Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming -3.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
The Toledo Rockets are 11-2 on the season as they play the 8-4 Wyoming Cowboys in the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl from Tucson AZ here on Saturday. Toledo lost in the MAC Championship game to Miami OH, 14-23, snapping its 11-game win streak. Once again we have to go to the Transfer Portal and NFL Opt Outs to see what's up. And, for Toledo, they lose their best offensive weapon in this game, QB Dequan Finn as well as a top CB in Quinyon Mitchell and OG and their punter. Wyoming loses just one player in CB Kolbey Taylor. This Toledo team averaged 33.6 ppg and 426.7 ypg of offense. But the loss of Finn will ruin those number as Tucker Gleason will now be behind center. Gleason has some experience this year, but is not nearly as good as Finn. Wyoming will have all their skill players here on Saturday. They averaged 26.1 ppg and 324.8 ypg on the season. They rushed very good, averaging 157.6 ypg on the season. The defense is solid, ranked 47th in points allowed and 50th in yards. The Rockets lack of offense today is the key for me. I'm taking Wyoming in this one. |
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12-30-23 | CS-Northridge +9 v. Long Beach State | 84-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
Big West Conference play here on Saturday as Long Beach State welcomes Cal State Northridge. The Northridge Matadors having their best season in many years as they come into this game 10-3 S/U and 10-1 ATS. The Mats have won five straight and covered seven straight games. They have also done great on the road, posting a 5-2 S/U and 7-0 ATS records. The Matadors have averaged 80.4 ppg while allowing 69.8 ppg for a +10.5 overall scoring margin. They also have a positive scoring margin on the road of +3.6. But their biggest win was over fellow LA team UCLA where they went to Pauley Pavilion and won 76-72 as a 17.5-point dog. Long Beach is 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. They average 80.9 ppg while allowing 76.2 ppg for a +4.8 scoring margin. The 49ers have won six straight games and covered their last two. They are coming off a win over Cal Fullerton, 81-71, as a 3-point favorite. Northridge won't be intimidated going to Long Beach after they Walzted into UCLA and upset the Bruins. I'll take the generous points in this game and won't be surprised by another Northridge shocker. |
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12-30-23 | Indiana State +9 v. Michigan State | 75-87 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
The Indiana State Sycamores off to an excellent start this season at 11-1 S/U and 8-3 ATS. The Sycamores average 88.2 ppg while allowing 70.8 ppg for a +17.3 point margin. They have been good on the road, going 2-1 both S/U and ATS and average 85 ppg and allow 82 ppg. You have to go back to Nov 10 for their one loss at Alabama, 80-102 as a 17-point dog. Since then they have 10 wins in a row including last game vs Tennessee State, 90-69, as a 17-point favorite. Michigan State comes into this game with a 7-5 S/U and and 6-6 ATS record. They average 76.4 ppg and allow 63.7 ppg for a +12.8 point margin. They are 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS at home with a +18.9 point margin. The Spartans have won three straight games both S/U and and ATS since their back-to-back losses to Nebraska, 70-77, and Wisconsin, 57-70. Michigan State laying 9-points in this one. I'm taking the visiting Sycamores as they can score and should stay close. Play Indiana State. |
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12-29-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson +27 v. Illinois | 71-104 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Illinois was dealt a big blow today when guard Terrence Shannon Jr. was suspended and will be out indefinitely. That's a big loss since in 11 games Shannon has averaged 21.7 ppg. The Fighting Illini had been having a very good season to this point with a 9-2 S/U and 6-4-1 record. The Illini had won two straight games since their second loss of the season at Tennessee, 79-86. But now we have to re-evaluate this team and see how they perform without their star guard. The Fairleigh Dickinson Knights are a big dog here tonight at Illinois. They are 6-7 S/U and 5-6 ATS on the season. They have lost two games in a row both S/U and ATS. The Knights have scored though, evidenced by their 81.5 ppg average this season. I'm going to take the big points with a team that has shown they can score. The mental effects of the loss of their guard will have to be seen tonight, but I have to believe it will hurt this Illinois team a lot. Play Fairleigh Dickinson. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri +5 v. Ohio State | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl here on Friday has Missouri taking on Ohio State from the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Missouri finished 10-2 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Tigers finished ranked 9th in the country and won their last three games. QB Brady Cook having an excellent season with 3189 yards and 20 TD's. They also have one of the best Running backs in the country in Cody Shrader. Shrader rushed for 100 or more yards in all but four games. Missouri had the 27th ranked scoring offense in the country. Ohio State will battle today without key players due to the transfer portal. They finished 11-1 on the season with their only loss at Michigan, 24-30. They will be without their starting QB in Kyle McCord who opted out of this game. They will be starting Devin Brown a redshirt freshman. This will be the Ohio State defense against the Missouri Offense. Both units are top notch. Without McCord I'm not sure if the Buckeyes will score enough points to win this one. I'll take Missouri. |
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12-29-23 | Kings +1 v. Hawks | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks have struggled to a 12-18 overall mark. But really boggles the mind is that they are just 4-8 S/U and 1-11 ATS at home this season and being outscored by a 1.2 point margin. The Hawks have also lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. The Sacramento Kings are 17-12 S/U and 15-14 ATS. They have lost two straight games. The Kings are 6-7 S/U and 7-6 ATS on the road. Both teams looking to get back in the win column here today. I am taking the visitors in this one as the Hawks just have not played well at home this season. Take Sacramento. |
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12-29-23 | McNeese State +10.5 v. Michigan | 87-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Extra board game here on Friday has McNeese State heading to Ann Arbor to take on the Michigan Wolverines. The McNeese State Cowboys are having a nice season at 10-2 S/U and 6-2 ATS. They have averaged 80.3 ppg while allowing 57.8 ppg, for a +22.5 scoring advantage. They have also covered three of their four games on the road. They have also won five straight games since a loss at La Tech, 62-71. Michigan having a slow start as they are just 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. The Wolverines are averaging 83.8 ppg but allowing 78.4 ppg, just a +5.3 scoring advantage. They are surprisingly just 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS at home this year. Michigan has also lost four of its last six games and covered just one of the last six. Michigan an elite team in an elite conference, but sometimes the Cinderella teams can jump up and bite the big boys. I'll take a shot with a very good McNeese State team here tonight. |
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12-28-23 | USC v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
The USC Trojans travel to Oregon to face the Ducks tonight, not a place they have had much success. The Trojans have won just 2 of their last 12 trips at Oregon. The Trojans are 6-5 S/U this season and 5-6 ATS. They are 1-1 on the road both S/U and ATS. They just snapped a 3-game losing streak with a win over Alabama State, 79-59, as a 18-point favorite. USC could be without a key player tonight in guard Boogie Ellis, who is questionable with a hip injury. Oregon is 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. The Ducks have won four of their last five games both S/U and ATS. That includes last game at home over Kent State, 84-70 as a 7-point favorite. The Ducks again are very good at home, posting a 6-0 S/U and 5-1 ATS record this season. Considering their dominance over the Trojans at home and success this year at home, I'll be on the Ducks tonight. |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans -8 | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz have struggled to a 13-18 record thus far in the NBA season. The jazz are also 17-13-1 ATS. The Jazz have won three straight, both S/U and ATS. Though that includes wins over very poor teams San Antonio and Detroit. They hit the road here today at New Orleans. The Jazz are 5-13 S/U and 7-11 away from home. They have scored 109.9 and allowed 121.9 on the road this year. The Pelicans are 17-14 S/U and ATS. They average 115.7 ppg and allow 113.4 ppg. At home the Pelicans are 9-7 S/U and 10-6 ATS. This will be the club's third game against Utah in the last four games. They have lost both games at Utah, 112-114 as a 6-point favorite and 100-105, as a 3-point favorite. I look for the outcome to change here tonight as the venue moves to New Orleans. Take the Pelicans. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers -2 v. Miami-FL | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Pinstripe Bowl from Bronx NY today has Rutgers taking on Miami Florida. As always you can almost throw out season stats and just look at those players who will play and those sitting out due to the Transfer Portal or NFL. The big news today is that Miami is down to their third string QB. Miami was just 7-5 during the regular season and now Junior QB Tyler Van Dyke enters the transfer portal. Backup Emory Williams is injured and will miss today's game. That leaves sophomore Jacurri Brown who did play a snap in 2023. Rutgers will be at full strength here today and while that kind of evens the playing field, I'm taking Rutgers in this one. The Hurricanes will also miss both safeties. Rutgers is only 6-6 on the season and has lost four straight. The Knights rely on their defense this year. They score just 22.6 ppg and that's good for just 105th in the country. But with all the losses for Miami I have to take Rutgers in this one. |
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12-27-23 | 76ers v. Magic -2 | 112-92 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are having an excellent season at 20-9 S/U and 14-11-4 ATS. However, they will be without their big man here on Wednesday as C Joel Embiid will miss this game with an ankle injury. That changes this Philly team as Embiid is so dominating. Embiid also missed the last game at Miami and that turned into a loss, 113-119, as a 2-point dog. The Orlando Magic are 17-11 S/U and 17-9-2 ATS on the season. They snapped a four game losing streak in their last game at Indiana, 117-110. They return home where they have been very good, going 11-2 S/U and 10-3 ATS. They have also outscored their visitors by a 118.8 to 106.5. I'm going to take a good Orlando team at home against an Embiid-less Sixers club. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
We have to look at the players that are in the portal or opting out for the NFL draft. These players change the way the team looks from how they did before they got here. That's really important in this game today between North Carolina and West Virginia in the Mayo Bowl from Charlotte, NC. I'm not even going to look at the stats these teams put up during the regular season. Instead lets see who's sitting out. Tar Heals hit hard in this area. TE Kamari Morales, WR Tychaun Chapman, WR Andre Greene, CB Tayon Holloway, DT Kedrick Bingley-Jones, and LB Sebastian Cheeks transferred. QB Drake Maye, LB Cedric Gray, C Corey Gaynor, and WR Tez Walker will sit out the bowl game to prepare for the draft. The big one is QB Maye and Walker. That completely shifts the dynamics of this game. The Mountaineers should run crazy over the this 89th ranked Tar Heel run defense. Plus they will miss all those players, especially Maye. I'm taking West Virginia here on Wednesday. |
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12-26-23 | Pacers v. Rockets -2.5 | 123-117 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers are the highest scoring team in the NBA as they average 125.9 ppg and allow 125.7 ppg. The Pacers still are below .500 at 14-15 overall and S/U and ATS. The Pacers have lost two straight games and six of their last seven games both S/U and ATS. Today they face a very good Houston squad. The Rockets are 15-12 S/U and 18-9 ATS on the season. They average 111.6 ppg and allow 107.7 ppg. They have been very good at home with a 12-2 record S/U and ATS. The Rockets were on a 3-game losing streak, but have won two straight including a win over a very good Dallas team and then last time at New Orleans, 106-104. The Pacers can score, but they also can't play defense. I'll take the Rockets have home where they have been sensational. Play Houston. |
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12-25-23 | Mavs +4.5 v. Suns | 128-114 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks are 17-12 S/U and 15-14 ATS on the season. They average 119.0 ppg while allowing 117.9 ppg. They have been decent on the road with a 9-6 S/U and ATS mark. They also average 116.7 ppg and allow 117.7 ppg away from home. The Mavs snapped a three-game losing streak with their win over the Spurs on Saturday, 144-119, as a 8-point favorite. The Phoenix Suns have struggled so far this season to a 14-14 mark S/U and 9-17-2 spread record. They have averaged 114.5 ppg while allowing 114 ppg. At home they look to even their record tonight as they sit at 7-8 S/U and 4-10-1 ATS. The Suns are just 2-7 S/U and 1-8 ATS their last nine games. I'll take the points here tonight with the visitors. Take Dallas. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -1.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys play Miami today in what becomes more serious times for the Cowboys. They are 10-4 and tied for first with the Eagles in the NFC East. However, they are coming off that big loss to the Bills last week, 10-31. Now they have to face another big offensive AFC team in Miami. The Cowboys average 30.8 ppg while allowing just 18.9 ppg. They also average 368.1 ypg while allowing 294.3 ypg. The Cowboys will play at home vs Detroit next week before finishing up at Washington. The Miami Dolphins are also 10-4 S/U and 9-5 ATS. They are in 1st place in the AFC East, 2-games ahead of the Bills. They don't have an easy road here at the end with Dallas today, at Baltimore next week and then home vs Buffalo in the final week. The Dolphins average 31.5 ppg and allowing 21 pg. They are coming off a shutout win last week over the Jets, 30-0, as a 7-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 23 yards rushing and 80 yards passing for 103 yards. Miami not in danger yet, but they don't have things wrapped-up either. I'll take Miami here at home on Sunday. |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars v. Bucs +1.5 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are close to securing a playoff spot, something unheard of just a few weeks ago. Tampa Bay is 7-7, but that is after winning three straight games from being 4-7. They are now in first in the NFC South, a half game ahead of the 7-8 New Orleans Saints and one full game ahead of the Falcons. That makes today's game huge for the Bucs. Tampa Bay averages 21.1 ppg while allowing 20.7 ppg. They also average 314.9 ypg while allowing 359.9 ypg. After today's contest is the big one next week vs the Saints and then they finish up at Carolina. The Jaguars are 8-6 both S/U and ATS. They are in a 3-way tie for the AFC South division lead with Houston and the Colts. The Jags average 22.8 ppg while allowing 22.4 ppg. After today they finish against Carolina and then at Tennessee. The Jags have lost three straight games including last week vs the Ravens, 7-23. Both teams really need this game, but with the Bucs on a winning streak and the Jags on a losing streak, I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Tampa Bay. |
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12-24-23 | Old Dominion v. Massachusetts -6.5 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
The Finals of the Diamond Head Tournament here on Sunday from Honolulu, HI. Old Dominion takes on U Mass. Old Dominion lost in the opener to TCU, 87-111 as a 15-point dog. Then they rebounded with a win over Temple on Friday, 78-63, as a 2.5-point favorite. U Mass opened with a loss to Georgia Tech, 70-73, as a 2-point favorite. They also rebounded with a win over Portland, 100-78, as a 7-point favorite. Old Dominion Monarchs are now 4-7 S/U and 3-7 ATS on the season. They have done well away from home in both road and neutral games, going 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS. U Mass has faired better with a 7-4 record overall both S/U and ATS. The Minutemen also are 2-2 away from home both S/U and ATS. They are a good scoring team, averaging 84.3 ppg and allowing 73.4 ppg. The Monarchs average just 71.8 ppg while allowing 76.7 ppg. I like U Mass in this one. |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 41 m | Show | |
A NFC North battle here on Sunday has the 10-4, first place, Detroit Lions taking on the 7-7, second place Minnesota Vikings. The Lions are coming off a big win over the Denver Broncos, 42-17. That rebounded from the loss the previous week at Chicago, 13-28. The Lions have alternated wins and losses the last four weeks, going 2-2, both S/U and ATS. The Lions have to face the Vikings twice in the last three weeks with Dallas sandwiched in between. The Vikings could tie the Lions if they win out and Detroit losses the last three games. Detroit averages 27.3 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. They also average 394.4 ypg and allow 320.9 ypg. The Vikings playoff chances to a hit last week when they lost in OT to the Bengals, 24-27. They led big in the 2nd half but the Bengals rallied to tie and force OT. The Vikings offense ranks 11th in the NFL while their defense ranks 13th. The Vikings have lost three of their last four games and are 2-1-2 vs the spread the last five. The Vikings need this game badly if they hope to have a chance at the postseason. Plus we get the Vikings at about a field goal home dog here. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. |
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12-23-23 | Grizzlies -1 v. Hawks | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies started the season 6-19 S/U and 9-16 ATS. They played all those games without their star guard, Ja Morant. Morant returned on Tuesday against New Orleans and promptly put in 34 points including the game winner at the horn to win 115-113 over New Orleans. The Grizzlies then beat the Pacers at home in his second game back on Thursday, 116-103. Now the Grizzlies go for their third straight win at Atlanta. The Hawks are only 12-15 S/U and 7-20 ATS. They average 123.1 ppg but allow 122.9 ppg. At home the Hawks are 4-7 S/U and a terrible 1-10 ATS as they allow more points then they have scored. The Hawks have won two straight games, including last time out at Houston, 134-127. However, the covers have been few and far between. Tonight, spread really not a factor as this game around pick or Memphis -1 point. I like the Grizzlies though again here tonight with Morant back at the wheel guiding this team. Play Memphis. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -1 | 45-22 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Mid-Major game here on Saturday in the Potato Bowl from Boise Idaho. This one pits the Mountain West Utah State Aggies against the Sun Belt's Georgia State Panthers. Ga State finished their season with a loss to Old Dominion, 24-25, as a 2.5-point road dog. Utah State just got past New Mexico to finish their season with a win, 44-41 in double OT. Ga State lost its last five games of the season and ended 6-6 S/U. Utah State won three of its final four games. The Aggies are 26th in scoring with 34.1 ppg and 43rd in passing with 259.8 ypg. One good thing for Utah State, they weren't hit hard by the transfer portal, so they should be good here on Saturday. Ga State though will be without their starting running back and top wide receiver in this game as both are transferring. Utah State was the better team down the stretch and that should carry over to this Bowl game. Take Utah State. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -1 v. Air Force | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
The Armed Forces Bowl here on Saturday has Air Force taking on James Madison. James Madison Dukes is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 ATS. The Dukes had a season of all times in their school history as they make their first ever Bowl appearance. Air Force looked great to start the season as they jumped out to a 8-0 record. However, they lost their last four games to finish 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS. Which Air Force team shows up today? Both teams suffered a lot of losses to the transfer portal so we'll just have to see how that effects them here on Saturday. If you talk motivation then that falls squarely on James Madison. Making their first ever bowl game nothing would please them more then to finish the season with a bowl win. The Dukes did average 35.2 ppg this season, good for 18th in the country. They only allowed 18.5 ppg, 18th in the nation. Air Force averaged 27.6 ppg. This is a tough game since you have to think of both teams with their portal losses. Still, I believe the Dukes want this game more than Air Force does. I'll take James Madison here on Saturday. |
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12-22-23 | Maryland +3.5 v. UCLA | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Maryland Terrapins head to Westwood to take on the UCLA Bruins tonight. Maryland is 7-4 S/U and brings a three-game win streak into this game. They have also won six of their last seven games. Maryland has lots of experience on this team as they are led by a pair of seniors. They also have a very good turnover rate of 8.3 steals per game. UCLA has struggled this year and that's really because they are not an experienced team with Junior Lazar Stefanovic their only upper classman. UCLA fell to 5-5 on the season and has lost three straight games after a big upset at the hands of Cal Northridge, 72-76, as a 17.5-point favorite. That has to be their low point of this season. Now they face a very good and experienced Maryland team today. Yet they are still laying points. I'll take the points with Maryland and look for a Terps straight-up win. Play Maryland. |
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12-22-23 | Raptors v. 76ers -8 | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
Atlantic Division clash here on Friday has the Philadelphia 76ers host the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are currently 12th in the Eastern Conference while the Sixers are third. Toronto is 11-16 overall and 12-15 vs the spread. The Raptors coming off a loss at home to Denver, 104-113, as a 3.5-point dog. That was the team's seventh loss in their last nine games both S/U and ATS. The Raptors have already lost to Philly twice in two tries this year. The Sixers boast the NBA's top scorer right now in Joel Embiid, who averages 35.1 ppg. Throw in his 11.8 rebounds and 5.9 assists and Embiid is a monster in the NBA. The Nuggets are 19-8 S/U and ATS. They have won seven of their last eight games and covered six of the last eight. That includes their win over the T'Wolves, 127-113 as a 4-point favorite. I'm going to lay the points at home here tonight with the Sixers. Play Philadelphia. |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Two teams that finished just eligible for this bowl at 6-6 meet today as Central Florida takes on Georgia Tech in the Gasparilla Bowl from Tampa Bay. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacks were 6-6 S/u and 7-5 vs the spread. The Jackets lost their last game of the season to Georgia, 23-31, but played well in covering a 25-point dog spread. Tech was 3-2 their last five games including a upset win over North Carolina. They became bowl eligible in their win over Syracuse, 31-22 on Nov 18. The offense is very good, scoring 30 in three of their last five games. The problem is the defense, that allows 30.5 ppg and 437.4 ypg. The rush defense is particularly bad, ranking 131st in the country. That will play right into the UCF Golden Knights hands here on Friday. The Knights have an elite rushing attack led by RJ Harvey. Harvey has at least 80 yards rushing in all but three games this year. The UFC offense averages 233 rushing yards per game, fourth in the country. Now they get to face this bad Tech rush defense. In addition, UFC defense has played well down the stretch, allowing an average of just 16 points over their last four games. This game looks taylor made for UCF. Play Central Florida. |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
The Boca Raton Bowl here on Thursday has a pair of 6-6 teams meeting up as Syracuse takes on South Florida. The Syracuse Orange finished the regular season at 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. They averaged 25.5 ppg while allowing 23.7 ppg. They also averaged 359.3 ypg while allowing 381.9 ypg. The Orange became bowl eligible on their last game of the season with a win over Wake Forest, 35-31, as a 2-point favorite. Still, the club lost three of their last four both S/U and ATS. The Orange will be without some key players who have entered the transfer portal. Sophomore Linebacker Leon Lowry, one of the most experienced players they have, will not play. DB Jeremiah Wilson will also not play. WR Isaiah Jones also will miss today's contest. All in all, the Orange will miss 11 players today due to the transfer portal and 15 total who will miss the game. The South Florida Bulls were also 6-6 S/U and 5-6-1 ATS. They averaged 30.8 ppg while allowing 34.9 ppg. They also averaged 455.3 ypg while allowing 455.3 ypg. Like Syracuse, the Bulls had to win their last game to get to this bowl They beat Charlotte, 48-14 as a 7-point favorite to become bowl Eligible. The Bulls offense is excellent but their defense is not so good. The loss of 15 players for the Orange could be the difference maker here today. Plus, South Florida will be playing in their own backyard in Boca Raton. Play South Florida. |
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12-21-23 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -4.5 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
It didn't take long for Ja Morant to make his presence felt in the Memphis lineup. Morant, their best player, made his season debut on Tuesday after missing the first part of the season with a suspension. Morant went out and scored 34 points, including the game winner at the horn, as the Grizzlies beat the Pelicans, 115-113 as a 8-point dog. Tonight, the Grizzlies host the Pacers in what could be a shootout with the leagues highest scoring team. The Pacers average 128 ppg this year. The Pacers are 13-13 S/U and 13-13 ATS on the season. They look to snap a four game losing streak tonight both S/U and ATS as they will have played five of their last six games on the road. The Grizzlies snapped a five game s/u and ats losing streak with the return of Morant. I look for the club to win their second in a row tonight behind their superstar guard. Play Memphis. |
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12-20-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +14.5 v. Pittsburgh | 48-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
IUPUFW Mastodons have gotten off to a great start with a 11-1 S/U record and 7-3 spread mark. The Mastodons average 86.8 ppg while allowing just 67.3 ppg. Their only loss came on the road at San Francisco, 60-76, as a 13.5-point dog. Otherwise they are 3-1 both S/U and ATS away from home and still outscore their hosts by 6.5-ppg. They are coming off a win over Bethune-Cookman, 86-63, as a 12.5-point favorite. This looks to be their biggest test of the season at 8-3 Pittsburgh. The Pitt Panthers have won three straight since a loss to Clemson 70-79. The Panthers have since won three straight games and gone 2-1 vs the spread. They are coming off a win over South Carolina State, 86-50, as a 28-point favorite. Pitt around a 14-point favorite here today. I'll take a shot with the big dog in this one. Play Fort Wayne. |
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12-20-23 | Baylor +3.5 v. Duke | 70-78 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears had their perfect record broken with their first loss of the season last game at home to Michigan State, 64-88, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Spartans had also covered six straight games before that spread loss. They have averaged 88.4 ppg while allowing just 69.6 ppg on the season. This will be another neutral site game as this contest will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Bears have played four previous neutral site games and are 3-1 both S/U and ATS. The Duke Blue Devils are 7-3 S/U and 5-5 ATS on the season. They average 81.6 ppg while allowing 66.1 ppg. Duke is coming off a win over Hofstra, 89-68, as a 15-point favorite. Their losses this season have come at Georgia Tech, 68-72, at Arkansas, 75-80, and at home to Arizona, 73-78. This should be a very good game but with Baylor getting a few points I'll take the Bears in this one. Play Baylor. |
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12-18-23 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -10 | 97-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies look to snap a four game losing streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off back-to-back losses to the Houston Rockets, 104-117 in Houston and then 96-103 in Memphis as a 3.5-point dog. The Grizzlies are just 6-18 S/U and 9-15 ATS on the season. They average 106 ppg while giving up 112.3 ppg on the season. The OK Thunder are 16-8 S/U and 16-7-1 ATS on the season. They average 120.4 ppg and 123.8 ppg at home. The Thunder are coming off a win at Denver, 118-117 as a 5-point dog. That makes them 5-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS in their last seven games. The Thunder should have little trouble with this Memphis team on Monday. Play Oklahoma City. |
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12-18-23 | Maine +16 v. UCF | 51-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Extra board game here on Monday has Maine taking on Central Florida. The Maine Black Bears are 8-4 S/U and 7-4 ATS. They average 70.4 ppg and allow 63.2 ppg. The Bears have won four straight games both S/U and ATS. The Bears defense has been very good, holding opponents close to the 60 point range and three of the last four opponents under 40% shooting. The UCF Golden Knights are 6-3 S/U and 4-5 ATS. They average 78 ppg and allow 67.7 ppg. They are coming off a loss to Ole Miss, 68-70 as a 3.5-point home favorite. They have covered just two of their last six games. Definitely different opponents for these clubs today. However, the Bears should be able to get inside this big line and cover the spread. Play Maine. |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -4.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
A couple of things you have to look for in the bowls. First, how many players have entered the transfer portal and those players sitting out because of the NFL draft. Second, motivation, does the team want to even be there. Today, we have one game on the Monday Bowl schedule and that's the Famous Toastery Bowl between Western Kentucky and Old Dominion. Western is 7-5 on the season but likely will be without their top QB in Austin Reed. Reed has an undisclosed illness/reason, but he's been downgraded to doubtful for today. The Hilltoppers have won two straight games after a win over Florida International, 41-28. The loss of Reed could be big here today for a team that averaged 29.8 ppg. Reed hit on 61.5% of his passes for 3,340 yards and 31 touchdowns. Hard to replace those kind of numbers. Western has struggled on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 28.2 ppg this season. ODU Monarchs have also won two straight games. They are coming off a win over Georgia State, 25.24 as a 1.5-point favorite. ODU averages 22.9 ppg as Grant Wilson leads the team at QB with 16 touchdowns. With Reed not in this game I look for ODU to come out on top and cover this spread today. Play Old Dominion. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
The weather might be in the Bills advantage here on Sunday as Rain is expected with winds at least 15mpg and gusting higher. That could hurt the Cowboys potent pass attack. Dallas is 10-3 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. They are tied with the Eagles in the NFC East for first place but have a tough schedule the rest of the way. After today's game at Buffalo they go to Miami and then return home to face the Lions before a final road trip to Washington. With three of their last four on the road it could be a tough route for the Cowboys to the division title. Dallas is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The offense has been great, scoring at least 33 points in each of those five wins. They are coming off a win over the Eagles, 33-13 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bills are 7-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS and right now are on the bubble to make the playoffs. The Bills were one of the preseason favorites to make the Super Bowl. Now, they are fighting for a playoff spot. Five teams in the AFC were tied at 7-6 and the Bengals won on Saturday to go to 8-6 as did the Colts. They also trail 1st place Miami by two games in the AFC East. After today they face the Chargers and Patriots (both should be easy wins) and finish vs the Dolphins, which could be for the division with some luck. As for today, the Bills will hope for as bad as weather as they can get. I'll take the Bills here today who need a win badly. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
The Washington Commander won't make the postseason this year as they sit at just 4-9 overall and 5-7-1 vs the spread. The Commanders average just 20.1 ppg while allowing 30.4 ppg. They also average 336.1 ypg and allow 379.8 ypg. The Commanders will finish their season with a game at the Jets next week then home vs the 49ers and finish the season home vs the Cowboys. They have lost four straight games and are 1-3 ATS in those games. They are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 15-45, as a 8.5-point dog. The defense has not been good, allowing 90 points the last two games and at least 29 points in each of their last four games. The Rams had their three game win streak snapped last week at Baltimore. They fought the Ravens into OT and lost on special teams as Baltimore ran back a kick for a TD. The Rams offense has really been in high gear of late, scoring 31, 36 and 37 the last three weeks. At 6-7, the Rams chances of making the playoffs are not great, but they are around 40% at this point. A loss today almost assures them of not making the playoffs. The Way the Rams offense is playing and how bad the Commanders defense has been, I'll take the Rams here today. Play LA. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be all the Browns need in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +6 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
LA Bowl as UCLA takes on Boise State. The big issue to watch for in these bowls are players opting out because they don't want to get hurt and ruin their NFL draft chances or are entering the transfer portal. The latter is the case for UCLA as this LA Bowl team we saw during the season. HC Chip Kelly has already said that any play entering the portal at the end of the season won't play in this game. Seven Bruins have put their names into the Transfer portal and none of those will practice or play today. That includes star freshman player Dante Moore. Boise State won the Mountain West Championship in Las Vegas with a win over UNLV, 44-20. They have been red hot to finish the season, winning and covering their last four games. They have also scored 42 points or more in three of those games. For me, I have to back Boise in this one. They are getting points and UCLA will have to play without those seven players in the transfer portal. Take Boise State. |
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12-16-23 | Southern Illinois +6 v. Wichita State | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Two teams both having decent seasons thus far meet here on Saturday as Wichita State hosts Southern Illinois. The So.Illinois Salukis are 6-3 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. They had their two game win streak snapped last time out vs Austin Peay, 68-70, failing to cover the 11.5-point favorite line. They average 77.1 ppg while allowing 65.9 ppg. Wichita State is 7-3 S/U and 4-5 AST on the season. They average 78.3 ppg while allowing 71 ppg. The Shockers have lost two straight games including last time out vs South Dakota State, 69-79, as a 4.5-point home favorite. I'm taking the points with Southern Illinois here today. |
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12-16-23 | West Virginia v. Massachusetts +3 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
West Virginia visits Springfield MA for this matchup with U Mass here on Saturday. The Mountaineers are just 4-5 S/U and ATS on the season. They snapped a two-game losing streak last game with a win over Drexel, 66-60 as a 5.5-point favorite. This will be the first real road game for West Virginia this season. They have two games on neutral sites and are 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS in those games, getting outscored by seven points a game. The U Mass Minutemen are 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over U Mass-Lowell, 91-77, as a 6-point favorite. U Mass is 5-1 S/U and ATS at home this season. This isn't a true home game for U Mass as it's being played at the MassMutual Center in Springfield, MA. Still, close enough for them to get the home edge here today. I was a bit surprised to see WVA laying a couple of points in this one. That goes against my own numbers. I'll take those points with U Mass here today. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Reason: The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going with the better defense here today. Take the points with Miami Ohio. |
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12-16-23 | Temple +10.5 v. VCU | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
The Temple Owns make the trip to play Virginia Commonwealth today. The owls are 6-3 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. Temple has won two straight games including last game over Albany, 78-73, though they failed to cover the 7-point chalk line. The Owls have played two road games this year and are 2-0 both S/U and ATS and have a +4.5 point differential. The VCU Rams are 5-5 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS on the season. They average 71 ppg while allowing 66 ppg. They are 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS at home and have a +6.6 point differential. VCU snapped a 2-game losing streak with a win over Alcorn State, 86-58, as a 17-point favorite. Still, they have lost four of their last six games including a home loss to Norfolk State, 60-63, as a 12.5-point favorite. I'm taking the points here today with Temple. |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings improved to 7-6 after a snooze-fest win last week over the Raiders, 3-0. After today's game at Cincinnati, the Vikings will finish against the Lions and Packers at home before their season finale at Detroit. Their win last week snapped a 2-game losing streak vs Chicago, 10-12, and at Denver, 20-21. The Vikings can still make the playoffs, but those odds will drop with a loss today vs the Bengals. This game will also be a battle of backup QB's, a theme we are seeing way too often in the NFL this year. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is out for the rest of the year. Joshua Dobs has taken over and went 10 for 23 last week for just 63 yards. The Bengals are also 7-6 and on the playoff bubble wit Houston, Denver and Buffalo. A win today will help their chances. QB Jake Browning has stepped in for injured Joe Burrows. Browning went 18 for 24 last week for 275 yards and 2 TD's. After today, the Bengals will go to Pittsburgh, Kansas City and then finish up at home vs the Browns. I like the way Browning has been playing and I will take the Bengals here on Saturday. |
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12-15-23 | Cleveland State +9.5 v. Bradley | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Cleveland State Vikings bring their 6-5 record to Illinois tonight to face the Bradley Braves. The Vikings are coming off a loss at Kent State, 77-83, but covered the 12-point dog line. They have covered two straight and three of their last five games. They are 0-5 S/U on the road but 3-2 vs the number. Bradley is 6-3 S/U and 5-3-1 ATS. They have lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at Akron, 52-67, as a 2.5-point dog. The Braves started the season with six straight wins before dropping their last three games. Now they have to lay almost double digits tonight. I'll take the points in this game. Play Cleveland State. |
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12-15-23 | Pacers -8.5 v. Wizards | Top | 123-137 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Indiana Pacers come into tonight's contest with a 13-10 S/U and ATS record. The Pacers lead the NBA in scoring with a 128.4 ppg average. They are coming off a loss at Milwaukee, 126-140, as a 6.5-point dog. The club is 1-2 in their last three games both S/U and ATS. However, they are 4-2 ATS their last six games. They are also 5-4 S/U and ATS on the road and average 130.8 ppg away from home. The Washington Wizards having a terrible season at 3-20 S/U and 10-13 ATS. The Wizards only win since Nov 10 came on Nov 27 against an equally inept team, Detroit, 126-107. Washington has lost three straight games both S/U and ATS including last game vs the Pelicans, 122-142, as a 6.5-point dog. It doesn't get much better at home where they are 1-8 S/U and 2-7 ATS and are being outscore by a 13.2 margin. Going to be hard for the Wizards to keep up with the NBA's highest scoring team tonight. Play Indiana. |
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12-15-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. St Francis PA +7 | 72-65 | Push | 0 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
The Mount St Marys Mountaineers travel to play St Francis PA tonight. The Mountaineers are 3-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are 1-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the road. The team averages 71.8 ppg while allowing 70 ppg. They are coming off a win at Loyola MD, 77-64, as a 2.5-point favorite. It was the team's third straight spread cover. St Francis PA Red Flash are 4-6 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. They average 64.4 ppg while allowing 70.5 ppg. They are 2-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS at home this season and average 81.7 ppg while allowing 62 ppg. They are coming off a loss at Iona, 54-61, but covered the 17-point dog line. That made three straight covers for the Flash. A bit surprised that St Mary's such a big road favorite here tonight. I'll take the points with the home team in this one. Take St Francis PA. |
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12-14-23 | The Citadel +14 v. College of Charleston | 71-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Citadel is 5-3 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs average 71.2 ppg while allowing 64.4 ppg. They have won three straight games and covered three of their last four games. The have also scored at least 81 points in each of their last three games while allowing 68 points or fewer. The College of Charleston Cougars are 3-6 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the season. The Cougars are coming off a win over Rhode Island, 85-70, as a 10.5-point favorite. They average 74 ppg while allowing 75.1 ppg. And here they are tonight giving up around 13.5 points to the Cougars. My number has Charleston much smaller of a favorite and I'll stick with that number in this game. Play The Citadel. |
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12-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Rockets -7 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies are just 6-16 S/U and 9-13 ATS on the season. They are playing Rockets, back-to-back and tonight is the first of the two games in Houston. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss to Dallas, 113-120, as a 1.5-point home dog. That makes two losses in a row both S/U and ATS. The Grizzlies are 5-6 S/U on the road and 6-5 ATS. They have not performed well overall as a dog, going 2-13 S/U and 5-10 ATS and being outscored by 11.2 ppg. The Houston Rockets improved to 11-9 S/U with a win in their last game over the Spurs, 93-82, covering the 9.5-point spread. That was their third win in a row both S/U and ATS. In fact this Rockets team has now covered 14 of their last 17 games. They have been great at home, going 10-1 S/U and ATS and outscoring their visitors by a 12.7 point margin. I like the Rockets tonight at home. Play Houston. |
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12-12-23 | Cavs v. Celtics -10 | 113-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers off to a 13-10 S/U and 10-12-1 ATS start. They are 7-4 S/U and 5-5-1 ATS on the road. The Cavs coming off a road loss at Orlando, 94-104 yesterday, as a 2-point dog. Now they have to play in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot. They hit just 35.3% from the field and 22.5% from the 3-point arc. That loss snapped a three game win streak. The Boston Celtics are 16-5 S/U and 9-9-3 ATS on the season. The Celtics have had three days off to prepare for tonight's contest so they should be well rested. That game was a win over the Knicks, 133-123, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Knicks have won four of their last five S/U and three of the last five vs the spread. Boston has been perfect at home, going 10-0 S/U and 7-2-1 vs the spread. They are outscoring opponents on their home court by 16.8 ppg as they average 124 ppg while allowing 107 ppg. With Cleveland playing last night and the Celtics having three days off this one should have Boston running the Cavs wild. Take Boston. |
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12-12-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County +8 v. St. Peter's | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers are 5-7 S/U and 5-6 ATS to start their season. This team can score with a 79.9 ppg average. However, they do allow a lot of point too with a 83.7 ppg average. They have lost two straight games, including last time out vs Towson State, 73-89, as a 4-point favorite. The St Peter's Peacocks are just 3-5 S/U and 5-3 ATS to start the season. They are coming off a loss at Duquesne, 59-68, but covered the +14.5-point line. St Peters has been installed as the favorite just twice in their eight games and that was -3 over New Jersey Tech which they won, 75-48, and then -3 over Farleigh Dickinson, which they lost 70-71. This will be the biggest favorite line thus far for St Peters and it conflicts with own numbers. I'll take the points with MD Balt County in this one. |
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12-12-23 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Wright State | Top | 91-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 7-3 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. They average 81 ppg and allow 72.9 ppg on the season for a +8.1 differential. They have a 2-1 S/U and ATS mark on the road and still outscore opponents by a 76.3 to 72.3 mark. The Hilltoppers have won three straight games including last time out at Buffalo, 82-65, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Wright State Raiders struggling out of the game to a 4-5 S/U and 4-4 ATS record. They have scored well with 81.3 ppg average while allowing 78.8 ppg. The Raiders coming off a win over Bethel College, 81-62 with no line. That following a loss a Davidson, 73-82, as a 3.5-point dog. Western Ky getting 5 or more points looks good to me as I think they have a good chance at the straight up win. Play Western Kentucky. |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
It's been one of those years for the Tennessee Titans. They are in last place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record and won't be going to the postseason this year. They average just 17.7 ppg and allow 21.2 ppg. They also average just 292.1 ypg while giving up 337.0 ypg. They have lost three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. That includes last week at home to Indianapolis, 28-31, as a 1-point dog. That was a high in points, in fact the 28 points last week was a season high for the team. Miami is 9-3 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with the Bills on their heels. This team can score, with an average of 32 ppg on the season while they allow 22.2 ppg. They also average 428.4 ypg while allowing just 300.2 ypg. With the Jets next week the Dolphins have nothing to take their attention away from tonight's contest. I'm taking the Dolphins in a Monday night blowout. Play Miami. |
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12-11-23 | Spurs v. Rockets -8.5 | 82-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs are just 3-18 S/U and 7-13-1 ATS on the season. You have to go all the way back to Nov 2 to the last win for this teams against Phoenix, 132-121. Since then, they are 0-13 S/U and 3-9-1 ATS. They did play well last game at home in a loss to Atlanta, 135-27, covering the 7.5-point spread. This team averages just 106.5 ppg on the road and allows 123.2 ppg. The Houston Rockets look to win their third game in a row tonight. They are coming off wins over Oklahoma City and last game over Denver, 114-106, as a 8.5-point dog. They are now 10-9 S/U and 13-6 ATS. This team had won 11 straight vs the number before going 2-3 the last week. I like the Rockets here tonight as they should hit a high number. Take Houston. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos +2.5 v. Chargers | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Denver's four game win streak came to an end last week at Houston as a last second touchdown attempt came up short in their 17-22 loss as 3-point dogs. The Broncos had a good shot at the win but couldn't get the ball in the endzone as time ran out. The loss also hurts their playoff chances as they dropped to 6-6 overall and 4-7-1 ATS. They had big wins in recent weeks too with wins over the Browns, Bills and Chiefs. Denver average 21.9 ppg and allows 25.2 ppg, though they did allow 70 points in that one game at Miami to skew the average. The Broncos finish up with games at Detroit, home vs the Pats and the Chargers and then at Las Vegas. Denver could easily go 4-1 down the stretch. The Chargers are also 6-6 on the season and 4-7-1 ATS. They snapped a three-game losing streak last week with a win at the Patriots, 6-0. They had just 241 total yards and held the Pats to 257. The offense has been a bit anemic the last few weeks with just 16 total points. The offense is missing their best WR in Mike Williams who is out. Plus WR Joshua Palmer is questionable with a knee injury. The loser of this one could easily see their playoff chances go way down. I'm taking the points with the Broncos today. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Bears who had run all over the Lions just a few games ago. Take Chicago. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns -3 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. I like the Browns quite a bit here at home with this excellent defense they have. Play Cleveland. |
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12-09-23 | Drexel +4 v. West Virginia | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Drexel and West Virginia meet here today in Morgantown, WV. The Drexel Dragons are 5-4 S/U and ATS on the season. They had their 2-game win streak snapped last game at Princeton, 70-81, as a 8.5-point dog. Drexel was coming off that big win over Villanova, 57-55, as a 10.5-point dog. The Dragons are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the road. They average 65.3 ppg and allow 65.2 ppg on the road this year. West Virginia struggled out the gate with just a 3-5 S/U and ATS record this year. They have lost two straight games and four of their last five games including last time out vs Pitt, 63-80, as a 3.5-point dog. The Mountaineers are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS at home this year. They have averaged 66.7 ppg and allowed 67.7 ppg at home. Both these teams are lower scoring and slower paced. That makes the points even more valuable and with Drexel getting around 3.5 point I'll take that number. Play Drexel. |
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12-09-23 | Illinois +7 v. Tennessee | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Early action on the hardwood has Illinois taking on Tennessee. The Illinois Illini is 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming back on Nov 14 to Marquette, 64-71, as a 2-point favorite. They are coming off a win over Florida Atlantic, 98-89, covering the 2-point dog line. In fact, after a 0-4 ATS start to the season, the Illini have won four straight vs the spread. The Tennessee Volunteers are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS. They snapped a 3-game losing streak with a win last time out over George Mason, 87-66, as a 16-point favorite. The Vols have had a run of tough games with losses to North Carolina, Kansas and Purdue. Another tough one here today for Tennessee. I'll take the visitors, play Illinois. |
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12-08-23 | Wolves -5.5 v. Grizzlies | 127-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves off to a great start in the NBA with a 16-4 S/U record and 10-7-3 spread mark. The Wolves have won five straight games and eight of their last nine. They are coming off a win over the Spurs, 102-94, but failed to cover the 12.5-point line. They are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the road this year. They have averaged 113.6 ppg on the road and 112.3 overall. The Grizzlies have struggled out of the game with a 6-14 S/U and 9-11 ATS record. Memphis is coming off a win over lowly Detroit, 116-102, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was their fourth cover in a row. They face the Wolves back on Nov 26 at home and lost 97-119, as a 6.5-point dog. They are just 1-8 S/U and 3-6 at home this season and outscored by a 103.6-111.2 mark. I like the visitor in this one. Take Minnesota. |
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12-06-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne -6.5 v. Southern Indiana | Top | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The IPFW Mastodons are off to a great start this year at 8-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win at Oakland, 98-77, as a 5.5-point dog. This team can score too, hitting 86 or more points in six of their nine games. They hit a blistering 66.7% from the field vs Oakland and 65.4% from the 3-point arc. This team is prolific at 3-pointers too, hitting 40% or more in five of their nine games. Now they hit the road to Southern Indiana. The Screaming Eagles are just 2-7 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Eagles are coming off a loss to Bowling Green, 52-54, but covered the 5.5-point dog line. They have just two wins and those cam over East-West University and Tiffin, not exactly schools that will pad the resume. Today the Eagles have to play this hot shooting IPFW squad and I believe that will go badly for them. I'll lay the points with IPFW. |
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12-05-23 | Cornell +4.5 v. Syracuse | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
The Cornell Big Red put their 7-1 record on the line here tonight as they travel to Syracuse to take on the Orange. The Big Red have won four straight since their only loss of the season to George Mason, 83-90, as a 3-point dog. They are also 3-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Lafayette, 79-71, failing to cover the 8.5-point favorite line. This team has shot well all season, hitting at least 45% from the field in every game and over 31.8% from the 3-point arc in six of their eight games. Syracuse is 5-3 S/U and 2-6 ATS. The Orange are coming off a loss at Virginia, 62-84, as a 10.5-point dog. they started the season with five straight games where they didn't cover the spread before finally covering two and then losing the last game. They have hit below 40% from the field in three of their eight games. They have also hit 28.1% or worse from the 3-point arc in four of their eight games. Cornell a tough team and getting points makes them even tougher. I'll take the visitor in this one with Cornell. |
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12-04-23 | Iowa +12.5 v. Purdue | 68-87 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup here on Monday has Iowa traveling to play Purdue. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the season. The two losses for Iowa coming vs Oklahoma, 67-79, and at Creighton, 84-92. They have won two straight games with wins over Seton Hall, 85-72, and last game over North Florida, 103-78, but failed to cover the 26.5-point favorite line. Iowa has hit 50% or better from the field in four of its seven games. The Hawkeyes have only play one away game, coming at Creighton where they lost by eight points but covered the +12-point spread. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-1 S/U and 5-2-1 ATS. They suffered their first loss last game at Northwestern, 88-92, as a 5-point favorite. That was also their 2nd worst shooting performance of the season of 43.3% despite the 88 points. Conference games always a bit tougher and this is the first Big 10 game for Purdue. Boilermakers laying around 12 to 13 points here tonight. A bit too much for me. I'll take the points with Iowa. |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football has the Kansas City Chiefs heading to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs spotted the LV Raiders to a 14-0 lead last week in Vegas before waking up and outscoring the Raiders 31-3 the rest of the way for the win and cover. They are just 2-2 their last four games both S/U and ATS with losses to Philadelphia, 17-21, and to Denver, 9-24. The 8-3 Chiefs are 3-2 on the road and 2-3 vs the spread. They also average just 21.4 ppg on the road while allowing 18 ppg. Compare that to their 25.6 ppg overall and 15.4 ppg allowed. The Packers are 5-6 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. They are in 3rd place in the NFC North, 3-games back of the Lions. They average 21 ppg overall and allow 20.4 ppg. The Packers have won two straight games with their last game coming on Thanksgiving day with a win at Detroit, 29-22. They had last week off to prepare for this game so they have had plenty of time to rest and prepare. They also beat the Chargers in the previous game, 23-20 as a 3-point dog. The Packers defense keeps the team in games, allowing 24 points or fewer in each of their last seven games. Looks to be a good game on Sunday night. I'll take the points though with the home team in this one. Play the Packers. |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -4 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns head West to take on the LA Rams from Sofi Stadium. The Browns had to go out and sign a one-time Super Bowl as they brought in Joe Flacco. Flacco has been named the starter for today's contest. QB Deshaun Watson remains out with a shoulder injury as does RB Nick Chubb, both of whom will miss the remainder of the season. How much Flacco has left in the tank will remain to be seen, especially since he hasn't played this year. The Browns had their 3-game win streak snapped last week at Denver, 12-29. The offense scored just 12 last week and 13 the previous week vs Pittsburgh. The Browns are still in the playoff race as they are tied for 2nd place in the AFC North with Pittsburgh at 7-4, both 2.5-games back of Baltimore. The Browns average just 21.7 ppg while allowing 19 ppg. They also average 320.6 ypg while allowing 247.9 ypg. The LA Rams can climb back to the .500 mark with a win here today. They are 5-6 and in 3rd place in the NFC West. They average 21.1 ppg while allowing 21.3 ppg. They also average 340.6 ypg while allowing 331.2 ypg. The Rams have won two straight games over Seattle and last week at Arizona, 37-14, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Rams had one of their best offensive games with 228 yards rushing and 229 yards passing. I am not sold on Flacco taking over at QB here for the Browns. With no game experience this year and not exactly much results when he did last play, I can't imagine the Browns giving him a lot of the playbook here today. I'll take the Rams at home today. |
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12-03-23 | Creighton v. Nebraska +4.5 | 89-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Rivalry game here on Sunday has Nebraska hosting its instate rivals, Creighton. Both teams off to great starts this season. The Creighton Blue Jays are 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win at Oklahoma State, 79-65, as a 8-point favorite. Their lone loss coming last week at home to Colorado State, 48-69, as a 9-point favorite. The Jays shot horrid 27.9% from the field and 20.7% from the 3-point arc, both season lows. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 7-0 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win over Cal Fullerton, 85-72, as a 17.5-point favorite. That was only one of two spread losses this season. They also have a nice win over Oregon State, 84-63, as a 8-point favorite. This will be the first time the Huskers find themselves in the dog role. They are getting around 4 to 5 points at home. For me, that's too much to pass on with an undefeated team. Play Nebraska. |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have guessed the Denver Broncos are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Broncos are 6-5 S/U and 4-6 ATS and 2-games back of the Chiefs in the AFC West. After starting the season 0-3 and 1-5, they have won five straight games, including last game over Cleveland, 29-12, as a 1-point home favorite. QB Russell Wilson looks more like his old self from Seattle then the version the Broncos have had to this point. The defense has also been very good of late, allowing 22 points or fewer in each of their last five games. The Broncos had that one horrible game at Miami earlier in the season where they gave up 70 points and that has skewed their averages. But consider that they allowed more points in that one game at Miami then they have their last four games combined (63). The Houston Texans, like the Broncos, both have a shot at the postseason. They are also 6-5 S/U and 5-6 ATS. The Texans are tied for 2nd place in the AFC South with the Colts, 2-games back of the Jaguars. The Texans average 23.5 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. They also average 374.9 ypg and allow 347.6 ppg. Houston is coming off a loss last week to the Jags, 21-24, failing to cover the 1-point dog line. That makes them 1-4 ATS their last five games. I have to take the Broncos here today as they have been playing with lots of confidence both on offense and defense. Take Denver. |
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12-02-23 | Utah Valley +1.5 v. Utah Tech | 53-65 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
A couple of Bee State teams meet here on Saturday as Utah Valley State takes on Utah Tech. The Utah Valley State Wolverines are 5-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games including last game vs Seattle, 78-72, as a 3-point dog. They have hit at least 46.7% from the field in three of their last four games. Utah Tech, previously known as Dixie State, is 3-3 S/U and 3-2 vs the spread. The Trailblazers rebounded from their loss at Washington State, 59-93, with a win over Lindewood, 73-66, as a 3-point favorite. The Blazers best shooting performance thus far has been in their last game with 47.1%. Pick'em game here on Saturday. I look for Utah State to leave with the win. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
ACC Championship game from Charlotte, NC has Louisville taking on Florida State. Florida State will be without it's leader in this one as QB Jordan Travis will be out for the rest of the season with a leg injury. He missed last week's rivalry game with Florida, but that didn't really come into playa as the Seminoles beat their rivals, 24-15, covering the 6-point favorite line. Still, they had just 90 yards rushing and 134 yards passing in the win. This was a team averaging 38.7 ppg on the season and 432 yards. Florida State will have its perfect 12-0 record on the line here today. Louisville finished 2nd in the ACC with a 10-2 record. This team average 33 ppg while allowing just 20 ppg. They also averaged 440.1 ypg while allowing just 317.2 ypg. Louisville is coming off a loss to their rivals, Kentucky, last week, 31-38, as a 7.5-point favorite. Louisville's defense much better than Florida's and this Seminole team had issues moving the ball last week. I'm taking Louisville to win this game without the QB for Florida State in the lineup. |
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12-02-23 | Tulsa +4.5 v. Oral Roberts | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane look to improve to 5-1 on the season here tonight as they travel to play Oral Roberts. Tulsa is also 3-1-1 vs the spread. They are coming off their first loss of the season at Arkansas Little Rock, 82-84, as a 4-point favorite. The Hurricane allowed their highest shooting performance in that loss, 47.1%. Prior to that loss, they have played great defense, holding three of the four wins to just 35.2% or less. The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are 2-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS. They have lost three of their last four, including last game at Kansas State, 78-88, as a 14-point dog. They lost by 10 to Kansas State despite a 51.7% shooting performance and 47.6% 3-point shooting - both season highs. A bit surprised that Tulsa getting around 4.5-points here today. I have them closer to pick. Still, I'll take that number with Tulsa here today. |
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12-02-23 | St. Joe's v. Temple +6.5 | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
Another Philly matchup here on Saturday has St Josephs taking on Temple. The St Joe Hawks are 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Villanova, 78-65, as a 12.5-point dog. Their two losses coming at Kentucky, 88-96, and home vs Texas A&M-Comm, 54-57, as a 18.5-point favorite. In that loss to A&M-Comm they shot 27.3% from the field and 20% from 3-point arc. Temple had to go to three overtimes to put Lasalle away in their last game, 106-99, as a 4-point favorite. That snapped a two game losing streak to Columbia and Ole Miss. The Owls have covered five of their six games. Another great Philly shootout here on Saturday. I'll take Temple in this one. |
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12-02-23 | SMU +3 v. Tulane | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
American Championship Game here on Saturday has SMU taking on Tulane from New Orleans. Tulane finished first in the conference with a 11-1 record while SMU was second at 10-2. The SMU Mustangs were also 7-5 vs the spread. They averaged 41.8 ppg while allowing 17.7 ppg on the season. They also averaged 474.8 ypg and gave up just 302.3 ypg. These teams didn't meet this season. The Mustangs are riding a eight game win streak after starting the season 2-2. They are coming off a win over Navy last week, 59-14, as a 19-point favorite. The Tulane Green Wave were just 5-7 vs the spread. They averaged 27.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also averaged 390.2 ppg while allowing 328.2 ppg. Their only loss of the season coming way back in week 2 at home to Ole Miss, 20-37. Since then they have won 10 straight games. I'm siding with SMU here today. SMU has the much more prolific offense and their defense is just as good. I'll take the points with the Mustangs. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. While Georgia is the favorite in this one, I'm taking the points with Alabama in the rare dog role here today. |
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12-01-23 | St. Mary's v. Boise State +4.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
The St Mary's Gaels take on Boise State at the Mountain America Center in Idaho Falls, ID. St Mary's is 3-4 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Utah, 71-78, as a 4.5-point favorite. They hit just 41.7% from the field and 33.3% from the 3-point arc. The Boise State Broncos are 3-3 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Butler, 56- 70, as a 1.5-point favorite. They had their worst shooting performance in that game, hitting just 32.3% from the field and 16.7 from the 3-point arc. This isn't a home game for Boise, but they should have the home crowd mostly here as the game plays in Idaho Falls. I'll take Boise State here on Friday night. |
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12-01-23 | St. John's v. West Virginia +6 | 79-73 | Push | 0 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
The St Johns Red Storm looks to improve to 5-2 today as they take on West Virginia. The Storm is 2-4 ATS, covering their last two games. They are coming off a win over Holy Cross, 91-45, as a 24-point favorite. They have hit at least 48.4% from the field in the last three games after a pair of games in the mid 30's. West Virginia is 3-3 S/U and ATS after six games. The Mountaineers are coming off a win over Bellarine, 62-58, but failed to cover the 8-point favorite line. That win snapped a two game losing streak. St John's laying 5.5-points here on Friday. I like the dog in this one. I'll take West Virginia. |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
New Mexico State and Liberty face off here on Friday for the Conference USA Championship. The New Mexico State Aggies were 10-3 S/U and 7-1 in conference this season. Liberty Flames were perfect with a 12-0 overall and 8-0 conference records. New Mexico State is coming off a 20-17 win over Jacksonville state as a 2.5-point dog. Liberty is coming off a 42-28 win over UTEP as a 18-point favorite. The one time these teams met was back on Sept 9 with Liberty winning, 33-17, as a 9.5-point favorite. New Mexico State brings a 8-game win streak into today's contest. They will try and hand Liberty it's only defeat to date. The Aggies average 28.2 ppg and have a very well balanced offense that averages 217 rushing yards and 205 passing yards per game. They also play well defensively, allowing 19.7 ppg on the season. Liberty averages 40.1 ppg and they also have a well balanced offense that averages 203 rushing and 295 passing yards per game. They allow 21.7 ppg. Liberty has a slight edge on offense but New Mexico State gives up a bit less on defense. Getting all these points today is difficult to pass on. I'll take New Mexico State. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
Week 13 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday Night with a NFC battle between the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys. The Seahawks have lost two straight games after their loss last week at home to the 49ers, 13-31, as a 7-point dog. The Hawks had just 220 total yards in the game. Seattle is 2nd in the NFC West with a 6-5 record, though two-games back now of the 8-3 49ers. A few weeks ago Seattle look like they would make the playoffs, now they are a underdog to get there. And, the teams they are battling for a Wildcard have some of the easiest schedules remaining. Seattle still can make the playoffs but they have a tough game tonight at Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are in second place in the NFC East, two games back of the 10-1 Eagles. Philly plays the 49ers this week and that is going to be a touch game for the Eagles. Dallas could close to one game back after week 13. Then, next week it's one of the biggest impact games with Dallas hosting the Eagles. It could be these teams will be tied after that game. This is the biggest reason I'm taking Seattle tonight. I expect Dallas to have their eyes looking ahead to next week's Eagles game. And with this big spread and the Hawks needing to win, we could see Seattle stay very close in this game or even have a shot to win. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Thursday. |
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11-30-23 | South Alabama +3 v. Jacksonville State | 52-70 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The South Alabama Jaguars are 4-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Maryland, 55-68, but covered the 15-point dog line. That loss snapped a three game win streak by the Jags. They have shot 43% or better in five of their eight games. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are 3-4 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games after losing four straight. They are coming off a win over Incarnate Word, 67-65, as a 6.5 point favorite though they failed to cover the line. The Gamecocks have shot at least 40.4% in every game except for their loss at West Virginia, 57-70, as a 7.5-point dog. Jax State a small favorite here on Thursday. I'll take the dog in this one. Play S.Alabama. |
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11-29-23 | Belmont +8.5 v. Northern Iowa | 90-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are 4-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS to start the season. They have won two straight games over Penn and then last game over Lafayette, 76-69, as a 8-point favorite. They have also covered their last two games. The Bruins have hit at least 43.5% from the field in all but one game thus far. And with the exception of a 14.3% night from 3-point line vs Furman, they have at least hit 34.6% from the arc in their other six games. The Northern Iowa Panthers are 2-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. They snapped a three game losing streak with a win over Stanford last game, 73-51, as a 5.5-point dog. The Panthers are a 8.5 point favorite tonight and for me that's just a bit too much for a 2-4 team to cover. Play Belmont. |
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11-29-23 | La Salle +4.5 v. Temple | 99-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Lasalle Explorers bring their 5-1 record on the road tonight for this Philly rivalry with Temple. The Explorers are 3-3 vs the spread after their win vs Coppin State, 81-62, though they failed to cover the 21-point chalk line. Coppin State's only loos came at Duke, 66-95, as a 25.5-point dog. The team has shot at least 41.4% from the field in every game and with the exception of the Duke loss, at least 30.8% from the 3-point arc. The Temple Owls are 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS. They have lost two straight games including last game vs Ole Miss, 76-77, as a 4.5-point dog. The Owls have been favored twice, at Navy in a win, 75-68, as a 6.5-point favorite and then vs Columbia in a 73-78 loss as a 12.5-point favorite. They are favored tonight but I like the points in this one. Play La Salle. |
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11-28-23 | Utah State v. St. Louis +7.5 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Utah State Aggies come into tonight's game at St Louis with a 5-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS record. Their lone loss coming at Bradley, 66-72, as a 5.5-point dog. In fact, that's been their only road game thus far as they play road game No 2 here tonight. They have done well at home, but the test is tonight at St Louis. The Billikens are 5-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a home win over Dartmouth, 66-65, but failed to cover the 12-point line. That snapped a two game losing streak for St Louis which started the season 4-0. I like St Louis here tonight at home against a Utah State team that I'm not sold on how good they are away from home. Play St Louis. |
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11-28-23 | Ball State +2.5 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | 64-90 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
The Ball State Cardinals look to continue their good start to the season here tonight in Arkansas Little Rock. Ball State has won two straight since its only loss of the season coming at Evansville, 50-74, as a pick'em. The Cardinals then beat UCS Upstate, 75-58, as a 3.5-point favorite and then won last game vs Arkansas Pine Bluff, 92-74, as a 10-point favorite. They have shot 49.1% or better in four of their six games. The Arkansas Little Rock Trojans are a small favorite in this game despite their 2-4 S?U and ATS records. They snapped a four game losing streak last game with a win vs Tulsa, 84-82, as a 4-point dog. The team is not a good 3-point shooting team either, with their best performance being a 28.6% mark in that win over Tulsa. I'm taking Ball State here tonight as they not only are the better team but they should get a few points. |
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11-28-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Kentucky | 73-95 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Two teams with five wins matchup here today as Kentucky hosts Miami Florida. The Miami Florida Hurricanes are 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games over Georgia, 79-67, and then last game over Kansas State, 91-83, as a 3-point favorite. This team has been hot from the field with four of their five games hitting 51% or better. And from the 3-point they have 42.9% or better in three of the five. Kentucky Wildcats are 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Cats have won three straight including last game over Marshall, 118-82, as a 18-point favorite. The Cats have scored at least 81 points in all five games. Both teams can score and this one looks to be a shootout here tonight. But for me, I'll take the points with the nice dog in Miami. |
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11-28-23 | Western Carolina -5.5 v. Tennessee Tech | 69-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Western Carolina Catamounts look to remain perfect as they hit the road tonight for their game at Tennessee Tech. The Catamounts are 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Northern Alabama, 81-63, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have hit over 51.8% from the field in three of their five games and over 44% from the 3-point arc in three of five games. The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles are 2-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over Presbyterian on Wednesday, 79-75, as a 5-point dog. Their only other win coming over Midway University, 82-70 with no line. This team has been all over the place with its shooting. But defense has not been good as they have allowed at least 40% from the field in every game thus far. I'm sticking with the undefeated Western Carolina club here tonight. |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I'll take a chance with the dog here on Monday Night. Play the Chicago Bears. |
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11-27-23 | Presbyterian +3.5 v. Elon | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Extra Board game here on Monday has Presbyterian taking on Elon. The Presbyterian Blue Hose are 5-2 S/U and 3-3 vs the spread this year. They are coming off a loss at home to Tennessee Tech, 75-79, as a 5-point favorite. This has been a very good shooting team, hitting at least 40.9% from the field in every game and over 50% in four games. They have also been good from the 3-point arc, probably why They have averaged 77 ppg overall and 82 ppg at home. The Elon Phoenix are 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Phoenix had their two game win streak snapped last game vs Winthrop, 70-78, though they covered the +9-point line. They also shot just 39.2% from the field in that game. The defense hasn't been all that good as opponents have hit at least 42.6% from the field in every game this season. Presbyterian can shoot and with the defensive issues Elon has had, I'll take the points with the visitors in this one. Play Presbyterian. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Sunday Night action here has the Baltimore Ravens traveling to LA to play the Chargers. The Ravens will be without a key offensive player in TE Mark Andrews, who is out with a leg injury. The Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a 8-3 record. They also have a great point differential of +127. The Ravens average 27.6 ppg while allowing 16.1 ppg. Baltimore bounced back from their loss to Cleveland two weeks ago with a win last week over Cincinnati, 34-20, as a 4-point favorite. The Chargers are 4-6 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. If they hope to grab a wild card the Chargers will have to almost win out. They are in last in the AFC West, three games back of the Chiefs. The Chargers average 25.9 ppg and allow 23.8 ppg. They also average 354.3 ypg and allow 393.6 ypg. Even without Andrews the Ravens have enough offense to go with their excellent defense to get the cover today. Play Baltimore. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I'll take the field goal here today with the underdog Bills. |
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11-26-23 | Butler +1.5 v. Boise State | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
ESPN Events Invitational Final Round here today has Butler taking on Boise State. The Butler Bulldogs are 4-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Penn State, 88-78, as a pick'em. That win snapped a 2-game losing streak for Butler. The Bulldogs have been hitting well from the field with five of their six games seeing a 44.9% or better shooting. Boise State is 3-2 S/U but has yet to cover a spread at 0-3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over VCU, 65-61, pushing the 4-point spread. They also snapped a two-game losing streak with that win. These are pretty evenly matched teams, but I'll take Butler here today who has shown they can cover the spreads this year. Play Butler. |
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11-26-23 | Drexel v. Old Dominion | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
The Drexel Dragons come into this game with a 3-2 record both S/U and ATS. The Dragons have won two straight games and have hit at least 41.4% in all games but one. The Dragons have been playing very good defense of late, holding their last three opponents to 31, 33.3 and 32.8 percent shooting. Old Dominion is 1-3 S/U and 1-2 ATS. The Monarchs have lost three straight games. Their lone winning coming in the opener vs Virginia Wesleyan, 71-57. Since that game they have lost to Ball State, 68-73, Arkansas, 77-86, and Princeton, 56-76. The Monarchs have struggled this season while Drexel has looked much the better team. Drexel is laying just one point here today. Take Drexel. |
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11-25-23 | Washington State +16.5 v. Washington | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This will be the last time these teams will meet as PAC-12 conference foes. Washington State can get to bowl eligible today as they sit at 5-6 on the season. Washington is 11-0 and will solidify a playoff spot with a win here today. Washington State coming off that blowout win over Colorado, 56-14, as a 4.5-point favorite. Washington is coming off that big road win over #11 Oregon State, 22-20 as a 1.5-point dog. Washington State averages 32.6 ppg, but is only good for 5th in the PAC 12. Washington State jumped over Florida State last week and into the playoff top 4 picture. A win today pretty much guarantees a spot in the playoffs for the Huskies. Washington ranks third in scoring in the PAC-12 with a 39.3 ppg average. One thing is for sure, both these teams can score and a lot. I expect a shootout here on Saturday. The two TD dog Washington State Cougars look too much to pass on with the points they put on the board. I'll take the visitors here today. Play Washington State. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -12.5 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
One of the best rivalries here on Rivalry Saturday has No 8 Alabama taking on Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Alabama has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall and 7-0 in the SEC with playoff aspirations. Auburn is 6-5 overall and 3-4 in the SEC and looks to spoil Alabama's playoff run. Alabama's only loss of the season came way back on Sept 9th to Texas,24-34. Alabama will win the SEC West, but really needs an impressive win here today and some losses by PAC-12 teams to sneak into the playoff picture. Alabama's defense is once again very good, 17th in yards and 29th in points allowed. Auburn still trying to overcome that embarrassing home loss to New Mexico State, 10-31. It was the Aggies first ever SEC win and what hurts even more is that Auburn paid almost $2 million dollars for N.Mex State to come out and play the game. Auburn had just 213 total yards and 11 first downs vs the Aggies. Auburn is a strange team and they have the ability to stay in this game, but not if they are the team that lost last week to New Mexico State. I'm taking Alabama here to win and make a bid for one of the playoff spots. |
