7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -128

The Key: The Pirates have won seven of nine, and I expect them to keep right on rolling behind a gem from Locke.  They are 3-0 in his last three starts, during which he's posted a 2.95 ERA.  He should have success against an Arizona club that is batting .221 over its last seven games and is a major league-worst 6-12 against left-handed starters.  Locke has a fantastic 0.980 WHIP on the season, and this figure is significant because the Diamondbacks are 5-21 in their last 26 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150.  Arizona's Miley is 0-3 with a 4.74 ERA over his last eight starts, and the D-backs are 0-5 in his last five starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* AL East Game of the Month on Orioles -130

The Key: Tampa Bay has struggled on the road where it is batting .228 and averaging 3.0 runs per game.  It has also struggled against left-handed starters, batting .239 and averaging 3.3 runs per game against them.  Look for these struggles to continue in Baltimore while facing Chen.  The Orioles are 8-1 this season in his starts versus AL clubs that average 4.2 runs per game or less, and they have won these games by an average score of 6.2 to 3.0.  The Rays are 3-12 in their last 15 road games and 0-5 in their last five road games versus a left-handed starter.  Bedard has been a dead fade as his clubs are 11-27 in his last 38 starts.  Bedard has a 6.30 ERA in seven starts versus the Orioles while Chen has a 2.98 ERA in 10 starts versus Tampa Bay.  The Orioles are 5-0 in their last five Game 3's of a series.  The Rays are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.  Take Baltimore.

7* AL Total of the Year on Angels/Royals Under 8.5

The Key: The Angels have been rolling but expect their bats to slow down on the road as they face former teammate Jason Vargas.  He has been dialed in with a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts.  Having spent last season with the Angels, Vargas knows them well.  That was apparent when he held them to one run on three hits in 6 1-3 innings May 25.  He has an ERA of 2.44 in 13 career starts against them.  LA's Matt shoemaker is also in good form with a 2.61 ERA over his last three starts.  He gave up just two earned runs to the Royals May 24.  Kansas City has been struggling at the plate, averaging just 2.4 runs over its last seven games.  You want to play the "under" on home teams when the total is 8.0 to 8.5 in AL action if they have an on-base percentage of .320 or lower, are starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or lower and facing a starter with a WHIP of 1.300 or better.  Doing so has produced a 61-29 mark the last 5 seasons, and we've seen just 7.4 runs scored on average in these games.  Vargas is 10-1 "under" the last three seasons in home games versus clubs with a win percentage of 54-62%.  The "under" is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Kansas City.  Take the Under.

7* American League Game of the Month on Royals -140

The Key: The Royals have lost three in a row since rattling off 10 straight and are now 1.5 games behind Detroit in the AL Central.  This little slide is sitting well with them, and I expect them to bear down here to salvage a game in the series.  Kansas City's Ventura is in great form.  He's 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts, shutting down the Cardinals, Indians and Tigers.  10 of his 13 starts have been strong as he's allowed three runs or less in the 10.  Seattle's Elias has struggled of late with a 5.50 ERA over his last three starts.  He's been inconsistent, giving up four runs or more in five of his last eight starts.  The Royals are an impressive 39-15 in their last 54 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Take KC.

7* MLB Run Line Rout on Royals -1.5 (+133)

The Key: The Royals are 9-1 against the run line in their last 10 games, and they are in excellent position to cover another one here.  The Royals have dropped back-to-back games since winning 10 in a row and will be extremely focused to get back in the win column.  They have been crushing the ball, averaging 6.3 runs over their last 12 games, and the offensive onslaught should continue against Chris Young, who has a 5.18 ERA on the road.  His clubs are 2-6 in his last eight road starts, including 0-3 in his last three.  Jason Vargas has been in great form over his last five starts, and he's had no problem with Seattle lately.  He's 3-0 in his last three starts against the Mariners while giving up only three runs in 20 1-3 innings.  Each of these wins came by at least four runs.  The Royals are 6-0 in their last six Game 2's of a series, 7-0 in their last seven when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game and 7-0 in their last seven after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.  You want to fade AL road underdogs of +150 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or lower on the season when they are matched up against an opponent with a starting pitcher who averages more than 6.5 innings per starts.  Doing so has produced a 61-9 mark the last five seasons that carries a 2.7 average margin of victory.  Take the Royals on the run line.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Year on Cardinals -160

The Key: The Phillies have had a tough time putting the bat on the ball against left-handed starters.  They are batting only .225 against them and averaging just 2.9 runs.  These struggles are nothing new as the Phillies are 13-27 in their last 40 road games versus left-handed starters.  Expect these struggles to continue as they go up against Jaime Garcia.  He's won his last two starts while allowing one run in 14 innings.  The first four hitters in Philadelphia's lineup - Jimmy Rollins, Carlos Ruiz, Chase Utley and Howard - are a combined 6 for 39 (.154) against Garcia.  A.J. Burnett doesn't figure to have as much success against the Cardinals.  He's been rocked for 31 runs in his last five road starts against them spanning just 18 innings.  Home favorites of -150 or more that are seeking revenge for a loss as a home favorite of -150 or more, provided they have a win percentage of 51-54% and are playing a team with a win percentage of 46-49%, are 46-7 since 1997.  Teams fitting this system have won by 3.1 runs on average.  It is also worth noting that this system is a perfect 13-0 the last five seasons.  Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -141

The Key: The Nationals are 5-0 in their last five home games, 7-0 in their last seven as a home favorite, 4-0 in their last four home games versus right-handed starters and 4-0 in their last four home games versus teams with a losing road record.  I expect all these trends to be extended this evening.  The Nats have the edge on the mound with Zimmermann, who has a 2.98 ERA on the season and a 0.36 ERA over his last three starts.  He also has an ERA of 2.98 in eight starts versus the Braves.  The Braves are 39-13 in his last 52 starts as a favorite.  They are 13-2 the last two seasons when he works on five or six days' rest and 4-0 in his last four starts on five days' rest.  The Braves are 0-4 in their last four games versus a right-handed starter and 1-14 the last two seasons in road games versus an NL starter with an ERA of 3.00 or better.  Take Washington.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -103

The Key: Buehrle is having a terrific season for Toronto, but he has had no success against the Yankees.  His clubs are 1-15 all-time in his starts against the Yankees, including 0-12 in his last 12, and he's compiled a 6.02 ERA in these starts.  In addition, the Blue Jays are 2-23 in their last 25 at Yankee Stadium, including 0-14 in their last 14.  Toronto is slumping at the plate, batting an AL-worst .218 since June 7.  Its struggles figure to continue against Whitley, who is 2-0 (5-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.41.  The Blue Jays have never faced him, and that gives him the edge.  Take New York.

7* MLB Mound Mismatch Game of the Week on Tigers -149

The Key: The Tigers have a significant edge on the mound with Scherzer.  They are 45-12 in his last 57 home starts, including 12-0 in his last 12.  They are also 6-0 in his last six starts in the second game of a series and 9-0 in his last nine starts versus Kansas City.  Ventura hasn't pitched on the road in over a month, and I expect that to cause him some problems.  Kansas City is 2-5 in his last seven starts and 1-4 in his last five division starts.  The Tigers are batting .292 at home this season, and I expect them to put some good wood on the ball tonight while Scherzer takes care of the rest.  Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -135

The Key: The Royals have won their last seven, but I believe their streak comes to an end this evening.  They are 0-6 in their last six versus Detroit.  Verlander hasn't been at his best this season, but he's been pretty solid at home and will be lacking no confidence against a club he's owned.  He's 17-5 with an ERA of 2.88 in 31 starts versus the Royals.  The Tigers are 3-0 in his last three starts versus Kansas City with two of the wins coming this season.  Vargas has pitched well for the Royals, but he's had issues against Detroit.  He's 2-2 with an ERA of 5.01 in seven starts versus the Tigers.  The Royals are 0-2 this season in his starts versus Detroit.  The Tigers are 64-29 in Verlander's last 93 home starts, 7-2 in his last nine starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 8-1 in his last nine Monday starts.  The Royals are 1-4 in Vargas' last five starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Detroit also has the edge offensively.  It is batting .290 at home and .285 versus left-handed starters.  Kansas City is batting .263 on the road and .258 versus right-handed starters.  Take the Tigers.

7* MLB Run Line Rout of the Week on Giants -1.5 (+108)

The Key: After falling in the first two games of the series, the Giants will rise to the occasion this afternoon.  They are an impressive 60-23 in their last 83 games as a favorite of -201 or greater, 15-1 in their last 16 Sunday games and 6-1 in their last 7 games after losing the first two games of a series.  They also have a significant edge on the mound with Bumgarner, who has a 2.67 ERA on the season and a 1.23 ERA over his last three starts.  Colorado's Nicasio has a 5.70 ERA on the season and a 14.48 ERA over his last three starts.  The Giants are 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 starts in the third game of a series and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus the Rockies (these four victories have come by an average 2.8 runs).  The Rockies are 0-4 in Nicasio's 4 career road starts versus the Giants.  Take San Francisco on the run line.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Brewers -120

The Key: The Brewers fell 6-5 yesterday, but they are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss, and the Reds are 2-14 in their last 16 games following a 1-run victory over a division opponent.  Milwaukee's Gallardo is coming off an absolute gem against Pittsburgh, and I believe he builds on that here.  The Brewers are 42-17 in his last 59 starts as a favorite.  They are also 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus the Reds. Latos is making his first big-league start of the season, and I expect to see some rust.  Latos has a 5.95 ERA in his last three starts against the Brewers, and his clubs are 0-4 all-time in his starts at Miller Park.  The Reds have struggled on the road where they are batting .238 and averaging 3.4 runs per game.  Take the Brew Crew.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -116

The Key: The Marlins are 26-11 in their last 37 at home, including 10-2 this season when playing a team with a losing record.  The Fish have crushed left-handed starting pitching.  They are batting .296 and averaging 5.8 runs per game off lefty starters this season.  They are 13-4 in their last 17 games versus lefty starters.  Eovaldi has pitched well, especially at home where he has a 2.49 ERA.  His clubs are 7-2 in his last nine home starts.  Miami's bullpen has been holding up on its end of the bargain as well, and that's significant because the Marlins are 6-0 this season when the bullpen ERA is under 3.00 over the last 10 games.  The Pirates are a very poor 67-149 in their last 216 road games versus clubs with a home winning percentage above .600.  The Pirates are 0-4 in Locke's last four starts, 0-5 in his last five starts versus a team with a winning record and 6-13 in his last 19 road starts.  Stanton bats a team-high .354 against lefty starters, and he's 3 for 5 with a homer against Locke.  Locke is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in three starts versus the Marlins, allowing them to hit .338.  The Pirates are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Miami.  Take the Marlins.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -143

The Key: Following losses in each of the first three games of this series, I expect the Giants to bear down and salvage a game.  The Giants are 5-0 in their last five games after losing the first three games of a series, 8-0 in their last eight Game 4s of a series and 4-0 in their last four Thursday games.  San Francisco is in excellent hands with Hudson on the hill.  His clubs are a perfect 15-0 in his home starts since the beginning of last season and have won them by an average of 2.9 runs.  Hudson has dominated Washington throughout his career (16-5 lifetime with a 2.45 ERA in 29 starts), and he's 3-0 on the money line with an ERA of 0.84 in his last three starts against the Nationals.  Take San Francisco.

7* National League Game of the Month on Giants -125

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the Giants will take the field with extra focus and motivation.  The Giants are 6-0 in their last six games after losing the first two games of a series.  Washington's Roark hasn't had his best stuff on the road where he has an ERA of 4.42.  The Nationals are 0-4 in Roark's last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last four starts versus teams with a winning record.  The Giants are 3-0 in Cain's last three starts, and he has a rock solid 2.91 ERA at home on the season.  Also, San Francisco is 5-0 in his last five home starts versus the Nationals.  He held them to two earned runs or less in four of these starts.  Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -148

The Key: The Cubs are a horrendous 38-83 in their last 121 road games versus teams with a winning home record, and I expect this trend to continue.  Pittsburgh is 5-0 in its last five series openers, and it has won eight of its last 10 home games versus the Cubs.  Chicago's Edwin Jackson has a 4.59 ERA on the season, a 6.12 ERA on the road and a 6.91 ERA over his last three starts.  The Cubs are 5-17 in Jackson's last 22 starts, 1-7 in his last eight road starts, 0-4 in his last four series-opening starts, 0-6 in his last six starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-8 in his last eight starts on regular rest (4 days).  The Cubs are also 0-2 this season in his starts versus the Pirates.  Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton has an ERA of 3.31 on the season, a 2.39 ERA at home and a 2.81 ERA over his last three starts.  The Pirates are 3-0 in his last three starts versus the Cubs.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Reds -138

The Key: The Reds are on a 7-0 run in Simon's starts versus clubs with a losing record.  They are on a 9-0 run in his starts versus NL clubs with an on-base percentage of .315 or worse, a 9-0 run in his starts versus NL clubs with a batting average of .255 or worse and a 6-0 run versus teams that are getting outscored by an average of 0.5 runs or more per game on the season.  He has a rock solid 3.03 ERA on the season and has been nearly unhittable in the daylight, when he has a 1.96 ERA.  Hernandez has a 4.18 ERA in his starts and an ugly 5.76 ERA in his road starts.  The Phillies are 0-5 in their last five games following a win and 0-6 in their last six after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.  Look for the Reds to win this one comfortably as they get to Hernandez and Simon takes care of the rest.

7* MLB Run Line Rout of the Week on Rangers -1.5 (+127)

The Key: The Indians were a perfect 6-0 during their recent homestand, but the road doesn't figure to treat them as well.  They are a major league-worst 9-19 on the road, including 0-4 in their last four away from Cleveland.  Their road struggles should continue with Texas giving the ball to Darvish, who has a 1.66 ERA over his last five starts.  The Rangers are 11-2 in Darvish's last 13 starts and 7-0 in his last seven starts on regular rest (4 days).  These 11 victories have come by an average of 4.1 runs.  The seven wins of the 7-0 run have come by 3.1 runs on average.  Cleveland's Bauer has had a rough go on the road.  The Indians are 1-3 in his last four road starts, and he's allowed four runs or more three times during this stretch.  Each of these three defeats came by two runs or more.  Cleveland was lucky to get the one victory during this span since Bauer gave up five runs in 2-3 innings in that start.  Take Texas on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -122

The Key: The Rockies are due to bust out here against Bronson Arroyo, who has a 4.95 ERA over his last three starts.  He was rocked for 6 runs the last time he faced the Rockies and has been touched for at least 6 runs in three of his last five starts against them.  Nicasio has held the D-backs to two earned runs or less in four of his last five starts against them.  The Rockies are 5-1 in Nicasio's last six home starts, 7-1 in his last eight starts following a team loss in their previous game and 6-0 in his last six starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game.  Nicasio has a 3.60 ERA in six home starts, including a 2.50 ERA over his last three.  Take Colorado.

7* MLB Mound Mismatch Game of the Year on Rockies -155

The Key: Colorado has the edge on the mound with Jorge De La Rosa, who is 6-0 with an ERA of 1.80 over his last seven starts.  The only time he didn't earn a victory during this stretch was when rain suspended his outing against San Francisco on May 22.  The Rockies have lost their last four, but they are giving the ball to the right guy.  They are 18-0 the last two seasons in De La Rosa's starts following a team loss.  They are also 10-0 during this span in his starts following two or more consecutive team defeats.  De La Rosa has never lost to the D-backs at Coors Field.  The Rockies are 10-0 in his home starts against them, during which he has posted a 1.79 ERA.  Arizona's Chase Anderson is making his first start at flighty Coors.  Pitchers without much experience there tend to struggle.  He'll have a rough time with a lineup that is batting .342 and averaging 7.0 runs per game at home.  Take the Rockies.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -147

The Key: The Cardinals are an impressive 73-28 the last three seasons in home games against teams that have a losing record.  The Cards have dropped five of seven and are struggling at the plate, but the numbers suggest that now's the time to back them.  Consider that St. Louis is 14-1 the last three seasons in home games following a stretch where it has lost five or six of its last seven games.  It is also 17-2 in home games the last three seasons after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span.  The Cardinals are 8-1 in Miller's last nine home starts versus a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last six starts following a team loss in their previous game.  The Royals are 6-15 in Duffy's last 21 starts versus a team with a winning record.  They are also just 1-6 in their last seven versus St. Louis.

7* Interleague Run Line Rout of the Year on White Sox -1.5

The Key: The White Sox are 6-0 in their last six games after losing the first two games of a series and have won these by an average of 4.2 runs.  They are also 9-2 this season when playing with double revenge, winning by an average of 2.5 run in these contests.  Chris Sale is 4-0 with a 1.73 ERA on the season and has a 0.56 ERA over his last three starts.  He gives the Sox a significant advantage considering San Diego's Eric Stults is 0-4 with a 5.04 ERA on the road.  You want to fade road underdogs priced at +150 or more following a win by two runs or less when they are matched up against an opponent that has scored three runs or fewer in four straight games.  Doing so has produced a 44-6 mark since 1997.  Teams fitting this scenario have lost by an average of 2.9 runs.  The White Sox are batting .274 and averaging 5.2 runs per game against lefty starters.  They should get to Stults and Sale should take care of the rest.

7* NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Dodgers -140

The Key: Despite winning the first two games of this series, the Pirates are still only 7-15 in their last 22 road games.  They are 5-13 in their last 18 games as a road underdog, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 105-229 in their last 334 road games versus a team with a winning record.  The Pirates are also 3-9 in their last 12 Game 3s of a series.  It is also worth noting that Pittsburgh is 16-35 in road games following two or more consecutive wins under manager Hurdle.  The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first two games of a series, and I love them here behind Ryu.  The Dodgers are 7-0 in the southpaw's last 7 starts versus the NL Central and 15-3 in his last 18 starts versus a team with a losing record.  Pittsburgh is batting a dismal .210 versus lefty starters this season.  LA has a much better chance of getting to Cumpton as it is batting .265 versus right-handed starters.  The Pirates are only 27-67 in the last 94 meetings.  Take the Dodgers.

7* AL Game of the Month on Royals -131

The Key: The Royals go back on the road for six games following this series so they will really go after the last two games of this three-game set.  The Astros won Game 1 handily, but they are yet to prove they can be trusted on the road.  They are just 68-168 in their last 236 road games.  They are even 30-77 in their last 107 road games versus a team with a losing record and 27-77 in their last 104 road games versus a team with a winning home record.  The Astros are also 30-74 in their last 104 in the second game of a series.  Houston is 0-4 in scheduled starter McHugh's last four starts, during which he's compiled a 5.16 ERA.  The Royals are 21-7 in Guthrie's last 28 home starts, 11-4 in his last 15 starts as a home favorite, 4-0 in his last four starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last four starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  His clubs are 4-1 all-time in his starts against Houston.  Take Kansas City.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Marlins -108

The Key: The Marlins are showing tremendous value at this price at home where they are 23-6 in their last 29.  The Brewers are 1-5 in their last six as injuries to key players are taking a toll.  There's no doubt Miami has the edge on the mound with Koehler, who has a 2.25 ERA on the season and a 1.93 ERA over his last three starts.  The Marlins are 5-0 in his last five at home where he has a 0.64 ERA this season.  It is also to Koehler's advantage that he hasn't faced the Brewers because they won't be at all familiar with his stuff.  The Marlins are 9-1 in their last 10 home games versus a right-handed starter, and I like their chances of getting to Estrada, who has a 4.76 ERA over his last three starts and a 7.43 ERA in three career starts against Miami.  Take the Marlins.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -114

The Key: The Rockies are showing some nice value at home at this price with De La Rosa on the mound.  The Rockies are 5-0 in his last five starts, 40-11 in his last 51 home starts and 45-11 in his last 56 starts as a favorite.  They are 17-4 in De La Rosa's last 21 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last four starts versus teams with a winning record.  Colorado is also 4-0 in his last four home starts versus the Giants.  Hudson is having a good season, but he missed his last start and will likely show some rust as a result.  It's not good to be rusty at Coors Field where the Rockies have been hammering the baseball all season.  Plus, Hudson's clubs are just 1-4 in his last five starts at Coors.  The Giants are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Colorado.  Take the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -141

The Key: After getting swept at home by the Tigers, Boston will be all business when it takes the field this evening.  The Red Sox have struggled at the plate lately.  However, first half of the season home favorites of -110 or higher that have a batting average of .175 or worse over their last three games are 74-31 the last five seasons.  I expect Boston's bats to come alive against Toronto lefty J.A. Happ.  Bean Town is 10-4 against lefty starters this season, batting .263 and averaging 5.3 runs against them.  The Blue Jays are 6-13 in Happ's last 19 starts and 0-4 in his last four starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Despite Boston's recent skid, it is still 38-17 in its last 55 games following a loss.  Felix Doubront has been dialed in lately.  He has a 2.55 ERA over his last three starts.  The Red Sox are 9-4 in his last 13 starts and 12-4 in his last 16 starts as a favorite.  Take the Red Sox.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -141

The Key: Following back-to-back losses, the Giants will bounce back to earn a series split.  The Giants are 24-8 in their last 32 games following a loss, 6-0 in their last six Game 4s of a series and 11-1 in their last 12 Sunday games. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last six Game 4s of a series, 3-13 in Turner's last 16 starts and 0-6 in his last six starts versus a team with a winning record.  Turner doesn't help himself very often.  He has just 10 strikeouts on the season.  This is significant because the Giants are 15-1 the last three seasons versus teams starting a pitcher who strikes out an average of three batters per start or less.  The Giants have won these games by an average score of 6.4 to 2.8.  Vogelsong has been pitching well, allowing one run or none in three of his last four starts.  Turner, on the other hand, has given up five runs or more in four of his last five starts.  Take the Giants.

7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -117

The Key: Hamels has owned the Reds.  The Phillies are 11-0 all-time in his starts against them, during which he's posted a 1.51 ERA.  The Reds took Game 1, but they are 0-4 in their last four following a win, 1-5 in their last six in the second game of a series, 1-5 in their last six as an underdog and 1-5 in their last six road games.  They are also 0-4 in Bailey's last four starts as an underdog and 1-10 in his last 11 road starts when the money line is +125 to -125.  The Reds are 1-5 in Bailey's 6 career road starts versus the Phillies.  Cincinnati is 17-35 in the last 52 meetings, including 7-20 in the last 27 in Philadelphia.  Take Philly.

7* NL West Game of the Year on Rockies -148

The Key: This is a tough spot for San Diego, which played a double header in Cincinnati yesterday.  Fatigue will be an issue for the Padres.  So will Jorge De La Rosa.  Colorado's recent road trip didn't go well, but it had yesterday off to regroup and is sending the right horse to the hill.  The Rockies are an incredible 40-12 in De La Rosa's last 52 home starts.  And when he gets the ball following a team loss, they are on a perfect 16-0 run.  When he gets the ball off two consecutive team losses or more, they are on an 8-0 tear.  Clearly, this competitor is clutch.  He's dialed in right now too.  The southpaw is 4-0 in his last four starts with a 2.63 ERA.  They are a perfect 8-0 in his last eight home starts dating back to last season.  The Rockies are 11-1 in De La Rosa's last 12 starts versus the Padres, including 7-0 in his home starts during this span.  While Eric Stults has an unbeaten record versus the Rockies, he's fortunate that's the case since he's allowed 9 runs in his last 9 2-3 innings against them.  Stults is in poor form with a 6.62 road ERA on the season and a 6.75 ERA over his last three starts.  He hasn't had nearly the same success on the road where the Padres are 5-13 in his last 18 starts and 2-8 in his last 10 starts versus winning clubs.  The Rockies also have a huge advantage offensively.  They are batting .353 at home and averaging 7.7 runs per game.  San Diego is batting .196 on the road and averaging 2.4 runs per game.  The Padres are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado.  Take the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -133

The Key: I'll back the Giants, who are 10-3 in their last 13 at home, versus a Miami club that is 4-15 on the road.  Going back further, the Marlins are 30-79 in their last 109 road games.  The Giants have won 15 of their last 20 overall and are 14-3 in their last 17 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The Marlins are 0-3 in Eovaldi's road starts, and he's 1-2 with an ERA of 12.21 in three starts versus San Francisco.  Even though Cain is still looking for his first win of the season, he is the better starter in this matchup, and I believe he's due.  He's held the opposition to two earned runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts and 13 of his last 17.  When the money line is +100 to -150, you want to back home teams that are starting a pitcher who is winless after five starts or more if they have a hot bullpen with an ERA under 3.00 over the last 10 games.  Doing so has produced a 70-26 mark since 1997.  Take San Francisco.

7* MLB Interleague Total of the Month on Rockies/Rangers Under 9.5

The Key: Plays "under" on all teams when the total is 8.5 to 10 in Wednesday interleague games has produced a 98-46 mark the last five seasons.  Texas' Colby Lewis is 15-1 "under" all-time in Wednesday starts, and we have seen only 6.7 total runs scored on average in these outings.  Lewis has been really good lately with a 3.37 ERA over his last three starts.  Jorge De La Rosa has returned to form following a slow start and has an ERA of 2.50 over his last three starts.  With as good as these pitchers are going, I feel this line is too high.  The "under" is 5-0 in De La Rosa's last five road starts when the total is 9.0-10.5.  De La Rosa is also 17-3 "under" all-time in road games following two or more consecutive wins.  We have seen just 6.0 total runs scored on average in these outings.  The Rockies haven't had the same scoring punch on the road where they are averaging just 4.0 runs per game.  The Rangers are averaging only 4.1 runs per game at home.  Take the Under.

7* NL Game of the Week on Braves -125

The Key: Atlanta has dropped the first two games of the series, but it hasn't been swept at Miami since 2006.  The Marlins are 18-45 in their last 63 Game 3s of a series.  The Braves are 40-17 in the last 57 meetings, including 22-8 in their last 30 in Miami.  Ervin Santana has been brilliant since moving to the NL.  The Braves are 4-0 in his starts, and he's compiled an ERA of only 1.95.  This number is down to 1.38 in a pair of road starts.  His clubs are 11-1 the last two season in his starts as a favorite of -125 to -175.  Henderson Alvarez has pitched well for the Marlins, but they've lost four of his five starts while he's posted an ERA (2.73) that's nearly a run higher than Santana's.  His clubs are 1-11 over the last three seasons in his home starts versus division opponents.  The Marlins are 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus the NL East and 1-8 in his last 9 starts versus winning clubs.  Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -137

The Key: This is a good price to bet Strasburg at home.  He is coming off a bad outing in Miami, which means he'll be extremely focused here.  The guy rarely has back-to-back poor showings.  The Nationals are 9-3 in Strasburg's last 12 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 home starts, 12-2 in his last 14 Sunday starts and 4-0 in his last 4 game 4 of a series starts.  The Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 game 4's of a series while the Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 game 4's.  The Nationals are 40-16 in their last 56 games as a favorite and 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 while the Cardinals are 4-12 in their last 16 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.  You want to back favorites with a money line of -110 or higher in the first half of the season if they are batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games.  Doing so has produced a 102-40 mark the last 5 seasons.  You also want to fade road teams with a starting pitcher who gives up an average of 1.0 home run or more per start if the bullpen has thrown 5 innings or less over the last 3 games.  That's because doing so has produced an 82-37 mark the last 5 seasons.  Take the Nats.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Royals -137

The Key: The Royals will be all business when they take the field tonight as they seek revenge for getting swept last weekend in Minneapolis.  Despite losing each of the season's first three meetings with the Twins, the Royals are still 18-8 in the last 26 meetings, including 8-2 in the last 10 at home.  The Twins have lost five of their last six series openers and are just 4-10 in their last 14 on the road.  The Royals are 4-0 in their last four home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 7-2 in their last nine series openers, 15-6 in their last 21 home games and 6-1 in their last seven games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.  Nolasco shut down the Royals in his last starts, but things haven't gone as well for him on the road where he has given up five earned runs or more in each of his last four starts.  Vargas has been lights out (1.64 ERA), and he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four home starts against the Twins.  You want to back teams following a stretch where they allowed four runs or less in four straight games if they are averaging 4.5 runs per game or less on the season and are up against an AL starter with an ERA of 4.70 to 5.70.  Doing so has produced a 42-14 mark the last 3 seasons.  Take the Royals.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -135
The Key: San Francisco has had Colorado's number. The Giants have won 42 of the last 61 meetings overall and 35 of the last 51 at home. The Rockies are only 2-14 in San Francisco since Aug. 11, 2012, which comes as no surprise since they are 16-40 in their last 56 road games overall. Cain has been a thorn in Colorado's side. He's 6-0 with a 3.09 ERA in seven starts against the Rockies since June 3, 2011, and has held them to a .198 average during this span. The Giants are 7-0 in his last seven home starts versus the Rockies. Colorado's Anderson is 0-2 in two starts against the Giants, and both came at AT&T Park where he's compiled a 7.00 ERA and .351 opponents' batting average. Anderson's teams are 5-19 in his starts as an underdog of +150 or less. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Angels -160
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Mets, who had to make the long cross-country trip late last night after playing in Atlanta. While the Mets will be feeling jet lag, the Angels will be fresh after having yesterday off. The Halos will also be hungry as they look to capture their first home win of the season. The Angels are 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day. Southpaw Tyler Skaggs spun a gem in his first start of the season, and I'm expecting another one as he faces a New York club that is 3-13 in its last 16 games versus a left-handed starter. The Mets are 1-5 in their last six interleague games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last four road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The Angels are 4-0 in their last four interleague games, 4-0 in their last four versus the National League East and 5-0 in their last five interleague games versus a right-handed starter (Gee). The Angels are also 5-1 in their last six games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 13-4 in their last 17 versus a team with a losing record. Take the Angels.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Rockies -128
The Key: The Rockies are showing tremendous value at this price at home with De La Rosa on the hill. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter, which comes as no surprise because they haven't been able to figure out De La Rosa. He has a 2.53 ERA in 16 starts against them, and the Rockies are 9-0 all-time in his home starts against them. He hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of these 9 starts. Backing De La Rosa at home has paid off big time as the Rockies are 44-15 in his last 59 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in McCarthy's last 7 starts as an underdog. Take Colorado.

7* World Series Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -111
The Key: Boston's Jon Lester hasn't been the same pitcher on the road where he has a 4.18 ERA. The Red Sox are just 6-12 in his last 18 road starts. St. Louis hasn't been as strong against left-handed starters this season, but it is 4-0 in its last four home games versus a southpaw starters. Adam Wainwright has been at his best at home where he has a 2.36 ERA. The Cardinals are 6-0 in his last six home starts overall and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus a team with a winning record. Wainwright has a 1.07 ERA in eight career postseason games - four starts - in St. Louis. Look for the Cards to take care of business behind a gem from their ace.

7* World Series Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -118
The Key: Boston has the edge in Game 1 with southpaw Jon Lester on the bump. He is 8-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 15 home starts this season. He provides problems for a St. Louis lineup that is batting just .246 and scoring only 3.9 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. The Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games versus AL southpaw starters. Adam Wainwright hasn't been quite as sharp on the road where he has a 3.31 ERA. Boston is batting .274 and scoring 5.3 runs per game off right-handed starters this season. The Cardinals are 0-4 in Wainwright's last 4 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 World Series games and 4-0 in their last 4 World Series home games. The Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games and 2-5 in their last 7 World Series road games. Take Boston.

7* NLCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals +1.5 -150
The Key: The Cardinals are showing value catching runs at this price. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home underdog and 12-0 this season in home games following a day off. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 League Championship road games. They are also 0-4 in Kershaw's last 4 starts versus the Cardinals. He was hit hard in two of these starts and got no run support in the other two. Wacha is 3-0 with an 0.42 ERA in his last three starts and outdueled Kershaw in Game 2. The Cardinals squandered a 3-1 series lead last fall against the Giants, and they do not want to see this thing reach a Game 7. I expect them to be very focused and hungry tonight.

7* ALCS Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -156
The Key: The Tigers are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus Boston, and I expect their home dominance over the Red Sox to continue with Verlander on the mound. The big right-hander has been unbelievable down the stretch. He hasn't given up a single run in his last four starts. The Tigers are 3-0 in his last three home starts against the Red Sox, and he didn't allow a run in two of those. Detroit is also 15-1 all-time in Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or more per game. The Tigers have won by an average score of 6.6 to 2.4 in this situation. Boston's Lackey is struggling. He's given up at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. He's struggled all season on the road where he is 4-10 with a 4.48 ERA in 16 starts. The Red Sox are 1-5 in his last six road starts. His clubs are also 0-4 in his last four starts against the Tigers. Take Detroit.

7* ALCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -110
The Key: Scherzer will likely end up with the AL Cy Young, but there's a good chance he wouldn't have had Buchholz not missed a chunk of the season. Both pitchers have spectacular numbers on the season, but Buchholz has the better track record in the team matchup. He has a 3.76 ERA in eight starts against the Tigers. The Red Sox are 5-1 in his last six starts against them, including 3-0 in his last three at home. He has held the Tigers to three earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts against them. Scherzer has a 7.02 ERA in eight starts versus the Red Sox. His clubs have lost five of those starts, and he's 0-2 in his last two at Fenway. He's given up five earned runs or more in half of his starts against Boston. The Red Sox fell in Game 1, but they are 5-0 the last five times Buchholz has received the ball following a team loss. They are also 4-0 in their last four when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game and 6-0 in Buchholz's last six starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Take Boston.

7* NLDS *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -149
The Key: I love the experience of Adam Wainwright in this big spot. The Cardinals are 6-0 in his last six starts, twice beating the Pirates during this stretch with dominant performances. The Cards are 3-0 in Wainwright's home starts against Pittsburgh this season, and he's given up only one run on five hits in 14 innings while striking out 17 and walking two over his last two. Gerrit Cole has pitched well down the stretch and beat the Cardinals in Game 2, but that was his first start against them. Now he's fresh in their minds, and I expect things to go differently as he faces a lineup that is batting .274 and scoring 5.1 runs per game off right-handed starters a second time. The Cards are 24-9 in home games this season versus NL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.50 or better. St. Louis is also 33-12 in home games in the second half of this season and 51-22 in home games the last three seasons after having lost two of their last three games. Besides Game 1, the St. Louis bats haven't made much noise. However, the numbers suggest a breakout offensive performance is coming. The Cardinals are 14-1 in home games the last two seasons following a five-game stretch with an on-base percentage of .285 or worse. They have won by an average score of 6.6 to 2.6 in this situation. Take St. Louis.

7* ALDS Game of the Year on Tigers -145
The Key: Oakland has an opportunity to close out the Tigers, but I don't like its chances. The A's are 1-10 in their last 11 playoff games with an opportunity to close out a series. Fister got lit up the last time he faced the A's, but he'll learn from that start and will be even more focused as a result. Prior to that start, he had held the A's to two earned runs or less in 11 of 12 starts, including five straight. He shut Oakland down in last year's ALDS and owns a 1.71 ERA over five career postseason starts. The Tigers are 10-4 in Fister's last 14 starts and 25-10 in his last 35 home starts. Oakland's Straily has struggled on the road where he has a 4.11 ERA. Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -113
The Key: I expect the Rays to bounce back strong behind David Price, who has thrived at Fenway. Price is 10-6 with a 2.93 ERA in 20 career starts against the Red Sox, including a 6-1 mark with a 1.88 ERA in 10 games in Boston. The Rays are 7-3 in Price's last 10 road starts versus Red Sox. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts in Game 2 of a series and 21-6 in his last 27 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. John Lackey has posted a 5.33 ERA over his last four starts and is 3-5 with a 6.70 ERA in nine starts versus the Rays since joining the Red Sox in 2010. The Red Sox have been a terrible underdog investment. They are 27-57 in their last 84 games as an underdog, 9-25 in their last 34 games as a home underdog and 1-5 in Lackey's last 6 starts as an underdog. Take Tampa Bay.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -126
The Key: Pittsburgh has all the momentum on its side following a three-game sweep of the Reds. Cincy is 0-5 in its last five games with those losses coming at home, and now it ventures out on the road where it has been far less consistent. The Cincy offense is really struggling. It has been held to three runs or fewer in six straight games. The Pirates have scored four runs or more in seven of their last 10 games. I can't see the Reds getting much of anything of Liriano, who's 8-1 with a 1.47 ERA in 11 home starts. The Pirates are 7-1 in his last 8 home starts. Cueto has fared well in a pair of starts since returning from the DL, but those came against the lowly Mets and Astros. He has a 3.90 ERA on the road this season. We'll take the hotter team at home tonight.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Padres -111
The Key: Ian Kennedy was shelled at Arizona in his first start against his former team, but I fully expect him to have his revenge here. Kennedy has been outstanding in 11 career starts at Petco Park, going 6-2 with a 2.39 ERA. He's 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA in five games there as a member of the Padres. San Diego is 3-0 in his last three home starts, during which he's allowed just two earned runs in 18 innings. September has been the month to back Kennedy as his clubs are 13-1 in his September starts since 2011. It is also worth noting that San Diego is 7-0 in home games this season versus starting pitchers like Randall Delgado who give up 1.0 home run or more per start. The Padres are 5-1 in their last six home games versus the Diamondbacks. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -145
The Key: With losses in the first two games of this series, the Pirates are looking up at St. Louis in the NL Central. That's all the motivation they'll need tonight. Pittsburgh has been a terrific investment all season, especially at home. In fact, it is 12-0 in home games this season after playing 6 or more consecutive home games. In other words, when the Pittsburgh players have been able to sleep in their own beds for an extended period and spend plenty of time with their families, they have been one tough cookie. It is also worth noting that the Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-1 in Morton's last 8 starts versus a team with a losing record. Morton is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in 2 starts versus San Diego. The Padres are 1-5 in Ross' last 6 starts and his clubs are 1-10 in his starts as an underdog of +100 to +150 since the beginning of last season. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -120
The Key: I'll take the Tigers on the run line against the struggling Mariners. Seattle is 1-7 in its last 8 games with 6 of these losses coming by 2 runs or more. In addition, the M's are 0-6 in Brandon Maurer's last 6 starts, losing these by an average of 4.2 runs. They are 0-4 all-time in his road starts, losing these by 5.0 runs on average. The Tigers are 3-0 in Anibal Sanchez's last 3 starts, winning these by an average of 6.7 runs. They are 9-1 in his last 10 starts with 8 of the wins coming by at least 2 runs. Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB Afternoon Delight Game of the Year on Rangers -136
The Key: The Pirates have won the first two games of this series, but they are on a 0-9 slide in the third game of a series. Pittsburgh's Burnett has struggled on the road where he has a 4.30 ERA. The Pirates are 0-8 in his last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Burnett's clubs are also 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus the Rangers. Texas hasn't lost at home since acquiring Garza, going 5-0. Garza's clubs are also a perfect 5-0 in his interleague starts this season. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -135
The Key: The Blue Jays have the edge on the mound with Buehrle, who has a 2.72 home ERA this season. The Jays are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite and 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite. Toronto is also 7-0 this season in Buehrle's starts versus AL West opponents, winning these by an average score of 4.9 to 1.9. LA's Williams has a 4.61 road ERA, and the Angels are 0-7 in his starts in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons versus AL clubs with an on-base percentage .320 or worse. They have lost these contests by an average score of 5.9 to 2.4. This trend really speaks to how much Williams has struggled. Take Toronto.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -160
The Key: The Braves should end their 4-game slide tonight against a Miami club they have owned. They have won 39 of the last 54 meetings overall and 20 of the last 26 in Miami. The Braves have the edge on the mound with Medlen, who has a 2.58 ERA in 7 career starts against the Marlins. Atlanta is an unbeaten 7-0 in those starts. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is 15-0 all-time in Medlen's starts in the second half of the season versus clubs that average 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. It has won these games by an average score of 6.4 to 2.5. The Marlins are 0-2 in Alvarez's last two starts versus the Braves. He's allowed 9 runs in 12 innings in these two starts. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -133
The Key: The Marlins have the edge on the mound with Fernandez, who has a 1.29 ERA at home this season. Washington's Haren has a 4.29 ERA on the road. Haren's clubs are 0-6 since the beginning of last season in his starts against teams with a win percentage of 38% or lower. Washington is 0-9 in his starts this season against poor power teams that average 0.9 home runs or less per game. The Nationals are 0-7 in Haren's starts this season versus NL teams scoring 3.8 runs or less per game. They are also 0-7 in his road starts this season when the money line is +125 to -125. The Nationals are 0-6 in Haren's last 6 starts as an underdog. The Marlins are 9-0 in Fernandez's last 9 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. Additionally, the Fish are 7-0 this season in his home starts after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings. Haren is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus the Marlins. He's also 0-4 on the money line in 4 career starts in Miami. Take the Marlins.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -147
The Key: The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 games, and I expect their struggles to continue against a motivated Baltimore club that is fighting for the final wild card spot. One thing you don't want to do is go against the Orioles at home with Gonzalez on the hill. That's because they are 12-2 in his last 14 home starts. The White Sox are 2-8 in Quintana's last 10 road starts versus a team with a winning record and 12-41 in their last 53 road games versus winning teams. The Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers and 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take Baltimore.

7* NL West Game of the Year on Rockies -119
The Key: With a big lead in the division, the Dodgers are expected to give some of their big guns a breather Wednesday. Andre Ethier, Carl Crawford and Yasiel Puig are expected to sit this one out, and more could be added to the list. In addition, L.A. is giving Edinson Volquez the ball. That bodes extremely well for us as his clubs are 0-6 in his last 6 starts versus the Rockies, a stretch where he's posted a 12.46 ERA. The Dodgers would have a tough enough time winning against Jorge De La Rosa, let alone without some of their key bats. The Rockies are 5-0 in De La Rosa's last 5 starts. They are 6-0 in his home starts this season when the money line is +125 to -125. They are 8-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season against winning clubs. They are 11-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season against division opponents. Colorado lost yesterday, but it is a perfect 12-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts following a team loss. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -154
The Key: The Nationals have the advantage on the mound with Gio Gonzalez. The Nationals are 41-20 in his last 61 starts and 21-8 in his last 29 road starts. And, they have never lost with Gonzalez on the mound as a road favorite of -125 or more. They are a perfect 10-0 in this situation, winning by an average of 3.3 runs. He has been dominant against the Phillies. The Nats are 5-1 in his 6 starts against them while he has posted a 2.31 ERA. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts against the Phillies with all 3 coming in Philadelphia. Take Washington.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -143
The Key: Kennedy hasn't been as good as expected this season. However, he has quietly been plenty good lately, holding opponents to 3 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 8 starts. Now, is the time to back Kennedy. He's been at his best in September the past couple seasons. In fact, his clubs are 10-0 in his starts the last two Septembers. Zito has been a dead fade. The Giants are 0-3 in his last 3 starts, a stretch where he's posted a 12.27 ERA. He's been awful on the road where he has a 9.65 ERA. The Giants are 0-10 this season in his starts as a road underdog of +100 or higher. The Giants are also 0-5 in his last 5 series-opening starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus losing teams and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus division opponents. The Giants are 0-3 in Zito's last 3 starts versus the Padres. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -104
The Key: Greinke's clubs are 12-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the beginning of last season, winning these starts by an average score of 6.6 to 3.3. His teams are also 13-0 in his home starts in the second half of the season versus losing teams since 2011, winning these by an average score of 4.9 to 2.6. His clubs are 15-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since the start of the 2011 season, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.5. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season in his starts versus poor power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game, winning these by an average score of 3.8 to 1.6. LA is also 8-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus clubs that draw 3 walks or less per game, winning these by an average score of 4.3 to 2.0. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -122
The Key: The Halos are 5-1 on their current road trip, and I expect them to keep rolling behind a gem from ace Jered Weaver. The Angels are 44-12 in his last 56 starts as a favorite and 7-1 in his last 8 interleague starts. The Brewers are just 1-5 in Peralta's last 6 starts. Milwaukee's right-hander has a 4.51 ERA on the season. That's over a run higher than the 3.46 ERA Weaver is carrying. Peralta's ERA is significant because the Halos are 9-1 all-time under Scioscia in road games versus an NL starter whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70. Take LA.

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Cardinals -149
The Key: With losses in the first two games of this series, the Reds are now 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus teams with a winning record. They are not in good position to end this skid with Bailey getting the ball. The Reds are 0-7 in his last 7 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog. Plus, he's had no luck against the Cards. The Reds are 0-4 in Bailey's last 4 starts versus the Cardinals. They are also 0-7 all-time in his road starts versus St. Louis. The Cardinals, who are 5-0 in their last 5 game 3s of a series, are 3-0 in Wainwright's last 3 starts. He's been lights out in his last two, giving up just 2 runs in 16 innings while striking out 20 and walking 1. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 +120
The Key: Verlander isn't having the type of season we've come to expect from him, but I really like him in this spot against a club he's owned. He's 6-0 in his last six starts versus Oakland and has given up one earned run or none in each. These wins have come by an average of 3.5 runs with each coming by at least two runs. It is also worth noting that Detroit is a perfect 11-0 in Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season versus good teams with a winning percentage of 54-62% since 2011. The Tigers have won these games by 2.4 runs on average. Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -105
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back back defeats, I fully expect the Dodgers to take care of business at home against a Chicago club they have owned. Keep in mind the Dodgers haven't lost three consecutive games since June 8-10. LA is 7-0 in its last 7 versus the Cubs, winning these by 2.6 runs on average. LA is in fantastic hands with Greinke getting the ball. It is 5-0 in his last 5 starts, winning these by 2.8 runs on average. It is also 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus teams that draw 3 walks or less per game, winning these by 2.0 runs on average. In addition, Greinke's clubs are 11-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts versus teams that have a losing record, winning these by 3.2 runs on average. His clubs are 15-0 since the start of the 2011 season in his home starts as a favorite of -175 to -250, winning these by 3.4 runs on average. Lastly, Greinke is 3-0 all-time in 3 home starts versus the Cubs with his teams winning these by 3.7 runs on average. Take LA on the run line.

7* AL Game of the Week on Blue Jays -138
The Key: Houston hasn't won more than two consecutive games in over two months so the odds are definitely against it pulling off the sweep here. Houston is batting just .233 and scoring only 3.5 runs per game off of lefty starters this season while Toronto is batting .271 and scoring 5.0 runs per game off southpaw starters. With this in mind, the Jays appear to have a sizable advantage on the mound with Buehrle. They are 4-0 in his last four starts in the third game of a series, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus AL West clubs. Buehrle's clubs are 3-0 all-time in his starts against the Astros, and he's posted a 1.88 ERA in these starts. He threw a complete-game, 2-hit shutout versus the Astros last month. The Astros are 0-3 in Keuchel's last three home starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts coming on 7 or more days' rest. Take Toronto.

7* National League Game of the Month on Giants -143
The Key: The Giants are this large of a favorite for a reason, and that reason is the significant advantage they have on the mound with Bumgarner. He has a 2.87 ERA on the season and a 2.40 ERA at home. Pittsburgh's Morton has a road ERA that's over a run higher than Bumgarner's home number. The Giants are 25-11 in Bumgarner's last 36 starts as a home favorite. The Pirates are 13-30 in Morton's last 43 road starts, 19-42 in his last 61 starts as an underdog, 5-15 in his last 20 road starts versus a team with a losing record and 1-5 in his last 6 starts versus the Giants. Bumgarner has a 0.69 ERA against the Bucs, and they haven't seen him since 2011. They'll be in for a rude awakening. San Francisco just saw Morton in June in a game it won 10-0. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -163
The Key: Look for the Royals to bounce back this evening against a Chicago club that is 11-30 in its last 41 road games, 13-39 in its last 52 road games versus a team with a winning record and 5-18 in its last 23 in the second game of a series. The Royals are 12-3 in their last 15 in the second game of a series, and they are in good hands with Guthrie. They Royals are 25-11 in his last 36 starts, 16-5 in his last 21 home starts and 10-2 in his last 12 starts in the second game of a series. The Royals are also 6-1 in Guthrie's last seven starts versus the White Sox. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -144
The Key: The Dodgers will go after this game with all they've got because they have to win it to give themselves a chance at a sixth straight series win. They have at least split each of their last 17 series' so they must win at least two in Miami to keep their unbeaten series streak alive. You can bet they'll leave it all on the field to make sure the NL-worst Marlins don't rain on their parade. The Dodgers are 42-10 in their last 52 overall and 24-5 in their last 29 on the road. They are 6-0 in Capuano's last 6 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Marlins are 1-5 in Turner's last 6 starts and 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. Take the Dodgers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -126
The Key: Weaver was absolutely rocked at New York in his most recent start. That actually bodes well for us because he will be that much more focused and determined tonight. It hasn't been wise to go against the Angels' ace at home. In fact, LA is 20-4 in his home starts since the beginning of last season. In addition, LA is 39-14 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 or less. Weaver just pitched a gem in a 5-2 win at Cleveland Aug. 9, and he's 7-2 with a 2.86 ERA in 15 career starts versus the Indians. The Angels have won 11 of these. Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Rangers -1.5 -129
The Key: I expect Texas to win convincingly this afternoon as it faces Seattle scheduled starter Ramirez, who has a hefty 7.06 ERA. The Rangers are in much better hands with Yu Darvish, who has a 2.64 ERA. He leads the majors with 207 strikeouts and opponents are batting just .186 against him. Darvish is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.64 ERA. He's also 3-0 all-time in three home starts versus the Mariners. The Rangers won these three by six, six and seven runs, respectively. Take Texas on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -162
The Key: I'll fade Arizona as it sends Cahill to the hill for the first time in nearly seven weeks. He was awful on the road, where he carried a 5.44 ERA, before going on the DL. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Cahill's last 5 road starts. The Pirates, who are 6-0 in their last 6 at home, are in good hands with Locke set to get the ball. The southpaw is 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA on the season. The Pirates are 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts as a home favorite. The Pirates are 23-6 in their last 29 games as a home favorite, and they've won 8 of their last 11 home games versus Arizona. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -127
The Key: The A's are showing value at home at this price with A.J. Griffin on the hill. They are 16-4 in his last 20 home starts and 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. Griffin has a 3.63 ERA at home and a 1.131 WHIP. His WHIP is significant because the Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Indians are also 0-4 in their last 4 series openers and 0-4 in their last 4 versus teams with a winning record. Cleveland's Justin Masterson has been hit hard in his last two outings, and he has a 4.37 road ERA on the season. The Indians are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus teams with a winning record. He has a 9.08 ERA in 7 career starts versus the A's, and the Indians are 0-4 all-time in his road starts against them. The Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Oakland. Take the A's.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133
The Key: I'll gladly take the Brewers catching 1.5 runs at a pretty nice price with Lohse on the hill. The Brewers are 5-0 in his last five starts, and he's posted a 1.74 ERA during this stretch. They are also 7-0 in his last seven home starts, and he's recorded a 2.56 ERA during this span. Lohse has a 1.95 ERA over his last eight starts against the Reds, and his clubs are 4-0 in his last four home starts against them. It is also worth mentioning that the Brewers are 4-0 in Lohse's last four starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-0 in his last five series-opening starts. The Brewers check in off a loss but are 4-0 in their last four games following defeat. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last six meetings in Milwaukee. Take the Brew Crew on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -134
The Key: I love the Rockies at home at this price with De La Rosa getting the ball. They are 10-0 in his home starts against division opponents since the start of the 2011 season. They are also 7-0 this season when he gets the start in a day game. Colorado lost yesterday, but it is 9-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts following a loss in its previous game. This trend speaks to the type of competitor De La Rosa is and how confident the Rockies are with him on the mound. In addition, the Rocks are 10-0 in De La Rosa's last 10 starts against the Padres. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -123
The Key: The Dodgers are 8-0 in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with a batting average of .245 or worse. They are 10-0 in the second half of the season versus NL teams with an on-base percentage of .315 or worse. The Mets have won five of seven but are 0-14 this season when checking into a contest with five or six wins in their last seven games. New York's Harvey has had a spectacular season, but LA's Ryu has been every bit as good. The Dodgers are 8-0 in Ryu's last eight starts while the Mets have lost two of Harvey's last three and four of his last seven. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season in Ryu's starts versus teams that have a losing record. The Mets are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings with the Dodgers. Take LA.

7* Monday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Yankees -155
The Key: The Yankees enter this series with plenty of momentum after winning a series against the reigning AL champion Tigers. They should get a gem from Kuroda, who owns the best home ERA (1.74) in the AL. The Yankees are 7-0 in Kuroda's last 7 home starts versus teams with losing records. Kuroda has a 2.67 career ERA against the Angels with his clubs going 3-0 in his last 3 starts against them. LA's Richards was shelled in his only previous start against the Yankees, giving up 6 runs in 5 innings of a 9-3 loss. He's really struggled on the road where the Angels are 0-4 in his last 4 starts. He has a 6.11 road ERA this season. The Angels are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take New York.

7* AL Game of the Week on Indians -1.5 +111
The Key: The Angels are at a disadvantage with Jerome Williams on the hill. They are 0-5 in his last 5 starts with an average losing margin of 3.4 runs. Williams has a 5.46 ERA on the season. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, meanwhile, has a 3.46 ERA. His home ERA is 2.82, and his day game ERA is 1.98. Williams has a 6.33 ERA in day starts. The Indians are 9-3 in Masterson's last 12 home starts. Masterson's clubs are 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Angels, and he has a 1.35 ERA in 7 career starts against LA. The Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 while the Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take Cleveland on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Dodgers -146
The Key: Greinke has been an incredible investment at home where he has a 2.56 ERA this season. His clubs are 36-5 in his home starts dating back to the beginning of the 2011 season. The Dodgers are 8-1 in his home starts. Tampa Bay's Hernandez has struggled mightily on the road where he has a 5.71 ERA this season. The Rays are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Rays are also 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games versus a winning club. Take the Dodgers.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Rockies +1.5
The Key: The Rockies are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at this price with De La Rosa on the hill. They are an incredible 40-15 in his last 55 home starts, including 14-2 in his last 16 home starts versus teams with a winning record. Colorado is happy to be back home following a tough 10-game road trip. It has lost its last five games, but it is 8-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts when it checks in off a loss. It has won by an average score of 5.9 to 3.8 in this spot. It is also worth noting that Colorado has won or lost by a single run in five of De La Rosa's last seven starts against the Pirates. The Pirates are just -5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -118
The Key: The Red Sox are showing value at this price with Jon Lester on the hill. The veteran southpaw has a strong track record against the Royals. He's 6-2 with an ERA of 1.64 in nine starts against them. Kansas City is batting only .233 and scoring just 3.3 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. Boston, meanwhile, is batting .261 and scoring 4.5 runs per game off lefty starters. It figures to have success at the plate against Bruce Chen, who is 3-5 with a 6.11 ERA in 11 starts against the Red Sox. His clubs are 1-6 in his last 7 starts versus Boston while the Red Sox are 5-2 in Lester's last 7 starts versus the Royals. Take Bean Town.

7* MLB Day Game of the Month on Padres +111
The Key: The Padres lost the first game of this two-game set 4-1, but they are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss and 8-0 in their last eight after being held to two runs or less in their previous game. The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four Game 2s of a series and 0-4 in their last four games versus a left-handed starter. Their struggles against lefties should continue as the Padres are 8-1 in Stults' last nine starts at home where he has a 2.35 ERA on the season. His clubs are 9-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts versus teams that draw an average of three walks or less per game. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez has been lit up in his last two starts, and the Orioles are just 2-7 in his last nine road starts. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -165
The Key: The Giants have the edge on the mound with Matt Cain, who has looked more like himself lately. The veteran right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA over his last three starts. In addition, he's allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. It bodes well for us that he enters off a gem because the Giants are 23-9 in his last 32 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. Milwaukee's Wily Peralta has had an up and down season, and it's been down lately. He's 0-2 in his last two starts while giving up 12 runs in just 8 2-3 innings. The Brewers are 3-8 in Peralta's last 11 starts as a road underdog. Milwaukee is just 3-19 since the beginning of last season as an underdog of +150 or higher. It is also 9-33 since the start of last season as a road underdog of +125 to +175. The Giants, on the other hand, are 56-23 in their last 79 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus the Brewers. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -166
The Key: The Royals are rolling. They've won 11 of 12 and should keep right on rolling against a Minnesota club they have dominated. Kansas City is 10-3 this season against the Twins, including 4-0 in the last four meetings. The Royals are in good hands with Jeremy Guthrie. He is 3-0 in his last three starts, which is even more significant when you consider that the Royals are 6-0 this season in his home starts when he checks in off a win. The Royals are 15-2 in Guthrie's last 17 home starts. The Twins aren't in the same hands with Kevin Correia on the rubber. They are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days). His clubs are 0-4 all-time in his starts versus Kansas City, and he's posted a poor 5.02 ERA in these games. The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 6-0 in their last 6 versus the American League Central and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 versus the American League Central. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -119
The Key: The Brewers have the edge on the mound with Lohse. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts while he's posted a 0.47 ERA. They are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. Lohse's clubs are also 15-1 since the beginning of last season in his starts versus NL clubs with a batting average of .245 or worse. His clubs are 11-1 during the same time frame in his starts versus NL clubs that average 3.8 runs or fewer per game. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Tigers -1.5 -125
The Key: The Tigers are rolling. They are 7-0 in their last seven home games with a 5.6-run average winning margin. The White Sox, meanwhile, are ice cold. They are 0-8 in their last eight games overall with a 2.3-run average losing margin. Detroit has been lighting up left-handed pitching. It is batting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game off southpaw starters this season and is 8-0 in its last eight games versus a lefty starter. The Tigers won these eight by an average of 4.9 runs. Their success against lefties should continue as Chicago is 0-3 in Danks' starts versus AL Central foes this season. It's lost these starts by 3.0 runs on average while he's posted a 6.50 ERA. The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four starts in Detroit, losing these by 4.0 runs on average. Chicago is 0-4 in its last four road games versus right-handed starters and will have its work cut our for itself as it goes up against Scherzer. The Tigers are 8-0 in his starts versus AL Central opponents this season. They've won these by an average of 8.0 runs while he's posted a 3.20 ERA. The Tigers are 4-0 in his last four starts against the Sox, winning these by an average of 3.0 runs. Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -107
The Key: Sabathia has struggled of late but will be very focused here as a result. He's been outstanding in interleague action throughout his career, and nothing has changed this season as he's 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in a pair of starts versus the N.L. He's also never lost to San Diego, going 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.12 in four starts against the Padres. The Yankees are 36-19 in interleague road games under manager Girardi while the Padres are 20-33 in interleague home games under manager Black. Lastly, the Yanks are 5-0 in their last five games against San Diego. Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -145
The Key: Kansas City is rolling. The Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Royals are also 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a left-handed starter, and they should have their way with Scott Diamond. Minnesota's southpaw has a 6.06 ERA at home on the season. Twins are 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog. The Royals are in better hands with James Shields getting the ball. The right-hander has a 2.50 ERA on the road, and the Royals are 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Shield's clubs are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Twins while Diamond is 0-2 in his last 2 starts versus Kansas City. Take the Royals.

7* Wednesday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Cardinals -115
The Key: The Cardinals are lacking no motivation after suffering their fifth and sixth consecutive defeats yesterday. I fully expect them to bounce back strong behind a gem from Wainwright, who's more proven than Pittsburgh's Jeff Locke. The Cards are 13-3 in Wainwright's last 16 road starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 8-2 in his last 10 starts versus NL Central foes. The Cards are 5-2 in his last 7 starts against the Pirates and 6-2 all-time in his starts in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals haven't been getting it done with the long ball. However, the Pirates are 0-6 in Locke's starts in the second half of the season the last two seasons versus teams that average 0.9 or fewer home runs per game. They have lost to these teams by an average of 4.0 runs. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -130
The Key: The Phillies have lost eight in a row, but all eight came on the road with the last six coming against first-place clubs St. Louis and Detroit. I like Philly's chances of ending its skid tonight in its return home as it is 40-14 in its last 54 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. It is also 6-1 in its last seven home games versus club with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Giants are 8-22 in their last 30 overall, including 0-4 in their last four. Zito has been awful on the road where he's 0-6 (1-8 on the money line) with a 9.39 ERA in nine starts. The Giants are 0-5 in his last five road starts versus a team with a losing record and 0-4 in his last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. San Francisco is also 0-3 in Zito's last three starts in Philadelphia. Lannan has a 2.73 ERA at home where the Phillies have won four of his five starts. He also has a 1.74 ERA in three starts versus the Giants, who are 1-7 in their last eight games versus a left-handed starter. Take Philly.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -151
The Key: The Reds represent the strongest play on the board for Monday. We're talking about a club that has lunched on lesser opponents, going 41-18 in their last 59 versus losing clubs. The Reds are 3-0 in their last three overall versus the Padres and 3-0 in their last three in San Diego. The Padres are a soft 10-26 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season, and their struggles in this price range figure to continue with O'Sullivan getting the pill. The right-hander's clubs are 0-7 in his last seven starts. Cincinnati's Mike Leake has been at his best on the road where he's 7-1 with a 2.13 ERA. The Reds are 3-0 in his last three starts overall and 6-0 in his last six road starts versus losing clubs. Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -149
The Key: After back-to-back one-run defeats, I fully expect the defending champs to dig down deep to salvage a game in the series. Travis Wood is having a pretty good season for the Cubs. However, he was hit hard his last time out in a 4-10 loss at Arizona, and the Cubs aren't winning with him on the hill. They are just 10-26 in his last 36 starts, 5-22 in his last 27 starts as an underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. In addition, Wood has never defeated the Giants. He's 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 4.38 in 4 starts against them. Lincecum hasn't looked like a two-time Cy Young winner the last couple years, but he showed he's still capable of brilliance with a no-no a week-and-a-half ago. The Giants are 2-0 in his last 2 starts against the Cubs, and he has a 3.69 ERA in 11 career starts against them. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -146
The Key: Look for the Pirates to bounce back strong behind Charlie Morton, who's been dealing (3.34 ERA). The Pirates are 5-1 in Morton's last 6 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Miami's Koehler has struggled at home where he has an ERA of 6.35. The Marlins are 0-4 in Koehler's last 4 starts as a home underdog and 3-8 in his last 11 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Pirates are 24-11 in their last 35 games as a favorite while the Marlins are 19-43 in their last 62 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Take Pittsburgh.

7* AL Game of the Month on Indians -130
The Key: The Rangers have dropped nine of 12, and I expect their struggles to continue in Cleveland where the Indians are 4-0 in their last four. Texas southpaw Martin Perez, who has a 5.50 ERA over his last three starts, has his work cut out for himself against a Cleveland lineup hitting .267 and scoring 5.1 runs per game off left-handed starters. The Indians are 7-0 in their last seven games versus a left-handed starter. The Tribe is in excellent hands on the mound with Corey Kluber, who has a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts. It is 4-0 in Kluber's last four home starts. He gave up just one run in eight innings of work in a 5-2 win at Texas last month, and I expect him to deliver another gem here. Take Cleveland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -114
The Key: Zack Greinke is dealing. The Dodgers are 6-0 in his last six starts, and he's posted a barely visible 0.41 ERA over his last three. The right-hander has been unstoppable at Dodger Stadium where he hasn't lost. He's 6-0 - 8-0 on the money line - with a 2.09 ERA in eight starts there. Cincy's Mat Latos, on the other hand, has never won at Dodger Stadium. He's 0-5 in five starts there with a 3.95 ERA. The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last six games, a welcome sign given that Greinke's teams are 12-0 in his home starts the last three seasons after two or more consecutive victories. It is also worth noting that the Dodgers are 7-0 in Greinke's starts versus clubs averaging 0.5 stolen bases or less per game. L.A. is 7-0 in its last seven games versus winning clubs and 8-0 in its last eight series openers. Take the Dodgers.

7* National League Game of the Month on Rockies -162
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to lowly Miami, I fully expect the Rockies to bounce back strong at home behind a gem from De La Rosa. The sensational southpaw has been incredibly clutch. The Rockies are a 100% perfect 7-0 this season in his starts after a team loss in their previous game. This tells me De La Rosa has been able to rise to the occasion when his team needs him the most. In addition, the Rockies are 24-4 all-time in his starts as a favorite of -150 or more. They are 14-1 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Marlins are 1-6 in Jacob Turner's last 7 road starts. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -130
The Key: The Mets have dropped 40 of their last 56 games when listed as a home underdog of +110 to +150, and I expect their struggles in this spot to continue with Medlen on the mound. The Braves are an impressive 23-4 in Medlen's last 27 starts versus losing clubs, 9-1 in his last 10 road starts versus losing clubs and 18-3 in his last 21 starts versus division opponents. In addition, the Braves have never lost to Mets with Medlen on the hill. They are 7-0 all-time in his starts against New York, and he's posted a sweet 2.36 ERA in these games. These seven wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs. The Braves have won 18 of the last 25 meetings overall and 6 of the last 7 in New York. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -120
The Key: Detroit's Max Scherzer has absolutely owned division opponents. The Tigers are 7-0 in his starts against the AL Central this season, and he's posted a 3.35 ERA in these starts. Chicago's Chris Sale hasn't been as effective against the division, going just 2-3 with a 4.38 ERA in six starts. Scherzer has had his way with Chicago. He has a 2.51 ERA in 13 starts against the White Sox, and the Tigers are 3-0 in his last three starts against them. Sale, on the other hand, is 1-3 with a 5.47 ERA in four starts versus Detroit. In addition, the Tigers are 4-0 in Scherzer's last four road starts. Take Detroit.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -118
The Key: Oakland's bats have struggled in this series, but I expect the sticks to come alive against Jerome Williams, who has a 19.12 ERA over his last three starts. Oakland's Bartolo Colon is in top form with a 2.21 ERA over his last three starts. It bodes well for us that he's held his last two opponents to one and two earned runs, respectively, as the A's are 8-0 in his starts this season after he gives up two earned runs or fewer in his previous two outings. They have won by an average score of 5.6 to 2.6 in this situation. Colon has also been dominant on the road where he's 5-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last five starts. It is also worth noting that Colon posted a 1.66 ERA in three starts against the Angels last season. Take Oakland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -107
The Key: Tampa Bay's Hellickson hasn't been the same pitcher on the road where he has a 5.25 ERA. The Rays are 3-9 in his last 12 road starts, and they're even 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Toronto's Buehrle has been great at home where he has a 3.30 ERA. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Rays are 0-2 in Hellickson's last two starts in Toronto. Take the Blue Jays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -147
The Key: The Cubs have dropped 18 of their last 24 in Colorado, and their struggles against the Rockies figure to continue with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound. The sensational southpaw has been lights out at home where the Rockies have won 39 of his last 53 starts. The Rockies are 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. They're also 9-0 the last 3 seasons in his home starts when the total is 8.5 to 10. In addition, Colorado hasn't lost to the Cubs with De La Rosa on the mound, going 4-0 all-time. Chicago's Jeff Samardzija has been rocked in his last 2 starts, and the Cubs are 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -147
The Key: The Giants have won the first three games of this series, but they can't be trusted on the road with Barry Zito on the bump. San Francisco is 0-7 in his road starts this season, which comes as no surprise considering his road ERA is 9.37. San Diego's Eric Stults, on the other hand, has been fantastic at home with a 2.56 ERA in eight starts. The Padres are 7-0 in his last seven home starts. The Giants aren't very patient at the plate. They are averaging just 2.7 walks per game, and that doesn't bode well for them against Stults, who is terrific at making opponents hit "his" pitch. The Padres are 8-0 since the beginning of last season in Stults' home starts versus teams that draw 3.0 walks or less per game. Take San Diego.