At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys and Arizona Cardinals to go Under the total.  The Cowboys' defense has been a sieve thus far, as it's given up 36 points per game.  They've now played their last four games 'over' the total, which has led to an overwhelming majority of the tickets being written on the 'over,' and this number jumping a couple of points from the opener.  Certainly, as can be seen by the betting data, the knee-jerk reaction is to play a Cowboys game to go 'over' the total.  But consider that NFL teams that give up more than 28 ppg on defense, and have played their previous 4 games 'over' the total, have actually gone UNDER the total 72.5% of the time (29-11).  And teams playing on Monday Night Football have gone 9-0 UNDER if the line was at least 50 points, and none of their three previous games went under the total.  Take the Cowboys and Cardinals UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys over the Arizona Cardinals.  The Cowboys are 2-3 this season, but have yet to cover the point spread in any of their five games.  And, to make matters worse, they'll be without QB Dak Prescott for the rest of the season after he sustained a severe ankle injury in last week's 37-34 win over the NY Giants.  But if there's good news for Mike McCarthy's team, it's that they have a veteran backup QB in Andy Dalton.  And they play in the worst division in football, so they still should make the Playoffs -- even if they end up with a losing record.  Tonight, they'll welcome the 3-2 Arizona Cardinals to AT&T Stadium.  But Arizona's 3-2 record has largely come against the dregs of the league, as two of its three wins were against the 1-4 Washington Football Team and the 0-5 NY Jets.  We'll take Dallas as NFL teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have gone 98-49 ATS against non-division foes, provided our team wasn't favored by 3 or more points.  Even better:  this will be Arizona's 3rd straight road game, while Dallas hasn't had to travel in over 3 weeks, as this will be the Cowboys' 3rd straight home game.  Since 1980, NFL teams playing their 3rd straight on the road have covered just 9 of 30 games vs. foes playing their 3rd straight at home!  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  Last Tuesday, we played against Josh Allen & Co., and were rewarded with a blowout win by underdog Tennessee, 42-16.  But off that blowout loss -- a game Buffalo failed to cover by 29 points -- we'll take the Bills to bounce back on Monday.  Indeed, NFL teams have gone 98-52-5 ATS in non-division games after failing to cover the point spread by more than 24 points, provided they weren't favored by more than 3 points.  That bodes well for Buffy this evening.  As does the fact that the Bills are 29-15 ATS at home off a straight-up loss, when the Bills owned a winning record.  Finally, defending Super Bowl champs are 0-8 ATS as road favorites of -4 (or more) points vs. winning opponents, if their opponent failed to cover the spread by 7+ points in its previous game.  Take the Bills + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.