At 8:00pm ET, my selection is on the Washington Mystics. The Minnesota Lynx are performing strongly, but the current point spread is too large, especially given its significant increase since the opening line. The Washington Mystics have won two of their last three games, with their sole loss by a single point. Minnesota is off 3 straight big wins but all those were at home. The last time that the Lynx were on the road, they lost by 10. Historically, matchups between these teams are competitive, with the most recent game decided by seven points. Seven of the last eight encounters were decided by 11 points or fewer, and five of those by seven points or fewer. This is going to be another close one. Grab the points.

At 1:00pm Et, my WNBA Early Riser is on the Chicago Sky. The Mercury face a challenging scheduling situation, as they are concluding a demanding four-game road trip with an early start time. Coming off an impressive 89-81 upset victory against the league-leading New York Liberty, all three games on this road trip have been tightly contested, decided by eight points or fewer. Furthermore, the Mercury face the Liberty again in their next game at home, increasing the likelihood of overlooking the Sky in this matchup. Chicago is off a 7-point loss and it won by 12 in its previous game. Historical data supports a close game: the teams’ earlier meeting this season in Phoenix was decided by five points, and their most recent game in Chicago also ended with a five-point margin. Given these factors, taking the points with the Sky is the way to go

At 6:00pm ET, my selection is on the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are poised to upset the Mercury, primarily due to their superior offensive firepower and home-court advantage, despite the absence of A’ja Wilson due to concussion protocol. While the loss of Wilson is of course very significant, the Aces have demonstrated resilience, as seen in their recent comeback win against the Dallas Wings, led by Jackie Young’s 28-point performance and Jewell Loyd’s clutch contributions. Coach Becky Hammon commented: "I liked our fight." The Aces perimeter scoring, bolstered by Young, Chelsea Gray, and Loyd, will exploit the Mercury’s inconsistent defense, which allows 81.7 points per game on the road. Additionally, playing at home, where the Aces average 91.4 points, gives them an edge over a Mercury team missing the likes of Megan McConnell, even with Kahleah Copper’s probable return. The Aces have won 9 of the past 10 meetings and they will continue their series dominance today. Play on Las Vegas.

At 3:00pm Et, my WNBA Eastern Conference Total Of The Month is on New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Over. The Indiana Fever came very close to defeating the New York Liberty in their first matchup this season. That 90-88 loss gives them confidence and motivation and they are determined to be the first team to hand the Liberty a loss. To achieve this, the Fever are going to need to score lot of points. The Liberty are the only WNBA team averaging over 90 per game, with a season average of 90.44 points. In contrast, the Fever average 81.6 points per game, but their scoring increases to 87.8 points per game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. In their previous encounter this season, the O/U line was 174, with the final score totaling 178 points. The lower O/U total provides value in a game which I expected to exceed the 180-mark. Play on the over.

At 7:30pm Et, my Eastern Conference Game Of the Month is on Atlanta. The Dream hold a significant advantage over the Sky based on current team performance and key roster challenges. The Dream boast a strong 6-3 record overall, including 3-1 at home, demonstrating their consistency and dominance on their court. Conversely, the Sky struggle with a 2-6 record, including a 1-4 mark on the road and an 0-4 record in conference play, highlighting their difficulties, particularly away from home. Chicago’s challenges are compounded by the season-ending injury to Courtney Vandersloot, the team’s captain, leader, and all-time scoring and assists leader. Her absence leaves a significant void in leadership and production that the Sky cannot easily fill. Adjusting to this loss will require time, and the team is unlikely to be prepared for a competitive road performance against a formidable opponent like Atlanta. The Dream are coming off a commanding 19-point victory over Indiana and previously secured a 24-point win at home, underscoring their offensive firepower and home-court strength. In their most recent h2h matchup, Atlanta defeated Chicago by 16 points, further illustrating the gap between these teams. Given these factors, Atlanta is well-positioned to deliver another decisive victory. Lay the points.

At 10:pm ET, my WNBA Game of the Week is on LA. This marks the third matchup of the season between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Golden State Valkyries. The road team secured victories in the first two encounters, but the dynamics shift for Monday's game. The Sparks entered their initial home game against Golden State following a challenging loss in Phoenix, which appeared to impact their performance. In contrast, the Sparks now come off a commanding double-digit victory in Dallas, providing positive momentum. Additionally, Los Angeles benefits from an extra day of rest compared to Golden State; the Valkyries are coming off a massive upset win against Las Vegas on Saturday. Such an emotional high sets the stage for a letdown for the Valkyries, positioning the Sparks favorably for Monday night’s contest at Crypto.com Arena. Lay the points. 

AT 10:00pm ET, my Slam Dunk selection is on Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Over. This marks the third encounter between these two rivals this season, with both prior games finishing under the total. However, following break-out offensive performances by both teams in their most recent outings, I anticipate a higher-scoring contest this time. In my previous analysis for Phoenix's last game, where I also favored the over, I noted: "Phoenix faced Minnesota in two of its last three games. Against a non-undefeated opponent in their most recent matchup, the Mercury scored 85 points. In their last home game against a non-undefeated opponent, they scored 94." Phoenix delivered with 86 points, resulting in an 86-77 final that exceeded the low total. With another low total set for this game, I believe it will again prove too conservative. The Storm, coming off an 83-point performance in their last game, further supports the case for a higher-scoring outcome. Both teams top the 80 mark and the final score sails over the low total. Play on the Over. 

At 7:30pm ET, my WNBA Eastern Conference Game Of the Week is on the Connecticut Sun. The Sun suffered a significant defeat against the New York Liberty in their most recent game, falling 100-52. However, that loss came on the road against the defending champions and the league's top team, who boast the highest offensive and defensive ratings. Additionally, the Sun were coming off a notable upset victory against the Indiana Fever just two days prior, marking their second consecutive road game. A letdown was not surprising. Earlier this season, when the Sun faced the Dream on the road, they were listed as +7 point underdogs. Now, playing at home, the Sun are receiving an even larger point spread. That's providing us with excellent line value. Meanwhile, the Dream are playing their third consecutive road game and have a showdown against Indiana, a team they’ve faced twice already, looming next. Four of Atlanta’s five wins this season have been by eight points or fewer. This is going to be another close game. Grab the points. 

