7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -130

The Key: The Houston Astros send out underrated starter Lance McCullers to take on the Kansas City Royals today for Game 1 of this series.  McCullers has been brilliant in eight starts this year, going 3-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.036 WHIP with 52 K's in 46 1/3 innings.  He has been at his best at home, going 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in four home starts.  He'll face a Kansas City team that is primed for a letdown tonight.  The Royals just swept the A's over the weekend, which is a team they brawled with earlier this year.  Joe Blanton has put up good numbers this season, but it has come in very limited action, and he's made just two starts this year.  He had no success coming into the season, so I believe his start is a bit fluky.  The Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take Houston.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -139

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals, I fully expect the Oakland A's to be motivated to avoid getting swept Sunday.  I anticipate they'll get the job done due to the edge they have on the mound in this one.  Jesse Chavez has been solid all season, going 4-6 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 12 starts and four relief outings in 2015.  He has been dominant at home, going 2-2 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in five home starts.  He'll be opposed by Jeremy Guthrie, who is easily the Royals' worst starter.  Guthrie has gone 5-5 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in 14 starts, including 3-3 with an 8.15 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in seven road starts.  He is also 4-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts versus Oakland.  The Royals are 0-4 in Guthrie's last 4 starts as an underdog.  The A's are 5-0 in their last 5 during Game 3 of a series. Take Oakland.

7* NL West GAME OF THE YEAR on San Diego Padres -129

The Key: The San Diego Padres represent my strongest play of the 2015 season in the NL West tonight when they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks.  I firmly believe they have the edge on the mound in this one and should be much heavier favorites.  Andrew Cashner sports a 4.35 ERA on the year, but his 2-9 record with poor run support has him undervalued.  Cashner sports a 3.19 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts against Arizona, so he clearly enjoys facing this team.  Jeremy Hellickson is one of the worst starters in baseball, going 5-4 in spite of a 4.94 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in 14 starts.  Hellickson is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four lifetime starts against San Diego.  He has given up 18 earned runs over 24 innings to the Padres in those four starts.  The Diamondbacks are 12-26 in their last 38 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  The Padres are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite.  Take San Diego.

7* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-113)

The Key: The Washington Nationals are absolutely rolling right now.  They have won six straight games while winning five of those contests by two or more runs.  I look for them to win this game against the Philadelphia Phillies, who have the worst record in baseball at 26-48, by multiple runs once again tonight.  Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball and looks to build off of two straight complete game shutouts.  He threw a no-hitter last time out and has allowed just two base runners over the past 18 innings while striking out 26.  It's safe to say he's in a groove right now.  He's the clear NL Cy Young favorite at 8-5 with a 1.76 REA and 0.801 WHIP in 14 starts this year.  Aaron Harang has been beaten up in his last three starts, going 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 innings.  Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in five lifetime starts versus Philadelphia.  The Phillies are 7-25 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games this season, losing by an average of 2.5 runs/game.  Take Washington the Run Line.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Marlins +108

The Key: The Miami Marlins have lost three straight and six of their last seven.  They will be hungry for a win tonight to avoid getting swept by the St. Louis Cardinals.  They give the ball to Dan Haren, who has been their best starter this season.  Haren has gone 6-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 0.997 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 3-1 with a 2.32 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in seven home starts.  Haren will be opposed by Lance Lynn, who is making his first start since June 7th due to injury.  He'll likely be on a pitch count and won't be able to go very deep into this game.  Plus, Lynn is 1-3 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in six road starts this season.  In his last start at Miami, Lynn allowed 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings.  St. Louis is 24-40 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.  Lynn is 4-15 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.  The Cardinals are 1-6 in Lynn's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Miami.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Dodgers -106

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the Los Angeles Dodgers are going to be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 tonight against the Chicago Cubs.  They have lost seven of their last nine games overall and will be hungry to turn things around.  I like their chances of getting back in the win column today behind Mike Bolsinger, who is 4-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in nine starts this year.  He has faced the Cubs before, pitching 6 2/3 innings without allowing a single earned run to get the 5-2 win in 2014.  Kyle Hendricks is now 2-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 13 starts for Chicago.  He gave up 6 earned runs and 12 base runners over 5 innings of a 2-7 loss at Minnesota last time out.  The Dodgers are 12-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 3 seasons.  The Cubs are 4-20 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.  Take Los Angeles.

7* Royals/Mariners American League 'Bailout' on Seattle +108

The Key: After losing two straight coming in, including Game 1 of this series to the Royals, the Seattle Mariners will be motivated for a victory Tuesday.  There's no way they should be underdogs in this game with the advantage they have on the mound.  Mike Montgomery has pitched very well for the Mariners this season, going 1-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in four starts.  He'll be opposed by Jeremy Guthrie, who is 5-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 13 starts for Kansas City.  Guthrie has really been beaten up on the road, going 3-2 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.780 WHIP in six road starts this year.  Guthrie is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 13 lifetime starts versus Seattle.  In his last three starts against the Mariners, he has allowed 18 earned runs, 28 base runners and 6 homers over 16 innings for a 10.13 ERA.  The Royals are 0-6 in their last six games against a left-handed starter.  The Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.  Take Seattle.

7* American League Game of the Month on Seattle Mariners -151

The Key: The Seattle Mariners send out AL Cy Young contender Felix Hernandez tonight to take care of business against the Kansas City Royals.  Hernandez has gone 10-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.015 WHIP In 14 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.916 WHIP in eight home starts.  The right-hander is 4-4 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts versus Kansas City.  Joe Blanton will be making his his second start of the season for the Royals.  Blanton is 86-89 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  He has posted a 4.71 ERA or worse in each of his last four seasons in the big leagues.  Blanton is 5-16 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last two seasons.  The Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.  Seattle is 30-11 in Hernandez's last 41 starts.  Take Seattle.

7* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego Padres -103

The Key: This is like stealing.  The oddsmakers have given us the San Diego Padres at a tremendous price Sunday and we'll take advantage.  They have the clear advantage on the mound behind Andrew Cashner, who has gone 2-8 with a 4.24 ERA in 14 starts and one relief appearance.  Cashner is 2-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus Arizona.  He'll be opposed by Jeremy Hellickson, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Hellickson is 4-4 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.410 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 2-2 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.624 WHIP in six home starts.  The right-hander is 0-1 with an 8.00 ERA in three lifetime starts versus San Diego.  Hellickson is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  Take San Diego.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -126

The Key: The Colorado Rockies will be hungry to put an end to their five-game losing streak.  I like their chances of doing so Saturday considering the massive advantage they have on the mound.  Chad Bettis has been arguably their best starter this season, going 2-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in seven starts, including 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA in four home starts.  He'll be opposed by Kyle Lohse, who is 3-8 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Lohse faced Colorado once this season back on April 6th, giving up 8 earned runs and 10 hits in only 3 1/3 innings of a 10-0 loss.  The Brewers are 16-38 in their last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 1-5 in Lohse's last 6 starts.  The Rockies are 5-2 in Bettis' last 7 starts.  Take Colorado.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on New York Mets -135

The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the Blue Jays the past two days, I look for the New York Mets to come into this series with the Atlanta Braves motivated for a win.  I believe they get that win thanks to the massive advantage they have on the mound.  Jacob DeGrom won the NL Rookie of the Year award last year, and he has carried that success over into 2015.  DeGrom is 7-4 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 13 starts, including 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in his last three.  DeGrom is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in four lifetime starts versus Atlanta.  Matt Wisler will be making his major league debut tonight for Atlanta.  He allowed seven runs and 10 base runners in 3 2/3 innings last Friday and is now 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA in 12 starts at Triple-A Gwinnett.  The Mets are 38-13 in their last 51 games as a favorite.  New York is 7-1 in DeGrom's last eight starts as a favorite.  The Mets are 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Take New York.

7* MLB 'Blowout' Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -128

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are absolutely rolling right now.  They have won seven straight games behind dominant pitching, allowing a total of just five runs during their winning streak, including five shutout victories.  That dominant pitching will continue Thursday behind who I believe is the favorite to win the NL Cy Young in Gerrit Cole.  The right-hander has gone 10-2 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.083 WHIP over 13 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Jeff Samardzija, who is 4-4 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 13 starts.  Samardzija has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in his last three outings.  Cole is 13-1 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Pirates are 21-6 in Cole's last 27 starts as a favorite.  The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 games overall.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -122

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should be bigger favorites today over the Minnesota Twins with the advantage they have on the mound.  Carlos Martinez has been brilliant, going 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 79 K's in 73 2/3 innings.  He has been untouchable here of late, going 4-0 with a 0.80 ERA in his last five starts.  He'll be opposed by Tom Milone, who is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in six starts.  Milone is 1-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 2.144 WHIP in two home starts as well.  The Cardinals are 12-1 in Martinez's last 13 starts as a favorite.  St. Louis is 40-18 in its last 58 games overall.  The Twins are 1-7 in their last eight games overall.  Take St. Louis.

7* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays +102

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have won 11 straight games and should not be underdogs to the New York Mets tonight with the way they are playing right now.  They have scored a combined 31 runs in their last three games, and they have scored at least four runs in every game during their 11-game streak.  They now have the best run differential in the entire American League.  Mark Buehrle continues to provide quality innings for the Blue Jays, going 7-4 with a 4.25 ERA in 12 starts this season.  He has been dominant in his last two starts, allowing just 2 runs in 15 innings in beating both the Nationals and Marlins.  Noah Syndergaard has struggled as a rookie this season, going 2-4 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in six starts.  Syndergaard has allowed a combined 11 runs and 21 base runners in 10 innings over his last two starts.  Buehrle is 17-3 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive wins in his career.  Buehrle is 12-0 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against NL East opponents in his career.  Take Toronto.

7* MLB "Blowout" Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-110)

The Key: I expect the Pittsburgh Pirates to win this game going away today against the lowly Philadelphia Phillies.  They send Cy Young contender Gerrit Cole to the mound today.  Cole has gone 9-2 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in his last three.  Cole is also 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Philadelphia.  He'll be opposed by Sean O'Sullivan, who is 1-4 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in eight starts this season.  O'Sullivan is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts as well.  Cole is 12-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Pirates are winning by 2.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Phillies are 3-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.  They are losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take Pittsburgh on the Run Line.

7* A's/Angels AL West "Bailout" on Los Angeles -110

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels have lost six of their last eight and are now determined for a win heading into Game 1 of this series with the Oakland A's.  They send Hector Santiago to the mound, who has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this year.  Santiago is 4-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in seven home starts.  While those numbers are great, they are nothing compared to his career stats against Oakland.  Indeed, Santiago is 3-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in six lifetime starts against the A's.  Oakland is 1-10 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent over the last 2 seasons.  The A's are 5-21 in their last 26 games against a left-handed starter.  Oakland is 1-7 in Chavez's last 8 road starts, and 0-6 in his last six starts as an underdog.  The Angels are 39-15 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take Los Angeles.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego Padres -108

The Key: The San Diego Padres have won five of their last seven games to get back to .500 on the season.  After losing yesterday, I fully expect them to bounce back Wednesday due to their advantage on the mound.  Tyson Ross has gone 3-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 12 starts with 78 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings.  Ross is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA in seven road starts this year, and 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts overall.  Williams Perez is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.581 WHIP in 25 1/3 innings pitched this season.  He walks way too many batters as he has walked 15 on the season and 10 in his last 18 innings pitched.  The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.  The Braves are 7-16 in their last 23 games following a win.  Take San Diego.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago White Sox -135

The Key: The Chicago White Sox send ace Chris Sale to the mound Monday night to try and get back on track after losing two in a row coming in.  They play a Houston Astros team that has come back down to earth here of late with four straight losses.  Sale has been virtually untouchable in his last two starts at Baltimore and at Texas.  He has pitched 14 2/3 shutout innings while allowing only nine base runners and striking out a whopping 23 batters.  He is clearly on top of his game right now.  Lance McCullers has pitched very well in limited action for the Astros as a rookie, but he's clearly overvalued as a result.  Sale is 2-1 with a 0.38 ERA and 0.708 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Houston, giving up just one earned run in 24 innings.  Chicago is 8-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits over the last 3 seasons.  Take Chicago.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -162

The Key: The Seattle Mariners are desperate for a victory today after losing seven straight coming in.  They couldn't possibly have a better starter on the mound to get back in the win column tonight.  Felix Hernandez is 8-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in 11 starts this year and well on his way to winning the AL Cy Young like he should have last year. Hernandez is 6-2 with a 1.94 ERA in 14 career starts against Tampa Bay.  He'll be opposed by Alex Colome, who is 3-2 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in seven starts this year.  The Rays are 1-8 in their last 9 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Mariners are 28-10 in Hernandez's last 38 starts. Take Seattle.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Marlins +105

The Key: The Miami Marlins have won two straight and four of their last six.  They have finally turned it around after a slow start, and I now feel good about backing them at an excellent price against the lowly Colorado Rockies tonight.  Tom Koehler has gone 3-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 10 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Eddie Butler, who has gone 3-5 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.755 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  Koehler has dominated the Rockies in the past, going 1-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in three career starts against them despite pitching twice at hitter-friendly Coors Field.  The Marlins are 6-0 in Koehler's last 6 starts when working on 5 days of rest.  The Rockies are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series.  Take Miami.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Angels -121

The Key: Hector Santiago has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He has gone 4-3 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 10 starts, including 2-1 with a 1.49 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in six home starts.  Yet, he's still not getting the respect he deserves as only a -121 favorite over the Tampa Bay Rays at home today.  Los Angeles is 12-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.  The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB *Mound Mismatch* GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -105

The Key: The Atlanta Braves are red hot right now having won three in a row coming in.  They have outscored the opposition 23-6 in the process as they are hitting the cover off the ball.  Shelby Miller, a serious candidate for the NL Cy Young Award to this point, won't need a ton of run support tonight, but he may get it anyway.  Miller has gone 5-2 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.881 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Josh Collmenter, who is 3-5 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 10 starts, including 1-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in six home starts.  Miller is 10-0 (+10.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.  Arizona is 1-11 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or fewer errors/game over the last 2 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Collmenter's last 8 starts as a home underdog.  Take Atlanta.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego Padres -111

The Key: The San Diego Padres get the nod Monday as small home favorites over the New York Mets.  This is a classic case of a starting pitcher being undervalued because of his record.  Andrew Cashner has posted a very nice 3.00 ERA and 1.270 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including a 2.42 ERA in four home starts, but he has just a 2-7 record to show for it.  He'll receive much better fortune going forward if he continues to pitch like this.  Jacob DeGrom has been dominant at home, but it has been a completely different story on the road.  DeGrom is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.687 WHIP In three road starts this year.  The Mets are just 7-15 on the road in 2015.  New York is 2-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.  The Mets are 14-32 (-16.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.  New York is 0-8 in its last 8 games as a road underdog.  The Padres are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a home favorite.  Take San Diego.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -107

The Key: Any time you can get the NL-leading St. Louis Cardinals (32-17) at this kind of price at home, it's certainly worth a look.  After all, the Cardinals are a ridiculous 41-12 in their last 53 home games.  Carlos Martinez is having a solid year for the Cardinals, going 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in nine starts and one relief appearance.  Martinez has been untouchable in his last three starts, going 1-1 with a 0.98 ERA and 1.200 WHIP.  I'll fade Brett Anderson of the Dodgers, who is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in four road starts this year.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in Martinez's last 11 starts as a favorite.  The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 games as road underdogs.  Take St. Louis.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -117

The Key: The Oakland A's are on a roll right now.  They have quietly won five of their last seven games overall to turn their season around.  Since they got off to such a slow start this season, they are flying under the radar right now.  We are getting them at a very generous price at home against the New York Yankees today.  Nathan Eovaldi has been terrible for the Yankees, posting a 4.27 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in nine starts.  He'll be opposed by Jesse Hahn, who is 2-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.137 WHIP in nine starts, including 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in five home starts.  Eovaldi is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Oakland.  The Yankees are 1-11 in their last 12 visits to Oakland.  Take Oakland.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A's -130

The Key: The Oakland A's have finally shown some signs of life here of late.  They have gone 4-2 in their last six games overall behind dominant pitching.  They have only allowed 10 runs in those six games.  I look for that dominance to continue on the mound tonight behind ace Sonny Gray.  Perhaps the most underrated starter in baseball, Gray has gone 5-2 with a 1.77 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.19 ERA and 0.626 WHIP in four home starts.  Gray will be opposed by the washed-up Chris Capuano, who has gone 0-2 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in two starts for the Yankees this year.  The Yankees are 4-11 in their last 15 games overall.  The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.  New York is 0-7 in its last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starts.  New York is 1-4 in Capuano's last 5 starts.  The Yankees are 1-10 in their last 11 meetings in Oakland.  Take Oakland.

7* Indians/Mariners AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -117

The Key: Corey Kluber did not get off to the kind of start that you would expect from a reigning AL Cy Young winner.  However, he has returned to that Cy Young form over the last couple weeks.  Kluber has gone 2-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 0.640 WHIP with 37 strikeouts in 25 innings in his last three starts.  In his only lifetime start against Seattle in 2014, Kluber pitched a complete game shutout while allowing only three base runners in 9 innings of a 2-0 victory.  Seattle is 2-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.  The Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  Take Cleveland.

7* American League GAME OF THE WEEK on Oakland A's +102

The Key: The Oakland A's could not possibly be more undervalued than they are right now due to their 14-28 start to the season.  This team isn't as bad as its record would indicate when you consider that it has so many one-run losses in 2015.  The A's should not be underdogs tonight with the edge they have on the mound.  Jesse Chavez has gone 1-3 in spite of a 2.63 ERA and 1.114 WHIP over five starts and four relief appearances this year.  He'll be opposed by Alex Colome, who is 2-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in four starts for the Rays, including 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last three.  Oakland is 14-5 in its last 19 vs. AL East foes.  The A's are 7-2 in their last nine meetings with Tampa Bay.  Take Oakland.

7* National League GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Marlins -121

The Key: I like to back teams that make managerial or coaching changes in that first game.  These changes usually provide a spark for teams, which is exactly what the Marlins need after losing six of their last seven to drop to 16-22 on the season.  They do at least get to face a struggling Arizona Diamondbacks team that has lost four straight and seven of nine overall.  General manager Dan Jennings will be taking over for the fired Mike Redmond.  He'll watch Dan Haren take the mound tonight and continue his solid season up to this point.  Haren is 4-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in seven starts, including 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in three home starts.  He'll be opposed by Rubby De La Rosa, who is 4-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the season, but only 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA in three road starts.  Haren is 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA in seven lifetime starts versus Arizona.  Miami is 11-2 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a game without an extra base hit over the last 2 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 12-40 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Take Miami.

7* MLB *BLOWOUT* GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A's -157

The Key: The Oakland A's have been struggling, having lost eight of their last nine games overall.  However, they have been pretty unlucky this season with so many close losses.  In fact, eight of their last 11 losses have come by exactly one run.  They clearly aren't as bad as their record would indicate, and they certainly will be motivated for a win tonight.  Chicago has won 5 of its last 6, but that run comes to an end tonight.  John Danks is 1-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in six starts for Chicago, including 0-3 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in three road starts.  He'll be opposed by Jesse Chavez, who has posted a 2.56 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in four starts and four relief appearances for the A's.  Chicago is 1-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.  The White Sox are 1-7 in Danks' last 8 road starts.  The A's are 9-1 in Chavez's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Oakland.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles +122

The Key: I'll back the Baltimore Orioles against the New York Yankees tonight at a generous price.  The Orioles will be motivated following two straight losses.  They will turn to their ace in Chris Tillman to get back on track tonight.  Tillman is coming off a great year, but he hasn't been up to par early, which has him undervalued.  He had one bad start against Toronto that has inflated his numbers, otherwise he's been solid.  Nathan Eovaldi sports a 3.81 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in five starts for the Yankees.  He simply allows too many base runners to be effective.  Eovaldi has really struggled in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium, posting a 6.52 ERA and 1.656 WHIP in two starts there.  Tillman s 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA in his last five starts against New York, giving up 8 earned runs in 34 1/3 innings.  The Orioles are 24-6 in Tillman's last 30 starts following a team loss in their previous game.  Tillman is 8-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons.  The Orioles are 21-7 in Tillman's last 28 starts during Game 1 of a series.  Take Baltimore.

7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -138

The Key: I'll back Michael Wacha and the red-hot St. Louis Cardinals, who have won five straight games entering Sunday.  Wacha is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in four starts in 2015.  He's up against Pittsburgh's Vance Worley, who is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in four starts, including 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA in two road starts.  Wacha is 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA in three lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh.  Worley sports a 4.96 ERA and 1.776 WHIP three career starts against St. Louis.  The Cardinals are 23-4 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games after 2 straight games with no home runs over the last 2 seasons. Take St. Louis.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -115

The Key: This is a classic case of a starting pitcher being overrated after one dominant start.  Ubaldo Jimenez shut down the Toronto Blue Jays in his first start of the season, but let's be honest, this guy is still terrible.  He has posted a 4.68 ERA or worse in three of the past four seasons, and he's not all of a sudden an elite starter in this league, though he's being treated like it tonight from oddsmakers.  Meanwhile, Joe Kelly remains an underrated starter.  He has gone 22-16 with a 3.36 ERA in his four-year career.  He allowed just one earned run over seven innings while striking out eight in an 8-4 win at New York in his first start this season.  Kelly is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in two career starts against Baltimore, while Jimenez is 1-4 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.982 HWIP in eight lifetime starts against Boston.  Boston is 15-4 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 3 seasons.  Kelly is 9-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  The Orioles are 1-6 in Jimenez's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.  Boston is 4-0 in Kelly's last 4 starts.  Take Boston.

7* NL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -129

The Key: Due to their tough 3-6 start, the Washington Nationals are actually undervalued right now.  But they are starting to get healthy, and that showed in their 10-5 outburst against the Red Sox yesterday.  They won't need many runs to beat the lowly Philadelphia Phillies today.  The Phillies are 0-4 in their last four games overall while scoring a combined 9 runs in the process.  Doug Fister led Washington's rotation in wins (16) and ERA (2.41) last year.  He has picked up right where he left off.  Fister pitched 6 1/3 shutout innings against Philadelphia on April 11th.  He is now 2-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in five career starts against the Phillies.  Cole Hamels is 9-23 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Philadelphia is 0-6 in its last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Nationals are 9-2 in Fister's last 11 home starts.  Take Washington.

7* NL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Marlins -104

The Key: The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves have gone in opposite directions through the first week of the season.  Due to their 1-6 start, I believe the Marlins are undervalued right now while the Braves are overvalued due to their 6-1 start.  I also expect the Marlins to be the hungrier team in this one.  Tom Koehler is an underrated starter for Miami.  He reached the seventh inning in his first start against Atlanta and allowed only two runs.  Koehler has posted a 2.81 ERA in his last five starts against the Braves.  Trevor Cahill went 3-12 with a 5.61 ERA in 32 games, 17 starts, last year for the Diamondbacks.  Plays against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - allowing 3.3 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 33-13 (71.7%) over the last five seasons.  The Braves are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a favorite.  Take Miami.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Angels -110

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels could not possibly be more hungry for a win than they are Sunday.  They were swept by the Royals in the postseason last year, and now they've lost the first two games of this series.  I have no doubt they want this one badly to avoid the 3-0 sweep, and I believe they'll get the win and get some payback Sunday.  They give the ball to C.J. Wilson, who is feeling great after pitching 8 shutout innings in a 2-0 win over Seattle in his first start of 2015.  Wilson has posted a 3.72 ERA in eight career starts against Kansas City as his teams have gone 6-2 in those contests.  Take Los Angeles.

7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -105

The Key: The Chicago Cubs lost their opener to the St. Louis Cardinals at home.  They squandered several opportunities in a 3-0 defeat.  In fact, they went 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position.  I look for them to come through in this situations with much more regularity today.  They won't have to score much considering they will be giving the ball to Jake Arrieta, who just doesn't get the credit he deserves.  Arrieta went 10-5 with a 2.53 ERA in 25 starts last year.  He has owned the Cardinals, going 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA in five starts against them over the past two seasons, allowing only 3 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings.  The Cubs are 4-0 in Arrieta's last four home starts.  Take Chicago.

7* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -108

The Key: The Chicago Cubs made some big moves this offseason to quickly become contenders in the NL Central.  Those moves will start paying off as soon as Opening Day.  Their biggest move was going out and getting an ace in Jon Lester, who continues to get better and better.  That trend should continue now that he'll be pitching in the National League for the first time in his career.  Lester went 16-11 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.110 WHIP last year, including 8-6 with a 1.95 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 17 home starts.  Lester has never lost to the Cardinals, going 3-0 on the money line against them while posting a 1.19 ERA and 0.882 WHIP.  Take Chicago.

7* World Series Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -134

The Key: Look for the Royals to stay alive behind a gem from Ventura, who outdueled Peavy in Game 2. The Royals are 6-0 in Ventura's last six starts, 6-0 in his last six starts versus winning clubs and 6-0 in his last six starts on five days' rest. The Royals are 9-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus teams that strand 6.9 baserunners or less per game and 8-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus teams that draw three walks or less per game. Peavy has a terrible track record at Kauffman Stadium, where his clubs are 0-6 in his last six starts. He's allowed six, five, six and four runs in his last four starts there. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on Giants -124

The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind the proven track record of Vogelsong in this one. The Giants are 6-0 in his six career playoff starts, during which he's posted a 2.16 ERA. Omar Infante is the only KC regular with experience against Vogelsong and that bodes well for the Giants. While Vogelsong has been here and done this, this is the biggest game Vargas has ever pitched, and I expect him to give in to the pressure. The Giants just saw Vargas in August so they will have a much better understanding of his stuff. Vargas has had nine days between starts and typically hasn't performed well with extra rest, going 5-10 with a 4.59 ERA in 26 career starts with six or more days rest. The Royals are 2-5 in Vargas' last seven road starts. The Giants are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus a left-handed starter. Take San Francisco.

7* NLCS Game of the Year on Cardinals -102

The Key: I fully expect the Cardinals to even the series. They are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss, and they have the edge on the mound with Miller, who has allowed three runs or less in eight straight starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in his last six starts. The line has moved to the point where the Cardinals are now favored at some books so it is worth noting that they are 6-1 in Miller's last seven starts as a road favorite. It is also worth noting that the Giants are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a home underdog and 1-6 in Vogelsong's last seven starts as a home underdog. Vogelsong has given up four runs or more in four of his last six starts. The Giants are 3-7 in his last 10 starts and 3-8 in his last 11 home starts. Vogelsong has an ERA of 5.11 in 11 career starts against the Cardinals. Miller is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in two career starts versus the Giants. The Cardinals saw Vogelsong twice this season while the Giants haven't seen Miller since June 1, 2013. That also bodes well for the Cards. St. Louis is 16-6 this season when seeking revenge for a one run loss to an opponent. Take the Cards.    

7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Week on Cardinals -130

The Key: The Cardinals are a resilient team with a never-say-die attitude, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong in Game 2. Lynn has been consistently good at home where he has a 2.50 ERA in 18 starts this season. Peavy has been suspect on the road where he has a 4.36 ERA in 17 starts. The Cards are 12-2 this season in Lynn's home starts when the money line is +100 to -150. In addition, you want to fade underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 when they are up against an NL starter that has an ERA of 3.00 or less if they have a team batting average of .255 or worse and are starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last three starts. Doing so has produced a 57-15 mark the last five seasons. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -146

The Key: I like the Angels to even up the series behind Shoemaker. They are 17-4 all-time in his starts, including 7-0 in his last seven. Shoemaker has held the opposition to three runs or fewer in 10 straight starts and has held it to one run or none in five of his last six. Ventura was roughed up his final start of the regular season and then struggled in Tuesday's wild-card game, giving up a two-run homer and recording only one out on 13 pitches. I think he catches the Angels at a bad time too. Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, Howie Kendrick and Josh Hamilton combined to go 0 for 18 last night, and they'll be very focused here as a result. Take LA.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Red Sox -105

The Key: This is a bad spot for the Yankees, who all celebrated Jeter's heroics in his last home game. Even though Boston is their biggest rival, their focus will be lacking in the aftermath of last night's thrilling victory. The Red Sox have scored 22 runs over their last two games and should be able to keep it going against Capuano, who has been hit hard the last couple months. In three career starts versus Boston, he's 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA. The Yankees aren't familiar with Wright and that plays to his advantage. The Yankees are 2-7 in their last nine road games. Boston is 14-1  in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons, winning these contests by an average score of 6.7 to 2.7. Take Boston.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -101

The Key: The Indians have lost the first two games of this series, but they are a perfect 8-0 the last three seasons off two straight upset defeats at home to division opponents. They have won these games by an average score of 5.6 to 2.4. Kansas City's Vargas is really struggling, going 0-3 with a 9.01 ERA over his last three starts. Cleveland's Bauer has a 3.79 ERA over his last three starts and a 2.45 ERA in a pair of starts against the Royals this season. Vargas has a 4.12 ERA in three starts against Cleveland this season. The Indians are 8-1 in their last nine Game 3s of a series, 9-2 in their last 11 games as a home underdog, 25-8 in their last 33 home games versus a left-handed starter and 5-1 in Bauer's last six starts as a home underdog. Take Cleveland.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tigers -1.5 (-130)

The Key: Off back-to-back losses and clinging to a slim one-game lead in the Central, expect the Tigers to take care of business tonight.  Chicago's Scott Carroll has a 5.90 ERA in all starts this season and a 6.85 ERA in night starts.  The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four road starts, losing these by an average of 3.8 runs.  Detroit's David Price has an ERA of 3.41 on the season.  He's been inconsistent of late and was roughed up last time out, but the southpaw rarely makes two bad starts outings in a row.  Six of the last seven times he's allowed five earned runs or more, he's bounced back to hold the opposition to three earned runs or less in his next start.  Price's clubs are 4-1 in his last five starts versus the White Sox with each of these four victories coming by at least two runs.  The Tigers hammered Carroll in his lone start against them, tallying seven runs off him in five innings.  Detroit is 21-6 on the run line the last two seasons off an upset loss to a division opponent as a favorite of -150 or higher.  The Tigers have won these games by an average score of 5.8 to 3.0.  Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Yankees -139

The Key: The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last five games, and I expect their struggles to continue this evening.  Buehrle hasn't been able to figure out the Yankees, going 1-13 with a 6.14 ERA in 20 career starts against them.  His clubs are 2-18 in those starts, including 0-10 in the last 10 at Yankee Stadium.  New York's Brian McCann (10 for 24), Brett Gardner (12 for 29), Ichiro Suzuki (26 for 61) and Stephen Drew (7 for 16) have hit Buehrle hard. So has Jeter, who is hitting .347 with two homers in 49 career at-bats in the matchup.  The Blue Jays are 0-4 in Buehrle's last four road starts versus a team with a winning record.  The Yankees are 4-0 in their last four home games versus a left-handed starter.  Kuroda has been rock solid down the stretch with a 2.92 ERA over his last six starts.  He also has a 3.34 ERA in his last nine starts versus the Blue Jays.  He's 4-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Jays.  It's also worth noting that the Yankees are 4-0 in the last four meetings when Kuroda faces off against Buehrle.  Take the Yankees.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* Game of the Week on Phillies -130

The Key: The Phillies are showing value at this price with Hamels on the hill.  The southpaw has been nothing short of dominant, giving up three runs or fewer in his last 20 starts.  He has a 2.51 ERA on the season and a 1.80 ERA on the road.  Hamels, who grew up in San Diego, has enjoyed pitching against the Padres.  He has a 2.21 ERA in 15 career starts against them and a 1.85 mark in seven starts at Petco.  The Phillies are 7-0 in Hamels' last seven starts versus the Padres and 5-0 in his last five road starts against them.  Stults has a 4.49 ERA on the season and a 4.13 ERA at home.  To make matters worse, his 3.07 run-support average is among the lowest in baseball.  The Padres are 0-2 in Stults' last two home starts and 0-2 in his last two starts against the Phillies.  The Phillies are 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite of -110 to -150, and the Padres are 0-5 in their last five Game 3's of a series.  Take Philadelphia.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -143

The Key: The Brewers are 0-8 in their last eight road games and 0-6 in their last six games as an underdog.  Look for their road struggles to continue here.  The Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight home games, 4-0 in their last four series openers and 6-0 in their last six games versus starters with a WHIP greater than 1.300.  Peralta has a 1.345 WHIP on the season, a 1.449 WHIP on the road and a 1.787 WHIP over his last three starts.  Matt Carpenter and Matt Holliday are both 8 for 18 against the right-hander.  Lynn has posted a 1.85 ERA over his last six starts and a 1.48 ERA over his last five starts against the Brewers.  Milwaukee's Aramis Ramirez (2 for 21), Carlos Gomez (3 for 17 with nine strikeouts) and Khris Davis (1 for 12) have struggled against Lynn.  The Cardinals are 5-0 in Lynn's last five starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus teams with a winning record.  Take St. Louis.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -150

The Key: Look for the Dodgers to bounce back from yesterday's loss against a San Diego club they have defeated in nine of the last 12 meetings at Chavez Ravine.  San Diego earned the upset victory yesterday, but it is 1-12 this season following an upset win over a division rival.  LA's Dan Haren is in top form with a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts.  San Diego's Ian Kennedy, on the other hand, has a 4.23 ERA over his last three starts, and the Padres are 0-4 in his last four road starts versus teams that have a winning record.  Every other time the Dodgers see Kennedy, they hit him hard.  He's given up at least 5 runs against them every other time he's faced them over the last two seasons.  Haren has been solid against San Diego this season, limiting the Padres to just eight earned runs in 21 1-3 innings of work.  Take the Dodgers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -134

The Key: The Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 versus Texas, and I expect them to continue their dominance over their division rivals tonight.  Texas' Colby Lewis has a 7.17 home ERA on the season and a 5.36 ERA in 15 career starts versus the Angels.  He's given up 18 runs in his last two starts against them.  He's allowed an average of 7.44 hits per start on the season, and that bodes well for us.  LA is 11-0 this season versus starting pitchers who give up an average of seven hits per start or more.  It has won these games by an average score of 6.5 to 3.7.  LA's Hector Santiago has quietly been dealing.  He's allowed one earned run or none in four of his last five starts.  Take the Halos.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -145

The Key: The Mets are showing a ton of value at home at this price against a Colorado club that is 11-40 in its last 51 road games.  Look for Colorado's road struggles to continue against Niese, who has posted a rock solid 3.12 ERA at home this season.  The Mets are 7-0 in his last seven starts versus losing clubs and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus losing teams.  The Mets are also 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Lyles has struggled of late with a 6.00 ERA over his last three starts, and the Rockies are 0-4 in his last four road starts.  Take New York.

7* NL Game of the Week on Reds -113

The Key: Cincinnati is a strong value at this price with Simon on the hill.  The right-hander has a 3.11 home ERA on the season and has been a nightmare for soft hitting NL clubs like the Mets.  The Mets are batting a measly .236 as a team, and that spells bad news for them here.  Consider that Cincy is 13-0 this season in Simon's starts versus NL clubs with a batting average of .250 or worse.  The Reds have won these games by an average score of 4.2 to 1.8.  Colon has a 4.48 road ERA, and that's not going to cut it.  Take Cincinnati.

7* AL Game of the Week on Angels -138

The Key: The Angels saw their six-game win streak come to an end yesterday, but I expect them to bounce back strong behind ace Jered Weaver.  The Halos are 4-0 in his last four starts, 5-0 in his last five division starts and 5-0 in his last five road starts versus teams that have a losing record.  The Astros are 0-5 in McHugh's last five starts when he gets the ball on five days of rest.  The Angels are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  We'll take the better team with the more proven starter on the mound.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -130

The Key: The Reds had yesterday off but are 0-5 in their last five games following a day off.  They are also 0-5 in their last five versus AL East clubs and 1-12 in their last 13 series openers.  The Orioles are 13-3 in their last 16 series openers.  They are also 6-0 in their last six Tuesday games and 4-0 in their last four interleague home games versus losing clubs.  Baltimore is 5-0 in Norris' last five series-opening starts, 5-0 in his last five home starts versus losing clubs and 4-0 in his last four starts as a home favorite.  The Reds are 3-7 in Latos' last 10 road starts.  Take Baltimore.

7* MLB Labor Day *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -135

The Key: Expect to see a hungry Oakland club after being swept in LA.  They now trail the Angels by five games so they know they need to take care of business in their next six home games.  The Athletics are 37-14 in their last 51 home games, 20-6 in their last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 72-34 in their last 106 games as a favorite and 94-46 in their last 140 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The A's have seen Chris Young three times this season, winning two of the meetings.  Seattle hasn't seen Jason Hammel since very early last season, and that gives him a nice advantage.  Take Oakland.

7* MLB Underdog Game of the Month on Reds +124

The Key: The Reds are showing excellent value at this price with Cueto on the hill.  He has a 2.65 road ERA on the season and has owned Pittsburgh throughout his career.  He's 16-5 (18-8 on the money line) with a 2.38 ERA in 26 starts against the Pirates.  The Reds are 4-0 in his last four starts versus Pittsburgh.  Liriano has a 4.78 home ERA on the season, and the Pirates are 0-5 in his last five starts.  They are 0-4 in his last four starts as a favorite and 0-4 in his last four starts following a quality start in his last appearance.  He's struggled against the Reds this season, and the Pirates are just 2-6 all-time in his starts against them.  Take the Reds.

7* NL East Game of the Year on Nationals -156

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, I expect the Nationals to jump all over Philly early in this one.  Philadelphia's Kendrick owns an NL-worst 6.10 ERA since June 22 and has a 9.69 ERA in the first inning.  He has a 5.15 ERA in 23 career starts versus Washington, including an 8.02 ERA in his last four starts in the series.  Fister has been unbelievable with a 2.38 ERA on the season.  He also has a 1.64 ERA in three career starts versus Philadelphia.  The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200, 4-0 in Fister's last 4 road starts and 4-0 in his last four starts in the third game of a series.  The Phillies are 0-5 in Kendrick's last 5 Wednesday starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the Nationals.  Take Washington.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -131

The Key: I'll back one of the best home clubs in baseball here with Liriano on the hill. The Pirates are 20-8 in their last 28 at home.  They are in good hands with Liriano, who has given up two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts.  The southpaw's clubs are 7-1 all-time in his starts versus St. Louis, and he's posted a tidy 2.34 ERA in these contests.  Lackey has a 6.50 ERA over his last three starts, and a Pittsburgh club that's batting an impressive .273 at home will welcome him to the mound.  The Pirates are 13-4 in their last 17 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 5-12 in their last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Pirates.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -137

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the Brewers will bear down and bounce back strong.  They are 8-1 in their last nine after losing the first two games of a series, and they have a long history of dominating the Pirates.  They are 74-34 in the last 108 meetings, including 51-14 in the last 65 in Milwaukee.  Fiers is 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in three starts while striking out 25 and walking three.  In other words, he's been completely dominant.  Worley has struggled of late, going 0-2 in his last two starts while giving up 11 runs in 10 1-3 innings.  Worley is 0-2 in two career starts in Milwaukee.  The Brewers have won two of Fiers' last three starts versus the Pirates.  Take Milwaukee.

7* Mound Mismatch Game of the Month on Nationals -166

The Key: The Nationals, winners of 10 of 11, have the decisive edge in this matchup with Zimmermann getting the ball.  The right-hander has a 2.97 ERA on the season, a 2.85 ERA at home, a 2.75 ERA over his last three starts and a 1.83 ERA in his day starts.  Lincecum has a 4.50 ERA in his starts this season, a 6.06 ERA in his road starts, a 6.91 ERA over his last three starts and a 4.52 ERA in his day starts.  He has an ERA of 6.08 in nine starts versus Washington while Zimmermann has a 2.89 ERA in seven starts versus San Francisco.  The Giants are 0-6 in Lincecum's last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 1-6 in his last seven starts versus the Nationals and 0-4 in his last four road starts versus the Nats.  The Nationals are 5-0 in their last five games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 6-0 in their last six games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 4-0 in Zimmermann's last four starts, 21-3 in his last 24 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 4-1 in his last five starts versus the Giants.  Take Washington.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves +105

The Key: The Braves have taken the first two games of the series and have now won 5 straight overall. Atlanta's not only getting great starting pitching during this stretch, but they are heating up at the plate. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 4 against the NL Central and 5-0 in their las 5 games with a total set at 7.0-8.5 runs. Atlanta will be starting Alex Wood, who has a 2.92 ERA over 8 road starts and 1.86 ERA over his last 3. Pittsburgh is 0-7 in their last 7 against a team with a winning record, 0-5 in their last 5 against the NL East and 0-7 in their last 7 with a total set at 7.0-8.5 runs. Great spot to fade the Pirates as Gerrit Cole figures to struggle in his first start back after missing over a month on the DL. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -113

The Key: I think Milwaukee relaxes here after beating Greinke and Kershaw.  The Dodgers, who haven't been swept all season, will bear down to salvage a game.  The Dodgers are 7-0 in their last seven games after losing the first two games of a series and 5-0 in their last five games after being held to two runs or less in their previous game.  The Brewers are 0-4 in their last four Sunday games.  Dan Haren's clubs are 3-0 in his three career starts versus Milwaukee.  He's posted an ERA of 0.90 in these games.  Milwaukee's Wily Peralta, on the other hand, has an ERA of 8.21 in two career starts versus the Dodgers.  Take Los Angeles.

7* NL Non-Division Game of the Month on Nationals -148

The Key: The Nationals have the edge with Roark on the hill.  Roark has given up just one run in each of his last five starts versus NL foes, and the Nats went 5-0 in those games.  He has a 2.40 home ERA on the season.  The Nationals are 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite and 4-0 in their last four games versus a right-handed starter.  They figure to have plenty of success versus Pittsburgh right-hander Morton, who has a 4.91 road ERA.  The Pirates are 0-4 in Morton's last four starts, and he was rocked in three of those.  The Pirates are also 0-4 in Morton's last four series-opening starts.  Take Washington.

7* MLB Run Line Rout on Angels -1.5 (+106)

The Key: The Angels are showing value on the run line given the edge they have on the mound with Weaver, who is 10-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his last 18 starts against NL clubs.  The Phillies are 0-5 in Burnett's last five starts, losing these by an average of 4.4 runs while he's compiled a 6.66 ERA.  They are also 0-5 in his last five road starts, losing these by 4.8 runs on average.  Burnett's clubs are 0-4 in his last four starts versus the Angels.  The Phillies are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last four interleague road games versus a team with a winning record.  They are also 0-8 in the last 8 meetings with the Angels.  Take LA on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -144

The Key: The Cardinals have the edge with Wainwright getting the ball.  The ace right-hander's 1.32 road ERA is the lowest road mark in baseball.  He's also had plenty of success versus the Marlins.  The Cards are 5-1 in his six career starts against them while he's posted a 2.25 ERA.  St. Louis is 12-1 since the start of last season in Wainwright's starts as a road favorite of -125 to -150.  It is 5-0 in his last five road starts when the total is 7.0-8.5 and 6-0 in his last six starts versus NL East clubs.  Wainwright's 1.019 WHIP is also noteworthy since the Marlins are 0-4 in their last four games versus a start with a WHIP less than 1.150.  Cosart is in poor form, having given up four runs or more in each of his last five starts.  Take St. Louis.

7* Run Line Rout of the Year on Mariners -1.5 (+105)

The Key: This is a terrible spot for Toronto, which played a 6-hour 37-minute, 19-inning marathon game yesterday and then had to make the long cross-country trip to Seattle.  To make matters worse, the Blue Jays will be facing Felix Hernandez, who has gone at least seven innings while allowing two runs or fewer in an MLB-record 15 consecutive starts.  He has a 1.42 ERA during this stretch while holding foes to a .168 average.  Seattle is 12-1 against the run line when playing on Monday this season, winning these games by an average score of 6.7 to 2.4.  You also want to fade road clubs with a +1.5 run line after a game where they had 17 hits or more if their bullpen has logged 13+ innings over the last three games.  Doing so has produced a 30-10 mark against the run line since 1997.  Take Seattle on the run line.

7* AL Game of the Week on Yankees -133

The Key: I'm not hesitating to fade the Indians with Carrasco on the mound.  He had a 6.95 ERA before being moved to the pen, and I expect his struggles to continue in a starting role.  The Indians are 3-14 in his last 17 starts.  New York's Kuroda has a 3.97 ERA in 23 starts and has been at his best in day games, posting a 3.55 ERA.  The Yankees are 4-0 in his last four starts as a home favorite.  It is also worth noting that Carrasco has an ERA of 7.98 in three career starts versus the Yankees while Kuroda has an ERA of 3.10 in three career starts versus the Indians.  The Yankees are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus Cleveland.  Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -116

The Key: The Royals are the hottest team in the majors, going an MLB-best 13-3 since July 22, and they are in good hands with Shields, who typically finishes strong.  He has a 1.99 ERA over his last six starts and is an impressive 26-12 with a 3.15 ERA in the month of August.  He has a 3.42 ERA in four interleague starts this season.  San Francisco's Hudson hasn't been as successful in interleague play, as evidence by his 7.41 ERA against the AL this season.  The Royals are 32-15 in Shields' last 47 starts, including 11-4 in his last 15 starts versus teams that have a winning record.  The Royals are 5-0 in their last five games, 4-0 in their last four interleague games, 6-0 in their last six games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last six interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  The Giants are 24-49 in their last 73 interleague road games, 15-37 in their last 52 interleague road games versus a right-handed starter and 6-21 in their last 27 games versus a team with a winning record.  They are also 0-4 in Hudson's last four starts on 4 days' rest.  Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -136

The Key: The Orioles have a major edge on the mound tonight.  Tillman has a 3.65 ERA on the season, a 2.78 ERA at home and a 2.00 ERA over his last three starts.  Masterson, meanwhile, has a 5.63 ERA on the season, a 6.80 ERA on the road and a 10.64 ERA over his last three starts.  He's also carrying an 8.31 ERA in his last three starts against Baltimore.  The Orioles are 28-11 in Tillman's last 39 starts versus a team with a winning record, 17-5 in his last 22 series-opening starts, 5-2 in his last seven interleague starts and 6-0 in his last six starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.  The O's are 6-0 in their last six series openers (St. Louis is 1-4 in its last 5), 4-0 in their last four interleague games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last four home games versus a right handed starter and 7-0 in their last seven games when their opponent scores five runs or more in its previous game.  Take the Orioles.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Indians/Reds Under 7.5 (-115)

The Key: We've seen each of the first three games of this series finish over the total with at least eight runs scored in each, but I expect this one to come in well under the number.  Homer Bailey has been dealing.  He's given up three earned runs or fewer in six straight starts, including one or no runs in four of those.  The under is 3-0 in his last three starts.  The under is also 5-0 in Bailey's last five starts versus the Indians.  Cleveland's House has held opponents to three earned runs or fewer in six straight starts.  The Indians are 2-0 under in his last two starts and 3-0 under in his last three road starts.  Bailey has received just two runs of support over his last two starts, and I expect the Reds to have trouble scoring against a starter they aren't familiar with.  Take the under.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -145

The Key: I'll fade the Dodgers with Haren on the hill.  They are 0-5 in his last five starts, during which he has posted a 10.03 ERA.  Haren has struggled on the road all season, as evidenced by his 5.40 ERA away from Chavez Ravine.  The Angels' are 10-3 in Shoemaker's 13 career starts, including 2-0 in his last two.  He's been strong at home where he has a 2.76 ERA in seven starts this season.  The Dodgers are 27-57 in their last 84 interleague road games, 0-5 in their last five interleague games versus a right-handed starter and 0-4 in their last four games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.  The Angels are 37-15 in their last 52 at home, 5-0 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven days or more and 8-0 in their last eight Game 3's of a series.  The Halos are also 25-9 in their last 34 home games versus the Dodgers.  Take the Angels.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -139

The Key: The Pirates will be at home for the first time since July 23, and home field has treated them well.  They are 16-5 in their last 21 home games and 41-16 in their last 57 home games following a road trip of seven days or more.  They are 6-0 in their last six home games versus clubs with losing records and 4-0 in their last four versus NL East opponents.  They're also 6-0 in their last six home games versus the Marlins.  Pittsburgh is in good hands with Morton, who has a 1.36 ERA in his past six starts at PNC Park.  The Pirates are 4-0 in his last four home starts and 3-0 in his last three starts versus the Marlins.  He's also 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two career home starts versus Miami.  The Marlins are 4-12 in Hand's last 16 starts and 1-7 in his last eight starts versus a team with a winning record.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Interleague Game of the Year on Dodgers -125

The Key: This is a tough spot for the Angels, who make the long cross-country trip from Tampa Bay to face Zack Greinke at Chavez Ravine where he has a 2.27 ERA since joining the Dodgers.  The Dodgers are 20-4 in his last 24 home starts, 12-1 in his last 13 home starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 and 7-0 in his last seven home starts when the total is 6.5 or lower.  The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last six games versus winning teams and 6-0 in their last six home games versus teams with winning road records.  Greinke has been sharp in his last two starts, giving up one run in 15 innings.  Garrett Richards has struggled lately, giving up eight runs in 13 innings in his last two starts.  The Angels are 1-5 in Richards' last six starts as an underdog.  Take the Dodgers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -126

The Key: Garza has struggled on the road where he has a 4.87 ERA.  He's also struggled against the Cardinals, as evidenced by the 4.81 ERA he's posted in nine starts against them.  Garza is 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in two starts versus the Cardinals this season.  His clubs are 0-4 all-time in his starts in St. Louis, during which he's posted a 9.56 ERA.  Jhonny Peralta is 13 for 30 against Garza, Matt Holliday is 9 for 24, Matt Adams is 6 for 8 and A.J. Pierzynski is 4 for 14 with two home runs.  The Brewers are 2-6 in Garza's last eight road starts and 1-6 in his last seven starts following a quality start in his last appearance.  The Cardinals are 70-31 in their last 101 home games versus right-handed starters.  I expect Lackey to provide a spark for the Cards.  He's 18-10 with a 3.07 ERA against NL teams.  The Brewers are 19-39 in the last 58 meetings.  Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -123

The Key: The Mets lost the first game of the series 5-1, but they are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss, 4-0 in their last four games after allowing five runs or more and 5-0 in their last five games after being held to two runs or less.  They are in excellent hands with deGrom getting the ball.  The right-hander is 4-0 in his last four starts while giving up just two runs in 27 1-3 innings.  Peavy's clubs are 0-10 in his last 10 starts and 0-8 in his last eight road starts.  He has a 5.87 road ERA on the season while deGrom has a 1.83 home ERA.  Take the Mets.

7* MLB Run Line Rout on Tigers -1.5 (-115)

The Key: Justin Verlander has been unstoppable against the NL, going 24-2 with a 2.75 ERA in 31 interleague starts, including 13-0 in his last 13 decisions.  The Tigers are 2-0 in his two career starts versus the Rockies, and he's posted a 1.84 ERA in these contests.  Verlander is also 14-0 with a 2.14 ERA in 15 interleague home starts.  He should be able to have his way with a Colorado club that is 0-6 in its last six and 4-18 in its last 22 interleague road games.  The Rockies are 2-15 in their last 17 road games and 10-29 in their last 39 games overall.  Colorado's Franklin Morales has struggled in interleague play with a 5.76 ERA in 21 appearances.  The Rockies are 0-4 in his starts versus the AL this season, during which he's posted a 7.94 ERA.  Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -128

The Key: The Indians are an impressive 38-15 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 under Francona, and I'll gladly get behind them at this price against a Seattle club they are 7-1 against in the last eight home meetings.  Seattle's Chris Young hasn't had the same stuff on the road where he has a 4.25 ERA.  Plus, Cleveland should benefit from having had a look at him just a month ago.  The Mariners are 1-4 in Young's last five starts as a road underdog.  It is also worth noting that Seattle is just 1-5 in its last six Game 3's of a series.  The Indians are 2-0 in McAllister's last two home starts versus the Mariners.  They are 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a favorite and 5-1 in his last six starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Take Cleveland.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Royals -144

The Key: The Royals have a significant advantage with Danny Duffy on the mound.  The southpaw has a 2.47 ERA and a WHIP of 1.078 on the season.  He is in top form, holding opponents to one earned run or none in five of his last six starts.  The Royals are 3-0 in his last three starts versus the Twins.  He's held them to one earned run in his last two starts spanning 12 1-3 innings.  The Royals are 4-0 in Duffy's last four starts as a favorite.  Minnesota is 30-78 in its last 108 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150, including 0-12 this season versus AL starters with a WHIP of 1.100 or less.  It has lost these 12 by 4.3 runs on average.  Minnesota's Phil Hughes is in poor form with a 6.31 ERA over his last seven starts.  He's given up at least five runs five times during this stretch.  He appeared to be on his way to another poor outing in his last start when he gave up two runs in three innings before leaving in the fourth after being hit on the right ankle with a comebacker.  Hughes has an ugly 5.89 ERA in nine starts versus Kansas City.  The Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 meetings in Kansas City.  Take the Royals.

7* MLB Run Line Rout of the Week on Marlins +1.5 (-135)

The Key: The Marlins, who are 5-0 in their last five games, are showing major value catching runs at home at this price.  Strasburg is not in good form (5.00 ERA L3 starts), and he's struggled on the road all season (5.09 ERA).  Strasburg has also struggled in Miami, giving up 7, 7, 4 and 6 runs in his last 4 starts there.  The Nationals went 1-3 in these starts, are 2-6 in Strasburg's last 8 starts overall and 2-5 in his last 7 road starts.  Alvarez has been unbelievable at home where he has a 1.64 ERA.  The Marlins are 13-3 in his last 16 starts and 8-1 in his last 9 home starts.  He has a solid 3.19 ERA in 6 starts versus Washington.  Take the Marlins on the run line.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -125

The Key: The Reds have lost eight of nine, but six of the losses came on the road to the Yankees and Brewers and two came to the Nationals.  I expect Cincinnati to get off the snide here against an Arizona club that is 15 games under .500.  The Reds are 6-1 in their last seven home games versus losing clubs and 8-2 in their last 10 home games versus teams with losing road records.  The D-backs are 4-9 in their last 13 road games and 1-5 in their last six road games versus a right-handed starter.  Cincy's Bailey has a 2.79 ERA over his last seven home starts, and the Reds are 2-0 all-time in his starts versus Arizona.  Cincy is 11-4 in its last 15 versus the D-backs, including 5-1 in the last six and 3-0 in the last three.  Arizona is 5-19 since 1997 in road games when seeking revenge for two straight losses to an opponent as a home favorite.  It is also 4-12 this season when seeking revenge from two straight home losses to an opponent.  Take the Reds.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -132

The Key: The Yankees are 39-12 in their last 51 home games versus the Blue Jays, including 21-3 since the start of the 2012 season.  Look for New York's dominance over Toronto to continue here.  Toronto's Happ has struggled on the road where he has a 5.87 ERA.  He's also struggled versus the Yankees, as evidenced by the 5.22 ERA he's posted against them in seven career starts.  The Blue Jays are 0-4 in his last four starts versus the Yankees.  The Jays are 3-11 in their last 14 road games, 5-14 in their last 19 as an underdog and 2-10 in their last 12 Game 3's of a series.  Toronto isn't familiar with Greene, who has a 2.79 ERA on the season.  Take the Yankees.

7* MLB Game of the Week on White Sox -165

The Key: Chicago has a huge advantage with Sale on the mound.  The southpaw is 9-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.863 WHIP.  His WHIP is extremely significant because Minnesota is 0-11 this season versus AL starters with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower.  The Twins have lost these 11 by 4.0 runs on average.  It is also worth noting that they are 30-77 in their last 107 games versus starters with a WHIP less than 1.150.  The White Sox are 15-2 in Sale's last 17 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 5-1 in his six career starts versus the Twins.  Minnesota is 0-5 in its last five versus losing clubs and 0-6 in its last six home games versus losing clubs.  Take Chicago.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Astros -123

The Key: The Marlins check in off a 3-2 win in Atlanta while the Astros are coming off a 13-1 defeat in Oakland.  However, you want to fade teams off a win of two runs or less when they are up against an opponent off a loss of 12 runs or more.  Doing so has produced a 28-11 mark since 1997 and a 9-1 mark the last five seasons.  Houston's Keuchel has struggled over his last five starts, but all five were on the road.  I expect a strong performance from him at home where he's given up just four runs in his last 23 innings.  Miami's Hand has a 5.02 ERA in six starts.  The Marlins are 3-11 in his last 14 starts, 1-6 in his last seven road starts, 0-4 in his last four series-opening starts and 0-4 in his last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.  The Marlins are 0-4 in their last four interleague games, 0-4 in their last four interleague games as an underdog, 0-4 in their last four versus AL West clubs and 0-4 in their last four versus losing clubs.  They are also 38-86 in their last 124 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  The Astros are 38-15 in their last 53 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Take Houston.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mariners -128

The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the Mets, I like Seattle to bounce back strong behind Iwakuma.  The Mariners are 14-4 all-time in his starts following two consecutive losses or more.  Iwakuma has a 2.95 ERA and a 0.994 WHIP on the season, a 2.81 home ERA and a 0.937 home WHIP on the season and a 1.59 ERA and 0.662 WHIP over his last three starts.  The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150.  Chen's numbers don't stack up.  He has a 4.21 ERA and 1.303 WHIP on the season and a 4.68 ERA and 1.323 WHIP on the road.  Plus, he is 0-2 in his last two starts against the Mariners, giving up eight runs in 11 innings.  You want to fade underdogs of +100 or higher that are starting a pitcher with a winning percentage above 70% if they are up against an AL opponent that is starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or better.  Doing so has produced a 54-12 (82%) mark the last five seasons.  Take Seattle.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Rockies +1.5 -115

The Key: The Rockies are showing a ton of value catching runs at home at a very reasonable price with De La Rosa on the mound.  The Rockies have lost seven in a row, but they are 21-3 the last two seasons in De La Rosa's starts following a loss.  This trend tightens up to a near-perfect 9-1 if they are off three consecutive defeats or more.  They are a jaw-dropping 43-8 in his last 51 home starts and 12-1 the last two seasons in his day starts.  It is also worth noting that the Rockies are 5-1 in De La Rosa's last six starts versus Nationals.  Strasburg hasn't had the same stuff on the road where he has a 4.92 ERA.  Take Colorado on the run line.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Astros/A's Under 7.5 (-105)

The Key: Oakland busted out at the plate Sunday but was batting just .234 this month prior.  Expect its offensive struggles to continue against Oberholtzer, who has a 3.09 ERA over his last five starts.  He's allowed a total of two earned runs in 11 2-3 innings in two career starts in Oakland.  The under is 2-0 in those starts.  Houston doesn't figure to get much of anything off Kazmir, who has given up two or fewer runs in 10 of his last 12 outings and has a 1.57 ERA at home in 2014.  He's given up three earned runs or fewer in three career home starts versus the Astros.  The under is 3-0 in those starts.  The under is 4-0 in Kazmir's last four home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  It's also 6-0-1 in Oberholtzer's last seven starts following a quality start in his last appearance.  Take the under.

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Tigers -134

The Key: Detroit is a major league-best 28-16 on the road and has won 11 of its last 14 away from home while averaging 5.9 runs and batting .302.  Look for its road dominance to continue here with Verlander on the mound.  The Tigers are 22-6 in his last 28 interleague starts, and he has a 2.12 ERA over his last 14 regular-season starts versus the NL.  Detroit is 9-0 all-time under Ausmus in road games following six consecutive games versus division foes.  It has won by an average score of 7.1 to 2.9 in this spot.  The Tigers are also 7-0 in their last seven games with a total of 9.0-10.5 and 4-0 in their last four interleague games versus a left-handed starter.  The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last four games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.  Take Detroit.

7* AL Game of the Week on Tigers -130

The Key: The Tigers are 5-1 in their last six games after losing the first three games of a series, and I expect them to improve on this trend here.  They are still 35-16 in their last 51 home meetings with the Indians.  Cleveland hasn't hit southpaw starters well, averaging just 3.8 runs per game against them on the season.  It will have a tough time getting to Smyly, who has given up three earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 home starts.  He's also been tough on the division with a 2.87 ERA versus AL Central foes this season.  Cleveland's Tomlin will be tested by a Detroit offense that is averaging 4.9 runs per game off right-handed starters.  He has allowed four runs or more in five of his last six starts and has a 7.06 ERA in four career starts versus Detroit.  The Indians are 1-5 in Tomlin's last six starts and 0-2 in his two career starts in Detroit.  Take the Tigers.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Pirates -144

The Key: The Rockies are just 15-36 in their last 51 overall, 31-67 in their last 98 on the road and 1-10 in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning record.  The Pirates are 4-0 in their last four at home, and I expect them to keep right on rolling against this struggling Colorado club.  Charlie Morton has been one tough cookie at home where he has posted a 1.10 ERA over his last five starts.  The right-hander has a 1.93 ERA in two career starts at PNC against Colorado.  Colorado's Brett Anderson has a 4.95 ERA on the season and a 5.14 ERA over his last three starts.  His clubs are 1-6 in his last seven starts.  You want to fade July NL road dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that allow 4.8 runs per game or more.  Doing so has produced a 41-7 mark the last five seasons.  This system is a near perfect 9-1 the last three seasons.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -117

The Key: The Cardinals have the edge with Lynn getting the ball.  He's 6-2 with a 2.83 ERA in 10 home starts.  He was rocked in L.A. last month but had a blister on his middle finger that limited him to throwing all fastballs.  Prior to that, he was 4-0 with a 1.40 ERA versus the Dodgers.  With his finger healed, I expect him to go back to dominated L.A.  Haren has been rocked in his last two starts (12 runs allowed in 9 1-3 innings), and he's been hit hard on the road all season (5.05 ERA).  The Dodgers are 2-5 in Haren's last seven road starts while the Cardinals are 7-2 in Lynn's last nine starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.  The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record and 67-28 in their last 95 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The Dodgers are 3-10 in their last 13 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 17-38 in the last 55 meetings in St. Louis.  Take the Cards.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -144

The Key: The Dodgers have the edge on the mound with the southpaw Ryu against a San Diego club that is batting .195 and averaging just 2.6 runs per game versus left-handed starters.  The Dodgers are 19-5 in Ryu's last 24 starts versus a team with a losing record.  Ryu is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.93 in three career starts versus the Padres.  The Dodgers are batting .265 and averaging 4.3 runs per game off right-handed starters.  The Padres are 1-6 in Ross' last seven starts, including 0-3 in his road starts during this stretch.  The Padres are 0-4 in his last four division starts, 0-4 in his last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last four starts following a team loss.  The Padres are also 0-3 in his last three starts versus the Dodgers.  Take Los Angeles.

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Royals -117

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the Royals will bear down and get one back this evening.  Kansas City is an outstanding 42-19 in its last 61 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, and I'll gladly get behind it at this price with Shields on the hill.  The Royals are 30-12 in Shields' last 42 starts, 14-5 in his last 19 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 10-3 in his last 13 starts versus a team with a winning record.  He was hit hard the last time he faced Detroit and will be extremely focused here as a result.  Porcello is having an outstanding season, but he isn't the same caliber of Shields.  Take Kansas City.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Rockies -157

The Key: The Rockies are worth the price at home with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound.  They are an unbelievable 42-9 in his last 51 home starts and 18-3 in his last 21 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.  The Rockies are 16-6 in their last 22 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  I do not see inexperienced starter Kris Johnson faring well in his first starts at flighty Coors against a Colorado offense that is batting .312 there.  The Twins are 4-12 in their last 16 interleague games, 1-5 in their last six interleague games as an underdog and 0-5 in their last five series openers.  Take Colorado.

7* American League Game of the Month on Angels -116

The Key: The Angels are showing a lot of value at this price versus a Texas club that has dropped 18 of 21.  The Halos have lost eight straight versus the Rangers in Texas, and will be out to bring that skid to an end.  They're looking at this series as an opportunity to gain more ground on the A's, and I expect them to be extremely focused.  The Angels are 7-0 in their last seven division contests while the Rangers are 0-8 in their last eight versus AL West foes.  The Rangers are even 0-4 in their last four home games versus a team with a losing road record and 0-7 in their last seven games versus a starter with a WHIP above 1.300.  I like LA here regardless of who gets the start.  The southpaw Santiago is scheduled, and the Rangers are 0-6 in their last six games versus a left-handed starter.  Texas is really struggling to generate offense, averaging just 3.6 runs over its last 11 games.  The Halos are averaging 5.8 runs over their last 19 games.  I don't see Texas' Lewis, who has a 6.54 ERA at home, having an answer for this offense.  Texas is 1-10 this season as a home dog of +100 or higher.  Take LA.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -138

The Key: The Braves are 5-0 in their last five Game 2's of a series while the Mets are 6-22 in their last 28 Game 2's, and I expect these trends to continue.  Atlanta's Teheran has a 2.29 ERA on the season, a 1.79 ERA in division play and a 1.44 ERA in four starts versus the Mets.  The Braves are 8-1 in his last nine road starts versus teams with a losing record.  New York's deGrom has struggled under the lights.  The Mets are 0-7 in his night starts, during which he's posted a 4.99 ERA.  They are also 0-4 in his home starts.  New York is a lousy 28-62 in its last 90 games as a home underdog.  Take the Braves.

7* Run Line Rout of the Month on Nationals -1.5 (+126)

The Key: Strasburg is 6-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last nine home starts while Tillman has an ERA of 5.53 in 10 road starts and an 11.90 ERA in three interleague starts.  Tillman is averaging only 5.5 innings per start on the road and 3.8 innings in interleague play.  In other words, an early departure figures to put a lot of pressure on a bullpen that has been taxed the last two days.  Showalter said that certain relievers won't take the mound after his pen worked 12 1-3 innings over the last two days.  You want to fade underdogs with a money line of +150 or more that are starting a pitcher who has an ERA of less than 2.50 over his last five starts if the bullpen has worked nine innings or more in the last two games.  Doing so has produced a 66-13 mark since 1997, a 22-4 mark the last five seasons, a 14-1 mark the last three seasons and a 2-0 mark this season.  Teams fitting into this system have lost by 2.3 runs on average.  Take Washington on the run line.

7* MLB Total of the Month on Rays/Tigers Under 8

The Key: I expect a pitcher's duel between Sanchez and Archer to finish under the number.  Sanchez has an ERA of 2.34 in his last 10 starts while holding opponents to a .195 average.  Tampa Bay's Archer has posted a 1.65 ERA over his last nine starts.  The "under" is 10-1 in Archer's last 11 starts as an underdog,  5-0 in his last five starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 5-0 in his last five starts versus a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last four road starts versus a team with a winning record.  The "under" is 20-8-2 in the last 30 meetings between these clubs and 5-1 in the last six games umpire Mark Carlson has been behind home plate.  Take the under.

7* Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on Cardinals -148

The Key: The Marlins have been a poor investment on the road where they are 40-86 in their last 126 road games.  They've also been a poor investment against the Cardinals, going 17-35 in the last 52 meetings, including 0-5 in the last five in St. Louis.  It is also worth noting that Miami is 0-7 in its last seven games versus a winning team and 0-5 in its last five games as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Scheduled starter Eovaldi has been struggling, giving up five earned runs or more in three of his last four starts.  The Marlins are 0-6 in Eovaldi's last six starts versus National League Central foes and 0-4 in his last four starts versus a club that scored five runs or more last game.  The Cardinals are a lethal 42-13 in their last 55 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400.  Lynn will be focused following a rough outing in L.A.  He's been strong at home (3.22 ERA) and has given up two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts prior to his last.  The Cardinals are 9-3 in Lynn's last 12 starts versus National League East opponents and 11-4 in his last 15 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.  Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -126

The Key: I'll back the Reds in this bounce-back spot behind ace Johnny Cueto.  First off, the Reds are 10-2 in their last 12 games after losing the first two games of a series, 6-1 in their last seven Game 3's of a series and 21-6 in their last 27 Wednesday games.  Cueto has a 1.88 ERA on the season and a microscopic 0.75 ERA in day starts.  The Reds are 4-0 in Cueto's last four starts, 39-14 in his last 53 starts as a favorite, 21-5 in his last 26 starts in the third game of a series, 17-5 in his last 22 Wednesday starts and 11-2 in his last 13 starts versus the NL West.  The Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 Game 3's of a series and 2-7 in their last nine Wednesday games.  Tyson Ross hasn't been as sharp lately (4.12 ERA L3 starts), and the Padres are 0-5 in his last five starts.  They are also 0-5 in his last five starts following a "quality start" in his last appearance, 0-4 in his last four home starts and 0-4 in his last four Wednesday starts.  Take Cincinnati.