09-02-12 |
Los Angeles Angels -166 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-166 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -166 The Key: The Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 overall and 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite. They are 8-0 in Weaver's last 8 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200. The Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. This 30-0 angle is strengthened by the fact the Angels have won 38 of the last 53 meetings overall and 35 of the last 52 in Seattle. The Angels are also 9-2 in Weaver's last 11 starts vs. the Mariners.
|
09-01-12 |
San Francisco: T Lincecum -155 v. Chicago (N): J Germano |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -155 The Key: Love the Giants today with a rested Lincecum on the bump. He has been lights out on the road of late, allowing 2 runs or less in each of his last 3 road starts. Plus, the Giants are 4-0 in his last 4 starts coming on 5 days' rest. The Cubs are 0-4 in Germano's last 4 starts as an underdog, and he has been rocked in each of his last 2 outings. The Cubs are 8-22 in their last 30 overall and 5-17 when playing on Saturday this season. The Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 overall, 6-1 in their last 7 road games and 5-1 in the last 6 against the Cubs.
|
08-31-12 |
Texas: R Dempster -153 v. Cleveland: U Jimenez |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -153 The Key: The Indians are 0-14 this season after hitting .225 or worse over a 10-game span. They are also 0-4 in their last 4 series openers, 0-5 in their last 5 home contests and 0-6 in their last 6 Friday matchups. The Tribe is 0-3 in Jimenez's last 3 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 8.59. The Rangers have won 22 of 28 versus the Indians, including 12 of their last 15 in Cleveland. They are 4-1 in Dempster's starts since he joined the club.
|
08-30-12 |
San Francisco: Vogelsong -176 v. Houston: J Lyles |
Top |
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -176 The Key: I don't play favorites this large often in baseball, but I believe the Giants are well worth it here. The Astros are 8-47 in their last 55 overall, 0-6 in their last 6 Thursday games, 0-5 in Lyles' last 5 home starts, 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 3rd game of a series. The Astros are also 0-5 in their last 5 against the Giants.
|
08-29-12 |
Atlanta Braves -127 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
2-8 |
Loss |
-127 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -127 The Key: The Braves are 11-2 in Tommy Hanson's last 13 starts and 17-5 in his last 22 road starts. Plus, the Braves have never lost to the Padres in San Diego with Hanson on the hill. They are 3-0 all-time in his starts at Petco and have won those by an average of 5.3 runs. Hanson has never given up more than 2 runs to the Padres in 5 career starts against them. Bet the Braves.
|
08-28-12 |
Atlanta: K Medlen -154 v. San Diego: A Werner |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -154 The Key: The Braves are 16-0 in Medlen's last 16 starts, 8-0 in his last 8 road starts, 11-0 in his last 11 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 7-0 in his last 7 starts on 5 days' rest. Atlanta lost yesterday, but they are 10-0 in Medlen's last 10 starts when he gets the ball following a team loss. The Braves have won by an average score of 6.0 to 2.6 in this situation. Take Atlanta.
|
08-27-12 |
Seattle Mariners -158 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mariners -158 The Key: The Mariners are at a major advantage with Hernandez on the hill. They are 7-1 in his last 8 starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. The Twins, who have lost 7 of 8 at home, are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-7 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record, 0-4 in Hendriks' last 4 starts vs. the American League West, 0-5 in Hendriks' last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-6 in his last 6 home starts. Lastly, the Mariners are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with Minnesota. Bet Seattle.
|
08-26-12 |
Miami Marlins v. Los Angeles Dodgers -159 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-159 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -159 The Key: The Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4, and they've lost the first 2 games of this series by 7 and 6 runs, respectively. The Marlins are also 0-4 in Buehrle's last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Fish have lost 8 of his 12 road starts on the season so he clearly isn't winning pitching duels away from home. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NL East and 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games. LA has won 5 of its last 6 vs. Miami, and it should continue its dominance here.
|
08-25-12 |
Milwaukee: S Marcum v. Pittsburgh: J Karstens -103 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -103 The Key: The Brewers won yesterday, but I'm not hesitating in fading them today. They are still only 17-38 in their last 55 road games, 4-13 in their last 17 games as an underdog and 0-7 in their last 7 Saturday games. Plus, I'm expecting Marcum to struggle as he makes his first start in over 2 months. The Brewers are 5-12 in Marcum's last 17 starts and 1-5 in his last 6 road starts. He'll likely be on a pitch count, which means the Pirates will get to see plenty of a bullpen that carries a high 4.76 ERA. Lastly, the Pirates are a perfect 5-0 in Karstens' starts vs. the National League Central this season, and he has a lights out 2.53 ERA in these games.
|
08-24-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Chicago Cubs -155 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cubs -155 The Key: Colorado has been playing better baseball lately, but it can't be trusted on the road with the southpaw Drew Pomeranz on the mound. The Rockies are 0-4 in Pomeranz's last 4 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Plus, the Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. In addition, the Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record, 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite, 7-3 in Samardzija's 10 home starts this season and 20-8 in their last 28 home games against the Rockies. Take the Cubbies.
|
08-23-12 |
Cincinnati: J Cueto v. Philadelphia: C Hamels -110 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -110 The Key: Plain and simple, Cole Hamels has absolutely owned the Reds. He have never lost to them, going 10-0 on the money line in 10 career starts with an ERA of only 1.26. Johnny Cueto hasn't enjoyed as much success against the Phillies. He's 2-4 on the money line in 6 career starts against them with an ERA of 5.08. Bet Philly.
|
08-22-12 |
Atlanta Braves -110 v. Washington Nationals |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -110 The Key: The Braves are 15-0 in Medlen's last 15 starts, 11-0 in his last 11 starts as a favorite, 7-0 in his last 7 road starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. the National League East, 7-0 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 5 days' rest. Bet the Braves.
|
08-21-12 |
San Francisco: T Lincecum v. Los Angeles: J Blanton -113 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-113 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Month on Dodgers -113 The Key: I'm fading the Giants with Lincecum on the mound. The Giants are 9-22 in Lincecum's last 31 starts and 4-11 in his last 15 road starts. They are 2-12 in his starts when the money line is +125 to -125 this season and 3-12 in his starts following a win this season. San Francisco is even 3-10 in Lincecum's last 13 starts vs. the National League West, 2-9 in his last 11 starts as an underdog, 1-6 in hi last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Dodgers. Bet LA.
|
08-20-12 |
Minnesota: B Duensing v. Oakland: B Mccarthy -160 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-160 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -160 The Key: The Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 overall, 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are even 0-8 in Duensing's last 8 starts when the total is set at 7.0-8.5, 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and 3-0 in McCarthy's last 3 home starts. McCarthy has an ERA of only 1.62 at home while Duensing has an ERA of 5.31 on the road. Bet Oakland.
|
08-18-12 |
Chicago White Sox -143 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
4-9 |
Loss |
-143 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* American League Game of the Month on White Sox -143 The Key: The White Sox went down yesterday, but they are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. They are also a reliable 37-18 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago has had plenty of success against left-handed starters lately, and I expect that success to continue with KC bringing Bruce Chen (5.56 ERA) to the mound. The White Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals are 1-5 in Chen's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Jake Peavy, a former Cy Young with a 3.04 ERA, is the far better investment. Bet Chicago.
|
08-17-12 |
Tampa Bay: J Shields v. LA Anaheim: J Weaver -165 |
Top |
12-3 |
Loss |
-165 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -165 The Key: After getting shut out Thursday, there's no one the Angels would rather hand the ball to than ace Jered Weaver. In fact, they are 8-0 in Weaver's last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. They are also a perfect 7-0 in Weaver's last 7 starts vs. the tough American League East. It's also worth mentioning that the Rays are just 1-10 in Shields' last 11 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. Take LAA.
|
08-16-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
Top |
0-6 |
Win
|
111 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5 +111 The Key: I'm going to continue to ride the Braves with Kris Medlen on the mound. They are a perfect 14-0 in his last 14 starts and have won those by an average of 3.2 runs. They have won each of his last 7 starts by at least 2 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.
|
08-15-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves -161 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -161 The Key: I'm sticking with the Braves today. They have won 25 of their last 35, and I love the chances with Maholm on the mound. He is 7-1 on the money line in his last 8 starts and has allowed 1 run or none in each of those 7 victories. Volquez has had a decent season, but he has been roughed up lately (13.50 ERA last 3 starts). Consider that plays against all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN DIEGO) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) - and provided their starting pitcher (Volquez) gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, are 74-19 the last 5 seasons. This system has produced an 18-6 record already this season. Take Atlanta.
|
08-14-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves -163 |
Top |
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -163 The Key: The Padres can't be trusted with Richard on the hill outside pitcher-friendly Petco. The Padres have lost 10 of his 13 road starts this season, and they are 0-6 in his last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Plus, the Braves have never lost to Richard, who is 0-4 lifetime with an ERA of 7.36 in 4 career starts against them. Also, the Braves 7-0 Hudson
|
08-13-12 |
Washington: G Gonzalez v. San Francisco: Vogelsong -115 |
Top |
14-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -115 The Key: The Giants have the advantage at home tonight with Vogelsong on the hill. They are 9-0 in Vogelsong's last 9 starts as a favorite, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-0 in his last 7 series-opening starts. The Nats have lost 9 of their last 12 in San Francisco and should fall again here as Vogelsong outduels Gonzalez.
|
08-12-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Arizona Diamondbacks -113 |
Top |
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -113 The Key: Washington rallied to win yesterday thanks to two Arizona errors and a wild pitch in the 5th, but I expect its luck to run out here. The Diamondbacks are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a left-handed starter and 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Nationals are 5-14 in Detwiler's last 19 starts as a road underdog and 1-11 in his last 12 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The total is high given Detwiler's 2.99 as it reflects Arizona's ability to hit lefties well (4.8 runs/game, 0.264 average against southpaw starters this season). The fact the D-backs are favored against one of the hottest teams in the league and the team with the best overall record tells us the odds makers are expecting them to win. I couldn't agree more with their assessment today. Take Arizona.
|
08-11-12 |
San Diego: J Marquis v. Pittsburgh: A Burnett -1.5 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -1.5 +121 The Key: Pittsburgh is 10-0 in Burnett's home starts this season (2.6-run average winning margin in these games), 8-0 in his starts vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season (3.6-run avg winning margin in these games), 10-0 in his starts versus NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game this season. (3.1-run avg margin or victory in these games) and 9-0 in his starts as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (3.0-run avg margin of victory in these games). Take the Bucs on the run line as they win by 2-plus behind another outstanding outing from Burnett.
|
08-10-12 |
Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox -115 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -115 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and having had a day off to regroup, expect the White Sox to bring their "A" game tonight. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day and 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I also like the fact that the White Sox are 4-1 in Floyd's last 5 starts as a favorite. Oakland's McCarthy hasn't made a start since June 19, and I'm expecting to see some rust. Take the South Siders.
|
08-09-12 |
Cincinnati: M Leake -155 v. Chicago (N): C Volstad |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-155 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Year on Reds -155 The Key: The Reds will be extremely motivated and focused after losing all 3 in Milwaukee. They are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and should have no promblem furthering this streak against the Cubs, who are 0-8 in their last 8 games. The Cubs are also 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. They have struggled against the righty they'll see tonight (Leake). Lastly, Chicago's scheduled starter (Volstad) is 0-12 on the money line in his last 12 starts. We'll take Cincinnati.
|
08-08-12 |
Cincinnati Reds -140 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-140 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -140 The Key: The Reds are 3-0 in Latos' last 3 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.77. They are also 7-0 in his last 7 starts against NL Central opponents. The Brewers are 0-3 in Wolf's last 3 starts, during which he has posted a 5.40 ERA. They are also 0-6 in his last 6 Wednesday starts and 0-8 in his last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. It should also be mentioned that Cincy is 6-0 in its last 6 games vs. a southpaw starter.
|
08-07-12 |
Arizona: P Corbin v. Pittsburgh: J Karstens -116 |
Top |
10-4 |
Loss |
-116 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER on Pirates -116 The Key: The Pirates are a steal at this price, especially with Karstens on the hill. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts (allowed 1 run or none in 2 of those), 3-0 in his home starts (0.43 ERA in those) and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite (1 or no runs allowed in 3 of those). The Pirates have won 6 of their last 7 at home versus Arizona, and I like them here.
|
08-06-12 |
LA Anaheim: J Weaver -145 v. Oakland: J Parker |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -145 The Key: Simply put, I'm riding the hot hand of Jered Weaver here. The Halos' ace is 11-0 on the money line in his last 11 starts with LA winning those by an average of 4.4 runs per game. Weaver hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 7 starts against the A's, and I expect nothing short of another dominant performance tonight.
|
08-05-12 |
Houston Astros v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5 -104 The Key: The Astros are 0-10 in Bud Norris' last 10 starts. They have lost these by an average of 2.8 runs. The Braves, on the other hand, are 12-0 in Kris Medlen's last 12 starts. They have won these by 3.1 runs on average. With this in mind, and the fact that Atlanta has won 9 of its last 11 while Houston has lost 29 of its last 33, I love our chances of covering the run line with the Braves.
|
08-04-12 |
Chicago (N): C Volstad v. Los Angeles: C Kershaw -1.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -120 The Key: Chris Volstad's clubs are 0-11 in his last 11 starts and have lost these games by an average of 3.6 runs. I don't see anyway he outduels Kershaw here. The LA ace has shut down Chicago each of the last two times he's faced the Cubs. Take LA on the run line.
|
08-03-12 |
SF GIANTS -148 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
16-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -148 The Key: I love the Giants with Vogelsong on the hill. San Francisco is 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 series-opening starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts as a favorite, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his 5 career starts vs. the Rockies. The Giants are also 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. The struggling Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Bet San Francisco on the money line.
|
08-02-12 |
Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
120 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Braves -1.5 +120 The Key: Atlanta is 11-2 against teams with a losing record in the second half of the season this season, defeating them by an average score of 5.0 to 2.0. It is 7-1 in its last 8 overall with 5 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. It is also 8-2 in its last 10 games versus Miami with those 8 wins coming by an average of 5.5 runs. The Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 road games with 6 of those losses coming by at least 6 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.
|
08-01-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Oakland A's -121 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-121 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -121 The Key: I'll grab the A's in this bounce back spot as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 7-0 in their last 7 Wednesday games. They also have the advantage on the mound with Parker (3.37 ERA). They are 3-0 his last 3 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts in the third game of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the American League East. Tampa's Cobb (4.93 ERA), meanwhile, is 0-3 in his last 3 starts. Also, the Rays are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League West. Bet Oakland.
|
07-31-12 |
Detroit Tigers -122 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-122 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -122 The Key: As much as this is a play on Verlander, it's a play against Beckett. The Red Sox are 0-4 in Beckett's last 4 home starts, losing those by an average of 3.0 runs. He has given up a total of 11 runs in his last 2 home starts. Also, the Red Sox are 0-3 in his last 3 starts vs. Detroit, losing those by an average of 5.7 runs. Bet Detroit.
|
07-30-12 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Texas Rangers -140 |
Top |
15-8 |
Loss |
-140 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -140 The Key: The Rangers get the nod tonight as the numbers are heavily in their favor. The Angels are 0-5 in Santana
|
07-29-12 |
Los Angeles: C Kershaw v. San Francisco: Vogelsong +107 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Giants +107 The Key: The Giants are showing tremendous value at home in the underdog role with Vogelsong on the bump. The Giants are 8-0 in Vogelsong's last 8 home starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. the National League West, 8-0 in his last 8 starts after giving up 1 or fewer earned runs in his last and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 0-4 in Kershaw's last 4 road starts and 0-2 in starts versus the Giants this season. Lastly, the Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Giants.
|
07-28-12 |
Washington Nationals -122 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -122 The Key: The Nationals, who are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite, have the edge on the rubber with Zimmerman (2.31 ERA). The Nationals are 6-0 in Zimmermann
|
07-27-12 |
Chicago (A): C Sale v. Texas: Y Darvish -130 |
Top |
9-5 |
Loss |
-130 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -130 The Key: The White Sox will have their hands full with Darvish, who they haven't seen. The right-hander averages 10.24 strikeouts per nine innings (third in the majors). The Rangers are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. (7-1 in 8 home starts this season). Also, plays on home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - a team with a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start and scores 4.7 to 5.2 runs/game against an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or lower are 48-8 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 4-0 this season. Lastly, the White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Texas.
|
07-26-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Milwaukee Brewers -122 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-122 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Month on Brewers -122 The Key: Washington has held its foes to just 2 runs in each game during its 5-game winning streak, but it is 0-8 after giving up 3 runs or less in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Also, the Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 games at Milwaukee (6-21 in their last 27 there) and 0-6 in Edwin Jackson's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. In addition to this 20-0 angle, we find that Milwaukee is 11-1 in Yovani Gallardo's last 12 home starts versus teams with a winning record. Expect the Beermakers to continue their home dominance over the Nats behind Gallardo.
|
07-25-12 |
Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 |
Top |
6-11 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Day Game of the Year on Angels -1.5 -107 The Key: The Royals won yesterday, but they are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win, losing these games by an average of 3.0 runs. The Angels are 9-0 in Weaver's last 9 starts, winning these games by an average of 4.3 runs. They are also 8-0 in his home starts this season, winning these by an average of 4.8 runs. Lastly, the Halos are 5-0 in Weaver's last 5 starts versus the Royals, winning these by an average of 2.0 runs. Take the Angels on the run line.
|
07-24-12 |
Kansas City: W Smith v. LA Anaheim: G Richards -162 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-162 |
13 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -162 The Key: The Angels are worth the price Tuesday night as they are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter (Angels have won 12 of their last 13 overall vs. lefty starters) and 4-0 in Richards' last 4 home starts (each of those 4 wins have come by at least 2 runs). The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. They are also 0-2 in Smith's last 2 starts. Take LA.
|
07-23-12 |
Baltimore: T Hunter v. Cleveland: J Mastersn -152 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -152 The Key: After losing the first 3 games of this series, I fully expect Cleveland to salvage a game tonight with Masterson on the mound. The right-hander is a perfect 3-0 versus Baltimore since the beginning of last season. Each of those wins came by at least 4 runs. Plus, he only gave up a total of 6 earned runs in 20 innings while striking out 18 and walking just 2 in those outings. The Indians are 5-2 in Masterson's last 7 starts and 32-14 in their last 46 home games versus the O's. Take the Tribe.
|
07-22-12 |
New York (A): C Sabathia -1.5 v. Oakland: B Colon |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -1.5 -105 The Key: We missed with the Yankees Saturday as they endured a 3rd straight 1-run defeat. I'm not hesitating to come back with them here with ace CC Sabathia on the hill. The Yanks are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, winning those by an average of 3.0 runs. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 road starts, winning those by an average of 3.8 runs. It is also worth noting that he is 7-2 on the money line in his last 7 starts versus the A's. Oakland's Bartolo Colon is 1-6 with an ERA of 5.08 in 9 home starts this season. His teams are 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Yankees, losing those by an average of 7.0 runs. Take New York on the run line.
|
07-21-12 |
New York (A): P Hughes -122 v. Oakland: J Parker |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-122 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Game of the Week on Yankees -122 The Key: After enduring a pair of tough 1-run losses in the first 2 games of the series, I expect the Yankees to bounce back strong tonight. They are 4-0 all-time in Hughes' starts versus the A's, and he delivered a gem in his only start in Oakland, giving up just 1 run on 1 hit while striking out 10 and walking 2 in 7 1-3 innings of a 3-1 victory. The Yankees are an awesome 44-15 in their last 59 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. They are also 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Oakland. Take the Yanks!
|
07-20-12 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. New York Mets -143 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-143 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -143 The Key: Ace southpaw Johna Santana is 5-0 lifetime in 5 starts versus the Dodgers with an ERA of 0.50. His teams have won those starts by an average of 4.4 runs. It is also worth mentioning that the Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, they are 1-4 in Harang's last 5 starts, and Harang is 1-5 on the money line in his last 6 starts versus the Mets. The Dodgers have lost 6 of their last 8 to the Mets and 5 of their last 6 in New York. Bet the Mets.
|
07-19-12 |
Houston: L Harrell v. San Diego: E Volquez -148 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -148 The Key: Expect Houston's road struggles to continue with Harrell on the hill. The Astros are 0-3 in his last 3 road starts, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Padres, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Volquez's last 4 starts. And, he is 3-0 lifetime in home starts versus Houston. Pound the Padres.
|
07-18-12 |
Seattle: K Millwood v. Kansas City: B Chen -130 |
Top |
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -130 The Key: This is a great spot for the Royals to get back in the win column. The Mariners are 0-4 in Millwood's last 4 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. The Royals, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts as a favorite. Chen is also 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Seattle. The Royals have won those 3 by an average of 3.7 runs while Chen has limited the Mariners to just 3 total earned runs in 21 2-3 innings during this stretch. Take Kansas City.
|
07-17-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Cincinnati Reds -160 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -160 The Key: Cincy's Cueto is 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.80 in 4 lifetime starts versus the D-backs, and I expect this never lost trend to be extended at home tonight. After all, the Reds are 10-1 in Cueto's last 11 home starts. Cueto gives Cincy a major advantage on the mound as Arizona scheduled starter Trevor Bauer is carrying a 5.40 ERA through his first three major league starts. I'll bet the Reds as I feel this is the biggest pitching mismatch on the board for the price.
|
07-16-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Minnesota Twins -122 |
Top |
7-19 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -122 The Key: The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 series openers and 0-4 in Tillman's last 4 series-opening starts. They are also 0-7 in Tillman's last 7 Monday starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog and 0-2 in his starts versus Minnesota. The Twins are in much better hands with Diamond, who is 5-1 on the money line in 6 home starts with an ERA of 2.01. There's a reason the Twins are favored here versus a team with 10 more wins, and that reason is Diamond. Take the Twins.
|
07-15-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies -122 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia Phillies -122 The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have a big edge on the mound in this one with Cole Hamels over Drew Pomeranz. Hamels is 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 17 starts this season. Pomeranz has only made seven starts, going 1-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.359 WHIP, and he was absolutely terrible last year. His ERA is much lower right now than it will be at the end of the season. Hamels is 16-3 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are 55-23 in Hamels' last 78 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Phillies.
|
07-14-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies -123 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
8-5 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia Phillies -123 The Key: Simply put, the Phillies have a colossal edge on the mound in this one. Vance Worley sports a 3.00 ERA in seven road starts this year, while Jeremy Guthrie has posted a 9.53 ERA in five home starts. The Phillies are 23-9 in their last 32 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Philly is 39-18 in their last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Phillies are 5-1 in Worley's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rockies are 1-5 in Guthrie's last 6 starts as an underdog. Colorado is 36-76 in their last 112 games as an underdog. The Rockies are 0-4 in Guthrie's last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Bet the Phillies.
|
07-08-12 |
Cincinnati: J Cueto -154 v. San Diego: J Marquis |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -154 The Key: You'd be hard-pressed to find a starter who is pitching better than Johnny Cueto right now. So far, Cueto is 9-5 on the season, but based on his underlying stats, he should be even better. He's carrying a 2.35 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, has walked just 25 batters in 114 2/3 innings pitched and has given up only five home runs in 17 starts this season. The Reds won in San Diego last night and, behind their most effective starter this season, they easily pick up another victory.
|
07-07-12 |
San Francisco: Vogelsong v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald -116 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Pirates -116 The Key: The Pirates and young phenom James McDonald just need to keep on doing whatever it is they are doing. The Pirates are one of the surprise teams in the league, and the two biggest reasons are their incredible play at home (27-13) and an up-and-coming star pitcher in James McDonald. The youngster is already 8-3 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. At this price the Pirates are an absolute bargain against a Giants team that is just 19-22 on the road this year. Bet the Bucs.
|
07-06-12 |
Milwaukee: Y Gallardo -133 v. Houston: J Happ |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133 The Key: Under manager Roenicke, the Brewers are a perfect 16-0 in the second half of the schedule versus NL teams that allow 4.8 runs or more per game. They have defeated these foes by an average of 3.2 runs. Also, Gallardo has had Houston's number. The Milwaukee ace is 7-0 in his last 7 starts against the Astros with those 7 wins coming by an average of 5.7 runs. The Astros are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. the National League Central, 6-18 in Happ's last 24 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-8 in his last 8 Friday starts. Take Milwaukee.
|
07-05-12 |
Texas Rangers -130 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-130 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on Rangers -130 The Key: The Rangers just don't get swept. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. They also have the advantage with Harrison on the hill. The Rangers are 8-0 in Harrison's last 8 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League Central. Also, Harrison is 13-0 on the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 on the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons, 13-0 on the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons and 7-0 on the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Texas!
|
07-04-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 |
Top |
8-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +110 The Key: The Padres are 0-3 in Marquis' last 3 starts (and 1-8 in his last 9), losing those 3 starts by an average of 4.33 runs. The D-backs are 2-0 in Kennedy's last 2 starts, winning those by 5 and 6 runs respectively. The Snakes are also 6-0 in Kennedy's last 6 starts versus the Padres, winning those by an average of 3.33 runs. Take Arizona on the run line.
|
07-04-12 |
Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -116 The Key: The Twins are 0-4 in Duensing's last 4 starts (and 1-9 in his last 10), losing those by an average of 4.25 runs. The Tigers are 6-0 in Verlander's last 6 starts versus the Twins, winning those by an average of 4.33 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line.
|
07-03-12 |
Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox -118 |
Top |
2-19 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -118 The Key: analysis coming...
|
07-02-12 |
Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers -159 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -159 The Key: Since the Brewers brought in Greinke, they are 14-0 in his home starts against teams with a losing record, 22-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher and 15-0 in his home night starts. Also, Greinke is 3-0 on the money line in his career versus the Marlins. He is having a fantastic season, and I fully expect him to shut down a Miami club that the Brewers have defeated 10 times in the last 11 meetings.
|
07-01-12 |
Oakland: T Blackley v. Texas: Y Darvish -1.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* AL Game of the Week on Rangers -1.5 -110 The Key: The Rangers are a perfect 7-0 in Darvish's 7 home starts, winning those by an average of 4.3 runs. They have won each of those 7 by 2 runs or more, which makes them a very strong choice on the run line against a club they have defeated 11 times in the last 13 meetings in Arlington. Lay the 1.5 runs.
|
06-30-12 |
New York Mets -124 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
5-0 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -124 The Key: Santana is 4-0 with an ERA of 0.65 in 4 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League West and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 0-6 in Eovaldi's last 6 starts, 0-5 in hi last 5 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts in game 3 of a series. The Dodgers are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 0-8 in their last 8 after being held to 2 runs or less in their previous game, 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss and 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Mets.
|
06-29-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. SF GIANTS -149 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-149 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Giants -149 The Key: The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games, and I expect them to drop a fifth straight away from home versus a Giants club that is 4-0 in its last 4 overall. The low total suggests odds makers are expecting a gem from Cain. Consider that the Giants are 8-0 in their last 8 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 6-0 in Cain's last 6 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Giants are also 7-0 in Cain's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus NL Central foes and 8-0 in his last 8 starts on regular rest (4 days). Cincy's Leake is not in the same category as Cain. Leake pitched well against San Francisco last season, but this year's lineup is much improved. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and I expect their success against righty starters (.265 average) to continue.
|
06-28-12 |
New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers -129 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-129 |
13 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -129 The Key: The Dodgers couldn't be happier to be home following a tough road trip. They are an incredible 40-14 in their last 54 games as a home favorite and have had plenty of success against the NL East, going 7-0 in their last 7 versus NL East foes. They are in great hands with Capuano and are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Expect the Mets, who are just 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. left-handed starters, to have a tough time against Cap tonight. Take L.A.
|
06-27-12 |
St.Louis Cardinals v. Miami Marlins -130 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -130 The Key: Books are begging for action on the streaking Cardinals with this line, but we won't take the bait. St. Louis has won 5 in a row but is just 2-12 after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. It is also 3-7 in its last 10 games as an underdog. The Marlins have struggled, but they clearly have the more capable starter on the mound tonight. Sanchez should be very focused here following a rough outing, which is supported by the fact the Marlins are 4-1 in his last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. The Marlins are also 5-2 in his last 7 starts in the third game of a series. Take Miami.
|
06-26-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Atlanta Braves -132 |
Top |
1-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -132 The Key: The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus the D-backs, and I expect their home dominance to continue with Hudson on the hill. Tim Hudson has owned the snakes with a 1.36 career ERA against them in 8 starts. The Braves are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Diamondbacks, and he is 3-0 on the money line in 3 career home starts versus them. Arizona's Daniel Hudson is struggling, entering this contest with an 11.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. We'll bet the Braves.
|
06-25-12 |
New York (N): J Santana -140 v. Chicago (N): T Wood |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-140 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -140 The Key: The Mets are coming off a pair of one-run losses to the Yankees, but recent history suggests they'll bounce back with Santana on the mound. The Mets are 7-0 the last 7 times Santana has gotten the ball following 2 or more consecutive losses. They have won by an average score of 3.4 to 1.4 in this situation. Santana has had plenty of success versus the Cubs, going 3-0 with an ERA of 1.61 in 3 career starts against them. Also, the Cubs are 3-16 against lefty starters this season, losing to them by an average score of 5.5 to 3.2. Bet the Mets.
|
06-24-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Houston Astros -113 |
Top |
1-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -113 The Key: Cleveland is hitting a major league-worst .216 against left-handers and is just 1-8 in its last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. This gives the big edge to Happ and the Astros today. Plus, the Indians are 16-35 in their last 51 interleague road games, 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter and 3-9 in their last 12 in the 3rd game of a series. The Astros are 36-15 in their last 51 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-1 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
|
06-23-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
Top |
11-7 |
Loss |
-130 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -1.5 -130 The Key: With yesterday's 4-1 loss, Colorado fell to 0-10 versus AL West foes this season. It has lost those 10 games by an average of 4.0 runs. The Rockies are also 0-7 on the season versus AL teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better. They have lost these games by an average of 4.6 runs. Lastly, Colorado is 0-9 versus AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game this season, losing to these teams by an average of 4.0 runs. Expect Colorado's struggles to continue against a red-hot Texas club that has won 7 straight (6 of those wins have come by 2 runs or more).
|
06-22-12 |
Chicago (N): Samardzija v. Arizona: J Saunders -145 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -145 The Key: The fact that Arizona scheduled starter Joe Saunders has a solid WHIP of 1.383 spells disaster for the Cubs as they are 0-9 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 2.9 runs in this situation. In addition, the Cubs are 9-25 in their last 34 overall, 17-40 in their last 57 road games, 5-22 in their last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog and 0-4 in Samardzijas last 4 starts as an underdog. The D-backs have won 7 of their last 8 at home and should earn a solid win tonight.
|
06-20-12 |
Minnesota Twins v. Pittsburgh Pirates -121 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-121 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* 61-0 Interleague Game of the Year on Pirates -121 The Key: The numbers weight heavily in Pittsburgh's favor, so heavily that I believe this is the strongest play of the entire interleague season. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record. They are 0-5 in Liriano's last 5 road starts, 0-6 in his last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog and 0-7 in his last 7 starts in the 2nd game of a series. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games, 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 4-0 in Bedard's last 4 home starts and Bedard is 4-0 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Twins. Take the Pirates.
|
06-18-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Angels -105 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -105 The Key: The Giants are being overvalued on the road with Cain on the hill following his perfect game. The Giants are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings with the Angels and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings against them in Los Angeles. The Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games, 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, 12-27 in Cain's last 39 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 2-6 in his last 8 starts as a road favorite and 2-7 in his last 9 starts in game 1 of a series. The Angels are 18-6 in their last 24 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games and 8-1 in Williams' last 9 home starts. It's going to be a tough encore for Cain against the red-hot Angels.
|
06-17-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Angels -125 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -125 The Key: Arizona's Kennedy is yet to find his 2011 form. He has an ERA of 4.32 on the season and has given up 4 runs or more in 4 of his last 7 starts (gave up 6 runs in 3 of those). The Diamondbacks are 2-7 in Kennedy's last 9 starts overall, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 interleague starts. The Angels are 11-3 in their last 14 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games. Richards has been brilliant in his first two starts and has now gone 4 straight starts allowing 1 earned run or fewer.
|
06-16-12 |
Chicago White Sox v. Los Angeles Dodgers -124 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-124 |
14 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -124 The Key: One thing you haven't wanted to do is bet against the Dodgers on Saturday. They are a perfect 10-0 on Saturday this season, winning those games by an average of 3.4 runs. Expect their Saturday success to continue behind Billingsley. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsley's last 5 starts, 6-2 in his last 8 home starts, 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite and 5-1 in his last 6 starts in game 2 of a series. The White Sox, on the other hand, are just 6-16 in Humber's last 22 starts, 1-9 in his last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take the Dodgers.
|
06-15-12 |
Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Blowout Game of the Year on Rangers -1.5 -135 The Key: Houston is 0-3 in Lyles' 3 career starts versus the Rangers and has lost those games by an average of 3.3 runs. The Astros are also 0-4 in his road starts this season, losing them by 3.0 runs on average. Texas is 5-0 in Darvish's home starts with a 4.8-run average margin of victory in those games. These 3 trends form an 11-0 angle that carries an average winning margin of 3.7 runs. With the way Houston has struggled on the road (18-53 in its last 71 road games) and with the way it has struggled against the Rangers (5-16 in the last 21 meetings), I love our chances here. Bet the Rangers on the run line.
|
06-14-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Minnesota Twins -137 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-137 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -137 The Key: Expect the Phillies, who are just 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter, to struggled against the southpaw Diamond tonight. The Twins are 6-1 in Diamond's last 7 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Plus, the Twins are 43-16 in their last 59 interleague home games. The Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 overall and struggling Joe Blanton is 0-3 in his last 3 starts in Minnesota.
|
06-13-12 |
Los Angeles Angels -140 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -140 The Key: The Angels have the advantage on the mound with CJ Wilson. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite. The Dodgers are 0-3 in Eovaldi's starts this season. Also, the Angels are 10-1 in their last 11 road games, 40-17 in their last 57 interleague road games and 10-4 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite. The Dodgers are 8-25 in their last 33 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter and 14-46 in their last 60 interleague games as an underdog. Lastly, the Angels are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings and 7-2 in the last 9 road meetings.
|
06-12-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 |
Top |
1-7 |
Win
|
130 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -1.5 +130 The Key: The Reds are showing a lot of value at home on the run line considering the advantage they have on the mound with Cueto. The Reds have won 8 of Cueto's last 9 home starts with those wins coming by an average of 3.5 runs. Plus, they are 4-0 all-time in his starts against the Indians with those wins coming by an average of 2.25 runs. He has a low 2.49 ERA in those 4 lifetime starts versus Cleveland. The Tribe's Gomez has been lit up for at least 5 earned in each of his last 3 starts. Take Cincy on the run line.
|
06-11-12 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
113 |
13 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Total of the Year on Angels/Dodgers Under 7 Runs The Key: With both of these teams finishing over the total in back-to-back games while combining with their opponents to score double-digit runs in each of those contests, odds makers are begging for action on the over with this line. While the large majority of the betting public is obliging the books, we won't. The Dodgers' Capuano is carrying an ERA of just 1.36 through 5 home starts this season. The Angels' Richard has held the opposition to a total of 2 earned runs in his last 3 starts. The Angels gave up 8 runs in Colorado yesterday but are a perfect 7-0 this season after allowing 8 runs or more in their previous game. We have only seen an average of 6.3 runs scored in this situation. Also, these two have played to the Under in 4 of the last 5 meetings. We've seen just 7 total runs scored or fewer in 4 of those matchups. Take the Under.
|
06-10-12 |
Kansas City Royals v. Pittsburgh Pirates -126 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -126 The Key: The Pirates are a perfect 5-0 in A.J. Burnett's home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.02. The Pirates are 6-0 in his last 6 starts overall. They are also 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. Kansas City's Bruce Chen is 0-4 (0-5 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.20 in 5 career starts versus the Pirates. Plus, the Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Look for Pittsburgh to pull off the sweep.
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06-09-12 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -133 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
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7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -133 The Key: Saturday is the day to back LA. The Dodgers are 9-0 in Saturday games this season, winning them by an average score of 5.1 to 1.9. They should have little trouble building on this impressive trend with ace Clayton Kershaw toeing the rubber. The Dodgers are 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-1 in his last 6 road starts overall. Take the Dodgers.
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06-08-12 |
Los Angeles Angels -137 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 58 m |
Show
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7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -137 The Key: The Angels are rounding into form, and I believe they'll flex their muscles against a Colorado club that is overmatched. The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 road games, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games and 0-5 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The Halos have won 4 of their last 5 versus the Rockies and 5 of their last 6 in Colorado. In addition to these trends, LAA has the definite edge on the mound with CJ Wilson (2.54 ERA). Colorado's Alex White is carrying a 5.60 ERA. Bet the Halos.
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06-07-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees -150 |
Top |
7-3 |
Loss |
-150 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
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7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -150 The Key: Expect the Yankees, who have won 10 of their last 13, to keep right on rolling versus a Rays club that has dropped 6 of 8. The Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. They are also 22-5 in Sabathia's last 27 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take New York.
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06-06-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
Top |
0-8 |
Win
|
120 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Brewers -1.5 +120 The Key: Milwaukee is an unbelievable 21-0 the last 2 seasons in Greinke's starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher. It has won these by an average of 3.0 runs. The Cubs are 0-4 in Maholm's last 4 starts. Milwaukee has struck out too much this season but Maholm is 0-10 on the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. He has lost to these teams by an average of 2.8 runs. Plus, the Cubs are 0-9 in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs this season. The Cubs have lost by an average of 2.0 runs in these games. Take Milwaukee on the run line!
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06-05-12 |
Tampa Bay: J Shields v. New York (A): A Pettitte -124 |
Top |
0-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
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7* AL East Game of the Week on Yankees -124 The Key: The Yankees are showing excellent value at home at this price. They have had a day off to get ready for this series and that day figures to serve them well as they are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day. They'll also welcome Tampa's Shields' to the mound as the Rays are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts vs. the Yankees. The Yanks are 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Expect New York to continue its home success versus Shields here.
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06-03-12 |
St Louis: Westbrook -106 v. New York (N): J Niese |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Month on Cardinals -106 The Key: After dropping the first two games of this series, expect the Cards to be very hungry and focused when they take the field this evening. The Cardinals are 15-7 in their last 22 road games vs. a left-handed starter, and I expect their success against lefties to continue as they are batting .276 and scoring 5.4 runs/game against lefty starters this season. NYs Niese hasn't been sharp lately, and the Mets are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. St. Louis' Westbrook has been at his best on the road where he has a 2.81 ERA, and the Cardinals are 5-2 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite. Take St. Louis.
|
06-02-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. San Francisco Giants -159 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -159 The Key: The Cubs are 0-4 in Garza's last 4 starts, 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Giants are 5-0 in Cain's last 5 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. the Cubs. Take the Giants.
|
06-01-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. SF GIANTS -162 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
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7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -162 The Key: The Giants are definitely worth the price tonight with Bumgarner on the bump. They are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers, 8-0 in Bumgarner's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and 8-0 in his last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Plus, the Cubs are 0-8 in their last 8 games as an underdog. We'll take the Giants.
|
05-30-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Los Angeles Dodgers -159 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-159 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -159 The Key: I don't make a habit of laying this much juice but feel the Dodgers are well worth the price here with ace Clayton Kershaw on the rubber. The Dodgers are 14-1 in Kershaw's last 15 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Kershaw has a very low 0.903 WHIP, which is significant because the Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Plus, the bullpen has been performing at a high level. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games. It has won by an average score of 6.9 to 3.5 in these spots. Also, the Brewers 0-4 in Gallardo's last 4 starts on regular rest (4 days) and 0-6 in his last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take LA.
|
05-29-12 |
Arizona: J Saunders v. San Francisco: Vogelsong -123 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -123 The Key: The Giants get the call at home with Vogelsong on the rubber. They are 4-0 in Vogelsong's last 4 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts when he pitches on regular rest (4 days), 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West. Also, Arizona's Saunder's is 0-4 (1-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.52 in 5 starts versus the Giants. We'll take San Francisco.
|
05-28-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -138 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -138 The Key: The Orioles have really struggled in Toronto where they are just 13-41 in the last 54 meetings. Expect these struggles to continue with Hunter on the hill. He is 0-2 with a 6.98 ERA in three starts at Rogers Centre. Bet the Blue Jays.
|
05-27-12 |
Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Dodgers -149 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -149 The Key: The Dodgers get the call again today as I expect them to continue their dominance at home. Houston's Happ is 0-3 on the money line in 3 career starts versus the Dodgers. LA isn't a team putting up big power numbers, but Happ is 0-10 on the money line the last 3 seasons in road games vs. teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. The Astros are 0-8 in Happ's last 8 starts vs. the National League West, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 Sunday starts. The Dodgers are 10-0 vs. NL teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season this season and 13-0 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. They are also 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 home starts. Bet the Dodgers behind this massive angle.
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05-26-12 |
Houston: B Norris v. Los Angeles: Billingsly -128 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -128 The Key: The Dodgers are showing value at home at this price considering they are 19-5 at home this season. They lost Friday but are 15-5 in their last 20 games following a loss. They are also 23-6 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing record, 45-16 in their last 61 games as a favorite and 5-1 in Billingsley's last 6 home starts. The Astros are 15-44 in their last 59 road games. Take LA.
|
05-25-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Miami Marlins -139 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -139 The Key: Lincecum has not looked like an ace this season while Johnson is starting to. The Giants are 0-4 in Lincecum's last 4 starts, during which he has allowed 15 runs in 21 innings. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Johnson's last 4 starts. He has posted a 2.14 ERA and 0.952 WHIP over his last 3. Plus, Lincecum has a 8.15 ERA in 4 road starts. Take the Marlins.
|
05-23-12 |
Detroit: D Fister -116 v. Cleveland: Mcallister |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-116 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -116 The Key: Look for the Tigers to bounce back strong behind Fister. They are 10-3 in his last 13 starts, 7-1 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts when pitching on 5 days' rest. Fister is also a perfect 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Cleveland, allowing only 2 earned runs in 23 innings while striking out 29 and walking just two. The Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 meetings with the Indians.
|
05-22-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins -126 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -126 The Key: The Rockies are struggling to say the least. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games, 0-6 in their last 6 vs. the National League East and 0-9 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Colorado is also 0-6 in Nicasio's last 6 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog. Plus, the Marlins are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the National League West. Our 38-0 angle listed above is further bolstered by the fact the Marlins are 5-1 in Nolasco's last 6 starts vs. the Rockies and 5-1 in their last 6 home meetings versus Colorado.
|
05-20-12 |
Oakland A's v. San Francisco Giants -148 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-148 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Giants -148 The Key: The Athletics are 0-11 in the last 11 meetings between these two in San Francisco. The Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 4-1 in Lincecum's last 5 interleague starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the Athletics. The Athletics are 1-4 in Colon's last 5 starts. Take the Giants.
|
05-17-12 |
Milwaukee: S Marcum -133 v. Houston: J Happ |
Top |
0-4 |
Loss |
-133 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133 The Key: The Astros have been pure fade material with Happ on the hill. Fading Houston is Happ's last 40 starts has produced a 30-10 record. Also, the Brewers are 7-2 in Marcum's last 9 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Brewers are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings with the Astros and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
|
05-15-12 |
Arizona: W Miley v. Los Angeles: Billingsly -125 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Year on Dodgers -125 The Key: The Dodgers are 10-0 in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season, 10-0 in home games after 3 or more consecutive home games this season and 11-0 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Billingsley's last 4 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take LA behind this massive 53-0 angle.
|
05-14-12 |
San Diego: T Stauffer v. Washington: R Detwiler -148 |
Top |
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -148 The Key: The Padres are just 7-22 in their last 29 road games and 5-21 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter. We won't hesitate to fade them here as they go against the lefty Detwiler (1.04 home ERA). The Pads are only batting .199 versus southpaw starters this season. Also, the Padres are 0-6 in Stauffer's last 6 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Nationals are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite and 9-4 in Detwiler's last 13 home starts.
|
05-13-12 |
Detroit: Verlander -170 v. Oakland: J Parker |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -170 The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind Verlander here as the Tigers are a perfect 16-0 in his last 16 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They have won these games by an average of 2.6 runs. Take Detroit.
|
05-12-12 |
Chicago (N): C Volstad v. Milwaukee: S Marcum -1.5 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
120 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -1.5 +120 The Key: The Brewers are showing nice value on the run line here as Chris Volstad's teams are 0-8 in his last 8 starts, losing each of those by at least 2 runs. Volstad's teams have also lost his last 2 starts against the Brewers by at least 2 runs. Lastly, Marcum is 3-0 lifetime versus the Cubs with each of those 3 wins coming by 2 runs or more. We'll take the Brew Crew on the RL behind this 13-0 run line angle.
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