10* BEST BET

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                                                 7* PLAY

Buffalo has won 7 of 8 games and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5. They are trying to improve their playoff position nd would love to beat NE to help them out. NE has lost 2 straight and their offense seems to have disappeared as they scored just 15 points in their last 2 games. Look for Buffalo to make a statement in a big win over the Pats. 

Take Buffalo

The Eagles lost 5 of their last 6 games and 5 straight on the road. They scored 23 points or less in 6 of their last 8 games with their last 3 wins at home. Dallas has won their last 2 games scoring over 30 points in both and over 40 last week. They lost 2 of their last 3 against Pittsburgh and Baltimore who are 2 of the best in the league. With the Eagles on the road and playing poorly, the home team has the edge.

Take Dallas

NY lost their last 2 scoring just 13 total points and even in their last 2 wins scored under 20. Their offense hasn't gotten 300 yards in 3 straight games. After losing 3 straight Baltimore is back on track with a 3 game win streak scoring over 30 points in each and over 40 in their last 2.

Take Baltimore

Bears have won 2 straight scoring over 30 points each game and need to win if they want a shot at the wild card while the Jags have lost their last 10 allowing at least 27 points in each game. The Bears should score often while their defense keeps the Jag offense on the bench.

Take Chicago

Atlanta lost their last 3 but have been in each game losing by no more than 5 points while holding 3 of their last 5 opponents under 20 points. They haven't lost by double digits in their last 6 losses and have allowed no more than 24 points in 7 of their last 10. KC won 9 of their last 10 games but won by 6 points or less in their last 6 wins and allowing at least 24 points in 5 of them.

Take Atlanta

The Saints lost their last 2 games but 1 was to KC by 3 in their last game. If they beat the Vikings they clinch their 4th consecutive division title. The Vikings lost their last 2 games with 1 of their last 2 wins an OT winner over Jacksonville. The Saints knw that the Vikings knocked them out in the wild card game at home and have that as an incentive for this game. One of the Saints loss was without Brees but he is back and knows the importance that a win against Minnesota means. With Brees back taking the snaps, I'll go with the Saints who went 5-2 at home.

Take New Orleans

Cleveland has 1 of the best offenses in the league scoring over 40 points in their last 2 games and at least 27 in their last 3. They won 5 of their last 7 games and a win today will help solidify a playoff spot as that will give them 10 wins for the year. The Giants had their 4 game win streak snapped last week with a 26-7 loss to Arizona as their offense has struggled scoring 23 points or less in 7 of their last 8 games. They won by 5 points or less in 4 of their last 5 wins and against the Browns will have trouble on both sides of the ball.

Take Cleveland

NO got 2 of their 3 losses on the road while going 5-1 at home. They have 1 of the best defenses in the league  They won 9 of their last 10 games  allowing less than 20 points in 5 of their last 6. They will need another good defensive day playing KC who has the best offense in the league but haven't won by more than 6 points in their last 5 games but their defense has allowed 24 points or more in 5 of their last 6. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as well as 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after a win.

Take New Orleans

Both teams are 6-7 with the Bears breaking a losing streak where they got all 6 of their losses. The Vikings last 5 of 6 wins were all by 6 points or less while allowing 24 points or more in their last 4 straight going 0-4 ATS as well. Chicago lost 3 of their last 4 games by 6 points or less. This is a big game for both teams but Chicago is coming off a huge win over Houston while the Vikings lost their last game scoring just 14 points.

Take Chicago

Atlanta has lost 3 of their last 4 games while being held to 17 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games. Their last loss was to the Chargers who were 3-9 before winning their last 2 games and they haven't gotten 400 yards in offense in their last 8 of 10 games. The Bucs snapped a 2 game losing streak with their last 3 losses against the top teams in the league. They scored at least 25 points in their last 3 road games which they all 3. They need to win in order to insure a playoff spot and now is the time.

Take Tampa Bay

Seattle is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games and hit bottom losing to the Giants last week scoring just 12 points. They lost 3 of their last 4 road games with their last 2 wins coming against the Jets and Eagles. They won 4 of their last 5 at home including last week over the Jets. Washington has turned their season around winning 5 of their last 7 games including their last 4 straight where their defense held those opponents to 17 points or less. This isn't a good spot for Seattle to pick up a win let alone covering the spread. 

Take Washington

LA is 4-9 and have major problems at QB. Their defense has not been able to stop people allowing at least 27 points a game in 9 of their last 10. Vegas has been able to score points while their last 2 losses were against KC and Indy who are 2 very good teams. LA won't be able to stop Vegas from scoring and will have problems putting points on the board.

Take Las Vegas

The Ravens have one of the better defenses in the NFL allowing under 20 points a game and are 8th against the rush. Their passing game is weak but have the best rushing game in the NFL. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 December games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 on the road. They just broke a 3 game losing streak scoring 34 points in their win over Dallas last week. They hd won 4 of 5 games prior to that losing streak and with the playoffs coming up winning is their priority. Cleveland has won 4 straight games but 3 of the wins were against some of the worst teams with a combined 9-29 record. Cleveland is 19-40-1-ATS in their last 60 games as a dog including 7-19 ATS in their last 26 as a home dog. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7gaes overall.

Take Baltimore

NY was seconds away from their 1st win last week but allowed Vegas to score on the last play of the game. They have lost 12 straight but in 4 of their last 6 losses didn't lose by more than 8 points and scored over 30 points in 3 of their last 4 games. Of their last 2 losses by double digits, 1 was by KC in Kansas city and in the other one to Miami they held Miami to 20 points. Seattle has 1 of the worst defenses in the league so here is a chance for the Jets to maybe get their offense on the board. Seattle is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games while last week they lost to the Giants being held to 12 points at home. They had scored at least 27 points in 6 straight games but no more than 23 points in 3 of their last 4. They are not playing good football and maybe the Jets can take advantage of a Seattle team not playing it's best game.

Take New York

Houston is 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with losing home records. They have the 2nd best passing game in the NFL and are in the top 20 in total yards offensively. they won the last 3 games and covered the spread in their last 3 meetings with the Bears. Their last 2 losses were against 2 of the better teams in the NFL who have a combined 17-7 record and their offense scored at least 27 points in 5 of their last 8 games. The Bears have fallen apart losing 6 straight gaes and had no choice but to put benched QB Trubiski back at QB. Their offense can't seem to put together any type of consistency as they scored 23 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games and have been outgained in yards in 8 of their last 10 games and only won 1 of those games. Their offense sits at the bottom of the league in almost every category on offense. Their last 3 wins were by 12 total points while their defense has allowed 75 points in their last 2 losses. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a dog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 overall.

Take Houston

These 2 teams are heading in opposite directions. The Cards have lost 4 of their last 5 while NY has won 4 straight. Arizona is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-5 in ATS in their last 6 as a favorite while NY is 7-0 in their last 7 as a dog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs the NFC and 4-1 in ATS in their last 5 in December. NY has held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 22 points or less and 25 or less in 8 of their last 10. The Cards have allowed at least 28 points to 5 of their last 6 opponents and lost their last 2 road games.

Take New York

Buffalo is 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 as a rod dog and 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 road games overall. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the 1 loss to Arizona on a Hail Mary pass at the end of the game. Their offense is scoring after a drought as they scored at least 27 points in their last 3 games. SF is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games as the favorite. They broke a 3 game losing streak as they barely beat the Rams 23-20 last week and they lost 5 of their previous 7 games and scored 24 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games and in 4 of them 20 points or less. 

Take Buffalo

The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. They won their 1st five games of the season but are 2-3 since. Indy beat them 2 weeks ago in Tennessee 34-17 with the best defense in the NFL. They also have one of the top offenses as they scored at lest 31 points in 5 of their last 6 games. Who ever win this game takes over 1st place in the division. Since Indy is at home and they are playing well on both sides of the ball I'll go with the home team.

Take Indianapolis

Arizona is 6-4 and doing it with offense and defense. They scored at least 28 points in their last 6 games going 4-2 while their 2 losses were by 10 total points. Their offense is ranked first overall including 12th in passing and 2nd in rushing. They average 29 points a game compared to NE who average 21 and the Pats have lost 5 of their last 7 game including a 3 point win over the worst team in the league when they squeaked out a 30-27 win over the Jets.

Take Arizona

Dallas is coming off a big win against the Vikings last week while Washington beat Cinci last week at home. A win for the Cowboys puts them right at the top in their division as no team there has won more than 3 games so far. Washington has lost all 4 of their road games and didn't cover the spread in any of them. Last week's win also broke a 4 game losing streak for Dallas so they are in a good spot and have a big incentive to win this game. Their 4 game losing streak was mainly caused by their offense which had trouble scoring as they were held to 19 points or less but then scored 31 against Minnesota last week. Look for the home team to follow up with a victory at home as they have some momentum to work with. 

Take Dallas

The Lions were shutout last week but this week they play a team that has 2 of it's 3 wins against Jacksonville. We know Stafford can throw the ball and we know both teams struggle on the ground wit the Texans being the worst in the league. This is a game that Detroit always looks forward to since it is the Thanksgiving Day tradition in Detroit. Houston lost 4 of their 5 road games so I'll take the points on Thanksgiving with Detroit.

Take Detroit

The Packers are 7-2 with their last 2 wins over inferior Jacksonville and SF who have over half their starters injured. Their offense has staled a bit as they haven't been scoring getting 24 points or less in 3 of their last 5 games after scoring 35 of more in their previous 5 of 7. Indy has won 6 of their last 8 games with 1 of their losses against a very good Baltimore team. in 5 of their 6 wins they won by double digits and the other game by 8 and have outgained 9 of their last 10 opponents as they have passed for over 300 yards in their last 5 games. Their defense has held 5 of their last 9 opponents to 24 points or less winning all 5 games. They have won 3 of their 4 home games and have the best overall defense in the NFL. The packers are 2-4 ATS in their last 5 games while the Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Take Indianapolis 

NY is desperate for their 1st win after blowing a double digit lead late in the game before losing 30-27. Let's not for get that LA has won just 2 games and are a double digit favorite? NY has had major problems with their offense but broke that drought wit 27 points last week.LA really hasn't played much better losing 7 of their last 8 games while giving up at least 30 points in their last 5 losses while losing their last 4 games at home. LA is 16-34-1 ATS on their last 35 home games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite. They are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games against the AFC.

Take New York

Miami has surprised everyone by play good football and beating good teams but today they have to win in Denver which isn't that easy. They won 5 straight but 2 games were against the winless Jets and against a SF team wit half their starters injured. Their last 3 wins have been at home but tat is not the case today. Denver has lost 3 of their last 4 games but 3 were on the road where they aren't as good as home. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against the AFC and are 6-3 ATS following a loss. Miami is due for a let down and they have to be well focused playing in Denver as the Broncos are a very tough team to beat at home. Look for Denver to take advantage of a Miami team that just might be tired.

Take Denver

Although still without a loss, Pitts burgh has been on the ropes recently. They won a big game at home last week but in their 3 previous game won by no more than 5 points and have had their lowest scoring games by far on the road. They had to come from behind in 2 of their last 3 wins and in 2 of their last 5 games were held below 300 yards on offense for the 1st time all year, and are 12-27-2 ATS in their last 41 games on the road against teams with losing home records. The Jaguars last 2 games they lost have been by 6 points total with 4 of their last 6 losses on the road. They have been a double digit dog just once in their last 10 games and covered that esily. They are only 1-8 but have played nuch better than their record indicates. This is a spot the Steelers may have their guard down and an opportunity for Jacksonville to steal one.

Take Jacksonville

The Bengals have shown they know how to score. They put up 27 points in 3 of their lst 4 games and QB burrows is having a good year as he has passed for over 2400 yards with 12 TD.s. In his last 3 games he has 6 TD's and just 1 pick as 2 of their last 3 losses were by 4 points or less. He completed over 70% of his passes fin 2 of his last3 games and seems to be getting better each game. Washington has lost 7 of their last 8 games a trend which continue as their offense which has scored 20 points or less in 5 of them continues to be a problem. The Covid bug has hit the Washington coaches and they will not be part of today's game. As the Bengals are getting players back from the Injury list, Washington is losing players which is something they can't afford. The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against losing teams and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 overall and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 as the road dog. Washington is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as the home favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November as well as 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after a loss.

Take Cincinnati

The Titans are 6-3 having lost 3 of their last 4 games while being held to 34 points or less in all 4 games. Their offense has sputtered after winning their first 5 games soring at least 30 points in all 5. Their defense hasn't played well either allowing at least 27 points in 3 of their last 4 losing all 3. In 2 of their last 3 losses they were beaten by double digits wile going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on the road. They Ravens got 3 of their last 4 losses on the road but are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 against the AFC and 5-3 ATS in their last 8 November games. They lost to Pittsburgh after blowing a 17-7 halftime lead and put up over 450 yards of offense. Their defense is their strength as they held 4 of their last 6 opponents to 17 points or less winnin3 of them. This is a good spot for them to pull out a big win as they are at home against a team bot playing well.

Take Baltimord

Minnesota is 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday night appearances and 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with the Bears. They have a 2 game winning streak but had lost 6 of their previous 7 games including 2 of their last 3 on the road with both losses by 17 points each. Last week in their win over Detroit they ran for 275 yards but they can't expect that against the Bears who are ranked 9th against the rush. That means they will need a passing game but are ranked 25th getting just 221 yards a game. They haven't passed for more than 248 yards in 9 of their last 10 games while Cousins has thrown 15 TD's and 10 picks with 3 of those TD,s last week. Chicago has dropped 2 straight after winning 6 of their previous 7 games but need to get their ground game going. They are 13-4-1 in their last 18 games as the home dog and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 against the NFC North. This is a good spot for the Bears to get back on track. Their defense hasn't allowed more than 23 points in 7 of their last 10 games.

Take Chicago

Seattle's defense has been a problem and last week they lost their 2nd straight road game and have allowed 81 total points in the losses, QB Wilson has played well but if you can't stop the other team, you end up losing games you might have won. They are ranked 3oth or worse in 3 important categories as their defense allows over 450 yards and over 30 points a game. They have both their losses on the road while the Rams are 3-0 at home. They have had it rough playing 5 of their last 7 on the road and I'm sure they are thrilled to have a home game. At home their defense has held their opponents to 17 points or less in their last 3 there. Their offense get's a spark and with a win ties them with Seattle for the lead spot in the Division. This is a great opportunity for LA and a bad spot for Seattle.

Take Los Angeles

NY has been playing competitive foot ball over their last 5 games or so. Although they lost 3 of them, they lost by a combined 6 points in all 3 while going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall. NY's running game has shown signs of coming together as they rushed for at least 132 yards in 3 of their last 4 games including a game against the Eagles in a 22-21 loss as they ran for 160. The Eagles were ranked 3rd last season against the run but have sunk to 24th. QB Jones for NY hs had his problems but has seen improvement. Last week he had no turnovers, passed for over 200 yards and led NY to 20 1st half points. Wentz has been bad if not worse as he has been sacked 32 times while throwing 12 picks and is dead last in QB ratings with a horrible 73.2. The Eagles are banged up which hasn't helped and id NY can win they are right back in contention. A team who has 2 of their 3 losses on the road has no business being almost a TD favorite.

Take New York

The Colts are 5-3 going in and 2-2 in their last 4 games. Their defense has way outplayed their offense as they allowed opponents 21 points or less in 5 of their last 6 wins. By the way 5 of those wins were at home and 3 of 4 losses on the road. Last week they lost 24-10 to the Ravens and in their other 2 losses gave up at least 30 points. With the Colt injuries list climbing, most of their offense which has a bunch of unskilled players leaves most of the pressure on QB Rivers arm. But he has thrown 6 picks out of the Colts last 8 TO's and they have 2 TO's in each of their last 4 games. They were held to under 375 yards in 7 of their last 8 games. Tennessee broke a 2 game losing streak after opening the season with 5 straight wins. Their defense though has allowed their opponents to be way too good on converting 3rd downs. Their pass rush is another problem as they are 28th in sacks and don't get to the QB a lot. Last week might have gotten them back on track as they sacked the QB 3 times and held Cinci to 3 of 15 3rd down tries. They are at home and in 1st place and I would think they would like to stay.

Take Tennessee 

The Giants have 1 win all year and their offense ranks at the bottom of the league in almost every offensive category with maybe the Jets being the worst. Washington has struggled offensively as well but their defense has been very good as they are in the top 5 in total yards and lead the league in pass defense. NY hasn't won a game on the road all year and don't expect that to change. Washington has only 2 wins but both were at home. NY is the worst team in the worst division in the league so I'll stay with the home team.

Take Washington

Minnesota hasn't had a great year and hasn't won a home game yet. But Detroit looks like their spot to get that 1st home win. The Lions may have to play without their starting QB and have a list a mile long of injuries. The Vikings are coming off a big win at Green Bay last week and that may be the game that turns their season around. Their QB Cousins biggest problem has been throwing 10 picks but has over 1600 passing yards and thrown 12 TD's. Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games while Detroit was crushed at home last week allowing 41 points to Indy. The Lions last 2 wins were against 2 last place teams with a combined 3-12 record.

Take Minnesota

The Colts come off their bye week at 4-2 and a road game at Detroit. Their last game was a come from behind win against the Bengals at home when they scored 10 4th quarter points. They have had to rely on QB Rivers more than they'd like as they said they are committed to the run game but that hasn't worked as they are in the bottom 5 in the league running getting less than 100 yards a game. Both of their losses have come on the road and now are playing Detroit who are a better team in Detroit who have won 3 of their last 4 games holding the 3 teams to 23 points or less. Indy is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road.

Take Detroit 

Brady destroyed the Raider secondary with 369 yards and 4 TD's as the Raiders lost 45-20. It was their 3rd loss in their last 4 games and the 4th game they allowed at least 30 points. They are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with winning home records and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. Cleveland got a great game from Mayfield last week as he threw 5 TD's and completed 21 straight passes in a 37-34 win over the Bengals. They are 5-2 and have a 3-0 record at home scoring at least 32 points in all 3 wins. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as the home favorite and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 at home.

Take Cleveland

Last week the Titans had their 5 game win streak broken with a 27-24 loss at home to the Steelers. They won both of their road games but only by 3 points total and 4 of their 5 wins were by 6 points or less. The Bengals have 1 win and that was at home. The Titans have scored at least 30 points in 4 of their last 5 games and over 40 in 2 of their last 3. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on field turf while the Bengals are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as the home dog. The Bengals have allowed at least 27 points in 4 of their last 5 games.

Take Tennessee

Even though the Vikings are 1-5 they have been getting over 400 yards of offense in 4 of their 6 games but their problem has been turnovers and Cousins is the main culprit with 10 Picks. Their 1 win was a road game and 2 of their last 3 losses were by just 1 point. The Packers are dealing with a boatload of injuries but Rodgers is having a good season. Three of their last 4 wins were against teams with a combined 3-12 record. The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a dog and 38-14 ATS in their last 52 games after a loss.

Take Minnesota

The Chiefs are 6-1 and their defense has held all 6 opponents they beat to 20 points or less. Last week they had their biggest point total scoring a 43-16 win over Denver. They won by double digits in 4 of their 6 wins and are 7th in the league averaging 31 points a game and in the Top 10 averaging just under 400 yards a game. They have picked up their running game as well averaging over 130 a game which takes some pressure off Mahomes. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 7-1-1 in their last 9 as the home favorite. The Jets are 0-7 with 4 losses by at least 20 points. Their offense has been held to 17 points or less in 6 of their games and are 17-36-4 ATS in their last 57 games as the road dog and 4-11 ATS in their lst 15 vs teams with winning home records. 

Take Kansas City

Today's game has 2 teams that are 5-0 but the Titans have been scoring at least 31 points in their last 4 games and last week got over 600 yards of offense in their win. They are 2nd in the league averaging over 420 yards a game including being ranked 5th running the ball. QB Tannehill has thrown 13 TD's and just 2 picks and has completed at least 73% of his passes in 3 of his last 4 games. Pittsburgh scored at least 30 points in just their last 2 games and have won 2 of their games by 12 total points. This will be a good test for their defense wo haven't let a team score over 30 points so far but they have scored under 30 in 3 of their 5 games. The Titans are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 against the AFC and 6-2 ATS after an ATS win.

Take Tennessee

Cleveland had their 4 game winning streak broken last week with a 38-7 trouncing by the Steelers. It was their lowest scoring game since their opening week beating 38-6 by the Ravens. They scored at least 32 points in those 4 wins but 3 of the wins were against teams with a combined 4-13 record and 1 win was against the Bengals in Cleveland 35-30. Their defense has trouble stopping the pass allowing over 270 yards a game and they are near the bottom of the league allowing over 31 points a game. QB Mayfield hasn't been very effective as he has passed for 10 TD's and 6 picks and in the last 2 weeks has thrown 4 picks and completed less than 60% of his passes and in 4 of his 6 games hasn't passed for over 200 yards. Their defense allowed 38 points in 2 of their last 3 games and their running game is what is helping their offense stay competitive but in the last 2 weeks were held below 125 yards in both games. The Bengals are 1-4-1 losing their last 2 games which were both on the road and their win was at home where they played just 1 game. Their last loss was by 4 points at Indy and they lost their previous game to the Ravens who are one of the best teams in the NFL. They lost by 5 points or less in 3 of their 4 losses and last week Indy scored the lst 10 points of the game in the 4th quarter to win. The Exact same thing happened in their loss to the Chargers the 1st week. QB Burrow has done a good job completing 65% of his passes but has thrown just 4 TD's but has thrown for over 300 yards in 4 of his last 5 games. This is a game tat will be very tough for Cleveland to win on the road as they are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 games after a loss. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Take Cincinnati

The Pack got their 1st loss last week when they were crushed by the Bucs 38-10 after winning their first 4. Their passing game has led to their success but were held to 107 yards in the air and got just 200 yards of total offense. Rodgers had been averaging 282 yards in the air but was shut down last week. They need him to pass as their running game has been held under 100 yards for 3 straight weeks and 3 of their wins were against teams with a combined 4-13 record. Their point production has fallen every week since they scored 43 in their 1st game and in their last 2 games was the first time they were held at 30 points or less. He threw his first 2 picks last week and in 3 of the last 4 games he hasn't reached 300 yards passing. Houston is just 1-5 but their first 3 losses were against the 3 best teams with a combined 15-2 record. QB Watson has thrown 15 TD's with just 3 picks while their last 3 losses were by 21 total points including last week's zOT loss to Tennessee. Their offense is showing signs of improvement as they have goten at least 386 total yards in their last 3 games and over 400 the last 2. They have the 3rd best passing game in the league but they are lacking a running game. This seems like a good spot for Houston to grab a win against a team that is struggling.

Take Houston 

Dallas comes to Washington having lost 3 of their last 4 games including a 38-10 beating by Arizona in their last game. In their last 5 games they have allowed at least 31 points a game and are the worst in the league allowing over 36 points a game. They are 2-4 and 0-6 ATS in all 6 games this season. QB Prescott has done  decent job but has thrown just 9 TD's with 4 picks but 7 of his 9 TD's and 3 of his 4 picks have been in 2 of his last 3 games as the Cowboys lost both games. He had his worst game last week vs the Giants as he passed for only 166 yards with no TD's and 1 pick. Washington is just 1-5 and the win was in their 1st game. They lost 5 straight since but have had injury problems to deal with. Both teams have new QBs as Dalton will start for the injured Prescott and Washington benched Haskins in favor of Kyle Allen who played his 1st game against the Giants completing 31 of 42 passes for 280 yards in a 20-19 defeat. Dallas will have their work cut out for them as they are playing with a decimated offensive line so it will be difficult for them to get into sync offensively. Washington is really starving for a win and with a new QB will give it their all. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. 

Take Washington

Detroit is 2-3 but have been struggling on offense. Last week's win was the 1st time they scored at least 30 points and just the 2nd game they got over 400 yards of offense and that was against a weak Jacksonville team. They have yet to pass for 300 yards in a game and ran for under 100 yards in 3 of their last 4 games. Their other win was a 3 pointer over Arizona and got just over 320 total yards of offense. Atlanta is 4th in the league offensively averaging over 400 yards a game and 2nd in passing averaging 291 yards a game. They won their 1st game last week beating Minnesota 40-23 after losing their 1st 5 games. They lost by 7 points or less in 3 of their 5 losses and Detroit on the road shouldn't be a problem after last week's performance. Detroit is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 as a dog and 2-6ATS in their last 8 road games. Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs teams with losing records.

Take Atlanta 

If Dallas hopes to win they will need a big game out of Dalton who took over for the injured Prescott. He completed 9 of 12 passes with 0 TD's and 0 picks since he took over for Precott who took the Cowboys to 3 wins and 3 losses completing 68% of his passes with 9 TD's and 4 picks. He had 3 straight games of throwing for at least 450 yards throwing 8 TD's and 3 of his picks but Dallas lost 2 of the 3 as their defense allowed at least 38 points in those games allowing87 points in the 2 losses. They allow over 400 yards a game and 36 points and are ranked 28th in stopping the run as they give up over 150 yards a game. The Cards broke a 2 game losing streak and have a 3-2 record winning by double digits in 2 of their 3 wins. QB Murray leads the team completing 70% of his passes and throwing 8 TD's with 6 picks. He threw 3 of his picks in 1 game but in his last 2 games threw 4 TD's and just 1 pick while completing 75% of his passes in those 2 games. Last week he led them to a 30-10 beating of the Jets while 1 of his losses was in the game he threw 3 picks. They are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-2 ATS vs teams with losing records. Dallas is 8-20 in their last 28 games vs teams with winning records and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and incredibly 22-45 ATS in their last 67 games as the home favorite. The Cards are 4-2 SU and ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Take Arizona

  Green Bay has won all 4 of their games scoring at least 30 points in each win. The combined record of 3 of the 4 teams they beat is 2-12 and all 3 are in the bottom 5 of the NFL in points allowed as they all give up over 30 points a game. The Pack have a steady defense but do allow over 25 points a game. The Bucs had their 3 game winning streak broken with a tough 1 point loss to the Bears on the road where they got both of their losses. At home they scored at least 31 points a game while their defense have played some excellent football. They allowed 20 points or less in 3 of their games and are ranked 2nd in overall defense and 1st at stopping the run. This will probably be their toughest game so far if you look at the teams they played. The Saints were the best team they played and won that game by 7 points. This will not be the easiest place for the Pack to continue their streak as their offense will be tested by one of the NFL's best defenses.

Take Tampa Bay                                                     

 Chicago visits the Panthers with a 4-1 record and winners of 5 of 7 overall. Without their defense that wouldn't be the case as they haven't let opponents score more than 26 points in any game and under 20 points in 4 of their last 5. They struggled offensively being held to under 275 yards offense in their last 2 games and surpassed 400 yards just once. Last week they held one of the best offense to 19 points in their 20-19 over the Bucs. The Panthers have won 3 straight but last week's 23-16 win was over a troubled Atlanta team who is 0-5. In 3 of their last 4 games they were held to 23 points or less and their winning streak broke a 7 game losing streak. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite and 1-4-1 ATS as a favorite at home.

Take Chicago

Atlanta has lost all 5of their games while allowing at least 30 points in 4 of them and in their last 2 games were held to 16 points in their last 2. They are also 1-4 ATS in those 5 games. They haven't got 400 yards in offense in their last 4 games .The Vikings have lost 4 of their 5 games but 2 of their last 3 losses were by a single point and offensively got more than 400 yards while their rushing game has picked up at least 162 yards a game which is 4th in the league average wise. Atlanta is ranked 29th defensively allowing over 32 points a game and almost 450 yards of offense while Ryan hasn't passed for over 250 yards in his last 4 games. They are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 October games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs teams with losing home records. Minnesota is 10-2-1 in their last 13 October games and 38-17 ATS in their last 55 home games and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 at home vs teams with losing road records.

Take Minnesota 

 The Browns have won 4 straight since their opening loss to Baltimore scoring at least 32 points in 4 straight and winning by double digits in their last 3. Their offense is very well balanced as they pass for over 198 yards a game and run for 189 more. They are ranked 1st in running and 4th in scoring averaging over 21 points a game. Defensively they have to tighten up their secondary but stop the run well averaging 87 yards a game. They lead the league with 12 takeaways, 6 fumble recoveries and 6 interceptions. The Steelers are also playing well winning all 4 of their games but those teams have a combined 3-15 record as none of them won more than 1 game so far. They have a very good run defense and they will need it against the Browns. Cleveland is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games and the Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs the AFC. Pittsburgh can't take tis team for granted and had better be on their toes.

Take Cleveland

The Ravens come to Philadelphia with a 4-1 record and a 2 game winning streak but 3 of the teams they beat have a combined 3-11 record as none of them won more tan a game each. After putting up at least 281 yards of offense in their first 2 games, they've managed just 350 yards or less of offense in their last 3 games. They are ranked 22nd offensively averaging 340 yards a game and are ranked 29th throwing the ball as they pass for under 180 yards a game and in their loss to KC were held to 228 total yards with just 70 in the air. Philadelphia is 1-3-1 as they lost to Pitt last week 38-29 but were within 2 points until the Steelers scored their last TD with under 3 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. Their defense is ranked in the top half of the league and they have improved since losing their first 2 games and are 1-1-1 in the following 3 games. They were held under 20 points in their first 3 games but have scored over 20 in their following 3 games. They played well in their last 2 games beating SF 25-20 2 weeks ago with a 14 point 4th quarter and last week played well but Pittsburgh scored the game sealing TD with again under 3 minutes to go. Baltimore is 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 October games and this is a tough road game for them this week.

Take Philadelphia

This could be Buffalo's toughest game of the year. They are 4-0 but 2 of their wins were against Miami and the Jets. The Titans have beaten both Minnesota and Denver on the road and in the last 2 weeks scored over 30 points a game and average almost 400 total yards with over360 through the air. Besides their wins over a couple of inferior teams, the Bills also almost blew a 28 point lead in their win over the Rams. The Bills are ranked 27th as they allow over 280 yards a game in the air while Tennessee has allowed 74 total points. In their last 5 meetings the winning team won by 6 or less points and the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall The Titans are 7-2-1 in their last 10 against the NFC. Their toughest game all year could also be their 1st loss. 

Take Tennessee

The Chargers have lost 3 in a row blowing a 21 point lead last week and in their 2 prior games were held below 21 points. Those 2 games were at home and last week allowed 38 points in their loss to the Bucs. Their 1 win was against the Bengals 16-13. The Saints broke their 2 game losing streak with a 35-29 win at Detroit and it was the 3rd time in their 4 games they scored at least 30 points while their 1 loss was in Green Bay after blowing a halftime lead finally losing 37-30. In their last 3 games they averaged 400 yards on offense and outgained their opponents. They are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 against teams with losing records. The Chargers are 2-5-1 in their last 8 games after an ATS win and 7-19-1 ATS after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The Chargers have defensive standout Bosa and their #1 RB hurting and neither might play.

Take New Orleans

Cleveland and Indy are both 3-1 but have done so in different ways. Since the Colts opening game 27-20 loss to the Jaguars their defense has made the difference holding their last 3 opponents to 11 points or less. They are in the bottom half of the league offensively averaging 26 points and only 360 yards a game throwing for just 245 yards. Other tan a 36-7 beating of the hapless Jets, even in their 28-11 win over Minnesota passed for only 203 yards and 15 of their points were from FG's. In last week's win they passed for under 200 yards and needed 4 FG's to secure the win. The Browns were crushed 38-6 in their 1st game by Baltimore but have since won 3 straight scoring at lest 34 points a game and broke out for 49 last week in their road win over Dallas. They lead the league in rushing with over 200 yards a game and average 31 points good for 4th in the league. Last week was their best offensive game of the year getting over 500 yards in a balanced attack as they rushed for over 300 yards and passed for over 200. Their offense would be huge if Mayfield starts to put it together. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Take Cleveland                                                

Miami has a 1-3 record with their 3 losses against teams with a combined 10-2 record. In those losses the Dolphins were in every game losing by 3 to an excellent Buffalo team and against both New England and Seattle hung around to the very end as Seattle scored 14 4th quarter points and New England scored with 5 minutes to go to to end up winning by 10. Miami's defense gives up under 100 yards on the ground while allowing 24 points a game. Their offense also helps keep them close as they run for over 100 yards a game and throw for over 240. QB Fitzpatrick is pretty consistent but needs to get his numbers up as he's thrown just 4 TD's and 5 picks although 3 of them were in 1 game against the Bills. He completes 69% of his passes but they have had trouble scoring TD's in the Red Zone. SF is 2-2 but the troubling part of that is the wins were against the Giants and Jets who are a combined 0-8 while both losses were at home. Even with Garropolo they are 1-1 and he hasn't had a 300 yard game yet. Miami is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 as a dog and as a road team while also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road dog. SF is 7-20 in their last 27 has a home favorite and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 October games.

Take Miami

The Ravens are 3-1 with their most productive games in their first 2 when their offense averaged close to 400 yards in the 2 wins but since then they haven't had more than 350 yards in their last 2 and just 208 total yards in their loss to KC. They are ranked 29th in passing but their running game has been consistent as they are 3rd with a 160 yard average. The Bengals have thrown well averaging over 250 yards a game while scoring at least 30 points in 2 of their last 3 games while last week had their best offensive game of the season. They amassed over 500 yards of offense getting 300 in the air and 200 on the ground in their 1st win of the year. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 as the road dog and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games overall. Baltimore is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as the home favorite.

Take Cincinnati

  The Eagles were held to under 20 points in their first 2 games which resulted in their 2 loses. Then they tied a Bengal team whose 2 losses were by 8 points total. The following week they beat SF a Super Bowl team a year ago 25-20. Their first loss to Washington resulted when the were outscored 13 -0 in the 4th quarter and allowed 8 sacks to their QB. Against the Rams they fell behind quickly but were only trailing 21-16 at the half and then let LA score 13 4th quarter points to make the game not as close as it really was. Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 28 points in their 3 wins as they were up just 10-9 but scored a TD with 7 seconds left in the half th take a 16-10 lead over the 0-4 Giants wo actually passed for 262 yards to Pittsburg's 208. Big Ben has been effective but hasn't thrown for many yards as he threw for under 220 yards i 2 of their 3 games. Their defense has had to play well for them to come away with 3 straight wins. Philly on the other hand has gained at least 265 yards in each game but Wentz's 7 picks have been their biggest problem but the defense hasn't allowed more than 25 points in their last 2 games, improving on their first 2. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road dog and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 October games. Pittsburgh is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home as the favorite.

Take Philadelphia                                                

Both teams are playing on a short week with the Bucs rallying for a 38-31 win over the Chargers after being down by 21 while the Bears once again had their offense stalled scoring their lowest point total of the year losing 19-11 to the Colts. They are 3 -1 but their 3 wins were over teams with a combined 1-11 record. The Bucs won their 3rd straight scoring at least 28 points in each and winning 2 by double digits. Brady had his best game throwing for a season high both in TD's with 5 and yards with 369. Chicago had their 3rd game of 4 throwing for under 250 yards even after benching Trubisky in favor of Foles. They average just 232 yards passing and score 21 points a game while in 2 games scoring 17 or less. Together their QB's have thrown 10 TD's and 5 picks with their running game getting a season low 28 yards last week while the Bucs had their best offensive game getting 484 total yards. The Bears can't seem to figure out their offense while the Bucs keep improving as Brady becomes more familiar with the system. Chicago is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs teams with winning records while the Bucs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a road favorite. The Bears lost 2 of their last 3 at home.

Take Tampa Bay

The Eagles are 0-2-1 and no secret why. Wentz has 3 TD passes and 6 picks while being sacked 11 times in 3 games. They are ranked 25th in offense and score less than 20 points a game. Their 1st 2 losses were by double digits and they salvaged a tie with the Bengals in their last game as neither team could score in OT. They scored 23 points or less in 5 of their last 6 games and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. They are in the bottom 10 giving up 29 points a game while they haven't passed for over 3oo yards in 5 straight games. After a loss to the Cards in their 1st game. SF has overwhelmed their last 2 opponents outscoring them 67-22. They lost their starting QB but Mullens has filled in nicely as he threw for 343 yards and a TD last week and was 8 for 11 when Garrapolo was hurt the game before. This is the Team that went to the Super Bowl so you can't count them out and against teams like Philadelphia when you are home is a must win if you want to go back. SF is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-1 in their last 6 as the favorite.

Take San Francisco 

The Colts dropped their 1st game to a 1-2 Jaguar team then steamrolled both Minnesota and the jets holding each team below 12 points and winning by double digits. They lead the league defensively giving up just 225 yards a game and allowing 15 points a game. Last week they held the Jets to just a 1st quarter TD in a 36-7 beating and the week before shut down the Vikings 28-11 as they held the offense to less than 100 yards running and passing. Rivers has been effective with his new team not making mistakes while their defense picked off Darnold 3 times last week. The Bears needed a 20 point 4th quarter to beat Atlanta last week and a 21 point 4th quarter to beat the Lions in week 1. Their other win was 17-13 over the punchless Giants. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home and 4-11 ATS in their last 11 overall. The Colts are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs winning teams and average 28 points a game.

Take Indianapolis 

NO has dropped 2 straight games while allowing each team to score at least 34 points. The damage has been their secondary who gave up at least 275 yards in each loss. and 1 included a 37-30 loss at home to the Pack. They have been outscored in the 2nd half of both which could mean they are wearing down in the 2nd half. They face another good QB on the road as Stafford has thrown for over 800 yards with 5 TD's. They are very even offensively but the Saints have allowed more points per game. NO is 1-3 ATS in their last 3 games while Detroit is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at home against teams with losing records. Afterv2 straight losses a road game in Detroit is not a place to turn things around.

Take Detroit

The Ravens were humbled by the Chiefs 34-20 in their last game after blowing out their 1st 2 opponents. After scoring over 30 points in their first 2 games they were held to 20 in their loss to KC. QB Jackson threw for just 97 yards and totaled just 228 yards in the game after averaging 400 their first 2 games. Now they are on the road against Washington team that played to competitive games but folded in the 4th quarter allowing Cleveland to score 17 unanswered 4th quarter points and the week before gave up 10 to put the game out of reach. Washington has the 6th best defense but have struggled offensively averaging under 300 yards a game and just 17 points scoring but improved the last 2 weeks getting over 300 yards a game. Their 1 win was at home and both losses on the road and they are home this week. The Ravens are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a Monday game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a loss. Washington is 2-1 ATS in their last 3 as a double digit dog. This could be a good spot for them to play well.

Take Washington

The Chargers don't have a lot going for them this week. They have to start a rookie QB. they are hurting on defense and they lost 2 straight games both at home. They score just over 17 points a game ranking them 27th in the league while scoring the 2nd fewest points so far. In their last 6 games they scored no more than 21 points while Brady put more points on the board than the Bucs have scored in 5 games. Before Brady they scored less than 23 points in their prior 3 games. Their defense has performed allowing 17 points or less in their last 2 games while holding both opponents below 100 rushing yards. They are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs teams with losing records. The Chargers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 and 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 after a loss. They allowed over 600 yards passing in their last 2 games and that is what the Bucs and Brady do best.

Take Tampa Bay

Both teams are 0-3 and the Broncos lost to teams with a combined 8-1 record with 2 of them in 1st place in their divisions. Their best game was against the Titans losing 16-14 and their worst was against one of the best passing teams with Brady and the Bucs who threw for 285 yards. That won't happen with the Jets who are both last in total offense and points scored as they are 0-3 losing by double digits in each loss and are dead last in scoring averaging 12 points a game. Defensively they are 26th allowing over 31 points a game and give up almost 400 yards a gme with 133 on the ground. QB Darnold averages less than 200 yards passing and has thrown 3 TD's an 4 pics which has been his biggest problem as a pro QB. The Broncos played 2 tough teams and played close losing to Tennessee by 2 and Pittsburgh by 5 covering the spread in both. NY is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games while Denver is 5-2 in both their last 7 road games and last 7 road dogs.

Take Denver +110

This game is up for grabs. Both teams are the cream in the NFL and both teams can win any game any time anywhere. They have arguably the 2 best QB's in the league. If any team has an edge anywhere. then Baltimore has it on defense. But as good as they are defensively, KC has an offense that can score on anybody. For my money it's a toss up barring injuries or big mistakes that can happen to either team, I'll go with a modest bet on KC with a very nice return should they win the game. To me the points are irrelevant. Both teams could win this game and I'm going where the money takes me.

Take KC on the Money Line

The Packers lead the league in rushing and are 5th in passing. They are also 1st in scoring and yards per game with over 500. They scored over 40 points in each of their first 2 games and 1 was on the road against the Vikings. Rodgers has thrown over 600 yards and 6TD's without a pick and Jones has rushed for over 230 yards . Their offense is rolling right now. NO is 1-1 beating the Bucs in Brady's 1st game and then lost to Vegas as they gave up 34 points and watched the offense stall in the 2nd half scoring just 7 points. Brees has thrown for under 500 yards and just 3 TD's with a pick. He hasn't been the same for a while as his numbers go down as his age goes up. Green bay won 8 of their last 10 games and both losses were to SF on the road. NO is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite. The Pack is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against teams with winning records.

Take Green Bay

The Lions can't seem to buy a win. The Pack destroyed them in their 1st game and in their last game allowed the Bears to score 21 points in the 4th quarter to blow a 23-6 lead after 3. Noe they travel to Arizona where the Cards have something going. They beat Super Bowl SF on the road and came home and destroyed Washington. They are 7th defensively and 6th offensively as they average over 259 yards in the air and 170 yards on the ground. The Lions are ranked 27th defensively allowing over 300 yards in the air and on the ground. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 overall and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs the NFC. Arizona has been improving offensively scoring at least 24 points in 8 of their last 10 games and are 4-01 ATS in their last 5 games. They seem to be a team on the rise but Detroit looks like the same hapless team they've been,

Take Arizona

Seattle may be 2-0 but are ranked last in the NFL defensively. They give up almost 500 yards a game with over 480 yards coming in the air. They have shut down the run to 70 yards a game but numbers like that will come back to haunt you. Offensively they are 2nd in scoring but 1 win was against Atlanta who give up the most points in the league and the other was against the Pats who played their 1st game without Brady and company. They allowed a hobbling Newton just under 400 yards in the air but ended up winning both games. This week it's Dallas on the road who average 500 offensive yards with 400 in the air. The Cowboys put up 40 in their win over the Falcons and barely lost to a very tough Ram squad on the road 20-17 and the Rams are 5th in the league in offense. Prescott is ranked 4th in passing with over 750 yards. Dallas averages 130 yards on the ground and if they can establish a running game Seattle will have their hands full. Dallas is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as the dog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road dog. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home and 2-6 in their last 8 as the home favorite.

Take Dallas

Brady seems to be settling in at his new home. He has led the Bucs to a 27 point scoring average and has thrown for over 500 yards, but the Buc defense allowed the Saints 34 points last week but did hold Carolina to 17 in their only win. Brady gets Godwin back which gives him another target and with their offense Brady can put up some big numbers as time goes on. On the other side Denver lost QB Locke who was going to be their new QB and lost another receiver while still dealing with Von Miller being out on defense. They are ranked 28th offensively and are allowing over 270 yards in the air. Normally I like Denver as a home team but... as for the Bucs they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs teams with losing records. They are moving in opposite directions.

Take Tampa Bay

In their 1st game Washington had to score 13 4th quarter points to get the win after falling behind 17-7 at the half. In that game Washington only produced 239 yards of offense with just 80 on the ground. Then last week fell behind again but couldn't catch up losing to Arizona 30-15 and once again just 316  total offensive yards. They allowed Arizona to run and pass giving up over 430 yards with 160 on the ground which opened up the pass for 278 yards. They lost 4 of their last 5 road games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a dog. Cleveland was hammered by the Ravens on the road but came up big with a 35-30 win over Cinci at home last week. They had over 200 yards rushing and passing as the game wasn't as close as it looked. If they can continue to protect Mayfield he is likely to take over this game as long as Cleveland continues to run as they are 2nd in the league and did run for 138 yards against the Ravens tough defense. Washington's front 7 are hurting so the Browns just might open this game up.

Take Cleveland

This will be Buffalo's toughest game so far. After beating The Jets and Miami the face the Rams at home. They scored at least 27 points in each game which is a good sign where last season scoring was tough to come by. QB Josh Allen started his 2nd season with 2 wins and is 2nd in the NFL in passing with over 720 yards, It was their defense that had to win those tough games in the past but if this is what to expect, Buffalo will be a force. The Rams had to squeak by Dallas at home and then beat a bumbling Philadelphia team putting them away in the 4th quarter. Their defense can be had as they gave up almost 400 yards on the ground in their 2 games and Buffalo leads the league running the ball. This is a huge game for Buffalo as they prepare to make a run for the playoffs but to do so means beating good teams like the Rams especially at home. Buffalo is on a mission and the Rams are figuring things out.

Take Buffalo 

NO started their year with a big 34-23 over the Brady led Bucs 34-23 including 3 sacks and 2 picks. They know they are able to play with the best making the playoffs last year and are looking to go back. Their defense will be helped by a decimated Buc offensive line so look for that pressure on Brady. They are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games and 27-13 ATS against teams with winning records. As stated before they are hurting offensively while they almost blew a 34-15 lead against the Panthers in their last game allowing almost 400 yards on offense of which 269 were through the air. If the Saints get on track offensively, points could be flying for them and their defense got out to a 24-7 lead in their victory over the Bucs who scored 31 points on Sunday.

Take New Orleans

Tennessee squeaked out a 16-12 win at Denver last week despite outgaining them 445-221 yards. The score was closer than the game as the Titan kicker misses 3 FG's and an extra pt. QB Rivers should improve as time goes on and that would increase their offensive output. Their defense did their job holding Denver to under 100 yards rushing and just 150 yds through the air and that was a road game. The Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 7-3-1 in their last 11 against the AFC West and 5-2-1 in their last 8 as the favorite. The Jags were dead last in their division and 2-6 in their last 8 ATS and the same as the last 8 as dogs. They were also in the bottom 10 in scoring last season while the Titans went to the Super Bowl

Take Tennessee 

Detroit lost to the Bears last week giving up 21 points in the 4th quarter. And now with Stafford back those last 9 losses without him last season is history. In their last 5 meetings Detroit is 3-2 and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Minnesota allowed the Pack over 500 yards of offense and that is not to be expected in today's game. These teams have played close games with 6 of the last 10 had the winner win by 7 points or less. Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 September games while the Pack is 1-4 in their last 5 against teams with losing records and 1-5 ATS after a straight up win. They even might have a slight letdown considering the importance of last week's game. 

Take Detroit

Rivers was 36-46 for 363 yards last week in his debut with the Colts and led them to 445 yards of offense while the Viking defense was invisible allowing Green Bay to pass for 364 yards and 4 TD's. The Vikings have lost 4 of their last 5 games dating back to last season while going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as the dog. The Colts last 2 wins were both at home and the way the Vikings played last week there needs to be some real discussion about their defense which allowed the Jaguars to score 27 points.

Take Indianapolis

SF has won 10 of 13 against the Jets but both teams have the injury bug. SF went to the Super Bowl last year so a lot is expected. More importantly NY will be without LeVion Bell. For NY Darnold passes for just 215 yards going 21-35 while Garroppolo just had an off day. This is the kind of game SF needs to get their game on track as the NY is dealing with some key injured players. SF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. This is a game most Super Bowl teams will use to sharpen up their skills for the new season. A solid SF team against a depleted Giant team should be one way.

Take San Francisco

Playing 1 of the best teams in football to kick off the season, the Bucs did better than expected as they came back from 24-7 in the 3rd quarter to get within 24-17 before losing. It was Brady's 1st game with the Bucs and he was 23-36 for almost 250 yards but the most important stat was holding Brees and NO to 189 yards in the air. The Panthers are both 1-4 ATS as a dog and road dog as well as 0-5-1 ATS in their last 5 overall. Bridgewater lead the Panthers last week but this week wit a more familiar Brady on home turf expect the cream to rise

Take Tamp Bay

Denver won 17 games in the last 2 seasons and 11 of those were at home. Last season when Lock took over at QB, they were 4-7.  Under Lock who started their last 5 games threw for over 1000 yds. with 7 TD passes and the Broncos finished 4-1 in those 5 games. Denver is 5-2 ATS in both their last 7 games as a dog and a home dog. They won their only meeting with the Titans last season 16-0 and that was in Denver. The Titans had a great year in 2019 and when they went with Tannenhill at QB after benching Mariota they finished 7-3 and went as far as the Conference Championship game but lost to the Super Bowl champs KC. With all the circumstances this season, and this being the 1st game for both clubs, the home dog gets the nod.

Take Denver