AT 10:00pm ET, my WNBA Total Of The Month is on Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Over. Both teams will be happy to face someone other than Minnesota or New York. Those two teams are undefeated, a combined 15-0, each of them are hard to score against. Golden State's last 3 games have come against either NY or Minnesota. Phoenix has played Minnesota in two if its last 3 games. When last matched up against an opponent which wasn't undefeated, the Mercury scored 85 points. In their last home game against an opponent which wasn't undefeated, the Mercury scored 94. Likewise, the Valkyries scored 82 the last time that they faced a team which wasn't either Minnesota or NY. The last time that the Mercury were laying points, the final score went over the total by more than 20. This is their chance to get the offense clicking again and we can expect another high-scoring affair. Play on the Over. 

At 8:00pm ET, my Slam Dunk Club selection is on Minnesota. The Lynx hold a perfect 7-0 record, making them the last undefeated team in the Western Conference, while the New York Liberty also stand at 7-0 in the East. However, the Lynx have struggled to cover the spread, going 0-5 ATS in their last five games. Tonight’s matchup and venue presents an opportunity to reverse that trend. The Lynx previously faced theMercury on May 30th in Phoenix, securing a hard-fought victory in a closely contested game. Playing at home in the Target Center, however, will provide the Lynx with a significant advantage. In their last home game against the Mercury, a playoff matchup, the Lynx won by 13 points. Additionally, in last season’s two regular-season home games against Phoenix, Minnesota secured convincing victories by margins of 13 and 24 points. Historically, the Lynx have dominated this matchup, posting a 9-1 record (6-0 at home) in their last 10 meetings with the Mercury, with seven of those wins by double digits. This will be another decisive Lynx victory. Lay the points.

At 6:00pm Et, my Western Conference Game Of the Year is on Las Vegas. Revenge is on the docket at Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday. On May 25th, the favored Aces suffered a decisive 102-82 loss to the Storm. Perhaps fueled by motivation from its elimination by Las Vegas in last season’s playoffs, the Storm came out strong and were up 22 by halftime. The Aces bounced back with a 15-point victory over Los Angeles on Friday, providing momentum for Sunday. Recall that after Seattle won the first meeting last season, Las Vegas dominated, going 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 against the spread in the subsequent five games, including an 11-point win in the rematch less than two weeks later. With the current betting line lower than it was for the May 25th game, the revenge-minded visitors are providing us with strong value. Play on Las Vegas

At 6:00pm ET, my Super Smash is on Las Vegas. The Aces didn't cover last game but I like the way that they battled back to win the game. They were down nine points going into the 4th quarter. They will carry the momentum from that comeback into today's game at Climate Pledge Arena. The Aces are favored for a good reason. They've got superior offensive efficiency and a championship pedigree. They also have an ability to exploit Seattle’s depleted roster. The Aces boast a potent lineup led by A’ja Wilson, the reigning WNBA MVP, who averages 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds per game, consistently dominating against Seattle’s frontcourt. Despite injuries to key depth players like Megan Gustafson and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, Las Vegas maintains a strong core with Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray, and Kelsey Plum, contributing to a 46.9% effective field-goal percentage compared to Seattle’s 42.8%. The Storm are missing key players like Katie Lou Samuelson and Jordan Horston. Their lack of depth will make it difficult to counter the Aces’ balanced attack. Lay the small number with the better team.

At 1:00pm ET, my WNBA Early Riser is on New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Under. The Liberty have been scoring a lot of points which is reflected in this high total. Indiana should be able to slow them down. After Indiana's last game, Fever coach Stephanie White made the following statement: "I felt like our defensive energy, physicality, and disruption was better. We made it more difficult for them, moving the ball around the perimeter. We executed better in our ball screen defense. I felt like we had each other's back a little bit more and we played through breakdowns." NY's last visit here had a total of 174 and finished with only 161. Play on the under.

At 10:00pm ET, my WNBA Game Of The Month is on Las Vegas. Off a road loss versus an expansion team, the Washington Mystics face a formidable challenge as they travel to face the Las Vegas Aces in the Aces' home opener at Michelob ULTRA Arena. Coming off a commanding 25-point road victory in their last game, the Aces are poised to make a strong statement in front of their home crowd. After a disappointing playoff loss in their most recent home game, Las Vegas is highly motivated to deliver a dominant performance against Washington. Historically, the Aces have dominated this matchup, winning all three encounters last season by double-digit margins, including a 21-point rout at home. Expect Las Vegas to capitalize on its momentum and home-court advantage to secure a decisive victory tonight. Lay the points. 

At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA GOW is on the NY Liberty. It's been an amazing season and a highly entertaining finals. These are the 2 best teams and it's only fitting that this game decides it all. (Next year, the Finals will be a Best Of 7.) By working all year, New York earned the right to play this game on its home floor. All that all that hard work , the Liberty will now be rewarded as home court advantage will be huge. In a back-and-forth affair and playing at home, the Lynx staved off elimination with an 82-80 win. Liberty coach Sandy Brondello pointed out that Minnesota had 20 free throw attempts compared to New York's 9. Now at home and with Brondello having loudly made everyone aware, the Lynx won't have that kind of free throw disparity again. The Lynx can be proud but New York's depth, length and pace combined with homecourt will be too much to overcome. Play on New York.

At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA Playoff Game Of The Year is on the NY Liberty. Tuesday's game might have been a blowout but Minnesota still just played a really hard-fought series against Connecticut. It was back and forth and they played the full 5 games. Beating the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last season was a big step for the Lynx but they're not quite ready to take the next one. With only Wednesday off, the Lynx still haven't really had a chance to catch their breath. The Liberty are rested and waiting for them. They lost in the finals last year and it started by getting blown out on the road by the Aces in Game 1. This year they will have learned from that experience. They will be the team with "Finals Experience" which jumps all over the team without in Game 1. Minnesota was the best team in the West this year but New York was the best team overall. Lay the points.

At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA Playoff Payoff is on Minnesota. This series has gone back and forth After Connecticut took Game 1, Minnesota earned the split with a Game 2 win. In Game 3, the Lynx reclaimed homecourt advantage with a wire-to-wire victory. The Sun responded with their best effort in Game 4 and now here we are here. It's a fitting place to be for this season's top 2 defensive teams. The Lynx may have lost their first game of this series here but they earned the right to play this deciding Game 5 here by being the better team. They haven't lost 2 games in a row since back in July. They got knocked out by the Sky last season. Now they will have their vengeance and end Connecticut's season. Lay the small number.

At 5:00pm ET, my WNBA Playoff Payoff is on Connecticut. This series is going the distance. After Connecticut took Game 1, Minnesota earned the split with a Game 2 win. In Game 3, the Lynx reclaimed homecourt advantage with a wire-to-wire victory. Now, the Sun will respond with their biggest and best effort. This series was never going to be easy for either team. Both are tenacious on defense, the top 2 defensive teams in the league. They faced each other in the playoffs last year, the Sun winning. Connecticut will make adjustments and will be much better defensively. Three times in the regular season, the Sun lost 2 games in a row. They responded with a victory the next game every time. They will do so again today.

At 9:30pm ET, my WNBA Playoff-Payoff is on the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are down 2-0 in the series. No team in WNBA history has come back from a 2-0 deficit to win a Best of 5 series. The Aces aren't just any team though and we aren't asking them to come back and win the series. We just need the defending champions to win a game on their home floor and to avoid the sweep. That's not asking too much, in my estimation. The Aces didn't play their best and were still right there in Game 2. Coach Becky Hammon said: "We're not doing what we need to do to win basketball games, not at a high enough level. It's not good enough." Hammon will get more from the Aces on Friday and it "will be enough." Don't count out the champs yet!

At 9:30pm ET, my WNBA Playoff-Payoff is on the Minnesota Lynx. I supported the Sun in Game 1 of this series. These teams had met in last year's playoffs and I expected the visitors to be ready to go in Game 1. The Lynx are going down without a fight. Down a game and in danger of getting knocked out by the same team that ended last season, we will see them at their best on Tuesday. The Lynx had a bad 4th quarter in Game and it cost them. They were the best team in the West for a reason this season though and a big reason is that they bounce back from losses. They were 16-4 at home. The Lynx will increase their intensity level and even up the series.

At 8:30pm, my WNBA Semi-Finals GOY is on the Connecticut Sun. Minnesota had an excellent regular season and finished first in the West. The Lynx had no trouble with Phoenix in the Opening Rd. They gave up a lot of points but made up for it by scoring more than 100 each game. The Mercury were a sub-500 team though, one which gave up an average of 84.75 points per game in the regular season. That was the 4th worst mark in the entire league. Now they face Connecticut which has the best scoring defense in the league. The Sun allow just 73.6 points per game! With a 14-6 road record, the Sun know how to win away from home. The Sun have also won 4 of the past 5 meetings with the Lynx and the only Minnesota win came by only 2 points. As a matter of fact, the past 3 meetings were all very close and decided by only 8 combined points. The Sun knocked the Lynx out of the playoffs last season and will be ready to do give them everything they've got once again. The only Minnesota win this year saw 4 lead changes in the final 23 seconds. This game will also come down to the wire. Grab the points.

At 7:30 ET, my Opening Rd TOY is on Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Under. Game 1 of this series was an absolutely wild ride. Minnesota led 32-19 after the first quarter and extended that lead to 50-27 halfway through the 2nd quarter. The blowout nature of the game changed the tempo and the way that things played out. The Mercury furiously fought back. As a matter of fact, they even managed to take the lead at one point in the 4th quarter. The Lynx took their best shot and responded with their own, coming back for the victory. This one will play out much differently. The 4 regular season games averaged 156 points and the last regular season game at Minnesota finished with only 133. The Lynx had the best defense in the Western Conference this season. That will be on display Wednesday. Play on the under.

At 3:00pm ET, my Opening RD. GOY is on the Connecticut Sun. Indiana has taken a big step forward with Caitlin Clark leading the way. They still aren't ready to win a playoff road game against the Sun though. The "Clark factor" is keeping the line down. Connecticut plays excellent defense and will crank up the intensity. Even as fast as she gets them off, Clark will find it difficult to hit threes. In the regular season, the Sun held opponents to 31.3 percent on 3-point attempts, second lowest in the WNBA, and the 73.6 points they allowed per game was the best in the league. The Sun won the 2 regular season meetings at Mohegan Sun Arena by 21 and by 17. Their defense will be the difference in another big win.

At 10:00pm, my WNBA TOM is on Las Vegas and Seattle over. The Aces are on an under streak which dates back more than 3 weeks. Their first game of September finished over and every game since has gone to the under. The streak ends tonight, in Seattle. The Storm scored 90 points last game. They've hit the 90 mark in 3 of their last 4 games, including each of their past 2 at home. They've scored 85 or more in 4 straight home games and average 83.39 ppg on the season. The Aces scored 84 last game and they've scored 84 and 94 in their last 2 games against Seattle. They average 86.13 ppg, most in the league. Both teams top the 80 mark and the final score goes over the low total. Play on the Over.

At 10pm ET, my Slam Dunk Club play is on the Las Vegas Aces. The Dream covered for me in their last game. That was up in the Pacific Northwest. Now they're down in the desert and they're getting even more points. I'm going against them though as they're coming here at the wrong time. The Aces are not a happy team and they are going to express their anger in the form of a Friday night blowout of the Dream. Las Vegas won the last meeting by 14. That was at Atlanta. The last 2 games in Vegas were both 21-point wins for the Aces. The Aces' ATS skid ends tonight. Play on Las Vegas

At 10:00pm ET, my WNBA GOM is on the Atlanta Dream. This is too many points for a game which is going to be close. The Storm are off a 2-point loss on Monday. Their previous game was a 6-point win and that was preceded by 2 losses and another 6-point win. So, that's no victories by more than 6 in their last 5 games. The Dream are off a 5-point loss and a 2-point loss before that. Those losses were preceded by 3 straight victories and a loss of 7 points. So, that's no losses by more than 7 in their last 6 games. The last time these teams played resulted in a 2-point game. Let's grab the big points. Play on Atlanta.

At 8:00 pm ET, my WNBA GOW is on the Chicago Sky. I'm happy to be getting points with the Sky in a game they should win outright. The Sky are 8-2 straight up and 7-3 versus the spread the past 10 head-to-head meetings. The Mercury won the last game at Phoenix by 18 but the Sky won the last game here at Chicago by 19. Their previous meeting here was a 16-point Chicago win. The Mercury are much better on their home floor (8-4 compared to 5-8) and they will host the Sky on August 18th. The Mercury will win that one but Thursday's game will go to the home underdog Sky. Play on Chicago

At 10:00 ET, my WNBA Western Conf. TOW is on Seattle/Minnesota oven. When the Lynx played here in May the total was 165. Now we're in the 150s. That's too low. Both teams are going to score. Both have a strong chance of going over the 80 mark. Seattle scores 83.5 points a game. Minnesota scores 82.15. Those are both top 5 for ppg in the WNBA. The Storm have scored 89, 97, 95 ,84, 84 and 79 points their last 6 games. The Lynx scored 82 last game and have scored at least 73 in each of their last 3 games. They've scored 70 or more in 7 of their last 8. 7 of the past 10 meetings finished to the over. Play on the Over.

At 7:00pm ET, my WNBA TOY is on the Chicago Sky and New York Liberty over the total. New York plays 2 games in 2 days for the 3rd time. Both previous instances saw the Liberty score more than 90 and the final score go to the over. New York returns home after playing 2 or more road games for the 4th time. All 3 previous instances saw the Liberty score more than 90 and the final score go to the over. This season's earlier meeting at Barclays Center had a total of 168.5 and finished with 171. This lower total offers line value. New York will score big. Chicago has scored more than 80 points in 4 of its last 5 road games. The Sky will do their part. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA GOW is on Las Vegas. The Aces are laying less points at Seattle than they would be if the game was in Las Vegas. That's offering us a lot of line value. With the Storm ahead of Las Vegas in the standings, it might be tempting for some to back the home underdog. Don't do it. Road teams are hitting 55.1% versus the spread in the WNBA this season. Road favorites are covering 55.8% of the time. The last time that the Aces played at Seattle, they were favored by 16.5 points. They won by 16. A much smaller point spread will be easier to beat. Off a 19-point win, the Aces have won 7 of their last 8 games. Every victory game by more than 10. They will cover this small number. Play on Las Vegas.

At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA Western Conf TOY is on Dallas and Las Vegas under. When these teams met a month ago, the total was only 167.5. This is a much larger number which gives us a lot more wiggle room. The Wings were able to score 81 in that game but will have trouble matching that number on the road. They scored 71 points in their last road game and 76 in their previous one. The last 3 meetings have all finished with 176 or fewer points and they averaged less than 159. Las Vegas is off an OT loss. The last time that the Aces had failed to cover, they held their next opponent to 69 points. Play on the under.

At 7:00 ET, my super shootout is on the Over in Washington and Connecticut. Given the way they are currently playing, for a game involving the Mystics, this total is too low. Angered off of 2 straight losses, the Sun are going to put up a lot of points tonight. They will need to because Washington has scored 92 and 97 points its last 2 games. The Mystics are 4-0 to the over their last 4 games. Over the past 3 weeks, they are 6-1 to the over. Even the game which stayed under finished with 155 points. It only went under by a bucket. Four of the past 6 head-to-head clashes have finished with more than 150 points. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA Eastern Conf. TOM is on NY Liberty and Atlanta Under the total. These teams played each other on June 6th. That game had a total listed in the low 160s. New York won 78-61, the final score stayed below the total by more than 20 points. This will be another low score. New York scored 98 yesterday. That was at home against a bad defensive team. Atlanta is better defensively than LA and now NY is playing a road game after playing yesterday. The Liberty won't score nearly as many today. Atlanta often has trouble scoring. As a matter of fact, the Dream score fewer points than any team in the entire league. The number is high. Play on the under.

At 10:00 pm ET, my WNBA Non-Conf GOY is on Las Vegas. The Connecticut Sun have a 13-1 record, best in the WNBA. Yet, the Sun find themselves underdogs. That's because the world champion Las Vegas Aces are back! Las Vegas turned the corner with Wednesday's wire-to-wire win over the Seattle Storm. Five Las Vegas players scored in double-figures. Jackie Young led the Aces with 32 points. A'ja Wilson had 27. Wilson goes over 20 every game and averages 29 points per game. When she gets that of help from Young and the rest of her teammates, the Aces are nearly impossible to beat. The Sun have been beating bad teams but when they faced NY, they lost by 7. The Aces have won 3 of the past 4 h2h meetings and the last 2 games here were wins of 14 and 18 points. Play on Las Vegas.

At 12:00 pm ET, my WNBA TOM is on Chicago and Dallas under the total. This is an opportunity for 2 struggling teams to have a chance for a victory. Chicago is 4-9 and Dallas is 3-10. Dallas has lost 8 straight. Chicago has lost 4 in a row and 6 of 7. The majority of those losses have been going over the total. That's been a result of the opposition scoring. These teams are both in the bottom half of the league in scoring. The chance to break their losing streaks on the line, we will see some extra effort on defense this afternoon. The last h2h meeting finished with 157 and this one will also fall below the 160 mark. Play on the Under.

At 10:00 ET, my Western Conf. GOM is on the LA Sparks. Presently, the Lynx (6-2) have the best record in the Western Conference. The Sparks (2-6) have the worst. The gap isn't as wide as you might think though and a big number is offering us a whole lot of value with the home underdog.

Games between these teams are almost always close. Eight straight meetings have been decided by single-digits. The last 7 meetings were all won by 7 points or less. The Sparks' last 3 home games were all decided by 5 points or less. They lost by 1 to Dallas their last game here. This will be another close game and I recommend taking the points. Play on LA.

At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA GOM is on the New York Liberty. The Liberty smashed Indiana over the weekend. The 36-point destruction has New York feeling good. Now the Liberty can go about the business of getting their revenge from a shocking upset home loss on May 24th. New York was favored by 16.5 points on that day but Chicago won 90-81.

The Liberty followed up the loss to Chicago by losing at Minnesota 2 days later. They have since won 3 in a row and have found their groove. The same Indiana team which New York just crushed had beaten Chicago the previous day. The Sky have now dropped 3 of their last 4. NY was favored by 9 points its last game here and won by 17. This will be another blowout and the lower line is offering exceptional value. Play on New York.

AT 7:30 ET, my Eastern Conf. GOM is on the New York Liberty. A week ago, I said this about Las Vegas: "The defending champions have yet to play up to their full potential. Now that they have a few games under their belts, we will see a more complete performance." Since then, the Aces have been annihilating their opponents. Today, I will say the same thing about New York: "The defending Eastern Conference champions have yet to play up to their full potential. Now that they have a few games under their belts, we will see a more complete performance."

The Liberty won a close game the last time that they were on the court. They were up by 13 at halftime but allowed Phoenix to come back and make a game of it. They will learn from the experience and keep the intensity level at full throttle the whole game tonight. The Mystics are really bad right now. they have lost all 7 of their games. Their last road game was a 32-point loss. They will get crushed by the Liberty tonight. Play on New York.

At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA Western Conf. GOM is on the Las Vegas Aces. The Minnesota Lynx are temporarily on top of the Western Conference. I use the word temporarily as the Aces will take over that spot once they win tonight's game. At the moment, Minnesota is 4-1 and Las Vegas is 3-1.

The Aces found their groove last game. The 99-80 pounding of Indiana saw the champions regain their swagger. They are 8-1 the last nine meetings with Lynx. Seven of the 8 wins came by 6 or more points. The last 2 games at Minnesota saw the Aces win by 18 and 24 points. Still the superior squad, they will cover this small number. Play on Las Vegas.

At 9:00 ET, my Cakewalk selection is on the Las Vegas Aces. The defending champions have yet to play up to their full potential. Now that they have a few games under their belts, we will see a more complete performance.

The Fever are outmatched to begin with. They also played last night, winning at Los Angeles. This will be 2 games in 2 days and 3 road games in 4 days. Las Vegas is not the place you want to play when you've got tired legs! Indiana got blown out by 21 at Connecticut and by an average of 23.5 in the two games when facing NY. This will be another cakewalk. Play on Las Vegas.

My WNBA Game Of The Month is on Atlanta against Phoenix at 10:00 pm et on Saturday. Homecourt won't be enough for the Mercury to overcome the absence of Brittany Griner and the superior talent of the Dream. Phoenix is already 0-1 while Atlanta is 1-0.

To be fair, winning their opener was going to be a tough task for the Mercury, as they were at Las Vegas. This is another difficult assignment. It doesn't help that this game is sandwiched between 2 road games at Vegas. Phoenix returns to Sin City again for its next game. They'll finally get an easier game after that, as Washington will visit Phoenix on May 23.

The Dream got 12 or more points from 4 of their 5 starters in their first game, 9 points or more from all 5. Playing on the road, they pulled away and dominated the 4th quarter. The Dream are 5-1 versus the spread the past 6 meetings with the Mercury. Play on Atlanta.

The Aces won a high-scoring Game 1. Worked for me, I had Las Vegas. The Liberty don't usually allow that many points though. We can expect a better defensive effort from them tonight. They allowed 87 or less after all their previous 9 losses, less than 80 in seven of those. The Liberty will improve defensively but they will still find scoring difficult. The under is still 7-3-1 the last 11 Aces' home games. The Aces dominated defensively in the Finals last year, Game 2 finishing with 156 points. This one stays beneath the total. *Playoff TOY

The two best teams meet again. New York has taken three of the past four meetings dating back to a memorable 99-61 blowout back in early August. The Aces are still the class of the league though. They won by 13 the last time that the teams played here in Vegas. They're 19-1 on this floor. Liberty are 2-10 ATS their last 12 road games against the Aces. Vegas is 4-1 ATS the last 5 times it played with 3 or more day's rest. All 10 of the last 10 meetings have been decided by more than 5 points. Most were blowouts. So, I'm not going to worry about laying this small number. *WNBA Playoff GOY

The Sun stole Game 1 but the Liberty have stormed back to win the next two. They're favored to make it three in a row Sunday afternoon. The total is where I'm focusing my attention. Its a close-out game but its a higher total than either of the past two games. NY's close out game with Washington had only 152 points at the end of regulation. (Twenty-three more were scored in OT.) Even after the Game 3 result, the under is 13-6-1 the past 20 meetings between these teams in Connecticut. Nothing easy in this one. Defense rules the day! *Eastern Conf TOY

The series is tied 1-1. The Sun covered both meetings at New York and got the straight-up split. The Liberty know that they need to reclaim homecourt advantage. With this game now being played at Connecticut, the line is much lower on NY than it was for the first two games. If they win, as I believe that they will, they don't have a big number to worry about covering. Each of the past seven meetings was decided by five or more points. The Liberty were 17-3 on the road this season. That was the best road record in the league. In fact, both these teams had better records away from home. The Liberty are the better team and they'll show it. Lay the points. *WNBA GOM

Game 1 saw these teams combine for 180 points. Forty-eight of those came in the final quarter. Game 2 has a higher total but will produce a lower final score. The Aces can score but can also dominate teams defensively. They held Chicago to 70 and 59 points in the two games of the opening round. Both those games fell below the total. They'll flex their defensive muscles in this one and keep the final score below the large number. *WNBA Total Of The Month

We’ve got a high total tonight in this WNBA matchup between Dallas and Seattle. Well, maybe it’s not that high considering the O/U line for these teams' respective season openers closed at 161.5 and 165.5. 

But the key is Seattle gave up 105 in a horrific 41-point loss to Las Vegas. They let the Aces shoot 55% for the game.

I think the value is squarely on the Under for tonight’s game. Though it was “just one game,” the Storm certainly will be cognizant of being better at the defensive end. 

Las Vegas hit 11 of 18 three-point attempts in that game, an absurd percentage (61.1%). No way Dallas is doing that tonight. 

In fact, these two teams combined to go just 15 of 41 from three in their first games. Take the Under. 10* 

The set-up: After a 2-4 start, the New York Liberty come in on top form having won two straight. Overall the Liberty have averaged 79.7 PPG, while allowing 82. Tina Charles leads the nightly charge with 21.3 points and 9.2 boards per game. Las Vegas has been sliding of late and has fallen back under .500. On the year the Aces average 82.2 PPG and concede 78.6. Kayla McBride leads Las Vegas with 17.2 points and five boards per game. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and I believe those trends continue here. Outright win? Unlikely. But I think this will be much more competitive that what this spread would suggest.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Liberty are 5-0 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest, while the Aces are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven following a SU loss. New York just beat the Aces at home as a ten point dog (allowed just 35.4 percent shooting in that one.) No ATS revenge today for the home side, grab as many points as you can.

10* GAME OF WEEK LIBERTY

The set-up: Derek Fisher is the new head coach of the LA Sparks. LA though has to start the season without star Candace Parker, who is on the IL for the next five weeks. Nneka Ogwumike is an MVP and she’s going to be leaned upon heavily here. The Aces though have title hopes in their eyes this season after acquiring Liz Cambage in the off-season. Las Vegas is loaded with talent and Cambage won’t be playing here, but I still think that talented guards Kayla McBride, Kelsey Plum and rookie Jackie Young will have more than enough to carry the load. 

The pick: With a packed house, I think this young Aces team takes it to LA in a statement situation. Play the home side on the money-line.

Las Vegas Aces (Moneyline)

10* play

The set-up: These teams have played three times and the Lynx are 2-1. Minnesota will look to take the season series here against the lowly Sky and get back on track after an 81-72 home loss to Seattle on Sunday. Chicago is simply playing out the season, as it’ll miss the playoffs.

The teams: Minnesota clinched a spot in the post-season after back-to-back road wins and it wasn’t able to carry that momentum over in the loss to the Storm. This would be considered its only “cream puff” left to end the season though, with a tough road match up in Connecticut on Friday, followed by a regular-season ending match-up at home against Washington. I think Maya Moore and company come to play today as they take into account their upcoming tougher schedule.

The Sky have lost three of their last four. They put up a valiant fight in Connecticut on Sunday, but still came away with the 82-75 setback. Chicago faces another bottom feeder in Indiana in a home and home series over the weekend, so the squad gets caught “looking ahead” here as well in my opinion.

The pick: I like Minnesota to come in focused on the task at hand and I look for it to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover as the game comes down the stretch. Lay the points.

The set-up: These teams have already played twice this year and each has won on its home floor. Suffice it to say, I think this trend carries over here.

The teams: Seattle comes in off a 100-77 setback at Washington on Thursday and I predict another “letdown” here as well. The Storm will close out the year with two “cream puffs” at home against the Liberty and Wings, so I’m expecting the visitors to get caught “looking ahead.” The Storm are led by Brenna Stewart with 22.2 points and 8.1 boards per game while Sue Bird added 7.3 assister per night.

Minnesota comes in off back-to-back victories and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. The Lynx are led by Maya Moore with 18.4 PPG, while Sylvia Fowles adds 11.9 boards.

The pick: Both teams have already clinched a playoff spot, but as I mentioned off the top, I think the Storm get caught looking ahead here to their final two games of the season in friendly confines. Play on Minnesota.

The set-up: I played against the Aces in their home loss to Minnesota on Thursday, but I think Las Vegas offers great value to bounce back (ATS) at home on Saturday night. These teams have played twice this year and Las Vegas has won both times and while I do always take the “revenge angle” into account when doing my handicapping, I don’t think it’s going to apply here. 

The teams: Indiana is just plain terrible, the worst team in the league. After a short two-game win streak, the Fever came back down to Earth in a 94-79 loss to Seattle at home on Tuesday. Indiana is in action at Phoenix on Friday night as well, so clearly the visitors come in with “heavy legs” as well.

Las Vegas has lost five straight and it’ll be eager to break that slide. Note that the Aces don’t play again until Wednesday as well, so we can absolutely expect a full focused effort from the home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after a three or more straight unbeaten streak. Lay the points.

The set-up: This is a revenge game for the Sky after Connecticut hammered them 110-72 on their own floor earlier in the season. It’s also the opening game of a home and home set between the clubs. While I’m not predicting an outright victory, I do think that the Sun will “look past” their lowly opponent today and I like the Sky to sneak in through the back door for the comfortable ATS cover once it’s all said and done.

The teams: The Sun are primed for a letdown after clinching a playoff spot with a victory over the Wings on Wednesday. It was Connecticut’s fifth straight victory. The Sun are led by Chiney Ogwumike with 14.4 points, while Jasmine Thomas added 4.6 assists.

The Sky won’t be playing in the post-season, but they won’t be going down without a fight here after back-to-back losses. Chicago is led by Allie Quigley with 16.1 PPG, while Courtenay Vandersloot adds 8.4 assists. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Connecticut is already just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a three-games or more SU unbeaten streak, while Chicago is 3-1 ATS In its last four in trying to revenge an “in season” setback to an opponent. Grab the points, play on the Sky.

The set-up: These teams have played twice this season already and each has won on the others floor. I think that trend continues here, as I like Minnesota to at the very least keep this one competitive until the final moments.

The teams: Minnesota broke a three-game slide with a victory at Chicago on Tuesday and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. The Lynx are led by Maya Moore with 17.8 points per game, with Danielle Robinson adding 3.4 assists. Sylvia Fowles leads the nightly charge on the glass with 11.6 boards.

Las Vegas has lost three straight, most recently getting hammered 109-100 at Atlanta on Tuesday. The Aces are led by A’ja Wilson with 20.4 points and 8.3 boards per game, while Kelsey Plum adds 3.9 assists.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing 65 points or less in its last contest, while Las Vegas is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more SU losses. Play on the Lynx

The set-up: These teams have played twice this year and each has won its home floor. New York took the first game 81-75, before LA won 80-54 in the the most recent. I think this trend carries over in this one as I like the Liberty to battle tough and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

The teams: After back-to-back wins and with a game tomorrow night in Atlanta, this one sets up as a classic “look-ahead” spot for the visitors in my professional opinion. LA is led by Candace Parker with 18.1 points and 7.9 boards per game, while Chelsea Gray adds 5.4 assists.

No need to question New York’s focus today after seven straight losses, most recently a 96-80 setback to Seattle. The Liberty don’t play again until Sunday either, so I’m fully expecting a concerted effort here from the home side in this one. New York is led by Tina Charles with 19.6 points and 7.2 boards per game.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after six or more SU losses. Desperation leads the Liberty to a solid cover on Wednesday.

The set-up: Note that this is a revenge game for New York after it fell 77-62 to the Storm at home earlier in the season. Seattle though comes in complacent here in my opinion after three straight victories, while also getting caught “looking ahead” to its game at Indiana tomorrow afternoon. New York though will be taking nothing for granted after six straight losses.

The teams: Seattle is led by Breanna Stewart with 22.5 points and 8.1 boards per game, while Sue Bird adds 7.4 assists.

The Liberty are led by Tina Charles with 19.6 points and 7.2 boards per game, while Brittany Boyd adds 5.3 assists.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but New York is 7-3 in its last ten after four or more consecutive SU losses. No need to over think this one, as I think a revenge minded and determined Liberty team catches the Storm “off guard.” Play on New York.

The set-up: They Lynx come in off an 85-75 setback at Seattle on Friday night and I think they’re primed for another letdown here as well. These teams have played each other twice this year and so far they’re 1-1.

The teams: Atlanta has won nine of its last ten, most recently an 89-74 victory at home over Chicago on Friday. The Dream are led by Tiffany Hayes with 17.3 points, while Renee Montgomery averages 3.4 assists. Jessica Breland leads the nightly charge on the glass with 8.1 boards per game.

The Lynx are led by Maya Moore with 17.4 PPG, while Danielle Robison directs the point with 3.2 assists per night. Sylvia Fowles leads the way on the glass with 11.7 boards per game.

The pick: The Lynx return home after losing two straight on the road. Minnesota is struggling to find offensive consistency right now and I think the Dream can smell the blood in the water. I look for Atlanta to leave town with a comfortable ATS cover tonight.

The set-up: These teams have played three times and the Sparks are 2-1. LA won 77-76 in Minnesota in the first one, 77-69 at home in the second one, before then falling 83-72 in Minnesota in the latest on July 5th. Minnesota has won three straight and with a tough one on the road in Seattle tomorrow night, the Lynx get caught looking ahead here in my opinion. The Sparks on the other hand have lost two of three and have had a night off to absorb an 81-71 loss to the Dream on Tuesday.

The teams: The Lynx are led by Maya Moore with 18.2 PPG, while Lindsay Whalen directs the point with 3.3 assists per night. Sylvia Fowles leads the charge on the glass with 11.7 board a game.

The Sparks are led by Candace Parker with 18 PPG, while Chelsea Gray adds 5.3 assists per night. Parker also leads the rebound department with 7.5 per night.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota is already just 5-8 ATS this year after allowing 75 points or more in its previous contest, while LA is already 6-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite. Play on the Sparks.

The set-up: These teams have played each other three times this year and so far Phoenix has gone 2-1, winning 72-66 in the first first one, 92-80 on the road in the second one, before then falling 85-82 in the most recent at home back on the 19th.

The teams: The Mercury are the deeper and more experienced team led by Diana Taurasi with 20.3 PPG, She also leads the team in assists with 4.8 per night. It’s Brittney Griner though who controls the glass with 7.2 per game.

The Aces are led by 20 points a night by A’ ja Wilson, while Kelsey Plum directs the show with 3.4 assists per game. Wilson also leads the charge on the glass with 8.6 per night. 

The pick: The Aces come in off back-to-back wins and have a date in the Nation’s capital on Friday night. I think the home side comes in complacent gets caught “looking ahead” here. Phoenix on the other hand comes in desperate this week. After its game against Seattle at home on Tuesday night, I think the Phoenix will catch Las Vegas off guard on Wednesday. Grab the points, play on the Mercury. 

The set-up: Note that this is a revenge game for the Dream after they fell 72-64 in LA earlier in the season. This is a matchup of two of the better defensive clubs in the league. It also features two of the best players in Tiffany Hayes and Candace Parker.

The teams: The Dream are 15-9 and in second place. They’ll be eager to avenge the earlier loss and to stay ahead of the No. 3 Sparks. Atlanta comes in on top form, having won seven straight, while LA has been shaky with a 4-6 record over its last ten. 

Atlanta most recently layed the smack down in Seattle with an 87-74 win. Elizabeth Williams had 17 points for the Dream in that one..

The Sparks got back on track with a win over the Chicago Sky in their latest action. Parker had 19 points in that one, while Nneka Ogwumike had 18 points and 11 boards. 

The pick: As mentioned off the top, this is a matchup of two of the better defensive clubs in the league, as the Sparks allow 77.4 PPG, while the Dream allow 78.9. But LA has struggled with offensive consistency over the last month, while Atlanta is surging right now, playing with complete chemistry. It’s a perfect storm of factors working in favor of the visitors tonight. Play on Atlanta.

The set-up: Liz Cambage scored a WNBA best 53 points in the Dallas Wings’ victory last Tuesday, but they’re in action on Thursday night against a tough Washington Mystics side at home. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” Chicago will look to take advantage and to also avenge an earlier loss to the Wings.

The teams: Dallas is not surprisingly led by Cambage with 21.4 PPG, while Skylar Diggins-Smith adds 6.5 assists. Cambage also leads the way on the glass with 9.2 boards per night.

The Sky are led by Allie Quigley with 16.1 PPG, while Courtenay Vandersloot adds 7.6 assists. Cheyenne Parker chips in 6.3 boards per game.

The pick: Clearly Dallas will be tired here in the second game of the back-to-back. Chicago though comes in rested and focused and take it for what you will, but note that the Sky are 16-8 ATS in their last 24 in trying to revenge an “in season” SU loss to an opponent in which it gave up 100 or more points in. A great situational play on the Chicago Sky.

The set-up: Dallas Wings’ Liz Cambage just broke the WNBA record with 53 points in her team’s 104-87 win over New York. Cambage is only one player, but after such a momentous occasion, I believe the entire team suffers a mental letdown here. These teams haven’t played yet this year, as this marks the first of three between them. Washington and Elena Delle Donne will look to take advantage.

The teams: Delle Donne leads the Mystics with 20.6 PPG, while Natasha Cloud adds 4.5 assists. Delle Donne is also the leader on the boards with 6.9 per game.

Cambage leads the way offensively for the Wings with 21.4 PPG, while Skylar Diggins-Smith adds 6.5 assists. Cambage also leads the way with 9.2 boards per night.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after being held to 80 points or less in its previous contest (fell 80-77 to open its five-game road trip), while Dallas is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 100 points or more. With a game tomorrow night in Chicago, I think the Mystics also get caught “looking ahead” in this one. Play on Washington.

The set-up: Home floor advantage has meant little so far in the season series between these clubs, with the Fever winning 71-59 at Minnesota, before the Lynx responding with an 87-65 win at Indiana a week later. After beating the Fever on July 11th, Minnesota has since dropped two straight home games. The Fever though are in a complete “free fall” right now, having dropped four in a row.

The teams: Indiana is led by Kelsey Mitchell with 13.5 PPG, while Erica Wheeler dishes out 4 assists per night. Natalie Achonwa leads the way on the boards with 6.8 per night.

The Lynx are led by Maya Moore with 18 PPG, while Lindsay Whalen added 3.6 assists. Sylvia Fowles controls the boards with 11.9 per night. 

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Indiana is 3-7 ATS in its last ten after a three games or more SU winless streak, while Minnesota is 6-2 in its last eight after back-to-back SU/ATS home losses. The Fever get caught “looking ahead” here to their West coast game on Friday night at the Sparks and the Lynx take full advantage and get back on track with a big effort in the final game of their current three-game home stand. Lay the points.

The set-up: Two red hot teams collide on Tuesday night. The Atlanta Dream have won four straight, while the Connecticut Sun have won two in a row. Ultimately I believe that the home court advantage will prove to be the difference maker in this one.

The teams: The Dream come in having won four straight. Atlanta is led by Tiffany Hayes with 17.3 PPG, while Alex Bentley dishes out 4.3 assists per night. Jessica Breland leads the charge on the boards with 8.2 a night.

The Sun have won back-to-back games, most recently 83-64 on the road in Minnesota (I had Connecticut in that one) and they are led by Chiney Ogwumike with 15 points per night, while Alyssa Thomas adds 4.5 assists per game. Thomas also leads the way on the boards with 9.4 per night.

The pick: These teams are very familiar with each other and as I mentioned off the top, I do indeed believe that “home court” will play a significant role in the outcome of this one, as note that the Sun smashed the Dream 74-58 at home in the first meeting between the clubs this year, before Atlanta then won both subsequent home games, 82-77 and 75-70. With a chance for revenge after back-to-back losses in this series, I look for Connecticut to build off its recent win skein, while everything does definitely point to a letdown finally for the Dream after their recent run of success. Play on the Sun.

The set-up: The last time these teams played, the Sun smashed the Lynx 89-75. I’m expecting another decisive affair here as well. Connecticut comes in ranked third in the East with an 11-10 record, while Minnesota is ranked fifth in the West with a 12-9 record.

The teams: The Sun are led by Chiney Ogwumike with 15.7 PPG, while Alyssa Thomas directs the show with 4.7 assists a night. Thomas also leads the nightly charge on the glass with 9.7 per game.

The Lynx are led by Maya Moore with 18.6 PPG, while Lindsay Whalen chips in 3.8 assists per night. Sylvia Fowles contributes with 12 board per game.

The pick: The Sun broke a three-game slide with a 91-87 win over Phoenix on Friday and I think they’ll carry that momentum over at home here as well. The Lynx come in off a deflating 85-77 home loss to Las Vegas and I believe they’re primed for another letdown here also. Play on Connecticut.

The set-up: Minnesota is 12-8, but it still sits just fourth in the competitive Western Conference. After a slow start the Las Vegas Aces have looked a bit better of late, but they are still in last place in the West with a 9-12 record. “Revenge” is a powerful motivating factor though and I think it’ll ultimately prove to be the difference maker here.

The teams: Las Vegas lost at home to Minnesota 88-73 back on June 24th. The Aces are led by A’ja Wilson with 20.6 PPG, while Kelsey Plum runs the show with 3.7 assists per night. Wilson also leads the nightly charge on the boards with 8.5 a game.

Minnesota is led by Maya Moore with 19 PPG, while Danielle Robinson dishes out 3.8 assists per night. Sylvia Fowles leads the way in the rebounding department 11.8 per game.

The pick: The Aces have been quietly dominating, coming into this one having won three straight, most recently a blowout 98-74 victory over Chicago. After a seven-game unbeaten streak, Minnesota has split its last four games, most recently coming off an 87-65 win over Indiana. I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing the Aces’ improvement though and combined with the very real “revenge factor,” all signs point to the points as the correct call. Play on Las Vegas.

The set-up: Indiana is 2-17, while Minnesota is 11-8. One of Indiana’s two victories occurred against these very Lynx (71-59). Minnesota comes in off a 77-63 loss to Chicago, but with a date at home against bottom feeder Las Vegas on Friday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent again.

The teams: Minnesota is led by Maya Moore with 18.9 PPG, while Lindsay Whalen directs the show with 3.7 assists per night. Sylvia Fowles leads the charge on the boards with 11.9 per game.

The Fever are led by Kelsey Mitchell with 14.4 PPG, while Erica Wheeler adds 3.9 assists. Natalie Achonwa leads the way on the boards with 7.2 per night.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Minnesota is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Indiana is 6-3 ATS in its last nine after allowing 90 points or more (just lost 90-63 to Dallas.) I’m banking on the Lynx getting caught looking ahead. Play on Indiana.