7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -135
The Key: We went against Pittsburgh Thursday as it suffered a 4-2 loss to Strasburg and the Nats. However, the fact it scored just 2 runs is significant and bodes well for us here. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, and the Astros are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Just the fact that Pittsburgh lost yesterday is also significant because it is 10-1 in its last 11 games following a loss. Also, the Astros are 13-40 in their last 53 road games, 0-11 in Norris' last 11 Friday starts and 2-6 in their last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh. We'll take the Pirates.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -165
The Key: The Nats have the clear advantage with Strasburg on the bump. I don't have to give you his sick season numbers. Those are well know. I will tell you though that the Nationals are 6-1 in his last 7 road starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the 3rd game of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. National League Central opponents. The Pirates are only 1-6 in Correia's last 7 home starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with 5 days' rest. The Bucs are even 0-8 in his last 8 home starters versus NL clubs that score 4.3 or less runs per game. They have lost these games by an average of 5.0 runs.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -120
The Key: The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record, 9-2 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite. They are also 4-1 in Smyly's last 5 starts. The Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 overall, 22-45 in their last 67 during game 3 of a series, 26-60 in their last 86 games as an underdog and 21-53 in their last 74 games vs. a left-handed starter. They're are 9-20 in Vargas' last 29 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -109
The Key: I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on the RL here since the Tigers are a perfect 15-0 in Verlander's last 15 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They have won these games by an average of 2.6 runs.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -145
The Key: The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts as a road favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Orioles, meanwhile, are 0-7 in Matusz's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rangers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with the Orioles and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with the O's when Harrison gets the start.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -154
The Key: This is a game Boston wants badly as it was Baltimore who rallied for a 4-3 victory in last season's finale to keep the Red Sox out of the playoffs. John Lester is coming off a masterful performance and he is 14-0 (16-2 on the money line) with a 2.36 ERA in 18 career starts versus the Orioles. Boston is a perfect 8-0 in his home starts versus Baltimore, winning those by an average of 4.4 runs. Bet Bean Town.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -128
The Key: Toronto's Morrow is 0-3 on the money line in his career versus the Angels with an ERA of 4.76. Also, the Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games, 35-17 in their last 52 games as a home favorite and 5-1 in Harens last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Bet LAA.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Angels -1.5 +100
The Key: The Angels are 3-0 in Weaver's home starts this season, winning those starts by an average of 4.7 runs. The Halos are also 5-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Twins, winning those by an average of 5.0 runs. Take LAA on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -132
The Key: Shields has been dealing for Tampa Bay, but I expect him to hit a road bump in Texas tonight. The Rangers are even 22-7 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better since the beginning of last season. Shields has dropped 3 of his last 4 at Texas, giving up at least 5 runs in those losses. The Rangers, who are a terrific 40-15 in their last 55 games as a home favorite, are in good hands with Harrison, who is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.66. He's 2-0 lifetime with an ERA of 1.38 against the Rays, who are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Rangers are 20-6 in his last 26 starts overall. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -115
The Key: The O's are 0-13 in Matusz's last 13 starts and 0-11 in his last 11 starts when the total is listed at 8.5 to 10.0. Combined, the Orioles have dropped these games by an average of 4.2 runs.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -136
The Key: Atlanta has been favored in every game this season. Now, riding a 5-game winning streak and up against a team on a 5-game losing streak, it has been listed as an underdog. This is because Kennedy is on the hill for the D-backs, who are 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It's also important to note that the Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Diamondbacks are 21-6 in their last 27 games as a home favorite and 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

7* MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Rays +105
The Key: The Rays are showing excellent value at this price with David Price on the hill. The southpaw is 9-2 (10-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.06 lifetime against the Jays, including a perfect 4-0 on the ML in 4 career starts in Toronto.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -156
The Key: Really like the Blue Jays here. The Orioles are 0-11 in Matusz's last 11 starts, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts and 0-9 in his last 9 starts as an underdog. The Orioles are also 23-47 in the last 70 meetings in the series and 13-40 in the last 53 meetings in Toronto. The Blue Jays are 32-15 in their last 47 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

7* AL Game of the Month on Mariners -153
The Key: The Mariners are 7-0 in Hernandez's last 7 starts against the A's. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus Oakland. The Mariners have already defeated the A's twice this season with King Felix on the mound and neither of those games was in Seattle, where he has a 2.07 career ERA against the A's.

7* NL Game of the Month on D-backs -132
The Key: Arizona is 15-1 in Kennedy's last 16 starts against NL West foes, defeating these teams by an average of 2.5 runs/game. It is 3-0 in his starts versus San Diego during this stretch, winning those games by an average of 3.0 runs. Look for Kennedy to continue his dominance against division opponents.

7* World Series Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on Cardinals -139
The Key: I really feel like the Cards have all the momentum after last night's improbable extra-innings victory. There's no way I'm going against history either. The home team has won the last 8 Game 7's in the World Series. The Cards extend this streak tonight.

7* World Series Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -115
The Key: The Cardinals haven't lost 3 in a row since Aug. 22-24. They've lost consecutive games twice since and avoided a third straight loss both times. In fact, the Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 games following any loss. Take the Cards at home in this one.

7* World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -122
The Key: The Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 17-5 in Wilson's last 22 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Cardinals are 1-5 in Carpenter's last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take Texas.

7* World Series *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on Rangers -176
The Key: The Rangers are 13-0 in their last 13 games following a loss. We'll back the Rangers at home in this bounce back spot Sunday evening.

7* 2011 MLB Playoffs Game of the Year (FOX) on Rangers -115
The Key: The Rangers haven't lost consecutive games since late August. They are a perfect 12-0 in their last 12 games following a loss, and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. Also, Garcia's 1.336 WHIP is reason for concern for the Cards as Texas us 7-0 in its last 7 games versus a starter with a WHIP above 1.30. The Rangers have also won their last 7 in the second game of a series. We'll take the Rangers.

7* World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -119
The Key: The Cardinals have won each of Carpenter's last 4 starts, and they are an unbeaten 10-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts when valued between +100 and -150. They are winning these contests by an average score of 5.2 to 2.2. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -115
The Key: The Cardinals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games and 8-3 in their last 11 games versus the Brewers. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games and 1-5 in their last 6 playoff road games. The Cardinals are 11-4 in Garcia's last 15 starts as a home favorite and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take St. Louis.

7* NLCS Game of the Year on Cardinals -149
The Key: The Brewers are just 4-18 in Gallardo's last 22 starts as an underdog. They are 1-7 in his last 8 starts versus the Cardinals and 1-4 in his 5 career starts in St. Louis. The Cards have won 7 of their last 9 against the Brewers, and they're in good hands with Carpenter, who is 57-24 on the money line in his last 81 home starts. Take the Cards.

7* ALCS Game of the Year on Tigers -138
The Key: The Tigers are 17-5 in their last 22 home games against the Rangers. Also, they are 8-0 in Doug Fister's last 8 starts. In 5 home starts with the Tigers, he's 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) with a 0.98 ERA. Colby Lewis, meanwhile, is 0-1 (0-2 on the money line) with a 15.95 ERA in two starts against the Tigers this season. We'll take Detroit.

7* NLDS Game of the Year on Brewers -101
The Key: I'm on the Brewers in this bounce back spot as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a defeat. Plus, Milwaukee has the edge on the hill. Saunders is 0-2 on the money line in 2 career starts versus Milwaukee with an ERA of 5.68. Wolf is 7-1 in his last 8 starts at Arizona and has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 7 of those starts. Plays on any team (MILWAUKEE) in the 4th game of a playoff series, after having won 3 of their last 4 games, are 40-16 since 1997. This system is a near-perfect 17-1 the last 5 seasons. Take the Brewers.

7* ALDS Game of the Year on Yankees +100
The Key: Great spot for the Yankees, who are 39-19 in their last 59 road games after 2 or more consecutive losses. They're winning by an average score of 5.1 to 3.5 in this spot. Take the Yanks.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -1.5 -123
The Key: Expect a gem from Lester in this must-win spot and for Boston's bats to do the rest. Boston has won Lester's last 13 starts against the Orioles, and those wins have come by an average of 4.7 runs. Take the Red Sox on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -172
The Key: We missed with the Cards last night as they lost in extras, but I won't hesitate to come right back with them here in this must-win spot against the worst club in the bigs. The Cardinals are 39-16 in their last 55 road games as a favorite of -151 to -200 while the Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 home games as an underdog of +151 to +200. The Astros are 25-61 in their last 86 overall as an underdog of +151 to +200.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -127
The Key: We'll fade the Yanks this evening as they are susceptible to a letdown following a big division-clinching victory. The Rays, meanwhile, have every reason to win every game down the stretch as they try to win the AL wild card. The Rays are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a favorite, 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Tampa.

7* AL Blowout Game of the Month on Red Sox -1.5 -140
The Key: Every game is a must win for the Red Sox with Tampa Bay hot on their tail. Expect Beckett to shut down the O's tonight and for the Boston offense to do the rest. Beckett is 6-1 (11-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.30 at home. Baltimore's Hunter is carrying an ERA of 5.54 on the road and has an 8.30 ERA against Boston. He's also very susceptible to the long ball. That bodes well for us as Bean Town is 23-6 since the beginning of last season vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start. The Red Sox are winning in this situation by an average score of 6.4 to 3.9. Bet Boston on the run line.

7* National League Game of the Month on Cardinals -172
The Key: Pelfrey has been a green light fade on the road where he's 4-8 (6-11 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.28. The Mets are only 2-13 this season in his starts against teams with a winning record. The Mets are also 0-7 in Pelfrey's last 7 starts when he's working on 5 days' rest. The Cards have won 10 of 12 overall and 4 of Jackson's last 5 starts. We'll pound St. Louis.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -139
The Key: The Rays have been getting it done with Davis on the mound. They've won 7 of his last 8 and 11 of his last 14 starts. Also, the Rays are an impressive 13-3 this season when Davis gets the ball against a club with a losing record. We'll back the Rays.

7* 2011 American League Game of the Year on Red Sox -138
The Key: Back home following a 7-game trip with Tampa Bay breathing down its neck, expect Boston to bring its 5-game losing streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. The Red Sox are 37-14 in Wakefield's last 51 starts as a home favorite. We'll pound Bean Town.

7* Wednesday Night Baseball Game of the Year (ESPN) on Angels -189
The Key: The Angels are 38-13 in their last 51 home games against the Mariners, 26-10 in their last 36 home games, 22-8 in their last 30 games following a loss and 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Expect the Halos to bounce back strong tonight against a club they have dominated.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -126
The Key: The White Sox are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings with the Twins and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Minnesota. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite period and 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The White Sox are also 6-1 in Peavy's 7 road starts this season. Take the South Siders.

7* MLB Labor Day *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -1.5 -129
The Key: Seattle is 1-11 after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season, losing these contests by an average score of 6.0 to 2.8. The M's are also 1-10 off 3 straight losses against division rivals this season, losing these matchups by an average score of 6.0 to 2.5. In addition to these near-perfect trends, the Halos have a huge edge on the mound with Haren. They've won his last 6 home starts by an average of 2.7 runs. Take the Angels on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Red Sox -165
The Key: Look for Boston to bounce back behind Beckett this evening. The Red Sox have won 10 of 13 against the Yankees in 2011. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss, 9-2 in their last 11 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 5-0 in Beckett's last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League East and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the Yankees. The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-6 in Hughes' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. We'll bet Boston.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -134
The Key: The D-backs are hitting on all cylinders. They've won 7 in a row overall and 10 straight at home. They'll have an excellent chance to build on these trends considering their dominance against Cook. Colorado's scheduled starter is 1-6 on the money line in his last 7 starts against the D-backs. We'll take the red-hot D-backs at a nice price.

7* Monday Night Baseball Game of the Year (ESPN) on Phillies -145
The Key: Philly scheduled starter Hamels is 8-0 (9-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.23 in 9 career starts against the Reds. Cincy scheduled starter is 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 7.00 in 4 lifetime starts against the Phillies. We'll take the Phillies in this one.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -125
The Key: The Twins are 26-10 in Slowey's last 36 home starts while the Orioles are 8-22 in Guthrie's last 30 road starts. The Twins are an insane 82-38 in their last 120 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 7-3 in their last 10 in the 3rd game of a series. The Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 in game 3 of a series and 3-13 in their last 16 games following a win. Pound the Twins.

7* NL West Game of the Year on Giants -133
The Key: Arizona's current losing streak has enabled the Giants to stay in the NL West race. They are only a game back. Arizona plays earlier and the Giants will be motivated whether the D-backs win or not. Back at home following a length road trip, I expect the reigning World Series champs to take advantage of the opportunity. I have no problem fading San Diego's Latos here as the Padres have lost his last 5 starts against the Giants. The Padres are 2-7 in Latos' last 9 starts and 1-7 in his last 8 series-opening starts. The Giants are 38-17 in Cain's last 55 home starts, 10-2 in his last 12 starts on 5 days' rest and 15-4 in his last 19 starts vs. the National League West. The Giants have won 5 of the last 6 meetings in the series. Take San Fran.

7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Cardinals -135
The Key: The Cubs are a poor 5-13 off 2 straight home wins against division rivals over the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Cards are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -164
The Key: The Astros are 1-12 in Lyles' last 13 starts, 0-7 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-7 in his last 7 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. The Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarner's last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take San Fran.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -138
The Key: Detroit is 17-3 in its last 20 home games against Cleveland and 10-4 in Scherzer's last 14 home starts. The Tigers will be very motivated here after losing a series at Cleveland last week. Look for Detroit to continue its home dominance over the Tribe.

7* AL West Game of the Year on Angels -138
The Key: Weaver has been money at home against AL West foes. In fact, the Angels are 12-0 in his home starts against division opponents the last 2 seasons. Also, the Angels are a perfect 8-0 in his last 8 home starts against the Rangers. We'll take the Halos.

7* Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Cards -130
The Key: Pittsburgh is 0-6 in Maholm's last 6 starts and 16-35 in his last 51 starts. Opponents are hitting .354 off him since the All-Star break. Take St. Louis.

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Cardinals -138
The Key: The Cards are 15-2 in Carpenter's 17 career starts against the Bucs, and they have won his last 6 starts on the road in this series. We'll take the Cards tonight.

7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Cardinals -152
The Key: Motivated by Saturday's loss and looking to keep pace in the NL Central race, expect the Cards to rise to the occasion at home this evening. The Rockies are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings with the Cards and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in St. Louis. They are also on a poor 6-23 slide in the 3rd game of a series. The Cardinals are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take the Redbirds.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Cardinals -150
The Key: The Cards have won 6 of their last 7 against the Rockies. Those 6 wins have come by an average of 3.7 runs. The Rocks have lost 4 straight in St. Louis by an average of 3.5 runs. Colorado has lost 8 of Cook's last 10 starts. Those 8 losses have come by an average of 4.0 runs. Take St. Louis on the money line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -125
The Key: The Redbirds have won 7 in a row with ace Chris Carpenter on the hill and valued as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Cards.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -160
The Key: Fading Millwood in his season debut. An ERA above 4.30 in the minors is nothing to celebrate. He was lit up while pitching for Baltimore last year, going 4-16 with a 5.10 ERA. The Rocks have won the first two games of this series, but the Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games following defeats in the first two games of a series. Pound the Reds in this bounce back spot.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -113
The Key: Following back-to-back losses to their biggest rival (Boston), expect the Yankees to be extremely motivated when they take the field tonight. The Angels are just 3-11 in their last 14 road games in this series. Plus, Burnett, who will be very focused following one of his worst outings of the season, is 3-0 in 3 career home starts against the Halos. Lastly, plays on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team batting .290 or better over its last 20 games against an opponent with a hot starting pitcher (ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts) are 31-5 the last 3 seasons and 6-1 this season. Take the Yanks at a great price.

7* Monday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Twins +1.5 -150
The Key: The Red Sox have lost their last 4 series openers, and they are just 7-15 in their last 22 meetings in Minnesota. The Twins have the big edge on the mound with Baker, who's 5-1 at home this season with an ERA of 1.78. The Twins are 35-17 in Baker's last 52 home starts and 20-7 in his last 27 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Twins on the run line.

7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Yankees +1.5 -133
The Key: The Yankees are showing good value in the underdog role today, and we'll take them on the run line at a nice price. The Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss and 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. NY scheduled starter Freddy Garcia is 11-4 on the money line in his last 15 starts as a road underdog of +125 to +150. Take the Yanks on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -166
The Key: Hernandez is 0-6 on the money line in his last 6 starts against the Rockies, losing these starts by an average of 2.7 runs. Plus, the Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Nats.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -132
The Key: The Snakes have the decisive edge on the hill with Collmenter, who is carrying an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 0.800 at home this season. Billingsley, meanwhile, has an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.588 on the road. The Dodgers are 1-10 since the beginning of last season in road games after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival. They are losing by an average of 2.4 runs/game in this situation. Take the Snakes.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Pirates -142
The Key: The odds are in Pittsburgh's favor tonight. Hurdle's track record gives the Bucs an excellent chance to bounce back. Consider that his teams are an impressive 59-39 in home games following 3 straight losses to an opponent. His teams are exploding for an average 5.8 runs in this situation. Lopez's clubs have only won 10 of his last 36 starts, and he is even 0-14 on the money line in his last 14 road starts versus National League clubs with an on-base percentage of .325 or less. These clubs have touched him for an average of 6.4 runs and his club has only supported him with an average of 2.4 in this situation. Bet the Bucs.

7* 2011 MLB Game of the Year on Reds -121
The Key: Love the Reds, who have won 25 of their last 35 against the Astros, in this bounce back spot with Bailey on the bump. He is 11-0 on the money line in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons when matched up against clubs with a losing record. The Reds are winning these starts by an average score of 5.7 to 2.5. Take the Reds.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -117
The Key: The Reds have dominated the Astros to the tune of 25-9 in the last 34 meetings, and the domination figures to continue with Houston trading away two of its best players. Cincy has plenty of momentum after sweeping the reigning champs, and Arroyo has owned the Astros. He's won his last 7 starts against them, holding Houston to a single run in 5 of those outings while never giving up more than 3. Bet the Reds.

7* MLB Runline of the MONTH on Cardinals -1.5 +154

7* AL Game of the Week on Red Sox -147
The Key: Boston is flat out due against Chicago. I really like the Red Sox in this spot as they welcome Adrian Gonzalez back to the lineup and they bring ace Jon Lester to the mound. Lester is 7-1 on the road with an ERA of 2.80 and enters in top form with an ERA of only 0.55 over his last 3 starts. Humber has been lit up in his last 2 starts, giving up 10 earned on 18 hits in just 9 1/3 innings of work. The White Sox have lost 5 of Humber's last 7 home starts. The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong this evening.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -109
The Key: The D-backs have the big edge on the hill with Collmenter, who enters this contest in great form. He's only allowed a total of 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts spanning 21 innings. That adds up to an awesome 1.29 ERA. Lilly hasn't been nearly as good. The Dodgers have lost 5 of his last 7 starts, and he checks in with an ERA of 5.94 over his last 3 starts. Take the Snakes.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -155
The Key: Texas is 17-2 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. It is winning by an average score of 6.9 to 3.6 in this spot. Also, plays on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - hot hitting team batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher - ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts - are 55-12 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 4-0 this season. Take Texas.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -138
The Key: The Reds have been money in the third game of a series, winning 11 of their last 12 Game 3's. In addition, they are on a perfect 6-0 run in the third game of a series if they check in with losses in the first two games. Plus, the Reds are 5-1 in Arroyo's last 6 starts vs. the Mets, and the Mets are 5-17 in Pelfrey's last 22 road starts. Take Cincy.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -126
The Key: The Rays are 39-19 in Price's last 58 starts, 11-4 in his last 15 road starts and 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Plus, the Rays are 25-5 in Price's last 30 starts when they give him the ball following a loss in their previous game. Take Tampa.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Yankees -1.5 +100
The Key: I have no problem fading Seattle here. It has lost 15 in a row with 13 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs. Plus, the M's have lost each of Vargas' last 3 starts against the Yanks with all 3 of those defeats coming by at least 2 runs. Take New York on the run line.

7* MLB Public Opinion Game of the Year on Rays -102
The Key: I'm extremely confident the public has this one right. KC hasn't swept the Rays in a three-game series at home in a decade and the Rays are a near-perfect 7-1 in their last 8 games following defeats in the first two games of a series. Also confident the Rays have the edge on the mound with Cobb, who is carrying a tiny 1.85 ERA over his last 4 starts. Pound the Rays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -118
The Key: The Royals are 0-6 in Francis' last 6 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 4-0 in Niemann's last 4 road starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-0 in his last 9 Saturday starts. Take the Rays behind this 30-0 angle.

7* NL East Game of the Year on Marlins -128
The Key: Pelfrey won his major league debut against the Marlins but hasn't defeated them since. He is 0-7 with a 5.35 ERA in his last 13 starts against them, including 0-3 with a 6.10 ERA at Miami. Plus, Pelfrey has been atrocious on the road this season, going 2-8 with an ERA of 5.77. The Mets have lost 7 of their last 9 with the Marlins and 9 of their last 12 in Florida. Pound the Fish.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks -109
The Key: I won't hesitate to get behind Kennedy here. Greinke may have a Cy Young to his name, but he's carrying an ERA of 6.19 on the road. The Diamondbacks are 11-4 in Kennedy's last 15 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Take Arizona.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -125
The Key: The A's have been a dead fade on the road. They are 5-24 in their last 29 road games and 15-43 in their last 58 games as a road underdog. They are also 1-5 in McCarthy's last 6 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. Take Detroit.

7* MLB Super System Game of the Month on Blue Jays -115
The Key: Plays against road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SEATTLE) - poor power team averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 4 straight games, are 41-9 since 1997. Pound the Jays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -125
The Key: The Braves are 2-6 in Lowe's last 8 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 while the Rockies are 16-6 in Hammel's last 22 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Braves are also 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Colorado. Take the Rocks.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -122
The Key: Chicago scheduled starter Rodrigo Lopez is just 7-20 on the money line in his last 27 starts. 15 of those defeats came by at least 2 runs. The Cubs came back to win last night, but they are a lousy 28-61 in their last 89 games following a win. They are also 5-16 in their last 21 road games and 1-5 in their last 6 games at Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -131
The Key: The Athletics are 15-38 in their last 53 games as a road underdog and 7-20 in their last 27 road games overall. They are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. The Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 in the 1st game of a series, 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 11-5 in Holland's last 16 starts as a home favorite. Take the Rangers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -148
The Key: The Padres are 0-4 in Moseley's last 4 starts and 0-7 in his last 7 starts in the underdog role. Take the Giants.

7* 2011 NL Game of the Year on Brewers -156
The Key: The Brewers are 29-12 at home this season and haven't lost back-to-back home games all year. They are 11-0 when playing at home following a home defeat. The Brewers also have a big advantage on the mound with Wolf, who is 10-3 lifetime against Arizona. They are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Duke has never won in Milwaukee. He is 0-11 on the money line all-time in Milwaukee. Take the Brewers.

7* American League Game of the Month on White Sox -150
The Key: The Sox have the huge edge on the mound with the southpaw Mark Buehrle. Buehrle is an impressive 19-4 in his last 23 home starts against the Royals. Plus, Kansas City has really struggled against lefty starters since Yost took over, going just 3-18 in its last 21 road games against left-handed starters under his watch. Take the South Siders.

7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Angels -136
The Key: The LA Dodgers have lost each of Billingsley's last 3 starts against the Angels. He's been lit up for 16 runs in 17.7 innings in those starts.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -132
The Key: Kershaw hasn't been the same pitcher on the road, where his ERA is 4.36, and the Dodgers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in this series. The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss and 21-8 in Weaver's last 29 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Halos.

7* Interleague Rivalry Game of the Year on Reds -122
The Key: The Reds have had a lot of luck at home against the Indians. In fact, they've won 8 of their last 10 home games in the series. Plus, Cleveland is a miserable 23-53 in its last 76 interleague games as an underdog and 1-7 in Masterson's last 8 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Also, Masterson is 0-2 with an ERA of 6.94 against Cincy. Take the Reds.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -154
The Key: The Marlins are a lousy 4-23 this month. They won yesterday but are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win. They are also 0-6 in Volstad's last 6 starts on just 4 days' rest. The Athletics are 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 27-6 in their last 33 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take the A's.

7* National TV Game of the Month (ESPN2) on Red Sox -101
The Key: The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a road underdog, 17-6 in their last 23 road games and 41-15 in their last 56 vs. the National League East. Boston has won five consecutive series in Philadelphia and is 11-5 in its last 16 games there. The Phillies have not won a home series from Boston since 2003. Take the Red Sox.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -126
The Key: The Brewers are just 15-24 on the road this season, and I expect their road struggles to continue with Greinke stepping to the hill. He has an ERA of 5.64 on the road this season and is just 2-5 on the money line in his career against the Yankees. The Yankees are 12-4 in their last 16 overall and 70-31 in their last 101 interleague home games. Take the Yanks.

7* Interleague Bailout Game of the Year on Padres -139
The Key: The Royals are 10-21 on the road this season and an embarrassing 18-48 in their last 66 road games. I fully expect their road struggles to continue with Francis on the hill tonight. The Royals are 4-11 in his last 15 starts and 1-6 in his last 7 road starts. While pitching for Colorado last season, he was 0-3 on the ML with an ERA of 10.64 against the Padres.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -126
The Key: Really like Boston's chances of avoiding the sweep. The Red Sox have won 81 of their last 115 interleague games and haven't been swept in interleague play since 2002. The Bucs have swept a team in interleague play in 10 years. Bet Boston.

7* Interleague Dog of the Year on Twins +135
The Key: Gallardo is struggling. The Brewers have lost each of his last 3 starts, during which he's posted an ERA of 6.43. Liriano, meanwhile, is dealing. He's carrying an ERA of 1.80 over his last 3 starts - the last 2 resulting in Minnesota wins. Plus, Milwaukee has struggled against southpaws, only scoring 3.5 runs/game off of them. Take the Twins showing tremendous value in the dog role.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mariners -152
The Key: The Mariners are 14-4 in their last 18 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 11-4 in Hernandez's last 15 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take the M's.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -110
The Key: The Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 2-6 in Oswalt's last 8 starts, 1-4 in his last 5 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 26-11 in their last 37 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 18-8 in their last 26 in the third game of a series. The Cards are also 52-19 in Carpenter's last 71 home starts, 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the Phillies. Cash in with the Cards.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -126
The Key: The Rockies are 1-8 in Hammel's last 9 starts while the Indians are 10-1 in Tomlin's last 11 home starts. Plus, the Indians are 22-5 in their last 27 games as a home favorite. Take the Tribe.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -135
The Key: Milwaukee is an undefeated 9-0 at home following a home loss this season, outscoring the opposition 41-17 in these games. Bet the Brewers.

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Indians -117
The Key: I really like Cleveland at home tonight. It has won its last 7 interleague games and is on a 5-0 run at home against the Rockies in interleague play. The Tribe is an impressive 22-5 in its last 27 home games as a favorite and 5-0 in Fausto Carmona's last 5 home starts as a favorite. The Rockies are an extremely disappointing 20-50 in their last 70 interleague road games when up against right-handed starter. Take Cleveland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves +100
The Key: The Braves are such a solid and gritty team that they just don't get swept that often. They are an impressive 12-2 in their last 14 in the 3rd game of a series and 5-0 in their last 5 following losses in the 1st 2 games of a series. The Braves are also a strong 7-2 in their last 9 games as an underdog. Atlanta has also won 12 of Jurrjens' last 15 home starts. Take Atlanta.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -121
The Key: Volquez has been dealing since getting called by up from the minors and this is the prime time to back him. That's because the Reds are an impressive 22-6 in his last 28 starts when he gets the start following a team loss. They are winning these games by an average of 2.2 runs. Plus, Cincy is 6-1 in his last 7 home starts while the Jays are 0-4 Morrow's last 4 starts overall.

7* Interleague Game of the Year on Twins -126
The Key: The Twins are a perfect 10-0 in Duensing's last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher. They're winning these starts by an average score of 5.6 to 2.1. The Twins have won 11 of their last 13 while the Padres have dropped 5 of their last 6. Plus, San Diego is familiar with Duensing at all. Take the Twins.

7* NL East Game of the Month on Braves -120
The Key: Atlanta is 4-0 in its last 4 games after dropping the first two games of a series. It is also on an impressive 11-2 run in the third game of a series and has cashed 27 of its last 39 tickets when valued as a home favorite of -110 to -150. In addition, New York has lost 12 of its last 16 games when Dickey gets the start. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mariners -119
The Key: I love the M's at home at this price with Bedard on the hill. He's been dealing and the M's have won 7 of his L8 starts, including 5 straight, as a result. Plus, the Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Seattle.