At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the LA Chargers.  Seattle's offense has heretofore been moribund this preseason, as it's scored a total of 10 points in its first two games.  But I expect it to breakout on this Saturday night, as NFL teams off back to back games where they scored less than 12 points have covered 70% in the preseason over the last 29+ years.  Take the Seahawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over Denver.  The Rams opened up their preseason with 2 home games, and lost both.  And they only scored 22 points combined in those two losses.  Meanwhile, the Broncos opened up with two road games, and won two blowouts, as they scored a combined 63 points.  With the Broncos now playing their first home game, and the Rams now playing their first road game, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 2-0 Broncos here, at home.  And it seems like that's what most bettors are doing, as this line opened at -6 and is now significantly higher.  But it’s extremely dangerous to lay more than 7 points in the Preseason, as NFL teams getting 7.5 or more points have gone 40-18 ATS since 1983.  Take the Rams.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Houston.  The defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers dropped their second straight preseason contest last week, and it was an ugly blowout loss in front of their home faithful.  Tampa Bay scored just 3 points last week vs. the Tennessee Titans, and lost by 31 points.  But that defeat should serve as prime motivation on Saturday vs. Houston.  Indeed, when you look at how defending Super Bowl champs do in the preseason, a clear dichotomy emerges.  When the defending champs are off a straight-up win, they’re a horrible 22-39-2 ATS in their next preseason game.  But when the defending champs are off a straight-up loss, they’re 32-23-2 ATS.  That bodes well for Tampa Bay in this game.  As does the fact that NFL teams have cashed 66% in the preseason off back to back losses, if they were defeated in their previous game by 25 or more points.  Take the Buccaneers.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Panthers mustered just 3 first half points vs. Baltimore last week, and fell, 20-3, to the Ravens.  They'll try to rebound tonight against a Steelers team which is 3-0 in the preseason.  Pittsburgh has announced it will start 3rd string QB Dwayne Haskins.  In the first three games, the Steelers showcased 2nd stringer Mason Rudolph, but neither he, nor 1st string QB Ben Roethlisberger, will play tonight in the finale.  And the Steelers will also sit top RB Najee Harris, so Benny Snell will get an extended look this evening.  On the Carolina side, first string QB Sam Darnold will suit up for this game, and should play at least the first half, along with most of the starters (though not RB Christian McCaffrey).  We'll lay the points with the Panthers, as they're 8-2 ATS in the preseason off a loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  Last week, the 49ers were upset at home, 19-16, by Kansas City, while the Chargers won at the Rams, 13-6, as a 3.5-point favorite.  Dating back to 1989, NFL teams (like the 49ers) off home upset defeats have covered 79% vs. foes off a SU/ATS win as a road favorite.  That bodes well for San Francisco tonight.  As does the fact that road teams have been dominant this preseason, as they've gone 21-7 ATS, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when favored by 6 or less.  Finally, the Chargers are an awful 4-11 ATS as a home underdog, while the Niners are 9-1 on the road off a SU/ATS home loss. Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Cleveland Browns.  The Giants lost, 12-7, last week to their rival, the New York Jets.  But I love the Giants to bounce back today vs. a Cleveland team off an upset win, 23-13, over Jacksonville.  For technical support, consider that, through Friday's action, NFL preseason underdogs have gone 17-0-1 ATS their last 18 if they gave up 13.5 (or less) points per game.  And NFL preseason favorites of more than 4 points off an upset road win have covered just 36% since 1983 vs. foes off a SU loss.  The Browns are 2-8 ATS in the preseason off a double-digit win, while the Giants are 23-13-2 ATS as an underdog away from home, if they didn't own a winning record.