|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|11-29-21||Montana v. Oregon -12.5||47-87||Win||100||13 h 27 m||Show|
Montana is pretty good, but I expect Oregon to lay the hammer down from start to finish tonight.
The Grizzlies are 4-2, most recently scoring a 74-62 win over Southern Miss on Friday. Lonnell Martin Jr. had 20 points in the victory.
Oregon is 3-3 after back-to-back losses. Most recently the Ducks got smashed 78-49 by HOuston. Eric Williams Jr. had 13 points in the losing cause.
Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Montana excels on the defensive end, conceding just 60.3 PPG. Oregon isn't far behind allowing 66.5.
The Ducks have routinely been one of the best defensive teams in the nation, but there's still lots of time to make adjustments.
Both teams also sport similar offensive numbers.
Montana's early schedule has to be called into question here. Also note that the Grizzlies are a terrible 1-5 against the spread in their last six on the road.
When Montana faced Mississippi State this year, it conceded 86 points.
I'm laying the points here and expecting a blowout. Oregon 8* PLAYBOOK.
|11-27-21||Texas-Arlington +15.5 v. Utah State||Top||61-80||Loss||-107||12 h 49 m||Show|
UTA has lost all four games it's played this year against Division 1 opponents and its path doesn't get any easier this evening at Utah State. All that said though, I like the Mavericks to keep this one much closer than what this spread is suggesting.
UTA is already quietly turning the corner with its performance, losing to SDSU by six points in its last outing (as a 19-point underdog.)
Utah State enters complacent here after four straight wins. The Aggies won the Myrtle Beach championship with a 73-70 win over the Sooners last Sunday, so this sets up as a classic "trap" for the home side in my opinion.
Utah State may have been undervalued in the betting market up to this point, but now it's the Mavericks who are in that role.
UTA is playing much better now than its earlier struggles and numbers are still pointing to, so expect that progression to continue here.
Grab the points. Texas Arlington 10* GAME OF MONTH.
|11-27-21||Heat -1.5 v. Bulls||107-104||Win||100||11 h 53 m||Show|
The Heat have lost two of their last three, while the Bulls have lost two of three as well.
These are two of the best in the East, but each is looking to snap out of their current mini-slides.
Both teams are loaded with talent, so it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument either way.
The Bulls though are off a satisfying 123-88 road win at Olrando just last night (they're only 1-6 ATS in their last seven after a SU/ATS road win in which they posted 120 or more points in.)
Expect fatigue to be a factor here for Chicago and lay the points. 8* Top Tussle on Heat.
|11-26-21||Wolves +2.5 v. Hornets||115-133||Loss||-101||11 h 16 m||Show|
The Wolves are 9-9, but they come in red hot as they've won five of their last six.
The Hornets are 12-8 overall, and they've won seven of their last eight games.
The Wolves have been sharp defensively, allowing just 105 PPG. The combination of Karl Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards and Patrick Beverley has been very effective.
LaMelo Ball leads the nightly charge for the Hornets. He is averaging 19.8 points, 8.1 boards and 7.7 assists this year. While Charlotte does average 112.2 PPG (ranked third), it struggles defensively, ranked 22nd in defensive rating so far this season.
The Hornets are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten vs. the Western Conference and I think this is a bad matchup for them.
Grab the points, but don't be shocked by an outright. 8* PICK on Wolves.
|11-25-21||Baylor v. VCU +12.5||Top||69-61||Win||100||9 h 33 m||Show|
This is the semi's of the Bad Boy Mowers Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. I like VCU to carry over its momentum here after upsetting Syracuse 67-55 as a 5-point underdog.
It's early, but the Rams average 54 PPG, while allowing 52. Levi Stockard III had 15 points in the victory over the Orange.
Baylor is a perfect 5-0. Its' averaging 85.8 points per game, while conceding 55.6. LJ Cryer had 15 points in the Bears 75-63 win over Arizona State last night.
Clearly VCU will be trying to double down on the defensive end tonight to try and grind out the upset. Expect this one to be much closer than what this line is suggesting. VCU 10* COACHES CORNER.
|11-24-21||Heat v. Wolves +1.5||Top||101-113||Win||100||11 h 39 m||Show|
Miami is off a 100-92 win at Detroit, unable to cover the 10.5-point spread. The Heat have lost two straight ATS. With two nights off after this, followed by a final road game at Chicago, I think Miami gets caught flat-footed again here.
The Wolves are getting zero respect from the oddsmakers. They're slow in realizing how good Minnesota is playing right now. Minnesota has won four straight and covered in five straight. This is the best basketball that Minnesota has played in years.
Note that the Wolves are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 99 or less points in (just beat Pels 110-96 in NO.)
Grab the points. 10* COACHES CORNER on Wolves.
|11-24-21||Hampton +10.5 v. South Florida||52-58||Win||100||9 h 24 m||Show|
The Hampton Pirates are 2-3, and the USF Bulls are 2-2.
Hampton won its first two games, but has since lost three straight. It'll be motivated here and I like wagering on motivated teams. The Pirates most recently lost 86-66 to Georiga Southern, led by Russell Dean with 30 points and three assists.
USF is off a 58-52 loss to Auburn. Caleb Murphy was a bright spot in a losing cause with 19 points.
The Bulls though are a poor 1-9 ATS in their last ten following an ATS victory.
USF gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today as its hangover from the "near miss" vs. the Tigers carries over.
Grab the points. 8* Situational Slam Dunk.
|11-23-21||Heat v. Pistons +10||Top||100-92||Win||100||12 h 7 m||Show|
Is Miami the better team?
Clearly it is.
Am I calling for an outright upset?
I am not.
But I think that Miami comes in complacent here and "plays down" to the level of its competition.
Miami is 11-6 overall, but only 5-5 on the road. It's off a 103-100 loss at Washington.
Detroit is off the 121-116 loss to the Lakers, and it'll be plenty fired up after the scuffle with LeBron James etc.
The Pistons are on the road for a very tough road trip as well after this game, with a game at Milwaukee tomorrow, followed by the Clippers, Lakers, Portland and Phoenix. That puts added importance onto tonight's game to try and "steal" a victory.
Miami on the other hand is in Minnesota tomorrow night, followed by a game at the Bulls. I think the Heat get caught looking ahead.
No outright. Grab the points. 10* COACHES CORNER on Detroit.
|11-23-21||Evansville +8.5 v. Vermont||49-58||Loss||-105||4 h 42 m||Show|
Evansville is 2-4, while Vermont is 3-2.
The Aces lost 109-104 to Rice last time out. Hamar Givance leads the way with 13 points and four assists per game.
So far the Purple Aces have allowed 71.3 PPG, while averaging 63.
The Catamounts are off a 63-61 loss to Oakland. They average 66.2 PPG, while allowing 57.6 (Ryan Davis leads the Catamounts in scoring with 18 PPG.)
The early numbers on paper favor Vermont, but the competition of each side has to be taken into account to this point.
These teams are more evenly matched than what this spread is trying to suggest. Grab the points. 10* GAME OF WEEK Evansville.
|11-22-21||Grizzlies +9 v. Jazz||Top||119-118||Win||100||14 h 24 m||Show|
The Grizzlies had won two straight, scoring at least 120 points in each before getting blown out in their last game.
Ja Morant averages 25.1 PPG for Memphis and he leads four players that average at least 14 PPG.
The Jazz had lost four of five, before now entering this one having won three straight. Six players scored in double figures in the win over the Kings most recently.
One of these teams is desperate to break out of its current slide, while the other comes in complacent.
I think the hungrier team keeps this one competitive down the stretch (note that the Grizz are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS road loss in their last outing.)
Grab the points. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Grizzlies.
|11-22-21||Cal Poly +6 v. Nicholls State||72-75||Win||100||8 h 9 m||Show|
Cal Poly Slo/Nicholls State
This is the Cal Poly Slo men's basketball program's lengthiest road trip in 51 years as the SoCal challenge continues.
Cal Poly looks to snap a three-game slide, and that's noteworthy, as the Mustangs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a three games or longer losing streak.
Nicholls State (3-2), had a three-game, season-opening win streak stopped with B2B road defeats at defending national champion Baylor (89-60) on Nov. 15th and TCU (63-50) on Nov. 1st.
One player to keep your eyes on today is Alimamy Koroma, who is averaging 13.5 PPG this year.
Note as well that Nicholls State is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the -5 to -7.5 points range vs. non-conference opponents.
Grab the points. 8* Cal Poly Slo.
|11-21-21||Southern v. Nebraska -16.5||Top||59-82||Win||100||7 h 21 m||Show|
Southern lost its second straight game in a heart-breaking 71-68 loss to South Dakota State this past Friday. While it won the turnover battle 17-13, it lost the rebound battle by a 37-27 margin. Jayden Saddler had 19 points in a losing cause for the Jaguars.
Southern averages 66 PPG, while allowing 73.5. Nebraska averages 73.8 PPG, while allowing 69.2.
The Cornhuskers enter off a 78-60 win over Idaho State. Keep your eyes on Bryce McGowens today, as he is averaging 16.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1 assist per game in the early going.
The Huskers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five though vs. teams with losing records and 4-0 ATS in their last four against teams with losing road records.
Southern has played decently, but I say this step up in competition will be too much for it to handle.
Lay the points. 10* COACHES CORNER on Nebraska.
|11-20-21||Western Illinois +9.5 v. DePaul||80-84||Win||100||10 h 1 m||Show|
A couple of 3-0 teams collide in this one and I expect it to be a real "nail biter." Western Illinois beat Iowa Wesleyan in its last outing, while DePaul held on for a three-point win over Rutgers in its last outing.
Western Illinois does also have a nice quality win over Nebraska already as well. Will Caries led the team with 16 points, two assists and two steals in their most recent win.
David Jones had 22 points and five boards for DePaul in its last outing against Rutgers.
The Lumberjacks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten as a road favorite though. DePaul managed a win last time out despite getting out-played in several key categories.
No outright, but closer than expected for sure. 8* MAULING on Western Illinois.
|11-20-21||Heat v. Wizards +1.5||Top||100-103||Win||100||9 h 5 m||Show|
Miami is off five straight covers and four straight victories. With two nights off before a game at Detroit though, I think the Heat come out cold here.
Washington plays with revenge after a 112-97 loss at Miami just two nights ago (and that's sigificant to note as the Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last ten in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in.)
I think home court matters in this one for sure. The play is Washington. 10* PLAYBOOK on Washington.
|11-19-21||Bulls v. Nuggets -4||114-108||Loss||-110||15 h 2 m||Show|
In my professional opinion, this is a great "spot bet." A great spot to bet the Nuggets here who come in off back-to-back losses, including last night's humbling 103-89 setback to Philadelphia.
That's back-to-back losses for the Nuggets now after they had won four straight. With a tough two-game road trip at Phoenix and Portland this week, tonight's game takes on added importance to bounce back.
The Bulls have been great this year. They've already exceeded my expectations. They looked impressive in taking out both the Clippers and Lakers to open up their road trip, but off a loss at Portland last time out, I think they're primed for another letdown here in the finale of their Western swing.
Nikola Vucevic is out for the Bulls, to the advantage goes to Nikola Jokic tonight.
The Nuggets are still 4-0 ATS in their last four at home, while the Bulls are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600.
Lay the points. 8* PROFITS on Nuggets.
|11-18-21||Charlotte +4.5 v. Appalachian State||67-66||Win||100||11 h 53 m||Show|
Charlotte is 2-0 and I think it'll take 2-1 App State down to the wire (at the very least!)
Most recently the 49ers beat SC Upstate 76-64, while the Mountaineers hammered William Peace by a score of 98-49 in their last matchup.
The 49ers are led by Jahmir Young, who averages 19.5 PPG, while the Mountaineers are led by James Lewis Jr., who scored 15 points in his team's latest blowout.
App State though is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 or more points in its previous game.
As for Charlotte, it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after two or more straight ATS losses in a row.
Grab the points.
Charlotte. 8* SPECIAL.
|11-17-21||Pelicans +8 v. Heat||98-113||Loss||-105||10 h 52 m||Show|
I don't think New Orleans will win this game straight up. If I did, I'd take it at +280.
But I do think the Pels can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
Clearly Miami is the better team. It's loaded with talent. The Pelicans are still without their best player in Zion Williamson until the new year. If you want a complete break down of every player on both teams and their strengths and weaknesses, then I'd recommend heading over to ESPN for an update.
I'm here to tell you why New Orleans is going to keep this one close!
The Heat have covered in three straight, but with the surging Wizards coming to town tomorrow, I say they get caught "looking ahead."
Grab the points, this one has all the makings of a nail-biter!
8* COACHES PLAY-BOOK Pelicans.
|11-15-21||Suns v. Wolves +4||Top||99-96||Win||100||11 h 46 m||Show|
The Suns are 9-3 after their 115-89 win at Houston last night. With two upcoming home games against Dallas starting on Wednesday, followed by Denver and a four-game road trip, I think Phoenix finally stumbles here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario.
Minnesota is off a 129-102 loss at the Clippers. The night before that they hammered the Lakers 107-83.
Now the Wolves return home and I expect this healthy team to make a game of this one.
Phoenix is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight in the second game of a B2B after holding its previous opponent to 95 or fewer points in the first.
10* GAME OF WEEK Minnesota.
|11-15-21||Northwestern State v. SMU -21||48-95||Win||100||9 h 33 m||Show|
Northwestern State is 1-2 SU, but 3-0 ATS. SMU is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS.
The Demons beat lowly Champion Christian last time out by a score of 91-62. Kendal Coleman had 19 points and 11 boards.
SMU enters off an 86-63 loss to a good Oregon team. Emmanual Bandoumel was good in a losing cause with 14 points, five boards and one assist.
The Mustangs are the bigger and more athletic team. The Demons haven't faced any tough teams yet.
This is a David vs. Goliath matchup, but in this version, Goliath stomps the underdog through the hardwood. 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on SMU.
|11-14-21||Bulls +4.5 v. Clippers||100-90||Win||100||12 h 23 m||Show|
The Bulls West-Coast opener didn't go so well in Golden State, but I think this young, deep and talented visiting side can bounce back here and before the face the Lakers tomorrow night in this building.
This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Clippers, who pulled away for a win and cover against the Wolves last night.
Fatigue is an issue now at this point of the season. LA is dealing with several injury issues as well.
The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a SU/ATS road loss in which they allowed 120 or more points in as well.
I think the outright upset is in the cards. That said, let's grab the points.
8* SITUATIONAL COACHES CORNER on the Bulls.
|11-14-21||Western Kentucky +1.5 v. South Carolina||64-75||Loss||-108||8 h 38 m||Show|
Both teams are 1-1, but I like WKU to come out on top here. The Hilltoppers beat Alabama State, then it came up short against Minnesota.
The Gamecocks enter off a tight loss to Princeton and I believe they'll struggle again here.
After only scoring 23 points in the first half against the Golden Gophers, WKU made a game of it last time out, eventually falling 73-69. I think Davyion McKnight, who had 34 points, nine boards and four assists, and company will keep the momentum rolling here.
South Carolina beat USC Upstate, but then lost 66-62 to Princeton.
Off that 46 point second half, look for the Hilltoppers to keep that good times rolling.
8* MAULING on WKU.
|11-13-21||Wolves +6.5 v. Clippers||102-129||Loss||-104||16 h 52 m||Show|
I like the Wolves to keep the momentum rolling here after their big win over the Lakers last night. The Clippers are off a 112-109 win over Miami, but with a more high-profile nationally televised game against the Bulls here tomorrow night, I think the home side gets caught looking ahead.
Minnesota broke a six-game slide in last night's 107-83 win here against the Lakers last night. Fatigue won't be an issue this early in the season. Note that the Wolves are 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a SU/ATS road victory in which they held their opponent to 90 points or fewer in as well.
I won't call for the upset, but I think the confident Wolves take this one down to the wire again. 8* play on the Wolves.
|11-13-21||Davidson v. San Francisco -7.5||60-65||Loss||-110||14 h 37 m||Show|
Davidson destroyed Delaware 93-71 at home on Tuesday, but I think it'll struggle to duplicate that success in this difficult road venue.
The Dons smashed Prairie View A&M 92-76 on Thursday and they're now 2-0 SU. Davidson was 13-9 last year, but it lost its offensive heart in Kellan Grady to Kentucky.
San Fran won't win the the conference, as it's in the same one as Gonzaga, but this is the best Dons team on the floor in years. They return four starters from last year and are led by Jamaree Bouyea, who had 24 points last time out.
Look for the Wildcats to struggle on the road against this vastly improed Dons team. 8* MAULING on San Francisco.
|11-12-21||Pistons +5 v. Cavs||Top||78-98||Loss||-100||10 h 30 m||Show|
I've been impressed by the Cavaliers this year. They're 7-5 SU and they've won six straight against the spread. The recent loss of Colin Sexton is going to catch up to them though, and I firmly believe that'll be sooner, rather than later.
The Cavs get caught looking ahead to their game here against Boston tomorrow night, while Detroit will look to take advantage.
The Pistons have covered in two straight and they're off a big 112-104 outright win at Houston as 2.5-point underdogs last time out.
This one sets up as a possible outright upset, but grab the points. 10* COACHES CORNER on Pistons.
|11-12-21||VMI +2 v. Presbyterian||Top||72-73||Win||100||10 h 45 m||Show|
The Blue Hose are 0-1, while the Keydets are 1-0. I think VMI is the correct call here.
The Keydets smoked Carlow University in their opener, while Presbyterian fell to Clemson.
The Keydets though are 6-1 ATS in their last seven as a favorite, while teh Blue Hose are interesting 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Friday and just 1-5 ATS in their last six off an ATS victory.
Outright is possible, but I'm grabbing the points. 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on VMI.
|11-11-21||Raptors +2 v. 76ers||Top||115-109||Win||100||12 h 32 m||Show|
I like Toronto to bounce back here after last night's 104-88 loss at Boston.
The 76ers are ravaged by COVID right now and I expect the Raptors to quickly regroup here and to take advantage.
The Raptors have performed well in this position by going 7-1 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. I'm not buying into the "fatigue factor" this early in the season either.
Philadelphia has lost two in a row, and with a six game Western road swing on deck after this, I expect it to go through the motions here as it prepares for that daunting trek.
Look for the Raptors to deliver on Thursday night.
10* COACHES CORNER on Toronto.
|11-11-21||Air Force v. South Dakota -9||Top||53-59||Loss||-110||7 h 47 m||Show|
Air Force/South Dakota.
The home side went 14-11 last year. The Falcons on the other hand won just five games last season, and they have almost an entirely new roster this year (AJ Walker is back, he averaged 15.3 points, 3.0 boards and 2.6 assists.)
Overall the Falcons averaged only 58.7 PPG last year.
South Dakota averaged 79 PPG, and this year it'll lean on A.J. Plitzuweit, who last year averaged 19.0 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game.
The Coyotes have four of their starters back this year. After going 0-4 in non-conference play last year, I think South Dakota comes in focussed here. Lay the points.
10* SPECIAL on South Dakota.
|11-10-21||Florida Atlantic -2 v. New Mexico||Top||92-99||Loss||-110||13 h 11 m||Show|
FAU finished 13-10 last year and it's looking for its third straight winning season under coach Dusty May. New Mexico was terrible last season, finishing 6-16. The Owls went 7-5 in Conf. USA play. There are two double-digit scoring options on FAU. The Owls put up 78.1 PPG last year.
The Lobos have plenty of issues coming into the season. Offense was the biggest issue, as New Mexico averaged only 65.3 PPG.
The Lobos were terrible last year and it's going to take some time for Pitino to gets things turned around. I like the Owls to lay the hammer down here in what will be a hostile environment. 10* Coaches Corner on FAU.
|11-10-21||Hornets +4.5 v. Grizzlies||Top||118-108||Win||100||12 h 28 m||Show|
I'm expecting an all out war until the final horn.
10* PLAY-BOOK on Charlotte. The Hornets played a back-to-back at LA, losing badly to the Clippers, but then bouncing back with a much better effort in what turned out to be an unfortunate 126-123 OT loss to the Lakers.
The Hornets have now lost five in a row (both SU and ATS), but I expect them, at the very least, to give the Grizz everything they can handle tonight.
Memphis off a tiring 125-118 OT home win over the Wolves, so I believe fatigue is a factor here. Also note that it's a look-ahead spot with Phoenix coming to town next.
I believe these teams are evenly matched on paper. That gives the advantage here to the "hungrier" team, which as I've clearly pointed out above, is the Hornets in my opinion. 10* Charlotte.
|11-09-21||Miami-OH v. Georgia Tech -10.5||72-69||Loss||-101||27 h 56 m||Show|
Miami Ohio/Georgia Tech.
I like Georgia Tech to roll over its MAC opponent today. The Yellow Jackets finished 17-9 overall last year, including 11-6 in the ACC. GT returns five of its top seven scorers from last year.
The Jackets warmed up for this game by hosting Morehouse in an exhibition contest on Oct. 31st, defeating the Maroon Tigers, 89-52.
The Redhawks finished 12-11 overall and 9-8 in conference play. Miami will be improved, with nine of its ten players returning, but I still don't think it'll be enough here.
Tech is too deep and I expect it to send an early statement on its own floor. Lay the points, the play is GT.
|11-09-21||Siena v. St Bonaventure -20||Top||47-75||Win||100||27 h 32 m||Show|
Sienna was 12-5 last year, taking the reg. season co-championship in the MAAC, while St. Bonaventure easily won the A-10 and went on to play in the NCAA Tournament.
Siena eventually lost 55-52 to Iona in the Conference Tournament semifinal.
The Bonnies however also won the regular season title over VCU, and eventually fell 76-61 to LSU in the First Round.
The Saints are just 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road. The Bonnies are 22-7-2 ATS in their last 31 at home.
All five senior starters return for St. Bonaventure, so lay the points here!
|10-29-21||Mavs v. Nuggets -2||75-106||Win||100||15 h 34 m||Show|
Dallas Mavs @ Denver Nuggets
Denver is just 2-2. It's definitely looking to rebound off a 122-110 loss at Utah two nights ago.
Here's the perfect opponent and opportunity to do just that. Dallas is now 3-1 after last night's come from behind 104-99 home win over the Spurs. With a much easier home game against Sacramento up next, this sets up as a very real potential letdown spot for the visiting side.
Denver's had two whole nights off to regroup and prepare for this one. The Nuggets hit the road for three straight as well after this, starting in Minnesota tomorrow night. That puts added importance onto this contest for the home side.
Whether Joker plays or not for Denver, I think the well prepared and much hungrier home side is the correct call here.
Kristaps Porzingis is not the players he once was. He's constantly injured and may not even play for Dallas tonight. Luka Doncic is unbelievable, but after shouldering the load last night, I say he comes in fatigued here.
Look for the Nuggets to find a way to deliver here. The play is Denver.
|10-27-21||Hornets -6 v. Magic||120-111||Win||100||11 h 23 m||Show|
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
The Hornets have been pretty good in the early going. They're 3-1. That includes going 2-0 straight-up and against-the-spread on the road.
The Magic have been pretty much garbage to open, as they're just 1-3. That includes going 0-1 SU/ATS at home.
Off a tough 140-129 OT home loss to Boston, a game that they led most of the way, I expect this young and talented Hornets team to take out its frustrations on this young and rebuilding Magic side.
Orlando was most recently torched 107-90 at Miami on Monday.
A game at home is not what the doctor ordered either to get back on track for the Magic, who are a putrid 1-8-1 ATS in their last ten at home (also a disturbing 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 as an underdog.)
The Hornets on the other hand are 38-12-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs a team with a winning percentage below .400.
Everything is in place for a lop-sided road destruction for the Hornets. The play is Charlotte.
|10-24-21||Grizzlies +6 v. Lakers||118-121||Win||100||14 h 9 m||Show|
Memphis Grizzlies @ LA Lakers
The Grizzlies are off a relatively simple 120-114 road win here over the Clippers just last night and I expect them to keep the momentum rolling here. If this were the end of the season, I'd likely avoid playing on a team in the second game of a back-to-back, but in this case, I don't expect fatigue to be an issue whatsoever.
Instead, I think Ja Morant and the opportunistic Grizz are to send a statement by beating both LA teams on two straight night's in their own building.
Morant had 28 points in last night's win, while De'Anthony Melton added 22 points on nine of 16 shooting.
The Lakers have issues. They're 0-2, most recently falling 115-105 at home to the Suns. LA shot just 39 percent from the field in the setback.
LA is also 0-4 ATS in its last four home games.
I expect this one to come right down to the wire. As such, grab the points and the Grizzlies.
|10-19-21||Warriors +5 v. Lakers||121-114||Win||100||207 h 12 m||Show|
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers
These teams put together very different preseasons and I think their performances matter to open the season.
Golden State went 5-0 and LA went 0-6. The Lakers have plenty of talent, but they'll be without the services of Trevor Ariza, Wayne Ellington, Malik Monk, Kendrick Nunn and Talen Horton-Tucker. The Warriors will be without the services of Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson and James Wiseman.
The preseason is not a good indicator of what will transpire in the regular season, but Golden State comes in with confidence and while it may struggle to post an outright upset, I do think this one will get decided in the final moments.
Because of that, let's grab the points! The play is the Warriors.
|07-17-21||Bucks v. Suns -3.5||123-119||Loss||-108||11 h 53 m||Show|
The home team has won each game so far, and I believe that it will continue here in Game 5. The Bucks have been excellent the past two games, especially 2-time MVP and DPOY Giannis Antetokoumnpo. The Greek Freak had 41, 13 and 6 in Game 3 in that crucial game. He followed that up with another stellar performance last time out where he dropped 26 while having 14 rebounds and 8 assists. Now, we head back to Phoenix, Arizona where the Suns have looked nearly unstoppable this postseason. Phoenix point guard, Chris Paul, was definitely not his best in Game 4, as he struggled with his ball-handling and his shooting. CP3 is one of the best players in the league to have not won a championship. Every single time he would reach the playoffs, an injury got in the way of his success. Finally, the Suns provided that opportunity and I expect him to have one of his best games of his career this next game as he's also one of the clutchest performers in the NBA. Don't forget, the Suns also have Devin Booker, one of the newest Superstars of the league, who just dropped a 42-piece, as well as former #1 ovr pick Deandre Ayton. Bridges, Cam Payne, and Crowder have been huge as well. Look for Phoenix to take it to the Bucks from the opening Tip-Off and keep the pressure on them the entire game. Take phoenix - 3 1/2.
|06-28-21||Clippers +6 v. Suns||Top||116-102||Win||100||29 h 6 m||Show|
The set-up: The Suns are in the cusp of punching their ticket to the NBA Finals. I think Phoenix will win this series, but it could have its hands full here in Game 5 in trying to put away this desperate Clippers team. LA lost 84-80 in Game 4, and it now has its back against the wall in this elimination contest.
The pick: I think LA is going to show up and play well defensively and after a poor shooting game last time out, I also expect Paul George to be much more efficient here. The Suns are the better team, but I think this one will come down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last. I'm grabbing the points.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Clippers.
|06-24-21||Suns v. Clippers -1||Top||92-106||Win||100||31 h 32 m||Show|
The set-up: I just think the Clippers are going to dig deep and deliver the goods in this Game 3. They won't be panicking, as they've already been here in their two previous series, going down 0-2, only to then rally for a series victory. I got down early and have an unfavorable line, and while the Clippers are now the slight home dog, I still think that the change in venue is just what Paul George and this veteran-laden Clippers team needs to get back into this series.
The pick: Game 2 was tight, and the Clippers had their chances at the end. I say Game 3 is controlled start to finish by the home side. Chris Paul won't be at 100% health and I think LA's competent guards can slow him down even further. For all the reasons listed above, the play is LA.
This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Clippers.
|06-23-21||Hawks v. Bucks -7||Top||116-113||Loss||-110||26 h 0 m||Show|
The set-up: The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 106.3 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 105 points in the playoffs, while the Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 107.9 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 102.3 points so far in the post-season. The Bucks were one of the favorites to advance in the East before the season started, but the Hawks rise to this point is nothing short of spectacular. Clearly, Atlanta has already exceeded expectations to this point.
The pick: I think Milwaukee is going to win this series. I don't think it'll sweep Atlanta though. That said, I do think that the Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo is a major matchup issue for the Hawks and I believe that Atlanta is going to struggle down the stretch of this opener. I'm laying points and expecting a comfortable cover for the home side in Game 1.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks.
|06-22-21||Clippers +5.5 v. Suns||Top||103-104||Win||100||12 h 49 m||Show|
The set-up: The Clippers ran out of gas in the fourth quarter, but despite only shooting 45 percent from the floor, they still had a shot at upsetting the Suns in Game 1. Phoenix didn't look overly impressive and I believe the Clippers can make the necessary adjustments to not only make Game 2 even more competitive, but possibly even pull off the straight-up upset here.
The pick: The continued absence of Chris Paul won't help this Suns team over the long-term. He'll likely return soon, but he's out again tonight. So is Kawhi Leonard for the Clippers, but LA is deep and experienced and I believe it throws it best shot at the Suns tonight. That said, grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Clippers.
|06-20-21||Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers||Top||103-96||Win||100||30 h 5 m||Show|
The set-up: Some cappers put a lot of stock into where the public money is going. Most sharps are contrarian by nature. When there's just a few games remaining though, those percentages of public money become skewed. I think they're much more accurate during the regular season. Most of the public money is on the Hawks, but in this case I think the public is correct.
The pick: This is going to be a battle. It has been all series. Very back and forth and very close. Nothing's going to change here. Note though that the Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 100 points or less in. This one comes down the final moments, so grab as many points as you can.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks.
|06-19-21||Bucks +1 v. Nets||Top||115-111||Win||100||30 h 56 m||Show|
The set-up: The Nets would have easily won this series if not for injuries to James Harden and Kyrie Irving. I don't think that Kevin Durant is the best basketball player of all time, but he's clearly been the best players in this series. Even better than the Bucks Giannis, who has played very well himself. But KD is going to be exhausted at this point and after the Game 6 collapse, I think the Bucks can smell the blood in the water.
The pick: Further, note that Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after holding its previous opponent to 90 points or less in a SU/ATS home victory. Milwaukee's depth will prove to be the difference here vs. this wounded and undermanned Nets side.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks.
|06-18-21||76ers v. Hawks +3||Top||104-99||Loss||-107||28 h 43 m||Show|
The set-up: With a chance to end this series here and now, I like the Hawks chances to do just that. This is a well-coached team that continues to get underestimated, both by its opponents, and the bookmakers. It's Atlanta that is controlling the pace and flow of this series and I say nothing changes here in this crucial contest. Philadelphia has the best player on the floor in Joel Embiid, but the Hawks counter with the second best player in this series in Trae Young.
The pick: The bottom line here though is that Atlanta's defense has been the difference-maker for it during the playoffs and I like the Hawks to continue that run here in this crucial Game 6. Outright win is completely possible obviously, but let's grab the points just in case.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Hawks.
|06-15-21||Bucks v. Nets +3||Top||108-114||Win||100||31 h 42 m||Show|
The set-up: Despite both Kyrie Irving and James Harden sitting this one out, I think Kevin Durant and his cast of role players can take this inconsistent Bucks team down to the wire.
The pick: I think that Blake Griffin, Jeff Green and Joe Harris will have significantly better games at home. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but also note that Brooklyn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 at home. I'm grabbing the points.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Nets.
|06-14-21||76ers v. Hawks +3.5||Top||100-103||Win||100||28 h 28 m||Show|
The set-up: The Hawks have been fantastic at making game-to-game adjustments since Nate McMillan took over as head coach. I think that happens again here. Atlanta is now desperate to avoid an 0-3 hole and I like the Hawks to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that Philly is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS victories in a row as well.
The pick: ATL on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a 15 points or greater SU/ATS home loss to an opponent. Look for Trae Young to have a monster game for the Hawks' defense to finally show up as well. Outright is obviously possible, but grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks.
|06-13-21||Nets v. Bucks +2||Top||96-107||Win||100||23 h 14 m||Show|
The set-up: Brooklyn looked like it was going to roll over the Bucks in this series, but then it shifted to Milwaukee and the Bucks somehow managed to hold on for the 86-83 victory. It was a back and forth game and really, Milwaukee did not win that one by very much obviously. But I think that Game 4 finally sets up as a great spot for the Bucks to bounce back with a convincing win.
The pick: Brooklyn's role players aren't contributing and it's two super stars are now worn out, as the continued absence of "The Beard" is now taking its toll on the Nets. I like Giannis and company to lay the hammer down here. Outright win is obvious, but let's grab the points anyways.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks.
|06-10-21||Clippers +3 v. Jazz||Top||111-117||Loss||-104||31 h 4 m||Show|
The set-up: I think the Clippers have a legitimate shot at taking Game 2 outright. LA let a lead slip away in Game 1, and it had a shot at sending it to OT late, but ultimately while LA covered in Game 1, it lost outright. Kawhi Leonard and Paul George continue to play well though and the Clippers have the defensive toughness to make adjustments and play better against Donovan Mitchell and the Jazz.
The pick: LA is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it allowed 110 or more points in. I say that this one comes right down to the wire (at the very least) as well, and that's why I'm recommending to grab as many points as you can.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the LA Clippers.
|06-08-21||Hawks +5.5 v. 76ers||Top||102-118||Loss||-107||27 h 8 m||Show|
The set-up: The Hawks destroyed the 76ers in Game 1. Well, they did for three quarters anyways, and then they took the foot off the gas and allowed Philly to make a game of it. Atlanta never trailed though and I think the Hawks have a legimtate shot at taking Game 2 as well. Atlanta looked especially good on the defensive side for three quarters.
The pick: Is 76ers big man Joel Embiid back to 100% health? He wasn't in top form in Game 1 and the uncertainty in Game 2 is definitely not going to help this 76ers offense. When Embiid is in the line-up, the offense is run through him, but his injury makes it awkward and difficult to game-plan in the short-term. The Hawks are 100% healthy, hungry and Nate McMillan has been brilliant in making adjustments from game to game and I expect him to have another masterpiece planned tonight. Grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks.
|06-06-21||Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers||Top||111-126||Loss||-106||24 h 18 m||Show|
The set-up: I'm expecting an absolute war until the final horn. In fact, this game could even go to extra's, that's how competitive it's been. LA's only averaed 108 points here during the playoffs, while Dallas has averaged 115 on the road.
The pick: The Mavericks are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 100 points or less in. Outright victory? Of course. Dallas has already proven it can win here. In the end though, let's grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks.
|06-05-21||Bucks v. Nets -3.5||Top||107-115||Win||100||30 h 58 m||Show|
The set-up: We haven't yet really witnessed the true power of these Brooklyn Nets. Kyrie Irving, KD and James Harden only played in eight regular seaosn games together, and Brooklyn still finished No. 2 in scoring behind the Bucks. Both teams rolled through their first round opponents, but was most impressive to me was how well the Nets played defensively against the Celtics.
The pick: The Heat were completely pathetic. I think Boston could have beaten Miami if they played in the first round. I expect the Nets' Big 3 to take this personally and to send an early message. A great "situational" play here, so lay the points.
This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Nets.
|06-03-21||Nuggets +5 v. Blazers||Top||126-115||Win||100||28 h 38 m||Show|
The set-up: These teams are evenly matched, but this is the biggest spread so far in the series. I think the outright upset is very possible here, but in the end I'm going to grab the points. The Nuggets have a chance to close out this series here and now after their 147-140 OT win. Damian Lillard had a truly monster game for the Blazers, and Portland still couldn't pull off the upset. I don't see the Blazers being able to push this one to a Game 7.
The pick: Nikola Jokic continues to put up impressive numbers and Denver's depth and experience is paying huge dividends right now. The Nuggets are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a road dog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. In a contest which I see being decided late, I'm grabbing the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Nuggets.
|06-01-21||Lakers +5 v. Suns||Top||85-115||Loss||-107||15 h 32 m||Show|
The set-up: I think LeBron James and the Lakers have more than enough fight in them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. AD can still return to this series, and LA will be looking great heading home to Game 6 if it can somehow pull off an upset. I don't see much of a drop off here with Andre Drummond ready step and fill the void left by Davis.
The pick: Chris Paul and Devon Booker are going to have their hands full with LA's elite defense. The Lakers are one of the best in defending the perimeter and I believe the visiting side will double down on that end of the court tonight. I'm not counting out King James in this big game situation. While the outright victory is possible, in the end let's grab the points.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lakers.
|05-31-21||76ers v. Wizards +8.5||Top||114-122||Win||100||10 h 0 m||Show|
The set-up: I say the Wizards don't go down without a fight here. Note that Philadelphia is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row.
The pick: Washington is also 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in a "double revenge" spot against an opponent, so the fact that this is a "triple revenge" spot makes this play even stronger. I think the outright win is a possibiity as well. I say Washington fights until the final moments. Grab the points.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Wizards.
|05-30-21||Nets v. Celtics +6.5||Top||141-126||Loss||-104||27 h 1 m||Show|
The set-up: The Nets suddenly are facing some adversity. The Celtics finally made some adjustments and combined with a little "home cooking" Jayson Tatum and company looked much better in their upset Game 3 victory. And now I believe Boston will keep the foot on the gas here to try and even things up.
The pick: The Nets have all the talent in the World, but dominating in the regular season and doing well in the playoffs are two entirely different things. Brooklyn's weakness all year has been on the defensive end and I expect it to regress here in this now pressure situation. While the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Boston Celtics.
|05-29-21||76ers v. Wizards +6||Top||132-103||Loss||-103||26 h 6 m||Show|
The set-up: Philadelphia won the first two games at home, but I expect a minor letdown here in its first game away from friendly confines. Russell Westbrook is listed as questionable for this game, and while I do expect him to play, whether he does or not I still love Bradley Beal and the revenge-minded Wizards to claw tooth and nail at home, and at the very least, take this one right down to the wire.
The pick: Note that the Wizards are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge back-to-back losses to an opponent. With their backs against the wall, look for the Wizards to put forth their best effort so far in this series and in the process, easily cover this spread. Grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Wizards.
|05-28-21||Nets v. Celtics +7.5||Top||119-125||Win||100||27 h 21 m||Show|
The set-up: So far Brooklyn has clearly been the better team. I knew the Nets could score, but it's been their defensive play which has been the suprising thing over their first two victories in this series. I didn't think though that the Celtics would win this series, but I also don't expect it go get swept. This is it, do or die for Boston, as clearly an 0-3 hole would be just too big for it to climb out of.
The pick: Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge back-to-back SU/ATS losses to an opponent. The Nets somehow managed to hold Boston star Jayson Tatum to just nine points in Game 2, but I expect an entirely different effort from the All Star at home. Expect a much grittier effort from Boston today (and grab as many points as you can!)
This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the Celtics.
|05-25-21||Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers||Top||127-121||Win||100||14 h 40 m||Show|
The set-up: The Clippers are clearly getting too much respect here after their 113-103 Game 1 loss. Dallas has a golden opportunity to take a commanding series lead here and I think the pressure is fully on the home side. Note that Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a ten points or greater SU/ATS road victory.
The pick: The Clippers actually lost the last two games of the regular season on purpose to avoid playing the Lakers, and now they're going to pay the price. Note that the Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road, while the Clippers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. Outright is possible, but let's grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Mavericks.
|05-24-21||Heat +5 v. Bucks||Top||98-132||Loss||-114||26 h 57 m||Show|
The set-up: The Heat lost Game 1 by a score of 109-107. I say that's a moral victory for the Heat, as both Jimmy Butler and Bam Abedayo had horrible games. And despite that, Miami took the mighty Bucks to OT on their own floor and even had a shot at the outright victory. Last year the Heat took out the Bucks in the Eastern Conference Finals. Miami coach Eric Spolestra was masterful with his adjustments from game-to-game last year, and with a fully healthy club to draw upon here, I expect him to do just that.
The pick: The Bucks have to get a huge game every night from Giannis. I'm positive the Milwaukee star will deliver with another big performance here, but I think Miami's depth and experience can at the very least, once again keep this one close until the final moments. Grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Heat.
|05-23-21||Hawks +1.5 v. Knicks||Top||107-105||Win||100||26 h 30 m||Show|
The set-up: The Hawks and Knicks in the playoffs. Who'd have thought? New York was consistent all season, but a great second half push has it in the drivers seat in this series. Atlanta's entire season changed when it hired Nate McMillan as head coach. Both teams avoided having to play in the "play in" tournament, and each got here using different styles of play. The Hawks push the pace and use their incredible shooting efficiency to stretch defenses, while the Knicks are better on the defensive end, wearing teams down and then also using efficient shooting themselves. It's an interesting confilct in styles, but I think the Hawks offer great value here to pull off the slight upset in Game 1.
The pick: The Knicks are going to have difficulties keeping pace with Trae Young and company in my opinion. Also note that the Knicks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine when playing with three or more days of rest. The staget is set for a big upset in the opener.
This is a 10* FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on the Hawks.
|05-22-21||Celtics +8 v. Nets||Top||93-104||Loss||-104||27 h 8 m||Show|
The set-up: The Celtics are dealing with injury issues, but they still have loads of talent and experience playing together. They also come off a commanding win over the Wizards, a team which I'd say is almost identical to the Nets. Brooklyn doesn't play defense, and that's not going to win any championships.
The pick: Boston is a big underdog, but it won't go down with a fight. Especially in Game 1. Note as well that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a road dog in the +7.5 to +9.5 points range. Grab the points, expect an excting contest.
This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Celtics.
|05-21-21||Grizzlies +5 v. Warriors||Top||117-112||Win||100||11 h 25 m||Show|
The set-up: Memphis plays with revenge here after falling 113-101 to the Warriors in these team's regular season finale. It was a big win for the Warriors at the time, as it ensured that if they lost the first "play in" game, that they'd still have a shot at making the playoffs by hosting the second game and playing the winner of the lower seeds. And that's exactly what's happened here, as Memphis held on for a four-point home victory over the Spurs to set up this rematch.
The pick: Golden State is still hung up on the previous loss to the Lakers, while Memphis is now in the drivers seat after its big win. The Warriors are also injured, while Memphis enters almost completely healthy. Grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Grizzlies.
|05-18-21||Hornets +3.5 v. Pacers||Top||117-144||Loss||-107||26 h 32 m||Show|
The set-up: Here's a great situational play. The Hornets have lost five straight, while the Pacers have split their last ten games. Indiana's top scorer though Malcolm Brogdon is out. Evan Turner is also out for the Pacers and Caris Lavert and Holliday are also questionable.
The pick: I love this young Hornets team here led by Terry Rozier and LaMelo Ball. Indiana is just too banged up to back here and while I obviously think Charlotte's going to win this one outright, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Hornets.
|05-11-21||Knicks v. Lakers -5.5||Top||99-101||Loss||-108||15 h 19 m||Show|
The set-up: New York has been playing unbelievably well and it's now back in the playoffs. It enters off a highly satisfying 106-100 win over the Clippers, avenging an earlier loss. But with a night off before three straight at home to end the regular season, this absolutely sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side.
The pick: The Lakers are off a big 123-110 home win over the Suns and with LBJ returning to the line-up tonight, this MEANS a lot to The King and the Lakers overall, who also play with revenge here now after a 111-96 setback in the Big Apple in mid April. Lay the points, expect a blowout.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Lakers.
|05-10-21||Pelicans v. Grizzlies -9.5||Top||110-115||Loss||-110||13 h 2 m||Show|
The set-up: The Pels are in the 11th spot, on the outside looking into the playoffs with just under a week left in the regular season. They're coming off a 112-110 victory at Charlotte just last night. Star player Zion Williamson is done for the season though, and I think the visiting side will feel the effects of his absence here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario.
The pick: The Grizzlies are in eighth and are coming off a big road win against Toronto. Memphis plays with revenge here as well after a humbling 144-113 setback to New Orleans in mid February. The Grizzlies hit the road for three straight as well after this, before one last home game, putting an added emphasis to perform in this almost "must win" scenario. Lay the points.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Grizzlies.
|05-06-21||Wizards v. Raptors +0.5||Top||131-129||Loss||-112||12 h 29 m||Show|
The set-up: The Raptors need to win out and get some outside help to make the play-in tournament. The Wizards have been steamrolling of late, but off a tight 135-134 loss in Milwaukee just last night, I finally expect Washington to stumble here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Toronto has three more games at home, before three on the road. It's now or never for the Raptors.
The pick: Washington has a tricky schedule, with a game at Indiana up next, followed by two at Atlanta, before then wrapping up with two at home vs. Cleveland and Charlotte. The Wizards though are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine when playing the second game of a back-to-back and off an ATS victory in the first. Everything points to Toronto finding a way to get the job done for bettors tonight.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Raptors.
|05-05-21||Wizards +7 v. Bucks||Top||134-135||Win||100||13 h 0 m||Show|
The set-up: Both teams need wins. Both teams have been playing really well of late. At some point, one of these two teams is going to have a minor "letdown," and I believe that time has come for the Bucks, who enter off back-to-back home wins over East leading Brooklyn, including a hard-fought 124-118 victory just last night.
The pick: Washington most recently hammered the Pacers 154-141 in regulation at home two nights ago and it plays with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 133-122 to the Bucks on March 15th. With a game tomorrow night at Toronto, the road ahead doesn't get any easier for the visiting side either. I expect this one to come right down to the wire, so grab the points.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Wizards.
|05-04-21||Raptors v. Clippers -9.5||Top||100-105||Loss||-110||14 h 60 m||Show|
The set-up: The Clippers have lost three straight games. They've lost four straight against the spread. They haven't faced the Raptors yet this year, but with the Lakers and Knicks up next, I expect the home side to lay the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Note as well that the Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row.
The pick: After three straight losses, the Raptors got a huge game from Kyle Lowry to beat the Lakers 121-114 here two nights ago. With a game at home vs. Washington up next though, this sets up not only as a letdown spot after beating the Champs, but also a "look ahead" spot as well. That = trap. Look for the hungry and focussed home side to take advantage.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Clippers.
|05-03-21||76ers v. Bulls +7||Top||106-94||Loss||-110||14 h 51 m||Show|
The set-up: I think the Bulls catch the 76ers at the right time here. Clearly, if we just went by each team's offensive and defensive seasonal averages, then we'd be taking Philadelphia 9 times out of 10, but in this case, Philly is off a hard-fought 113-111 OT win just last night in San Antonio, and several of its starters will be rested here, or see very limited time. Philly has a night off after this before a game at Houston, so the temptation to get caught "looking ahead" is there as well.
The pick: Despite who is or isn't playing for Chicago today, the Bulls have performed well for bettors in this spot by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they allowed 125 or more points in (lost 127-105 on March 11th.) Chicago has lost three straight. It has two whole nights off after this before a game at Charlotte. I say the Bulls come to play tonight. No outright, but a nail-biter until the end. Grab the points.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Bulls.
|05-02-21||Kings +7 v. Mavs||Top||111-99||Win||100||13 h 7 m||Show|
The set-up: The Mavericks lost outright to the Kings last week, but they had to hold on for dear life in last night's 125-124 home win over the Wizards and as such, I believe fatigue will be a major factor for the home side here. The Kings are playing their most inspired ball of the season right now and have to be feeling confident after beating The Kings and the Lakers 110-106 last time out.
The pick: Dallas has a night off before a game vs. the Heat, followed by a home game vs. the Nets. Not only is this a classic letdown spot, but it's also a "look ahead." When you put those two situational "spot wagers" together, that = "trap." Outright? It's possible, but in the end let's grab up all those points!
This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Kings.
|05-01-21||Wizards v. Mavs -6||Top||124-125||Loss||-110||14 h 59 m||Show|
The set-up: As primarily a "situational" handicapper, I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Amazingly, the Wizards are on the cusp of a playoff spot, sitting just one game back of the No. 8 spot. They still have three weeks left in the regular season, but off a 122-93 road win at Cleveland just last night, I'm finally expecting a letdown here. Besides, the Wizards have a night off after this before a home game vs. the Pacers, a team which sits a .5 game back of them for that final playoff spot. In fact note, this is the Wizards very final game vs. a Western Conferenece team, putting added incentive over its final eight games after tonight.
The pick: I think the Mavericks keep the foot on the gas. They're in a tight race now with the 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th placed teams in the West. Dallas is off the 115-105 win over the Pistons, and they have the Kings coming to town tomorrow night. No need to look past this dangerous Wizards side tonight. I look for Washington to finally have a letdown here. Lay the points.
This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks.
|04-30-21||Blazers +0.5 v. Nets||Top||128-109||Win||100||12 h 1 m||Show|
The set-up: I think the Nets rest players here strategically vs. this Western Conference opponent. Brooklyn is off a 130-113 win over Indiana just last night, but with a night off after this before a tough five-game road swing to end the season, starting with back-to-back games at Milwaukee, this absolutely sets up as a classic "trap" for the home side.
The pick: Portland plays with revenge here after falling 116-112 at home to the Nets on March 23rd. Portland smashed Memphis 130-109 in its last outing, and with tough upcoming games at Boston and Atlanta, it's now or never for this playoff hopeful Portland side. A great situational call on the visiting side here.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Blazers.
|04-27-21||Mavs v. Warriors +1||Top||133-103||Loss||-110||14 h 44 m||Show|
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. Dallas has the best player on the floor in Luka Doncic, but the Mavericks played and lost in Sacramento just last night. They're also playing without Kristaps Porzingis.
The pick: The Warriors are off a 117-113 win over the Kings, and they play with revenge here after falling 134-132 to the Mavericks in early February. It's a perfect storm of situational factors working in favor of the hungry home side tonight.
This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors.
|04-26-21||Thunder v. 76ers -11.5||Top||90-121||Win||100||11 h 14 m||Show|
The set-up: The Thunder have lost 16 of 17, including a 129-109 home loss to the Wizards. OKC has officially thrown in the towel on the season, but after six straight non ATS covers in a row, I like Philly to take advantage here and to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover.
The pick: In fact, the 76ers have lost four straight SU as well, including a blowout 132-94 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. Whether Simmons or Embiid play or not, I love the rest of the role players and Tobias Harris to step up here and deliver with a sizeable victory. Lay the points.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the 76ers.
|04-25-21||Cavs +9.5 v. Wizards||Top||110-119||Win||100||12 h 7 m||Show|
The set-up: I expect the Cavaliers to comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Cleveland is coming off a 108-102 road loss in Charlotte. With a game tomorrow night at playoff hopeful Toronto, I believe Cleveland will give everything it has tonight to try and pull off a victory. Washington has been playing fantastic, but after winning six of its last seven, including two in a row, and with San Antonio coming to town tomorrow night, followed by the Lakers, this absolutely sets up as a classic "look-ahead" trap for the home side as well.
The pick: Finally note that Washington is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten after scoring 125 or more points in a SU/ATS road victory in its last outing (won 129-109 at OKC.) No outright, but much closer than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.
This is a 10* ULTIMATE SHOCKER on the Cavaliers.
|04-22-21||Lakers v. Mavs -2||Top||110-115||Win||100||14 h 59 m||Show|
The set-up: The Mavericks come in off a 127-117 win over Detroit here jsut last night. They won, but they didn't cover. The Mavericks have dropped six straight ATS, but I expect that trend to end here, as I expect Luka Doncic and company to bring their "A" game with Anthony Davis and the LA Lakers coming to town. Working in a starter that returns from injury doesn't always go smoothly, so honestly it's hard to predict exactly what we'll get out of LA this evening.
The pick: The Mavericks play with revenge here as well after falling 138-115 to LA on X-Mas Day. Despite having played just last night, I like the Mavs here, as I just can't trust all of the uncertainty right now involving LA's line-up. Dallas didn't expend a lot of energy in last night's win and fatigue isn't going to be an issue. I'm laying the points, but expecting a decisive win.
This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks.
|04-20-21||Hornets +6 v. Knicks||Top||97-109||Loss||-110||12 h 20 m||Show|
The set-up: Obviously the Knicks are the biggest surprise team in the league this year. New York has to be feeling damn good about its chances of landing a big off-season free-agent after its big season this year. However, after eight straigth blowout wins and covers, everything points to a classic letdown here, especially with another "cream puff" coming to town tomorrow night in Atlanta. The Knicks were super lucky to escape with a home victory last time out, nailing a three-point shot with no time left on the clock to force OT with the Pels, to then go on and win/cover by ten.
The pick: The Hornets come in off a dominant 109-101 home win over the Blazers, proving that they haven't thrown in the towel either. And with the news that LaMelo Ball is cleared to start working with the team again, there's added incentive again all of a sudden. If Charlotte can win this game, it has contests upcoming vs. the lowly Bulls and Cavaliers, so a three-game win streak would be a very realistic goal here. Outright win? Possible. In the end though, let's grab up all these points!
This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Hornets.
|04-18-21||Blazers v. Hornets +5||Top||101-109||Win||100||11 h 9 m||Show|
The set-up: The Blazers have lost five of their last six. They average 114.6 PPG, while conceding 114.8. The Hornets come in equally as hungry,a s they've lost four in a row. Charlotte got hit by the injury bug early, but this is still a great situational spot bet in my opinion, against a Portland team that's struggling in many regards and which is going to get caught looking ahead to back-to-back home games starting on Tuesday vs. the Clippers and Nuggets.
The pick: Charlotte has lost four in a row, but was decently competitive in a 130-115 setback at the Nets in their latest action. The Hornets play with revenge here after falling 123-111 to the Blazers in early March, and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they conceded 120 or more points in. Grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Hornets.
|04-17-21||Cavs v. Bulls -1.5||Top||96-106||Win||100||13 h 48 m||Show|
The set-up: The Bulls are out for revenge here after the lost 103-94 here to Cleveland back on March 24th. The Cavs are coming off a listless 119-101 loss to the Warriors. Despite having played and lost just last night at home to the Grizzlies, I like Chicago to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done vs. the lowly Cavaliers.
The pick: The Cavaliers are just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 95 or less points in. Look for the hungry home side to defend its court and lay the short points.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Bulls.
|04-15-21||Kings +12 v. Suns||Top||114-122||Win||100||14 h 16 m||Show|
The set-up: I think there's value on this hungry underdog side out to break an eight-game slide. That includes a 123-111 setback at home to Washington just last night. Clearly Phoenix is the better team, but it's interesting to note that it's been exchanging ATS wins/losses over its last ten games straight.
The pick: Off a big 106-86 SU/ATS win/cover at home over the Heat, there's no reason not to believe this incredibly strong pattern won't continue here. The Suns don't need to run up the score in the second half if they have a lead. The Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. No outright, but closer than expected.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Kings.
|04-10-21||Lakers +11.5 v. Nets||Top||126-101||Win||100||14 h 14 m||Show|
The set-up: Both teams are banged up. The Lakers more so. This is a lot of points to be giving up though to the defending champs, who I expect to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. LA has split its last eight games. The Lakers fell 110-104 to the Heat last time out. I expect a very competitive affair here as well.
The pick: Brooklyn enters off a 139-111 blowout win over the Pels at home. The Nets though are still just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as double-digit favorites. I think this is a great situational play. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.
This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lakers.
|04-09-21||Spurs +7 v. Nuggets||Top||119-121||Win||100||14 h 46 m||Show|
The set-up: San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling 106-96 on this floor just two nights ago. Despite that loss, the Spurs have actually been pretty good on the road, going 12-8 SU and 13-7 ATS. Denver is 17-9 SU at home but only 12-14 ATS. Note that the Nuggets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after holding their previous opponent to 99 points or less in a SU/ATS victory as well.
The pick: The Spurs are still in the mix for a playoff spot, but they desperately need to find a spark. Note though that San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to under 100 points in. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Spurs.
|04-08-21||Lakers v. Heat -8||Top||104-110||Loss||-105||12 h 55 m||Show|
The set-up: This is a bad spot for the Lakers. LA is coming off a win over the Raptors, but it has a tough game here vs. a hungry Miami team that's off a 124-112 loss at Memphis, but which had won four in a row previous. The Heat also hit the road after this for a tough four-game Western road swing, putting added importance onto this contest.
The pick: LA I think is going to go through the motions with its superstars injured and sidelined. LA plays tonight against the Heat, and then tomorrow night in Brooklyn, making this a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side as well. This one is going to be personal to Pat Riley and the home side. Lay the points.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Miami Heat.
|04-07-21||Knicks v. Celtics -3.5||Top||99-101||Loss||-110||12 h 2 m||Show|
The set-up: These two teams have identical records at 25-26. Each still has a good shot at making the playoffs, but both need a win here. New York has lost four of its last five. The Knicks only average 105 PPG, while allowing 104.4.
The pick: The Celtics have split their last ten games. Boston is coming off a lacklustre loss just last night vs. Philly, but I'm not buying into the fatigue factor here. Note that the Celtics average 112.4 PPG, while conceding 110.6. Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The panic button has been pressed in Boston. Expect a big response/win this evening and lay short points.
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Celtics.
|04-05-21||Baylor v. Gonzaga -4||Top||86-70||Loss||-114||14 h 5 m||Show|
The set-up: Both teams are fantastic. Baylor is great at shooting the three-ball, and Gonzaga is the best at shooting from two-point range. The Bulldogs allow just 89.1 points per 100 possessions on the season. The Bulldogs also have size at every position, which is a mismatch issue for Baylor, as it starts four players 6-foot-5 or shorter.
The pick: The Bears are also tough defensively, but not on the same level as the Zags, allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions overall (and 97.9 points per 100 possessions vs. Big 12 opponents.) Baylor would have had difficulties with that red hot UCLA team too. Expect Gonzaga's size, experience and depth to prove to be the difference maker and lay the points.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga.
|04-03-21||UCLA v. Gonzaga -14||Top||90-93||Loss||-110||35 h 42 m||Show|
The set-up: UCLA is great at shooting the three-ball, and it's been super efficient so far in its big Cindarella run. The Bruins had to play an extra game as well in the FIRST FOUR to even advance into the Big Dance. Gonzaga is on a mission to go undefeated, but after three straight covers to advance here, I'm expecting the Zags to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one.
The pick: Gonzaga is the highest scoring team in the nation, averaging 92.9 PPG. UCLA only averages 72.6. The Bruins are just happy to be here, while the Bulldogs are going to want to send a message at this point to its final opponent. On the National stage, look for Gonzaga to lay the hammer down from the opening tip, until the final horn.
This is a 10* FINAL FOUR GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga.
|03-29-21||Grizzlies v. Rockets +5||Top||120-110||Loss||-107||13 h 8 m||Show|
The set-up: The Grizzlies four-game win streak against-the-spread came to an end in its second straight straight-up loss to Utah, falling 126-110 last time out. With the rematch at home against the Jazz on Wednesday, this absolutely sets up as a "look-ahead" spot as well for the visiting side.
The pick: The Rockets struggles this season are well documented. First it was the James Harden ordeal, and then they were hit hard by COVID. The Rockets are getting healthier though and after hammering the Wolves 129-107 last time out, I expect the still hungry home side to catch this Memphis team flat-footed. The outright is definitely possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can.
This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Houston Rockets.
|03-29-21||Oregon State v. Houston -7.5||61-67||Loss||-105||12 h 20 m||Show|
The set-up: Will Oregon State's Cindarella run come to an end here? Maybe not. But for this play, I'm not concentrating on which team will win and cover the entire game, I believe this one sets up well for Houston in the first half of this contest. Oregon State stymied Loyola Chicago last time out in the first half, but Houston is an entirely different animal, that plays an entirely difference pace and approach.
The pick: This is a bad matchup for the Beavers, who have been on an amazing run up to this point. If this was a "normal" season, Oregon State wouldn't even be in the NCAA Tournament. "Timing" and chemistry is obviously a big and real thing in sports wagering. I think the general CBB betting public has fallen in love with the Beavers, but all signs point to the Cougars coming out firing right out of the gate here as they look to "flip the script" on Oregon State and put the pressure on the Beavers from the "get go." I'm laying the points in the first half.
This is an 8* FIRST HALF DESTRUCTION on Houston.
|03-28-21||Oregon +2.5 v. USC||Top||68-82||Loss||-109||108 h 55 m||Show|
The set-up: The Ducks smashed Iowa 95-80 behind 23 points from Chris Duarte last time out and I like them to carry that momentum over here into another victry. USC advanced by beating Kansas 85-51. These teams met on February 22nd in LA, and the Trojans won 72-58, setting this up as a classic revenge spot as well for Oregon.
The pick: The Mobely brothers are tough to stop, but the Ducks perimeter defense has vastly improved since the last time these teams played against each other. The Ducks won the Pac 12 Championship and they've won 11 of their last 12. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss, I look for the red hot Ducks to do just that (that said, grab as many points as you can!)
This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Oregon.
|03-28-21||UCLA v. Alabama -6||88-78||Loss||-115||105 h 20 m||Show|
The set-up: UCLA has been hot. Previous to this point, the Bruins entered the Tournament on a four-game slide. UCLA averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 67.9. Johnny Juzang and company have been playing well, but I think regression is finally in store here vs. this sizzling hot Alabama team.
The pick: The Tide have won eight in a row, which includes the SEC Tournament Championship. Bama averages 79.7 PPG, while allowing 69.5. This is easily the toughest team that UCLA has faced so far in this tournament, but I can't see the Bruins slowing down this tremendous Tide offense, which excels in shooting from range (Alabama also has a huge rebounding advantage, by 14 per game.) I look for the Tide to pull away for a comfortable cover in the second half.
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOOUT on Alabama.
|03-28-21||Florida State +3 v. Michigan||58-76||Loss||-116||103 h 6 m||Show|
The set-up: The Seminoles are a dangerous team that I think can win this one outright. FSU is off a dominating 71-53 win over Colorado in its last outing. Michigan advanced by beating LSU 86-78.
The pick: Each team features depth and experience. FSU's Anthony Polite is going to be a matchup issue for Michigan, which continues to play without top player Livers. I believe FSU's strong defensive play continues here and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can.
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on FSU.
|03-27-21||Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11||Top||70-72||Loss||-110||82 h 45 m||Show|
The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, most recently advancing past Florida 81-78. The Golden Eagles have a dynamic offense which averages 82.0 PPG. The one weakness of Oral Roberts though is its defensive play, as it concedes 75.9 PPG.
The pick: Arkansas held on for a tight 68-66 win over a dangerous Texas Tech side and I expect it to lay the hammer down here with the Elite Eight in sight. The Razorbacks already defeated Oral Roberts 87-76 in mid-December, but all signs point to an even bigger blowout here. This is simply a really bad matchup for Oral Roberts, as Arkansas has a couple players over 7 feet. Lay the points, expect a rout.
This is a 10* SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas.
|03-27-21||Villanova v. Baylor -6.5||51-62||Win||100||80 h 40 m||Show|
The set-up: Villanova beat UNT 84-61 to advance in its most recent matchup, while Baylor advanced by beating Wisconsin 73-63. Both teams have looked good this year and honestly, it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either side to cover this contest.
The pick: Villanova has two National Championships since 2016 though, while Baylor hasn't advanced past the first round since 2012. The Bears are the hungrier side here for sure. Baylor averages 83 PPG, while Villnova averages 75. Look for the Bears superior offense to pull away for the comfortable cover in the closing moments.
This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Baylor.
|03-27-21||Oregon State +6.5 v. Loyola-Chicago||65-58||Win||100||77 h 1 m||Show|
The set-up: Both teams are coming off big upsets to advance to the round of 16. Loyola Chicago sports some of the best defensive metrics in the country and while it did take out No. 1 Illinois last time out, I think the Beavers are still be undervalued in this spot. Oregon State's numbers over the last month have been incredible and it has an opportunity here to once again shock the nation.
The pick: Loyola Chicago's only weakness is its offense. The Beavers are going to try and push the pace and get the Ramblers out of their comfort zone. I don't expect this underdog Oregon State side to go down quietly. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a war until the final buzzer blares.
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Oregon State.
|03-25-21||NC State v. Colorado State +1.5||61-65||Win||100||30 h 38 m||Show|
The set-up: The 14-10 NCState Wolfpack average 73.5 PPG, while allowing 69.4. They're coming off a win over Davidson to advance. CSU beat Buffalo in the first round. Colorado State averages 75.9 PPG, while allowing just 65.8.
The pick: The Wolfpack are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight following an ATS victory, while the Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine neutral site games following an ATS win. These teams are evenly matched, but CSU's superior defensive numbers will see it through to the semifinals.
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Colorado State.
|03-22-21||Pacers v. Bucks -10||Top||113-140||Win||100||29 h 50 m||Show|
The set-up: Indiana is coming off a hard-fought 109-106 OT victory in Miami just last night and I think it'll stumble here as it comes in "gassed." The Pacers managed to win both in Miami, but an imminent letdown does in fact seem, imminent.
The pick: Milwaukee is coming off six straight SU victories, but it's gone just 2-4 ATS in that span, including going 0-2 ATS the last two. The Bucks hammered the Pacers 130-110 the last time these teams faced off and all signs point to a similar style beatdown here in my opinion. A great situational play, as I think that the Pacers are tired, and I expect the home side to push the pace and pull away down the stretch.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Bucks.
|03-22-21||Maryland +6 v. Alabama||77-96||Loss||-115||28 h 23 m||Show|
The set-up: Maryland was in complete command in its 63-54 win over UConn as a 3.5-point underdog. Alabama won handily over Iona 68-55, but it was unable to cover the large 17-point spread. Maryland isn't explosive offensively (68.6), but it's efficent, as it hit 51.2 percent from the floor in its last outing. The Terps though are fantastic on the defensive end, conceding just 64.6 PPG.
The pick: The Tide are on a seven-game win streak after winning the Conference Tournament and first round. Overall Alabama averages 79.2 PPG, while allowing 69.3. The Tide only managed 68 points in their last game, making just 47.2 percent from the floor. Regression is appearing for Alabama right before our eyes. Maryland's defense is underrated and I like it to once again keep the Terps competitive late. Grab the points.
This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on Maryland.
|03-22-21||Colorado v. Florida State -1.5||53-71||Win||100||27 h 24 m||Show|
The set-up: Colorado easily got by Georgetown 96-73 on Saturday, while FSU handled UNC Greensboro 64-54. The Buffs had an unusually awesome percentage from range in their opener and suffice it to say, I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice for them here. Overall the Buffs average 73.8 PPG, while allowing 63.6.
The pick: Florida State allowed UNCG back into its opening round game, before finally pulling away for good in the final five minutes. Don't expect the Seminoles to take the foot off the gas here though. The Seminoles sport one of the deepest rotations in the country and I'm not reading too much into Colorado's win over an overrated Georgetown team, which somehow caught first in the Big East Tournament to advance. Look for the deeper and more experienced Seminoles to pull away and maintain down the stretch.
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Florida State.
|03-22-21||Ohio v. Creighton -5.5||Top||58-72||Win||100||26 h 49 m||Show|
The set-up: Ohio is coming off a monumental 62-58 upset win over Virginia in the first round. Can anyone say letdown spot? The Bobcats are in unchartered territory now and I think they'll stumble here vs. the deeper and more experienced Blue Jays. Creighton avoided an upset with a 63-62 win over UCSB.
The pick: Don't read too much into Ohio's win though. Yes, it was big and signficant, however UVA got hit by some major COVID issues just a week and half before the Tournament started. There's a big asterisk beside that victory. However, we can read a lot from Creighton's win, as the Blue Jays bent, but didn't break. The Blue Jays' numbers on the defensive end are more efficient and I expect that to play a part here as well. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Creighton.
|03-21-21||Oral Roberts v. Florida -8||Top||81-78||Loss||-109||30 h 47 m||Show|
The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, but I think its Cindarella run comes to an end tonight. The Golden Eagles most recently go by Ohio State in the first round as 15 point underdogs. Florida though comes off an impressive victory over Virginia Tech as a 1.5 point dog and I think it's superior defensive play, and experience will be just too much Oral Roberts to handle in the second round. The Golden Eagles are great offensively, averaging 81.5 PPG, but they've been poor defensively, conceding 75.6.
The pick: Florida averages 74 PPG, while conceding 69.8. There were plenty of BIG upsets in the first round. Both of these teams come in off upsets. Oral Roberts upset win in the first round can absolutely be classified as a "major" upset though. And this then sets it up for a letdown for sure. Look for Florida's depth on both ends of the court to be the difference and lay the points with confidence.
This is a 10* SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida.
|03-21-21||Texas Tech -1 v. Arkansas||66-68||Loss||-109||28 h 20 m||Show|
The set-up: Texas Tech is 18-10, advancing by beating Utah State 65-53. Arkansas is 23-6 after getting the better of Colgate 85-68. I think the Red Raiders Mac McClung will be a matchup issue for Arkansas today. Texas Tech only allows 63 PPG this year, but just conceded 53 to the Aggies, and there's no reason not to think they won't bring that same intensity here towards the Razorbacks.
The pick: Arkansas allows 70.6 PPG, and it just gave up 68 to Colgate. The Red Raiders are well-coachd and experienced and I look for their tough defensive play to be just too much for Arkansas to handle. Lay the the points.
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech.