Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PIT@TB to go Over the total. Until the NFL does something about the roughing the passer penalties on traditionally textbook quarterback sacks, it's going to be hard to bet on too many unders. Big Ben is going to be tough to stop if you aren't even allowed to hit him when he's scrambling. He might be on the wrong side of 30, and a little overweight, but he's proven to be one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the NFL. The Bucs defense has allowed over 400 yards of total offense in each of their first two games, and I expect the Steelers to pile on the points here in Tampa. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens OVER 43 | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 96 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@BAL to go Over the total. Both the Broncos and the Ravens are known for their defense, and because of that we see an extremely low total for this Sunday's game in Baltimore. The thing about this game that catches my eye, is how both these teams have leaned on their passing game. The Ravens ran 55 passing plays and just 22 running plays last week. In Week 1 they ran 38 passing plays and 34 running plays in a blowout win over Buffalo. Case Keenum has put up solid numbers in his firs two games in Denver, throwing for 551 yards and three TDs. History tells us we could see plenty of points here. The Ravens have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, and the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 41 | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 4.5 sacks. So far this season, the Browns have been getting after the quarterback. They sacked Big Ben four times in Week 1, and they sacked Drew Brees three times last week. We aren't going to compare Sam Darnold to a couple of savvy veterans who both have Super Bowl rings. This is a rookie starting on the road on a short week, and I think he's going to make mistakes, including holding on to the ball too long. The Browns are fortunate that they have Baker Mayfield as their backup quarterback, because Tyrod Taylor has taken a pounding so far. Taylor was sacked seven times against the Steelers and three times last week in New Orleans. Take Over 4.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SEA@CHI to go Under. The Bears appear to have improved a lot since last year. They gave the Packers a scare at Lambeau in Week 1, and the addition of Khalil Mack is bad news for opposing quarterbacks. Mack made an impact right away, returning an INT for a TD against the Packers. The new look Seattle defense was lit up in a Week 1 loss at Denver, allowing Case Keenum to throw for 339 yards and three TDs. Russel Wilson did all he could to keep the game close, but the running game was non existant. Seattle only carried the ball 16 times for 64 yards. The Bears are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have also seen the under trend at 6-1 in their last seven overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders OVER 49 | 33-13 | Loss | -110 | 705 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAR@OAK to go Over the total. The Rams were the highest scoring team in the league last year, but they ranked in the bottom half of the league defensively. They play on the road in Oakland in Week 1, and I think this game has shootout written all over it. The Raiders are looking to bounce back from a brutal 2017 season, and Derek Carr should be better this year. He threw for almost 4,000 yards with 28 TDs and just six INTs in 2016. The last time these teams met, the Rams opened up a can of whupass, winning 52-0. That sets up a nice revenge spot here for the Raiders. The Rams have gone over in seven of their last eight road games, and the over is 5-1 in their last six overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 302 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total. |
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12-24-17 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 47 | 16-37 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on BUF@NE to go UNDER the total.
The Patriots are coming off a massive win in Pittsburgh, but Tom Brady didn't exactly light it up in the victory. Brady threw for 298 yards with a TD and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in Pittsburgh. He's looked a little off the last few weeks, throwing just two TD passes and four INTs in his last three starts. One of those was a 23-3 win over the Bills in Buffalo, and he threw for just 258 yards and an INT on 21-30 passing in that game. The Pats ran the ball for 191 yards and a pair of TDs, and we could see Bill Belichick lean on the run here in a cold weather game at Foxboro this week. The Bills come in as winners of three of their last four, and they allowed an average of just 11 points in those three wins. The Bills beat New England by a score of 16-0 in Foxboro last year, and the under is 3-0 in Buffalo's last three visits to New England. The under is 9-2 in the Bills last 11 games on fieldtur, while New England has failed to reach the total in five straight games in the month of December. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-17 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on MIA@KC to go UNDER the total. |
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12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 53.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 33 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@ATL to go UNDER the total.
I bet on the over in New Orleans home win over Carolina on Sunday, winning that bet with the final score of 31-21. I also bet the over in the Falcons loss to Minnesota, but lost that bet as Atlanta lost 14-9. Neither of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total, and I believe that both teams may come in looking to run the ball on a short week. The Saints duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara have combined to run for over 1500 yards and 16 TDs. Kamara is also a serious threat in the passing game, ranking second on the team with 59 receptions for 614 yards and four TDs. The Falcons have two of the league's best backs in Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. While history tells us that these two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, both teams are far better defensively than they have been in previous seasons. Atlanta ranks 6th in the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 208 yards per game. The Saints rank 11th, allowing just 217 yards per game. That's a huge improvement for a New Orleans team that had ranked dead last in pass defense the last few years, and got off to a terrible start again this year. Last week they held Cam Newton to 183 yards and two TDs on 17-of-27 passing. The under is 6-2 in the Saints last eight at Atlanta. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-17 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 47.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 149 h 52 m | Show | |
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12-03-17 | Vikings v. Falcons OVER 47 | 14-9 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@ATL to go OVER the total. |
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11-26-17 | Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43 | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 22 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-26-17 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BUF@KC to go OVER the total.
The Buffalo Bills have given up 135 points in three straight losses, and they appear to have given up on this season. They decided to bench starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor in last week's game against LA, and rookie Nathan Peterman threw five INTs in just the first quarter. Taylor came in and threw for 158 yards and a TD and ran for 38 yards and another score, but the Bills lost by a score of 54-24. The Chiefs have lost four of their last five, and rookie RB Kareem Hunt hasn't run for 100 yards since Week 5 at Houston. He should be due for a breakout performance against a Buffalo defense that has allowed an NFL high 16 rushing TDs this season. The Chiefs defense has been questionable all season long, even during their 5-0 start. Kansas City ranks 26th in the NFL in total defense, and injuries to several starting linebackers isn't going to help much. The Bills have gone over the total in five straight overall, and six of their last seven when coming off a loss. I expect both teams to put points on the board here in Kansas City this week. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks OVER 45 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 42 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ATL@SEA to go OVER the total.
The Seahawks have held five of their last six opponents to less than 20 points, but the loss of Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor is likely to hurt their defense. They host the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football, and Atlanta is coming off a 27-7 home win over Dallas. Matt Ryan has had an off year, but he has a history of putting up big numbers against the Seahawks. He faced Seattle twice last year, throwing for over 300 yards in both games, including a 26-24 loss at Seattle. The Falcons knocked Seattle out of the playoffs with a 36-20 home win in the first round. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, as six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone over the total. The total for this game is actually lower than it was in each of the last four meetings. The Falcons leading rusher is expected to miss the game due to a concussion, and Seattle has struggled to run the ball all season long. We should expect to see both teams air it out early and often. Russell Wilson ranks 3rd in the NFL in passing yards, and he's thrown for 749 yards and six TDs in his last two home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints OVER 51.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
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11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants OVER 45 | 9-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
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11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos OVER 46 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 83 h 49 m | Show |
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11-12-17 | Steelers v. Colts OVER 43.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 | 17-28 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@DAL to go OVER the total. The Kansas City Chiefs are ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass, and they have allowed an NFL worst 19 passing TDs. The Cowboys are also struggling on the defensive side of the ball, and we could see a high scoring battle here in Dallas on Sunday. The Cowboys defense has given up less than 20 points in each of it's last two games, but I think that's a bit of fool's gold. The beat the 49ers by a score of 40-10 in San Francisco, but if it wasn't for a few costly turnovers, the Niners would have put more points on the board. Last week's 33-19 win at Washington was aided by weather. They face a Chiefs team today that ranks 3rd in the NFL in scoring, and has totaled 60 points in their last two games. The Cowboys have gone over in four of their last five home games, while the Chiefs have gone over in six of their last seven overall. The Chiefs lost their last visit to Dallas by a score of 31-26, and another high scoring game is expected this Sunday. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-30-17 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 39 | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DEN@KC to go OVER the total. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 48.5 | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 53 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DAL@WAS to go OVER the total.
The Cowboys come into this NFC East rivalry game with a 3-3 record, but those wins came against the Giants, Cardinals and winless 49ERS. They are coming off a 40-10 win at San Francisco, which on the surface of things seems like a positive result for their defense. The score doesn't tell the whole story though, as San Francisco had been moving the ball with ease, only to see promising drives end in turnovers. Rookie quarterback CJ Beathard threw for 235 yards on 22-of-38 passing, with no TDs or INTs. Kirk Cousins should be primed for a big game against this suspect Cowboys pass defense. Cousins threw for 303 yards and three TDs in a loss to the Eagles on Monday Night. Last year he threw for a season high 449 yards and three TDs in a 31-26 loss at Dallas, and he threw for 364 yards in a 27-23 home loss to the Cowboys. We saw at least 50 combined points in both those games, and I expect to see another high scoring game here in Washington. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers UNDER 48 | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 133 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@GB to go UNDER the total.
The Packers rank 26th in the NFL in rushing offense, averaging just 88 yards per game on the ground. Any success they have had this season has come from the arm of Aaron Rodgers, who will be sidelined for the remainder of the season with a broken collarbone. Brett Hundley came in to throw for 157 yards with a TD and three INTs in last week's 23-10 loss at Minnesota. They tried to run the ball, but with little success, totaling 72 yards on 24 carries. The Saints come in as winners of three straight, and two of those three wins came on the road. New Orleans has been solid defensively during that span, shutting out the Dolphin in London, and holding the Panthers to 13 points in Carolina. The Packers have a whole host of injuries aside from Aaron Rodgers, with several key players in the secondary ailing, and an offensive line that has been banged up all season. It's going to be asking a lot of Brett Hundley to keep this game close. I expect the Saints to grind out a win here in a low scoring game at Lambeau. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-17 | Cardinals v. Rams OVER 45 | 0-33 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ARI@LAR to go OVER the total. The NFL's highest scoring offense will be on display in London this weekend, when the high flying Rams take on Arizona at Wembley. The Cardinals put on quite a show offensively in a 38-33 home win over Tampa last week. While scoring 38 points was impressive, giving up 33 to Tampa's offense led by backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick raises some eyebrows. Arizona ranks 25th in the league against the pass, and only Cleveland has allowed more passing TDs than the Cardinals. Jared Goff has had a pretty good start to the season, throwing for almost 1500 yards with eight TDs and just three INTs. He has struggled against elite defenses the last two weeks, but he should be primed for a big game here in London. Both these teams have well balanced offenses, and we should see plenty of scoring. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-15-17 | Rams v. Jaguars OVER 42 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAR@JAC to go OVER the total. This game will feature two of the league's best running backs, and two defenses that really struggle against the run. The Jaguars are allowing an NFL worst 5.4 yards per carry, while the Rams have allowed a league high seven rushing TDs. LA ranks second in the NFL in scoring, averaging over 30 points per game. They haven't had as much success defensively, especially on the road. In two road games, LA has given up a total of 69 points. They beat the Cowboys despite surrendering 440 total yards. This will be just the second home game for the Jaguars, and they gave up 37 points in a Week 2 home loss to Tennessee in their home opener. These teams have gone over in three straight head to head meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rams last seven overall. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs UNDER 49.5 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 153 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@KC to go UNDER the total. Take Under. GL, |
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10-01-17 | Rams v. Cowboys OVER 46 | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 121 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAR@DAL to go OVER the total. The Cowboys secondary was lit up by Carson Palmer on Monday night, and I think Dallas is looking very vulnerable here against a well rested Rams teams that has scored a ton of points. Jared Goff threw for 292 yards and three TDs on 22-of-28 passing in last Thursday's win over San Francisco. He's 11-for-11 with five TDs in the red zone. Dallas has it's swagger back on offense, after running for 99 yards and two TDs in the win over Arizona. Ezekiel Elliot may find plenty of room to run here against a Rams defense that currently ranks 28th in the league allowing 139 rushing yards per game. The Rams have given up a whopping six rushing TDs, more than any other team in the NFL. The last time these teams played was in 2014, and Dallas won by a score of 34-31. I expect another offensive slug-fest here this time around. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-24-17 | Seahawks v. Titans UNDER 43.5 | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 19 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-24-17 | Texans v. Patriots OVER 43.5 | 33-36 | Win | 100 | 155 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@NE to go OVER the total.
The Texans played at Foxboro in Week 3 last year, and lost by a score of 27-0. Jacoby Brissett got the start for New England, and he only attempted 19 passes in the game. LaGarrette Blount did all the heavy lifting, running for 105 yards and two TDs on 24 carries. Needless to say, I expect a very different result here this time around, with Tom Brady coming off one of his best ever games, and Blount no longer with the team. The Patriots defense hasn't looked capable of shutting out anybody, and because of their defensive shortcomings, Belichick knows he needs to pile on the points. Deshaun Watson looked great in a 13-9 win over Cincinnati last week, and I expect him to get better as the season progresses. He should be more than capable of leading a few scoring drives in garbage time if his team is trailing. The Patriots have gone over in six straight overall, and the over is 47-23 in their last 70 at Gillette Stadium. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 48 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 136 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@CAR to go UNDER the total. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 43.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 141 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DET@NYG to go UNDER the total. The Giants have big problems on offense, and this is something that has carried over from last season. They ranked 29th in the NFL in rushing last season, and it doesn't look like anything has changed over the off-season. The offensive line hasn't been able to give Eli Manning any time to drop back and pass, and he's starting to show his age. He was sacked three times and threw and INT in Week 1, losing 19-3 to Dallas. The good news for Giants fans is that they still have one of the league's top pass defenses, and they hope to have Odell Beckham back for Monday night's game against the Lions. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, and that is exactly what I am expecting tonight. The Lions have gone under in 20 of their last 27 road games, while the Giants have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-17 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 113 h 36 m | Show | |
8* analysis before game time |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 19-29 | Push | 0 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
This an 8* play on NO@MIN to go UNDER the total. |
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG@DAL to go UNDER the total. After beating the Cowboys twice last season, the Giants are getting a bunch of points here in this Week 1 matchup versus a division rival. Dallas is a team that comes into the season with high expectations, but I am a bit skeptical. Keep in mind that their offense relies on a pair of rookies with just one good season under their belt. It's been a troubled off-season for Ezekiel Elliot, and a likely suspension looms. Dak Prescott was great as a rookie, but then again, so was Colin Kaepernick, Robert Griffin III and Vince Young. His numbers against the Giants were pretty bad. He completed 42-of-82 passes for 392 yards with a TD and two INTs in a pair of losses. Both games between these teams last year were low scoring, and with the status of OBJ in question, it seems like another low scoring game is inevitable. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |