We like Justin Gaethje to defeat Rafael Fiziev on Saturday at 10:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Justin Gaethje has been near the top of the Lightweight Division for years now and he's always proved himself to be one of the toughest.

He's off a loss to Hollaway, but won back-to-back fights before that -- which includes a win against Fiziev.

Gaethje has the 'never give up' mentality and we like that when it comes to picking winners.

Rafael Fiziev is a scary fighter to pick against. But, he's off back-to-back losses now, one against Gaethje and one against Gamrot.

He got injured during that fight against Gamrot and hasn't seen the octagon since then in 2023.

That's a whole year off and we think that Gaethje's activity makes him more threatning.

We're on the underdog today.

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We like Ramazonbek Temirov to defeat Charles Johnson on Saturday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Ramazonbek Temirov is from Karshi, Uzbekistan. A place more known for wrestling has produced a top power striker at 125lbs.

Temirov is a knockout machine and has won five fights in a row by KO in the opening round.

He's know won 10 straight fights and hasn't lost since early 2021.

Charles Johnson has a couple of good wins over his career, but is definitely a streaker fighter.

Johnson has lost three of his last seven fights, and is 12-9-1 over his L32 pro fights. (This includes Boxing.)

We're on the Uzbek fighter tonight.

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6* Jairzinho Rozenstruik (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

This should be an explosive match. Tai Tuivasa is clearly a dangerous man, but he's the slower of these two beasts and he has much less gas in the tank than Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Rozenstruik will be able to survive the first few minutes of this fight, and after that he'll be able to control it completely. Tuivasa has lost four in a row and has zero confidence at this point. They're exactly the same height and weight, yet Rozenstruik has a three-inch reach advantage. Tuivasa has poor defense as well, getting hit 5.05 times every 60 seconds, compared to just 2.78 strikes allowed by Rozenstruik. This line could or should in fact be larger in our opinion, so lay the price with confidence on Rozenstruik!

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10* Belal Muhammad (TOP PLAY)

This is a rematch between the two, after Belal Muhammad took a fight on short notice three years ago. Muhammad looks for revenge here, and note that he's 5-2-1 against UFC-level southpaws. Muhammad has come a long way in the last three years as well and is completely rounded in every facet. Muhammad will almost assuredly be looking to take this one to the ground whenever possible, as this is one area we feel he for sure has an advantage. Edwards has been on top for a while here, but we're expecting Muhammad to be unorthodox with his approach here and to note give the champ much to work with; fantastic overall value play here on Belal Muhammad!

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