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Mike Lundin MLB Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-04-25 Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 9 Top 18-1 Loss -100 15 h 16 m Show

5% IL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

Both the Astros and Dodgers are rolling, with Houston winning 8 of its last 10 and L.A. 9 of its last 10. But the key has been pitching, not hitting. Most of their recent games have stayed under the total, and I expect another low-scoring battle here. 

Astros' righty Lance McCullers Jr. has struggled overall, but he’s the kind of competitor who can rise to the occasion in a marquee matchup. Dodgers rookie Ben Casparius has looked sharp through two starts and has quietly logged 56 innings between the bullpen and rotation in 2025. Don’t be surprised if this one stays quiet on the scoreboard. Take the under.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

07-04-25 Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 8.5 Top 11-2 Win 100 4 h 4 m Show

SUPER EARLY 4% BOS/WAS MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY

he Red Sox are swinging red-hot bats, putting up 40 runs over their last five games, and the Nationals have chipped in with 20 runs across their last two.

Boston right-hander Lucas Giolito has been sharp, holding three of his last four opponents scoreless, but that could lead to a letdown against a sneaky Nats lineup that's starting to find its rhythm.

Washington's Michael Soroka is coming off one of his best outings of the year, but he's in a tough spot against a Boston offense that's locked in. With both teams producing at the plate, I like the Over in this 4th of July showdown.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

07-03-25 Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 Top 5-8 Win 100 12 h 22 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Yankees and Blue Jays have combined for 9, 17, and 20 runs through the first three games of this series, and all signs point to another slugfest in the finale.

Both lineups are seeing the ball well, and with two starters coming off shaky outings and bullpens that have taken a beating over the past few days, this looks like another high-scoring affair waiting to happen.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

07-03-25 Tigers v. Nationals OVER 9 Top 7-11 Win 100 15 h 45 m Show

5% IL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Nationals are 5-0 to the over in their last five overall and 3-0 to the over in their last three against left-handed starters, and they should help push this total up again facing rookie southpaw Dietrich Enns.

While Enns has looked sharp through two starts, he's still a rookie with limited big-league experience.

Washington starts Jake Irvin, who was lit up for nine runs (eight earned) in his last outing and owns a 5.19 ERA in two career starts against Detroit.

The Tigers have scored 10+ runs in two of their last four games, and this matchup has the makings of another high-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER.

07-02-25 Giants v. Diamondbacks -125 Top 6-5 Loss -125 18 h 51 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET

San Francisco righty Landen Roupp has been sharp lately with 11 1/3 scoreless innings over his last two starts, but this looks like a tough matchup for him.

The Diamondbacks are averaging 6.3 runs per nine over their last five games and have had good success against the Giants in the past.

Meanwhile, Arizona’s Merrill Kelly has dominated San Francisco in prior meetings, and with the Giants' offense stuck in a major slump (just 1.9 R/9 over their last five), the edge is with the D-backs in this one.

5% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. 

06-30-25 Orioles v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 Top 10-6 Loss -105 16 h 9 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

Texas Rangers left-hander Patrick Corbin has been knocked around in recent starts but here he'll face a Baltimore team that is 13-6 to the under on the season when facing a left-handed starter. They might still have shot to win, though, with Trevor Rogers on the mound, as the southpaw has allowed just three runs in 17 innings over his last three starts. I like the under more than either side though.

The over/under is 10-14 in Texas' games against left-handed starters. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-29-25 Twins v. Tigers -1.5 Top 0-3 Win 100 10 h 10 m Show

LATE 4% TWINS/TIGERS MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY

This looks like a good spot to back the Detroit Tigers to cover the runline as a juicy home favorite. Tarik Skubal gave up four runs over six innings in his last start, but the Tigers still won that game 11-4, and they’re 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS as favorites of -200 or more.

Twins righty Chris Paddack has been knocked around by weaker lineups than Detroit’s lately, and I think the Tigers take this one in a blowout.

4% PLAY ON THE TIGERS -1½.

06-29-25 Cubs v. Astros -145 Top 0-2 Win 100 12 h 26 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Houston Astros have won Framber Valdez's last nine starts while the Chicago Cubs have lost Jameson Taillon's last two starts, with the right-hander allowing 13 runs on 16 hits (five home runs!) across eight innings. 

4% PLAY ON THE ASTROS. 

06-28-25 Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 8 Top 2-3 Win 100 9 h 2 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Bryan Woo has been lights out for Seattle, allowing just two runs over his last two starts and posting dominant numbers against the Rangers this season with one run allowed and 15 strikeouts over 13 1/3 innings.

Texas counters with Kumar Rocker, who’s been rock solid at home with a 2.12 ERA over 17 innings across three starts at Globe Life Field. All three games stayed under the total, and this looks like another low-scoring affair. I’m on the under.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-28-25 Twins v. Tigers -150 Top 5-10 Win 100 10 h 27 m Show

5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Twins have won three straight, but this looks like a tough spot with Bailey Ober on the mound. He's 0-5 with a 7.94 ERA over his last five starts, and Minnesota had dropped five in a row before this mini-run.

Detroit, meanwhile, has been money at home, 28-14 overall and 23-10 as home favorites.

With Casey Mize on the mound and the Tigers 6-2 in his eight starts as a favorite, I like the value backing the Tigers to bounce back and even the series.

5% PLAY ON THE TIGERS. 

06-27-25 Phillies v. Braves -135 Top 13-0 Loss -135 12 h 43 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Braves return home after a tough road trip and back-to-back losses, including getting shut out by the Mets yesterday.

Fortunately for Atlanta, the Phillies' bats have gone ice cold with just one run scored over a three-game sweep in Houston.

This looks like a prime bounce-back spot for Bryce Elder, and with Philly just 2-8 as road underdogs, I like the Braves to handle business at home.

5% PLAY ON THE BRAVES.

06-27-25 Mets v. Pirates OVER 8.5 Top 1-9 Win 100 11 h 26 m Show

4% METS/PIRATES MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Mets' offense has been finding its rhythm, plating 15 runs over their last three games. Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller has struggled with a 4.80 ERA over his last five outings, and Mets lefty David Peterson hasn’t been lights out either, allowing eight runs over his last two starts. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-26-25 Blue Jays v. Guardians OVER 8 Top 6-0 Loss -105 8 h 22 m Show

SUPER EARLY 4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The first two games of this series have both gone over the number, and I think we’ll see more offense in the finale. Neither Kevin Gausman nor Tanner Bibee has been particularly sharp lately, with both right-handers allowing plenty of baserunners and scoring chances.

With the way these lineups have been swinging it, I expect another high-scoring affair.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-25-25 A's v. Tigers OVER 8.5 Top 3-0 Loss -107 15 h 14 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Tigers’ bats are heating up with 20 runs scored over their last two games and seven or more in six of their last 10.

Oakland’s Jacob Lopez has been sharp lately, but his season ERA sits at 4.25, and Detroit has cashed the over in three straight games vs. left-handed starters.

With Jack Flaherty giving up 15 runs and issuing 8 walks over his last two outings, this sets up as another high-scoring affair.

Look for the over to hit.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-25-25 Diamondbacks -135 v. White Sox Top 3-7 Loss -135 11 h 46 m Show

EARLY 4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago White Sox have dropped eight of their last 10 and scored just six total runs over their past four games.

Even with Zac Gallen struggling a bit (15 runs allowed over his last three starts), the Diamondbacks managed to win two of those outings.

Gallen’s lone career start vs. Chicago came back in 2019, and he won’t need to be perfect here with how cold the White Sox bats have been.

Back Arizona to take care of business.

4% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. 

06-24-25 Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 8 Top 2-3 Win 100 15 h 20 m Show

LATE 4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY

Boston Red Sox right-hander Garrett Crochet has been dialed in, striking out 15 batters while allowing just two runs over 14 1/3 innings across his last two starts. 

For the Angels, Tyler Anderson has had some recent bumps, giving up 10 runs in his last two starts, but both came away from home. At Angel Stadium, he’s been far more effective, posting a 2.75 ERA over seven starts, compared to a rough 6.26 ERA on the road.

This matchup has the makings of a tight, low-scoring affair.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-24-25 Rangers v. Orioles UNDER 10 Top 6-5 Loss -108 12 h 19 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

Both of these lineups have struggled to generate offense in 2025, and this total appears somewhat inflated based on recent trends. The Orioles have averaged just 3.5 runs per nine innings over their last 10 games, while the Rangers have been even colder at the plate, putting up only 2.6 runs per nine during the same stretch.

Baltimore's Charlie Morton has quietly been dealing. The veteran right-hander has allowed just one run with 17 strikeouts over 11 innings in his last two starts and owns a 4-1 record with a 2.54 ERA in eight career starts against Texas.

Jacob Latz is still getting his feet wet with just two career starts under his belt, but he flashed potential with a season-high seven strikeouts in 3 1/3 innings his last time out.

Given both teams’ offensive struggles and a strong matchup on the mound for Baltimore, I expect this one to stay well under the number.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-23-25 Diamondbacks -129 v. White Sox Top 10-0 Win 100 12 h 37 m Show

5% IL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

Chicago White Sox rookie Shane Smith has put together a respectable 2.85 ERA over 14 starts, but that hasn't translated into wins. The Sox are just 4-10 in those games. Smith was shelled for six runs (five earned) in a 12-2 blowout loss to St. Louis in his last outing, and things won’t get any easier here. Arizona's bats were red hot before Sunday’s 4-2 loss at Coors Field, scoring 28 runs over the previous three games.

The Diamondbacks hand the ball to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, who has quietly rounded into form. He has allowed only five runs across his last three starts and has a strong track record against Chicago, going 4-0 with a 3.36 ERA in 10 career starts.

With Arizona in better form overall and the White Sox dropping eight of their last 10, this looks like another tough spot for the South Siders.

5% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. 

 

06-23-25 Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 Top 5-4 Win 100 11 h 22 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams come into this matchup swinging hot bats, and Brewers right-hander Chad Patrick has been shaky, allowing nine runs over his last two starts.

The Pirates counter with 25-year-old Braxton Ashcraft, who’s making his first MLB start after posting a stellar 1.54 ERA in seven relief appearances. But starting is a different challenge, especially against a red-hot lineup, and the pressure ramps up knowing Milwaukee’s bullpen ranks in the bottom third of the league in ERA.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-22-25 Astros -119 v. Angels Top 8-7 Win 100 14 h 12 m Show

4% ASTROS/ANGELS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a great bounce-back spot for the Houston Astros after a 9-1 loss. They’re 24-8 (75%) off a loss this season and have won eight of their last nine overall.

Angels right-hander Kyle Hendricks was rocked for five runs in four innings the last time he faced the Astros back in April, and I’d be surprised if Houston doesn’t jump on him early again today.

Astros' Ryan Gusto has a 2.40 ERA in six outings (two starts) on the road, and he's been dominant in early starts. 

4% PLAY ON THE ASTROS. 

06-22-25 Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9.5 Top 2-4 Loss -103 10 h 38 m Show

5% BAL/NYY AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Bronx Bombers have snapped out of their slump, plating 21 runs over their last three games, and they’ve had plenty of success against Dean Kremer, who owns a 4.40 ERA in 12 career starts versus New York.

I also expect the Orioles to bounce back after getting blanked 9-0 on Saturday. They had scored five or more runs in three of four games prior, and they’ll face Yankees right-hander Will Warren, who gave up four runs in just 3 1/3 innings in his first career start against Baltimore earlier this season.

This one has the makings of a high-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-21-25 Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rockies Top 5-3 Win 100 17 h 17 m Show

5% NL RUNLINE OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Colorado Rockies are just 17-31 (35.4%) against the runline when facing opponents priced at -200 or higher, losing by an average margin of 3.15 runs per game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 23 runs over their last two games, and Rockies left-hander Carson Palmquist enters this matchup with a 7.76 ERA across six starts. Palmquist gave up four runs in four innings in an 8-0 loss to Arizona back on May 16, and I expect the D’Backs to roll big again here.

5% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS -1½. 

06-20-25 Red Sox v. Giants UNDER 7.5 Top 7-5 Loss -105 15 h 52 m Show

5% IL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Cleveland Guardians are coming off three straight two-run performances, each staying under the closing total. Boston right-hander Hunter Dobbins just tossed six scoreless innings of two-hit ball against the Yankees, and Giants righty Hayden Birdsong has been sharp as well, posting a 2.79 ERA over 16 appearances (five starts) while recording at least five strikeouts in four straight outings (6, 5, 5, 6).

The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight, but the offense hasn’t carried the load, scoring three runs or fewer in six of those games. Both starting pitchers will be facing their opponents for the first time, which often works in the pitcher’s favor. I like the under in this one.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-20-25 Tigers v. Rays OVER 8.5 Top 8-14 Win 100 13 h 31 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Detroit Tigers' bullpen is under pressure after playing a double-header against Pittsburgh on Sunday, and if Jack Flaherty’s last outing is any indication—seven runs allowed in 4 2/3 innings—they might be called upon early again. Flaherty also owns a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against Tampa Bay.

Rays right-hander Shane Baz is coming off 6+ scoreless innings against the Mets, but he had given up three runs in three straight starts prior. It’s easy to get overconfident after a strong outing like that, and the Tigers' bats could take advantage.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-19-25 Astros -126 v. A's Top 4-6 Loss -126 13 h 10 m Show
5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Houston Astros have won seven of their last eight and just put up 24 runs across their last two games. This is a team worth backing when they’re rolling, especially since they’re 8-4 straight up as favorites after scoring seven or more runs the game prior.

Oakland lefty Jacob Lopez has tossed 10 scoreless innings over his last two starts, but he’ll be up against a red-hot Houston lineup that’s also 6-2 straight up against left-handed starters this season.

This could be the game where Lopez finally runs into trouble.

5% PLAY ON THE ASTROS.
06-18-25 Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 7 Top 3-1 Win 100 10 h 11 m Show

EARLY 4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners have split shutout wins over the first two games of the series, and I think runs will come at a premium for both sides today.

Boston left-hander Garrett Crochet has been phenomenal and Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo has a solid 3.29 ERA on the season and an ERA of 2.70 over his last five starts.

Seattle scored eight runs in yesterday's win but the over/under is 6-13 when they face a left-handed starter, while the Red Sox are 32-23 to the under against right-handed starters. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-17-25 Guardians v. Giants UNDER 7 Top 3-2 Win 105 15 h 40 m Show

5% IL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Cleveland Guardians have lost four of their last five, and outside of an 11-run explosion, they've managed just five total runs in the other four games. They’ll likely struggle again here facing Giants lefty Robbie Ray, who owns a 1.74 ERA over his last five starts and a 1.93 ERA in five career outings against Cleveland.

The under is also 11-6-1 in Guardians games against left-handed starters this season.

On the other side, Cleveland's Slade Cecconi has allowed just three runs over 10 innings across his last two starts.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-17-25 Mets v. Braves -130 Top 4-5 Win 100 13 h 8 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Mets are reeling after getting swept by the Rays, and while David Peterson is coming off a complete game shutout, he’s struggled historically against Atlanta with a 3-5 record and 5.33 ERA in 11 career outings.

Braves righty Spencer Schwellenbach has been lights out against the Mets, going 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA across three appearances.

Given the Mets' recent struggles and Peterson’s track record vs. Atlanta, this looks like another tough spot for New York.

4% PLAY ON THE BRAVES. 

06-16-25 Padres v. Dodgers -138 Top 3-6 Win 100 14 h 25 m Show

LATE NIGHT 4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

San Diego Padres right-hander Dylan Cease dominated the Dodgers just six days ago, striking out 11 over seven scoreless innings of three-hit ball at Petco Park, but I think the tables turn tonight.

It's tough to shut down a lineup like L.A.'s twice in a week; they'll make adjustments and come in motivated after being silenced last time.

Add in the fact that the Dodgers are 25-12 at home while the Padres are just 18-19 on the road, and this sets up as a strong spot for the home team.

Additionally, the Dodgers will have Shohei Ohtani back on the mound tonight! The two-way superstar hasn’t pitched in a major league game since Aug 2023, and you better believe the Dodgers will get him a W in his comeback. 

4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. 

06-15-25 Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 Top 2-3 Win 100 12 h 4 m Show

5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The first three games of this series have all been low-scoring, one-run affairs, and I see no reason to expect anything different in the finale.

Mitch Keller has had a couple of rough outings, but he should benefit from a Cubs lineup that’s scored more than three runs just twice in its last eight games.

Colin Rea hasn’t been sharp lately either, but Pittsburgh’s offense hasn’t been reliable enough to take full advantage.

The Cubs are 7-2-1 to the under over their last 10, and the Pirates are 7-3 to the under in the same span.

With the wind blowing in at Wrigley again, the under looks like the sharp side.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-15-25 Cardinals v. Brewers -120 Top 2-3 Win 100 12 h 57 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The St. Louis Cardinals snapped a six-game skid with Saturday’s 8-5 win, but this could be a letdown spot after finally getting back in the win column. They'll need to stay hot at the plate with Miles Mikolas on the mound, as the veteran has allowed 13 runs on 25 hits over his last three starts.

Brewers right-hander Quinn Priester enters in strong form, posting a 2.30 ERA over his last five outings and giving up just one run in four of those starts while consistently pitching into the sixth.

5% PLAY ON THE BREWERS. 

06-14-25 Rays v. Mets UNDER 7.5 Top 8-4 Loss -113 11 h 47 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The over/under is 3-10 in Drew Rasmussen's 13 starts this season, and while Tylor Megill's last three outings all went over the total, it's hard to trust the Rays' inconsistent bats to keep that trend going. Tampa Bay has struggled to score consistently on the road, posting an 11-15 over/under record away from home.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-14-25 Twins v. Astros -118 Top 2-3 Win 100 10 h 55 m Show

5% AL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET

This looks like a good spot to back the Houston Astros to build on a 10-3 win Friday night. The Twins have won Joe Ryan's last five starts, but his last two outings were not all that impressive and Ryan owns a 2-4 record with an ERA of 7.58 in six starts against the Astros in his career.

Houston counters with Hunter Brown, who has 22 strikeouts vs. 11 hits and two runs allowed over his last three starts. 

The Astros are 8-5 SU and 8-4-1 to the under coming off a game where they scored seven runs or more. I like Houston and the under here. 

5% PLAY ON THE ASTROS. 

06-13-25 Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 Top 1-5 Win 100 14 h 8 m Show

LATE 4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY

Padres right-hander Stephen Kolek is coming off two scoreless outings against the Giants and the Brewers, covering 11 1/3 innings. Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson had a stretch of solid outings before being tagged with seven runs against Cincinnati last time out.

I trust Nelson to bounce back against a Padres team that has been held to three runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 gams and has a 3-7 over/under record during that stretch. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-12-25 Yankees v. Royals OVER 9 Top 1-0 Loss -103 17 h 44 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New York Yankees are averaging eight runs per game over their last five and their offense should stay hot here.

The Royals have been quieter at the plate, but they should do enough damage against Yankees righty Will Warren, who has allowed 11 runs over his last two starts, to help push this one over the total.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-12-25 Cardinals -122 v. Brewers Top 0-6 Loss -122 12 h 15 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The St. Louis Cardinals rarely lose when veteran right-hander Sonny Gray (7-1, 3.35 ERA) takes the mound, and this looks like a strong spot for them to snap a four-game skid.

Rookie Jacob Misiorowski will make his MLB debut for the Brewers, and facing a lineup that’s still been producing despite recent losses won’t make it easy.

Milwaukee has scored just seven runs over a 1-3 stretch, and with Gray dealing, runs should be hard to come by again. The edge is clearly with St. Louis.

4% PLAY ON THE CARDINALS

06-11-25 Rangers v. Twins -126 Top 2-6 Win 100 18 h 47 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a good spot to back a hungry Minnesota Twins team that has dropped four of their last five, including a 16-4 blowout in Monday’s series opener. The Texas Rangers have won three straight and righty Jack Leiter is trending up, but Twins right-hander David Festa had been sharp before a rough outing against Oakland.

Minnesota is 19-11 at home while Texas is just 12-22 on the road. I like the value on the Twins as a short home favorite in a bounce-back spot. 

4% PLAY ON THE TWINS. 

06-11-25 Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 Top 3-4 Loss -120 17 h 18 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Boston Red Sox took the opener of this series 3-1 on Monday, but I’m expecting fireworks in Game 2 with Zack Littell and Walker Buehler on the mound. Littell has been steady lately, but Buehler has struggled, giving up 10 runs on 17 hits over his last two outings.

Both teams came into the series with hot bats, and I think the scoring picks back up tonight.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-10-25 Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9 Top 1-3 Loss -130 16 h 34 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Boston Red Sox have scored 46 runs over their last five games, and run prevention has not exactly been a strength. Last night’s series opener saw 18 total runs, and this pitching matchup looks like another recipe for offense.

Lucas Giolito gave up seven runs in just 1 2/3 innings his last time out, and while Ryan Pepiot has been solid recently, he owns a 4.95 ERA in four career starts against Boston. With the Red Sox swinging hot bats, I expect more fireworks at the plate.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-10-25 Reds v. Guardians OVER 8 Top 1-0 Loss -110 9 h 0 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Cincinnati Reds have scored 28 runs over a four-game winning streak and while left-hander Andrew Abbott has been hot, note that he gave up five runs in his last start and owns a 3.65 ERA in three career starts against Cleveland.

Guardians' righty Slade Cecconi has an ERA of 4.87 for the season and a 4.57 ERA in four appearances against the Reds. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-09-25 Mariners v. Diamondbacks -155 Top 4-8 Win 100 20 h 37 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Arizona Diamondbacks scored just six runs during three losses at Cincinnati over the weekend, but I expect a sharper effort as they return home to host the Seattle Mariners. Right-hander Merrill Kelly is coming off seven shutout innings of one-hit ball against Atlanta and has a 2.53 ERA over his last five starts. He’s also been strong at home with a 3-1 record and 3.03 ERA over six starts. Seattle snapped a five-game skid with a narrow win over the Angels but now heads to the desert, and this spot sets up well for Arizona to bounce back.

4% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. 

06-08-25 Dodgers -133 v. Cardinals Top 7-3 Win 100 8 h 51 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Dodgers’ veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw owns a 2.87 ERA in 22 career starts vs. the Cardinals and should have the edge here facing 24-year-old Michael McGreevy making his MLB debut.

Kershaw has struggled since returning from injury (5.17 ERA in four starts), but this looks like a prime spot to get back on track.

The Dodgers have dropped five of seven, including the first two in this series, but they've bounced back strong in similar spots and should come out fired up after a 2-1 loss yesterday.

I’m backing LA to respond with authority.

4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. 

06-07-25 Red Sox v. Yankees -104 Top 10-7 Loss -104 15 h 29 m Show

5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

Red Sox left-hander Garrett Crochet has pitched well, but the team has struggled to give him the run support he needs, losing three of his last four starts.

The New York Yankees meanwhile have scored 28 runs in four straight wins with Ryan Yarbrough on the mound, and the right-hander has certainly held his own as well by allowing just five runs over 22 innings during that stretch.

The Yankees are 4-1 as home favorites against a left-handed starter while the Red Sox are 1-3 as road underdogs against a left-handed starter. 

5% PLAY ON THE YANKEES. 

06-07-25 Rangers v. Nationals +1.5 Top 5-0 Loss -110 12 h 56 m Show

4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Washington Nationals have been barking as underdogs all season, especially at home where they’re 15-12 straight up in that role. The Texas Rangers, on the other hand, are just 4-6 as road favorites and 5-10 against left-handed starters, which could spell trouble against Nationals lefty Mitchell Parker.

The Rangers have dropped four straight following a 2-0 loss in the opener of this series on Friday, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Nats pull off another upset here, but out of respect for deGrom I opt for a runline play instead of a straight up upset. 

4% PLAY ON THE NATIONALS +1.5. 

06-06-25 Diamondbacks v. Reds OVER 9 Top 3-3 Loss -130 12 h 7 m Show

5% NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off an 11-10 shootout win in Atlanta, their fourth straight victory, and their bats are scorching.

The Cincinnati Reds have struggled offensively during a 1-4 slump, but this looks like a good spot for them to break out. Arizona lefty Eduardo Rodriguez owns a brutal 9.93 ERA over his last five starts and hasn’t pitched since May 14 due to shoulder inflammation.

Reds southpaw Nick Lodolo has been more consistent, but the D-backs’ offense is rolling.

The over is 6-0 in Rodriguez’s last six starts and 4-0 in Lodolo’s last four as a home underdog.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-04-25 Orioles v. Mariners OVER 8 Top 3-2 Loss -130 17 h 46 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Baltimore Orioles won the opener of this series 5-1, but I expect more runs scored tonight. Both starting pitchers have ERAs over 5.00 in 2025, and the over/under is 6-4 in Cade Povich's starts and 6-3 in Emerson Hancock's starts.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

06-03-25 Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 Top 2-3 Loss -100 17 h 29 m Show

5% AL RUNLINE OF THE MONTH MAX BET

This looks like a good price on the New York Yankees with lefty Carlos Rodón on the mound. Rodón has been dominant, allowing just one run on nine hits over 18 innings while picking up wins in three straight starts. The Guardians have struggled against southpaws lately, going just 1-6 in their last seven matchups vs. left-handed starters.

5% PLAY ON THE YANKEES -1.5. 

06-02-25 Mets v. Dodgers OVER 9 Top 4-3 Loss -108 24 h 43 m Show

5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

With both teams swinging hot bats lately, this looks like a prime spot for another high-scoring game.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER.

06-01-25 Rays v. Astros UNDER 7.5 Top 0-1 Win 100 6 h 50 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Tampa Bay Rays put up 16 runs in yesterday’s win, their third time in the last 10 games scoring 13 or more.

However, they’ve been far quieter at the plate in the other seven games, struggling to sustain that kind of explosive offense.

That inconsistency could be exposed tonight against Houston right-hander Hunter Brown (7-3, 2.00 ERA), who has a strong track record versus Tampa Bay with a 2.86 ERA over 22 innings in five career appearances (three starts).

This looks like a spot where the Rays’ bats could cool off.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

06-01-25 Giants v. Marlins UNDER 8 Top 4-2 Win 100 12 h 47 m Show

5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

We cashed the under in both of the first two games of this series with each team getting shut out once, and I think this will be another low-scoring affair. 

The Giants are 10-1 to the under in their last 11 games, and Marlins left-hander Ryan Weathers has a 1.33 ERA over his last five starts. 

The Marlins are wildly inconsistent at the plate, and I don't expect them to put up a big number. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-31-25 Pirates +1.5 v. Padres Top 5-0 Win 100 18 h 6 m Show

5% NL RUNLINE OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Padres extended their dominance over the Pirates to 10 straight wins with a 3-2 victory on Friday, but Pittsburgh continues to swing the bat well and should stay competitive again here.

Left-hander Bailey Falter has been in excellent form, posting a 0.92 ERA over his last five starts. He also limited San Diego to just one run on two hits across seven strong innings in a narrow 2-1 loss back on May 3.

With Falter on the mound, the Pirates have a legitimate shot to snap the streak or at least keep it close.

5% PLAY ON THE PIRATES +1.5. 

05-31-25 Yankees v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 Top 2-18 Win 100 16 h 45 m Show

NYY/LAD MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY (7:15 PM)

The Yankees and Dodgers combined for 13 runs in the series opener, and that came with a stronger starting pitching matchup than what we’ll see in Game 2. With the amount of firepower both lineups bring to the table, I expect another high-scoring contest between these two heavyweight offenses.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-30-25 Yankees -125 v. Dodgers Top 5-8 Loss -125 17 h 25 m Show

5% NYY/LAD IL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

There’s solid value on the New York Yankees in the opener of this World Series rematch. While Braves' left-hander Max Fried (7-0, 1.29 ERA) has been lights out, Dodgers' right-hander Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 4.68 ERA) is still trying to find his rhythm post-Tommy John surgery. The Yankees have won nine of their last 10, and, I like the price we're getting on the Bronx Bombers to continue their hot run.

5% PLAY ON THE YANKEES. 

05-30-25 Giants v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 Top 2-0 Win 100 14 h 22 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Miami Marlins right-hander Cal Quantrill has struggled overall with a 6.09 ERA on the season, but he's shown real improvement lately, giving up just six runs over his last four starts.

The under is 7-0 in the Giants' last seven games against right-handed starters, and their offense has been ice cold—averaging fewer than 2.5 runs per game over their last 10, including just 1.6 runs per game across their last five.

Giants lefty Kyle Harrison hasn’t been too sharp lately, but with the Marlins’ bats proving inconsistent, this matchup sets up well for another low-scoring game.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-29-25 Braves v. Phillies OVER 8.5 Top 4-5 Win 105 7 h 50 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I expect both teams' bats to break out after a 2-0 win for the Philadelphia Phillies in hte opener of the series on Wednesday. The over/under is 3-0 in Philies' games where their opponent was shut out in its previous game and while Braves' right-hander AJ Smith-Shawver has a respectable 3.67 ERA for the season, note that he was tagged with seven runs last time out.

Phillies' right-hander Cristopher Sanchez has allowed two runs or more in seven of 10 starts. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-28-25 Giants v. Tigers UNDER 8 Top 3-4 Win 100 6 h 28 m Show

5% IL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The first two games of this series have both finished with identical 3-1 wins for the Detroit Tigers, and the San Francisco Giants' offensive struggles continue. They've scored more than three runs just twice in their last 10 games—and only managed four in each of those.

The Tigers haven’t exactly been lighting it up either, and with both starting pitchers coming in on solid recent form, this looks like another low-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-27-25 White Sox v. Mets UNDER 8 Top 4-6 Loss -113 11 h 7 m Show

4% NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago White Sox are averaging just 3.5 runs per game this season, and they'll have a tough time improving on that against Mets right-hander Tylor Megill. Megill is coming off a strong performance, striking out 10 over 4 2/3 innings of one-run ball in a 5-1 win against Boston. After a couple of rough outings, he’ll be eager to keep that momentum going against a struggling White Sox lineup.

Chicago counters with Jonathan Cannon, who holds a 3.76 ERA and has consistently kept games low-scoring.

The under has trended well in this spot, with a 10-16-1 mark in White Sox games as road underdogs and an 8-13-2 record in Mets games as home favorites. All signs point to another low-scoring affair at Citi Field.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-26-25 Giants v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 Top 1-3 Win 100 7 h 2 m Show

EARLY 4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The San Francisco Giants have been limited to three runs or fewer in six of their last eight games and managed only four in the other two.

Tigers right-hander Keider Montero has been sharp, giving up just five runs over 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts. On the other side, Hayden Birdsong has also shown promise for the Giants, allowing five runs with 21 strikeouts across 14 1/3 innings in his last three outings.

On the season, the under is 12-6 in Tigers games when they’re listed as home favorites, a trend that lines up well with the way both teams are currently swinging the bats and the form of the starting pitchers.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-25-25 Cubs v. Reds +110 Top 11-8 Loss -100 8 h 16 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago Cubs are 7-3 over their last 10 games but dropped a 6-4 decision to the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday, and I think they’re in for another tough outing in Sunday’s series finale.

While the Cubs are 6-6 against left-handed starters this season, they’ve had to rely on big offensive outputs to get there.

Reds lefty Nick Lodolo has been sharp lately, racking up 18 strikeouts while allowing just 16 hits over 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts.

On the other side, Cubs right-hander Ben Brown is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up six runs over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to the Marlins.

The edge on the mound gives the Reds value to close out the series strong.

4% PLAY ON THE REDS. 

05-24-25 Marlins v. Angels -1.5 Top 6-2 Loss -100 19 h 16 m Show

5% IL RUNLINE OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Los Angeles Angels are playing their best baseball of the season, riding an eight-game winning streak and scoring six or more runs in all but one of those contests, including yesterday’s 7-4 win over Miami.

Marlins right-hander Cal Quantrill (3-4, 6.37 ERA) gave up seven runs the last time he faced the Angels, and will need to do a lot better to outperform Jose Soriano (3-4, 3.57 ERA), who’s been the more reliable arm.

5% PLAY ON THE ANGELS -1.5. 

05-24-25 Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -106 Top 5-6 Win 100 7 h 10 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a solid spot to fade the Diamondbacks with Merrill Kelly on the mound. Kelly is coming off a dominant outing, 11 strikeouts over seven scoreless, one-hit innings, but this feels like a natural letdown spot. He now faces a Cardinals team that’s been tough to beat at home with a 17-8 record, a clear edge over Arizona’s 13-12 mark on the road. The value here is backing the home team against an overvalued pitcher. 

4% PLAY ON THE CARDINALS. 

05-23-25 Padres v. Braves -141 Top 2-1 Loss -141 15 h 11 m Show

4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Atlanta Braves are 5-5 over their last 10 games, but they've continued to produce offensively even in defeat, like in yesterday’s 8-7 loss to the Nationals.

With left-hander Chris Sale on the mound, I expect them to outscore a Padres team that had managed just three total runs in the five games prior to Thursday’s 7-6 loss.

4% PLAY ON THE BRAVES. 

05-22-25 Rangers v. Yankees -150 Top 0-1 Win 100 9 h 35 m Show

SUPER EARLY 4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a good price on the Yankees to close out the sweep of this three-game series. Rangers righty Nathan Eovaldi has been sharp, posting a 1.61 ERA for the season and allowing just two runs over his last five starts, but the Yankees are very familiar with him and he has struggled in matchups in the Bronx throughout his career.

Yankees' left-hander Carlos Rodón has given up just seven runs across his last five outings and dominated Texas last season, allowing one run on four hits with 17 strikeouts over 11 2/3 innings.

Given Eovaldi's strong recent form and Rodón’s dominance against the Rangers, I also like the under.

4% PLAY ON THE YANKEES. 

05-21-25 Rangers v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 Top 3-4 Win 100 13 h 10 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Texas Rangers have struggled at the plate all season, and their offensive woes have only worsened in recent games. Yankees left-hander Ryan Yarbrough has been effective in limited action as a starter, allowing just three runs on seven hits over nine innings across two starts.

Meanwhile, Rangers ace Jacob deGrom has been dominant in May, rebounding from a slow start with a 1.50 ERA over three outings and racking up 17 strikeouts in his last two starts.

With both pitchers in form and the Rangers' bats still cold, this matchup points to another low-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-21-25 Tigers +102 v. Cardinals Top 5-1 Win 102 7 h 24 m Show

EARLY 4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The St. Louis Cardinals have been strong at home with a 16-7 record, but I like the value we’re getting on the visiting Detroit Tigers in this spot.

Detroit left-hander Brant Hurter (1-0, 2.35 ERA) is set to make his first start of the season after 13 solid relief appearances, allowing just 17 hits and six runs over 23 innings while striking out 21.

The Cardinals are averaging only 3.8 runs per nine innings against left-handed pitching, well below their season average of 5 R/9, which gives Hurter and the Tigers a favorable matchup here.

4% PLAY ON THE TIGERS. 

05-20-25 Rangers v. Yankees UNDER 9 Top 2-5 Win 100 13 h 42 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Texas Rangers left-hander Patrick Corbin has a 3.35 ERA on the season and has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts. New York Yankees' righty Will Warren has a 4.61 ERA on the season, but has been sharp in recent outings and the over/under is 12-23-1 in Texas' games when facing a right-handed starter. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-19-25 Phillies v. Rockies UNDER 10 Top 9-3 Loss -103 13 h 24 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Philadelphia Phillies completed a three-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 1-0 win on Sunday and have now won seven of their last 10 games. That said, they've struggled against left-handed pitching this season, and Rockies southpaw Kyle Freeland has held his own against Philly with a 3.59 ERA over nine career starts.

The problem for the struggling Colorado Rockies is generating offense. They have scored one run or fewer in six of their last 10 games, and now they’ll face Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez, who has been sharp with a 2.91 ERA through eight starts this season.

This has the makings of a low-scoring game, especially with both teams facing lefties and Colorado’s ongoing offensive woes.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-18-25 Mets v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 Top 2-8 Loss -100 14 h 51 m Show

5% IL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The first two games of this series have produced modest totals of eight and five runs, and I expect another low-scoring affair tonight. The Mets have struggled at the plate, averaging just 2.3 runs per game over their last five, while the Yankees' offense has also cooled off.

Mets left-hander David Peterson has been steady, posting a 3.05 ERA over eight starts and allowing more than two runs just once. He also fared well against the Yankees last season, giving up only one run with eight strikeouts in 4 1/3 innings. The Yankees counter with fellow southpaw Max Fried, who has been lights out, allowing just two runs across his last five starts and boasting a sparkling 1.11 ERA on the year.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-17-25 A's v. Giants -124 Top 0-1 Win 100 15 h 22 m Show

5% MLB INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET

Oakland Athletic's righty Luis Severino (1-4, 4.70 ERA) has conceded 12 runs across his last two starts and this looks like a tough sput to turn things around against a San Francisco Giants team that has scored 26 runs over its last three games.

The Giants counter with Landen Roupp (2-3, 4.73 ERA) who has seen the team lost his last three starts after allowing a total of eight runs, but he's been sharper at home and the A's have been held to three runs or fewer in six of their last 10 games.

Since the start of the 2023 season, the A's are 1-4 at Oracle Park.

5% PLAY ON THE GIANTS. 

05-17-25 Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8 Top 1-5 Win 100 13 h 8 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

After a 1-0 final score in the series opener, yesterday's matchup went over the total after a late rally from the Astros and finally a futile Rangers score at the bottom of the ninth.

Ronel Blanco (3-3, 4.04 ERA) has an ERA of 2.74 in four starts against the Rangers in his career while Tyler Mahle (4-1, 1.47 ERA) has an ERA of 3.50 in three starts against the Astros.

Add two strong bullpens and I think we have a good case for an under, just as has been the case for five of the last seven meetings. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-16-25 Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8 Top 6-3 Loss -100 14 h 34 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Texas Rangers opened the series with a 1-0 win on Thursday, and I expect another low-scoring affair in Game 2 Friday night. Astros right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. was rocked in his last start, giving up seven runs while recording just one out, but he owns a respectable 3.75 ERA over 12 career meetings with the Rangers. Texas counters with Nathan Eovaldi, who has allowed just two runs over his last four starts and carries a stellar 1.78 ERA on the season.

McCullers Jr. should continue to sharpen up with each outing following a long layoff due to arm surgery. The Rangers, now riding a six-game winning streak, have leaned more on dominant pitching than explosive hitting—another reason to expect a tight, low-scoring game.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-15-25 Astros v. Rangers -119 Top 0-1 Win 100 13 h 46 m Show

4% ASTROS/RANGERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Houston Astros right-hander Hunter Brown has been impressive with a 1.48 ERA over eight starts this season, but he’ll be facing a Texas Rangers lineup that tagged him for seven runs over 15 innings last year. Texas hands the ball to Jacob deGrom, who owns a 2.72 ERA through eight starts in 2025. The Rangers have won each of his last three outings and are currently riding a five-game winning streak.

I like the price we're getting on the Rangers with deGrom on the mound.

4% PLAY ON THE RANGERS. 

05-14-25 Pirates v. Mets UNDER 8 Top 4-0 Win 100 12 h 23 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging just 3.0 runs per nine innings on the season and an even lower 1.8 R/9 over their last 10 games.

Left-hander Bailey Falter has been sharp, allowing just one run over 13 innings in his last two starts. Mets right-hander Clay Holmes owns a solid 2.74 ERA through eight starts on the season.

The first two games of this series finished 4-3 and 2-1 in favor of the Mets, and I expect another low-scoring battle here.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-13-25 Diamondbacks -103 v. Giants Top 6-10 Loss -103 18 h 38 m Show

4% ARI/SF MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Arizona Diamondbacks have alternated wins and losses over their last 10 games, but I think they’ll break that pattern after a 2-1 win over the Giants on Monday. D'Backs righty Brandon Pfaadt has been sharp, allowing one run or fewer in four of his last six starts and San Francisco's offense has been ice cold, scoring just one run in three of their last four games.

The Giants will turn to lefty Robbie Ray, who’s been solid, but Arizona has won back-to-back games against left-handed starters. I like the D-backs to keep it rolling.

4% PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. 

05-12-25 Brewers v. Guardians OVER 8 Top 0-5 Loss -105 11 h 20 m Show

5% MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Cleveland Guardians were swinging hot bats before getting shut down over the weekend, scoring just one combined run in back-to-back losses to the Phillies.

I expect their offense to bounce back here against Freddy Peralta, who may come in a bit overconfident after tossing six scoreless innings against the Cubs.

The same could be said for Cleveland right-hander Ben Lively, who’s allowed just one run over his last two starts and might be due for some regression.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-11-25 Dodgers +100 v. Diamondbacks Top 8-1 Win 100 15 h 33 m Show

4% DODGERS/D'BACKS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Dodgers to bounce back from a 3-0 loss here at Chase Field yesterday. They had scored 10 runs or more in two of their past three games and D'Backs starter Zac Gallen is 0-2 with an ERA of 9.00 in four starts against the Dodgers since 2023. 

4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS. 

05-10-25 Yankees v. A's OVER 9.5 Top 7-11 Win 100 13 h 50 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New York Yankees have scored 26 runs across their past three games and while A's left-hander JP Sears boasts a 2.93 ERA on the season, note that the Yankees are averaging 6.8 R/9 against southpaws on the season and Sears is 0-4 with an ERA of 6.49 in 5 starts against the Yankees in his career.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-09-25 Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 Top 1-2 Win 100 11 h 13 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Detroit Tigers have racked up 42 runs over their last four games, but this marks a step up in competition when it comes to starting pitching they've faced.

Texas lefty Patrick Corbin has been solid with a 3.28 ERA through five starts this season, and he's held the Tigers in check historically with a 2.38 ERA over two career starts.

Detroit counters with Tarik Skubal, who owns a stellar 2.21 ERA and has racked up 48 strikeouts over 40 2/3 innings across seven starts. Notably, the under is 6-3 in Rangers games when facing a left-handed starter.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-08-25 Tigers -1.5 v. Rockies Top 10-2 Win 100 13 h 37 m Show

5% MLB INTERLEAGUE RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Colorado Rockies are only 6-28 SU on the season, and 10-21 against the runline as underdogs. They'll face the Detroit Tigers twice in a double-header on Thursday, and I like the Tigers to get another win after taking the opener of the series 8-6 yesterday.

The Tigers have dominated left-handers all season and Rockies southpaw Kyle Freeland (0-4, 5.70 ERA) has had a rocky start to the year. 

Freeland picked up his first win last time out, but he was far from sharp with three runs allowed on seven hits over six innings. I think the Tigers will put up big numbers here in Game 1 of the double-header.

5% PLAY ON THE TIGERS -1.5. 

05-07-25 Giants v. Cubs -135 Top 3-1 Loss -135 10 h 16 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

This looks like a great spot to back the Chicago Cubs to bounce back after a  14-5 extra-inning loss to the Giants on Tuesday. The Cubbies have been money in this spot all year, going 10-3 SU and 10-4 to the over following a loss. The Cubs are also 5-3 against left-handed starters and should have an edge at the plate against Robbie Ray. Meanwhile, Cubs right-hander Ben Brown (3-2, 4.88 ERA) has been hotter than his season line suggests, he’s held opponents to one run or fewer in three of his last four outings, and the Cubs won all three of those games.

5% PLAY ON THE CUBS. 

05-06-25 Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 Top 1-5 Loss -100 18 h 32 m Show

LATE 4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Mets have dropped three of their last five despite not scoring fewer than four runs in any game during that stretch. The Arixona Diamondbacks have also been swinging hot bats and Mets' left-hander David Peterson has a 4.50 ERA in six career starts against Arizona while Zac Gallen is 1-2 with a 3.41 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets. Both starting pitchers have an ERA hovering and 4 on the season, and I think we'll see plenty of action over the plate in this one. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-06-25 Giants v. Cubs -139 Top 14-5 Loss -139 16 h 33 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Chicago Cubs are 4-1 in their last five games after opening this series with a 9-2 win Monday night. Giants' veteran right-hander Justin Verlander (0-2, 4.38 ERA) has had a rough start to the year while Cubs' righty Colin Rea (2-0, 1.46 ERA) has been red hot. I like the price we get on the Cubs. 

5% PLAY ON THE CUBS. 

05-05-25 Giants v. Cubs -141 Top 2-9 Win 100 13 h 57 m Show

4% MLB MONEYLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a good spot to back the Chicago Cubs to bounce back from a 4-0 to the Brewers on Sunday. The Cubs are 10-3 off a loss and last time they were shut out, they bounced back with a 16-0 win.

Giants right-hander Landen Roupp has an ERA of 5.75 in four road starts on the season while Cubs' left-hander Matthew Boyd has a 2.25 ERA over two home starts.

With the Giants 2-8 against left-handed starters, I really like the price we get on Boyd and the Cubs. 

4% PLAY ON THE CUBS. 

05-04-25 Tigers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 Top 13-1 Loss -107 11 h 4 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Los Angeles Angels snapped a seven-game skid with a 5-2 win over the Detroit Tigers on Saturday, but it's still too early for say they're out of their slump.

The Angels have struggled to manufacture runs all season long while Angels' own starter, righty Jack Kochanoowicz, fanned a season-high six batters at Seattle in his last start, and now he's back home where he's looked sharper all season, (3.23 ERA at home vs. 6.33 ERA on the road).

The Tigers turn to Reese Olson who has held his opponent scoreless in two of his last three starts with 19 strikeouts over 18 frames. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

05-04-25 Royals v. Orioles -120 Top 11-6 Loss -120 12 h 53 m Show

5% AL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET

This looks like a great spot to back the Baltimore Orioles to win the rubber match of the series after a 4-0 loss on Saturday. I expect the Orioles' bats to wake up, and a strong outing from Kyle Gibson after surrendering nine runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 15-3 loss to the Yankees.  

5% PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. 

05-03-25 Royals v. Orioles OVER 8.5 Top 4-0 Loss -120 15 h 53 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Kansas City Royals had been hot at the plate before being shut out in the opener of this series on Friday and I think they'll bounce back vs. Orioles righty Tomoyuki Sugano who is at risk of coming in overconfident after five scoreless innings against the Yankees.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-03-25 Rays v. Yankees -1.5 Top 3-2 Loss -100 9 h 46 m Show

EARLY 5% AL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New York Yankees opened the series with a 3-0 win, and they are perfect 4-0 against the runline as favorites of -175 or more on the season.

Rays' righty Zack Littell (1-5, 5.03 ERA) has a 5.71 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. 

5% PLAY ON THE YANKEES -1.5. 

05-02-25 Padres v. Pirates OVER 7.5 Top 9-4 Win 100 13 h 2 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams have been hot at the plate in recent games, and the starting pitching matchup does not impress me.

Padres' righry Dylan Cease has an ERA of 5.76, while Pittsburgh's right-hander Mitch Keller has a 3.97 ERA on the season and a 5.88 ERA in five starts versus the Padres in his career.

The Pirates are 6-2 to the over as home underdogs. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

05-02-25 Guardians v. Blue Jays -139 Top 3-5 Win 100 12 h 21 m Show

5% AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Cleveland Guardians are riding high after three wins over the Twins, but they could be in trouble here with Logan Allen on the mound.

Allen was roughed up by the Red Sox in his last outing, and now he faces a Blue Jays team that’s rolling with five straight wins as home favorites.

Toronto's Chris Bassitt is primed for a rebound after a couple of shaky starts. His season-long numbers still impress, especially his 39 strikeouts to just seven walks over 33 innings. Back the Jays to stay hot as home favorites. 

5% PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS. 

05-01-25 Cubs +131 v. Pirates Top 8-3 Win 131 5 h 58 m Show

EARLY 4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I like the spot for the Chicago Cubs to bounce back after a tough 4-3 loss as a favorite on Wednesday.

Pirates righty Paul Skenes (3-2, 2.39 ERA) is a beast, but the Cubs send out Colin Rea (1-0, 0.96 ERA), who’s been lights out through his early outings in 2025.

Yesterday’s win snapped a three-game slide for the Pirates, and I’m not convinced they can string wins together, especially against a Cubs team that’s 9-3 straight up off a loss.

With motivation on their side, the price looks right to back Chicago.

4% PLAY ON THE CUBS. 

04-30-25 Braves v. Rockies OVER 10 Top 1-2 Loss -120 7 h 21 m Show

5% NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Braves took Game 2 with an 8-2 win on Tuesday, and I expect the bats to stay hot on both sides in the series finale. Rockies righty Chase Dollander has struggled mightily with a 7.91 ERA over four starts, and that’s not a good recipe against an Atlanta lineup that’s been mashing.

On the flip side, Braves lefty Chris Sale is coming off a solid start in Arizona, but he still carries a 5.40 ERA this season.

The Rockies have been a solid over team at home against left-handed pitching (4-1 to the over), and I think we see another slugfest here.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER.

04-29-25 Braves v. Rockies OVER 10.5 Top 8-2 Loss -115 13 h 22 m Show

5% NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

Rockies righty Chase Dollander (1-3, 7.91 ERA) has had a brutal start to the season, and despite Colorado putting up 32 runs of support across his four outings, they’ve still dropped three of those games. That says all you need to know about his struggles.

The Rockies' bullpen hasn’t helped much either, coming in with a 4.74 ERA.

Now they’ve got to deal with a Braves lineup that’s been raking, averaging 6 runs per game over their last 10. This has all the makings of a high-scoring affair

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

04-28-25 Cardinals v. Reds -114 Top 1-3 Win 100 11 h 49 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Cincinnati Reds are riding a four-game winning streak, and they are 8-4 (67%) as favorites on the season. 

Cardinals righty Andre Pallante has surrendered four runs in each of his last two starts (both on the road), and the Cards are just 2-11 away from home on the season. 

5% PLAY ON THE REDS. 

04-27-25 Astros v. Royals UNDER 7.5 Top 7-3 Loss -104 5 h 12 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both starting pitchers are off to a hot start and neither offense has performed through the first two games of the series. 

4% PLAY OF THE DAY. 

04-26-25 Phillies v. Cubs UNDER 7 Top 10-4 Loss -110 12 h 46 m Show

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago Cubs shut out the Pillies in a 4-0 win on Friday and I expect another low-scoring affair here with two solid hurlers on the mound. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

04-25-25 Phillies v. Cubs -130 Top 0-4 Win 100 9 h 14 m Show

5% NL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Phillies are coming off four losses and Cubs righty Colin Rea has allowed just two runs with 10 Ks across his last two starts. 

5% PLAY ON THE CUBS. 

04-24-25 Mariners v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 Top 4-3 Win 100 8 h 7 m Show

5% AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

Both teams have been swinging the bats well lately, but I think Thursday’s series finale sets up for a relatively low-scoring affair. Red Sox left-hander Garrett Crochet (2-1, 1.13 ERA) has been outstanding in his first season with the team and should be energized pitching for a competing team after coming over from the White Sox.

Seattle right-hander Bryan Woo (2-1, 3.12 ERA) has also been solid, giving up just 21 hits across 26 innings of work. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

04-23-25 Yankees v. Guardians +1.5 Top 5-1 Loss -125 5 h 16 m Show

5% AL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Cleveland Guardians are riding a five-game win streak and look poised to keep it rolling behind right-hander Luis L. Ortiz, who has allowed just six runs while striking out 21 over his last three starts after a rocky season debut. The Yankees, on the other hand, have dropped three of their last four, and lefty Carlos Rodón has given up four or more runs in three of his last four outings. While he did shut down the Rays last time out, a red-hot Cleveland lineup presents a much tougher challenge.

5% PLAY ON THE GUARDIANS +1.5. 

04-22-25 White Sox v. Twins -1.5 Top 2-4 Win 100 19 h 2 m Show

5% AL RUNLINE OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The 7-15 Minnesota Twins have had a disappointing start to the season and coming off three losses to the Angels in Anaheim, and they're 4-5 at home. The Chicago White Sox are 5-17 on the season and 1-9 away from home, and I think they'll struggle to solve Twins righty Bailey Ober who has been solid with just five runs allowed in three starts since surrendering eight runs in his season debut. 

5% PLAY ON THE TWINS -1.5. 

04-21-25 Yankees v. Guardians OVER 8.5 Top 4-6 Win 100 16 h 4 m Show

4% YANKEES/GUARDIANS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Yankees blanked the Rays twice over a four-game series, but don't see Clarke Schmidt shutting out the hot Cleveland Guardians in his second start of the season. Schmidt gave up three runs over 5 2/3 innings against KC on April 16 in his season debut, and Cleveland scored 18 runs through a 3-0 sweep of the Pirates over the weekend. The Guardians hand the ball to Gavin Williams (1-1, 4.58 ERA) who conceded four runs (two home runs) over 6 2/3 innings of a 9-1 loss at Baltimore last time out. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

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