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Marc David ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-07-25 Marlins +1.5 v. Reds 5-1 Win 100 12 h 6 m Show

David's 4% MLB *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Miami has won seven of its last 10, and starter Janson Junk is coming off a strong outing where he allowed just two runs on six hits over six innings. Junk also set a new season-high with seven strikeouts in that game and owns an impressive 33:2 K:BB ratio over 37.1 innings across eight appearances (three starts). He’s quietly been dealing, and the Marlins are playing confident baseball behind him. The Reds have lost Brady Singer's last three starts. 

This is a 4% play on the Marlins on the runline.

07-05-25 Giants v. A's +1.5 Top 7-2 Loss -100 17 h 54 m Show

David's LATE Top-rated 5% IL *RUNLINE OF THE MONTH*

We really like the road team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Giants have lost seven of their last 10 straight up and Oakland's scheduled starter, Luis Severino, has impressive career numbers against San Francisco. 

This is a 5% play on the Athletics on the runline. 

07-04-25 Reds +1.5 v. Phillies Top 9-6 Win 100 7 h 52 m Show

David's EARLY Top-rated 5% NL *RUNLINE OF THE WEEK*

We really like the road team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Reds' scheduled starter, Andrew Abbott (7-1, 1.79 ERA), has been one the best pitchers in baseball in 2025 and he limited the Phillies to three runs on five hits over 10 innings in two meetings last season. 

This is a 5% play on the Reds on the runline. 

06-30-25 Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 4-5 Win 100 15 h 58 m Show

David's 4% MLB  Runline *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the home team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Max Scherzer is undervalued after two subpar starts to start the year. This will be his second since an inflamed thumb that put him on the injured list and we expect a strong outing from the veteran.

This is a 4% play on the Blue Jays on the runline.

06-28-25 Mets v. Pirates +1.5 Top 2-9 Win 100 13 h 7 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NL *RUNLINE OF THE MONTH*

We really like the road team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering how mediocre the Mets have been as road favorites, while the Pirates are 14-9 against the runline as home underdogs. The Pirates have won four of Bailey Falter's last five starts outright and they are 9-4 against the runline as underdogs with Falter on the bump. 

This is a 5% play on the Pirates on the runline.

06-22-25 Pacers +7.5 v. Thunder 91-103 Loss -108 18 h 32 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the Pacers’ grit and resilience throughout the series. They’ve fought hard to win three games outright, and while their losses haven’t been close enough to cover the spread, their relentless, never-say-die attitude makes them a strong candidate to cover in Game 7. Given the intensity of a decisive game and the competitive nature of this team, this looks like good value backing the Pacers on the spread.

This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread.

06-22-25 Braves v. Marlins +1.5 3-5 Win 100 11 h 4 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line appears to be skewed due to Sandy Alcantara’s rough season stats (3-7, 7.14 ERA), but he’s found his form lately, allowing just four runs over his last 17 innings. With the Marlins coming off a shutout loss, we expect a sharper effort at the plate and strong support for their starter.

This is a 4% play on the Marlins on the runline.

06-21-25 Royals +1.5 v. Padres 1-5 Loss -160 12 h 36 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Royals are on a four-game winning streak and the Padres are just 2-10 against the runline in their last 10 as favorites. Royals’ scheduled starter, 25-year-old rookie southpaw Noah Cameron, has posted a stellar 1.91 ERA over seven starts.

This is a 4% play on the Royals on the runline.

06-19-25 Thunder v. Pacers +6.5 Top 91-108 Win 100 11 h 10 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA Finals *GAME OF THE YEAR*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that a loss would end the season for the Pacers, and with their backs against the wall, we expect maximum effort. While the Thunder have won more than they've lost on the road, they’ve struggled to cover inflated spreads, especially in playoff pressure spots like this.

This is a 5% play on the Pacers on the spread.

06-16-25 Pacers +9.5 v. Thunder 109-120 Loss -105 14 h 36 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Thunder were fortunate to cover the spread in their Game 4 win, and now they’re being asked to cover an even bigger number. Home or away, the Pacers have proven they’re not going away quietly.

This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread.

06-16-25 Rockies +1.5 v. Nationals 6-4 Win 100 12 h 39 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nationals are 0-5 staight up as home favorites and the Rockies have won four of their last six as road underdogs. Nats' scheduled starter Jake Irvin has given up 13 runs in 15 innings in his past three starts. 

This is a 4% play on the Rockies on the runline. 

06-08-25 Pacers +11 v. Thunder Top 107-123 Loss -110 20 h 11 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA *GAME OF THE WEEK*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that while the Thunder are unlikely to drop another home game after losing Game 1, this is simply too many points to lay in an NBA Finals contest. The Pacers are scrappy, selfless, and play with a relentless edge. With their never-say-die attitude, no lead is safe and a backdoor cover is always in play.

This is a 5% play on the Pacers on the spread.

06-08-25 Diamondbacks v. Reds +1.5 2-4 Win 100 9 h 21 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Arizona has lost four of Zac Gallen's last five starts and Reds' Brady Singer has a 1.38 ERA over two career starts against the D'Backs. 

This is a 4% play on the Reds on the runline.

06-06-25 Mariners v. Angels +1.5 Top 4-5 Win 100 15 h 24 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% AL *RUNLINE OF THE YEAR*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Mariners' scheduled starter, Bryce Miller, has conceded 14 rjuns on 20 hits over his last three starts, and they've lost three of his last five starts outright. The Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 in game 1 of a series.

This is a 5% play on the Angels on the runline.

06-02-25 Angels +1.5 v. Red Sox 7-6 Win 100 11 h 59 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Angels' scheduled starter, Tyler Anderson, has won three of his last five starts and one of the setbacks was a one-run loss. The Red Sox have lost four of six as favorites against left-handed starters straight up.

This is a 4% play on the Angels on the runline. 

05-31-25 Knicks v. Pacers -3.5 108-125 Win 100 40 h 60 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that it will be tough for the Knicks to bring the same energy on the road after leaving it all on the floor in Thursday’s home win to extend the series. Now back in Indiana, we expect the Pacers to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals, as they surely do not want to go back to NY for a Game 7.

This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread. 

05-30-25 Rays +1.5 v. Astros Top 1-2 Win 100 16 h 25 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% AL *RUNLINE OF THE MONTH*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the  Rays are 8-1 straight upin their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record and Framber Valdez has a 5.73 ERA in two career starts against the Rays.

This is a 5% play on the Rays on the runline. 

05-29-25 Pacers +4.5 v. Knicks Top 94-111 Loss -110 12 h 29 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA Conf Finals *GAME OF THE YEAR*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Knicks' only win in the series came after erasing a 20-point deficit. The Pacers have clearly had their number, and with the Knicks down 3-1 in the series, a comeback feels highly unlikely. Even at home, we expect New York to struggle matching Indiana's energy and intensity.

This is a 5% play on the Pacers on the spread. 

05-28-25 Wolves v. Thunder -8 94-124 Win 100 13 h 37 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Thunder are 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread at home in the postseason. With a 3-1 lead in the series, they can smell blood, and we doubt the Wolves can muster up much resistance.

This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. 

05-26-25 Thunder -3 v. Wolves 128-126 Loss -105 13 h 8 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how well the Thunder have responded to losses in the playoffs, and the Wolves won't be allowed to take a big lead again. 

This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. 

05-24-25 Thunder -2.5 v. Wolves 101-143 Loss -110 13 h 13 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how dominant the Thunder have been through the first two games, winning 114-88 and 118-103. They've completely smothered the Wolves offensively, forcing tough shots and bad passes, disrupting their rhythm from start to finish.

This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. 

05-22-25 Braves v. Nationals +1.5 Top 7-8 Win 100 16 h 37 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NL *RUNLINE OF THE YEAR*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nationals have won five of their last six games outright and have been competitive at home all season, covering the runline in 12 of 20 games as home underdogs. Atlanta’s scheduled starter, AJ Smith-Shawver, did shut out the Nats over six innings in a 5-2 win last week, but he’s shown a clear split, performing much better at home than on the road. This sets up well for a live underdog spot.

This is a 5 play on the Nationals on the runline.

05-21-25 Pacers v. Knicks -4 138-135 Loss -113 12 h 44 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* 

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the home team won all three regular-season meetings, with the Knicks dominating at Madison Square Garden by scores of 123-98 and 128-115. While the Pacers impressed offensively in their series win over the Cavs, the Knicks proved they can bring the defensive intensity in their hard-fought series victory against Boston.

This is a 4% play on the Knicks on the spread. 

05-18-25 Nuggets +8.5 v. Thunder Top 93-125 Loss -115 13 h 51 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA West *GAME OF THE WEEK*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nuggets have covered the spread in each of the last four games of the series and five of six overall. Oddsmakers still aren't giving them the respect they deserve in a Game 7 that’s likely to come down to the wire

This is a 5 play on the Nuggets on the spread. 

05-16-25 A's +1.5 v. Giants 1-9 Loss -150 14 h 23 m Show

David's 4% MLB *MAJOR WAGER* Runline

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Giants have just one win in their last six games, have struggled with left-handers all season, and the A's are perfect 5-0 in left-hander JP Sears' last five starts. 

This is a 4% play on the Athletics on the runline. 

05-15-25 Nationals v. Braves -1.5 Top 2-5 Win 100 5 h 32 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NL *RUNLINE OF THE WEEK*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Braves will come in fired up after blowing a lead late in yesterday's 5-4 loss, getting outscored 4-0 over the last three innings. The Braves have responded well to losses lately and Nats' scheduled starter, Trevor Williams, has conceded 13 runs over his last three starts while Atlanta's AJ Smith-Shawver has been scorching hot. 

This is a 5% play on the Braves on the runline. 

05-14-25 Warriors +11.5 v. Wolves Top 110-121 Win 100 14 h 15 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA West *GAME OF THE MONTH*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Warriors would have covered this number in three of the first four games of the series. Underdogs have performed exceptionally well against the spread throughout the playoffs, and we believe this line is inflated.

This is a 5% play on the Warriors on the spread. 

05-13-25 Nuggets +10.5 v. Thunder 105-112 Win 100 17 h 2 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how well underdogs have performed in Round 2 of the playoffs, and the Nuggets are no exception. They’ve won two of four games in the series outright and are 3-1 against the spread. Denver also gave OKC trouble during the regular season, and this is too many points for an erratic Thunder team to be laying against a gritty Nuggets team.

This is a 4% play on the Nuggets on the spread.

05-12-25 Wolves v. Warriors +5.5 117-110 Loss -110 15 h 57 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you factor in the adjustments Golden State made in Game 3, which allowed them to go toe-to-toe with the Wolves in a narrow 102-97 loss. That performance should give this group a confidence boost, and we wouldn’t be surprised if they steal this one outright. Either way, we’re happy to take the points. 

This is a 4% play on the Warriors on the spread.

05-12-25 Cardinals +1.5 v. Phillies Top 3-2 Win 100 12 h 33 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NL *RUNLINE OF THE MONTH*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that while the Phillies are hot, winners of seven of their last nine, the Cardinals are even hotter, riding a nine-game unbeaten streak. St. Louis starter Matthew Liberatore has been in strong form, allowing just six runs over his last five appearances and the Phillies are just 2-6 against the runline as favorites when facing a left-handed starter. 

This is a 5% play on the Cardinals on the runline. 

05-11-25 Cavs -5 v. Pacers Top 109-129 Loss -110 18 h 2 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE WEEK*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the No. 1 seed in the East is still trailing 2-1 in the series, even after a dominant 126-104 win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday. The Cavaliers are a perfect 3-0 on the road this postseason, and with their backs still against the wall, we expect another focused and complete performance to even the series.

This is a 5% play on the Cavs on the spread. 

05-11-25 Orioles v. Angels +1.5 Top 7-3 Loss -135 11 h 29 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% AL *RUNLINE OF THE WEEK*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Orioles have lost six of their last seven and how Angels' scheduled starter, Tyler Anderson is 2-0 with a 2.68 ERA with the team winning six of his seven starts. 

This is a 5% play on the Angels on the runline.

05-10-25 Wolves -5 v. Warriors 102-97 Push 0 15 h 38 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced with the Warriors set to be without Stephen Curry once again—just as they were in the 117-93 blowout loss in Game 2. Without Curry on the floor, Golden State simply doesn't have the firepower to keep up. We expect Minnesota to overpower them again and take back control of the series.

This is a 4% play on the Wolves on the spread. 

05-07-25 Nuggets +11.5 v. Thunder Top 106-149 Loss -115 17 h 50 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA West *GAME OF THE WEEK*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how resilient the Nuggets were in Game 1, stealing a late win and showing they won’t go away quietly. With that victory, the Nuggets have now won three of the five meetings this season and bring a wealth of playoff experience to the table. We expect another tight contest in Game 2 and love getting points with the visitors. 

This is a 5% play on the Nuggets on the spread. 

05-06-25 Pacers v. Cavs -9 120-119 Loss -108 14 h 28 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how fired up the Cavs will be after dropping Game 1 at home. We cashed with Indiana in that one, but this is a classic bounce-back spot for a desperate home team looking to even the series.

This is a 4% play on the Cavaliers on the spread.

05-05-25 Knicks v. Celtics -9 108-105 Loss -108 12 h 40 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how the Knicks sruggled with the Pistons, who are far below the quality of the Celtics, in the last round. The Celtics are coming off a gentleman's sweep of the Magic, and their loss came by just two points. They outscored the Maring by almost 13 points per game and have dominated the Knicks all season. 

This is a 4% play on the Celtics on the spread. 

05-04-25 Pacers +8 v. Cavs 121-112 Win 100 11 h 48 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Pacers just knocked out the Bucks in five games and have won three of four outright against the Cavaliers this season. Cleveland cruised past an overmatched Heat team in the first round and hasn’t really been tested yet, but this is a much tougher matchup. The Pacers’ tempo, spacing, and shot-making give the Cavs problems.

This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread. 

05-04-25 Rockies v. Giants -1.5 3-9 Win 100 9 h 52 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Giatns have outscored the Rockies 10-3 over the last two games of the series and Rockies' scheduled starter, German Marquez, has conceded 20 runs over his past three starts and the Rockies have lost all his six starts for the season, five of them by three runs or more. 

This is a 4% play on the Giants on the runline. 

05-02-25 Rockets v. Warriors -5 115-107 Loss -112 14 h 52 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the Rockets emptied the tank in their Game 5 blowout to stay alive. Still trailing 3-2, they now head back to Chase Center where we expect a much sharper performance from the Warriors after a lackluster showing in the 131-116 loss, a game that wasn’t nearly as close as the score suggests.

This is a 4% play on the Warriors on the spread. 

05-01-25 Rockies v. Giants -1.5 Top 4-3 Loss -105 14 h 34 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NL *RUNLINE OF THE WEEK*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how hungry the Giants will be for a win after two losses to the Padres at San Diego. They dominated the Rockies last season and Colorado's scheduled starter, left-hander Kyle Freeland, has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 4.78 in 7 starts against the Giants since 2022 and has surrendered five runs or more in three of his last four starts.  

This is a 5% play on the Giants on the runline.

05-01-25 Knicks +1.5 v. Pistons 116-113 Win 100 11 h 28 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the road team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the spot. The New York Knicks still hold a 3-2 series lead despite dropping Game 5 at home, and this looks like a prime bounce-back spot. The Pistons pulled off a surprise win at Madison Square Garden, but asking them to replicate that effort back-to-back, especially against a more focused Knicks squad, is a tall order.

This is a 4% play on the Knicks on the spread.

04-30-25 Wolves +6 v. Lakers 103-96 Win 100 14 h 50 m Show

David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Lakers continue to be overvalued based on name recognition, but this Timberwolves squad has the size, youth, toughness, and defensive intensity that L.A. can't match. Minnesota has owned the paint in this series, and unless the Lakers find a way to counter that physicality, they’re in for another rough night.

This is a 4% play on the Timberwolves on the spread

04-30-25 Angels +1.5 v. Mariners Top 3-9 Loss -160 8 h 54 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% AL *RUNLINE OF THE MONTH*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the Angels' scheduled starter, Tyler Anderson, has a 2.60 ERA in five starts and the Mariners are 1-4 against the runline as favorites against left-handed starters. Seattle's right-hander Emerson Hancock has a 7.71 ERA in three 2025 starts. 

This is a 5% play on the Angels on the runline.

04-29-25 Pistons +5.5 v. Knicks 106-103 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show

David's 4% DET/NYK NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Knicks have won the last two games by a combined three points, and the Pistons' win in the series came at Madison Square Garden in Game 2. The Pistons have a positive point differential over the last three games. 

This is a 4% play on the Pistons on the spread.

04-28-25 Cavs -8.5 v. Heat Top 138-83 Win 100 14 h 28 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE WEEK*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks way off when you consider the Cavs have absolutely owned Miami all season and haven’t given the Heat a sniff of hope in this series. With Cleveland eyeing the sweep, we’re expecting another wire-to-wire beatdown against a disheartened and overmatched Miami squad.

This is a 5% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. 

04-26-25 White Sox v. A's -1.5 10-3 Loss -110 10 h 7 m Show

David's 4% MLB *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the A's are riding a three-game winning streak and are 6-1 against the runline in their wins as favorites. Their scheduled starter Jeffrey Springs has not been sharp in recent outings, but facing a weak White Sox team could be just what the doctor ordered.

This is a 4% play on the Athletics on the runline. 

04-26-25 Cavs -5 v. Heat Top 124-87 Win 100 7 h 60 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE MONTH*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Cavs have won the last four meetings, and the change of venue does not justify this big of adjustment of the line from the first two games of this series at Cleveland, which the Cavs won comfortably. 

This is a 5% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. 

04-24-25 Nuggets v. Clippers -5 83-117 Win 100 17 h 53 m Show

David's DEN/LAC NBA *BANKROLL BUILDER*

We really like the Clippers in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Clippers arguably deserved to win both games at Denver, and with a healthy Kawhi Leonard in top form the Clippers look good to take a lead in the series.  

This is a 3% play on the Clippers on the spread. 

04-23-25 Orioles v. Nationals +1.5 3-4 Win 100 20 h 43 m Show

David's 4% MLB Runline *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nationals actually have the better overall record this season. While they’re just 1-3 in Trevor Williams' four starts, he’s pitched well enough to win in two of those losses, and the Nats’ offense has started to heat up.

This is a 4% play on the Nationals on the runline.

04-22-25 Pirates v. Angels -1.5 Top 9-3 Loss -100 21 h 41 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% IL *RUNLINE OF THE MONTH*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Pirates are 2-8 on the road and their scheduled starter, left-hander Bailey Falter is overvalued after seven shutout innings against the Nats. Falter had allowed 12 runs over his first three starts of 2025 and we think he's in for a tough test. 

This is a 5% play on the Angels on the runline. 

04-15-25 Hawks v. Magic -5 95-120 Win 100 17 h 25 m Show

David's Hawks/Magic NBA *BANKROLL BUILDER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The Magics' defense is miles better than the Hawks who are too reliant on Trae Young magic on offense to win games. 

This is a 3% plau on the Magic on the spread. 

04-13-25 Mavs +3.5 v. Grizzlies 97-132 Loss -108 16 h 54 m Show

David's 4% DAL/MEM NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the Grizzlies are locked into the play-in no matter what, and the Mavs have a shot to even the season series. Memphis has dropped two straight and six of their last nine, and with an interim coach at the helm, it’s tough to trust them in a spot like this.

This is a 4% play on the Mavericks on the spread.  

04-11-25 Cavs +7.5 v. Knicks 108-102 Win 100 11 h 6 m Show

David's 4% Cavs/Knicks NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that although the Cavs have the Eastern Conference wrapped up and can afford to rest players, they're still fighting OKC for the best record in the league and trying to reach the 60-game mark. The Cavs just put up a good fight at Indiana last night and can do it again here.

This is a 4% play on the Cavaliers on the spread

04-10-25 Cavs v. Pacers -9 Top 112-114 Loss -108 17 h 11 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The line may look a little odd, even appearing that the wrong team is favored. There is a good reason for that, the Cavs are resting all their starters, and have little interest in competing in the front end of a back to back. The Pacers have won five straight, and might be the hottest team in the NBA.

This is a 5% play on the Pacers.

04-08-25 Bulls v. Cavs -11.5 113-135 Win 100 18 h 20 m Show

David's 4% CHI/CLE NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Cavaliers would clinch the top seed in the Eastern Conference with a win, and they've already recorded three dominant wins over the Bulls this season.

This is a 4% play on the Cavaliers on the spread.

04-07-25 Yankees v. Tigers +1.5 2-6 Win 100 11 h 54 m Show

David's 4% MLB *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Tigers are riding a three-game winning streak and Tigers starter Casey Mize tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his first start of the season while Yankees' Carlos Rodon gave up four runs to the Diamondbacks. 

This is a 4% play on the Tigers on the runline.  

04-06-25 Pacers +6.5 v. Nuggets 125-120 Win 100 10 h 20 m Show

David's 4% IND/DEB NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the Nuggets are just 1-5 ATS in their last five games, while the Pacers have picked up their scoring and won eight of their last 10. Indiana is playing with confidence, and this feels like a spot where they can keep it close—or even pull off the upset.

This is a 4% play on Pacers. 

04-05-25 Florida -2.5 v. Auburn Top 79-73 Win 100 90 h 26 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% Gators/Tigers NCAAB *BEST BET*

We really like the Gators in this matchup. The line looks mispriced, considering Auburn may have had too easy of a path to the Final Four to be fully prepared for what Florida will bring. The Gators got a wake-up call after being pushed to overtime by Texas Tech in the last round, and we think that experience will have them more ready for this showdown. After falling to Florida 90-81 in the regular season, Auburn fans better prepare for another setback.

This is a 5% play on the Gators.

04-05-25 UCF +3.5 v. Villanova 104-98 Win 100 11 h 21 m Show

David's 4% UCF/VILL NCAAB *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering how Villanova struggled with USC in their last game while UCF won 88-80 as an underdog at Cincinnati in their last game. Our numbers say that UCF is undervalued again.

This is a 4% play on Knights. 

04-04-25 Blazers v. Bulls -5.5 Top 113-118 Loss -115 15 h 58 m Show

David's Top-rated 5% NBA Non-conference *GAME OF THE WEEK*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Blazers will play on 0 days rest off an win in Toronto and the raging Bulls come in off two days rest. 

This is a 5% play on Bulls.  

04-03-25 Chattanooga +4 v. Cal-Irvine 85-84 Win 100 14 h 8 m Show

David's 4% CHAT/UCI CBB *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that although both teams have been money against the spread all season, the Mocs have shown time and time again how competitive they can be as underdogs. 

This is a 4% play on the Mocs.

04-03-25 Blazers -3 v. Raptors 112-103 Win 100 13 h 47 m Show

David's 4% POR/TOR NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Raptors lost lost after four straight wins while the Blazers ended a five-game skid with a 127-113 win in Atlanta on Tuesday. They'll be eager to build on the win and have owned the Raptors in recent seasons. 

This is a 4% play on Blazers.  

04-01-25 Tulane v. USC -8.5 60-89 Win 100 19 h 59 m Show

David's 4% TULN/USC NCAAB *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Tulane has lost two starting players to the transfer portal, and that USC rarely disappoints as favorites.

This is a 4% play on the Trojans. 

04-01-25 Suns v. Bucks -6.5 123-133 Win 100 16 h 30 m Show

David's 4% PHX/MIL NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider this is a big revenge spot for the Bucks after a 108-106 loss at Phoenix a week ago, a loss that started a four-game skid. The Suns have lost three in a row since that win, and the injured Kevin Durant will not fly with the team to Milwaukee.

This is a 4% play on the Bucks on the spread.

03-31-25 Clippers v. Magic +3.5 96-87 Loss -115 12 h 32 m Show

David's 4% LAC/ORL NBA *MAJOR WAGER*

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Clippers have been far better at home than on the road all season and fatigue could be an issue here on the second leg of a back-to-back situation and in their fourth consecutive game on the road. 

This is a 4% play on the Magic on the spread.

03-30-25 Sabres v. Capitals -1.5 8-5 Loss -105 11 h 7 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The price looks a bit off when you consider that the Sabres are playing the second game of a back to back, and Washington is battling for the best record in the NHL. Each of the Sabres last four road losses came in games decided by 2+ goals.

This is a 5* play on WAS PL.

03-30-25 Tennessee +3.5 v. Houston 50-69 Loss -115 10 h 25 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Cougars are coming off back to back wins in games that were a lot closer than they should have been. They missed their free throws against Gonzaga. and they couldn't put away Purdue. The Vols are the type of team that might give them fits. 
 

This is a 4* play on TEN.

03-29-25 Brewers +1.5 v. Yankees 9-20 Loss -155 14 h 5 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The price looks a bit off when you consider that the pitching matchup would appear to favor the visitors. Max Fried was not impressive this Spring, and this is a revenge spot for Nasty Nestor Cortes.

This is a 5* play on MIL +1.5.

03-28-25 Michigan +8.5 v. Auburn 65-78 Loss -115 113 h 37 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Wolverines won their conference tournament, and the Tigers stumbled at the end of the year losing three of four games. They came from behind to beat Creighton in their last game, but the 12 point margin is a little misleading. It was a six point game with 1:39 remaining, and Auburn scored eight of the final 10 points. Johni Broome has averaged just 11 points per game in the tournament so far.

This is a 5* play on Michigan.

03-28-25 Suns v. Wolves -6.5 109-124 Win 100 14 h 7 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Suns have twice as many losses as they have wins on the road (12-24). Minnesota is well rested, and Anthony Edwards was able to play in Indiana on Monday. The Suns have had lost six straight in this series, and without Bradley Beal that trend is expected to continue tonight.

This is a 5* play on MIN.

03-26-25 Bucks v. Nuggets -4.5 117-127 Win 100 20 h 32 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Bucks come limping into town with a banged up Giannis and Damian Lillard on the shelf. Denver should have it's starting lineup intact, and there is nowhere tougher to play than at altitude in Denver when the Nuggets are healthy.

This is a 5* play on DEN.

03-26-25 UAB  +4.5 v. Cal-Irvine Top 77-81 Win 100 19 h 57 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Blazers have won back to back road games against quality opponents (Santa Clara and St. Joe's) while the Ant Eaters have played at home against lesser competition. Their win over Jacksonville State by a score of 66-61 was rather underwhelming. UAB was the highest scoring team in the AAC and boast a lineup loaded with seniors. We will take the points.

This is a 5* play on UAB.

03-25-25 Hawks v. Rockets -8 114-121 Loss -105 19 h 36 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Hawks are 9-17 against the Western Conference. The Rockets are 100 percent healthy, while the Hawks lost Capella for the season and their current lineup is full of holes. The Rockets are 20-9 versus Eastern Conference times, and they have won 9-of-10 overall, and 6-of-7 at home.

This is a 5* play on HOU.

03-23-25 New Mexico v. Michigan State -7 Top 63-71 Win 100 29 h 49 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Spartans are ranked #8 nationally by Ken Pom, 34 spots higher than New Mexico. Mountain West teams came into this tournament with a record of 26-53 ATS. Michigan State ranks 3rd in the BIG10 allowing just 67 points per game.

This is a 10* play on MSU.

03-22-25 Drake +7 v. Texas Tech 64-77 Loss -110 16 h 55 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Red Raiders failed to cover, and didn't look all that sharp in the first round against UNCW. Drake is a legit Top 50 team with an impressive non conference record. They play at the slowest pace in the country, and they should be able to hang with the Red Raiders. 


This is a 5* play on DRAKE.

03-22-25 McNeese State v. Purdue -5.5 62-76 Win 100 34 h 32 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Cowboys almost blew a big lead against Clemson. As impressive as their first round win was, it's important to remember that the Tigers leading scorer was injured. This team was blown out by Gonzaga in the first round last year, and Purdue should prove to be a far tougher test than a shorthanded ACC team.

This is a 5* play on PUR.

03-21-25 Troy State v. Kentucky -10 Top 57-76 Win 100 112 h 4 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that Kentucky ranks Top 20 nationally according to Ken Pom, 78 spots higher than Troy. The Wildcats have covered in five straight games as a favorite. Thursday six teams were favored by double digits, and all six teams won by double digits.

This is a 10* play on UK.

03-20-25 McNeese State v. Clemson -7.5 69-67 Loss -108 12 h 47 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that Cowboys coach Will Wade is leaving for NC State, while Clemson has signed their coach to an extension. Yes Clemson lost it's leading scorer in the conference tournament, but the #18 ranked team by Ken Pom is not a one man show. Their depth will power them past the Cowboys.

This is a 5* play on CLEM.

03-20-25 Montana v. Wisconsin -16.5 66-85 Win 100 10 h 57 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that Wisconsin is ranked #13 by Ken Pom, 148 spots higher than Montana. The Grizzlies don't have a single win against a Top 100 team this season. They better think twice about fouling the Badgers, who rank 1st in the BIG10 hitting 83% from the free throw line. 

This is a 5* play on WISC.



03-19-25 Nuggets +1.5 v. Lakers Top 108-120 Loss -110 19 h 36 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that LeBron is still out of the lineup, and several other Lakers are banged up. The Nuggets rested several starters in Golden State on Monday, but they still won outright. Westbrook had a triple-double, and he seems to be back to the form he was in prior to his injury. The Nuggets own the lakers, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings.  

This is a 5* play on DEN.

03-18-25 Cavs v. Clippers +4.5 119-132 Win 100 19 h 57 m Show

We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that this is the first leg of a back to back, and the middle game of a 3-in-4 situation for Cleveland. The Cavs 16 game losing skid just ended at the hands of Orlando on Sunday, and public money will back them to get right back on the horse. This isn't a great spot for the road favorite. The Clippers are healthy, and they are winners of six of seven. The Clippers are 4-1 in their last five home games in this series.

This is a 5* play on LAC.

03-17-25 Bulls -5.5 v. Jazz 111-97 Win 100 18 h 41 m Show

We really like the favortie in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Jazz have lost nine straight games, they are playing the second game of a back to back, and Chicago is looking at a play-in spot. The Jazz starters played full minutes last night, and they may not get their regular workload tonight.

This is a 5* play on Bulls.

03-16-25 Hornets +12.5 v. Clippers 88-123 Loss -115 11 h 24 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Hornets come in as winners of three of four. They have lost 10 straight to the Clippers, but have covered in four of the last five. This looks like a flat spot for LA with Cleveland on deck, and three games against top 5 teams coming up.

This is a 5* play on Charlotte.

03-16-25 Wisconsin v. Michigan +4 53-59 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that both these teams played games decided by 3 points or less on Saturday. The Wolverines swept the season series, and they are 5-1 in the last six versus Wisconsin. The games have been close, so the point spread could come into play here.

This is a 5* play on Michigan.

03-15-25 Knicks v. Warriors -6.5 94-97 Loss -105 16 h 41 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little off when you consider that the Knicks are without their leading scorer Jalen Brunson. The Dubs are 12-1 with Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and Jimmy has a personal grudge against Karl Anthony Towns, who was a teammate briefly in Minnesota. Jimmy owns KAT, and the Dubs should own the Knicks tonight.

This is a 5* play on the GSW.

03-15-25 Predators v. Kings -1.5 0-1 Loss -100 15 h 10 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The price looks a little off when you consider that the Kings home record of 22-3-4 is one of the best in the league. Nashville is 8-21-4 on the road, and the playoffs are now out of reach. The Preds have one foot on the golf course.

This is a 5* play on the LAK.

03-13-25 Lakers v. Bucks -6 106-126 Win 100 15 h 18 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Lakers are crushed by injuries, and it's unclear if Luka will even play. LeBron is on the shelf for a few weeks and Austin Reaves is the only healthy starter right now. The Bucks appear to be healthy as both Giannis and Dame are listed as probable.

This is a 10* play on the Bucks.

03-11-25 Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +4 Top 58-51 Loss -110 18 h 58 m Show

We really like the Underdog in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that these teams have already played twice this season, and St. Mary's won both games. Their win at Gonzaga in the most recent meeting was even more convincing than the previous game at home. They also won 2 of 3 meetings last year, including the WCC Tournament Final. A clear case of a false favorite here.

This is a 10* play on SMC.

03-11-25 Bayern Munich v. Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 Top 2-0 Loss -136 13 h 45 m Show

We really like the Underdog in this matchup. The price looks a off when you consider that the home side has a pair of wins and a pair of draws in the last five meetings between these teams. Bayern Muinich has a three goal lead on aggregate, so they can play for a draw. 

This is a 10* play on Leverkusen.

03-08-25 Bruins v. Lightning -1.5 4-0 Loss -100 21 h 1 m Show

We really like the favorite in this matchup. The high price looks fair when you consider that the Bruins just traded Brad Marchand to Florida. This once proud franchise has thrown in the towel, and will clearly look to rebuild over the next few years. The Lightning on the other hand have acquired players to bolster their squad for a long playoff run.


This is a 5* play on TB.

03-05-25 Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 v. Bayern Munich 0-3 Loss -100 9 h 44 m Show

We really like the road underdog in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that Bayer Leverkusen are 2-0-3 in their last five versus Bayern Munich. They have only lost one match in 24 games in the Bundesliga this season.

This is a 5* play on Leverkusen +0.5.

03-03-25 Pistons v. Jazz +10 Top 134-106 Loss -110 12 h 18 m Show

We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Jazz rested all their starters last night, and should have fresh legs tonight at home versus Detroit. As well as the Pistons have been playing, the Jazz have been competitive as well. History favors Utah, as the Jazz are 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings. Utah is just 3-5 SU in their last eight, but they are 6-2 ATS in those games.

This is a 5* play on Utah Jazz.

02-27-25 William & Mary v. Towson -5.5 Top 73-88 Win 100 28 h 36 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Tribe are just 4-10 on the road. Towson is now in first place in the CAA, and they are 10-1 on their home floor. William & Mary are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Towson has won 13 of their last 14 games overall, and they are 5-1 in their last six versus William and Mary.

This is a 10* play on TOWSON.

02-25-25 Mavs v. Lakers -7.5 99-107 Win 100 22 h 16 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that these teams just traded superstars, and the Mavs got a banged up AD that is now out for the season. Luka scored 32 in a win over Denver in his last game.

This is a 5* play on LAKERS.

02-22-25 Canadiens +1.5 v. Senators 5-2 Win 100 18 h 38 m Show

We really like the road underdog in this matchup. The price looks a off when you consider that the 4Nations will serve as a distraction to some players, namely guys like Brady Tkatchuk who was on the losing side in the Final.

This is a 5* play on MTL.

02-21-25 Kent State v. Miami-OH 92-96 Win 100 16 h 38 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Red Hawks are 12-1 at home, and undefeated in the MAC at home. Miami-Ohio are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games, and are coming off back to back road losses. This is a back to back road game for the Golden Flashes.

This is a 5* play on MIA_OH.

02-20-25 Lakers -4.5 v. Blazers 110-102 Win 100 113 h 22 m Show

We really like the road favorite in this matchup. The price looks a little off when you consider that the Lakers have owned Portland, winning seven of the last eight meetings. This is a clear case of rust versus rest. It's the second game of a back to back for the Lakers, but it's the first game after a long layoff for the Blazers. Based on the shooting in LA last night, we might conclude it's an advantage to have at least a game under your belt coming out of the break.


This is a 5* play on LAL.

02-15-25 Troy State v. Arkansas State -5.5 Top 71-70 Loss -110 26 h 11 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Red Wolves are the best team in the Sun Belt. They have the edge in experience with a starting lineup full of Seniors. Arkansas State are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at home and they are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Troy are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Arkansas State


This is a 10* play on ARKST.

02-15-25 Nottingham Forest +0.5 v. Fulham 1-2 Loss -134 16 h 46 m Show

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The price seems a little off when you consider that the visitors own one of the best road records in the Premier League, in fact they have a far better away record than Fulham has at home. We don't believe the bettors have caught up to the fact that Forrest is battling for a champions league spot, while Fulham is in the safe zone.


This is a 5* play on Forrest +0.5.

02-14-25 Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee -5.5 Top 80-88 Win 100 19 h 40 m Show

We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Panthers are 9-2 at home while the Raiders have lost 8 of 11 on the road. The Panthers won by 16-points at Wright State just a few weeks ago. The Panthers are ranked 45 spots higher than Wright State in Ken Pom's national rankings.

This is a 10* play on WISC-MIL

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