Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-16 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern -1.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #720 Take Northwestern over Wisconsin (7 pm BTN) We will apply the theory of going against a team after a bad beat over the weekend. Wisconsin will really struggle on the road this season and this is a game Northwestern must get if they have visions of making the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever. The Wildcats are coming off a dominating performance in the Barn and they just have more talent than does Wisconsin. Northwestern has been pounded for as long as I can remember by Wisconsin in Evanston and tonight will be a payback game. Wisconsin is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Northwestern has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. |
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01-09-16 | Maryland -3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 63-60 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #523 Take Maryland over Wisconsin (1 pm ESPN) The Terrapins just have much more talent than does Wisconsin. Maryland is starting to play better coming off back-to-back blowouts and this is a game that they want in a big way. Diamond Stone spurred Wisconsin for Maryland and you can bet he wants to make a statement in this game. Wisconsin played terrible at Indiana yet had a chance to win since Indiana played equally terrible. Maryland is a much better team that Indiana and their coach actually stresses defense unlike the latter. Maryland is 8-1 ATS in their last 8 Big 10 games. Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The Badgers already have lost at home to Western Illinois, Milwaukee, Marquette, Purdue and this is the best team they will have played at the Kohl Center this season. |
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01-07-16 | Old Dominion v. Louisiana Tech -3 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #758 Take Louisiana Tech over Old Dominion (9:30 pm CBSSN) I just cannot get out of my head how bad the Monarchs looked against an average Richmond team this season. They have been terrible ATS this season and this line is way too short. The Bulldogs are perfect at home and the Monarchs have yet to win a true road game this season. ODU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. La Tech has covered the spread in 4 straight home games. 71% of the action in on Louisiana Tech and it is for good reason as this line opened as a pick. Best of Luck - Doc’s Sports |
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01-06-16 | Nevada v. Fresno State -6 | Top | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #580 Take Fresno State over Nevada (10 pm the MWC) This game just has a lot of similarities to our selection last week with New Mexico fading Nevada. As previously mentioned, the Pack had AJ West quit the team in December and that leaves a major void that they have been unable to fill. Nevada has been pounded in their last two road games and were lucky to survive on Saturday against a one-man team in Wyoming. The Bulldogs have not always played to their potential this season but they have a ton of talent and already have a victory in Las Vegas on their resume. They had a bad taste in their month losing to New Mexico and that makes this game important to them. Nevada is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Fresno State is 23-11 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 37 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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01-05-16 | VCU v. St. Joe's -2.5 | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #716 Take St. Josephs over VCU (7 pm) The Rams are still a team that gets respect on a national level but they are nowhere near the same team they have been the last half decade. They have a new coach and things have not gone smoothly this season and they have yet to record a quality victory. The Hawks are for real this season and have an edge down low in this game. We used them on Saturday against Richmond and got a victory straight-up despite being a 3.5-point underdog. They have won 7 straight games and their only two losses were against Florida and Villanova. This team is having a resurgence and we will continue to take advantage of these short numbers. St. Josephs is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. |
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01-03-16 | USC -1 v. Washington | 85-87 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #817 Take USC over Washington (3 pm PAC-12 Network) USC is the more talented team and they are catching the Huskies are just the right time. Washington played UCLA to double OT on Friday and that game took a lot out of the Huskies. USC cruised to an easy victory against Wazzou in a game that was not even as close as the final score indicated. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-02-16 | Maryland -4 v. Northwestern | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #635 Take Maryland -4 over Northwestern (8 pm BTN) The Terrapins have not played up to their seeding thus far but I feel that this line is over adjusted especially without a healthy Alex Olah. On the bright side for Maryland is the play of true freshman Diamond Stone as he is coming off a monster game thus week with 39 points against Penn State. Northwestern has dropped 8 straight games against ranked opponents and they just cannot seem to get over the edge. |
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01-02-16 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -3 | Top | 77-73 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 3 m | Show |
7 Unit Play. #537 Take St. Josephs +3.5 over Richmond (12:30 pm NBCSN) Both of these teams run a grind it out system and thus I expect this game to go right down to the wire and feel we have a great chance to cash even if the Hawks do not win straight-up. St. Josephs is 10-2 on the season with their only losses coming against Villanova and Florida. Richmond may be without ShawnDre’ Jones and that will affect the Spiders if he is not 100%. The Hawks have beaten the Spiders 15 of the 23 match-ups. St. Josephs has covered the spread in their last 7 games (1 push). |
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01-01-16 | Utah -3.5 v. Stanford | 68-70 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #815 Take Utah -3.5 over Stanford (9 pm ESPN U) This is a major talent disparity and even though the game is at Maples, Stanford just does not match-up well in this game. The Cardinal care much more about a football game today than this game and expect a half empty building to go along with a lifeless team. The Utes are coming off four straight winning including a victory against Duke in the Big Apple. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-30-15 | Nevada v. New Mexico -7.5 | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #772 Take New Mexico -7.5 over Nevada (9 pm ROOT Sports) Living in Reno we have a great feel for this Nevada team and have went against them numerous times this season. The Lobos laid an egg in Hawaii last weekend and are in desperate need to right the ship and Nevada should be the perfect opponent. The Wolf Pack were blown out in their last road game against a team that was desperate and this is a very similar situation to what they face tonight. AJ West was Nevada's best player from last season and he abruptly quit the team before Christmas and that is a major void that they will not be able to overcome. The Pit is always a tough place to play and the Lobos have beaten Nevada 4 of the 5 overall meetings. This line should be double digits and I expect that to be the margin of victory tonight. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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12-29-15 | Connecticut +1 v. Texas | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #543 Take Connecticut over Texas (9 pm ESPN 2) The Huskies lost at the buzzer to the Longhorns last year and we expect them to return the favor tonight in Austin. Texas will be without Cameron Ridley for this game and that is a major void that will be tough for them to overcome. UCONN does not have a bad loss on the season and I just do not believe Texas is good enough to beat UCONN twice in two seasons. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-29-15 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +200 | 61-55 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #530 Take Wisconsin over Purdue (7 pm BTN) This line has over-adjusted and now there is good value taking Wisconsin at home. The Badgers jumped out to a 30-point lead in their last game before falling apart when pressure came. Purdue is not a full court pressure team and thus I believe Wisconsin should be alright in this game and remain competitive. Wisconsin has covered 4 of their last 5 Big 10 games. |
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12-29-15 | Richmond +5 v. Texas Tech | 70-85 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #541 Take Richmond over Texas Tech (5 pm) I really like this Richmond team and feel that they have a great chance to win this game straight-up. Texas Tech has been playing mid-major cupcakes their last five games with only one of those teams respectable (South Dakota State). Richmond run a very efficient Princeton offense that will frustrate the Red Raiders and lead to easy baskets. The Spiders are 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 road games. |
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12-28-15 | Coppin State v. Creighton -29.5 | 77-102 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #750 Take Creighton over Coppin State (9 pm FS1) The Bluejays have found life difficult the last 1.5 years without Doug McDermott and need to amass all the wins that they can get. This is an inferior opponent and I expect them to win this game by 34-37 points. The Eagles have already lost by tonight’s posted number four times this season. They are just 2-11 on the season and it will be a battle tonight for them to remain competitive. Creighton is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Coppin State is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-25-15 | Harvard +13.5 v. Oklahoma | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #517 Take Harvard +13.5 over Oklahoma (9 pm ESPN 2) The Crimson have played outstanding in Hawaii thus far and I think they can keep the scoring down enough to cover this big spread. Harvard has a knock for winning these early season tournaments and they will enter this game having won three straight games. I look for a 9-11 points victory by the Sooners and thus we will collect with the underdog. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sport |
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12-23-15 | Green Bay v. Wisconsin -11.5 | 79-84 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #736 Take Wisconsin over Green bay (9 pm BTN) It is now or never for Wisconsin and their interim head coach. Green Bay also has a new coach this season and they lost their all-everything player from last season. Wisconsin has never lost to Green Bay in Madison and I look for them to come out with a bang and win this game by 13-15 points. |
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12-23-15 | Iona v. Akron -7.5 | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #768 Take Akron over Iona (3 pm) We will ride Akron again for a second time in Las Vegas. This team is coming off a double digit win against UC Santa Barbara and should head back to Ohio with a pair of victories. The Gales played last night and lost to this same team by four points. The Zips have a variety of ways to score points on offense and that again will be the difference in this contest. Coming off a big bowl win, Akron is living good at the moment. Akron is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games overall. Iona is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. |
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12-22-15 | Kansas -6 v. San Diego State | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #567 Take Kansas over San Diego State (11 pm CBSSN) The Aztecs are just not very good this season. They once again have trouble scoring points and will struggle to keep pace with the high powered offense of Kansas. The Jayhawks also remember SDSU going into Lawrence and beating them straight-up two years ago. Kansas has covered 5 of their last 6 games. |
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12-22-15 | Penn State v. Colorado -6.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #596 Take Colorado over Penn State (10:30 pm) The Nittany Lions are a fraud. They have beaten nobody and were down big to Drexel over the weekend, one of the worst teams in divisions one. All three of Penn State’s losses have been by double digits. CU-Boulder has responded well after suffering an opening defeat to Iowa State by winning 10 straight games. The Buffaloes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Penn State is 7-17 ATS (1 push) in their last 25 nonconference games. |
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12-22-15 | California +12 v. Virginia | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #559 Take California over Virginia (9 pm ESPN 2) Long trip for California but talent wise I believe the match up well with Virginia. The Cavaliers have had trouble scoring at times this season and I just do not see this game as a blowout. The Bears have won five straight games. Virginia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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12-21-15 | Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -10.5 | 73-99 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #734 Take Gonzaga over Pepperdine (9 pm ESPN 2) Sooner or later Gonzaga has got to start to put it together. They are coming off a poor nonconference showing by their standards but they are still the kings of the WCC. They seem to jump out early and then let up and let the visitor make a run. Expect them to do the same tonight but hold on for a 10-15 point victory. They still have a great frontcourt. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-21-15 | Youngstown State v. Notre Dame -23.5 | 78-87 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #724 Take Notre Dame over Youngstown State (7 pm ESPN 3) The Irish will be ready to take out their frustration on someone tonight in South Bend. Notre Dame gave away their game on Saturday against Indiana and I would not want to be the Penguins in this game. Youngstown State has been blown out three times this year and this is one of the better teams that they have seen all season long. |
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12-21-15 | Akron -3.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #719 Take Akron over Santa Barbara (3 pm) I just like this Akron team and feel that they will make some noise in the MAC this season. They are well coached and have a starting line-up that can beat you in a variety of ways. Gauchos have played a challenging schedule but I believe that the consistent losing in starting to take its toll on this team. They will enter having lost four straight including a loss to Vermont last time out. |
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12-20-15 | Evansville v. Fresno State -2 | Top | 85-77 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #522 Take Fresno State over Evansville (4 pm) The Bulldogs return a ton of talent from last season and I expect them to be able to make some noise in a wide open MWC this season. They are a perfect 7-0 this season at the Save Mart Center and should have no problem taking out this mid-major in the Purple Aces. This is the tough trip for Evansville and they do not match up well with the Bulldogs. Evansville is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Sunday. |
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12-19-15 | Drake +16 v. Iowa | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #759 Take Drake over Iowa (4:30 pm ESPN 3) This is a lot of points to be giving for two teams in the same state. Both teams play on the perimeter and Drake does have some three point shooters that will likely get hot at some point in this game. The Bulldogs have six losses but all of them have come under today’s posted number. Iowa is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. |
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12-18-15 | Santa Clara +8.5 v. Nevada | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #537 Take Santa Clara over Nevada (10 pm) The Wolf Pack just had their best player from last season quit the team this week and that is a major void that will take some time to overcome. AJ West was a great rebounder and even though he had a diminished role this season, it leaves their front court vulnerable. The Broncos have played better basketball of late winning four straight games and one must remember that they did take Arizona to the wire last month. Nevada is 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. |
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12-16-15 | Old Dominion v. Richmond -5 | Top | 61-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #528 Take Richmond over Old Dominion (7 pm ASN) Both of these teams had high expectations entering this season but the Monarchs are in a freefall at the moment. Old Dominion has lost five of their last six games and they have yet to record a quality win on the season. Richmond returns four starters from last season and they have won four straight home games. They already have wins against Northern Iowa and Wake Forest and will win this game by double digits. The Monarchs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Richmond is 17-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games overall. |
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12-15-15 | VCU v. Georgia Tech -1.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #722 Take Georgia Tech over VCU (9 pm ESPN 2) We have been fading ‘VCU most of the season and tonight will be no different. The Yellow Jackets are finally starting to show some life under Brian Gregory for the first time in his tenure. They rebounded for the Villanova debacle with two straight wins and should be able to take out VCU on Tuesday. The Rams have a new coach and the talent is just not there this season. VCU has been off for 9 days and expect them to be a little rusty especially playing on the road. VCU is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a loss in their previous game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-15-15 | Pacific +9 v. Green Bay | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #719 Take Pacific over Green Bay (8 pm ESPN 3) Just do not believe that the Phoenix are good enough to be laying this many points to anybody this season. The Tigers have only been blown out twice this season and they have been competitive with teams that are better than Green Bay. The Phoenix are coming off a home loss to Toledo and I believe this game will be played in single digits. Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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12-15-15 | Drexel v. South Carolina -18.5 | 54-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #710 Take South Carolina over Drexel (7 pm SECN+) Drexel is one of the worst teams in division one this season. They are 1-6 this season and they have not played a team that will make the NCAA tournament come March. That being said they are coming off their best performance of the season beating La Salle on Saturday and thus this line is a few points short of where it should be. USC has been beating up on bums all season long but Drexel certainly fits that bill as well and thus I see a 20-point victory for the Gamecocks. Carolina has some strong games coming up and but they have a great chance to enter SEC play undefeated. USC is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 nonconference games. |
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12-13-15 | LSU v. Houston -2.5 | 98-105 | Win | 102 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #738 Take Houston over LSU (5:30 pm ESPN 2) We are starting to realize that Johnny Jones is not that great of a coach. LSU looked awesome beating at bunch of no-names to open the season. They have a great player in Ben Simmons but this team is just not gelling at the moment. Houston is favored for a reason and expect them to remain perfect at home. LSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Houston is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-12-15 | Northern Iowa v. New Mexico -4.5 | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #556 Take New Mexico -4.5 over Northern Iowa (9 pm ESPN 3) The Panthers are nowhere near as good as they have been the last couple of years. The Lobos suffered through some injuries last season and the Pit is always a tough place to play. New Mexico has three players averaging over 16 points per game and their two losses are respectable (USC and Purdue). All five of the Lobos wins have been blowouts and I see them winning this game by 8-10 points. New Mexico is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against MVC teams. |
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12-12-15 | Drake +7.5 v. Nevada | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #563 Take Drake over Nevada (7 pm) Nevada has shown some life for the first time in years and new coach Eric Musselman should be a great hire. But he still does not have his type of players and this Wolf Pack team is not a great shooting team. Thus this is too many points to be laying against a team from a similar conference. Drake is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams from the MWC. Nevada is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games that have been lined. |
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12-12-15 | Florida v. Michigan State -9.5 | 52-58 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #562 Take Michigan State -9.5 over Florida (6 pm ESPN 2) The Gators struggled to stay with Miami on the road and now they will face a better team in Michigan State. The Spartans have experience and they do not play again for a week so they will go all out to win this game. Michigan State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Florida is 2-6 in their last 8 road games. |
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12-12-15 | St. Mary's v. California -5.5 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #550 Take California over Saint Mary’s (3:30 pm PAC-12 Network) Just not a believer in the Gaels this season. They lost a lot of talent form last year and this will be their first road game of the season. They are 6-0 but have not really been challenged beating up on a bunch Northern California schools that are not very good (Stanford included). The Bears are a perfect 6-0 at Haas Pavilion and all six of those victories have come by a higher margin than today’s posted number. This team is loaded with talent and they will enter this game having won three straight. Playing in this hostile environment will be too much for the Gales to overcome. |
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12-09-15 | Loyola Marymount v. Boise State -14 | 66-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #746 Take Boise State -14.5 over LMU (9 pm the MWC) The Broncos have too much talent not pull off a long winning streak. They are 5-4 on the season but they have played a brutal schedule playing Michigan State and Arizona (twice). They cannot afford to take these games lightly and thus they should beat LMU by 20+ points. This will be the best team LMU has faced this season. The Lions are 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against MWC teams. Boise State has covered 4 straight games against WCC teams. |
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12-09-15 | Dayton v. Vanderbilt -8.5 | 72-67 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #738 Take Vanderbilt -8.5 over Dayton (9 pm ESPN U) The Commodores look to get back on track following a setback to Baylor their last time out. Vanderbilt had a big lead in that game only to give it all away in the second half. I expect them to take out their frustrations tonight against a good Dayton team. When Vandy wins, it tends to win big as only one of their six victories has come under double digits. Dayton is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vanderbilt is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-09-15 | Toledo -2 v. Detroit | 72-75 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #727 Take Toledo -1.5 over Detroit (7 pm) |
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12-09-15 | Hofstra -1 v. Siena | 68-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #759 Take Hofstra -1 over Siena (7 pm) The Pride are rock solid to start the season with a 6-2 record including a victory over Florida State. The Saints do not have a quality win on the season and being an underdog at home tonight is a good indication of the talent level of these two teams. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games aginst CAA teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-08-15 | South Dakota State v. Minnesota -2.5 | Top | 84-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #548 Take Minnesota over South Dakota State (8 pm ESPN 3) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. The Gophers are not losing two games against teams from South Dakota in the span of four days. Minnesota lost two South Dakota on Saturday in double overtime and that setback has shifted the line greatly in our favor. Minnesota is a perfect 17-0 against South Dakota State (17-0 at Williams Arena). For being a mid-major the Jackrabbits has played a very weak schedule in 2015-2016, with only one game coming against a team from a Power 5 conference. That came against TCU, a team that is going nowhere fast. These two teams share one common opponent with Minnesota beating UMKC by 18 points and South Dakota State losing to the Kangaroos by 7 points (only true road game of the season). The Jackrabbits are the team to beat in the Summit League this season and they do have experience but they just do not recruit the same type of player that Minnesota does. If they shoot lights out so be it, but let’s call this game for what it is: a cash game for South Dakota State and a likely win for Minnesota with a biased crew of officials. Prior to that loss by Minnesota on Saturday, Minnesota had won 47 consecutive nonconference games at home. The Golden Gophers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage of over .600. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-06-15 | Florida State -2 v. VCU | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #517 Take Florida State over VCU (2 pm ESPN U) I was impressed with the Noles performance at Iowa this week. The Rams laid an egg in their two neutral site games in New York and I see them in a rebuild with a different coach this season. FSU has very good young talent and hopefully their coach will stay out of their way and let this team prosper. Florida State has covered the spread in 14 of their last 19 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-05-15 | California -6.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 78-72 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #739 Take California over Wyoming (3 pm CBSSN) The Bears are a better team than their 5-2 record would indicate and they are facing a major rebuilding team in Wyoming. The Cowboys have not played a power five team this season and they have losses to Indiana State and Montana State. California has a major edge in talent and despite playing hard, the Cowboys will not be able to keep pace. Wyoming is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous outing. |
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12-04-15 | Northern Illinois v. Missouri -4.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #528 Take Missouri over Northern Illinois (8 pm SECN+) The Huskies will be much more concerned about a football game tonight than they are this basketball game. NIU is a perfect 7-0 on the season but they have played nothing but cupcakes this season including some teams that I have never heard off. The Tigers are still in a rebuild mode under second year Coach Kim Anderson but expect them to improve and should have no problem knocking off this mid-major. |
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12-03-15 | USC -2.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #725 Take USC over Cal Santa Barbara (10 pm) The Gauchos are coming off a tough luck loss against Arizona State and they are now 0-2 against PAC-12 teams this season. This will be the best PAC-12 team thus far as the Trojans are finally starting to show some life under Andy Enfield. The Trojans return to the West Coast after a 1-2 performance in Orlando and will look to take out their frustration tonight against a mid-major. Of their five victories, only one of those games has been close with the other four wins being blowouts. USC is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 nonconference games. UCSB is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-02-15 | Indiana +9.5 v. Duke | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. #563 Take Indiana over Duke (9:15 pm ESPN) The Hoosiers are coming off a disappointing performance in Hawaii losing two of their three games. But that being said, they have experience and talent and are desperate for a good showing and they have a chance for one tonight at Cameroon Indoor Stadium. Duke is in a major rebuild after their championship performance last season but I just do not believe they have a ton of talent, especially in the backcourt. Playing in Durham is always a challenge but this is just too many points. Indiana is a great offensive team and should have no problem putting points on the board. Take the points in what should be an entertaining game. |
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12-02-15 | Florida State v. Iowa -5.5 | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #562 Take Iowa over Florida State (9:15 pm ESPN U) The Hawkeyes went just 1-2 in Orlando but they played excellent competition throughout that tournament and are ready for some home cooking tonight in Iowa City. The Seminoles have not played a challenging schedule and this will be there first true road game of the season. Iowa has four senior starters and they are a great offensive team and can beat you inside or out. Florida State will struggle to keep up with them and expect the Hawkeyes to knock them out early similar to what they did to Marquette. Florida State is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against Big 10 teams. Iowa is 11-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 games played on Wednesday. |
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12-01-15 | Maryland +6 v. North Carolina | 81-89 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #751 Take Maryland over North Carolina (9:30 pm ESPN) Just believe this is too many points since these are two evenly matched teams regardless of the venue. North Carolina will be getting back Marcus Paige but I still believe Melo Tremble is the best player on the floor. Maryland can match-up well with North Carolina and I just believe that this game will go down to the wire. North Carolina is 4-10 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 16 home games. |
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11-30-15 | Clemson v. Minnesota | 83-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #528 Take Minnesota -1 over Clemson (9 pm ESPN 2) Never been a big fan of Clemson especially when they are playing on the road. Minnesota has struggled on the road as well this season but they are a perfect 3-0 at the Barn. The Tigers are 4-1 but all four wins have come against cupcakes and playing in this environment will be hard for them to overcome. Minnesota has talent but they are young but should more comfortable playing at home. Clemson is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Big 10 teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-29-15 | Wisconsin +8 v. Oklahoma | 48-65 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #719 Take Wisconsin over Oklahoma (2:30 pm ESPN 2) Still not sold on Oklahoma being a complete team and thus we will grab the points with Wisconsin. The Badgers have had good success playing Oklahoma in recent years and I see this being a close game that goes down to the wire. Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 12 teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-28-15 | Nevada v. CS-Fullerton +2 | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #544 Take Cal-Fullerton +2 over Nevada (9 pm) The Wolf Pack have been road warriors to open the season and I think that will take its toll of them in this game. Nevada has played just one home game this season out of five games. They have played well but they are worn down and expect the Titans to pull away in the second half. Getting points at home with two similar teams is too good to pass up. Nevada is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-28-15 | Hawaii +7 v. Texas Tech | 74-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #523 Take Hawaii +7 over Texas Tech (4 pm) Expect a letdown for the Red Raiders here, as they are coming off an impressive showing in Puerto Rico including getting a game Coach Tubby Smith really wanted: Beating Minnesota. This is Hawaii’s first game off of the island and that could bode trouble but this is a solid team that should not be that effected by playing on the road. Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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11-27-15 | Providence v. Arizona -5 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #770 Take Arizona -5.5 over Providence (11:30 pm ESPN 2) This tournament was set-up to have Michigan State face Arizona in the finals and I see no reason why that will not happen. Arizona had a major scare last night against Santa Clara but should have an easier time with Providence tonight. Arizona has a major advantage since this game is being playing in Southern California. |
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11-27-15 | Drexel -3.5 v. Alaska Anchorage | 65-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #773 Take Drexel -3.5 over Alaska Anchorage (6:30 pm ESPN 3) The Dragons have not found their magic from a couple of years ago but they return a lot of talent from last season and should be able to take down the Seawolves in the Great Alaskan Shootout. Drexel needs a win on the season and this is their best chance against a non-division one team. |
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11-26-15 | Washington v. Texas -2.5 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #516 Take Texas -2.5 over Washington (7 pm AXS) |
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11-26-15 | Connecticut -5 v. Syracuse | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #513 Take Connecticut -4 over Syracuse (3:30 pm ESPN) |
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11-25-15 | TCU v. Illinois State | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #774 Take Illinois State (pk) over TCU (7 pm CBSSN) Trent Johnson has not had much success as a coach of late and keeps bouncing from job to job before he can be replaced. TCU is not any good and expect Illinois State to dominate this game from start to finish. The Horned Frogs have not beaten anybody of the season and I see this as a 6-8 point victory for the Redbirds. |
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11-25-15 | Washington +9.5 v. Gonzaga | 64-80 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #749 Take Washington over Gonzaga (12 pm ESPN 2) It seems teams usually struggle to shot at the Battle 4 Atlantis and thus we will take the points in this battle of Washington. This is a make shift basketball court and Washington is 3-0 on the season including a win over Texas. |
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11-24-15 | UC-Davis v. CS Sacramento -2.5 | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #572 Take Sacramento State -2.5 over UC-Davis (10 pm) This battle features two teams from the Sacramento area doing battle tonight at the Nest. The Hornets and Aggies both had good seasons in 2014-2015 but the Aggies lost most of their talent from last year. I also believe it was a bit of fool’s gold for UC-Davis last year as they were not as good as their record would indicate. This is the Aggies from road game of the season and you can bet the fans of the Hornets will be excited for this game. UC-Davis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big Sky teams. Sacramento State is 3-0 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 5 games against Big West teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-24-15 | Valparaiso +3.5 v. Oregon State | 63-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #519 Take Valparaiso +3.5 over Oregon State (9 pm PAC-12 Network) The Crusaders are experienced and loaded for a mid-major team coming off a birth in the NCAA Tournament last season. They are coming off a six point loss to Oregon, a better team than the Beavers. Travel is not an issues for Valpo, as they are in Oregon having played the Ducks on Sunday night. The Beavers have feasted on cupcakes thus far and this will be the best team that they have faced this season. Valpo has covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games. Oregon State is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games. |
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11-24-15 | Akron -4 v. Green Bay | 63-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #516 Take Akron -4 over Green Bay (8 pm) Akron is a good mid-major team and Green Bay is not. The Phoenix are 1-3 on the season having been blown out in their last two losses against ETSU and Georgia Tech. The Zips already have an 8 point victory at Arkansas this season and I expect them to win this game by 8-10 points. The Phoenix lost their coach and their best player from last year. The Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss in their previous game. The Phoenix are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win in their previous game. |
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11-23-15 | LSU -5.5 v. Marquette | 80-81 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
4-unit play. #751 Take LSU over Marquette (7 pm ESPN 2) We saw how bad Marquette was las week against Iowa. They will play better today but LSU has enough to win this game even without Keith Hornsby. |
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11-23-15 | St. John's +15 v. Vanderbilt | 55-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
4-unit play. Take St. John’s over Vanderbilt (2:30 pm ESPN 2) This is a talent mismatch but the start time will allow this game to stay close. 8:30 am local time is too early to lay this many points. |
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11-22-15 | Wisconsin -2 v. VCU | 74-73 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
6 Unit play. #557 Take Wisconsin -2 over VCU (3:30 pm ESPN 2) The Badgers usually bounce back well from defeats under Bo Ryan and I expect no different on Sunday in the consolation game. VCU has a new coach but a similar system but they struggle to score when they do not turn you over. Wisconsin should be able to take care of the ball and pull away late to win this game comfortably. Best of luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-21-15 | SIU-Edwardsville +11 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | 67-87 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #779 Take SIU-Edwardsville +11 over IPFW (2:30 pm) IPFW struggled to put away Austin Peay this week and I just do not see a blowout in this game. The Cougars return some experience and that should allow them to keep this game. I see IPFW winning but by just 6-8 points. |
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11-20-15 | Georgia Southern v. Auburn OVER 150.5 | 62-92 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #536 Take Over in Georgia Southern @ Auburn (9:30 pm SECN+) The Tigers go on massive streaks good and bad and thus we will not worry if they can cover this spread and just collect with the over. I see Auburn getting close to 90 points in this game and that should put us in good position for the over. The Eagles put up 116 points in their opener. The Tigers have gone over the posted total in 12 of their last 16 home games. |
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11-20-15 | South Dakota v. Kansas State -13 | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #590 Take Kansas State over South Dakota (8 pm ESPN 3) Would be more worried if this game was against South Dakota State instead of South Dakota. Kansas State is opening the season with a soft schedule and expect a third straight double digit victory at home. This is an important year for Bruce Webber and he needs all the wins he can get at this point of the season. South Dakota is a middle of the pack team in the Summit League and does not have the talent to match up with the Wildcats in the Little Apple. |
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11-19-15 | Iowa -1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 89-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
7 Unit Play. #723 Take Iowa over Marquette (9 pm FS1) The Golden Eagles will play hard but as we found out last season they just do not have the talent to compete with the top teams in the Big 10. Marquette overhauled the roster for a second consecutive year and I see them going thrown more growing pains again this season. Iowa is always a tough team to figure out but they return four starters from last season and usually play well during the nonconference portion of the season. The Golden Eagles struggled to put away two mid-majors to open up the season and they actually lost to Belmont last week. Marquette was just 13-19 last season and a terrible 4-14 in the Big East. Iowa has covered the spread in 6 of their last 9 games overall (1 push). Marquette is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Big Ten flexes its muscle on Thursday night. |
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11-18-15 | Illinois v. Providence UNDER 150.5 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #524 Take Under 150.5 in Illinois @ Providence (7 pm FS1) The Illini are banged up without Tracy Abrams and I just do not see them scoring a ton of points in this game against a solid Providence team. The Friars have stayed under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games. Illinois has stayed under the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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11-17-15 | Rider v. La Salle -3 | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #758 Take La Salle -3.5 over Rider (7 pm) La Salle is the play again for us for the second time this season. They are the better team from the better conference and also have the best player on the floor. They played around too much in their opener and thus won the game but did not cover the spread. Things will be different tonight and the home team will pull away late to win by double digits. Rider is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Atlantic 10 teams. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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11-16-15 | Monmouth v. USC -10 | 90-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #576 Take USC -10.5 over Monmouth (10 pm PAC-12 Network) Monmouth is coming off a shocking win against USC on Friday but I just do not see them beating both LA schools on this road trip. USC dominated their first game of the season against San Diego and now the talent under Andy Enfield is finally starting to see results in year three. Look for another double digit victory tonight at the Galen Center. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-16-15 | Columbia v. Kansas State -3.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #530 Take Kansas State -3.5 over Columbia (9 pm ESPN 3) This may be a make or break year for Bruce Weber at Kansas State but expect them to take care of business tonight against Columbia. Kansas State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory by more than 20 points in their previous game. Columbia returns four starters but they are not at the same level of talent as Kansas State has. |
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11-16-15 | Virginia -5.5 v. George Washington | 68-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #527 Take Virginia -5.5 over George Washington (7:30 pm ESPN 2) The Cavaliers are always a tough out in early season games because of the tenacious defense that they play. They will get a test from George Washington tonight in the capital but Virginia is too good to be denied in this game. The Colonials were on their way to an NCAA Tournament bid until they feel apart down the stretch and I do not see things getting better this year. They lost their second leading scorer Kethan Savage to Butler and expect this to be a defensive battle and that favors Virginia. |
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11-15-15 | Cal Poly v. UCLA -8 | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #726 Take UCLA over Cal Poly (10 pm PAC-12 Network) The Bruins are not losing two home games to open up the season. They are coming off an overtime loss to Monmouth on Friday night but they still have talent and balance and that will be enough to beat this mid-major by double digits. Cal Poly is just a middle of the pack team in the Big West. They gave UNLV a game on Friday but look for them to be tired in this game playing a second straight true road game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-15-15 | Coastal Carolina v. Hawaii -7 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #750 Take Hawaii over Coastal Carolina (9:30 pm) Coastal Carolina appears to be overrated this year. They were favored against Nevada on Friday and got destroyed in the second half. Expect Hawaii to take care of business tonight playing on the home floor. |
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11-14-15 | Towson v. La Salle -5.5 | 76-78 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #518 Take La Salle -5.5 over Towson (3 pm) The Tigers really struggled shooting the basketball last year as they were under 30% from the arc and under 63% from the charity stripe. Towson returns four starters but the one missing is their leading scorer from last season Four McGlynn. La Salle still has the best player on the court in Jordan Price and if he gets any scoring help around him this will be a double digit victory for the home team. La Salle has covered 6 of their last 8 games (1 push) against teams from the CAA. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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11-13-15 | Pacific v. Arizona -23 | 61-79 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #764 Take Arizona -23 over Pacific (9:30 pm PAC-12 Network) The Tigers may have three key players out for this game due to academic issues but either way Arizona will win this game big. The Wildcats could not get over the hump last season by making it to a Final Four but they just reload and will have another outstanding team this year. The Tigers have not fared well against PAC-12 teams going 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 match-ups. The Wildcats have covered 13 of their last 18 home games. |
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11-13-15 | Western Illinois v. Wisconsin -27 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #840 Take Wisconsin over Western Illinois (9 pm BTN) The Badgers are in a rebuilding year with only two starters returning but they open-up play at the Kohl Center against one of the worst division one teams in the country. Wisconsin still plays a system and great defense and that will allow them to pull away late and win this game by 30+ points. The Leathernecks are predicted to finish last in the Summit League and won just 3 conference games last year. Western Illinois is 7-29 ATS in their last 29 road games. Wisconsin beat a similar team in the exhibition season by 55 points. |
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11-13-15 | Green Bay v. Stanford -7.5 | Top | 89-93 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
7 Unit Play. #762 Take Stanford -7 over Green Bay (9 pm PAC-12 Network) Stanford has been known to lay an egg in some early season games but they cannot afford that to happen this season, as Johnny Dawkins is once again on the hot seat. The Cardinal were playing good basketball at the end of the season and won the NIT to become one of the few teams to end their season with a victory. The Cardinal have to replace much of their talent from last year but they still have size and should be able to out muscle the Phoenix. The Cardinal got to play together in Italy this summer and that should only help them this season. But this play is mostly going against Green Bay, as the Phoenix have to replace their coach and all-everything player. Keifer Sykes now plays in the NBADL and he was two time conference player of the year for a team that dominated the Horizon League regular season but choked against Valparaiso in the conference tournament last year. They also lost their coach in Brian Wardle who seemed to understand the writing on the wall making a lateral move (if that) to Bradley. This is a rebuild situation fort Linc Darner and this team is going to struggle compared to the last few years. Stanford picked up a bunch of nonconference wins in the NIT last year and they have now covered 7 of their last 9 games out of conference. Green Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Green Bay is making the trip to Stanford for a check and you can bet that the PAC-12 does not want to see Stanford start off with a loss (ie the refs Stanford hires for this game). This spread should be double digits and we will take advantage of a soft line. |
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11-13-15 | Siena v. Duke -24 | 74-92 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #800 Take Duke -24 over Siena (7 pm ESPN U) Duke is becoming Kentucky as Coach K is starting to embrace the one and done idea. Duke has to replace a ton of talent from last season but they recruit the very best in the country and should be able to pull away late from the Saints. The Saints do not have the players that can challenge Duke and Cameron and thus I expect a victory by the home team of close to 30 points. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games. |
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04-06-15 | Wisconsin v. Duke +1 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 31 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #602 Take Duke over Wisconsin (Monday 9:18 pm CBS) It end’s tonight! Duke and Coach K will win their fifth National Championship tonight in Indianapolis. Wisconsin is coming off a landmark victory against Kentucky on Saturday night and to their fans that felt like winning a National Championship. Duke has yet to be tested in the NCAA Tournament winning five games with relative ease (Utah game was not as close as the final would indicate). That should bode well for them tonight against a team that already beat in December in Madison. Unlike Kentucky, Duke has shooters that can exploit this suspect Wisconsin defense. Wisconsin will have their moments in this game but in the end Coach K will be too much for them to overcome after such an emotional victory on Saturday night. Duke has won five straight games against Big 10 teams. |
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04-04-15 | Michigan State v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #824 Take Duke over Michigan State (Saturday 6:05 pm TBS) Michigan State = Indianapolis Colts. Much like Indy, Michigan State does not belong in the Final Four and they will be exposed in a big way on Saturday night in Indianapolis, IN. The Spartans were fortunate to be bracketed into the East Region where the top seeds where exposed as frauds and the Elite 8 battle features two teams with major flaws. Tom Izzo is given a lot for being Mr. March and this will be his 7th Final Four but one must remember he has only won one championship and advance past this round just two times in six attempts. He also has a terrible record against Coach K winning just one game in nine attempts including a double digit loss this season in Indianapolis of all places. Duke just has better talent at four of the five positions on the court and this is not even a typical Michigan State team that rebounds well and makes free throws (they do neither of these). Duke is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on Saturday. |
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04-02-15 | Stanford -2 v. Miami (FL) | Top | 66-64 | Push | 0 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #707 Take Stanford over Miami (Thursday 9 pm ESPN) Have not had much luck going against Miami with two ridiculous losses their last two games when Richmond and Temple and big leads only to go ice cold in the second half. Miami will likely be without Tonye Jekiri and Angel Rodriguez and that is a major void that this team will not be able to overcome. Stanford has had recent success in the NIT of late winning it in 2012 and I was impressed with how they finished the game last night after blowing a big lead in the first half against Old Dominion. Miami has gotten off to poor starts in the last two games and without a big man in the middle I do not see them making a second half rally in this contest. Stanford is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Miami is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played on Thursday. |
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03-31-15 | Miami (Fla) v. Temple -1 | Top | 60-57 | Loss | -108 | 45 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #770 Take Temple over Miami (Tuesday 7 pm ESPN) Miami just has no business being in New York City for the NIT Semi-Finals. They are coming off a miracle comeback last week in Richmond but I do not see Temple giving them this game like the Spiders did. Miami will likely be without Angel Rodriguez and this leaves a major void in their offensive game that will be tough to overcome. The Owls have been solid of late losing just one game in the last month and they have won their last two NIT games in convincing fashion. Take the better team that is closer to home in the first game of the night on Tuesday. |
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03-29-15 | Gonzaga v. Duke -2.5 | Top | 52-66 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #722 Take Duke over Gonzaga (Sunday 5:05 pm CBS) The Bulldogs are in unfamiliar territory as they have never reached the Elite 8 under Mark Few. Duke has the tradition and the legardary coach and they will not be denied another trip to the Final Four. Duke has the big man down low that can offset the bigs for Gonzaga and I still believe this Gonzaga team in not mentally tough. Duke will be able to dominate the guard position and Kevin Pangos does not seem to be himself for much of the season. Gonzaga is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against ACC teams. Duke is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. |
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03-28-15 | Arizona -1 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #513 Take Arizona over Wisconsin (Saturday 6:09 pm TBS) It is Arizona’s time! Coach Sean Miller comes of the list of beat coaches to never make a Final Four on Saturday as his Wildcats will knock out Wisconsin on Saturday afternoon in Los Angeles. Arizona has the size and strength to beat Wisconsin on the block and the Badgers have not been playing their best basketball down the stretch. Frank Kaminsky has not been playing to his Player of the Year level of late and without him playing at his best, Wisconsin cannot beat the elite teams. Unlike North Carolina, Arizona can play defense and will not miss key free throws down the stretch. Arizona cleared their hurdle on Thursday facing a former assistant coach that knew many of their sets. That will not be the case Saturday afternoon as Wisconsin will not know what hit them playing a team that is desperate to reach the Final Four. Arizona is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Wisconsin is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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03-27-15 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Oklahoma | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 81 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #879 Take Michigan State over Oklahoma (Friday 10:05 pm TBS) Just not a fan of Oklahoma this season. Lon Kruger is a good coach but he has not sniffed the Final Four since he left Florida. Coach Tom Izzo is Mr. March and he has his team playing at a high level few thought they would attain this season. We are finding out that the Big XII was not that good of a conference with just a bunch of good teams and no great teams. Michigan State is 9-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 games overall. Oklahoma is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. |
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03-27-15 | Utah v. Duke -5 | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 81 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #884 Take Duke over Utah (Friday 9:45 pm CBS) Duke is not losing this game straight-up. The committee set up the South Region with the intention for Duke to advance to the Final Four and I do not see Utah altering that path. Georgetown had Utah on the ropes before they went ice cold over the last 5 minutes of that game and Utah emerged victorious. That will not happen against Duke and Coach K. Duke has the better player at four of the five positions on the court and Utah has not seen a big man with this much offensive skill like Jahlil Okafor. Duke has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games. |
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03-26-15 | North Carolina v. Wisconsin -6 | Top | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #810 Take Wisconsin over North Carolina (Thursday 7:47 pm TBS) This game means more to Wisconsin as they still hold a grudge against Coach Roy Williams for a statement he made about the 2000 Wisconsin team that made the Final Four. Throw in the fact that Kennedy Meeks will likely not play (definitely will not be 100%) and I just do not see North Carolina behind able to match-up well with Wisconsin. Carolina will have some moments in this game but in the end Wisconsin will pull away late and win this game by 9-12 points. Carolina has covered just 1 of their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Wisconsin is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 neutral site games. |
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03-24-15 | Miami (FL) v. Richmond -2 | 63-61 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. #666 Take Richmond over Miami (7 pm ESPN) Miami still has a lot of injury questions and playing on the road in a hostile environment will be too much for them to overcome on Tuesday. Richmond is the more motivated team in this affair as they want to win the NIT whereas Miami is still disappointed they did not make the NCAA Tournament. Richmond is coming off a thrilling victory against Arizona State on Sunday night and look for them to make a trip to NYC next week. Richmond is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games. |
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03-22-15 | West Virginia v. Maryland | Top | 69-59 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #728 Maryland over West Virginia (8:40 pm TNT) We will again ride the Terrapins but unlike Friday they just have to win the game tonight and we do not need to worry about the spread. West Virginia just does not have the offensive firepower that Maryland does and I feel that talent will eventually win out. Maryland was never in danger of losing to Valparaiso on Friday despite the close score and expect them to play better on Sunday night. West Virginia is a tough team to officiate and they really try and muck up the game but that usually does not work in the NCAA Tournament where games are called more tightly. West Virginia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. |
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03-21-15 | Utah v. Georgetown +4.5 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #526 Take Georgetown over Utah (7:45 pm CBS) I still believe Utah is not playing their best basketball to down the stretch and should have be favored by this many points against a more than capable Georgetown team. Utah losing to Arizona has left a lasting image on this team and Georgetown has the size to dominate in the paint. The Hoyas dominated Eastern Washington and expect them to take down their second straight opponent from the West on Saturday. Georgetown is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 nonconference games. |
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03-20-15 | North Dakota State +18 v. Gonzaga | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 74 h 41 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. #853 Take North Dakota State over Gonzaga (Friday 9:50 pm TNT) Gonzaga has never been a good NCAA Tournament team and some flaws are starting to show toward the end of the season. During their last 8 games, Gonzaga has only beaten one team by tonight’s posted number and North Dakota is becoming standard NCAA Tournament team out of the Summit League making it two straight seasons. The Bison have performed well in both cases hanging around with Kansas in 2009 and beating Oklahoma last season before losing to San Diego State. The Bulldogs players and coaches have not performed well in March and expect them to tighten up if North Dakota State can hang around early. Look for Gonzaga to win but only by 13-15 points. |
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03-20-15 | Valparaiso v. Maryland -5 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -106 | 94 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #836 Take Maryland over Valparaiso (Friday 4:40 pm TNT) NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. The Terrapins are angry at their seed and expect them to take out their frustrations in a big way on Friday afternoon in Columbus, OH. Valparaiso was the best team in the Horizon League but most of their damage came at home. They did not perform well in their conference tournament and were lucky to escape with home wins against Cleveland State in the semi-finals and Green Bay in the finals. Green Bay gagged in that game scoring just 5 points in the last 11:42 of that game. Maryland has too many weapons for Valparaiso to handle and this was clearly the second best team in the Big 10 all season long (they did beat Wisconsin as well). Prior to blowing a big lead to Michigan State in the Big 10 semi-finals, Maryland had won 8 straight games and I expect them to bounce back in a big way. Maryland has the better player on the court at four of the five positions and Valpo has not an NCAA Tournament Game since the Bryce Drew shot in 1998. In those five games since then they have lost by 22, 27, 15, 27, and 11 points. We will gladly lay this small number of points with the much better team from the Big 10. This is a chance for Coach Mark Turgeon to solidify himself as the coach of Maryland and if he can make a run to the Sweet 16 he should be entrenched as the coach for quite some time. This is the first time he has made the NCAA Tournament at Maryland and he does not to be a quick one and done. Valpo is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Maryland has a neutral site victory against Iowa State and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games played at neutral sites. |
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03-20-15 | New Mexico State v. Kansas -10.5 | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 47 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #842 Take Kansas over New Mexico State (Friday 12:15 pm CBS) This is one of the worst Jayhawk teams Bill Self has brought to the NCAA Tournament in quite some time but I still believe they have enough to New Mexico State in Omaha. Once Fresno State, Utah State, and Nevada left the WAC it became one of the worst conferences in division one and I do not give the Aggies much credit for winning a conference that has a for profit team in the league. I do not expect a blowout, however, Kansas with its superior talent will pull away enough in the second half to win this game by 15 points. |
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03-19-15 | Ole Miss +3 v. Xavier | 57-76 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. #715 Take Ole Miss over Xavier (Thursday 4:10 pm TBS) Just not sold on Xavier despite them beating us last Friday with a big play. Ole Miss has better talent than the Musketeers and I believe that the SEC is a better conference at the top compared to the Big East. Seems like every year one of the play-in game teams makes a run and I really feel Ole Miss is that team. Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams. |
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03-19-15 | UCLA v. SMU -3.5 | 60-59 | Loss | -106 | 42 h 29 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #732 Take SMU over UCLA (Thursday 3:10 pm Tru TV) This will be a very public selection but I still feel the odds makers are not properly rating how good this SMU team is. We all know that UCLA should not be in this tournament but nonetheless they are and they do have some weapons. That being said, SMU had a great season from December on losing just three times and put forth a dominating effort in their last game out. The Mustangs beat the defending champions on their home floor and should be able to take down UCLA in Louisville. UCLA is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. SMU has covered the spread in 15 of their last 25 games (3 pushes). |
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03-15-15 | Connecticut v. SMU -2.5 | Top | 54-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #894 Take SMU over UCONN (3:15 pm ESPN) It ends tonight! There will not be a repeat national champion this season as UCONN will get bounced from the AAC Tournament on Sunday by the clear cut best team in the league. Tulsa had UCONN on the ropes for most of the game before they gaged in typical Frank Haith fashion. SMU is coached by a legend in Larry Brown and he will not let that happen to his Mustangs on Sunday. This is a rubber match for these two teams but SMU will not be fazed by playing this game in Hartford. Talent wins out and we collect big with SMU as they move up to a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Sunday. |
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03-14-15 | VCU v. Davidson -2.5 | 93-73 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #524 Take Davidson over VCU (1:30 pm NBCSN) Both teams were lucky to advance into the semi-finals on Saturday but I just believe Davidson has too much offensive firepower for VCU to keep pace with. The Wildcats have won 10 straight games including a 27 point beatdown of VCU on March 5th. VCU just does not have the weapons to keep pace as the Wildcats March onto the Finals on Sunday. Davidson is 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games. VCU covered yesterday but they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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03-13-15 | Xavier v. Georgetown -2 | 65-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #866 Take Georgetown -2 over Xavier (9:30 pm Fox Sports 1) Much like Richmond, I just do not believe Xavier is a consistent enough team to beat Georgetown three times in one season. Xavier is coming off a battle last night against Butler and now must play another physical team in Georgetown in less than 24 hours. The Hoyas have been playing outstanding basketball of late winning six of their last seven games and they have revenge on their minds losing two games to Xavier both by double digits. Xavier is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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03-13-15 | North Carolina +2.5 v. Virginia | Top | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #859 Take North Carolina over Virginia (7 pm ESPN) Conference Tournament Just not been a big believer in Virginia this season and feel they will have trouble beating North Carolina in Greensboro with a 100% Justin Anderson. Virginia is extremely well coached and they have players that fit their system but North Carolina just has better players. Virginia let a bad Florida State team hang around in the second half and I just do not believe they are firing on all cylinders at the moment (they lost to Louisville in their regular season finale). Carolina got good production from Kennedy Meeks on Thursday and I expect him to be even better on Friday. Carolina shot the ball well from the three point line on Thursday going 5-11 and if they do that again they will beat Virginia straight-up. North Carolina has covered 5 straight neutral site games. Virginia is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory in their previous game. The crowd propels North Carolina into the Semi-Finals and we collect in the process as well. |