Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-01-23 | Everton v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Of course this is a big revenge match for Arsenal and they are a huge money line favorite as a result. They also have a solid chance of winning this game by a multi-goal margin as evidenced by the -110 pricing on the goal line at -1.5 goals in this one! When you consider that plus the fact that Arsenal has conceded at least 1 goal in 14 of last 16 matches on their home pitch, you can see why I like the over in this one. The way I see it, even though Everton has struggled recently to score goals, this has the makings of a 2-1 or 3-1 final here. Everton did dominate play again in the first half of their most recent match but had nothing to show for it. They will therefore want to put the pressure on again here but I also look for revenge-minded Arsenal to be relentless in this match-up. The result should be plenty of scoring and I love the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-01-23 | Arges v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges @ 11 AM ET - Universitatea Craiova is a big money line favorite here with good reason and I feel that should help lead us to a solid over winner in this one. The ability to get this total at over 2 goals is what has me not hesitating to get involved here. Universitatea Craiova is happy to be back on their home pitch where they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches! Also, they enter this match having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches at home. Overall, 8 of last 9 matches at Universitatea Craiova have totaled at least 2 goals. FC Arges defeated Universitatea Craiova 1-0 in the first meeting this season but the 3 meetings prior to this all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece! Considering that plus the revenge angle, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-28-23 | Manchester City v. Bristol City OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
2022-23 English FA Cup, Fifth Round Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +105 in Bristol City vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - The visitors are favored to win this by a 2-goal margin based on the goal line but I also look for Bristol City to get on the scoresheet as well. They will be on their home pitch and are currently enjoying a long unbeaten run plus have scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches across all competitions. Of course they are out-classed here by Manchester City, but they also have scored in each of last 3 meetings with them. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final here though 4-1 or more would also not surprise. We can get the over 3.5 at plus money here and I will not pass up on it as I expect Manchester City to put on a show here. They have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 premier league matches and off a 4-1 win versus Bournemouth. This one could finish with similar scoreline. In last match outside of premier league action for Manchester City, it was a disappointing 1-1 draw with RB Leipzig in UEFA Champions League action so I expect them to be relentless here. 10* OVER 3.5 goals +105 in Bristol City |
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02-28-23 | Sepsi v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Farul vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - I would recommend shopping around here and grabbing the over 2 goals which is available in the -140 price range. I am playing this one fully expecting 3 or more goals but if it lands on 2 we have the added insurance here and, in that case, would get a push rather than a loss. The fact is Farul has had some lower scoring matches of late but they are the highest scoring club (and overall top club) in the league and they are back on their home pitch where they are known for being dominant. Farul is 9-1 in last 10 home matches and they themselves have scored an average of 2.6 goals in those 10 matches! Sepsi has not had a match total less than 2 goals since October! Indeed, 11 straight Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, like Farul, they are one of the highest-scoring clubs in the league. Sepsi has scored an average of 2.1 goals last 11 matches! The last 3 matches between these clubs have all ended with just 1-0 finals but this one sets up entirely different! Both clubs are on unbeaten runs and playing very well and so dangerous on the attack and I love how Farul tends to play more of an attacking style when on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Farul |
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02-28-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs U Craiova 1948 @ 11 AM ET - The recent matches between these teams have trended toward being lower-scoring but the current way these clubs are playing I am expecting plenty of goals here. We get the added value here of this total being available at 2 goals. Note that Chindia is off a 2-0 loss to Rapid but, prior to this, they themselves had scored 2 goals in 4 straight matches! Also, looking at what both they and their opponent have combined to score, 11 straight Chindia matches have totaled at least 2 goals! The last 7 Chindia matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! As for U Craiova 1948, we have seen 12 of their last 13 matches total at least 2 goals and also 5 straight U Craiova 1948 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Just like Chindia, the last 7 U Craiova 1948 have averaged 3 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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02-27-23 | CFR Cluj v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Here is what you have to ask yourself here...can each team score for us just at least one goal here? If the answer is high probability of a yes then you also have high probability of this one getting to 3 goals as well. Why? Well, neither one of these clubs settles for draws with much frequency at all. Out of all 16 clubs in Romania Liga 1 these two clubs have the fewest draws. Every club in the league has at least 6 draws except for these two as they have TOGETHER totaled only FIVE draws and that is in 52 matches! So the draw rate is less than 10 percent here. Can we expect each club to score and therefore expect at least a 2-1 final here? You bet...literally! CFR Cluj is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league plus had scored in each of first 11 road matches this season before failing to score in most recent one. You know they should bounce back here. CFR Cluj has averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match on the road. Petrolul Ploiesti has struggled recently when on the road but they are a different club when at home! As a host, Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goals in 10 of last 12 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 10 matches. In other words, odds favor at least 3 goals in this one and we have the added value of this total being available at 2 goals. 16 of last 19 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 9 of 13 CFR Cluj road matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 goals -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-27-23 | Fiorentina v. Verona OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 125 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Verona vs Fiorentina @ 12:30 ET - The odds favor this one getting to 3 goals. I like the chances of each club scoring and then look at the fact that Fiorentina has only 3 draws in 11 road matches this season and Verona has only 1 draw in their 12 home matches this season! Also, it is a key battle near the relegation zone so each club pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. I know Fiorentina has not been scoring all that well in league action but look for them to carry some positive momentum from recent matches outside the league. In the month of February, Fiorentina has played 2 matches in UEFA Europa Conference League and 1 match in Coppa Italia and they won all 3 and scored an average of 3.7 goals in those victories. Overall, across all competitions, Fiorentina has scored at least 1 goals in 6 of last 7 matches. Verona's home matches have averaged nearly 3 goals this season and they have scored an average of 1.5 goals last 6 matches as a host. Verona, however, has allowed nearly 2 goals per match in last 13 as a host. Before a loss at Roma last week, Verona had picked up at least 1 point in the table in 6 of last 7 matches. I like the compete level they have shown since Zaffaroni took over managerial duties during the winter break. Couple that with Fiorentina coming in hot in the goal-scoring department thanks to UEFA Europa Conference League action and you have a great set-up for an over here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Verona |
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02-26-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Arges OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FC Arges vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals! Two of the three, including the one earlier this season, have totaled 5 goals! Look for another one filled with goals here because FCSB comes into this one angry! They are off a disappointing draw and want to respond here. They have scored an average of 2 goals per match in last dozen matches. FC Arges has allowed 1.7 goals last 10 matches. So you can see why I am expecting FCSB to score at least 2 goals here. The key to the win here is two possibilities. One is that FCSB scores at least 3 which they have actually done in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. The other is just FC Arges at least getting on the board here and they have scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 9 matches plus they are at home here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FC Arges |
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02-26-23 | CS U Craiova v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Craiova @ 10:45 AM ET - This FC Voluntari club has endured a losing streak but they have faced a tough schedule of late and there is still fight in this club. The compete level is still there for them and at home they will continue to compete hard. However, Universitatea Craiova is currently 5th in the table and, as such, this is yet another tough battle for FC Voluntari. Look for the end result here to be plenty of scoring. FC Voluntari has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. We get extra line value here with this total available at 2 goals as FC Voluntari has seen 8 of last 9 matches total at least 2 goals. As for Universitatea Craiova, 8 of last 10 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I like the fact Universitatea Craiova has scored an average of 1.5 goals last 4 matches but also is facing a host here that will continue to remain ultra competitive. As a result, don't be surprised if this match gets to 1-1 at some point and ends at least a 2-1 final. Prior to a 1-1 draw with a tough FCSB club, Universitatea Craiova had gone 7 straight matches without a draw so look for at least a 2-1 here the way I see it! 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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02-26-23 | Chelsea v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Tottenham vs Chelsea @ 8:30 AM ET - Chelsea has not been scoring goals of late but they are getting healthier heading into this match and have more attacking options. Look for this one to play out similar to the 2-2 draw earlier this season! Tottenham is averaging 2 goals scored per match at home this season but also allowing 1.5 goals per match overall this season. Chelsea has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in last 5 meetings with Tottenham. The Hotspur averaging 2 goals per match at home this season as noted above. You can see why another 2-2 battle would not be shocking in the least. 10* over 2.5 goals +110 in Tottenham |
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02-25-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1 ET - Excellent line value here with this total available at 2 goals. Yes, Rapid is off a scoreless draw last week but that was on the road. Now they return home where they have seen each of their last 9 matches total at least 2 goals and those have actually averaged 3.2 goals apiece! In fact, their last 6 matches here at home in Bucuresti have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals each! 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and I like the way Chindia Targoviste has been playing of late. Chindia Targoviste has seen each of last 10 matches total at least 2 goals and their last 6 matches have averaged 3.2 goals with only 1 of the 6 failing to reach the 3-goal mark. So this is a double perfect spot in terms of 9 straight home matches for Rapid totaling at least 2 goals and 10 straight matches overall for Chindia Targoviste having totaled at least 2 goals! Excellent line value here with this total. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-25-23 | Manchester City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Bournemouth vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City is going to go ballistic here. They know they need to start being more aggressive and pick up 3 points in the table and I see this turning into a rout. Manchester City, as you can tell by the "goal line" posted on this match has a solid shot at winning this one by a multi-goal margin. They also have not been delivering many clean sheets, particularly on the road, plus Bournemouth has had some success scoring against City in past meetings. That said, 3-1 certainly has a fair share of probability here and I like the over a lot in this spot. Manchester City has averaged 3 goals scored in last 4 meetings with Bournemouth and City has conceded one goal in 3 of the last 4 meetings with them. Manchester City had an unacceptable 1-1 draw in most recent EPL action as it was against Nottingham Forest and this was preceded by B2B wins and I am expecting at least that for City in this one. Bournemouth trends toward lower-scoring matches but they are facing a fired up club here that is ready to put on a "clinic" in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Bournemouth |
