Phoenix played avery physical tilt game versus Connecticut last night, and could be on tired legs and unable ti run and gun with the explosive Liberty. Damage control will be on the Mercury agenda in what Im betting will see a combined score on the low side of the totals offering. 

Play on the under 

My rejections estimate a score to reach the mid 160s giving us value with an over bet . 

My rejections estimate a score to reach the mid 160s giving us value with an over bet . 

Courtney Vandersloot, tore her ACL and Chicago is going to suffer because of it. Guard play was already an issue and now wow its should be a night mare scenario. The Libertuy Im betting put up mucho points here in what the linesmakers agree will be a blowout. Im more comfortable taking the total than laying the big lumber . 

NBA Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in June games are 21-3 over since 1997 with a combined average of 173.5 ppg scored.

NY Liberty Sandy Brondello games versus horrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game are 9-1 over with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored.

Play over

After a frantic close win last time out vs Golden State I betting the Mercury will be in a letdown scenario and could easily come out with a lethargic effort that will effect this score towards the under and still playing without Alyssa Thomas their cohesiveness on offense will be tested by the Storm. Seattle as a favorite and Phoenix as an rdog have gone 8-1-1 to the Under this season so far.

The Dream are expected to have  Brittney Griner back in the lineup tonight after missing the last game  Seattle is expected to healthy tonight with all roster positions available to play. Im projecting both these sides to score in the low 80s and for this totla to be easily eclipsed. WNBA teams where the total is 159.5 or less - averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, on Friday nights are 80-38 OVER for a 68% conversion rate .

Play over

My projections estimate a combined score closer to 159 giving us a almost a 2 possession edge to the under. Chicago games off a road loss against a division rival have stayed under in 11 of their L/12 overall.Chicago games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 12-2 to the under.

Play under

My. projections estimate a combined score of 168 so this is a under wager for me. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 170 - after allowing 90 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 90 points or more are 21-4 UNDER with a combined average of 166.7. ppg scored.

Play under

Both these teams are off ugly losses to start their season, and will be ready tp bounce back here in aggressive fashion, which Im betting translates into a higher scoring back and forth affair.

Dallas games in a home game where where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points are 8-1 over dating back to last season with a combined average of 181.6 ppg.

Play over

 These teams have combined to  average 166  points in their last two meetings and my projections for this game estimate a combined score in around 167-168  range which gives us some strong value with a over wager.Over is 9-3 in Aces last 12 vs. Western Conference.

Play on the over

These teams have nothing really to play for as their spots in the play offs have essentially been decided. I expect  tweaking schemes and staying healthy will be key for both these sides, which projects to see a lower scoring game between two very tough defenses. 

Under is 5-0-1 in Sun last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Sun last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-1 in Sun last 8 Tuesday games.Under is 16-5-1 in Sun last 22 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 5-1 in Lynx last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 overall.Under is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 Tuesday games.

Play under

Bet over the total in Dallas games as a home underdog -11-1 OVER L/12 with a 191.1 ppg scored.

The Sun  are now in top form and becoming more more explosive offensively. Seattle will have to provide some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court .  The Storm behind a top tier group are capable of putting up alot of production and that Im betting leads to a much higher scoring affair then the linebackers Totals  line suggests. 

Play over 

Dallas loves to play a run and gun type of hoops, and Im betting they force the Lynx to have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own and what I project to end  in being higher scoring affair that produces a  combined score that projects  up into the mid 170s.

Over is 17-5 in Wings last 22 games following a ATS win.Over is 19-7 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up win.Over is 39-15-1 in Wings last 55 overall.Over is 5-2 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-3 in Wings last 10 Friday games.Over is 36-17 in Wings last 53 home games.Over is 35-17-1 in Wings last 53 vs. Western Conference.

Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 overall.Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a straight up win.

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

Play over

Two time defending champs the Aces after a few lackluster performances have to get things going in a hurry if they want to achieve a threepeat. Tonight against a now healthy Dallas side that loves to run and gun, Im expecting a spirited affair that eclipses this total.

Over is 5-1-1 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 17-4 in Wings last 21 games following a straight up win.Over is 21-6-1 in Wings last 28 vs. Western Conference.Over is 17-5-1 in Wings last 23 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 38-15-1 in Wings last 54 overall.Over is 18-8-1 in Wings last 27 games following a ATS loss. 

Over is 35-17 in Wings last 52 home games.Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the  OVER

This line is tainted thanks to the Lynx astounding shooting metrics when these teams met earlier this week .According to my projections this totals offering should be closer 162 giving us one of my bigger edges of the season with my totals selections.

Under is 8-3 in Lynx last 11 overall.Under is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-1 in Lynx last 7 home games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 5-1 in Aces last 6 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Aces last 5 road games.Over is 7-2 in Aces last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 overall.

Play under

The Atlanta Dream are still banged up, even with the rest - and will just be trying to slow this game down to compete with the explosive and mostly healthy Seattle Storm . This translates in a lower scoring grinding affair that fails to eclipse this total.

Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 overall.

Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-2 in Dream last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 16-7 in Dream last 23 home games.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play under

My projections estimate that the total attached to this game between the Sparks and Liberty is closer to the 162 mark thus giving us value with a under wager here as we have at least a one possession cushion in this spot play.

Under is 9-3-1 in Sparks last 13 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-8 in Sparks last 29 home games.Under is 7-1-1 in Sparks last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Under is 5-0 in Liberty last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Liberty last 7 overall.

Under is 3-1-1 in Liberty last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 8-3 in Liberty last 11 road games.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the UNDER 

Offensively Minnesota has struggled of late scoring  just 68.5 points per game during their current two game losing streak. Meanwhile Atlanta has been an inconsistent offensive threat  this season averaging just 75 points on 40.8% shooting from the floor. Considering early start times, have teams starting slowly and a less cohesive event is highly likely according to my projections which give credence to a lower scoring affair. 

Under is 7-0 in Lynx last 7 overall.Under is 6-0 in Lynx last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Dream last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-1 in Dream last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 Wednesday games.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 road games.

Play under

My projections estimate a combined score in the 175 range giving us close to 2 possession edge for an over bet to cash. Dallas has issues with playing defensive ball and instead push forward with an all out offensive style of hoops.  Dallas lost a 100-84 decision in Phoenix on Wednesday, continuing to highlight their  soft defensive stance, and admirable offensive work. Both sides have injury woes with key players out, but their brand of lower tier hoops seems to not optimize their defensive capabilities or inabilities. I know the Los Angeles shot 41.1 percent from the floor and produced its second-worst scoring total of the season last time out, vs a top tier Lynx group, but now Im betting on positive regression after that frustrating effort vs a porous opponent. 

Over is 9-2 in Wings last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-2 in Wings last 10 Saturday games.Over is 19-7 in Wings last 26 home games.Over is 18-7-1 in Wings last 26 games following a ATS loss.Over is 18-7-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Over is 35-15-1 in Wings last 51 overall.

Over is 5-1 in Sparks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

Play over-Play as high as 172

My. projections estimate  that we will see a track meet take hold here tonight.  Ny number comes in at the 2nd highest projected  output of the season, of 177.5 which gives us close to full 2 possession edge on the offered number.

Winners of three in a row, Phoenix (12-10) is in a groove and ready to run and gun with a Catlin Clark led Fevers side that will have no problem pushing the action in response to what promises to be an aggressive opponent playing with momentum. Biggest problem for the Fever is a lackluster D, that the Mercurys sharp shooters will have no problem taking advantage of. 

The Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Indiana.

Over is 4-1 in Fever last 5 home games.

Over is 7-3 in Fever last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play over

All three meetings between these teams this season have been high scoring affairs and Im betting nothing changes here today. Scores of  104-96 /97-90/ 107-92 have all eclipsed the offered total. Rinse and repeat situation now on board. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 

Play on the over

The Sun are 1-1 against the Dream this season, dropping the last contest 78-74 on June 28 in Connecticut. Current values and play estimations make for an even lower scoring affair this afternoon. Last time out on Thursday night, the Connecticut Sun took a  78-73 road victory over the Minnesota Lynx and Im betting will continue to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. 

My projections estimate a score in the mid 140s giving us a more than 2 possession advantage to the under. 

Play under 

Mystics just got smashed by DDs vs the Aces last time out and to me looked exhausted for whatever reason. Maybe being injury riddled and short handed has finally got the best of the best of this young group from DC.  That does not bode well for them having the legs needed today vs a motivated group of Lynx whoare off a humbling loss to Connecticut at home t after a fast start to their campaign. With that said, I expect the Mystics just wont have the tenacity needed to  play strong D in this spot and for the Lynx to highlight a more aggressive offensive posture in an attempt to alleviate the letdown of a key loss last time out .   This  Im betting will lead to a score that eclipses this totals offering. 

Play on the over

Mystics are banged up but still seem to find the depth to score, but their Achilles heel seem to  have shown some defensive break downs to top tier teams and thats what Im betting on tonight. Meanwhile, the Aces are more cohesive offensively on their own home floor and a expanded offensive outing, above their current metrics looks to be a high probability event giving credence to my over wager in this spot play situation. Vegas scored a 88-77 win in DC in their previous meeting in June, and a even higher offensive output by Vegas is projected here , with the Mystics frantically chasing. 

Play over

Minnesota usually reliable D failed them last time out vs the Liberty , after leading that game for a majority of the time they fell apart late for the loss. Now in bounce back mode, Im sure a complete defensive effort vs the Sun wlll be in order. Also this will be an emotional  hangover spot for the Lynx and Im betting they wont have the legs to run and gun and will be alot more subdued after their Commissioner Cup rematch against NYL. Meanwhile, the Suns, have not looked as explosive offensively as they did earlier this season, and have reverted to a more structured conservative  defensive type of hoops. This combination of observations and my power ranking head to head  projections estimate a combined score that will fail to eclipse this total. 

Play under

The teams have split their first two meetings this season. Dallas took a 107-92 in Phoenix on May 25, while the Mercury found a way past the Wings in a 97-90 double-overtime road victory on June 9. Im betting on more fast paced action and scoring here today in a rinse and repeat situation. 

Play over 

The Mystics are a hard working team with alot of chemistry and top tier coaching. Despite of a boatload  full of injuries they keep competing . In what the lines-makers expect to be a very close game here in LA, Im betting both these sides, ( Mystics/ Sparks) take  part in a back and forth affair that eclipses the total.  

Play on the OVER 

Minnesota came out flat  against Dallas this past  Thursday, but this is to good of a team to not get back into a groove quickly . Im betting on a shut down performance from their D , after a couple of uncharacteristically high scoring games and for a lower combined score to be a result of this tilt which in-turn gives us an edge on a under wager. 

Play under

My projections make this total closer to the 151 range which in turn according to my numbers give us a big edge for an under wager to cash here today as the Sun and Storm do battle in west coast WNBA early afternoon action. Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Play under

These teams  the Sparks and the Liberty just played and the total combined score of the game eclipsed the total (173), and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in the rematch.note: NYL have scored 90 points or more in 4 straight but have allowed 80 or more points in what have been wide open run and gun affairs.  

Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 home games. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

NEW YORK is 15-6 OVER  in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored.NEW YORK is 23-12 OVER  after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 172 ppg scored. 

Play over

My power rating projection system, estimate that the combined score of this contest will fall in the mid 150s range giving close to a 2 possession value wager to the under. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off 3 consecutive wins against division rivals are 60-31 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

My projections system estimates a score of 154, giving us top tier value on. an under wager here today.Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 12-1 in Dream last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 11-5 in Dream last 16 road games.

Under is 5-0 in Sky last 5 overall.

Under is 23-9 in Sky last 32 vs. Eastern Conference.

Play under

Two average to below average defenses go head ot head here today in a tilt I project to over the set total. Both can light the board up in a hurry and that what Im betting on today as a project this total to be 173. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - good shooting team (43.5-46%) against an average defensive team (40.5-43.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% por better  of their shots are 59-24 L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.DALLAS is 6-0 OVER  in home games hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a comined average of 176.8 ppg scored. 

Play over

After a big game yesterday at home where they beat the NY Liberty the Lynx may start a little slowly here today , and may also be effected by the travel situation to here get here to todays game in Atlanta. That Im betting directly effects the combined score of this tilt to the under. NBARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (MINNESOTA) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 62 or more shots/game, after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better are 37-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined averaged of 156,6 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 11-3 UNDER   as a home favorite over the last 2 season with a combined average of 160.3 ppg scored. 

Play under

Connecticut blasted Minnesota by a 90-60 count in game 1 of this series, and Im betting they light the board up again, but for the Lynx to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own in a tilt Im projecting to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER   revenging a blowout loss versus opponent by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 176.4 ppg scored. 

CONNECTICUT is 10-3 OVER   in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this season with aq combined average of 167.7 ppg scored.

Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Sunday games.

Over is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 overall.

Over is 4-1 in Sun last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 13-5 in Sun last 18 home games.

Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference.

Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 165 ppg going on the board.

Play over 

After 6 straight unders the Fever finally eclipsed the total last time out, on a deflated line.  They also finally put 80 points on the board for the first time in 7 games, last time out which aided in the over result  However,  here against a up-trending  Lynx defense,  that has not allowed more than 79 points in their L/3 games, Im betting this number will not be breached . 

MINNESOTA is 30-12 UNDER L/42  road games off an upset win as a road underdog with the average combined score clicking in at 141.2 ppg. (Defeated Chicago last time out as 3.5 point underdogs)

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 71-39 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

The Mercury have gone under the total in 9 of their L/11 overall including their L/4 games at home. Meanwhile, the Mystics have gone under in 9 of their 13 road games this season. Im betting the under trend continuing here today as my own projections estimate a total closer to 155 which gives us a full possession edge on the offered number to the under. 

WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.7 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 100-56 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 206-138 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. 

Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play under

My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. 

Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by not allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play under

My own personal projections for this game featuring the Liberty and the Wings  are in the 167 range giving us a full possession  plus value advantage  with an under wager. The average combined score of home home Liberty games, is in the 169 range. The Wings have seen an average combined score of 166.3 ppg scored in their road games and previous to a big output last time out had seen five straight games stay under the total. Last time out the Wings had a rare offensive explosion of 107 points and now Im betting on immediate regression vs the Liberty that will effect this games production levels to the under.

Under is 5-0 in Wings last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Wednesday games.

Play under

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under 

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 196-127 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the UNDER 

SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with the average ppg hitting in at 175 ppg. 

My projections make this total closer to 145 giving us a full possession edge on this number. 

CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  33% or better of their attempts this season. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER  when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.

NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 31-7 UNDER L/24  seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

My projections estimate a score in the low to mid 150s. Giving us value on anything above 155. 

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - after one or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 144-86 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate! 

Play UNDER 

WNBA Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Reeve is 25-12 UNDER  off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival as the coach of MINNESOTA. ( HC complained that the team had lost focus). Back to D and basics here in this tilt. 

ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER  in home games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 64-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

My projections estimate this total should be closer 160 which gives us a two possession advantage on this offered  total.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 154-97 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

WASHINGTON is 17-8 OVER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 171.6 ppg scored.

 During Indiana's 104-76 victory over the Sun in the 2019 regular-season finale, Kelsey Mitchell knocked down a WNBA record nine 3-pointers en route to a 38-point performance. Im expecting more offensive fireworks here tonight from both sides. 

INDIANA is 8-1 OVER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 11-3 OVER  off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Play OVER

These teams took part in a fast paced 95-86 tilt that Washington won in game 1 of this series. Im betting on more of the same high octane action here in game 2 and a combined score that eclipses the total. Note : Washington has set the pace in all its home games this season, averaging 93+ ppg per game, and if Connecticut has any chance of being competitive here they will have to answer with some offensive fireworks of their own. 

WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER  in home games vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored.

CONNECTICUT is 7-0 OVER  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997 with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Liberty are on a 6 game losing streak, and what stands out during their current negative run is their inability to score with consistency, only once scoring more than 79 points. Meanwhile, Dallas during this entire season, has had problems putting points on the board, averaging just 70.3 ppg, behind the leagues slowest pace, and D ppg allowed ranking 2nd in the league ( 74.9 ppg).  Look for this two converging trends of play to see a game that is much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. I know the Wings have had two consecutive decent offensive efforts, the last against a stunned Sparks team, but now a reversion to the mean is my prediction and a total that stays on the low side of the number.

Under is 3-1-1 in Liberty last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Under is 16-4-1 in Wings last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Friday games.Under is 8-3-2 in Wings last 13 home games.Under is 18-7-2 in Wings last 27 overall.Under is 11-5-2 in Wings last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play UNDER 

The Dream shot just 33% last time out in a loss which marked the 8th straight time Atlanta shot below 40 percent. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of finding ways to post some wins this season, are still ranked 10th in pace, and 7th in ppg, so according to the projection possibilities that I hqve calculated, a lower scoring game must be expected. 

Under is 5-0-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Wings last 4 road games.Under is 20-6-2 in Wings last 28 overall.Under is 19-6-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Under is 3-1-2 in Wings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 15-5-1 in Wings last 21 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-1-1 in Wings last 5 Saturday games.

Under is 6-0 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Mercury last 5 Saturday games.Over is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play UNDER 

Minnesota's defence looks solid in a win vs Atlanta 85-69 on Tuesday to snap a four-game slide, and Im betting on more top tier defence here today, against a Connecticut team that can offensively explosive but that has also averaged 4.1 ppg on the road less than at home. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE is on tonights agenda for the host Lynx  which will lead to a grinding lower scoring game than the lines-makes expect. 

Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 14-6 in Lynx last 20 games following a straight up win.

Play UNDER 

The two meetings in this series between LA and Phoenix this season, have seen scores of 82-72 and 85-68 . Both teams had missing components in those meetings, and now both are mostly healthy and with the play offs around the corner and both being play off candidates Im betting a physical post season type affair as both prepare for a WNBA championship run which will make for a fairly lower scoring affair. 

LOS ANGELES is 17-3 UNDER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.7 ppg going on the board. LOS ANGELES is 16-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. LOS ANGELES is 21-5 UNDER in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Mercury last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games.Under is 13-5 in Mercury last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games.Under is 35-16-1 in Sparks last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play UNDER

My projections estimate that this contest will remain on the low side of the total.

Recency bias also suggest this total is skewed to the upside thus giving us value with a under wager.

CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season. CHICAGO is 6-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 8-2 UNDER in home games this season. (all of the above combined scores were all under this set total)

NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42%  or better of their shots are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Two struggling teams go head to head today in Atlanta . The Dream, are last in the league in scoring and shooting percentage while being the only team connecting below 30 percent from 3-point range and Im betting on their scoring woes continuing here today vs the Minnesota Lynx. Meanwhile, Minnesota has not scored more than 79 points in 8 straight games, while their defence has been fairly decent , allowing more than 79 points  just twice during the above mentioned 8 game run that has seen 6 of those game stay under the total. Everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number.

Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 26-7 in Lynx last 33 road games.Under is 6-2 in Lynx last 8 overall.

Under is 20-7 in Dream last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7-1 in Dream last 27 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 overall.Under is 23-10 in Dream last 33 home games.

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER 

As we come closer to the WNBA play offs teams become more aware of their defensive responsibilities and play also gets more physical. These two teams are strong candidates for a run at a WNBA championship and Im betting play a hard core competitive game here today that will end up on the low side of the total. 

CONNECTICUT is 11-2 UNDER  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.4 ppg scored. 

PHOENIX is 24-8 UNDER  in road games after 5 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers for a combined average of 158.2 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, on Thursday nights are 41-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals are 34-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 59-22 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The No.1 ranked D of the Seattle Storm, in the WNBA and 8th ranked pace, and 9th ranked offence take on the No.1 pace , and No 2 offense in the league of the Las Vegas Aces. When these teams played back on June 25 in Nevada the final score clicked in a 60-56 and was very physical. While these teams may not have the small of output this time , Im still expecting a tight game that does not exceed this total.

Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 Friday games.Under is 13-3-2 in Storm last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 16-4-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2-1 in Storm last 11 games following a ATS win.Under is 19-9-2 in Storm last 30 overall.

Under is 4-0 in Aces last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 road games.

Play UNDER

Seattle is ranked No.1 in the WNBA in defence, 8th in pace and 10th in offensive rating, and are more than capable of controlling the action here today in a very precise manner, which Im betting leads to a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. 

Under is 5-0 in Liberty last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-4 in Liberty last 14 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 7-1-1 in Storm last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 12-2-2 in Storm last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 15-5-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-3 in Storm last 10 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Storm last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.

Play UNDER

Chicago had a huge offensive output last game out for a win but today I expect a more muted effort that will see them regress offensively. However, I also like the way their defence matches up against Dallas, as was evident when they held them to 66 points in last week 78-66 home win vs the Wings. With that said, Im expecting this combined score to stay on the low side of the total.

Under is 5-1 in Sky last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Sky last 4 games following a ATS win.

Under is 6-0 in Wings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Wings last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 7-1 in Wings last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Wings last 7 Sunday games.Under is 17-5 in Wings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 10-3 in Wings last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Wings last 26 overall.

Play UNDER

After starting their season on fire and failing to pace themselves the Connecticut Sun now look to be exhausted as is evident by a 5 game losing streak that has seen them score an average of just 70.6 ppg. Meanwhile, Phoenix is off an explosive two way performance last time out beating Washington by a 91-68 count.  Im betting on an offensive regression here today by the Mercury even if  super star Diana Taurasi plays , and for a D that has held 5 of their L/7 opponents to 70 point or less to continue their top tier stopping modus operandi. This combination of expected projections makes for a score that will be lower than the linesmakers and public expect. 

Both teams have gone under in 3 of their last 4 trips to the court. 

Under is 6-1-1 in Mercury last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 road games.

My line for this game was set around 144, so we have value to the under here at this number.

The Seattle Storm are averaging 74.2 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.7 points on 42.6 percent shooting and are deliberate team with a conservative defensive mindset. Meanwhile,  The Atlanta Dream   are averaging 69.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting and once again depend on a slower pace to try to stay close here, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails toe eclipse this total.

Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 Friday games.Under is 12-3-1 in Storm last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play UNDER 

 The recency of Chicago allowing 94 points last time out, and the Aces taking part in a back and forth high scoring affair in their last game, have put this total  in the beatable category to the under. Tonight Im betting on the Sky playing more conservatively and paying strict attention to D, while the Aces regression on tired legs after that last scoring fest they took part in is to be expected. 

Play UNDER 

 The reigning WNBA champs have shown alot of grit despite being without stars Breanna Stewart (Achilles), Sue Bird (knee), coach and  Dan Hughes.  Hardcore D has been their signature style of play and has resulted in 10 of 12 games staying under the total. Nothing changes tonight against a visiting Mercury team that has averaged just 69.4 ppg on the road this season. DEFENSE, DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENCE. 

Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games.

Under is 5-0 in Storm last 5 Sunday games.Under is 9-1-2 in Storm last 12 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 overall.Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER

Chicagos D continues to improve and LA has been a defence first team at home for quite a while now and tonight Im betting on combined score that fails to eclipse this total.  The last three times these teams have played in LA the scores have all stayed below the total, and nothing changes here today. 

LA ranks 8th out of 12 teams in offence this season.

Under is 3-1-1 in Sky last 5 vs. Western Conference

Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games.

Play on the UNDER

My projections estimate a score that combines to stay on the low side of this total. 
INDIANA is 9-2 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.2 ppg scored and  is 16-6 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 42 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 20-8 UNDER  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

LAS VEGAS is 12-3 UNDER   off an upset loss as a road favorite  which was the case last time out at LA vs the Sparks.

Under is 6-1-1 in Aces last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Las Vegas.

Play UNDER

According to my projections and the lack of efficiency we have in the WNBA market Im betting we have a value you total to bet into here in Phoenix tonight favoring  and under wager on what is a bloated line in my estimations. Note: Key offensive Threat for the Mercury future HOF Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Back ).

Under is 7-3 in Fever last 10 games playing on 2 days restUnder is 4-0-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS winUnder is 9-4 in Mercury last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

Play UNDER 

Connecticut (9-2) had its seven-game winning streak suddenly snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago, as they looked exhausted. This team has had problems in the recent past controlling their run and gun ways, and exhaustion has caught with them. The Sun now playing their 2nd straight road game and 3rd game over in the L/5 days Im betting their tired legs wont allow them to run with wreck-less abandon against a Dallas team that is  both offensively challenged and defensively aware of making sure they don't get involved in a shoot out. This combination Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimations might indicate.

I know Dallas looked defensively hapless and helpless last time out allowing 86 points in a 86-68 loss. However it must be noted that Agler is 21-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997 with a . combined average score of 144.5 ppg.Agler is 24-8 UNDER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

I think there are alot of numbers here that might scream over to the public but as usual the public over reacts to recency trends which is gives us value on what my own projections estimate to be a slightly bloated total giving us value with an under wager. 

WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER  in road games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored.

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 games are 71-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 42-17 . UNDER 22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Afternoon games have a tendency of being a little slower paced and Im betting that will be the case here this afternoon.

WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-3 UNDER in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play UNDER 

When these two teams played last week, the total was  set at 166 and the under cashed  with only 134 total points going on the board. Im betting the same kind of pace, and shooting is once again going to play out in a total score that once again fails to eclipse the number. I know the The Sky's three-guard combo of Courtney Vandersloot, Allie Quigley, and Diamond DeShields looked explosive and combined for 50 points in their 91-83 win at New York on Wednesday night, but the Fever, know this will be primed to play a tough brand of D, and Im also betting on a regression shooting out put by the Sky here in a game that will be much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. 

INDIANA is 14-5 UNDER  in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 156 ppg. 

INDIANA is 10-2 UNDER  after a game attempting 80 or more shots with a combined average of 153.1 ppg scored. 

CHICAGO is 26-13 UNDER  off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 149.9 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 51-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Mercury have struggled mightily out of the gate this season without all star Diana Taurasi who is also expected to miss this game. The Mercury's flow is way off and Dallas also has offensive issues. These are two slowest paced teams in the league and low total is not low enough according to my projections.

DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in all games this season.Agler has gone under in 19 of his L/25  in home games after 4 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached .

Play UNDER 

The Liberty after being in a game with a combined score of 190 points has the linemakers tweaking this line upwards, thus giving us value on a regression type score here vs the Chicago Sky.  These teams have combined to go under in 7 of their L/10 combined games, and Im betting on another under here.

Under is 4-1-1 in Sky last 6 overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Sky last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Under is 4-1 in Liberty last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 8-2 in Liberty last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-4-1 in Liberty last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-2 in Liberty last 7 Wednesday games.

Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

Play UNDER

Despite of both these teams shooting horribly of late, it still must be noted that Atlanta is allowing 81 ppg this season overall, and here at home despite of being banged up Im betting Dallas does some damage, and Atlanta reciprocates with some offensive fireworks of their own, which will result in a total that will be eclipsed. 

These teams have gone over in 11 of their L/14 meetings and 3-0 OVER here in Dallas. 

Play OVER 

Washington comfortably leads the WNBA with 89.6 points per game and is hitting a league-best 8.8 3-pointers per contest.The Sun are averaging 87 points per game at home this season. Im betting both sides to take part in a run and gun affair that eclipses this total. 

Thanks to the Chicago Sky being the worst defensive team in the league right now, the Total has been blown up past my power ranking performance indicators would suggest. Meanwhile, Seattle, a defence first team is off  shooting 59.3 percent during an 84-77 win at Minnesota also added to this number but  Im betting on a natural regression here to the norm that should also help this contest stay on the low side of the total. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Storm last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-1-1 in Storm last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1-2 in Storm last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 overall.

Play UNDER

Minnesota (4-1) a defence first team under coach Cheryl Reeve allowed  more than 71 points for the first time on the campaign with an 84-77 loss at Seattle on Tuesday. The Storm shot  an amazing  59.3 percent from the floor.  .The Lynx, regrouped with a vengeance ,  and applied their gritty slow down style of play this past Thursday's 58-56 win over Phoenix. Meanwhile,Los Angeles their opponents tonight ended Minnesota's 2018 season with a 75-68 victory in the first round of the WNBA playoffs, and their will be revenge on board for the Lynx, and a game that will be gritty and physical and that fails to eclipse this posted total. ( This will be LAs 3rd straight road game in 4 days so they will be on tired legs which Im betting adds to how methodical this game will be. 

Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sparks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 16-7 in Sparks last 23 games following a straight up loss.Under is 37-18-1 in Sparks last 56 Saturday games.Under is 49-24 in Sparks last 73 overall.

Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 Saturday games.Under is 6-1 in Lynx last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 overall.Under is 8-3 in Lynx last 11 home games.

Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on the UNDER 

The Lnyx shot 59% from the floor last time out and still lost to Seattle, and now Im betting on a huge regression here from a team short on fire power and big on playing solid defence. Note: MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.7 ppg scored.

 Their opposition here tonight Phoenix,  continues to play without injured legendary guard Diana Taurasi, and despite of still having some offensive weapons will find the sledding sloppy here in the land of Lakes. 

Play on the UNDER 

Minnesota is a defence first team, that ranks No.1 in ppg allowed and 10th in pace in the league, with all 3 of their first 3 games staying under the set total. Meanwhile, Seattle ranks 2nd inppg allowed in the league, and 7th in pace. Considering the way both these teams   modus operandi consistently plays out, a combined score on the low side of this total is a high probability outcome. 

Under is 24-4 in Lynx last 28 road games.Under is 13-3 in Lynx last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 overall.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 6-1-1 in Storm last 8 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1-1 in Storm last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 6-2-1 in Storm last 9 home games.

Play UNDER 

In last years three meetings these teams Conn and LV combined to average 182.33 ppg, with at least one team scoring 90 points or more each time and with two of the tilts seeing Connecticut score more than 100 points. Both teams remain offensively explosive this season, and an all out run and gun affair must be expected again. 

Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-2-1 in Aces last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER 

With reigning MVP Breanna Stewart (Achilles) out for the season and league legend Sue Bird (knee) sidelined indefinitely the team will focus on playing top tier defence .With superstar Maya Moore taking the 2019 season off to focus on family and her ministry work, the Lynx will also have their attack flow interrupted which Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of total. 

MINNESOTA is 6-0 UNDER in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons. 

MINNESOTA is 13-4 UNDER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Under is 6-2-1 in Storm last 9 vs. Western Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 8-3-1 in Storm last 12 overall.

Play UNDER 

The 3 most recent meetings in this series between the Fever and the Suns have all been fairly high scoring with the lowest scoring tilt clicking in at 163 combined points.  Im betting that both sides with one game under their belts should be ready to run and gun here this evening in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. 

Over is 3-1-1 in Fever last 5 overall.Over is 6-2 in Fever last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up recordOver is 6-0 in Sun last 6 games following a ATS win.

Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Connecticut.

Play on the OVER 

WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0

The Mystics offence is just not as efficient with star forward Delle Donne suffering through a knee injury and less than 100%. This in itself will have the Mystics employing a more defensive mind set in an attempt to stay competitive vs an explosive offensive opponent. I'm betting on this combined score to stay on the low side of the Total. 

WASHINGTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average score of 159.6 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 156 ppg scored. 

WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons with the total combined average score clicking in at 158.7 ppg. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 45-18 UNDER L21 seasons with a combined average score of 157 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

For this being play off basketball game Im betting the total reflects more of a confrontation that would coincide with the regular season. The Mercury can be very physical at home and defense minded as well, we need be especially against a run and gun team like the Sun. With that said, I'm expecting a gruelling affair that stays under the total.

CONNECTICUT is 7-0 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.5 ppg scored. 

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 43-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76 % conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Sparks  top tier defence stood tall, and held 3 of their L/4 regular season opponents to 68 points or less. The Sparks were sending a signal, that their  defensive schemes and grueling inside action will be on full display during this first round action vs the Mystics. With that said,  I'm betting that defensive mind set will be on their agenda today.  Look for the  Sparks to be able to slow the explosive Mystics down, and for this contest to remain on the low side of the number. 

LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing  12 roles turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored.  WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games where they committed 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 ppg scored. 

Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 43-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

WNBA Playoffs - First Round

Both these teams can light up the scoreboard quickly, but Im betting on a physical play off affair that favours this contest staying on the low side of the number. 

PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 154.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.3 ppg.

PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games after a game where a team made 45% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 147.3 ppg going on the board.

DALLAS is 8-2 UNDER  after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or less of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Storm (25-8) will play host to the Dallas Wings (15-18) on Sunday afternoon in what is now a meaningless regular-season finale.I expect the Storm will be concentrating on defensive checks/systems and staying healthy, which I'm betting will have this game played at a lot slower pace then the pundits might expect which will effect this total score to the under. 

SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER  in home games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.3 ppg scored.DALLAS is 12-5 UNDER  after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combine average of 170.6 ppg scored. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams visiting LA and their hosts Connecticut  have secured play off spots and will both want to remain rested and healthy and practice solid defensive sets before the play offs begin,  which will help this score stay on the low side of the number.

LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average 150.3 ppg and is 6-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 147.5 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 18-4 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.2 ppg .

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball  and a more physical brand of defensive ball. Im betting instead of running and gunning that the Storm will prep for the play offs by playing a concerted defensive style game vs a NY team that  enters this tilt on tired legs as they now play their 3rd game of this western road trip. In the first two games they scored 66,72 points and will hard pressed to surpass those offensive numbers here in their current exhausted state.

NEW YORK is 12-4 UNDER  in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Seattle has seen 8. of 14 home games stay under the total. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball  and a more physical brand of defensive ball.Los Angeles allows a league-low 76.9 points per game and reigning defensive player of the year Alana Beard remains the ringleader on defense. Needless to say the Sparks failures and successes hinge on playing quality D. Today this will be of the utmost importance vs a strong Mystics team hitting on all cylinders at the moment. This Im betting results in a fairly low scoring affair.

LOS ANGELES is 8-0 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons wiTh a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored.LOS ANGELES is 17-4 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154 ppg scored. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball  and a more physical brand of defensive ball. The Sun have been rolling offensively of late , and the Lynx will be prepared to slow them down, especially after losing their last meeting in this series, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. 

MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER  in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 8-0 UNDER  revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons 154.4 ppg scored.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season ,with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 9-0 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored.CONNECTICUT is 15-4 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 44%or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 162.1 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

LA successes and failures are based on their ability to play top tier defense, and later they have gotten away from that  Thats what Im betting they concentrate on today vs a struggling NY Liberty just playing out the season. This type of physical defensive game plan, will help these teams combine to play a lower scoring game than the lines makers anticipate. 

LOS ANGELES is 14-2 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 148.3 ppg scored.LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21or less free throws/game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 142.2 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 147.1 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 9-0 UNDER  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in a 146.9 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 144.9 ppg.Agler is 10-1 UNDER  in home games off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LOS ANGELES with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (LOS ANGELES) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or more ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 155.2 ppg

Play UNDER