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11-25-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State +5.5 | 93-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Evansville looks to improve to 5-0 here today as they hit the road for a game at SE Missouri State. The Evansville Aces are not only 4-0 S/U but 3-0 vs the spread after their win over Ball State last game out, 74-50. They have hit at least 45.1% from the field in every game and at least 33.3% from 3-point arc. They have one road game and that came in a win at SE Missouri State on Nov 15, 76-57, as a 2.5-point dog. Now they play against at Se Missouri State. Evansville has averaged 84.5 ppg this season. The Se Missouri State Redhawks got their first win of the season last game with a win over Central Arkansas, 70-68, but failed to cover the 5-point line. They are 0-4 vs the spread. The oddsmaker made SE Mo State a favorite when these teams played just 10-days ago. Now they are a 5-point home dog. That's a 7.5-point adjustment. I don't think the oddsmakers where completely wrong in that first game, but have overcorrected here in game two between these teams. I'll take the points with SE Missouri State. |
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11-25-23 | Miami-OH v. Ball State +4.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
MAC game here on Saturday has the 9-2 S/U and 5-6 ATS Miami Ohio playing at 4-7 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS Ball State. The Miami Redhawks are in 1st place in the MAC East, one game ahead of Ohio U. The Hawks average 28.2 ppg and allow 16.5 ppg this season. They also average 345.1 ypg and allow 319.3 ypg. The Hawks still have one game left on Dec 2 at Toledo. Miami has won and covered its last three games including last game vs Buffalo, 23-10, as a 8-point favorite. The Hawks defense has been excellent, allowing just 26 points over their three game win streak. Ball State looks to close the season a positive run. The Cardinals have won two straight games including last game over Kent State 34-3, as a 10-point favorite. They held Kent State to just 29 rushing yards and 68 passing yards. Still, the Cards average just 18.5 ppg while allowing 25.1 ppg. They also average 303.1 ypg while giving up 326.2 ypg. Ball State is next to last in the MAC West with their 4-7 record. This is the last game of the season for Ball State, which won't be going to any bowl game this year. For Ball State, this is their Bowl game. They can close the season strong with a win and have some momentum to build on for next season. I'll take the points at home with Ball State. |
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11-24-23 | Youngstown State +14.5 v. Dayton | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-2 teams face off today as the Youngstown State Penguins take on the Dayton Flyers. Youngstown is 3-2 S/U and 1-2 ATS after their win on last Sunday over Lake Erie, 79-57 with no line. The Penguins spread win came over Utah Tech, 75-68, as a 5.5-point chalk. They have also lost to Michigan, 62-92, as a 16.5-point dog and lost to UL Lafayette, 62-72, as a 4-point dog. While they opened the season with those last two losses, they have won three straight games. Dayton is also 3-2 S/U and 2-2-1 ATS. They are coming off a loss at home to Houston, 55-69, as a 12-point dog. That loss snapped a two game win streak that included wins over St Johns, 88-81, and LSU, 70-67, covering both games. Today they will be their biggest favorite line since opening game vs SIU Edwardsville where they were 17.5-point favorites and came up short in the 63-47 win. Dayton should win today without much trouble, but covering this 14 or 14 1/2 point line is likely a bit much for them. Play Youngstown State. |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Friday has the TCU Horned Frogs taking on the Oklahoma Sooners from Norman, OK. TCU way down in the Big 12 standings and with today's game their last it looks like the season that started with that home loss to Colorado will come to an end. The Frogs are coming off a win over Baylor, 42-17, covering the 13-point chalk line. That snapped a 3-game losing streak. TCU does have a very good offense that averages 30.1 ppg and a defense that allows 24.1 ppg. They also average 461.4 ypg while allowing 390.5 ypg. Oklahoma is 9-2 on the season and 7-4 vs the spread. The sooners are in 2nd in the Big 12, one game back of Texas. They average 40.8 ppg while allowing 20.2 ppg. The Sooners also average 494.7 ypg while allowing 378.4 ypg. The Sooners have won two straight games after last week's win over BYU, 31-24, though they failed to cover the 24.5-point line. Sooners really have nothing to play for here today and while I do believe they will win the game, I will take the points with TCU who will look to finish the season at .500. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
The late game on the Thursday NFL slate has the San Francisco 49ers traveling to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. San Francisco has gotten back to winning after three straight losses. They have since bounced back with wins over Jacksonville, 34-3, and last week at home over Tampa Bay, 27-14, though they failed to cover the 14-point home line. After starting the season 4-0-1 vs the spread, the Niners are now 1-4 ATS their last five games. The 49ers average 27.9 ppg while allowing 15.7 ppg and have a very nice +122 point differential. It initially looked like Seattle QB Geno Smith might miss time with an elbow injury he sustained last week. However, he's not been upgraded to probable for tonight's contest. Seattle lost last week at the Rams, 16-17, but covered the 2.5-point dog line. That makes them 1-2 the last three weeks. They average 21.6 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg and have a -2 point differential. Big game here as the Seahawks can tie the 49ers in the NFC West at 7-4 with a win. I'll take the points at home with the Seahawks. |
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11-22-23 | Florida v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | 86-71 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Two teams with one loss between them face off tonight in the NIT Tip Off from Brooklyn, NY between Florida and Pitt. Florida has won two straight games and is 3-1 S/U and 1-3 ATS on the season. Their one s/u loss coming at home to Virginia, 70-73, as a pick'em. That was also their worst shooting game, just 40% from the field and 28% from the 3-point arc. They are coming off a win over Florida State, 89-68, as a 8.5-point favorite. The Pitt Panthers are a perfect 4-0 both S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 107-56, as a 16-point favorite. They also have wins over Florida Gulf Coast, 86-74, Binghamton, 89-60 and N.Carolina A&T, 100-52. They have yet to score less then the 86 points. They have also been hot from the 3-point arc, hitting 42.9%, 37%, 47.1% and their lowest o 28.6% vs Gulf Coast. Getting points here tonight with the Panthers too much to pass on as I won't be surprised by a straight-up win. |
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11-22-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +13.5 v. San Francisco | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The IPFW Mastodons put their perfect 5-0 record on the line tonight as they head to the West Coast to face San Francisco. The Mastodons are also 4-0 vs the spread this year. They have wins over Depaul, 82-74, Northern Arizona, 77-67, South Dakota, 93-81, in addition to Texas A&M Comm and Andrews. The have shot at least 44.4% from the field in every game and over 38.1% from 3-point in four of five games. The San Francisco Dons are 3-2 S/U and 3-1 vs the spread. The Dons two losses have come to Boise State, 58-63 and Grand Canyon, 72-76. They have wins over Bethesda-CA, St Francis-PA and last game over Depaul. They have also shot well, at least 40% in every game, thought their 3-point shooting has been inconsistent. Not sure why this SF team is such a big favorite here tonight. IPFW should give them all they can handle. Take IPFW. |
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11-22-23 | Ole Miss v. Temple +4 | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Early game on the schedule today has Temple hosting Ole Miss. Ole Miss is 4-0 S/U but 0-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Sam Houston State, 70-67, as a 9.5-point favorite. The game before they got a 1-point win over Detroit, 70-69, as a 23-point favorite. In fact, the Rebels have been at least 9.5-point favorite in every game and their biggest margin of victory has been 11 points. They will face a 3-1 S/U and ATS Temple team here today. Temple lost its first game of the season last time out at home vs Columbia, 73-78, as a 12.5-point favorite. They won and covered vs MD-Eastern Shore, Navy and Drexel. They haven't shot great from the field, with their best coming vs Navy and MD-Eastern Shore. Still, don't believe that Temple needs four points at home here today. I'm looking for the Owls to win this game outright, but I'll take the points. Play Temple. |
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11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +3 v. Detroit | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Bragging rights on the line as Eastern Michigan takes on Detroit here tonight. Eastern Michigan Eagles are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Cleveland State, 69-62, as a 7-point dog. They have hit over 42% from the field in each of their last three games. In their wins they have held their opponent to under 34.3% shooting and in their losses they allowed over 57% from the field. Detroit still looking for it's first win of the season here tonight. Detroit Titans are 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Ohio U, 52-71, as a 16.5-point dog. In fact, they have been at least a 15.5-point dog in each of their four games. Now they are a small favorite. Not really sure how we get a favorite from a team with no wins. Yes they have played some tough competition in Toledo, Cincinnati, Ole Miss and Ohio. This looks to be their best spot at a win thus far. However, I'm going to take the points with the road team in this one. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-21-23 | La Salle +26.5 v. Duke | 66-95 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Lasalle Explorers will be put to the real test tonight. They bring a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS mark into this game at Duke. The Explorers opened with a win over Drexel, 67-61, then beat Northeastern, 79-74, then Bucknell, 69-57 and last game over S.Indiana, 79-78. They have shot at least 42.6% from the field in every game and over 30% from 3-point. Duke is over a 20-point favorite here tonight. The Blue Devils are 3-1 S/U and 2-2 vs the spread. Duke's only loss coming at home to Arizona, 73-78, as a 5-point favorite. The Blue Devils are coming off a win over Bucknell, 90-60, as a 34.5-point favorite. They shot 49.2% from the field and 38.2% from 3-point arc. This Lasalle team is decent and I believe the 20+points they are getting will be a bit too much. Take Lasalle. |
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11-21-23 | Akron +2.5 v. Drake | 59-79 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Final Round of the Cayman Island Classic has Akron taking on Drake. The Akron Zips are 4-1 on the Season S/U and 2-2 vs the number. The Zipps coming off a loss last night to Utah State in this tournament, 63-65, as a 2-point dog. This will mark their third game in three days as they won on Sunday vs Fla International, 77-71. The Zips had their worst shooting performance of the season in their loss last night, hitting on just 37.7% of their shots and 20.8% from 3-point arc. Drake is 3-1 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs lost big last night to Stephen F Austin, 68-92, as a 3.5-point favorite. That was the first loss for Drake this season after wins over Lipscomb, SW Minnesota State and Oakland. Akron played much better last night then Drake faired. I'll take the points here today with the Zips. Play Akron. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. Take Kansas City. |