MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Golden State Warriors took a 118-99 beating in Milwaukee last night. Under is 24-9 in Warriors last 33 games following a straight up loss and 15-6 in Warriors last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bulls will also be looking to get right defensively after giving up 138 points to Brooklyn a couple of nights ago. Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 10-4 in Bulls last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a potential flat spot for the Nets after destroying the Bulls in their own building last night. . Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest, 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite and 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. The Thunder are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. 

Under is 5-1 in Nets last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Nets last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 games as an underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Cleveland Cavaliers took a 96-82 loss at Golden State last night. They put up a solid defensive effort, and I think that will be the case here again at Sacramento the very next night. Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 games playing on 0 days rest and 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 

The Sacramento Kings will also be playing on no rest after taking a 103-88 loss at Portland last night. Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* GEORGIA/BAMA CFB CHAMPIONSHIP GAME TOTAL

Georgia's defense looked unbeatable during the regular season, but Bama still managed to score 41 points on the Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game. 

Bama head coach Nick Saban is familiar with the Bulldogs defensive schemes as Georgia head coach Kirby Smart was Saban's defensive coordinator at Alabama for several years. I think the Bulldogs will put up their fair share of points as well though, and I like the over. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 Bowl Championship games. Over is 10-4-1 in Crimson Tide last 15 games in January. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars gave up 50 points to the Patriots last week, but now they'll face a Colts team that has averaged only 23 points per game through its last three games. Jags QB and No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence has had a rough rookie year, and Colts' defense has played at a very high level down the stretch, giving up 0, 17, 16 and 23 points through its last four games.  

Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games overall. Under is 12-3 in Jaguars last 15 games as an underdog. Under is 11-4 in Jaguars last 15 games overall.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Miami Heat are coming off a 115-109 win at Portland. Each of their last five and games seven of their last eight have gone over the total. Additionally, over is 10-1 in Heat last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and here they'll visit a Phoenix team that is a phenomenal 17-4 home at Footprint Center on the season. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Oklahoma City Thunder have scored only 97 and 95 points in their last two games. Now their leading scorer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was placed in the health and safety protocols Saturday and listed as out for this contest. 

The Dallas Mavericks are allowing only 104.9 points per game (4th) and they've held each of their last two opponents to fewer than 100 points. 

Under is 11-4 in Mavericks last 15 overall. Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 games as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY TAXSLAYER GATOR BOWL TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

I think the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl matchup between No. 17 Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will be a high-scoring affair. 

Rutgers can play freely and without pressure after replacing the No. 23 Texas A&M who had to pull out due to a combination of season-ending injuries and COVID within the program. Rutgers lost its last game 40-16 to Maryland, and here it'll face a Wake Forest team that was second in the ACC with 41.2 points scored per game. Dual-threat quarterback Sam Hartman threw for 36 touchdowns and added 11 scores on the ground. 

Defensively Wake Forest was not sharp down the stretch giving up 42 points or more in four of its last five games. 

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 21-13 to the under on the season. They are allowing only 101.6 points per game (2nd) and they have held four of their last six opponents to fewer than 100 points. The Washington Wizards are shooting only 32.7% from behind the arc, and the Cavs are the third-best team in the league at defending the three. 

As for pace, both are among the slower in the NBA with Cleveland at 98.5 possessions per game (22nd) and Washington at 97.1 possessions per game (27th). 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 16 TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a 19-13 win against Tennessee. I think their defense will show up once again here against a Kansas City offense that has been fairly inconsistent this season. Under is 6-1-1 in Steelers' last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 8-3-1 in Steelers' last 12 games following a straight-up win.

In their last two games, the Chiefs have put up 49 points against the Raiders and 34 points against the Chargers (last score a touchdown in OT). The Steelers' defense is a lot better, especially against the pass, and the Chiefs are not much of a threat on the ground. Defensively, the Chiefs have gotten better throughout the season, and Pittsburgh is not winning games with its offense. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* WARRIORS @ SUNS XMAS DAY TOP PLAY

The Golden State Warriors are 21-10-1 to the under on the season. 

The Warriors are averaging 111.5 points per game overall this season, but that number drops to 106.1 points per game on the road. 

The first two head-to-head meetings this season saw 200 points and 114 points. Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.

Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

10* play on UNDER. 

LATE-NIGHT VIRGINIA TECH @ DUKE NCAAB TOTAL TOP PLAY

The No. 2 Duke Blue Devils are averaging 86.1 points per game (5th), but here they'll run into one of the best defensive teams in the nation. The Virginia Tech Hokies are holding opponents to 56.5 points per game (12th). Duke has also been solid on the defensive end lately, holding its last three opponents to 62, 67, and 56 points. 

Virginia Tech knows it needs to slow down the tempo to keep this close. 

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 11-5 in Blue Devils last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY NCAAB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY  - 12:00 PM ET TIP-OFF

The East Carolina Pirates are 7-4 to the over on the season. They're shooting 37.2% percent from three-point range (49th), and here they'll face a Southern Miss team that is allowing opponents to shoot 34.5% from behind the arc (259th). 

The Eagles are coming off a 74-65 loss to UL Monroe, a game where they shot 25-of-52 (48%) from the field. east Carolina has surrendered 70+ points in back-to-back games, and I think both teams will score a decent amount of points in this one. 

10* play on OVER. 

LATE-NIGHT NCAAB TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are 7-4 to the under on the season, but I think they'll be able to score freely here to help push this game over the total. They have the second-best field goal percentage in the nation, and here they'll face a Northern Arizona team that has let a lot worse teams than Gonzaga run up the score. Over is 6-2 in Lumberjacks last 8 overall.

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The over/under is 73-58 in all NBA games this month and 11-3 to the over in games with a closing total of 224 points or more. 

The Rockets are allowing 112.9 points per game on the season (28th) and they have given up 116 points or more in four of their last six games (over is 5-1 in Rockets last six). 

The Rockets have the highest pace factor in the league, averaging 103.1 possessions per game, and I think they'll really push the tempo here against a Bulls team that will be playing in no rest after defeating the LA Lakers on Sunday. 

We saw 231 points scored when these two teams clashed in Houston on Nov 24. I expect them to combine for 230+ this time around as well.

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* CBB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Texas Longhorns are holding opponents to 53.6 points per game (2nd) on the season, and they are 6-3 to the under. The Stanford Cardinal are 6-3 to the over, but on Nov 20, Stanford was held to 18-of-45 shooting from the field in an 86-48 loss to Baylor. Now they'll face a defense that is arguably even better, and I expect this game to go under the total.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Miami Heat are holding opponents to 103.8 points per game on the season. The Orlando Magic are averaging only 101.3 points per game. 

Miami has held two of its last three opponents to fewer than 100 points, the exception the red hot Cavs who put up 105 points. Orlando has failed to break 100 points in two straight games. 

We saw only 197 points scored with a closing total of 212 points when these two rivals clashed on October 25. Six of the last nine meetings have gone under the total. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* CHIEFS @ CHARGERS T.N.F. TOTAL MONEYMAKER

The Kansas City Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak, fueled by a defense that has held opponents to 10.8 points per game during that stretch. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs have not been all that hot, a 48-9 win against the Raiders at Arrowhead last time out excluded. 

The Chargers' defense has also played reasonably well in recent weeks, and they're particularly strong against the pass. Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes has a 27-to-12 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the season, and I think he's in for a tough one here against a divisional opponent that knows him well. 

Under is 6-2 in Chiefs' last 8 games overall. Under is 11-3 in Chargers last 14 games as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 13-8 this season in games with a total of 50 points or more and the road team favored (3-1 to the under in divisional games). 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S NFC MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Atlanta Falcons have averaged only 10.3 points per game over their last four games. They have virtually no running game, and now Matt Ryan is asked to toss the ball around in a cold and possibly windy Bank of America Stadium. The Carolina Panthers are holding opponents to 291 yards per game (2nd), but they're lacking on the other side of the ball averaging just 19.7 points per game. They've lost three of their last four games, putting up a total of only 20 points in the three losses.

These two teams combined for 32 points when they clashed in Atlanta on October 31. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

NBA GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL

The Golden State Warriors are 17-7-1 to the under on the season, 5-1 to the under in games with a closing total lower than 218 points. 

The Philadelphia 76ers are 15-9-2 to the under on the season, 12-6 to the under in games with a closing total lower than 218 points.

Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.

10* play on UNDER. 

Mike's Top-Rated 10* CBB Total PLAY OF THE DAY

The Furman Paladins are averaging 85.1 points per game and they 8-0 to the over on the season, but I think Appalachian State can slow them down. The Mountaineers held Boyce to 29 points on 17% shooting from the field in their last game, and they're allowing only 57.9 points per game on the season. 

The Mountaineers 64.9 possessions per game is one of the lowest marks in college basketball, indicating they are playing at an extremely slow pace, and as an underdog, I expect them to slow it down as much as possible. 

10* play on UNDER. 

CBB BIG BET ALERT - MIKE'S TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

Both the Texas Longhorns and the Seton Hall Pirates are 4-3 to the under on the season. 

Games involving Texas have seen an average of 131.9 points, and the Longhorns have held opponents to 55.3 points per game, one of the very best marks in the nation. 

The Pirates' games have seen an average of 144.5 points scored, but they've often been able to run up the score against soft opponents. A total of only 132 points was scored when Seton Hall took on Michigan back on November 16. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Oklahoma City Thunder took a 152-79 beating by Memphis on Thursday, the biggest loss in NBA history. I expect the Thunder to tighten up defensively for this matchup with the Pistons, and poor shooting has been an issue for both teams all season. OKC is averaging 98.1 ppg (30th) while Detroit is averaging only 98.9 points per game (29th). 

Under is 23-9 in Thunder last 32 road games. Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* CBB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Niagara Purple Eagles are 5-1 to the under on the season. The Monmouth-NJ Hawks are averaging 75.7 points per game, but they scored only 61 in an upset win at Cincinnati in their last game. Defensively, the Hawks have looked good in their last two games and under is 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Knicks are 5-0 to the under in their last five games as road underdogs. They are allowing only 102.7 points per game away from home, well under their overall average of 106.2 ppg allowed. Brooklyn is also both scoring fewer and allowing fewer at home than its overall average. Under is 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 home games. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Washington Wizards are 13-7 to the under on the season, but two of their last three games have gone over the total. Here they'll face a San Antonio team that is both scoring and allowing 113 points per game at home. Over is 11-2 in Spurs last 13 home games. Over is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games as a home underdog. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* WEEK 12 TOTAL

The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. 

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS @ SAINTS THANKSGIVING EVE *BEST BET*

The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* HORNETS @ WIZARDS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

Each of the last four head-to-head meetings has gone under the total, a 97-87 Hornets win at Charlotte last week included. 

I think the oddsmakers have set the total too high once again when the teams clash in Washington Monday night. The Wizards are a slow-paced team, entering this contest with the third-lowest pace factor (the number of possessions a team uses per game) in the NBA, and the under is 8-1 in Wizards' last 9 overall. 

Charlotte is playing at a faster pace, but note that the under is 14-6 in Hornets' last 20 games as a road underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

CFB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL BEST BET

The New Mexico Lobos rank dead last in the nation with only 13.6 points per game. The Lobos have found their ground game, averaging just under 190 rushing yards per game over their last three games, but they still struggle to get scores. While New Mexico might have some success moving the ball on the ground, they'll take a lot of time off the clock which will help the under. On the defensive side of the ball, the Lobos have been totally fine, ranking 44th against the pass and 45th against the run. 

Each of Boise State's last five games has gone under the total, and they have allowed an average of only 17.4 points per game during that stretch. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Golden State Warriors will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back set after winning 104-89 at Cleveland last night. They are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest and under is 13-3 in Warriors last 16 games as a road favorite. The Detroit Pistons are averaging only 92.2 points per game. They are 24-15 to the under when their opponent plays on 0 rest, dating back to the start of last season, and under is 9-2-1 in Pistons last 12 games as a home underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Orlando Magic are averaging only 99.9 points per game (28th). They put up 111 points at Atlanta last time out, but here they'll face a tough Knicks team that held Indiana to 37% shooting from the field in a 92-84 win a couple of days ago. The Knicks are holding opponents to 43.0% shooting on the season (5th), and under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings at Madison Square Garden.

10* play on UNDER. 

NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - EAST/WEST TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR

The Golden State Warriors and the Brooklyn Nets boast some of the most prolific scorers in the league, but these are also two teams that can turn it up on the defensive end. 

The Warriors have the best defensive rating (number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) in the league and Brooklyn has the fourth-best rating. 

I think the betting market got this total all wrong. 

Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 overall. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1-1 in Nets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

We saw only 190 points when theese two teams clashed here at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse a couple of days ago. The total for that game closed at 202 points, and I don't think the bookmakers have adjusted enough. 

Up until this point of the season, only one contest has closed with a total of 200 points or lower. That was back on November 10 when Cleveland hosted Washington, a game the Cavs lost 97-93. 

The Cavs boast the second-best scoring defense in the league, and they are in the bottom 10 for pace with only 99.3 possessions per game while Boston is right there as well with 99.1 possessions per game.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* BLAZERS @ CLIPPERS LATE NIGHT TOTAL - 10:05 PM ET START

The Clippers and the Blazers clashed twice in October, which the teams recording one lopsided win each. What was true for both contests was that the teams barely combined for 200 points, and yet we're seeing a total in the 220s here for the third head-to-head of the season. While both teams have the potential to explode and put 120+ points on the board, I think this will be yet another low-scoring affair between two familiar foes. 

Under is 5-2 in Clippers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. Under is 7-3 in Blazers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. 

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY ARMY @ AIR FORCE NCAAF GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

I don't think the bookmakers can make the total for this Academy matchup low enough. These two teams are No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation at running the ball, but also No. 7 and No. 13 at stopping the run as their defense gets plenty of practice. We should see both teams getting stopped at midfield plenty and the clock will keep running. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT -  MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. 

Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on UNDER. 

CELTICS @ WIZARDS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

These two teams battled it out in Boston just a couple of days ago, a game the Wizards won 116-107. That game went under by the hook, and I think we'll see an even lower scoring affair here as the teams have had a chance to get familiar with each other. The Wizards have allowed 104, 107 and 111 points over their last three games and under is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 games as a home favorite. Additionally, under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings

10* play on UNDER. 

MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

Michigan has the 10th best total defense in the nation and the 2nd best scoring defense with only 14.3 points allowed per game. Michigan State was held to 241 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win at Indiana in its last game. I fully expect to see a defensive grind between these two arch-rivals. 

10* play on UNDER. 

SOCCER MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S MLS GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

Orlando is 18-13 to the over 2.5 goals on the season and Columbus is 17-14 to the over. Orlando's games have seen an average of 2.9 goals over the season, the third-highest mark in MLS. We saw five goals when these two teams faced off last month, and this should be another high-scoring affair. 

10* play on OVER. 

LATE-NIGHT NUGGETS @ JAZZ NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT

Both Utah (no. 2) and Denver (no. 8) rank top 10 for defensive efficiency and they are 23rd and 24th respectively for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game). They are a combined 5-0 to the under on the season and Denver has the worst turnover ratio in the league. 

The Nuggets will be playing on no rest after taking a 99-87 home loss to Cleveland on Monday. I think they'll do everything they can to make this game as slow as possible. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. 

The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. 

The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

10* play on OVER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. 

Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. 

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* DODGERS @ GIANTS NLDS GAME 5 *BEST BET*

Giant's righty Logan Webb (11-3, 2.97 ERA) held the Dodgers to five hits and fanned 10 through 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win on October 8. Webb is 6-0 with a minuscule 1.96 ERA home at Oracle Park this season. Dodgers' left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA) held the Giants to one run in three hits with five ks through five innings in his last start. Urias is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA on the road this season. I think runs will come at a premium for both teams, and I would not be surprised to see a 2-1 type final score for either team. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. 

Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER - GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Buckeyes are coming off a 52-13 win at Rutgers. Over is 21-6-1 in Buckeyes last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, and they should have no trouble with this Maryland team that put up just 14 points and 271 yards of total offense in a loss to Iowa last week. The Terps defense had been decent prior to that outing, and under is 7-1 in Terrapins last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S 10* YANKEES @ RED SOX AL WILD CARD TOP PLAY

Both teams have potent lineups, but I expect runs to come at a premium for both the Yankees and the Red Sox here in the AL Wild Card game. Yankees' right-hander Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA) owns a 2.68 ERA in 13 career postseason starts while Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA)  has posted a 1.61 ERA in six career postseason outings (two starts). 

Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at Fenway Park.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pirates are averaging an MLB-worst 3.91 runs per game. Cubs' right-hander Kyle Hendricks (14-7, 4.81 ERA) owns a 3.69 ERA in 23 career starts against the Pirates who counter with Roansy Contreras who will make his MLB debut. Contreras has compiled a 2.64 ERA while pitching for Double-A Altoona and Triple-A Indianapolis this season. The reeling Cubs have lost seven straight. Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Pittsburgh.

10* play on UNDER.

MLB GAME OF THE YEAR (AL TOTAL)

Oakland right-hander Chris Bassitt (12-4, 3.16 ERA) held Seattle to one hit with four Ks through three scoreless innings in his last start since a 36-day layoff due to a shattered cheekbone. Bassitt has posted a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts. Seattle left-hander Tyler Anderson (7-10, 4.48 ERA) will open in what will be a bullpen game for the home team. Oakland's bats have been cold lately, and I think the Mariners relievers can keep them in check. 

Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 games as a favorite. Under is 8-3-1 in Athletics last 12 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*)

The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. 

The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on OVER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - 10* IL TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Phillies have a .208 batting average over their last three games, and they've scored only five runs during that stretch. This looks like a good spot for Baltimore left-hander Keegan Akin (2-10, 6.93 ERA) to better his numbers, and he had a couple of solid starts prior to his last three outings. 

Baltimore has scored more than three runs in only one of their last eight games, and their .239 batting average for the season is one of the worst marks in baseball. Phillies' All-star right-hander Zack Wheeler (14-9, 2.83 ERA) is having a great year, and he has a 2.04 ERA in his three career starts against the Orioles.

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

Marlins rookie left-hander Trevor Rogers (7-7, 2.71 ERA) has made three career starts against Washington, resulting in a 3.86 ERA. Nats' lefty Josh Rogers (1-0, 2.60 ERA) held the Marlins to one hit, one walk, and no runs while striking out six in five innings last week. The Marlins won the opener of this series 8-7 on Monday. Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2-1 in Nationals last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Marlins' last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

10* play on UNDER.

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

Rays' righty Shane Baz may be making his MLB debut, but he's a top-prospect that has posted a 1.76 mark in 10 starts while holding opposing hitters to a .174 batting average in Triple-A this season. Also, Baz will be backed up by a Rays bullpen that is among the best in baseball. As for Toronto left-hander Robbie Ray (12-5, 2.64 ERA), the American League Cy Young Award candidate's numbers speak for themselves. In seven career outings against the Rays, Ray is 2-2 with an ERA of 2.45. 

Under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Eagles opened the season with a 32-6 win against Atlanta. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was held to 164 passing yards on 21-of-35 passing and no touchdown passes. The Niners are coming off a shootout win at Detroit, a game where the teams were a combined 5-for-5 in the red zone. I expect a much better defensive performance from San Francisco in this one. 

Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8 in Eagles' last 30 home games. Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The No. 6 Clemson Tigers have allowed a total of only 13 points through their first two games of the season. Georgia Tech put up 45 points in a 28-point victory last week, but as a 20-point favorite against Kennesaw State. 

While Georgia Tech's defense has not really been tested yet, giving up only giving up 123.5 passing yards per game (8th) is impressive, and it's a better number than Clemson's 133.5 (13th) passing yards per game allowed. 

Under is 6-2-2 in Yellow Jackets last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Phillies are coming off a 17-8 rout of the Cubs while the Mets took an 11-4 loss to St. Louis last time out. I expect both teams' bats to cool off here with two tough pitchers on the mound. 

Mets' righty Taijuan Walker (7-9, 4.29 ERA) has posted a 3.55 ERA in 14 outings (three starts) at home and a 3.80 ERA in four starts against the Phillies this season. Philadelphia righty Zack Wheeler (13-9, 2.86 ERA) has held the Mets to seven runs with 31 Ks over 29 1/3 innings (2.15 ERA) this year. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY - REDS @ PIRATES TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to fade the Pirates as they look to complete the three-game sweep. The Bucs are 0-10 this season when going for a sweep and 8-2 to the under. Desperation must be kicking in for the Reds who have lost four straight and seven of nine to fall out of a wild card spot. Reds' righty Tyler Mahle (11-5, 3.73 ERA) is 7-2 with a 1.97 ERA on the road and 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA against Pittsburgh this year. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Rays won Tuesday's matchup 2-0, and I think the finale of this three-game series will be another low-scoring affair. Ray's righty Michael Wacha (3-4, 5.37 ERA) has posted a 2.35 ERA through his last three starts, with only nine hits allowed and 19 Ks over 15 1/3 innings of work. Blue Jays' left-hander Robbie Ray (11-5, 2.69 ERA) has posted a 2.50 ERA over his last three starts, with 28 Ks against 13 hits over 18 innings of work. 

The under is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings. 

10* play on UNDER. 

CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

College Football games between two academy teams are usually low-scoring affairs, and I don't see why this matchup between the Air Force Falcons and the Navy Midshipmen would be any different. Both teams will run the ball which will keep the clock ticking, and while Navy struggled on the defensive side of the ball in its 49-7 loss to Marshall last week, Air Force does not pose the same threat. Air Force is loaded with talent and experience on defense, so the Mids won't put up many points. 

Under is 20-6 in Midshipmen last 26 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 10-1 in Falcons last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games in September. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AL TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (9-5, 3.08 ERA) has posted a 4.27 ERA in nine career appearances (five starts) against the Angels, but this will be his first start against them for this season. Valdez has posted a 2.73 ERA over 52 2/3 innings home at Minute Maid Park this year. Angels' right-hander Shohei Ohtani (9-1, 2.97 ERA) held Texas to two runs with eight Ks in seven innings last time out.

Houston took an 8-5 loss to Seattle on Wednesday after a late collapse. Under is 10-0-2 in Astros last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The Angels are averaging only 3.68 runs per nine innings on the road against left-handers. Under is 8-3 in Angels last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Under is 15-5 in Angels last 20 games as a road underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Cardinals veteran righty Adam Wainwright (14-7, 2.91 ERA) is having a terrific year. He's been even sharper down the stretch, with a 1.43 ERA in six starts last month and only one earned run allowed over 6 1/3 innings in his first start of September. Dodgers' right-hander Mitch White (1-2, 3.49 ERA) has been getting some starts lately as the Dodgers are coping with injuries to their regular starters. White is inexperienced, but he should be able to handle a Cardinals team that is averaging only 4.27 runs per game (26th), which drops to 3.94 runs per game at home. Under is 18-6-4 in Dodgers last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0-2 in Cardinals last 7 home games. Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 38-18-1 in the last 57 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

Yankees' ace Gerrit Cole (14-6, 2.73 ERA) has posted a 0.73 ERA in four starts after missing more than two weeks following a positive test for COVID-19. Cole is 5-0 with a 2.64 ERA in seven starts against the Blue Jays who hand the ball to Steven Matz (10-7, 3.80 ERA). Matz has posted a 2.12 ERA over his last three starts, and he'll face a slumping Yankees team that was shut out last night and has lost seven of its last nine.

The Blue Jays bats have been hot, but if anyone can keep them quiet it's Cole. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* BAMA @ MIAMI-FL BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming into the season opener against Miami-Florida as a sizeable favorite. That Bama will come out ahead is a foregone conclusion, but I think they'll win with their defense rather than their offense. Bryce Young is taking over at quarterback to replace Mac Jones, and with only three returning starters on offense, it might take a couple of games for their offense to click. Defensively though, Bama looks solid with seven starters back, led by linebackers Will Anderson Jr. and Christian Harris and cornerback Josh Job.

10* play on UNDER. 

LATE-NIGHT MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY *BAILOUT PLAY

Padres' left-hander Blake Snell (6-5, 4.58 ERA) has an ugly 7.01 ERA on the road, but he has posted a 3.06 ERA in his last three starts (two home, one away). I don't think the tanking D'Backs will do much damage off him as Snell is 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA in three starts against the Diamondbacks this season.

Arizona righty Zac Gallen (2-7, 4.32 ERA) has 15 strikeouts through 12 scoreless innings in his last two starts. Gallen is 1-1 with a 3.05 ERA in four starts against the Padres this year.

10* play on UNDER. 

*MAJOR WAGER ALERT* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH

I think runs will come a premium for both teams at Petco Park Saturday night. 

Phillies' righty Aaron Nola (7-7, 4.48 ERA) Has not had a great month, but now he'll face a Padres team who's bats have really gone quiet of late. Padres' righty Joe Musgrove (8-8, 3.11 ERA) was tagged with six runs in five innings at Arizona in his last start. Bounce back spot for Musgrove, and he has posted a 2.43 ERA home at Petco Park in 2021. 

Under is 9-1-2 in Phillies last 12 overall. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 overall. (both trends prior to the conclusion of Friday's matchup). 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

Milwaukee won the opener of this series 2-1 on Friday, and four of its last five games have gone under the total. The Giants are 3-1 to the under in their last four. 

Both Milwaukee' righty Brandon Woodruff (7-6, 2.26 ERA) and Giants' right-hander Aaron Sanchez (1-1, 2.97 ERA) have posted impressive numbers this season. Woodruff has a 1.48 ERA in day starts. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pirates are averaging only 3.84 runs/9 innings (30th ) and that number drops to 2.67 runs/9 innings when on the road against a left-handed starter. That's the situation they're at here against Reds southpaw Wade Miley (8-4, 2.92 ERA). Miley has posted a 2.91 ERA home at Great American Ball Park in 2021. 

Pittsburgh hands the ball to JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.49 ERA). He has pitched reasonably well in his last two starts, with a total of only three runs allowed on six hits and three walks over 10 innings of work. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The first two games of this series have seen 12 and nine runs respectively. I expect Game 3 to be a much lower-scoring affair. 

Phillies' righty Chase Anderson (2-4, 6.75 ERA) is having a rough year, but he's built back his confidence lately pitching out of the bullpen. He held Pittsburgh to two runs with five Ks in four innings in his last outing. 

The Nats hand the ball to righty Paolo Espino (3-2, 3.08 ERA) who held the Cubs to a run on four hits in 5 1/3 innings while striking out six his last time out. Espino has posted a 2.35 ERA through his last three starts and he has a 2.23 ERA home at Nationals Park. 

Under is 23-6 in Nationals last 29 during game 3 of a series. Under is 23-10 in Nationals last 33 games as a home favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging an MLB-worst 3.82 runs per game. On the road and facing left-handers, they average only 2.50 runs per nine innings, and that's the situation they'll be in here on Monday as the Brewers are sending Eric Lauer (3-4, 3.50 ERA) to the mound. Lauer has posted a 1.17 ERA in his last five outings. Lauer has posted a 3.13 ERA in six career appearances, including five starts, against Pittsburgh. 

The Pirates are handing the ball to Bryse Wilson (2-3, 5.88 ERA) for his first appearance with the team since coming over from Atlanta. While the Brewers could end up hitting him hard, I still expect this game to stay under the total. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Nats are 11-4 to the under in right-hander Erick Fedde's starts in 2021. Fedde (4-7, 5.05 ERA) allowed no earned runs and only four hits in a 3-1 Nats loss to Miami in his last home start. Cubs' right-hander Adbert Alzolay (4-11, 4.73 ERA) was tagged with four runs in five innigs of a 7-4 loss to Cincinnati in his last start, but here he'll face a Washington team that is averaging only 4.20 runs per nine innings against right-handers. 

Under is 8-1-1 in Cubs last 10 Sunday games. Under is 13-3 in Nationals last 16 Sunday games.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Yankees' ace Gerrit Cole (10-5, 2.74 ERA) is 1-5 despite a solid 3.82 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rays. 

Tampa Bay right-hander Luis Patino (1-2, 5.26 ERA) has been roughed up in his last three starts, but note his 1.04 ERA in three appearances at home this season. He took on the Bronx Bombers on May 11 when he held them to two runs (one earned) through four frames. Patino is backed up by one of the best bullpens in baseball. 

The first two games of this series have seen seven and four runs respectively. This should be another low-scorin affair. 

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac (5-3, 4.30 ERA) does not boast particularly impressive numbers this season, but note his 2.95 ERA through 21 1/3 innings of work in four day starts in 2021. 

Cards' left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim (6-5, 2.88 ERA) has a consistent ERA no matter home/away or day/night. He has allowed only two runs on 10 hits with 15 Ks through his last three starts, covering 18 innings of work for a 1.00 ERA. 

Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 21-5-1 in Cardinals last 27 interleague road games.

10* play on UNDER. 

AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH - SUPER EARLY 1:10 PM ET

The last games of this series have seen five and six runs respectively. I think the finale on Thursday will be another tough day for the bats. 

Texas is averaging only 3.9 runs per game (28th) and it has the second-worst on base percentage at .297, and it has scored only 10 runs through a seven-game slide.. Today's Detroit starter Tyler Alexander has posted a solid 3.98 ERA through 20 1/3 innings of work home at Comerica Park this season.

Texas righty Mike Foltynewicz has been lit up in most of his road starts, but I expect to see a fully focused Foltynewicz after giving up 10 runs in less than two innings at Toronto in his last start. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

This contest will feature two of the best offenses in baseball, but I still think this will turn into a pitchers' duel. 

Astros' left-hander Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.98 ERA) hast posted a 2.03 ERA on the road in 2021, and in two career appearances versus the White Sox, Valdez is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA. 

White Sox lefty Carlos Rodon (7-3, 2.31 ERA) has been outstanding this year pretty much no matter the location. Rodon has made six career starts against Houston through which he has compiled a stellar 1.83 ERA. 

10* play on UNDER. 

YANKEES @ ASTROS MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Houston Astros have seen each of their last three and five of their last six go under the total, including a 4-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. They got only three hits against Nestor Cortes Jr. and three relievers, and now they'll face a much tougher starting pitcher in Gerrit Cole (8-4, 2.91 ERA). The Astros still have a good chance of winning the game though as they trot out Zack Greinke (8-4, 2.91 ERA), but my money is on the under as I expect a low-scoring pitchers duel. 

10* play on UNDER. 

LATE-NIGHT ANGELS @ MARINERS BAILOUT TOP PLAY

The Angels are 51-34-1 to the over on the season. Right-hander Alex Cobb (6-3, 4.60 ERA) has a 6.41 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mariners and he gave up five runs in seven innings against them back in June. Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (1-5, 5.82 ERA) gave up six runs in 3 1/3 innings against Texas in his last start. 

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED AL CENTRAL MLB TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR

The Chicago White Sox have seen each of their last eight games go over the total and the Twins are 52-27-4 to the over on the season. 

Twins right-hander Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.52 ERA) has allowed three runs or more in three of this last five starts. He has a 3.86 ERA at home this season. White Sox left-hander Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.37 ERA) is having a great year, but the Twins scored four runs off him in an 8-5 Chicago win last week. 

The first two games of this series have seen 11 and 13 runs scored respectively. 

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER | CLIPPERS @ SUNS BEST BET

Game 4 of this series was a defensive struggle finishing with an 84-80 win on the road for the Phoenix Suns.

They'll now be looking to close out the series in their own building, and while I sure like Phoenix to win, I would not be surprised if we see this one come down to the last bucket. 

The spread is really close IMO, but the total looks a bit inflated despite sitting almost eight points lower since the last game here at Suns Arena.

These two teams are locked in defensively, and buckets are coming at a premium at every possession.

We have seen three straight unders since a 120-114 Phoenix win in the opener, and none of the last three games went over this number. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago Cubs are 44-29-5 to the under on the season, and the Milwaukee Brewers are 24-9-1 to the under in games with a total lower than eight. We should see a truly low-scoring contest here in the opener of a three-game series between the two division rivals as both teams hand the ball to strong starting pitchers, with Kyle Hendricks (10-4, 3.84 ERA) going up against Freddy Peralta (7-2, 2.11 ERA). 

Note that Hendricks has a 2.73 ERA in 25 career starts against Milwaukee while Peralta has posted a 3.38 ERA in nine career games against the Cubs.

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT | EASTERN CONF PLAYOFFS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

We won with the Hawks in Game 1 but lost with them in Game 2 in what turned out to be a blowout win for the Bucks. In hindsight, a bad bet on Atlanta as it was an obvious bounce-back spot for the Bucks, who no doubt are the more skilled team. 

I don't see value on the spread posted for Game 3, but I think the bookmakers got the total all wrong. The two teams combined for 229 points in the opener, but we saw only 216 points in the next game, and I think we'll see lower and lower scoring games as the teams get more familiar with each other and the intensity on the defensive end ramps up.  

The Bucks are 8-5 to the under in the playoffs. The Hawks are 10-3-1 to the under in the playoffs. 

10* play on UNDER. 

CUBS @ DODGERS NL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off back-to-back wins, but their bats are far from hot. Solid pitching has earned them the Ws, and we are of course more than likely to see more of the same with Clayton Kershaw (8-7, 3.43 ERA) on the mound.

The Chicago Cubs have been cold at the plate lately as well, with two or fewer runs scored in seven of their last nine games. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The over is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings at Fenway Park, and this double-digit number does not scare me. 

Note that Boston left-hander Martin Perez (5-4, 4.32 ERA) has a 7.92 ERA in seven starts against the Bronx Bombers while righty Domingo German (4-4, 4.17 ERA) has a 4.45 ERA in seven games (six starts) versus the Red Sox.

The Yankees have been swinging hot bats lately scoring five, six and eight runs in their last three games and Boston is averaging a solid 5.34 runs per game home at Fenway Park. 

10* play on OVER. 

SUPER EARLY REDS @ TWINS TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Minnesota Twins host the Cincinnati Reds for a rare Tuesday afternoon game of baseball, and I think the crowd will be treated with plenty of runs. 

Reds' veteran left-hander Wade Miley (6-4, 2.88 ERA) is boasting a strong ERA, but we can note that the over/under is still 8-4 in Miley's starts on the season as he's not getting much help from his relievers. Reds' bullpen ranks dead last in the major leagues with a 5.58 ERA, and the Twins's ranks 23rd with a 4.72 ERA. Minnesota right-hander Bailey Ober (0-0, 3.71 ERA) is averaging only 4 1/3 innings per start, which means we're likely to see plenty of Twins' relievers.  

Weak and taxed bullpens' (yesterday's matchup went 12 innings) should set this up for runs galore. 

10* play on OVER. 

MLB NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 40-32-1 to the over on the season and eight of their last 10 have gone over the total.

Right-hander Merrill Kelly (2-7, 5.40 ERA) has a 5.71 ERA in three career starts against the Brewers who hand the ball to Brett Anderson (2-4, 4.24 ERA). The left-hander has a 4.38 ERA in seven career starts against the D'Backs, and he has struggled on the road this season coming into this contest with a 5.47 ERA away from home. 

Over is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 games as a road favorite. Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games a home underdog.

10* play on OVER. 

SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

These are two of the lowest-scoring teams in the major leagues, and for all of Nats' left-hander Patrick Corbin's struggles with a 5.60 ERA overall in 2021, note that it drops to 4.61 at home. The Mets are batting only .222 against left-handers. 

Mets' right-hander Taijuan Walker (6-2, 2.12 ERA) has shown he's just as comfortable pitching away from home as at Citi Field. 

The first three games of this series have seen one, six and eight runs respectively. This should be another low-scoring affair.

10* play on UNDER. 

NHL SEMIFINALS TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR | 10* MAJOR WAGER

The teams are heading to New York tied at 1-1 after splitting a couple of games at Tampa Bay. The last game saw six goals, and I expect another high-scoring affair here in Game 3.

The Lightning have averaged 32 shots on goal per game in the series, and I expect them to throw everything at the Isles tonight to reclaim home ice advantage.

Additionally, note that the teams scored only one PP goal each in Game 2, despite 20 penalties and 54 penalty minutes issued. We should see better efficiency if the penalties keep coming.

Over is 6-2-1 in Islanders last 9 overall and 6-2-1 in Islanders last 9 games a home underdog.

10* play on OVER. 

SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like it should be a low-scoring affair with Domingo German (4-3, 3.12 ERA) and Aaron Nola (4-4, 4.06 ERA) on the mound. German has allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last nine starts, including 5 2/3 innings of one-run ball against Boston last time out. Nola's last two outings have not been great, but he has posted a solid 3.03 ERA in six home starts and a 2.10 ERA in four day starts. 

10* play on UNDER. 

LATE NIGHT RANGERS @ DODGERS MLB BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY*

The Texas Rangers have lost eight of their last 10 games, and they've put up 10 runs over their last five games. Runs are likely to come a premium for the Rangers again in Saturday's matchup with the Dodgers and right-hander Trevor Bauer (6-4, 2.40 ERA) who has posted a 1.69 ERA in four home starts on the year. 

Texas hands the ball to left-hander Kolby Allard (1-2, 3.41 ERA). Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.

10* play on UNDER. 

ROYALS @ ANGELS MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Los Angeles Angels are 15-5 to the over as home favorites on the season and tonight's Angels' starter Dylan Bundy has an ugly 6.49 ERA in 2021. Royals' righty Jackson Kowar will make his first MLB start ever, and this could easily go south early against a Halos' team that is averaging 5.77 runs per nine innings home in Anaheim. 

Over is 7-1-2 in Royals last 10 overall. Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a road underdog.

10* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago Cubs are 30-23-4 to the under on the season. Right-hander Kohl Stewart (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be making his second start of the season. He allowed only one run (no earned) through five innings against the Padres in his season opener. 

The San Francisco Giants counter with Kevin Gausman (6-0, 1.40 ERA) who is having an extraordinary year with 11 runs allowed on 41 hits over 70 2/3 innings and an 83/16 K/BB ratio. Regression is surely coming for the right-hander, but not against the Cubs who have been hitting leftie a lot harder than righties. 

10* play on UNDER. 

MLB GAME OF THE WEEK | NL WEST *BEST TOTAL*

The last two games of this series have seen a total of 30 runs scored. I expect a completely different game in the finale on Sunday. 

Dodgers' left-hander Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.94 ERA) is having a solid year as per usual, and he is coming off a season-high 7 2/3 innings of one-run ball in a win over Houston on Tuesday. Kerhaw has posted a career ERA of 1.79 against the Giants. 

Kevin Gausman (5-0, 1.53 ERA) takes the ball for San Francisco. He has allowed a total of four runs through his last seven starts and posted a 3.00 ERA in three outings (two starts) against the Dodgers last season. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The oddsmakers have posted an exceptionally low total for this game, but I still like the under. Note that the over/under is 17-26 across the Major Leagues this season and 1-8 in games involving the New York Mets. 

Both starting pitchers for tonight, Ian Anderson (4-1, 2.28 ERA) and Tajiuan Walker (3-1, 2.05 ERA), have been great.

10* play on UNDER. 

MLB GAME OF THE WEEK | TOP-RATED AL TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

This game should be a low-scoring affair. The Cleveland Indians' bats have been cold during a 2-5 stretch and they were shut out by the Twins on Friday. Twins righty Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.26 ERA) has not had a great year, but surely he can keep the Tribe under control. Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

As for Cleveland starter Shane Bieber (4-3, 3.17 ERA), the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner needs no further introduction, and note that Bieber posted a 2.14 ERA in three starts against the Twins last year. 

Under is 46-22-4 in the last 72 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY HORNETS @ KNICKS NBA TOP PLAY | 1:10 ET START

The New York Knicks have clinched a playoff berth, but they're battling Miami for the No. 5 or No. 6 seed. The Knicks have played great defense all season long, and the last three games have been no different allowing 100, 101 and 98 points, despite the middle game going to OT. The Charlotte Hornets are fighting Indiana and Washington for eighth place in the conference. While the Hornets won't lack motivation, I think they'll struggle to get open looks against this Knicks team.  

The last meeting (on April 20th) finished with a 109-97 Knicks win. I think we'll see a very similar amount of points today. 

10* play on UNDER. 

MLB GAME OF THE WEEK | TOP-RATED REDS @ ROCKIES TOTAL

The Colorado Rockies and the Cincinnati Reds combined for 21 runs in the opener of this four-game series on Thursday. The total for that game closed at 11.5, but we're still seeing a lower total for tonight's game. I trust the oddsmakers and expect the bats to be a lot colder here in Game 2. 

Colorado right-hander German Marquez (1-4, 5.49 ERA) has a rather bloater earned run average, but it's mostly down to two subpar outings. In his last start, Marquez held the Cardinals to two runs through six innings of a 2-0 Rockies win. 

The Reds counter with left-hander Wade Miley (4-2, 2.00 ERA) who is coming off a no hitter at Cleveland. Miley has posted a 0.9 ERA while allowing only seven hits in three road starts covering 20 innings on the season.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Philadelphia 76ers have put up only 94 points in each of their last two games, but also allowed only 103 and 106 points. They're likely to keep the tempo slow here as they'll be playing on no rest, and the visting Orlando Magic are averaging a lowly 103.9 ppg on the season and they've been held to fewer than 100 points in three of their last five games.

10* play on UNDER. 

NBA GAME OF THE MONTH | TOP-RATED 10* NORTHWEST DIV *BEST BET*

I think we'll see a very high-scoring game when the Denver Nuggets visit the Minnesota Timberwolves Thursday night. The Wolves have really stepped it up a notch in recent weeks, winning six of their last nine games while scoring boatloads of points. The Denver Nuggets have split their last four games, despite scoring 113, 120, 119 and 117 points. 

Over is 11-4 in Nuggets last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 home games.

10* play on OVER. 

SUPER EARLY BLUE JAYS @ BRAVES MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I think the bookmakers have set this total waaaaay too high. Sure, Toronto right-hander Ross Stripling (0-2, 6.61 ERA) has had a tough start to the year, but his best start came against the Braves on May 3 when he held them to two runs through 4 1/3 innings of work. Braves' veteran right-hander Charlie Morton (2-2, 4.98 ERA) could also have asked for a better start to the year, but he has a solid 3.83 ERA in eight career starts against Toronto. 

10* play on UNDER. 

EARLY MLB 3-PACK #2 - TOP PLAY

The Cincinnati Reds are 22-10-1 to the over on the season, but I think this game will be low-scoring. Cincinnati right-hander Sonny Gray (0-2, 3.92 ERA) is coming off seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball against the White Sox. Gray has a 2.12 ERA in three day starts on the season. The Pittsburgh Pirates hand the ball to Trevor Cahill (1-4, 6.75 ERA) who has posted a 2.45 ERA in two day starts in 2021. 

If any team is to score runs here it's the Reds. I don't see Pittsburgh putting more than two runs on the board and I predict Cincinnati to win in a very low-scoring affair. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MAGIC @ HORNETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER

The Charlotte Hornets are battling with Indiana and Washington for a favorable position in the play-in tournament. They're a rather sizable favorite in this matchup with an Orlando team since long eliminated from playoff contention, and the under is 13-3 in Hornets last 16 games as a home favorite.

The Magic are averaging a league-low 104.1 points per game, and they're highly unlikely to put up big numbers with the season all but over already. I expect the Hornets to get plenty of stops and keep this game under the total. 

10* play on UNDER.