Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. |
|||||||
09-24-22 | Utah -15 v. Arizona State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
Utah coming off a big win last week at home over San Diego State, 35-7, as a 21.5-point favorite. Utah held the Aztecs to just 173 total yards and just 60-yards passing. They also had 22 first downs to just nine for Sdg St. Meanwhile, Arizona State might have been the biggest favorite to get upset last week. The Sun Devils hosted Eastern Michigan and lost at home 21-30 as a 19.5-point favorite. The Devils allowed 458 yards to just 352 yards of their own. They also allowed 305 yards rushing to E.Mich. That's not good since Utah had 174 yards on the ground last week. Utah has covered the last two in this series, winning last year at home, 35-21. Utah is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 PAC-12 games. They are also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 following an ATS win. The Utes have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for a Utah win and cover here on Saturday. |
|||||||
09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 29 m | Show |
A pair of top 25 SEC teams battle today as No 10 Arkansas takes on No 23 Texas A&M from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx. Arkansas will be looking for its second straight 4-0 start to the season today. Arkansas moved into the FCS last week to take on Missouri State and came away with the win, 38-27. That makes wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina and Missouri State to start the season. Texas A&M beat Miami Florida last week, 17-9. The Aggies were 5-point favorites and were outgained in total yards, 264-393 by the Hurricanes. A&M also had only 16 First downs to 27 by Miami. Arkansas is ranked 18th overall in offense with A&M coming in at 109th. A&M does hold the defensive edge, coming in at 30th with Arkansas at 103rd. Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games and 4-0 ATS in their last four in neutral site. Arkansas has covered the last four in this series and I look for the hogs to do just that again here today. Take Arkansas. |
|||||||
09-24-22 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -1 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will have to travel to NCU this Saturday and do so without their QB Tyler Buchner. Buchner was injured last week and will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. That's not good for a Notre Dame team that started this season 1-2. The Irish did get their first win of the season last week with a home win over Cal Bears, 24-17. They failed to cover the 10-point spread however. And, neither team really did much as the Irish held a small yardage lead, 297-296. Cal had one more first down and four more offensive plays. On paper the game was dead even. North Carolina got last week off to prepare for this game. The Tar Heals are 3-0 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS on the season. They beat Georgia State the week prior, 35-38, pushing the 7-point chalk line. North Carolina has the nation's 5th ranked overall offense and an impressive 91% red zone efficiency rating. They have scored 10 TD's in their 11 redzone trips this year. Notre Dame is 113th in offense. With Notre Dame working in a new QB and the Tar Heel having last week off to prepare, I'll lay the very small line with North Carolina. |
|||||||
09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 30 m | Show | |
Two ranked ACC teams battle this week as Clemson hits the road for the first time to take on Wake Forest. Clemson won easily last week over Louisiana Tech, 48-20, but failed to cover the 34-point line. The Tigers had 521 total yards to just 317 by Tech. The Tigers were also a +3 in the turnover battle. Clemson's tough defense held Tech to just six yards rushing on the day, though they did give up 311 yards through the air. Clemson ranks 34th in total defense and 63rd in total offense. Wake Forest took on Liberty last week and just did escape with the win, 37-36 as a 16.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons were out-gained 346-437, but were +2 in the turnovers. Wake might have had their sights set on this game today and not on Liberty last week. Clemson won last year's battle at home over Wake, 48-27. Clemson has not done well to open seasons, at least vs the spread. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 September games. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine times following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Wake has covered four of their last five games in September and are 4-0 ATS their last four times following an ATS loss. Getting a TD at home with Wake is too much for me to pass on today. I'll take Wake and won't be surprised if they shock the Tigers with a straight up win. |
|||||||
09-23-22 | Boise State -15 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Boise State went down to the FCS last week to play Tennessee-Martin and walked away with an easy win, 30-7. That makes them 2-1 since their opening week loss to Oregon State, 17-34. UTEP went to New Mexico last week and lost to the Lobos, 10-27. The Miners had SEVEN turnovers in the loss though they did have more yards than then Lobos, 353-299. Overcoming seven turnovers is nearly impossible. These teams have only met once in the last 5-years with Boise winning at home in 2021, 54-13. Boise is 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games vs a team with a losing record. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. UTEP is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games and 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 games against a winning team. I'll lay the points on the road with Boise in this one. |
|||||||
09-22-22 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle with a tough loss on Wednesday to the A's, 1-2. The loss puts the Mariners in 3rd place in the AL Wild Card race, 1/2 game back of Tampa Bay and 2.5 games back of Toronto. However, they still maintain a 4-game lead over 4th place Baltimore. George Kirby will look to get the M's back in the win column today. Kirby is 7-4 in his 22 starts with a 2.98 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.11 ERA. The A's can continue to be a thorn in the side of the Mariners and Adrian Martinez will try and do just that. Martinez is 4-5 in is nine starts with a 5.77 ERA. Martinez has allowed 11 runs over his last 8 2/3 innings. I'm going to lay the RUN line here today with the Mariners. |
|||||||
09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings had little issues in their week 1 game at home with a win over the Packers, 23-7. The total yards was actually close with the Vikings having the edge, 395-338. It was the two turnover that really hurt the Packers last week. The Vikings offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL. The Eagles are ranked 3rd in the offense, but 14th in passing. Minnesota also holds a slight defensive edge, ranking 14th overall while the Eagles come in at 22nd. The Vikings have won the last two in this series, including their last meeting in 2019 in Minnesota, 38-20. The dog has also done well of late in this series, going 5-1 ATS in the last meetings. This should be an excellent matchup on Sunday. I will take the couple of points with the Vikings here on Monday night. |
|||||||
09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The last few years has seen that no team starting 0-2 has made the playoffs. The Titans blew a 13-point lead last week and ultimately fell to the Giants. Now they face the real possibility of starting the season 0-2 as they have to go to play at Buffalo. Derrick Henry should get a full dose of play tonight and if the Titans are smart they would run him as much as possible to keep the ball out of Buffalo QB Josh Allen's hands. Good news for Tennessee is that have have done well vs the Bills of late, averaging 27.7 ppg in the last three meetings. Ryan Tannehill threw for 266 yards last week, but I'm sure he'd rather see the 93 yards rushing figure go up considerably. The Bills are coming off their road win over Super Bowl Champion LA Rams. The Bills looked very good in the win, or maybe the Rams just looked very rusty. Still, 10-points are a lot for any NFL team to get, especially a team that doesn't want to start the season 0-2. Tennessee has the talent to keep this game inside the spread and give Buffalo some challenges. I'll take the points here today. |
|||||||
09-18-22 | Aces v. Sun | 78-71 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 55 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun are like a cat with nine lives. They are now 4-0 in elimination games this playoff season. And now they face another one here in game four. The Sun pulled away in the 4th quarter of game four for an easy win to keep the series alive and force another game. So here we are, game four. A win and we go back to Vegas for a decisive game five. I like the Sun to once again show they are not an easy out. Take the Sun to force game five. |
|||||||
09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Patriots have covered just one of their last five games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four away games. I'm a bit surprised the Steelers are a home dog here today. They are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home dog. I'll take the points and look for a Pittsburgh win. |
|||||||
09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took advantage of a sluggish Dallas Cowboys offense last week and eventually forced Dallas QB Dak Prescott from the game with an injury to pull out the win, 19-3. It wasn't much of a exciting game as the Bucs had just 347 total yards and the Cowboys had 244 yards with just one touchdown scored between the teams. Dallas managed just 71 yards (3.9 rypa). Each team had 60 total plays with the Bucs holding a slight first down advantage of 18-13. Meanwhile, the Saints pulled off the road win at Atlanta, 27-26, but failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite spread. The Saints had 385 total yards to the Falcons 416 yards but won the turnover battle 2-1. The Saints have done well vs the NFC South, going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 35-17 in their last 52 games when installed as the dog. Bucs QB Tom Brady didn't look all that sharp but that was expected in his first action of the season. Still, I like the Saints on their home turf here Sunday plus the small points. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas came oh so close to pulling the big upset last week over No 1 Alabama. Bama had to kick a last second field to pull out the win. Texas had to give their all in that game and wonder what effect that will have on them here this week. They have to have a letdown after that close upset of the Tide. Texas had trouble with the Bama rushing attack that gained 161 yards and 6.7 yards per attempt. The UTSA Roadrunners have a high powered offense. They are Ranked 31st in the nation after two weeks. They average 129 yards rushing and 348 yards passing thus far. They basically picked up where they left off last year as they averaged 36.9 ppg in 2021 which tied them for 11th in the nation. They are led by senior QB Harris who was great last year with 3177 yards and 27 TD's. He should give Texas plenty of problems this week. Add to that the letdown week for Texas and this is a perfect spot for UTSA. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 6 m | Show | |
It's a Big-10 vs SEC matchup today as Penn State heads South to take on the Auburn Tigers. Auburn beat San Jose State last week at home, 24-16 as a 22.5 point favorite. The Tigers had 379 total yards with 211 of those coming on the ground. Auburn ranked 56th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 438 total yards per game. The defense comes in at 38th and allows 300 yards per game. Penn State played host to Ohio U last week and had little trouble in a 46-10 win as a 24.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions had 234 yards rushing and 338 yards passing in the win. Penn State ranked 24th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 489 total yards. The defense not quite as good, ranked 64th and allowing 345 yard per game. These clubs met last year at Happy Valley and the Nittany Lions won 28-20 as a 4-point home favorite. Auburn had 367 yards in that game while Penn State had 392. Auburn a small home dog here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this one. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | BYU +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
BYU was in a battle last week with Baylor, but came out on top in the end, 26-20, as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Cougars and Bears were pretty even statistically and neither team had a turnover. BYU had 283 yards passing compared to just 137 by Baylor. Oregon got thumped in week one at Georgia, 3-49 as a 16-point road dog. They licked their wounds last week with a win over FCS team Eastern Washington, 70-14. But really what does that tell us? Nothing. They beat up on a team they should have. That beating though by Georgia does loom big to me. Now they are hosting a very good BYU squad. Until I see more out of Oregon I'll have to be on the BYU side here on Saturday. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Oklahoma v. Nebraska +11 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 6 m | Show | |
The 2-0 Oklahoma Sooners travel to Norman to take on the 1-2 Nebraska Cornhuskers this week. The Huskers begin a new era as gone is HC Scott Frost and Mickey Joseph takes over as interim coach. For the players, they can look to turn around a bad start to the season. Oklahoma is playing under a rookie head coach in Brent Venabales. The Sooners are off to a fast 2-0 start and play their first road game of the season here today. Oklahoma has a high powered offense, but it didn't look like it last week as they led Kent State by just a 7-3 halftime score. They did eventually pull away in the 2nd half to beat the Golden Flashes, 33-3 as a 32-point favorite. I believe the coaching change at Nebraska will give some new life to the Huskers this week. Oklahoma has shown they are maybe not as good as expected so this could be a Nebraska upset this week. I'll still take the points with Nebraska. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky had the Week off to prepare for Indiana this week. They played in week 1 at Hawaii and walked away with an easy win and cover, 49-17, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers are now 2-0 on the season after winning in week 0 over Austin Peay, 38-37. Indiana ranks 71st overall in offense with Western Kentucky right on their heels at 72nd. Western ranks 61st on defense with Indiana coming in at 86th. One big difference is red-zone efficiency. Indiana is just 49%, scoring TD's in three of their seven red zone ventures. Meanwhile, Western is much better at 74%, scoring TD's on seven of their 10 tries. This is the first meeting in the last five years between these teams. I have to take the dog here today as both teams very even and I even give the edge to Western. So Indiana laying nearly a TD is way too much. Play Western Kentucky. |
|||||||
09-16-22 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Kansas City travels to Beantown today to face the Boston Red Sox. The Royals are coming off a road loss last night at Minnesota, 2-3. That makes three losses in a row for the Twins and seven of the last nine. Jon Heasley starts tonight for the Sox with a 3-8 record and 5.51 ERA. That number goes up last seven starts with a 2-4 record and 6.75 ERA. Boston plays in the most competitive division in baseball as the other four teams all in playoff contention. Only last place Boston is out of the postseason. Michael Wacha has been the ACE of the staff this year with a 11-1 record and 2.69 ERA. At home he has been even better with a 5-1 record and 1.79 ERA. I'll lay the run line tonight with the Red Sox. |
|||||||
09-15-22 | Aces v. Sun -1 | 76-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces on the verge of bring a first ever major championship banner to Las Vegas as they sit 2-0 in this best of five series. However, Connecticut might still have something to say about the outcome. The Sun have the leagues top 3 offense and defense. The Aces got out to an early lead in game two and never looked back as they cruised to the easy. It would be easy for the Sun to give it up here as they now have to win three straight and that has never happened in this playoff format. Still, I believe their is something left in the tank and they won't go down easy. I'll take a shot with the Sun tonight. |
|||||||
09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers spent a lot of money in the offseason to bolster their defense, with Khalil Mack now anchoring the other side of the defensive line with Joey Bosa. And they sure showed their worth last week vs Las Vegas, sacking Carr six times and getting three turnovers. They also held Vegas to just 64 rushing yards. The offense did suffer one blow when WR Keenan Allen was lost with a hamstring issue. Kansas City looked just as good as every in their win at Arizona last week, 44-21. The defense was very good, holding the Cardinals to just 282 total yards. This looks to be a great matchup tonight with the new Chargers defense against the mighty Chiefs offense. I'm going to take the points with the Chargers as I look for them to stay close and maybe pull out the straight-up win. |
|||||||
09-13-22 | Sun +4.5 v. Aces | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Game two of this best of five series has the Aces up one game to none. The Aces jumped out to a big lead in game one but found themselves fighting from behind in the 2nd half to finally take the win, but not cover the 6-point line. The first game was a defensive battle and that was expected as the Sun are top 3 in the WNBA in both offense and defense. The Aces struggled at times in their Seattle matchup and a few of the games came down to the wire. In fact, an OT win by Vegas that Seattle could have easily won changed the tide in that series. The Sun have covered 10 of their last 11 road games and are 17-5 ATS overall their last 22 games. Vegas has covered just one of their last five home games and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 WNBA Championship games. I'm taking the points with the Sun tonight and won't be shocked if they steal game two. |
|||||||
09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
The Packers took care of their own controversy when QB Aaron Rodgers signed a new contract. However, his to target in Davante Adams, arguably one of the best in the league. The Packers finished the preseason at 1-2, though that has little effect on what happens here in the regular season. The offense just feels different without Adams. Now they face an offense in Minnesota that is likely better then theirs with Justin Jefferson, Adam Theilen and Dalvin Cook leading the way. With the offensive power of this Vikings team and the issues the Packers will face with Adams departure, I'm taking the points at home with Minnesota in what I expect is a straight up win. These clubs have split their last six games. |
|||||||
09-10-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. BYU | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
Baylor had a softball tossed to them in the form of Albany last week and had little trouble with a easy win, 69-10. The Bears rolled-up 573 total yards with 259 of those coming on the ground. They held Albany to just 237 total yards. BYU had a little more difficult opponent, playing at South Florida, but with the same outcome. The Cougars easily beat SFU 50-21 as 11-point favorites. BYU had 573 total yards and allowed just 279. BYU returns a very good QB in Jaren Hall and in front of him one of the best offensive lines in college football. Baylor and BYU met last season in Waco, with the Bears coming out on top 38-24. Looks to be another wild game here in Provo. I'm sticking with the road dog in Baylor. |
|||||||
09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 66 h 2 m | Show | |
This one looks to be a game mostly through the air as both teams lack much of a rushing attack, but both have excellent passing games. Houston escaped last week with a win over UTSA, 37-35, in OT on a two-point conversion. The Cougars will stay on the road this week as they travel to Texas Tech. Texas Tech also won their opening game against Murray State last week, 63-10. The only issue was the loss of QB Tyler Shough, who hurt his shoulder in the game. They will return to the player who started their last game of last season in QB, Donovan Smith. Smith should be fine back in the starting role and both teams should put up plenty of offense here today. I'll take the points with the road dog in this one. Play Houston. |
|||||||
09-10-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
It's always a great game when these two intrastate rivals clash. Both teams opened with wins in week one. Iowa State Cyclones had little issue at home with SE Missouri State, 42-10. They accumulated 569 total yards with 293 of those through the air. Iowa struggled though in week one, just getting by South Dakota State at home, 7-3. They had a measly 166 totals yards and held SDST to just 120 yards in what surely was a exciting game. The Cyclones have had their way in this series, covering seven of the last 10 in Iowa. I'm taking the visitor as I need to see more out of Iowa before I can lay points with them. Play Iowa State. |
|||||||
09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Rams getting 2 1/2 points at home. With their defense they should be in this game until the end. I'll take the Rams plus the points. |
|||||||
09-06-22 | Aces v. Storm | 97-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Both these teams putting on a great show in the playoffs as the LV Aces can wrap up the West and a spot in the finals with a win tonight. However, Seattle has proven way tougher in the postseason then in the regular season where LV took three of four games. Seattle could easily be the one looking to advance tonight after that heartbreaking loss in OT in game three. Vegas had to tie it up with just under two seconds remaining in regulation to force an OT or this is a different series heading into tonight. Will Seattle be able to come back here tonight after that heartbreaking game three loss? I believe they will. They have played great in all three games and given Vegas all they can handle. I look for this series to go the distance after Seattle wins tonight. |
|||||||
09-06-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
The Houston Astros have the AL West locked-up with a 87-48 record and 11-game lead over the Mariners. They also hold a 6-game lead over the Yankees for the best record in the A.L. So for now there is little pressure on this club. However, whenever their rivals for upstate come to down it's always makes for a great series. The Rangers have been horrible of late, losing 9-straight games, including last night's opener with the Astros, 0-1. Glenn Otto will try to wright the ship today as he's 6-8 in his 21 starts with a 4.82 ERA. Will be a tall order for Otto and the Rangers though as they face one of the best Astros pitchers in Framber Valdez. Valdez is 14-4 on the season with a 2.63 ERA. Valdez has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. He's also allowed more than three runs just one time in his 25 starts this season. Rest assured the Rangers won't score much here today. I'll take the Astros on the Run line against a poor starter in Otto. |
|||||||
09-06-22 | Sky v. Sun | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Chicago has had the Connecticut number all season, going 4-0 against the Sun. The last two games winning by three points. Chicago has also covered three of their four matches. These two teams are about as evenly matched as any two teams in the playoffs have been. Their games seem to come down to the final moments. Everyone seems to be siding with Chicago in this one as they have always came out on top against the Sun. I, however, will be on the Sun tonight. I look for them to finally get a win at home against the Sky. You can make a case by the numbers for either team, this one is based on my own numbers and experience. I'm taking Connecticut to pull this game out. |
|||||||
09-05-22 | Clemson -21 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 339 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers let down a lot of bettors last year. While they were good on defense, the offense just didn't generate enough to cover big numbers. The Tigers made some moves in the offseason to improve the offense and we should see much improvement in that area. Georgia Tech might have a very long day in this one as their defense and in particular the DL, is not very good. Clemson should wear them down on the ground which will also open the passing attack. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense will show how good they are as they stifle this Yellow Jacket offense. Three touchdowns plus seems like a hill to climb, but not for the Clemson team against GT. I'll gladly lay the lumber in this one. Play Clemson. |
|||||||
09-04-22 | Aces v. Storm | 110-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Game three here in the Western Semi-Finals is a dog fight as the Aces and Storm are tied at one game each. The Storm shocked the Aces in game one by stealing that game on the Las Vegas home court. So that means home court back in the Storm's court now. The Aces have averaged 90.4 ppg this season, much higher than the 78.4 ppg that the Storm have allowed. Breanna Stewart has been amazing for the Storm, as she had 21 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists in game two vs Washington in round one. The Aces have a dominant team, and while I believe we saw the best the Storm could do in game one, I like them to stay close here today with Stewart unstoppable. The Storm are a 1-point home favorite for a reason and I believe that's because they are going to win this game. Take Seattle. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Marquee matchup here on the Week 1 Saturday college football schedule. Notre Dame's head coach Marcus Freeman is a alum of Ohio State so he will have his own sort of homecoming here tonight. Freeman took over for Brian Kelly last season and took them to the Feista Bowl last season where they lost to Oklahoma State, 35-37. Ohio State was 11-2 last season and won the Rose Bowl. Was this a down season for them? For many, yes it was. They had high expectations of making the playoff four, but missed out. They also lost to rivals Michigan and lost in the Big 10 Championship. However, this year should be different with 11 starters returning. This game today has No 2 Ohio State and No 5 Notre Dame. However, with the oddsmaker posting a 17-point line on the underdog Irish we have to wonder if they are telling us right off the bat that this Irish team isn't a No 5 ranked club. These teams have met six times with Ohio State holding a 4-2 edge. Moreover, all four OSU wins have come by at least 13-points. I believe that OSU has too much firepower for this Notre Dame. In my rankings I have Notre Dame closer to No 20 and not No 5. There is a huge difference between these teams and it will show here on Saturday. I'm taking Ohio State in a blowout win. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Ohio | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic plays their second game of the young season here today after a thorough trouncing of Charlotte last week, 43-13, as a 7-point favorite. FAU had 223 yards rushing and 264 yards passing while holding Charlotte to just 283 total yards. Ohio plays its first game of the season today and looks to improve on a poor 22.6 ppg average last season. The defense is not good, allowing 30 ppg and 431 yards last season. Ohio is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. With FAU having that game under their belt, I like their offense to get plenty of points here today. Ill take Florida Atlantic. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | Texas State +1 v. Nevada | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas State making their 2022 debut here in week 1, while Nevada saw action last week. Nevada Wolfpack played at New Mexico State and came away with the 23-12 win and covered the 7-point spread. However, the Nevada offense was pretty pathetic, gaining 257 total yards against a pretty bad team. They also had just 78 total passing yards in the win. The difference were the five turnovers the Wolfpacked forced last week. Texas State looks to bolster their passing attack this season with transfer QB Layne Hatcher who comes over from Arkansas State. But the bigger problem for this team is its defense, which allowed 33 points per game and 430 yards. Texas State might push the running game here today as New Mexico State highlighted a poor Nevada rush defense that gave up 218 yards on the ground. Nevada has typically started slowly, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 September games. Nevada was fortunate last week that they got five turnovers and played offensively weak New Mexico State team. You would have thought a much larger margin of victory given the turnovers. Now they face a much more balanced offense in Texas State. Both teams should get their share of points today but I'll take the visitors in this one. Play Texas State. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
North Carolina opened its season last week vs Florida A&M. While the Tar Heels won 56-24, they failed to cover the 43.5-point spread. This is the first time NCU will play at Boone, though the teams did meet in Chapel Hill back in 2019 with App State beating NCU, 34-31. NCU started a freshman QB last week in Drake Maye, who was very good, though it was against a poor Florida A&M squad. Now he will face a App State team that was 33rd in total defense last year. App State returns QB Chase Brice who threw for 3,337 yards and 27 TD's last season. They also had a rushing attack that averaged just under 200 yards per game. Add to the fact that this offensive line returns four starters and they have high expectations for the offense this year. I look for a high scoring game here today especially with App State against a poor NCU defense. I'll take App State today. |
|||||||
09-02-22 | Cubs v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
These two old rivals begin a 3-game set today from St Louis. The Cardinals have opened up a 6.5-game lead in the NL Central over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cards took two of their three games from the Reds, including Thursday's contest, 5-3. That makes them 4-1 in their last five games. Jordan Montgomery will start today for the Red Birds with a 7-3 record in his 26 starts and a 3.28 ERA. He is off a tough start where he went five innings vs the Braves and allowed eight hits and five runs. That snapped a streak of four games where he had allowed a total of just one total run. The Cubs were able to salvage the final game of their three game set with the Blue Jays, winning 7-5 to get one win. Adrian Sampson will start today with a 1-4 record in his 12 starts and a 4.35 ERA. The Cardinals have all the momentum and should win this game going away. Lay the Run line with the Cardinals. |
|||||||
09-02-22 | Ottawa +4 v. Montreal | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Week 13 of the CFL is upon us as Ottawa takes on Montreal at the Molson Stadium. The Ottawa Redblacks have split their last four games while Montreal has split their last eight games. The Redblacks have covered five of their last six road games and are 4-1 ATS vs the East. Meanwhile, Montreal is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. What's somewhat surprising is that Ottawa is 9-0 in their last nine trips to Montreal. Ottawa getting four points here tonight looks like a lot to me. I'll take the points with the Redblacks. |
|||||||
09-01-22 | Central Michigan +22 v. Oklahoma State | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has a lot to be looking forward to this season after a 6-2 record in the MAC last season. They just missed the MAC Championship game, losing a wild contest to Northern Illinois, 38-39. Oklahoma State must have a bad taste in its mouth after just missing out on a College Football Playoff berth last year. The Cowboys missed beating Baylor in the Big 12 Championship by just two yards, failing to score a TD on four shots from the two. I expect Central Michigan to cover this big spread today as the Cowboys will be slow out of the gate this season. Play Central Michigan. |
|||||||
08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
While the Braves hope to catch the Mets and win the division, they can take some comfort in knowing they have the top NL WildCard all but locked-up. The Braves have a 8.5 game lead over 2nd place Philly. With the Mets having to play the Dodgers, the Braves hope to make a move on them and it starts tonight. Max Fried starts with a 12-4 record and 2.52 ERA. Fried has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts. The Rockies snapped a four game losing streak with a win over the Mets on Monday, 1-0. They have now scored one or no runs in three of their last four games. Jose Urena will start tonight with a 2-5 record and 6.35 ERA. He's been much worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 9.19 ERA. I'm taking the Mets on the Run Line in what should be a rout tonight. |
|||||||
08-28-22 | Storm +6 v. Aces | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces took the overall first place as the best team in the regular season. Then their head coach, Becky Hammon, was named Coach of the Year. The only thing missing, a WNBA Championship and the Seattle Storm are standing in their way. The Aces are coming off a 1st round sweep the Phoenix Mercury, taking game two by 37-points. Seattle also had little trouble in their opening round with the Washington Mystics, sweeping them in two games. The Aces have won three of the four meetings with the Storm this year. While Vegas had their way with Seattle in the regular season, this isn't the regular season. One person the Aces wish they had was Dearica Hamby. Hamby injured her knee back on August 10th vs the Atlanta Dream and will miss today's contest. Some generous points here today to be had with the Storm. Would I be shocked by a Storm upset today? No, but I'll take the points and look for them to be close at the final buzzer. Take Seattle. |
|||||||
08-28-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies got the shut-out win over the Pirates on Saturday, 6-0. That makes six straight wins for the Phillies, including two straight over the Bucs. They have outscored the Bucs in the two games, 13-4. Noah Syndergaard gets the start today for Philly with a 8-8 overall record in 19 starts and a 3.77 ERA. He's been slightly better of late with a 3-2 record in seven starts with a 3.63 ERA. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has lost seven straight after their setback on Saturday. They have also been outscored 14-54 over their last six games. Roansy Contreras will start today for Pitsburgh. Contreras is 2-4 in 11 starts with a 3.90 ERA. That ERA goes up to 4.89 ERA over his last seven starts. With Atlanta or NY having a strangle hold on the NL top Wild Card, it's a battle for the final two. Right now Philly has that 2nd spot, 2.5 games ahead of the Padres and five games ahead of the Brewers. They know they need wins against teams like Pittsburgh to keep their postseason hopes going. Take Philly on the Run Line today. |
|||||||
08-27-22 | Duquesne +42 v. Florida State | 7-47 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Florida State enters this 2022 campaign having four straight losing seasons. HC Mike Norvell will begin his third season at the helm and the pressure is likely on his now to turn this team around. The Seminoles did close out last season winning five of their final eight games after an 0-4 start to the season. The Noles did lose to an FCS school last year to Jacksonville State, their first ever to a FCS team. FSU looks to start the season with a win for the first time since 2016. Duquesne beat TCU last year, so they know how to beat FBS schools. The Dukes finished last year at 7-3. Good news for the team, they return their leading rusher and passer from last year. While 42 points is lot to lay, is should be close in this one. I'm taking the points with Duke as they likely will have to pass quite a bit here today. Take the points as they appear to be just a mountain too tall for this FSU team to lay today. |
|||||||
08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 4 m | Show | |
This game takes place all the way over in Dublin. No, not as in Dublin, Ohio but it's Dublin Ireland. This looks to be the best game of the opening days even though Nebraska coming off a 3-9 2021 season. HC Scott Frost will be on the hot seat as Husker fans will expect wins and early. Northwestern was also 3-9 last season so should be a good matchup of teams in rebuilding modes. Northwestern was also 3-9 ATS last season. Northwestern returns RB Evan Hull who rushed for over 1,000 yards last year. They also have four starters back on the OL, which will help Hull again. So why is Nebraska a 13-point favorite here on a neutral field? I have no idea. I see these teams at most a TD difference and really less than that. They are equally matched and while Nebraska has the pressure on it to win, I'm taking these generous points with the WildCats. Play Northwestern. |
|||||||
08-26-22 | Yankees v. A's +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 112 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Yankees have won four straight games after their win over the A's on Thursday, 13-4. While the Yankees offense hasn't exploded in some time, the 13 runs last night was more than their previous three games combined. Gerrit Cole gets the start tonight for the Yankees with a 9-6 record in his 25 starts and a 3.41 ERA. Cole hasn't been that good of late, posting a 1-4 record in his last seven starts and a 4.30 ERA. The A's will counter tonight with JP Sears. Sears has been a bright spot in what has otherwise been a bad season. Sears has started five games and has a 4-0 record and 1.04 ERA. He's coming off a win over the Mariners as a +1.9 dog, allowing just one run over five innings for the win. I'm taking the Run Line here with the A's since I get +1.5 runs and still a plus money line. Play Oakland on the money line. |
|||||||
08-26-22 | Patriots v. Raiders -1 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Raiders HC Josh McDaniels looks to finish the preseason a perfect 4-0 and he'd like nothing better than to do it against the team he was offensive coordinator for, New England Patriots. The Raiders have yet to play any of their starters and don't expect to see them here tonight either. Ex-Patriot QB Jarrett Stidham has been excellent for the Raiders in the preseason and he should be since he was under McDaniels in New England. As for the Pats, QB Mac Jones could see some action, but expect a lot of Brian Hoyer and Bailey Zappe here tonight. Hoyer already has the backup spot to Jones, so he likely won't be in any mode to win and show off here tonight. The Pats are weak at WR and that will be good for the Raiders defense here tonight, which has played very well in the preseason. I don't see the Pats caring much for this game while McDaniels would love nothing more than to finish the preseason with a win over his former team. Take the Raiders. |
|||||||
08-26-22 | Hamilton -1 v. Toronto | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams should be very tired of seeing each other by now as this is the third time in four weeks that they will have met. They met in week 9 and week 10 with the home team winning both time. Both teams also look to rebound after losing their last time out. Hamilton lost to Montreal, 28-29, while Toronto lost to Calgary, 19-22. I look for a close game here tonight between two evenly matched teams. That being said, the points look the way to go as Hamilton can win this game outright. Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats. |
|||||||
08-25-22 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Looks lie the Minnesota Twins are going to have a uphill battle to make the Playoffs. They were in 1st for a good portion of the season, but now have fallen back and trail the Wild Card race by four-games with four teams ahead of them. Won't get any easier as they play at 1st place Houston tonight. The Twins are already in a 5-game losing streak. Chris Archer will try to turn that around with a 2-6 record and 4.02 ERA. The Astros have won three straight and five of their last seven games. Luis Garcia will toe the rubber for the Astros with a 10-8 record and 4.01 ERA. The way the Twins are struggling, I'll lay the Run-Line here with the Astros. |
|||||||
08-25-22 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 125 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Reason: Tampa Bay holding onto that top Wild Card slot at 1.5 games up right now for that race. They are in contention with two other AL East tames, the Jays and the Orioles. The Mariners hold the third spot currently with the Jays second. The Rays are looking for the four-game sweep here tonight vs the Angels. They have outscored LA in the three games, 17-5. They will face Patrick Sandoval today who is 4-8 in his 20 starts with a 2.97 ERA. The Rays will counter with Drew Rasmussen who is 8-2 in his 21 starts and a 2.82 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 5-1 record in 10 starts and a 1.99 ERA. I'll lay the Run Line here early on Thursday with the Rays. |
|||||||
08-23-22 | Sky -6.5 v. Liberty | 90-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Not many gave the Liberty a chance in this series. Especially the home crowd. The Sky could have won the first two games at home and this game at NY would never have been. Instead the Liberty took game one at Chicago as a 9-point dog and the split on the road gets them the home game tonight. Chicago is the defending WNBA champion, so don't expect them to fold under the pressure tonight. They reminded everyone of just that with a 32-point blowout win in game two of this series. Chicago had the 2nd best road record in the WNBA so playing here in NY tonight shouldn't bother them. NY is the team with no pressure tonight, but for me, I know the Sky are the much better team and they won't let this road venue bother them. I'll lay the points with Chicago. |
|||||||
08-23-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Pirates | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Reason: The Braves will make the postseason and be able to defend their Championship. They are 8-games in front of the next team for the top Wild Card slot. However, they still have the Mets in their sights for the AL East, just three-games back. The Braves beat Pittsburgh in game one of this three-game set last night, 2-1. Tonight, they will send Max Fried to the hill with a 11-4 record in his 23 starts and a 2.60 ERA. Fried has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last 10 starts. The Pirates have lost three straight games, due in part to the bad bullpen of late which has a 6.12 ERA over its last seven games. J.T. Brubaker will start today for the Bucs with a 3-10 record and 4.19 ERA over his 23 starts. Brubaker has pitched better than his 3-10 indicates, but again, this is Pittsburgh. I'll take the Braves and lay the Run Line. |
|||||||
08-23-22 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Cubs | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Reason: Game one of this doubleheader here on Tuesday has the St Louis Cardinals taking on the Chicago Cubs. St Louis trailed Milwaukee in the NL Central back in late July. Now, some 3-weeks Plus later they sit 5-games in 1st place over the Brewers. Adam Wainwright is 9-8 on the season with a 3.11 ERA. He's been better of late with a 3-1 record in his last seven starts and a 3.02 ERA. Wainwright has allowed one run or zero in four of his last five starts. The Chicago Cubs had their five-game win streak snapped by the Brewers and then lost again last night in the opening game of this series, 0-1. The Cubs have called up Javier Assad to start game one here today. Assad has a 2.66 ERA this year in both Double-A and Triple-A combined. Whether Assad's good play will carry over to the big league we'll see. I'm sticking with a very strong Cards team today and laying the run line. |
|||||||
08-22-22 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
The Angels and Rays begin a four-game set tonight from Tampa Bay. The Angels have lost two-straight games and five of their last six. Tucker Davidson makes his sixth start of the season. Davidson is 2-3 with a 5.56 ERA. He has a slightly higher 6.00 ERA in his two road starts. Tampa Bay has won two straight games and has improved to 65-55 on the season. The Rays, Jays and Mariners are all tied for the top three Wild Card slots, with the Twins and Orioles 2.5-games back. Jeffrey Springs starts for the Rays today. Springs is 4-3 in his 16 starts with a nifty 2.85 ERA. He has allowed just three total runs over his last three starts (16 innings). I'll take the home club here today as LA has to make the long trip East and that is never easy. Lay the Run Line with the Tampa Bay Rays. |
|||||||
08-20-22 | 49ers v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 34 m | Show |
The Vikings lost their first preseason game of the year at Las Vegas last Sunday, 20-26. They were a bit shorthanded too, with 13 players not dressing or playing including Dalvin Cook, QB Kirk Cousins and WR Justin Jefferson among the notables. The San Francisco 49ers are coming off a win in week one over the Green Bay Packers, 28-21. The 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan is 6-7 S/U and 6-5-1 in his last 13 preseason games. The Vikings named Kevin O'Connell the head coach earlier this year. O'Connell was the offensive coordinator for the Super Bowl Champion Rams last year. It's expected that O'Connell will bring some explosive offensive schemes to this team with the talent they have on offense. Under O'Connell, the Rams QB Matthew Stafford and WR Cooper Kupp both had career seasons in 2021. The Vikings play at home here on Saturday and even though they played well at Las Vegas last week, I expect them to play much better this week as we'll likely get some starters in on the action. The 49ers will be hurting, especially on the offensive line where they suffered some injuries last week. This looks to be a perfect spot with the new coach at home making his debut before the home crowd. We saw that last week with the Raiders coach Josh McDaniels. Take the Vikings this week. |
|||||||
08-19-22 | Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
The Miami Marlins took two of three games from the San Diego Padres, though they dropped the rubber game on Thursday, 3-10. Tonight they move a bit North to LA to take on team with the best record in baseball, the Dodgers. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo who is 3-5 with a 3.72 ERA in his nine starts. The Dodgers are coming off a split of their four game series in Milwaukee, dropping last night's contest, 3-5. They have now won 14 of their last 17 games. Tyler Anderson has been great this year for the Dodgers with a 12-2 record in his 20 starts. Anderson has a 2.84 ERA overall, 2.30 at home and 2.25 in his last seven starts. The Dodgers should have little trouble with this Marlins team. I'm laying the Run Line. |
|||||||
08-18-22 | Rockies v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals look for the 3-game sweep here today from the Colorado Rockies. The Cardinals have leapt into 1st place in the NL Central Division with a 65-51 record and a 3-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers. Adam Wainwright will toe the rubber today for the Red Birds. Wainwright is 8-8 in his 23 starts with a 3.27 ERA. He's been better at home with a 4-3 record in 12 starts and a 2.30 ERA. The Rockies have lost four straight games heading into today's action. Antonio Senzatela starts today for Colorado with a 3-6 record and 4.67 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road where he is 0-4 in seven starts with a 5.50 ERA. I look for the Cardinals to continue their dominance over the Rockies and extend their win streak here today. I'll lay the Run Line with Wainwright and the Cards. |
|||||||
08-17-22 | Liberty +10 v. Sky | 98-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Game one of the best of three tonight in Chicago has the Sky hosting the NY Liberty. Chicago is looking to be the first back-to-back champions as they begin defense of their 2021 crown. The Liberty are led by record setting guard Sabrina Lonescu who was the first player with 500+ points as well as 200+rebounds and 200+assists. The Sky can't overlook the Liberty in this series. The Liberty had the 2nd best defense rating over the last two weeks. Chicago was 3-1 S/U vs the Liberty this year, however the Liberty owned the spread record at 2-1-1 ATS. I believe this line is too high for a very good defensive team like New York. I'll take the Liberty plus the heafty points here tonight. |
|||||||
08-13-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Dodgers continue their assault over both leagues as they have now won their 11th-game in a row after Friday's win over the Royals, 8-3. Tony Gonsolin had a no hitter into the 7th before a pair of his drove him from the game. Today, it looks to be a repeat of yesterday as Andrew Heaney takes to the mound for his 7th start of the season. Heany has been excellent with a 1-0 record and 0.64 ERA his his six starts. Only the Giants and Indians cracked the scoreboard against his thus far. The Royals counter with Brad Keller who is 6-12 in his 21 starts with a 4.60 ERA. Really doesn't matter who the Royals throw on the hill here today, they won't be stopping this offense of the Dodgers. I'll lay the Run Line with LA. |
|||||||
08-13-22 | Panthers +1.5 v. Washington Commanders | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 73 h 2 m | Show | |
The Washington Commanders have shook up their defense by firing their defensive line coach Sam Mills III just weeks before the season starts. Jeff Zgonina will take over for him. Usually coaching changes are done during the off season, not weeks before a new season starts. Both these teams looking to rebound from losing 2021 campaigns. Washington Coach Ron Rivera is 20-17 S/U and 19-16-1 ATS in his preseason career as a head coach. Panthers head coach Matt Rhule looks to have made some decent off season moves to a team that already has a very good defense. Baker Mayfield comes over to Carolina from Cleveland to compete with Sam Darnold for the starting spot. That could be good for bettors in preseason as the team needs to see which QB gels with the team. I'm going to take the Panthers here today as I expect to see one of these QB's get some decent playing time and that will be good for us bettors. Play Carolina plus the points. |
|||||||
08-12-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
The Dodgers have the best record in baseball and not only that, they have won 10-straight games! They have an amazing lineup of hitters, the starting staff is among the best in baseball and their relief pitching has been outstanding. All the elements of another Dodgers run to the World Series? Well, the Mets might have something to say about that. But, the Royals will not today. Tony Gonsolin is 13-1 and coming off another solid performance where he allowed no runs and just three hits over five innings. The Royals have been playing decent, winning two straight and five of their last six. Daniel Lynch will start today with a 4-7 record and 4.79 ERA. He's actually slightly worse at home with a 1-3 record in seven starts and a 5.97 ERA. I'm sticking with the red-hot Dodgers and laying the run line! |
|||||||
08-10-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers lost game one of this three game set with their instate rivals, Houston. The Astros took game one, 7-5 on Tuesday. The Rangers dropped to 48-61 and have no postseason hopes. Glenn Otto starts today with a 4-8 record in his 16 starts and a 5.31 ERA. Otto has been ok of late but the team has not won any of his last seven starts and Otto is 0-5 during that same span. The Houston Astros are cruising to their AL West Championship with a 71-40 record and 11.5-games ahead of 2nd place Seattle. Their ACE, Just Verlander will toe the rubber today. Verlander is 15-3 in his 20 starts with a 1.73 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 7-0 record in his last seven starts and a 0.76 ERA. I'm going to lay the Run Line here with the Astros and look for an easy win. |
|||||||
08-10-22 | Liberty +4.5 v. Wings | 91-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The WNBA down to just a handful of regular season games. Eight teams will make the playoffs and New York needs to win out to really have a shot. The Liberty are 13-20 on the season and tied for 9th in the league. They are just a half game behind the final playoff spot held by Atlanta. That means wins are imperative for the club. Meanwhile Dallas has clinched a playoff spot with a 17-16 record. The Wins are in 6th place and look to be locked into that spot as they trail 5th place Washington by two games. The Wings look to have nothing to play for these final games while the Liberty will be playing for their playoff lives. I'll take New York plus the points here today. |
|||||||
08-05-22 | Calgary v. Ottawa +5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Ottawa finally break into the win column last game with a win to make them 1-6 on the season. Conversely, Calgary (4-2) is looking to break their first losing streak of the season. The Calgary Stampeders might be without their head coach Dave Dickerson who was forced to remain home with Covid protocols. Ottawa got their first win of the season with a win over Toronto last Sunday, 23-13. The Redblacks have been without injured QB Jeremiah Masoli. However, his replacement, Caleb Evans, who had a career high 82.8% completion last week and has now thrown 90 passes without an INT. Calgary is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. Tonight they are laying five point on the road. I'll take the Redblacks here tonight and won't be surprised by an outright win. Play Ottawa. |
|||||||
08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
The Mets closed out their series with the Marlins with a win on Sunday, 9-3. The Win extended the Mets win streak to six games with the sweep of Miami. The Mets need every win as the Braves are hot on their heals just four games back in the NL East. The Mets will start Max Scherzer here on Monday. Scherzer is 6-2 on the season with a 2.09 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 2-1 mark in his last seven starts and a 1.40 ERA. Scherzer hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last seven starts. The Nationals lost two of their three games to St Louis after Sunday's setback, 0-5. Pat Corbin makes his 22nd start today. Corbin has had a rough season with a 4-14 record and 6.49 ERA. He's allowed at least five runs in each of his last three starts. The Mets need wins against teams like this to keep their lead in the division and with Scherzer on the hill I'll lay the Run line with New York. |
|||||||
07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan | 32-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Week 8 CFL action has the BC Lions playing at the Saskatchewan Rough Riders. BC is led by QB Rourke who has been one of the best QB's in the league. Rourke averages over 300 yards passing per week and a completion rate that is well above 70#. He also has 14 TD's and 6 INT's. Rourke should have a field day against this RoughRider team that has allowed 30 points or more in each of the last two games. The RoughRiders secondary has allowed the second most passing yards in the league (281) and the second most TD's. This BC team also has a solid defense that held Hamilton to just 12 points last week. I look for a BC win here tonight. |
|||||||
07-27-22 | Cardinals v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals have lost two straight games after dropping game one of this series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday, 3-10. The Cardinals have closed the gap on the Brewers in the NL Central, now back just 3-games. Adam Wainwright will start today for the red birds. Wainwright is 6-8 in his 19 starts with a 3.40 ERA. He's been a bit worse lately, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 4.36 ERA. The Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, winning seven straight games. Still, they are really fighting for a AL Wild Card since they still trail the Yankees by 11.5-games. Kevin Gausman will get the start today for the Jays with a 7-7 record and 3.00 ERA. Gausman has allowed more than three runs only once in his 18 starts this year. I'll lay the Run line today with a very hot Jays team and Gausman. |
|||||||
07-23-22 | Sparks +9.5 v. Aces | 66-84 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks currently sit in 6th place in the WNBA with a 12-14 record. They have won two straight games, beating the Fever 86-79 and then the Dream last game, 85-78. These teams met not long ago with the Aces winning 79-73. As for the Aces, they were in first place a good part of the season, but have since dropped to 2nd with a 19-8 record. Las Vegas has been inconsistent of late, losing three of four games before getting back on track and winning three straight. They have split their last two games, losing at home to the Atlanta Dream as a double digit favorite, 76-92. That has been an issue for this team, their inconsistent play. So laying these kinds of points as they are tonight is difficult to do. I'll take the points with the Sparks. Play LA |
|||||||
07-18-22 | Canada (W) v. USA (W) -0.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
It's two storied rivals meeting tonight in the CONCACAF Women's Championship as the USA and Canada will meet to crown a champion. This is the first time these teams have played each other since last year's Olympic match which Canada won, 1-0. That was a rare win for Canada too. In their 25-game history, the USA has won 20 of the previous 25 meetings with their neighbors to the North. The USA has also been on a 17-game unbeaten streak since their loss to the Reds in the Olympics. |
|||||||
07-07-22 | Cardinals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
The St Louis Cardinals look to snap a four-game losing streak here today in Atlanta. The Cardinals had closed the gap in the NL Central with the Brewers before this losing streak. They now trail Milwaukee by 3-games. Matthew Liberatore will start today for the Red Birds with a 2-1 record in his five starts and a 5.66 ERA. He has been hit hard in his three road starts with a 0-1 record and 10.978 ERA. The Braves have closed the gap in the NL East to just 2.5-games behind the NY Mets after winning three straight and five of their last six games. Spencer Strider will get the start today with a 3-1 record in his seven starts and a 3.82 ERA. Strider has a great fastball and lately has been on his game, allowing just one run over his last 12 innings with 18 KO's and just one walk. I look for Strider to dominate the Cardinals hitters here today. I'll lay the Run Line with the Braves |
|||||||
07-02-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Reds | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Reason: The Atlanta Braves had an easy win in game one of this series with the Reds, 9-1. That was the team's third win in four games. The Braves have been very good on the road, winning 12 of their last 15 away games. They are also 22-6 their last 28 games. Spencer Strider has looked excellent for the Braves with a 2-1 record in his six starts and a 4.29 ERA. He is coming off a excellent performance in LA where he went six innings vs the Dodgers allowing no runs and striking out seven. Strider has a fast ball that consistently breaks the 100 mph barrier. The Reds have lost three straight games, getting outscored 11-32 in the process. Their bullpen has also been horrible, posting a 10.64 ERA over their last seven games and a 5.78 ERA overall. That puts more pressure on today's starter, Tyler Mahle. Mahle is 3-6 in his 16 starts with a 4.23 ERA. I don't see this Reds team making much contact vs Strider and his over powering stuff. I'll lay the Run Line with the Braves today. |
|||||||
07-01-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton -6 | 29-25 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams in the CFL both looking for their first win of the season. Edmonton Elks are 0-3 and play at the 0-3 Hamilton Tiger-Cats tonight. Edmonton has lost 11 of their last 12 regular season games while Hamilton has lost five of their last nine regular season games. But what stands out for me in this matchup is that Hamilton is 6-1 ATS vs their last seven teams that have a losing record. They are also good at home, going 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 at home. Hamilton has also covered the last four in this series. I'll lay the 6.5 or 7 points here tonight with Hamilton. |
|||||||
07-01-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Reds | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves continue to close the gap in the NL East as they trail the NY Mets by just 3.5-games. The Braves took two of their three games with the Phillies, losing on Thursday. Today they begin their 3-game set at Cincinnati and Max Fried will get the start today. Fried is 7-2 in his 15 starts with a 2.77 ERA. Fried has allowed two runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts. Cincinnati has lost two straight games and 10 of their last 13 games. Mike Minor will start today for the Reds. Minor is 1-4 in his five starts with a 7.72 ERA. Minor has allowed at least three runs in each start and at least four runs in four of his starts. I'll lay the Run Line today with the Braves. |
|||||||
06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Week 4 of Canadian football league action begins tonight as BC takes on the Redblacks from Ottawa. BC is in the tough West where three teams are undefeated, including BC which is 2-0. BC has been dominating thus far, scoring 103 points and allowing just 18. BC has lost seven of their last 10 regular season games however. QB Nathan Rourke has completed 87.8% of his passes for 718 yards and seven TD's. Ottawa looks for their first win after a 0-2 start. QB Jeremiah Masoli has completed 70.8% of his passes for 711 yards and 1 TD. BC looks the better team, but it's early in the season and I had a big upset winner last week with Montreal a small home dog beating Saskatchwan. I look for the same here today as Ottawa gets their first win of the season as a small home dog. Play Ottawa. |
|||||||
06-30-22 | Dream v. Liberty -4.5 | Top | 92-81 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Just one game on the WNBA slate tonight and that's the Atlanta Dream playing at the NY Liberty. Both these teams fighting for one of those last playoff spots as the Liberty are in 7th place with a 8-10 record and the Dream are in 9th place with a 8-11 record. The Liberty have won two straight, including their game over the Dream 89-77 at Atlanta. This back-to-back series now changes venues to New York. Atlanta has lost three straight games and seven of their last eight games. New York is 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall games and 7-0 ATS vs the WNBA Eastern Conference teams. The Liberty playing much better here of late. I'll lay the points with New York. |
|||||||
06-23-22 | Mystics +4.5 v. Storm | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The No 4 and No 5 teams in the WNBA meet tonight as the 4th place Seattle Storm host the 5th place Washington Mystics. Seattle has won seven of their last 10 games but has just a 1.6 Point differential this season. The Washington Mystics are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have a better +4 point differential. What I believe is the key to this game tonight is the No 1 defense in the league by Washington. These teams are pretty even, but I can take the best defensive team getting points I will take that. Play Washington. |
|||||||
06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +3 | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Week 3 action in the CFL finds the unbeaten Saskatchewan Rough Riders taking on the winless Montreal Alouettes. Coby Fajardo has been playing very well at QB for The Riders, completing 72.4% of his passes for 558 yards and two TD's. The ground game has also been good, averaging 129.5 yards per game. Montreal has lost five of their last six regular season games. Vernon Adams has completed 55.6% of his passes for 264 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT. Montreal is a home dog here tonight and they are really in a must win position. Lose and they go to 0-3 on the season. I'll take a chance with a home dog in the CFL. Play Montreal. |
|||||||
06-19-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | 3-9 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Phillies look for the 5-game sweep of the Nationals here today after their win on Saturday, 2-1. They have outscored the O's thus far, 25-12. Zach Eflin will get the start today for the Phils. Eflin is 2-4 this season in 11-starts with a 4.28 ERA. He has pitched well in his last three starts, allowing five total runs over 18 innings. Washington is in last in the NL East with a 23.46 record and have lost eight straight games and 11 of their last 13 games. Jackson Tetreault makes his second start of the season after a pretty disastrous one in his first start. Tetreault allowed nine hits an seven runs over four innings vs the Braves. The Phillies should sweep here today and likely in a blowout win. |
|||||||
06-18-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies opened this five game set with the Nationals by taking the first three games, including both ends of yesterday's doubleheader. In fact, they have outscored the Nationals by a 23-11 margin thru the first three games. The Phils will send Aaron Nola to the hill today with a 4-4 record over his 13 starts and a 3.42 ERA. He's been slightly better on the road with a 2-3 record in six starts and a 2.70 ERA. Nola has allowed just two total runs over his last two starts (15 innings) with 12 KO's and no walks. In fact, Nola is one of the best control pitchers in baseball with no walks over his last 29 1/3 innings. The Nats have dropped to 22-games under the .500 mark with a 23-45 record. They have lost seven straight and 10 of their last 12 games. Josiah Gray will get the start today for the Nats. Gray is 6-4 with a 4.33 ERA, though that ERA shoots up to 7.14 in his six home starts. Gray has been very good of late, allowing just two total earned runs over his last three starts (16 innings). However, unlike Nola, he's allowed eight walks over his last 16 innings. Hard to find any reason to back the Nats, though Gray is one pitcher you could make a case for. Still, Philly hitting the ball great and Nola doesn't walk batters and that means his team wins the games for him. I'll take Philly again today on the Run Line. |
|||||||
06-17-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Phillies had little issues with the Nationals in game one of their four game series that began on Thursday, beating them 10-1. The Phillies are now 33-31 overall as they try to make up ground on the 1st place Mets. These clubs play a doubleheader here on Friday with this being the early contest. Ranger Suarez will start game one with a 4-4 record in his 12 starts and a 4.40 ERA. He's pitched well of late, allowing two runs in each of his last three starts. The Nationals have lost five straight games as they have dropped to 23-43 and last place in the NL East. Joan Adon will start today and he's had a rough season thus far with a 1-10 record in 12 starts and a 6.95 ERA. He allowed eight runs and seven hits over just three innings in his last start at Miami. I had the Phillies on the Run line yesterday, I see no reason to change that here today. Take the Phillies in game one on the Run Line. |
|||||||
06-16-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Phillies trail the NY Mets in the NL East by 8.5-games as they sit at 32-31 overall. The Phillies won two of their three games vs Miami, including last night's contest 3-1. Today, they hit the road for a series at Washington. Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Phils today. Wheeler is 5-3 in his 11 starts with a 2.84 ERA. He has been very consistent, allowing three runs or fewer in each of his last eight starts. Washington looks to snap a four-game losing streak here today. They have also lost seven of their last nine games. Pat Corbin gets the start with a 3-8 record in his 13 starts and a 6.65 ERA. He's been hit hard, allowing four runs or more in four of his last six starts. I like Philly a lot today, so I'll have to lay the Run Line to get the price down. |
|||||||
06-16-22 | Padres -1.5 v. Cubs | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs continue their slide, now at a 9-game losing streak. They play their final game here today at Wrigley against the Padres after dropping the first two games by a combined 10-31 score! In fact, they have allowed 12 runs or more in three of their last four games. Matt Swarmer will make his fourth start of the season here today. Swarmer is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA. He did allow six runs and seven hits in his last start at the Yankees. The Padres are in 1st place in the NL West, leading the Dodgers now by 1-game with a 40-24 record. In addition, the Padres have the best road record in baseball. Today they get their best pitcher on the hill in Joe Musgrove. Musgrove is 7-0 in his 11 starts with a 1.50 ERA. He has allowed just one run over his last four starts (27 innings). I'll lay the run line today with the Padres as they should win another blowout contest with the Cubs. |
|||||||
06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today. The Warriors have proved they can come back from big deficits. They just need to get their act together in the fourth quarter. With the experience of this team and leadership of Curry, I can't see another fourth quarter collapse. I'll take the points here on Friday and won't be surprised by a straight-up win by Golden State. Take the Warriors. |
|||||||
06-08-22 | Yankees -1.5 v. Twins | 1-8 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Yankees have now won seven straight games, after taking game one of this set from the Twins, 10-4. They actually haven't just won, they have dominated, outscoring their opponents 48-11 during the seven games. Today, they have one of their best, if not their best, on the mound in Nestor Cortes. Cortes is 5-1 in his 10 starts with a 1.50 ERA and 0.867 WHIP. He has been just as good on the road with a 3-1 record and 1.50 ERA. Cortes has allowed one run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Twins are in 1st in the AL Central, but this is the softest division in baseball as no other team is even over the .500 mark. The Twins have lost five of their last seven games. Christ Archer gets the start today with a 0-2 record in his 10 starts. Archer has a 3.89 ERA overall and a 5.00 home ERA. I see this matchup as a total mismatch. The Yankees are red hot and have a huge advantage in pitching today. I'll lay the Run line with the Yankees. |
|||||||
06-05-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Royals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros sit comfortably in 1st in the AL West, 6.5 games ahead of the LA Angels. Still, it's hard to accept a 0-6 loss to the lowly Royals as they did last night. Today is the rubber game of the series and the Astros won't want to let this series go down. Framber Valdez starts today with a 5-2 record in his 10 starts. Valdez has a nice 2.57 ERA and better 1.40 road ERA this season. He has allowed one run in three of his last four starts. Moreover, he's allowed no more than three runs in nine of his 10 starts this season. The Royals are in last in the AL Central with a 17-34 record. They have lost five of their last six games. Jon Heasley will start today. Heasley is 0-2 in his four starts with a 4.66 ERA and 5.40 home ERA. While Heasley hasn't been bad, don't think he has enough to take this series from the 1st place Astros. Lay the Run line with Houston. |
|||||||
06-05-22 | Tigers v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
The Yankees have heated up again, now winning five straight games as they look for the sweep over Detroit today. They took both games in big fashion, shutting out the Tigers in game one 13-0 and again in game two, 3-0. Jordan Montgomery will start today with a 1-1 record in his 10 starts and a 3.04 ERA. He's been very consistent, allowing three runs or fewer in each of his 10 starts. The Tigers will have to find some offense today if they look to avoid the sweep. Rony Garcia will be on the hill and he looks to be more cannon fodder for the Bronx Bombers. Garcia is 0-1 in his two starts with a 8.00 ERA. The only good thing, he's struck out 12 and walked just three. I look for another lopsided Yankees win here today. I'll lay the Run Line with New York. |
|||||||
06-04-22 | Tigers v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers had their modest 3-game win streak snapped on Friday by the Yankees, 0-13. The Tigers will look to be more competitive today with Beau Brieske on the hill. However, that doesn't look to promising with his 0-4 record in seven starts and 5.24 ERA. The Yankees have won three straight games after Friday's white wash of the Tigers. In fact, the Yankees four game win streak they have outscored opponents by a 30-3 margin. Luis Severino on the hill today with a 3-1 record in his nine starts and a 3.38 ERA. Doesn't really matter who they start though, they should pound the Tigers once again. I'm laying the Run Line with the Yankees. |
|||||||
05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
I believe the Boston Celtics could have cost themselves a NBA Finals appearance by losing game six at home the Miami Heat. The series returns to Miami for game seven and the winner moving on to the Finals against the Golden State Warriors. Two things stand out to me; 1st is that the Heat took all the momentum in this series after losing game six. The other and bigger thing is that NBA home teams have a distinct advantage in game 7 of a series. Let take a quick look. The Celtics have the most games 7's in NBA history, with 33 and that will be 34 after Sunday's game. There have been 133 games 7's with the home team winning 79% of the time or 105-28. That is a huge stat when it comes to home court advantage. And yet, here we have the Miami Heat a home dog in game seven. Not only do they not have to win, but they have a couple of points to play with as they currently are +2.5 or +3 points. For me, the momentum has shifted to Miami and with home court here in game seven, I'll take the points. |
|||||||
05-27-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Mariners | 1-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros took the last two games of their three game set with the Guardians. The Astros are in 1st place in the AL West, 2.5-games ahead of the Angels. Justin Verlander will take the hill today. Verlander looks to once again be a Cy Young candidate with his dominating performances thus far. Verlander is 6-1 in his eight starts with a 1.22 ERA. He has not allowed a run in any of his last three starts (19 innings). Seattle has dropped two straight games to fall to 18-27 overall. The Mariners also fell into last in the AL West. Chris Flexen was very good last year, but not this season. He has a 1-6 record in his eight games with a 4.98 ERA. He has also allowed 14 runs over his last 14 1/3 innings. Verlander has been dominating and I don't see the M's giving him much of a problem tonight. Lay the Run Line with the Astros. |
|||||||
05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics took a 3-2 lead in this NBA Eastern Conf Finals Championship series with their win on Wednesday night, 93-80. In what was a very low scoring contest, the Heat led at the half, 42-37. However, the Celtics came out of the half firing and won the third quarter 32-16 and then the fourth quarter 24-22. Now the Heat are force to win the last two games in this series, including Friday's contest at Boston. The Celtics are a 3-point shooting team, they live and die beyond the arc and that's why we've pretty much seen blowouts in every contest. The Celtics opened game six line as a 9-point favorite and that's for good reason. Miami guard Tyler Herro missed Wednesday's game and that's a big loss for this team. With his status in question for game six here on Friday and the game in Boston, this becomes my favorite play in the championship series. Take Boston. |
|||||||
05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have to wait at least one more game to wrap-up their NBA Western Conference Finals and move on to the NBA Championship series. The Warriors led 3-0 in this series before not showing up in game four in their loss to Dallas, 109-119. Despite the loss, the Warriors did shoot fairly well in game four, hitting 48.8% from the field and 35.7% from 3-point arc. Both those numbers were actually better then their game three win at Dallas. The big jump came in the Mavs shooting as they had their best game in this series hitting 50% from the field and 46.5% from 3-point arc. Line has gone up significantly here tonight but for me I'm going to lay this in what looks like another blowout win. Take Golden State. |
|||||||
05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are tied 2-2 in this best-of-seven Eastern Conference Finals Championship. The Heat got beat bad ly in game four on their home court, 82-102. In fact, these teams have alternated win/losses with the winning team covering the spread. The Heat had to play game four without their guard Tyler Herro, who has a groin injury. Herro is questionable today and the Heat could really use his 20.7 ppg average. The Heat also need this game to maintain home court advantage or else they face going back to Boston down 2-3. For me, this is a key game for the Heat, lose and they are likely done in the series, win and they only have to win one of the last two games. I'll take Miami here tonight, especially since I believe Herro will return. Play Miami. |
|||||||
05-24-22 | Warriors +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors can wrap-up their Western Conference Finals with the Dallas Mavericks tonight. The Warriors took a 3-0 lead in this series after beating the Mavs in Dallas last game, 109-100. The Mavs led early, but once they fell behind in the 2nd quarter they never were able to fully recover. The question for me here tonight is how much does the Warriors want to win this game. A win and they get a nice rest while the Eastern Conference teams battle it out for their rep in the Title match. Sometimes too much rest can take away from a teams momentum too. But tonight, I think the Warriors want the rest and will do all it takes to put this series to an end. Play Golden State. |
|||||||
05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to even this best of seven series at 2-2 with a win tonight at home over the Miami Heat. The Celtics lost game one in Miami, 107-118, took game two 127-102 and then lost at home in game three, 103-109. The Heat will be with0out guard Tyler Herro tonight who has a groin injury. They do look to have guard Jimmy Butler playing though who was upgraded to probable with a knee injury. The Celtics Jayson Tatum is expected to play with a cervical sprain. Celtics can't afford to lose another game on their home court. This line is a bit stiff, but I look for the Celtics to win here tonight. Play Boston. |
|||||||
05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Game three of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals changes venues here tonight as this best-of-seven series moves to Boston. The Heat took game one at home 118-107 and then lost in game two, 102-127. The Celtics live and die from the 3-point line and that proved out thus far. In their game one loss, the Celtics hit 32.4% from beyond the 3-point arc. Then in their game two blowout, the Celtics hit 50% from 3-point land. The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road dog. They are also 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 road games overall. The Heat have also done well in this series, covering 10 of the last 13 games in Boston. If the Heat can keep the Celtics three-point shots from getting out of control, they should cover if not win this game outright tonight. Play Miami. |
|||||||
05-21-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers took game two of this series to even it at one game a piece with their win on Friday. The Rangers got a shutout win over the Astros, 3-0. The Rangers will start Jon Gray here today. Gray is 1-1 in his five starts this year with a 5.73 ERA. Gray is coming off a 5 2/3 inning outing vs the Angels where he allowed four runs and eight hits. The Astros were shut out for the first time since their game on April 20th. Justin Verlander will toe the rubber here today for the Astros. Verlander is 5-1 in his seven starts with a 1.38 ERA and 0.679 WHIP. Verlander has gone 13 innings without allowing a run and just three hits. Verlander is pitching great right now and I look for a bounce back here today with the Astros. I'll lay the Run Line with Houston. |
|||||||
05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors play game two of their series here tonight in Northern California. The Warriors blew out the Mavs in game one, 112-87. The Warriors were red hot, hitting 56.1% from the field and 34.5% from 3-point arc. The Mavs had their worst shooting performance in the playoffs, hitting just 36% from the field and 22.9% from the 3-point line. The Mavs have been a good covering team, going 9-4 ATS their last 13 games. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS their last eight as a favorite. The Mavs have done well vs the Warriors, going 11-4 ATS their last 15 meetings and 6-2 ATS their last eight meetings in Golden State. I don't see the Mavs shooting that bad again here tonight. I'll take the Points with Dallas. |
|||||||
05-20-22 | Mystics -1 v. Dream | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Washington Mystics are 2nd overall in the WNBA with a 4-1 record, just behind 5-1 Las Vegas. The Mystics are outscoring their opponents by 9.4 ppg this year. The Mystics only loss coming at home to the Dallas Wings, 86-94. Atlanta also having a good season thus far, off to a 4-1 record and tied with Washington. The difference is in points differential where Atlanta has just a +2.8 ppg differential. They Mystics have pretty much owned the Dream, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to Atlanta and 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 overall meetings. I'll lay the short points here tonight with the Mystics. |
|||||||
05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
Game two of the Eastern Conference Championship has the Miami Heat with a 1-0 lead in the best of seven series. The Celtics took pretty good pounding in game one, though the 107-118 final made the game look closer than it was. The Celtics have lived and died by the three-point shot this year. They had 110 attempts vs the Bucks and that was third all time in the NBA playoffs for 3-pointers attempted. In game one they hit 32.4%, well below their game seven win over the Bucks of 40%. Still, the Celtics do well as road dogs, going 7-1-1 ATS their last nine. They also bounce back well, going 4-1 ATS their last five after losing straight-up by 10 points or more. The Celtics have done well vs the Heat, going 13-6 ATS their last 19 meetings in Miami and 23-11-1 their last 35 overall. I look for the Celtics to bounce back here in game two. |
|||||||
05-15-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
The Houston Astros had their 11-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Washington, 6-13. The Astros pitching must have taken the day off after shutting out three of their previous five opponents. The win streak brought the team to within 1-game of the AL West leading Angels. Right now it's a two-team race in the AL West with the other three teams all below the .500 mark. Justin Verlander takes the hill today and is looking like his old Cy Young self. Verlander is 4-1 in six starts with a 1.55 ERA. He's been even better on the road with a 3-1 mark and 0.64 ERA. Washington is just 12-23 on the season and in last place in the NL East. The Nats are 3-7 over their last 10-games. Pat Corbin will start today and he's been in bad shape all season. Corbin is 0-5 in his seven starts with a 6.06 ERA. I don't see the Astros losing this game, but I'll have to lay the Run Line with the big price on their heads. Play Houston Run Line. |
|||||||
05-13-22 | Grizzlies +8.5 v. Warriors | 96-110 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies facing elimination here tonight as they play game six of this Western Conference best of seven series from Golden State. The Grizzlies staved off elimination in game five with a blowout of the Warriors, 134-95. Now they return back to Golden State where they once again get 8 to 9 points as they did in game four. Sure, they are without star Ja Morant, but they are now like 25-4 without him in the lineup this year. And they have played a lot without and done well. I don't see that changing here tonight. They will be close when this game is over. I'll take the points. Play Memphis. |
|||||||
05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Game six of this Eastern Conf Semifinal has the Celtics taking on the Bucks from Milwaukee. The Celtics somehow lost game five, despite a large 4th quarter lead. Now the Celtics face elimination with a loss here tonight. In their previous two games at Milwaukee, Boston lost 101-103 and won 116-108. The Celtics live and die outside the paint. They did well last game hitting 51% from the field but just 32% from 3-point line. Only one other game they shot worse and that was also a losing effort. I look for the Celtics to rebound here today and take this game six and force a game seven back in Boston. |