion. Rapid, prior to last week, had been shutout 5 times this season. After those 5 matches they responded every single team and scored an average of 2.2 goals! As for Farul, they also had been shutout 5 times prior to last week's action. After those 5 matches they also responded in their very next match and averaged 1.8 goals in those 5. As you can see, the situational history here shows us a match that should get to 4 goals and we only need 3 to be a winner and if it lands on 2 it is still a push. A lot of value here and we will not pass up the investment opportunity here. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul |
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03-11-23 | Manchester City v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - We get line value here because Crystal Palace is not expected to score much, if at all, in this one. However, I do expect them to find the back of the net at least once as they are on their home pitch and I am expecting Manchester City to be aggressive on the attack which could give the hosts some opportunities on the counterattack as well. So all factors considered, this one shapes up for a 3-1 final the way I see it. That said, even if City wins but only by a goal (2-1) or if Palace fails to score but City still rolls 3-0 you can see that we cash our ticket here courtesy of the low total. The fact is City has their attack rolling again and has averaged 3 goals per match last 3 matches. As for Palace, they are averaging 1 goal scored per home match. Also, the last meeting between these clubs was a 4-2 final. Even if we only get half of that here we cash in. I like our chances in that regard. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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03-11-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10:30 AM ET - We have to lay some extra juice here but having the over at 2 goals is an exceptional value. Petrolul Ploiesti off 1-0 loss but, prior to that, their last 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece! Only 3 of the 21 matches failed to get to the 2-goal mark. As for FC Arges, their two matches in March have been low-scoring but, prior to this, their last 11 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece and only 2 of the 11 matches failed to reach the 2-goal mark. Excellent value here and you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and, by the way, no team has fewer draws (3) than Petrolul Ploiesti this season and that means look for at least a 2-1 final here as the visitors also are inclined to go for the full 3 points in the table due to their current positioning there. This is the final week of the regular season. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges |
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03-10-23 | UTA Arad v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs UTA @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Craiova won the last meeting between these clubs 2-1. Universitatea Craiova has won 4 straight home matches and has scored an average of 2 goals per match in those. However, I do not expect them to shutdown UTA here. Note that UTA's last 7 matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals and UTA has scored at least 1 goal in 18 of last 23 matches. Of course, the fact that Universitatea Craiova is favored here on the money line is with a good reason as it is the most probable outcome. Considering that plus the strong odds that UTA will find the back of the net at least once, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. That means the over 2.5 goals at +120 is offering sizable line value and I will not pass this up. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-08-23 | AC Milan v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Tottenham vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Tottenham has their manager back from his medical leave and they also are on their home pitch. Good combo to expect renewed scoring here as they are also needing a big win considering they are down 1-0 to Milan so far on the aggregate. Tottenham has scored a pair of goal in each of last two home matches. Milan has allowed an average of 2 goals in last 9 matches away from home across all competitions. However, Milan has also scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. You can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we get an added boost as AC Milan gets some key players back too including an attacker and a midfielder. Look for an entertaining battle here that totals 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-07-23 | Borussia Dortmund v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund @ 3 ET - Chelsea has been struggling to score goals so this is a contrarian play so to speak. However, the play has certainly been made with good reasoning behind why this is a great match in which to be a contrarian. Dortmund won the first meeting 1-0 so Chelsea must win here to avoid being knocked out. Look for them to be aggressive on their home pitch as a result. I look for Chelsea to be on the attack and score early in this one and that will force Dortmund to respond. In turn, Chelsea again pushes hard for a deciding goal here. So the point is, more scoring than one would expect normally as the team that has been in lower-scoring of mode here simply can not afford to sit back in this game, they need to be aggressive. Then, as for Dortmund, they have been the higher scoring club of late and will respond from behind if needed. Note that Dortmund has scored at least 2 goals in 8 of last 10 matches across all competitions. One of the only two exceptions was the 1-0 victory over Chelsea in the first meeting between these clubs. The rematch likely to play out in much different fashion per all the key factors above! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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03-06-23 | Fulham v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Fulham @ 3 ET - These clubs are both on long unbeaten runs so they are playing with quite a bit of confidence here. I look for that to lead to plenty of goals in this one. I expect each club to score at least once and then both clubs to push for that second goal and this one to end 2-1 at a minimum. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 matches across all competitions. Brentford has scored an average of 2.2 goals in last 5 home matches in premier league action. Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and the one earlier this season totaled 5 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-06-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - These are 2 of the top 4 scoring clubs in the league this season. There is over 2 goals available if willing to lay a bit of a higher price and certainly I would recommend that in case this match lands on 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more though. Sepsi's last 11 matches all have totaled at least 2 goals and these 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! The last 4 CFR Cluj matches in league action all have totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 4 goals. Also, CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in all but 1 of their 14 league road matches so far this season. They have averaged scoring 1.64 goals per match on the road in league matches this season. Sepsi off a shutout loss at Farul but will bounce back at home and they had averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 10 matches prior to that shutout loss. The high-scoring ways resume for both clubs here. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi |
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03-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in UTA vs FCSB @ 2 ET - You have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2 goals here but is a nice safety net per se should this game land on exactly 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more but having the over 2 is a good value. FCSB has been red hot and scoring plenty of goals. FCSB has scored 2 goals per match last 6 matches and is undefeated last 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw. Last 6 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 5 of the 6 totaled at least 3 goals. 4 of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and the last 2 have each totaled 3 goals. UTA is off a 2-1 loss on the road. Prior to that they did go scoreless in most recent home match but that was preceded by 12 of first 13 home matches this season totaling at least 2 goals. In fact, those 12 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. UTA does tend to score better at home than on the road so they will put up a fight here for sure. However, FCSB is favored for a reason and that is why I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in UTA |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - I know Liverpool has not been scoring well of late but they do average 2.3 goals scored per match on their home pitch in league action. Also, Manchester United has been on a recent run where they are scoring 2 or more goals on a consistent basis. If you look at their history for months now, almost every match across all competitions, Manchester United scores multiple goals. In this case, they will bring their A game for sure against Liverpool. This is a clash of titans so to speak but I expect it to be rather wide open because this has been the nature of Manchester United matches for some time now. More of the same here. The last 5 matches between these have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and all 5 of them totaled 5 goals and 4 straight had totaled 4 goals before the Manchester United 2-1 win earlier this season at home. Now the reverse fixture at Liverpool should be another high-scoring match-up as their solid scoring ways at home resume here. Like I said, I know the Reds have been a little quieter of late in the goal-scoring department but this one will bring out the best in them. 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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03-05-23 | Everton v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest vs Everton @ 9 AM ET - I am not surprised at all to see a 2 on this game as the total as Nottingham Forest has been strong defensively at home and Everton has struggled so badly to score goals on enemy soil this season. However, this is rare to get a 2 as the total on a Premier League match and I will not hesitate to grab the value here with this total. Keep in mind, Everton has conceded 1.7 goals per match this season when on the road. Also, Nottingham Forest has seen their matches on their home pitch average 2.3 goals apiece. We should get to at least 2 goals here but truly expecting a 2-1 final because this is a battle involving two relegation-threatened teams so picking up the full 3 points in the table is critical. Both teams combine for an average draw rate of 25% but just can't see this one ending 1-1 but, even if it did, we get our money back and move on. But truly expecting 3 or more goals here as both teams pushing so hard for the victory here. 10* OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-05-23 | CS U Craiova v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova @ 8:30 AM ET - 18 of last 21 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and I am looking for at least that here. Petrolul Ploiesti has, in fact, allowed 3 goals per match last 6 games. Universitatea Craiova won the first meeting 2-1. They enter this match off B2B 1-0 matches but this followed 8 of 10 matches totaling at least 2 goals and those 8 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 3 draws in 28 matches this season so if you like each club to score here you can also expect that match will not end 1-1 either! By the way, Petrolul Ploiesti has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. Universitatea Craiova has allowed at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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03-04-23 | Hermannstadt v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know Hermannstadt has been struggling to score goals but they have been particularly bad on their home pitch. I look for them to scratch for a goal here on the road. As for Rapid, they have been one of the hotter clubs around for quite some time now. They have been scoring goals quite well and that should continue here. 16 of last 18 Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, in fact, those 16 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 7 of last 10 Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. This one should too and I do expect 3 or more given the circumstances. Usually when off a home shutout, Hermannstadt's next match totals at least two goals. This one should too as the strong push for Rapid up the table continues in the penultimate match for them. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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03-04-23 | Leicester v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester road matches have averaged 4 goals per match on the season. As you would expect, that is the highest average in the Premier League this season. As for Southampton, 5 of last 7 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. So this match should see at least a 2-1 final given the above trending plus the fact both clubs are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. Southampton is at the very bottom of the table but will see this match as a great opportunity to pick up a full 3 points in the table because they are hosting a Leicester club that is relegation threatened and not far above the drop zone. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-03-23 | RB Leipzig v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig @ 2:30 ET - This is a match-up of two of the top six clubs in the Bundesliga and I am expecting plenty of goals. Each club has averaged scoring 2 goals per match this season. Also, Borussia Dortmund has been particularly lethal at home where they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match. RB Leipzig is allowing 1.5 goals per match on enemy soil this season. The visitors are very hungry for the full 3 points in the table in this one as they look to close the gap on Borussia Dortmund. Also, I would say the likelihood of a draw is slim as only 1 of 22 matches this season for Borussia Dortmund has ended in a draw. So with each high-scoring club likely to get on the board at least once here plus the fact that odds on a draw are slim, you have excellent odds of this match getting to at least 3 goals though I am expecting 4+ for sure. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the last 5 totaled 5 goals including each of the last two matches here. More of the same on tap in this one at Signal Iduna Park. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund |
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03-03-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Farul @ 1 ET - Farul is at the top of the table with 2 weeks left in the regular season but CFR Cluj is right behind them and keeping the pressure on after winning again yesterday versus UTA. That said, Farul can not afford to settle for a draw here and I do look for them to have a challenging match with Universitatea Cluj in this one. Note that Farul did win the first match-up between these clubs 2-0 but that one was at Constanta. Now the clubs meet at Universitatea Cluj where these hosts have scored 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches since the winter break. Overall, Universitatea Cluj has been trending toward higher-scoring matches. They are off a low-scoring win but that had a lot to do with facing the punchless attack of Hermannstadt. Prior to that, 6 of last 7 Universitatea Cluj totaled 2 or more goals and 5 of the 6 totaled 3 or more goals. In fact, those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! As for Farul, they are the highest-scoring club in the league and 20 of their last 23 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I know Farul has not been allowing many goals of late but they will struggle to shutdown this Universitatea Cluj club which has been so strong recently on its home pitch. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-02-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
2022-23 Spanish Copa del Rey, Semifinals Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Barcelona @ 3 ET - The last 4 matches between these clubs that were not a club friendly all have totaled at least 4 goals and this one certainly is not a club friendly! This is a big match between two heavyweights from La Liga and I am expecting an intense battle that will end up at least a 2-1 final. I am aware of the personnel issues with each club. This total is just a little on the low side in my opinion as we are getting some extra line value from those personnel issues. Note that Barcelona is off a 1-0 loss but had scored an average of 2 goals per match in their 6 matches prior to that defeat. Both these clubs have scored an average of 2 goals per match in La Liga action this season. Note that Real Madrid has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 6 matches across all competitions! We are going to see an entertaining match here with plenty of attacking in my opinion. I feel these clubs will not want to let it come down so much to the 2nd leg of this. Look for Real Madrid to be aggressive in trying to establish the upper hand in the 1st of leg of this as they take advantage of their home pitch and that aggression will mean some opportunities for a dangerous Barcelona team on the counterattack as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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03-02-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti does struggle to score goals at times but they should get at least 1 here. FCSB has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and in 4 of last 5 matches. In fact, in those 5 matches FCSB has allowed an average of 1.2 goals. The key here is FCSB is a huge favorite with good reasoning. They are likely to win this by a multiple goal margin. But also, lets say Petrolul Ploiesti does get that one goal, is there a chance of a 1-1 draw? Sure there is a chance but actually they have had only 3 draws in 27 matches this season so the odds on that are slim. The fact is this one should get to at least 2-1 but honestly expecting FCSB to get this total for us all by themselves is note necessarily expecting too much. The goal line on this match is 1.5 goals for a reason. Also, FCSB has averaged 2 goals scored per match last 13 matches and now they face a Petrolul Ploiesti club that has allowed 2.5 goals per match last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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03-02-23 | UTA Arad v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Arad @ 10 AM ET - Arad is off B2B matches in which they did not score. I know we are talking about a bad club here. However, prior to those two matches, 17 of the last 19 Arad matches had totaled at least 2 goals. There is over 2 available on this match and that is how I would recommend to play it. Arad has NEVER gone 3 straight matches without scoring a goal this ENTIRE season and that is in 27 matches! So the odds favor them scoring a goal here but also the odds strongly favor CFR Cluj scoring well too as they are a heavy favorite for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 win for the host but they could also score 3 on their own here. They will be relentless on the attack after settling for a 1-1 draw in the first meeting. That is one of only two draws that CFR Cluj has had in 27 matches this season. So the point is, if Arad gets at least 1, look for the hosts to get at least 2 goals! Looking for CFR Cluj to score plenty here as they are looking to make a run at Farul for top spot in the league and have now scored 8 goals in their past two league matches! 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - So this could be considered a contrarian play but I love this situation. Everyone sees Liverpool off a scoreless draw and hosting a Wolverhampton team known for struggling to score goals so the first thought that would come to mind, naturally, is under. However, the Reds were off a 5-2 loss to Real Madrid in which they had led 2-0 early. So Liverpool was a bit shell-shocked before their most recent EPL match and it showed in the 0-0 battle. They will bounce back here and they seek revenge against the Wolves from a 3-0 loss earlier this season at Wolverhampton. I do expect Liverpool to respond here and they are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The key to the over is I just do not see them delivering a clean sheet here but they also should score very well. Wolverhampton has averaged 1.5 goals in last 4 meetings with the Reds. However Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in last two home meetings with the Wolves. Also, Liverpool had scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches overall before the scoreless draw with Crystal Palace. Prior to that match, the last 5 Liverpool matches had averaged 3.4 goals. Also, Wolverhampton is known for lower-scoring matches overall but do note that their last 12 road matches across all competitions have averaged 3 goals apiece. Considering that fact plus the situation here, this one has over written all over it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool |