Our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears to finish OVER the total on Sunday at either 3:00pm or 6:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: 

Los Angeles' defense hasn't been too good lately, allowing 31 points against Carolina in the Wildcard round. 

The Rams have now allowed an average of 30 points a game over their L5 games now this year. 

That makes the OVER a perfect 6-0 over the L6 road games played for the Rams this season. 

Chicago was able to create some magic and come back against Green Bay in the Wildcard round too. 

The Bears have seen the total go OVER in eight of their L11 games played against opponents from the NFC West. 

We're on the OVER on Sunday. 

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the spread against the Houston Texans on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Houston has looked terrific, but playing on the road in the playoffs has not been kind to it. 0-6 all-time and 2-4 against the spread.

The Texans are just 2-5 straight up and against the spread over their L7 games played against Pittsburgh.

Even worse, they are 1-3 against the Steelers in Pittsburgh all time as well (got outgained 47-422 in yards in their win.)

Pittsburgh is 13-5 over it's L18 games played against opponents from the AFC South Division.

The Steelers also get to play at home and under the lights again , with DK Metcalf returning.

We're on the home team.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 4:30pm ET for a number of reasons. ere are some of the more important ones:

San Francisco didn't have it's best showing against Seattle in week 18, losing out on the first round bye.

But, the 49ers scored 127 total points in the three games before that game.

They have seen the total go OVER in six of their L9 games this season.

Philadelphia's offense slowly improved as the season moved along.

The OVER is 5-1 over the L6 games that the Eagles have played against opponents from the NFC West Division.

We're on the OVER in this wildcard game.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the spread against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Baltimore has been all over the place this season and was maybe even better off without Lamar last weekend.

The Ravens have won just 2-5 against the spread over their L7 games played this season.

Over the L12 games between these two teams, the Ravens are just 3-9.

Pittsburgh is scary in primetime with Aaron Rodgers now at the Quarterback position.

The Steelers have also covered the spread in 14 of their L20 games played against opponents within the AFC North Division.

The play is on Pittsburgh.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover the spread against the Washington Commanders on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Washington has won just one of it's L11 games this season and will be without Daniels and Mariota again -- Johnson to start.

The Commanders have a below par 2-6 record against the spread on the road this year.

They are also just 1-9 straight up over their L10 games played against opponents within the NFC Conference.

Philadelphia has clinched a playoff position but can still end up with the second seed if Chicago loses.

The Eagles are 16-2 over their L18 home games and we see them covering the small line today.

The play is Philly.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Pittsburgh has been running right through it's opponents lately, and has scored 27 or more points in all three games in December.

The Steelers don't play well defensively, and are bottom five in both total yards and passing yards allowed a game.

The OVER is 4-1 over their L5 games played on the road this season.

Cleveland has amazing defensive play which is why it's able to stay in games. But, it's allowed 23 points or more in all three of it's games in December so far.

The Browns have seen the total go OVER in five of their L6 games played at home.

The play is on the OVER.

AAA Sports.

Our selection is on the New England Patriots to cover the spread against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New England lost last week but barely. It's still the second seed in the AFC if the playoffs started today.

The Patriots are 10-1 over their L11 games and have covered the spread in five of their six road games this season.

In those six road games, they haven't lost a single one of them (6-0 straight up.)

Baltimore is lucky to even still be in the AFC North conversation with how it's played this year.

The Ravens are just 5-9 against the spread and 2-6 when playing at home.

The play is on NE.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Atlanta shocked Tampa Bay last week with a superb performance winning 29-28 against it's division rival.

The Falcons have now seen the total go OVER in six of their L7 games this season.

The OVER is also 4-1 over their L5 road games this year.

Arizona's defense has been one of the worst in the NFL all year long and that has resulted in a ton of OVER's.

In fact, the OVER is 6-1 in all home games for the Cardinals this season.

We're on the OVER today.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Buffalo turned on the jets in it's last game against New England and scored 28 second half points.

The Bills will look to keep winning with a chance to take control of the division with another NE loss.

They have scored 163 points over the L5 weeks which averages out to be 32.6 points a game.

Cleveland has been a lot more competitive after turning to Shedeur Sanders and will not go down without a fight.

The Browns have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games played at home.

We're on the OVER tonight.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to defeat the Miami Dolphins on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Miami doesn't do well in cold games and this one feels like it could be really cold.

The Dolphins have won four games in a row, but have not played well against Pittsburgh in the past.

Pittsburgh has Aaron Rodgers and we all know what his MNF record is like.

At home on MNF in his career, Rodgers is 11-2 straight up and 8-5 against the spread.

The Steelers are also 5-1 over their L6 games played against Miami at home.

We're on Pittsburgh tonight

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Buffalo broke out of it's offensive slump and scored 39 points last week against Cincinnati.

But, the Bills still allowed 34 points in that game and sometimes are susceptible to playing in shootouts.

New England has won 10 games in a row leaning on Drake Maye -- who's been one of the best QB's this season.

The Patriots have seen the total go OVER in five of their L7 games this season.

Six of the L9 games between these two teams have finished OVER the total as well.

The play is the OVER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Las Vegas covered the spread last week -- barely -- but hasn't done too well at all this year. It's 2-4 versus the spread on the road.

The Raiders have lost five of the last six games played on the road against Philadelphia.

They are also just 1-4-1 against the spread over their L6 games against opponents from the NFC.

Philadelphia has lost three games in a row but has won 15 of it's L17 games played at home.

The Eagles will force Pickett to have long drives and that's not his specialty.

We're on Philadelphia by a ton.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Green Bay Packers to defeat the Chicago Bears on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of their more important ones:

Chicago has been terrific this season but will enter Lambeau Field without Rome Odunze this weekend.

The Bears are just 3-10 over their L13 games played on the road against opponents within the NFC North.

They are also just 1-11 straight up and 2-10 against the spread over their L12 games played versus the Packers.

Green Bay is healthy and loaded up to make a deep playoff run this season.

The Packers are 3-0 straight up and versus the spread against conference foes this year.

We're on GB.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to defeat the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New Orleans has lost back-to-back games and is now 2-14 over it's L16 games since last year.

The Saints are 4-8 against the spread this season and just 2-5 over their L7 games.

They are also 0-3 straight up and 1-2 against the spread over their L3 games played against the Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay desperately got a win last week and will attempt to keep winning again this week.

The Bucs have won five games in a row against opponents within the NFC South Division.

We're laying the spread today.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New Orleans' offense is the worst in the NFL, averaging 15.0 points a game -- tied for last with LV.

The Saints are playing better on defense than we were expecting too keeping their opponents at bay.

They've actually seen the total stay UNDER in seven games in a row now.

Miami is turning the dial up on defense too allowing just 26 points over the L2 weeks.

The Dolphins have seen the total go UNDER in four of their L5 games this season.

We're on the UNDER on Sunday.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles game to finish OVER the total on Friday at 3:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Chicago has been red hot since losing it's first two games this season -- it's 8-1 since week three.

The Bears are averaging 27.11 points a game in those nine games after week three.

The OVER is 4-1-1 for the Bears this season when they are playing on the road.

Philadelphia's defense has kept it in games to be able to win this season. But, it's statistics on defense isn't even that strong.

The Eagles have seen the total go OVER in four of their L6 home games as a favorite of -3 or better.

We're on the OVER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Detroit Lions to defeat the Green Bay Packers on Thursday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Green Bay's defense looked really good last week but we don't think that it can stop Detroit's offense.

The Packers are just 2-7 versus the spread over their L9 games this year.

They are also 2-6 straight up over their L8 games played against the Lions.

Detroit hasn't been too good against the spread either for it's standards. But, it's been much more respectable.

The Lions are 14-4 over their L18 games played against opponents within the NFC North Division.

We're on the Lions on Thanksgiving at home.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers to finish UNDER the total on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Carolina played in a real high scoring game last week, but were in two games with less than 30 points before that.

10 of the Panthers' L13 games played in November have stayed UNDER the total.

The Panthers also average just 18.8 points a game this season which is one of the lowest.

San Francisco knows that it's defense needs to tighten up in the final stretch of the year.

The Niners have seen the total go UNDER in two of their L3 home games against Carolina.

The play is the UNDER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys to cover the spread against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Philadelphia has been really bad on offense this season and will go against the league's best passing offense.

The Eagles are just 1-6 against the spread over their L7 games played against the Cowboys.

Dallas, like we said, is averaging the most passing yards in the NFL this season a game -- 258.7.

The Cowboys are 5-2 versus the spread over their L7 games played within the NFC East.

Dak Prescott is 21-2 in divisional home games in his career. He hasn't lost since 2017.

We're on the Cowboys.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars to defeat the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Jacksonville won 35-6 last week against Los Angeles and has scored 29 or more points in three games in a row.

The Jaguars are the last team in, in the AFC playoff race right now and are fighting with everything to stay in that spot or improve.

They are 4-0 over their L4 games played as a favorite, three of those have come this season.

Arizona has been horrible on defense this season and has allowed more than 40 points in back-to-back games.

The Cardinals are just 2-7 over their L9 games as a home underdog -- with the losses being by an average of 10.4 points.

We're on the Jags this weekend.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Kansas City had the bye week last weekend and will be ready to bounce back from it's loss against Buffalo.

The Chiefs have scored more than 20 points in every game this season but one -- scored 17 in that game.

That means that they are averaging 26.1 points a game this season, with one of the top passing games in the NFL.

Denver has somewhat crazily, won seven games in a row.

The Broncos have had some really high scoring and really low scoring games so far this season.

We think that these two teams will combine for at least 44 on Sunday.

The play is the OVER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers to defeat the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

San Francisco has been doing just fine without Brock Purdy so even if he doesn't return, it will be okay.

The 49ers have beaten the Cardinals in five of the L7 games between these two teams.

Arizona is 1-6 over it's L7 games this season and just lost to Seattle by 22 points.

The Cardinals are just 3-14-1 over their L18 games played against opponents within the NFC West Division.

We've already won our NFC G.O.Y. on San Fran. Let's do it again with our NFC West G.O.Y.

The play is on the Niners.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the New England Patriots to defeat the New York Jets on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New York has won back-to-back games. But, those were both against teams with losing records.

The Jets have lost 16 of the L18 games between these two teams.

Against the spread, they are just 2-7 over the L9 games between these teams.

New England has been a force this season and beat Tampa Bay on the road last week .

The Patriots are 7-0 straight up and 6-1 versus the spread over their L7 games this season.

We're on the Pats on TNF.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks game to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Arizona is 3-5 this season, but won it's last game and should be able to put up some points today.

The Cardinals have scored 20 or more points in five straight games this season.

Seattle is on a mission as it's won three games in a row, scoring 75 points in those games, with two of them being on the road.

The OVER is 4-1 over their L5 games played at Lumen Field in Seattle.

The Seahawks have also seen the total go OVER in 63% of their games overall this season.

We're on the OVER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Seattle has scored a lot this season and is top five in the NFL is points scored a game this year.

The Seahawks have seen the total go OVER in four of their L6 games this year.

The last game between these two teams was two years ago and both teams put up more than 25 points.

Washington won't have Terry McLaurin this week but it's been dealing with injuries all season and have been okay.

The OVER is 15-11-1 over the L27 Commanders games against opponents within the NFC Conference.

We're on the OVER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers to defeat the New York Giants on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

San Francisco lost last weekend but will bounce back this week as it's done so far this season after losses.

The 49ers weren't able to get McCaffrey going. He needs to do much better this week and with think that he will.

They have covered the spread in five of the L6 games against the New York Giants.

New York suffered a big blow last weekend when Cam Skattebo was carted off the field with a season ending injury.

The Giants relied on him a lot during their mini run and don't have much to work with anymore since Nabers is already gone for the year as well.

They are just 3-17 straight up over their L20 games home or away.

We're on the Niners on Sunday.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Tennessee Titans to cover the spread against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tennessee hasn't been too good this season and has already fired it's Head Coach.

The Titans probably aren't going to be able to win this game on Sunday. But, divisional games always seem to be harder than people think.

They have actually split their four road games so far versus the spread at 2-2. So not dreadful at all.

Indianapolis has been one of the top teams in the NFL this season. But, it might think of this as a game to over look with a road game against Pittsburgh up next week.

The Colts are just 2-6 against the spread over their L8 games as a home favorite of more than -12.

We're on Tennessee this afternoon.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay will once again be missing, Irving, Evans, and Godwin to it's offense.

The Buccaneers are scoring lots of points but finally came down to earth last week and scored just nine last week against Detroit on the road.

This is a divisional game for the Bucs and that could be trouble on the road too.

New Orleans is not very good. But, it's held opponents to an average of 21.66 points a game over it's three games in October.

The Saints have seen the total stay UNDER in six of their L7 home games.

We're on the UNDER today.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Chicago Bears @ Baltimore Ravens to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Chicago is playing terrifically at the moment and are 4-2 after beginning the season 0-2.

The Bears have scored 21 points or more in all six of their games this year.

The OVER is 4-2-1 since their final game of last season.

Baltimore finally gets Lamar Jackson back in the team in a crucial point of the year after missing some time.

The Ravens are much better with him and should have a great offense instantly again.

They have seen the total go OVER in six of their L7 games overall.

The OVER is the play.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Denver Broncos to defeat the New York Giants on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New York has had an uplift in confidence since Jaxson Dart took over as the Quarterback for Russell Wilson going 2-1 in the three games.

The Giants did lose against New Orleans though since then which was quite surprising given the other two wins.

They are still just 3-15 over their L18 games overall and have lost eight straight road games.

Denver is 4-2 this season and the defense is starting to perform like we all were expecting.

The Broncos have covered the spread in six straight games against opponents from the NFC.

We're on Denver to win by more than a TD this weekend.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders to cover the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Las Vegas finally won last week and that was needed for a morale boost.

The Raiders now play a divisional game and should be feeling a lot better about themselves, even while playing with no Brock Bowers.

They've covered against the spread in four of the L6 games against KC.

Kansas City just won a battle against Detroit on Sunday Night and are in high spirits.

But, the Chiefs are still just 7-13 versus the spread over their L20 games since last year.

With a couple of harder games due up, KC could take the foot off the gas a bit in this game.

We'll take the points.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders game to finish OVER the total on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Chicago has some of the worst defense in the NFL allowing 164.5 rush yards a game and 29.3 points a game .

The Bears can also put up points though so we are looking for a high scoring game on Monday.

They have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games since the end of last year (three out of four this season.)

Washington really has trouble defending the pass. But, it scores a lot of points and leads the NFL in rush yards a game.

The Commanders and Bears have seen six of the L8 games in Washington between another go OVER.

We're on the OVER tonight.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover the spread against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Cincinnati hasn't been good since Joe Burrow went down. But, there's a positive. Joe Flacco has been traded for.

No, Flacco isn't the guy he used to be in Baltimore. But, he's still going to help this team stay competitive in big games.

The Bengals still have top tier guys like Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Chase Brown to work with.

Green Bay's been really good this season other than the game against Cleveland. Why Cleveland? Well we think that the Packers play down to the quality of their opponents.

They are just 4-8 against the spread over their L12 games as a favorite of more than -5. That includes 0-3 their L3.

We're on Cincinnati today.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders to defeat the Tennessee Titans on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tennessee won last week but it was pretty lucky if you ask us. Flukes all over the place.

The Titans are back on the road this weekend and still have the leagues worst total passing yards per game and some of the worst offensive statistics that a team can have.

They are just 3-15 against the spread over their L18 games played since last year as well.

Las Vegas hasn't been the best either this season but it's got much, much better overall statistics and it plays this game at home.

The Raiders still are in the middle of the pack in yards a game and yards allowed a game.

We're on Las Vegas today.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the New York Giants on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Philadelphia hasn't made anything easy for itself so far this season, playing in only single score games so far.

But, the Eagles are still 4-1 and are the defending Super Bowl winners, playing as one of the top teams in the NFL again this season.

They are 7-1 against the spread over their L8 games played on the road since last year.

New York had it's moment in Jaxson Dart's first start against Los Angeles but lost to the Saints last week.

The Giants are just 2-15 straight up and 4-13 against the spread over their L17 games.

We're on Philadelphia on TNF.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs to defeat the Jacksonville Jaguars on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Kansas City has stepped up it's game the L2 weeks and have a 2-2 record off back-to-back wins.

The Chiefs are always going to be one of the best in the AFC as long as they have Mahomes.

They have beaten the Jaguars in eight straight games between these two teams.

Jacksonville snuck away with a win last week but will have a harder time this week against a healthier team.

The Jags are just 5-13 over their L18 games played against opponents within the AFC.

We're on KC on Monday Night.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the New York Giants to defeat the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Jaxson Dart really impressed us last week. His passing statistics weren't the best. But, he found a way to beat the undefeated Chargers without Nabers for most of the game.

The Giants now have a win to their name and will be feeling extra good about themselves for this game.

They are a whole different team with Dart leading the way and this is a really good matchup this week.

New Orleans hasn't won a game yet this year. In fact, Rattler hasn't won a game in the NFL yet.

The Saints are just 1-6 against the spread over their L7 games played in October the L2 seasons.

We're on New York to get it's second win.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders @ Indianapolis Colts to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Las Vegas had been having trouble scoring this season averaging just 19.3 points a game.

The Raiders have been able to move the ball at times. But, they don't have what it takes in the red zone right now.

They are not as hungry as some of the other teams, making them less of a threat to put up big numbers.

Indianapolis has been high scoring this season. But, LV's defense is actually better than people think.

The Colts also have a good defense allowing less than 21 points a game.

We think that this total is too high. Our play is on the UNDER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals @ Denver Broncos to finish UNDER the total on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: 

Cincinnati couldn't score at all last week against Minnesota. 

The Bengals are not going to be as good of a team with Browning as they were with Burrow and that was found out quite easily last weekend. 

They are averaging just 19.3 points a game. 

Denver had trouble in week one against Tennessee to score until later and also lost to Indianapolis. 

We think that the Broncos defense will finally show why it's considered one of the best here. 

We're on the UNDER. 

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Green Bay Packers to defeat the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Green Bay traded for Micah Parsons right before the season starts and he already gets to return to his old home.

The Packers looked like the best team in the NFL through two weeks and had a meltdown last week.

We think that they will bounce back against a much worse defense this week.

Dallas lost Ceedee Lamb to an injury last week that has him out for a couple of weeks. That includes this game.

The Cowboys have been the worst defense against the pass in the NFL this year.

We're on Green Bay, big.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs to defeat the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Baltimore can't seem to defend when it's time to defend right now in the big moments.

The Ravens have lost two games that they could've won and now have to face the dynasty of the AFC over the past decade.

They lost on a last second play against the Chiefs last year early in the season. They have lost three straight road games against them.

Kansas City looked a lot better last week against the Giants in primetime.

The Chiefs will probably have Xavier Worthy back this weekend which well help the offense flow a lot more too.

We're on KC in week 4.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Chicago Bears to defeat the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Dallas got away with one last weekend against New York in a game that it probably should've lost.

The Cowboys were down three with no time left and were saved by their kicker. They were practically playing for the tie at the end of OT before Wilson messed up for NYG.

They are just 1-4 over their L5 games against opponents from the NFC North Division.

Chicago didn't look good last week either. But, it's still got a good offense that can score points.

The Bears have to win this game otherwise their season is pretty much ruined.

They won the last time they played here in Chicago, as a small underdog as well.

We're on the Bears today.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Carolina Panthers to cover the spread against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Atlanta did win last weekend but it was really tough to score anything but field goals in that game and Penix had a hard time.

The Falcons have actually lost two of the L3 and three of the L5 games between these two teams.

Carolina came so close to pulling off the upset in week 2, failing on the last drive but still covering the spread.

The Panthers are now 8-3 against the spread over their L11 games since last season.

They are also 7-2 versus the spread over their L9 games against opponents within the NFC.

We think Carolina win this game.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to defeat the New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Pittsburgh lost last week against Seattle mostly in part of a player not knowing the rules on the kickoff resulting in seven points the other way.

The Steelers should bounce back this week against New England. They are the favorites for good reasoning.

Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in the NFL and this isn't the type of opponent he loses to.

New England did show some good offense last week and hasn't been so good on defense. Has allowed 20 or more points in back-to-back games.

The Patriots have beaten the Steelers three straight times. But, that gives a good revenge story for Pittsburgh.

The Pats are just 4-14 over their L18 games since last year.

We're on the Steelers.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Buffalo has been one of the top offensive sides in the NFL through two weeks scoring 30 or more in back-to-back games.

The Bills are averaging 35.5 points a game now and that's second just behind Baltimore.

They are happy to be playing the Dolphins this week -- have scored 30 or more against them in five of their last six games between these teams.

Miami is 0-2 but showed a lot more offensive progress in week 2, scoring 27 points against the Patriots.

The Dolphins still have a loaded offense with Hill and Waddle that can make a catch into a touchdown at any given moment.

We're on the OVER tonight.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Philadelphia's defense smartened up in the second half and shut out Dallas in the second half.

The Eagles were without their best defensive lineman, Jalen Carter, after he spat on Prescott before the first play and got ejected. He will be back today.

They are the defending Super Bowl Champions and will attempt to make a statement again this weekend against the same team.

Kansas City lost to the Chargers in week 1 and also lost another wide receiver.

Worthy isn't ruled out quite yet, but he's probably not going to play. The Chiefs are really short handed with WRs now.

KC has started slowly in a few of the past seasons that it's been strong. It turns it on more once September comes to a close.

We like the Eagles here.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Carolina had trouble doing anything last week with 142 passing yards and 255 total yard.

The Panthers scored just 10 points in that game and turned the ball over three times in the loss.

Arizona's defense was really good against New Orleans, allowing just 13 points in it's win.

But, the Cardinals weren't amazing on offense either. The Saints had more total yards (Cards had just 276) and the Cardinals reached just 20 points.

Both teams are not the strongest on offense and we think that both will try to get their running games going early and often in this game.

We're on the UNDER in week 2.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Buffalo Bills to defeat the Chicago Bears on Sunday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Buffalo started the week as the underdogs. But the odds might shift. Sean McDermott is a proven NFLx winner and we think that the odds might deceive some people.

McDermott has a 15-10 straight up record and 17-10 record versus the spread in 27 preseason games.

The Bills could have Allen see a few snaps. But, if he doesn't, Mitchell Trubisky will want to give his best efforts against his old team.

Chicago traded up to draft Trubisky in the 2017 draft over Patrick Mahomes.

Now, that might not mean too much for a Preseason game. But, this is Trubisky's chance to get back at his old team for not giving him the proper route to success.

We're on the Bills in the second week of preseason.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tennessee will have a new QB running it's offense. But, it's the number one pick Cam Ward. He should get at least a couple of scores in this game.

The Titans have seen the total go OVER in seven of their L8 road games since last year.

Denver ended the regular season last year by scoring 38, 29, 41, 31, 27, 24 and 38 points through weeks 11-18.

We think that the Broncos offense could be really good again this season.

Tennessee isn't as bad as people think either. This should be a higher scoring game.

We're on the OVER.

AAA Sports

Our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks to defeat the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

San Francisco has a lot of questions this year. We think that it's overall season could be awesome (if CMC is healthy.) But, this game is a real question mark.

McCaffrey's status changed from active to questionable with the same calf/achilles injury that had him sidelined a year ago.

Seattle is really confident under the new offensive coordinator and 2nd year head coach Mike McDonald as we head into week 1.

The Seahawks had a great preseason and have a really good situational QB, Sam Darnold, now. Darnold went 14-3 with Minnesota last year.

They are going to be a great running attacking team with two good runningbacks -- Walker and Charbonnet.

We're on Seattle in week 1.

AAA Sports

We like the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at 6:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Kansas City has been the top team in the AFC for a long time now. Its on back-to-back years. We don't think that KC will win a third straight time.

The Chiefs are just 4-9 versus the spread over their L13 games played this season.

They might be the best team at home. But, the Chiefs have shown that they can lose when not playing at Arrowhead Stadium.

Philadelphia is playing with revenge this year after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl two years ago.

The Eagles are 8-0 over their L8 games played against teams from the AFC Conference.

They also scored 55 points in their NFC Championship Game and look unstoppable with their rushing attack.

We think that the Eagles pull this one out.

AAA Sports

We like the Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs game to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 6:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Buffalo is coming off a 27-25 win over Baltimore in the Divisional Round of the playoffs.

The Bills have now seen the total finish OVER in eight of their L11 games.

Five of their L6 games played on the road have also gone OVER the total.

Kansas City played well defensively against Houston in its first game, but this is a big difference in offensive level from its opponents.

The Chiefs and Bills have gone OVER in five of their L7 games played against each other.

The score was 30-21 going OVER the total earlier this season when these teams played. That included one quarter seeing no points.

This one will go OVER as well.

AAA Sports

We like the Minnesota Vikings to defeat the Los Angeles Rams on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Minnesota got shut down in the last game of the season against Detroit scoring only nine points.

The Vikings were going to travel across the USA to an LA city that's currently "burning up" due to wildfires, but now this game has been moved to Arizona which just barely a shorter flight.

We think that they could definitely have some trouble scoring again against the Rams who will be rested up for this game.

Minnesota's defense is also strong though. With its "show blitz" looks, it could confuse the Rams offense a bit.

Before last weekend, Los Angeles saw the total stay UNDER in three games in a row.

The Rams have also seen the total go UNDER in five straight games played on a Monday (Prime-time.)

We think that this line is too high and that we will see a good showing from both of these defenses tonight.

AAA Sports

We like the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the Green Bay Packers on Sunday at 4:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Philadelphia had some concerns about its QB Jalen Hurts coming into this game. Hurts, who hadn't practiced in weeks, finally came back to practice on Wednesday and should be ready to go.

The Eagles are a much better team with him in the lineup, even though they won last week.

They are 12-1 over their L13 games this season as well, quietly making them one of the best teams in the league.

Although Green Bay ran through the Cowboys in last years wildcard round, we think that this is a much worse matchup for them.

The Packers are just 2-5 versus the spread over their L7 games against teams from the NFC East.

They are also just 3-6 over their L9 games played as a road underdog in the month of January.

We think that Philly will cruise through to the next round, Saquon Barkley being a big difference maker.

AAA Sports

We like the Baltimore Ravens to defeat the Pittsburgh Steelers on Saturday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Baltimore was previously bad against Pittsburgh, but silenced the doubters when it won 34-17 in the last meeting.

The Ravens have a chip on their shoulder entering the playoffs. They haven't been living up to their capabilities in years past in January/February and they need to send a message to everyone saying that they are here to stay.

The Ravens have covered the spread in five of their L6 games coming in.

Pittsburgh really had trouble down the stretch, losing each of its L4 games.

The Steelers were just 1-2 straight up and versus the spread in their three road divisional game this season.

Pittsburgh has also been bad in the postseason recently, losing five straight against the spread and straight up.

We think Baltimore dominates in the Wildcard Round.

AAA Sports

We like the Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Minnesota has averaged 31.5 points a game over its L4 games this season.

The Vikings have seen the total go OVER in four their L6 games.

They've also seen their games finish OVER in 7 of their L8 games played within their own division - NFC North.

Detroit is averaging 33.3 points a game throughout this season, ranking them 1st in the NFL.

The Lions have seen the total go OVER in 5 of their L6 games this year.

Each of the L6 games between these two teams have finished OVER.

We know this is one of the biggest totals that we've seen this season. But, it's for a good reasons. This one goes OVER.

AAA Sports

We like the New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New Orleans is averaging less than 20 points a game this season.

The Saints have seen the total stay UNDER in each of their L5 games.

Five of their L6 games played against opponents from the NFC have finished UNDER as well.

Tampa has shut teams down over its L3 wins. In those games, they are allowing an average of just 14.66 points a game.

Over the L6 meetings between these two teams, five of them have stayed UNDER.

Tampa should be prepared for this game defensively. A win puts them in the playoffs without any scare.

AAA Sports

We like the Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Dallas is scoring a lot more now that Cooper Rush has had a few games to get settled in.

Since week 12, the Cowboys are averaging 27.4 points a game.

They have seen the total go OVER in five of their L6 games.

Philadelphia lost because of a missed catch by Devonta Smith last weekend (33-36.)

The Eagles are a run first team. But, they still score lots of points.

Six of the L8 games between these two teams have finished OVER the total.

We think that this one will go OVER this total as well.

AAA Sports

We like the Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Arizona might be out of the playoff race now. But, the road team will still fight and try and spoil other division opponents playoff chances.

The Cardinals have a solid defense and held the Rams to just 10 points when they met earlier this season.

They have seen the total finish OVER in three straight games, making this total higher than it should be.

The Rams are only averaging 21.9 points a game which is low considering that they are the sizable favorite.

Los Angeles has seen the total go UNDER in five of its L6 games played as the betting favorite.

We think that this one stays UNDER the high total as well.

AAA Sports

We like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to defeat the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay has been on fire recently. TB has now won four games in a row.

The Buccaneers are also 5-1 versus the spread over their L6 games this season.

They are 8-1 since the 2022-23 season over their L9 games played in the month of December.

Dallas has basically given up on this season with a 6-8 record and a backup at QB.

The Cowboys are just 1-8 against the spread over their L9 games at home.

They should pack it in and play for a better draft pick.

We think this line is extremely low. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

We like the New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New England is 3-11 this season averaging just 17.0 points a game.

The Pats have gone OVER in most games this season. But, their offense will not get them many points in this game.

Over the L4 meetings in Buffalo between these two teams, the Patriots are averaging just 18.75 points a game.

Buffalo has been scoring easily lately. We think they will slow down a bit in this divisional matchup.

The Bills need to improve their time management and defense before the playoffs. It's fun playing in high scoring games when you win, but it might come back to cost them in a playoff game.

We think they work on that here and this one stays UNDER the total.

AAA Sports

We like the Houston Texans to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs on Saturday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

This line has moved all over the place already. With Patrick Mahomes' injury over last weekend, the Chiefs were worried he wasn't going to play, which made Houston the favorite for this game.

Mahomes has now practiced in full and is expected to play, moving the line back towards Kansas City's direction.

The Chiefs are now three-point favorites and we think that Houston will be up for the challenge.

KC is just 1-6 versus the spread over their L7 games as a favorite.

The Texans are off back-to-back wins and have won 12 of their L18 since last year.

They are also 4-1 against the spread over their L5 games played on Saturday's.

We think Houston wins outright, but most definitely keeps it within three points.

AAA Sports

We like the Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Over the L4 games, Denver is averaging 34.75 points per game themselves.

The Broncos have now seen the total go OVER in seven of their L10 games.

The OVER is also 4-1 in their L5 games played inside the AFC West.

With Dobbins out, the Chargers have been forced to throw a bit more than they did earlier this season.

The Chargers have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games played at home.

We know these teams have great defenses. But, we think the offenses will take control and steer this one OVER the total on TNF.

AAA Sports

We like the Chicago Bears to cover the spread in this game against the Minnesota Vikings on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

We know that Chicago doesn't have a great record. But, Chicago have shown that they will fight and not go down without trying.

The Bears faced this Vikings team nearly a month ago now. They only lost by three.

The Bears have covered the spread in seven of their L10 games played on Monday.

Minnesota has been great this year. Sam Darnold is having the best season of his career.

But, the Vikings seem to always make their games closer than they should be and that might come back to hurt them today.

Seven of the Vikings' 11 wins have been by a single score.

We think Chicago has a real shot at the upset today. Grab the points.

AAA Sports.

We like the Washington Commanders to defeat the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Even while cooling off a bit lately, Washington has been one of the top teams in the NFC this season. WSH is coming off a 42-19 win over Tennessee.

The Commanders are now 8-3-1 against the spread over their L12 games this season after that blowout victory.

They are also 5-2 versus the spread over their L7 games played against NFC opponents.

New Orleans has been better recently, but still NO is just 2-7 against the spread over it's L9.

The Saints are also just 2-4 vs the spread over their L6 home games.

We think this line is too low and are expecting a 10+ point win for Washington.

AAA Sports

We like the New York Jets @ Jacksonville Jaguars to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New York has been playing disappointing football nearly every week of this season. NYJ is 3-10 now on the year.

The Jets have been in high scoring games lately, but this game should be a lot lower scoring of a contest. They've scored an average of 18.4 points per game on the road.

Jacksonville hasn't been scoring much either lately. JAX has scored an average of just 11.5 points over the L4 games.

The Jaguars are also coming off a game where they shut down Tennessee completely allowing six total points.

The Jags have seen each of their L5 games stay UNDER the total as well.

We think that this one will stay UNDER easily today.

AAA Sports

We like the New York Giants to defeat the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Giants haven't had the best of seasons. But, this is the game for them to win. They need to win this game to show any signs of potential for next season.

NYG are 5-1 against the spread over their L6 games played in the month of December.

The extra rest from playing on Thanksgiving last Thursday will really help this team focus up for this weeks game.

New Orleans are 2-6 versus the spread over their L8 games this season.

They are also 1-5 over their L6 games against NFC opponents.

The Saints are without Taysom Hill this week and for the rest of the season. That's a big time loss for them.

At home, we've got the Giants winning this one outright.

AAA Sports

We like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to defeat the Carolina Panthers on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Buccaneers blew the Giants out last week. They will be looking for a repeat of that this weekend.

Tampa are 12-3 versus the spread over their L15 games played away from home.

When playing against Carolina, Tampa Bay have won seven of the L8 meetings, while covering against the spread in six of them.

Carolina are fresh off a very close loss against Kansas City. They showed flashes of what they can do, but ultimately fell short last week. They will return to losing again this week.

The Panthers are 3-15 in their L18 games played against NFC opponents.

They are also just 3-9 versus the spread since the final game of last season.

We think that this spread is too low. The Buccaneers will win this game by at least two scores in week 13.

AAA Sports

We like the New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 4:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Giants haven't been very good this year. They cut their QB and now will take on a Division Rival on Thanksgiving Thursday. This will be treated like their Super Bowl.

When the Giants have met with the Cowboys in Dallas, five straight meetings have finished OVER the total.

Overall, the OVER is 8-4 over their L12 meetings between these two teams.

Dallas have also seen the total go OVER in nine of their L13 games since the end of last year.

The Cowboys looked very good offensively last weekend against Washington scoring 34 points.

This line is very low. We think this one goes OVER the total.

AAA Sports

We like the Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 8:20pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

As we saw last week, both offenses can score. But, we expect a more defensive style of football game today.

The Rams have seen the total go UNDER in four of their L6 games this season.

LAR have also been in games that have gone UNDER the total in five of their L7 games played in November.

The Eagles and their opponents have kept the total UNDER in eight of their L12 games since last season.

The UNDER is also 8-2 in the Eagles' L10 games played away from home.

Their last matchup back in 2023 stayed UNDER by double digits!

We think another UNDER is on the cards today, especially in Primetime.

AAA Sports

We like the Miami Dolphins to defeat the New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Dolphins finally started playing better as a group last week against the LA Rams. They won 23-15 on Monday Night.

This weekend, Miami faces up against New England. They've beaten the Patriots in eight of the L9 games between them.

Miami is also 12-2 over their L14 games played in the month of November after that win last week.

New England are just 1-4 over their L5 games played on the road.

If we take a closer look at the recent games against each other, Miami has covered the spread in eight games in a row.

On the road against Miami, the Pats are 1-6 versus the spread over their L7.

This could be a real breakout game for Tua and the Dolphins offense. Tyreek Hill is due for a big game.

AAA Sports

We like the Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints game to finish UNDER the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Browns have been quite substandard this year. They are 2-7 and are averaging only 16.4 points per game.

Relying on the running game more than ever, Cleveland should be doing the same thing today.

New Orleans is off their first win in seven games. They are averaging 22.7 points per game.

The Saints have seen four of the L5 home games in the month of November stay UNDER the total.

The last time they played, the O/U line was only 32 points. That game still went UNDER the total with 27 total points.

We'll take the UNDER today. Getting at least 44.0 could be huge if they get more points than we're expecting.

AAA Sports

We like the Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts game to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Even though their stats don't look the greatest, Indianapolis has a solid defense. They shut down the Vikings offense for the most part on SNF last weekend.

Even after allowing 27 last weekend to the Dolphins, the Bills have given up an average of just 15.66 points per game over the L3 weeks.

Buffalo have seen the total go UNDER in five of their last six games played away from home.

After last weeks game, the total has gone UNDER in four Indianapolis games in a row.

Seven of the past ten games between these two sides have finished UNDER the total.

We are expecting both teams to establish a running game early to chew some clock after failing to do so last week.

Indianapolis will be looking to bounce back after back to back losses. They'll focus on defense once again first and foremost. We're going with the UNDER in week 10's matchup between Buf/Ind.

AAA Sports

We like the Washington Commanders to defeat the New York Giants on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Our NFC Game Of The Month on the Commanders won last week in a remarkable manner. In week 9, we're back with them against NYG.

That last second Hail Mary conversion will give Washington all the confidence they need into this week. They've also beaten the Giants already this year SU/ATS back in week 2.

We know that NYG are at home this week. But, they are off a short week (having played on Monday) and are 0-4 at home this season so far.

Jayden Daniels showed no signs of injury in last weeks game. He was great once again throwing for 328 yards and rushing for 52.

The Giants' offense is really slowing them down. They do have a solid defense, but it won't be enough to stop a top three offense in the league this weekend.

Like we wrote briefly about in our Steelers/Giants free play on October 28th, the Giants aren't the same without Saquon. With the superstar RB, they had something to rely on. Now it's on Daniel Jones to make things happen. That's not something you like to hear.

Lay the short number. Washington is our Divisional Game Of The Year.

AAA Sports

We like the Washington Commanders to defeat the Chicago Bears on Sunday at 4:25pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Jayden Daniels got injured during last weeks game for Washington. He will be missed for this weeks matchup. But, Marcus Mariota came in and dominated in his place. He threw for 205 yards on 18/23 and two touchdowns. He also rushed for 34 yards. The injury has already caused a line move and we don't believe that it's as big as some people think.

Over their last ten games against one another, Washington have won eight of them and covered ATS in seven of them.

The Commanders have been great all season and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games.

Chicago are 1-4 in their last five games against NFC East division opponents.

Let us not forget that Caleb Williams (Bears quarterback) is still a rooking himself. Chicago had a bye last week, but are still coming off a game in Europe.

Washington is good enough to keep rolling offensively. We see them winning this game outright on Sunday.

AAA Sports

We like the Buffalo Bills to defeat the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Seattle got back to their winning ways last week. But, this is will be a completely different game than last week. Buffalo is now a Super Bowl contending opponent with the new signing of Amari Cooper.

The Buffalo Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams in the NFL West Division.

The Bills are also 7-1 in their last eight against the NFC conference.

Seattle are just 2-6-1 ATS over their last nine games since last season.

No DK Metcalf today for Seattle. That's a huge blow considering that he's a big part in their offense. That should help Buffalo slow down the pass.

The Bills have some cushion in their division right now. But, they are pushing for that #1 seed and every win matters. We expect them to be at their best today.

AAA Sports

We like the Arizona Cardinals to defeat the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Even with Marvin Harrison Jr in question (concussion) for this game, we believe that the value is on the home team. Harrison actually ranks fourth on the team in receptions this year. Obviously his presence helps. But, even without the star rooking wide receiver, Arizona has weapons.

The Cardinals have had a very tough schedule to open up this season. They are battle tested and are ready to take on a Chargers team that hasn't faced much competition other than the Chiefs/Steelers.

In their last game against each other, it was a hard fought game with Arizona covering the spread.

Arizona's defense might not be as strong as they would like this season. But, their offense has been solid. LAC ranks in the bottom five in passing yards per game this year.

The Cardinals also have beaten the Niners this season. That's a big win for them considering that SF made the Super Bowl last year.

We will take the three points at home. Look for the mini upset though.

AAA Sports

We like the Houston Texans/Green Bay Packers game to finish OVER the total on Sunday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

With Romeo Doubs/Christian Watson back last week, Jordan Love looked phenomenal. He threw for four touchdown passes in the win.

CJ Stroud looked just as strong last week. He didn't need to throw for many yards. But, he ended up with three touchdown passes himself.

Both of these offenses have plenty of quick strike ability. When one team scores, the other will want to match.

Houston allowed 21 points last week to a poor New England offense that ranks second last in the NFL in points per game. Just think what a team ranked in the top 10 (Green Bay) could do.

Green Bay has seen the total go OVER in 10 of their last 15 games.

Although the last meeting between these teams went UNDER, they still ended up with 55 points (line was 55.5.)

This is a banged up Houston defense with their "leader" Azeez Al-Shaair battling a knee injury. If he's able to go this week, we don't expect him to be 100%.

We're looking for a high scoring game this Sunday in what should be one of the matchups of the week that everyone wants to watch. The play is on the OVER. Get in on it fast because the line could go up!

AAA Sports

We like the Cincinnati Bengals to defeat the New York Giants on Sunday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

We all know that the Bengals are much better than their 1-4 record. With another divisional game @Cleveland up next week, and a date against Philly the week after, this is a huge game for Cincinnati.

Averaging 28.0 points per game, the Bengals are in the top five in the NFL.

The Giants average just 17.8 points per game which is bottom five in the NFL.

NYG are 0-2 at home this season, being outscored 48 to 21 in those two games.

Cincinnati have one of the best receiving cores in football. They will be able to outscore the Giants this weekend.

In Primetime, we will give the heavy edge to Joe Burrow over Daniel Jones.

Malik Nabers should be back, but that will not be enough for the Giants. They are just 1-3 when he is in the lineup this season.

Burrow/Chase should be heavily motivated to beat Nabers as they are all former LSU players.

The Bengals covered the spread in their last meeting back in 2020. Expect them to do the same thing in 2024.

AAA Sports

We like the Denver Broncos to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Denver will win this game with their defense that's allowing an average of just 13.8 points per game, ranking 3rd in the NFL. They are also third in total yards and passing yards allowed per game.

The Raiders will not have Davante Adams again this week. Zamir White is also out, with Maxx Crosby questionable.

With White out, the Raiders should struggle even more on the ground. They currently rank second last in rush yards per game.

Minshew hasn't been great this year either. Last week he had just 130 yards through the air.

Denver at home should be able to control the tempo of this game. They are the favorites for good reason this afternoon.

We also give the edge to the Broncos head coaching. Sean Payton is one of the best in the business.

Along with their stellar pass defense, Denver have allowed just 155 rush yards over the past two weeks. That an average of just 77.5 per game.

With the Broncos having won back to back games, we expect them to keep rolling this weekend.

AAA Sports

We like the Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions to go Over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

We won with the under when the Lions played on primetime in Week 1. This is a far lower total though as that one was in the 50s. 

The Lions are averaging 399.7 yards per game, top 5 in the NFL. 

The Seahawks have scored 23 or more points in all 3 of their games. Since last year, they have scored 20 or more points in 7 straight games.

These teams faced each other last September and combined for 68 points. They also faced each other twice in 2022 and those games finished with 90 and 93 points! 

The over is the play! 

AAA Sports

We like the Baltimore Ravens to defeat the Buffalo Bills for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

With a 1-2 record and with Pittsburgh already 3-0, the Ravens need this game more than the Bills. They could have won both of their losses. Last week's win at Dallas now has them moving in the right direction.

The Ravens final score last week makes it seem close but that's only because Dallas came back at the end when the game should have been over. Baltimore dominated for 3 quarters and finished the game with a 274-51 edge in rushing yards.

The Ravens offense averages 6.6 yards per play, the best mark in the NFL. The Ravens average 430 yards per game, also most in the NFL.

The Bills want to run and the Ravens are great at being able to stop the run. Baltimore has allowed just 2.8 yards per carry, the fewest in the NFL by far.

The Bills are playing on a short week. Monday's game versus Jacksonville may have been easy but it still means less preparation time.

Home field advantage can't be discounted. The Ravens were 6-3 at home last year. The Bills were 4-4 on the road.

Lay the short number. Baltimore is the play.

AAA Sports

We like the Chicago Bears to defeat the LA Rams for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

The Bears won their only home game. The Rams are thousands of miles away from LA.

Caleb Williams passed for 363 yards last week. He hopes to have Keenan Allen back this week.

Stafford is missing Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua and Tyler Higbee.

Chicago's defense is allowing 286.7 yards per game. The Rams defense is allowing 425.7 yards per game, worst in the NFL. No other NFL team is allowing 400.

The play is Chicago
AAA Sports

We like the New York Giants plus the points against Dallas for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

The Giants have gotten better each week. They were blown out. Then they suffered a very competitive loss. Last week, they broke through with a win.

The Cowboys are going the wrong direction. Since winning their first game, they've lost 2 in a row.

The Cowboys aren't running the ball well and that puts pressure on Prescott. They rank 30th in the NFL with an average of 73.7 rushing yards per game.

This is a lot of points. Both teams have already had a game decided by a field goal.

The Giants have a score to settle. The Cowboys have been making them look silly these past few years and the Giants have had enough of it. Last year's home opening 40-0 primetime loss is still fresh in their memories. They believe they are finally catching Dallas at the right time. Daniel Jones: "We understand what this game means, and we'll be ready to go."

This game will be nothing like the game here last September. The determined home underdog will give the visitors everything they can handle. The play is New York.

AAA Sports

We like Cincinnati and Washington under on Monday night for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

The Bengals are averaging only 17.5 points. The Commanders are averaging just 20.5 points. 

The Bengals offense is averaging just 272 yards per game. Their defense is allowing only 288 yards per game. 

Burrow threw for only 201 yards and 1 touchdown in his only previous game vs. Washington. The final score was 20-9. 

Washington is running the ball more than most teams in the league and they rank #3 in rushing yards per game. Those running plays keep the clocking ticking. 

The total is high. The play is the under. 

AAA Sports.

We like the Detroit Lions to defeat the Arizona Cardinals for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. We believe that the Lions are more talented on both sides of the ball. They are 5-1 ATS their last 6 as road favorites.

2. The Lions won the NFC North with a 12-5 record last year. Arizona was last in the NFL West with a 4-13 record.

3. Due to Arizona playing better than expected so far, we get the Lions at a lower line than we would have prior to the season.

4. The Lions lost last week. They were a perfect 5-0 both SU and ATS after a loss last season. All five wins were by 5 or more points and they came by an average of more than 13 points.

5. Arizona won last week. The Cardinals were 0-4 after a win last season. Three of the four losses came by 5 or more.

The Lions have thrived when off a loss and when in the role of road favorites. They will win and cover this small number.

AAA Sports

We like the Chargers and Steelers to go over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. The total is very low, the lowest of any Week 3 game. It has dropped lower since it was released and that's providing strong line value. 

2. The Chargers just scored 26 points last game and that was when they took their foot off the gas in the 2nd half.

3. The Steelers offense has struggled but both their games were on the road against strong defensive teams. The Chargers defense has also been strong but playing Carolina helped pad the stats. Playing at home should help the Steelers. 

4. Fields now has a couple of games under his belt with the Steelers and his confidence is growing. Herbert has an ankle injury but is pushing to play. If Easton Stick is forced to play, we feel that he'll outperform expectations. 

5. The last meeting (2021) finished with 88 points and the last 7 meetings have all produced at least 41 points.

The defenses have played well but this total is still too low. The offenses will be better than people expect. The play is on the over. 

AAA Sports

The Bears managed the 24-17 home win over a "work in progress" Tennessee team in Week 1, but now here on the road in Week 2, we're expecting Chicago to stumble. Houston enters off a big 29-27 division road win over Indianapolis. It was a tough opening game and the Texans found a way to win. They will be sky high for their home opener and we just can't see the Bears' offense keeping pace with CJ Stroud and company. Chicago QB Caleb Williams was just 14 of 29 for 93 yards (a league low) in the Bears' victory in Week 1, while Stroud was 24 of 32 for 234 yards and two TD's. The Bears were fortunate to get some defensive and special teams points but they can't rely on that. Chicago hasn't traveled well these past few years and now they've got a rookie QB making his first road start. Chicago has also failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games following a SU victory. Look for Stroud and the Texans to get the job done with a statement home victory in front of the national audience.

AAA Sports

New Orleans dismantled Carolina 47-10 at home, but now hitting the road for the first time to face this talented Dallas defense, we're expecting a completely difference pace and tempo from the visitors. Dallas returns home off a successful 33-17 win over the Browns, and we also think that the Cowboys will be looking to protect the ball better here and establish the run game throughout. Add up these game plans and you have a contest that's decided by field position and in the trenches. With the high-scoring Week 1 results, this is an extra high o/u line. We feel that these are two of the best defenses in football. New Orleans was just 4-5 on the road last year, while Dallas was 8-0 at home. Let's not overreact to Saints' QB Derek Carr's performance. Throwing for three TD's and only 200 yards looks good on paper, but then we remember who they were playing in Week 1. It's going to be significantly more difficult here vs. the Cowboys, who looked really good in shutting down DeShaun Watson and company. The Under is the play!

AAA Sports

Plenty of reasons for us to like the over here. Buffalo's defense looked shaky in last week's 34-28 home win over the Cardinals. Josh Allen was great against the Dolphins last year, completing 81 percent of his passes while averaging 340 yards passing per game. He also averaged 42 yards per game rushing. Despite winning 20-17 last weekend, the Dolphins still allowed the Jags to rush for the seventh-most rushing yards last weekend. Keep in mind that 3 of the past 4 meetings have finished with more than 60 points. Each offense looked "rusty" in the first half, and each looked a lot better in the second. We look for that offensive trend to carry over here on Thursday with the final score finishing with more than 50 points.

AAA Sports

We have a great Monday night matchup to open the season and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. I just a real common sense play here, as New York will be looking to get the most out of its 40-year-old investment under center. Aaron Rodgers will also feel he has something to prove this season obviously. These teams haven't played since 2020, and the 49ers won that contest by a score of 31-13 in New Jersey. We're definitely expecting a much more competitive game this time around. Rodgers has plenty of weapons to utilize, including Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. The defense though is going to be tested facing Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey at home. San Francisco's last 10 home games have all finished over the 40 mark and 4 of the past 5 (and 7 of the 10) finished with 44 or more. Admittedly these are two good defenses, but in our opinion, everything points to these two dynamic quarterbacks "stealing the headlines." SF cannot be stopped and NY will have to score to keep up. This number has fallen from when it came out, right past the key number of 44, is low. Over is the play.

AAA Sports

Whenever the LA Rams and Detroit Lions get together, the focus turns to the two veteran QB's. Detroit got Jared Goff, who led his team to an NFC Championship last year, while LA got Matt Stafford, who led the Rams to a Super Bowl championship in his first season. The last time these teams met was in January, the final score was 24-23. The last time these teams met in the regular season was back in 2021 and the Rams won 28-19 at home. We're expecting a similar hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring battle (relative to the very high total) here as well. Detroit is 8-1 in its last nine at home and the last thing it'll want to do here is to try and turn this into a "shootout" against Stafford. We're expecting Detroit to get Goff to be a game manager here and to control the tempo of this one. We should also mention that the Lions secondary is much improved from the last time that the Rams saw it. It was a weakness last year but will be a strength this season. With each offense getting out to a tentative start like we suspect, we're expecting this total to fall "under" the big number once it's all said and done!

Both teams have more questions than answers heading into the 2024/25 season, but we say that Atlanta will find a way to get the job done in Week 1 at home. Both teams looked poor in the preseason, going 0-3. But, let's not read TOO much into those results. We just have very little faith in this Steelers' offense and in beleaguered and banged-up veteran QB Russell Wilson. With Wilson iffy with a calf issues, we're also not sold on Justin Fields, who Wilson had already beaten to earn the Week 1 start, prior to his injury. The Steelers finished 10-7 last year, but that was only good enough for third place in the AFC North. Atlanta was 7-10 and missed the playoffs, but with Kirk Cousins ready to go, Wilson/Fields will have difficulties keeping pace. Tomlin remains a great coach but the Falcons are the more complete team entering the season. Lay the points, the play is indeed on Atlanta!

The weight of expectations weighs heavy on Josh Allen and the Bills this year. A matchup right out of the gate this year with the Arizona Cardinals provides a great opportunity to start the season with a victory. This is a difficult place to play. In our estimation, the home-field advantage will prove to be a huge difference-maker for Buffalo and the final outcome of this contest once it's all said and done. Kyler Murray missed nine games last year, but the Cardinals are still hoping he'll be able to finally "find himself" here in his third year. They drafted WR Marvin Harrison Jr., which will for sure help in the long-term but will still need some time to develop any real meaningful chemistry. The Cards were terrible defensively as well, allowing 26.8 PPG, second-worst in the league. Allen is back, So to is RB James Cook. With several injuries to Arizona's starting defense to open the season, we expect Allen to find a way to not only win this game but to do so in convincing fashion; lay the points, the play is Buffalo!

AAA Sports

This game is being played in Brazil, the first ever NFL game in South America. These types of scenarios often have a way of leading to more of a defensive lower-scoring outcome, due to the unfamiliarity of their surroundings. We have two really good QB's going head-to-head here, but we're expecting each side to put an added emphasis onto establishing the run game while on offense. That helps take pressure off their defense and to keep the opposing QB on the bench. It also keeps the clock moving. Keep in mind that this is a very high total, much higher than the total of 46 that these teams had when they last faced each. Three of GB's last four games finished with 45 or less. The Eagles last 2 games finished with 41 or less. They'll score but not enough to surpass this high line. We're on the "under!"

With a spread like this, the oddsmakers clearly believe that these two sides are evenly matched, and for the most part they are. They're very familiar with each other. Baltimore does play with "revenge" here after losing 17-10 in the Playoffs last year, but note that Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are 3-1 in the regular season vs. Baltimore. Last year KC failed to cover the spread, and in fact lost outright at home as 4-point favorites to the Lions in Week 1 and they'll be looking to avoid another upset this season. One big note though, Kelce did not play in that Week 1 game last year, but he will be this season. Yes, Baltimore did add RB Derrick Henry to their line-up, but he'll need some time to adjust. We feel that this one sets up really well for KC; lay the points, the play is indeed on Kansas City!

10* UNDER 49ers/Chiefs (TOM)

Two great offenses. Two great defenses. Honestly, it would not be difficult for us to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game, but for a number of different reasons we are expecting Super Bowl 58 to be a very defensive affair. San Francisco averages 28.9 PPG, which ranks third, while allowing 17.5, which ranks third as well. Kansas City only averages 21.8 PPG though, which is 15th overall. The big news for the Chiefs in the postseason and throughout the regular season as well though has been their tough defensive play, as they enter the big game conceding 17.3, ranked second in the league. Despite having Patrick Mahomes under center, the last thing that KC wants to do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with the hungry 49ers. Instead they'll look to suffocate this offense and control the clock. Mahomes won't feel nearly as much pressure as his counterpart and should expertly be able to "control" the pace of this one. In our opinion Super Bowl 58 will be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned!

AAA Sports

10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER)

It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco!

AAA Sports

10* Chiefs/Ravens UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER)

Although this game definitely features two of the best QB's on Earth right now, we're expecting this contest to be won in the trenches and by field position. Whichever team establishes the run and looks after the football is going to come out on top. Each offense will be doing its best to limit the time the other unit is on the field, and that means establishing the run game throughout. The Chiefs beat the Fish 26-7 in the Wildcard at home, before holding on for the 27-24 win at Buffalo last weekend. We're anticipating more of a defensive lower-scoring battle like the Chiefs participated in the Wildcard. Baltimore held the Texans to just ten points, and the Chiefs' sub-par offense could be in trouble on the road here as well. In our opinion, this number is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Chiefs/Bills (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams played in Kansas City back on December 10th and the Bills won a tight and lower-scoring battle by a score of 20-17. Will the Chiefs get their revenge here, or will the Bills take advantage of home field and pull out another win and cover? We're not 100% sure WHO will win and cover in this game, but we're for sure absolutely expecting another lower-scoring battle. Note that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. We're expecting this one to be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" is almost always the correct call as far as the total is concerned, and that's the case here in this divisional round matchup; in our estimation, this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports