10*

                             AUBURN @ UNC

The bookmakers are projecting a high scoring game between the Tigers and the Tar Heels in the Sweet Sixteen, but I think the number is just too high. The trends really don't support the idea of more than 160 combined points. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in six straight versus SEC teams, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight NCAA Tournament games. The Tigers have only seeen two of their last 10 games combine for more than 161.5 points, while the Tar Heels have only seen one of their last 10 games reach such a high total. Both teams have held opponents to fewer than 70 points per game over their last five overall. North Carolina has faced Duke three times this season, and not one of those games saw more than 160 combined points.

Take Under.

                  DUKE @ UNC

The Tar Heels have already beaten Duke twice this season, but the public just loves Duke and Zion Williamson. After scoring 29 points (almost all spectacular dunks) in his return last night, Zion has Duke favored here in the rubber match. The fact is that Duke still isn't very good defensively, and they lost their starting center Marques Bolden in the last loss to the Tar Heels. I'll take the points here with North Carolina team that has already proved to be the better of the two teams.

Take UNC.

                              HALL @ MARQUETTE

The Seton Hall Pirates are coming off a blowout win over Georgetown in the Big East tournament yesterday. They jumped all over the Hoywas in the first half, scoring a whopping 53 points. They will need to score plenty here tonight against Marquette, because the Golden Eagles are bound to get their share. Marquette scored 86 points in a win over St. John's yesterday. Big East Play of the Year Markus Howard scored 30 points on 8-of-15 shooting in the win. In both meetings between these teams earlier this season, the first half went over the total. The Pirates have gone over the total in seven of their last nine games at a neutral site.

Take Over.

                            DUKE @ UNC

The last time these two teams played (a few weeks ago) the Tar Heels cruised to an easy win at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Zion Williamson suffered what might be a season ending injury in the opening minute of that game, and the Blue Devils have been in a bad way ever since. There is plenty of speculation that Zion suffered a minor injury, and despite being healthy enough to play he may choose to sit out and wait for the NBA draft. In addition to the Zion situation, Duke's primary PG comes into this game with a lingering injury as well. The Tar Heels are 13-2 at home, and they've scored an average of 88.7 points in those games. That's roughly 10 points more than Duke averages on the road. Duke didn't look anything like a #1 seed in a near loss to Wake Forest in their last game.

Take UNC.

                               TENNESSEE @ AUBURN

The SEC Title is up for grabs, but Tennessee will need a win at Auburn if they want to edge out LSU and Kentucky. Auburn is no pushover, boasting a 14-2 home record and a 10-7 conference record. The Tigers have lost five straight against ranked teams though, and they catch Tennessee at a bad time. Tennessee is 17-8 ATS in it's last 25 road games, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against Auburn. The Tigers have failed to cover in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, and they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.

Take TENN.

                       IOWA @ WISCONSIN

Wisconsin will be a big favorite in it's final home game versus Iowa, but the total for this game is higher than it was in any of the Badgers last 10 games overall. That might be because the Hawkeyes tend to play higher scoring games, but based on the line, we should expect the home team to dicate the pace here. Wisconsin has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 13 overall. The Badgers have allowed just 61.4 points per game at home, and they have held the opposition to fewer than 60 points in each of their last three home games. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and the under is 43-21-4 in their last 68 versus the BIG10.

Take Under.

                          BULLDOGS @ VOLUNTEERS

Tennessee is coming off a huge 19-point home win over Kentucky, and they come into Tuesday's home game versus Missippi State tied for first place in the SEC with LSU. The Wildcats are just a game back, and any of those three schools could win the conference. I don't expect much of a let down here for a Vols team that is 17-0 at home. They have won six straight home games by double digits, and they have had a lead at halftime in all 17 of their home games. They had a 37-24 lead at the half in Saturday's win over Kentucky. I like the Vols to start fast and win big versus the Bulldogs.

Take TENN.

                            BC @ GEORGIA TECH

The Yellow Jackets may have lost nine of their last 10 overall, they are a solid home team. They are 10-7 overall at home this season, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The home team has won four straight meetings between these two teams. Boston College has lost seven of nine on the road, scoring an average of just 65 points in those games. The Eagles could struggle against a solid Yellow Jackets defense. Georgia Tech has held the opposition under 64 points per game at home this season.

Take GT.

                     RAMS @ LOBOS

The Rams have won three straight, while the Lobos have lost three straight. New Mexico though played two of their last three games on the road, and a home loss came in a close game to Fresno State. The Rams have lost seven of 10 on the road this season, and they are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in New Mexico. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and 0-3 ATS in their last 13 home games versus teams with a losing road record. This has all the signs of a let down spot for the visitors, and a "get right" game for the home team. I love the Lobos as a slight favorite at home in New Mexico.

Take UNM.