Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-16-12 | Arizona -3 v. Washington State | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #743 Take Arizona over Washington State (9 pm FSN) The Wildcats continue to be undervalued by the line makers and we will continue to ride them on the road with these short numbers. Arizona has already beaten Washington State by 24 points this season and expect them to complete the trifecta on Thursday. The Cougars have lost 4 of their last 6 games and will be without their best player in Faisal Aden, as he is out for the season. Arizona has won 4 straight games and every one of those games have come over the posted number of tonight
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02-16-12 | West Virginia v. Pittsburgh UNDER 135.5 | 66-48 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Free Play from Doc
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02-15-12 | Villanova v. South Florida -2.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. #550 Take South Florida over Villanova (7 pm ESPN 2) Villanova is traditionally a better team than South Florida, but that is not the case this season and this line is way short. Maalik Wayns is a little banged up for this game with a sprained left knee and will not be 100% for this game. Villanova leads the all-time series 5-2 but dropped a 74-57 decision to USF in Philadelphia January 5. It was the Bulls' second win a row over the Wildcats after securing a 70-69 win in the opening round of last year's Big East Tournament. USF is a sneaky 8-4 in the Big East this season and they still have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament and cannot afford a loss to the Wildcats on Wednesday night. Nova has lost 3 of their last 4 games and all four of their conference teams have come against bottom feeder teams with the exception of a home win against Seton Hall. Villanova is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. USF has covered 7 of their last 9 home games.
Best of Luck |
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02-14-12 | Eastern Michigan +4 v. Central Michigan | 52-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #729 Take Eastern Michigan over Central Michigan (7 pm) The Chippewas are a terrible team and should not be laying points against anybody in the MAC. They have lost nine straight games in a row since they defeated the Eagles on 1/11. The Eagles have played much better since that loss and they are coming off a double digit victory in their last outing against Ohio. They pride themselves on strong defense and like to keep the scoring in the fifties setting up a strong play since we are getting points. Eastern Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Central Michigan is 6-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 22 home games. Play the visitor in this battle of Michigan teams.
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02-12-12 | Pittsburgh +118 v. Seton Hall | 66-73 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #813 Take Pittsburgh over Seton Hall (12 pm ESPN 3) These two teams have been heading in opposite directions of late and the Panthers need all the wins that they can get in order to get back on the tournament bubble. Pittsburgh has won 4 of their last 5 games and getting them as an underdog on Sunday is too good to pass up. This will be the 52nd meeting in the all-time series between these two teams, with Pitt holding a 31-20 advantage. The Panthers have won 11 of the last 15 encounters, including two of the last three played in the Garden State. Pittsburgh is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less.
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02-11-12 | Nevada -7.5 v. San Jose St | 76-70 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #679 Take Nevada over San Jose State (11 pm) It is always dangerous to lay this many points on the road, but the Wolf Pack are the best team in the WAC and the Spartans are the worst team in the WAC. Nevada picked up a nice win at Hawaii on Thursday. That victory was the 17th in the last 18 contests for Nevada, the team still holding sole possession of first place in the WAC at an impressive 9-1. Nevada has won nine straight in the series with the Spartans and all but one of the last 20 matchups overall, thanks in part to an 81-57 blowout in the first meeting of the season in Reno last month. Expect a 20-point blowout on Saturday night behind a much better team.
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02-11-12 | Eastern Washington v. Weber State -9.5 | 75-84 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #716 Take Weber State over Eastern Washington (9:30 pm) The Wildcats do not just win games in the Big Sky Conference, they win they big and that will again by the case tonight in Ogden against the Eagles. They are 11-1 in the Big Sky and they have covered 7 of their last 10 games. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when they are a road underdog.
Best of Luck |
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02-11-12 | Tennessee Tech v. Tennessee State -3 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #710 Take Tennessee State over Tennessee Tech (8:30 pm) Granted the Tigers are coming off an emotional victory over Murray State on Thursday when they knocked them from the ranks of the unbeaten, but I just do not see a letdown in this in-state rival. TSU has won six straight games to move into second place in the OVC and they will have revenge on their minds as well, since they lost to the Golden Eagles by six points earlier this season. If this was a road game I would be leery, but playing at Gentry Complex will allow the home team to cover for the 5th time in their last 7 games (1 push).
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02-11-12 | Southern Methodist v. Rice -5.5 | 39-43 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #654 Take Rice over SMU (8 pm) This line is way too low considering that Rice has already won at SMU and the Mustangs are terrible. SMU has lost 5 of their last 6 games and their closest loss was 6 points. They did beat TCU in their last outing, another terrible team from a difference conference, but they are just 2-7 in conference games. SMU simply does not score enough points to remain competitive with a team that already beat them by 16 points in Dallas.
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02-11-12 | Washington State v. Oregon -6 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #598 Take Oregon over Washington State (6 pm CSN-NW) The Cougars are without their best player in Faisal Aden and they are winless on the road during PAC-12 play. I like this Ducks team and believe they are once again undervalued at home and I expect them to record their 13th victory on the season tonight. WSU has only covered 1 of their last 6 road games. Oregon has covered 4 of their last 5 games overall. They already beat WSU in Pullman by 17 points this season. We only need them to win by half that margin in Eugene tonight.
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02-11-12 | Wichita State v. Creighton | 89-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #592 Take Creighton over Wichita State (5 pm ESPN 2) I just believe that Creighton is the best team in the MVC and getting them at this low of a number at home is too good to pass up. The Bluejays claimed a 68-61 win at Wichita State back on New Year's Eve to take a 53-43 lead in the all-time series, and history is clearly on Creighton's side in this contest as it is 17-1 at home versus the Shockers since 1993. Lay this low number with the better team at home behind Doug McDermott, the coaches son and best player on the floor.
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02-11-12 | California v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 73-63 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #580 Take UCLA over California (4 pm FSN) I really like the Bruins in this spot, as they have played much better during the second half of the season and they will take care of business against an overrated California team at Pauley Pavilion this Saturday afternoon. The Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 games and that lone loss came at Washington in a game they dominated for 36 minutes before falling apart at the end. The big turnaround for this team has come on the defensive end with Joshua Smith finally in shape and is doing damage inside the paint to go along with the Wear Brothers. Smith was in foul trouble and did not play much against Stanford on Thursday and that extra rest should make him all the better for this game.
UCLA is a fringe tournament team at the moment and really needs this game against California to solidify their standing as a possible tournament team. California is the best the PAC-12 has to offer at the moment but they do not impress me that much on the offensive end of the floor. Expect the Bruins to dominate the paint and I like their guards better than Bears as well. UCLA is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. California is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning home record. Revenge is served on the court today, as the Bruins pound the Bears by double-digits. |
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02-11-12 | South Carolina v. Arkansas -5.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #540 Take Arkansas over South Carolina (1:30 pm ESPN 3) The Razorbacks are coming off two disappointing road losses and expect them to rebound in a big way on Saturday against the worst team in the SEC. Arkansas has only lost one game at home this season and South Carolina has been getting blown out consistently in the SEC. The Hogs will record their 17th home victory of the season. Arkansas is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games as a favorite. South Carolina is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss in their previous game.
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02-11-12 | Miami (Fla) v. Florida State -7 | 59-64 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #532 Take Florida State over Miami (1 pm ESPN 3) Both teams are overachieving during the ACC, but Miami has been in two overtime games in their last three and that will eventually catch up with them. FSU is coming off an embarrassing loss to Boston College and they will take out their frustration today against Miami.
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02-11-12 | DePaul +12 v. Notre Dame | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #523 Take DePaul over Notre Dame (12 pm) The Blue Demons are terrible, but Notre Dame does not play the style of offense that can cover this big of a number. Cleveland Melvin is a solid player and he alone should be able to keep them in this game for 40 minutes. DePaul is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss in their previous outing. Notre Dame is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against teams with a losing road record. This is a 10 point Irish victory giving us an easy cover with the visitor.
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02-09-12 | Nevada v. Hawaii | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #769 Take Nevada over Hawaii (12 am ESPN 3) The Wolf Pack sit atop the standing in the WAC and the Warriors will not be able to knock them off their perch early Friday morning. The Pack leads the all-time series by a count of 19-11 over Hawaii, taking the first meeting of the season by a 77-74 score last month in Reno. Nevada is coming off a rare conference home loss on Saturday and cannot wait to get that taste out of their mouth. Nevada is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
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02-09-12 | New Mexico State -1 v. Idaho | 58-59 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #767 Take New Mexico State over Idaho (11 pm) Idaho has shown improvement this season but they are not yet ready to challenge for top billing in the WAC. The Aggies have won five in a row over Idaho, including the first meeting of this season last month in Las Cruces by a score of 80-68. With the current run of success, NMSU now leads the all-time series, 20-3. Since December 29th, the Aggies have lost just two games. Idaho is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
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02-09-12 | Tennessee-Martin +11 v. SE Missouri St. | 56-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #793 Take Tennessee Martin over SE Missouri State (8 pm) The Skyhawks are a defensive oriented team and that makes them a strong selection getting double digits against the Redhawks tonight at the Show Me Center. These two teams met earlier this season and it was just a two point game and I expect this game to be played in the sixties giving us a good chance for the back door cover.
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02-09-12 | NC-Greensboro v. Samford -3.5 | 71-69 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #788 Take Samford over UNC Greensboro (8 pm) We have had a good feel for this Spartans team all season long and tonight is a good spot to fade them since the Bulldogs will have revenge on their minds after a one point loss earlier this season. Samford owns a 6-3 edge over UNCG in terms of the brief all-time history between the two programs. The Bulldogs have won 4 of their last 5 games and that includes back-to-back road games in their last outings.
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02-09-12 | Wisconsin +1 v. Minnesota | 68-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #717 Take Wisconsin over Minnesota (7 pm ESPN) This is an important game for both teams, as the Gophers look to even up their mark at 6-6 I the Big Ten. We do not expect them to accomplish this as Wisconsin looks to get back on track coming off a disappointing performance on Saturday against Ohio State. I expect the Badgers to get a lot of open looks in this game since Minnesota does not defend the perimeter that well and that should allow them to emerge victorious. Minnesota is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS victory. Wisconsin has already won at Nebraska, Purdue, Penn State, and Illinois and will add Minnesota to that list on Thursday.
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02-08-12 | Duke v. North Carolina UNDER 158 | 85-84 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #602 Take Under in Duke @ North Carolina (9 pm ESPN) For the Blue Devils to be competitive in this game, they will have to keep the score low and put forth an outstanding defensive effort. Counter that with UNC being banged up and I do not expect them winner of this game to reach 80 points setting us up in good shape to collect with the under. Duke has went under the posted total in 7 of their last 10 road games. North Carolina has gone under the posted total in 6 straight games against teams with a winning record. Most of the high scorers these two teams have notched this season have come against bad teams. That will not be the case tonight, and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.
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02-08-12 | Missouri State -4 v. Southern Illinois | 56-54 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #585 Take Missouri State over Southern Illinois (8 pm ESPN 3) Both teams have poor records at home, but a simple look at the RPI rankings will tell you all you need to know about which side we will be on this evening. Missouri State ranks 82nd in the RPI standing and Southern Illinois ranks 224. The Salukis have a lame duck coach in Chris Lowery and they just cannot wait for this season to end. These teams met for the first time this season in early January and it was Missouri State that took the 77-65 decision on its home court. The Bears have now won five straight games against Southern Illinois. SIU is 6-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games following a victory in their previous game.
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02-08-12 | Marshall v. Central Florida -4.5 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #540 Take Central Florida over Marshall (7 pm BHSN) The Knights will have revenge on their minds tonight at UCF Arena, as they suffered a one point loss to the Herd earlier this season when two late free throws did them in. UCF has been outstanding at home this season going 12-1 and expect them to notch win No. 13 this evening. UCF is allowing just over 61 points per game and expect them to pull away late and win this game comfortably. The Knights are 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games overall. Getting them with this low of a number is too good to pass up.
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02-07-12 | Alabama -5 v. Auburn | 68-50 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #725 Take Alabama over Auburn (9 pm ESPN U) This is the Iron Bowl basketball style when the Crimson Tide head north to take on the Auburn Tigers. This is a complete mismatch on paper and Alabama cannot afford to take this game lightly since they are just 4-4 in the SEC. The Tigers are getting better under second year Coach Tony Barbee, but they are just 3-6 in SEC play and those wins have come against bottom feeder teams in Georgia, Ole Miss, and South Carolina. Alabama leads the all-time series with Auburn, 87-56, and the Tide has won the last three meetings. The Tide have covered 5 of their last 7 games played on Tuesday.
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02-06-12 | Texas v. Texas A&M +2 | 70-68 | Push | 0 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #526 Take Texas A & M over Texas (9 pm ESPN) Texas is still really young and they have a lot of flaws and should not be laying points on the road to anybody in the Big XII. The Horns are just 4-6 during conference play and they will face the Aggies, who have been a covering machine of late. A & M has covered 5 straight Big XII games. Texas is just 6-14 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games overall. Khris Middleton recorded a double- double in the first meeting between these two teams and expect him to come up big again on Monday.
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02-06-12 | Missouri v. Oklahoma +5.5 | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #524 Take Oklahoma over Missouri (7 pm ESPN U) This is a case of a classic spot for a letdown, as the Tigers are coming off a big performance on Saturday night against Kansas. The crowd stormed the court, but the fact is that Missouri did not play well in that game and needed the help of the officials to give them a victory. Missouri now must go on the road to face a well-coached team in Oklahoma. The line being this low should tell you something as well, since Oklahoma is just 13-9 on the season, but they are 9-3 at home. Missouri is just 18-40 ATS (1 push) in their last 59 road games. Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
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02-06-12 | Connecticut v. Louisville -4 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #522 Take Louisville over Connecticut (7 pm ESPN) The Huskies got back on track with a victory over Seton Hall this last weekend, but that is a little deceiving since the Pirates were without their best player in Herb Pope. The fact is that this team is still offensively challenged and they are racing a red hot Louisville team that has won 4 Big East games in a row. Louisville won 2 of the 3 meetings with Connecticut last season and that included a victory in Hartford. The Cardinals are starting to get healthy and expect them to cruise to a victory tonight at the YUM Center. UCONN is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
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02-05-12 | Northwestern v. Illinois -5 | 74-70 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #820 Take Illinois over Northwestern (3 pm Big Ten Network) Northwestern continues to be overvalued when playing on the road and we have learned our lesson with them and will fade them today as Illinois goes for the season sweep of their in-state rival. Illinois is in complete command of the all-time series with the Wildcats, putting up a 129-36 mark thanks in part to a 57-56 victory in Evanston last month in the first meeting of the season between the two. In Champaign, the Illini have won all but 13 of the 77 matchups over the years. The Illini had been struggling a little big but got back on track with a victory against Michigan State on Tuesday and with the added rest they will be ready to roll in this affair. The Wildcats have lost five straight road games. Northwestern is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when they are coming off a victory.
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02-04-12 | Buffalo -5 v. Toledo | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #627 Take Buffalo over Toledo (7 pm) The Bulls are one of the better teams in the MAC and they will be facing the Rockets, one of the worst teams in the MAC. Buffalo has had the upper hand of late, as winners of the last four contests, including a dominating 81-58 victory at home in the lone meeting last season. Buffalo will enter this game having won 5 straight and only one of those games was competitive. The Rockets have been blown out in their last two games and they are just 5-6 at Savage Hall this season. Buffalo is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. Toledo is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
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02-04-12 | UCLA -2.5 v. Washington State | Top | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #601 Take UCLA over Washington State (5 pm ROOT Sports) Top Play of the Day. The Bruins losing on Thursday actually set this up as our top play on Saturday. Washington State is not Washington and furthermore they will be without their best player Faisal Aden. UCLA has played much better winning 2 of their last 3 games and Josh Smith has finally gotten in shape and will be a dominating force in this game. I like the Bruins player better at every position on the court and expect them to dominate the paint and cruise to a victory. This will be the 114th meeting in the all-time series. UCLA holds a supreme 99-14 advantage in the rivalry's history. The Bruins won both of last year's encounters to improve their record against the Cougars. UCLA has covered 6 of their last 8 games. Washington State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a victory. The Cougars struggled to put away USC and will lose this game by double digits.
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02-04-12 | Texas A&M +11.5 v. Kansas State | 53-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #581 Take Texas A & M over Kansas State (4 pm Big XII Network) The Aggies have been very competitive of late and getting double digits against an offensively challenged team is too good to pass up on Saturday. The teams have split the last six meetings, with the Aggies winning the lone matchup during the 2010-2011 campaign, 64-56.A & M is 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss in their previous game. K-State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Big XII foes.
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02-04-12 | Penn State v. Iowa -6.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #570 Take Iowa over Penn State (3 pm ESPN U) Penn State is trash and whenever you get a line of under single digits on the road, we will be taking the other side. The Hawkeyes have shown improvement under Fran McCaffrey and this will be a get well game coming off an emotional victory against Minnesota on Wednesday. The Hawkeyes lead the all-time series with Penn State by a count of 22-12. Penn State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Iowa is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
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02-04-12 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +4 | 58-52 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #562 Take Wisconsin over Ohio State (2 pm ESPN) The Buckeyes have not had much success at Wisconsin during the Thad Matta era and expect that to continue today in Madison. Ohio State has not won a game in Wisconsin since 2000 and I was going to use this as a selection when the line opened at 2. Now we are getting double that and this is one of our stronger plays of the day. Wisconsin is a different team at home and if they make shots from the outside, they will win this game going away. Ohio State is just 3-3 in true road games this season and they do not have a road win against an ACC tournament team.
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02-02-12 | UCLA v. Washington -3.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #538 Take Washington -3.5 over UCLA (9 pm ESPN) The Huskies are not healthy and they are coming off an impressive sweep in the desert last weekend. They have facing an improved Bruin team, but Washington is a completely different animal when they are playing in Seattle. Washington won both games last season by an average of 9 points and that is how I see this game going as well. UCLA is just 1-4 in true road games this season. Washington has already lost two home games this season, but that is all that they will lose. UCLA is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Washington has covered 5 of their last 6 home games.
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02-02-12 | Detroit v. Valparaiso -2.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #522 Take Valparaiso -2.5 over Detroit (7:30 pm FSN Detroit) The Titans have talent, but they lack mental focus and that will spell trouble for them this evening when they head south to Indiana. Detroit has won 6 of their last 8 games, but one of those losses during this stretch came against Valpo in Detroit. They are just 2-6 in true road games this season and Valpo is 8-2 at home. Detroit is 4-12 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 18 road games.
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02-02-12 | Duke -4.5 v. Virginia Tech | 75-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #513 Take Duke -4.5 over Virginia Tech (7 pm ESPN 2) The Hokies always seem to get up for this game, but this season they do not have the bullets to be able to stay with Duke. The Hokies have already lost 4 home games this season and Duke has won 15 of the last 18 meetings overall and three of the last four matchups at Cassell Coliseum. Sometimes the simple answers are right in front of you, Virginia Tech is 1-5 in the ACC and Duke is 5-1 in the ACC. This will be a close game early before Duke pulls away in the second half. The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 ACC games.
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02-01-12 | Boise State v. San Diego St -10.5 | 56-58 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #800 Take San Diego State over Boise State (10:15 pm CBS Sports Network) The Broncos are walking into a buzz saw tonight, as they have yet to win a game in the MWC and are facing an angry Aztec team that was blown out on Saturday by Colorado State. San Diego State has one of the best defenses in the country and I believe that the Broncos will struggle to score 45 points in this game. Boise State is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games. San Diego State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. San Diego State is angry and they will take out their frustration in a big way tonight Viejas Arena.
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02-01-12 | Houston +9 v. UAB | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #793 Take Houston over UAB (9 pm CSS) The Blazers had been a traditionally strong mid-major program over the last couple of years but they have fallen on hard times this season and should not be laying this many points to any team in Conference USA. The Cougars have won two straight games after a comeback against UTEP on Saturday and will enter this game with a lot of confidence. The Cougars are a run and gun team which has given them the second-best scoring offense in the C-USA with 74.8 points per game. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.
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02-01-12 | Georgia v. Auburn -1.5 | 51-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #782 Take Auburn over Georgia (8 pm SEC Network) This is just a case where home court means everything, as Georgia has fallen off of a cliff after making the NCAA Tournament last season. Auburn has played pretty well of late despite a brutal start to SEC play and should be able to knockout a team that is just 1-4 in true road games this season. Georgia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 SEC games. Auburn has covered 5 of their last 6 games. Auburn is 11-1 at home this season and win No. 12 will come this evening.
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01-31-12 | New Mexico v. Air Force +8.5 | 81-42 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #540 Take Air Force over New Mexico (10 pm the Mtn) Just do not believe that the Lobos are a good enough team to be laying this many points when playing on the road. Lune Arena is always a tricky place to play with the altitude and expect the Lobos to be in for a surprise tonight with how good the Falcons are a home. Air Force has won 9 of their 12 home games this season. New Mexico is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. This will be a single digit game for 40 minutes and we will collect with the home team.
Best of Luck |
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01-31-12 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -1 | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #534 Take Iowa State over Kansas State (9 pm ESPN 3) The Wildcats are a completely different team when they are playing on the road and they usually do not get the calls for their rough play. This puts them at a great disadvantage since they are not a good shooting team. The Cyclones are well on their way to an NCAA Tournament bid and a win tonight will go a long way to solidifying that birth. Iowa State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Big XII games. K-State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
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01-31-12 | Seton Hall v. Marquette -8.5 | 59-66 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #530 Take Marquette over Seton Hall (8 pm ESPN 3) The Pirates have fallen off a cliff after a hot start of the season and it appears that recent history is beginning to show its face. They will enter this game having lost 4 straight and 3 of those setbacks have come by 8 points or more. Marquette leads the all-time series with the Pirates by a count of 8-2. The Golden Eagles have won 6 straight Big East games and should have no problem winning this game by double digits. Seton Hall is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog. Marquette is 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games versus Big East teams.
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01-30-12 | Missouri -1 v. Texas | 67-66 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #745 Take Missouri over Texas (9 pm ESPN) Texas has underwent a major rebuilding project this season and they are just a fringe tournament team at the moment and will suffer their second loss at home in three games tonight. Missouri is a veteran team that is not afraid to play on the road. The Tigers already beat the Longhorns by double digits earlier this season and expect them to win by single digits tonight at the Erwin Center. Texas is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Missouri is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against team with a winning record.
Best of Luck |
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01-29-12 | Oregon State v. Oregon -1 | 76-71 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #856 Take Oregon over Oregon State (6:30 pm FSN) The Civil War features two similar teams, but playing at Knight Arena will give a major edge to the Ducks this afternoon in Eugene. The Ducks currently sit atop the PAC-12 standing in the loss column yet they continue to be undervalued with the oddsmakers and we will continue to attack these low numbers when they are playing at home. Oregon State is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less.
Best of Luck |
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01-28-12 | Louisville v. Seton Hall -1.5 | 60-51 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #660 Take Seton Hall over Louisville (8 pm ESPN 3) This is an important game for the Pirates to right the ship, as they have fallen three straight games including a home loss to Notre Dame. But that being said, they team has lost just one game at home and they face a Louisville team with some shaky road losses and a team that has won just 4 of their last 9 games. Louisville is just 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games following a victory in their previous game. The Pirates are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. The Hall has the talent to not only match-up with Louisville but win this game by double digits.
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01-28-12 | Illinois v. Minnesota -4 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #666 Take Minnesota over Illinois (8 pm Big Ten Network) The Gophers have righted the ship after a tough start to the season and they now are a force to be reckoned with when playing at the Barn. We used them last Sunday as a 5-unit selection and easily won and expect them to dominate the paint tonight against Illinois. Illinois has lost two straight games and Minnesota will have revenge, as they lost to Illinois in double overtime earlier this season.
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01-28-12 | Virginia Cavaliers v. North Carolina State -2 | 61-60 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #672 Take NC State over Virginia (8 pm ESPN 2) This is a case where I believe that Virginia is overrated and NC State is an up and coming team that will only get better. Virginia is coming off two rough home games in which they lost to Virginia Tech and needed a late spurt to put away a terrible Boston College team. The Wolfpack are well on their way to a NCAA Tournament bid, as they are 4-2 in the ACC and have more talent than does Virginia. This is a case where you have an unranked team favored over a ranked team and that is the type of situation I always love to play. State has great balance with 5 players averaging double figures in scoring and I just do not believe that Virginia will be able to keep pace with them on the road. State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss.
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01-28-12 | Colorado v. UCLA -7.5 | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #602 Take UCLA over Colorado (4 pm FSN) The Buffaloes have gotten off to a good PAC-12 start but I just do not believe that they have much talent and expect the Bruins to control this game from start to finish. UCLA is just 4-4 in PAC-12 play but they have won their 4 games by an average of 17.5 points. I expect them to win this game by double digits as they have a major edge inside the paint. UCLA has covered 6 of their last 7 home games.
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01-28-12 | Purdue v. Northwestern -1 | Top | 58-56 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #606 Take Northwestern over Purdue (4 pm ESPN 2) College Basketball Game of the Year. It is a do or die situation for both of these teams, but Northwestern is a different team at home than they are on the road. They have had nearly a week to recover from the disastrous performance they put forth at Minnesota and expect them to come out fresh and make a statement against a struggling team. Purdue enters this game having lost three of their last four games and that includes two home games to so-so teams (Wisconsin & Michigan). Northwestern is 12-7 on the year, but they have played a brutal schedule and their RPI is 38 compared to 65 for Purdue. Purdue has been blown out in two of their three conference road games and that includes a 20-point loss to Penn State, the worst team in the league. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Big Ten games. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Northwestern is a better team this year and expect them to control this game from start to finish giving us the winner with another top selection.
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01-28-12 | Western Carolina v. NC-Greensboro -2 | 86-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #706 Take NC Greensboro over Western Carolina (2 pm) The Spartans are no longer a doormat in SoCo play and we will continue to take advantage of these soft line especially when they are playing at home. This was a 4-point game when these two teams met earlier this season and expect the Spartans to return the favor today. Greensboro is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against team with a losing record.
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01-28-12 | Marquette -3 v. Villanova | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #543 Take Marquette over Villanova (12 pm ESPN 2) With the Golden Eagles, you know you will always get maximum effort and expect them to take down one of the worst teams in the Big East today in Philadelphia. These are similar teams in the way they play; however, Marquette has much better athletes than does Villanova and that will become evident this afternoon in the city of Brotherly Love. The Wildcats are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 Big East games. The Golden Eagles have covered 6 of their last 7 games.
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01-27-12 | Loyola-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 108.5 | 41-47 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. #846 Take Over in Loyola Chicago @ Wright State (7 pm) The Raiders are having a down year compared to what they have done in the past and they look to take out their frustration tonight at the Nutter Center against a weak Loyola team. Both team are defensive oriented and that is why this total is so low; however, I expect both team to score at last 50 points putting us in good shape to collect with the over. Wright State has gone over the posted total in 11 of their last 14 games when they are a home favorite.
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01-26-12 | Boston College v. Virginia Cavaliers OVER 110.5 | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #566 Take Over in Boston College @ Virginia (9 pm ESPN U) The Cavaliers are coming off an embarrassing home loss to Virginia Tech and they are ready to bounce back in a big way against one of the worst teams in the ACC. This play is based on the premise that I believe the Eagles will be able to score 50 points tonight. If they accomplish this that will put us in great shape to collect with the over. Virginia is without Assane Sene and that should open things up in the middle for BC. Virginia has went over the posted total in 5 of their last 7 games when they are a large favorite (13 points or greater). I sense a 65-50 game giving us the cash with the over.
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01-26-12 | South Alabama +3 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | 50-75 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #551 Take South Alabama over Arkansas Little Rock (8 pm) The Sun Belt Conference is way down this season and it currently ranks 18th in overall conference rpi and the after a hot start in conference play, the Trojans have fallen back losing two straight Sun Belt games. USA has not performed well this season, but they have fared well against Little Rock winning both regular season games last season and they have won 23 of the 36 meetings. USA is 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Little Rock is 9-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 30 games as a home favorite.
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01-26-12 | Appalachian State v. NC-Greensboro -1.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #600 Take Greensboro over Appalachian State (7 pm) The Spartans have made great strides over the last year as they were consistently getting blown out by teams but have been much more competitive this season. They enter this contest having won 4 straight games and will have revenge on their minds after a setback to the Mountaineers earlier this season. Greensboro is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Revenge will be served on the court this evening.
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01-25-12 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +8 | 75-52 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #762 Take Wake Forest over Florida State (7 pm ESPN 3) I love fading a team that is coming off an emotional victory especially when they have to go back on the road in their next game. The Demon Deacons are much improved this season and they look to even up their record tonight at Lawrence Joel Coliseum. The Demon Deacons hold a 23-19 edge in the advantage coming into tonight
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01-24-12 | San Diego St +1.5 v. Wyoming | 52-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #555 Take San Diego State over Wyoming (8:30 pm the MTN) This is the featured match-up of the evening between two teams that were not expected to challenge for the MWC but yet find themselves right in the middle of things. The Aztecs are 15-2 on the season and they have not lost a game since 11/30 and that trend will continue through this evening. The Cowboys are 14-3 on the season, but they played a weak non-conference schedule and they were beaten at home by New Mexico by double digits. San Diego State is 21-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 road games. The Aztecs have also won the last three meetings in this series.
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01-23-12 | Loyola Marymount v. Santa Clara +1.5 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #758 Take Santa Clara over Loyola Marymount (10 pm) LMU is 4-2 in the WCC and is coming off one of their biggest wins in their history, a road victory at BYU. Yet they come into this game as only a 2 point favorite against a team that is winless in the WCC. That alone should tell you something, as we expect the home team to jump out early and cruise to a victory against a team that is prime for a letdown. Santa Clara has the best scorer on the floor in Kevin Frazier and I expect him to come close to twenty points this evening against the Lions. The Broncos hold an 83-52 edge in the rivalry as they carry a three-game winning streak over the Lions into tonight's contest. Santa Clara is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. They will come back strong on Monday getting the straight-up victory!
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01-22-12 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -5.5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #854 Take Minnesota over Northwestern (4 pm Big Ten Network) After a terrible start to the Big Ten play, the Gophers have really come in with two impressive road victories and now are ready for some home cooking against a depleted Wildcat team. In 150 all-time meetings, Minnesota has a handle on the series with Northwestern, 90-60. The Wildcats got blown out by Wisconsin in the second half and I fully expect a carryover into this game. They do not have the bodies to match-up with Minnesota in the paint and that will be the difference in this contest. Northwestern is just 1-4 in true road games this season. Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. Minnesota pulls away late to win this game by double digits.
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01-21-12 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 73-62 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #688 Take Pittsburgh over Louisville (9 pm ESPN) Big East Game of the Year. One would have to believe that ESPN Gameday would like a do-over on this game since Pittsburgh is 0-6 and Louisville is 2-4 in the Big East. But nonetheless here they come and that would give the Panthers the extra motivation needed to put away a depleted Cardinal squad. Pittsburgh has been more competitive of late, losing and covering road games at Marquette and Syracuse in their last two games. Report are that Travon Woodall is probable for this game and that will give the Panthers a big lift and take the ball handling pressure off of Ashton Gibbs. Louisville is banged up as well with leading scorer Kyle Kuric doubtful and Rakeem Buckles out for the season. Ever since Coach Pitino stated he would leave his job after the 2017 season, this team has not been the same. Their only two victories during Big East play have come against St. Johns and DePaul. Louisville is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games overall. The home crowd will be fired up for this game and allow the Panthers to emerge victorious giving us yet another big play selection.
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01-21-12 | San Diego v. Gonzaga -21 | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #668 Take Gonzaga -21 over San Diego (8 pm ROOT) I just do not see any way this is not a 30-point victory for Gonzaga. The Toreros are 2-4 in the WCC, but they have been blown out twice by BYU, a team Gonzaga is much better than. The Zags have won six in a row over San Diego and now own a 58-21 advantage in the all-time series as a result. The Bulldogs won by 33 and 37 points in their two match-ups last season and that is how I expect this game to go as well.
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01-21-12 | East Carolina v. Houston | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #674 Take Houston -1 over East Carolina (8 pm) The number is way too low considering that the Pirates have yet to win a game in Conference USA and Houston is a traditionally strong basketball team. But teams do suck this year, but Houston has won 6 of their last 7 home games. Houston has won three of the last four matchups with ECU and 8 of the 11 lifetime meetings. ECU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous outing.
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01-21-12 | Southern Illinois +17 v. Wichita State | 42-85 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #677 Take Southern Illinois +17.5 over Wichita State (8:05 pm Kansas 22) I may been the only person who still believes in Southern Illinois, but I just do not see the Shockers winning this game by twenty points. No doubt Wichita State will win, but I see it coming around 12-15 points giving us a nice cushion with this big of a number. Wichita State won the first meeting by 10 points in Carbondale, but I think the Salukis have improved since then. SIU leads the all-time series, 47-36.
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01-21-12 | Arizona St v. Utah +4.5 | 43-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #686 Take Utah +4.5 over Arizona State (5 pm) Are long term customers know what kind of a feel that we have with Arizona State and we seldom ever lose plays when we make a selection on their games. ASU is without Trent Lockett and there is just no way that either team should be laying this many points since they both suck. Utah will win this game straight-up and getting this many points is just icing on the cake.
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01-21-12 | UCLA v. Oregon +2.5 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #606 Take Oregon +2.5 over UCLA (4 pm FSN) I must admit that this line really surprises me since UCLA is coming off a loss to Oregon State in a game that was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Ducks are 10-2 this season in Eugene and have much more balance on offense and will be able to outscore the Bruins for the victory on Saturday. The Ducks have won three straight PAC-12 games and will complete the superfecta on Sunday. UCLA has not been getting the job done against good team going 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. San Diego is 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog. Gonzaga is 23-9-3 ATS in their last 35 games against teams with a losing record.
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01-19-12 | Arizona St v. Colorado -8.5 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. #570 Take Colorado over Arizona State (8:30 pm FSN) Like last week, I feel I have a great feel for Arizona State, being an alum. Colorado is coming off a tough road trip to the Bay Area in which they dropped both of their games but are ready for some home cooking tonight against a depleted Sun Devil team. Arizona State kicked off Keala King a week ago and will be without their heart and soul (best player) Trent Lockett for this game, as he suffered a sprained ankle in the second half against Oregon State. The Sun Devils rose to the occasion without him and held on to beat Oregon State, but they just do not have any talent left of this roster for tonight
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01-18-12 | Creighton -2 v. Missouri State | 66-65 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #797 Take Creighton over Missouri State (8 pm) I just do not believe that the Bears are a good enough team to be able to beat the Blue Jays twice this season. The Bears have lost two straight games and the last one came in overtime on Sunday against a so-so Evansville squad. Creighton is by far and away the best team in the MVC and will enter this game having won six straight conference games and only one of those victories came in a close battle. The Blue Jays also have the best player on the floor in Doug McDermott, and he does not force the action and just takes what the defense gives him. Creighton let an 8-point lead slip away in the first meeting and that will not happen tonight. Creighton has covered 6 of their last 8 road games. Missouri State is 5-13 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 20 home games.
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01-17-12 | Georgetown v. DePaul +9 | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #544 Take DePaul over Georgetown (7 pm ESPN 2) We will come right back with a selection on the Blue Demons after a ridiculous loss with them on Saturday at Louisville. Georgetown does not have the talent to be laying this type of a number on the road during Big East play. The Hoyas rely on a strong defense and thus it will be hard for them to cover this type of a number. The Blue Demons has the best offensive player on the floor in Cleveland Melvin, as he has scored 20 plus points on five different occasions this season. Georgetown is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Big East games. DePaul is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 home games when they are an underdog.
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01-16-12 | Brigham Young v. San Diego +14 | 82-63 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. #752 Take San Diego over BYU (10 pm BYU.tv) This line is inflated since BYU blew the doors off San Diego in their first meeting this season winning by 36 points. But that game came at the Marriott Center and the Cougars are a completely different team on the road. The Toreros have played much better in their last 3 WCC games beating Santa Clara and being competitive with St. Mary
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01-15-12 | UCLA -1.5 v. USC | 66-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #871 Take UCLA -1.5 over USC (9 pm FSN) USC continues to get way too much respect from the odds makers when they are playing at home. The fact remains that this team is terrible and we will continue to fade them with these low numbers. USC is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games. UCLA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Best of Luck |
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01-15-12 | Minnesota -2.5 v. Penn State | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. #857 Take Minnesota -2.5 over Penn State (4 pm Big Ten Network) Big Ten Game of the Year. Talent wise this is a complete mismatch on paper since Penn State is a one man team and Minnesota has great balance and great size in the paint. Penn State has a player in Tim Frazier but expect Minnesota to key on him and make somebody else beat them. I just do not believe that player exists on this Nittany Lions roster. After losing their best player in Trevor Mbakwe, it would have been easy for Minnesota to throw in the towel. Despite losing their first 4 Big Ten games, they were only blown out in one of those games and have played outstanding in their three road games, losing two right at the wire and beating the No. 8 team in the nation in Indiana. The game this Thursday against Indiana was no fluke, as they lead for the entire second half and that is how I see this game going as well. This will be the 26th meeting in the all-time series. Minnesota holds a 19-6 advantage in the rivalry and win number 20 will come this afternoon at State College. Minnesota will be able to dominate in the paint and Frazier is a volume shooter meaning he scores a lot of points but takes a lot of shots. Penn State is just 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Minnesota cannot afford to take this game lightly, as they are just 1-4 in the Big Ten and must get back to .500 if they have visions of making the NCAA Tournament. Minnesota pulls away late to earn the victory on Sunday.
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01-14-12 | LSU v. Arkansas -4 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #680 Take Arkansas over LSU (9 pm ESPN 3) Arkansas is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and expect them to knock out LSU tonight at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas leads the all-time series 30-22 and win No. 31 will come tonight. In their only conference road game this season, the Tigers were blown out at Alabama and expect a similar occurrence to happen this evening. LSU is 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 SEC games.
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01-14-12 | Oregon State v. Arizona St +4.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #660 Take Arizona State over Oregon State (8 pm FSN) I feel that I have a great read on this Arizona State team and believe that this is a line that you can attack as Oregon State is not good enough to be laying this many points on the road. The Beavers are coming off an emotionally draining game at Arizona on Thursday and I expect them to come out flat similar to what they did two weeks ago at Washington State. Expect Arizona State to control the pace of this game and take it right down to the wire. Arizona State is 24-12 at home in the series. Arizona State is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 home games when they are an underdog.
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01-14-12 | La Salle v. Dayton -1.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #642 Take Dayton over LaSalle (7 pm local) The Flyers have a great home court advantage and they are always a tough team to beat at UD Arena. Dayton leads the all-time series between these two teams by a count of 23-13 and I do not expect the Explorers to put up much of a fight this evening. Dayton has already beaten a much better Saint Louis team this season and will move to 3-1 in conference play. La Salle is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of less than 6.5 points. Dayton is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games.
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01-14-12 | DePaul +15.5 v. Louisville | 59-76 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #609 Take DePaul over Louisville (4 pm ESPN 3) The Cardinals are in a free fall at the moment and currently sit at 1-3 in the Big East and two of those are bad losses against teams that will not come close to sniffing the NCAA Tournament (Providence & Notre Dame). To make matters worse, they will be without their leading scorer for this game in Kyle Kuric. DePaul is getting better under Coach Oliver Purnell and they have a marquee player in Cleveland Melvin and will be able to do some damage in this game. DePaul is 14-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 13 or more points. Louisville is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games as a favorite.
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01-14-12 | Mississippi v. Auburn | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #563 Take Ole Miss over Auburn (1:30 pm ESPN 3) The Rebels have much more talent than do the Tigers and getting this line is too good to pass up. Out of the Tigers 10 wins this season, their best win is against USF, a bottom feeder team in the Big East. They have been blown out in their first two SEC games and I would expect this to be a double digit loss as well. The Rebels are coming off a nice win against Arkansas and expect them to make it two in a row on Saturday afternoon. Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Auburn is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
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01-12-12 | Gonzaga v. Saint Marys CA OVER 142 | Top | 62-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #598 Take Over in Gonzaga @ St. Mary
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01-12-12 | Oregon +1 v. Arizona St | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #595 Take Oregon over Arizona State (10:30 pm FSN) The Ducks are coming off a disappointing effort but they are playing a team that has major issues with the departure of leading scorer Keala King. The Ducks picked up the best player on the court tonight when Devoe Joseph become eligible to play. For some reason, Coach Herb Sendek has had great success against Oregon but expect that to change since he is all but out the door come March. Arizona State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at Wells Fargo Arena. Oregon is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home.
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01-12-12 | Utah State v. New Mexico State -5 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #572 Take New Mexico State over Utah State (9:05 pm ESPN 3) Utah State is not as strong this year as they have been in past years and they are just 1-5 in true road games this season. New Mexico State is 18-10 when playing Utah State in Las Cruces and I forecast a double digit victory tonight at Pan American Center. New Mexico Aggies is 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 home games. The home team Aggies won tonight!
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01-12-12 | Oregon State v. Arizona -5 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #568 Take Arizona over Oregon State (8:30 pm FSN) The talent gap in this game is large and the Beavers have not had much success against Arizona. The Wildcats have won 20 of the last 25 encounters. Oregon State lost 78-69 in the last meeting on March 10th, 2011. I expect Arizona to play from in front for 40 minutes behind Jesse Perry. Oregon State did not put up much of a fight in their last two road games in Washington and expect a similar occurrence tonight at the McKale Center. Arizona is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Oregon State is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Tradition holds true tonight in Tucson.
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01-12-12 | Wisconsin v. Purdue OVER 114 | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #546 Take Over in Wisconsin @ Purdue (7 pm ESPN 2) Wisconsin has been god awful shooting the basketball of late, but I believe that this team has some talent and expect them to come out more aggressive on offense in an attempt to score points. Purdue is scoring over 73 points per game and I would expect them to dictate the style of playing since this game is in West Lafayette. This game should not be a blowout and thus some fouling will occur at the end of the game to propel this game over the posted total. Wisconsin has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 road games when they are an underdog. Purdue has gone over the posted total in 9 of their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
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01-11-12 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +15 | 81-46 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #796 Take Texas Tech over Kansas (9 pm ESPN U) I just do not believe that Kansas is a good enough team to be laying double digits during conference play on the road. The Red Raiders have won six of their seven games in Lubbock this season, but that will be tested as they play Baylor in their next game after tonight. But they have enough talent to keep this game closer than two touchdowns especially considering that Kansas lost much of their scoring punch from last year. Kansas is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. Texas Tech has covered 5 of their last 6 Big XII games. This will be an 8-12 point victory for Kansas and we will collect with the underdog.
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01-11-12 | Rice v. Southern Methodist -2 | 68-52 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #792 Take SMU over Rice (8 pm Longhorn Network) Rice has struggled of late losing three games in a row and I do not expect them to put up much of a fight tonight in Dallas. The Mustangs are coming off an impressive victory in Tulsa to notch their first conference victory of the season and expect a follow-up performance tonight at Moody Coliseum. In 193 all-time meetings, SMU holds a 118-75 advantage over Rice. The Mustangs won two of three against the Owls a season ago. Despite being 9-7 on the season, the Owls are ranked 208 in the RPI meaning that they have played a terrible schedule thus far. Rice is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. SMU is 27-11 in their last 38 Conference USA games.
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01-11-12 | Wake Forest v. Maryland Terrapins -5 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #760 Take Maryland over Wake Forest (7 pm RSN) The Demon Deacons have improved a little after a terrible performance last season and are coming off a victory in their opening ACC game against Virginia Tech. That has kept this line low and thus we will attack it fading one of the worst teams in the league. Maryland has a new coach and a new system and has played well of late winning 7 of their last 8 games. The Terrapins hold a 64-56 lead in the all-time series with Wake Forest and have won two straight after sweeping the season series a year ago. Maryland will contain CJ Harris and make someone else beat them and I do not feel that person is on the roster for Wake Forest. Wake Forest is 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games following an ATS win. Maryland is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following a loss.
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01-10-12 | Baylor +3 v. Kansas State | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #566 Take Baylor over Kansas State (8 pm ESPN 3) Getting the better team and points is just too good to pass up tonight in Manhattan. Kansas State is coming off back-to-back games against their main rivals, Kansas and Missouri and I question how much they will have left in the tank for this encounter with the Bears. Baylor is a better team than both Missouri and Kansas and they have great balance to go along with great athleticism. I believe that the 3-point line will tell the story in this game. It is important for Brady Helsip to knock down a few shots from long range, as this will make the defense come out and open up things for the other talented Bears on the floor. Baylor keeps this game close for the first 37 minutes before they pull away to win by 6-8 points.
Best of Luck |
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01-09-12 | West Virginia v. Connecticut -5.5 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #742 Take Connecticut over West Virginia (7 pm ESPN 2) Big Monday kicks off a great week of college basketball with two traditional teams from the Big East Conference. Connecticut holds a 14-5 advantage in the all-time series with West Virginia. West Virginia has not won a road contest in this series at 0-8. The Huskies cannot afford to take this game lightly, as a loss will drop them to under .500 in Big East play. UCONN is a perfect 9-0 in home games this season and West Virginia does not have the athletes to contain the athletic Huskies inside the paint. UCONN is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Big East games.
Best of Luck |
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01-08-12 | Wisconsin -1.5 v. Michigan | 41-59 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #843 Take Wisconsin over Michigan (1:30 pm CBS) This would have been a stronger play had Michigan come in as the favorite, but nonetheless we will side with the Badgers. Wisconsin is looking for their first conference victory on the season, as opening with back-t-back losses at home. Michigan is just a perfect match-up for Wisconsin, as they do not play in your face defense and Wisconsin will be able to shoot the three much better than what they have been doing. In the past ten meetings with Wisconsin, Michigan is averaging just under 52 point per game and that will not get the job done.
Best of Luck |
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01-07-12 | Marquette +10.5 v. Syracuse | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #589 Take Marquette over Syracuse (4 pm Big East Network) I just do not believe that Syracuse is good enough to be laying double digits against an NCAA Tournament team. Marquette upset the Orange last year in the NCAA Tournament and they are a feisty bunch that will give maximum effort while on the court. That cannot always be said for Syracuse, as at times they appear to just be going through the motions. Syracuse owns a 7-4 advantage in the all-time series with Marquette, but the Golden Eagles won a pair of meetings last season. The Golden Eagles had a big lead at Georgetown on Wednesday before they fell apart down the stretch to lose by 3 points. Marquette is 35-17 ATS (1 push) in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. SIU has covered 4 of their last 5 MVC games.
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01-07-12 | Washington State v. Colorado -5.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #594 Take Colorado over Washington State (4 pm FSN) The Cougars are coming off an embarrassing performance in which they lost to Utah, a team that the Buffaloes beat by 27 points last Saturday. We went against Washington State last Saturday as our top play, but we done in by a flat Oregon State team that jump could not make a jump shot. That will not happen today, as the Buffaloes have four people that average in double figures. WSU is 11-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 37 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or under. Colorado is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a victory.
Best of Luck |
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01-07-12 | Wichita State v. Southern Illinois +11.5 | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #586 Take Southern Illinois over Wichita State (3 pm) SIU is starting to get healthy and their play has been much better of late and this is just too many points to be laying on the road. With respect to the all-time series between these two schools on the hardwood, the Salukis lead by a count of 47-35. This is the second straight road game for the Shockers and I expect another game that goes right down to the wire.
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01-07-12 | Evansville +7.5 v. Illinois State | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #571 Take Evansville over Illinois State (2 pm) I just do not believe that the Redbirds are a good enough team to be playing this many points to any conference opponent. Evansville has a two-game winning streak against the Redbirds. Evansville can score points and give up points and thus I expect them to remain in this game for 40 minutes. ISU is 10-4 on the season but their RPI is 123 meaning that they have not played a very difficult schedule. The Purple Aces already have a quality road victory at Northern Iowa and expect more of the same this afternoon in Normal. ISU is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games.
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01-07-12 | Charlotte U v. St. Joseph's -9.5 | 57-52 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #578 Take St. Josephs over Charlotte (2 pm) Top College Basketball Play of the Day. The Hawks are getting back to national prominence after a rough couple of years and they should have no problem today taking down the 49ers by double-digits. Charlotte struggled to put away a terrible Richmond team at home this week and will not have much left in the tank for this encounter. Saint Joseph's won last year's battle by a score of 71-70 on the road, which means the Hawks have taken three of the last four meetings. SJU is a perfect 7-0 at home this season. Charlotte is 15-37 ATS in their last 52 Atlantic 10 games. SJU is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
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01-05-12 | Brigham Young v. Loyola Marymount +9.5 | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #580 Take Loyola Marymount over BYU (9 pm BYU.tv) This is now a conference game with BYU joining the West Conference in all sports but football. The Cougars have the better team but playing Gersten Pavilion is no easy task. LMU has won 2 of the 3 meetings with BYU and expect them to take this game down to the wire this evening. BYU is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS win. LMU has covered 4 of their last 5 WCC games.
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01-05-12 | North Texas v. South Alabama -4 | 78-73 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #560 Take South Alabama over North Texas (8 pm FCS) USA is at home and they have the best player on the floor Augustine Rubit, as he is very close to averaging a double-double on the season. The Mean Green is just 1-4 in true road games this season and the Jaguars are 5-1 at the Mitchell Center. USA has won 13 of the 19 meetings between these two schools. USA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday and the Mean Green are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday.
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01-05-12 | Illinois-Chicago v. Cleveland State OVER 124.5 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #552 Take Over in Illinois-Chicago @ Cleveland State (7 pm) I always like to attack low totals with a big point spread and that is the situation that will present itself on Thursday in Cleveland, OH. UIC is bad but they are generating 64 points per game and if they hit sixty points tonight we should easily collect with the total. The Vikings are one of the best teams in the Horizon League and they are off to an impressive 12-3 start. I expect them to open things up during conference play giving us a winner with this selection. The Flames have gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 conference games. The Vikings have went over the posted total in their last 4 games.
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01-04-12 | Wichita State v. Evansville +11 | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #790 Take Evansville over Wichita State (8 pm local) Playing on the road in the MVC is always a tough proposition and expect that to be the case tonight when the Shockers head east to Evansville to play the Purple Aces. Laying double digits on the road against a solid team is usually a recipe for disaster and just like last night we will side with the home team. This conference matchup has been pretty tight recently with Wichita State holding a slight 5-4 edge in the team's last nine meetings. Evansville is 2-0 in the MVC and that includes an impressive performance at Northern Iowa last week. Wichita State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 MVC games. Evansville is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 MVC games.
Best of Luck |
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01-04-12 | Marquette v. Georgetown -4 | 70-73 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #760 Take Georgetown over Marquette (7 pm ESPN U) I still believe that this Hoyas team is underrated with regards to the odds makers and we will continue to use them laying these low numbers at the Verizon Center. Marquette is still without Chris Otule and that is a major void that this team has not been able to fill. The Hoyas own a 6-5 lead in the all-time series with the Golden Eagles, and they won the most recent encounter by taking a 69-60 decision last February. Marquette struggled to put away a terrible Villanova team at home last weekend and things do not look much better tonight facing a team that gets it done at both ends of the floor. Marquette is 0-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Georgetown is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
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01-03-12 | Harvard v. Fordham +12 | 54-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #550 Take Fordham over Harvard (7 pm) Harvard is a very public team at the moment and this this line is inflated. I just do not believe they score enough points to cover double digit spreads on the road, especially against a sneaky Fordham team that has improved a great deal under second year Coach Tom Pecora. The Rams are 5-1 this season at home and will lose this game but it will come much closer than what the experts believe. Harvard is 17-35 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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01-02-12 | Wofford v. Wake Forest -5.5 | 56-52 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #778 Take Wake Forest over Wofford (7 pm ESPN 3) This is an important game for the Demon Deacons, as they could record ten win before they will likely struggle during ACC play. The Terriers have been blown out numerous times this season and tonight will be no different. They have gotten blown out by South Carolina and Georgia on the road and those are similar teams to this Wake Forest squad. Wofford is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Wake Forest is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
Best of Luck |
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01-01-12 | Illinois State v. Southern Illinois +4.5 | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #846 Take Southern Illinois over Illinois State (3 pm FCS) These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions at the moment, but the fact is that Illinois State is not a good enough team to be playing points on the road during MVC play. The Red Birds have played just two road games on the season and playing in Carbondale is always a difficult proposition. The Salukis finally have their legs back after a trip to Hawaii last week and will take this game down to the wire and likely pull it out by a basket. SIU played pretty well in Hawaii despite losing all three games. ISU is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Best of Luck |