5% NBA FINALS TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-1 to the under on the road this postseason and with the Indiana Pacers in a do-or-die game, I expect them to be locked in on D. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Oklahoma City Thunder were held to just 107 points in their Game 3 loss, continuing a trend of reduced offensive efficiency on the road during the playoffs.

With the series now 2-1 in favor of Indiana, this is as close to a must-win as it gets for OKC.

Falling into a 3-1 hole would be a massive challenge to climb out of, even with homecourt advantage.

Expect both teams to bring a heightened defensive intensity in what should be a tightly contested battle.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The totals posted by bookmakers have steadily dropped throughout the series, and this number is well below the opening lines for the first four games, all of which closed around 230 points.

Given that it's a Game 7, this adjustment makes sense. I expect a defensive battle more in line with Game 4’s 92-87 final.

There will be no room for a run-and-gun approach as every possession will matter, and longer offensive sets should drive the total down.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA WEST PLAYOFFS R2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The first two games of the series both went over the total, and I expect another high-scoring game here in Game 3. The Thunder put up 149 points in the last game and Denver's defense has looked shaky all series. They're still only tied and will need another solid offensive performance to take back control of the series. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Detroit Pistons won 115-106 when these teams met on April 10, but I expect tighter defense and fewer points in Game 1 of this playoff series.

While Detroit saw plenty of overs to close out the regular season, the intensity shifts in the postseason, and you can bet the Pistons will lock in defensively against a familiar rival.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Denver Nuggets have scored 120, 124 and 117 points in their last three games and with playoff seeding still on the line, I expect another full-effort offensive performance in their regular season finale. The Houston Rockets are locked into the No. 2 seed and have shown little urgency on defense lately, giving up 134 and 140 points in their last two.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Timberwolves will play on no rest following a 141-125 win at Memphis last night, as will the Brooklyn Nets after a 133-108 loss to Atlanta. The Nets have split their last six games, with all but one going over the total, and I think both teams will look to push the pace and exploit tired legs in a fast-tempo shootout.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

LATE 4% WOLVES/GRIZZLIES NBA TOP PLAY

Games involving the Memphis Grizzlies or the Minnesota Timberwolves have trended toward the over much of the season, but recent form suggests a shift. The Grizzlies are 3-0 to the under in their last three, and the Wolves have seen two straight stay under the total. With bookmakers tightening their numbers down the stretch, I wouldn't be surprised to see more unders ahead.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Sacramento Kings are 42-36 to the over on the season, but they've gone 7-3 to the under in their last 10 as oddsmakers have started adjusting to their pace and style. The Detroit Pistons are coming off two strong defensive efforts, and their last three have gone under the total. With both teams trending that direction, I think this one stays under the total.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Timberwolves have won four straight and had scored 123+ in three consecutive games before a 105-90 win at Brooklyn. The 76ers have struggled to get stops down the stretch, and the Wolves already beat them 126-112 at home a month ago. With defense seemingly optional in Philly right now, this looks like another high-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% ELITE 8 CBB TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Michigan State Spartans are coming off a narrow 73-70 win over Ole Miss — the most points they've allowed in the tournament — while Auburn just held Michigan to 65 in a convincing win. Both teams are veteran-laden and defensively sound, and this matchup has the makings of a disciplined, half-court battle.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a 126-113 win over the Knicks, and while they've shown increased efficiency on the offensive end in recent games, I think this matchup with the Brooklyn Nets will be a relatively low-scoring affair.

The Nets have not scored more than 103 points once during a five-game slide, and here, they'll face a Clippers team ranking fourth in scoring defense for the season. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% MAVS/MAGIC NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Mavericks are severely shorthanded and should find scoring difficult against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.

The Magic have held their last three opponents to 105, 106 (Lakers) and 104 points, and they are 17-9 to the under on the season against teams from the West. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Boston Celtics have held their last three opponents to fewer than 100 points, and the Phoenix Suns have also been playing well defensively of late, and coming off a 108-106 win over the Milwaukee Bucks.

Additionally, Celtics forward Jayson Tatum is doubtful due to an ankle injury, which would hurt the Celtics' offense. 

The Celtics are 20-13 to the under as road favorites, while the Suns are 8-5 to the under as home underdogs. I think this will be a relatively low-scoring game. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% CAVS/BLAZERS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Portland Trail Blazers are coming off a 129-116 loss to Boston and now face another Eastern Conference contender in the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Despite a recent four-game skid, the Cavs have still been scoring at a high clip, averaging 121.5 points during that stretch before routing the Jazz 120-91.

The Blazers had won four straight before falling to Boston, and with both teams capable offensively, this looks like a strong spot for the over.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Philadelphia 76ers have allowed 125+ points in five straight games and now play on no rest after a 132-119 loss to Atlanta. The New Orleans Pelicans are in a similar spot, giving up 136 points to Detroit on Saturday and also playing the second night of a back-to-back. With tired legs often impacting defense more than offense, this looks like a prime spot for another high-scoring shootout.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% GRIZZLIES/CLIPPERS NBA TOP PLAY

The LA Clippers have scored 119 points or more in four straight wins. The Memphis Grizzlies are in a bounce-back spot after two losses, the most recent a 115-99 loss at Portland on Wednesday.

The Clippers won 128-114 in the last meeting, and I expect another high-scoring affair. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams are on no rest after high-scoring games, with the Bulls falling 127-121 in Phoenix and the Kings pulling off a 123-119 upset over Cleveland on Wednesday.

Fatigue usually impacts defense more than offense, and the trends back it up; Chicago is 6-3-1 to the over on no rest, while Sacramento is 8-5 to the over.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The San Antonio Spurs have struggled defensively since losing Victor Wembanyama for the season and they are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are coming off a 113-93 loss as an underdog to the Orlando Magic. That opponent play a very different style and tempo than the Spurs though, and I think they'll put up far more points here as a road favorite. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% LAL/MIL NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Los Angeles Lakers are dealing with injuries and have scored just 101 and 108 points in back-to-back losses.

The Milwaukee Bucks are also somewhat banged up (not as bad as the Lakers though) and have scored 109, 100 and 114 points in three consecutive losses.

I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% WOLVES/NUGGETS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams are coming off +140-point outings, and I think they can run up the score against each other when they clash at Ball Arena on Wednesday.

The Wolves won 133-104 when they hosted the Nuggets back in January, and they'll have center Rudy Gobert back in the lineup for a second consecutive game after missing 10 games with back spasms.

As for the Nuggets, Aaron Gordon will be a game-time decision but Russell Westbrook has been filling in just fine. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MIL/IND NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

I expect both the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers to bring strong defensive efforts into this game as they look to end a two-game losing streak and a three-game slide, respectively.

Both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damien Liliard are listed as day-to-day and probable, bad news as the Bucks struggled to get the offense going with both on the court in a 112-100 loss to Cleveland last time out.  

I expect this to be a relatively low-scoring affair. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Houston Rockets are coming off a 146-117 blowout win over the Pelicans, but here they'll face a much tougher defensive test against an Orlando Magic team allowing an NBA-best 106.2 points per game.

The Magic just held the Bucks to 109 points in a road win, and with both teams priding themselves on defense, I expect a relatively low-scoring battle.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% SAC/LAC NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a 105-95 win over the New York Knicks and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair when they host the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. 

Both teams are looking to improve their playoff prospects in the Western Conference, and this could easily turn into a playoff-type game where defense is prioritized over offense.

That's been the case in the previous two meetings this season, both of which took place in November, when the Clippers won 107-98 and 104-88. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

KINGS/MAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 132-117 loss to Milwaukee and will face another tough test when the Sacramento Kings come to town Monday night. The Kings are riding a three-game winning streak, mostly fueled by inspired performances on the defensive end. Their last three games have gone under the total, and the total for this game also looks too high. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Miami Heat will play on no rest off a 116-112 OT loss to the Knicks. The Washington Wizards are coming off a 113-110 win at Charlotte and have improved on the defensive end in recent games. 

The Heat won 118-98 back in November when these two teams last clashed, and I expect another relatively low-scoring game here. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Charlotte Hornets were held to under 100 points for a fourth straight game in a 103-96 loss at Dallas on Thursday. The Washington Wizards are coming off a 129-121 loss to Portland but had played three straight unders prior to that high-scoring game.

The Wizards tend to play low-scoring games against fellow teams with a losing record, and the same is true for the Hornets. I think this one will stay under the total. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% CLIPPERS/BULLS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago Bulls won 112-99 when these two teams clashed back on Jan 20 and I expect a letdown game from the Bulls after putting up 142 points in a win over Philadelphia last time out.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a 105-104 win over Orlando and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair when they host Cleveland on Sunday. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the league and just held the Knicks to 105 points. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% BIG 12 CBB TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Arizona Wildcats are coming off a 62-58 loss to Houston and will face another tough defense in the Baylor Bears tonight. I think this will be a low-scoring grind where both teams get frequent stops. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New York Knicks have seen inflated totals of 234 points or more in their last three games, yet two still soared over. They’ve put up 143, 143, and 122 points in those contests, and now they face a Lakers squad fresh off a 134-96 rout of the Wizards.

Expect a high-paced shootout as LeBron James and Jalen Brunson go toe-to-toe, pushing the tempo and lighting up the scoreboard.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Penn State Nittany Lions have seen their last three games go under, but those matchups featured inflated totals. This number looks more reasonable—perhaps even too low. The Ohio State Buckeyes are coming off an impressive win over Iowa, but I don’t see them containing a Penn State team averaging 83.2 ppg (22nd). Expect a higher-scoring affair than the line suggests.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Memphis Grizzlies are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games, and the New York Knicks just erupted offensively in a 143-120 win over the Sacramento Kings. While this will be their first meeting of the season, the over/under trend in their last 10 head-to-head matchups sits at 8-2. Despite the inflated total, I like the over here as across the NBA, games with a total of 240 or more have hit the over 18 times compared to 14 unders and one push.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CHA/PHX NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Charlotte Hornets defeated the Phoenix Suns 115-104 on Tuesday, their last time out, while the Phoenix Suns have answered with home wins over Atlanta and Utah. Games between these two teams tend to be relatively low-scoring and with fresh legs on defense for the Hornets and the Suns playing on no rest, I don't think the final score for this matchup will break 220.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Toronto Raptors have been extremely vulnerable on the defensive end lately and the Detroit Pistons have shown great efficiency during an 8-2 run. I expect them to  bounce back with a strong performance after being held to 104 points in a loss to Golden State on Thursday.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Clippers have scored 114 points or more in four of their last six games, and games involving the San Antonio Spurs tend to go over the total. This total is low because of the Clippers' 12-20-0 over/under record, but they've started to gel offensively, and we could see heavy legs on defense following a 116-113 win in New Orleans last night. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% SPURS/WOLVES NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Spurs have displayed scoring woes on the road all season, and the Wolves have one of the best scoring defenses overall. We saw just 198 points scored when these two teams clashed at San Antonio on Dec 15, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair tonight. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Houston Rockets have been playing total lockdown defense in recent games and the OKC Thunder are allowing just 103.8 points per game (2nd) on the season while the Rockets are just behind them in third place for scoring defense. "I think we're the top two defenses," Rockets coach Ime Udoka said. "They're very stingy on that end and they do it in a different way. They're one of the best at creating turnovers and drawing (players) into a crowd. They give up some things as well, but they really protect the paint at a high level."

It's hard to disagree with the Rockets coach, and I expect a tight defensive battle here in this NBA Cup semifinal. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CHA/CHI NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Chicago Bulls have a 15-10 record to the over this season, but inflated totals suggest the bookmakers are catching on. The struggling Charlotte Hornets have dropped eight of their last nine games, and the offense has taken a major hit following LaMelo Ball's absence due to a calf strain. This matchup sets up well for the under, as scoring could be at a premium.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

This looks like a good spot for an under as the under is 3-1 in the Notre Dame Fighting Irish's last four games and 4-1 in the Dartmouth Big Greens' last five games. I expect Notre Dame to pull away fast and easy and then cruise through the rest of the game. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Boise State Broncos are a reliable 5-2 to the over this season, and the Washington State Cougars look poised to break out of their recent under trend, which has seen five of their last six games fall short of inflated totals—many set above 160 points. Both teams are lighting up the scoreboard, with Washington State averaging 82.0 points per game and Boise State close behind at 82.2. I expect an up-tempo contest that keeps the scorekeepers busy from start to finish.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% OKC/GSW NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

This looks like a good spot to back the Golden State Warriors to bounce back from a highly disappointing 128-120 loss as a double-digit home favorite over Brooklyn. They're usually good at responding to losses and 14-6 to the over, coming off a loss as a favorite, dating back to the start of last season.

The OKC Thunder are in a potential flat spot coming off a 130-109 win at Sacramento, and note that the Warriors won 127-116 when they hosted OKC on Nov 10. 

Steph Curry is questionable, but I like the line without him on the floor.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% CBB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 5-0 to the under, but I think the betting market has overadjusted for this matchup with the Central Michigan Chippewas, who are 3-1 to the over.

Two of the Gophers' five games went over the posted total for this game, and the Chippewas scored 86 points last time out. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

We might see heavy legs on defense from the Orlando Magic following a 104-93 loss to the Clippers here in LA last night. The LA Lakers are coming into this game on a six-game winning streak fueled by hot shooting as they scored 120 points or more in four of those six wins. The Magic won 120-101 when they hosted the Lakers back on Nov 4, and I expect at least as many points in this game. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% HOU/MIL NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Houston Rockets are 8-6 to the under while the Milwaukee Bucks are 8-5 to the under. I expect to see a big drop in production from the Rockets following their 143-107 win at Chicago last night.

Since the start of the 2022 season, the Rockets are 6-3 to the under following a 135+ point game, and I think the Bucks will struggle to get good looks against a Rockets team that has held opponents to 106.1 ppg on the season (3rd). 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Seton Hall Pirates have opened the season with two low-scoring games as big favorites, but I think we'll see a relatively high-scoring affair when they host Hofstra Wednesday night. The Pride are coming off a 90-76 win over Iona, and I expect the Pirates to come out with a chip on their shoulder following a 57-56 loss as a 10-point favorite against Forman.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Orlando Magic have seen their last three games go under the total, and it would be in their best interest to keep the tempo slow here after a 114-89 win over Charlotte on Tuesday night. The high-paced Indiana Pacers come in rested after a 132-121 win over the Knicks on Sunday, but expect the Magic to do everything they can to control the pace and disrupt the Pacers' rhythm.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The last three Kings games have stayed under the posted total, and three of the Suns' last four have done the same. While both teams are strong offensively, which can lead to inflated totals, their defenses are solid and often undervalued. This could set up for another relatively low-scoring game tonight.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Chicago Bulls are 5-2 to the over for the season, and they've allowed 120 points or more in five of their last seven games.

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 134-127 loss to the Indiana Pacers. They tend to push the tempo a bit more than usual at home at American Airlines Center, and I fully expect that to be the case here as a double-digit home favorite. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

While the Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans are both known for their scoring ability, the Pelicans have struggled recently, averaging under 100 points per game over their last three.

Given this, the betting market seems to have set an inflated total for this matchup.

It’s also worth noting that NBA games with totals of 228 or higher have hit the under at a 15-9 clip this season.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

This is Game 1 of a back-to-back set, and both teams are coming off subpar outings offensively.

The Golden State Warriors' last two games have gone under the total, and now Steph Curry will miss this and also Friday's matchup with an ankle injury.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* CELTICS/PACERS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I'm not quite sure what the bookmakers and betting market are thinking, as they refuse to raise the total in this series, but I'm happy to take advantage of what I think is a major mistake!

The over is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings and both teams last five games here in the playoffs. 

Granted, the Pacers will most likely be eliminated tonight, but I don't think they'll go without a fight, and the only way they know how to play is fast-paced basketball. Give me the over. 

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Boston Celtics won the opener of the Eastern Conference finals 133-128 in OT, but the game went well over the total before the extra period. The Indiana Pacers are incapable of playing defense, and while this total is a tad higher than Game 1, I don't think the bookmakers have made the proper adjustment yet. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Indiana Pacers have started to play defense, and the New York Knicks have, in turn, found ways to slow down the Pacers hectic pace. The last three games in this series have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 6 as the home team looks to fight off elimination. 

Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-2 in Knicks last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

I still can't believe Game 3 did not go over the total, and I think the bookmakers are making a HUGE mistake with this total. Only a 5-minute scoring slump late in the fourth quarter stopped that game from reaching 230+ points, and I don't see the fast-paced Pacers being able to pace themselves (no pun intended). 

In addition to the over, I also like the New York Knicks to cover the number as they have proven capable of adapting to Indiana's pace. 

Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

Defense is not only optional but seemingly not allowed when the Indiana Pacers take the court. We have seen 238 and 251 points, respectively, in the first two games of the series at Madison Square Garden, and I think we'll see more of the same when the series moves to Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Add the fact that the Knicks will be without arguably their best defender, OG Anunoby, and I think we have a solid case for an over. 

Over is 36-16 in Pacers last 52 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Over is 7-0 in Pacers last 7 home games. Over is 8-1 in Knicks last 9 games as an underdog.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/CAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

With a Game 7 between two teams with more upside on the defensive end than the offensive end, I don't think the bookmakers can make the total low enough. 

Under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 First Round games. Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 First Round games.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Milwaukee Bucks are still alive in the series following a 115-92 win in Game 5. They were without  Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, both listed as doubtful for this game, but figured out how to stop the high-scoring Pacers on the defensive end. 

I expect them to stick to the same game plan in Game 6, and Indiana does not strike me as a team that adapts well. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* HEAT/CELTICS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The last two games have seen just 188 and 190 points, respectively. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair as the Boston Celtics look to wrap up the series with a win as a double-digit favorite. 

Under is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 playoff games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

I expected much, much more from the Phoenix Suns in this series. On paper, they have all the talent needed to make some serious noise in the post-season.

The Suns' stars have failed to gel as a team, though, and they have found it difficult to compete against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.3 points per game. 

Now down 3-0 in the series, I think we'll see the Suns' stars getting even more desperate and, as a result, take even worse shots, leading to a low-scoring game in which the Wolves should have an edge. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.  

5* NBA EASTERN  CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

This is a low total, and if we combine the spread with the total the bookmakers project the Celtics to win 111.5 - 97.5.

I think Heat will score 100+, but I'm still not sure that will be enough to cover the number; the Celtics are an offensive juggernaut that has scored 130+ points in back-to-back games while barely breaking a sweat.

Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Boston Celtics have had the No. 1 seed in the conference locked up for quite some time, and their only focus for now is to stay healthy, so they're unlikely to fight hard on the defensive end. 

The New York Knicks will be fired up as they push for the No. 2 seed in the East, and they are coming off back-to-back 120+ point games.

Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 overall.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 44-32-1 to the over for the season, and I expect them to give us a strong effort on the offensive end tonight following a 126-112 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last game. 

Over is 21-7 in Thunder last 28 games following a straight up loss. Over is 8-2 in Thunder last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as an underdog.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL FOUR TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Alabama Crimson Tide have scored 89 points in back-to-back games, but tonight they'll face a UConn Huskies team that has held its last two opponents to 52 points each, and its last four opponents to 58 points or fewer. The Huskies will dominate the game and control the tempo, and I expect them to make this a relatively low-scoring affair. 

Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Under is 9-4 in Crimson Tide last 13 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The over/under is 1-4 in the last five meetings and the under is 35-16-1 in Rockets last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns are coming into the week in sixth and eighth place, respectively. With both teams in need of wins down the stretch, I think we'll see a low-scoring game of playoff character when they clash on Monday night. 

Under is 21-6 in Pelicans last 27 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* NBA EAST vs. WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Minnesota Timberwolves are holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.2 points per game on the season, but I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this Sunday night matchup with the Chicago Bulls. 

Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-0 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Lakers will play on short rest following a 128-124 loss to the Bucks in Milwaukee last night.

Tired legs typically equal high-scoring games for the Lakers, who are 8-0-1 to the over in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.

The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a 128-103 loss to the Denver Nuggets, and they've allowed 118 points or more in four of their last five games. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* MAVS/KINGS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY (10:00 PM)

The Sacramento Kings will play on short rest following a 108-96 win over the Philadelphia 76ers and they have held their last five opponents to an average of 102.4 ppg. The Dallas Mavericks have also been feisty on the defensive end of late with only 105, 107, 97 and 105 points allowed through their last four games. 

Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 55-27 in Mavericks last 82 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

On Thursday, the Utah Jazz lost 113-97 to the Mavs in Dallas. They have scored 100, 104, 107, and 97 points in their last four games, all of which went under the total. 

The Houston Rockets have been involved in high-scoring affairs lately, but note that the under is 14-6 in the Rockets' last 20 Saturday games.

Additionally, the under is 38-17 in the Rockets' last 55 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. This situation applies to this contest as they're coming off a 127-117 win over the Chicago Bulls.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 107-105 win over Denver, and the under is 18-6 in the Mavs last 24 games following a straight up win.

The San Antonio Spurs lost 122-115 to Brooklyn their last time out, but they have mostly been involved in relatively low-scoring games lately. 

Under is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 home games and 16-6-1 in Spurs last 23 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Sacramento Kings took a 98-91 loss to the Knicks on Saturday. I expect to see more points when they host the Memphis Grizzlies Monday night. The Grizzlies have one of the worst scoring averages in the league and they play solid D, but I expect the high-paced Kings to drive up the tempo. 

Over is 28-12 in Kings last 40 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games as a road underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Memphis Grizzlies have had their season ruined by injuries, and they've been particularly limited offensively. Defensively, they've been doing just fine, holding opponents to a respectable 112.2 points per game (9th). 

Under is 36-17-2 in Grizzlies last 55 home games. Under is 9-4-1 in Grizzlies last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 games as a favorite.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The San Antonio Spurs have played reasonably well on the defensive end lately, with 113, 112 and 103 points allowed through their last three games. The Denver Nuggets are more than capable of running up the score if they want to, but I think they'll be satisfied just to do enough to get the win.

Under is 16-5-1 in Spurs last 22 overall. Under is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 games as a home underdog. Under is 22-8-2 in Nuggets last 32 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

TOTAL OF THE YEAR ALERT - 5* NBA EAST v WEST MAX BET

The New Orleans Pelicans have played lockdown defense lately, holding each of their last four opponents to 103 points or fewer and two of those opponents to sub-100 points. They'll have fresh legs as they've been off since Sunday, and the under is 17-6 in Pelicans last 23 games playing on 2 days rest. 

I expect the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back with a strong defensive effort after allowing 120 and 117 points in their last two games. Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* BUCKS/KINGS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Milwaukee Bucks have the second-best scoring offense in the league and the Sacramento Kings are hardly known for their grit on the defensive end with 117.9 points per game allowed (23rd). 

Over is 17-4-1 in Kings last 22 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.

4* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

We saw 235 points with a closing total of 238 when these two teams clashed back in November. The Sacramento Kings average a healthy 118.0 ppg on the season (8th), but that number drops when they're on the road and  I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 

Under is 14-3 in Lakers last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 43-21-1 in Lakers last 65 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. Under is 19-7 in Kings last 26 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* PELICANS/RAPTORS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New Orleans Pelicans have seen their last five games go under the total and they are 9-4-1 to the under in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 games as a home underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* WARRIORS/CELTICS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY

The over/under is 8-3 in the last 10 meetings, and I expect this to be another relatively low-scoring affair. 

Under is 20-8 in Warriors last 28 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 20-7 in Celtics last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams are dealing with injuries, which most likely will result in a lower-scoring game than the betting market anticipates.

Nuggets' Jamal Murray is listed as questionable with a sprained right ankle. Lakers' Lebron James is also listed as questionable (ankle) while Anthony Davis is listed as probable (Achilles), and these are just the more notable names as both teams have more players banged up. 

Under is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 14-4 in Nuggets last 18 overall. Under is 18-7-1 in Nuggets last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The under is 4-0 in the Chicago Bulls' last four games following a 105-95 loss to Detroit on Tuesday. Tonight they'll face a Cleveland Cavaliers team that is one of the stingiest teams in the league on the defensive end and each of the last four h2h matchups has gone under the total. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* CBB BIG EAST TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Marquette Golden Eagles have put up 105 and 88 points as double-digit home favorites in their last two games. They're a double-digit favorite once again when hosting the Providence Friars Wednesday night. The over is 18-8-1 in Golden Eagles last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and I expect to see plenty of points for both sides in this contest. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* SPURS/WOLVES NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a 101-86 win over the Brooklyn Nets. They've held four of their last 10 opponents to fewer than 100 points and they are owners of the best scoring-defense in the NBA with only 106.4 points allowed per game. 

Under is 7-2 in Timberwolves last 9 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. Under is 6-2-1 in Spurs last 9 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater. Under is 9-2-1 in Spurs last 12 games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Charlotte Hornets and the Portland Trail Blazers have some of the worst scoring averages in the NBA, but I think we'll see a fair amount of points here in what should be a free-flowing game between two teams with little to play for. 

Over is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 games as a home favorite. Over is 14-5 in Trail Blazers last 19 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Los Angeles Clippers will play on no rest following a 129-107 loss to the Thunder in Oklahoma City last night, but I think they'll have a lot more success defending the shorthanded Memphis Grizzlies.

Under is 20-8-1 in Grizzlies last 29 home games. Under is 6-2 in Grizzlies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MAX BET ALERT - 5* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

I like the under when the LSU Tigers host the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats Wednesday night.

Kentucky is 18-7 to the over for the season, but the team has played lockdown D lately and coming off back-to-back unders after holding Ole Miss to 63 points and Auburn to 59 points.

The Wildcats are one of the highest-scoring teams in the nation with their 88.2 points per game average, but this total looks too high to me. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* NOVA/GTOWN CBB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Villanova Wildcats are coming off an 80-54 win over Seton Hall, the third time in their last five games they finished a game with 80 points or more. I think they'll be able to put up a fair amount of points here against the Georgetown Hoyas who are allowing 77.2 points per game. 

Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games as a favorite.Over is 8-1 in Hoyas last 9 games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The San Antonio Spurs are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games, but I think we'll see tonight's matchup against the Toronto Raptors go over the total. I expect a big offensive outing from the home team after being held to 95 points in a loss to Cleveland in their last game. 

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Houston Rockets are coming off a 132-129 loss in Indiana while the Toronto Raptors picked up a rare win when they defeated Charlotte 123-117 Wednesday night. The Rockets won 135-106 when they hosted the Raptors a week ago, the fifth straight meeting to go over the total, and I expect this to be another relatively high-scoring affair when they clash Friday night. 

Over is 16-4 in Raptors last 20 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 7-1 in Rockets last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S LATE 4* BUCKS/SUNS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Phoenix Suns are coming off three straight games that saw at least 249 points, but I think this game will go under the posted total. The Milwaukee Bucks put up only 108 points in a loss in Utah on Sunday, and they're dealing with injuries with Dame Lillard listed as questionable and Giannis Antetokounmpo listed as probable. 

Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a home favorite. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 21-7 in Bucks last 28 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The New York Knicks are 9-1 to the under in their last 10 games. They've ramped up the intensity on the defensive end lately, holding eight of their last 10 opponents to 103 points or fewer. The Indiana Pacers have scored 120+ points in three of their last four games, but I think they'll find it difficult to get good looks against this Knicks team. 

Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 home games.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Los Angeles Lakers took a 135-119 loss in Houston last night. The Lakers playing on no rest bodes well for an over here as the Hawks can take advantage of an away team dealing with fatigue. 

Over is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 44-19-1 in Lakers last 64 road games. Over is 20-8 in Hawks last 28 home games.

4* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MAX BET ALERT - 5* EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The New York Knicks have put up 120+ points in three of their last four games and the Charlotte Hornets are allowing 120.5 points per game (25th) on the season, but situationally, I think this looks like a good spot for an under. 

Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 games as a road favorite. Under is 20-7 in Knicks last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 35-15-2 in Hornets last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

I expect regression from the Phoenix Suns after scoring 130+ points in back-to-back games. The Orlando Magic have struggled offensively for some time and have not scored more than 109 points in any of their last nine games while being held to fewer than 100 points in four of those games. 

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Northwestern Wildcats are 12-7 to the over on the season and 7-0 in their last 7 overall. The over is 13-3 in Wildcats last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 19-9-1 in Buckeyes last 29 games as a road underdog.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Houston Rockets took a 137-131 loss to Portland in their last game. I think this will be a much lower-scoring game. The under is 36-15-2 in Rockets last 53 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

It feels like the public perception is that games involving either of these two teams go over the total 99% of the time, but the Phoenix Suns are only 22-18 to the over while the New Orleans Pelicans have a 21-21 over/under record. The Pels' play on the defensive end of the hardwood is underrated, and situational trends indicate that this game will go under the total. 

Under is 8-2 in Pelicans last 10 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Suns last 9 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Memphis Grizzlies are 24-16 to the under while the Minnesota Timberwolves are 20-19 to the over. However, the over/under is 5-10-1 in the Wolves games as home favorites.

The Grizzlies are severely banged up, and it's hurting them more offensively than defensively. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I expect the Minnesota Timberwolves to bounce back with a strong offensive outing following a 115-108 loss to Dallas. They've been held to fewer than 110 points in four of their last five games, but here they'll face an Orlando team that has struggled on the defensive end in recent games. 

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* SUNS/CLIPPERS NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Clippers are 21-14 to the under on the season. They won 131-122 when they visited Phoenix on January 3, but I think this will be a lower-scoring affair here in the second meeting of the season. 

Under is 11-3 in Clippers last 14 games as a home favorite. Under is 7-1 in Suns last 8 games as a road underdog.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.