02-09-25 |
Chiefs v. Eagles +109 |
Top |
22-40 |
Win
|
109 |
111 h 16 m |
Show
|
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks inflated when you consider that the Chiefs scored 30 points for the first time all season in their controversial win over Buffalo. Kansas City has several wins in games decided by close calls late, and their luck could run out against a Philly team with a far superior roster. This is a 10% play on Philly on the ML.
|
01-26-25 |
Commanders v. Eagles -6 |
Top |
23-55 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 32 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NFC Champ *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Commanders are playing their third straight road game in the playoffs. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels has excelled against shorthanded defenses like Detroit and weaker units like Tampa Bay, but this time he'll face a truly elite defense, creating a tough challenge. This is a 5% play on the Eagles on the spread.
|
01-19-25 |
Ravens -115 v. Bills |
Top |
25-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
David's 5% Ravens/Bills NFL *BEST BET* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bills have had to lean on their offense all season while Baltimore is a more well-balanced team. You can't rely on scoring 30+ points in the playoffs, and the Ravens rolled to a 35-10 home victory over the Bills on Sept. 29. Although our numbers don't predict another lopsided win like that, the Ravens has still the edge. This is a 5% play on the Ravens on the moneyline.
|
01-18-25 |
Texans v. Chiefs -8 |
Top |
14-23 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% HOU/KC NFL Divisional Round *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Chiefs are coming off a first-round bye, and while they have played close games most of the season, they won 27-19 when they hosted Houston on Dec 21, and the two-time defending champions always deliver come playoff time. This is a 5% play on the Chiefs on the spread.
|
01-13-25 |
Vikings -135 v. Rams |
Top |
9-27 |
Loss |
-135 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Vikings/Rams NFL *BEST BET* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Rams are listed as the home team but won't enjoy much home-field advantage as the game has been moved to the Arizona Cardinals stadium due to the wild fires the Los Angeles area. This line was heavily influenced by the Rams' 30-25 win over Minnesota on October 24, but the Vikes have been nearly unbeatable since. This is a 5% play on the Vikings on the moneyline.
|
01-12-25 |
Packers v. Eagles -5 |
Top |
10-22 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Packers/Eagles NFL Wild Card *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Eagles defeated Green Bay 34-29 in Brazil on Sep 6 as a one-point favorite. The Eagles are now asked to cover a bigger number as they've established their dominance on both sides of the ball over the season, and although Jalen Hurts has been sidelined for two weeks with a concussion, he should be a 100% for this contest. This is a 5% play on the Eagles on the spread.
|
01-11-25 |
Steelers v. Ravens -9 |
|
14-28 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 52 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Steelers/Ravens NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that although Pittsburgh has a strong track record against Baltimore in recent seasons, the Ravens won 34-17 when they hosted the Steelers on Dec 21 and they lost their last four games of the season With a virtually non-existent passing threat, it will be hard to break through, Baltimore's top-ranked rushing defense. This is a 4% play on the Ravens on the spread.
|
01-11-25 |
Chargers v. Texans +3.5 |
Top |
12-32 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Chargers/Texans NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that it is heavily influenced by the Chargers' three blowout wins to wrap up the season and 8-2 record against the spread in their last 10 games, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction. They have the best scoring defense in the NFL but Houston ranks No. 6 in total defense allowing only 315 yards per game, better than the Chargers' 324.4 ypg allowed. This is a 5% play on the Texans on the spread.
|
01-05-25 |
Chiefs +11.5 v. Broncos |
|
0-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Chiefs/Broncos NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the Chiefs in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that they can only rest so many players due to roster limitations and they have great squad depth. This is a 4% play on the Chiefs on the spread.
|
01-05-25 |
Chargers -6.5 v. Raiders |
|
34-20 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Chargers/Raiders NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the Chargers in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that although the Raiders are looking to close a disappointing campaign with a third straight victory, they've won as favorites over Jacksonville and New Orleans but the playoff-bound L.A. Chargers will be a tougher nut to crack. This is a 4% play on the Chargers on the spread.
|
01-05-25 |
Texans +1.5 v. Titans |
Top |
23-14 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% HOU/TEN NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the Texans in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that although the Texas are locked into the fourth seed for the AFC playoffs, they have indicated they'll field the strongest possible team. The Titans have been a punching bag all season. This is a 5% play on the Texans on the spread.
|
01-04-25 |
Browns +20 v. Ravens |
|
10-35 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Browns/Ravens NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that this is an extremely big spread for the Ravens to cover. Despite the Browns' issues on both sides of the ball and Bailey Zappe stepping in at QB, this is still a divisional game, and Cleveland's players are professionals with pride on the line. This is a 4% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
12-30-24 |
Lions -3.5 v. 49ers |
|
40-34 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Lions/Niners NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Lions are highly motivated to maintain momentum ahead of next week's NFC North clincher, while the 49ers' dire injury situation leaves them in a tough spot. This is a 4% play on the Lions on the spread.
|
12-29-24 |
Dolphins v. Browns +6.5 |
|
20-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
34 h 8 m |
Show
|
David's 4% MIA/CLE NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Dolphins are heading to Cleveland off a cozy 29-17 home win over the Niners. Miami is only 2-5 on the road, and depending on the earlier games, they could easily be eliminated before they take the field for their late-afternoon kickoff. This is a 4% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
12-29-24 |
Colts v. Giants +8 |
|
33-45 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 1 m |
Show
|
David's 4% IND/NYG NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line is mispriced due to the Colts' 9-6 record against the spread, while the Giants have covered in only three of 15 games, but our opinion is that the Giants are disrespected in this one. Coming into the weekend, the Colts are mathematically alive in the playoff hunt but could be eliminated by kick-off. This is a 4% play on the Giants on the spread.
|
12-29-24 |
Panthers +8.5 v. Bucs |
|
14-48 |
Loss |
-108 |
31 h 0 m |
Show
|
David's 4% CAR/TB NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Panthers have covered the number in six of their last seven games and the Bucs are showing signs of running out of steam after a big playoff push. This is a 4% play on the Panthers on the spread.
|
12-28-24 |
Chargers v. Patriots +5.5 |
Top |
40-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
David's 5% Chargers/Patriots NFL Saturday *BEST BET* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Chargers are asked to travel across the country for an outside game in Foxborough. The harsh December conditions will favor the home team. This is a 5% play on the Patriots on the spread.
|
12-26-24 |
Seahawks -4 v. Bears |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% SEA/CHI NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line feels mispriced due to Seattle's recent home losses to Green Bay and Minnesota, but this is a must-win game for the Seahawks. The Bears appear to have thrown in the towel on their season, making Seattle a strong play in this spot. This is a 5% play on the Seahawks on the spread.
|
12-25-24 |
Ravens -5.5 v. Texans |
Top |
31-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Ravens/Texans AFC *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the Ravens in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Texans are running low on weapons for C.J. Stroud, while the Ravens have solidified themselves as a legitimate Super Bowl contender. Having already secured a playoff spot on Saturday, Baltimore now sets its sights on locking up the division title. This is a 5% play on the Ravens on the spread.
|
12-23-24 |
Saints v. Packers -14 |
|
0-34 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 15 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Saints/Packers NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Packers have been balling, winning eight of their last 10 games, and both of those losses came against division-rival Detroit. They have covered the spread in four straight games and we don't see a dejected Saints team putting up much of a fight. This is a 4% play on the Packers on the spread.
|
12-22-24 |
Patriots v. Bills -14 |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
78 h 5 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NE/BUF NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Pats have been blown out by way worse teams than the Bills, who never take their foot off the gas, even when up by multiple scores. This is a 5% play on the Bills on the spread.
|
12-22-24 |
Eagles -3.5 v. Commanders |
Top |
33-36 |
Loss |
-108 |
75 h 41 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% PHI/WAS NFC *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line is mispriced due to the Commanders' phony 9-5 record inflated by wins against weaker competition while the 12-2 Eagles have proven themselves time and time again against tough opponents. This is a 5% play on the Eagles on the spread.
|
12-22-24 |
Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 47 |
Top |
30-36 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 39 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% ARI/CAR NFC *TOTAL OF THE YEAR* We really like the over in this matchup. The line feels mispriced due to recent scoring struggles for both teams, but this game sets up as a strength-on-weakness scenario—especially for Arizona, who should exploit Carolina's poor rush defense effectively and Carolina QB Bryce Young had a strong stretch of outings leading up to last week's dud against Dallas. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
12-21-24 |
Texans +3.5 v. Chiefs |
|
19-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
57 h 34 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Texans/Chiefs Sat NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is banged up, and why would they push him to play when this game means next to nothing for the Chiefs? The Texans are playing well, and while they already have clinched a playoff berth, they are looking to improve their seeding down the stretch. This is a 4% play on the Texans on the spread.
|
12-19-24 |
Broncos +2.5 v. Chargers |
|
27-34 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Broncos/Chargers NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Denver has found ways to win without even playing well, and the Chargers are trending in the wrong direction. This is a 4% play on the Broncos on the spread.
|
12-16-24 |
Falcons -5.5 v. Raiders |
|
15-9 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 50 m |
Show
|
David's 4% ATL/LV MNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how badly the Falcons need this game. They're still in the playoff picture despite a downward spiral and Vegas with nine consecutive losses and a 3-6 record against the spread should be an easy victim. This is a 4% play on the Falcons on the spread.
|
12-15-24 |
Packers v. Seahawks UNDER 46 |
Top |
30-13 |
Win
|
100 |
64 h 35 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% GB/SEA NFC *TOTAL OF THE MONTH * We really like the under in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider Seattle's stingy defense, giving up just 15.5 points per game during their four-game winning streak. With Sunday's game carrying playoff implications for both the Packers (9-4) and Seahawks (8-5), expect a tight, strategic primetime battle that keeps scoring at a premium. This is a 5% play on the under.
|
12-15-24 |
Bills +2.5 v. Lions |
|
48-42 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
David's 4% BUF/DET NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how explosive the Bills' offense has been, while the Lions, despite their winning streak, have shown clear vulnerabilities on defense in recent games. Buffalo's defense has had its issues as well, but with the points in hand, we believe Bills is the right side against an overachieving Detroit team. This is a 4% play on the Bills on the spread.
|
12-15-24 |
Colts v. Broncos -4 |
Top |
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 25 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% IND/DEN NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Colts are 1-3 against the spread in their last fout games as underdogs and the Broncos are perfect 6-0 against the spread as favorites this season. This is a 5% play on the Broncos on the spread.
|
12-15-24 |
Chiefs v. Browns +4.5 |
|
21-7 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
David's 4% KC/CLE NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Chiefs have played down to their competition all season, often letting games come down to the wire. Cleveland has shown plenty of fight in recent weeks, and this one has all the makings of another close contest decided by a late field goal. This is a 4% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
12-12-24 |
Rams +3 v. 49ers |
|
12-6 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Rams/49ers MNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how injury-plagued the 49ers are, and they're even more banged up this week than they were in last Sunday's win over the Bears. Playing on short rest against a division rival does not make for an ideal situation. This is a 4% play on the Rams on the spread.
|
12-09-24 |
Bengals v. Cowboys +5.5 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Bengals/Cowboys NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bengals are in the midst of their second three-game skid of the season and are now all but mathematically eliminated from a playoff berth. The motivation must be low and this could be anyone's game. This is a 4% play on the Cowboys on the spread.
|
12-08-24 |
Bills v. Rams +3.5 |
|
42-44 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 53 m |
Show
|
David's Bills/Rams NFL *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bills are in a letdown spot, traveling across the country riding a seven-game winning streak. Buffalo has already clinched the AFC East title while the Rams are in a three-team dogfight for the NFC West crown. This is a 3% play on the Rams on the spread.
|
12-08-24 |
Browns +7 v. Steelers |
|
14-27 |
Loss |
-120 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
David's 4% CLE/PIT NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Steelers' 4-3 against the spread record as favorites is significantly more modest than their 5-0 record as underdogs. They lost outright to the Browns on Nov 21 in their only divisional game as favorites. Expect another close divisional affair here as the Browns have found their offense. This is a 4% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
12-08-24 |
Saints v. Giants +5.5 |
|
14-11 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 30 m |
Show
|
David's 4% NO/NYG NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line is highly influenced by the Giants' 0-6 run straight up and against the spread, but we think this is an overcorrection. With four straight road losses, including a 23-22 defeat as a touchdown favorite at Carolina in their last road game, who are the Saints to be laying points to anyone away from home? Expect the Giants to respond with a strong performance here. This is a 4% play on the Giants on the spread.
|
12-08-24 |
Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans |
Top |
10-6 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 33 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% JAX/TEN NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Titans have just one more win than the 2-10 Jaguars, and unlike Tennessee, Jacksonville has been competitive against the spread. This is a 5% play on the Jaguars on the spread.
|
12-08-24 |
Panthers v. Eagles OVER 45 |
Top |
16-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% CAR/PHI NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the over in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Bryce Young has looked like a completely different quarterback since regaining his starting role in Week 8. The Panthers have scored 20 points or more in four consecutive games, while the Eagles have allowed an average of 19 points over their last three games. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
12-05-24 |
Packers +3.5 v. Lions |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Packers/Lions TNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that Detroit is dealing with injuries and the Packers are out for revenge for a 24-14 loss at Lambeau Field on Nov 3. This is a 4% play on the Packers on the spread.
|
12-02-24 |
Browns v. Broncos -5.5 |
|
32-41 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 40 m |
Show
|
David's 4% CLE/DEN MNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider how disappointing Cleveland has been all season long, while the Broncos can take a major step toward a postseason berth with a win here. This is a 4% play on the Broncos on the spread.
|
12-01-24 |
Eagles +3 v. Ravens |
|
24-19 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Eagles/Ravens NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the Eagles in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that Philly is the hottest team in the league, riding a seven-game win streak and covering the spread in five of their last six. Their defense has been rock solid, while Baltimore's recent inconsistencies make them a vulnerable opponent. This is a 4% play on the Eagles on the spread.
|
12-01-24 |
Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings |
|
22-23 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
David's 4% ARI/MIN NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the Cardinals in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Vikings' four-game winning streak and Arizona's 16-6 loss at Seattle last week, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction/overcorrection. The defeat snapped the Cardinals' four-game winning streak, and they need a quick bounce back to stay in the tight division race. Expect Arizona to respond with a strong performance here. This is a 4% play on the Cardinals on the spread.
|
12-01-24 |
Chargers v. Falcons +100 |
|
17-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
David's LAC/ATL NFL *BANKROLL BOOSTER* We really like the Falcons in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Falcons' two-game slide, but both losses came on the road, and our opinion is that this is an overreaction/overcorrection. The Chargers' defense has been exposed in recent weeks, and we expect the Falcons to respond with a strong performance here after their bye. This is a 3% play on the Falcons on the moneyline.
|
12-01-24 |
Colts v. Patriots +2.5 |
|
25-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
David's IND/NE NFL *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the Patriots in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Pats' 1-4 home record, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction/overcorrection. The Colts have seen their playoff aspirations take a big hit after a 1-4 slide. This is a 3% play on the Patriots on the spread.
|
12-01-24 |
Steelers +3 v. Bengals |
|
44-38 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
David's 1% NFL Free Pick We really like the Steelers in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that Cincinnati is already looking ahead to next season, while Pittsburgh is locked in a tight battle with Baltimore for the AFC North crown. Even with extra rest from their bye, the Bengals’ defensive struggles make it tough to see them competing with a focused Steelers squad. This is a 1% free play on the Steelers on the spread.
|
12-01-24 |
Titans +6 v. Commanders |
Top |
19-42 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated TEN/WAS 5% Non-conference NFL *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is skewed by the Titans’ dismal 2-9 ATS record, but they’re showing signs of improvement after a confidence-boosting win over Houston. Meanwhile, the Commanders are being exposed following their hot start, making this a prime spot for the Titans to at least cover the spread. This is a 5% play on the Titans on the spread.
|
11-29-24 |
Raiders +13 v. Chiefs |
|
17-19 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
David's 4% LV/KC NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that the Chiefs have been playing down to the competition all season and won only one game by more than 10 points. This is a 4% play on the Raiders on the spread.
|
11-28-24 |
Dolphins v. Packers UNDER 47.5 |
|
17-30 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
David's 4% MIA/GB NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the under in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you factor in the whipping winds and cold weather, which should make scoring difficult. Additionally, with both teams motivated to secure wins as the playoffs approach, expect a grind-it-out, defensive battle. This is a 4% play on the under.
|
11-28-24 |
Giants v. Cowboys -3 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NYG/DAL NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that the Cowboys' win over Washington last week proved they’re still fighting. The Giants, on the other hand, have thrown in the towel, and while both teams are using backup quarterbacks, Cooper Rush is far more reliable than Tommy DeVito. This is a 5% play on the Cowboys on the spread.
|
11-25-24 |
Ravens v. Chargers OVER 50 |
Top |
30-23 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 43 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% LAC/BAL AFC *TOTAL OF THE MONTH * We really like the over in this matchup. The line seems mispriced when you consider that the Ravens are 6-1 to the over against teams not in the AFC North and 5-2 to the over against teams with a winning record. The Los Angeles Chargers have easily found the endzone in recent games. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
11-24-24 |
Vikings -3.5 v. Bears |
|
30-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Vikings/Bears NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bears seem to have officially shifted into tank mode, suffering four consecutive losses with dismal offensive performances. Meanwhile, the Vikings are one of the hottest teams in the league right now. This is a 4% play on the Vikings on the spread.
|
11-24-24 |
Titans +9 v. Texans |
|
32-27 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
David's Titans/Texans NFL *BANKROLL BOOSTER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Titans' historically poor 1-9 record against the spread, but they've encountered plenty of bad luck along the way and are now undervalued by the bookmakers. This is a 3% play on the Titans.
|
11-24-24 |
Chiefs v. Panthers +11 |
Top |
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% CAR/KC NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Panthers' early struggles, but they're coming off back-to-back wins and the Chiefs have played down to their opponents all season. This is a 5% play on the Panthers on the spread.
|
11-24-24 |
Cowboys +11 v. Commanders |
Top |
34-26 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% DAL/WAS NFC *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Cowboy's dire injury report, but their backups are still professional football players, and the Commanders have been struggling to recapture their early-season form, making this an intriguing spot to back the underdog. This is a 5% play on the Cowboys on the spread.
|
11-24-24 |
Bucs v. Giants UNDER 40.5 |
Top |
30-7 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 52 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% TB/NYG NFC *TOTAL OF THE MONTH * We really like the under in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that that the Giants' only chance to win with Tommy DeVito at quarterback is if their defense steps up. They’re fully aware of this, and we expect them to rise to the occasion. This is a 5% play on the under
|
11-21-24 |
Steelers v. Browns OVER 36 |
Top |
19-24 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the over in this matchup. This line feels mispriced when you consider the Browns' defense has consistently underperformed all season, particularly over the last few weeks. While the Steelers' stats might not jump off the page, they’ve been efficient and have a knack for putting points on the board. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
11-18-24 |
Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 41.5 |
|
34-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Texans/Cowboys MNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the under in this matchup. This line looks mispriced when you consider that the Texans are 7-2-1 to the under this season as C.J. Stroud has struggled to recapture the magic of his rookie year. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have also seen their scoring dip, which isn’t surprising with Dak Prescott (hamstring) sidelined for the season. This is a 4% play on the under.
|
11-17-24 |
Bengals v. Chargers OVER 47.5 |
Top |
27-34 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 52 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% CIN/LAC NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the over in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that although the Chargers are 7-2 to the under this season, they've mostly faced low-scoring opponents. The Bengals, on the other hand, rely on their high-powered offense to compensate for a shaky defense, which has led them to a 7-3 record to the over. Look for Cincinnati to dictate the tempo in this matchup. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
11-17-24 |
Seahawks +6.5 v. 49ers |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 34 m |
Show
|
David's Seahawks/49ers NFL *BANKROLL BUILDER* the Niners have played tight games all season, and we expect them to struggle to pull away against a divisional rival coming off its bye week. This is also a revenge spot for the Seahawks after a home loss to San Francisco earlier in the season. This is a 3% play on the Seahawks.
|
11-17-24 |
Falcons v. Broncos -128 |
|
6-38 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 33 m |
Show
|
David's Falcons/Broncos NFL *BANKROLL BOOSTER* We really like the Broncos in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that tougher times may lie ahead for the Falcons, who have closed as favorites in seven straight games. They’re sitting comfortably atop the division, but this matchup is crucial for the 5-5 Broncos, who are hungry for a win after back-to-back losses and need this one to stay in the playoff race. This is a 3% play on the Broncos on the moneyline.
|
11-17-24 |
Rams v. Patriots +5 |
|
28-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
59 h 33 m |
Show
|
David's Rams/Patriots NFL *BANKROLL BOOSTER* We really like the Patriots in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Patriots have started to find their identity, covering the spread in three straight games thanks to a solid defense. The Rams, meanwhile, could struggle to get much going on offense, especially on a short week after a Monday night loss to Miami. This is a 3% play on the Patriots on the spread.
|
11-17-24 |
Colts +4 v. Jets |
Top |
28-27 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 35 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Colts/Jets NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the Colts in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Jets might be running out of fuel and motivation after last week’s loss to Arizona. Meanwhile, the Colts have been undervalued all season (7-3 ATS), while the Jets continue to be overvalued (3-7 ATS). This looks like another spot where the books have the line wrong. This is a 5% play on the Colts on the spread.
|
11-14-24 |
Commanders v. Eagles UNDER 48.5 |
|
18-26 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
David's 4% WAS/PHI TNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the under in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by Washington’s 7-3 record to the over, but they’ve faced plenty of questionable defenses. Philadelphia, however, brings one of the best defensive units in the league, which could keep this game under the total. This is a 4% play on the under.
|
11-11-24 |
Dolphins v. Rams -135 |
|
23-15 |
Loss |
-135 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
David's 4% MIA/LAR NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the Rams in this matchup. The price seems off when you consider that the Dolphins are only 1-3 on the road while the Rams are 3-1 at home, and Miami's defense has been torched in recent games, which could be a problem against a red-hot Matthew Stafford. This is a 4% play on the Rams on the moneyline.
|
11-10-24 |
Titans +7.5 v. Chargers |
Top |
17-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 9 m |
Show
|
David's Chargers/Titans NFL *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the Titans in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the schedule has skewed the perception of both teams—their offenses are stronger, and their defenses weaker, than they appear on paper. The Titans will get their starting QB Will Levis back from suspension. This is a 3% play on the Titans
|
11-10-24 |
Titans v. Chargers OVER 38.5 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% TEN/LAC NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the over in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the schedule has skewed the perception of both teams—their offenses are stronger, and their defenses weaker, than they appear on paper, and the Titans will get their starting QB Will Levis back from suspension. This is a 5% play on the over
|
11-10-24 |
Broncos +8 v. Chiefs |
|
14-16 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
David's Broncos/Chiefs NFL *BANKROLL BOOSTER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Chiefs have been involved in close games all season, and the Broncos are primed for a rebound after their 41-10 loss to Baltimore. This is a 3% play on the Broncos on the spread.
|
11-10-24 |
Bills v. Colts +4 |
Top |
30-20 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Bills/Colts NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the Colts in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that Indianapolis has been undervalued all season, going 7-2 against the spread. The Bills may be on a four-game winning streak, but they’re starting to show signs of fatigue. This is a 5% play on the Colts on the spread.
|
11-10-24 |
49ers -6.5 v. Bucs |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% Niners/Bucs NFC *GAME OF THE YEAR* We’re backing the 49ers here. This line seems skewed by San Francisco’s early struggles, but they’ve shown improvement recently and are well-rested after their bye. Meanwhile, the Bucs are coming off a tough Monday night loss at Arrowhead, which could leave them a bit drained. This is a 5% play on the 49ers on the spread.
|
11-10-24 |
Giants v. Panthers +6.5 |
|
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
David's Early 4% Giants/Panthers NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the two teams have almost identical records straight up and against the spread and the Panthers are coming into the game with a fresh boost of confidence after their second win of the season. As bad as the Panthers are, the Giants should not be laying this kind of number against anyone in the NFL. This is a 4% play on the Panthers on the spread.
|
11-07-24 |
Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 53.5 |
|
34-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Bengals/Ravens NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the under in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Ravens' high-powered offense and the Bengals' defensive struggles, but a few stalled drives and field goals instead of touchdowns could easily keep this under. Our opinion is that this line is an overreaction, especially with the added intensity of a divisional rivalry. This is a 4% play on the under.
|
11-04-24 |
Bucs v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 |
|
24-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Bucs/Chiefs MNF *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the over in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Bucs have averaged 34.2 points per game over the past five contests but with just two wins to show for it. What's impressive is that they've kept putting up impressive numbers without injured Mike Evans and Chris Goodwin. This is a 4% play on the over.
|
11-03-24 |
Colts v. Vikings -5.5 |
Top |
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% IND/MIN SNF *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Colts' 6-0 run against the spread while the Vikes have lost outright in back-to-back weeks, but Minnesota has a rest advantage coming off a Thursday night game our opinion is that this is an overreaction to the recent ATS trends. This is a 5% play on the Vikings on the spread.
|
11-03-24 |
Bears v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
9-29 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% CHI/ARI NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the under in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Bears are allowing just 17.0 points per game and the Cardinals offense has been inconsistent all season, scoring 17 points or fewer in four of its last six games. This is a 5% play on the under.
|
11-03-24 |
Broncos +9.5 v. Ravens |
|
10-41 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
David's NFL 5-Pack We really like the Broncos in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the fact that everyone expect the Ravens to come out strong after their loss to Cleveland last week, but Denver has been undervalued by the sportsbooks all season, and our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 3% play on the Broncos on the spread.
|
11-03-24 |
Patriots +3.5 v. Titans |
|
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
David's NFL 5-Pack We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that both teams have looked about equally hapless over the first eight weeks of the season, but the Pats have momentum coming off their best game, a 25-22 win over the Jets. This is a 3% play on the Patriots on the spread.
|
11-03-24 |
Cowboys v. Falcons -3 |
|
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
David's NFL 5-Pack We really like the Falcons in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that just as the Cowboys had recovered from a shaky start to the season, they've dropped two straight once again. Meanwhile, the Falcons are flying high and playing with a lot of confidence. This is a 3% play on the Falcons on the spread.
|
11-03-24 |
Chargers v. Browns +1.5 |
Top |
27-10 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% LAC/CLE AFC *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the Browns in this matchup. This price is highly influenced by the Browns' earlier struggles with Deshaun Watson at QB, but with Jameis Winston now under center, they've found a new spark and confidence. This feels like an overreaction in the market, creating solid value on Cleveland to get it done at home. This is a 5% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
10-31-24 |
Texans v. Jets -125 |
|
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Texans/Jets NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the Jets in this matchup. This price is highly influenced by the Jets' five-game losing streak, but the Texans will be without star wideout Stefon Diggs and we expect the Jets to respond with a strong performance here. This is a 4% play on the Jets on the moneyline.
|
10-28-24 |
Giants v. Steelers UNDER 36.5 |
|
18-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Giants/Steelers NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the under in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Giants are averaging a paltry 14.1 points per game (30th) while the Steelers are holding opponents to 14.4 ppg (2nd). This is a 4% play on the under.
|
10-27-24 |
Cowboys +4.5 v. 49ers |
Top |
24-30 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NFC *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Cowboys 47-9 loss to Detroit two weeks ago. but they're coming out of their bye and our opinion is that this is an overreaction. Expect the Cowboys to respond with a strong performance this week. This is a 5% play on the Cowboys on the spread.
|
10-27-24 |
Chiefs v. Raiders +10 |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 48 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% KC/LV NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Chiefs' perfect 6-0 record, but four of their six wins were one-score games and they'll be shorthanded on the receiver position with JuJu Smith-Schuster added to the injury list. This is a 5% play on the Raiders on the spread.
|
10-27-24 |
Titans +11.5 v. Lions |
|
14-52 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
NFL 5-Pack We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Lions' recent results, which included impressive wins over Seattle, Dallas, and Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Titans were blown out by Buffalo last week, but in our opinion, this is an overreaction. Expect the Titans to respond with a strong performance this week. This is a 3% play on the Titans on the spread.
|
10-27-24 |
Ravens v. Browns +9 |
|
24-29 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
David's 4% BAL/CLE NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Browns' five-game losing streak, but with Deshaun Watson injured, they'll have Jameis Winston under center this week, which we feel is an upgrade. Expect the Browns to rally behind their backup QB and respond with a strong performance here. This is a 4% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
10-27-24 |
Eagles v. Bengals UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
37-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% PHI/CIN NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the under in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that Cincinnati's defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks and the Eagles D has held three of its last four opponents to fewer than 17 points. This is a 5% play on the under
|
10-24-24 |
Vikings v. Rams OVER 48 |
|
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Vikings/Rams NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the over in this matchup. The total seems low when you consider how potent the Vikings' offense has looked all season and that the Rams will have their star receiver Cooper Kupp back in action. This is a 4% play on the over.
|
10-21-24 |
Chargers v. Cardinals OVER 44 |
Top |
15-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Chargers/Cardinals NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the over in this matchup. The total seems low when you consider Arizona’s struggles on defense, and that Chargers QB Justin Herbert is due for a breakout. After throwing for 237 yards in a 23-16 win over the Broncos, Herbert hit 200 passing yards for the first time this season, and this game offers a prime opportunity for him to build on that performance. This is a 4% play on the over.
|
10-20-24 |
Chiefs v. 49ers -124 |
|
28-18 |
Loss |
-124 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
David's 4% Chiefs/Niners NFL *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the 49ers in this matchup. This price is highly influenced by the Niners slow 3-3 start to the season and the Chiefs' perfect 6-0 record, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 4% play on the 49ers on the moneyline.
|
10-20-24 |
Raiders +7 v. Rams |
|
15-20 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
NFL 5-Pack We really like the Raiders in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Raiders giving up 30+ points in back-to-back games, but the Rams have scored more than 20 points just once and our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 3% play on the Raiders on the spread.
|
10-20-24 |
Eagles v. Giants +3 |
|
28-3 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
NFL 5-Pack We really like the Giants in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Giants' lackluster offensive performance in their 17-7 home loss to the Bengals last week, but their defense looked good and our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 3% play on the Giants on the spread.
|
10-20-24 |
Dolphins +3 v. Colts |
|
10-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
NFL 5-Pack We really like the Dolphins in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Colts' perfect 4-0 ATS streak and Miami's 1-4 ATS record for the season, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 3% play on the Dolphins on the spread.
|
10-20-24 |
Bengals v. Browns +6 |
Top |
21-14 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% AFC *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the Browns in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Bengals seemingly finding their rhythm coming off their second win of the season and Cleveland coming off four losses, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 5% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
10-20-24 |
Patriots +6.5 v. Jaguars |
|
16-32 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
David's 9:30 AM ET Patriots/Jags NFL *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the Patriots in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Patriots five-game losing streak and Jacksonville's familiarity with playing across the pond, but our opinion is that this is an overreaction. This is a 3% play on the Patriots on the spread.
|
10-17-24 |
Broncos v. Saints OVER 37 |
Top |
33-10 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
David's 5% DEN/NO TNF *BEST BET* We really like the over in this matchup. The total seems low when you consider that the Saints scored 27 points with backup quarterback Spencer Rattler under center last week and their own defense is the worst in the NFL. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
10-14-24 |
Bills v. Jets +100 |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
David's 5% Bills/Jets MNF *BEST BET* We really like the Jets in this matchup. The price seems off when you consider that they should get an immediate boost from firing head coach Robert Saleh. This is a 5% play on the Jets.
|
10-13-24 |
Bengals v. Giants +3.5 |
|
17-7 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
David's CIN/NYG SNF *BANKROLL BOOSTER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Bengals have been overvalued by the market all season long, and our numbers point to that being the case again. This is a 3% free play on the Giants on the spread.
|
10-13-24 |
Falcons v. Panthers OVER 46.5 |
Top |
38-20 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 43 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% ATL/CAR NFC *TOTAL OF THE MONTH* We really like the over in this matchup. The total seems low when you consider that the Panthers have allowed 33.0 points per game and the Falcons are coming off back-to-back 60-point games. This is a 5% play on the over.
|
10-13-24 |
Chargers v. Broncos +3 |
Top |
23-16 |
Loss |
-113 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Chargers have scored a combined 20 points over their last two games and the Broncos have the third-best total defense in the league. This is a 5% play on the Broncos on the spread.
|
10-13-24 |
Browns +9.5 v. Eagles |
|
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
David's CLE/PHI NFL *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that the Browns are undervalued after starting the season 1-4 straight up and against the spread, and with the Eagles inability to score points they should find it difficult to cover this number. This is a 3% play on the Browns on the spread.
|
10-13-24 |
Colts v. Titans -145 |
|
20-17 |
Loss |
-145 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
David's 1% NFL Free Pick We really like the favorite in this matchup. The price seems off when you consider the number of injuries to key positions the Colts are dealing with, while the Titans have had time to heal up after their bye week. This is a 1% free play on the Titans on the moneyline.
|
10-13-24 |
Browns v. Eagles UNDER 43 |
Top |
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
David's Top-rated 5% NFL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* We really like the under in this matchup. The total seems high when you consider that Cleveland has not scored more than 18 points in a single game and Philly has scored more than 21 points just once. This is a 5% play on the under.
|