Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +1.5 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 11 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units USA TODAY called out the fact that the Jets handed the Jaguars a Christmas gift two years ago when they foolishly rallied to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, just before Christmas and granting them access to QB Trevor Lawrence as the No. 1 overall draft pick. Talk about a gift that keeps on giving to Jacksonville, it’s one that may well haunt the Jets for the next 10-15 years. What may also trouble the Big Planes today is their recent 7-16 SU and 5-18 ATS record in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 1-10 SUATS versus greater than .400 foes. That fits perfectly into the Seahawks’ 10-0 ATS record in home games when coming off consecutive underdog losses. Then there is head coach Pete Carroll, who is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in January, including 4-0 SUATS with a losing record and 4-0 SUATS versus sub .600 foes – and our favorite holiday ‘Caroller’ has also never lost four consecutive home games. Finally, consider that playing on any NFL non-division home dog or ‘pick’ if they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games is 112-82-7 ATS since 1980. Better yet, put these non-division hosts up against a sub. 500 foe in this role and the black ink turns a deep shade of green, going 35-19-3 ATS, including 16-1-2 ATS when they sport a win percentage over .100 and were a dog of 6-plus points in their last game. |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year Rating: 5 Units This will be Georgia’s third time playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season, with the Bulldogs dominating both Oregon and LSU by a combined margin of 99-30. In addition to a virtually impenetrable defense, veteran QB Stetson Bennett is complimented by a three-headed rushing attack featuring RB with Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton, who have all rushed for more than 500 yards in 2022. Meanwhile, OSU receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka just might be the best receiver tandem in the country for Heisman finalist QB CJ Stroud. Yes, bowlers like UGA who allow fewer than 14.5 PPG that won their conference title game are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS all-time, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against foes who allow 14.5 or more PPG. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units For the first time in over two-and-half months the Pack finally have a winning streak. The Cheese Heads are the No. 10 seed in the NFC, currently 1.5 games behind the Commanders for the NFC’s final wild-card spot. Green Bay enters 6-1 ATS as a dog in games when favored last game. Miami returns home off a winless three game road trek knowing they are 0-4 ATS coming off three straight road games, as well as 0-4 ATS when coming off three losses. And that’s not to mention the fact they are 1-5 ATS as a host in this series. With Rodgers suddenly smelling playoff blood, know that he is 9-4-1 ATS as a dog from game 15 out, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Packers own a win percentage of .666 or less. |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Currently the Pats are the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff picture but they must close out the season against the likes of these 10-4 Bengals, 8-6 Miami, and 11-3 Buffalo. Thus, it starts today against a Cincinnati squad who enters just 7-29 SU and 12-22-2 ATS away against the AFC East, including 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Yes, the Hoodies need to roll up their sleeves and get to work against a Joe Burrow-led Bengals’ bunch on an AFC best 6-game win skein. However, consider that playing against any NFL team that is 6-0 SUATS in its last six games if they are facing a sub .700 non-division opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 78 h 15 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The military teams take advantage of success, going a combined 29-9 ATS when coming off a win. AFA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 bowl games and in addition to being stingy at giving the ball back, they carry the top overall defense in the country. This bowl game is to honor the military and they give back by going 6-3 ATS in the last 9, including 4-1 ATS as the dog. Meanwhile, Da Bears are a sub-standard 0-3 SUATS as single digit favorites while the Big 12 has been small ATS versus military teams, going 0-3. If you are a trend lover, BU is 3-14 ATS on Thursdays plus this game is at TCU’s home field, where Baylor has lost five of the last seven, both SU and ATS. If that’s not a strong persuader, consider that Playing on any greater than .667 college military team in a bowl game that scored fewer than 50 points in its last game if they are not off a loss and their team’s overall net Yards Per Rush is greater than 1.0. is 17-0 ATS since 1980. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +4 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Upset of the Month Rating: 5 Units Bengals are 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games, and that may sound good to Joe Public, but not to the savvy handicapper as non-rested NFL teams on a 5-0 SUATS win streak have puked as non-division favorites of 5 or fewer points, going just 10-20-1 ATS in this role. On the other side of this hardto-like take are the Bucs, who were totally throttled in last week’s 28-point loss at San Francisco. It doesn’t get much worse than that. In fact, it was the third-worst loss in Brady’s NFL career. And adding more misery, it occurred at the hands of 7th round rookie QB Brock Purdy. By now we all know of Brady’s jaw-dropping 11-1 ATS career mark as a home dog. But don't forget that Tom Brady is 16-3 SU and 18-1 ATS as a pick or dog off a loss in his NFL career, including 10-0 SUATS off a loss of more than 7 points. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | Top | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence, has over the course of his last three games sport a 111.7 QB Rating with 0 INTs. Meanwhile, the not-so-big news in the Dallas receiver room is that WR TY Hilton will be joining the Cowboys, not Odell Beckham, Jr. The feeling here is OBJ may still be in play for America’s Team, but not until he’s able to take the field. Yes, the Boys are confident, riding an 8-game ITS (In The Stats) win skein entering today’s game. But we can’t ignore that playing against any sub .800 NFL non-division road favorite coming off three straight home games from Game 11 out is 12-1-1 since 1980. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -3.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Mismatch of the Week Rating: 5 Units So why is it, that the Seahawks a measly 3.5-point favorite at home against the 4-8 Panthers? Is Vegas telling us something? They may be trying, but we’re not buying. Not with Carolina 0-3 SUATS in NFC West division duke outs this season, and 0-3 SUATS the last three games in this series. And not with the Panthers a pussycat-like 0-4 ATS in games when coming off a Bye week. Turn it around and you’ll find a Seahawks squad 7-3 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week. Better yet, the Seahawks are 25-3 SU and 21-6-1 ATS in games when coming off consecutive ATS losses under head coach Pete Carroll, including 15-0 SU and 14-1 ATS at home. |
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12-11-22 | Bucs +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 7-35 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Brady is simply the best as an underdog, going 41-17-1 ATS in his illustrious career, including 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and 17-5 ATS when his team is coming off an ATS loss. He also stands 21-6 SU in his career in games in which his team is .500 on the season. Perhaps even more impressive is Brady’s 45-14 SU and 43-12-4 ATS mark in games against foes with a better record, including 24-6 ATS when taking points. With Monday night’s stirring comeback win over the Saints, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 4 seed in the NFC playoff picture while the Niners lay claim to the No. 2 seed. Frisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home chalk of fewer than four points and Tampa Bay is 7-1-2 ATS as a dog after being a favorite the previous game. Finally consider that playing against any .666 or greater single-digit NFL regular season home team coming off consecutive home wins if they are facing an opponent coming off a loss is 14-2-1 since 1983. |
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11-27-22 | Packers +6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 33-40 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
Prime Time Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The ‘return to the norm’ is simply too strong to overcome as ATS losses begin to pile up with each passing week. With it the Eagles enter this week on a 3-game ATS losing skid while having been out yarded in half of their last six games. Granted, the Packers are facing demons of their own, but Aaron Rodgers thrives in these situations, and we expect nothing less today. With it the Pack checks in 7-1 ATS in game versus .750 or greater foes the past two seasons, as well as 8-2 ATS when coming off a Thursday contest. Meanwhile, the Green Birds enter 1-8 ATS versus foes off a SU home favorite loss, and just 3-8 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday game. To cap it off, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-1 SUATS as a dog when the Packers are coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS versus .700 or greater foes. |
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11-26-22 | Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern +6.5 | Top | 48-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Upset of the Week Rating: 4 Units App State is 2-7 ATS in lined games, 1-7 ATS as a favorite (!) and 0-4 ATS when coming off a victory. Georgia Southern is the opposite going 4-0 ATS in regular season finales and a sturdy 5-1 ATS in last home games. Finally, Eagles Coach Helton has never lost four straight (even though Southern Cal die-hards thought he lost every game there) and is 6-2 SUATS when coming off consecutive losses. |
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11-26-22 | Iowa State +10 v. TCU | Top | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Big-12 Game of the Mont Rating: 5 Units Iowa State has out-yarded each of their last five opponents, including a 422-246 margin over Texas Tech in last week’s 14-10 loss. They have also held eight opponents to a season-low – or 2nd low – yardage this year, and that is just enough to apply the slip-knot on the TCU noose. When you consider that the Clones are 5-1 ATS in this series over the last six matchups (3-0 ATS as a dog), and that they own a 6-0 ATS mark as conference road dogs, you’ll find your winner. Finally, playing on any CFB dog off two losses, both as a favorite, if they allow 21 or fewer PPG and they are facing an undefeated opponent is 13-2-1 since 1980. |
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11-20-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
Divisional Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The Bengals are 8-0 ATS when coming off a non-division game when facing a foe that is also coming off a non-division game, as well as 7-0 ATS off a win versus foes coming off a win. And then there is Burrow, who brings a 9-1 SUATS career record into this game when facing an NFL opponent coming off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, the Black-and-Gold are at home following last week’s home win with a 0-4 SUATS ledger at home when coming a home game. Mike Tomlin’s troops are also 1-8 ITS (In The Stats) this season while being outgained an average -85 YPG. Finally the Bengals are 25-1 ATS in their last twenty-six division games they win outright |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings +2 | Top | 40-3 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Mike McCarthy, not the sharpest knife in the NFL coaches’ drawer, decided to go for it on fourth-and-3 from Green Bay’s 35-yard line in overtime rather than kicking a field goal to go up by 3 points. The Cowboys failed to convert and the Packers then proceeded to kick the game-winning field goal. Another knock at the door is Dallas’ 3-10 ATS log in this series, including 1-10 ATS without rest. To clinch it all, Dallas is 3-18-1 ATS as a conference favorite versus .666 or greater opponents, including 3-11 SU and 0-13-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 4 points. |
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11-19-22 | Illinois +18 v. Michigan | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 72 h 31 m | Show |
Big-10 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Good numbers for the visitors, though, as they’re 4-0 ATS as double-digit conference road dogs this season, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight run-ins with undefeated conference foes. Michigan counters with a superb 11-1 ATS mark as Big Ten home chalk of less than 20 points, but the Maize-and Blue can’t be trusted to cash a ticket in their final home game, as they’ve gone 2-6 ATS in the last eight such affairs. And let’s face it, Harbaugh will work from a strictly “vanilla” playbook today to avoid tipping off Ohio State’s Ryan Day. Meanwhile, with two rough defenses doing battle today – and Ohio State on deck for Michigan – points could be hard to come by. Finally, playing against any 10-0 college football double-digit favorite in Game Eleven if they are facing a .700 > foe is 16-2-2 ATS since 1980. |
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11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor +2.5 | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
Big-12 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Unit We realize TCU is 12-1 ATS in LRGs (Last Road Games), but they weren’t undefeated then and carrying the weight of being in the position they are in this year. Meanwhile, some of the numbers look very good when studying Baylor: 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back home games, 7-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 10 points in previous game, and 3-0 ATS with double conference revenge (Bears lost 30-28 as 7.5-point favorites at TCU last season, one of only two defeats they were dealt in 2021). Meanwhile, back to the Horned Frogs, whose numbers are less-shiny: 1-6 ATS versus double conference revenge and 2-12 ATS after playing Texas. It is extremely strange to imagine, but the Frogs can possibly afford a loss and still make the College Football Playoff – but why take the chance? One thing we know for sure is Baylor is 13-1 ATS as a dog with conference revenge versus a foe coming off a SUATS win, including 8-0 ATS at home |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 22 m | Show |
Upset of the Week Rating: 5 Units Coming off their Bye week, the Browns look to be as healthy as they’ve been all season with star DB Denzel Ward and OT Wyatt Teller due back after resting lingering injuries. They are also as hungry as they’ve been this season as they now trail AFC North Division-leading Baltimore by 2.5 games and need to up their game in anticipation of the return of QB Deshaun Watson in three weeks. The Browns secondary better sharpen up, though, going against the top 1-2 WR duo in the league in Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Hill is on pace for a record 2,085 yards and could become the first ever receiver to surpass 2,000. Nonetheless, Miami arrives 3-8 ATS following consecutive NFC contests, while Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in this series, 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back roadies, and 5-1 ATS following a division home game. Consider that Cleveland HC is 11-6 ATS as a dog with his current team, including 5-0 ATS against opponents he defeated in a most recent meeting. |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Pete Carroll’s crew enters on a 4-0 SUATS win skein, winning three of the games outright as underdogs. And speaking of dogs, Seattle QB Geno Smith is 12-3 ATS in his last fifteen games when taking points in this league, including 7-0 ATS versus .444 or greater foes. On the other side of the fi eld, it should be noted that Brady is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral fields, but only 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS versus NFC West foes with the Bucs. In wrapping things up, it should also be noted that NFL teams with the better record are 19-8-1 SU and 16-12 ATS in Euro games. To clinch is, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 7-2 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when riding a three-game-plus win skein, including 7-0 ATS when taking either 2 or 3 points. |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -107 | 69 h 26 m | Show |
ACC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Louisville has quietly stitched together a decent season after a terrible start and may be saving Scott Satterfi eld’s job. Satterfi is a solid 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS against teams coming off a spread loss of 19 or more points. UL is 4-0 SUATS in their last four. To tap it off playing against any CFB home favorite of more than 4 points from Game Nine out coming off its first loss of the year as a favorite of 4 or more points if they are off a DD ATS loss and are facing a foe who allows 20.1 or fewer PPG is 11-0 ATS since 1982. |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 46 h 49 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Arkansas is 13-6 SUATS at home when coming off a SU favorite loss to a conference foe, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog of fewer than 8 points. Also, Sam Pittman is 19-9-1 ATS overall in his career with the Hogs, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of 16 or fewer points. In addition, you need to realize that LSU is a horrendous 2-7 ATS as a road favorite of less than 15 points while coming off back-to-back home games. Also, road favorites who upset Alabama the previous week are also just 2-7 ATS in the following game since 1980 when coming off three consecutive wins, including 0-5 ATS when they own a win percentage of greater than .750 on the season. Sure, Jayden Daniels has improved greatly, as has the Tiger defense, but Pittman’s crew will be up to the challenge. Finally, Arkansas is 5-0 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss in this series. |
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11-05-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 80 h 36 m | Show |
Big-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units We will find out if the maligned OU defense will continue their Cyclones form or revert to the team that was strafed for 41, 55, 49 and 42 points prior to visiting Ames, Iowa last weekend. If the Sooners can’t stop Baylor frosh RB Richard Reese, who despite his 5’9” stature, has 12 TDs and 791 ground yards, the game will be a Bear market. Oklahoma is a depressing 0-5 ATS at home versus a team coming off consecutive SUATS wins. To cap it off, Baylor is 20-1 ATS as a conference dog versus an opponent coming off a SUATS win. |
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11-05-22 | Iowa +5 v. Purdue | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 77 h 30 m | Show |
Big-10 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Boilermaker head coach Jeff Brohm has carved out a ‘good dog, bad favorite’ personality and we’re not about to go against that today, not after Purdue upset the Hawkeyes as 11-point dogs at Iowa last season, meaning a major payback is in order today. With the Boilers now a lousy 1-4 ATS at home in this series, and HC of Iowa going 24-14 ATS in his career, including 10-2 ATS when taking single digits and coming off a SUATS win. To seal the deal, Iowa is 12-5 ATS as a dog with revenge when coming off a SUATS win under head coach Kirk Ferentz, including 8-1 ATS when not coming off a spread win of 13 or more points. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 5 Units Las Vegas has cashed in each of the games, winning two of them on the scoreboard. Like Arizona, they are still on the outside looking in at the current NFL playoff picture. Unfortunately, they’ve struggled against foes coming off a Thursday game going just 4-10-1 ATS. And they’ve also wriggled in this series with a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS mark the last ten gatherings. The Saints have won the stats in 5 of their seven games this season, including each of their last three games. As a result, they bring the better offense and the better defense into this fray. They are also 11-4 SU at home when playing off a SU previous home loss. Finally, consider that NFL playoff teams the previous year are 6-22 SU and 7-20-1 ATS away in Game Seven when coming off consecutive ATS wins if not favored by 3 or more points, including 2-15 ATS if the Over/Under total in this game is greater than 40 points. |
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10-29-22 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -105 | 83 h 5 m | Show |
Upset of the Day Rating: 4 Units Aggies have won and covered the last three games of this series, but they have gone 9 consecutive FBS games scoring 25 or fewer points – second-longest current streak in the FBS. Things are in crisis mode in College Station, as their fans are not used to seeing three consecutive defeats. Their saving grace is the fact they actually outgained their first FBS foe this season (they’re 1-5 ITS) in last week’s loss to South Carolina. Fisher lost three games in a row once in his career, (in 2011) but won the next game 41-16 at home against Duke. We call for the upset today. To cap it off, Jimbo Fisher is 14-3 SU at home off consecutive losses, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog. |
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10-29-22 | Notre Dame +2.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 31 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Notre Dame has been favored in the last eight matchups in this series since 2003 and even covered when a 33-point favorite in 2020. They are 3-1 ATS in the last four, 4-1 ATS away vs foes .800 or better, and a sturdy 9-3 ATS in ACC road games… PLUS a whopping 5-0 SUATS in the last five ACC battles. Meanwhile the state of the Orangemen must be called into doubt after the Clemson crusher, plus the Dome hasn’t always been a warm home to the football program. SU is a horrible 0-4-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or fewer points when coming off a conference contest. Finally, ND is 17-6 ATS as a dog versus an opponent coming off a loss, including 10-1 ATS when the Irish are coming off a win of 4 or more points. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
Inter-conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After starting 3-0 SUATS this season behind the lefty, the Fish ride a 0-3 SUATS skid entering this contest. The Dolphins have plummeted from being ranked fi rst in points per drive with Tagovailoa, to 29th without him. Tua, though, brings a lofty 16-9 SU and 15-9-1 ATS career mark into this battle, including 10-4 SUATS at home. Nonetheless, concussions take center stage in this contest with new rookie QB Kenny Pickett currently in concussion protocol. Steelers’ backup QB Mitchell Trubisky completed nine of 12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief of Pickett who left last week’s game woozy with a concussion. Another side bar issue today will be the return of former Miami head coach and current Pittsburgh defensive assistant Brian Flores, who’s has had run-ins with Fish owner Stephen Ross over reported ‘tanking’ issues. However, .500 or greater NFL teams, 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, are 14-1 SUATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a SU underdog win. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +2.5 | Top | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 8 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Kansas City is 8-18 ATS as a favorite when coming off one loss when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 3-14 ATS versus avenging foes. The bottom line, though, the Niners’ No. 1 ranked defense is 101 YPG superior to that of the Chiefs. That being the case, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan is 14-6 ATS as a dog with a win percentage of .333 or more, including 6-0 ATS versus .714 or fewer opponents. |
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10-22-22 | Mississippi State +21 v. Alabama | Top | 6-30 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 26 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Bama’s 40 straight appearances in the Top 5 ends as they fall to No. 6 entering this contest. However, before knee-jerking and deciding to back Bama here, you need to know that Nick Saban is just 6-13 ATS in his CFB head coaching career, including just 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS at home when coming off a SUATS loss and facing an FBS opponent. Mississippi State HC, Mike Leach is 30-15 ATS after a double digit loss, including 15-4 ATS in the last 19 games. Additionally playing against any unrested double-digit conference favorite from Game 7 out off its first loss of the season as a conference favorite of more than 7 points if they’re facing a greater than .333 conference foe off a loss is 15-1 ATS since 1980. |
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10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 46 h 32 m | Show |
MAC game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After a slow 0-3 start, the Bulls have kicked their heels and ride a 4-0 SUATS win skein entering this contest. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG in those four games, while the defense has held its last two opponents to just 7 points apiece. Buffalo in this series is 5-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 ATS at UB Stadium. Buffalo is also 12-4-1 ATS as a home dog, including 5-0-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opposition. Head coach Maurice Linguist, had sunk to 4-11 with the Bulls until they went on their recent 4 game rampage. Buffalo is 7-2 SU and 8-0-1 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS favorite win. Also, consider that playing on any college football home dog who is 4-0 SUATS in its last four games if they were favored in their last game is 22-9 ATS since 1980, including 20-4 ATS if they are facing a foe coming off consecutive wins.. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The stat that jumps out in this contest is that both teams rank No. 1 and 2 in Net Turnover Margin, with Philly +1.8 and Dallas +1.0. For what it’s worth, the Eagles are 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS under Nick Sirianni in games in which they lose the TOs, while the Cowboys are 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS the same way under Mike McCarthy. Meanwhile, where Sunday night home teams coming off consecutive wins tend to struggle, there is no refuting the fact that teams who just upset the defending Super Bowl champions are close to no shows the following game. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in games after Rams, and the Eagles seeking triple revenge it's important knowing America’s Team is a meager 1-9 SUATS away versus .428 or greater foes seeking triple revenge. Finally, playing against any NFL away team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in their last game by 7+ points and scored 28+ points if they’re facing a .400 > foe and the O/U total in this game is < 44 is a PERFECT 15-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 4 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units It starts with KC QB Patrick Mahomes’ 12-1 SU mark versus .777 or greater foes, as well as his 4-1 SUATS record at home versus the AFC East during the regular season. On the flip side, Bills QB Josh Allen has struggled away in his NFL career against .700 or better foes, going just 2-5 SUATS. Digging deeper, the Bills are 1-12 ATS in the 2nd quarter of the season (Games 5-8) with a .500 or greater win percentage when coming off a SUATS win and facing an opponent coming off a home game. Head coach Andy Reid brings in a 28-9-1 ATS dog log into this prime time showdown when coming off consecutive wins, including 4-0-1 ATS at home. Consider also that the Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career. |
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10-15-22 | LSU +2.5 v. Florida | Top | 45-35 | Win | 100 | 74 h 29 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The bottom line is that Brian Kelly will need to do a better job or his one-game deficit in the SEC West will be blowing in the wind. At least he helps himself by bringing along a 21-12 ATS record as a road dog, including 9-1 ATS off an ATS loss of 9 or more points. LSU has also held its own in the last nine series contests with Florida, going 6-2-1 ATS overall and 3-1 SUATS away. New Gators head coach Billy Napier looks to be behind the 8-ball here, as the host team has gone 1-4 ATS in five lined games under Napier this season. Florida also hasn’t fared well of late in home games when playing with SEC revenge, going just 1-4 ATS. Consider finally, that Napier stands 5-11-1 ATS as a conference home favorite, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS versus .666 or greater opponents. |
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10-15-22 | Arkansas v. BYU | Top | 52-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units First, BYU in the favorite role at home is 2-6 ATS when the spread is under 6 points. Second, Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or less. Third, the Razorbacks are a sharp 4-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Even better, or worse depending on whom you’re rooting for, a top-notch SEC underdog coming off losses to Bama and Texas A&M finds itself 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in this situation. Consider that the Cougars have not faired well versus the SEC going 1-8 ATS versus SEC foes since 1990. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 96 h 51 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Baltimore has been outgained in all four games this season. Cincinnati’s strength this season has been its defense as they rank No. 8 in points allowed and No. 11 in overall yards allowed. They are also one of five teams that have been installed as a favorite in every game this year – yet dress up as a dog today. Finally, consider that Cincinnati is 12-1 ATS against foes seeking double revenge. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-21 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 50 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Brady is 12-4 ATS in his NFL career when his team is coming off consecutive losses, as well as 23-7 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit loss. To clinch it, Brady is 7-1 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit home loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13.5 v. USC | Top | 14-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 1 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Washington State is 7-2 ATS as the visitor in this series and 12-3 ATS in Game One of back-to-back road games. Looking up another Washington State stat yields: 7-0 ATS on the road against double-digit unbeaten favorites. USC makes this decision easier by being 2-11 ATS in Game 6, 1-6 ATS home versus conference triple vengeance, and 2-6 ATS in game two of a back-to-back conference affair at home. Add to that the risk of SC looking ahead to a big-time revenge matchup with Utah next week and the LA crowd might be distracted. |
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10-08-22 | Tennessee v. LSU +3 | Top | 40-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 21 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Kelly has been a home hero, going 18-7 SU at home versus undefeated foes, including 13-3 in games in which his troops allow fewer than 21 PPG. LSU is also 5-1 ATS versus conference opponents with rest, and 15-8 ATS as a home dog when coming off an ATS loss, including 4-0 SUATS over the last four. Last week’s win over Auburn was ugly, as Kelly’s team fell behind early, 17-0, before getting it into gear. Tennessee has solid wins against Florida and |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Given the fact the Jags, with their new head coach Doug Pederson, are 0-10 ATS in the second of consecutive away games, they are also 0-4 ATS against the NFC East. On the other side of the coin, Philly is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC South. All good numbers in the Eagles’ favor, for sure. To cap all of this off, consider that playing one any NFL non-division home team in Game 4 if not favored by more than 7 points vs. a foe that scored more than 24 points in its last game is 17-3 ATS since 1980. |
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10-01-22 | NC State v. Clemson -6.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating; 4 units Both teams are 4-0 on the season, this marks the Wolfpack’s first ACC tilt while the Tigers bring a 2-0 conference record into this affair. Recent ATS history offer full support to Clemson here, as they are 7-1 ATS as conference chalk of 8 or fewer points, plus the series host has cashed in three of the last four. That’s pretty strong considering State’s 1-7 ATS failure as a dog of 8 or fewer points, and a 1-4 ATS mark playing away from Raleigh after a non-conference home game. Most important, though, is the fact that the Wolfpack tripped up the Tigers, 27-21, as 10.5-point home dogs last season. With Dabo revenge in play here, we’ll lay the points as he has excelled in conference games when seeking revenge, going 14-6 SU and 13-7 ATS in his career, including a perfect 6-0 SUATS as a single-digit favorite. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
Big-10 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The 23 points given up by the Hawkeyes in their first four games are the fewest scored on the team since 1966. In addition, Iowa will be looking to avenge last season’s loss to Michigan,42-3, in the Big Ten title game. things to consider are that College football home dogs like Iowa, who won 10-plus games the previous season, are 3-0 ATS in Game Five versus undefeated foes playing their first road game of the season. Additionally, 4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in Game Five versus foes coming off consecutive wins. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 48 h 53 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Green Bay’s is 14-2 ATS in games after battling the Bears, along with the Pack’s 9-5-1 SU and 10-5 ATS record in games when seeking “double revenge”, including 10-2 ATS versus .333 or great foes. On the other side of the coin, the Bucs are 2-8 ATS at home against foes seeking “double revenge”, as well as 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in Game Three’s of the season. Finally the Packers are 11-2 SUATS with a sub .750 win percentage under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge. |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts +5.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 45 h 35 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Matt Ryan now owns a 63.9 QB Rating with the Colts. The saving grace is his 11-5 SUATS career record against AFC West opposition, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a dog. On the opposite side of the field, the 2-0 Chiefs – the only undefeated team in the AFC West – enter with a Super Bowl grudge rematch on tap at Tampa Bay next week. Kansas City’s 1-5 ATS record in its last six AFC South skirmishes, and the Colts 6-1 ATS log when coming off a division road. Finally NFL home dogs coming off a shutout loss are 12-2-1 ATS, including 10-0 ATS versus .466 or greater opponents. |
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09-24-22 | Kansas State +12.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
Big-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units K-State has covered the last three matchups in this series, and head coach Chris Kleiman is 7-2 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, including 4-0 ATS when taking more than a dozen points. There is no question that the Wildcats have struggled offensively this season, but the loss to Tulane last week was truly an aberration for star RB Deuce Vaughn, as the diminutive junior failed to score a TD for the first time in 10 games. Kleiman’s defense, however, is very good. Consider , teams playing AWAY off their first loss of the season find point spread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 139-106-7 ATS dating back to 1980. When these teams are also off an ATS loss (Kansas State), they improve to 121-78-4 ATS in these situations. And if these teams are coming off a SU favorite loss they ratchet up to 69-35-2 ATS, including 38-13-1 ATS as a dog, in addition to 31-10-1 ATS against a foe coming off a SUATS win – and a 20-6 ATS combo as a dog against foes coming off a SUATS win. |
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09-24-22 | Florida +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Gators own a huge statistical edge in this series, going 5-1 SUATS the last six meetings, 11-1-1 ATS in Game 4, and a whopping: 16-1 ATS in the last 17 games against Tennessee. The Vols are 0-4 SUATS in Game 4’s, and 1-8 ATS as SEC home favorites of 10 or more points. Tennessee is also 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS at Rocky Top coming off a home game, and a depressing 0-5 SUATS against SEC foes coming off a win. To cap it off Florida is 14-2 SU and 14-1-1 ATS in this series when Tennessee is coming off a win of 10 or more. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating; 5 Units Rodgers has made a living at home in his career with the Packers, going 69-38-4 ATS overall, including 27-12 ATS in division games, as well as 28-9-2 ATS when hosting foes coming off a SUATS win. Green Bay is 20-3 SU and 18-5 ATS in this series since 2011, including 8-0 SUATS when coming off a loss. To clinch it, Green Bay is 9-0 SUATS in regular season games when coming off a loss under head coach Matt LaFleur. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
NFC Division Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Tom Brady comes into this one with a 2-7 ATS career mark when taking to the road as a favorite when coming off a road win after beating the spread by double-digits in his last game including six straight losing tickets in his last six tries. Additionally Tampa is 1-6 ATS away in games with double revenge. Consider as well that New Orleans is 7-1 ATS the last eight games in this series, and 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS as conference home dogs versus .800 or greater opponents. |
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09-17-22 | Marshall v. Bowling Green +16.5 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 15 m | Show |
Mismatch of the Week Rating: 4 units Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS at home in this series and this 6th most experienced team in the nation. Meanwhile, Marshall has struggled on the road when they visit the MAC, going 11-25-1 ATS and 1-5 ATS when coming off a win where they beat a 21 point plus spread. In addition, double-digit ATS winners that are 2-0 road favorites slip badly the following week, going 3-10 ATS the past five years in game 3’s. Consider as well that playing against any college football favorite who upset Notre Dame in its last game if they beat the spread by 17 or more points in the win is 12-1-1 since 1992. |
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09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | Top | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 4 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating; 5 Units Coach Bryan Harsin after a rough first season, is 27-7 in his first four games of the season and Auburn is 10-2 ATS as home dogs against undefeated foes. Nittany Lions leader James Franklin is 3-10-1 ATS away vs a team coming off back to back wins. PSU being 2-7 ATS vs. the SEC is another reason we’re going with the Tigers. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs -2.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 75 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Bucs are 1-6 ATS as non-division road chalk and 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine games against NFC East foes. Looking to the opposite side of the field we find Dallas at 7-0 ATS in its last seven home dog roles, and 4-0 ATS versus the, NFC South. To cap it off consider that an NFL pick or road favorites who won 13-plus games last season are 19-32-1 ATS in season openers, including 0-4 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 50 or more points. |
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09-11-22 | Steelers +7 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 33 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Steeler head coach, Mike Tomlin makes winning division games a priority, going 65-29-1 in his career – including 10-4-1 in first division contests of the season. Additionally, playing against NFL any division road team not favored by 8 or more points in Game One of the season if they lost in the Super Bowl game last season is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1988. |
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09-10-22 | Baylor v. BYU -3 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 57 h 5 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Cougars are 15-7 ATS in home openers, including 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points. The host in this series winning and covering the last three matchups, while BYU is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Big 12 opponents. To clinch it, Baylor is 2-10 ATS in its first away game of the season, including 0-6 ATS when not favored by more than 14 points. |
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09-10-22 | Boston College +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 22 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units With at least four games to come against ranked opponents, last weeks loss deals a major blow to the Eagles’ path back to bowl eligibility under 3rd-year coach Jeff Hafley. A long-term 18-7-1 ATS record as conference road dogs since 2013, including 7-1 ATS when both teams are coming off a loss, plus a series spread mark of 8-3 ATS in the last eleven games (4-1 ATS in the last five) means it's a BC call tonight. To seal the deal consider that beaten bowlers in Game Two who lost their season-opening game as a favorite are 54-72 ATS in these games, and if they happen to be seeking revenge in this contest, they dip to 8-17 SU and 6-19 ATS in these frays – including 2-13 SU and 1-14 ATS if they scored 24 or fewer points in the loss. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Thursday Blowout Rating: 4 Units Rams are 5-0 SUATS Game One of the season the last five years, while head coach Sean McVay is 13-2 SU and 11-4 ATS during the first three games of the season in his NFL career, including 7-1 SUATS at home. With public support overflowing for the Bills, we consider that fact that defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 ATS as home dogs during the first six games of the season since 1980. |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +3 v. LSU | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
NCAAF Play of the Day 4 Units Kelly hasn’t exactly been an ATM early in the season, going 0-3 ATS in season openers the last three years, and 5-13-2 ATS in the first three games of the year versus foes that won 5 or fewer games the previous season, including 0-5 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Meanwhile, Norvell is 16-9 SU and 11-7 ATS versus non-conference opponents, including 7-0 ATS the last seven contests, and 7-1 ATS during the first three games of the season. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
5* CFB Blowout The tale of the ATS tape tonight doesn’t strongly favor either side. Ohio State is 34-1 SU in season openers, including 22 wins in a row, and 4-0 SUATS of late in the series (average win 15.5 PPG). The Irish counter with a recent 14-5 SU record versus Big Ten opponents, and in the last 115 games in which ND has tackled the Big Ten, they’ve lost by more than 17 points only 10 times. The bottom line is this many points is simply too much to pass up with a quality team like the Irish. Buckeyes win on the scoreboard, but Notre Dame cashes the ticket. |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1.5 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF Game of the Week 5 Units Appalachian State stands 11-1 SU at home under third-year head coach Shawn Clarke, and 32-3 SU on the Mountain since 2016. FYI: the Apps are also 40-11 ITS (In The Stats) the last four years, including 21-3 at home. To seal the deal, consider that Appalachian State is 23-1 SU in regular season games in which they win the stats the past two seasons. |
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08-12-22 | Packers +1 v. 49ers | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 218 h 0 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NFLX Game of the Year Green Bay was sent packing in the 2021 playoffs by a 13-10 home loss to the Niners in the Division Round in a game in which the Cheeseheads held Frisco to a season-low 212 total yards of offense – their fewest in 87 games under Kyle Shanahan – yet were STILL booted from the postseason. In addition, we like the fact that the Pack is 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in preseason openers. Given the fact that San Francisco is one of only two teams (Atlanta the other) that will face all three preseason foes that they downed in real games last season, expect the Packers to give the 49ers the boot tonight. Consider that Green Bay is 5-0 SUATS this time of the year against NFC West opposition. |
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03-06-22 | Raptors +5 v. Cavs | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week Toronto is 18-12-1 ATS away this season, including 8-0 ATS when coming off consecutive wins (check status). Cleveland coalesces with a 9-20 ATS mark against foes seeking 33-point or larger same-season revenge, including 4-15 ATS when the Cavaliers sport a sub .700 win percentage. With Cleveland’s return to the mean, this becomes the Raptors get-even opportunity. Finally, consider that Toronto is 8-1 ATS with same season revenge of 14-plus points in this series when the Cavs own a sub .690 win percentage, including 0-5 ATS away |
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03-06-22 | Michigan +4.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Determined to get back on track, and ready for the Big Ten tourney |
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03-05-22 | Pittsburgh v. Notre Dame -12 | Top | 54-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Play of the Day Teams on opposite sides of the Atlantic Coast Conference spectrum end the regular season Saturday when Notre Dame hosts Pitt in South Bend, Ind. The Fighting Irish (21-9, 14-5 ACC) are tied for second place in the league standings and in solid position to make the NCAA Tournament despite a loss to Florida State on Wednesday. The Panthers (11-19, 6-13), meanwhile, have endured a difficult season that has them sitting ahead of only NC State and Georgia Tech in the ACC standings. They have dropped three straight games, including the last two by a combined 51 points. |
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03-02-22 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +4 | Top | 81-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit SEC Game of the Week The Bulldogs have done their best work in Starkville this season where they stand 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS, including 6-1 SUATS in conference play. While Auburn has lingered near or at the top of the rankings this season, they are beginning to show signs of wear, going just 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six contests at press time, while the visiting team is only 6-19-1 ATS in Tiger tiffs this season. Given Mississippi State head coach Ben Howland’s 50-32-2 ATS career mark at home when seeking revenge, including 18-11-1 ATS when taking points, along with his 15-5 SUATS record in LHG’s – including 14-2 SUATS in games in which his troops possess a .482 or better win percentage. Finally to clinch it, Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS as a dog in Last Home Games since 1993. |
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02-27-22 | 76ers -8 v. Knicks | Top | 125-109 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week The Sixers enter tonight’s fracas with a double-revenge chip on their shoulder from this season, as they are 55-33 ATS away long-term against the league in this role, including 20-11 ATS against losing squads. Given the candy apples’ 7-15 ATS mark when facing division foes playing with identical same-season double revenge – and Philadelphia’s 14-1 SU record the last 15 games in this series in which the Sixers own the better record. To cap it off, the Philadelphia 76ers are 33-0 ATS in SU away victories in which they are seeking revenge for a pair of same-season losses. |
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02-26-22 | Gonzaga -10.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 57-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day Consider that the Bulldogs are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win, and 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. While the Gaels are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game, and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. |
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02-26-22 | Nets +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 126-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Play of the Day Embattled Bucks are finding it difficult playing with the “defending champion” target on their backs this season. For openers, they are just 10-20 ATS in their last twenty home games this campaign, including 3-13 ATS against .500 or greater foes. Meanwhile, the new-look Nets will be out to avenge not only a pair of same-season defeats at the hands of Milwaukee tonight, but also a 7-game playoff series loss to the Bucks last season as well. With Brooklyn 10-5-2 ATS away in conference play this season, the points become the play tonight. To cap it off, playing against any sub .800 NBA defending champ at home versus a .500+ non-division opponent seeking same-season double revenge is 17-1 ATS since 2005. |
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02-26-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Northern Iowa +2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit MVC Play of the Day The incentive arrow points to the Panthers, who were laid out, 85-58, in the Windy City two weeks ago – the worst loss in this series since at least 1990. It’s also Senior Night in Cedar Falls, where a veteran 5-returning starter UNI squad brings an 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS mark in Last Home Games into this contest, including 6-1 ATS when not favored by six or more points. Meanwhile, the Ramblers have not fared well when facing foes playing with same season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points, going just 2-7 ATS as visitors. Finally, Loyola is 4-17-1 ATS against avenging opponents the past two seasons, including 0-8-1 ATS when the Ramblers are coming off a SUATS win. |
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02-24-22 | Warriors v. Blazers +9 | Top | 132-95 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Play of the Day The Blazers and Warriors take the court at the Moda Center in Portland following the All-Star break with each team looking to regain its stride. While the visitors from Dub City have dusted the Blazers by 10 and 15 points in their two get-togethers this season, they entered the break on a 0-6-1 ATS skid and are just 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS this season against .333 or greater foes seeking same-season double digit revenge. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 6-0-1 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge of 10 or more points. It all fits snugger than a bug in a rug. Finally playing on any .400 or greater NBA team in its first game after the All-Star break with 7 or more days of rest versus a .719 or greater foe is 11-1 ATS since 2010. |
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02-24-22 | Cavs -8 v. Pistons | Top | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week Pistons have wallowed in division play, going 5-16 SU and 6-15 ATS the past four seasons – including 0-4 SUATS from Game 59 out. More important, Detroit stands 9-29 SU and 12-25 ATS in this series since 1990 in games in which the Cavs arrive rested with a greater than .575 win percentage. Head coach Bernie Bickerstaff has lit a fi re under the Cavaliers, as they are the |
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02-21-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Bears will be seeking atonement from an embarrassing 61- 54 home loss to the Cowboys as -14-point chalk three weeks ago. In addition, they also fell as the No. 1 seed in the Big 12 tourney in the semifinal round to OSU as well. If that doesn’t blacken up these Bears, then nothing does. For openers, they take the court knowing they are 3-0 ATS on this floor when seeking revenge, as well as 7-4 ATS away with same season loss revenge in Big 12 contests. On the flip side, OSU checks in just 7-11 ATS at home against foes arriving with a revenge chip under head coach Mike Boynton, including 0-4 SUATS versus greater than .800 foes. Finally, consider that defending National Champions are 20-6-1 ATS with a sub .840 win percentage when seeking same-season loss revenge during the regular season, including 5-0 SUATS since 2018. |
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02-19-22 | Kansas State +5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rating; 4 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Consider that the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. While the Cowboys are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. |
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02-19-22 | Illinois v. Michigan State +2 | Top | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Izzo stands 30-9 SU and 25-13-1 ATS at home with same-season Big Ten loss revenge with the Spartans, including 26-4 SU and 22-7-1 ATS versus sub .800 opposition. With the Illini limping in off a 70-59 loss as 4-point chalk at Rutgers on Wednesday, and MSU’s always tough-as-nails defense (top 30-ranked Opponent Shooting Percentage) expect Brad Underwood’s crew to slip to 0-5 ATS in games when coming off a SU favorite loss this season. Finally consider that Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is 33-11-1 ATS with 3 or more days of rest with revenge from Game 20 out, including 26-4-1 ATS versus sub .740 opponents |
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02-16-22 | Jazz -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week Utah fell a month ago on this floor when they dropped a 101-95 decision to the Lakers as 5.5-point road chalk. With it, they bring an 8-2 ATS record into this contest as a series guest when looking to avenge a same-season beating in games in which Utah owns a sub .636 win percentage. In addition, they take the floor with a 5-1 SUATS mark in Los Angeles in games in which the Lakers sport a losing record. Meanwhile, LeBron James’ minions arrive on the heels of a revenge affair against Golden State, standing just 13-20 SUATS post-Dub City. Worse, they are staring dead ahead to a get-even revenge affair with their cross-town rival Clippers. The Jazz not only lead the league scoring, they also rank in the Top 10 in scoring defense. On the other side of the coin, the defensively-poor Lakers rank No. 27 in the loop in scoring defense and No. 24 overall in Team Fouls per contest. |
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02-16-22 | Baylor +2.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 73-83 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit CBB Game of the Week The Red Raiders check in with a spotty 10-27-2 ATS mark in conference games before taking on Texas, including 3-14-2 ATS at home. Unfortunately for TTRR, they poked the Bear and must now pay the price, so if the Bears are taking, we are snapping the rubber band. Especially with extra incentive that Baylor is 15-4-1 ATS with revenge in this series, including 10-1-1 ATS with three or more days of rest, as well as 4-0 ATS when the Bears own the better record |
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02-15-22 | Pacers +12.5 v. Bucks | Top | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Play of the Day This evening they return home after hosting Portland last night knowing they are 6-12 SUATS without rest in this series. On the flip side, Indiana enters with triple revenge from this season, sporting a 4-1 SUATS mark in this series when toting those exact credentials. They are also 13-7 SU and 15-5 ATS against the league with same-season triple revenge, including 6-2 SU and 8-0 |
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02-10-22 | Bucks v. Suns -3 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week The Bucks’ 4-game west coast swing concludes here tonight after visits to the Trail Blazers, Clippers, and the Lakers. With it, Milwaukee enters knowing they are just 11-19 ATS away against winning foes this season. The Suns continue to shine at home against winning non-conference opponents, going 5-1 SUATS of late. They are also the No. 2 team in the loop in Average Scoring Margin Per Game, as well as the No. 3 team in Defensive Field Goal Percentage. Finally consider that Milwaukee is 3-22 SU and 9-16 ATS as a visitor at Phoenix, including 0-6 SUATS when the Bucks own a .600 or greater record |
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02-09-22 | Lakers v. Blazers +8 | Top | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Play of the Day Portland stands 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS this season without rest, including 3-0 ATS when looking to avenge a previous loss. They are also 17-7 ATS as home dogs in this series. On the other side of the court, the cast and crew from LA sport a 1-3 SUATS mark away from home this season against unrested foes. Additionally LA stands 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS in non-division contests after meeting Milwaukee. Finally, Portland is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home when seeking same-season double revenge from a loss of 5 or more points in the last meeting. |
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02-05-22 | Oregon State v. Colorado -8.5 | Top | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit CBB Game of the Week Colorado takes the floor knowing they are 4-1 SUATS when playing with a revenge chip in this series, including 4-0 SUATS when the Beavers arrive with a .625 or less win percentage. In addition, the Buffaloes are 32-4 ATS in straight up wins when seeking revenge in Pac-12 games, but they are also 7-0 ATS when seeking revenge from a loss in the Pac-12 tournament when coming off a conference clash. On the other side of the court, following its 84-59 crush-job at Utah on Thursday, the visiting Beavers are 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in games against opponents coming off a loss this season. Finally consider that the Buffaloes are 20-3 ATS at home when coming off consecutive losses and a previous home loss when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 18-1 ATS versus sub .700 opponents. |
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02-01-22 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 115-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Game of the Week For openers, Minnesota is 6-11 SU and 4-13 ATS at home in games after playing the Jaz. They also upset the Nuggets, 124-107, in their most recent meeting in Denver in mid-December. In the meantime, Denver has Utah waiting on deck knowing the Nuggets are 23-9 ATS in games before facing off with Utah, including 12-2 ATS as a dog. Between the Denver, Minnesota, and Utah symmetries, we close it out knowing also that Minnesota is 6-22 SU and 4-23-1 ATS at home versus Denver. |
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01-30-22 | Jazz v. Wolves | Top | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week While Utah rides comfortably atop the Northwest Division, Minnesota is currently 5.5 games back. And rest assured they will have the Jazz’s full attention after having been taken back behind the woodshed three times this season. Consider that Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in this series since 1990 when seeking same-season triple revenge, including 6-0 ATS when the Jazz sport a win percentage of greater than .525. In addition, Utah has hit a skid of late, going just 2-9 SUATS. To cap it all off, playing on the Minnesota Timberwolves in division games before Game 66 when they are seeking same-season triple revenge vs. a .575 or greater foe is a whopping 10-0 ATS since 1990. |
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01-23-22 | Grizzlies +4 v. Mavs | Top | 91-104 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Play of the Day The Grizzlies have been the point spread darlings of the league this season, going 30-17 ATS. In addition, they will be out to avenge a 27-point trouncing at home against the Mavericks nine days ago, all of which figures to work in their favor tonight, as they stand 4-0 ATS in this series with same-season loss revenge from a defeat of more than 25 points. The fact of the matter is their success this season lies in their body of work: No. 1 in Steals Per |
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01-23-22 | Michigan +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day It’s been a down season for the 8-7 Wolves, who were projected as the No. 6 team in the nation in the preseason polls this year. However, there is nothing like a submissive opponent to cure those ills and with it the Hoosiers answer the bell. Aside from bringing a 0-8 SUATS mark in the last eight games in this series into today’s contest, IU enters off a 9-time revenge win over in-state rival Purdue on Thursday knowing they are just 6-11 ATS in post Boilermaker bouts. Given UM’s resounding 83-64 win over Maryland on |
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01-22-22 | USC v. Utah +6 | Top | 79-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week USC enters this fray sporting a 6-12 SU and 14-14 ATS mark in this series, including 1-6 SUATS on this floor. And if that is not enough, there is always the fact that Utah is 15-3 ATS at home when coming off a previous home loss, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 SUATS the last eight, as well as 7-0 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points |
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01-22-22 | LSU +6 v. Tennessee | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit SEC Game of the Week Consider that the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall., and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. While the Volunteers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games. In addition, the underdog is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. |
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01-22-22 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +4 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day Consider that the Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. While the Sooners are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 83 h 49 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Wild Card Game of the Week Rest assured, the Bills have been chewing nails since losing to Kansas City in the AFC title game last season. Not only have they played their way back to the postseason this year, they’ll take the field today knowing that playoff home teams who fell in their conference title game the previous season are 44-8 SU and 34-16-2 ATS overall, including 26-3 SU and 21-6-2 ATS when coming off a win of 6-plus points. Yes, we realize that six of their victories this season have come against teams that were using a backup quarterback, but after its 7-0 SUATS winning skein, New England enters just 1-3 SUATS in its last four contests while nearly mirroring its dismal 1-4 start to begin the season. The Pats where out-yarded -406 net yards against five fellow bowl teams this season, while the Bills outs tatted six playoff teams to the tune of +325 net yards. In fact, consider that NFL playoff home favorites who were in the playoffs the previous season are 15-3 SU and 14-5 ATS since 1996 when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 6-0 ATS when coming off a loss of more than 8 points. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 55 h 18 m | Show |
Rating: 4 UnitSNF Game of the Week The Chargers’ Achilles heel has been its scoring defense in late stages of the game, as the 10.3 PPG they surrender in the 4Q of games is the worst in the league. However, Vegas is the worst team in the league in Penalty Yards Per Game which means nothing surprises us in this prime time playoff eliminator. In a game of back-and-forth possibilities, we settle on this beauty that winning division home dogs of 3 or fewer points seeking revenge in their final game of the season are 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS since 1980. In addition, playing on any division home dog with a winning record coming off a SU non-division NFL road win as a dog of 4 or more points if they are facing an opponent that has won 21 or fewer of its last 32 overall games is a perfect 7-0 ATS since 1980. That should put the Raiders in the playoffs. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers +4.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NFC Play of the Day Niners need either a win or a loss by the Saints, and they are in the playoffs as a wild card. Frisco upended Los Angeles, 31-10, as a 3.5-point home dog back in November, and has now won and covered each of the past three meetings in this series. After stumbling out of the gate 3-5 during the first half of the season, Kyle Shanahan’s troops have found their groove going 6-2 SUATS and 7-1 ITS (In The Stats) in their previous eight games. With the horned heads just 3-9 ATS at home when coming off consecutive road contests, and the 49ers sporting a 28-12 SU and 28-10-2 ATS record as a visitor in this series, the points become the play today. To cap it off, consider that the Rams are 1-7 SUATS at home in division games when coming off consecutive away wins, including 0-6 SUATS the last six. |
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01-09-22 | Bengals +4.5 v. Browns | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 54 m | Show |
Rating: 6 Unit AFC Game of the Month Cincinnati comes into this one celebrating their first playoff berth, division title, and season of double-digit wins since 2015. QB Joe Burrow passed for 446 yards and four TDs, giving him 971 yards and eight TDs, and zero interceptions over the past two weeks. And Burrow to Ja’Marr Chase has become the NFL ‘s most dangerous connection. With the Browns averaging a mere 4.4 PPG during the 4Q this season – only Atlanta was worse – look for the Bengals to avenge a 41-16 home loss suffered against Cleveland two months ago. Finally, consider that Cincinnati is 10-0 SU and 8-2 in this series when the Browns are coming off consecutive SUATS losses, including 6-0 SUATS when Cleveland owns a losing record. |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 102 h 12 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NFC Play of the Day The Cowboys became the 17th different NFC East division champion in the past 17 seasons when they clinched the crown in last week’s 56-14 whipping of Washington. With it, QB Dak Prescott fi nally broke out of his slump, albeit against a poor pass defense missing lots of personnel. Prescott was nearly perfect in this game going 28-of-39 for 330 yards and four touchdowns. He’ll need a repeat performance today, though, especially with ‘Zona 6-1 SUATS away this season. Consider that Dallas is 5-12 SU and 2-15 ATS at home the last 11 years without rest versus .666 or greater conference opponents, including 0-12 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of fewer than 51 points |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +4 v. Titans | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 38 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit AFC Game of the Week Miami’s 21-3 win over New Orleans Monday Night was more lopsided than the final score indicated, as the Dolphins outgained the Saints, 259-164, and averaged 1.2 more yards per play. With it, they currently hold down the seventh seed in the AFC playoff picture after Monday night’s win, with two more games left to prove they’re deserving of a postseason berth. With last week’s home underdog win over San Francisco, Tennessee enters today’s fray as the No. 2 overall seed in the AFC playoff picture. After tossing for only 40 yards in the first half against San Francisco last week, Titans’ QB Ryan Tannehill came alive after the break finishing up 22-of-29 for 209 yards and a touchdown. Still, they are just 1-6 ATS as non-division home chalk of 5 or fewer points, while Miami is 17-4 ATS as non-division road dogs of 5 or fewer points. Consider that NFL dogs riding a 7-game-exact win streak are 13-3 ATS since 2002, including 12-1 ATS when coming off a non-division victory. |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 75 h 21 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Day The Golden Domers are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS versus .846-or-greater Big 12 opponents, plus 7-13 SU and 6-14 ATS versus bowl opponents that allow fewer than 18.5 PPG. And that is key here as the Cowboys have one of the stingiest defensive units in the nation (ranked 3rd in the country), and allowed just 16.8 points per game this season, which was 7th in scoring defense. DC Jim Knowles is another major coach who has flown the coop before a bowl game, heading for the same position at Ohio State, but the defensive game plan is etched in stone in Stillwater. Also, remember, the Cowboys were one inch away from a possible appearance in this season College Football Playoff after going 5-0 SUATS away from home this season. Consider that College Bowl favorites entering 3-0 SUATS in their last three games, the last an ATS win of 6-plus points, are 4-29 ATS against a foe who scored 21 or fewer points in its final game of the season. Know also that playing against any College Bowl favorite who is 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games if they are off a double-digit ATS win and are facing a foe coming off a loss who allows fewer than 25 PPG is a perfect 17-0 ATS since 1980. |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Week The East Lansing Knothole Gang is a crackling 7-1 ATS in its last eight bowls, 3-0 ATS versus the ACC in the last three, and the B1G Boys have been bullies against the ACC in bowl season, going 7-1 ATS in the last eight. Big-moneyed Head Coach Mel Tucker engineered the biggest one-season turnaround in the long history of Spartans’ football and despite all the attention Walker III earned, don’t sleep on talented QB Payton Thorne, especially if receiver Jalen Nailor is able to bounce back from injury and join fellow wideout Jayden Reed. Consider as well that .700 or greater College Bowl ‘Mission Teams’ – teams who missed a bowl game last season after having been a bowler each of the previous three seasons – are 16-3-1 ATS versus foes coming off a loss. |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -4.5 | Top | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 179 h 33 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month Oregon got as high as No. 3 in the CFB Playoff rankings before getting spanked twice in two weeks by Utah, which destroyed any hopes for a playoff appearance or a New Year’s Six Bowl. It’s bad enough that the down-and-out Ducks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six Bowls, but the Pac-12 is 0-5 ATS versus the Big 12 of late in post-season matchups, and Bowl dogs of 15 or fewer points off a conference loss of 28 or more are 3-9 ATS… that’s a lot of fugly numbers at work here against the quackers in this matchup. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in bowl games in which the Sooners sport the better record. In fact, OU is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS against Pac-12 foes in games in which the Sooners own the better record. With both head coaches bolting for greener pastures – Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley is off to USC, while Oregon’s Mario Cristobal landed at Miami Florida – the feeling here is the Sooners have much more unfinished business at hand in this contest. The Clincher: Pac-12 bowlers coming off a SUATS loss are 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS since 2015. |
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12-28-21 | Louisville v. Air Force +1.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 149 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Play of the Day Despite being the primary focus of every defense, Brad Roberts is the Falcons workhorse, averaging over 106 YPG with his longest run of the season being only 33 yards. People tend to forget the Falcons in the bowl season too, but AFA is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 bowls, 11-2 ATS off back-to-back SU victories, 4-1 ATS when an opponent limps in off a double-digit loss (like UL is), and 4-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or fewer points. Also consider that playing on any Military bowl team with a greater than .666 win percentage versus an opponent not coming off a double-digit win is 18-2 ATS since 1980. |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins +3 v. Saints | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 129 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Play of the Day The Dolphins have won yardage in each of their last five games, while surrendering just 272 YPG throughout the course of its current six-game win skein. On the flip side, the Saints did the impossible when they blanked Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs in Tampa Bay last week. And for that they figure to pay a price today. For openers, New Orleans is 1-9-1 ATS home versus AFC opponents. In the 9-0 victory last week, only one Saint registered more than 17 receiving yards. That was Marquez Callaway, who had a big game. He caught six of his nine targets for 112 yards. Look for New Orleans and its 1-9-1 ATS record as an AFC host to take a hit tonight. The Clincher: Teams who shut out the defending Super Bowl champions in a win of 7 or more points are 0-3 SUATS since 1980 their next game. |
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12-26-21 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day After not having much success in tight games over the first part of the season, the New Orleans Pelicans have turned their fortunes around during their current four-game winning streak. Over the Pelicans' first 29 games, they were just 1-9 in "clutch" games -- games where the score is within five points in the final five minutes. But starting with New Orleans' 113-110 win in Oklahoma City on Dec. 15, a game decided by Devonte' Graham's 61-foot shot at the buzzer, the Pelicans are 3-0 in such games. Today, New Orleans tries to keep its momentum going with a return trip to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are coming off a 113-101 loss Thursday in Phoenix. Consider that OKC is 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. |
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12-25-21 | Colts +1 v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 81 h 17 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week Indianapolis reversed a 0-3 start into the No. 5 seed in the current AFC playoff chase thanks to 4-1 SUATS skein after taking on the latest ‘Hard Knocks II’ role Thanksgiving Week, while snapping New England’s season best 7-game win streak last week. And they did it in spite of QB Carson Wentz’s immense struggles as potential league MVP RB Jonathan Taylor dashed for 170 yards on 29 attempts, including a 67-yard scamper for a score. Given head coach Frank Reich’s 10-4 SU mark from Game Thirteen out during the regular season, and Indy’s 8-3 SUATS all time mark against NFC West foes coming off consecutive losses, the points become the play here today. Also consider that Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is 3-8 SUATS at home in his NFL career versus winning foes, including 0-8 SUATS versus foes with at least one loss on the season. To cap it all off, consider that playing against any regular season NFL home pick or favorite on Saturday coming off a loss if they lost to the spread by 17 or more points in the loss is a perfect 14-0 ATS since 1980. |
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12-19-21 | Packers v. Ravens +7 | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
Rating: 4 UnitNFL Upset of the Day The suddenly listless Ravens have not scored an offensive touchdown in the first quarter in each of their last 7 games, but if you saw the second half of the Ravens-Browns contest, you’ll know why we think they’ve still got some fight left. That was when backup QB Tyler Huntley sparked Baltimore to a near-win at Cleveland, engineering a 19-point second half comeback that fell two-points short in the Ravens’ 24-22 loss at the Dawg Pound. Consider as well that playing on any NFL home dog of more than 3 points during the second-half of the season with a winning record if they were a playoff team last season that is not coming off a loss of 13 or more points and they are facing an opponent with at least one loss on the season who is coming off a win of 14 or more points is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1980. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots +2.5 v. Colts | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 28 m | Show |
Rating: 5 UnitNFL Saturday Game of the Month Bill Belichick is 6-2 SUATS riding a 7-game winning streak, including 4-0 SUATS versus sub .700 foes. He’s also 20-5 on Saturdays, including 10-2 SU and 8-3-1 ATS during the regular season, and 8-2 ATS as a dog versus the Colts with New England, including 5-0 ATS in games in which Indy owns a sub .777 win percentage. Toss in his sterling 12-2 SUATS record as a visitor when playing with rest and his squad suddenly poses a major problem for the born-again Colts. Meanwhile, Indy has forgotten how win in this series, going just 13-34 SU and 14-32-1 ATS overall since 1987, including 2-17 ATS as a favorite, and 0-4 ATS in games in which the Pats own the better record. We don’t see anything here being broke, and we’re not about to fix it. Finally, consider that New England head coach Bill Belichick is a sterling 12-2 SUATS record as a visitor when playing with rest, including 11-0 SUATS when facing sub .666 opponents. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -104 | 31 h 40 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Prime Time Game of the Week QB Patrick Mahomes is just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in this series in games in which the Bolts sport a .500 or greater record, while Andy Reid brings a 2-4 SUATS career record on Thursdays into this contest when facing division foes. On the flip side, the Chargers are 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS on Thursdays from Game Eleven out. |
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12-12-21 | 49ers +1 v. Bengals | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit - Inter-Conference Play of the Day Kyle Shanahan has developed a broad home-road dichotomy, where he is 22-16 ATS away as opposed to 16-22-1 ATS at home with San Francisco (more on that below). Included in those numbers is a glitzy 7-2 ATS record on the AFC road, including 6-0 ATS the last six contests. Coupled with Cincy’s 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS mark under Zac Taylor in games against the NFC West, it paints an imposing picture for the suddenly fractured Bengals. Consider that Shanahan is 11-2 ATS away in non-division games against foes coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS the last six games. |