Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-21 | Ole Miss v. Florida -3 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Florida. |
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01-11-21 | Connecticut -5 v. DePaul | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN. The Huskies come into DePaul with a 6-1 record, and their lone loss came against #7 ranked Creighton. They have a history of beating up on their conference rivals, winning 10 straight versus DePaul. Eight of those 10 wins came by a double digit margin. The Blue Demons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. UCONN is coming off back to back double digit road wins over Butler and Marquette. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-21 | Raptors v. Warriors +2 | 105-106 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Warriors. The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Steph Curry and Draymond Green likely still have a bitter taste in their mouth after watching Toronto celebrate a Championship win in their building. The Dubs aren't going to let up here against Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-21 | Indiana v. Nebraska +7 | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nebraska. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are not a good team, let's be honest. They finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, and they are well on their way to another last place finish this season. As bad as they are, they have nine wins in 24 home games since the beginning of last season. They are getting a bunch of points here against Indiana on Sunday, and the Hoosiers have just two road wins in 13 games during that span. Indiana covered in both meetings last year, but had failed to cover in their previous four versus Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are coming off losses to Michigan. Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin, so it's not a surprise they have struggled against the better teams. This game should be a better matchup for them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Nuggets -4.5 v. 76ers | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nuggets. Philly will be forced to fave the Nuggets with just nine players available after several players have been sidelined by health and safety protocols. Ben Simmons won't play because of a knee injury, and starting and backup PG Seth Curry and Shake Milton are also out Saturday. This looks like a situation where Philly will be waiving the white flag. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Washington v. California -2.5 | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on California. The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year, and they are the favorite to finish last this year. The come into Berkeley with an 0-4 record in the conference, and a 1-8 overall record. The Bears aren't a whole lot better, also winless in the conference, but 5-7 overall. While California has lost three straight, for the most part they were competitive in those games. The same can not be said for the Huskies, who have lost by 16, 27 and 23 in their last three overall. The Huskies are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Texas v. West Virginia +1 | 72-70 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on West Virginia. Texas will come into West Virginia as a favorite, with a record of 9-1. The Mountaineers are 9-3, but two those three losses came to teams ranked in the Top 5 (Gonzaga and Kansas). They are 5-1 at home, after going 14-2 at home last season. The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings, and the Longhorns lost by 38 points in their last game at Morgantown. The Mountaineers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games, and the home team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -3 | 79-68 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Buckeyes have failed to cover in five straight road games, while the home team has covered in each of the last five meetings between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -5.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. Boston has won five of their last six games, and they host the Washington Wizards on Friday. Washington is just 2-6 to start the season, and they haven't had much success in recent trips to Boston. They are 2-11-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Boston. The Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Bradley Beal scored a whopping 60 points in his last start, but the Wizards lost nevertheless. After coming back from 21-points down at Philly, they went on to lose 141-136. This could set them up for a let down on the road here in Boston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-21 | Purdue v. Michigan State -4 | 55-54 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Michigan State. I had the Spartans in their win at Nebraska, and here is what I said before tipoff: "Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points." The Boilermakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and the home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-21 | Boston College +12.5 v. Duke | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. The Blue Devils haven't played a game since mid December, and after losing to Illinois Coach K suggested that playing during a pandemic didn't seem like the right thing to do. He's since been forced to quarantine, and he won't be at tonight's game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. I can't see laying double digits with a team that isn't mentally ready, and hasn't played in almost a month. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in four straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-21 | Jazz +2.5 v. Nets | 96-130 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. |
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01-04-21 | Mavs -1 v. Rockets | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Rockets are still dealing with disgruntled superstar James Harden, who sat out the last game with an ankle injury. Harden is still demanding to be traded, so we aren't expecting him to play hurt or give 100 percent for the Rockets on his way out the door. The Mavericks are 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Dallas has covered in four of their last five visits to Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | Michigan State -8.5 v. Nebraska | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. The Cornhuskers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall, they are also 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games. This should be a get right game for Michigan State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-20 | Knicks v. Raptors -8.5 | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Raptors. The Raptors are still winless after three games, and I bet against them in their loss at San Antonio. Here is what I said: "The Toronto Raptors are homeless vagabonds here as we head into 2021. They have been banished from their Kingdom in the North, and forced to relocate in Tampa Florida. Their first game in their new home was a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and now they are asked to win and cover as a road favorite in San Antonio." The Knicks aren't quite the same level of opposition as the Spurs, Pelicans or 76ers. The fact that they won back to back games might just make them like their own smell even a little more than they should. It's time of the Dinosaurs to fight back, or risk extinction. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-20 | Purdue v. Rutgers -2.5 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equiped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Colorado v. Arizona | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. In the past 10 head to head meetings between the Buffaloes and the Wildcats, the home team has won ALL 10 GAMES! The Wildcats have won 19 of their last 23 home games, while the Buffaloes have lost eight of their last 13 on the road. The Buffaloes are 13-39 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Home court should be huge here, as the home team has also covered in four straight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets won 26 games at home last year, one fewer than the LA Clippers who had the best home record in the Western Conference. This came after winning 34 home games (NBA best) the previous season. Now they have started the season with back to back home losses, and they host a shorthanded Houston team on Monday. James Harden wants a trade, but he scored 44 points in the season opener almost beating the Blazers in Portland. If he continues to put up MVP numbers, the Rockets might not be in a hurry to get a deal done. I wouldn't want to count on getting 100% from Harden moving forward, and with Ben Gordon, DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall out of the lineup, it's going to be tough to ask them to hang in there in Denver. The Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and the Nuggets are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs +1.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Toronto Raptors are homeless vagabonds here as we head into 2021. They have been banished from their Kingdom in the North, and forced to relocate in Tampa Florida. Their first game in their new home was a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and now they are asked to win and cover as a road favorite in San Antonio. Prior to last season the Spurs had owned the best home record in basketball for almost a decade. They might be a lot better this season, and they got off to a good start with a win on the road at Memphis. The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Antonio, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight against the Spurs. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Virginia v. Gonzaga -7 | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are the undisputed #1 team in the country, and they haven't had any trouble so far when playing quality opponents. They have wins over Iowa, West Virginia and Kansas by an average margin of nine points. Virginia has yet to play a ranked team, and they have failed to impress against lesser opponents. The lost to San Francisco, and came close to losing to Kent State in a game that was decided in overtime. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Maryland v. Purdue -5 | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boilermakers. Purdue is coming off a 70-55 loss at Iowa, but I like their chances of bouncing back at home against Maryland. The Boilermakers have won 16 of their last 22 home games, while the Terps are 5-7 in their last 12 road games. The Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they haven't covered in four straight road games. Maryland is 5-2 with losses to Rutgers and Clemson, and all five of their wins came against inferior opposition. This looks like a tough ask for the visitors on Christmas Day. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Heat | 98-111 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pelicans. New Orleans started the season with a win on the road versus the Raptors. Zion Williamson only scored 15 points in 30 minutes, but he was quite efficient shooting 7-of-9 from the field and pulling in 10 rebounds. Brandon Ingram lead the way, scoring 24 points on 10-of-19 shooting. This is a young team that is on the rise, coming off an undefeated pre-season. The Heat are coming off a 113-107 loss at Orlando in their opener, and they may be suffering an NBA Finals let down. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-20 | Illinois v. Rutgers +2 | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights will be a home dog Sunday against Illinois, and Rutgers has won 22 of their last 23 home games. Illinois on the other had is 7-7 on the road dating back to the beginning of last year. Rutgers won the last meeting by 15 points last February, and the home team has won seven of the last nine head to head meetings. The Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games versus a team with a winning record. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Purdue v. Notre Dame +6 | 88-78 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Notre Dame. Purdue comes into Saturday's game with a 5-2 record, and both of their losses came against ACC teams. The Irish are 2-3, but all three of their losses came against Top 25 teams. Notre Dame has won three of their last four against Purdue, with the lone loss coming at Purdue by a five point margin. The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games, while the Boilermakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. I'll take the points here in a game that I expect to be pretty close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-20 | St. Joe's +2.5 v. Drexel | 77-81 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on St. Joes. The Hawks are 0-2, with losses to Kansas and Auburn. They will be looking for their first win of the season here against a Drexel team that they have won six straight against dating back to 2011. Drexel is coming off a double digit home loss to La Salle. Ryan Daly was the Hawks leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game last year. Taylor Funk only played seven games, but he was third on the team in scoring. Both players are back in 2021, and the Hawks should be stronger than they were last year. Each of the last three meetings have been close games decided by three points or less, with the last two meetings decided by a single point. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-20 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -5 | 77-76 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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12-12-20 | Alabama v. Clemson +1 | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Clemson. I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and come into today's game against Alabama with a 4-0 record. The Crimson Tide are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, while the Tigers have covered in five straight at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Oregon -7 v. Washington | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oregon. The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year and they come into tonight's hoime game against the Ducks with just one win in four games. The Ducks lost their opener to Missouri, but have since won three straight. Oregon has won nine of their last 10 against the Huskies straight up, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a losing record (below .400). There have been a lot of people asking questions about why they should even play college basketball at a time like this, and it's likely the Huskies will be a lot less enthusiastic about playing than a Ducks team with a lot more to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-20 | North Dakota State +9 v. South Dakota State | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on North Dakota State. |
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12-08-20 | Syracuse +4 v. Rutgers | 69-79 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Syracuse. The Orange are 3-0, but they will be an underdog at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise, but they haven't had any success in recent meetings versus the Orange. Syracuse is 8-0 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings dating back to 2007. The Orange are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered in six of their last seven as a road underdog. I think the Orange are too good of a team to be getting this many points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +5.5 | 90-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. Notre Dame lost it's season opener by a 10-point margin on the road at #13 ranked Michigan State, but I am not sure I would ask #22 ranked Ohio State to come into South Bend and cover a big spread. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Irish were 15-4 at South Bend last year, despite playing the likes of Louisville, Florida State and North Carolina. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Boston College +7.5 v. Minnesota | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston College. The Eagles have lost three of their first four games, but two of those losses came in close games against tough teams. They lost their opener by single digits versus #3 ranked Villanova, and then lost by just four points in a shootout versus St. Johns. I don't expect an unranked Minnesota team to win here by double digits. The Golden Gophers are 1-5-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC +1 | 61-58 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on USC. |
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12-01-20 | Michigan State +4 v. Duke | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MSU. Duke is loaded with freshman talent, but lacks experience early in the season. This was quite evident in their opening game against Coppin State. They turned the ball over a whopping 22 times, failing to cover as a 30-point favorite in an 81-71 win. The Spartans lost a lot of star power from last year's squad (Cassius Winston and Xavier Tillman), but Rocket Watson and Aaron Henry are back, and the addition of Joey Hauser gives them plenty of experience in their starting five. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog, and the underdog is 4-0 in the last four head to head meetings between these teams. I think it's to early in the year to back Duke's freshman as favorites. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga -2.5 v. Kansas | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. |
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11-25-20 | Clemson -4 v. Mississippi State | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms. The Bulldogs aren't as fortunate. They had four starters score in double figures last season, and they lost all four of them. The Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games as an underdog. This Clemson team was good enough last season to get wins against the likes of Duke, North Carolina, Louisville and Florida State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 31 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | 102-96 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over (Lakers Team Total). Anthony Davis was in foul trouble early in Game 3, and he only attempted nine shots in the game. He's gotta be better tonight, and the Lakers are still the overwhelming favorite. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over." GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Lakers -4.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Lakers (team total). My analysis for Game 2 still plays: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over." GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. I had Miami in Game 4, and I don't have much to add to what I already said prior to that game: "trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings." Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | 107-117 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 ATS in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers won Game 4 at the free throw line, and that didn't go unnoticed. We should see the Nuggets get an opportunity to extend this series in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have already proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers are lucky they aren't losing this series. I'll take the points in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -6.5 | 96-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Lakers. LeBron and company lost Game 1 to the Blazers in the first round, and went on to win four straight. They can do the same thing here in Game 5 against Houston, and the Rockets look like a team ready to go home. Both Westbrook and Harden have struggled, and I'd bet everything I have that Daneul House isn't the only Houston player with his mind on pleasures off the court. This time tomorrow LeBron will be prepping for the Western Conference Finals, and Russ and James will be sinking their teeth into those legendary chicken wings at Magic City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +10.5 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Mavs. The Clippers and the Lakers each voted to cancel the remainder of the playoffs to protest the shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha Wisconsin. We saw the Lakers return to action last night, failing to cover in a series clinching win over Portland by single digits. The Clippers were a five point favorite in Game 2, and Dallas won outright. They were a seven point favorite in Game 4, and once against Dallas won outright despite Luka Doncic playing hurt. The extra 2-3 days for Luka to rehab his ankle should help Dallas, and according to his coach he will be at full speed. The line is now at double digits, and I just cant's see betting on the Clippers as a heavy favorite when we know they voted to walk away from the season. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -5 | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Houston. The Thunder had all the momentum heading into Game 5, but you have to think that momentum was lost when the players decided to boycott Games over the last few days. One of the unintended results of the past few days is that players who were injured have been given more time to recover. That's the case for Russell Westbrook who looks to make his mark on this series for the first time in Game 5. Chris Paul has a lot on his plate right now, and as head of the Player's Association his mind is on matters other than basketball. All these events seem to favor the Rockets. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-20 | Pacers v. Heat -5 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. The Pacers are down 2-0, and this series looks like it's over. One of the takeaways from Game 2 was that Jimmy Butler scored just 18 points, and had as many turnovers (5) as he did field goals. The Pacers can't count on another lackluster performance from Butler in Game 3, and we should see the Heat continue to dominate this matchup. The Pacers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games, and they are are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as an underdog. Take MIAMI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +5 | 130-122 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Mavs have been the better team here in this series, with the exception of the 4th quarter of Game 1 after Porzingis was ejected. With Dallas evening the series at 1-1, you might expect a bounce back performance from the Clippers here in Game 3. There is concern though that Pat Beverly isn't healthy enough to play at all, and Paul George is not all that effective playing with a sore shoulder. This series seems eerily similar to the Blazers versus Thunder, when George was sent packing by Damian Lillard. The Clippers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-20-20 | Magic +13 v. Bucks | 96-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic. The thing about recency bias is, you don't want to overreact to the results of one game. That said, you also don't want to fail to react at all. The Bucks were the biggest Game 1 favorite on the board, and they lost outright by double digits. So it won't be a surprise at all if they come right back and win big in Game 2. But should we lay 13 points with a team that failed to win Game 1? I don't think so. The Bucks have yet to prove that they are a playoff team, last year they fell apart against the Raptors. Giannis was outplayed by Orlando big man Nikola Vucevic, and that matchup has the potential to continue to be a problem. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and while the Bucks have failed to cover in five of their last seven as a favorite. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-18-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. So far there have been plenty of surprises in the bubble so far, and several teams have seen their stock rise and fall. The Lakers came in as consensus favorite, but failed to impress. Portland on the other hand won six of eight games, and then won their play in game against Memphis. This has people calling them a dark horse candidate to win it all. I can't say I was all that impressed with wins over Memphis, Dallas and Philly by three, and a one point win over Brooklyn. The Nets and the Grizzlies effectively shut down Damian Lillard in the fourth quarter, and now the Blazers face a well rested Lakers team. Game 1 looks like a classic let down spot for Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-20 | Mavs v. Suns -7 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns are the biggest suprise in the bubble in Orlando, and their unbeaten run has put them in a position to force a play in game for the final playoff spot in the West. They will take on Dallas Thursday, and the Mavs are already looking ahead to their first round series. Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis should ride the pine here, at least for the majority of the game. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings versus the Suns. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-20 | Raptors -6.5 v. 76ers | 125-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. |
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08-11-20 | Suns -7.5 v. 76ers | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Suns. The Suns are a real Cinderella story, and the clock hasn't struck midnight yet. The Phillies story is more of a nightmare, losing Ben Simmons to a knee injury, and Joel Embiid battling a sore ankle. You have to wonder how much the Sixers have invested in this postseason now that they know they aren't going to be at full strength. The Suns give us no such reason to doubt, and I expect antoher imprressive performance from this young Phoenix team today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-10-20 | Raptors +5.5 v. Bucks | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Bucks without the Greek Freak. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Grizzlies off their first win in the bubble, and the Raptors are looking for payback after a loss to the Celtics. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-20 | Pacers -7 v. Wizards | 111-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pacers. The Wizards are coming off back to back losses by a combined margin of over 20 points. Their loss to Brooklyn likely ended any hope of an early exit from the bubble, but that might be just what they want. Who know, Magic City might seem like a lot more fun that hanging around in Orlando right now. Indiana on the other hand won outright as a 5.5 point underdog versus the Sixers, and this is a team that is firmly looking forward to the playoffs. The Pacers have won and covered in four of the last five meetings, and with Washington starting a bunch of backups, this game should be a blowout. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-02-20 | Mavs -5.5 v. Suns | 115-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs did everything right in their first game back, except for the final 41 seconds in an overtime loss to the Rockets. They blew a seven point lead, allowing Houston to force overtime in a game that they had no business winning. Luca Doncic had a triple-double, and Kristaps Porzingis went off for 39 points and 16 rebounds. The good news for Dallas is they are right back on the court, and they have an excellent opportunity to get that bitter taste out of their mouths. They face the Phoenix Suns, who might be happy with themselves after beating the Wizards backups. The Mavs have won three of the last four meetings by an average margin of nine points. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +5 | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 208 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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07-31-20 | Magic -6 v. Nets | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 179 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic. The Brooklyn Nets bring a rag tag group into Orlando, without KD, Kyrie and Spencer Dinwiddie. They looked completely overmatched in their first scimmage game, scoring just 68 points in a one sided loss. They face an Orlando team that ranks among the top defensive teams in the NBA, and Orlando should have a decided advantage. After losing to the Clippers and Lakers, the Magic won their final scrimmage game against Denver. The Magic are back to full strength, and Nikola Vucevic should have his way with Brooklyn today. Take ORL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Vanderbilt +9.5 v. Arkansas | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Vanderbilt was dead last in the SEC this season, with a record of 3-15. They picked up two of those three wins in their last two games however, and they were quite competitive in March. They come into the conference tournament averaging 72 points per game in their last five overall. Only one of their last six games was a loss by double digits. The Razorbacks are an awfully big favorite for a team that has covered in just three of it's last 10 overall and is just 1-5 ATS in it's last six neutral site games. I'll take the hot team getting a bunch of points. Take Vanderbilt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU -4 | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are winners of nine straight, and they have score over 81 points per game in their last five overall. During their winning streak they have wins over Saint Mary's and Gonzaga. The Gaels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Gaels are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall, abd they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | San Francisco +13 v. Gonzaga | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Bulldogs are a double digit favorite here against San Francisco, after beating the Dons in both regular season meetings. The game at San Francisco was close, decided by just four points. Now the Bulldogs have little to gain here, and the Dons have everything to play for. We should expect this game to be somewhat close. The Dons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. The Dons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Raptors -5.5 v. Kings | 118-113 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Kings are coming off a double digit win at Portland last night, setting them up for a let down here at home in the second game of a back to back. The Raptors have won 19 of their last 23 games overall. Here is what I said about Toronto prior to their season opener: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." That looks like a pretty solid read right about now. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Elon v. William & Mary -4.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 8* play on the Virginia Cavs. The defending champs are playing like contenders down the stretch, coming into Saturday's home game versus Louisville as winners of seven straight. Louisville on the other hand has lost three in a row on the road. They lost by double digits to Clemson and Florida State, and lost 64-58 at Georgia Tech. They beat the Cavs at home in February, but they had lost nine straight to Virginia prior to that. They are 0-5 straight up in their last five at Virginia, and they covered the spread in just one of those games. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Moutaineers. A few weeks ago the Baylor Bears were ranked #1 in the country, and they looked unbeatable. They might have peaked too early though, as they have been pretty average since. Baylor comes into Morgantown as losers of two of their last four, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. This isn't an easy place to play, and the Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Baylor did win it's last game in West Virginia, but the Bears had lost four straight at Morgantown prior to that. This just looks like a tough spot for a Baylor team that hasn't been that sharp lately. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-20 | Grizzlies +8 v. Mavs | 96-121 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. After cashing in with the Grizzlies in their win over Atlanta, I like them getting a bunch of points here against Dallas. Here is what I said prior to the game in Atlanta: "The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team." Memphis has held three straight opponents to fewer than 90 points, including upset wins over the Lakers and the Nets. I'll take the points here in Dallas. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-20 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -1 | 75-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois is 11-3 at home this season, and they have won their last six home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Ball State tonight, and the Cardinals are just 4-7 on the road, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-20 | Washington v. Arizona State -6 | 90-83 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. |
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03-02-20 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 127-88 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Hawks have been playing well lately, winning four of their last eight overall. Those wins came against two teams hit hard by injuries (Blazers and Nets). The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-20 | Pistons v. Kings -6.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Pistons will be playing the fourth game of this current Western Conference road trip in Sacramento tonight, coming off a 113-111 win over the Suns in Phoenix on Friday. That win ended a seven game losing streak, and it's unlikely that they can follow up with a positive result here against the Kings. Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Sacramento has been hot since the All Star break, winning four of five. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have covered in six straight versus teams with a losing record. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Utah v. California +1 | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on California. The Cal Bears have been playing a lot better of late. They are coming off a home win over the #21 ranked Colorado Buffaloes, and they have won two of their last three. Utah doesn't have a lot to be positive about, the Utes have lost four of their last five overall and they are just 1-9 on the road. It sure seems odd that a team that has lost nine of 10 road games is actually a favorite this afternoon against a Bears team that is 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Bears are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Eastern Michigan. Central Michigan has lost seven in a row, and last week I bet against them when they played on the road at Northern Illinois. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game." They face Eastern Michigan this Saturday, and the Eagles have been rock solid at home. Opponents have averaged fewer than 60 points per game at Eastern Michigan. Take EMU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Penn State v. Iowa -4 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa lost 89-86 to Penn State in Philadelphia earlier this season, but they have a chance to get revenge here at home this Saturday. The Hawkeyes are undefeated at home in conference play, and they are 13-1 overall at home this season. They come into today's game averaging over 82 points per game at home. Penn State has lost two of their last three, with the lone win coming at home by a single point against Rutgers. It's going to be difficult for the Nittany Lions to keep up with Iowa here in Iowa City. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-20 | Kings -5.5 v. Warriors | 112-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Warriors have lost six straight, and four of those games were decided by double digits. They host one of the league's hottest teams, a Sacramento Kings squad that has won five of seven, including a win over the Clippers in LA in their last game. The Kings have owned the Warriors in recent seasons, covering the spread in each of the last six meetings, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six at Golden State. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz. Utah has come out of the All Star break and lost back to back home games to San Antonio and Houston. I will forgive them for their sloppy start to the second half (post All Star), and I don't think there is any way in hell they drop a third consecutive home game tonight versus Phoenix. The Suns are coming off a road win at Chicago, after losing by double digits to Toronto. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Utah. Expect the home team to win by double digits. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-20 | Pelicans -8 v. Warriors | 115-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. I had the Pelicans in their win over Portland on Friday, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall." They are in Golden State tonight, and the Warriors have lost five straight. This couldn't be a bigger mismatch. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-20 | Pacers v. Raptors -4.5 | 81-127 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I had the Raptors on Friday, and they beat the Phoenix Suns by double digits. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year." Toronto has now won 16 of their last 17 overall, and eight straight home games. They covered the spread in six of those eight home games, and they won by double digits in six of those eight games. The Pacers are 13-27 ATS in the last 40 meetings in Toronto. This line should be almost double what it is. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-20 | 76ers v. Bucks -8.5 | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After the Sixers rallied at home to beat the Nets, Joel Embiid told reporters that he was the best player in the world. Embiid is delusional, and so are Philly fans if they think this team is going anywhere in the playoffs. The Sixers can't win on the road, and that will mean that they aren't going to have home court advantage in the post-season. They are on the road tonight, facing the best team in the NBA. Philly has won four straight, but their last defeat was a double digit loss here in Wisconsin. The Sixers have failed to cover in four of their last five in Milwaukee, and I see no reason to "buck" that trend here tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers | 105-117 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies lost a close game at Sacramento last night, and normally playing the second game of a back to back is considered to be a significant disadvantage. This might not be the case in this situation however though, with the Lakers playing their first game back from the All Star Break and the Grizzlies being a young team playing for just the second time in over a week. I lost my bet with the Grizzlies last night, but I was happy with their effort. The fact is that the Kings hit 19-of-39 three point attempts, making it almost impossible for the Grizzlies to keep up. The fact that they rallied to within a point in the final seven seconds says a lot about their character, and I hope to see them play the same way tonight in LA. The Lakers could be caught looking ahead to a marquee matchup versus the Celtics on Sunday. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Suns v. Raptors -7.5 | 101-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Suns have covered the spread in 10 straight meetings versus Toronto, but this is one trend I don't think will hold. Let's be real about this.. the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year. Toronto will be a 7.5 point favorite tonight, a smaller number than we saw in each of the last six meetings. The Suns have failed to cover in four straight road games and seven of their last eight overall. Toronto had won 15 straight before losing in Brooklyn in their final game before the break. They have covered in six straight coming off a loss. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-20 | Grizzlies +1 v. Kings | Top | 125-129 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -1 | 60-52 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 1* free play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Michigan is the bigger basketball brand, and that can be the only explanation for why this line is so close to a pickem. Rutgers has a better overall record, and they are 17-0 at home. Michigan has been brutal on the road, losing five of seven games and averaging under 70 points per game in that span. Rutgers has the better conference record, and their last home game was a double digit win over a ranked team (Illinois). Rutgers has been lights on defensively at home, allowing just 57.5 points per game. This line probably should be 3-4 points higher than it is. Take Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | Top | 65-54 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The #1 ranked Baylor Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of 22 straight. They are 12-0 in the BIG12, and they are 11-0 on the road. You've got to have BIG BRASS TACKS to bet against a team that hasn't lost since November ... but sign me up! The Bears keep winning, but rarely are they blowing teams out. Four of their last five road games were single digit wins, and all five of those games came against teams that trail Oklahoma in the standings. They won by a score of 61-57 at home versus Oklahoma just a few weeks ago. The Sooners are 11-1 at home, and they won their last two home games by a combined 39 points against #13 ranked West Viriginia and Iowa State. The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings between these two teams. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-20 | Michigan v. Northwestern +7 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
5* |
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02-12-20 | Pistons v. Magic -7 | 112-116 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Orlando Magic. Orlando is still a playoff team in the Eastern Conference, while the Pistons right now might be driving a large metal vehicle on tracks (tank). The Pistons have lost three straight, and two of those losses came at home against teams with a losing record. With the All Star break coming up, we shouldn't expect a big effort from this Detroit team on the road tonight. The history between these teams favors the home team, which has won nine of the last 10. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Orlando. Take ORL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland is making a run for the post-season, which really shouldn't surprise anyone. If you have been paying attention over the last several years, you should remember that this is a team that has started slow only to dominate in the second half of the season, and then they have made plenty of noise in the playoffs. It seems like Dame Time has arrived, as Damian Lillard has scored 40+ points in six of his last nine games. It's not surprising that the Blazers have won six of their last nine games. They take on a shorthanded Miami Heat team tonight. Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro are expected to sit out tonight. The Blazers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Miami. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-20 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. Clemson | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. At first glance we can see that the Clemson Tigers are 9-4 at home, while the Irish have lost four of six road games. Look a little closer and you can see that Clemson has lost four of six, and their two wins during that span came by a combined four points. The Irish on the other hand have won four of six, and their two losses during that span came by a combined three points. Notre Dame lost by just a single point on the road at #5 ranked Florida State in it's last road game. The Irish are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and they have won two of the last three at Clemson. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-20 | Boise State +9.5 v. Utah State | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos. Boise State will be a big underdog on the road at Utah State tonight, and the Broncos come in as winners of five straight overall. One of those wins was an 88-83 home win over the Aggies. That game went to overtime, and close games between these teams have been the norm. These two teams have played eight straight games decided by six points or less, and each of the last two meetings went to overtime. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-20 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -3.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes.
St. Bonnaventure has had plenty of success against the Dukes, in fact they have seven straight and nine of the last 10 versus Duquesne. There are plenty of reasons to expect them to struggle on the road here in this game. The Dukes are 9-1 at home, and they are coming off a double digit road win at Saint Louis. The Bonnies are just 5-5 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog. The Dukes have allowed opponents to score fewer than 60 points per game at home. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Grizzlies +6 v. 76ers | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Sixers are really struggling, coming into tonight's game as losers of four straight. While they have struggled on the road, they are still 22-2 at home. This isn't an easy home game though, playing the second game of a back to back, facing a Memphis team that has won 13 of it's last 16. The Grizzlies have all the momentum, and they are getting a ton of points here all things considered. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on no rest, and the starters logged plenty of minutes in Milwaukee last night. I have a tough time believing that a team that is playing so poorly can simply flip the switch just because they are back home. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois +2 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies lost both games against Kent State in 2019, and they look to return the favor here in 2020. They already beat the Golden Flashes by a score of 76-69 on the road earlier this year, and they will be an underdog here at home in the second meeting. Kent State may have a better overall record, but the Huskies have a better record in the MAC, and they have won five straight overall. The Golden Flashes appear to be currently overvalued, failing to cover in six straight as a road favorite, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-20 | LSU v. Vanderbilt +12 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. I cashed in a winner with Vanderbilt on Saturday, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Florida. "The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn." The Tigers appear to be overvalued, coming in with an 8-0 record in the SEC. It's important to understand that LSU hasn't played any Top 25 teams, and the majority of their wins came in close games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies +5 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavs have already proved that they shouldn't be taken lightly just because Luka Doncic isn't in the lineup. They have won back to back games without him, and they are now 4-3 in their last seven when he doesn't play. They will face a particularly tough opponent tonight though, with the Grizzlies coming in as winners of 12 of their last 15 games. Dallas hasn't had a lot of success at home, with a record of just 14-12 on their home floor. The Mavericks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to take the points with a Grizzlies team that has plenty of momentum. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies -8.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizz are coming off a double digit road loss to New Orleans, but they had won 11 of their previous 13 games. They still hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the West, but Porland is now on their heels sitting a game and a half back. They host the Pistons tonight, and Detroit comes off an overtime win at home over Denver on Sunday. Derrick Rose left the game after suffering a groin injury in the first half, and he should look to rest here in the second game of a back to back. The Pistons had lost five straight (all by double digits) prior to Sunday. Detroit is just 1-5 ATS when playing the second game of a back to back, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Memphis. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-20 | 76ers v. Heat -2 | 106-137 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-01-20 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +12 | 61-55 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn. The Gators are coming off three straight losses, and they may be hard pressed to cover such a big number. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -3 | 62-64 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Cincinnati is likely better than their record indicates, and they look to prove just that with a home win over rivals Houston on Saturday. Cincinnati has a home record of 9-1 this season, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The improved play of Jarron Cumberland has played a role in the Bearcats recent success. "I didn't coach him last year. I just know what I see now," coach Brannen said of Cumberland. "He's definitely healthy. A big part of him being on the ball more is he's in great shape. He's able to do what he's capable of doing. Great players make the game easier for others. That's where Jarron is right now." This Cincinnati team appears primed to make a move in the American Conference. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers +4 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
? |
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02-01-20 | Michigan State -5 v. Wisconsin | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Wolverines come into Madison looking to take advantage of an undermanned Wisconsin team. The Badgers are in a bad place right now, with leading scorer Kobe King leaving the team, and starting guard Brad Davison serving a suspension. Wisconsin is coming off back to back road losses at Iowa and Purdue, and they have lost three of their last four overall. They scored just 55 points in a double digit loss at East Lansing in January, and it's going to be tough to do any better here on Saturday. The Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-20 | Northeastern v. William & Mary -2.5 | 58-59 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. The Tribe are coming off a rare home loss to Towson, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last three home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington, Charleston and James Madison. They have now covered the spread in six straight home games." They are back on their home court Wednesday night against Northeastern. The Huskies last road game was a loss to last place UNC Wilmington, and they are coming into tonight's game off a home loss to Delaware. The Tribe won a close game at Northeastern earlier this season. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |