Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Rams | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals. I like the Arizona Cardinals to cover the spread against the LA Rams on Sunday. Both of these teams are undefeated here in what is one of the toughest divisions to play in. The Cardinals have come out flying this season winning all 3 games with a high-flying offense that has scored 30+ points in each of their games so far. Kyler Murray is leading his team to success whether it be a shootout in a close game with the Vikings, a 2nd half come back against the Jags, or just a straight up blow out against the Titans on the road. They are not just winning games but they are doing it in every possible type of game and I think they have the talent on their team to keep it up all year. The Rams have also looked good on both offense and defense, especially in their last game against the Bucs. Even though this is a divisional game, I think it will be a let down for the Rams. They just won a game against the defending Super Bowl champs and they probably put a lot of effort into that game to win it. I think they are going to be caught off guard against a good Cardinals team here in what will be a very close game. I like the Cardinals to keep it close and cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Cardinals. |
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10-03-21 | Titans -6 v. Jets | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans. I like the Tennessee Titans to cover the spread against the New York Jets on Sunday. The Titans stumbled in their first game of the year but they have looked much better now winning 2 games in a row. They will be missing some receivers here but between Derrick Henry and Ryan Tannehill, there is still enough talent on this roster to beat the bad Jets. The Jets put up a big 0 in their game last week in Denver and they have actually digressed as the season has gone on scoring less and less points each week. Luckily, they have hit the bottom and can't possibly score any less points in this game, but that doesn't mean they are going to score enough to win. Even with a weakened offense the Titans are still better than the Jets offense as Zach Wilson is still learning how things work in the NFL. I will take the established team with the veteran quarterback in this game. The Titans will cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 26-13 Titans. |
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10-02-21 | Arizona State +3 v. UCLA | 42-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State. I like Arizona State to cover the spread against UCLA on Saturday. They won by 20+ points last week against Colorado and they have put up 30+ points in all of their games except for 1 this year. Jayden Daniels has been having a great season and I think he is going to perform very well in this game. The UCLA defense has not been that good this year and has let the other team score 24+ points in their last 3 games. I think Arizona State will be able to score a lot on them and keep this game a close one, possibly even pulling off the upset here. Arizona State has not allowed a lot of points against their defense this year also. UCLA has been allowing 30+ points in most of their games this year. I expect UCLA to give up a lot of yards and points in this game and I think the Arizona State defense will come up big here to win them this game. I like Arizona State to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Arizona State. |
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10-02-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | 14-24 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Baylor. I like Baylor to cover the spread against Oklahoma State on Saturday. Baylor is undefeated this year ranked 21st in the country. They got a big win as an underdog in their last game over Iowa State. Oklahoma is also undefeated this year but their wins have not been that impressive. Most of their wins were by single digits and their offense has struggled a bit this year scoring 30+ points in just 1 game of their 4. I think this will be a tough matchup for 2 undefeated teams in the Big 12 looking to fight it out for the conference win. Baylor's offense has scored 29+ points in each game this year so I think they will be able to keep up with Oklahoma State if they start to pull away. Baylor is good enough to even pull off the upset here so I like Baylor to cover this spread. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Baylor. |
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10-02-21 | Cincinnati -1.5 v. Notre Dame | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati. I like Cincinnati to cover the spread against Notre Dame on Saturday. Both of these teams are top 10 teams in the country. Cincinnati has looked very strong on both sides of the ball this year. Their offense is scoring over 40 points a game and their defense has given up less than 20 points a game. They had a bye last week so they have had an extra week to prepare for this game and they should also be rested and a lot healthier for this game as well. Notre Dame finally blew out a team when they beat Wisconsin last week but that was the only game that they have looked good in this year. They have had a few close games this year against bad teams where they defense has given up a ton of points. I think Cincinnati is good enough to go to the college football playoffs if they can go undefeated this year and I think they will have their mind set on that coming into this game. They are a better team at most positions and Desmond Ridder is a big difference maker. Ridder will find ways to get in the endzone in this game so I like Cincinnati to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Cincinnati. |
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10-02-21 | USC -7.5 v. Colorado | 37-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: USC. I like USC to cover the spread against Colorado on Saturday. USC has had a disappointing start to their year at 2-2 with both of those losses coming against conference teams. Their 1 win against a Pac-12 team came against Washington State and at this point, Colorado looks to be just about as bad as them. Colorado has put no more than 13 points in game against a team from the FBS this year. USC has to be upset about losing at home last week to Oregon State and I think they are going to come out in this game and make a statement against this bad Colorado team. Colorado has allowed 30+ points against them in their last 2 games and I think the same will happen in this game. I expect USC to get right here with a big win so I like them to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 34-17 USC. |
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10-01-21 | BYU -7.5 v. Utah State | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 62 h 52 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: BYU. I like BYU to cover the spread against Utah State on Friday. BYU is ranked 13th in the country and they have had a strong 4-0 start to their season this year. All 4 of their wins this year have been by 8+ points. Baylor Romney got his first start of the season in their last game against USF and he was great in that game with 3 TDs and 300+ passing yards. Their receivers have a lot of talent on this team and when they throw the ball they have options on who to go to, there were 2 receivers in their last game with 100+ receiving yards on the day. Utah State started their season strong going 3-0 against subpar teams but once they played a real tough opponent in their last game, they were blown out 27-3, failing to score even a touchdown in that game. The talent level is just too different between these 2 teams here. BYU is much better and they will be looking to have a very strong season and try to make a case for the playoffs for themselves, and that means going undefeated is a requirement. They will be able to shut down Utah State here with their defense so I like BYU to cover the spread against them. T.M Prediction: 34-20 BYU. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals. I like the Cincinnati Bengals to cover the spread against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday. The Bengals are off to a good start this year with their 2-1 record they are starting their season with a winning record for the first time in a while. They had a big win last week in a divisional game against the Steelers, a game in which they came out as the 14 point victors. Joe Mixon is starting to establish himself more and more in the running game in each of their games thus far, coming off 1 where he had 90 rushing yards. He should have a good game here which will help Joe Burrow complete his play-action passes much more efficiently in this game. The Jags have a new coach and a new QB and so far, they have started their season 0-3. Every game they have lost this season has been by 10+ points, including a game last week against the Cardinals where they had a lead at halftime. They were not able to do anything in the 2nd half and were completely shut out in the 4th quarter of that game. Their inability to finish games is going to be a problem and since Joe Burrow is finally finding ways to win games with his team, I like the Bengals here to cover the spread. T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Bengals. |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 103 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay Packers. I like the Green Bay Packers to cover the spread and upset the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday night. The Packers looked very good against the Lions on Monday night. Their offense was running well throughout that entire game and their defense finally kicked in and started really shutting the Lions down when they needed to in the 2nd half. Aaron Rodgers showed everyone in that game that week 1 was "just 1 game" and that there is still plenty of season left for them to hit their full stride. They scored 35 points while the defense held the Lions to 17, allowing no points in the 2nd half of that game. The 49ers have looked good in their first 2 games as well but have been a little wishy washy. In their first game their offense looked great putting up 41 points on the Lions but their defense allowed them to come back in that game letting the Lions score 33 points. Then last week, the 49ers defense played great as they held the Eagles to 11 points but their offense only managed to put up 17 points themselves. Aaron Rodgers looks like he's ready for the season now and he has a lot of weapons to work with on that offense in both the running game and the passing game. They will be looking to be the best in the NFC this season and that starts here with taking down one of the undefeated teams. I like the Packers to cover the spread here and win the game in an upset. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Packers. |
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09-26-21 | Bengals v. Steelers -3 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers. I like the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the spread against the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. The Steelers started their year off strong with an upset win over the Bills in Buffalo but then lost at home to the Raiders in their last game. They will be at home for a 2nd game in a row and they have the Bengals in a divisional battle here. The Steelers will be angry about losing last week in their first home game and they will make sure to not let it happen again here. They still have one of the best defenses in the league and the way the Bengals moved on offense last week, they should be able to stop them in this game. The Bengals lost to the Bears last week 20-17 in a game that they had every opportunity to take. The game was 7-3 up until the 4th quarter when they let the Bears pull away 20-3 before starting to come back. Andy Dalton left injured in that game and their defense was not able to stop the rookie QB Justin Fields. Now they will have a much more seasoned Steelers team on their hands here. Burrow also threw 3 interceptions against the Bears and if he is going to turn the ball over like that in this game then the Steelers defense is going to have a field day with him. I like the Steelers to bounce back at home in this game and get the win and the cover. T.M. Prediction: 23-17 Steelers. |
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09-26-21 | Chargers v. Chiefs -7 | 30-24 | Loss | -104 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs. I like the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread against the LA Chargers on Sunday. The Chiefs were handed their first loss of the season last week to the Baltimore Ravens on the road and the stinger is the score as they lost 36-35. They had a chance to win that game with a field goal in the dying seconds of the game but Clyde Edwards-Helaire fumbled the ball away at the worst possible time giving the Ravens the win in an upset. They will be angry from that loss and they will be looking to take it out on the Chargers here as it is a divisional game. Justin Herbert is a good QB but he still has a few more things to learn and he also lacks the weapons that Mahomes and the Chiefs possess. The Chiefs have a very good offense with some of the most talented players in the NFL. The Chargers have some good vets on their team but no where near as good as the Chiefs. Their defense also allowed a ton of yards to the Ravens last week so I expect that problem to get corrected in practice before coming into this game. The game as at Arrowhead with all the Chiefs fans too. I like the Chiefs here to cover in a bounce back win for them. T.M. Prediction: 35-21 Chiefs. |
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09-25-21 | Troy -23.5 v. UL-Monroe | 16-29 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Troy. I like Troy to cover the spread against Louisiana Monroe on Saturday. Troy has been playing well in their games this season, more specifically their defense. They have only allowed double digit points to 1 team this season in their loss to Liberty, and they only allowed 21 points in that game. LA-Monroe has only played in 2 games but they have looked awful in both. Their first game was a slaughter losing by 35 points against Kentucky. Their last game they won by 5 points, but it was against Jackson State, a team from the FCS that they should have pulled away from and won by a much larger margin. LA-Monroe just isn't that good though so those are the kinds of teams that are on their similar skill level. When Troy went up against a team from the FCS in their game, they won 55-3. Troy is the better team here and they have a good enough defense to stop LA-Monroe here. I expect Monroe to struggle to score points here as Troy pulls away making the gap larger and larger with every point they score. I like Troy to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 35-7 Troy. |
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09-25-21 | Colorado State v. Iowa -22.5 | 14-24 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Iowa. I like Iowa to cover the spread against Colorado State on Saturday. Iowa has had some strong showings in their first few games to start the season here. They have an upset win over their rival Iowa State by 10 points in a shocker. They also have a 28 point win over Indiana and a 23 point win over Kent State, both of those games were at home. Colorado State bounced back with a big win over Toledo last week but they still have 2 home losses to Vanderbilt and to South Dakota State. Iowa has a good defense which will make it difficult for the Rams to move the ball on the road here. The only game Colorado State won this season, they were able to run the ball in it. Iowa has not allowed any of their opponents to rush for 100+ total yards in a game against them this season. Iowa will be able to stunt their offense and pull away themselves on the scoreboard. I like Iowa to cover this spread here at home. T.M. Prediction: 35-3 Iowa. |
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09-25-21 | Rutgers v. Michigan -20 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan. I like Michigan to cover the spread against Rutgers on Saturday. Michigan has looked good this season on both offense and defense and they look like they are getting back to that powerhouse team that they used to be. All of their wins this season have been by 21+ points, their most impressive one was a 31-10 win over Washington. They pretty much ripped out Washington's game plan in that one and used it against them as they were able to tear their defense up in the run game while stopping it themselves with their defense. This will be their first conference game this season and they will be out to make a statement in this game. Michigan is not just looking for a Big 10 title at this point, they want consideration for the college football playoffs so I expect them to win their games in blowout fashion, especially these important conference ones. Rutgers has also been winning their games by a large margin but between Temple and Syracuse, those are the toughest opponents they have faced this season and they only came away with a 10 point win over the Orange. Michigan has a solid defense and will be able to stop the Rutgers offense here. They also have a very good running game and a smart quarterback who makes good decisions when he throws the ball. I like Michigan to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 42-10 Michigan. |
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09-25-21 | Georgia -35 v. Vanderbilt | 62-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Georgia. I like Georgia to cover the spread against Vanderbilt on Saturday. Georgia is ranked 2nd in the country and they are coming off of some wins by large margins after getting their 10-7 win over Clemson in week 1. Their defense held UAB to 7 points winning that game by 49 and they held South Carolina to 13 winning that one by 27. Vanderbilt is one of the worst teams in the SEC, if not the worst. They just lost by 18 at home to Stanford and the Cardinal is no where near as good as Georgia. What's even worse is they opened the season with a 20 point loss at home to East Tennessee State. Georgia has one of the best defenses in the country and it will be tough for Vanderbilt to find ways to score here. Georgia likes to throw the ball so they will be good for some quick scores to go up a lot here but their defense will also be keeping the Commodores in check. I like Georgia to cover the spread here as they will keep Vanderbilt off the scoreboard for quite some time. T.M. Prediction: 48-7 Georgia. |
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09-24-21 | Liberty -6.5 v. Syracuse | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Liberty. I like Liberty to cover the spread against Syracuse on Friday. Liberty has started their season undefeated after 3 games and they have looked really good with their offense. Malik Willis has done nothing but impressed since he started the season. He is not only playing well and passing accurately but he is also finding ways to get himself out of high pressure situations and he has been making some wonky Patrick Mahomes style throws in their games that just make you wonder how even got the pass off and to the receiver. He is a special kind of talent that is leading his team to victories by large margins, not just squeaking by. Syracuse is 2-1 this year but their 2 wins came against Albany and Ohio. As soon as they faced a tougher opponent in Rutgers they lost and were not able to do much with the ball in a 17-7 game. Liberty is just the better team here and they have a quarterback that will do what he needs to do to make the smart plays and the big plays to win this game. I like Liberty to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Liberty. |
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09-23-21 | Marshall +7 v. Appalachian State | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Marshall. I like the Marshall to cover the spread against Appalachian State on Thursday. Marshall has not had any troubles of offense this season, scoring almost 40 points in every single game. Their offense is spread out evenly as they have a good running game and passing game that they can use to move the ball down the field well. They suffered their first loss of the season last week against East Carolina, losing that one by 4. App State has also looked good on offense as they have been scoring some points in their games. Their 1 loss came against Miami by 2 points. The last time these 2 teams played was last year and Marshall won that game 17-7. This will be a game that both teams are going to get up for so I like it to stay close as I think no one is going to pull away by a lot here. Marshall will also be looking to repeat the result from last year. Both teams are strong enough where their goals for the season are to win their own conference titles. I expect this game to be close between 2 good offensive teams here so I like Marshall to cover. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 App State. |
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09-19-21 | Rams -3.5 v. Colts | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams. I like the LA Rams to cover the spread against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. The Rams looked good in week 1 with their new quarterback Matthew Stafford. He threw for 300+ yards and had 3 touchdown passes in the game as his team scored 34 points. He also had some really good targets in Cooper Kupp and Van Jefferson on the receiving side. The Colts looked disappointing in their game in week 1. They lost at home to the Seahawks and only managed to put up 16 points in the process. Carson Wentz didn't play a bad game but he has no wide receivers to throw the ball to. Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines led the team in both rushing yards and receiving yards. You cannot run an NFL offense like that and it will not go very far if it continues. The Rams have the good QB and the weapons surrounding him in both the running and receiving. The Colts already suffered a big loss at home in week 1 and they will be sufferring from another in week 2. The spread is small here but the Rams will win this game by at least a touchdown. I like the Rams to cover. T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Rams. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers -6 | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers. I like the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the spread against the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday. The Steelers went on the road in week 1 as an underdog and not only did they cover the spread, they came out of that game with the upset victory and it was in Buffalo. The Bills have a very good team this year on both offense and defense. The Steelers were able to go into Buffalo and hold their good offense to just 16 points. The Steelers themselves have a very good defense. The Raiders also came away with their own upset in week 1 on Monday night football. They were at home for that game though, and Derek Carr threw for 400+ yards in their new stadium. He will not be able to do that here on the road in Pittsburgh against this defense. They will struggle to move the ball all day against this team, possibly the best defense in the NFL right now. Big Ben will find ways to move the ball down the field in this game as the Raiders do not have a great defense. I like the Steelers here at home to get the job done and cover this spread. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Steelers. |
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09-19-21 | Bengals +2.5 v. Bears | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals. I like the Cincinnati Bengals to cover the spread against the Chicago Bears on Sunday. The Bengals won their home opener against the Vikings in OT last week. That was a game where the Bengals led for most of the game. Joe Burrow played well throwing for 250+ yards and did not have any interceptions. The Bears lost their first game of the season by 20 in LA against the Rams. They will be at home for this game but it really doesn't matter where they are playing the game, because Andy Dalton is still the starting quarterback. He was awful in the preseason and, although he played a bit better in week 1, he still got nothing going for this offense. I have said it already that this Bears team is going to be a bet against as long as Andy Dalton is still the starter. Justin Fields is a much better player in the game for the team and until the Dalton anchor is lifted, this team will be going no where. The Bears failed to cover an 8.5 point spread last week while the Bengals not only covered the spread, but they came out with an upset win. I like the Bengals in another upset win here in this game. T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Bengals. |
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09-18-21 | Arkansas State v. Washington -16 | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Huskies. I like the Washington Huskies to cover the spread against Arkansas State on Saturday. Washington are a big favorite in this game and will need to bounce back after losing their first 2 games of the season now. They lost their last game to Michigan and will be looking to get their first win of the season here. Dylan Morris was not too accurate in the passing game but still threw for 293 yards and 1 touchdown in that game. They did not establish any run game though as Michigan played very well on defense. They should be able to run the ball in this game though as they will set the tone and pace of the game early. Arkansas State are 1-1 on the season after losing their last game to Memphis. They scored 50 points in that loss to Memphis but Memphis does not have the greatest defense out there. Washington is much better on defense and should be able to stop the Red Wolves from moving the ball up the field and scoring touchdowns. The Red Wolves threw the ball a lot and did not have much of a run game at all. The Huskies have a great pass defense though as they have allowed just 150 passing yards total against them through 2 games. Washington has something to prove here after 2 bad losses so I expect the defense to play a good game as they run up the score on Arkansas State. Washington covers the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 42-13 Washington. |
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09-18-21 | Georgia Southern v. Arkansas -22.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas. I like Arkansas to cover the spread against Georgia Southern on Saturday. Arkansas has been having a very good start to the season. They blew out Rice by 21 points in week 1 and then blew out Texas by 19 in a monster upset win for them. Now they get a bad Georgia Southern team at home for their 3rd straight game. Georgia Southern won their game in week 1 by 5 points against a team from the FCS. Fast forward to week 2 when they have an opponent from the FBS and they get slaughtered 38-6 by a weak FAU team. If Georgia Southern is losing to FAU by 30+ points then they don't stand a chance here. Arkansas has already pulled off a big upset against a ranked Texas team and will still be at home for this game with their fans filling the stadium. This is going to be a huge blowout for the Razorbacks. Their offense was very balanced with both their passing and their rushing. Give me Arkansas to cover this large spread. T.M. Prediction: 42-10 Arkansas. |
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09-18-21 | Virginia Tech +2.5 v. West Virginia | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Virginia Tech. I like Virginia Tech to cover the spread against West Virginia on Saturday. Virginia Tech started their year off on the right foot. They played a tough UNC team at home and came away with the 7 point victory. Then they got a weaker opponent in Middle Tennessee and they blew them out by about 20 points. West Virginia got a monster win by 66 points against LIU last week but when they played a tougher opponent in week 1 with Maryland, they ended up losing by 6. They did not get much of a run game going against Maryland and Doege struggled in that game turning the ball over twice. Braxton Burmeister has been the better quarterback through 2 games so I like the Hokies to cover this spread in an upset win in this rivalry game between 2 Virginia teams. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Virginia Tech. |
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09-17-21 | Maryland v. Illinois +7 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Illinois. I like Illinois to cover the spread against Maryland on Friday. Illinois is 1-2 this season but that 1 win came at the start of the season in a conference game against their Big 10 opponent Nebraska. Illinois was at home for that game and came in as the underdog coming out of the game with the 8 point win. Their offense did not play great in their last game against UVA but that one was on the road. So far, Illinois is 1-1 at home but has managed to put up a good fight in each game scoring 30 points in both. The game they lost at home to UTSA was by 7 points which is what the spread is in this game currently. Maryland is 2-0 but have not really faced any tough competition yet. This will be their 1st conference game of the year, not only that but, this will also be their 1st road game of the year as well. Illinois has already shown that they can play well at home and against these conference opponents. Maryland has been good this season but are here in their 1st conference game and their 1st road game as well. Give me the points with the home team as Illinois will cover this spread in a close game. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Maryland. |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Giants. I like the New York Giants to cover the spread here against the Washington Football Team on Thursday night football. The Giants lost their first game of the season to the Broncos 27-13 at home and they did not establish much of a run game in that one. They have a very good running back on their team in Saquon Barkley and I expect him to have a much better game here. Daniel Jones also played alright throwing for 267 passing yards and 1 touchdown. He also has 3 solid receivers to throw to in Shepard, Slayton, and Golladay. Washington lost their first game of the season to the Chargers 20-16 and they lost their starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick in that game. Taylor Heinicke will be the starter and he played most of the game last week in that loss. He does have some NFL experience but he has been sort of a journeyman throughout his career, never really finding a home for himself. The receiving corps on this team are not the strongest either so he will not have a lot of big playmakers helping him out here putting more pressure on him to make the plays. This game is on Thursday so neither team get a lot of time to prepare and this is a divisional matchup too. This game is very important as the NFC East is wide open and has been for years for anyone to take and just dominate it so I expect this to be a very close game instead of a blowout for one side. I like the Giants to cover here. T.M. Prediction: 23-20 Giants. |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders +4.5 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 102 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas Raiders. I like the Las Vegas Raiders to cover the spread against the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night. The Raiders looked pretty good in the preseason and they did not have many of their starters on the field. Derek Carr has made some improvements at practice and is looking like a much better quarterback now and I think he will translate that to the game. The Ravens looked good in the preseason but they played teams that were not playing any starters. They will have to travel to Vegas for this game and I think the Raiders will want to put a show on in front of their home fans. Raiders get the cover here. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Ravens. |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams -7.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams. I like the LA Rams to cover the spread against the Chicago Bears on Sunday night. The Rams acquired Matt Stafford in a trade during the offseason and they will be eager to test him out in this game. He defintely has some better weapons here in LA than he did in Detroit and he was already a great quarterback over there, a bright spot on a dull team. He should get this eplosive offense moving again especially with Sean McVay calling the plays. The Bears have insisted that Andy Dalton will be the starting quarterback for them in the regular season and he has done nothing but look awful in the preseason. The offense clearly runs better with Justin Fields at the helm and until they make that change the Bears will be a bet aginst team so I like the Rams to cover in a blowout fashion. T.M. Prediction: 31-14 Rams. |
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09-12-21 | Vikings v. Bengals +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals. I like the Cincinnati Bengals to cover the spread against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. The Bengals did not look that bad in the preseason and their starters were not even playing in most of the games. Now they will have Joe Burrow at the helm for week 1 with some good young pieces at receiver and running back that he can work with. The Vikings did not look good at all in the preseason and even though they did not have many starters playing either, it was the defense that looked like it needed some improvement. Joe Burrow is an electric player and now with some NFL experience under his belt, he should be able to have a breakout season. I expect him to come out and make a statement here in their first game of the season at home. The Bengals have a chance to even upset the Vikings in this game so I like them to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Bengals. |
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09-12-21 | Chargers +1 v. Washington Football Team | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers. I like the LA Chargers to cover the spread against the Washington Football Team on Sunday. The LA Chargers did not look too good in the preseason but we did not get to see Justin Herbert even hit the field. He will be the starter in week 1 and he had a great season last year. He will continue that great play into this season now that he has some valuable experience as an NFL starter. His team also has a good running game to back him up and he has some veteran wide receivers that can make the big plays in the passing game. The Washington Football Team has a goo defense and some good quarterbacks but they lack some good weapons to throw the ball too. Their running game is also on the weaker side so they will need to play very well in the passing game to move the ball. The Chargers are more well rounded on their offense so I expect them to win this game here on the road. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Chargers. |
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09-11-21 | San Diego State +2.5 v. Arizona | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 57 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego State Aztechs. I like the SDSU Aztechs to cover the spread against the Arizona Wldcats on Saturday. The Aztechs won their first game of the season and their offense was pretty good, especially in the run game. They only had 100+ passing yards in that game but they put up 200+ rushing yards and played a good defensive game as well. Arizona lost their first game to BYU but their quarterback played well with 300+ receiving yards. They had no run game in that game though and a 1 dimensional offense will be a problem against a SDSU team that has a great defense. Arizona will not be able to move the ball well on this team and SDSU is they type to grind it out on defense and win a low scoring game. Arizona is not a good team so I think that SDSU will cover this spread and can even upset them in this game. T.M. Prediction: 26-20 SDSU. |
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09-11-21 | Oregon +14.5 v. Ohio State | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oregon Ducks. I like the Oregon Ducks to cover the spread against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday. Oregon won against Fresno State in their last game putting up 31 points in that game. They had a good running game rushing for over 150 yards and they also had over 150 passing yards in the game. Their defense came up big in that one with lots of tackles and multiple players getting the quarterback on the pass rush. OSU beat Minnesota in their first game putting up 45 points themselves but they got off to a very slow start in that game only putting up 10 points in the first half finding themselves behind. Minnesota's defense was able to keep them at bay for the first half but that did not last long after halftime. OSU only ended up winning that game by 14 points. Oregon has a much better defense than Minnesota so they should keep this a closer game. I like them to cover the spread here and keep it close. T.M. Prediction: 34-24 OSU. |
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09-11-21 | Miami-OH v. Minnesota -18 | 26-31 | Loss | -113 | 47 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Golden Gophers. I like the Minnesota Golden Gophers to cover the spread against the Miami RedHawks on Saturday. Minnesota played a good game against OSU, especially in the first half, putting up 31 total points themselves in that game. Their offense was hot in both the passing game and the run game with 200+ passing yards and 200+ rushing yards in the game against OSU. They will be up against a much weaker RedHawks team now. Miami OH got smashed by Cincinnati in their last game only putting up 14 points in that game. They did not have much going on offense at all barely passing for 100+ yards and 100+ rushing yards. They are one of the worst in the MAC and Minnesota is a very good team. They will get the cover here in a blowout fashion. T.M. Prediction: 41-10 Minnesota. |
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09-04-21 | LSU -2.5 v. UCLA | 27-38 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
I like the LSU Tigers to cover the spread against the UCLA Bruins on Saturday. LSU fininshed last season with an overall record of 5-5 and they will be looking to improve on that this year. UCLA did not even finish last season with a winning one going 3-4 through the year. LSU finished last season strong with wins against the Florida Gators and Ole Miss. UCLA finished their last season with losses against USC and Stanford. LSU has the better coach and is a more talented program. The line is pretty small here so I like LSU to cover the number. T.M. Prediction: 31-24 LSU. |
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09-04-21 | Kent State v. Texas A&M -29 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
I like Texas A&M to cover the spread against Kent State on Saturday. Kent State finished last season 3-1 but don't let that record fool you. Their 3 wins came against Akron, Bowling Green, and Eastern Michigan, all of whom had a losing record and were some of the worst teams in the MAC. They only beat EMU by 4 points too, then they capped their season off with a 29 point loss to Buffalo. Texas A&M is much better than Buffalo is and also plays in a tougher conference. They had some big double digit wins last season against much stronger opponents. They are the 6th ranked team in the country coming into this game and they are going to cover the spread here. T.M. Prediction: 45-10 Texas A&M. |
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09-04-21 | Miami-OH v. Cincinnati -22.5 | Top | 14-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bearcats I have a hard time seeing Miami Ohio mustering up much of an offensive attack here today. The RedHawks went 2-1 last year, while tthe Bearcats went 9-1. Brett Gabbert isn't going to be able to keep pace with Desmond Ridder, who is out for a Heisman this season. The Bearscats are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. The RedHawks are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 in the same position. I look for the home side to go up early, and then to cruise to victory; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-7 Cincy |
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09-03-21 | Duke -6 v. Charlotte | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke Both teams have plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball. Each had difficulties last year, but most teams did during the abbreviated Covid season. The bottom line here for me though today gentlemen is that the Blue Devils hammered Charlotte 53-19 last year and I expect a similar sort of outcome today as well. Gunnar Holmberg doesn't have a lot of experience as QB, but he's been with Duke for three years. He knows the system and that's a small advantage he has. Duke gave up 38.1 PPG last year, but it was decimated with injury and COVID issues. I expect a BIG step up from this group today. The 49ers were also hit hard by COVID last season. Chris Reynolds is a decent QB, but I think he'll have his hands full today with this improved Duke defense. The Blue Devils are better across the board and I look for them to pull away in the fourth quarter. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 45-21 Duke |
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09-02-21 | Bowling Green v. Tennessee -35 | 6-38 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tennesee Volunteers The Vols are retooled and revamped and a huge favorite for good reason here on Opening night for each club. Bowling Green on the other hand was a complete disaster last season. It went winless in the abbreviated campaign and it's once again expected to finish last in the MAC. The Falcons only averaged 11 points per game on 326 yards. They'll improve on the offensive side with five starters returning. However, the defense was a joke, allowing over 300 yards rushing per contest. The Vols will be out to run up the score here from the get go after their 3-7 season. Josh Heupel is the new head coach in Tennessee and he'll have 12 starters rurning. Joe Milton transferred from Michigan and he'll have plenty of weapons around him. I don't see Bowling Green competing whatsoever. It will likely get a few points in garbage time, but only because Tennessee has such a massive lead. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 52-17 Vols |
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08-28-21 | Nebraska v. Illinois +7 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Off a 3-5 season, Nebraska is looking for a big win to kick things off on the right foot in 2021. The last time they had a winning season was alll the way back in 2016. Last season, when these two team met, Illinois took it to them, as they won 41-23. Illinois brings in a new Head Coach as well as Defensive Coordinator which should help get this defense filled with skill back on track here. Also, look for WR Isaiah Williams, former 4star QB recruit, to make some noise in this one with his pass catching ability. I'm expecting a much similar outcome to last year in this one. Take the Fighting Illini plus the points. T.M. Prediction 26-23 Illinois |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). With Patrick Mahomes playing, I think the home side is going to find a way to get the job done here. These team's met in Week 6 and the Chiefs pulled out the 23-16 victory. I expect a few more points to be scored here, but I do think we'll see an even bigger points discrepancy. The Bills won with their tough defensive play last weekend in a 17-3 victory over the Ravens, but that was on a chilly day at home. Overall Buffalo's defense has been its weak point this year and I think that's finally going to come back to haunt it, as the Chiefs have the offense to keep up with this high-octane Bills' offense. Experience at this level is crucial and the Chiefs and Andy Reid are light years ahead of their counterparts in that regard. I'm banking on Mahomes delivering an MVP performance and putting Allen in his place; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-17-21 | Browns +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 98 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (8* MONEY-MAKER). If you're betting on this game, then you already know the strengths and weaknesses of each of these high-profile teams, things known even by casual NFL fans. The Browns have gone through some adversity with injuries to key players (OBJ) and other COVID related stuff this year. The Browns have a good offense, that revolves around the dominant run game of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Baker Mayfield has been great in limiting mistakes this season. The Chiefs once again eclipsed their season win total (for an eighth straight year), but they've shown signs of weakness already this season, most famously their meltdown at home to the Raiders. The Browns are a lot better than Las Vegas. Andy Reid has had extra time off to prepare, but I think the home side's defense will have its hands full here this afternoon. I expect a competitive battle until the end, so I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-10-21 | Bears v. Saints -10 | 9-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Saints (8*). How did the Bears even make it into the playoffs? Chicago had a revolving door at QB this year. Chicago lost at home to the Saints in the middle of the season. The Bears are good defensively, but bad on the offensive end. The Saints had to deal with some COVID issues in the latter part of the season, but the main group is ready to go and I expect Brees to lay the hammer down early and often. This is going to get ugly. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -114 | 46 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Titans (8*). The Titans upset the Ravens in last year's playoffs and they also won in OT against Baltimore back in early November. Baltimore has troubles with this potent offense. Derrick Henry is always a load to slow down, but Tennessee QB Ryan Tannehill is definitely under-rated. The only winning team that Baltimore has beaten though over its current five-game win streak is Cleveland. The Titans are in fact 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 in this series, while Baltimore is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 after allowing 150 or more yards passing in its last outing. I'm grabbing the points (but not going to be surprised by an outright upset either!) T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks -3 | 30-20 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seahawks (8*). Seattle lost the first game against the Rams, but then it beat LA 20-9 in Week 17 to clinch the NFC West. Seattle is simply the better team here. Granted, the Rams are very good on the defensive side of the ball, but LA's offense just can't be trusted on the road here. The Hawks' defense is without question their weak point, but the unit improved dramatically over the final part of the season. I don't see this one being close at all, so lay the points and expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-09-21 | Colts v. Bills -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bills (8*). I really respect the Colts, as Philip Rivers has definitely done much better than I could have predicted. Buffalo has the overall better offense, while the Colts have the better defense. Timing and momentum are important though and the Bills' play on the defensive side of the ball has been a lot better over the last month. I expect the Bills to use home field to their advantage here and to pull away in the fourth quarter. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-03-21 | Seahawks -6.5 v. 49ers | 26-23 | Loss | -112 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Hawks (8*). San Francisco has absolutely nothing to play for here. It can't even really play spoiler, as Seattle has clinched the division and a playoff spot. If the Hawks win and get outside help though, they still have a chance at moving up. Look for the more motivated side to keep the intensity dialed up in Week 17 as it gets ready for the playoffs; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-03-21 | Steelers +10.5 v. Browns | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Steelers (8*). The Steelers have clinched a spot. The Browns desperately need a win here to qualify, but they're still dealing with COVID issues to several key players. Despite having already locked down a playoff spot, I don't expect Pittsburgh to simply roll over here. In fact, Pittsburgh would love to post a win here, knock the Browns out of contention and keep the momentum rolling into the post-season. Outright is probably not going to happen, but look for this one to be much closer than expected; and grab up those points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-03-21 | Dolphins v. Bills -3 | 26-56 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bills (8*). I love the Bills here. Buffalo swept the season series with the Patriots last weekend in Foxborough and it still has a chance to lock down a better spot with a win today. Miami needs a win to qualify, but I think that's asking too much in this difficult road venue for a rookie QB to handle. Note that Ryan Fitzpatrick has been ruled out for this game as well for the visitors, so if Tua struggles, there is no safety net anymore. Look for the Bills improving defense to be the difference here; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana -6.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -115 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Bowl games can be difficult to judge at times, as teams sometimes have several weeks off between games. They're from different conferences and don't have any common opponents on the season. Now throw in this weird Pandemic year factor and it gets even more convoluted on the criteria in which we can use to finalize our selections. Yes, Ole Miss has one of the best offenses in the nation, averaging 40.9 PPG, but it also has one of the worst defenses in the nation, conceding 40.3. The Hoosiers have won six of their last seven games and they got cheated out of their chance of playing in the Big Ten Championship and even competing for a spot in the College Football Playoff. Indiana doesn't have Pennix Jr. in, but Jack Tuttle leads a great offense and the Hoosiers only allow 19.5 PPG. Look for Indiana to take out its frustrations on this poor Ole Miss team; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky -2.5 v. NC State | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). NC State and Bailey Hockman were "OK," but the Wolfpack simply are unable to stop anyone. NC State averages 31.1 PPG, but it allows 29.7. Terry Wilson and Hockman are a "wash" here in my opinion. Kentucky averaged only 21.7 PPG, while allowing 26.4. Kentucky has faced the stiffer schedule though, and despite being down a few pieces on the defensive end, I still think the Wildcats are much, much better in that department. I look for this game to be decided in the trenches and I like Kentucky to find a way to get the job done in the end; lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -115 | 107 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (FIRST HALF MONEY-MAKER). I think the correct call here is Clemson in the FIRST HALF. These teams feature a lot of talent on both sides of the ball. They have similar offensive and defensive numbers and each features one of the best QB's in the nation. So why will the Tigers jump out to an early lead in the first half in my opinion? The Buckeyes beat Northwestern 22-10 in the Big Ten Championship, but note that they were down 10-6 at half time. I like Clemson's superior defense to hold OSU down in the first half here as well. I'm laying the points and expceting it to pay immediate dividends for us in the FIRST HALF. T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Georgia | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Georgia was 7-2, its only losses coming to Flordia and Alabama. The Bulldogs finished 37th in the nation in scoring and 20th in points allowed. The Bearcats though have something to prove here in my opinion after getting snubbed from the big games after finishing the regular season 9-0. Cincy was 15th in the nation in scoring and 17th in the nation in defense. JT Daniels and Georgia average 33.2 PPG, while dual-threat Desmond Ridder leads a potent offense, which is backed by a defense which concedes only 17 PPG. This is a statement game for the Bearcats and its pretty meaningless for Georgia. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -9 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -117 | 76 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* MONEY-MAKER). Ball State has won six straight, including vs. the Buffalo Bulls in the Conference Title game. The Cardinals average 34.3 PPG, but now they face the best defense they've seen all year in the Spartans, who allow just 17.86 PPG. The Spartans also average 30.9 PPG, while the Cardinals concede 27.6. Drew Pitt is a good quarterback, but I think he'll struggle vs. this suffocating Spartans defensive front, as I expect it to turn the Cards offense very one-dimensional. The Spartans are also 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 following a SU win, while the Cardinals are in fact 0-4 ATS in their last four Bowl contests. Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-30-20 | Wisconsin -7 v. Wake Forest | Top | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wisconsin (BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR). Wake Forest has a good offense, but its opponents have been suspect. One thing for sure though, Wake Forest is downright terrible on the defensive side of the ball. Wake QB Sam Hartman is decent, but they've allowed a combined 105 points over two straight losses. Hartman was poor in the loss to Louisville as well, going just 17 of 41 for 224 yards. Graham Mertz is a game manager for the Badgers, but he was decent in the win over the tough Gophers, going 12 of 20 for 132 yards and a TD. Wisconsin is also 4-1 ATS in its last five non-conference games. Wake's offense is decent, but I think the Badgers are the more complete team. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 34-17 Wisconsin. |
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12-27-20 | Panthers v. Washington Football Team -1.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 80 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington (9* TRADE-MARK). The Panthers are horrible, I expect them to just go through the motions here today. Carolina has lost its last three games straight and eight of its last nine. Washington though is still in the playoff hunt despite a 6-8 record. The Panthers are only averaging 23.1 points per game this year, while allowing 25.4. Washington on the other hand averages 21.6 PPG, while allowing 21.0. Ron Rivera gets a golden opportuity to stick it to his former team and I look for him to do just that in friendly confines; lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-27-20 | Bengals +8.5 v. Texans | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 77 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Two teams with nothing to play for here. Cincy is 3-10-1 and Houston is 4-10. These teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest though, as Houston's defense is truly putrid, ranked 31st overall, and allowing 150.5 rushing yards per game. Look for the Bengals to lean heavily on RB Giovani Bernard this weekend. Houston is a poor 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 as a favorite as well, while the Bengals are a solid 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. clubs with losing records. No outright straight-up, but look for this one to be a nail-biter (and make sure to grab as many points as you can!) T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-27-20 | Falcons +10.5 v. Chiefs | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 77 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Falcons (9* ANNIHILATION). I'm not going to try and convince you that ATL is a good team that's just suffered some bad beats, and that the Chiefs are in fact overrated, as obviously that's not the case. The Falcons have had issues all year with injuries and it's resulted in another uneven performance this season. The Chiefs are firmly on their way to a 15-1 regular season record, but with the Chargers coming to town to finish off the campaign, I don't expect the home side to really run up the score and "keep the foot on the gas" so to speak. The Chiefs are now already planning for the playoffs. The Falcons and Matt Ryan will continue to play hard and while I'm not calling for a huge upset or anything, this is definitely too many points to be giving up considering the situation; the play is the Falcons! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +3 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 61 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Raiders (8* MONEY-MAKER). Miami hasn't clinched a spot yet, so it needs a win here to keep pace. The Raiders will be eliminated completely from contention today if they don't win though. For me this pick is simple, as it comes down to just one thing. The men under center. Tua or Carr? I trust the veteran in this situation for sure. Yes, the Raiders have many flaws, but when focussed, Las Vegas has played very well, including one of the biggest upsets in NFL history at Arrow Head earlier in the season. Look for Jon Gruden to have something up his sleeve today for Miami's rookie QB, but grab the points just in case! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky v. Georgia State -3.5 | Top | 21-39 | Win | 100 | 56 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Georgia State was crushed by 51 points by Coastal Carolina on Halloween, but since then the Panthers have outscored their last four opponents by a total of 126-89. Georgia State QB Cornelius Brown IV is a difference-maker for me, he's played great over his last two games, going for the biggest passing yardage of the season thus far over those contests. WKU's offense is one of the worst in the nation and while it's defense is decent, I can't see the Hilltoppers keeping pace in the second half. Note as well that WKU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. the Sun Belt, while the Panthers are interestingly 6-2 ATS in their last eight games that fall on a Saturday. Does that matter? It doesn't hurt! Look for the Panthers to pull away for a comfortable cover and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -6.5 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints (10* TRADE-MARK). The Saints have lost three straight, while Minnesota has dropped two in a row. The big difference between these teams heading into Week 16 though is that New Orleans has clinched a playoff spot and still has an opportunity to impove its standings, while the Vikings have been all but eliminated. Where is the motivation going to come from the Vikings today, who let a crucial and late lead slip away in last weekend's crushing loss to division rival Chicago? I like Drew Brees to bounce back from last week's loss to the defending champs and to lay the hammer down from start to finish. A great "common sense" selection; I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 33-21 Saints. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -4.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* TOP PLAY). Marshall is 7-2, but it comes in on terrible form having dropped two in a row, most recently a 22-13 setback to UAB. The Bulls are 5-1 and their only loss came last time out in a 38-28 setback to Ball State. Buffalo was favored in that contest, but I think the Bulls will bounce back here. Note that Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss, while Marshall is a poor 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU win. I look for these strong trends to continue; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-23-20 | Georgia Southern -6 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia Southern (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Despite Shai Werts out for this one, I still think Georgia Southern's loaded roster will find a way to deliver the goods in the New Orleans Bowl. Georgia Southern is dominant on the defensive end, allowing just 22.3 PPG. Miller Mosley is likely getting the start for Georgia Southern, and he'll be going against a poor LA Tech defense which allowed a ghastly 34.3 PPG this year. The only reason LA Tech is in this Bowl is because of the weird pandemic year. As stated off the top, despite Werts being out, I still like Georgia Southern to easily dominate this one; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). No need to overthink this one. UCF has been great offensively, averaging 44.3 PPG, but it concedes 31.4 PPG. That's not going to cut it here vs. this hungry Cougars side, which averages 43 PPG and allows just 14.6. BYU QB Zach Wilson is going to have a big day today; note that he finished by completing 73.2 percent of his passes for 30 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The Golden Knights were miserable against the pass and I can't see them keeping pace as the game comes down the stretch; lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +13 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 152 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Steelers have lost two in a row. They're coming to town without starting running back James Conner as well, which turns the offense extremely one-dimensional. Big Ben has reached the point of the season where fatigue is a major factor, and without his star RB to keep the Bengals pass rush honest, I think the veteran is going to be in for a long day here. Pittsburgh definitely has zero motivation here to run up the score if it does in fact have a lead, instead it'll be looking to kill the clock and avoid any further injuries. But for Brandon Allen and the Bengals, this is a big game to prove themselves and to try and solidify their job for next season. I love the Bengals here, but I won't call for an outright upset; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Pittsburgh. |
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12-21-20 | North Texas v. Appalachian State -21 | Top | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Appalachian State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Yes, the Mean Green offense has been good this year. But has that been because of the level of competition it's faced? North Texas and Austin Aune average 35.1 PPG, but guess what? UNT is terrible defensively, allowing 41.3. The only reason UNT is in this Bowl Game is because of the weird Covid issues we're all under. App State is a lot better, on both sides of the ball. Overall Zac Thomas and the Mountaineers average 31.8 PPG. And guess what?! The defense has been even better, conceding only 19.3 points and just 314.2 yards per game. Look for App State's tough defensive play to prove to be too much for UNT in the end; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 41-11 App State. |
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12-20-20 | Browns -4 v. Giants | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 128 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Browns (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). If the Browns had actually beaten the Ravens last weekend, then I'd likely be going the other way, but the fact that Cleveland lost makes me love the visiting side in this situation. The Browns have no reason to look past the Giants today, as they'll stay in the Big Apple to play the Jets next weekend, before a regular season thriller at home vs. the Steelers. Cleveland has to be looking at the Steelers' recent slide and thinking that it has a golden opportunity here to win these next two games, and take out the Steelers in the finale. If so, and if Pittsburgh continues to struggle the next two games, the Browns have a shot at moving up in the playoff standings. One game at a time. Cleveland's depth on offense and its above par defense are the differences today for me; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Cleveland. |
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12-20-20 | Bucs -5.5 v. Falcons | 31-27 | Loss | -113 | 121 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (9* DIVISIONAL DOMINATOR). The Falcons have lost two straight and I think they'll struggle here vs. this determined Bucs team, which comes in off a momentum-building 26-14 win over the Vikings. Tampa is now in sixth in the NFC standings. Overall the Bucs average 28.5 PPG and they allow 22.6. ATL has lost three of four. The Falcons average 25.2 PPG and they concede 24.8. ATL is also just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records, while Tampa is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Expect Tampa to lay the hammer down from start to finish and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Tampa. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins -2 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 121 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins (9* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE). They say that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Dolphins lost to the Patriots 21-11 at the start of the season in New England, but with a win today they'll further cement their playoff spot, while also dealing the final nail in the coffin for their rivals' chances at a post-season position. It's a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of Miami. Both teams come off losses, although Miam fell in a tight 33-27 setback to the defending champion Chiefs, while the Patriots were annihilated 24-3 at the Rams. Look for Miami's superior play and the big revenge factor to be the difference and lay the points with confidence! T.M. Prediction: 31-11 Miami. |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -3 | 33-27 | Loss | -120 | 121 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Vikings (8* MONEY-MAKER). It's a must win game for both teams. Divisional contests always mean the most and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Minnesota will be desperate here to bounce back after a 26-14 loss at Tampa Bay last time out. The Vikes won this game 19-13 in Chicago in early November and I believe that behind a big dose of Dalvin Cook, that they'll win by an even bigger margin on Sunday. Chicago managed a 36-7 win over Houston at home last weekend, but note that it's just 1-6 ATS in its last seven after allowing seven or less points, while scoring 30 or more in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Minnesota. |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +10 v. Packers | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers (10* CASH-COW). Sorry, I'm dealing with power/technical issues due to a severe storm in the Pacific Northwest right now, so I'm not able to properly give my usual extremely detailed analysis today. Carolina comes in off a tough 32-27 home loss to Denver. Carolina didn't give up as well, as it scored 17 points in the fourth quarter in the near come back. Clearly Green Bay is the better team, I just think it'll get caught looking past the Panthers today to its home game vs. the Titans next weekend. Finally note as well that Green Bay is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 30 or more points in a SU victory in its last outing. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-19-20 | Alabama v. Florida +17.5 | Top | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 107 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida (10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE.) Sorry, I'm dealing with power/technical issues due to a severe storm in the Pacific Northwest right now, so I'm not able to properly give my usual extremely detailed analysis today. Kyle Trask and Mac Jones are poised for an epic battle here in my opinion. Alabama has been great defensively of late, but this is an explosive and versatile offense behind Jones. I don't expect any outright upsets or anything, but I do think this is too many points to be giving up to this underrated Florida team. Note that the Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as an underdog in the +16.5 to +18.5 points range as well. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame (8* TRADE-MARK). Sorry, I'm dealing with power/technical issues due to a severe storm in the Pacific Northwest right now, so I'm not able to properly give my usual extremely detailed analysis today. Clemson's only loss this year came against Notre Dame. Clemson is one of the best on both sides of the ball. Trevor Lawrence wasn't playing in the loss, but he'll be under center today. Notre Dame won't be rolling over here though. Ian Book and the Irish are the No. 2 team in the nation and they'll absolutely be looking for another straight-up upset today. The Irish have the defense to hang with the Tigers and note that they're 6-2 ATS in their last eight as an underdog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-19-20 | Northwestern +21 v. Ohio State | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (9* UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION). Sorry, I'm dealing with power/technical issues due to a severe storm in the Pacific Northwest right now, so I'm not able to properly give my usual extremely detailed analysis today. The Wildcats' defense is for real. Northwestern has been pedestrian defensively, but this will be the best defense that the Buckeyes have faced all year. Note that Northwestern is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as an underdog in the +16.5 to +21.5 points range as well. No outright, but grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-19-20 | Oklahoma -5 v. Iowa State | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 98 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (8* MONEY-MAKER). Sorry, I'm dealing with power/technical issues due to a severe storm in the Pacific Northwest right now, so I'm not able to properly give my usual extremely detailed analysis today. Spencer Rattler has gotten better as the season has worn on for the Sooners. Oklahoma lost to Iowa State earlier in the year, but Rattler and Oklahoma's defense enter having won six in a row. All blowouts too. Iowa State recovered from a shaky start to the season as well, but it's had a much more difficult time. Note as well that the Cyclones are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Iowa State QB Brock Purdy has taken a step back this year and I think he's in for a long day vs. this revenge-minded Sooners side. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |