01-17-16 |
Steelers v. Broncos -6.5 |
|
16-23 |
Win
|
100 |
121 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
01-17-16 |
Michigan v. Iowa -7 |
|
71-82 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
Most people might say this is a big let down spot for Iowa coming off a huge win @ Michigan St, but you could make the case Michigan is one also coming off a big win vs Maryland. Iowa won't be taking them lightly for that reason alone. Also Michigan is still without their best player LeVert and Iowa plays the best defense in the Big 10 will shut down the 3's Michigan thrives on.
|
01-17-16 |
Suns v. Wolves -3.5 |
|
87-117 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
I realize the T Wolves have been flat out awful at home, but I believe they will view this game as one they are no doubt the better team. I don't see any motivation here from the Suns. They are just 4-17 SU on the road. The T Wolves haven't been winning, but they have been playing better. Lost @ Houston by 3, Lost @ home to OKC by 5, Lost to Dallas by 6, and Denver by 4.
|
01-16-16 |
Nets v. Hawks -11 |
|
86-114 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-16 |
Celtics +1 v. Wizards |
|
119-117 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-16 |
Iowa State v. Kansas State +1.5 |
|
76-63 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-16 |
Nebraska v. Illinois -3 |
|
78-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-16 |
Miami (Fla) -4 v. Clemson |
|
65-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-16 |
Indiana v. Minnesota +10.5 |
|
70-63 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-16 |
Syracuse v. Wake Forest -2.5 |
|
83-55 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-15-16 |
Cavs v. Rockets -1.5 |
|
91-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
This spot here reminds me a lot of the Christmas day game between Spurs and Rockets where the Spurs were playing a back to back and Rockets took full advantage of it. Everyone knows last night the Cavs were in a battle @ Spurs in a losing effort. You won't have to question the Rockets effort here as everyone gets up for the Cavs. The Rockets are riding a 5 game winning streak and are 8-3 ATS L11 home games. Cavs are 0-4-1 ATS L5 playing on 0 days rest.
|
01-15-16 |
Mavs -1.5 v. Bulls |
|
83-77 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
I believe this line tells the whole story here. Bulls are in an extremely tough spot here with it being their 4th game in 5 days which is rare. They haven't been playing very well lately and are coming off a big comeback OT win @ Sixers. I really expect the Mavs to expose them here as they are eager to get a road win in their 3 game trip. Mavs 5-1-1 ATS L7 playing on one day rest, Mavs 10-3 ATS L13 following an ATS loss. Bulls just 3-8 ATS L11 when starters combine for over 160 minutes previous day.
|
01-15-16 |
Suns v. Celtics -9 |
|
103-117 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
Let's face it the Suns are absolutely awful and even with 2 days rest I don't them showing up here. The Celtics ended their 4 game losing skid against the Pacers and with a 3 game road stretch coming up I don't see them taking it easy. Celtics are 7-3-1 ATS L11 following an ATS win. Suns are just 1-7 ATS L8 on the road
|
01-14-16 |
California -3 v. Stanford |
|
71-77 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
We are getting good value here with Cal who is coming into this game getting swept by Oregon schools. However, look at this... When Cal played Colorado @ home they were 7.5 point favs and Stanford was by 1 a 6 pt difference. Look at the last Oregon games. Cal favored by 2.5 @ Oregon St where Stanford was a 6.5 point dog. Cal a 3 point dog @ Oregon, Stanford a 9 point dog. Everywhere across the line so far Vegas believes Cal has been 6-8 points better, but now since Cal has slipped up a couple they have adjusted to 3 which creates the value. Cal is by far the more talented team expect a bounce back
|
01-14-16 |
Washington v. Arizona -13.5 |
|
67-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
This line is big for a reason here with Arizona coming off two heart breaking losses @ UCLA and @ USC. They will bounce back in a big way. Let's look at Washington 3-0 in Pac 12 play but all games decided by 4 points or less. They could easily be 0-3. Washington was destroyed in a neutral court game vs Gonzaga and lost to Texas by 12 and also Oakland by 14. I'm not sold on Washington at all and Arizona has one of the best home courts in the country. Arizona is 5-0 ATS L5 playing teams with a winning record, 4-0 ATS L4 after allowing 100 or points.
|
01-14-16 |
Pistons +1 v. Grizzlies |
|
101-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
This won't be a popular pick but I do see value here with Detroit. Pistons are 4-2 SU L6 with two losses coming to the Pacers and Spurs. Now I do realize Detroit has the Warriors coming to town and this is @ Memphis so may not get up for it, but the Pistons lost against them @ home by a half court buzzer beater. So therefore I see the Pistons showing up here. Also the Grizzlies are coming off a very bad loss to the Rockets and I don't see them bouncing back as Mike Conley is out again. Pistons are 5-0 ATS L5 following a double digit loss @ home. Pistons 19-7-1 ATS L27 playing on 1 day rest. Grizzlies just 7-18-1 L26 playing on 1 day rest. 2-7-1 ATS L10 following up a double digit loss @ home
|
01-14-16 |
Washington State v. Arizona State -8.5 |
|
73-84 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
At first glance this line makes you think it's way to high. Arizona St has started 0-3 in conference play, but they had a close loss to Arizona then had two close road losses @ USC @ UCLA. Washington St comes in with 3 home games and and 1 conference win over UCLA. Washington St has only played one true road game and have a big look ahead with Arizona on Saturday. Arizona St will be extremely focused here and look for them to dominate from start to finish. Wash St 8-19-4 ATS L31 road games vs with team with winning home record.
|
01-14-16 |
Connecticut v. Tulsa +1 |
|
51-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-16 |
USC v. UCLA -2.5 |
|
89-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
We are getting a great price here on UCLA because both these schools swept Arizona and Arizona St last week. UCLA is no doubt the better team here and they have owned this series lately 5-1 ATS L6. USC 1-4 ATS L5 playing a home team with a winning record. USC 0-4 ATS L4 after allowing 90 or more points
|
01-13-16 |
Oregon State v. Colorado -4.5 |
|
54-71 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
I really look for Colorado to bounce back here after a close loss @ home to Utah. This is also an interesting spot here for Oregon St as this is their first true road and that was Colorado's first home loss. Oregon St has benefited from playing at home and are getting respect after beating Cal. Favorite here is 7-3-1 ATS L11.
|
01-13-16 |
Pelicans +8.5 v. Kings |
|
109-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
More than a respectable price here because the Pelicans are coming off a close loss last night @ Lakers. Davis didn't play and he may not tonight but the Kings don't deserve to be a huge favorite like this. I also don't believe the Kings will be motivated here as they have a 3 game road trip coming up. The Kings are also one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA and look for the Pelicans to bounce back. Pelicans are 6-2 ATS L8 following an ATS loss. Kings are 16-34-3 L53 home games playing a team winning less than 40%.
|
01-13-16 |
South Carolina v. Alabama +4.5 |
|
50-73 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
I'm just not sold on this South Carolina team as they have benefited from playing an extremely easy schedule. Avery Johnson has Bama playing respectable and he knows this is a huge game for the program on a national stage. Bama does have three nice wins this year...Notre Dame, Wichita St and @ Clemson. Bama is 5-0 ATS L5 following a double digit loss @ home. 19-7-1 ATS L27 following an ATS loss
|
01-13-16 |
Warriors v. Nuggets +9.5 |
|
110-112 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
The Nuggets just took the Warriors to OT @ Golden St 10 days and should have plenty of confidence here coming into this game. The Nuggets are also getting healthier and have everyone back now. The Warriors will be without Green who I believe is their glue to the team. The public will obviously be all over the Warriors, but this is their 4th game in six days with another tomorrow night vs the Lakers. Nuggets are rested having two days off. Warriors 0-6 ATS L6 playing on 1 day rest. Nuggets 4-1 ATS L5 playing a team winning over 60%
|
01-13-16 |
Ole Miss +10.5 v. LSU |
|
81-90 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
Very surprised by this line here. LSU did beat Kentucky last week but they are way overvalued here with a quality Ole Miss team. Ole Miss only loss in SEC and in the last ten games was @ Kentucky. LSU is still a very young team here and you never know what you get out of them. They lost as 7 pt favorites @ home to Wake Forest who is clearly worse than Ole Miss.
|
01-13-16 |
Pacers v. Celtics -3 |
|
94-103 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY We are getting more than a fair price here on the Celtics. Both teams played last night with the Pacers blowing out the Suns and the Celtics giving everything they in a losing effort to the Knicks. Celtics have been struggling, but all their games have been close and 4 out of their L5 have been on the road. I like them to bounce back here with a big effort. Pacers 0-4 ATS playing on 0 days rest and Celtics 37-15-1 ATS L53 playing on 0 days rest. Pacers also just 2-5 ATS L7 following a win by more than 10 points
|
01-13-16 |
Mavs v. Thunder -11 |
|
89-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-16 |
Duke v. Clemson +8 |
|
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
We are getting really good value here with a Clemson team that just pulled off a big upset over Louisville. The Public will be riding Duke here as they have covered 3 conference games in a row and 2 of them on the road, but those were against Wake Forest and Boston College. Clemson is playing pretty good ball winning and covering 3 straight as well. Clemson will give Duke all they want tonight
|
01-12-16 |
Cavs v. Mavs +6 |
|
110-107 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
The Mavs have been a nice surprise this year starting off with a 22-16 record. The Cavs are playing well winning 7 in a row but with the Mavs being 11-6 SU at home there is value here. The Cavs also have a big look ahead game here with the Spurs on deck. Cavs just 1-4-1 ATS L6 road games. Mavs 6-1 ATS L7 playing a team with over 60% winning percentage. Mavs 5-1-1 ATS L7 following a SU win
|
01-12-16 |
Bulls v. Bucks +3 |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Bulls look like they are trending downward again. Losers of the last two by double digits to the Hawks and Wizards. Despite the Bucks record they are more than a respectable home team with a 10-7 record and Bulls are just 6-8 and give up a staggering 105 ppg on the road. This is also the Bulls 3rd game in 4 days. Bucks 7-3-1 ATS following a SU loss.
|
01-12-16 |
Texas Tech v. Kansas State -3.5 |
|
70-83 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
01-12-16 |
Celtics v. Knicks |
|
114-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Celtics come in here after 3 consecutive losses and failed to cover all 3. For that there are undervalued here because the Knicks have been playing very well lately. The Celtics were close in all 3 of those losses and should have won two of them realistically. The Celtics will be more motivated here as the public will pound the Knicks. Celtics are 8-3 ATS L11 road games. Knicks just 2-6 ATS L8 after winning by more than 10 points.
|
01-12-16 |
Wisconsin v. Northwestern -1 |
Top |
65-70 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
BIG TEN TOP PLAY! Northwestern ended its two game skid by blowing out Minnesota @ their place. I look for them to ride that momentum here against Wisconsin. Wisconsin is getting love because they took Maryland down to the wire which was a great game, but this is a huge sandwich spot as the Badgers have Michigan St on deck. Northwestern 6-2-1 ATS L9 following a SU win. Badgers just 3-9 ATS L12 vs team with a winning record.
|
01-12-16 |
Miami (Fla) v. Virginia -5 |
|
58-66 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
Good spot to back Virginia here coming off back to back losses, but they were both very close. I believe this will wake Virginia up and play very well at home here. Miami has been a great surprise but they have only played 1 road since December 1st and also a pretty easy schedule here lately as well. Virginia beat Nova by 11 and West Virginia by 16, both teams are a lot better than Miami
|
01-10-16 |
Jazz v. Lakers +2.5 |
Top |
86-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY I know the record doesn't exactly show it but the Lakers have been playing good ball lately. If you throw out their Golden St game they have been playing well for nearly two weeks. They just had a 4 pt loss to the Thunder and fought clear back @ the Kings after being down by more than 25 points to lose by 3. The Jazz are coming of a win over the Heat last night but the Heat were on a back to back. Jazz are also 0-5 ATS L5 on the road. They are still without key players and may be without Hood and Favors also today which would be major to a team that doesn't score much. Lakers 6-1 ATS L7, 4-1 ATS L5 home games, 4-0 ATS following a SU loss
|
01-10-16 |
Bucks v. Knicks -5 |
|
88-100 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Knicks have been playing a lot better lately and against quality teams. Milwaukee isn't a quality team at all and are overvalued due to their win last out vs the Mavs. Knicks are 4-2 SU L6 with wins over Detroit Miami and Atlanta (2). The Bucks are also 5-16 SU on the road this season. Bucks are 3-8 ATS L11 following a SU win. Knicks 5-0ATS L5 playing on 1 day rest, 7-1 ATS L8 after allowing 100 points scored or more previous game, 4-0 ATS L4 playing team with losing record.
|
01-10-16 |
Pacers +1.5 v. Rockets |
|
103-107 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
This line is begging for people to take the Rockets. The reason this line is low because Rockets have won two in a row, but both against a struggling Jazz team. The Rockets are also just 2-6 ATS L8 games. 0-4 ATS L4 after scoring 100 points or more. Dwight Howard is also questionable to play today as well. Pacers have been playing great 3-1 SU L4 with their only loss being @ Miami by 3. Pacers 4-1 ATS L5 road games. 5-1 ATS L6 playing on 1 day rest.
|
01-10-16 |
Purdue v. Illinois +9 |
|
70-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
01-10-16 |
Packers v. Redskins -1 |
|
35-18 |
Loss |
-108 |
119 h 57 m |
Show
|
The Redskins and the Packers are both coming into this game heading in opposite direction. The Packers lost their last 2 in ugly fashion @ Arizona and at home to Minnesota. Redskins on the other hand have won and covered 4 in a row and playing with a lot of conf which is what I like this time of the year. Redskins are also 6-2 at home this year. Green Bay is still getting respect because of their name and Rodgers of course. The Packers defense is terrible and I don't see them fixing all the problems in one week.
|
01-10-16 |
Ohio State v. Indiana -5.5 |
|
60-85 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-16 |
Steelers v. Bengals +3 |
|
18-16 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 26 m |
Show
|
There is a lot of hype surrounding the Steelers right now because their offense is clicking and they can score a lot of points. I also think Steelers benefitted from their previous meeting because Dalton did go out and McCarron wasn't use to that role which made it difficult for a come back. I also don't trust the Steelers defense at all especiay against the pass. Dalton could also still play and I believe the Bengals get over the hump here. They will have no problem moving the ball and their defense is very good
|
01-09-16 |
Baylor v. Iowa State -6.5 |
|
94-89 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-16 |
Virginia v. Georgia Tech +5.5 |
|
64-68 |
Win
|
101 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-16 |
LSU v. Florida -3 |
|
62-68 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-08-16 |
Pacers v. Pelicans +2 |
|
91-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
The public will be all over the Pacers but this is their 4th game in 7 days. The Pelicans are rested and are looking to bounce back after a home loss. Pelicans are 5-1 ATS L6 following ATS loss and 4-1 ATS L5 following SU loss. Pacers 2-6 ATS L8 vs team with losing record
|
01-08-16 |
Mavs v. Bucks -1 |
|
95-96 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Bucks are the more desperate team here and look for them to start picking it up. Looking back at their schedule it has been extremely difficult the pa two weeks. They have also had two days of rest. Bucks 7-3 ATS L10 following a SU loss. Mavs just 7-20 ATS L27 vs team with a winning home record
|
01-08-16 |
Raptors v. Wizards +2.5 |
|
97-88 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
We are seeing a little over reaction due to the Wizards losing two in a two to the Heat and Cavs but they gave the Cavs all they wanted. Wizards are also getting healthier here and look for revenge following last week 3 of loss @ Raptors. Several key trends here. Raptors 0-8 ATS L8 following a ATS win. Wizards 10-1 ATS L11 following a SU loss.
|
01-07-16 |
Arizona v. UCLA +3.5 |
|
84-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-16 |
Illinois +13.5 v. Michigan State |
|
54-79 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-16 |
Celtics +6.5 v. Bulls |
|
92-101 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-16 |
Michigan v. Purdue -7.5 |
|
70-87 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-06-16 |
Clippers v. Blazers +3.5 |
|
109-98 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
There will be lots of love here on the Clippers as they have won 6 in a row and covered in 5 of them. The motivation will be with Portland here to rebound from a loss to Memphis Monday night. Portland does bounce back well going 4-1-1 L6 following a double digit loss at home. Clippers just 1-7 L8 ATS following a win of more than 10 points
|
01-06-16 |
Ohio State v. Northwestern -1.5 |
|
65-56 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
I'm not sold on this Ohio St team at all and look for a bounce back game for Northwestern. Ohio St is getting to much credit for beating Kentucky. Northwestern has good guard play and Maryland was a bad matchup for them. NW 6-0 ATS L6 following a double digit loss at home
|
01-06-16 |
Pistons v. Celtics -3 |
|
99-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
We are getting good value here with the Celtics as they aren't getting much respect due to losses to Nets and Lakers but the Pistons haven't been playing any better. Pistons coming off a blowout win which is why this line is low but they are just 2-4 SU their L6. Celtics will get back on track. 5-1-1 ATS L7 playing on one day rest
|
01-06-16 |
Pacers v. Magic +2.5 |
|
95-86 |
Loss |
-104 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
This game here to me is all about motivation as the Magic lost all 3 on the road and failed to cover in those 3 as well. Magic are a great home team going 12-6 SU Pacers are just 7-10 SU on the road. Pacers just 1-4 ATS L5 playing a team on road with winning record. Magic 9-3 ATS L12 when opponent scores more than 100 points.
|
01-06-16 |
Duke v. Wake Forest +8 |
|
91-75 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
Wake Forest is actually one of the most improved teams in the ACC. We are getting a good price on them at home and they will be ready. Wake has wins over Indiana UCLA and @ LSU. Good losses as well to Xavier and Louisville. WF is 16-6 ATS L22 playing team with winning record
|
01-06-16 |
St Bonaventure v. George Mason +3 |
|
77-58 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
I really believe George Mason is the better team here despite record. They have beat Ole Miss and Oklahoma St also have two good losses to Virginia and UNI. UNI was only favored by 5 @ GM and UNI is clearly way bletter than St Bonaventure.
|
01-05-16 |
Nebraska +14 v. Iowa |
|
66-77 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
Iowa had the best week on any college basketball team last week beating #1 Mich St and winning @ Purdue coming back from 19 down! They are now on the map and this isn't a good scheduling spot here. Iowa does have Mich St next already even though the game isn't this weekend I still question the hangover from last week. Nebraska dropped two games at home to Northwestern and Indiana, but were in both those games. I see them being very hungry here. Since joining the Big Ten Iowa has only beat Nebraska once by more than 14 points.
|
01-05-16 |
Kentucky v. LSU +4.5 |
|
67-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
LSU is coming off a big upset win @ Vanderbilt being a 10 pt dog in that game. I look for them to ride that momentum into tonight's game. Kentucky is a good team no doubt, but they just don't pass the eye test for me compared to past teams. Kentucky lost to a bad Big Ten team in Ohio St who I don't think will make the tournament and also UCLA who will be border line on making it. They aren't the same team away from their fabulous home court.
|
01-05-16 |
South Carolina v. Auburn +7 |
|
81-69 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
South Carolina is one of the early surprises so far, but their best win is Memphis? Clemson? not impressed with either team. I think we are seeing this line inflated due to the fact South Carolina is undefeated. Auburn has by far played a tougher schedule and they are coming off a nice home win vs Tennessee. Auburn has owned this series the last few years with Pearl going 6-1 SU L7. Underdog is also 14-3 ATS L17 games. Pearl will have his guys ready.
|
01-05-16 |
Akron v. Buffalo +3 |
|
75-71 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
I think we are getting good value here with the Bulls @ home. First glance, most people will look at the records and think it's a slam dunk. Both of those teams are top of the class in the MAC. Buffalo has played a tougher schedule by far and that is why they aren't favored here because they have 6 losses. Losses at Duke Iowa St VCU and St Joe's is nothing to hang your head on. Meanwhile Akron has been skating by some very easy competition. Beating Lipscomb by 7 and South Carolina St by 10 Coppin St by 6 isn't that impressive. Bulls are the better team here don't let records fool you
|
01-04-16 |
Grizzlies -1 v. Blazers |
|
91-78 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
With Lillard's status still in question this is a good spot to back the Grizzlies while Portland is coming off a hard fought win last night @ Denver. Portland also has big look ahead games with Clippers and Warriors coming to town next. The Effort will be here for Memphis as they have @ OKC next so this is a spot to likely get their road win. Grizzlies 23-10 ATS L33 when opponent allows 100 pts or more previous game. Portland just 8-17-1 L26 ATS playing a team with a winning record.
|
01-04-16 |
Virginia v. Virginia Tech +12.5 |
|
68-70 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
We are seeing an inflated line here in a rivalry game. Virginia coming off a nice win vs Notre Dame is why this line is high. VA Tech were only underdogs to WVU by 8 and Iowa St by 7 who I consider better than Virginia plus you get them at home. Virginia's offense benefits them at home but will it travel? Underdog has owned this series 10-31 ATS L14 and home team is 4-1 ATS L5.
|
01-04-16 |
Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz |
|
93-91 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
You look at this line and think hmmm something is off. The Rockets have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover in all 4 of them and are favored on the road? Rockets will be more motivated here and the Jazz have been very lucky lately winning a couple and that is why the line is low. Jazz still have a ton of injuries to key players.
|
01-04-16 |
Celtics -7 v. Nets |
|
103-94 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
01-04-16 |
Raptors v. Cavs -8 |
|
100-122 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
I was on the Raptors yesterday and yet another double digit blown lead late in the game. I think that will take the wind out of their sails here as the Cavs are well rested. 4th game in 6 days for the Raptors and on like I said a tough back to back. The Cavs have a long 6 game road stretch coming up so I expect a big effort out of them tonight. Raptors 1-4 ATS L5 after allowing 100 pts or more and 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU loss. Cavs are 6-1-1 ATS L8 following a SU win and are 5-0 ATS L5 playing teams above 500
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01-03-16 |
Vikings v. Packers -3 |
|
20-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
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Packers were absolutely destroyed last week @ Arizona and look for them to bounce back. The Vikings who I was on last week coming off a blowout win vs Giants but clearly they weren't in the game since ODB was out with suspension. The Packers also went to Minnesota earlier as a 1 pt dog and took it to them. Packers are 6-2-1 L9 ATS followign a SU loss. Home Team is 7-3 ATS L10 and Vikings just 1-5 ATS @ Green Bay
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01-03-16 |
Heat v. Wizards +1 |
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97-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
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The injuries aren't slowing down the Wizards as they have been playing their best basketball lately. They are 5-2 SU L7 with two losses being both close and good one vs Clippers and Raptors. Heat also have Pacers coming to town tomorrow night which is a big game. Miami for some reason also struggles to score on the road only averaging 92.6 ppg. Heat are 3-13 ATS following a win of 10 or more points. Wizards 4-1 ATS playing 1 day rest, 4-1 ATS following an ATS win, 4-1 ATS L5 home games
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01-03-16 |
Rams v. 49ers +3.5 |
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16-19 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
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I believe we are seeing an over reaction here with the Rams who have won 3 straight and covered in all 3. They are coming of a huge win @ Seattle and this is a prime let down spot. Another flaw is that the Rams have been outgained in their 3 game winning streak by 311 total yards! Thats a huge stat. Meanwhile if you go back and look at the Niners two previous home games against way better teams in Bengals and Cardinals, they actually outgained both of them and were 7 pt dogs. You can't tell me the Bengals and Cards would be favored by 3 over Rams
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01-03-16 |
Seahawks v. Cardinals -6 |
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36-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
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01-03-16 |
Bulls v. Raptors -4 |
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115-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
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We are getting a respectable line here with the Raptors due to the Bulls 3 game winning streak. The Bulls beat the Raptors last week and like the Raptors to get revenge today. Raptors are a very good home team 11-5 SU and Bulls very poor road team 5-7. Bulls are just 1-11 ATS L12 following and ATS win. Look for the Raptors to get revenge here
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01-03-16 |
Saints v. Falcons -5.5 |
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20-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
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The Falcons haven't tossed in the towel and like what they have done the last two weeks. Falcons also have revenge on their mind from early in the season when Atlanta was undefeated. I don't trust the Saints defense at all and their 2 previous wins were great spots for them. Saints 1-6-1 L8 ATS following a SU win. Atlanta 4-1 ATS following an ATS win
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01-03-16 |
Steelers -10.5 v. Browns |
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28-12 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
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I normally don't lay this many points but good bounce back spot here for Pitt and the Browns are done for the year. Big Ben and Brown will have their way with the Browns and Austin Davis @ QB. Steelers 8-3 ATS L11 following a SU loss. Browns 1-5 ATS vs teams with winning record. Browns 0-4 ATS vs AFC North.
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01-03-16 |
Eagles v. Giants -3.5 |
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35-30 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 51 m |
Show
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01-02-16 |
Bucks +1.5 v. Wolves |
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95-85 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
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The Bucks come into this game winning @ Indiana and are on their last game of a 4 game road trip and look for them to ride the momen into this game. Minnesota is just 1-5 SU L6 and 3-13 ATS @ home.
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01-02-16 |
Pistons v. Pacers -4.5 |
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82-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
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I really expect the Pacers to be motivated here coming off 2 loses in a row. Paul Georgoe was quoted saying "it is very unacceptable". Look for them to make a statemen. Also Detroit ended their 3 game skid but that was against a very bad Minnesota team. Pacers are 13-3 ATS teams with a winning record
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01-01-16 |
Iowa +6.5 v. Stanford |
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16-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
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12-31-15 |
Clippers v. Pelicans -2.5 |
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95-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
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The Pelicans are in a good spot here catching the Clippers on their 2nd back to back and now their 5 road in which they have won every one. Pelicans have been playing better and are 4-1 SUnat home L5. Pelicans are also rested and coming off an ugly loss @ Orlando expect them to bounce back
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12-30-15 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -6.5 |
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103-110 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
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Denver coming off a close 6pt loss to the Cavs last night and go to Portland tonight. Really bad spot for Denver here also with the Warriors on deck. Plus the Nuggets will be without Gallinari and Mudiay which is key and Portland is returning Lillard. I believe Portland has gained a lot of confidence after beating the Cavs badly and see no reason why that won't continue. Portland 8-3 ATS L11 at home vs team with losing record.
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12-30-15 |
Jazz v. Wolves -2 |
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80-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
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Really like this spot here for Minnesota. They have lost 4 in a row but were to the Spurs twice @ Boston and the Pacers 4 quality teams. Minnesota will be motivated here to get a win while the Jazz literally come limping in. Jazz have been without Gobert now are without Burks and Favors thise are huge losses and tough to overcome.
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12-30-15 |
Wizards v. Raptors -7 |
|
91-94 |
Loss |
-113 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
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Look for the Wizards to bounce back here after losing a close to the Bulls. This line looks obvious to pick the Wizards here but they are dealing with a a lot of injuries and have benefitted by playing poor teams during their winning streak and also they were at home as well. It caught up with them last game as the Clippers took it to them being a quality team. The Raptors are a quality team as well and have played their last 5 of 7 on the road. Raptors are 6-2 ATS following a ATS loss. Also 7-3 ATS following a SU loss
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12-30-15 |
Northwestern v. Nebraska -3.5 |
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81-72 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
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While I do like what Northwestern has done I'm not sure they deserve to be this short of price. Their record looks great but their best win is Missouri who is a bottom team in the SEC. Nebraska has played some tough competition with Cincinnati and Tennessee beating Tennessee. They also played @Miami in a very close close losing by 5. The records are why this line is low but the competition easily favors Nebraska
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12-30-15 |
Michigan v. Illinois +5 |
|
78-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
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Getting good value here with the home team. I actually think these two teams are equal. Michigan isn't the same as previous years. Illinois has played Iowa St and Notre Dame very tough in losses but I see no reason why Michigan is this big of a favorite
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12-29-15 |
Michigan State v. Iowa -3 |
|
70-83 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
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the public will love Mich St here since they are the #1 team in the country. Denzel Valentine is the Spartans best player who is out for a couple weeks. Mich St really struggled last time out vs Oakland and actually should have lost that game. This is a big game for Iowa and I expect them to be ready for the challeng. Iowa has played a tough non conference schedule and should be no surprise that they are favored here. I really think Iowa presents some matchup problems with Mich St and also depth will be an issue for the Spartans
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12-29-15 |
Pistons v. Knicks +2 |
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96-108 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
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NBA Play of the Day We are getting good value here with the Knicks who have lost 4 in a row and failed to cover in 3 of those. 3 of those 4 games were on the road and all vs Eastern Conference Playoff teams in Cavs Celtics and Hawks. New York will be motivated to bounce back from those 3 games. Pistons are on a 2 game losing skid themselves. Pistons are just 5-18 ATS L23 meetings in New York. Pistons also just 4-9 ATS L13 road games.
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12-29-15 |
Purdue -5.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
61-55 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
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I think people still have a lot of respect for Wisconsin and because of their program and also how well they are at home. Howeve, we have seen that this isnt the same Wisconsin team at all. Purdue is a legit final 4 contender in my eyes and they have mid matches all over the place here and it starts down low. They will control the glass and wear the Badgers down who aren't a great shooing team like usual
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12-29-15 |
Northeastern v. NC State -6.5 |
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66-72 |
Loss |
-106 |
2 h 20 m |
Show
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I believe we are getting good value here with the Wolfpack because they are still figuring in the Northeastern win @ Miami. That win was a month ago and Northeastern hasn't been playing that well as of late losing on the road to Detroit and and Western Michigan. NC St is a solid team at 9-3 with two of those losses coming down to the final minute to Arizona St and Michigan. Wolfpack are 21-7-1 ATS following an ATS loss.
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12-28-15 |
Bucks +6.5 v. Mavs |
|
93-103 |
Loss |
-106 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
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This won't be a popular play by the public but I really like this spot. I realize the Bucks have been terrible on the road this year. The Bucks are coming of an ugly home loss to the Raptors and this is their first road of a 4 game stretch which I expect them to play very hard. Bucks are 5-1ATS L6 following a SU loss. The Mavs are in a weird spot here coming off a big win vs Chicago which I had, but they have the Warriors coming to town Wednesday in a huge sandwich spot here. Mavs are also just 2-5 ATS L7 following ATS win.
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12-28-15 |
Bengals v. Broncos -3.5 |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
128 h 50 m |
Show
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Really like this spot here for Denver after blowing a huge lead at Pittsburg. Cincinnati is still getting respect because of their record. I'm still sold on AJ McCarron as his first start was @ San Fran and everyone knows how bad they are. Denver to me is the best defense in the NFL and I dont believe that McCarron will be able to move the ball on them.
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12-28-15 |
Hawks v. Pacers |
|
87-93 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
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Good spot to back Indiana here as the Hawks have won 6 in a row and covering in 5 of them. While the Pacers are just 1-3 SU their L4. That is why the line is short here. I look for the Pacers to really be focused as they have a tough matchup tonight and then @ Chicago on Wednesday. Indiana has been a really good team with a 10-4 record. Pacers are 11-3 ATS L14 games when playing a team with a winning record. They get up for the better teams.
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12-28-15 |
Pelicans v. Magic -4 |
|
89-104 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
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The Magic present some really good value here after losing to their rival Miami @ home last time out. The Pelicans beat the Rockets last out but were catching them in a great spot after Houston beat the Spurs. I expect the Magic to be motivated here after losing at home. Going back to the first part of November the Magic haven't lost B2B home games. Magic are 10-6 ATS at home, 8-0 ATS playing a team with a losing record, 8-2-1ATS when playing with 1 day rest. Pelicans are just 3-14 on the road this year SU and are 1-5 ATS L6 following and ATS win
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12-28-15 |
Clippers v. Wizards -1 |
|
108-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 0 m |
Show
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The Clippers were lucky to escape Utah with a win last game out and are still getting enough respect because of their name. This will be their 3rd game in 4 days and also their 2nd without Griffin which I believe will catch up with them. Wizards are playing really good ball with now even without some key players. They have won and covered in 4 straight. Clippers are 0-9 ATS L9 following an ATS win thats a big stat there. Clippers are also 1-5-1 ATS L7 road games with their last game being the one they covered.
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12-27-15 |
Giants v. Vikings -6.5 |
|
17-49 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
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With the Giants now out of the division race with Washington winning last night, I expect them to call it quits here in a game without their best player. ODB clearly makes this offense go and they will be lost without them. The Vikings are extremely motivated team who want to make the playoffs and can do that with a win. I look for them to really take it to the Giants.
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12-27-15 |
Packers v. Cardinals -5.5 |
|
8-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
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12-27-15 |
Colts v. Dolphins -2 |
|
18-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
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The Dolphins couldn't have looked any worse last week as they were destroyed @ San Diego. While the Colts are pretty much eliminated from the playoffs with their loss @ home to the Texans. Matt Hasselback is really banged up from the reports with limited practice time and TY Hilton is very frustrated with what has taken place. Look for Miami to be the more motivated team here and bounce back from the ugly loss.
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12-27-15 |
Patriots v. Jets +2.5 |
|
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
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The Jets really need this game to stay alive in the playoff picture and they would love nothing more for it to be against their rival the Patriots. The Patriots are so banged up on both sides of the ball I'm not sure how much is left in the tank. The Jets are riding a 4 game winning streak and also are a stellar 5-2SU @ home. This has been a series owned by the underdog lately. Underdog is 0-4-1 ATS L5 and all those were the Jets. Jets get up for this game and had the Patriots on the ropes earlier in the season.
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12-27-15 |
Panthers v. Falcons +7 |
|
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
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12-26-15 |
Nebraska v. UCLA -6.5 |
|
37-29 |
Loss |
-105 |
45 h 34 m |
Show
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This is all about motivation here. Nebraska had just an awful year. One could say yea, but they were unlucky. Well, unlucky in a few games or not I just don't see how this team will interested in playing with a 5-7 record. They beat Mich St on a terrible call at the end of the game or else wouldn't even be playing here. UCLA has one of the best up and coming QB's in the country in Josh Rosen who leads this team with the 25th ranked passing offense. The Big 10 isn't known for a pass happy league but one team that stands out is Purdue. Purdue gained over 450 yards and racked up 55 points in beating Nebraska. This game is in Santa Clara which isn't far away at all from UCLA. The fact that UCLA is young and as I mentioned it starts with Freshman QB Rosen, I see no reason why UCLA won't blow this bad Nebraska team out. Nebraska ranks 118th against the pass
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12-26-15 |
Clippers v. Jazz +2.5 |
|
109-104 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
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The Clippers were on a verge of a blowout win up 28 but let the Lakers get within 10 which meant they had to play their stars a lot longer than expected. Clippers are just 1-5 ATS L6 with zero days of rest and 0-5-1 ATS L6 road games. Utah will be motivated coming off an ugly loss at the Warriors and are 5-1 ATS L6 following ATS loss. Underdog is also 4-1-1 L6. Good spot for Utah
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12-26-15 |
Bulls v. Mavs -2.5 |
|
111-118 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
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Bulls pulled the biggest upset yesterday winning @ OKC as a 10 point dog. Can they back it up tonight? Well Chicago is just 4-12 ATS after a win. Mavs have had 2 days of rest and are 8-1 ATS following an ATS loss. Bulls are still just an average team on road 5-6 SU
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12-26-15 |
Redskins v. Eagles -3 |
|
38-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 3 m |
Show
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The Eagles were absolutely embarrassed last week on national tv last week and are due for a bounce back. This is obviously a must win game for the Eagles if they want to make the playoffs b winning the division. Redskins have just one road win and that was at Chicago 2 weeks ago not very impressive. Remember just the previous weeks Philly won @ New England very hard to do. I expect them to clean up the turnovers which was why they were blown out last week and beat Cousins who needs to prove me on the road.
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