20* SHARP PLAY on Bucks vs Thunder over

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Blazers vs Suns over

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Kings vs Lakers under

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Hornets vs Heat under

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Heat vs Nuggets over

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on 76ers vs Celtics under

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Heat vs Knicks under

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Knicks vs Pelicans under

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Bucks vs Pistons over

*All NBA picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Celtics vs Rockets under

Bet the UNDER (229.5) in Monday's NBA action between the Rockets and Celtics. With Houston not figuring to be able to a whole lot on the offensive side of the ball and this more than likely turning into a blowout (Boston is a 13-pt favorite), I just don't see these two teams reach 230 points. Average score in Celtics road games this season is just 227.6 and the average score in Rockets home games is 225.3. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Lakers vs Grizzlies under

Bet the UNDER (236.5) in Tuesday's NBA action between the Lakers and Grizzlies. This to me is just too high of a total given who LA is going to be without for this game. LeBron James is out with an ankle injury and D'Angelo Russell is doubtful. Not only does LeBron score a lot for this team (29.5 ppg), he averages 6.9 assists/game. I don't see their offense doing near enough for this game to get into the 240s, especially with how much LA has improved defensively since making all those trades. Play the UNDER 236.5

20* SHARP PLAY on Lakers vs Knicks under

Bet the UNDER (238) in Tuesday's NBA action between the Knicks and Lakers. There's going to be plenty of offense with how these two teams struggle defensively, but I just feel that the total here has been inflated to the point that there's now value on the UNDER. Knicks will be playing on 2 days of rest and that's key, as the UNDER has gone an impressive 17-4 in New York home games when they are playing on 2 days or more of rest the last 3 seasons. UNDER is also 5-1 in the Lakers last 6 off a SU loss, 8-3 in their last 11 overall and 7-3 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Play the UNDER 238! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Nets vs Spurs under

Bet the UNDER (235) in Tuesday's NBA action between the Spurs and Nets. This to me is just too high a total with Kevin Durant sidelined for Brooklyn. The Nets have scored fewer than 110 points in each of their last 4 games and in the first two games without Durant they managed just 98 at home vs the Celtics and 102 at home vs OKC. I know the Spurs defense is maybe the worst in the league, but Brooklyn could score 120 in this game and these two still could struggle to get to 235. Nets are a good defensive team. They have held 7 of their last 8 opponents to 112 or fewer points. I think this total is a good 5-7 points too high. Play the UNDER 235! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Pacers vs Cavs under 224 -110

Bet the UNDER (224) in Friday's NBA action between the Pacers and Cavs. Cleveland comes into this game off a dominant defensive showing in Wednesday's 105-90 win at Dallas. I expect another great effort on that side at home against Indiana. The average score in Cleveland home games this season is just 217.2 points/game. Largely due to the Cavs defense, which is giving up just 103.4 ppg at home. UNDER is 12-2 in Cleveland's last 14 home games after allowing 100 points or less in their last game and 8-1 in their last 9 after a game with a combined score of 205 or less. Play the UNDER 224! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Wolves vs Blazers under 233½ -105

Bet the UNDER (233.5) in Monday's NBA action between the Wolves and Blazers. UNDER is hitting at 65% (80-43) since 1996 in games where you have a total of 230 or more in a matchup of two division opponents and a team (Blazers) is coming off a home win scoring 110 or more. Other big thing is this being a rematch between these two teams, as they just played in Portland on Saturday. That game saw 242 points, but it took both teams shooting well over 50% from the field. Expect some regression, as these two defenses will be much better prepared. Play the UNDER 233.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Warriors vs Jazz under 239 -110

Bet the UNDER (239) in Wednesday's NBA action between the Jazz and Warriors. There's going to be plenty of offense in this matchup, but the number here is simply too high. I don't see these two getting into the 240s. Not with Steph Curry, Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins all expected to not play in this game. UNDER has cashed in 3 straight games for the Warriors and is 5-1 in their last 6 off a loss. Play the UNDER 239! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Hawks vs Knicks over 228½ -110

Bet the OVER (228.5) in Wednesday's NBA action between the Hawks and Knicks. New York has gotten a reputation as this great defensive team under Thibs, but they have been playing in shootouts so far this season. The average combined score in Knicks' games is 232.5 and that jumps to 239.3 when NY plays at home. Atlanta has seen an average combined score of 232.9 on the season and 241.2 in road games. Play the OVER 228.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Lakers vs Warriors under 227½ -110

Bet the UNDER (227.5) in Tuesday's Opening Night action in the NBA between the Lakers and Warriors. I think there's some big time value with the UNDER. Most are going to expect points in this one. Golden State can light up the scoreboard with the best of them. Lakers were an awful defensive team last year and offensively should be better with a healthy LeBron and AD. People overlook how good the Warriors have been defensively. The Lakers may have their dynamic duo, but the rest of the rotation leaves a lot to be desired offensively. I also think that LA is going to be a much improved defensive team. I also think LA is going to try and keep this from being a game played in transition. Play the UNDER 227.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Magic vs Mavs under 206½ -110

*All NBA Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Wolves vs Heat under 213½ -110

*All NBA Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Blazers vs Clippers under 217½ -110

*All NBA Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Celtics vs Heat under 196 -110

The UNDER (196) is worth a look in Sunday's Game 7 between the Celtics and Heat. UNDER is always a strong play in Game 7 of a series. These two had gone UNDER the total in both Game 4 and Game 5, before both teams shot the ball well and got some huge performances from their stars in Game 6. I don't see Jimmy Butler going for close to 50 again and I expect Miami's defense to be better at home. Play the UNDER 196! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Heat vs Celtics under 201½ -110

The UNDER (201.5) is worth a look in Friday's Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Heat and Celtics. I feel like this total would be too much if these two teams were playing a Game 6 with fully healthy rosters. It's going to take a really really good shooting night for either of these teams to crack 100 points. A lot of that is because Miami has no choice but to try and slow up the game with their limitations offensively. Play the UNDER 201.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bucks vs Celtics under 208½ -110

The UNDER (208.5) is worth a look in Sunday's Game 7 between the Celtics and Bucks. Game 7s are historically low-scoring and should be. These two teams have played 6 games against each other. They know what each other are trying to do offensively and how they can best stop it. 4 of the 6 games in the series have gone UNDER, including Game 5, which saw just 203 points with both Tatum and Antetokounmpo going for 40+ points. Play the UNDER 208.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on 76ers vs Heat over 206½ -110

The OVER (206.5) is worth a look in Wednesday's NBA action between the Heat and 76ers. Game 1 finished UNDER the total with the two teams combing for 198 with a total of 208.5. I just think dropping the total 2 points off that game is a bit of an overreaction. Both teams shot a miserable 43% from the field in Game 1 and they almost got to 200 points with Philly only scoring 41 in the 2nd half. Play the OVER 206.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on 76ers vs Raptors under 208½ -110

The UNDER (208.5) is worth a look in Game 6 between the Raptors and 76ers. These two teams have gone UNDER the total in each of the last 4 games in the series. With Embiid at less than 100%, Harden struggling to get going and Maxey regressing from his hot start, Philadelphia is a shell of what we would expect to see offensively. They managed just 88 points on 38% shooting on their home floor in Game 5. Raptors shot 51.2% from the field in Game 5 and still only scored 103 points. Even with Toronto at home in Game 6, I would expect a worse shooting night from them in this one. Play the UNDER 208.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jazz vs Mavs over 204½ -110

The OVER (204.5) is worth a look in Game 2 of Monday's Western Conference matchup between the Jazz and Mavericks. Game 1 was low scoring with the two teams combining for just 192. I just think we are going to see both of these teams shoot the ball a little better than they did in Game 1, especially from long distance. Utah was just 7 of 22 (31.8%) from deep and the Mavs at home were a mere 9 of 32 (28.1%). Play the OVER 204.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Wolves vs Grizzlies under 237 -103

The UNDER (237) is worth a look in Game 1 between the Grizzlies and Wolves in Saturday's NBA Playoff action. This is being priced like a regular-season game and it shouldn't. The intensity goes way up on defense in the playoffs. We saw that in the play-in games. All 6 games went UNDER the total. Minnesota only combined for 213 with a total of 231 in their play-in game with the Clippers. Just too much value here to pass up. Play the UNDER 237! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Suns vs Clippers under 229½ -110

The UNDER (229.5) is worth a look in Wednesday's NBA action between the Clippers and Suns. LA has won 3 of 4 since Paul George returned with the only loss coming into OT at Chicago (should have won in regulation). Down to just 3 games left for Phoenix. With the No. 1 seed locked up. There's no incentive for them right now. Only thing that matters is going into the playoffs as healthy as possible. Look for their offensive numbers to dwindle as they start cutting more minutes. Backups are going to give effort on defense as they try to earn playing time in the playoffs. Total is way too high. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Pistons vs Nets over 229½ -110

The OVER (229.5) is worth a look in Tuesday's NBA action between the Nets and Pistons. I look for Brooklyn to come out and put on a show offensively. You got a Nets team that is going to be motivated to play well coming off an ugly home loss to the Hornets. Pistons won't be able to stop Brooklyn's offense, but I do think they can score on them, even without Grant. Nets probably aren't going to be all that invested defensively given the gap in talent between these two teams and the fact that they got the Bucks on deck. Play the OVER 229.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Blazers vs Jazz under 221½ -110

The UNDER (221.5) is worth a look in Wednesday's NBA action between the Jazz and Blazers. This is just way too high a total for how bad Portland's offense has been of late. The Blazers just scored 81 in their last game and have now scored 95 or fewer points in 4 of their last 5 games. Hard to see it getting better on the road against a stingy Utah defense, especially if Anfernee Simmons can't go (questionable). Just don't see this game getting into the 220s. Play the UNDER 221.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Thunder vs Knicks over 204½ -115

The OVER 204.5 is worth a look in Monday's NBA action between the Knicks and Thunder. I get these aren't the two most explosive offenses, but we don't need a shootout to eclipse this low number. In the Knicks last 5 games they are averaging 110.6 ppg and giving up 118.6 ppg. Hard to see them being all that invested defensively against a bad OKC team, especially having just recently completed a lengthy 5-game west coast trip on Saturday. Play the OVER 204.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Clippers vs Wizards over 217½ -110

The OVER (217.5) is worth a look in Tuesday's NBA action between the Wizards and Clippers. Both of these defenses come into this game struggling. Los Angeles is allowing 115.0 ppg over their last 5 and the Wizards are giving up 111.4 ppg over their last 5. You also got a Washington offense that is averaging 110.2 ppg at home this season. This should easily get into the 220s. Play the OVER 217.5!