This is a division game and Im expecting some physical action here , which Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating. My own line projects a combined score of closer to 229 which gives us close to a two possession under situation. These teams have a recent history of playing fairly low scoring games with 7 of the L/8 staying under the total with the last game here in Washington back in early January ending with 212 combined points going on the board.

ATLANTA is 26-9 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of 207.7 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Two of the top teams in the NBA go head to head here this afternoon in Boston as the Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder. Both teams can put points up on the board in bunches when need be, but today in a game that could easily played like a post season affair, Im expecting both these heavyweights to be a little more cautious and to be fairly physical. This type of abattle could easily see this combined score stay on the low side of the total /It must be noted that the Celtics own the 3rd best points per game allowed in the NBA,  and are ranked just 13th in offensive production behind the 20th ranked pace. Meanwhile Oklahoma City owns the 3rd best defensive efficiency despite of playing at a fast temp behind top tier guard play. As far as the guard play is concerned the Celtics are one of the few teams in the league that can slow Westbrook and company which will also  effect this combined score to the low side of the number. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  as an underdog this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg going on the board and is 10-2 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg going on the board.BOSTON in 18 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 44-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 24-6 L/5 seasons for a80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

The last three meetings in this series, has seen Villanova eclipse the 80 point plateau in point production ,  and they scored 97 and 88 points in the two most recent meetings vs Gtown. Currently Villanova has scored 80 points for more in 5 straight while Georgetown has scored 83.2 ppg on a average this season, and has allowed 78.1 ppg in a uptempo take no prisoners style of play. The Hoyas have eclipsed the 80 point plateau in 9 of their L/11 and have a couple 100+ outputs.

The Wildcats have dropped in 32 from beyond the arc in their last two games and their hitting on all cylinders and will come at Georgetown on all cylinders here, and Gtown will have no choice but to reciprocate with some fireworks of their own or be blown off the court in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. 

VILLANOVA is 11-1 OVER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 167.7 ppg scored.

 GEORGETOWN is 6-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 163 ppg. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (VILLANOVA) - a top-level team (80% or better) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 93-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play OVER 

Dallas played a low scoring sleeper vs Detroit last time out losing 93-89 and now with a couple odf days rest will primed to rev things up again behind the hot hand of super euro rookie Luka Doncic .That last game saw the Cavs dealing with trade departures to NYK, but now re-engerized knowing they will have guards Tim Hardaway Jr. ( 19.1 ppg), Courtney Lee and Trey Burke (20 ppg) in the lineup I look for a big time effort in this spot vs a Cleveland team off two straight wins and playing with new confidence.  

DALLAS in 40 games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season have seen a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling  team (25% or less) are 33-14  OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Miami enters this game 4th in points per game allowed and 25th in pace and  have not scored more than 99 points in 7 of their L/14 games, with 10 of those games staying under the total. The Heat ranked 26h in ppg offensive production . Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game ranked 23rd in pace and 2nd in ppg allowed in the league also struggling to score of late, ranking 22nd in scoring in a clash that has the makings of physical low scoring affair. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team ARE 43-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 67-37 UNDER  L/5 season for a 65% conversion rate on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Sometimes when handicapping games we put to much into the current form of both defences and offences, rather than certain matchup situations, such as system vs system analysis and the need  by individual teams to be more offensively  or defensively aggressive. This matchup features a Central Michigan team the that struggles at both ends of the court, vs a home team that lies to run and gun. these two alternative systems, have proven in the past to be good under wager opportunities using certain criteria. Note: CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - a very good team (+8 or more  PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a win by 6 points or less are 28-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.( Central Michigan is off a hard fought 86-82 win vs E.Michigan last time out, and will be in an a natural letdown situation vs a side that I sure their not inspired by which Im betting results in a tilt with a lot less offensive fireworks the some might expect).

W MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER  in road games vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored.

Hawkins is 10-1 UNDER  in road games after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

These teams systems will make for a game that Im betting sees this combined score stay on the low side of the Total. I also expect Virginia  after allowing 16 steals vs nC State last time out in OT win to get back to basics and what makes them great ( DEFENCE). HC Bennet was not happy with their performance and with North Carolina and Duke on board in the next 10 days this will be a perfect time to practice some shut down D. Miami has problems scoring, and today that situation will be exacerbated . Meanwhile,Miami will Im betting be ultra conservative here in an effort to be competitive which will also contribute to what Im betting will be a successful under wager in this spot. 

VIRGINIA is 17-4 UNDER  off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 117.7 ppg scored.( Virginia beat NC State in OT last time out)

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 131-75 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Badgers  have won three straight games thanks to playing some top tier D, and on the season are yielding just 61.5 points per game . Note:WISCONSIN is 8-1 UNDER  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of 129 ppg going on the board. Im betting more hardcore conservative defensive action will be on the Badgers agenda again tonight against a dangerous Maryland side, that is off allowing just 52 points in a win vs Northwestern last time out.  Maryland took a  64-60 win when these teams met earlier this season, and Im betting on more of the same type of action here and a total combined score that will resemble the last  altercation between these Big 10 sides.

WISCONSIN is 8-2 UNDER  against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 126.4 ppg scored. WISCONSIN is 26-5 UNDER  off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1997. 

WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 124.1 ppg scored.WISCONSIN is 7-0 UNDER  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 125.8 ppg scored.  

MARYLAND is 10-2 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.3 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARYLAND) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival.   are 81-41 UNDER L/22 seasons for a67% conversion rate for bettors.

Wisconsin/Maryland UNDER

Both these teams enter this game knowing that they have to play again tomorrow. Thus I expect both will be out to make sure they don't take part in a run and gun hoops affair. This is Atlantas usually an all out take not prisoners team will now play theur fifth straight road game so their running on empty anyway. Meanwhile, Utah is one of the NBAs top defensive teams, that is off a a rare nasty Defensive performance last time out allowing 132 points to Portland in a DD loss, so they will want to settle things down in a hurry and get their defensive posture back in gear.This is the perfect type of team to get their mojo back against. The L/2 games these teams played last year resulted in low scoring affairs, (with 192 and 194 combined pointed scored an another lower scoring game Im betting will be on tonights agenda. The L/4 meetings here in Salt Lake City have gone under. Note: 

UTAH is 13-3 UNDER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with he average combined score of those games clicking in at 199.1 ppg. Atlanta took park in a high scoring affair last time out, in a 113-135 loss to Sacramento, in their /15 games in  road games after a combined score of 245 points or more they have seen a their combined scores substantially curtailed as is evident by a 213 point combined output average. 

Play UNDER 

It's interesting to note that despite of how fast paced the Oklahoma City Thunder have played this season ( 4th in pace), they are a team that ranks 3rd overall in defensive efficiency, and must not be underestimated in their stopping abilities. Meanwhile, Miami is ranked 6th in defensive efficiency in the NBA, behind the 25th ranked pace and own the 26th ranked offensive output at 105.3 ppg and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/8 games. The Heat compete because of their D, and Im betting they will be especially vigilante in this spot vs a side that comes at opponents behind the  top tier  guard play of Westbrook .  With that said, Im betting on Miamis scoring woes to continue, and for Oklahoma City to not be as fluent as usual vs a stingy side that has the ability to both slow the pace, and the Thunders aggressiveness in transition. this Im betting leads to a combined score that stays below this Total. 

Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 8-0 in Heat last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored.    MIAMI is 11-2 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. 

Thunder have gone under 5 straight times as 10 point or less road favs with 2 days rest and  4-19 UNDER  2/1 rest situation vs non-conference opposition . The Heat have gone under in 5 straight games and are 0-9 UNDER L9 vs the Thunder  and 0-6 UNDER as non-conference Home dogs and  4-19 UNDER with a  conference game  on deck  if they prepare to play on back to back days. 

Play UNDER 

No body and I mean no body and can beat the Warriors on their own home floor in a run and gun duel and Im betting Philadelphia wont try that here. Yes, there will be plenty of points going on the board here , but the Sixers need their defence to stand tall to compete  and Im betting they get down and dirty  in attempt to somehow disrupt their opponents flow and downtown shooting circus. This will directly effect what the combined fine score will be. It must be noted that 76ers HC   Brown is 14-1 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 198.8 ppg scored and is 12-2 UNDER  12-2 UNDER  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or more of their shots with a combined average of 206.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 44-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

My own projections estimate this total to be closer to 134, thus giving us value according to those estimates on a under wager. These teams/programs have played 5 times over the 3 seasons with non of the tilts combined scores eclipsing this number. The combined average score of those games clicks in at 114 ppg, with the lowest combined score at 89 points and the highest scoring game at 131. Both schools hoops programs run essentially the same system options as they did in the above mentioned previous matchups, and when going head to head these kinds of results have a high frequency of repeating themselves within these totals perimeters. 

 AIR FORCE is 25-6 UNDER L/31 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals  with a combined average of 117.5 ppg scored.SAN DIEGO ST is 23-7 L/30 UNDER in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 with  a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (AIR FORCE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 UNDER L/5 season for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.


834 San Diego State/ Air Force UNDER

The NY Knicks are currently employing a more conservative transition based style of D, which has resulted in 4 straight UNDERs, including 5 UNDERs in their L/6 trips to the hardwood and in their L/3 have not scored more than 99 points, while holding their L/3 opponents to 109, 106, 101 points in downward trajectory fashion.  NYK know they will face a revenge minded team tonight and  will continue Im betting play a conservative brand of basketball in order to take their opponents out of their flow. This Im betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers might expect. DALLAS is 31-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. (Dallas lost to the Knicks 118-106 back in Nov at home)

Dallas lost to Toronto 123-120  last time out, in a run and gun affair, and will now be on tired legs after that event. 

Under is 9-0 in Mavericks last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Mavericks are 0-15 L/15 UNDER as a favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 203.5 ppg scored.The Knicks are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break with the combined average score of 204.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 791-615 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 56% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Pittsburgh plays a real tough brand of man to man defence, and on offence they're not a team that shoots 3s constantly, so putting points on the board in bunches is not their current modus operandi. Clemson does not defend the trey well, which will be a blessing for them here tonight. Meanwhile, Clemson is a side that is struggling to score consistently, and have only breached the 70 point plateau once in their L/6 games and Im betting will struggle to put points on the board again, in a tilt that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

My own projections set this total at 132. Thus giving us value according to my estimates on a under wager. 

PITTSBURGH is 9-0 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127.5 ppg going on the scoreboard and is 6-0 UNDER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored and is 19-4 UNDER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored.

PITTSBURGH is 13-0 UNDER  after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131 ppg scored in those tilts. 

 Clemson HC Brownell is 16-5 UNDER L/21 after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog in all games with a combined average of 117.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Magic slowed things down considerably in their two most recent games vs  Houston and Washington, scoring 91 and 98 points respectively, in low scoring affairs that saw them allow 103 and 95 points on defence. Today against an explosive Thunder side, I expect more of the same conservative hoops, and prolonged scoring droughts that has become synonymous with Magic basketball. 

The Magic are 0-19-1 UNDER with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  None of the games eclipsed this Total.

The Thunder are 0-6-1 UNDER  with less than two days rest off a home game in which they shot under 60% from the free throw line with none of the games eclipsing this total. 

 Donovan L/20 games  after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 203.3 ppg being scored. 

Play UNDER

My own  line of 227 on this tilt  is 6 points off of what is being offered thus using  my projections Im betting we have value with an under wager here today between two top tier teams. I see this line as pandering to public perceptions and what is  obvious high scoring offences. Note: MILWAUKEEs L/45 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons has seen high scoring games, but the average combined score only clicks in at 226.2 ppg which is right about where a place that total.   it must be noted that the Bucks have gone under in 7 of their L/9 games, while playing a top tier brand of defence  behind the No1 ranked top rated D efficiency in the league. Yes, Oklahoma City has been shooting the lights out of late, but it must be noted that  HC Donovan is 21-8 UNDER  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 207.1 ppg. Oklahoma City also owns the 4th ranked defensive efficiency in the NBA . 

.The L/5 meetings have gone under the total. 

The Bucks are 0-16-1  UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average score of 184.3 ppg scored with none of the games seeing more than 207 combined points scored. The Bucks are also 2-20-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average combined score of those games at 188.7 ppg with non going higher than 218 combined points. 

The Thunder are 3-26  UNDER as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 199 ppg scored and none of the game have seen more than 218 points go on the board.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average score of 218.1 ppg  scored and  is 8-1 UNDER after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots this season with a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

With Joel Embidd and Jimmy Butler expected not to play tonight for the 76ers Im betting  their flow and offensive output will be great curtailed. Instead I expect HC Brown to implement a game plan that focuses on good defensive hoops, and fundamental ball control tactics.  That expected strategy I expect will lead to a lower scoring game than the linesmakers might expect between two top tier teams. Note:Brown is 40-22 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored.

The Nuggets are 0-10 UNDER L/10 by more than 15 ppg  at home off a 10+ win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent which was the case last night in their win vs Phoenix. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-18 L/22seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

This is a Terrapins team that averages 75.6 points per game but is coming off a game in which it tied its lowest offensive output of the season  and lost and Im betting their struggles stretch into this game vs a team that will look to down and  dirty here in an effort to be competitive.MARYLAND is 9-2 UNDER  off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 135.6 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

Milwaukee is the NBAs  2nd most proficient offensive  team  averaging  117.6 points per game behind the 5th ranked pace. The Bucks do preach a defence first mentality, but tonight against a Charlotte team that has upped their offensive output of late, and looking fluid with their ball movement, Im expecting the Bucks to have to put points on the board in frequent fashion. This Im betting will lead to a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this number. 

CHARLOTTE is 15-6 OVER  when the total is 220 to 230 this season.The Bucks are 11-0-1 OVER  as a 8+ favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored.The Bucks are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a home favorite off a home game when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 237.3 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Without the injured Anthony Davis in the Pelicans lineup its obvious they are far less prolific offensively and instead are relying on a more conservative brand of basketball, as has been evident  in their last two games, where they saw fairly low scoring games, beating Memphis by a 105-85 count and then losing to 94-98 to Detroit. Here tonight against a explosive Oklahoma City team, Im betting on them playing a physical methodical brand of hoops that will base itself on paying attention to ball control in transition.  This Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. 

The Pelicans are 0-12 UNDER as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored, with the games going under by an average of more than 18 ppg. The Thunder are 0-6  L/6 UNDER off a home game when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two with a combined average of 196.5 ppg. 

HC Donovan in his L/52  as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 211.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

Washington is coming off its best defensive effort of the season, a 101-87 win over the Detroit Pistons on Monday. The Wizards held the Pistons to just 34 points in the opening half . That type of basketball will serve them well vs the leagues most explosive team the Golden State Warriors. I know the  Warriors defeated the visiting Wizards 144-122 on Oct. 24 in a wide open affair, but Washington has transitioned into a different team since then thanks in part to losing John Wall, and the often injured Dwight Howard. With that said, Im betting on the Wizards doing everything they can to slow the champs down, in an effort to compete and have an opportunity to pull off a unlikely upset. This combination of projected events will Im betting keep this score on the low side  of the Total. 

The Warriors are 1-14-2 UNDER with more than one day of rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 206 ppg going on the board. None of the 17 tilts eclipsed this total. 

The Warriors are 0-10-1 UNDER  as a road favorite after their opponent shot under 60% from the free throw line with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 

The Wizards are 0-15 UNDER by more than 17 ppg as a 8+ dog off a win as a favorite when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game with the combined average score of 184.9 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.

 GOLDEN STATE L/46  road games where the total is greater than or equal to 230 since 1996 have seen a combined average of 232.6 ppg scored. Kerr is 23-11 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 43-10 UNDER  L/22  seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. None of the 53 games eclipsed this Total. 

Play on the UNDER 

Cincinnati defeated Tulsa 70-65 on the road last time out, and will Im betting score north of 75+ points today while, Tulsa chases in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this Total. 

CINCINNATI is 11-1 OVER in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 145.4 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 12-1 OVER  in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons and s 6-0 OVER in home games after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of 143.7 ppg scored.(Cinn beat Wichita State 64-55 last time out) Prior to that last game the Bcats averaged 80 ppg during a 7 game span. 

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (TULSA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a close road loss by 3 points or less are 44-14 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Toronto is on tired legs after playing last night, and the Pacers are defence first team.  This combination Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are projecting. 

INDIANA is 12-1 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 12-1 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 196.9 ppg scored and s 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or kess turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.5 ppg scored.INDIANA is 12-2 UNDER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

The Pacers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within three of pick off a win in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. None of the games went over this total. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Portland enters this game  on tired legs after a back and forth teeter totter affair last night in a game they won by a 109-104 score over the Utah Jazz  in Salt Lake City. Now exhausted they will be in the precarious position of having to deal with a explosive Oklahoma City squad. Needless to say I doubt the Blazers will want to run and gun here, and will be out looking to play a more conservative brand of transitional basketball instead which will see very few fast breaks which in turn will directly skew the total combined score to the low side. Note:  The Trailblazers are 0-9 L/9 UNDER off a game as a dog that had at least eight lead changes going under by more than 16 ppg with the average combined score clicking in at 202.3 ppg. Also PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.

In Portlands L/32 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons a combined average of 219.1 ppg were scored.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. 

Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 road games.

Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 38-16 in Thunder last 54 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 24-9-2 in the last 35 meetings in Oklahoma City.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY/PORTLAND) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 34-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

My projected Totals estimate for this game, is closer to 215 thus according to those projections we have value with an under wager here. 

Utah is well rested and will be ready to play a free flowing Portland team physically here today in an effort to slow their offensive efficiency. The Jazz have held 4 of their L/6 opponents to 99 points or under, and are currently playing the kind of D we have come to expect from this hardcore blue collar group behind the 3rd ranked ppg allowed and 3rd best defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland owns the 18th rank pace, and when they are not allowed to flow and connect are a team that can falter, as was the case here in Utah when they visited here back in December scoring just 96 points which followed up scoring just 90 points against the Jazz at home a couple days earlier. Im betting on a repeat type of combined score here tonight in Salt Lake City.

UTAH is 14-6 UNDER  after playing a home game this season with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored.UTAH is 15-5 UNDER  in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 season

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH/PORTLAND) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 206.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

The Clippers are currently in disarray, and are having problems at both ends of the court,  as is evident by 5 straight losses, and are now going to play todays games without forward Danilo Gallinari (back) and  guard Lou Williams (Hamstring). With the Clippers offence not clicking on all cylinders of late, and injuries slowing them, Im betting a more concerted defensive effort will be on tonights agenda vs a San Antonio Spurs side, that has gone under in 7 of their L/9 at home as favorites with the combined average score of 209.4 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 5-0 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 road games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams play defence first basketball, but according to my numbers the Total is off by close to 5 points on the low side as the linebackers over adjust according to public perceptions and trends. My Totals data suggests this tilt should be closer to 134 to 135. Thus giving us value according to my projections. 

Konkol in his L/18 when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days as the coach of LOUISIANA TECH has seen combined average of 146 ppg scored.LOUISIANA TECH  in their L/9 after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 140.9 ppg scored.

CHARLOTTE in their L/45 games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two love average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

This is a very high total, but for good reason, as these teams have a history of run and gun affairs with their L/9 games going over the set total with the most recent meeting seeing 256 combined points going on the board. The Warriors   are currently on a 6 game win streak and have not scored less than 119 points in any of the six victories on their winning run and are averaging 133.8 points over that stretch with the three pointers reigning down by the bucket  converting 18.6 treys per game during their current  blitz .  Im betting they come out running and gunning again, and for the Clippers to have no choice but to open up as well, in what will be another big time scoring fest. 

Warriors have gone over in 6 of their L/7 Dickson games  . Clips: 4-0 O/U in their  4th straight home game / 9-1 OVER L10 as div dogs  and have gone 6 of 7 times at home vs .600 or better opposition. LA CLIPPERS are 11-1 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 GOLDEN STATE/(LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 60-20 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

St.Louis plays a methodical conservative type of hoops especially at home , where they are  8-1 UNDER as a home favorite or pick this season with a combined average score of 129.4 ppg and  is 6-0 UNDER in home games after playing a game as favorite this season, with a combined average of just  122.8 ppg scored. When St.Louis played St.Jospehs last season both games were well below this set total with 119 and 121 points outputs and Im betting on a similar outcome here tonight. 

Note: St.Jospehs offensive  flow in transition is being tested in a big way as  injuries to Pierfrancesco Oliva and Lamarr Kimble test the team in a big way .  Defence becomes highly important if the Hawks want to be competitive here which adds credence to this being a lower scoring game between jesuit rivals. 

 Saint Louis is 17th in the NCAA in adjusted defensive efficiency at kenpom. The Billikens lead the A-10 in scoring defense, yielding 62.5 ppg.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (ST JOSEPHS) - after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 24-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 126 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

 My Totals estimates for this game are closer to 142.5 to143 this according to those projections give us value with an over wager . Arkansas State plays a much more wide open style of hoops then Texas Arlington scoring  average 75.2 ppg on offence and have allowed north of 83 ppg in 10 road games . Arlington when pushed can light up the board and had 82 points vs App State recently and Im betting they will be pushed tonight and will do significant offensive damage in a tit that Im betting eclipses this Total. 

ARKANSAS ST is 26-12 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997 with a combined average score of 144.2 ppg scored. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ARKANSAS ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more are 63-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

Chicago under their new interim head coach Jim Boylen originally wanted to implement a defence first system, but that plan looks like it has gone out the window as the Bulls are taking part in run and gun games on a consistent basis of late, with their L/5 going over the total, with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, LAL since James went down with an injury has consistently struggled to score, and are averaging 99.2 ppg in tier L/5 to the hardwood. With the Lakers desperately trying to get their offence untracked, Im betting they will be more aggressive tonight vs a side that has allowed more than 123 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood.The combination of the Bulls lack of D, and the Lakers need to up the ante on offence Im expecting a fairly high scoring affair that goes over the set total. 

NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a below average defensive team (102  or PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 30-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 225.2 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

Both these teams are methodical defence first teams, but according to my projections the number has been chiseled down by almost 5 points by the lines-makers in accordance with public perceptions . Im not betting that we wont see a physical grinding game, Im just estimating the combined score will eclipse this offer. Line value  resides with an OVER wager. 

St.Louis and their opponents in their 15 games this season have seen a combined average of 130.1 ppg scored. Fordham has seen a combined average of 131.6 ppg scored in their games this season. 

FORDHAM in their L/11 games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 127 ppg scored.

FORDHAM is 13-2 OVER  after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (SAINT LOUIS) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 140.6 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Blazers played last night in the Mile High City in a hard fought affair, and will now be on tired legs which will effect their ability to run and gun with the one of the quickest pace teams in the NBA the Sacramento Kings. This Im betting will directly effect the total combined score of this tilt here in California's State Capital tonight. Note: The Kings have gone UNDER 4 straight with a 1/0 rest situation. 

SACRAMENTO is 12-2 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored.  

PORTLAND is 43-29 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213 ppg scored.

PORTLAND in their L/46 games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/31 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO in their L/80 ages when the total is 220 to 229.5 have seen a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

These teams play fast paced hoops. Rider can score efficiently averaging 77 ppg on average but their defence is atrocious allowing 82+ ppg. Meanwhile, Niagara averages 78.3 ppg at home, while allowing 75.9 ppg in slightly elevated action. When these types of teams meet they usually feed off the others energy which Im this afternoon results in a fairly high scoring game that eclipses the total. 

NIAGARA is 10-2 OVER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combine average of 168.9 ppg scored. 

NIAGARA is 13-2 OVER  when the total is 159.5 or more  over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 176.2 ppg scored.NIAGARA is 9-0 OVER  in a home game where the total is 160 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 181. 9 ppg. 

 Home teams against the total (NIAGARA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 164.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

My projections estimate that this total should be closer 131, thus giving us value on this line. Marist has gone over in 3 straight games, and have upped their pace from earlier in the season. Today vs a methodical St.Peters team Im betting they continue to speed things up, which will force their opponent into a opening up a bit themselves. This Im betting results in a combined score that eclipses this beatable total.

MARIST is 12-3 OVER after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MARIST) - off a home loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling team (20-40%) are 30-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Bulls are exhausted as they play their 3rd road game in 4 days, and must now deal with the thin air and altitude in Salt Lake City . The Bulls have had to deal with some explosive offensive teams of late, and have gotten out of a defence first system that has been implemented since Hoiberg was fired, and today on tired legs will have to revert back to being more conservative, which I'm betting results in a fairly low scoring affair. Note: Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 1 or more consecutive unders  are 39-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

 The Houston Rockets had a huge 10 game winning streak snapped last time out vs the Milwaukee Bucks, but are still in top tier form, and hitting on all cylinders behind their star James Harden who is averaging 39.5 points per game, during a current 15-game span. Tonight I expect the Rockets to come out looking to bounce back and merciless fashion , and get revenge for a loss in their previous meeting with Cleveland  by a 117-108 on Nov. 24. There will be no mercy rule implemented by the Rockets vs a Cavs team that  ranks dead last in the league in efficiency, allowing 116.9 points per 100 possessions. The Cavs will have to muster up some offensive fireworks  of their own  vs the 26th ranked Defensive efficiency of the Rockets or be blown off the court in a game that I expect will surpass this number with ease. My projections estimate that the Rockets will score north of 116 here this evening, which  is a very good omen for our chances, as the Rockets are 18-0 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. 

The Cavaliers are 15-4 OVER on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 226.4 ppg scored.The Rockets are 26-6 OVER as a favorite with less than two days rest after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

Detroit enters this game playing horrendous defence, allowing an average of 113 ppg in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Tonight against a run and gun opponent in Sacramento Im betting their going to get torched again, and will have no choice but to offer up some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a high scoring affair that eclipses this number. 

Note: The Kings have allowed an average of 116 ppg against this season ranking them 28th in the league, and scored an average of 115 ppg ranking 5th in the league with 13 of their 21 home games going over the set total. The Kings are also 2nd in pace in the league. 

The Pistons are 16-0-2 OVER L18 as a dog off a game as a dog facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game. The Kings are 19-4 OU L/23 facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half 31-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 236.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 

The Celtics exploded for 135 points last night in a win vs the Indiana Pacers, and no I expect a reversion to the norm from a scoring output perspective , as they will be on tired legs after running gunning last night. I expect the Celtics to revert back to their usual conservative transitory system which has resulted in the 3rd best points per game defence in the league .Im also betting they stand tall, behind a fairly methodical 19th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami a defence first team with aggressive physical traits, owns the 6th best defensive  points  per game ranking behind a 22nd ranked pace and 25th ranked offense and should easily help contribute to a methodical clock burning snooze fest.  

MIAMI is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons has seen a combine average of 203.9 ppg scored.

The Heat are 0-11 UNDER L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 178.2 ppg scored with no game exceeding 195 points. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER  as a road favorite off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average score clicking in at 185.4 ppg with no game exceeding 203 points. 

Play UNDER 

After watching this get bet down from 128 Im betting we have alot of value here according to 133 total combined point projections.

FLA ATLANTIC is 7-0 OVER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored OLD DOMINION is 6-0 OVER in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.9 ppg and  is 13-3 OVER  in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 140.1 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (FLA ATLANTIC) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or less on the season, after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My own projections estimate that these teams will combined for 146+ points here tonight thus giving value on this totals line. It must be noted Nevada got steamrolled by New Mexico 85-58 last time out, and will be very ready here to get back some lost respect and with that I expect they will mercilessly come at San Jose State and just keep pouring the points down, which will result in a much faster paced higher scoring game than the lines makers expect.  

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEVADA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 24-4 OVER with a combined average of 154.3 ppg scored.

CBBRoad teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Brooklyn a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in ppg scored and pace at 22nd,    enters this game on tired legs and will be in no shape to run and gun here tonight even though they go against a Atlanta team with the fastest pace and worst ppg allowed in the league. Note: BROOKLYN in 12 games  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Because of the Nets fatigue factor Im betting this total is a on the high side and we have value with an under wager here.

The Hawks are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a road 8+ dog with no rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 185.9 ppg with the highest scoring game seeing 217 points go on the board.

The Nets are 0-8 UNDER L/8 as a 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 174 ppg with all the games seeing at least one side stay under the 99 point output plateau. 

ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Hawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Hawks last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games following a ATS win.Under is 13-6 in Hawks last 19 Wednesday games.

Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 These teams are both trending upward on a points per game chart that I am currently using. Everything points to this being a higher scoring affairs than the lines makers  are anticipating.  Yes, they are lower paced teams, but their offensive efficiency and point conversion rates are above normal.  Im projecting Brooklyn scores 105 + points while Bostons score 114 + points. BROOKLYN is 19-3 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-0 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored.

Brooklyns L/5 games has seen a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored and in division games has seem a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Boston in their L/5 games has seen a combined average  222 ppg scored and on the season allowed an average of 105+ ppg at home and in division tits have seen a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 13-4 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 20-7 OVER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. 

BROOKLYN is 18-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.8 ppg scored in those tilts.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Denver despite of slightly below average points output owns the 7th ranked offensive effecincy in the league, despite of being a slow paced squad and are capable of lighting opponents up in a hurry with shabby defences like the Hornets as is evident by a 112.3 ppg  offensive output at home. Meanwhile, the Hornets, are ranked in the bottom 15 teams in the NBA in defence, and allowing 115.1 ppg on the road this season, but ranked 9th overall in offensive output and  10th in efficiency and have scored 125 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and are 113.1 ppg on the road this season.

My projections estimate that Charlotte will put at least 106 points on the board, while Denver will score 114 points. Note: DENVER is 14-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-4 OVER  when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored.

DENVER is 27-10 OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of  227.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 20-8 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.  

 Hornets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score clicking in at 236.3 ppg. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.

NBA  Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 35-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

Cleveland enters this game ranked 28thin in scoring in the NBA behind a slow down system that ranks 29th in pace  having scored 94 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games overall and Im betting will have problems breaching that plateau again vs a  physical Jazz defence that is ranked 7th in ppg allowed and 5th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, on the flip side, Utah has averaged only 105 ppg on the road this season and rank 21st in the league in points ouptut in the league, and 22nd in offensive efficiency behind a average pace ranked 14th overall. Also previous to going over in their L/2 trips to the hardwood they had gone under 8 straight times in grinding fashion. Note: The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a road game when the line is at least 10 points lower than their last game and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score clicking in above 201 ppg, with the average combined score registering at 185.1 ppg. Bottom line : The Jazz will happily grind away on a Cavs team with very little fire power, in a game that I expect will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

The Cavaliers are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with the average combined score coming in at 198.4 ppg. The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU L/8 as a 8+ dog off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored with non of the tilts exceeding this posted total. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - a offense that scores (+102 PPG) against a sub par defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 90-46 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play under 

 Minnesota is on a 8 game OVER  streak,  and  Boston has gone over 6 straight times and the linesmakers know this, so they have bumped this number up , and have not  based this Total on the current matchup but on the streak itself, which according to my projections gives us value with an under wager on this offered total. 

Teams that have gone over in at eight or more straight games are 75-91-1 UNDER since the 2013/14 season.

NBA team (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 224-142 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Sacramento loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but Portland knowing this will not allow them to flow, and will look to slow this game down. Blazers road games have seen a combined average of 222.1 ppg scored, but have recently played much better defensively which has resulted in 4 straight unders overall. None of the 4 most recent meetings in this series dating back to last season have seen more than 218 combined points scored and Im betting on this this one staying under the total as well. 

The Trailblazers have gone under 12 straight times as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with the average combined score clicking in at 185.5 ppg with non of the 12 games seeing more than 210 ppg.

PORTLAND is 18-8 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 201.1 ppg.PORTLAND is 27-12 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/26 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over dating back to last season have seen a combined average score of 219.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

My head to head systems and performance charts are indicating a low scoring affair here this afternoon. When these teams met on Nov 7 they combined for 199 points in a 103-96 Pistons win. Im betting on a similar output here that remains on the low side of the number. 

 DETROIT is 33-16 L/49 UNDER  after allowing 120 points with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored.

Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT)  - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are124-76 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Wizards enter this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights , which Im betting translates into them playing at a slightly less elevated tempo , which will effect the total projected score to be much lower than the linesmakers expect. With the Wizards John Wall still out the  flow of the home side  will also being effected, as has been the case of late  as the Wizards have been unable to produce more than 95 points 3 straight games. I know the Hornets will come at the wounded Wizards hard, but the visitors have not been very good on the road this season going just 4-10 overall away from home, and have proven they are less than capable of controlling pace in most of their games on the road. 

The Wizards are 0-16 UNDER  off a home game when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow and it is before the All-Star break with no combined  score exceeding 219 point plateau with the average combined score clicking in at 192.6 ppg. 

Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.

WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

All my in and non conference totals selections use a long standing system, that takes into consideration , system vs system,  scoring projections . Of course injury reports can alter the totals projections as can other variables, but no stone is left unturned to make sure the estimations are used in proper contexts. . Every offensive output  option and various defensive strengths of each team are weighed in the overall process of making these investment decisions.

Play UNDER 

Indiana really gets physical against run and gun uptempo teams like the Detroit Pistons especially at home. Note:I NDIANA is 11-1 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average 199.9 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season which happened last time out with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.NDIANA is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 36-12 UNDER L/5 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams played back forth exhausting games on Christmas day and could easily feel the effects of that this Thursday in a tilt that I have pegged to stay under the set total. Houston ranks 28th in pace while Boston ranks 18th in pace and 3rd overall in defensive efficiency in the league. 

Under is 19-7 in Celtics last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 40-19-1 in Rockets last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

D'Antoni is 36-10 UNDER L/36  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Long term these two franchises have a history of playing low scoring games with 15 of the L/19 staying under the total. 

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Houston.

HOUSTON is 19-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 55-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.2 ppg.

Play the UNDER

 Both visiting Denver  Nuggets and their hosts the San Antonio Spurs  return from a five-day Christmas break for a contest at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Both are slower paced teams but both are obviously on fresh legs and Im betting they  will be energized and ready run and gun here tonight just like of it were the beginning of the season. 

Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 12-5-1 in Nuggets last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. These teams have gone over in their 2 most recent meetings last season, with a combined average of 231 ppg scored.

Note: Denver looked defensively deficient last time out ,  as they suffered a  132-111 setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Note: DENVER is 21-7 OVER  in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored and 15-5 OVER  in road games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.4 ppg going on the board.

Spurs home games have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Lakers held the Grizzlies to 88 in a 23-point win Dec. 8 in Memphis. Im betting the Lakers keep  a Memphis team that has failed to score more than 99 points in 8 straight and 10 of their L/11  to under the century mark again . Meanwhile, the Grizzlies behind the 30th ranked pace, and the 2nd best ppg allowed average to fight back in a methodical way, in effort to end a current cycle of 5 straight losses. This Im betting will see a muted combined score that remains on the low side of the total. 

Walton is 11-1 UNDER  in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more  PPG), after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight game are 47-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Dallas lost a hard fought 120-116 tilt   at Golden State Saturday night. That was the Mavericks 5th straight loss and their 4th straight game going over the total, with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored . Now in desperation mode, and still reved up after that fairly fast paced affair, Im betting this well conditioned group behind Slovenia rookie Doncic come out running and gunning. Meanwhile, Portland enters the Mavericks game coming off its most one-sided home loss in 14 years, a 120-90 beatdown at the hands  of Utah Jazz on Friday and now rank 18th in defensive efficiency. The threes were raining down on the Blazers, and Im betting in their current form , nothing will change defensively. I do however, expect a much better bounce back offensive effort and a spirited affair that goes over the set total. 

 DALLAS is 21-8 OVER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 11-2 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg. 

NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team 33-9 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

The Bucks are off exerting alot of effort in last nights start to finish win vs Boston.  They were a team on a mission from the outset as they wanted badly to break the 6 game losing streak in Boston and get some revenge for last years play off series loss. Now in a bit of emotional letdown state Im betting they wont have the same energy as last night as they are now also on tired legs. What Im betting on here is for Miami in their usual physical fashion to control the pace of this game on their own home court , as they will have no choice but  to be diligent defensively against one of the leagues most explosive teams. Miami owns the 24th ranked offense in the league and the 9th best D, and they run at a 99 pace which ranks in the bottom 3rd of the league at 20. 

MIAMI is 11-0 UNDER  off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. Those two wins were also defensive gems not allowing Houston or New Orleans to breach the 99 point plateau. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 49-15 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Suns enter this game on a 4 game win streak, thanks to a much better brand of transitional basketball and overall defensive play, allowing two of the 4 opponents to 99 or less points. Now against a  Washington side, that they are not built to  run in gun with ranking 26th in the league in offence Im betting they will continue their diligent play and try to slow this game down behind their 17th ranked overall pace. Note: PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER L/19  versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored.

WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER  vs. struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 209.1 ppg scored. 

NBARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

ORANGE BOWL CLASSIC - BB&T Center - Sunrise, FL

St.Louis is a intricate slow down team that prioritizes playing top tier defence and now going head going head to head  with a deadly accurate Florida State offence Im betting they slow down things even more this Saturday afternoon in a tilt that looks promising  to be a low scoring affair. 

SAINT LOUIS is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making  45% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 116.3 ppg scored.SAINT LOUIS is 21-9 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 128.7 ppg scored.

FLORIDA ST is 15-6 UNDER in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored.   

Play UNDER 

Fordham plays some solid defence, and James Madison ha shown a propensity to be inconsistent offensively of late, but from a system vs system standpoints, Im betting that these teams will eclipse this ultra low total based on my projections . 

JAMES MADISON is 10-1 OVER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored.JAMES MADISON is 10-2 OVER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored.

JAMES MADISON is 20-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.7 ppg going on the board.JAMES MADISON is 6-0 OVER  after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.5 ppg going on the board.JAMES MADISON is 11-2 OVER off a road loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.2 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

Purdue enters Thursday's contest with the Bobcats with a 6-5 record and will be  looking to snap a two-game losing streak, that surrounds around playing uncharacteristically soft defensive basketball .  Painters team Im betting in an effort to get back in a winning mind set will be very physical and defensive minded here vs over matched Ohio  as they prepare to go on break before taking on Big 10 conference play. 

Ohio is 7-3 after defeating Detroit Mercy 63-61 and Radford in its last two games which were defensive and physical in nature, and nothing will change here as they look to stop the flow of a superior Power 5 team.

PURDUE is 12-3 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 139.2 ppg scored. Painter is 14-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of PURDUE.

OHIO U is 10-2 UNDER  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 143.3 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

Golden State enters this game doing what they do best and that is put points up on the board in bunches, as is evident by their 3rd overall ppg output of 115.9 ppg  and 1st overall offensive efficiency.  You have to be able to score to compete with the Warriors, and they will actually force their opponent to playing a more wide open style of basketball under most circumstances. With that said, Im betting the defensive minded Jazz will be forced to ratchet up the pace here tonight and convert more consistently vs the Warriors 15th ranked D, as was the case when they lost to the Warriors in a hard fought 124-123 effort back on Oct 19 of this season here in Utah. Im bettong on a similar type  average combined offensive output in tonight Salt Lake City rematch.  

Note: My projections estimate both sides will score 109 or more points in this tilt. UTAH is 12-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-1 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. 

UTAH is 14-4 OVER after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 222.1 ppg going on the board. 

UTAH is 7-0 OVER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.3 pig scored.GOLDEN STATE in  their L/25 road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 228.7 ppg go on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 

Nebraska Omaha in their 3 true home games this season have averaged 83 ppg, and Im betting will push the action here tonight vs a Santa Barbara team, that despite of being able to play solid defence, can light it up when called upon, averaging 74.9 ppg overall. With that said, Im betting on this Toal being eclipsed. 

UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-10 OVER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 149 ppg going on the board.UC-SANTA BARBARA is 10-1 OVER in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160 ppg going on the scoreboard.UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons and  is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 2 seasons. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 6-0 OVER  as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 162.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Memphis has not breached the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games and 7 of their L/8 overall and are ranked 28th in the league in offensive output averaging 102.5 ppg behind the 30th ranked pace. The Grizzlies saving grace is their defence that is ranked 2nd in points per game allowed ( 102.1 ppg). Needless to say the Grizzlies are methodical in their approach to their games, and will be even more so, here this evening vs a explosive Golden State Warriors team, that when pushed can  out run and gun anybody in this league, but to this point in the season, have preferred a more systematic approach and rank just 11th in pace. Tonight Im betting the Grizzlies do everything in their power to make this a ugly grinding affair, and for this to result in a a lack of flow which results in a total score that remains on the low side of the offered Total. 

Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with  combined average 191.6 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Western Kentucky is averaging 87 ppg at home this season, and will force Troy into a uptempo game. Troy has averaged 75+ ppg so they can can reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their won when called upon. and scored 88 points last time out.  With that said, look for this tilt to end up on the high side of the Total. 

TROY is 7-0 OVER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 3 seasons.  with a combined average of 157 ppg scored.

HC Stansbury is 15-4 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog in all games with a combined average of 149.8 ppg scored. ( W.Kentucky upset @ Arkansas 78-77 last time out) Look for them to run and with confidence in the followup)

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 27-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Clippers have struggled to score consistently of late and have scored 99 points or less in 4 of their L/5 games. Im betting their offensive woes will continue tonight vs a Thunder team  that ranks 5th in defensive efficiency.  This will translate in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers estimate.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 203.2 pig scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg and is 54-31 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 season s with a combined average of 211.9 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

Milwaukee ranks first in the NBA in offensive output ( 118.1 ppg) and the 4th fastest pace and a  defence, that ranks 11th in the league allowing 109.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Cleveland their opponents tonight rank 30th in the league in defensive efficiency (115.8 ppg) and are susceptible to being lit up like a Christmas tree vs a explosive offensive team like the Bucks. With that said, I expect the Milwaukee to do what they do best and that is run and gun, and for the Cavaliers to do what they do best,  and that is chase the scoreboard from a negative output perspective. This Im betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect. 

MILWAUKEE is 20-9 OVER  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors wit a combined average of 227 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

The Spurs are currently up trending and have won 3 straight, and are showing increased  defensive efforts and efficiency especially In their L/2 games, holding the Suns to 86 points the Jazz to 97 points. Im betting they will continue to play a tougher brand of defense first basketball here tonight against a Clippers team that despite of playing good hoops this season, have scored 99 points or less in 3 of their L/4 outings. Considering both sides current form I expect a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/SPURS /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 40-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80%conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Slow starts on offence have been common of late as Utah in back-to-back losses to San Antonio and Oklahoma City averaged just 41.0 first-half points in the two games. Im betting the Jazz who ranked 24th on offence ( 107.2 ppg) have problems consistently putting points on the board tonight again vs a Miami side that currently playing some of their best defence of the season allowing 101.6 ppg in their L/6 overall while holding 3 of those opponents to 100 points or less. ( 5 of those 6 games failed to eclipse the total) The Heat rank 9th in the league defensive efficiency, and own the leagues 22nd ranked offence. These team played a tight 102-100 game earlier this season, and another similar style physical game looks to be tonights agenda. 

MIAMI is 13-2 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of just 193 ppg scored. Miami  in their L/23 games  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 207 ppg go on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) -   scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a close loss by 3 points or less are 75-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

We have a high total here but it's completely justified. The last time these teams played the Thunder won 122-116 at  home on Nov.5th this season, and according to the way both teams systems and players matchup another high scoring affair will be on tonights bayou agenda.This tilt  for the Pelicans against Oklahoma City will be New Orleans' eighth game in 15 days. The Pelicans have not had more than one day between games since Nov. 8- and are now on tied legs and will be in no way ready to play D, and with that said, I am betting the tThunder will light them up offensively, but thanks to a group of talented shooters averaging 49% FG at home ,  the the Birds will keep up in what will be a high scoring game according to my projections. Note: New Orleans home games have seen a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored. 

 . Note: NEW ORLEANS I in 20 games  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season have seen a combined average 241 ppg go on the board. My estimates are higher than the +105 point plateau that this trend uses, giving us alot of value with a over wager here as associated with those outputs.

Play OVER 

 Both these teams style of play  and versatility seems to change from game to game depending on their competition. Denver has held 5 teams to under 70 points in 10 games, while Wyoming has held 2 of their last 4 opponents to 66 points or less,   Im betting on both teams defences standing tall here today, as  my cross reference power rankings and system vs system analysis suggests a total combined score output of around 144.5 , thus according to those projections we have value with an under wager in this spot. 

DENVER is 60-31 UNDER  versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less  assists/game are with a combined average of 138.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 13-4 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more with a. combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DENVER/WYOMING) - in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%), in December games are 36-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

HC Popovich of the Spurs , has been trying to make sure there has been a balance in the way his team is playing at both ends of the court. He has wanted to see an uptempo attack and concerted defensive effort in transition. Its been a work in progress, but last time out against Utah the Spurs finally played a complete game , winning as underdogs and holding their opponent to just 97 points. That was the Spurs second straight win as pups. With that success, and confidence on their sides, I once again expect for a strong defensive effort here vs a Suns team that has been held under 99 points in 6 of their L/7 overall, thanks in part to top scorer Devon Booker being out.  With that said, Im betting  the combined score here does not eclipse this number.

SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog with a combined average of 178.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

UCF runs  a slow down system which is methodical in nature.UCF owns the 17th-lowest Adjusted Tempo (65.5 possessions per 40 minutes) in the nation.According  to my cross reference rankings, this total should be closer to 140 which gives us sufficient value to the under here. Note: UCF is 20-8 UNDER  versus good teams like G.Southern - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 123 ppg scored.

GA SOUTHERN is 8-0 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 131.2 ppg scored.

CF is 7-0 UNDER  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 126.5 ppg going on the score board.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCF) - slow-down team averaging 53 or less shots/game on the season, in December games are 249-162 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

 Considering both teams systems and player personnel Im betting this number is slightly bloated to the upside giving us value with an under wager. My number sits at 147.5 which is close to a 2 possession game in the difference making this viable wagering opportunity. 

PACIFIC is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game with a combined average of 133 ppg scored.

LONG BEACH ST is 17-7 UNDER (+9.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored.

LONG BEACH ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.7 ppg scored. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 173-119 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Nets pulled out a 106-105 overtime win over the Eastern Conference-leading Toronto Raptors on Friday night, and will now be on tired legs, and be less than ready to run and gun vs the NY Knicks here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks off shooting 39.6 percent shooting from the field in the loss, are a team that is struggling mightily to be consistent offensively. What was horrendous was the Knicks allowed the Celtics to shoot better than 53% in that loss, and now HC Fizdale will demanding his squad play better D, and to be more methodical with their approach. The above combinations Im betting will see this total combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER  when playing against a below .500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 206.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 28-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Indiana is a big strong athletic team that bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and are allowing just 97.5 ppg at home this season. On the season they are ranked first in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. I know the the Kings run and in gun in with reckless abandon, but Indiana has the ability to dictate the pace here especially at home. The Pacers are ranked 26th in pace  in the NBA and are methodical in their approach and nothing changes here today. 

INDIANA is 9-0 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 15-5 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.5 pig scored.INDIANA is 12-4 UNDER versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 200.7 ppg scored. 

  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 39-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

You have to be able to put points up on the board to beat Oklahoma State, no matter how good a defence you might think you have. Yes, Houston can play lock down D, but they can also run and gun  when prompted which is what Im betting they will be forced into here today.  

CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (HOUSTON/OKLAHOMA ST) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 85-42 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Both these teams can light the scoreboard up, but when quality teams like this get together, a more physical brand of basketball is not unusual. GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 UNDER L/40  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average score of  224.6 ppg scored. Also HC 

Kerr is 20-8 UNDER  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. Golden State allowed Milwaukkee to smash them 134-111 at home in their last meeting an now Im betting on them playing down lock down defence and responsible transitional basketball. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

San Antonio are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th game in 10 days and  enter this game ranked 29th in the league in  defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Lakers rank 9th in ppg in the league, averaging 113.1 ppg and 17th in ppg allowed at 111.1 ppg. When considering both sides current form, and system vs system analysis and player matchup trends, my projections estimate a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 OVER  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored. 

These teams combined to put 235 ppg on the board in LA 2 days ato in their last meeting, which was  a back and forth affair, and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. 

Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Friday games.Over is 5-0-1 in Spurs last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 8-0 in Spurs last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1-1 in Spurs last 12 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Spurs last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 18-7-1 in Spurs last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 74-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Boston has been really lighting up the scoreboard of late, scoring 124,128, 118 in their L/3 trips to the floor. Tonight I expect they will continue to roll against a less than consistent NYK defence, that ranks 27th in D efficiency and 26th in points allowed ( 114.4 ppg). What Im betting is that for the Knicks to have no choice but the chase the Celtics and try to post some explosive offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court in what Im betting will be a  fairly high scoring affair the eclipses this Total. 

My projections estimate that Boston will score within 115 to 121 points. Note: NEW YORK is 10-2 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 16-4 OVER  after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons ands 11-2 OVER  after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 28-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My own numbers make this total closer to the 144 mark, thus giving us value with a under wager. Tenn Martin has had a couple of big offensive outputs, so far this season, but Tulan has held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 68 points, and are well suited in this matchup for repeat performance which aid this total score staying under the Total.

TENN-MARTIN is 8-1 UNDER   versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Washington is on a two game win streak thanks to paying better attention to defence, and being much more careful in transition.WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta continues to struggle to score consistently, with the 30th ranked offensive efficiency despite of procuring the No 1 pace in the league  .  Im betting despite of Hawks trying to run and gun , their efficiency , thanks to missing one of their key offensive players Prince will see their flow thwarted as well as their total output.   Meanwhile, the Wizards will remain steadfast in their wish to play a better controlled brand of basketball. What Im betting on here is a lower scoring game than the hefty number might indicate. 

WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER  vs. struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 22-7 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

Hofstra has averaged 86.2 ppg game at home this season where they play an uptempo attack type of hoops. Im betting on them reaching their average again vs a poor Monmouth D, that has allowed 77 plus points per game on the road. I know Monmouth is not a very efficient scoring team, but in a wide open type affair where they should constantly b chasing the score , they should have a 60 to 65 point output which will  help breach this total to the upside if my projections are correct. 

HOFSTRA is 11-1 OVER in all home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (MONMOUTH) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or worse on the season, after 2 straight games making 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 29-10 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONMOUTH) - cold shooting team - 5 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 33-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

My own projections make this game closer to 144.5 , which according to my estimates makes this a very good value pay to the under. I know Evansville can score in bunches, but Arkansas State will be prepared to play a slower more methodical game against them here at home where they allowed 54 points in their lone home game, which I'm betting results in a lower scoring tilt here today.

ARKANSAS ST is 17-6 L/23 UNDER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average score of 147.9 ppg scored.EVANSVILLE is 9-1 UNDER  after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 123.6 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARKANSAS ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 167-109 UNDER L/22 seasons for a solid 61% long term conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Bulls take the court against the Pacers,  with associate head coach Jim Boylen  taking over as head coach after Hoiberg was tied yesterday. QUOTE "You might see a bit different style of the offensive end as we get going," Boylen told reporters at his introductory press conference Monday. "You got to put your hand print on it and make it yours. But you have to realize there's a level of shock that the players have to deal with." END QUOTE The shock that Boylen is speaking about Im betting will see the Bulls play a more methodical game plan, that will help keep this game slower paced then their used to and will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. With Indiana on 3 days rest after a west coast road trip I expect they will be fresh enough to play some strong D, something the coaching staff have been emphasizing of late. 

Chicago has gone under in 10 of their L/13 games. Indiana has gone under in 3 straight. 

CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.INDIANA is 10-1 UNDER  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board.INDIANA is 20-5 UNDER  after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 2 days rest are 51-18 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

My own projections make this total closer to 149.5 thus giving us value to the over with my projections. 

DAYTON is 6-0 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.DETROIT is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 147.3 ppg scored. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 97-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a solid 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

Washington topped New York 108-95 earlier this season at home, and Im expecting the same type of lower scoring affair once again . 

NEW YORK is 29-16 UNDER L/45  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 208.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 18-6 UNDER  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored.

 HC Fizdale is 12-2 UNDER  in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 60-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 25-4 UNDER for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NYK/ WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%)are 24-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

My own projections suggest this total should be closer to 150, thus giving us value according to my estimations with an under wager.

Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 11-2 in Spartans last 13 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 vs. Big Ten.

Play UNDER 

The Clippers come at you in waves both from the starters and the bench  averaging 117.5 points per game, fourth in the league, and have been held to fewer than 100 only once. Im betting they force the Mavericks into a fast paced game via their 9th ranked pace. It must also be noted that the Clippers defence ranks 22nd in the NBA allowing 112+ ppg and Dallas behind an offence that averages more than 115 ppg at home should be successful converting against  their soft defence regularly tonight. Everything is pointing to this being a high scoring affair.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 OVER  after a combined score of 235 points or more this season with a combined average score of 233.3 ppg scored.

NBAVteams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 56-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Connecticut has been running of gunning of late, vs lower tier teams, but still bases its success on their ability to play top tier defence. Here today against much better opposition in Arizona Im expecting a more pronounced defensive effort. Meanwhile, Arizona is now a defence first team, and have allowed only one team to score more than 73 points against them( Gonzaga) and have held 4 of their 7 opponents to not exceed the 66 points plateau. With that said, today Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side of the total.

CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.5 ppg going on the board.CONNECTICUT is 26-13 UNDER  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 142 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play UNDER 

After Butler appeared in his last game with Minnesota on Nov. 9 at Sacramento, the Wolves were allowing 117.7 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting. In the last nine games, since Butler was traded the Wolves are now allowing just  99.3 points on 41.8 percent shooting. This is now a much better defensive team, and tonight against another top tier defensive team, the Boston Celtics  ranked 2nd overall in defensive efficiency (104)  in the league and 4th in ppg allowed 103.9 Im expecting a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total .

MINNESOTA is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored.BOSTON in their L/34 games after a huge blowout win by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 187.4 ppg scored. ( Celtics smashed Cleveland 128-95 last night and will now be on tired legs)

Under is 7-1 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 12-2 in Timberwolves last 14 overall.Over is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 Saturday games.Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 home games.Under is 10-2 in Timberwolves last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 10-4 in Timberwolves last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. 

NBA team (BOSTON) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 50-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

These two teams are explosive offensively to say the least. The Raptors rank 3rd in offensive output in the league averaging 117 ppg and 2nd in offensive efficiency, behind the 11th fastest pace. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors, rank 6th in  offence averaging 116 ppg and 3rd in offensive efficiency, behind the leagues 15th ranked pace .  there outputs and pace were slowed for a while as they got used to playing with super star Curry, but now their picking up their speed and play Dubs ball. The Warriors do have some key injuries with Draymond Green and Step curry, out, but lately the team is looking more cohesive,  and playing pretty good attack orientated ball , scoring 125,117,116 in consecutive games and will have no choice but to push the ball up court quickly vs a dangerous quick strike or be blown off the court.The Raptors have lost eight consecutive meetings with the Warriors, and knowing this Im betting they will be all business and ready to really lay down beating, and like I said above, the Warriors will have to respond. This will make Im betting for a high scoring affair that goes over this offered number.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 62-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 68-28 OVER for a  71% conversion rate for bettors  L/22 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg going on the board. 

Play on OVER 

GEORGIA TECH is 14-5 OVER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 137.6 ppg scored. My own estimates project a combined score in 136 range, thus according to my numbers and GTechs combined scoring averages against top tier teams on the road  an over bet here looks like a very viable option. Yes, folks I know both teams play a solid brand of methodical hoops, but the linesmakers in my estimation after under compensated when it comes to matchup discrepancies. 

Play OVER 

I have watching this Totals number for over night action and now this morning and  Im ready to act and recommend we take an under stance. Washington stayed at home and defeated the Houston Rockets, 135-131, in overtime Monday night. At the same time New Orleans was struggling in a 124-107 home loss to the Boston Celtics. Both need to correct deficient defensive issues , and both are working hard to do so especially  the Pelicans HC Gentry, who has finally realized  running and gunning out of the gate has been a catastrophe for a team that has lost 4 straight. The Pelicans have allowed an average of 36.3 first-quarter points in the last three games. HC Gentry response is as follows: "If you do that," Gentry said, "more than likely you're going to be playing uphill for the other 36 minutes. We've got to get off to better starts so that when we do go on a run, we're creating separation and not just pulling even." END QUOTE. Look for New Orleans to be more methodical in the first quarter tonight, and start this game concentrating on playing better D in transition, which will result in a lower scoring game overall than many might expect. 

WASHINGTON is 9-1 UNDER L/10  off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-3 UNDER L/22 seasons with a combined average of 207.8 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

 Mass can score in bunches as is evident by  averaging 83.4 ppg. Quinnipiac has no where near the same offence, and they play a more conservative style of hoops. but today they will end up chasing a high powered offensive team, which will result in this artificially low total being eclisped. My estimations make this total closer to the 145 mark giving us value with a over wager in this spot. 

QUINNIPIAC is 10-1 OVER in road games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less  with a combined average of 145.5 ppg scored, which happened last time out vs Maine 58-50. 

MASSACHUSETTS is 8-0 OVER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.6 ppg scored. MASSACHUSETTS is 10-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 150.6 ppg going on the board. MASSACHUSETTS is 10-1 OVER after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 156.3 ppg scored.MASSACHUSETTS is 8-0 OVER after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

CBB  teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 117-65 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

Los Angeles will take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Its interesting that my own projections estimate that both these teams will score more than 105 points. Note:DENVER is 41-4 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.8 ppg going on the board.LA LAKERS are 43-9 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored. Im basing tonights OVER call on my own estimations. 

The Lakers have averaged 114.4 ppg on offence on the road this season, while allowing 111.4 ppg . Meanwhile, Denver has scored an average of 113.8 ppg at home. 

Play OVER 

 Georgia Southern has played some wide open games this season, but E.Tenn State knows how to deal with free flowing teams, behind a D, that has allowed 61, 63, 61 points respectively in their L/3 and have held one opponent to just 44 points of defence this season. Here on the road Im betting that E. Tenn State hunkers down and get s very physical as they look to disrupt G.Southerns offensive rhythm which in turn will keep this game on the low side of the total. 

E TENN ST is 9-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131 ppg scored. E TENN ST is 10-1 UNDER  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of. 129.4 ppg scored.

E TENN ST is 8-0 UNDER  in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 3 seasons witht a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored and  is 8-0 UNDER  n road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 season with a combined average of 128.5 scored.  

Play UNDER 

Both these teams have been playing some high scoring games, but from a matchup perspective and system vs system over view a much slower tilt must be expected in a head to head battle that promises to be physical. 

IDAHO ST is 11-0 UNDER L/11 in road games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half and is 7-0 UNDER after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (IDAHO ST) - good shooting team from last season - made 45% or more of their shot attempts, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 67-35 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Boston College and Minnesota have both played solid defence so far this season, with the Golden Eagles allowing 66 ppg game at home while the Gophers having allowed 65.3 ppg on the road. In a game between two top tier programs I expect a physical affair tonight that stays on the low side of the number. 

Play UNDER

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Play UNDER