7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -161
The Key: The Rockies got the job done yesterday but are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Scheduled starter Tyler Chatwood checks in off a strong outing in San Diego, but the Rockies are 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. If there's one thing you don't want to do, it's go against Zack Greinke at home. The Dodgers haven't lost at home with Greinke on the mound, going 6-0. In addition, Greinke's teams are 21-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season versus losing clubs. They've won these games by an average score of 6.1 to 3.3. Take L.A.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Braves -136
The Key: The Reds have been fade material on the road when Bronson Arroyo get the ball. He's 1-5 with an ERA of 5.70 in six road starts, and the Reds are 0-5 in his last five starts as a road underdog. The Reds are 0-6 in their last six games as a road underdog overall. Kris Medlen has been rock solid at home where he has a 2.83 ERA. The Braves are 16-1 all-time in his starts in the second half of the schedule versus NL clubs with an on-base percent of .325 or worse. The Braves have won these starts by an average score of 6.4 to 2.4. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -130
The Key: The Cardinals have the edge on the mound and at the plate in this one. Jake Westbrook has a 2.78 ERA while Edwin Jackson has a 5.50 ERA. Plus, Westbrook is 6-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 10 starts versus the Cubs. The Cards are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Chicago. Jackson is 1-4 with an ERA of 5.12 in 8 starts versus St. Louis. His teams are 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus the Redbirds. The Cardinals are batting .275 and scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Cubs are hitting .242 and scoring 4.1 runs per game. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, and I expect them to keep right on rolling.

7* *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -128
The Key: The Yankees have dropped the first two games of the series but are 42-16 in their last 58 games after losing the first two games of a series. They have also won 72 of their last 102 against Kansas City, including 39 of the last 52 home meetings. In addition, the Royals are 11-30 all-time under Yost in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Yankees are 30-7 all-time under Girardi when out for revenge for two straight losses to an opponent as a home favorite. The Yankees also have the edge on the rubber with Nova, who has a respectable 3.57 ERA over his last three starts. The Yankees are 5-0 in Nova's last 5 home starts versus a team with a losing record. The Royals are 0-3 in Davis' last three starts, and he's posted a 6.60 ERA during this stretch. Davis is also 0-2 in his last two starts versus the Yankees. Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -131
The Key: The Giants have the advantage on the mound with Barry Zito, who's 4-1 (8-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.98 at home. The Giants are 8-1 in his last 9 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a home favorite. New York's Dillon Gee is just 3-4 (4-5 on the money line) with a 6.02 ERA on the road. The Mets are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus National League West foes, 0-7 in his last 7 Tuesday starts and 3-7 in his last 10 starts as a road underdog. Tuesday has been the worst day of the week to back the Mets as they have dropped 20 of their last 26 Tuesday contests. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133
The Key: The Brewers are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at home at this price. Cincy's Homer Bailey tossed a no-no his last time out. However, the Reds were 0-3 in his previous 3 starts, a stretch where he posted a 5.68 ERA. Expect Bailey to come back down to earth against a club that has had his number. The right-hander is 1-6 with a 6.00 ERA in 12 starts against the Brewers. He's 0-2 in his last 2 starts at Milwaukee, giving up 11 runs in just 9 2-3 innings. The Reds are 2-7 in his last 9 road starts. Milwaukee's Kyle Lohse has found his groove, going 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA in last 6 starts. The Brewers are 3-0 in Lohse's last 3 home starts. The righty has enjoyed plenty of success against the Reds, going 2-1 with a 1.76 ERA in his last 7 starts against them. His teams are 3-0 in his last 3 home starts against Cincy. Take Milwaukee on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -155
The Key: The Pirates have a significant advantage on the mound with A.J. Burnett, who has an excellent track record at Wrigley. The right-hander is 5-0 in his last five starts on the North Side, including 2-0 as a member of the Pirates. Chicago's Carlos Villanueva is 0-2 with an ERA of 8.00 in two career starts versus Pittsburgh. The Cubs are 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall. The Pirates fell yesterday, but they are 22-6 in their last 28 following defeat and 7-1 in their last eight on the road. The Cubs are 2-7 in their last nine games following a win. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -153
The Key: The defending champs have been struggling, but not with Bumgarner on the bump. He's been especially effective at home where the Giants are 25-10 in his last 35 starts. They are also 15-3 in his last 18 home starts versus losing clubs and 14-2 in his last 16 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. In general, the Giants have been a solid wager in this price range, going 38-15 in their last 53 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 54-20 in their last 74 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Dodgers have had their share of problems with southpaw starters and are 0-7 in their last 7 road games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 5-2 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts versus the Dodgers, including a perfect 2-0 at home during this span. The Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -127
The Key: Cleveland has the edge on the mound with Justin Masterson, who's been lights out at home. The right-hander is carrying a 2.29 ERA at home on the season, and the Indians are 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. Detroit's Rick Porcello is struggling. He has an ERA of 5.26 on the road this season and is 0-3 with an 8.82 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Tigers are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-2 in his last 2 starts in Cleveland. Masterson's overall numbers versus Detroit aren't good, but he's 3-2 on the money line in his last 5 home starts against the Tigers, holding them to 2 earned runs or less in 4 of these starts. In addition, the Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 series openers. Take the Tribe.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -131
The Key: After losing the first two games of this three-game set, I expect the Rockies to bounce back strong tonight. They have the edge on the mound with Chacin, who is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.26 over his last four starts. The Rockies are 5-1 in Chacin's last six home starts and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 3-7 in Capuano's last 10 starts. The southpaw has an ERA of 5.00 in 9 starts this season. He also has a WHIP of 1.426, which is significant because the Rockies are 10-1 on the year versus NL starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.350 to 1.450. In addition, the Dodgers are just 5-17 as a road underdog of +100 of higher this season. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -106
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Guthrie on the hill. They are 12-2 in his last 14 home starts overall and 9-0 in his last 9 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Royals defeated Cleveland 9-0 at home earlier this season in a game where Guthrie shut the Indians down. Cleveland's Kazmir has struggled on the road where he has a 5.30 ERA in 7 starts. The Indians are 1-5 in his last 6 road starts. Kazmir, who has a career 5.09 ERA against the Royals, has a loss in Kansas City earlier this season. The Royals dropped the first game of the series but are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Braves -1.5 -107
The Key: The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games versus Miami and have won these games by an average of 3.1 runs. I expect their dominance of the Marlins to continue with Medlen on the mound. The right-hander has dominated soft-hitting clubs like Miami. In fact, the Braves are 11-0 in his last 11 starts in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with an on-base percentage .325 or worse. They have won these games by an average of 4.1 runs. The Braves are also 12-0 all-time in Medlen's starts in the second half of the season versus poor-power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game. They have won these by an average of 4.7 runs. Atlanta is 6-0 lifetime in Medlen's starts against the Marlins, winning these by 2.8 runs on average. He has a 2.29 ERA in these starts. Atlanta is even 5-0 in Medlen's last 5 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater, winning these by an average of 3.6 runs. Take the Braves on the run line.

7* Monday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -159
The Key: We cashed a winning ticket with the Giants yesterday, but they had the advantage of the mound with Bumgarner. They have struggled on the road all season and definitely do not have the advantage on the mound today. San Francisco rookie Mike Kickham has been lit up in his first two starts and has an 0-2 record and 10.57 ERA to show for it. His struggles figure to continue against a Cincinnati club that is 4-0 in its last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter. Bronson Arroyo has been lethal at home where the Reds have won 8 of his 10 starts this season and he's posted a 2.50 ERA. The Reds are 8-0 in Arroyo's last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Arroyo has had plenty of success against the Giants, holding them to 3 earned runs or less in each of his last nine starts. The Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Take the Reds.

7* AL *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -133
The Key: The White Sox have lost the first three games of the series, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-1 in their last 8 games after losing the first three games of a series and are in good hands with ace Chris Sale scheduled to get the ball. Sale has been dealing at home where he has an ERA of 2.35. The Sox are 14-3 in his last 17 home starts. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, on the other hand, has struggled on the road where he has an ERA of 5.54. The Indians are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts, losing these by 5.0 runs on average. In addition, the Sox are 2-0 in Sale's two career home starts versus the Indians. Take Chicago.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -143
The Key: The Tigers have the clear edge on the mound with Justin Verlander. I expect the big righty to be very focused here after subpar performances in his last two starts. The Tigers are 57-23 in Verlander's last 80 starts as a favorite, 39-19 in his last 58 starts versus a team with a winning record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite. In addition, the Tigers are 9-3 all-time in Verlander's starts against the Rays. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer will be making only his 10th career start - the Rays have lost 6 of his first 9 starts. The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 and 14-4 in their last 18 against the Rays. The Tigers are also 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take Detroit.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -133
The Key: The Twins have been a dead fade on Friday. They are 0-10 in Friday games this season and have lost them by an average score of 6.6 to 2.8. Looking back, the Twins are just 19-44 in their last 63 Friday games. Their Friday struggles figure to continue as they go up against the red-hot James Shields. He's been at his best on the road where his ERA is 2.50, and the Royals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota's P.J. Walters doesn't inspire as much confidence with an ERA of 4.34 at home and a 7.43 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in Walters' last 4 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Walters is also 0-2 with an ERA of 5.40 in 2 starts versus Kansas City. Shields' teams have won 5 of his last 6 starts versus the Twins. Take KC.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 +126
The Key: The Dodgers are in the midst of their longest win streak of the season. They are 5-0 in their last five games, winning these by an average of 2.4 runs. They are in great position to extend this run with Greinke on the hill. The Dodgers are 5-0 in his home starts, during which he's posted an ERA of 2.12. These wins have come by an average of 2.6 runs. Greinke's teams are a perfect 20-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the start of the 2011 season and have won these starts by an average score of 6.2 to 3.3. His clubs are also 14-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 during this span, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.4. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Year on Braves -128
The Key: Oddsmakers have made a mistake by giving us the Braves at such an affordable price with Minor on the mound against a club that can't hit lefties. The Braves are 8-1 in Minor's last nine starts, including 4-0 in his road starts during this span. The Braves are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 5 days' rest. The Royals are batting just .223 off southpaw starters and are 2-11 in their last 13 games versus a left-handed starter. The Royals are also 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games and 0-5 in Mendoza's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers have the advantage on the mound with Kyle Lohse, who has given up just one earned run in each of his last three starts. It looks good for Lohse that Chicago is hitting only .241 as a team. That's because he's 11-0 on the money line since the beginning of last season versus NL teams with batting average of .245 or worse. His teams have won these 11 games by an average score of 4.5 to 1.8. Lohse is also 6-0 on the money line in his last six starts against the Cubs. Chicago's Edwin Jackson, meanwhile, is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Milwaukee. The Brewers have owned the Cubs, winning 24 of the last 31 meetings overall. The Brewers are also 8-0 in their last eight at home versus Chicago. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -115
The Key: I like Tampa Bay to bring Toronto's winning streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 25-51 in their last 76 versus the Rays, including 12-39 in their last 51 in Tampa Bay. In addition, the Jays are 24-50 in their last 74 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 5-13 in their last 18 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 7-2 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 9 home starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts when up against an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. I have a lot more confidence in Hellickson that I do in Esmil Rogers, who has more experience as a reliever. Take Tampa Bay.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -125
The Key: Motivated by losses in the first two games of this series, I expect the Reds to bounce back strong Sunday afternoon. The Reds have still won 12 of their last 16 in Arizona, are 36-17 in their last 53 following defeat and 33-15 in their last 48 games as a favorite. The Reds also have the edge on the mound with Mat Latos. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts, 25-10 in his last 35 starts as a favorite, 8-3 in his last 11 road starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. In other words, Latos has been a guy the Reds can count on when needing a "W". Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -137
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the club with the worst record in the league, the defending World Series champs will be hungry and focused this afternoon. I also expect the Giants to get a strong outing from southpaw Barry Zito given Miami's struggles against lefty starters. The Marlins are batting .208 and scoring 2.2 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. They are 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 21-7 in Zito's last 28 starts. They are 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the third game of a series. Zito is 5-1 (6-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.45 in 8 starts versus Miami. Take San Francisco.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Royals -130
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Jeremy Guthrie getting the ball. They are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts, including 10-0 in his last 10 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie has owned the AL Central, going 6-0 with a 1.77 ERA against division opponents this season. The Royals are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the AL Central and 12-1 in his last 13. He's especially had his way with Chicago. The Royals are 6-0 all-time in Guthrie's starts against the White Sox, and he's held them to 1 earned run or less in all 6. Kansas City is also 5-0 in its last 5 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in its last 4 series openers. The White Sox are really struggling, and they are 0-4 in Hector Santiago's last 4 road starts. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -132
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Dodgers, who played a double header yesterday in New York, traveled across the country and play again tonight. The Padres, who are 6-0 in their last 6 home games, find themselves in excellent hands with Jason Marquis marching out to the mound. They are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. He's allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of those 7 wins. The Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 series-opening starts. Take San Diego.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -113
The Key: The Nationals have gotten their backers over the hump on Humpday as they are 22-8 in their last 30 Wednesday games. They are 5-0 in Gio Gonzalez's last 5 Wednesday starts. The Phillies haven't had as much luck in the middle of the week as they are 4-9 in their last 13 Wednesday games. The Nats are also an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Gonzalez is yet to make a start against Philly this season but went 3-1 with an ERA of 2.52 against it last year. Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.11 ERA against Washington, gave up 5 runs in 5 innings against the Nats last month. The Phillies are just 2-6 in Kendrick's last 8 starts versus the Nationals. Take Washington.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -140
The Key: The defending World Series champs have been a tremendous investment at home where they have won 35 of their last 52. They are an even more impressive 17-6 in their last 23 home games versus a team with a winning record. And, they have won 13 of their last 17 at home versus the Padres. In addition, the Giants are 9-0 this season when they check in with 5 of 6 losses in a 7-game stretch. The Giants are 55-27 in Matt Cain's last 82 home starts and 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall. San Francisco is 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cain is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Padres. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +102
The Key: The D-backs are 13-0 in Pat Corbin's starts this season, and he has posted an ERA of just 2.28 in these games. Arizona has won these games by an average of 3.2 runs so there is value in taking it on the run line. Corbin has an ERA of 1.60 at home on the season, and the D-backs are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts dating back to last season. They've won these by an average of 2.6 runs. Corbin should have plenty of success against a Miami lineup that is batting just .217 against lefties. It's also important to note that the D-backs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in Corbin's last 4 series-opening starts. Miami is 0-5 in the first game during each of its 5 road trips this season. Take Arizona on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -121
The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the A's will leave it all on the field to avoid being swept. Despite the two losses, the A's are 21-7 in their last 28 overall and 41-18 in their last 59 home games. They are 5-1 in their last 6 Game 3s of a series while the Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 Game 3s of a series. Iwakuma has been terrific for Seattle, but this will be the 3rd time the A's have seen him this season and that gives them an advantage. The Mariners have yet to face Colon this season, and I believe they're in for a rude awakening. The A's are 5-0 in his last 5 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite and 8-0 in his last 8 starts versus a team with a losing record. The A's are 41-12 in their last 53 games versus a team with a losing record and should bounce back strong here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -132
The Key: Washington has the clear edge on the mound with Zimmerman, who is 9-3 with an ERA of 2.00. Cleveland's Kazmir is just 3-4 with an ERA of 5.33. The Nationals are 22-7 in Zimmermann's last 29 starts, 18-4 in his last 22 starts after he gives up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the AL Central and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Indians, on the other hand, are 0-4 in Kazmir's last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Tribe is 3-8 in its last 11 overall and 3-12 in its last 15 games as an underdog. Also, the Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games with ump Dan Iassogna behind home plate, and the road team is 4-0 in Iassogna's last 4 games behind home plate in Cleveland. Take Washington.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on A's -1.5 +108
The Key: First off, the Mariners are just 2-9 in their last 11 road games and 1-11 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Oakland is 12-1 as a favorite of -150 or more this season. Secondly, the Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a left-handed starter. They lost these contests by an average of 4.8 runs. They figure to have their hands full with Tom Milone, who has a 2.43 ERA at home. The A's are 3-0 in his 3 career home starts against the Mariners, winning those by 3.3 runs on average. The A's are also 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Oakland is 10-0 this season in home games versus AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. It has won these games by an average of 3.0 runs. The Athletics are also 9-0 in their last 9 series openers and 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter. They should have their way with Joe Saunders. The Mariners are 0-6 in Saunders' 6 road starts this season, and he has an ERA of 9.00 in these games. He's also 0-2 in his last 2 starts in Oakland. Take the A's on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -107
The Key: The Giants have the edge on the mound with Matt Cain, who has shown the ability to rise to the occasion time and time again. The Giants are 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. This tells me Cain takes it upon himself to deliver following a rough outing from the pitching staff. Also, the Giants are 4-0 in Cain's last 4 starts as a favorite and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Pirates. He has a 1.46 ERA over his last 5 starts against Pittsburgh. I expect to see a little rust on the arm of Charlie Morton as he makes his first start in the bigs since undergoing Tommy John surgery last June. The Pirates are 16-40 in Morton's last 56 starts as an underdog, 1-5 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog and 1-4 in his last 5 starts versus the Giants. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -166
The Key: The Rockies are worth the price with the southpaw De La Rosa on the mound against the worst hitting team in baseball versus left-handed pitching. The Nationals have a .209 average and .309 slugging percentage against lefties this season. The Rockies are 7-0 in De La Rosa's last 7 starts and 11-0 in his last 11 home starts. De La Rosa's teams are also 14-0 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Rockies are 4-0 all-time in De La Rosa's starts versus the Nationals. Also, the Rockies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher, 4-0 in their last 4 Game 2s of a series and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -157
The Key: The Tigers are 39-14 in their last 53 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200, and I expect them to extend this run behind a gem from Scherzer, who is 8-0 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 starts. He's 2-0 with an ERA of just 1.66 in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 5-0 in Scherzer's starts versus division opponents this season. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the Royals and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Kansas City's Wade Davis is 3-5 with a 5.66 ERA in 12 starts this season. Also, his teams have lost 3 of his 4 starts versus the Tigers. Take Detroit.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -122
The Key: The Halos have the upper hand with ace Jered Weaver on the mound. They are 40-13 in his last 53 starts and 24-6 in his last 30 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher. They are also 10-3 in his last 13 road starts and 17-5 in his last 22 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Angels are 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Orioles, and they've won these starts by an average of 6.8 runs. Freddy Garcia has a good track record against the Angels but clearly isn't the same caliber as Weaver. The O's have lost 3 of his 4 home starts this season. Take L.A.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER on Braves -134
The Key: The Braves have the edge on the mound with Kris Medlen. They are 28-8 in Medlen's last 36 starts, 19-3 in his last 22 starts versus teams that have a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts versus losing clubs. Medlen is also 1-0 (2-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.26 in two starts against the Dodgers. He gave up no earned runs on 2 hits in 7 innings of a 3-1 win over the Dodgers last month. The Dodgers are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 in the third game of a series. Bet the Braves.

7* National League Game of the Month on Rockies -155
The Key: The Rockies get the call with De La Rosa on the mound. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts overall and 10-0 in his last 10 home starts. They are also 13-0 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175 and have won these by an average score of 8.2 to 3.9. In addition, Colorado is 8-0 in De La Rosa's last 8 starts versus the Padres. San Diego's Volquez is 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Rockies. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -133
The Key: The Rockies have had San Diego's number. They are 6-0 against the Padres this season and 5-0 in their last 5 home games against San Diego dating back to last season. Colorado's Chacin has been dominant against the Padres. He's 3-0 in his last 3 starts against them, holding them to 2 earned runs or fewer in each. He's held them to 1 earned run in 4 of his last 5 starts. Take Colorado.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -117
The Key: The Giants have been unstoppable at home with Barry Zito on the bump. They are 14-0 in his last 14 home starts. Plus, Zito's teams are 6-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Blue Jays. R.A. Dickey has been rocked in each of his last two starts, and the Jays are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -131
The Key: I'm fading San Diego's Clayton Richard here. The Padres are 0-5 in his last 5 starts, and he's given up at least 5 runs in each of his last 4. The Padres are also 0-4 in Richard's last 4 road starts, and he's been tagged for at least 5 runs in each of these. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter and 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing record. Ted Lilly has a terrific track record against the Padres. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 home starts versus the Pads, and he has held them to 2 runs or fewer in each of his last 7 starts against them. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Lilly's last 7 home starts versus a team with a losing record. Take L.A.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -128
The Key: Pittsburgh's A.J. Burnett hasn't been a good investment in the underdog role. In fact, the Pirates are 3-8 in Burnett's last 11 starts as an underdog, including 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. We also can't ignore how much Pittsburgh has struggled in series openers. The Pirates are 16-35 in their last 51 series openers and 2-8 in Burnett's last 10 starts in the first game of a series. The Braves, on the other hand, are 14-4 in their last 18 Game 1's and 9-0 in Kris Medlen's last 9 series-opening starts. The Braves are 15-4 in Medlen's last 19 home starts and 22-6 in his last 28 starts as a favorite. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is 4-0 in its last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Bet the Braves.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks -140
The Key: The D-backs have the edge on the mound with southpaw Pat Corbin. The Rockies are 10-0 in his starts this season, during which he's posted an ERA of 1.71. He should have plenty of success against a Chicago lineup that has a terrible .264 on-base percentage against lefty starters. Chicago's Edwin Jackson has struggled, especially at home. The Cubs are 0-5 in his home starts this season, during which he's posted an ERA of 7.81. Take Arizona.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -134
The Key: The Tigers have the edge on the mound with Verlander, who has dominated Baltimore throughout his career. He's 7-0 (10-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.85 in 11 career starts versus the Orioles. The Tigers are 6-0 all-time in his road starts versus Baltimore, winning these by an average of 3.5 runs. The Orioles have done well with Hammel on the hill, but his 6.37 home ERA throws up a big red flag. Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* of the Week on Phillies -125
The Key: It's been a rough start to the season for Hamels, but he's been better than his record indicates. I expect a gem out of him tonight against the struggling Brewers. The Brewers are 5-22 in their last 27 overall, including 0-6 in their last 6 games. Milwaukee has really struggled against southpaw starters this year. It is just 4-18 against them on the season, including 0-7 in its last 7 on the road against lefty starters. Hamels is 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Brewers. Gallardo is typically never as good on the road, and the Brewers are 0-5 in his last 5 starts. The Brewers are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings and 11-30 in the last 41 meetings in Philadelphia. Take the Phillies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants +101
The Key: The Athletics have taken the first 3 games of this home-and-home four-game series, but that won't keep me off the defending World Series champs here. After all, the Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Former Oakland ace Barry Zito has a 1.38 ERA at home this season, and the Giants are 13-0 in his last 13 home starts dating back to last season. The Giants are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog. Zito is also 2-0 in his last 2 home starts versus the A's. Oakland's A.J. Griffin has an ERA of 4.31 on the road this season, and the Athletics are 2-11 in the last 13 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -133
The Key: The Indians lost both games in Cincinnati, but I expect them to bounce back strong at home where they have won 13 of their last 17 overall. They are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games and 7-0 in their last 7 home games versus the Reds. Justin Masterson is having a sensational season, and he's been lights out at home lately. The Indians are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, and he's given up no runs in his last 2 home starts spanning 16 innings. Masterson is also 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus the Reds, holding them to 1 earned run in 17 innings during this stretch. Cincy's Bronson Arroyo hasn't been as sharp on the road where he's 1-3. He's also had his share of struggles against the Tribe, going 0-3 with a 11.20 ERA in his last three 3 starts against them. Take the Indians on the money line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -121
The Key: The Brewers are showing value at home at this price given the dominance Gallardo has displayed against the Pirates. The right-hander is 10-2 (14-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.31 in 16 career starts versus Pittsburgh. Also, the Brewers are 9-0 all-time in Gallardo's home starts versus the Pirates. Wandy Rodriguez is 1-3 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Brewers. He's also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 and 2-10 on the money line in his last 12 starts at Milwaukee. The Pirates are 8-45 in the last 53 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Brew Crew.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -123
The Key: I'm backing Barry Zito at home where he has been lights out. The Giants are 5-0 in Zito's home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 0.55. Dating back to last season, the Giants are 12-0 in his last 12 home starts. Zito was rocked in Colorado in his most recent start, but he normally gets the best of the Rockies. The Giants are 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus Rockies. They are also 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus the Rockies, including a perfect 3-0 in his last 3. The Rockies are only 6-20 in the last 26 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Brewers -104
The Key: The Brewers are 44-7 in their last 51 at home versus the Pirates, and I expect them to continue their home dominance against their NL Central rivals tonight. Milwaukee's Marco Estrada has owned Pittsburgh, as evidenced by the fact he has a 2.47 ERA in 7 starts against the Bucs. The Brewers are 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts versus Pirates, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog, 6-0 in his last 6 series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. A.J. Burnett hasn't had much luck against the Brew Crew, as evidenced by his 4.87 ERA in 10 starts against them. The Pirates are 0-4 in Burnett's last 4 starts versus the Brewers and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Bet the Beermakers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -130
The Key: I'm fading Joe Blanton here. The right-hander has a 6.62 ERA on the season and an 8.04 ERA over his last three starts. The Angels are 0-4 this season in his road starts, 0-7 in his night starts and 0-4 in his series-opening starts. He is also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Kansas City. He was tagged for 7 earned runs in 4 2-3 innings of an 11-4 loss to the Royals May 13. Former Angel Ervin Santana has an ERA of 2.77, and that number is down to 1.84 at home. His knowledge of the L.A. hitters should play to his benefit. The Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -126
The Key: The Red Sox have the edge on the mound with Buchholz, who is 6-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 9 starts, including 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 3 road starts. The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 26-5 in Buchholz's last 31 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. It is also significant that Buchholz has a WHIP of just 1.035 given the White Sox are 6-18 in their last 24 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The White Sox are 0-3 in Santiago's last 3 starts. Bet Bean Town.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -140
The Key: The Cards have the edge on the mound with Wainwright, who's 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA. Compare that to San Diego's Volquez, who's 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA. Wainwright has also been lights out against the Padres, going 3-2 with a 0.97 ERA in 5 career starts. Volquez is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA in 9 starts against St. Louis. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright's last 4 road starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Padres are 3-7 in Volquez's last 10 starts, and he's 1-4 on the money line in his last 5 versus the Cards. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -135
The Key: The Giants are happy to be home after losing the last three of a four-game series in Colorado. They are 20-7 in their last 27 home games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games versus a team with a winning record. Ryan Vogelsong has struggled, but I expect his best outing of the season tonight. The Nationals are hitting just .224 on the road, and he knows he needs a quality start if he wants to remain in the rotation. The Giants are 14-5 in Vogelsong's last 19 home starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a winning record. Washington's Zach Duke hasn't started since July 10, 2011 and he's been hit hard in two appearances this season. He gave up three runs in three innings of an 8-1 loss to Atlanta on April 30 and allowed four runs in two-thirds of inning as Washington fell 8-2 to the Chicago Cubs on May 11. Duke's clubs are 9-32 all-time in his starts as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Take the Giants.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Pirates -1.5 +100
The Key: The Pirates have owned the Astros. They've won 12 of the last 16 meetings overall and 16 of the last 21 at home. Plus, they've never lost to Houston when facing Jordan Lyles. They are 5-0 against the 'stros when Lyles gets the start. Lyles has a 7.77 ERA in these 5 starts. It's also worth noting that the Astros are 0-9 in Lyles' last 9 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-7 in his last 7 interleague starts. Take Pittsburgh on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -130
The Key: The Cardinals have never lost to the Cubs when Lance Lynn gets the start, going 4-0 with an average winning margin of 4.5 runs. Lynn has an ERA of 2.96 in these starts. Lynn is working off 3 consecutive gems, which bodes well for us since the Cards are 6-0 in his last 6 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The Cardinals are also 7-0 in his last 7 series-opening and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It is also worth noting that the Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. Chicago's Travis Wood has pitched well this season, but he doesn't have a good track record against the Cardinals. Fading the Cubs against the Cardinals with Wood on the mound has never lost as the Cubs are 0-3 in his starts against St. Louis. He's given up 18 runs in 16 innings in those starts. The Cubs are 0-7 in Wood's last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-8 in his last 8 starts as a home underdog. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Blue Jays -155
The Key: The Mariners have won the first two games of this series but are still 3-7 in their last 10 road games, 2-7 in their last 9 road games versus a right-handed starter, 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 5-12 in their last 17 in the third game of a series. They will have a very tough time pulling off the sweep with Joe Saunders on the bump. He's 0-3 with a 12.51 ERA in 3 road starts. The Blue Jays are in better hands with Brandon Morrow. He has given up 3 earned runs or fewer in 4 of his first 6 starts, and Toronto is 2-0 in his last 2 starts with wins over Baltimore and Boston. Morrow is also 3-1 with a 3.04 ERA versus Seattle while Saunders is 2-5 on the money line in his last 7 starts versus the Jays. The Blue Jays are 4-1 in Morrow's last 5 starts versus a team with a losing record and 17-5 in his last 22 starts in the third game of a series. Bet the Blue Jays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -1.5 (-101)
The Key: Dating back to last season, the Giants are 4-0 in Madison Bumgarner's last 4 starts. They have won these by an average of 2.0 runs. The Padres, meanwhile, are 0-4 in Edison Volquez's last 4 starts and have lost these by an average of 5.8 runs. The Giants are also 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 home starts versus the Padres with these wins coming by an average of 2.0 runs. Volquez's teams are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the Giants, losing these by an average of 3.5 runs. Take San Francisco on the run line.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks +108
The Key: The D-backs have lost the first two games of this series but squandered multi-run leads in each. I really think they are the better team at this stage of the season and will prove so here with the better starter on the hill. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 in the third game of a series and 5-2 in their last 7 games after losing the first two games of a series. The Yankees have struggled against southpaw starters this season, hitting just .209 against them, and these struggles should continue against Pat Corbin, who is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA. The D-backs are 3-0 in his last 3 starts and 5-1 in his last 6. Meanwhile, New York's Phil Hughes has struggled. He has a 10.29 ERA through 2 starts, and the Yankees are 0-4 in his last 4 starts dating to last season. Opponents are hitting .472 off him this season, and he has a 6.17 ERA in four interleague home starts. The D-backs should have little trouble getting to Hughes considering the way they are crushing right-handed starters. They are batting .289 against them on the season. The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the Snakes.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Dodgers -1.5 -111
The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, look for the Dodgers to bounce back strong behind ace Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 home starts and have won these by an average of 4.3 runs. They are also 6-1 in his last 7 starts versus San Diego with the 6 wins coming by an average of 2.5 runs. The Padres aren't in the same hands with Tyson Ross. His teams are 0-5 in his last 5 starts and have lost them by an average of 2.4 runs. They are also 0-5 in his last 5 road starts, losing those by 3.4 runs on average. Take LA on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Rangers -121
The Key: Texas is showing good value at this price for a number of reasons. First off, I expect the Cubs to struggle against southpaw Derek Holland. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games versus a left-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games versus a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 8-2 in Holland's last 10 starts as a road favorite. They are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games. The Rangers figure to handle Chicago lefty Travis Wood better as they are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games versus a left-handed starter. The Cubs are 0-7 in Wood's last 7 starts as a home underdog and 0-6 in his last 6 home starts versus a team with a winning record. All together, we have a 26-0 angle in our favor along with a couple other convincing trends. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -155
The Key: The Reds hold the advantage on the mound with Johnny Cueto, who has looked good early with a 2.77 ERA through two starts. It has made sense to ride the Reds with Cueto on the mound when he's going good. In fact, the Reds are 22-6 in his last 28 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Reds are also 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 13-3 in Cueto's last 16 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Pirates have lost 9 of Jeff Locke's 11 career starts, and they are 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus division opponents. Cueto is 12-4 (13-6 on the ML) lifetime versus the Pirates with an ERA of 2.54. The Reds are 5-1 in his last 6 road starts versus Pittsburgh. Bet the Reds.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -108
The Key: The Mets hold a sizable advantage on the mound with Jon Niese, who has brilliant in his first two starts of the season. The Mets are 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall and he hasn't given up more than 3 earned in any of those. The Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games versus teams that have a losing record. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite. It's also important to note that the Mets are 4-0 in Niese's last 4 starts series-opening starts. The Twins, meanwhile, are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Vance Worley is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 home starts. Plus, he has struggled against the Mets throughout his career, as evidence by his 5.30 lifetime ERA against them. He is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 versus the Mets and was touched for at least 4 earned in each. Bet the Mets.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -130
The Key: The A's have taken the first two games of this series but haven't pulled off a three-game sweep of the Angels since 2004. Also, Oakland has won its first 5 on the road but hasn't opened 6-0 on the highway since 1990. Jason Vargas was solid in his first start of the season and has a strong track record against the A's. He's given up 2 earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts against them. The Angels have been hitting the snot out of the ball, recording double-digit hits in each of their last 4 games. The problem has been driving in the base runners. History is on our side here though as the Halos are on a 41-23 run after 2 straight games of stranding 10 or more runners on base. The Angels are also on a 38-23 run after 2 straight losses of 4 runs or more, a 92-55 run in home games after allowing 8 runs or more last game and a 55-34 run when out for revenge for a home loss of 6 runs or more to an opponent. Take the Angels.

7* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Braves -1.5 +106
The Key: The 6-1 Braves are showing value on the run line against the 1-6 Marlins. 5 of Atlanta's wins have come by at least 2 runs while 5 of Miami's losses have come by 2 runs or more.

The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games versus Miami, winning these by an average of 2.6 runs. They are also in good hands with Medlen on the mound. Atlanta is 5-0 in his 5 career starts versus the Marlins, winning these by 3.2 runs on average.

The Braves are also 11-0 in Medlen's last 11 road starts, winning these by 3.5 runs on average. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 0-5 in LeBlanc's last 5 starts as an underdog, losing these by an average of 3.2 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.

7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels +127
The Key: It will be tough for Yu Darvish to bounce back mentally and physically following the best outing of his major league career. He threw 111 pitches in his near-perfect game but had thrown a high of only 78 pitches during spring training so I don't expect him to have his "A" stuff here. Jered Weaver is the far more proven starter. He's 4-0 in his last 4 starts against Texas. He's held the Rangers to 3 earned runs or fewer in each of these, and the Angels won these games by an average of 5.0 runs. The Angels are 10-2 in Weaver's last 12 road starts and 6-0 in his last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record. I believe we're getting the better pitcher and the better team at a great price. Take the Halos.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -120
The Key: After losing the first two games of the series, I expect the Yankees to be very focused this evening. Keep in mind that they are 39-13 in their last 52 games after losing the first two games of a series. The Yankees have struggled at the plate in the first two games, but I like their chances against Ryan Dempster. Fading Dempster versus the Yankees has never lost as he's 0-4 (0-5 on the money line) with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 2.048 in 5 career starts against them. The Yankees are in better hands with Andy Pettitte, who has a proven track record against the Red Sox. The Yankees have won 24 of his last 36 starts against them, including 5 of his last 6. Plus, they Yankees are an impressive 97-43 in Pettitte's last 140 starts as a home favorite. New York is showing great value at this price.

7* World Series Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -163
The Key: Zito is pitching better than he has in years, but he's still no Verlander. The Detroit ace is 7-0 in his last 7 starts and has allowed more than 1 run only once during this stretch. He allowed 2 runs in the lone exception. The Tigers are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 starts vs. teams from the National League West and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Verlander has a WHIP of 1.017 while Zito's WHIP is 1.392. That should be a concern for the Giants as the Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -120
The Key: Expect the Cardinals to bounce back strong this afternoon as the series shifts to St. Louis where they have won 35 of their last 52 games. Lohse has a lower ERA then Cain on the season (2.82 compared to 2.90), a lower ERA at home than Cain has on the road (2.33 compared to 3.62), a lower ERA over their last 3 starts (3.37 compared to 4.59) and a lower career ERA against the Giants/Cardinals (3.78 compared to 4.94). The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss and 15-5 in Lohse's last 20 starts as a home favorite. The Giants are 3-7 in Cain's last 10 starts versus a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles +1.5 -130
The Key: Really like the Orioles catching 1.5 runs at an affordable price with Gonzalez on the bump. Baltimore is 11-4 in his starts this season and 7-2 in his starts as a road underdog on the year. The Orioles are a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 starts, and he is 2-0 in 2 career starts at Yankee Stadium with an ERA of 2.63. He outdueled Kuroda in his most recent start there Aug. 31, giving up no runs on 4 hits in 7 innings of work while striking out 9 and walking 1 in a 6-1 victory. Take the Orioles on the run line.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -132
The Key: The Tigers got loose for 5 runs in their game 2 win, but the Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent enters off a game in which it scored 5 runs or more. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in Sanchez's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Athletics are 4-0 in Anderson's last 4 starts in the favorite role. The Tigers have dropped 7 of their last 9 playoffs games on the road, and I expect their postseason road struggles to continue against an Oakland club that has won 39 of its last 54 at home.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -149
The Key: The Reds are 0-4 in Arroyo's last 4 starts, 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. the Giants and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Giants are 11-0 in Bumgarner's last 11 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 7 or more days' rest. The Giants bounce back strong.

7* MLB Wild Card *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -165
The Key: The Braves are 23-0 in Medlen's last 23 starts, 13-0 in his last 13 home starts, 9-0 in his last 9 starts versus clubs with a winning mark and 6-0 in his last 6 starts when valued as a favorite of -151 to -200. Plus, the command Medlen has shown lately is a great sign. The Braves are 11-0 in his starts over the last 3 seasons when he enters a start following back-to-back outings with 1 walk or none. The Braves are also 12-0 in his starts over the last 3 seasons when he enters a start following an outing in which he gave up 1 earned run or none. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +100
The Key: The D-backs have never lost to the Rockies at home with ace Ian Kennedy on the mound. They are 6-0 lifetime in this spot and have won these by an average of 2.83 runs. The D-backs are 7-0 in Kennedy's last 7 starts versus the Rockies overall and have won these by an average of 2.86 runs. Kennedy enters this contest pitching his best ball of the season, and Arizona is 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a result. It has won these by 2.33 runs on average. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 0-5 in Francis' last 5 starts and have lost those by an average of 4.0 runs per game. With their ace on the hill and a chance to notch a winning season, I'll take the Snakes on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -145
The Key: The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite, and I expect this trend to continue with Dickey on the hill. The Mets 9-0 in Dickey

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +106
The Key: The Rockies 0-9 in their last 9 on the road and have lost those by an an average of 4.0 runs. Pomeranz has struggled against the NL West all season (0-7 with a 7.24 ERA in 10 starts), and the Rockies are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the division. They have dropped these by 4.75 runs on average. They are also 0-2 in his 2 career starts versus Arizona, losing these by 6.5 runs on average. The D-backs, on the other hand, are 4-0 lifetime in Miley's starts against the Rockies and have won these by an average of 5.75 runs. Take the Snakes on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5
The Key: The Braves are 22-0 in Medlen's last 22 starts and have won them by an average of 3.4 runs. They are also 4-0 lifetime in his starts against the Mets and have won those by an average of 5.0 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -140
The Key: The Tigers are 3-0 in Verlander's last 3 starts, winning each of those by 4 runs while he has posted a 0.86 ERA. The Tigers are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 starts as a road favorite of -200 or greater, winning these by an average of 2.3 runs. They are also also 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -200 or greater, winning these by an average of 2.0 runs. Detroit is 7-0 in Verlander's last 7 starts against the Twins and has won these by an average of 4.3 runs. He has held the Twins to 1 earned run or fewer in 4 of his last 5 starts against them. Lastly, the Twins are 0-4 in Walters' last 4 starts as a home underdog and have lost these by 2.0 runs on average. Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -1.5 -125
The Key: The Brewers are 11-0 in Gallardo's last 11 starts, winning them by an average of 3.9 runs. Gallardo is 10-0 in his last 10 starts versus Houston, and the Brew Crew have won these by an average of 5.7 runs. Milwaukee is 13-0 in Gallardo's starts in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscored by an average of 0.5 or more runs/game. It has won these by an average of 4.6 runs. The Brewers are 15-0 as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 4.9 runs, and 13-0 in home games in the 2nd half of the season versus NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these by an average of 3.2 runs. Bet Milwaukee on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -1.5 -117
The Key: The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games and have won these by an average of 3.25 runs. The Astros, meanwhile, are 0-3 in their last 3 games and have lost these by an average of 5.33 runs. The Astros are 0-10 in their last 10 versus St. Louis and have dropped these by 4.8 runs on average. They are also 0-6 in Norris' last 6 starts with an average losing margin of 2.5 runs in these games. Further bolstering this situation is the fact that Houston hasn't been able to manufacture runs by playing small ball when matched up against teams with good defensive catchers. In fact, it is 0-13 in the second half of this season versus teams with good defensive catchers that hold opponents to 0.5 or less stolen bases per game. It has lost to these teams by an average of 5.2 runs. Bet St. Louis on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5 -117
The Key: The Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 overall (2.25-run avg losing margin) and 0-6 in their last 6 on the road (2.00-run avg losing margin). The Braves are 21-0 in Medlen's last 21 starts (3.5-run avg winning margin), 19-0 in his last 19 night starts (3.0-run avg winning margin), 12-0 in his last 12 home outings (3.4-run avg winning margin), 13-0 in his last 13 starts against division opponents (3.8-run avg winning margin), 11-0 in his last 11 starts after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing (3.9-run avg winning margin) and 10-0 in his last 10 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest (2.7-run avg winning margin). The Braves are also 4-0 in his 4 career starts against the Marlins (3.75-run avg winning margin. Take Atlanta on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -119
The Key: The Tigers are badly in need of a win after getting swept by the Twins in a double header yesterday. Fortunately, they have their ace on the mound. The Tigers are 8-0 in Verlander's last 8 home starts and have won those by an average of 2.9 runs. Verlander is 14-2 with a 2.76 ERA lifetime against KC. I expect him to shut down the Royals and for the sticks to take care of the rest. Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -138
The Key: The Rangers have dropped the first two in this series, but that won't keep me off them here as they are 11-3 in their last 14 following defeats in the first two games of a series. Plus, the Mariners are 0-4 in their last four during the third game of a series. The Mariners are 0-5 in Vargas' last 5 starts as a home underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rangers are 6-0 in Dempster's last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Rangers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -165
The Key: The Rangers went down Friday, but they are an awesome 11-0 in their last 11 games following a loss. I expect them to bounce back strong behind Harrison, who is 9-0 in his last 9 starts against the Mariners. He is 5-0 all-time in his starts in Seattle. The Mariners are 0-4 in Beavan's last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -150
The Key: The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite, 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game and 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 11-0 in home games vs. a starting pitcher who lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -150
The Key: The Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 overall, 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series, 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in De La Rosa's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite, 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 5-0 in Zito's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West, 5-0 in his last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 8-0 in his last 8 starts. The Giants are also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in this series.

7* MLB Game of the Month on Braves -135
The Key: The Braves are a perfect 20-0 in Medlen's last 20 starts, 12-0 in his last 12 starts against division opponents, 12-0 in his last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 10-0 in his last 10 starts after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last outing and 12-0 in his last 12 starts following a team loss the previous game. The Braves are also 12-0 in his last 12 starts in the 2nd half of the season versus NL teams with an on base percentage .325 or worse and 11-0 in his last 11 starts in the 2nd half of the season versus teams that strike out 7 or more times per game. Plus, the Braves are a perfect 3-0 in his 3 career starts versus the Marlins. The Marlins 0-4 Johnson

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -120
The Key: The Orioles are 3-0 in Tillman's last 3 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 2.70. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 road starts, and he is 3-0 lifetime against Seattle with an ERA of 0.83. The Mariners are 0-5 in Noesi's last 5 starts, 0-5 in his last 5 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog. The Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in their last 5 games against the Orioles. Bet Baltimore.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -116
The Key: The D-backs have lost the first two games of this series and they're favored with Corbin on the hill, who has lost his last 3 decisions? This really speaks to how poorly Vogelsong has pitched. He has been hit hard in his last 3 (8.79 ERA L3 starts), and nobody hit him harder than Arizona in this stretch. The Snakes tagged him for 6 runs and knocked him out in 3 1-3 innings. Corbin has a solid 3.60 home ERA. I expect a solid performance from him and for the D-back sticks to take care of the rest.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -159
The Key: The Astros are 14-56 in their last 70 overall and 6-23 in their last 29 home games. They are 0-4 in Keuchel's last 4 starts and 1-10 in his last 11 starts. They are 0-5 in Keuchel's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-8 in his last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game and 0-7 in his last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Phillies are 4-0 in Kendrick's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and I expect him to outduel Keuchel here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -162
The Key: I've been riding Medlen since he broke into the starting lineup this season, and I'm not going to stop riding him now. The Braves are 19-0 in his last 19 starts. Atlanta enters off a loss, but it is 11-0 in Medlen's last 11 starts following a team loss. The Braves are also 9-0 in his last 9 starts versus team with a winning record, 11-0 in his last 11 starts in the second half of the team versus NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse and 10-0 in his last 10 starts in the second half of the season versus team that strike out 7 or more times/game. The Braves are 10-0 in his last 10 starts vs. the National League East and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Nationals are 0-4 in Detwiler's last 4 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200. Braves money line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -1.5 -108
The Key: The Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 games (2.8-run avg. losing margin), 0-5 in McAllister's last 5 starts (3.8-run avg. losing margin) and 0-4 in McAllister's last 4 road starts (2.5-run avg. losing margin). The Rangers are 3-0 in Holland's last 3 home starts (3.7-run avg. winning margin) and 5-0 in his 5 career starts against the Tribe (4.2-run avg. winning margin). Texas is also 6-0 in its last 6 at home against Cleveland (4.0-run avg. winning margin. Take Texas on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133
The Key: The Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 8-0 in Gallardo's last 8 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days), 8-0 in his last 8 starts in the third game of a series and 11-0 in his last 11 home starts in the second half of the season versus an an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse. Maholm is 0-6 on the money line in his last 6 starts against teh Brewers. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -1.5 -120
The Key: The Indians are 0-5 in Jimenez's last 5 starts (3.0-run avg. losing margin) and 0-8 in his last 8 road starts (3.6-run avg. losing margin). They are also 0-4 in their last 4 in Arlington (4.8-run avg. losing margin). The Rangers are 5-0 in Harrison's last 5 starts as a favorite of -200 or greater (4.2-run avg. winning margin). Bet the Rangers on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -144
The Key: The Nats have won 16 of their last 21 versus the Mets and are 5-0 in their last 5 against them in New York. The Mets are just 6-21 in their last 27 home games, 1-10 in their last 11 games as a home underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Nationals are 21-7 in Gonzalez's last 28 starts, 10-2 in his last 12 road starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -119
The Key: Despite losing the first 2 games of this series, the Cards are still 21-8 in their last 29 at home, 18-8 in their last 26 vs. Milwaukee and 9-3 in their last 12 at home against the Brewers. Milwaukee is just 6-14 in Marcum's lst 20 starts, 2-7 in his last 9 road starts and 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Cardinals. It's also important to note that the Brewers are 0-4 in Marcum's last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts falling in the third game of a series.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -160
The Key: The Braves are 18-0 in Medlen's last 18 starts, and they are a perfect 3-0 all-time in his starts against the Mets. Medlen has a 0.54 ERA in 7 starts this season and a 0.00 ERA over his last 3 starts.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -133
The Key: Gallardo has pitched much better over the last 5 weeks, but he just got rocked his last time out, and he has never fared well against St. Louis. He's 1-10 with an ERA of 7.06 in 14 career starts against the Cards. He's 0-6 in his last 6 starts versus the Cardinals, and the Brewers have dropped those contests by an average of 4.7 runs. Lohse (14-2, 2.81) has won both of his starts versus Milwaukee this season in impressive fashion. Bet St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -1.5 -106
The Key: The Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games with an average losing margin of 4.0 runs in these contests. They are also 0-7 in their last 7 road games losing those by an average of 3.4 runs. The Cubs are 0-9 this season in road games following 5 or more straight defeats, losing in this situation by an average of 2.6 runs. Germano is 0-3 on the money in his last 3 starts and those losses have come by 6.0 runs on average. He's also 0-8 on the money line in his last 8 road starts with those losses coming by 3.4 runs on average. Lastly, the Nats are 4-0 in their last 4 games with an average winning margin of 4.0 runs. Nats on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -1.5 -113
The Key: Gio Gonzalez has been tough on everyone this season, but he's especially been tough on the NL Central. The Nationals are 8-0 in his starts against NL Central foes this season, and they have won these games by an average of 3.0 runs. The Cubs, meanwhile, are 0-6 in Chris Volstad's 6 road starts this season, and they have lost these by an average of 3.7 runs. Bet Washington on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -1.5 +105
The Key: Fading the Pirates with Lyles on the mound as a road underdog of +151 to +200 has produced a 9-0 mark all-time that has won by an average of 3.4 runs. The Astros are also 0-4 this season in Lyle's road starts in the 2nd game of a series. They have dropped these by an average of 4.3 runs. Houston is even 0-11 in Lyle's road starts vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. It has lost these by an average score of 7.5 to 3.1. Pound Pittsburgh on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5 -108
The Key: The Braves are a perfect 17-0 in Kris Medlen's last 17 starts, winning those by an average of 3.4 runs. 6 of those wins have come this season, and he has posted an ERA of just 0.66 in those outings. He has a 0.00 over his last 3 starts and the Braves have won his last 10 starts by 2 runs or more. Bet the Braves on the run line.