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02-25-23 | Botosani v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - The last 3 Universitatea Cluj matches have all totaled 4 or more goals! Each of the last 4 FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. We have excellent value here with this total available at 2 goals. The last 5 FC Botosani road matches have averaged 3.8 goals and only one totaled less than 2 goals. The last 6 Universitatea Cluj matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals! So definitely expecting a win here but the added value of 2 goals being a push rather than a loss is key here as well. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Cluj |
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02-25-23 | Arsenal v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Each of last 4 Leicester matches in league action have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece! Leicester has conceded average of 2 goals last 8 EPL matches. Arsenal has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in road matches this season. That is tops in the league which makes sense as Arsenal is topping the table right now overall. However, do note that Arsenal has allowed at least 1 goals in 6 straight matches across all competitions. Of course they are favored here for a reason but have conceded average of 1.7 goals last 6 and I just can not see this match ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Arsenal has scored an average of nearly 3 goals in last 4 matches versus Leicester and this one should get to at least 3 goals even if Arsenal does all the scoring but I do like the way Leicester is playing right now in terms of their attack. 4-2 again like the first meeting this season? It certainly would not be a shock since Arsenal has not been delivering clean sheets in recent weeks. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-24-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Fulham vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play considering the overall low-scoring trending of Wolverhampton as well as the fact that meetings between these clubs have trended under in recent years as well. However, let us not forget that Fulham's home matches this season have averaged totaling 3 goals. Also, Wolverhampton's road matches, across all competitions, have trended toward higher-scoring than their home matches. In fact, 7 of the last 10 away from home across all competitions for the Wolves have totaled 3 or more goals. Fulham is off a 1-0 win over Brighton & Hove but they actually gave up a lot of shots in that match and I feel this result is also helping to give us line value here as we get the total in the +120 range with the over 2.5 in this one. Another thing I like here is just that I do no expect a clean sheet for either club. Wolverhampton has to go hard to pick up at least 3 points in the table with a win here and they can not sit back and they need to be aggressive on the attack. Fulham has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 15 matches across all competitions. Also, both clubs have each had only 5 draws this season and we are nearing the 25-match mark on the campaign so the point is, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here given all the above. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham |
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02-24-23 | Mioveni v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in U Craiova 1948 vs CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - After a scoreless draw with a tough Rapid club last week, CS Mioveni will get back to their recent success in terms of goal-scoring. Yes, CS Mioveni has had a tough season but they have been much better for weeks now and had scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals scored per match during this stretch. Also, CS Mioveni is on the road for this one and they have allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches away from home. In those 8 matches, CS Mioveni has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per match. U Craiova 1948 is unbeaten in last 4 home matches and has averaged scoring 2.3 goals per match during this stretch. U Craiova 1948 has conceded at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches and has allowed an average of 1.4 goals in those 5 matches. Given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 3 goals in this one as a 2-1 final is what we should get to at a minimum here. U Craiova 1948 has only 6 draws in 26 matches this season but you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once in this one and that gets us to a 2-1 at least the way I see it! 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-23-23 | Barcelona FC v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Europa League, Knockout Round Playoffs, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Barcelona FC @ 3 ET - The first match-up finished 2-2. Both clubs will go hard to decide this one in regulation time because they are tied on the aggregate with a 2-2 score in that first meeting. I feel that increases the odds of this one getting to at least 2-1 final within regular time. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 9 straight matches and 13 of last 14. Barcelona also has been red hot so the confidence level of both these clubs is sky high right now. Barcelona is unbeaten in 18 straight matches and has scored an average of 2.1 goals per match. Based on those numbers, it comes as no surprise that the first meeting ended 2-2 and I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here in the knockout round! 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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02-22-23 | Manchester City v. RB Leipzig OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Look for plenty of scoring here. RB Leipzig won most recent meeting 2-1 but Manchester City took the one prior to that by a 6-3 count. I know City has not been scoring as much of late but they will be fired up off the 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest in which they failed to cash in many excellent scoring chances! Their two matches prior to that were each wins by 3-1 counts and Manchester City should get rolling again here. The reason I favor the over rather than a side play here is that I feel we have great value with this total set at 2.5 goals and the over available at a fair price. RB Leipzig has seen 13 of last 16 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals! RB Leipzig has scored at least 1 goal in 19 of last 20 matches. With Manchester City favored here but underdog Leipzig highly unlikely to fail to score here, you can see why at least a 2-1 final here is completely logical. I am expecting 4 to 5 goals here and very confident of at least 3 goals given all of the above. Take advantage of the line value here. 10* OVER 2.5 in RB Leipzig |
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02-21-23 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - A lot of firepower for both these clubs on the attack and it looks like some attacking players' health concerns have also been remedied heading into this match. That said, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one! Real Madrid has scored 15 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions. They also have scored a total of 7 goals in last 4 meetings with Liverpool. Though Real Madrid has held the upper hand in recent meetings with Liverpool, the Reds appear to be turning the corner here and have been playing better of late after a dismal start to the new calendar year. That said, I look for Liverpool to enjoy some success on the attack in this one but they will struggle to stop the powerhouse Real Madrid attack as well. Note that Liverpool has scored a pair of goals in B2B games now and also has the benefit of hosting this first match between these clubs before they meet next month in Real Madrid. Note that as a host in English Premier League action, Liverpool is scoring 2.3 goals per match this season so don't be surprised if, given all of the above, we see a 2-2 type match play out here at Anfield in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool |
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02-20-23 | West Bromwich Albion v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
2022-23 English League Championship, Regular Season Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Watford vs West Bromwich Albion @ 3 ET - Watford has 4 draws in their 15 home matches this season. West Bromwich has 4 draws in their 15 road matches this season. That means this match has about a 27% draw expectancy. Couple that with the fact that each club has likelihood of scoring a goal here you can therefore see why I am predicting at least a 2-1 final in this one. These clubs are very near each other in the standings too and I feel there will be a big push for the full 3 points here in the table. Neither will want to settle for a share of the spoils as Watford has had 3 straight draws and they know they need to start picking up the full 3 points in the table. By the way, Watford has allowed 1.4 goals last 5 matches but also scored 1.3 goals in last 3 home matches. West Bromwich has conceded 2.4 goals per match in last 5 road matches across all competitions. However, West Bromwich also has scored 1.7 goals per match in last 15 matches overall across all competitions. Based on that trending as well as the situational factors here I like the over. Note that West Bromwich is off a draw but that was just their 2nd draw last 21 matches across all competitions. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and I like the plus money on the over. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 |
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02-20-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - There is excellent line value with this total available at just 2 goals. FC Voluntari actually has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches but the problem for them is having conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches! Overall, FC Voluntari has conceded 1.5 goals per match last 11 matches. U Craiova 1948 has seen 9 of last 10 matches total at least 2 goals. Also, they have had only 2 draws in their 12 home matches! That is a 17% draw rate. You can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and you can see why I also do not expect it to end 1-1 either as the odds certainly do not favor that. Expect 3 goals here and grab the extra value of having the over 2 goals at a very fair price in this one. U Craiova 1948 has seen their last 5 home matches average 2.6 goals apiece and they are the better team in this match-up plus seeking revenge from loss at FC Voluntari earlier this season. By the way, FC Voluntari has beaten them 3 straight times and scored an average of 1.7 goals in the process. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here which is justified per the above. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-20-23 | Sepsi v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50.5 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Botosani vs Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - The last time these clubs met Sepsi prevailed 7-0 at home. Now FC Botosani is at home where they won their last match 5-0. However, FC Botosani is also off a match in which they conceded 3 times. Sepsi has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.5 goals during this stretch. 8 straight Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. That is also why I am recommending doing your line shopping and grabbing an over 2 even if you have to lay extra juice to have it. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight home matches and has averaged 2.3 goals scored in those 4 matches. 3 straight and 6 of last 8 FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Sepsi one of the top clubs in the league for goals scored while FC Botosani one of the league's worst in terms of goals conceded. We should see plenty of goals here! 10* OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Botosani |
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02-19-23 | Arges v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in CFR Cluj vs FC Arges @ 10 AM ET - CFR Cluj is angry and will be relentless on the attack here. They are one of the top clubs in the league yet they have not scored a goal in their last 3 matches across all competitions. They scored an average of 3 goals per match in winning all 3 matches against FC Arges in calendar year 2022. FC Arges enters this one off a scoreless draw but has scored in 4 of its last 5 road matches. They keep that trend going with a goal in this one but you know CFR Cluj is a heavy favorite for a reason here so this one ends at least 2-1 but honestly would not be surprised to see the home club win this 3-0 or 3-1 also. Either way, we should see at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in CFR Cluj |
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02-19-23 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leicester @ 9 AM ET - Manchester United, incredibly, has scored at least 2 goals in 17 of last 20 matches across all competitions and that includes 8 in a row! Leicester has been resurgent and scored 11 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions. In league action though they have conceded in 7 straight matches and allowed 2 goals per match during this stretch. As you can see, per the above, it should be goals aplenty in this match-up at Old Trafford. The last meeting was a 1-0 Man U win at Leicester but this was preceded by 4 meetings between these clubs averaging 4 goals apiece and that is what I am fully expecting here given the current goal-scoring form of these clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United |
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02-18-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Farul vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - We have to lay a little extra juice to have Over 2 here but, of course, the value of a push rather than a loss if this lands on 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting 3 or more goals though as both clubs are off matches in which they delivered rare clean sheets. In fact, Farul's match was an ultra rare scoreless draw! Back at home for this match, Farul will respond and resume their high-scoring ways. I am sure of this. However, Petrolul Ploiesti also fully capable of making the net ripple. Note that Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least one goal in 9 of last 12 matches. Also, their last 18 matches have averaged 2.7 goals apiece! Prior to last week's 2-0 win, Petrolul Ploiesti had allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Farul, prior to last week's scoreless draw, had seen 18 of last 19 matches total at least 2 goals! In fact, those 18 matches averaged 3.6 goals per match! Excellent line value here especially considering last week's results. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Farul |
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02-18-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - On the one hand, Newcastle has become the kings of the draw this season. However, they know they need to start picking up the full 3 points in their matches if they want to start moving back up the table again. Liverpool also desperately needs to keep picking up 3 points in the table because they are still digging out from a slow start this season. That said, there is excellent value here because I see plenty of reason to expect each club to score here as well as plenty of reason to expect neither club to settle for a 1-1 draw. In other words, they will be aggressive on the attack and the end result should be nothing less than a 2-1 final. Note that Newcastle has only one loss this season in league action and it came at Liverpool so they are seeking revenge in this one. However, Liverpool has one each of the last 3 meetings and averaged scoring 2 goals in each so they have had Newcastle's number per se. Also, Liverpool will build off a win over Everton last week in which they scored 2 goals. Newcastle has both scored and conceded in each of last 3 matches across all competitions. But again, they also realize they can not keep settling for 1-1 draws. Liverpool's average match this season has totaled 3 goals and Newcastle is scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match when at home. This is a contrarian play but it will see goals in my opinion given the circumstances. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-18-23 | Manchester City v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City @ 10 AM ET - This total is available for over players with options of 2.5 or 2.75 or 3 as of very early Saturday morning. Of course I would do your best with line shopping to make sure you win some profit, rather than just get a push, should this match land on 3 goals. I do expect 4 or more however as Manchester City is rolling again and also won the first meeting 6-0. Nottingham Forest is a better club when they are at home and I would not be surprised to see them find the back of the net at least once here. However, the hosts are dealing with a cluster of injuries on defense and will have their hands full with this powerful City club. Do note that the visitors just played on Wednesday and that was a huge match with Arsenal. Could their defensive focus be a little "off" in this one? It is certainly entirely possible and they did lose the possession battle by a big margin to Arsenal as well. So Nottingham Forest could surprise here and should score at least once. But, of course, Manchester City is a massive favorite here for a reason. Manchester City is 4-1 in last 5 matches in league action and they have allowed 1 goal per match last 5 matches in league action plus did score at least 3 goals in all 4 of those victories! I am forecasting a 3-1 type final here! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest |
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02-18-23 | UTA Arad v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -110 in Hermannstadt vs UTA @ 7:30 AM ET - Hermannstadt is winless in 4 matches since the winter break and has allowed at least 1 goal in all 4 matches. Hermannstadt should bounce back here on their home pitch as they did score 1 goal in a draw in most recent home match against FC Arges and now face an equal level of foe in UTA. Note that UTA enters this match having both conceded and scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and 8 of last 9. Those 8 matches averaged 3 goals and that is what I am expecting we'll see here as well. Getting the value of an over 2 is simply an added bonus here in terms of line value. 3 of last 4 meetings between these teams totaled at least 2 goals and the most recent one totaled 3 and I expect a similar 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 -110 in Hermannstadt |
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02-17-23 | Hoffenheim v. FC Augsburg OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Augsburg vs Hoffenheim @ 2:30 ET - These two clubs both perilously close to relegation status for this season. That said, avoiding a draw here and picking up the full 3 points is of paramount importance. At the same time, each of these clubs has trouble stopping the opposition so I am not expecting a clean sheet here. So if we get this match to 1-1 and a draw is unlikely that means, yes of course, a 2-1 final is likely as a minimum result here. That is why I like the value of the over 2.5 goals here even though we have to lay some extra juice to have it. Augsburg will step up at home and Hoffenheim will respond in what is now their 2nd match with their new manager. This is a more favorable match-up for them then the first one with the new manager and so they will score well here and be aggressive on the attack but look for the hosts to not back down either. That means some solid attacking and quality scoring chances throughout this one. Prior to a 1-0 Hoffenheim win early this season, each of last 4 meetings totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 actually totaled 4 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Augsburg |
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02-17-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +115 in Chindia Targoviste vs Universitatea Cluj @ 10 AM ET - This total is a bargain as there are even some 1.75 lines out there at -120 on the over. This match absolutely should get to at least 2 goals and really 3 or more quite likely! Universitatea Cluj has seen 4 of their last 5 matches total at least 3 goals! They have allowed an average of 2 goals in each of last 6 road matches and gave up at least 1 goal in all 6 of those! Chindia Targoviste has seen 11 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals! Also, they have conceded at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches. So you can easily see why I am expecting each club to allow at least 1 goal here. Chindia Targoviste has 2 wins and 2 draws since the winter break so they truly have played much better and are at home here. Universitatea Cluj has two draws and a win in last 4 matches so, like the hosts, their confidence is a little higher too. We will see goals as a result here! 10* OVER 2 goals +115 in Chindia Targoviste |
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02-16-23 | Manchester United v. Barcelona FC OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Europa League, Knockout Round Playoffs, 1st Leg Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Barcelona vs Manchester United @ 12:45 ET - Barcelona won the last meeting 3-0 in Champions League action a few years ago but look for Manchester United to continue their recent scoring surge in this one. That should lead to a highly entertaining affair here as Manchester United has scored 2.2 goals per match in the last 19 matches across all competitions. That includes having scored at least 2 goals in 16 of the 19 matches including each of the last 7! Barcelona has averaged 2.1 goals scored in the last 21 matches. Barcelona has scored at least one goal in 16 straight matches. So the odds strongly favor scoring here and what are the odds of a draw? Well only 7 of Barcelona's last 40 matches across all competitions have been a draw. Manchester United has had only 6 draws in the last 44 matches across all competitions. In summary, you can see why I am expecting each team to score at least once here and you can also see why the match ending at 1-1 has rather slim odds! So let's look for at least a 2-1 final here in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Barcelona |
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02-14-23 | Bayern Munich v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - So much firepower for each club in this one. Bayern Munich has won 3 straight matches across all competitions and scored an average of 3.7 goals per match in the process. Paris Saint-Germain has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions. PSG averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match in those 6 matches but also they have allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches and conceded at least once in all 5 matches. Of course this wager is made with the intent of a winner and at least 4 goals. But there certainly is some added insurance in the fact that landing on 3 goals still gets us at least a push and not a loss. That is noteworthy indeed because PSG has seen 16 of last 19 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals. As for Bayern Munich, 13 of last 19 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 3 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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02-13-23 | Everton v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool vs Everton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because neither club has been scoring many goals lately and because the last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw! That said, why do you think this total is still a 2.5 with heavy juice on the over? Of course it is because the odds makers are expecting the same thing I am here. That is ... it is time! Liverpool is too strong to keep going like this. They are now on their home pitch and hungry for a win and are sure to be relentless here on the attack. Everton is off a 1-0 win but, prior to that victory, they allowed 2.6 goals per match in their last 9 matches across all competitions. Also, Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches. That is why I am expecting at least a 2-1 type of final here. Liverpool has allowed about 1.5 goals per match this season. Also, though they have recently struggled to score goals, this is still a Reds club that has scored about 2.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. The hosts should take this one at least by a 2-1 count but in my mind, the best value is with the total rather than the heavy juice on the money line in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool |
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02-13-23 | Hermannstadt v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti is struggling with 3 straight losses and they have allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored in 5 straight home matches and averaged 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches as a host! As for Hermannstadt, they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of 3 matches since the break as they are struggling too. 5 of last 7 Hermanndstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 5 actually averaged 3.2 goals scored per match! The last time these clubs met it was a 2-1 final and I expect similar result here. You can see why, per the above, I am expecting each club to score at least once here. At the same time, what are the odds on a 1-1 draw? Not likely as only 2 of last 9 Hermannstadt road matches have ended in a draw. Also, on the season, Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 24 matches! Look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-13-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10 *AM* ET - Of course Sepsi is a favorite here for a reason but Chindia Targoviste has been playing well since play resumed after the winter break. They are 2-0-1 last 3 matches and have scored 5 goals in those 3 matches. Also, 10 of last 11 Chindia Targoviste matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I see the 2.25 totals that are out there at plus money but the safer value is just laying the extra juice to have this over at 2 goals though we certainly are not playing this for a push! The fact is the last two meetings between these clubs did each total 3 goals. Also, the last 6 Sepsi matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and those 6 matches have actually averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Sepsi has scored 5 goals in last 3 home matches and, as noted above, Chindia Targoviste has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches overall. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi |
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02-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - What do the players want to do the most when distractions off the pitch have been rampant? They want to get back on the pitch and play the sport they love with passion. That said, everything going on with Manchester City right now is actually going to unite them here. They will play an impassioned style here and they are also hungry to bounce back off a 1-0 loss to Tottenham last week. However, City has been conceding a little more than usual of late plus they are facing an Aston Villa club that has been scoring well too. But the problem for Aston Villa is they can stop no one. They allowed 4 goals in the loss to Leicester last week. Over their last dozen matches across all competitions, Aston Villa has allowed 2 goals per match. Manchester City is averaging scoring 3.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. So this total is a 3 that has been set on this match but I am looking for a 3-1 or 4-2 type final so don't worry about the big number here. City has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. They are angry off the loss last week and not happy that the first match this season with Aston Villa was a 1-1 draw. That said, look for Manchester City to be relentless on the attack in this one. Prior to the 1-1 draw in last meeting, City had scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Aston Villa. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-12-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Arges vs Farul @ 10 AM ET - Farul is the top club in the league and highest-scoring club too as they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. FC Arges is on their home pitch though and Farul has allowed 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Goals should be plentiful here and the value of the O/U being just a 2 on this match is huge. 18 of last 19 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 19 matches have averaged 3.3 goals! 7 of last 8 FC Arges matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 8 matches have averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Farul has averaged 2 goals scored in winning each of last 3 matches with FC Arges. Look for the hosts to get on the board at least once in this one given the recent penchant Farul has had for allowing goals. But the visitors are favored for a reason and I am looking for a 2-1 type final here at a minimum. 10* OVER 2 in FC Arges |
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02-12-23 | Manchester United v. Leeds United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United @ Leeds United @ 9 *AM* ET - As noted in Wednesday's write-up involving these same clubs in a match at Man U, I an looking for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds entered that match off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here again just like they were in the 2-2 draw at Man U. They are now at home and will be especially responsive to the positive energy of the crowd as well as Skubala patrolling the sideline. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The visitors have won 4 of 5 matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 11 matches. Manchester United is 5-0-1 in last 6 matches with Leeds United. 5 of the 6 matches totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 5.6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action and that 2-2 draw Wednesday could them going plus they also have scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on the recent results. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Leeds United |
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02-11-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj might be happy they are on the road for this one. The reality is they have 5 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches away from home and have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 5 road matches. They have struggled recently at home but again stay hot on enemy pitch here. However, though CFR Cluj should score well, they will struggle to stop Universitatea Craiova on own pitch. The hosts enter this match off a 2-1 road loss to a tough Farul club and now face another tough club here with CFR Cluj paying a visit. However, Universitatea Craiova enters this match having scored an average of 1.9 goals per match in last 9 matches. The fact the posted total is a 2 here with no big juice on the over is truly a great value. Universitatea Craiova has only 5 draws in its 24 matches this season and CFR Cluj has the fewest (2) draws of any club in the league this season. So you can see why I am expecting both clubs to score here as well as why I am expecting this match to then find its way to at least a 2-1 final! 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-11-23 | Newcastle United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Newcastle United @ 12:30 ET - Love this spot for an over. Bournemouth is on their home pitch where they do score an average of 1 goal per match. The issue for the hosts is they concede more goals than anyone else in the league. I know Newcastle is missing Guimaraes right now but they are angry off a 1-1 draw at home and want get the full 3 points here in the table. Yes Bournemouth allowed only 1 goal to Brighton but they allowed 20 shots in that match and 6 were on target. The point is that Bournemouth was not exactly sharp in their own end and Newcastle is going to exploit their defensive shortcomings here. The visitors are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The hosts attack has looked a little better since their January signings and they will make the net ripple once here on their home pitch. Yes I know the Newcastle defense is rock solid but this is a tough spot for them and they have a home match with Liverpool up next. So perhaps they peek ahead a bit at that match and they do concede at least once here but then they battle back against a weak defense here and pile up some goals. They might, in fact, get this total all by themselves by scoring 3 on their own the way I see it after last week's frustrating draw. However, at the very least, I am expecting a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth |
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02-11-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Tottenham @ 10 *AM* ET - Love this situation for a lot of goals. Leicester is off a 4-2 win and is on their home pitch and their confidence is sky-high of late as they continue to pile up goals. Tottenham is off delivering a clean sheet against Manchester City. They gave a tremendous defensive effort in that 1-0 win. That said, you can sense what is coming here. It is impossible for Tottenham to again give such a dominating defensive effort as they will get caught still celebrating that huge win over Manchester City. However, at the same time they still have plenty weapons to exploit a very weak defensive club as Leicester definitely does struggle in that regard. Also, the injury to Tottenham goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is certainly noteworthy here as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-11-23 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 106 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Botosani has won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 2.7 goals per match. They enter this match with confidence plus seeking revenge for a 2-1 home loss earlier this season to UTA. As for Arad, they will be ready to answer the call on their home pitch here so I look for Botosani to stay hot in the goal-scoring department but Arad has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. Also, Botosani has no draws last 4 matches and also 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have ended without a draw. So the result here is nothing less than a 2-1 final in my opinion and, if you do your line shopping, there is over 2 goals available at a very price of the -130 range on this one so that would be my top choice for this bet. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA |
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02-10-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs U Craiova 1948 - Rapid is off a 5-0 win last week and U Craiova 1948 is off a 4-1 win last week. Look for the goals to keep flying this week and I like the fact we can get over 2 here are a reasonable price. I would recommend to do your line shopping early in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and actually averaged 2 goals per match in those 5. Overall, U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. As for Rapid, they are seeking revenge for a 1-0 loss in the first meeting this season. They have been involved in one scoreless draw in last 13 matches but in the other dozen matches they averaged scoring 2 goals per match! In other words, each team averaging 2 goals scored per match for quite some time now and yet we have a posted total of only 2 goals to work with here. You can see why 2-2 would not be a shock here at all but certainly we should see at least 2-1. Each club has only a 25% draw rate on the season so don't expect a 1-1 final here. Once this gets to 1-1 it will get to 2-1. No matter how it gets there, the point is we should see solid scoring in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-08-23 | Leeds United v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Look for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here in response. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The hosts have won 4 straight matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 10 matches. Manchester United is 4-0-1 in last 5 matches with Leeds United. Those 4 matches that were Man U victories all totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action but has scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on those recent results. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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02-07-23 | SC Freiburg v. Sandhausen OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
2022-23 German DFB Pokal, Round of 16, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen vs Freiburg @ Noon ET - Should see plenty of goals in this one. Freiburg is both scoring and allowing 1.6 goals per match in Bundesliga action. Sandhausen is the 2nd level of Bundesliga and is allowing 1.8 goals per match this season but is scoring an average of 1.3 goals per match as a host. I also like the fact that Freiburg has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 4 goals. Again, we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. As for Sandhausen, 8 of last 9 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! I know Freiburg is the better team and off a loss in which they played a man short and ended up getting throttled. So, from that perspective, they will want to be much better in their own end of the pitch here. However, they have consistently allowed quite a few goals this season and plus this one has Sandhausen as the host. That said, the home club will get on the board but I would certainly expect the higher quality team to get at least 2 or 3 of their own in this one as well. Freiburg likely to get to 3 by themselves but, if not, at least a 2-1 final here the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen |
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02-06-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - The ability to get a 2 here even at slightly higher juice is well worth it. I feel strongly we see at least 3 goals in this one but just can not imagine anyway possible that it does not get to at least 2 goals which, in this case, would give us a push here. The fact is the last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, have averaged 5 goals apiece! Universitatea Craiova has won 3 of last 4 matches overall and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 3 victories. Farul is one of the top clubs in the league and is the highest scoring club in the league and is averaging 2 goals scored per match on the season! The sudden problem for Farul however is that they are allowing too many goals and, in fact, have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches. 17 of Farul's last 18 matches have totaled at least 2 goals so you can see the value in this number here! 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul |
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02-06-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - I am fading the line move here and grabbing the over 2 goals as this one has moved down from a 2.5 as of matchday morning. FC Botosani has played better since the winter break and is off B2B victories. They scored 3 goals in those 2 victories. Also, FC Botosani has scored 4 goals in their last 3 home matches and has notched at least one goal in each of those 3 as a host. However, they did lose at Petrolul Ploiesti 2-1 earlier this season and I am looking for a similar final score here regardless of the victor. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 16 of last 21 matches. 13 of last 16 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 13 matches have averaged 3 goals per match! Of course we are not playing this looking for the push and, as you can see per that stat, strong odds on this one getting to 3 goals for the win. Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 23 matches and they are angry off a slow start after the winter break so look for them to fight hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 10* OVER 2 in FC Botosani |
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02-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - Just now early this morning eastern time and even still before noon here in Romania, this total dropped to a 2 which is a huge value. I can see why some people are looking under here. The first match between these teams ended 1-0 in December. However, there were a number of quality chances in that one and these clubs are so strong. Really like what FCSB has been doing but of course have plenty of respect for the top club in the league CFR Cluj, especially on their home pitch. That said, also note that only Farul has scored more goals than either one of these two clubs. Indeed, FCSB and CFR Cluj are two of the top clubs in the league in terms of scoring talent. FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight road matches and averaged scoring 1.8 goals per match in that stretch! CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches. They have averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match in those 10 matches. You can see why I am looking for this one to get to at least 1-1 and keep in mind these clubs do not settle for draws! Odds would suggest there is only a 15% chance of a draw here as they have combined for just 7 draws in their 46 matches! I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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02-05-23 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is The Big Ticket Event Sunday as Tottenham hosts Manchester City. Note that City averages scoring 1.7 goals per match when on the road and the Hotspur average scoring 2.1 goals per match when at home this season! These clubs have met twice in the last 12 months and there have been at least 5 goals scored in each match. Tottenham, other than manager Conte (Stellini may fill in here), is getting healthier and should get some scoring going here at home. But Manchester City back on track with Haaland ending his scoring drought in a big way with his hat trick performance in recent EPL action. Overall, Manchester City so dangerous and they have been known to give Tottenham fits in recent meetings. I do expect each club to score at least once given their current trending as well as results in recent battles against each other. That said, I also envision the match would get to at least 2-1 as Manchester City has only 3 draws in 20 matches this season for a 15% draw rate! As for the Hotspur, their 10 home matches have featured 0 draws! Look for at least a 2-1 final but truly I am expecting much more. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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02-05-23 | Sepsi v. Mioveni OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni vs Sepsi @ 8:30 AM ET - Sepsi lost 3-0 last week but faced a Rapid club that has been red hot and giving a lot of clubs trouble. Prior to that loss, Sepsi was on a 4-0-1 run in which they scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! In their last 4 matches, Sepsi has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match. CS Mioveni is at the bottom of the table and having a tough season but they have been better of late and gone 2-0-1 since the winter break. CS Mioveni won the most recent meeting with Sepsi 1-0 but each of the 3 meetings before that totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3 goals per match. CS Mioveni has scored an average of 1.7 goals in 3 matches since winter break. However, they also have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches. The weather is still cold in Romania but the sun is out today and no snow expected. Will be pleasant conditions for this match and we are going to see goals in this one with good field conditions. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni |
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02-04-23 | Voluntari v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their 11 road matches this season. So the good news for them is they are away from home for this one. The better news about that too is this is really no road trip either as Voluntari is a suburb of Bucuresti. That said, even though Voluntari is down in the table, you know they will push hard against their "big brothers" Rapid in this one. That is why I am projecting an over here as I do expect Voluntari to make the net ripple at least once and, at the same time, they will struggle to slow down a Rapid team that has been marching its way back up the table for a long time now. 8 of Voluntari's last 10 road matches have totaled at least 2 goals and they have allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match in those. As for Rapid, they are off a scoreless draw but this followed 12 straight games that totaled at least 2 goals and those dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid |
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02-04-23 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - I know that the Hammers have not been scoring well this season but they are starting to score better of late with at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions and this includes 2 goals scored for West Ham in 3 of those 4 matches! Also, against Newcastle, the Hammers have scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches and, amazingly, scored at least 2 goals in 7 of those 8 matches! That said, the Hammers have a little extra confidence entering this one! The trouble for them is they are running into a red hot Newcastle club that has been particularly tough at St James' Park! Here they are averaging 1.8 goals scored per match in league action. Also, overall, Newcastle United enters this one having suffered one home shutout in last 6 league matches as a host but scoring an average of 2.4 goals in the other 5 home matches in league action dating back to early October. I am looking for a 2-1 match here at the very least but I expect the Hammers to open things up here and that helps lead the way to a match that could surprise many by being very high-scoring. Keep in mind, Newcastle's match with Southampton had 3 goals by the 29 minute mark earlier this week in tournament action. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-04-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Brighton has scored at least 2 goals in 7 straight matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 3 goals per match during this stretch. Brighton is in fine form and Bournemouth continues to struggle in giving up a ton of goals. That said, it would not surprise me if Brighton gets us this win all by themselves as they have been scoring an average of 3 goals against competition that is much tougher than this Bournemouth team. However, don't be surprised if the hosts get caught looking ahead to upcoming bigger matches and that allows the visitors to find the back of the net once. In that case, this match should end at least 2-1 but, however it manages to get there, the key is I am fully expecting 3 goals in this one given the above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton |
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02-03-23 | Fulham v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Chelsea is a sizable money line favorite with good reason. This is a revenge match for them and it is also "put up or shut up" time Chelsea. It has been a disappointing campaign for them and they have spent a ridiculous amount of money including the January transfer window. That said, they must get rolling again in league action but do you really expect them to deliver a clean sheet here? No...me either! Fulham fears no one and already beat Chelsea 2-1 earlier this season. They will be aggressive on the attack here and score at least once but then I do feel certain that the hosts are going to give a very strong effort here and that means we see this match get to at least a 2-1 final. Keep in mind, Fulham matches have averaged 3 goals this season and they do score decently even when on the road. As for Chelsea, they have poor goal-scoring numbers on the campaign but have been better at home plus they are cognizant this is something they must turn around immediately. So look for quite an entertaining high-scoring affair here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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02-03-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in U Craiova 1948 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Two teams near the bottom of the table but part of the reason for these clubs being low is they have a knack for allowing too many goals. Universitatea Cluj is off a rare scoreless draw with Rapid. Prior to this they had only one scoreless draw in last 9 matches and in the other 8 matches Universitatea Cluj allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match! Also, 6 of those 8 matches did total at least 2 goals. We have value here with this total at just 2 goals because I just do not foresee either team managing a clean sheet in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 of last 12 matches. Overall, 7 of last 8 matches for these hosts have totaled at least 2 goals. U Craiova 1948 has seen their last 2 matches result in draws but, prior to that, only 4 of their first 20 matches were draws. That is another reason I expect a winner here as I look for this one to get at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 goals in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-02-23 | Valencia v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
La Liga Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Valencia @ 3 ET - Real Madrid facing a Valencia club with an interim manager. The hosts will certainly show no mercy here and should pile up the goals. Real Madrid is off a frustrating scoreless draw with Real Sociedad in most recent match. Keep in mind, this is one of the top teams in the league and they had scored at least 1 goal in 31 straight matches across all competitions. In fact, they averaged 2.2 goals per match in those 31 matches! Valencia, like Real Madrid, is also off a rare scoreless result for them in their 1-0 loss in most recent match. They had scored in 17 of 18 matches heading into that one and averaged about 2 goals scored per match in those 17 matches which they found the back of the net. The fact is Valencia may struggle to score multiple goals here but you can see why I expect them to get at least 1 but Real Madrid a big favorite with good reason. So, in other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here but I am expecting much more. 3 to 1 or 3 to 2. Something in this range. The hosts are off a frustrating 0-0 result and will show no mercy here. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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02-01-23 | Nottingham v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Wednesday at Nottingham and Manchester United prevailed 3-0 in that match. Though Nottingham Forest was held without a goal they actually produced quite a few rushes on the attack and had a fair amount of shots including a handful that were on target. They missed one glorious scoring opportunity plus had another goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and it again leads to a total of at least 3 goals. This time Nottingham Forest should contribute to the total with at least 1 goal. I feel Manchester United could inadvertently let up a bit here and this will open things up even more for scoring chances for the big underdog here. Manchester United realizes they have effectively already punched their ticket to the finals against Newcastle United and so this one could be more of a relaxed affair for the hosts here. Manchester United is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match their last 11 across all competitions. They have also hung a 3-spot on Nottingham Forest each of their two meetings the past two months. Nottingham Forest had their chances in the meeting last week and, prior to that one, had scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions! In fact, they averaged 1.6 goals per match in those 10 matches. Look for at least a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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01-31-23 | Southampton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Southampton @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Tuesday at Southampton and Newcastle United prevailed 1-0 in that match. Though that was low-scoring, there were numerous big saves plus a goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and this time it leads to a total of at least 3 goals. Southampton is at the bottom of the table in Premier League action this season but outside of the EPL they continue to perform well. Look for another strong effort here but Newcastle is a large favorite with good reason. I look for Southampton to score at least once here but the home club to prevail and win this at least 2-1. Note that Southampton, in EPL action, have 0 draws in 10 matches. So if they get at least 1 goal here and you know the hosts should ultimately prevail in this one, then we are talking about at least a 2-1 final. Again, I like the way Southampton played in the last match plus they have averaged scoring 1.3 goals per match in last 6 matches across all competitions. Southampton's last 4 matches away from home across all competitions all have totaled 3 or more goals! Newcastle, generally speaking, is not a high-scoring club but they know they should have had much more than 1 in last Tuesday's match-up at Southampton and with this one now at St James' Park in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England, they will be relentless on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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01-30-23 | West Ham United v. Derby OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Derby County vs West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - West Ham is the "big brother" in this match-up as they are in currently in the premier league. However, Derby has been on fire overall and also has the benefit of having this match on their home pitch as well. This should be a very entertaining affair as a result because Derby has been scoring a lot of goals but will also struggle to stop a West Ham club that is the more talented club and should find a way to prevail. This is why I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. West Ham is known for lower scoring matches but Derby is going to "force the issue" here on their home pitch. It has been a decade since these clubs have met but each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. That may not seem relevant but it does point to what happens when two teams with a talent disparity meet. The fact is that Derby has gone 19 straight matches without losing by the 90 minute mark in any of those matches. They are playing with a lot of confidence and that will have them on the attack here on their home pitch. Derby has scored an average of 2 goals per match during this 19-match streak! West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 11 matches and they averaged scoring 1.6 goals in those 8 matches. Derby will struggle to stop them but will be so aggressive on the attack that I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 type battle here but we should at least see this get to 2-1. 10* OVER 2.5 in Derby County |
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01-30-23 | CFR Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Voluntari is, essentially, a suburb of the city of Bucuresti which is where I am located currently. The weather here as of mid-day is beautiful sunshine. We still have snow on the ground here but the weather is improving for sure and the field should be just fine for this match-up this evening on the pitch in Voluntari. Considering the favorable weather and the way CFR Cluj has been scoring goals of late, I love the value we are getting here with this total at 2 goals. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 16 matches in league action! That streak started way back in late August when they hammered this FC Voluntari 4-0 up in Cluj-Napoca. CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goals in 15 of last 16 matches! FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals scored in last 2 home matches! CFR Cluj has had just 2 draws in 22 matches this season so the odds of a draw are not likely here so I am not expecting a 1-1 final but rather that this match finds its way to 2-1. Per the above, you can see why many factors favor at least 3 goals being scored in this one and I am happy to have the added insurance on our side that 2 goals is a push here. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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01-29-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB vs Farul @ Noon ET - Look for plenty of goals in this one. The snow is finally letting up here in Bucuresti and the weather should be decent for this one Sunday evening. Cold weather but decent field conditions expected for this one. FCSB has scored 7 goals in last 3 meetings with Farul but it was Farul who came up with the 3-1 win earlier this season. FCSB will be looking for revenge here and should get it but Farul also scores plenty of goals. Farul the highest scoring team in the league with 42 goals but FCSB right behind them with 37 on the season. Considering each team has played 22 matches this season that translates to a final score in the 3 to 4 goal range here and I am expecting that. Farul has conceded 8 times in last 3 matches and you know that FCSB will be pressuring them here at home in search of revenge. However, lets not forget this is a very dangerous Farul club capable of exposing FCSB on the counterattack. This one should be a wildly entertaining affair with plenty of intensity and high-quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB |
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01-29-23 | Liverpool v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Liverpool @ 8:30 AM ET - Brighton & Hove has been scoring goals at a fantastic rate with Roberto De Zerbi as manager. They enter this match having scored an average of 3.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. However, one of those was a 3-0 victory over Liverpool in league action two weeks ago. You know the visitors will be out for payback here and certainly I am expect them to respond after being delivered a clean sheet courtesy of Brighton & Hove in that meeting two weeks ago. Brighton has allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches so don't be surprised if Liverpool is on the attack early and often in this one. The issue for Liverpool is, prior to a 1-0 victory at Wolverhampton, they allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 away from home. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and they have actually averaged 4 goals per match. Liverpool has been a little quiet lately but we know what this club is capable of and they will be more aggressive here I am sure. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals and am expecting 4 or more goals here. 10* OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-28-23 | Hermannstadt v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play but I really like this situation a lot. The weather could feature some snow and the field could be a little sloppy but I just can not ignore some of the solid angles here and I like the fact this total was in the 2 and 1/4 range before dropping to a solid 2 and we get line value here at this number. Both these clubs are off losses in which they failed to score a goal. Note that Hermannstadt had scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 4 matches prior to this. Also, the average score of the last 4 matches for Hermannstadt was a total of 3.3 goals prior to their 1-0 loss last week. Universitatea Craiova is also off a 1-0 loss last week. However, prior to that, they were shutout only once in last 9 matches and in the other 8 they scored an average of 1.6 goals per match! 10 of 14 matches before the 1-0 loss last week had totaled at least 2 goals! Those 14 matches averaged 2.5 goals and this one should get to 3. Universitatea Craiova has never been shutout in B2B games this season but I also expect Hermannstadt to bounce back and get at least 1 goal here. So what are the odds of a 1-1 match? Well these teams have a combined average draw rate of 25%. Odds favor this one getting to a 2-1 type final 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
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01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester City vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - These two teams are topping the table in the Premier League this season and now this should be a thrilling encounter in the Fourth Round of the English FA Cup. Manchester City averages 3.5 goals scored per game on their home pitch this season in EPL action. Arsenal averages 2 goals scored per game on enemy turf this season in EPL action. These clubs are two of the best on the attack and each has had some defensive deficiencies at times as Manchester City is off a match in which they delivered a clean sheet but this followed 3 straight in which they allowed 2 goals in each match! Arsenal has allowed a pair of goals in 2 of last 4 matches in EPL action. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester City |
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01-26-23 | Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Spanish Copa del Rey, Quarterfinals, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Real Madrid scores an average of 2.2 goals per match in league action but, when at home, they have allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 10 matches! Atletico Madrid is allowing about 1 goal per match this season but also has scored a respectable 1.5 goals per match. Real Madrid won this match 2-1 when Atletico Madrid was the host back in September. Now they meet at Santiago Bernabéu where Real Madrid has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last two meetings. Considering Real Madrid has given up at least 1 goal so frequently as a host but yet is the superior team here with plenty of firepower on the attack, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Sure this is a tough match for Atletico Madrid but their confidence has grown with recent successes and they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches across all competitions. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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01-25-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Manchester United scores an average of 1.6 goals per match in league action but, when on the road, they have allowed 1.8 goals per match. Nottingham Forest is allowing 1.75 goals per match this season but, when on their home pitch, they have have scored 1.3 goals per match. Since a 3-0 loss at Manchester United in late December, Nottingham Forest has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions! Manchester United has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match last 9 matches across all competitions. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-23-23 | CFR Cluj v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Farul vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - This is a battle of the top two clubs in the league and this has the betting markets thinking under as this total has gone from a 2.5 to a 2 in most books. However, this has led to phenomenal value on the over in this match-up. Having a 2 is a big plus for over bettors in this league. The last time these clubs met it was 3-1 win for Farul at CFR Cluj so you know the visitors are now looking for payback. On the road these visitors have been strong this season as they have scored at least one goal in all ten matches and have averaged scoring 1.4 goals away from home. Farul has scored at least 1 goal in last 7 home matches and has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match as a host this season! 15 of last 16 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals. CFR Cluj was a 1-0 winner in most recent road match but 7 of 9 prior to that totaled at least 2 goals. Also, you can see why there are strong odds that both clubs score at least one goal in this one so what is the likelihood of a 1-1 draw? Very slim actually as CFR Cluj has 2 draws this entire season which is fewest in the league and is a draw percentage of only 9% on the season! 10* OVER 2 -120 in Farul |
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01-22-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Hermannstadt OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in Hermannstadt vs FCSB @ 1:45 ET - Love the value of the big plus money on the over 2.5 in this one. I feel we have strong odds on at least a 2-1 final here. Hermannstadt off a 1-0 win at CFR Cluj in most recent match but this followed 3 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those 3 averaged 4 goals scored! FCSB has seen last 3 matches total 2 or less goals but this followed a stretch in which 17 of last 22 matches across all competitions for FCSB totaled at least 3 goals. FCSB is 2nd only to Farul in terms of most goals scored this season! FCSB has averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 17 matches in league competition! Neither club has a tendency for draws as they have a combined average of about 1 in 4 matches. Again, all the signs like this point to at least a 2-1 final as I expect Hermannstadt to score at home but FSCB to also resume their hot scoring in league action too. That said, neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 share of the spoils either. FCSB has gone 13 straight matches in league action without a single draw! 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Hermannstadt |
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01-22-23 | Manchester United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United beat Arsenal 3-1 earlier this season and that remains the only loss the leaders of the table have in league action. That said, Arsenal wants revenge here and they are at home and they are certainly favored for a reason. But Manchester United has been a team on a mission for quite some time now after their disastrous, though short-lived, early season start. That said, Man U is on a great scoring streak away from home and that should continue here. Neither team gets involved in man draws at all with the clubs combining for just 5 in 37 matches! That said, and with a clean sheet highly unlikely to be involved in this one, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that each of their last 3 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals! Arsenal, other than rare 0-0 match recently with Newcastle, has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in their other 4 recent matches. Manchester United has scored an average of 1.7 goals in last 10 EPL matches and has scored at least once in all 10 of those! 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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01-22-23 | Brentford v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Brentford @ 9 AM ET - We have to lay a little juice on this over but I am very confident we see at least 3 goals. No club in the league the past two seasons combined has conceded more times than Leeds as they have allowed 112 goals during this stretch. Leeds does score quite well as a host though and they are on their home pitch here. They have averaged 1.7 goals scored per match at home. But I do not see them slowing down a red hot Brentford here. The Bees are scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match. Leeds last 4 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals. Those have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Brentford has scored at least 2 goals in 6 straight EPL matches! The last 3 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and that includes a 5-2 Brentford victory earlier in this campaign. More of the same on tap here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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01-21-23 | CS U Craiova v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - FC Botosani has conceded 3.3 goals per match last 4 matches. However, they are at home for this match and have scored 3 goals in last 2 matches here. Also, the last time FC Botosani hosted Universitatea Craiova they did score 2 goals. As for the visitors in this one, they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 against FC Botosani. Universitatea Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches and in those 8 matches they have averaged 1.6 goals. Look for both clubs to be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one as Universitatea Craiova has sites set on keeping pace with Rapid (won last night) and also FC Botosani has a great chance to make a big move up the table with a win here. You can see, per the above, why I am expecting each club to score at least once as well as I also feel it will not end in a draw. Only 5 of 21 matches for Universitatea Craiova have been draws this season. Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Botosani |
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01-21-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 AM ET - Leicester has struggled to score goals recently but will be hell-bent on rectifying that in this match Saturday and I expect them to do just that! Brighton & Hove has been very strong and is on a fantastic run but has been conceding some goals too. The way Brighton has been attacking so much has led to opportunities in their own end of the pitch and I expect that to continue here. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last one totaled 7. Leicester has allowed an average of 2 goals per match in last 4 matches in EPL action. Brighton is off a 3-0 shellacking of Liverpool but, prior to that, allowed at least 1 goal in 14 of 16 matches across all competitions. The key for Brighton has been an explosive attack as they have scored an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last 10 across all competitions! Their last 8 matches in EPL action all have totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4.4 goals per match! 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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01-20-23 | Sepsi v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NOTE: I know the books here are showing 2.25 as the O/U but there are some books with Over 2 goals which is how I would recommend playing this one. Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid vs Sepsi @ 1 ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here as we get value with this total set at 2 goals. 11 straight Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Amazingly, in 10 of those 11 matches both Rapid and their opponent scored at least 1 goal. These 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and I feel we should get to at least 3 in this one as well. Sepsi's last 5 road matches all have totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 4 goals! Sepsi enters this match on overall 5-match run in which all 5 totaled at least 2 goals and these matches averaged 3.4 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals. You can see why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once and note that each club has only 5 draws in 21 matches this season. That said, high likelihood of at least a 2-1 type match here. With the long layoff for these clubs due to the winter break, a lack of sharpness could lead to some mistakes that lead to high quality scoring chances as well. There could be some rain for this match but it should be rather light. 10* OVER 2 goals in Rapid |
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01-20-23 | Voluntari v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Voluntari @ 9:30 AM ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here as we get value with this total set at 2 goals. Universitatea Cluj should score here on their home pitch as FC Voluntari has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 of last 4 matches. However, the hosts will also likely surrender at least a goal here as well as they have allowed at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 and 2 goals in 2 of last 3. FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. With the long layoff for these clubs due to the winter break, a lack of sharpness could lead to some mistakes that lead to high quality scoring chances as well. There could be some rain for this match but it should be rather light. 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Cluj |
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01-15-23 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham is strong at home but has been conceding too many goals. The Hotspur do average scoring 2.3 goals per match when at home but Arsenal is scoring an average of 2 goals per match in road matches. This is a key battle at the top five grouping of the table but still should feature plenty of goals. Each of last 4 meetings between these clubs in league action have totaled at least 3 goals. Arsenal is fired up off a scoreless draw against stingy Newcastle in their most recent league match but Arsenal's two matches prior to that in league action averaged 5 goals apiece! Tottenham, in league action, has seen 6 of last 7 matches total at least 3 goals, and those 7 matches averaged 4 goals! This one should get to at least 3 as I do not expect either team to deliver a clean sheet. So if this one gets to 1-1 what are the odds it makes it to a 2-1 final? Well, note that Tottenham has NO draws in their 9 home matches this season and Arsenal has just 2 draws in their 17 matches this season! 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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01-14-23 | Liverpool v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Liverpool @ 10 AM ET - There is some over 2.5 available out there at high juice which is what I would recommend playing here instead of possibly settling for a push at 3 goals should this one finish with exactly 3 goals. I am expecting at least 3 here as neither club has shown a knack for draws this season. Additionally, across all competitions, Brighton & Hove has both conceded and allowed at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and for Liverpool the same holds true for 6 straight matches. Given that plus the fact neither team has been involved in many draws (nor do they want to settle for one here given the current situation in the table for each), this one should get to at least a 2-1 final at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-14-23 | Leicester v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Leicester @ 10 *AM* ET - Perhaps because of recent lower-scoring results as well as the fact these clubs had mid-week action, there is a consensus opinion that this one should be an under. I strongly disagree. In terms of the mid-week factor, look for the tiredness to possibly impact key defensive players more than anything else. In terms of recent results, how these clubs match up is even more important. They met twice in calendar year 2022 and each match totaled at least 4 goals. Going even further back, it has been 4 of 5 matches between these clubs totaling at least 4 goals. Again, last year being most important. Also, in this campaign, Nottingham Forest is scoring 1 goal per match at home but allowing 2 goals per match on the season. Leicester has seen their away matches this season average about 4 goals apiece as they have scored well but also conceded far too many goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-13-23 | Leeds United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - 8 of last 11 Aston Villa matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 7 of last 9 Leeds United matches have totaled at least 3 goals. This total is offering solid line value because Aston Villa has been a different clubs since Unai Emery took over as manager. There is a little extra push from this club now plus Villa is allowing about a 1.5 goals per match on the season but is scoring 1.5 goals in home matches. Leeds is scoring about 1.5 goals per match but allowing about 2 goals per match. All signs point to an entertaining affair and I love coming back with the over when the clubs had a scoreless draw in their prior meeting. The last two meetings between these clubs in league action had totaled 3 and 6 goals, respectively. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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01-12-23 | Chelsea v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - This total opened up in the 2 and 3/4 range and then dropped to as low as 2 and 1/4 range and now just came back up this morning into the 2.5 range. I like the way this line has acted. I like this type of line movement. As for the "nuts and bolts" of this one, Fulham does average scoring 2 goals per match when they are a host. However, Chelsea has their backs against the wall and also they are making some changes on the attacking front and I expect them to very aggressive here. Chelsea has defeated Fulham in each of last 7 meetings and, no matter who prevails here I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. Chelsea has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 5 match-ups with Fulham. The hosts, however, enter this one on a 4-match winning streak across all competitions as Fulham has been hot and won 4 straight matches. 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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01-05-23 | Manchester City v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - The under has been getting attention here and I fully understand that as these teams have a recent history of low-scoring battles when they are matched up. Additionally, Chelsea has been struggling to score overall of late. However, the key here is that Manchester City is getting healthier again. Erling Braut Haaland continues to be a beast now that he is healthy again, and Chelsea is going to have be on the attack some if they want to win this game. That is why, despite a dearth of scoring lately for Chelsea, I love the over in this match-up. Chelsea must focus on scoring more goals here as they are much further down in the table than expected and need to go for the full 3 points in the table here. As for Manchester City, they have conceded at least once in each of their last 4 league matches. The key for City is scoring prowess and they are averaging 2 goals scored per match their last 8 matches across all competitions. Also, in league action, they are scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match! You can see why I am looking for a 2-1 or even 3-1 type match here and I am taking advantage of a lower total that is based too much on recent match-ups. The key here is the situation and I don't see a clean sheet being delivered by EITHER team in this one. That said, how likely is a 1-1 draw? Manchester City has only 3 draws in 16 matches this season and the hosts have only 4 draws in their same number of matches. This one gets to at least 2-1 Thursday! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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01-04-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because Wolverhampton has struggled in the goal-scoring department this season. The key here is the Wolves were on the attack against Manchester United last week but just did not have anything to show for it. They will bring another strong effort here though and this time is pays dividends as they catch Aston Villa off a huge 2-0 win over Tottenham. That will leave Villa a bit flat defensively here after working so hard against the Hotspur and now still celebrating the spoils of delivering a clean sheet versus Tottenham. I think the Wolves could really surprise here but the safest bet is the over. That's because the Wolves do allow about 1.5 goals per match and Aston Villa does score 1.5 goals per match at home. I see a 2-1 final result here as neither team has shown a strong propensity for draws this season and, as noted above, I expect each team to get on the scoresheet here so this one finds its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Aston Villa |
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01-04-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3 ET - The Hotspur are off a 2-0 loss and it was the 7th straight they have allowed at least 2 goals in a Premier League match. I look for that problem of allowing too many goals to continue here against a determined Crystal Palace club. However, I also expect Tottenham to be much more aggressive on the attack here after being delivered a clean sheet last week by Aston Villa. Each of the last 3 meetings between Palace and the Hotspur have totaled at least 3 goals and Crystal Palace did score 3 goals in the last meeting here on their home pitch. In matches across all competitions (including recent club friendlies), Crystal Palace had seen 4 straight matches total at least 3 goals before their 2-0 win over Bournemouth did not. However, the hosts here will not be able to deliver another clean sheet in this situation that is desperate for Tottenham and, of course, the Hotspur are a much stronger club than Bournemouth. All the variables add up to an entertaining match here and neither club has shown a propensity to settle for draws this season with any great regularity so I look for this one to work its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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01-03-23 | Newcastle United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Newcastle United @ 2:45 ET - Perfect set-up for an over here as Arsenal is 7-0 at home this season but hardly ever delivers a clean sheet. They are averaging about 3 goals scored at home but allowing a goal per game. Newcastle is off a scoreless draw with Leeds but they had register 16 shots including 5 on goal but were surprisingly held goalless by stellar goalkeeping. That said, both of these clubs are attacking teams and Arsenal has had only 1 draw in 16 matches this season and this is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Newcastle scores an average of 2 goals per match and this is a key battle in the table as the visitors are right behind Manchester City in chasing Arsenal at the top. Don't be surprised if this one gets to 2-2 or 3-2 as the attacking style of each club prevails. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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01-03-23 | Fulham v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Fulham @ 2:45 ET - Each of these clubs has seen their 17 matches thus far total 56 goals. This is an average of 3.3 goals per match and I like the value here with this total at 2.5 goals. Leicester has had a disappointing return to play since the break for the World Cup action but being back on their home pitch again should trigger a positive response here. Trouble is they are facing a Fulham club playing well and whose confidence is growing. That said, the visitors are going to be on the attack and look to continue their surge of momentum. Leicester has scored an average of 2 goals per match over their last 9 matches across all competitions. 4 of Leicester's last 5 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. Fulham has seen 15 of their 17 matches in league action this season total at least 3 goals! This includes 14 of last 15 so I love the odds on this one getting to at least 3 goals. Leicester has had only 2 draws in 17 matches this season. Fulham has had just 1 draw in 8 road matches this season. That said, you can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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01-02-23 | Liverpool v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brentford vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Reds matches this season have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Bees matches this season have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. Liverpool scored 3 goals in each of the two meetings last season and Brentford equaled them in a 3-3 draw in the lone meeting here. In other words, expecting plenty of scoring in this one. Current trending also supports that theory. Brentford has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions but, of course, Liverpool is a 1 goal favorite here for a reason. The Reds last 6 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 3 goals in Brentford |
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01-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham has been rock solid on their home pitch and averaged 2.6 goals scored per match. However, the Hotspur also enter this match having allowed at least 2 goals in 6 straight matches in league action! That said, Aston Villa should find the back of the net at least once here but Tottenham, of course, is favored for a reason. By the way, the Hotspur have had zero draws in their 8 home matches this season and Aston Villa has had only 3 draws in their 16 matches this season. Also, the visitors in this match have allowed an average of 2 goals per match as travelers this season. This one seems to have 2-1 written all "over" it and I am grabbing the value here with this total posted at 2.5 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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12-31-22 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - We get some line value here on this total because Brighton is missing a few guys and that is holding the number down to a 2.5 and the over at about even money at that number. This is excellent line value because Brighton is still going to put up a helluva fight at home and yet Arsenal is favored here for a reason. In other words, every reason to believe we'll see at least a 2-1 final here. These clubs have totaled only 4 draws in 30 matches this season so the likelihood of a draw is very slim here. Also, Arsenal has allowed about 1 goal per match this season and Brighton is scoring about 2 goals per match on the season. The point is that Brighton should get at least 1 here but you know the top team in the league this season is also likely to get on the scoresheet as well. With a 1-1 draw highly unlikely this is simply one of those matches that seems destined for at least a 2-1 final rather than any share of the spoils. Arsenal has settled for only 1 draw in its 15 matches this season and the hosts have only 3 draws in their 15 matches. Arsenal scoring 2.4 goals per match on the season. Each of Brighton's last 5 matches in league action have totaled at least 3 goals and these 5 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Also, Arsenal wants revenge for losing their last meeting 2-1 and Arsenal's last 10 matches have seen 8 total 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-31-22 | Leeds United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle having a huge season and known for scoring well at home historically and this season as well. They are averaging 2 goals per game as a host this season. Leeds road matches are averaging 4 goals per match this season. This one should get to at least 4 as well. Leeds has a leaky defense but is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game this season so look for plenty of scoring here. 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle |
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12-28-22 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City @ Leeds United @ 3 ET - The last two times these teams met - both last season - Manchester City won 4-0 and 7-0. With Haaland now back and healthy again, this dangerous city offense should be firing on all cylinders again. Keep in mind the average score of their league games this season is 3-1 in favor of city while the average for Leeds United works out to about a 2-2 final. Indeed, I am expecting at least 4 goals in this one. Leeds does have a leaky defense and Haaland was born here as his father played for Leeds. The point is that this is an extra special match for him and he will be pushing hard to put on a show in this one. I would not be surprised to see Man City get this total all by themselves with a 4-0 type win but 3-1 or 3-2 or 4-1 also seem like logical endings here as we have seen a lot of high-scoring matches in the EPL return from the break for the World Cup. Also, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 6 matches. Keep in mind, they are now facing one of the weaker defenses in the league plus Leeds has some injury and other personnel issues complicating their situation. Manchester City should win huge here but the hosts should make the net ripple at least once as well. Note that 3 of last 4 EPL matches for Leeds have totaled at least 5 goals! 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-27-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - Manchester United dealing with some absences on defense so Nottingham Forest can take advantage here. However, the visitors have had major struggles this season at times in terms of keeping the ball out of their own net. That means a rather high-scoring match is likely in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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12-26-22 | Liverpool v. Aston Villa OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 in Aston Villa vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Aston Villa scores an average of 1.6 goals per match when at home. Liverpool scores an average of 2 goals per match on the season. This one should get to at least 3 goals. I look for at least club to score at least once and then Aston Villa has only one draw in 7 home matches this season so we have strong odds that this one at least gets to 2-1. However, even 4 or 5 goals is not out of the question here. Each of Liverpool's last 4 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 4 goals. Specific to league action, each of Liverpool's last 3 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, the hosts have goalkeeper concerns here. Each of Aston Villa's last 5 matches within league action have totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 averaged 3.6 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one as Liverpool pushes hard for a strong, attacking performance on the road but the hosts will surely not go down without a fight on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Liverpool |
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12-26-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 ET - Brighton & Hove off a scoreless draw in English Carabao Cup action which they lost on penalty kicks Wednesday. However, prior to that, their last 6 matches across all competitions had totaled at least 3 goals. They are a different club since the managerial change when Graham Potter departed. As for Southampton, they are just now going through a managerial change and all these changes are going to lead to solid goal-scoring chances here. Southampton off a 2-1 win in English Carabao Cup action Tuesday. Also, each of their last two league matches have totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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12-19-22 | Botosani v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs FC Botosani @ 1 ET - FCSB just got shutout 1-0 by CFR Cluj. This followed 5 straight victories in league action and FCSB scored an average of 3 goals per match in those victories! Across all competitions FCSB has allowed 27 goals last 16 matches so certainly goaltending and defense has not proven to be their forte. However, they had been on a major goalscoring run before losing to CFR Cluj and will bounce back here against a weak FC Botosani club. These clubs just met a few weeks back and it was a 3-2 FCSB victory. FC Botosani has allowed 4 goals per match last 3 matches overall! Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals with the last 3 of those all totaling at least 4 goals. There is a reason that FCSB is priced big here and favored by 1.5 goals and I am looking for a 3-1 type final here and feel strongly we should get to at least a total of 3 goals for the win here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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12-18-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in UTA vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - UTA off a 0-0 match last week but that was on the road. At home UTA should perform much better here and I am certain a surging Rapid club is going to "force the issue" here as they have been scoring plenty of goals and this has led to wide open matches involving the club from Bucuresti. Note that Rapid has seen each of their last 10 matches total at least 2 goals so certainly there is some added value with this one available at a total of 2 goals. Those 10 matches have averaged 3 goals and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. UTA had seen 12 of last 13 matches total at least 2 goals before their scoreless draw last week. UTA saw those 12 matches average about 3 goals apiece and I love situations like this where the weaker club is at home so they can respond well there but are facing a high-scoring road club that has been playing well of late. The clubs have totaled 10 draws in 40 matches so only a 25% draw rate between them and I am looking at the strong odds that each club scores here but also that neither club is willing to settle for a draw. The result is a 2-1 final at the very least in my opinion. 10* OVER 2 in UTA |
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12-18-22 | France v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Argentina vs France @ 10 AM ET - France just delivered a clean sheet against Morocco but this is not Morocco. Argentina is going to expose a France rear guard that entered that match having allowed a goal in every World Cup match thus far. Now this is the big one and you know both clubs are strong defensively but also fully capable on the attack. Argentina has scored well throughout this tournament but France is fantastic on the counter-attack too. France was held off the scoresheet by Tunisia but has scored at least 2 goals in each of its other 5 matches in the World Cup. Since a shocking opening loss to Saudi Arabia, Argentina has scored at least 2 goals in 5 straight matches. More of the same on tap here. I feel certainly we are looking at least a 2-1 match here but like the added value of the total set at 2 goals here in case this one finishes 1-1. I just don't see either club being held off the scoresheet in this one. 10* OVER 2 in Argentina |
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12-18-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs U Craiova 1948 @ 7:30 AM ET - The hosts are off a 3-1 loss that was the 4th straight match that has totaled at least 2 goals. U Craiova 1948 is off a 1-0 win but that was preceded by 5 straight matches that totaled at least 2 goals. I feel we have excellent line value here with this total at only 2 goals for this one. U Craiova 1948 has only had a draw in 20 percent of matches and Petrolul Ploiesti has had a draw in only 10 percent of matches. That said, if you like each club to score at least 1 goal - and signs point toward that for sure - the odds definitely favor the match finding its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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12-17-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1:30 ET - These teams just met a few weeks ago and the match finished 1-1. Look for a little more here as the hosts are off a 1-0 win but allowed 1.7 goals per match their 3 prior matches. As for the visitors, they have allowed 1.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Yes the hosts delivered a clean sheet in most recent match but that was against a CS Mioveni club that is the worst one in the league. That said, with each team having high likelihood of allowing at least 1 goal here coupled with the fact that Chindia Targoviste has only drawn in 30 percent of games and Universitatea Craiova having only drawn in 25 percent of games this season, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here. Value in this total at a 2 as there was some 2.5 earlier this week and the total was posted higher for a reason. We'll grab the line value here after the move. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
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12-16-22 | Farul Constanta v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Farul @ 1 ET - 14 of last 15 matches involving Farul have totaled at least 2 goals. Not only that, those 15 matches have averaged 3.5 goals per match. Indeed I am expecting this one to land on 3 or 4 goals and the total being at a 2 is too much value to pass up here. I am going with the over. I know Voluntari's matches average totaling only 2 goals each but they themselves have exploded for 3 goals scored in 2 of last 4 at home. They are hosting a Farul club that is high quality but off a 4-0 loss. There should be plenty of goals here as Voluntari battles hard at home but Farul will not be in a good mood after being delivered a clean sheet on their home pitch. So goals will be piling up in this one. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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12-15-22 | CFR Cluj v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in FCSB vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Two hot clubs matched up here so they are each playing with confidence and this one is a make-up match from Week 9 being played on short rest as a result as the Week 20 matches just got wrapped up earlier this week. That said, some tired legs on defense could see some great scoring opportunities and both of these clubs have been scoring well. FCSB has won 5 straight matches and averaged 3 goals per match. Across all competitions, FCSB has allowed 1.7 goals last 15 matches. CFR Cluj is undefeated last 5 matches and they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. Look for at least a 2-1 match. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in FCSB |
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12-14-22 | Morocco v. France OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in France vs Morocco @ 2 ET - Morocco has been a great story in their World Cup run and I know they have done it with defense and goaltending to this point. However, they have some fitness concerns with the defense entering this one and France has too much firepower for Morocco to stop here. At the same time, I do expect Morocco to get on the scoresheet as well. That is why the play here is the over as we also are getting excellent line value courtesy of the over being available at 2 goals for this one. Morocco has scored 5 goals in last 4 matches here in the World Cup. As for France, 4 of their 5 matches here at the World Cup have totaled at least 3 goals. France has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match but also conceded 1 time in all 5 matches. Per the above, don't be surprised if we see at least a 2-1 final in this one and it should go over the total nicely for us just like yesterday's Argentina match did. 10* OVER 2 in France |