Ole Miss is getting a ton of respect here after beating LSU last week.  I think this is a brutal spot as they are coming off Bama and LSU back to back weeks which sets up for a major let down here against Arkansas.  Ole Miss doesn't have a great defense and they get into too many shootouts.  Arkansas will control the clock limit the positions which set up nicely as a 12 points dog.

Wrong team is favored here.  I think this UCF team will be very hungry this week and they blew a massive lead last week to Baylor which I did have in a lucky cover.  UCF high powered offense here will put up some points.  Kansas just isn't a team I have been impressed with as they only won by 7 over Nevada as 28 point favorites.

I will take Texas AM here and and I think they should be favored.  I think people believe Bama has figured it out after covering their last two games against Ole Miss and Miss St.  A&M will be hungry here and two that Auburn win two weeks ago looks decent now as Auburn gave Georgia all they wanted.  Wrong Team Favored.. Jimbo gets his squad right here

Purdue is in a good spot here against Iowa.  Iowa just lost their starting QB for the year and they have already struggled big time on offense as is.  This Iowa team relies so much on defense and special teams to get the win like they did last week.  Purdue with a nice win last week I think they have played a better schedule also.  

So South Carolina has two losses to Georgia and UNC.  Well both are quality losses and they really played well vs Georgia taking it into the 4th quarter.  Tennessee has already been exposed this season vs Florida which was their hardest test.  I think this Vols team is crazy overrated and shouldn't be laying this amount of points.

I had Iowa St in a winner last week.  I really liked how they did switch up the offensive look.  I also know that Oklahoma St isn't anything special.  Iowa St will have to air it out again but I think they will have success.  Sooners won by 14 last week and covered depending on the number you grabbed.  Iowa St has a very very good defense and I believe it keeps them in the game.  Worst case if they have their worst performance they will still be live to back door here.  OU is getting too much respect. 

This is a big overreaction here in this game.  Just last week this Baylor squad was catching 17 vs a very good Texas team.  Yes, they got blown out and failed to cover but getting 12.5 here against UCF?  UCF just gave up 44 to Kansas St last week and I seriously question their defense.  Two weeks ago Baylor almost upset Utah. I think this game is very close. 

I will take Nebraska here in this spot.  This is Matt Rhules first big time game at home and I believe he will have his guys ready.  Couple reasons here,  Nebraska on defense is a really stout group and I believe they show up.  Second, the pace of which both of these teams play is slow and I don't expect many possessions giving a big advantage to taking the dog with this many points.  Michigan has yet to cover this season and have really laid off the gas in the 4th of games.

Georgia hasn't covered yet this season and they haven't look great by any means.  I believe we are getting a discount here because of that.  They did finally. breakout and score 49 last week and I see no reason why they won't scored 35+ here this week.  Auburn has their first loss last week but man this team has issues on offense.  They only scored 10 last week @ AM and failed to cover.  They should have tossed at Cal in week 2 which was a misleading game.  Georgia doesn't have a look ahead here and I believe they get their first cover.

I believe the narrative here is that we are see tow ranked teams and it's a lot of points.  Also Iowa generally plays a lot of close games which is true because of their style.  I think Iowa has looked pretty bad especially given the quality of their opponents.  Penn St has a nasty defense against a very bad Iowa offense and that will be the difference.  Penn St gets up early and this Iowa team isn't built to play from behind 

Too much respect for LSU here in this matchup.  Arkansas has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings in this matchup.  I think Arkansas way undervalued because of their loss last week which I believe they were looking ahead.  Arkansas has one of the best defenses in the country only giving up 4.3 yards per play and 3rd best against the run giving up 1.7 yards per play. 

This is a brutal spot here for Colorado St.  They played in an all out effort in a great game last week that everyone tuned in for again their rival in Colorado.  It was a double OT loss and now they travel again this week.  Just a tough bounce back spot here for them.  Midd Tenn has already played Bama and gave Mizzou all they wanted so they are familiar with stepping up in class also.

Really like Washington St here and I believe the wrong team is favored.  Washington St in week 1 went on the. road and thumped Colorado St and well you have to upgrade them. after what we saw from the Rams vs Colorado on Prime Time last week.  They followed it up with a win over Wisconsin who was ranked at the time.  Wazzu has won 8 of the last 9 meetings here 

Im taking my chances with the Cyclones here.  This is the ultimate bounce back spot after losing to Ohio last week with a pathetic performance from the offense.  Oklahoma St is in a rough spot also as they have no idea who their QB's are.  Cyclones still have a top 25 defense and that will be the difference here to cover a short number in a great spot.

I will take the points with BYU here this weekend.  I like the way this team is trending with a great road win at Arkansas last weekend.  I just haven't been that impressed with Kansas in a couple of their close wins over Illinois and @ Nevada.  Too many points 

Really like Rutgers here in this game.  First, they have covered every game this season and have looked very good in doing so.  Their offense is really moving the. ball and their defense through 3 games is equal to Michigan in going up just 4 yards per play.  Michigan hasn't covered yet this season and generally with these popular teams the books are slow to adjust and they will continue to not cover.  With both defenses in current form I believe this this is a 24-17 type of game.

I know I am on the betting public side here with FSU, but if you have watched these two teams play. you can tell that Clemson just doesn't have the horses this season.  Now, they are being priced that they do and maybe that's because of their name alone.  FSU last week was in a dog fight vs Boston College but I believe that was a massive look ahead to this game last week.  What FSU did to LSU in the first week in a game that they were focused tells me a lot.  There is zero doubt they will be interested here and I believe they put one on Dabo here

I really like SMU here this weekend.  SMU was tested in week 2 @ Oklahoma and they field to cover, but the important thing there was that it was a 3 point game going into the 4th.  TCU I believe is now being over valued with that road win and cover last week against a very down Houston team.  Remember last year TCU hard their greatest team ever and they were favored by just 2.5.  Now they are favored by more?  SMU is a live dog here.

I'm playing Cincy here and I faded them last week which they lost outright vs Miami Oh as a double digit favorite.  Oklahoma has won and covered every game so far but if you have watched them they just don't pass the eye test here to me.  That is having them extremely over valued in this spot.  Cincy will keep this within two touchdowns.

I love Deion and everything about what he is doing.  However now the line has gotten out of control.  They have went from 20 point dogs in week 1 to now a 23 point favorite in matter of two games.  Colorado St was only single an 8 point dog to Washington St who just beat Wisconsin last week. Colorado St will score here.  I also think a major let down spot with Oregon on deck 

Have to take Florida here in a rivalry setting in which they have dominated this series.  Tennessee did win last season but the Gators have won 8 of the last 10.  This is the biggest favorite @ Florida Tennessee has been in over 35 years also.  Florida didn't look great @ Utah but that s a tough spot to travel to for a team that isn't use to it.  I also think the SEC is pretty overrated this season and we really don't know what the Vols have right now besides a high ranking next to their name.

No choice but to look at Miami Oh here.  Cincy is coming off a nice upset win as a 7 point dog @ Pitt and that has them big time over valued here. Miami Oh was a 16 point dog @ Miami week 1 and now are nearly the same here?  Miami is a good team has we saw last week with them beating Texas AM so you have to consider that here with Miami Oh.  In an under the radar rivalry game I like Miami Oh to keep it close 

I love Nebraska here.  This team is desperate now for a win and I believe they get it done in blowout fashion.  Look last week played a good Colorado team tough but the turnovers were just too hard to overcome for them.  Northern Illinois struggles running the ball which won't bold well vs this Nebraska team.  

I have been less than impressed with the Buckeyes so far to start the season.  The first game they just looked lost even though they did handle Indiana.  The Hoosiers are bad football team though and. they only put up 23.  WKU is the best opponent they will have faced and WKU catching them at the right time as the Buckeyes have Notre Dame on deck.  WKU with a nice blowout win covering against South Florida in week 1.  They can score and I expect them 17 from them when should be an easy cover if they get to that number.

I really like the spot here for ECU. We  will be getting a major effort here from ECU looking for their first win of the season.  App St in a tough spot here. putting up a huge effort in a double OT loss to ranked North Carolina.  This is the exact. flat. spot here after a big game against a team they aren't looking forward to playing.

We are getting a massive inflated number here with Central Michigan.  They were just 14 point dogs to Sparty.  Yes ND is better than Spraty but by 3 touchdowns?  ND has covered twice hence why they are putting this line that high plus CMU hasn't covered yet.  Massive is an understatement here as the Irish have Ohio St on deck.  No need to run it up here.  

I know that Ohio is a good MAC team but man Iowa St just has a solid defense here that I think will propel them.  They were in that game vs Iowa last week and actually won the box score but a pick 6 was ultimately the deciding factor.  I think Campbell and company know the importance of this game on the road with conference play coming up.  I expect a big effort and nice bounce back spot. 

I was hoping for a little bit more here but Temple is live to win.  Rutgers last week got the win and cover vs Northwestern but I mean will there be a worse Power 5 team than that messed up school?  I think not.  Temple returns their young stud at QB in EJ Warner who. set a school record for freshman last season.  Temple has bad season last. year but in large part because of the youth.  This is too many points and Rutgers getting too much respect from last week

We will be taking Texas here.  I honestly wasn't that impressed last week with Bama and their QB.  I think he's going to struggle big time as competition gets tough which is exactly what we have this week.  I actually think Texas has the. overall better players.  If you recall last season Texas had them beat before their QB went out early.  I also believe we are seeing a little decline with Bama as NIL has hurt some of the powerhouses as they aren't as deep anymore.  Bama defense will. give up big plays here and I think Texas pulls off the upset. 

Here is another game that is an overreaction to last week alone.  I went against Boise last week in a. winner with Washington but that Washington team is very explosive led by Penix.  UCF coming off a blowout over Kent St has them also overvalued.  Boise is a tough place to travel too especially with UCF. who wouldn't be familiar with this type of situation.  Boise in a great bounce back spot here so will take a nice 3.5 point dog

I believe this is a discount here on Pitt who returns 11 starters from a 9 win team.  They actually get BC transfer at QB in Phil Jurkovec.   Pitt for sure believes that they can the Coastal here with UNC on their side.   Cincy is in a rough spot this season losing their head coach in Fickell.  They also are getting respect because of their name here but they only return 8 total starters.  Cincy blew out Eastern Kentucky last week which also gives some value here in the line.  I think much tougher competition spells trouble. 

Oklahoma is going to be a sexy option for the public betters this weekend as they won 73-0 vs Arkansas St.  IMO this is a great sell high spot here now following that type of performance.  SMU is a team who won 7 games last season with 4 losses by one score.  They also took care of business last week against LA Tech covering a big 21 number.  Public perception here on the Sooners and I believe SMU puts up a nice fight. 

I'm gonna ride with Maye here. at QB.  If you are suppose to be the next big hyped thing I believe you gotta win games like this.  UNC defense was absolutely brutal on defense as everyone knew that so they can't get any worse.  I also think we are getting a discount here because it is a neutral field. Rattler and the Gamecocks here are over matched.  

I really like Toldeo here against Illinois.  Illinois  is coming off a great season as they won 8 games.  I just think they will be really up against here vs. the best team in the MAC in Toledo.   Toldeo does bring in a high power offense averaging over 31 points per. game last season.  The Big Ten West is a brutal division as we witnessed last night with Nebraska and Minnesota.  Toledo will be hungry here and I believe they are live to win outright.

This Midd Tennessee team had a great season going 8-5 and winning their bowl game.  They have 13 starters returning here and remember this team went on the road last season and beat Miami. Fla. Granted I know there is a big difference but the fact they did that shows a lot.  I'm not on Bama this season and I think they will have some offensive issues.  They are going to win this game no doubt but covering 40 plus out of the gate with a lot of question marks is crazy to me.  I will take the points here as I think Midd Tenn can score 10 and get the cover.

I'm putting a lot of faith here in first year head coach. Eric Morris.   He comes from the tree of Mike Leach and he does have a solid group returning with 17 total starters in all.  I also really like these smaller schools hosting a school from the Power 5 conference as they really get up for these games as a dog.  Cal was a horrible team last season winning 4 games.  They return a lot of starters as well but man this team on defense was so bad you can't lay any number with them on the road.  

I think this. play will be on the popular side but it's just a difference in talent here.  What Boise likes to do is run the ball and that will fed right into the hands of this stout Washington defense.  I also think Washington led by Penix at QB will be able to score fairly easily.  I love this Huskies team and they are a dark horse to make the. playoffs.  

We will take Utah tonight laying a short number here at home.   I believe most will look at this because of their stud QB Cam Rising being out tonight and take a team from the SEC.  Utah is loaded here on defense with 7 returning players.  Florida is a team that. returns 7 total starters from 6 wins last year.  I also very much dont like their QB transfer in Mertz from Wisconsin.  I like the revenge angle here. for Utah as they blew this game last season on the road.  Utah makes a statement without their best player tonight. 

I like the Trojans here quite a bit.  I know that UCLA lost last week which was a look ahead spot here but I think UCLA has been pretty lucky in terms of schedule.  Their tough true test on the road at Oregon they lost by double digits.  USC defense is the worry part here but it's not like UCLA has a stout D either.  The better O wins this game and I believe that Lincoln will wanna make a statement in year 1 of this rivalry.

I like Arkansas here in this matchup.  This is just a brutal spot for Ole Miss who's coming off the Bama loss which was an all out effort and a possibly chance to win the SEC West.  This is senior day for Arkansas and they are still hungry to make a bowl game.  This low line is indicating the bad spot here also. 

I like the Gophers here this week.  Look Iowa has won a couple and last week they did easily vs Wisky but their offense is still pathetic averaging 2.4 yards per play last week.  Iowa has had the Gophers number but with the short price here I think its great buy low spot as Minnesota can still win the West as well so they have motivation here also. Gophers are 5-1 ATS at home this season.

Clemson is locked into the ACC title game here so it's really hard to see where their motivation will come from to blow out a team.  Clemson also isn't built that way to build big margins of victory.  Miami is 3-1 ATS on the road this season. I like the fact they are coming off a nice road win last week showing me they are still playing hard.  Miami covers this huge number

We know how brutal of a spot it can be to play at WVU.  I know that Kansas St still have a lot to play for but they were just 2.5 point dogs on the road to Baylor last week and are now laying more than a TD?  This is also senior day here and I think they are motivated to make a bowl game also. WVU is a sneaky home dog remember a few weeks back they almost pulled the upset over TCU.

A lot of this IMO is because of last week and what Kansas St did to Oklahoma St.  Texas just has the better athletes here overall plain and simple.  I'm not a believer in the Wildcat team white yet. They need to prove it after that type of win last week to see if they can do it back to back.

Cute is just reeling right now losing back to back games and this line is giving you the indication of that.  Pitt returning back home after back to back losses and are hungry here.  

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  Wazzu only road win was @ Wisky and I just don't think they are that good.  Stanford is nothing special either but shouldn't be a dog here.  This team did just beat ND two weeks ago on the road.  

Oklahoma getting too much credit for winning at Iowa St lat week and they didn't look impressive at all.  Baylor has much better offense and will score against this very bad Sooner defense.  Baylor has won 4 of their last 6 with one being a 3 point loss and the other to Oklahoma St who they were favored over.  I think they should be favored here

I like Purdue here against Iowa.  First Purdue has had Iowa's number and yes I know it's generally in the underdog role but at home here at this short price is hard to pass up.  Iowa blowing out Northwestern last week isn't impressive at all and they are getting. credit because of that.  Iowa's offense is just so bad and can't move the ball.  I think we see Iowa's defense on the field way to long again and they wear down over time 

UCF offense here is no joke.  They are brining in the 5th ranked overall offense facing a defense ranked 80th overall coming off a 4OT game.  UCF has one loss and it came to a good Louisville squad and was only by 6.  I just believe that UCF is clicking right now coming off 3 double digits wins in a row and they make it 4.

I like the Aggies here in this game.  Both teams are coming off the bye week but South Carolina is a sell high here to me after they beat upset Kentucky on the road.  I think A&M has a ton of motivation here coming off back to back losses.  Better overall coach better team and a cheap price from what this line would have been 3-4 weeks ago we are getting a discount.

This line should be a PK here.  Stanford is getting a ton of respect because they beat ND on the road.  I just think that win honestly doesn't mean much.  ASU after firing Edwards is clearly showing signs of improvement.  They beat Washington two weeks ago and now off the bye I think they feel like they can save their season and make a bowl game here.  Love the spot for the Sun Devils.

I just can't believe that Mizzou is a double digit favorite over anyone in the SEC.  Here is why I am giving Vandy a pass here.  They have 3 SEC losses to Bama, Georgia and Ole Miss.  I mean they were gonna get spanekd regardless in those games.  Does that really show how bad they are though?  I just think that is the narrative and Mizzou isn't much better than them.  Give me the two touchdowns

This is a play against Memphis here as much as it's a play on Tulane.  I just question how much is left in the tank here for Memphis.  They are off back to back all out efforts and heartbreaking losses. IF you recall two weeks ago the lost to Houston was one of the worst you will see all season.  Now last week Memphis lost in 4OT to East Carolina.  I just think they will be tired here and Tulane will take full advantage of a tired team

Im surprised here about this line as I feel both teams are pretty equal.  WVU was favored once so far this season and that was early abasing Houston and they didn't cover.  I believe this is a team you look to fade in this role.  WVU is off a nice win over Baylor and have two losses by 7 with one coming in OT.  Like I said, both teams seem similar so great value with WVU here

I had this game circled after what took place last weekend.  Memphis blew one of the worst games you will ever see.  They were up 13 points with 2 minutes left and lost outright, yes you read that right.  I just think those types of losses are super hard to bounce back from.  ECU on the other hand will be motivated also following an ugly loss on the road.  Give me the more motivated team at home here following a team with a gut punch loss.  

James Madison enters the rankings this weekend and wow are they getting some love.  They have also covered every game now they are at a premium price which is the perfect time to sell high on them.  Ga Southern is a very much improved team and if you recall they won @ Nebraska earlier this season.  Also just a couple weeks ago they were 10 point dogs @ Coastal Carolina and lead going into the 4th quarter only to lose by 4.  James Madison is just getting a ton of love and I expect a one possession game

No one likes the Razorbacks all the sudden since they are 3-3 and have field to cover 4 straight games.  Well, last week I give them a pass and it's the main reason I like them here.  KJ Jefferson returns this week and he is what makes this team go.  Their rushing attack which ranks 210th vs the BYU defense which ranks 101 will be the difference.  Arkansas value is extremely low and here and they will be hungry following an ugly showing last week while BYU had an all out effort at Notre Dame

I will lay it here with Ohio.  They have the overall better QB and that is good enough for me in this game.  I know the Bobcats have a terrible defense and really can't defend them here but the WMU offense isn't exactly anything to write home about either.  Rourke the Ohio QB will be the difference maker here and get the job done.

I actually think we are getting a discount here on TCU because of how high the Cowboys are ranked.  If you have watched Oklahoma St, you know they just dont pass the eye test especially given their ranking.  They have struggled with teams like Texas Tech last weekend and also Arizona St for majority of the game.  This is by far a huge step up in class here for the Cowboys and the TCU offense I think will really get the air game going.  TCU big time revenge also from an embarrassing loss last year

WKU will move the ball up and down the field on this MTSU team. WKU has the 3rd ranked passing attack in the country while MTSU ranks 119th against the pass.  MTSU is still living off the fact that they beat Miami in a miracle game.  WKU has 3 losses all by single digits so this team is clearly bette then their record indicates.  MTSU has been blowout the last 2 weeks and I see no difference here.

This is just crazy high line for this game.  Iowa St has dropped 3 straight games but all came down to the final minute.  I think that has them completely undervalued here this weekend.  This is also the perfect role for Campbell who thrives in these big underdog situations.  Texas is off the blowout win over their rival in Oklahoma and have Oklahoma St on deck.  Huge sandwich spot here plus the early kick I love and that favors Iowa St also.  Cyclones have the best defense in the Big 12 and that will keep them in this game

I believe this is the ultimate buy low spot on Fresno St.  Last week was one of the worst performances of the season by any team.  They lost on the road @ Uconn as 22.5 point favorites.  They were clearly looking ahead to this game to me.  Remember a couple weeks back Fresno was just over 10 point dogs @ USC.  This is a gift here reacting to last weeks loss.  

I will take FSU here as a dog.  I actually think they are the overall team. FSU is top 30 in defense and top 20 overall in offense while NC St has a great defense their offense is iffy at best ranking at 82 overall.  Both teams are off a loss but since FSU was favored in their loss to Wake I think people remember that more and tend to give NC St a pass if you will because they were beat by Clemson.  

Illinois is brining in one of the best defenses in the country vs literally the worst offense in the country.  Granted Iowa's defense is legit here, but they solely rely on their defense creating a short field or turnover in order for them to score.  Iowa scored a classic meaningless touchdown so the score looked closer last weekend vs Michigan.  Illinois with an impressive showing last week with a dominate win @ Wisconsin.  This is a night game and Illinois has had this one circled. 

Iowa St was favored at Kansas last. week and since they lost, they are dogs this week.  I think that is a big overreaction.  The Wildcats are off back to back big conference wins beating Oklahoma and Texas Tech.  This is the Cyclones season on the line here avoiding the 3 game losing streak.  Campbell isn't. great a a small favorite but as a dog I love him.

USC is just getting a ton of respect.  Yes, they are improved big time but it was just a few weeks ago they were laying less than this to Fresno St.  Wazzu is a legit team as they are 4-1 and 4-1 ATS.Their only loss came to Oregon in which it was a game they lead a majority of the way but still covered that game.  Wazzu has enough pieces here and I fully believe they keep this game close.

UCLA is getting a ton of respect here for their 5-0 start.  They by far had their toughest. test last. week against. Washington.  Utah is just a different animal and this line should be higher honestly.  Utah has owned this series winning 5 straight.  Utah's defense is something that UCLA hasn't seen this season.  

Great buy low spot here on UAB.  MTSU is still getting a ton of respect because of that win over Miami a couple weeks back.  UAB is coming off an ugly loss to Rice in which they outgained them by over 150 yards, so it was fluky.  UAB is just the overall better team and except them to be hungry here following that ugly loss.

The Sooners have won 4 straight in this series and I believe this is the year that Texas gets it right.  They return Ewers at QB which is the difference maker.  The Sooners aren't any good this year and last. week they were exposed by TCU big time.  If there was a let down spot for Texas it was last week and I think they win this easily.

The whole KU story is a great one and they deserve all the credit in the world for this turn around. I know they aren't getting any respect but this TCU team is one to pay attention to.  Their offense is flat out legit and they will oboe it up and down the field.  KU doesn't want to get in a shoot out here.  Kansas was really lucky to win last. week vs Iowa St as they were outgained by 100 yards.  TCU brings in the 2nd ranked offense in the country

If there was ever a great spot to back Nebraska this season, it would be right now.  Thew firing of Frost is now gone and in the past and they are coming off a bye week and not in the news.  I think this is the perfect spot here with Indiana coming to town.  Nebraska is 0-4 ATS so there honestly couldn't be a buy lower. spot than now.  Nebraska's offense shouldn't have an issue moving the ball here and really controlling the clock and ultimately I believe pulling away in the end

Im getting the much better defense here vs a very bad offense and quite frankly this is a no brainer.  San Jose also went on the road to Auburn and gave them all they could handle and could have won the game. Wyoming is getting credit for beating Air Force a couple weeks back and that has them over valued.

Missouri is just plain and simple an extremely poor football team.  They are off a very tough outing va Auburn which clearly they played their tails off losing in OT.  The talent gap here is just massive and honestly not sure if Mizzou can get 13.  If Georgia shows up semi interested here I think it's over by half.  The fact that Georgia was sloppy vs Kent St last week makes me believe that Kirby will have his guys ready for the night game.