Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens OVER 41 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over Chargers-Ravens The 12-4 Chargers and the 10-6 Ravens just met two weeks ago with Baltimore holding LA to its worst offensive game of the season. The Bolts finished with just 198 total yards and no play went for more than 17. They scored only 10 points and their one touchdown came on a drive that started on Baltimore 17-yard line after a fumble. The Ravens ended up winning 22-10, sealing the deal with a defensive touchdown. Despite the inferior record, they get to be the home team this team by virtue of winning their division. Look for the sequel to be higher scoring than the original. Yes, Baltimore's defense is most definitely "for real," but the Chargers are one of the few (maybe the only?) team to play better on the road than at home. Philip Rivers posted the second best QBR in the league in road games this year. Also, Baltimore ran for "only" 159 yards in the first meeting. Though the Chargers are the first team that gets to see Lamar Jackson twice, don't expect their defense to have the same success the second time around. That previous rushing yardage total was the lowest for any of Jackson's seven starts and I expect the Ravens offense to be closer to 200, a number they've already cracked five teams with him as the starter. Play the OVER in Chargers-Ravens AAA |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 77 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on DALLAS The nightcap Saturday sees the 10-6 Cowboys hosting the 10-6 Seahawks. Dallas got the homefield advantage by winning the NFC East while Seattle had to settle for second in the NFC West. But the Seahawks did beat the Cowboys in the regular season, 24-13, all the way back in Week 3. But that game was in Seattle. Dallas played pretty poorly, turning it over three times and as a result trailed by double digits most of the way. But their defense did a good job, holding Russell Wilson and company to less than 300 total yards and just 113 rushing. The key to the Seattle offense is running the football as they led the league in that department. But the Cowboys defense was one of the best at stopping the run. They allow only 94.6 rush yards per game, which ranked 5th in the league. Really, the Dallas defense deserves more accolades as it was pretty great this year. A big reason America's Team was 7-1 in "Jerry World" this year was that the defense gave up only 18.5 PPG. Seattle's defense allowed at least 24 points in six of the last eight games. The Seahawks are only 1-5 ATS their last six playoff games. In both games Saturday, the better defensive team is playing at home. I expect both to win. Play on the COWBOYS. AAA |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the TEXANS It's two AFC South teams matching up in our first Wild Card Game of the weekend. The 11-5 Texans host the 10-6 Colts. Saturday marks the third time they will have met this season and the road team has had the edge so far, winning and covering both games. But I think I would be foolish to think there's any kind of "edge" being the road team in the NFL playoffs. Indianapolis was only 4-4 on the road in the regular season as opposed to 6-2 at home. On offense, they are likely going to be reduced to a one-dimension attack here. They could not run on this Houston defense in either regular season meeting, totaling just 91 yards. That's going to put a lot of pressure on Andrew Luck. The Texans allow only 17 points per game at home. The Colts scored 24 in their visit, but that was actually the second most points by any visitor this year at NRG Stadium. I do not see them scoring that many this time. Something I find interesting is that Houston was actually a 1-pt favorite for the game in Indianapolis, then a 4-pt favorite for the last game here. Good value this third time around. The Colts are just 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff road games. I look for Houston QB Watson to make more plays than Luck on Saturday, getting his team the win. Play on the TEXANS AAA |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 49 | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on the Under in Colts-Texans. In my writeup on the side of this game, I established that I don't the Colts offense is in for a very successful game Saturday in Houston. The Texans defense is very strong against the run as they allow 3.4 yards per carry, which was the best mark in the NFL. To reiterate, the two times these teams played in the regular season, Indianapolis ran for just 91 yards. That wasn't their average per game, mind you. That was the total number of rush yards in two games (50 + 41). In three of the last five games, the Colts ran for 50 yards or less. Houston allows only 17.0 PPG at home. While I obviously expect them to win this game, look for them to have a somewhat limited day offensively as well. Over the last seven games, the Colts gave up more than 21 points just twice. The Under was 5-2 in those seven games, including the one here in H-town. The Under is also 8-1 the last nine times the Colts have played a team with a winning record. It's 5-1 their last six Wild Card games as well. Houston has seen the Under hit in five of its last seven home games and 13 of its last 18 against AFC teams. Play UNDER on Colts-Texans. AAA |
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01-05-19 | Eastern Washington v. North Dakota State OVER 60.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER in Eastern Washington-North Dakota State. The FCS Championship Game features a matchup of 12-2 Eastern Washington and 14-0 North Dakota State. The Bison are prohibitive favorites here and for very good reason; they'll be gunning for a record-tying seventh National Championship. Just like Alabama has owned the FBS under Nick Saban, NDSU has owned this level with all six championship wins coming since 2011. I don't think there's much value to be had playing the pointspread, but I do like the total as this should be a high-scoring affair at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX. North Dakota State is a machine running the football as South Dakota State found out in the semifinals three weeks ago. The Bison ran for 439 yards in that game and now face a EWU defense that is only so-so against the run and may even have its starting nose tackle. There were only three games this year where the Bison did not score 34 points. They've scored at least 44 four times in the last five games. Meanwhile, Eastern Washington just put up 50 in its semifinal win over Maine. It was the sixth time this year they scored at least 48 points in a game. Will they get that many here? Probably not, but playing catchup, they'll score enough to help get this one past the number. Play the OVER in Eastern Washington-North Dakota State AAA |
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01-01-19 | Texas v. Georgia UNDER 59 | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under in Texas-Georgia #15 Texas (9-4) meets #5 Georgia (11-2) in the Sugar Bowl, one of this year's better bowl matchups. I'm expecting a low-scoring game tonight in NOLA. Without a doubt, Georgia is going to be the best defense that the Longhorns will have faced all year. The Bulldogs allow just 18.2 points per game. Yes, they'll be missing their top corner (declared for NFL Draft) and coordinator Mel Tucker took the head coaching job at Colorado. But it's not like the Horns have the most explosive offense. On the other side, the Texas defense has had to deal with some very high-powered offenses this year in the Big 12. So they won't be intimidated here. The Under is 48-23 in the Longhorns last 71 games overall, including 19-7 the L26 games on field turf. They held Oklahoma below its season scoring average in the Big 12 Championship Game. Georgia has gone Under in 7 of its last 10 bowl games. Play TEXAS-GEORGIA UNDER AAA |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Washington in the Rose Bowl. I'll be taking the points with Washington in the Rose Bowl as they are the better defensive team and an all-around undervalued side. While Ohio State (12-1) has the better won-loss record (Washington 10-3), the Huskies' three losses were all close games and they could have won all of them. They were basically three plays away from being unbeaten. While a lot of focus here is on how the Buckeyes finished their regular season (destroyed rival Michigan), Washington was pretty impressive in its own right, holding Washington State and Utah to just 18 total points. The Huskies have one of the top defenses in the country (15.5 PPG allowed), so that will keep them in this game. With this being Urban Meyer's final game patrolling the sidelines, everyone is loading up pn the Buckeyes, but that's inflated the number. Washington was an underdog only twice this year, vs. Auburn and at Washington State. They won in Pullman and lost to Auburn by only five, a game they easily could have won. Play WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-01-19 | Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* WINNER on Iowa in the Outback Bowl. In my eyes, this Outback Bowl matchup of 8-4 Iowa and 8-4 Mississippi State pits two very underrated teams against one another. But in the end, I feel the favorite's inability to score consistently will cost them here, laying so many points. The Iowa defense gives up just 17.4 points per game. Mississippi State gives up the fewest in the country (12.0), so it should be a low-scoring game all around. With points likely at a premium in a matchup such as this, the underdog just seems like the right move. There were four times this year that Miss State was held under 10 points. Most of the Bulldogs dominant performances were against non-bowl teams. Of Iowa's four losses, three were by six points or fewer and the other (28-17 vs. Wisconsin) saw them give up two touchdowns in the final minute. Miss State was generally dominated in its losses. Oddsmakers agree that this is going to be a low-scoring game and taking points in the way to go. Play IOWA. AAA |
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12-30-18 | Colts -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Indianapolis Colts. This is a big game, as the winner will advance with a wild card spot, while the loser will be going golfing. Andrew Luck and the Colts though annihilated the Titans 38-10 at home in the first matchup this year and we believe a similar result is in the cards here as well. Also note that Titans’ QB Marcus Mariota is questionable for this one and if he does play, clearly he’s not going to be at 100% health. Finally note that the Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records, while the Titans are just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. teams with winning road records. Lay the points, play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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12-30-18 | Bengals v. Steelers -14.5 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a beatdown from start to finish here. The Bengals come in off a 26-18 road loss to Cleveland, while Pittsburgh fell 31-28 on the road in New Orleans last Sunday. The Steelers have won seven straight in the series though, including a 28-21 road win in the first one this year. Bengals’ starting QB Andy Dalton though isn’t playing anymore and the Bengals have nothing to play for. Pittsburgh has to win this game and have the Ravens lose to Cleveland to make the postseason. We’re expecting the under-achieving home side to lay the foot on the gas from start to finish. Note that the STEELERS are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS win, while Cincinnati is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a road loss vs. a division rival. Lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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12-29-18 | South Carolina v. Virginia OVER 53.5 | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER South Carolina/Virginia. Virginia opened the year 6-2, but it finished 7-5. The Cavaliers can erase the stink of “what could have been” with a big victory today though and we’re fully expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. In their final regular season loss, QB Bryce Perkins had 259 passing yards and three TD’s, along with 112 rushing yards. The Gamecocks are coming off a 7-5 season and they hold on for an easy win over Akron in their finale. Note that the Cavs have seen the total go OVER the number in their last five neutral site games, while the Gamecocks have seen the total go OVER in seven of their last nine when playing with three weeks or more rest on a neutral field. This number is a little high, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 32 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Syracuse. We think WVU goes through the motions today. The Mountaineers ended their regular season on a two-game losing streak. Syracuse is 9-3 overall and it’s 5-1 in its last six. The Orange have scored at least 40 points in each of their last five victories with extra time off to prepare, we think Syracuse is the “hungrier” team here. WVU enters without starting QB Will Grier, who skips the bowl to enter the NFL draft. Backup Jack Allison has only attempted ten passes in 2018. Note that WVU is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven neutral site games as well, while Syracuse is 4-1-1 ATS In its last six non-conference games. Play on SYRACUSE. AAA Sports |
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12-27-18 | Duke v. Temple OVER 54 | Top | 56-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Duke/Temple. Temple was 8-4 on the year, including 7-1 in AAC play, while Duke went 7-5, and 3-5 in ACC action. The Owls come in on top form having won three straight, outscoring their opposition 143-73 in those games. Overall Temple averages 35.6 PPG and it allows 24.7. Duke will be hungry here to get back into the winners circle after back-to-back “duds” to finish the season, falling 35-6 to Clemson and 59-7 at home to Wake Forest. The defense has been a problem for the Blue Devils, allowing 504 yards and 43 points per game average over its final three games. Note that Duke has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four non-conference games already this year, while Temple has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last ten played on “turf.” This number is low; play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-26-18 | TCU +1 v. California | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 37 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU. These teams are evenly matched as far as the points per game (Cal averages 22.8 PPG, and TCU averages 24.4) and in points allowed (Cal concedes 21.2 and TCU allows 24.4). However, TCU comes in with considerable momentum and we think it’ll carry over here after a 31-24 home win over Oklahoma State pushed them to eligibility. Cal on the other hand hand won four of five before a date with Standford in its finale, a game which saw it fall 10-6. Note that TCU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games following a win in which it scored 30 or more points in and also earned the cover, while Cal is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral site games. Play on TCU. AAA Sports |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 35 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Broncos/Raiders. With nothing to play for, not even the role of spoiler, we look for these teams to simply “go through the motions” tonight. Denver Broncos coach Vance Joseph will be reportedly fired at the end of the season, so the entire organization is in upheaval right now. Jon Gruden completely blew up his roster and the Raiders will be in rebuilding mode for a few years. As mentioned off the top, these teams have nothing to play. Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 19 on the road, while Oakland has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five as a home underdog of seven points or less. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-23-18 | Giants v. Colts -9 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -105 | 90 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF. SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Colts. We’re not expecting any upsets here as we look for Indianapolis to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Indianapolis is a team on a mission right now and it’ll be looking to build off its 23-0 home win over Dallas last week. The Giants tried their best to play spoiler last week, but they got destroyed by the Titans. With OBJ sidelined, we’re not giving the visitors much of a chance in this difficult road venue. With last week’s loss the Giants are now officially out of contention. The Colts though are firing on all cylinders and could be the team to beat in the AFC this year. Note that New York is just 4-10-2 ATS in is last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Indianapolis is 32-14-1 ATS in its last 47 vs. teams with losing records. Lay the points; play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles OVER 45.5 | Top | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 90 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Eagles. From a situational stand point, we think this one sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Both teams have struggled at times to put points on the board this season. Each relies heavily on its defensively play. Houston rebounded from a loss to the Colts to beat the Jets 29-22 last weekend. We look for DeShaun Watson and company to carry that momentum over here. Philadelphia enters off a much needed 30-23 road win over the Rams with Nick Foles under center last week. With nothing to lose, Foles and company will be given the green light today to test this tough Texans defense. Note though that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in six of seven off a road win vs. an opponent, while Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER in 14 of its last 23 after a SU victory. This number is low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Hawaii UNDER 61.5 | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between Louisiana Tech and Hawaii. Hawaii had a great year, finishing 8-5, while Louisiana Tech was 7-5. Louisiana Tech backed its way into the bowl season with back-to-back losses to Southern Miss and WKU, while Hawaii won its final two games of the year over UNLV and SDSU. The Bulldogs will be leaning heavily on their run game while on offense to keep the Warriors offense off the field of play. The Warriors averaged 32.1 PPG, but Louisiana Tech allowed just 23.8. The longer time off throws a “monkey wrench” into the Warriors offensive chemistry in our opinion. Note as well that LT has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of five already this year as a road underdog, while Hawaii has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers OVER 43 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the OVER Ravens/Chargers. This is a big game for both teams. The Ravens come in on top form, having won four of five since rookie QB Lamar Jackson took ver the job. Jackson isn’t asked to do too much, just to protect the ball, throw short crossing routes and use his legs when he gets into trouble. The Ravens rely on a strong run game and their No. 1 ranked defense. The Chargers are 11-3 and they come in having won four straight. Philip Rivers and company will be doing everything they can to get the defensive minded Ravens out of their comfort zone and with the home side pushing the pace at every moment possible while on offense, we’re expecting this total to sneak OVER sooner than later. Note as well that Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while LA has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year off a division game. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-21-18 | BYU -12 v. Western Michigan | Top | 49-18 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on BYU. Both teams were forced to change up their starting QB’s half way through the season. We think that BYU’s tough defensive play though will prove to be the difference today. Kaleb Eleby got the 28-21 win over NIU in the Broncos regular season finale, but he’ll have his handful today with a Cougars’ defense which allowed just 21.7 PPG, ranked in the top 20 in the country. BYU is still 3-0 ATS in its last three as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while WMU is just already 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season. Lay the point; play on BYU. AAA Sports |
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12-20-18 | Marshall v. South Florida OVER 51 | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between Marshall/USF. I think the extra time off for USF, which opened the season 7-0, but which finished 0-5, will do it good here. The Bulls will have had time to game-plan and to get a handle on their QB situation (with starter Blake Barnett a question mark still.) Marshall finished 8-4 and is the more complete team on both sides of the ball. We’re expecting a wide open affair between these two hungry teams. Note as well that Marshall has seen the total go OVER the number in its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while USF has seen the total go OVER in five of its last six as an underdog. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State UNDER 54 | Top | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between Ohio and SDSU. Both teams rely on a strong run game while on offense. The Bobcats’ entire offensive identity revolves around star RB AJ Oullette, who had 1,142 rushing yards and 12 TD’s this season. SDSU is ranked fourth nationally in stopping the run, but Ohio will have little choice here. The Aztecs were hampered by injury this year, but RB Juwan Washington is back to play in this one and he’ll be out to make a statement in our opinion. Note as well that Ohio has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after two or more SU wins, while SDSU has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four vs. teams with winning records. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois +3 v. UAB | Top | 13-37 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Northern Illinois. With two weeks off to prepare, we think the NIU Huskies will keep this one close. NIU averages only 20.7 PPG, but the Huskies make up for it on the other end of the field by allowing just 21.5. UAB averages 29.3 PPG and it allows 17.3. We’d argue though that the Huskies face tougher competition in the MAC. UAB QB AJ Erdely is questionable for this one as well and if he can’t go, then Tyler Johnston III will get the call. Regardless, it’s not an ideal situation for the Blazers. Note that the Huskies are 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year, while UAB is interestingly 0-3 ATS in its last three vs. the MAC. Grab the points, play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS. AAA Sports |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 49 | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Saints/Panthers. New Orleans is 11-2 and it still needs some victories to earn the bye with LA sitting with the identical record. The Saints own the tie-breaker, but clearly Brees and company can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point. Carolina opened the season 5-1, but at 6-7, it still is completely in the playoff hunt with three other clubs tied with an identical record. We’re fully expecting these “hungry” sides to open up the playbook and to push the pace from start to finish. Note as well that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in its last three after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games, while Carolina has seen the total go OVER in five of six at home already. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Steelers. If you’re wagering on this game, then a “break down” of individual player match-ups, a history of what the two teams have done against each other and their strengths and weaknesses are well known to even the most casual NFL fan. It wouldn’t be hard to make a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both have looked unbeatable at times this season and they’ve also each looked pretty terrible in others. This time around though, we really do think that home field will prove to be a big difference maker this week. Note as well that New England is already only 1-3 ATS this year as a road favorite of seven points or less, while Pittsburgh is 3-0 ATS this season when playing the role of underdog. Play on the STEELERS. AAA Sports |
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12-16-18 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 45.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Packers/Bears. Green Bay put on an impressive performance in its 34-20 home win over the Falcons, but consistency on the road has been a big issue for Green Bay. And now the Packers face a revenge minded Bears team (lost 24-23 in the first meeting), which comes off its best defensive performance of the year in its 15-6 home win over the Rams. Green Bay is averaging 24.2 PPG and its allowing 23.6, while Chicago is averaging 27.6 PPG and allowing 19. Note that Green Bay has already seen the total go UNDER in all three games that it’s played in this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER in 13 of its last 22 at home. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Georgia Southern OVER 47.5 | Top | 21-23 | Loss | -105 | 154 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Georgia Southern/EMU. EMU finished 7-5, but with three straight victories to end the season. Georgia Southern also comes in with a ton of momentum after finishing 9-3 and back-to-back winver over Georgia State and Coastal Carolina. Last week Georgia Southern QB Shai Werts and RB Wesley Fields would combined for 226 rushing yards and two TD’s. EMU’ QB Tyler Wiegers finished with 1,887 passing yards and an 11/3 TD/INT. Note though that EMU has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year after two or more SU wins, while Georgia Southern has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. Look for each of the Eagles to open up the playbook and for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets OVER 41 | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 71 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between the Texans/Jets. The Jets have nothing to play for this season, but the players have everything to play for for next year. The Jets will be trying to build some momentum and something positive for 2019 and they’d love nothing more than to play spoiler to the Texans, who are looking to rebound after their nine-game win streak was snapped last week against division rival Indianapolis. Houston once again has a great defense, but the big difference has been the improved play of QB DeShaun Watson, who has 3,298 yards and 22 TD’s this year. Jets’ rookie QB Sam Darnold returned last week vs. the Bills and New York broke a three-game slide with a 27-23 win. There’s no reason not to think that Darnold and company won’t carry that momentum over here. Note that Houston has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after a loss by three points or less, while New York has seen the total go OVER in four of five already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +9 v. Utah State | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 150 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on North Texas. Outright upset? Probably not, but we think the Mean Green will keep this one interesting late. UNT was 9-3 overall and 5-3 in the C-USA, while Utah State went 10-2 overall and 7-1 in the Mountain West. UNT averages 36.4 PPG and it allows only 21.8. Utah State averages 47.2 PPG and it allows 23. On paper, this one favors Utah State, but with the extra time off to prepare and with nothing to lose, we expect the Mean Green to take this one down to the wire. Note as well that Utah State is just 4-15 ATS in its last 19 vs. teams with winning records, while UNT is still 10-3 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games. Grab the points; play on NORTH TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 53 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Chargers/Chiefs. The Chiefs beat the Chargers in LA 38-28 in Week 1. The first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams is “high-scoring, gun-slinging” offenses. And why not? With Patrick Mahomes and Philip Rivers going head-to-head, there’s no doubt why this number has been posted so high. However, the short week and the extreme importance of the overall situation as far as playoff standings sets this up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Additionally note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 16 vs. the division and in its last two Thursday night games, while KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 24 at home and in three of its last four after a win by three points or less. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Seattle Seahawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Minnesota is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 14 points or less in its previous competition, while Seattle is already 3-1 ATS at home and when playing the role of favorite this year, but also 8-2 ATS in its last ten off a divisional contest. The bottom line: This is an important game for both teams, but home field is a major advantage here. Expect Russell Wilson to deliver the goods; play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears OVER 51 | Top | 6-15 | Loss | -113 | 60 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Rams/Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 16 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after an extremely close road loss of three points or less. The bottom line: Both of these first place teams still need victories to lock down a top playoff spot. All signs point to a higher-scoring affair; play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Green Bay Packers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Atlanta is just 1-3 ATS as an underdog already this year and 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off an upset loss as a favorite, while Green Bay is still 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and 4-1 ATS in its last five after having lost five or six out of its last seven games. The bottom line: The loser is officially eliminated. Aaron Rodgers doesn’t go down without a fight, especially at home. Lay the points; play on the PACKERS. AAA Sports |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | Top | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 82 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Tennessee Titans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Jacksonville is just 1-3 ATS on the road this season and just 2-5 ATS in its last seven off an upset win as an underdog, while Tennessee is 12-8 ATS still in its last 20 at home and interestingly 6-2 ATS in its last eight in the final four weeks of the regular season. The bottom line: The Jags won’t be playing in the playoffs and they enter off a very satisfying 6-0 win over the Colts. Can anyone say letdown spot?! The Titans still have hope to make an AFC Wild card game, but they have to start stringing some wins together. After last week’s late 26-22 win over the Jets, we think that TENNESSEE carries that momentum over at home on the short week; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +6 v. Eagles | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Washington Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after having lost three of out if last four games SU and 11-5 ATS i its last six after one or more SU losses vs. the spread, while Philadelphia is just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. The bottom line: With both teams desperate for this divisional victory, we’re grabbing the points and expecting it come down to the wire. Play on the REDSKINS. AAA Sports |
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12-02-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 35 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Chargers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that LA already 4-1 ATS on the road this year and 3-1 ATS in its last four after a two-game home stand, while Pittsburgh is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as a home favorite of seven points or less and just 2-3 ATS in its last five after playing its last game on the road. The bottom line: We’re grabbing the points, but not ruling out an outright upset; grab the points, play on the CHARGERS. AAA Sports |
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12-02-18 | Chiefs -14 v. Raiders | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Kansas City Chiefs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that KC has is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as a road favorite and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 vs. the division, while Oakland is a miserable 9-16 ATS in its last 25 as an underdog and only 1-3 ATS in its last four at home. The bottom line: The Raiders are lining up nicely for a top spot in the draft, while we look for a rested KC side to lay the hammer down from start to finish. Lay the points, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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12-01-18 | Stanford v. California UNDER 48.5 | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 119 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between Stanford/Cal. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Stanford has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of its last 27 as a favorite, while Cal has seen the total go UNDER in 12 of its last 20 after playing two straight conference games and in four of five already this season after playing a game at home. The bottom line: The Stanford Axe is at stake. This game was supposed to be played in mid November, but the wildfires in California postponed it till now. Look for the offenses to come out a little flat. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Texas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral site games and 13-5-2 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with winning records, while Oklahoma is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game. The bottom line: Texas already beat Oklahoma this year. The Longhorns have the better defense and while we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a tight battle. Grab the points, play on TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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11-30-18 | Utah v. Washington OVER 43 | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -105 | 105 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the OVER between Utah/Washington. This is the Pac 12 Championship Game from Golden State. Utah posted a 35-27 come from behind win over BYU last Saturday, while Washington earned its way to the Championship by posting a 28-15 road win over WSU on Friday. The Huskies won 21-7 over Utah on the road in mid September, but we’re expecting a much more wide open and higher-scoring affair this weekend. Utah averages 30.8 PPG and it allows 19.2, while Washington averages 28 PPG, while allowing just 16.5. Two of the best defensive teams in the nation, but we still think this number is low, as note that Utah has seen the total go OVER the number in five of six already this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Washington has seen the total go OVER in five of its last six after a road win of ten points or more. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys UNDER 53.5 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Saints/Cowboys. Dallas has been getting the job done over its three game win streak with a strong run game and highly improved defensive play. The last thing the home side can do is try to match pace with Drew Brees and company, who are still looking to lock up the first round bye. But with the home side committed to try and control the pace of this one from start to finish, we do indeed expect a lower-scoring affair. Note as well that the Cowboys have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last nine home games following a three games or more SU unbeaten streak. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans UNDER 41.5 | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Titans/Texans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of eight vs. conference opponents already this season and in three of four vs. teams with winning records, while Houston has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine after two or more SU wins and in three of its last four MNF contests. The bottom line: This is an important divisional contest and we’re expecting a classic, hard-hitting defensive battle. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-25-18 | Packers +4 v. Vikings | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 151 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Green Bay Packers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay is still 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. teams with winning records, while Minnesota is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 vs. the division. The bottom line: Green Bay will be out of the playoff picture if it loses today and because of that, we’re expecting another full four quarter effort from the visiting side. Grab the points, play on the PACKERS. AAA Sports |
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11-25-18 | Dolphins v. Colts -10 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -100 | 147 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Indianapolis Colts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Miami is already just 1-3 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. The bottom line: The Dolphins come out of their bye week with Ryan Tannehill under censer, but we think they’re going to stumble here against this surging COLTS side. The line moved a couple points in favor of Miami with the news of Tannehill play, but we think he’s getting far too much respect here. Lay the points and expect a blowout. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 59-7 | Win | 100 | 136 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Wake Forest is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a loss vs. a conference rival and still 10-5 ATS in its last 15 on eh road, while Duke is just 2-4 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records and just 1-5 ATS as a favorite this year. The bottom line: Duke’s already punched its ticket to a bowl sitting at 7-4, but at 5-6, the Demon Deacons have one last shot. Grab the points, play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +4 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 135 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Michigan is just 9-10 ATS in its last 19 off a win vs. a conference rival and only 1-3 ATS on the road this season, while Ohio State is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home. The bottom line: Ohio State has been terrible overall against the spread this year, but it’s always had Michigan’s number, coming into this one having won 11 straight in the series. The Buckeyes’ offense is better and its defense is just as good. At home, we love OHIO STATE to pull off the slight upset. That said, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -18 | Top | 6-56 | Win | 100 | 115 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cincinnati. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that ECU is a terrible 3-11 ATS in its last 14 on the road, while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and 3-1 ATS as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: After last week’s humbling loss to UCF, look for the BEARCATS to lay the hammer down from start to finish in their final regular season game at home; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | Arkansas +21 v. Missouri | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -109 | 114 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Arkansas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Arkansas is 5-1 ATS this year already off a loss vs. a conference rival and 4-2 ATS this season as an underdog, while Missouri is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win vs. a conference rival and only 2-4 ATS this season vs. conference opponents. The bottom line: We’re not calling for an outright upset, but we think the ARKANSAS offense can keep the visitors in this one late; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 59.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Falcons/Saints. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four “Thursday night” games, while New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 15 after two or more SU victories. The bottom line: The Falcons are desperate for a win, as one more loss will essentially seal their fate. The last thing Atlanta can do is turn this into a shootout and expect to hang with Drew Brees and company. New Orleans has been amazing, but the short week lends itself to a letdown here. This one has UNDER written all over it. AAA Sports |
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11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +10 | Top | 35-3 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* MASSACRE on Mississippi. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Mississippi State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 9.5 to 21 points range and only 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a win against a conference rival, while Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 9.5 to 14 points range. The bottom line: OLE MISS won’t be going down without a fight today, as it still needs a victory to become eligible; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-20-18 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan +6 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Western Michigan. Both teams come in off losses, with the Huskies falling at home to NIU and WMU falling to Ball State 35-31. The Huskies six-game win streak was snapped and I think they’ll stumble here as well. WMU is without QB Jon Wassink the last three games and the result has been three straight losses. But the team has slowly been making adjustments and a date at home in its season finale is just what the doctor ordered for back Kaleb Eleby in our opinion. Note as well that NIU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range, while WMU is still 6-4 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams UNDER 63.5 | Top | 51-54 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that KC has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine non-conference road games in which the total is set at 57 or higher, while LA has seen the total go UNDER in nine of its last 13 non-conference home games when the total is 60 or higher. The bottom line: While many will be expecting a “shootout,” we think these hungry sides will play to much more of a defensive affair on the National Stage. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Panthers v. Lions UNDER 51.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 150 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Panthers/Lions. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: Carolina comes in off a humbling loss in Pittsburgh, but it’s still in second in the AFC South. The Lions are only averaging 21 PPG and in our opinion, this one has UNDER written all over it. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Texans v. Redskins OVER 42.5 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 150 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records and in both games that it’s played in following its bye week, while Washington has seen the total go OVER the posted number in eight of 12 vs. teams with winning records and in five of its last eight a home dog of three points or less. The bottom line: We’re expecting a wide open “shootout.” Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Virginia +6.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 140 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Virginia. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Virginia is already 3-1 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and 3-1 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records, while Georgia Tech is already just 2-3 ATS at home and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. We think the CAVALIERS’ defense keeps the visitors in this one late; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest +6 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -108 | 137 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after two or more SU wins and only 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, while Wake Forest is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as an underdog and 5-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival. Look for desperate WAKE FOREST to take this one down to the wire. AAA Sports |
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11-16-18 | Boise State v. New Mexico +20 | Top | 45-14 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on New Mexico. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Boise State is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 after playing a conference game and just 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after two or more consecutive SU wins, while New Mexico is still 10-6 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. We think Boise gets caught looking past its lowly but hungry home opponent. Grab the points, play on NEW MEXICO. AAA Sports |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas -2.5 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on North Texas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that FAU is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, while UNT is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home fav of three points or less. The bottom line: FAU comes in off a nice win and UNT enters off an upset loss. Look for the high-flying MEAN GREEN to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 86 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Seattle Seahawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year and only 1-2 ATS vs. teams with losing records, while Seattle is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 following a divisional contests and 2-0 ATS in its last two following two or more SU losses. The bottom line: The Pack come in off a win at home over the Fish, while the Hawks enter off a loss in LA. Seattle looked sharp last week though and we think it’ll find a way to get the job done here and defend home field. Lay the points, play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-14-18 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Ohio. After six straight wins, we think NIU comes up short here. Miami Ohio is the “hungrier” team here, as it still sits two games behind in the East race. The Redhawks though come in off a big win over Ohio last week and there’s no reason not to think that the team can’t carry that momentum over here as well. It sets up well from a situational stand point for an outright upset, but also note that MIAMI OHIO is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a win against a conference rival, while NIU is only 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State +8 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Ball State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that WMU is a horrible 9-12 ATS in its last 21 following a conference game (including just 1-4 ATS this year), while Ball State is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: WMU is free falling after QB Jon Wassink went down. BALL STATE keeps this one competitive at home. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-12-18 | Giants +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New York Giants. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that New York is already 3-1 ATS on the road this year, 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU losses and 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a loss against a division rival, while San Fran is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight as a favorite and only 8-10 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. The bottom line: New York comes in rested out of its bye and desperate to avoid a 1-8 start. The 49ers enter off a satisfying 34-3 win over the Raiders, but we think it’ll take a step back here against this talented and rested GIANTS’ defense. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Falcons v. Browns +4.5 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 149 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* UPSET SPECIAL on the Cleveland Browns. The Falcons have won three in a row and they come in off a big victory on the road last weekend, but we think they’ll finally stumble here against a Browns team hungry for a victory. Cleveland won’t be going to the playoffs, but it also won’t go down without a fight today. Cleveland rookie QB Baker Mayfield doesn’t have a lot to work with, but he’s kept his team competitive each week and he’ll be given the “green light” here today to open things up early and often. Atlanta’s defense has been horrible, so the home side is going to have its opportunities. Note that ATL is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 non-conference contests, while Cleveland is already 2-0 ATS in non-conference contests this season. Grab the points, play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Jaguars v. Colts -3 | Top | 26-29 | Push | 0 | 149 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Indianapolis Colts. Jacksonville opened the year with a big win over the Patriots, but since then it’s been mostly downhill. The offense has been terrible and overall the team has had to deal with injuries from Day 1. The Colts have had to deal with injuries as well, but veteran QB Andrew Luck has for the most part been excellent. The Colts remain competitive each week with Luck in the lineup and we expect him to push the tempo and open this one up whenever he can. The Jags’ lack of offensive fire-power in this difficult road venue turns out to be the difference ultimately in the end for us. Lay the points, play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Oregon State v. Stanford -22.5 | Top | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 144 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Stanford. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Oregon State is just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 on the road and only 1-3 ATS in its last four off a loss against a conference rival, while Stanford is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after two or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Wrong time, wrong place for Oregon State. Stanford comes in on a losing streak and desperate for victory. The situation and the numbers both point to STANFORD as the correct call in this one. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Virginia Tech +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 22-52 | Loss | -115 | 139 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Virginia Tech is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of three points or less, while Pittsburgh is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive SU wins and only 3-9 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite. The bottom line: Virginia Tech is the more desperate team after its recent slide and we haven’t counted the Hokies out yet. Look for the visitors to go down fighting and grab the points; play on VIRGINIA TECH. AAA Sports |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse UNDER 69.5 | Top | 23-54 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between Louisville/Syracuse. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats: As note that Louisville has seen the total go UNDER the number i eight of its last 12 vs. teams with winning records, while Syracuse has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last seven off a win against a conference rival and in all six games that it’s played in of late after two or more consecutive SU wins. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers UNDER 52 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Panthers/Steelers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last eight off a win against a division rival, while Pittsbugh has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 13 off a win against a division rival. The bottom line: Both teams playing at a very high level and each coming off an emotional divisional victory and playing on a “short week.” This one has defensive battle written all over it; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-08-18 | Wake Forest +15 v. NC State | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 95 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Wake Forest. Wake Forest lost its starting QB and it’s struggled against the better competition, but it desperately needs a victory and after NC State broke a two-game slide with a win last week at home, we think the Wolfpack come in a tiny bit complacent here. Note that Wake has been “money in the bank” for bettors in this spot as well by going 9-5 ATS in its last 14 on the road and 15-8 ATS in its last 23 when playing on six or less days rest. Grab the points, play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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11-07-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH +3.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Ohio. Ohio’s won four straight and it comes in off a big blowout victory as an underdog over WMU, but Miami Ohio plays with revenge and it’s still trying desperately to become bowl eligible. After two straight big wins, we absolutely believe the Bobcats have a letdown mentally here. Note that MIAMI OHIO is already 4-1 ATS against the conference this season, while Ohio is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road favorite. AAA Sports |
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11-06-18 | Kent State +22.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -109 | 47 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Kent State. We think the first place Bulls look past the lowly Kent State Golden Flashes tonight. Kent enters off a 35-28 road win over Bowling Green, while Buffalo pulled away for a 52-41 home win over Miami Ohio in its latest action. Note that this is a revenge game for Kent after the Bulls posted the 27-13 road win last year. The Golden Flashes are averaging 24.3 PPG and allowing 34.2, while the Bulls are averaging 34.9 and allowing 24.3. But the Golden Flashes looked solid last week and we think they carry that momentum over here (QB Woody Barrett had two TD passes and also rushed for 77 yards.) Note that KENT STATE is 3-0 ATS in its last three as an underdog on the 21.5 to 31 points range, while Buffalo is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a fav in the same points range. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys OVER 40 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER Titans/Cowboys. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Tennessee has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 18 against teams with losing records and in seven of its last nine non-conference contests, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER in six of its last nine as a home fav in the 3.5 to seven points range and in its last three following its bye week. The bottom line: And both teams do indeed come out of the bye weeks. Both sides are desperate for victories and with each opening up the playbook, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots UNDER 57 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 84 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER Packers/Patriots. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total go UNDER in three of four already this year as favorite in the same points range. The bottom-line: The Pats’ defense looked dominant in last week’s win over the Bills. The Packers’ defense also looked great in defeat to the Rams. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9.5 | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Browns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that KC is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Cleveland is already 4-2 ATS this year as an underdog. The bottom line: We’re absolutely expecting the Chiefs to have a bit of mental letdown in Cleveland today. The BROWNS remain competitive and won’t go down without a fight. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-03-18 | Stanford v. Washington OVER 46.5 | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Stanford/Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Stanford has seen the total go OVER the posted number in nine of its last 14 against teams with winning records and in seven of its last nine as an underdog, while Washington has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49. The bottom line: This is an important game for both teams and we’re expecting a war until the end. Look for this one to sneak OVER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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11-03-18 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Nebraska is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range and only 9-16 ATS in is last 16 games played on turf, while Ohio State is 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks rest. The bottom line: The Buckeyes chances for a playoff spot are slim, but a top level bowl is still in their sites with a sweep of the season. Look for OHIO STATE to put the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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11-02-18 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -7 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -114 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia. We think the Panthers will stumble here after their big shootout win over the Blue Devils last weekend. The Cavaliers have been rolling along and have won three straight and we have a hard time seeing the Panthers’ offense getting much going tonight against Virginia’s elite defensive unit. And from a trend based stand point, there’s no question that this one favors the Cavs, as note that Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win against a conference rival, while Virginia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and 3-1 ATS in its last four off a win against a conference rival. Lay the points, play on VIRGINIA. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Raiders v. 49ers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 60 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Raiders/49ers. The Raiders have completely torn their team apart and their only mission will be to protect QB Derek Carr for the remainder of the season. The 49ers come in on a six game losing streak and struggled to put points on the board against a poor Cardinals defense last weekend. The short week clearly isn’t going to help these struggling sides. Note that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 23 as an underdog, while San Fran has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival. Play on the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida -10 | Top | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 59 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Central Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Temple is just 3-4 ATS in its last seen as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while UCF is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: UCF is the highest scoring team in the nation and we have a hard time seeing the Owls, as good as they’re playing right now, keeping pace in this important game. Lay the points, play on CENTRAL FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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10-31-18 | Ball State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the UNDER between Ball State and Toledo. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: As note that Ball State has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last three as a road dog in the 14.5 to 21 points range, while Toledo has seen the total go UNDER in nine of 14 off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: Both team’s starting QB’s went out with injury last week as well. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-30-18 | Kent State -1 v. Bowling Green | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Kent State. Two horrible teams, but Kent State has the better defense and we think that’ll be the difference maker in the end. Kent State enters off a 24-23 OT loss to Akron, while Bowling Green comes in off a 49-14 road loss at Ohio. Note that this is a “revenge” game for Kent after the Falcons destroyed it at home 44-16 last year. KSU is averaging 23 PPG and allowing 35. Bowling Green is averaging 25.6 PPG and allowing 47.8. The Green Falcons have looked very bad defensively of late as well, allowing an average of 51.4 PPG over their last four. Note that Bowling Green is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 following an ATS loss, while KSU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. Play on KENT STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13.5 v. Bills | Top | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the New England Patriots. The Pats may or may not have Rob Gronkowski in the line-up, but whether the offensive star plays or not, we like Tom Brady and the surging Pats to deliver the knock out blow to the lowly Bills, who are down to their backup with rookie Josh Allen sidelined with injury. The Patriots slow 1-2 start is now a distant memory after three straight convincing victories and with a chance to continue that run, we expect the perennial favorites to take full advantage. Note as well that the PATRIOTS are 9-1 ATS in their last ten as a favorite of ten points or more. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Saints/Vikes. Two of the top teams in the league collide on Sunday night and while these two clubs normally play to wild, wide-open “shootouts,” we’re expecting more of a conservative affair between these hungry teams on the national stage. The numbers support that as well, as note that the Saints have in fact seen the total UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after two or more consecutive SU wins, while the Vikes have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 12 as an underdog. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Stanford. WSU has so far gone undefeated against the spread this season, but we think that string comes to an end here against a Stanford team which is tied with its opponent today, a half game behind Washington for the division lead. It’s a classic contrast of styles, with Mike Leach’s “Air Raid” offense for WSU, against Stanford’s more traditional “ground and pound” offense led by RB Bryce Love. Despite all of its “ATS” success this seasonal note that WSU is still only 2-4 ATS in its last six games played on a grass field and 0-2 ATS in its last two as a road dog of three points or less, while Stanford is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 against teams with winning records and already 3-1 ATS this season vs. conference opponents. Home field is an advantage at this time of year. Lay the points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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10-27-18 | NC State v. Syracuse +2 | Top | 41-51 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Syracuse. These are two talented teams which are clearly very evenly matched. We think that the “revenge factor” comes into play here after the Wolfpack earned the 33-25 home win in the series last year. NC State has only lost one game, but that setback came last weekend in a humbling 41-7 road loss in Clemson. Now NC State is being asked to bring that same energy on the road again against the revenge minded Orange, who broke a two-game slide with a much needed 40-37 double OT win over North Carolina last week. This one sets up great from a situational stand point for the Orange, but also note that NC State is just 2-3 ATS in its last five off a loss against a conference rival, while Syracuse is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against schools with winning records and 4-2 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on SYRACUSE. AAA Sports |
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10-26-18 | Utah v. UCLA +10.5 | Top | 41-10 | Loss | -109 | 38 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on UCLA. We think this is a great overall “situational” play. Utah has won five in a row and it’ll become bowl eligible with a victory today, but the Utes still have plans to win the Pac 12 conference at the end of the year. But this sets up as a potential “trap” against the lowly Bruins, who come in looking much better after a disastrous start to the campaign, having won two straight. The Utes are clearly the better team, but the external factors are working against them today. UCLA will essentially have to “win out” to become eligible and while the odds are against it, it’ll be pulling out all the stops today in trying to keep its recent surge rolling. Note as well that Utah is a poor 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite, while UCLA is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans OVER 44 | Top | 23-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* TV TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Dolphins/Texans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U stats and common sense: As note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 19 of its last 28 games played on a grass field, while Houston has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last 14 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Houston will be looking to deliver the knock out blow here and continue its surge after four straight wins. The Dolphins are down to their final gasp, but Brock Osweiler is going to be given the green light to “air it out” all night long. In the end, we look for this total to soar OVER once the final whistle sounds. AAA Sports |
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10-25-18 | Ball State v. Ohio OVER 64 | Top | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between Ball State and Ohio. In 2015 Ohio won this matchup 48-31. We expect a similar final combined score here as well. Ball State is 2-2 in league action after a 42-20 setback to EMU last week, while Ohio is now 2-1 in MAC play after its 49-14 win over Bowling Green at home in its latest action. The Cardinals are ranked 67th in the country in points allowed and 97th in scoring with 25 PPG average. The Bobcats are averaging 36.3 PPG and they’re allowing 31. Ball State is going to have its opportunities to move the ball today against an Ohio team which will be happy to push the pace. Interesting to note that Ball State has seen the total go OVER in its last four games it’s played on a “Thursday night,” while Ohio has seen the total go OVER in its last two as a home favorite in the 10.5 to 14 points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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10-23-18 | Troy v. South Alabama +13 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on South Alabama. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Troy is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while South Alabama is 5-2 ATS as an underdog in the same points range. The bottom line: Troy lost starting QB Caleb Barker to injury and last week the Trojans fell to lowly Liberty. South Alabama QB Evan Orth has a strong 7:3 TD:INT and we think he’ll help keep his team in this one late; play on SOUTH ALABAMA. AAA Sports |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Giants/Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 against teams with losing records and in 17 of its last 24 games played on “turf,” while the Falcons have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last ten off a win against a division rival and in their last four against an NFC East division opponent. The bottom line: New York obviously can’t get into a “shootout” with Matt Ryan on his home field and expect to win this one. With the visitors putting an added emphasis on their run game while on offense and taking into account the above strong O/U ATS stats, this number is indeed a little high in our opinion. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-19-18 | Air Force v. UNLV +10.5 | Top | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on UNLV. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Air Force is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in its last six when playing against a team with a losing record, while UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: UNLV’s offense is the difference maker here. Grab the points. AAA Sports |