Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-11-24 | Padres v. Dodgers -132 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
5% NLDS GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET I like the LA Dodgers in this winner-take-all game. Sure, Yoshinobu Yamamoto gave up five runs over just three innings in Game 1 of the series, but the Dodgers still won that game 7-5. Yamamoto pitched only three innings, and he had an extra day of rest compared to Padres Game 2 winner Yu Darvish, who logged seven innings in that start. 5% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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10-10-24 | Guardians -114 v. Tigers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
4% GUARDIANS/TIGERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Cleveland Guardians to bounce back from back-to-back shutout losses. They are 12-4 off a shutout loss and 20-14 as road favorites. 4% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS. |
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10-09-24 | Guardians +100 v. Tigers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
5% ALDS GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a good spot to back the Cleveland Guardians to bounce back from a 3-0 loss to the Tigers. They are 12-3 off a shutout loss and 20-13 as road favorites, and I think they'll close as favorites. 5% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS. |
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10-08-24 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5% NLDS TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The first two games of the series in LA both saw 12 runs scored, but I think Game 3 will stay under the total. Padres rigthy Michael King has a 2.82 ERA in five career outings covering 22 1/3 innings against the Dodgers, and Walker Buehler has an ERA of 1.80 in 12 starts against the Padres in his career. Buehler was 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA in 16 starts this season, but there's a reason the Dodgers' still trust him here against the Friars. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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10-07-24 | Tigers v. Guardians +115 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
4% TIGERS/GUARDIANS MLB TOP PLAY Sure, Tigers' left-hander Tarik Skubal has emerged as an elite pitcher and will likely be the American League Cy Award winner, but Guardians lefty Matthew Boyd can also be proud of his 2.72 ERA over eight starts. Also, he's relatively fresh, having returned to the majors in mid-August. Skubal, meanwhile, has been logging a lot of innings, and although he held Cleveland to one run over seven innings on July 22, note that he allowed 10 hits. The Guardians are 30-11 against left-handed starters on the season. 4% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS. |
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10-05-24 | Padres v. Dodgers -128 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
5% SD/LAD MLB GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET These two teams clashed in the last week of the regular season when the Los Angeles Dodgers won two of three here at home at Dodger Stadium despite having clinched the division the week before. The Padres went on to defeat the Braves in two games in the wild-card round, but now they'll have to face their old nemesis again. San Diego went 8-5 against the Dodgers during the regular season, but that might add fuel to the fire for the home team, and you know the Dodgers will step up a notch in the playoffs. 5% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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10-03-24 | Mets v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
5% NL WILD CARD TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers will square off in a win-or-go home matchup for both teams. Following two overs, I expect a low-scoring game. Both starting pitchers are coming in hot; Mets lefty Jose Quintana has allowed jsut five runs across his last five starts and Milwaukee righty Tobias Myers has held four of his last five opponents to two runs or fewer. This will be Myers first career start against the Mets while Quintana has a 2.98 ERA in 23 career outings (22 starts) against Milwaukee. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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10-02-24 | Braves v. Padres -115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
5% NL WILD CARD GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The San Diego Padres are just one win from the playoffs following a 4-0 win in Game 1 of the three-game series on Tuesday. The Braves just barely made it to the wild card round, and I do not think they can threaten the Padres, not even with Max Fried on the mound. Fried gave up three runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings when he faced the Padres back in May, and the Padres have had success against left-handers all season. 5% PLAY ON THE PADRES. |
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09-28-24 | Astros v. Guardians -113 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros have clinched the AL West and are locked into the 3-seed in the American League Playoffs. The Cleveland Guardians have also secured their division and still have an outside shot at the No. 1 seed in the AL if they win out and the Yankees lose twice to the Pirates. While it's a long shot, I expect Cleveland to handle their business today. 4% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS. |
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09-27-24 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -135 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET After last night's loss to the Dodgers, the San Diego Padres are officially out of the division race, but they’re all but locked into the top Wild Card spot in the National League. Meanwhile, the Arizona Diamondbacks are in a fierce battle with the Mets and Braves for the remaining two spots. I expect a motivated Arizona team to capitalize on a Padres squad with little left to play for. 5% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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09-26-24 | Royals v. Nationals OVER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET These two teams have averaged a combined four runs per game over their last 10, but I expect fireworks in the finale of this three-game series. Washington lefty Patrick Corbin can implode at any moment, as seen in his last outing where he gave up five runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings at Wrigley. Corbin has allowed seven or more hits in three of his last four starts. On the other side, KC right-hander Michael Wacha has a solid 1.53 ERA over his last three starts, though he’s been skating on thin ice with plenty of baserunners. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-25-24 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Chicago Cubs won Tuesday's matchup 10-4, but I think this will be a low-scoring affair. Philadelphia righty Cristopher Sanchez has a 1.80 ERA in four starts this month, and while Cubs righty Javier Assad has a 2.47 ERA at home and a 4.17 mark away from Wrigley Field, this looks like a good spot to improve on his road ERA as the Phillies have shown inconsistency at the plate. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-25-24 | Mariners -129 v. Astros | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Houston Astros who might take their foot off the gas after celebrating clinching the AL West title last night. Meanwhile, the Seattle Mariners are still in the thick of the playoff race, sitting 2½ games back of the AL's final wild-card spot and desperate for a win. 5% PLAY ON THE MARINERS. |
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09-24-24 | Rays +1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
EARLY 5% AL RUNLINE OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Tampa Bay Rays are riding a four-game win streak, and right-hander Ryan Pepiot has been sharp in recent starts. Although the Rays are 2-2 in his last four outings, both losses were by just one run. Pepiot boasts a 1.50 ERA in two career appearances against Detroit. While the Tigers counter with ace Tarik Skubal, I see the value on the Rays in this matchup. 5% PLAY ON THE RAYS +1½. |
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09-23-24 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -114 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
4% RED SOX/BLUE JAYS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Toronto Blue Jays to bounce back from three losses at Tampa Bay and a 1-5 road trip. Tonight the Jays hand the ball to Chris Bassitt who has held three of his last four opponents to just one run, including 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball at Boston on Aug 28. Bassitt has an ERA of 2.29across three starts against the Red Sox on the season. Boston's righty Tanner Houck has allowed six runs (four earned) over 12 1/3 innings in two starts against Toronto on the season, and Houck has a 5.00 ERA in two September starts. 4% PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS. |
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09-20-24 | Mariners v. Rangers -114 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET Veteran right-hander Jacob deGrom will take the ball for Texas for his second start of the season after holding the Mariners scoreless over 3 2/3 innings on Sep 13. deGrom has made only seven starts over the last two seasons as he's been battling injuries, but we all know how good he is when healthy. The Mariners counter with George Kirby who is coming off seven scoreless innings against the Mariners in Seattle on Sep 15, but he had allowed 15 runs across his previous four starts. I think the Rangers will have a better read on him for this game, and Kirby's ERA on the road is more than a full run higher than at home. 5% PLAY ON THE RANGERS. |
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09-19-24 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Mets right-hander Luis Severino gave up three runs in six innings when he faced the Phillies on Sep 14. Phillies righty Taijuan Walker will make his first start since Aug 28 when he surrendered six runs on 13 hits in six innings of a 10-0 loss to Houston. Walker has made just three appearances as a reliever since, including three scoreless innings against the Mets on Sep 14, but considering his 6.29 ERA, I think the Mets will get to him with ease this time. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-19-24 | Giants v. Orioles -140 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Baltimore Orioles to bounce back from a pair of losses and deny the Giants to sweep the three-game series. Giants All-Star righty Logan Webb has a 3.53 ERA for the season, but he has struggled in recent starts. Webb gave up four runs, three earned, and seven hits in four innings against the Padres in his last start, and Webb has surrendered 16 runs across his past four starts. The Orioles counter with Zach Eflin who is 5-2 with a 2.22 ERA since coming over from the Rays, and he has allowed just six runs across his last five starts. 5% PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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09-18-24 | Blue Jays v. Rangers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
4% BLUE JAYS/RANGERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 9-1 in the past 10 meetings following a 13-8 Rangers win last night, but I think the bats will cool off for tonight's matchup and two hot pitchers are taking the mound. Blue Jays' righty Bowden Francis allowed just four runs across 34 1/3 innings for an ERA of 1.05 last month, and he has posted a 2.57 ERA in two September starts. Rangers left-hander Cody Bradford gave up eight runs in a 14-4 loss in Arizona his last time out. However, he was on a 5-0 run to the under prior to that game. Also, note his 2.57 ERA at home compared to 8.10 on the road. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-17-24 | Twins v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews has allowed 15 runs and six homers across his past three starts and Cleveland righty Gavin Williams has conceded nine runs across his past three starts. Neither team has been swinging hot bats lately, but with this pitching matchup and Matthews' struggles with the long ball I really like the over. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-16-24 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Arizona Diamondbacks have averaged 6.6 runs per nine innings over their last 10 games and have scored eight or more runs in four of their last six. The Rockies will turn to a rusty Antonio Senzatela, making his first major league start since May 2023 after nearly two years of dealing with significant injuries. I’m confident the D'Backs will get to Senzatela early and easily, and I also expect the Rockies to score their share of runs off Merrill Kelly, who has given up 19 runs in his last five starts and holds a 5.25 ERA on the road this season. Additionally, the weather reports suggest the wind will be in our favor. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-14-24 | Astros -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
5% AL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Houston Astros have been hot, averaging 5.9 runs per game over their last five outings. Angels' lefty Tyler Anderson gave up four runs in six innings when he faced them back in June. Justin Verlander will be on the mound for Houston, but he’s regressed from last season, but he usually owns the Angels who have pretty much given up on the season. 5% PLAY ON THE ASTROS -1.5. |
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09-13-24 | Red Sox v. Yankees -138 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET Yankees right-hander Clarke Schmidt has made just one start since May after going on the IL with a right lat strain, but it was a sharp outing in which he held the Cubs scoreless over 4 2/3 innings. Schmidt has an impressive 2.34 ERA over 12 starts on the season. Boston's right-hander Tanner Houck gave up four runs in five innings of an 8-3 loss at the Mets in his last start. The Red Sox have lost eight of his last nine starts, and now he'll face the AL East-best Yankees, who are looking to hold off the Orioles for the division title. 5% PLAY ON THE YANKEES. |
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09-12-24 | Rays v. Guardians OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Cleveland Guardians have scored 16 runs in their last three games, and while Rays right-hander Ryan Peplot has allowed a manageable six runs over 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts, he has struggled with the long ball. Cleveland righty Gavin Williams gave up five innings in the first inning of a 7-2 loss to the Dodgers in his last start, and he has a 7.54 ERA over 22 2/3 innings of work at home at Progressive Field on the season. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-11-24 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -134 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Diamondbacks are 32-17 as home favorites and right-hander Merrill Kelly is 2-0 with an ERA of 3.10 in his home starts. Rangers left-hander Cody Bradford has a 4.85 ERA over 13 innings on the road. The Diamondbacks are in a dogfight for the Wild Card spots in the NL while the Rangers chances of making the playoffs are very slim. 5% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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09-11-24 | Mets v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Mets left-hander Sean Manaea gave up four runs in 6 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds in his last start, but he also recorded nine strikeouts and has 25 strikeouts over his last three starts. The Blue Jays are 6-1 to the under in their last seven games when facing a left-handed starter, and their own starter for this game, Bowden Francis, is coming in hot with just four runs allowed and 23 strikeouts across 21 innings in his last three starts. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-10-24 | Mets v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET The New York Mets are one of the hottest teams in baseball, but I think they're overvalued as a favorite in this matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays. Note that while the Jays have lost six of their last seven games, all but two of the losses came by one run. 5% PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS +1.5. |
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09-09-24 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cleveland Guardians are coming off a shutout loss against the Dodgers, but I think they'll put a lot of runs on the board tonight as the White Sox are expected to start Nick Nastrini who is 0-7 with a terrible 7.79 ERA in eight starts this season. The Guardians are expected to hand the ball to Ben Lively who has an unimpressive 4.07 ERA in 25 starts, and the White Sox have scored 12 runs over their last two games. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-07-24 | Twins v. Royals +126 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 126 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I love the price we on the Kansas City Royals in this matchup with the Minnesota Twins on Saturday. KC has owned Bailey Ober who has allowed 14 runs across 6 1/3 innings in two starts against the Royals this season, and he was tagged with six runs over four innings when he faced them in July last year. The Royals are 13-12 as home underdogs. 5% PLAY ON THE ROYALS. |
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09-06-24 | Mariners v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Cardinals righty Erick Fedde has a 3.43 ERA on the season, and he has allowed only three runs over 10 2/3 innings in two home starts with the Mariners. Fedde has held the Mariners to four runs across 11 innings in two meetings this season. Seattle right-hander Bryce Miller gave up three runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start, but he compiled a 2.22 ERA in five starts last month. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-06-24 | White Sox v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Chicago White Sox ended a 12-game skid with an 8-1 win in Baltimore on Wednesday. Their bats had been ice cold leading up to that game, and I think runs will come at a premium again for the White Sox in this matchup against Nick Pivetta who is coming off six innings of two-run ball in Detroit. The Red Sox have scored just eight runs through a five-game slide, and White Sox's right-hander Davis Martin has compiled a respectable 3.62 ERA in seven outings (six starts) this season. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-04-24 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
EARLY 5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Toronto Blue Jays and hte Philadelphia Phillies combined for 19 runs in the opener of the series last night, but I think today's early matchup will be a low-scoring affair. Both starting pitchers are coming in hot, with Christopher Sanchez recording 18 strikeouts and six earned runs allowed over 20 2/3 frames across his last three starts while Bowden Francis has allowed just four runs across his last five starts while averaging 7.8 strikeouts per outing. The Phillies are 20-11 to the under after scoring seven runs or more in their previous game and 23-15 to the under as road favorites. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-03-24 | Yankees v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The New York Yankees have scored 26 runs through their last four games and although Rangers left-hander Andrew Heaney has been on a heater, note that he has conceded 12 runs across his last three starts against the Bronx Bombers. Yankees left-hander Carlos Rodon has been inconsistent in recent starts. He has two scoreless outings in his past four starts and has allowed four and five runs in the other two. The Rangers bats have come alive and I think they'll stay hot. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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09-03-24 | Cardinals v. Brewers -139 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -139 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Milwaukee Brewers have won six of their last seven games and are 4-0 in Aaron Civale's last four starts. Civale had a 5.07 ERA in 17 starts with the Rays but a 3.72 ERA in nine starts since coming to Milwaukee. Cardinals left-hander Steven Matz has a 6.18 ERA in three starts on the season, and he has allowed 16 runs over just 12 2/3 innings across his last three starts. The Cards, unsurprisingly, lost all three games, and I think this will be another rough outing for Matz. 5% PLAY ON THE BREWERS. |
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09-02-24 | Guardians v. Royals -104 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Kansas City Royals to end a five-game slide. Michael Wacha was tagged with five runs in six innings of a 7-5 loss in Cleveland on Aug 28, but he is 6-1 with a 3.13 ERA in his home starts, and KC has won eight of his last 10 starts. Cleveland's right-hander Gavin Williams is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in his past three starts. 5% PLAY ON THE ROYALS. |
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09-01-24 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -110 | Top | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
4% DODGERS/D'BACKS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I'm looking for a fired-up Arizona Diamondbacks squad to come out strong and avoid getting swept by the LA Dodgers. The Dodgers are handing the ball to top prospect Justin Wrobelski but note his shaky 5.17 ERA over 15 2/3 innings on the road. The Diamondbacks will send Brandon Pfaadt to the mound. While he has struggled recently, allowing 14 runs over his last three starts, this feels like a prime bounce-back opportunity against a Dodgers team he limited to two runs with seven strikeouts over six innings when he faced them back in May. Also, Pfaadt has shown how sharp he is in matinee outings, posting a solid 2.54 ERA over 56 2/3 innings. 4% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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08-31-24 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET Brewers right-hander Frankie Montas gave up four runs over six innings at Oakland in his last start, and seven of his last nine starts have gone over the total. The Reds are expected to make this a bullpen game, which is not ideal following a doubleheader on Friday in which their relievers were asked to cover a decent amount of innings. The Brewers bats are on fire, and the Reds should also be able to contribute their fair share. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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08-30-24 | Pirates v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Pittsburgh Pirates put up 23 runs in their three-game series against the Chicago Cubs, but they still lost all three games. Tonight, Pittsburgh’s starter, Bailey Falter, has given up 11 runs in his last three outings, and the Guardians have been hitting lefties well all season. Cleveland is sending Ben Lively to the mound, who has allowed seven runs in his last three starts. I expect both teams to put up a good number of runs tonight, pushing the final score over the posted total. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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08-29-24 | Angels v. Tigers -153 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -153 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a great spot to fade the slumping Los Angeles Angels who have lost seven in a row and 10 of their last 11. The Detroit Tigers, on the other hand, have won a season-best six consecutive games, and they're 4-0 in Keider Montero's last four starts, while the Angels are 1-4 in Jack Kochanowicz's five starts this season. 5% PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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08-28-24 | Orioles v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET This is a bad time for Orioles right-hander Corbin Burnes to face off with the Dodgers after allowing 17 runs (16 earned) through his past three starts. Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler has also struggled, allowing 14 runs (11 earned) through his past three starts. Both teams are averaging over 5 runs per nine innings for the season, and I expect to see fireworks tonight after just five runs in the series opener last night. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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08-28-24 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -125 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I like the Arizona Diamondbacks to bounce back after their six-game winning streak came to an end with an 8-3 loss to the Mets on Tuesday. They'll hand the ball to left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez, who has compiled a 3.94 ERA in three starts after starting the season on the IL, with Arizona winning all three games. The Mets are 3-6 as underdogs against a left-handed starter and 2-4 in their right-hander Luis Severino's six starts as a road underdog. 4% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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08-27-24 | Padres -132 v. Cardinals | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET Padres right-hander Dylan Cease is 7-4 with a 3.69 ERA on the road and the team is 8-4 in his 12 starts as a road favorite. The Padres have won six of his last eight starts overall. Cardinals righty Miles Mikolas is 1-5 with a 5.94 ERA at home. 5% PLAY ON THE PADRES. |
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08-26-24 | Rays v. Mariners -120 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Two red hot pitchers will square off on the mound, but I like the price we get on the Mariners and Bryce Miller who is 5-3 with an ERA of 2.09 in his home starts in 2024. The Mariners are 9-4 in his home starts and despite their recent struggles still a solid 6-1 in their last seven games as home favorites. The Mariners have had their struggles on the road, but they've been solid at home, and I expect them to come through for us tonight as they look to separate themselves from the Rays in the fight for a Wild Card. 4% PLAY ON THE MARINERS. |
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08-25-24 | Astros -105 v. Orioles | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
5% ORIOLES/ASTROS AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer has pitched better on the road than at home, where he is 2-4 with an ERA of 4.85. The Orioles are 2-4 in Kremer's six starts as home favorites and also 2-4 in his last six starts overall. Astros left-hander Yusei Kikuchi has conceded only four runs across 16 2/3 innings over his last three starts, and the Astros have won his last five starts. 5% PLAY ON THE ASTROS. |
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08-23-24 | Phillies v. Royals -128 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Taijuan Walker has given up six runs on eight hits and six walks across 8 2/3 innings in two starts since missing two months due to injury. The Phillies are 0-7 in his last seven starts. The Phillies have the best home record in the MLB (42-23), but they're only three games above .500 on the road, and the Royals have the third-best home record in baseball. Royals righty Michael Wacha is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.89 in his last three starts. Wacha is coming off six scoreless innings in Cincinnati, and I expect another strong outing from him here as he is 5-1 with a 3.14 ERA in his home starts. 4% PLAY ON THE ROYALS. |
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08-22-24 | Phillies v. Braves -108 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Atlanta Braves to bounce back from a 3-2 loss to the Phillies. Braves rookie right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach has recorded 44 strikeouts through his last five starts, and the Phillies have been going through a rough patch. Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez is coming off a one-run, two-hit complete game against the Nationals, but he has allowed 15 runs in his last four starts, and the Phillies have lost four of his last six starts. 5% PLAY ON THE BRAVES. |
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08-20-24 | Rays v. A's +106 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET Oakland A's righty Joey Estes is 3-0 with an ERA of 2.40 in seven home starts on the season while covering 45 innings of work. The A's won six of those games, five as underdogs. The Rays counter with Shane Baz who has a 4.21 ERA overall on the season and a 4.26 ERA on the road. The Rays have lost three of his last four starts. The A's have won six of their past eight games and are 17-10 since the All-Star break. 5% PLAY ON THE A'S. |
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08-19-24 | Red Sox v. Astros -118 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET Astros left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (6-9, 4.49 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA since coming over from the Toronto Blue Jays at the trade deadline. Red Sox righty Tanner Houck (8-8, 3.01 ERA) has an ERA of 4.58 in three starts this month and the Red Sox have lost his last five starts. The Astros have won nine of their last 10 games, including a three-game sweep of the Red Sox at Fenway Park last weekend. 5% PLAY ON THE ASTROS. |
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08-19-24 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
4% DIAMONDBACKS/MARLINS TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Marlins scored just six runs through their three-game series against the Mets over the weekend, but I think their bats will come alive here against Arizona right-hander Brandon Pfaadt who has a 4.42 ERA in three starts for the month and an ERA of 4.24 in his road starts this season. Offensively, the Diamondbacks lead the majors with 656 runs scored and they're 68-51 to the over. 4% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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08-18-24 | Giants v. A's +1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET The San Francisco Giants are only 11-13 SU and 9-15 against the runline as road favorites. Oakland left-hander JP Sears is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 18 ks across while covering 21 innings in his last three starts. Giants left-hander Blake Snell has posted a 1.27 ERA in his last three starts, but note his 5.08 ERA on the road. 5% PLAY ON THE A'S +1.5. |
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08-18-24 | Guardians v. Brewers -115 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Milwaukee Brewers will be looking to close out the week with a fifth consecutive win. They are one of the best home teams overall and a stunning 9-1 as home favorites in the finale of a three-game series. 5% PLAY ON THE BREWERS. |
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08-17-24 | Giants v. A's +117 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 117 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET Giants right-hander Hayden Birdsong has been slapped around for 12 runs across 6 1/3 innings through his last two starts. Tonight he'll face a hot Oakland A's team that has won four of its last five games. The Giants are only 26-35 on the road on the season and A's Osvaldo Bido has conceded only two runs with 11 Ks over 12 innings in his last two outings. 5% PLAY ON THE A'S. |
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08-16-24 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
4% NATS/PHILLIES MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies combined for 16 runs in the opener of this series on Thursday, and I think we'll see another high-scoring affair in Game 2 Friday night. Nats left-hander Patrick Corbin has been lit up through his last three starts, with 18 runs allowed over 13 innings of work. Phillies righty Aaron Nola has not been particularly sharp in recent starts either, with nine runs allowed through 16 2/3 frames. The Phillies are trying to work out of a slump and have scored 22 runs and 30 hits over their last two games. They need to keep pressing and might cover this total by themselves, but while Phillies RL is an interesting bet I think the over offers more value. 4% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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08-15-24 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET We pushed with the under at nine runs in yesterday's matchup between the Dodgers and the Brewers, but I think the finale of this four-game series will see way fewer runs scored. Brewers right-hander Tobias Myers (6-5, 2.79 ERA) has been phenomenal, but he's still only 1-3 in his past seven starts despite a 2.38 ERA. Lack of run support could be an issue here as well for Myers as he'll face off with a fired-up Dodgers right-hander in Jack Flaherty (9-5, 2.97 ERA), who will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing outing against the Pittsburgh Pirates last on Friday 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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08-14-24 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
4% DODGERS/BREWERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Milwaukee Brewers have scored just eight runs in their last four games, and tonight they'll face a pitcher who is undervalued due to a slow start to the year. I believe Walker Buehler is a much better pitcher than his 5.84 ERA suggests, and the same can be said for Frankie Montas with his 5.10 ERA, as both pitchers have an xFIP lower than their season ERAs. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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08-13-24 | Cubs v. Guardians -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
4% CUBS/GUARDIANS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Cleveland left-hander Matthew Boyd will make his 2024 debut after recovering from Tommy John surgery. Boyd has posted a 0.83 ERA in five rehab starts this year in Cleveland's minor league system, and the Cubs should be a good matchup for him as they're 4-8 on the road and facing a left-handed starter. 4% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS. |
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08-12-24 | Dodgers v. Brewers -101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a three-game sweep over the Pittsburgh Pirates, but now they're on the road against one of the best home teams in the major leagues. The Milwaukee Brewers are 33-22 at home on the season and Dodgers veteran left-hander Clayton Kershaw is still working his way back from a shoulder injury and has yet to reach five innings in any of his three starts. 4% PLAY ON THE BREWERS. |
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08-12-24 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Houston Astros have scored 33 runs through a five-game winning streak but tonight they'll run into Rays right-hander Taj Bradley who is poised for a big outing following a couple of disappointing starts. On the season, Bradley has a 2.04 ERA home at Tropicana Field and I don't expect the Rays to put many runs on the board against left-hander Framber Valdez who has two 10 strikeout outings in his past three starts. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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08-10-24 | Pirates v. Dodgers +105 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET I absolutely love the price we get on the LA Dodgers in this matchup. Paul Skenses (6-1, 1.99 ERA) has had a sensational rookie season, but note that Dodgers' River Ryan has posted an ERA of 1.72 through his first three starts in the big leagues and the Dodgers have a much better team overall. 5% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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08-09-24 | Astros v. Red Sox -120 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
4% ASTROS/RED SOX MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros have lost three of Ronel Blanco's last four starts and he has an ERA of 6.00 through his last three starts. Red Sox righty Tanner Houck has also labored in recent starts, but the Red Sox have hot bats to bail him out if this turns into another rough day at the office. 4% PLAY ON THE RED SOX. |
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08-08-24 | Mets v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Coors Field is widely recognized as a hitter's park, but the bookmakers know this, too, and adjust the total accordingly. The over/under is 24-30-1 in Rockies' home games on the season and left-hander Austin Gomber (3-7, 4.66 ERA) has compiled a respectable ERA of 3.83 in his home starts this season. Mets left-hander David Peterson (5-1, 3.47 ERA) has a 3.15 ERA in his road starts. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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08-07-24 | Orioles -143 v. Blue Jays | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Baltimore Orioles following a disappointing 5-2 loss to the Blue Jays on Tuesday. The Orioles are 23-9 as favorites off a loss as a favorite. Baltimore left-hander Trevor Rogers (2-10, 4.50 ERA) gave up five runs to Cleveland in his first start since acquired in a trade with the Marlins, but he posted a solid 3.38 in July. Joining a strong team like the Orioles should do wonders for his motivation, and he's undervalued due to his poor record with the Marlins, where he didn't get much support. The Blue Jays are 5-13 in their last 18 games against left-handed starters. 5% PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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08-06-24 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Boston Red Sox are 4-0 to the over in their last four games and they scored five runs on 10 hits over five innings when they faced Royals righty Seth Lugo (13-5, 2.57 ERA) back on July 13. Red Sox right-hander Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.13 ERA) has allowed three runs or more in four of his last five starts. 4% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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08-06-24 | Orioles -1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
5% AL EAST RUNLINE OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Baltimore Orioles are perfect 7-0 SU and against the runline as road favorites in divisional matchups in 2024. Blue Jays right-hander right-hander Chris Bassitt (8-10, 4.02 ERA) has a 5.45 ERA in seven career starts against the Orioles and was charged with five runs on nine hits in four innings when he faced the at Baltimore last week. Grayson Rodriguez (13-4, 3.86) is 2-1 with a 3.68 in five career starts against the Jays, and he's held them to four runs over 12 2/3 innings in two starts this season, both ending in blowout wins for the Orioles. 5% PLAY ON THE ORIOLES -1.5. |
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08-05-24 | Phillies v. Dodgers -125 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a 6-0 win over the Seattle Mariners, but it was just their second win in 10 games. The Los Angeles Dodgers have been only marginaly better lately going 4-6 in their last 10 games, but they are 14-7 on the season as favorites with a closing line of -120 to -150. This is also a revenge series for the Dodgers after getting swept in Philly earlier in the year. Lastly, since the start of the 2022 season, Aaron Nola has an ERA of 4.94 in five starts against the Dodgers. 5% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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08-05-24 | Reds -134 v. Marlins | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Miami Marlins following their 7-0 win in Atlanta on Sunday. The Marlins are 4-8 in right-hander Roddery Munoz' (2-5, 5.45 ERA) starts in 2024 and Munoz has a 6.43 ERA at home. The Reds turn to Nick Martinez (5-5, 3.65 ERA) who has a solid 2.20 ERA over 30 innings of work on the road. Sure, Martinez has made only five starts on 31 appearances in 2024, but the Reds won both of his starts when they closed as favorites, and the Reds are 8-4 as road favorites on the season. 4% PLAY ON THE REDS. |
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08-04-24 | Phillies v. Mariners +121 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
4% PHILLIES/MARINERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off six consecutive losses, and I'm not sure they should be favorites in this matchup, even with Zack Wheeler on the mound. Wheeler is boasting a 10-5 record with a 2.94 ERA on the season, but he gave up seven runs in his last start. Admittedly, as did Mariners right-hander Logan Gilbert (6.7, 3.11 ERA), but I think the price is right to back a Mariners team that has won six of its past eight games and fade a cold Phillies team. 4% PLAY ON THE MARINERS. |
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08-03-24 | Mets -120 v. Angels | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The New York Mets are a solid 28-22 on the road and perfect 5-0 on the road with left-hander David Pererson on the mound. They've won eight of his last nine starts overall and the Los Angeles Angels are only 24-35 at home. 5% PLAY ON THE METS. |
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08-02-24 | Red Sox -120 v. Rangers | Top | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
MIKE'S 3-GAME MLB HIGH ROLLER REPORT Red Sox righty Kutter Crawford has allowed a combined 11 runs through his last two starts, but this looks like a good spot to get back on track against a Texas Rangers team that has averaged only 2.8 runs per nine innings through its past five games. The Rex Sox have averaged a solid 6.6 R/9 through their past five games, and I like the price we get on the short road favorite in this matchup. 4% PLAY ON THE RED SOX. |
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08-01-24 | Cardinals v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Cubs left-hander Shota Imanaga has compiled an ERA of 1.93 through his last three starts. When Imanaga faced the Cardinals in June, he held them to one run on four hits over seven innings. Cardinals right-hander Kyle Gibson has a 4.02 ERA in his last three starts, but only one of those three starts were on the road (one earned run allowed) where he has an ERA of 3.13 on the season. The Cubs put up 13 runs in a win over the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday, but has otherwise been cold at the plate of late. The same is true for the Cardinals despite scoring 10 runs in a win over the Texas Rangers yesterday. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-31-24 | Royals -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
5% AL RUNLINE OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Kansas City Royals have owned the Chicago White Sox in 2024, and Royals right-hander Brady Singer has been dominant lately, allowing only four runs across 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts. The White Sox turn to Drew Thorpe who was slapped around big time his last time out with eight runs allowed in less than an inning. Thorpe has an ERA of 8.53 in three home starts on the season and today he'll face a KC team that has averaged just under six runs per nine innings through its last 10 games. 4% PLAY ON THE ROYALS -1.5. |
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07-30-24 | Dodgers -130 v. Padres | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are 4-1 in Tyler Glasnow's last five starts, and Glasnow has an ERA of 2.25 in 12 innings across two starts against the San Diego Padres this season. The Padres are 1-4 in Matt Waldron's last five starts, and while he has a 2.61 ERA over 10 innings against the Dodgers in 2024, note that Waldron is 2-5 with an ERA of 4.33 in his home starts and the Dodgers are 25-15 as road favorites. 4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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07-29-24 | Braves v. Brewers -120 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET Braves right-hander Grant Holmes has a 2.70 ERA in 10 outings, but that's as a deliver and he's averaging only 2 1/3 innings pitched per appearance, and the team lost eight of those games. Holmes is a bit of a wild card as a starter, and unlikely to pitch deep into the game. While the Braves have a solid bullpen, I much rather take the team with a regular starter. The Brewers counter with Colin Rea who is 6-2 with a 3.70 ERA and a 7-2 team record in his home starts. The Brewers are a solid 29-19 at home on the season. 5% PLAY ON THE BREWERS. |
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07-28-24 | Marlins v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
5% NL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Miami Marlins have overachieved since the All-Star break with six wins in nine games. The Milwaukee Brewers would be ashamed to get swept by the Marlins and they are 3-1 on the season when looking to avoid the sweep. The Brew Crew is 6-2 SU and against the RL as home favorites laying -175 or more. 5% PLAY ON THE BREWERS -1.5. |
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07-27-24 | Cubs v. Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Chicago Cubs have averaged only 2.9 runs/9 over their last 10 games, and the Royals right-hander Seth Lugo has a 2.24 ERA at home and a 2.61 ERA at night starts. Cubs left-hander Shota Imanaga has an ERA of 1.89 in his last three starts and a 2.51 ERA in his road starts in 2024. As a home favorite, the over/under in Royals' games is 10-18. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-27-24 | Braves v. Mets -106 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
4% BRAVES/METS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The ice-cold Atlanta Braves are heading into the weekend on a six-game losing streak, and they are 3-6 in Spencer Schwellenbach's starts on the season. Schwellenbach is 1-2 with a 5.16 ERA in his road starts and 0-3 with an 8.04 ERA in his day starts. 4% PLAY ON THE METS. |
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07-26-24 | Guardians v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
4% GUARDIANS/PHILLIES MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Guardians have averaged a paltry 2.2 runs per nine innings over their last 10 games and Phillies left-hander Christopher Sanchez has compiled a 1.50 ERA in his home starts. As for the Phillies bats, they've been cold lately as well. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-25-24 | Giants v. Dodgers -128 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
4% GIANTS/DODGERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Dodgers who had won five on the bounce before taking an 8-3 loss to the Giants yesterday. Tonight they'll hand the ball to Clayton Kershaw for his season debut, and Kershaw has dominant career numbers against SF while Logan Webb has a 3-4 record with an ERA of 4.09 in nine starts versus the Dodgers since the start of the 2022 season. The Dodgers are 20-12 as favorites off a loss as a favorite. 4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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07-24-24 | Mets v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Mets' left-hander Sean Manaea (6-4, 3.73 ERA) has been tagged with eight runs across his last two starts, and he could be in for a rough night tonight. The Yankees were held to just two runs yesterday, but they are 18-6-1 to the over after being held to two runs or fewer in their last game. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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07-23-24 | White Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The over/under is 1-5-2 in White Sox's road games with left-hander Garrett Crochet (6-6, 3.02 ERA) on the mound. The Texas Rangers are 7-3-1 to the under as home favorites against left-handed starters and 10-5-1 to the under with Jon Gray as the starter. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-21-24 | Reds v. Nationals -112 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Washington Nationals are 4-1 in their last five games, and they have a chance to complete the sweep of this three-game series against the Reds on Sunday. I like their chances as the Reds are 0-4 on the season when looking to avoid a three-game sweep. The All-Star break came at a good time for Nats right-hander Jake Irvin, who has given up 12 runs in his last two starts, but both those starts were on the road. Irvin has a solid 3.51 ERA home at Nationals Park and a 2.89 ERA in his daytime starts. Reds left-hander Andrew Abbott has a 4.42 ERA in his daytime starts and the Nats are perfect 3-0 as favorites against left-handed starters. 5% PLAY ON THE NATIONALS. |
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07-20-24 | Orioles v. Rangers +101 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
5% ORIOLES/RANGERS AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I love the price we get on the Texas Rangers on Saturday with Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer has compiled a 2.96 ERA in five starts since being activated from the injured list on June 23. Scherzer has solid career numbers against the Orioles, who counter with right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, who gave up six runs in five innings of a 6-1 loss to the Yankees in his last start. Rodriguez was tagged with 10 runs on 11 hits over two starts against the Rangers last year. 5% PLAY ON THE RANGERS. |
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07-19-24 | Phillies -135 v. Pirates | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
4% PHILLIES/PIRATES MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Phillies are 6-1 as road favorites with Aaron Nola on the bump while the Pirates are 0-4 in left-hander Martin Perez's last four starts overall and they've won only one of his last eight starts. 4% PLAY ON THE PHILLIES. |
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07-16-24 | National League v. American League -115 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
4% MLB MIDSUMMER CLASSIC TOP PLAY The American League has dominated the Midsummer Classic for quite some time, going 21-4-1 since 1997, and I like them to bounce back from last year's 3-2 loss at T-Mobile Park. The AL has the better pitching and hitting, and even though we'll see a ton of player changes I still think the favorite is well worth the price. I also like the under as the format favors the pitchers who can go in and throw flame for a few outs before handing over the ball to the next ace. 4% PLAY ON THE AMERICAN LEAGUE. |
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07-14-24 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Kansas City Royals are coming off a shut out loss but I don't think they'll have much trouble scoring runs off Brayan Bello who has an ERA of 6.55 home at Fenway Park. Also, despite yesterday's KC has still averaged a solid six runs per nine innings through its last five games and Boston is not far behind averaging 5.8 R/9 through its last five games. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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07-13-24 | Blue Jays v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
5% BLUE JAYS/D'BACKS IL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Blue Jays are 5-1 to the over in their last six games and right-hander Jose Berrios has an ERA of 4.55 on the road and 5.50 in his last three starts. Arizona right-hander Yilber Diaz pitched six innings of one-run ball against Atlanta in his MLB debut but now he'll face a Blue Jays team that has been swinging hot bats. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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07-09-24 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Yesterday's game looked like an easy under until a couple of late runs pushed the game to extra innings. I expect a pure pitchers duel tonight, with Chris Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) going up against Zac Gallen (6-4, 3.06 ERA). Sale has a 2.53 ERA in three career games (two starts) against Arizona while Gallen has compiled a 2.45 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. The Braves are 53-31 to the under for the season and 21-13 to the under as road favorites. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-08-24 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Atlanta Braves are 53-31 to the under for the season and 21-13-2 to the under as road favorites. Left-hander Chris Sale has allowed two or fewer runs in 11 of his past 12 starts and he has a 2.53 ERA in three career outings (two starts) against Arizona. The D'Backs will hand the ball to right-hander Yilber Diaz for his major league debut. Diaz has struck out 105 in 76 minor league innings this season, and the Braves have averaged only 3.7 runs per nine innings with a .227 batting average over their last 10 games. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-06-24 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The opener of this series Friday night ended with a 3-0 win for the Texas Rangers, and I expect another low-scoring affair today. Both starters are coming in hot, with Rays' Taj Bradley allowing only three runs with 22 Ks over his last three starts, while Rangers left-hander Andrew Heaney has limited his last three opponents to a combined seven runs while striking out 23 batters. The Rays have averaged 4 runs per nine innings over their last three games, and the Rangers have averaged only 2.67 runs per nine innings over their last three games. As the clincher; the under is 29-12-2 in the Rangers home games in 2024. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-05-24 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 116 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I expect to see a hungry Los Angeles Dodgers team following a pair of losses to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Milwaukee Brewers are expected to hand the ball to Aaron Civale for his team debut since coming over from the Tampa Bay Rays, but he is only 2-6 with a 5.17 ERA in 17 starts in 2024. Dodgers Tyler Glasnow has mixed gems with really poor outings lately, but he has posted a 3.18 ERA through his last three starts, and the Dodgers won all three games by three runs or more. 4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS -1.5. |
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07-04-24 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -123 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -123 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers can't be too excited with how they've played through the first two games of the series, and I expect them to come out strong tonight. Diamondbacks righty Zac Gallen is coming off six innings of shut out ball against Oakland, but he's 0-2 with an ERA of 4.50 in four starts against the Dodgers since 2022. The Dodgers counter with Landon Knack who is having a great rookie season. Knack has compiled a 2.08 ERA through his first six starts in the big leagues, and he held the Diamondbacks to one run on four hits over five innings on April 30. 4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. |
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07-04-24 | White Sox v. Guardians -1.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a great spot to back the Cleveland Guardians to bounce back from a humbling 8-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox. Yesterday's loss was a rare misstep from the Guardians at home, and right-hander Ben Lively is 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA, a 4-1 team record SU and 4-1 record against the RL in five starts as a home favorite. 4% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS -1.5. |
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07-03-24 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
5% NL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The St. Louis Cardinals opened this series with a 7-4 win, but such outputs have been few and far between for the Cards in recent weeks. In fact, both teams have struggled at the plate, with the Cards averaging only 3.8 runs per nine innings over their last 10 games and the Pittsburgh Pirates only 3.1 R/9. Cards' Miles Mikolas is 1-2 with an ERA of 2.57 in six starts versus the Pirates since 2022 and Pittsburgh righty Jared Jones has a 2.20 ERA over 49 innings at home this season. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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07-02-24 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a 10-4 loss to the Giants, but they are 21-10 SU and 19-12 against the runline as favorites off a loss. The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a 5-1 win over Oakland, but they are 5-13 SU and against the runline as underdogs off a win. 4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS -1.5. |
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07-01-24 | Mets -107 v. Nationals | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
4% METS/NATS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the New York Mets, which had been hot before ending last week with a pair of losses to Houston. Tonight, they'll face a Washington Nationals team that has dropped five of its last six games, and left-hander MacKenzie Gore has allowed nine runs over his last two starts. Both teams have been hitting left-handers hard lately, but Mets starter David Peterson, unlike Gore, has been sharp in recent starts. Additionally, he is 4-1 with a 3.53 ERA in 10 outings (seven starts) against the Nationals. 4% PLAY ON THE METS. |
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06-30-24 | Rockies v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago White Sox are going for the series sweep after winning 5-3 and 11-3 wins. They are perfect 5-0 SU and against the RL as home favorites on the season, and three of those games were with Garret Crochet on the mound. The Colorado Rockies are ice cold and 19-22 against the runline as road underdogs for the season. 4% PLAY ON THE WHITE SOX -1.5. |
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06-29-24 | Tigers -115 v. Angels | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
4% TIGERS/ANGELS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Detroit Tigers to get back on track following three lackluster outings and fade the Los Angeles Angels, who are coming off five consecutive wins. Angels right-hander Griffin Canning allowed six runs on 15 hits over 11 innings in two starts against Detroit last season. He has a 5.12 ERA in his last three starts. As for Detroit's Reese Olson, this will be his first career start against the Angels and he's coming in hot with an ERA of 3.06 over his last three starts. The Tigers are only 3-12 in Olson's starts this season but to little fault of the right-hander, who has a solid 3.35 ERA, while the Angels are 5-11 in Canning's (4.72 ERA) starts. Additionally, the Angels are only 5-15 at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 4% PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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06-28-24 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
5% NL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Philadelphia Phillies to bounce back from a disappointing 7-4 loss to Miami in the opener of this four-game series last night. The Phillies are 14-1 SU and 11-4 against the runline as favorites off a loss, and they have a huge advantage on the mound in this game with left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (5-3, 2.67 ERA) going up against rookie right-hander Kyle Tyler who gave up two runs in four innings in his MLB debut on June 23. 5% play on the Phillies -1.5. |
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06-27-24 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
5* NL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 6-1 loss to Pittsburgh and tonight they'll run into Cardinals right-hander Miles Mikolas who has compiled a 2.23 ERA in his last three starts. The Cards have had trouble producing runs home at Busch Stadium and average only 3.7 runs per nine innings in their home games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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06-26-24 | Marlins v. Royals -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Kansas City Royals are 7-1 SU and 6-2 against the runline as home favorites between -150 and -275. Royals' starter Brady Singer has a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts, but that high ERA can be attributed to one poor start and he's been solid his last two outings. Additionally, Singer is 4-2 with a 3.04 ERA, a 1.01 WHIP and a 6-2 team record in his home starts. 4* PLAY ON THE ROYALS -1.5. |