Serie A Friday OVER 3 in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina @ 2:30 ET - Fiorentina could be distracted with the big match in Prague against West Ham United coming up in 5 days. That plus the fact Sassuolo is at home means they should score some goals here. However, Fiorentina has been scoring well of late and that continues here. With just 4 draws in 18 matches and high likelihood each club scores here, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final and, given the situation, we should see much much more. OVER 3 in Sassuolo

Rotation #202401: German Bundesliga Promotion/Relegation: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV @ 2:45 ET - Hamburger SV trying to get back to Bundesliga 1 after 5-year absence while Stuttgart trying to avoid relegation to Bundesliga 2 after 3 years in the top flight. This is the first leg of two and and I am sure the hosts will be strong here but Hamburger SV was the highest scoring team in Bundesliga 2 this season and I don't see them going away without a fight in this set of two matches with Stuttgart. Note that the visitors also were solid on the road this season and they have averaged 2 goals per match this season. The hosts are not very high-scoring but are at home here and certainly can take advantage of a Hamburger side that does allow quite a few goals particularly on the road. Additionally, the hosts are off a disappointing finish to the regular season and will want to rectify that here with a strong showing on their home pitch after a disappointing draw in their regular season finale as a host. Before that 1-1 disappointment, Stuttgart's last 8 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Also, the last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 5 goals apiece! Hamburger finished the regular season with a 1-0 win but, prior to this, their last 8 matches had averaged 5 goals apiece. OVER 3 +105 in Stuttgart

Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in CFR Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 1:30 ET - CFR Cluj let a 1-0 lead slip away in a frustrating 2-1 loss to Farul in their most recent match and it had their manager furious. That said, and you can tell by the money line of -200 and the goal line of -1, CFR Cluj is expected to respond in a big way here. While I do indeed expect a response from the hosts here in what should be a great atmosphere in Cluj, I am also expected U Craiova 1948 to put up a helluva fight in this one. This is a battle for European football with a shot at the Conference League. That said, U Craiova 1948 is going to battle here and they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals in their last 10 matches. As for CFR Cluj, they have scored 1.7 goals per match last 14 matches. After losing following a 1-0 lead against Farul, I am sure CFR Cluj is going to get a couple goals but I also see U Craiova 1948 being very tough to put away. That means strong odds on at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. As for the last 4 meetings between these clubs, 3 of 4 have totaled at least 4 goals and the 4 matches have averaged 4 goals. More of the same expected Thursday in what should be a very entertaining battle. OVER 2.5 in CFR Cluj

Rotation #224401: Europa League Final Wednesday OVER 2 goals +120 in Sevilla vs Roma in Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary @ 3 ET - Yes this is a final and yes both clubs fully capable of being strong defensively and frustrating opponents. However, Sevilla also certainly has plenty of attacking options and this could force Roma to match them. I am looking for an early goal and this match to then play out a little more wide open than most are expecting here. I like the value with the total just 2 goals and +120 available as the comeback price at that total. Roma is known for lower-scoring matches but I fully expect Sevilla to force the issue here and that will make Roma answer them if they want to have a shot in this one. Looking for a 2-1 final as a result here. Note that Roma, in their Serie A action, have seen 7 of last 8 matches total at least 2 goals and those 7 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. As for Sevilla, they consistently have totaled 2 or more goals almost without exception in their matches across all competitions. OVER 2 goals +120 in Europa League Final

Rotation #201405: Italian Serie B Tuesday OVER 2 -135 in Cagliari vs Parma @ 2:30 ET - This the first leg of a 2-match battle between these foes to earn promotion to Serie A, which is the highest level of football in Italy. It is a big deal to say the least! Both clubs have recently been in Serie A and what to get right back to it! The key here is the value of an over 2 and I see strong odds that each club scores at least once and I also do not see Parma settling for a draw here even at the possibility of being more aggressive leading to the deciding goal going the wrong way for them. Parma knows the next match is at home and I am expecting an aggressive approach from them here but note that Cagliari was one of the top home clubs in the league this season and averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match in their home matches. Also, Parma has fresh legs and are well-rested with a week and half off since their last match. So this sets up well for Parma to be particularly aggressive on the attack. Cagliari has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this stretch. Parma has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and has scored an average of 1.6 goals during this stretch! OVER 2 -135 in Cagliari

Rotation #206937: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - Sepsi already qualified for European Football next season by winning the Romaniei Cupa. They will not be too excited about this game but that opens the door for Universitatea Craiova, needing to win and hoping CFR Cluj loses, to play an aggressive style here. I expect the hosts to be on the attack early and often in this contest while Sepsi just plays along at a similar pace. Sepsi also will be playing their last match under the current manager as he has decided not to renew his contract. So this will be interesting and is likely to lead to a rather wide open affair in this one. Sepsi and Universitatea Craiova have combined for 3 or more goals in 3 of last 4 meetings and, given the situation here, this one should get to at least 3 as well. Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 10 straight Liga 1 matches! That sets this one up well for goals and Sepsi, other than a scoreless draw with Rapid, has been allowing quite a few goals. More of the same likely here and I see a relaxed Sepsi club getting on the scoresheet here but also note that the hosts are 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason in this one! OVER 2.5 in Universitatea Craiova

Rotation #200029: English Premier League OVER 2.5 -150 in Leicester vs West Ham United @ 11:30 AM ET - Yes we have to lay some heavy juice on the over 2.5 but odds certainly point to getting to at least 3 here. Leicester needs to go hard for the full 3 points in the table and, at the same time, hope for help from others in terms of avoiding relegation. As for West Ham United, they can play a loose and relaxed style here with no pressure on them and with still being over a week away from their big match against Fiorentina in their Europa Conference League Final in Prague. Leicester off a rare scoreless draw with Newcastle United. Prior to this, Leicester's 3 prior matches all totaled at least 3 goals and those averaged 5 goals. Leicester will put some pressure on West Ham here because they have no choice but to attack and be aggressive but, at the same time, do note that the Hammers have scored an average of 2 goals per match in their last 11 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 -150 in Leicester 

Rotation #200009: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Brentford still needs to win as they are in the running for a spot for European Football as they can finish in the top eight. Manchester City already won the premier league title for the season but they rested some players Wednesday that could be back here. Also, they might have some extra motivation from the fact their only home loss this season was to Brentford. So even though the Bees should be pushing hard and enjoy some scoring success here, don't be surprised if City answers them goal for goal in a match I am expecting to get to a 2-2 type final. Certainly we should see at least 3 goals here. City averaged 2 goals scored per road match this season and Brentford averaged scoring 2 goals per match at home this season. Brentford also in solid current form with wins in 4 of last 5 matches and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 4 victories. City has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brentford

Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - FCSB off the disappointment of the 3-2 loss at Farul. They also are dealing with key defensive absentees for this match. FSCB, however, certainly will still want to put up a big fight against their Bucuresti rivals in this one. That said, I am looking for plenty of scoring here as they will struggle to stop Rapid but FCSB should continue to score well and are the hosts in this city rivalry match Saturday. These teams essentially playing for pride in this one and that means we should see a wide-open match with a lot of open field on the pitch and a chance for some high-quality scoring opportunities. The last two meetings here have been 3-1 FCSB wins. 3 of the last 4 matches for FCSB have totaled at least 3 goals. 3 of the last 4 matches for Rapid have totaled at least 3 goals. They have not had a draw in any of their last 5 meetings and I also do not see either club being held off the scoreboard in this one either. That means the odds of a 1-1 final are small as neither club wants to share the spoils in this rivalry tonight and so look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 in FCSB

Rotation #200201: English League Championship Saturday OVER 2 in Coventry City vs Luton Town @ 11:45 AM ET at Wembley Stadium in London, England - We saw some 2 and 1/4 on this match and it came down to 2 which makes sense as it is a huge match with the winner going to the Premier League. It is such a massive match. However, the key with the value here is this total dropped to a 2 and this is not a normal English Championship Final to determine who gets promoted. I say it is not normal because, in their over 100 year history, Luton has never been in the Premier League. The fan in me is pulling for Luton here but this job is not about being a fan, it is about picking winners where the value is. The reality is I could see this match going either way in terms of the side but the value is on the over in my opinion. That's because, like I said above, this one is different. These clubs both so hungry for their chance and especially Luton. Coventry City will want to play their typical slow defensive style but I think Luton wants this one too much and will force the issue in terms of the tempo we will end up seeing. Just remember too that the low total means we only need 1 goal from each club and we can not lose. I am certainly looking for at least a 1-1 final here and see a 2-1 being the end result here. The last 5 meetings between these clubs have seen 4 total at least 2 goals and these 5 have averaged 2.8 goals apiece. Note that Coventry City has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and scored an average of 1.5 goals during this stretch. Luton Town has also scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and scored an average of 1.5 goals per match. OVER 2 in Coventry City

Rotation #206781: Portugal Primeira Liga Friday OVER 2.5 in Rio Ave vs Famalicao @ 2 ET - With neither club playing with pressure I look for a rather wide open affair. While it is true that neither club scores a lot of goals the situation here is a unique one and I also like the fact we are seeing this total tick up some. In other words, we are not the only ones liking the over in this match-up. The fact is Rio Ave has only 2 draws in 16 matches as a host this season and have played well at home. Famalicao has only 4 draws in 33 matches this season so you can see the odds of a draw here our slim. Why does that matter? Because the odds of a clean sheet are also slim and that means a 1-1 match should find its way to at least 2-1. Note that Rio Ave has delivered just one clean sheet last 8 matches and allowed an average of 2 goals in the other 7 matches. Note that 8 of last 9 Famalicao matches have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 8 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 to be a winner here. I am banking on it! OVER 2.5 in Rio Ave

Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2.5 +128 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - This battle relates to the battle for European Football spots and the winner of this match will take on either CFR Cluj or Universitatea Craiova next weekend. This should be a great battle Friday as FC Voluntari was the highest scoring club in the playout stages and averaged 2 goals per match. However, FC Voluntari also allowed at least 2 goals in each of last 3 road matches. That included a 3-3 draw here at U Craiova 1948 last month and that match could have had even more scoring as there were other great saves and a couple of shots off the bar too so the high score was certainly no fluke. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as  U Craiova 1948 has scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches as a host. Given all of the above, it would not surprise me to see each club again get to the 2-goal mark in this one and so expecting at least 3 goals is not a big ask considering how aggressive both these clubs have been on the attack. I do not see that changing here as this style is what led to their success in the play-out stages. OVER 2.5 +128 in U Craiova 1948

Rotation #200129: English Premier League Thursday 10* OVER 2.5 -145 in Manchester United vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - This total opened up at a 3 and has started dropping to a 2.5 and I like to fade line moves like this. Yes both clubs are off 1-0 finals last week but Manchester United has scored an average of 2 goals per match at home this season. As for Chelsea, they faced a Manchester City club that was celebrating their league championship before the match even started and simply wanted to lull everyone to sleep with one of the most boring 1-0 matches you will have ever seen. All that aside from last week, look for a much different match this time around. Manchester United still needs 1 more point in the table to lock in a top four finish. Chelsea has nothing to lose and so they can go aggressive here too in terms of trying to glean something positive as they near the finish line Sunday of what has been an abysmal campaign by Chelsea standards. Manchester United has seen their overall scoring in matches down as of late but a lot of this has been because of a dearth of home matches. Look for them to make the most of their home pitch and earn the final points in table that they need by delivering a strong effort here. This series has a recent history of unders but the odds makers had settle an opening total of a 3 for a reason. They are seeing the same things I am with regard to the situation here and, with nothing to lose, I look for Chelsea to bring a more wide open style here as they battle through injuries. Chelsea had scored an average of 2 goals per match and seen each of last 3 matches total 4 goals apiece before that lousy match with Man City. OVER 2.5 -145 in Manchester United

Rotation #201865: Spanish La Liga Thursday OVER 1.5 -160 in Mallorca vs Valencia @ 1:30 ET - I am well aware of the defensive strength that each of these clubs possess but, given the situation, this total is a bargain to get over 1.5 in the -160 price range. Mallorca is particularly tough at home but Valencia has been rolling and is in strong current form. Also, Mallorca has scored an average of 1 goal per match at home and I also don't see Valencia slowing down as their surge continues and they want to make it official that they will avoid relegation. Their position has improved but they are not 100% safe just yet. That said, note that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals. 3 of the last 4 totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Mallorca has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 2 goals and actually 5 of those 6 totaled at least 3 goals. Valencia is off a 1-0 victory over Real Madrid but this followed 9 straight matches totaling at least 2 goals. In fact, those 9 matches averaged 2.6 goals apiece! OVER 1.5 -160 in Mallorca

Rotation #201601: Coppa Italia Wednesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Fiorentina vs Inter Milan @ 3 ET - Both clubs are in strong current form. The key here is that I look for Inter Milan to dictate that this match will be played with more attacking. The last time these clubs met Fiorentina got a 1-0 win but the prior match Inter Milan won 4-3. They know what works against this club and that is to be aggressive and on the attack and they have the firepower to do that. Prior to the 1-0 match, 2 of the 3 meetings before that totaled at least 4 goals and those 2 matches averaged 5.5 goals apiece. Inter Milan has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last 10 across all competitions. Fiorentina has scored 2 goals per match in their last 25 matches across all competitions. We'll see goals here. Yes it is a battle for the Coppa Italia as it is the final but Inter Milan knows what will work and they do not want to get lulled into another 1-0 loss against Fiorentina. Both clubs have high likelihood of scoring and low odds on a draw. So that sets this up to be a 2-1 final at a minimum and so we take advantage of the low total here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Fiorentina 

Rotation #200125: English Premier League Wednesday OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Brighton wants to get at least one point in their last two matches to insure they secure a top 6 finish. Manchester City already has won the league title. However, both of these clubs of course play this weekend as well as this is their penultimate match. That said, Manchester City does have a couple of finals on deck and they rested key players in last week's snoozefest with Chelsea that was a 1-0 final and was one of the most boring matches you could watch in your life. After that ugly effort Manchester City put on in front of their home fans did at least result in a 1-0 win thanks to punch-less Chelsea who was an embarrassment in that match, I look for a much better effort here. The starters will be back out there and there is no real pressure on either club and Brighton certainly knows a thing or two about scoring big. Brighton is averaging 2 goals per match this season and Manchester City is the highest scoring club in the league with 93 goals in 36 matches. City has to keep their guys game ready with the finals coming up and I am sure they would rather play them here than on Sunday. That said, the big guns will be out for this game and Brighton has seen last 4 matches all total at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4.5 goals. City, before the snoozefest with Chelsea, had seen 13 of last 15 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 15 matches averaged 4 goals apiece and I look for this one to get there as well. OVER 3 in Manchester City

Rotation #201885: Spanish La Liga Tuesday OVER 3 in Real Valladolid vs Barcelona @ 4 ET - Real Valladolid is fighting to avoid relegation and will put up a fight here. Barcelona already won the Championship for La Liga for the season but they are off a 2-1 loss and don't want to finish out the season with a whimper and there are still two more matches to go after this. That said, Barcelona will respond here off a loss the way I see it and they should score well to keep pressure on the hosts but I am sure Real Valladolid will put up a fight. The hosts are off a 2-0 loss but 11 of 13 matches prior to that totaled at least 3 goals and those 11 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! As for Barcelona, they averaged scoring 2 goals per match on the road this season and were the top road club in the league. 4 of their last 5 matches overall have totaled at least 3 goals and they can play loose and relaxed since they already have won the title but, again, they will want to atone for that loss last week. OVER 3 in Real Valladolid

Rotation #200121: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 -135 in Newcastle United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Big total here but fully justified. Leicester still motivated to avoid relegation. Newcastle still motivated to secure a top 4 spot in the table. Newcastle has scored an average of 2 goals per match in home matches this season. Leicester has scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in road matches this season. The problem for the visitors is they can stop no one and, as for Newcastle, their defensive play has not been nearly as strong of late as it was earlier this season. Yes we need 4 goals to be a winner here but note that Newcastle should be able to attack at will here and they want to end the home portion of their schedule with a resounding win. 5 of Newcastle's last 6 matches have totaled at least 4 goals. Those 6 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. As for Leicester, they are off a shutout loss versus Liverpool but had scored at least 1 goal in 9 of 10 matches heading into that one. Of course Newcastle is a heavy favorite for a reason here and, given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 3-1 final in this one! OVER 3 -135 in Newcastle United 

Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - It took awhile but it is finally feeling like spring here in Romania and the temperatures are going up and the goal-scoring is increasing right along with the temperatures. The season is finally winding down as the play-out stages wrapped up yesterday and the play-off stages have just one more week coming up. This is the final match of this weekend's battles and all matches saw at least 2 goals scored with most of the 7 matches thus far totaling at least 3 and that is what we should see at a minimum in this one as well. These clubs are batting for the #4 position and that is a key one and should certainly see both of them pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here. That should mean at least a 2-1 final as note that Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 9 straight matches and, again, at this critical stage I just do not see either club being willing to settle for a draw here. So if each club scores in a Universitatea Craiova match for a 10th straight time also look for it NOT to end 1-1 and that means strong odds on an over here. I also like the fact that Rapid is off a scoreless draw as they will certainly be pushing hard now. 3 of their 4 matches prior to that had totaled at least 4 goals and I would not be surprised to see that again here. OVER 2.5 in Rapid

Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Farul vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This is a highly anticipated match that should feature plenty of scoring. Farul can win the league championship with a win here. However, FCSB certainly will have something to say about that and they have the firepower to get the job done on the for sure. However, it certainly is difficult to play against Farul when they are at home in Constanta. This is a great club, even when missing a few players, that is very tough to beat at home. The value here, in my opinion, is with the total. Each of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 averaged 4 goals apiece. Farul is off a 1-1 draw on the road but this followed a 7-2 home victory! FCSB is off a 1-0 win over CFR Cluj but this was preceded by their last 3 wins (in 4 prior matches) having seen them score an average of 2.3 goals apiece. With a win here they control their own destiny and have a shot at the championship. A draw does not really help them. That said, and considering the fact it is highly unlikely either team delivers a clean sheet here, I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in what should be a fantastic battle in this match-up of elite clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 in Farul

Rotation #200117 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Chelsea @ 11 AM ET - Both clubs can play loose and relaxed here. Manchester City won the title by virtue of Arsenal's pathetic performance yesterday at Nottingham Forest. This secured the title for Man City and they will hoist the trophy at the conclusion of this match Sunday. That said, one might view this as a meaningless match since they already clinched the title and since Chelsea has had a disappointing campaign languishing now in the middle of the table. However, rest assured we will see good effort from both clubs here. Chelsea has been scoring better (finally) since the manager change had more time to have an impact. Also, you know they would love to spring the upset here and put a damper on the Man City celebrations. At the same time, City does not want this day to be somewhat blemished by losing to the Blues. I expect a strong effort and plenty of push from both clubs and each club will have some other players rotating in and everyone involved here will want to put their mark on this heavyweight match. Look for the end result to be solid scoring here as Manchester City has averaged scoring 3 goals per match as a host this season. Chelsea has scored an average of 2 goals in their 3 matches this month and each one of those matches reached the 4-goal mark and this one should too. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City

Rotation #200113: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Southampton @ 9 AM ET - Since Southampton has had their relegation confirmed this should be a wide open affair. The Saints have allowed 2.5 goals per match last 10 matches and they will be on the attack here as they certainly have nothing to lose. At the same time, Brighton is looking to rebound off a disappointing heavy loss to Newcastle. They did not even generate much in that game either so they will look to be aggressive on the attack as they look to remain in contention for a Europa League action by finishing in the top six in the table. Brighton is on their way but needs to bounce back on their home pitch with a huge win. I fully expect them to do just that as the attacking nature Southampton will likely bring here is only can further open things up on the counterattack and Brighton should score at will in this one. There is a reason this match has a total of 3.5 goals as the posted number. Don't let the big number scare you. This one should be a wide-open affair and the host club will not take their foot off the gas in this one as they are angry off the Newcastle loss. That means plenty of scoring here. OVER 3.5 in Brighton & Hove

Rotation #200109 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in West Ham United vs Leeds United @ 8:30 AM ET - West Ham off that huge win over AZ Alkmaar in Europa Conference League action Thursday. That could leave them a bit flat here but yet they are at home and should score just fine here. This is particularly true as they take on a Leeds side with a knack for conceding plenty of goals. What I have seen from Leeds too however is that they are attacking much better under Allardyce and I expect at least 3 goals here as a result. 10 of last 11 Leeds matches have totaled at least 3 goals and all signs point to this one reaching at least that number as well. OVER 2.5 -130 in West Ham

Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Sepsi can play loose and relaxed here and they are on their home pitch. For visiting CFR Cluj, this match means much more in the playoff table. That said, a lot of value with the over in this one. CFR Cluj will be pushing hard to get the full 3 points in the table but Sepsi beat them 3-0 in the Romaniei Cup semi-finals and each of their other 3 meetings this season have totaled at least 3 goals. That means 4 straight meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and all sings point to a similar result here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi

Rotation #200105: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Nottingham Forest is not safe from the drop zone yet so you know they will go strong here on their home pitch. They have already been pushing hard for some time now and the result has been plenty of goals and that is what I am looking for again here as well. Each of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and the matches have averaged 4.6 goals. Arsenal knows their title hopes are slim as Manchester City has overtaken them at the top. At the same time however, they will want to respond off a disappointing 3-0 home loss to Brighton & Hove last week. I am sure Arsenal is going to bring a strong effort on the road here and, keep in mind, Nottingham Forest is known for defensive deficiencies. Arsenal is not mathematically eliminated from the top spot yet either so there are multiple reasons to expect them to push hard here and I look for them to be great on the attack. They will want to put on a clinic and get back to winning ways and show everyone what they can do after losing 3-0 to Brighton. Arsenal had averaged scoring 3 goals per match last 13 EPL matches before that ugly effort. 13 of last 15 Arsenal matches have totaled at least 3 goals and this one should as well. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest

Rotation #200089: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Bournemouth vs Manchester United @ 10 AM ET - The threat of relegation is off for Bournemouth so they will play this match with less pressure on them and they are a host. That said, don't be surprised if they score at least 1 goal here as they are loose and relaxed. All the pressure is on Manchester United as they are still going for a top 4 finish and need these points. They are the better club in this match-up and will be focused on the task at hand and the result should be plenty of scoring. Manchester United has scored at least 3 goals in each of last two meetings (and 3 of last 4) with Bournemouth. Though Man U has not been scoring as much of late entering this match, this is the perfect spot for them to break out against a leaky backline. At the same time, note that the relaxed hosts in this match are off a 2-0 loss but had average scoring 2 goals in 3 matches before that and 4 of 5 matches before the 2-0 defeat had all totaled 4 or more goals. Look for more of the same with a 3-1 type final likely in my estimation. OVER 3 in Bournemouth

Rotation #202453: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 in Freiburg vs Wolfsburg @ 2:30 ET - Freiburg is trying to shake off a disappointing stretch and I expect them to respond well here on their home pitch. However, Wolfsburg desperately needs points in the table as they look to secure a top 6 spot and I look for the visitors to be at their best here as well. The result should be at least a 2-1 final as Freiburg has only a 25% draw rate at home and Wolfsburg has only a 19% draw rate on the road this season. That said, looking for each team to score at least once and the likelihood of a draw is slim. 4 of last 6 Freiburg matches have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 totaled at least 4 goals. Wolfsburg has seen each of last 4 matches total at least 3 goals and those averaged 4.5 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 meetings between these teams totaled at least 3 goals and their last two matches have totaled a combined 11 goals. We are going to see some big scoring here. OVER 2.5 in Freiburg

Rotation #206909: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -135 in FC Arges vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - FC Arges is desperate for a win in hopes of avoiding relegation. However, they will struggle to stop the opposition in this one too as Petrolul Ploiesti will be ready to go after a 1-0 loss to Hermannstadt. Prior to that defeat, 4 of their last 5 matches had totaled at least 2 goals and there is great value on this one with the total available at 2 goals. Those 4 matches averaged 3 goals and I am looking for more of the same here. FC Arges has seen each of last 4 matches total at least 2 goals and those matches averaged 3 goals apeice. That said, and given the hunger here for 3 points in the table, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. The set-up is perfect with both clubs off disappointing losses and willing to push on the attack in this match. OVER 2 -135 in FC Arges

Rotation #235609: Europa Conference League Thursday OVER 2.5 in AZ Alkmaar vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - West Ham won the first meeting 2-1 which puts the the pressure on AZ Alkmaar here. A high-scoring club and on their home pitch, I expect AZ Alkmaar to respond but they will struggle to stop a West Ham club that has been playing so well in its non-league matches. The result will be plenty of scoring here because the hosts can not afford to sit back as they are down a goal and heading into the final of two matches that will be aggregated. At the same time, they have had some issues stopping opposition and I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 match here but certainly we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one given all the variables heading into this one. Both clubs have been so strong in Europa Conference League action and it has been goal-scoring that has led the way. Both clubs with strong attacks. OVER 2.5 in AZ Alkmaar

Rotation #200081: English Premier League Thursday OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - A lot of goals here. 9 of last 11 Newcastle matches have totaled 3 or more goals. They continue to score well but their defensive play has not been what it once was earlier this season. 9 of last 12 Brighton matches in Premier League action have totaled at least 3 goals. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals in those 12 matches and are one of the highest scoring teams in the league in road matches this season. Newcastle is averaging about 2 goals per match on the season. A 2-2 final would not surprise me in the least here but we should see at least a 2-1 finish. Goals have been plentiful for both clubs and each of them are motivated here too. That's because Newcastle still trying to lock up a top four finish and Brighton a top six finish. That said, you are sure to see a strong effort from both clubs and a result that is a complete opposite of the scoreless draw these clubs had in the reverse fixture which was way back in August. OVER 3 in Newcastle

Rotation #224209: Champions League Wednesday OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - The first match-up was a 1-1 battle but we'll see a lot more scoring in this one. City has the weapons and is a different club when they are at home. At the same time, Real Madrid is a tough match-up for them and can compete here. This will result in a high-scoring battle. Manchester City has scored an average of 3.3 goals per match as a host this season in their league action. This is a Champions League battle of course but it is at Manchester City and they will be rolling with confidence at home. Real Madrid has given this club a lot of trouble though as, prior to the 1-1 draw earlier this month they scored 3 goals in EACH of last two meetings with City. More of the same here. OVER 3 in Manchester City

Rotation #224213: Champions League Tuesday OVER 2.5 +115 in Inter Milan vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Having lost the first fixture 2-0, AC Milan is desperate for scoring here. They have had their struggles against Inter Milan in recent meetings but it is absolutely now or never here. Even dealing with some injury issues, AC Milan is still going to come out flying and will have to be aggressive on the attack because of facing the 2-goal deficit. That said, I look for a lot of scoring here as AC Milan is going to bring their best effort in that regard but Inter Milan won't hesitate to also pile up more scoring against a rival as they can kick them when they are down. Inter Milan has scored 3 goals per match last 8 matches. AC Milan has struggled recently but if there is one match to dig really deep and answer the bell, this is it and that is absolutely what I am forecasting here. The result will be the type of match that ends with at least 3 goals the way I see it. OVER 2.5 +115 in Inter Milan 

Rotation #200209: English League Championship Tuesday OVER 2.5 +115 in Luton Town vs Sunderland @ 3 ET - Surprisingly Sunderland took the first match 2-1 and the pressure is now on Luton Town on their home pitch. I look for them to respond big. Sunderland is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league in road matches this season and now in this key battle in the promotion semifinals I do not expect them to just sit back here. Sunderland must realize that a strong team like Luton Town is not going to be shutdown on their home pitch. That said, Sunderland needs to keep the pressure on and not just sit back. Note that each club has both scored and conceded in each of the last 5 meetings. I feel we again have strong odds on that happening here. Then the next key is that Luton Town simply can not afford to settle for a 1-1 draw. They will bring everything here in fighting to stay alive for promotion. Luton Town's most recent home match was a surprising scoreless draw with Hull City but, prior to this, they had gone 5-0-1 in last 6 matches on their home pitch and they averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those. More of the same expected here and I would not be surprised to see a very aggressive game from the hosts pay dividends in scoring but also open things up for a Sunderland club that has proven dangerous on the counterattack. OVER 2.5 +115 in Luton Town

Rotation #200077: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Leicester vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Leicester is fighting for their lives as they are currently in the relegation zone. Leicester is at home here and has scored decently here this season plus they enter this match on an overall run that has seen them average 1.8 goals scored in last 5 matches. The issue for Leicester is a leaky backline and they have conceded an average of 2 goals per match in their last 14 across all competitions. 11 of their last 16 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and this one should too. Liverpool has won 6 straight matches and, though the last two were just 1-0 finals, they are still averaging scoring 3 goals per match last 7 matches! Liverpool knows they can successfully attack more in this match given the poor play of Leicester defensively and I expect the Reds to be aggressive here. Remember that Liverpool is still mathematically alive for a top four finish so they will be pushing hard here. Given the way the Foxes matches have been going I am expecting plenty of scoring here as a result. OVER 3 in Leicester

Rotation #201801: Spanish La Liga Monday OVER 2.5 in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano @ 3 ET - Real Betis still has not locked up a top six finish which is what they need to be guaranteed of Europa League football next season rather than entering the Europa Conference League playoff round. That said, I took expect the hosts to push hard here but so too will Rayo Vallecano. The visitors have been in solid current form and they are still very much alive in the race for European football as they are right on the fringe. In fact, if they win this match they vault all the way up to the #7 spot in the table. However, of course Real Betis is favored with good reason. The best value here, the way I see it, is with the over. Note that Rayo Vallecano has seen their last 9 matches average 3 goals apiece and only 1 of the 9 failed to get to the 3-goal mark. Also, they have both scored and conceded in 7 of those 8 matches. On that note, in the last 5 meetings between these clubs, neither club has managed a single clean sheet! Real Betis is off a 1-0 win but this was preceded by 3 of 4 prior matches all totaling at least 4 goals. We only need 3 here to be a winner and all signs are pointing to that based on each clubs need for 3 points in the table heading into this one. No one will back down in this match. OVER 2.5 in Real Betis

Rotation #200073: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove @ 11:30 AM ET - Big match with Arsenal still alive for the top spot in the league though Manchester City is trying to pull away. Also, Brighton & Hove still is looking to secure a finish in the top eight so they insure European football for next season. So when you factor that in, despite some injuries impacting this match too, you look for plenty of push from both clubs here. That push should also translate to goals because both these clubs have been scoring well but also conceding with frequency. Arsenal is off a rare clean sheet in their 2-0 win last week but this was preceded by allowing 12 goals over their last 5 matches. Arsenal is scoring an average of 3 goals per match at home this season. Brighton is averaging scoring 2 goals per match on the road this season! Brighton enters this one off a 5-1 loss but scored 7 goals in winning their 2 matches before that and those 2 victories were on the heels of a 3-1 loss. Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same here. OVER 3 in Arsenal

Rotation #206889 Sunday OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Arges @ 11:15 AM ET - Both clubs still motivated to win and pick up 3 points in the table in the play-out stage. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as FC Arges has had only 1 draw in their 7 matches in the play-out and there will be a big push here for a victory. Of course the trouble for FC Arges is they are on the road and U Craiova 1948 is favored for a reason here. The hosts have had some lower-scoring results of late but they are tough at home where they actually have averaged scoring a solid 2 goals per match in their last 9 matches on their home pitch. FC Arges has been strong of late with only 1 loss last 4 matches and they have averaged scoring 1.5 goals during this stretch. This should be a highly competitive match with plenty of scoring. OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948

Rotation #200065: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Manchester City @ 9 AM ET - I look for Manchester City to be more strong-armed than many expect here. Yes the Champions League is important to them but they also want to win the Championship in the English Premier League of course. That said, they only have a slim lead at the top over Arsenal. Points are important to City and they are also important to the club they are visiting early Sunday. The fact is that Everton is still close to the dangers of relegation but they did show they want to do something about that. They won 5 to 1 over Brighton! Indeed goals have flowed decently of late in Everton matches and at the same time I can't see City being slowed here either. That is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we certainly could see a lot more scoring than that. Lets take advantage of the very fair number here with this total. OVER 2.5 in Everton

Rotation #206881 Saturday OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul @ 2:30 ET - Farul is looking to clinch the top spot and the league title with a win here. However, Universitatea Craiova is certainly favored for a reason. Farul is off a 7-2 win and I know they are missing a few players heading into this match but they are so strong and will still put up a fight here on the road. The thing about Farul is they have plenty of scoring punch but they have been conceding goals with plenty of regularity of late. In terms of the over here, this certainly meshes well with a Universitatea Craiova club that has both scored at least one goal and conceded at least one goal in each of its last 8 matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals and certainly at least a 2-1 final here sure seems to be in the offing. Note that the last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 matches have averaged 4.6 goals apiece. They have scored at least 1 goal in 13 of last 15 matches and have scored an average of 2 goals per match. This one should be very high-scoring given all the positive variables here, including Farul playing without pressure, which point to the over in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova

Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Chindia Targoviste @ Noon ET - Chindia desperate for the 3 points as they are so dangerously low in the table. Cluj hungry for points because their position is almost strong enough to secure no fears of relegation and that they can automatically stay in Liga 1. That said, I am looking for goals here because the only draw either club has had in their 7 matches in the play-out stage was the scoreless draw for Cluj last week. However, prior to that draw, Universitatea Cluj had seen 11 of last 13 matches total at least 2 goals. In fact, those matches totaled an average of 3 goals apiece. We have excellent value with this total available at 2 goals. Chindia has seen 16 of last 21 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 16 matches averaged 2.6 goals apiece. With both teams likely to score and neither team apt to settle for a draw here (nor have they been!), this sets up well for a 2-1 final and 3 goals total at a minimum the way I see it. OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj

Rotation #200057: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Chelsea finally got on track with a 3-1 win last week - their 2nd straight match totaling 4 goals - and I look for this to get them going finally as they look to finish a disappointing campaign in a strong way as they finally got a positive result after the managerial change some weeks back to Frank Lampard. Also, Nottingham Forest - though prone to road struggles - should come up big here as they ride a wave of emotion after a key win last week as they look to avoid relegation. They have won 2 of last 3. Also, each of last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4.8 goals per match. More of the same expected here. OVER 2.5 in Chelsea

Rotation #200053 Saturday OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Southampton is fighting to avoid relegation but they are at the very bottom of the table after last week's 4-3 loss. That was the 3rd time in 4 matches that a Southampton match has totaled at least 4 goals and I expect more of the same here. Certainly they are desperate to get the full 3 points here and stay alive but they allow too many goals and this will continue to be an issue here. Fulham is off a 5-3 win last week plus they get Mitrovic back from his suspension which had him miss 8 matches. That said, Fulham's attack gets a key boost here and they can take advantage of a Saints club which has allowed an average of approximately 2 goals per match this season. Fulham does allow an average of 1.5 goals per match and Southampton is averaging scoring 1 goal per match on the season. So the home club should get on the board here but the Saints have allowed 2.5 goals per match last 9 matches and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here in what should be an entertaining affair with Mitrovic leading the attack again for Fulham in this one. OVER 2.5 in Southampton

Rotation #202417: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 in FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin @ 2:30 ET - Hertha Berlin is currently in last place in the table but they defeated FC Koln 2-0 in the prior meeting earlier this season. That said, this is a payback spot for the hosts and FC Koln did win each of the two prior meetings by a 3-1 final each time. A similarly high-scoring match here getting to 4 goals would not surprise me either. That said, this one could come in surprising fashion though. FC Koln has been in solid current form but Hertha Berlin is desperate for points in the table as they hope to avoid relegation. They will have to score plenty to compete here though because the visitors have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per match in their road matches this season. As for FC Koln, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match on the season. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Hertha Berlin has some momentum courtesy of a 2-1 win in most recent match and their last 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. FC Koln has one shutout loss in last 5 matches but scored an average of 2.2 goals in the other 4 matches. OVER 2.5 in FC Koln

Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - Rapid is off a an embarrassing loss at Farul and will be ready to respond here after the 7-2 loss. While I do expect them to respond on their home pitch, I also expect Sepsi to put up a good fight. Sepsi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals scored in those matches. However, of course Rapid is favored for a reason here and that is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Rapid has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 4 matches and that is since a 2-0 loss to Sepsi. They will seek revenge for that defeat here but also Rapid has allowed 2 or more goals in 5 of last 8 matches! Per the above, you can see why plenty of scoring is to be expected in this one and why this total sits at 2.5 goals rather than the more common 2 in this match. OVER 2.5 in Rapid

Rotation #235605: Europa Conference League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs AZ Alkmaar @ 3 ET - AZ Alkmaar plays in the Dutch Eredivisie league and of course West Ham United is in the English Premier League. AZ Alkmaar has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their league games this season. They also enter this match off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by scoring 8 goals in 3 matches across all competitions. West Ham has been much stronger outside of league play plus they have the home pitch edge here. Note that West Ham has averaged 2.2 goals per match in their last 17 matches outside of league action. They have been great in these other tourneys and are playing with a lot of confidence and are favored heavily here for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as both teams have the scoring trends to support some scoring here but I also expect the Hammers to be particularly dangerous at home in this one. OVER 2.5 in West Ham United

Rotation #224205: Champions League Wednesday OVER 2 in AC Milan vs Inter Milan @ 3 ET - Defensive grinder is the expectation here so I am not surprised we are seeing a 2 on this one. The fact is that this is a great value for the over because reports I am reading suggest we are going to see more attacking than others are expecting here. Look for a bit of an aggressive style in this match-up. Note that prior to the 1-0 Inter Milan win in February, the last 3 match-ups between these clubs all totaled 3 or more goals. Note that AC Milan has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches. Each of their last 6 matches have totaled 2 goals. AC Milan has scored an average of 1.5 goals in their last 4 matches as a host. Inter Milan is what really helps push this toward an over. They have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 6 matches! That is not the average total for those matches, that is just what Inter Milan has averaged. Those 6 matches have averaged about 4 goals and Inter Milan had a 3-3 draw in most recent Champions League action. Look for Inter Milan to push the attack in this one and force AC Milan to respond. This is going to result in more scoring here than many were expecting. OVER 2 in AC Milan

Rotation #224201: Champions League OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Real Madrid is without a key defender as Eder Militao will miss here due to suspension. Manchester City is without a key defender here as Nathan Ake suffered an injury and did not even travel for this match. That said, these are two very strong clubs that are dangerous on the attack and I feel very confident about this one getting to at least 3 goals. Note that Real Madrid has allowed 2.2 goals in the last 4 matches but scored 2.5 goals per match in the last 11 matches! Manchester City is well-known as a juggernaut on offense this season but also note they have conceded in 3 of last 4 matches. City will be aggressive here but Real Madrid has the weapons and the speed to make that dangerous for City on the counter-attack. That said, I am looking for plenty of goals here and note that each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. I would not be surprised to see 4 here and certainly feel good about getting to at least 3 with nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid

Rotation #206861 Monday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 2 ET - Raining in Bucharest today but I still like the over here and expect conditions to be okay with the FCSB field. FSCB is chasing Farul at the top of the play-off table and they just watched Farul put on a 7-2 thrashing of Rapid. I look for FCSB to be particularly relentless on their home pitch tonight as they look to replicate that performance. I am not saying they will do that but I do expect them to be aggressive at home here. Sepsi is at the bottom of the play-off table and playing quite loose as a result. Even though Sepsi has scored in 7 straight matches, they have also conceded in 5 of last 6. In those 7 matches, however, Sepsi has scored a solid 1.4 goals per match. Sepsi, however, in the 5 matches in which they conceded have allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match. FCSB is looking for a breakout type effort here and that is the type of match I am expecting with plenty of scoring. FCSB has seen 8 of last 14 matches total at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged about 8 goals. Their most recent home match was a 2-1 win over Farul and they are happy to be at home for just the 2nd time since mid-March. They will make the most of it and I sense and offensive explosion here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB

Rotation #200033: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Brighton vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - Brighton needs points in the table as they have a tough closing schedule to the season. That said, they will want to leave no doubt here and will be relentless on the attack. Remember, before last week's 1-0 win over Man U, Brighton had scored 6 goals in a huge home win over Wolverhampton. This is a dangerous club that is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season and now they take on a relegation threatened Everton club. Certainly Everton is going to bring an intense effort as a result but they can not stop anyone. Everton has had 3 of last 4 matches total at least 4 goals. Also, the the last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 5 goals. A similar result here would not surprise me in the least. OVER 3 in Brighton

Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 goals -140 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2 ET - The value of an over 2 is a big one here. Yes we lay a little extra juice for that but consider the facts entering this key match in the play-off stage of the season. Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Also, each of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Additionally, CFR Cluj is off a high-scoring 3-1 road loss. Prior to this, in looking at CFR Cluj matches in Liga 1 action, they have seen straight matches as a host total at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged totaling 3.3 goals apiece. OVER 2 goals -140 in CFR Cluj 

Rotation #200025: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Manchester United @ 2 ET - Both clubs off negative results and this should bring out the best in each of them here as this is a key match for each. Man U is trying to retain a top four spot in the league while West Ham is trying to avoid the relegation zone which they have now been slipping toward. Man U is allowing about 2 goals per match on the road this season while West Ham is conceding about 1.5 goals per match on this season. I like the fact both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and both clubs also likely to score given those numbers above. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final as West Ham also gets a boost with the return of some players who had been ill and missed the match with Man City. Also, it looks like Man U will get a boost with the return of teen phenom Alejandro Garnacho. Man U won the last meeting between these clubs 3 to 1. West Ham has seen each of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and these have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. More of the same here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United 

Rotation #200021: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle is scoring an average of 2 goals per match at home this season. Arsenal is scoring an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. A 2-2 final actually would not surprise in the least here. Both clubs have not been the defensive forces they were earlier this season. Arsenal did get their attack going on offense again in the 3-1 win over Chelsea. As for Newcastle, they have continued to roll and can take advantage of an Arsenal backline that has been impacted by injuries as the season has gone on. The fact remains though, the Newcastle backline has not been what it once was either. Look for a wide open affair with goals here as both clubs are confident right now in their attacks. Both clubs have been consistently scoring and conceding for many weeks now. Newcastle's last 9 matches have averaged 4 goals and only 1 totaled less than 3 goals. Arsenal, similarly, has seen last 15 matches average 4 goals and only 2 of the 15 totaled less than 3 goals. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United

Rotation #206845: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 in Farul vs Rapid @ 2:30 ET - Farul is a big money line favorite here and favored by -1 on the goal line. Taking this info and Farul's long-term domination as a host, I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here. Rapid should make the net ripple at least once as they have averaged scoring 1.5 goals last 26 matches. Farul has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match in their last 15 matches. One could argue, based on the above, that this should get to 4 goals so certainly expecting 3 is not asking too much. This should be an entertaining affair with a lot of scoring opportunities for each club. OVER 2.5 in Farul

Rotation #200017: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 in Liverpool vs Brentford @ 12:30 ET - Liverpool off a tight 1-0 win versus Fulham last week but low-scoring matches have been the exception rather than the norm for the Reds of late overall and all season long as a host. Overall, Liverpool's last 5 matches before that one had averaged 5 goals apiece. Also, the Reds had averaged scoring 3 goals per match last 7 at home heading into that one. Brentford has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match last 14 matches. Liverpool huge favorite here for a reason of course and yet you can see why the Bees can be expected to make the net ripple as well in this one. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one! OVER 3 in Liverpool

Rotation #200013: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - This one will get ugly for Leeds but of course that is why City is favored by 2 to 2.5 goals on the goal line. I feel the best way to play this one is the over. Leeds might get a bit of a new manager bounce after the change at the top and Allardyce being brought in. However, the 68-year old manager did himself no favors whatsoever in comparing himself in the exact same category as managers like Klopp, Arteta and Guardiola! Now he faces Guardiola and the best team in the league. You don't think Guardiola is aware of the comments? You don't think he will put a whipping on the manager that thinks he is just as good as he is when he has no business making such a comment? Even at the risk of allowing some goals, City (who is so strong at home by the way) is going to be aggressive on the attack in this match. They will be relentless and I expect plenty of scoring as a result! OVER 3.5 in Manchester City

Rotation #202581: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 -135 in Mainz vs Schalke @ 2:30 ET - Mainz is off a frustrating 3-0 loss and I am sure they are going to be relentless on the attack here at home as a result. However, Schalke is trying to avoid relegation. They need all the points they can get. They can not just sit back and hope for a win. They need goals. Schalke has struggled to score goals on the road all season long and I am well aware of that. However, the key here is the desperate situation and the fact that Schalke has some momentum from scoring 7 goals in last 3 matches and picking up a couple of home wins. As for Mainz, they are still alive for a top 6 spot despite last week's disappointment and, prior to that loss, had averaged scoring 2.2 goals last 4 matches. Also, in matches on their home pitch, Mainz has averaged 2.3 goals scored in last 6 matches. Schalke has allowed a ton of scoring all season long and they are in trouble here but must put up a fight. We should see the visitors make the net ripple at least once but Mainz could also get this total all by themselves given the situation. OVER 2.5 -135 in Mainz

Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -115 in Chindia Targoviste vs Petrolul 52 @ 1:30 ET - Chindia has no draws in the 6 matches in the play-out stage and Petrolul has just one draw in their 6 matches and a solid 4-1-1 record that has them tied for 1st in the play-out standings. Chindia is battling to stay safe from relegation. Petrolul played home matches in this venue too so, even though Chindia is the host here, it still feels like home for the visitors too. The point about the lack of draws above is that if we expect each club to score and we know odds have been just 1 out of 12 for a draw for these clubs combined in the play-out stage, you have strong odds on at least a 2-1 final here. We get extra value too because this total is posted at a 2 in the markets. Strong play for me here as a result. Chindia has scored at least 1 goals in 6 of last 7 matches as a host and has averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 6 matches. Chindia has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. The two matches between these clubs this season each totaled at least 3 goals and those 2 averaged 4 goals. Petrolul has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and averaged scoring 1.3 goals in those 6 matches. More of the same here as we get yet another over between these two nearby foes. OVER 2 -115 in Chindia Targoviste

Rotation #200177: English Premier League Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - These clubs just played out to a scoreless draw in the English FA Cup which was decided on penalty kicks. Even off that 0-0 match this total is still posted at 3 goals. Why do you think that is? Indeed you can expect plenty of scoring here as 3 of their last 4 meetings before that totaled at 3 goals. Also, Brighton enters this one off a 6-0 win and their last 6 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and only one totaled less than 3 goals. Manchester United has averaged 1.6 goals scored per match last 5 matches in league action. On the season they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their road matches and Brighton has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their matches as a host in league action. So consider all that and then consider that Brighton is the favorite in this one. It is set up to be at least a 2-1 final the way I see it but I am expecting at least 4 goals as both clubs pushing very hard here given the current situation in the table. They want those full 3 points and so often you see much different results when clubs just meet after a recent match. So after that 0-0 battle watch this one go crazy. OVER 3 -120 in Brighton & Hove

Rotation #200281: English League Championship Thursday OVER 2 -135 in Huddersfield Town vs Sheffield United @ 2:45 ET - Huddersfield Town has scored an average of 1.6 goals last 5 matches. They need at least a draw here to lock up being safe from the relegation zone. This is a rivalry match however. Sheffield United, though already having locked up promotion to Premier League, has been playing very well and will be playing loose here with no pressure. I expect goals here as these are nearby rivals and Sheffield has been going strong and has averaged scoring 2.8 goals in last 4 matches in league action. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here but the fact that the hosts would benefit from a draw means the value of an over 2 is a good one since 1-1, in theory, is a possibility. However, based on how the visitors can play wide open here and force the hosts to score, I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. OVER 2 in Huddersfield Town

Rotation #200169 Wednesday OVER 3.5 +115 in Liverpool vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Liverpool, based on the goal-line for this match is expected to win this one by at least a 2-goal margin. Fulham, based on Liverpool's recent trending certainly should be expected to allow at least 1 goal. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final when I look at this match. The Reds have scored 43 times in 16 home matches this season and only Arsenal and Manchester City have scored more as a host. That is pretty good company as those are the #1 and #2 clubs in the league this season. Liverpool had one scoreless draw versus Chelsea in the last 7 matches but their other 6 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Fulham played out to a 2-2 draw the last time these clubs played. Fulham has scored 19 goals in last 14 matches so they can score here. They just will not be able to score a surging Reds club that won 4-3 last week. Another wild one likely here. OVER 3.5 +115 in Liverpool

Rotation #200173 Wednesday OVER 3 -135 or 3.5 +125 in Manchester City vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - There is even some over 3 available at this one at higher juice. I would recommend over 3 as the top choice and then over 3.5 as a great second option since it has a big plus money. Manchester City actually off a lower-scoring match by their standards as they won only 2-1 last week. Look for them to make up for that here with goals aplenty on their home pitch. Remember they are averaging 3.4 goals per match this season when a host. As for West Ham, they do score an average of 1 goal per match on the road and City has not shown a penchant for clean sheets of late so look for the visitors to make the net ripple here. I am forecasting a 3-1 type match though we could see much more. Manchester City has actually averaged 4.3 goals scored in their last 7 as a host. West Ham has hit a high-scoring trend too with last 5 matches across all competitions totaling an average of 4.6 goals apiece. City also well aware that Arsenal jumped them in the table yesterday. Even if City lost this they still have a game in hand over Arsenal but they should leave no doubt at home here and will push for plenty of scoring to put this one away early. OVER 3 -135 or OVER 3.5 +125 in Manchester City

Rotation #200165: English Premier League Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - I am well aware of Chelsea's goal-scoring troubles but you know they would love nothing more than to play the role of spoiler here against Arsenal. Also, this Arsenal club has not exactly been water-tight at the back right now. That is evidenced by the fact they have both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches. Arsenal's last 9 matches in league action have all totaled 3 or more goals. The last 6 matches have all totaled at least 4 goals. Chelsea has allowed at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and so Arsenal should have a big day as they look to bounce back off a rough 4-1 loss to Manchester City. However, Arsenal has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 4 games and has given up at least one goal in 7 straight matches. Chelsea will get on the board here finally as they are desperate and will be aggressive but there is no denying Arsenal in this one. OVER 2.5 in Arsenal

Rotation #206829: Romania Liga 1 Tuesday OVER 2 in UTA vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - UTA is hosting a Hermannstadt club that scored 2 goals in its last visit here. Hermannstadt won that match 2-1 and also has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches. UTA is off a 1-0 loss to Universitatea Cluj in Cupa Romaniei action last week but in the playout league action they also have struggled. UTA has allowed 5 goals in last 3 matches but they are the favorite in this match-up with Hermannstadt for a reason. Though they were shutout at home in most recent match in Arad, UTA average scoring 1.5 goals in 8 home matches prior to that. They will respond here at home but Hermannstadt has been scoring plenty of late and could again put up a 2 spot here just as they did in their last visit. That said, there is great value with this total posted at just 2 goals in this one. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here per the above. OVER 2 in UTA

Rotation #200161: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Everton @ 3 ET - Leicester has gone 18 straight matches in league action without a clean sheet. That said, odds favor that Everton will score at least 1 goal here. Also, Leicester is favored here at home for a reason. In other words, 2-1 final at a minimum the way I see it and an upset would not completely shock me. I know Everton has been so bad and they particularly struggle to score goals on the road but there is no hiding Leicester's track record for struggling to stop the opposition. At the same time, this is a key battle to avoid relegation so each club is pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. As noted above, good reasoning (18 in a row) for expecting Everton to score here but also Leicester should deliver a huge performance on their home pitch. Leicester has 44 goals scored on the season and no club in the bottom half of the table has more than that! These guys will produce against an Everton club that is allowing 2 goals per match its last 22 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 in Leicester

Rotation #206825: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2 goals -140 in Rapid vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - CFR Cluj just lost 3-0 in Cup action earlier this week. They are an angry bunch as they also lost their most recent match in Liga 1 action and did not score. This is rare for them and I am sure CFR Cluj will bounce back big here. The problem is they are at Rapid for this one in playoff action and you know the hosts are going to be tough to beat. I am looking for each club to score at least once and do not foresee either club being satisfied with a share of the spoils based on recent results. That said, the 2-1 final at a minimum is the expectation here but I will grab the over 2 goals with some heavy juice on the over just in case we have to settle for a push. Note that both meetings this season and 3 of the last 4 overall have totaled at least 3 goals when these clubs square off. Rapid enters this one off a 1-0 win but they had allowed 2 goals per match in the 5 matches before that. CFR Cluj, including that 3-0 loss to Sepsi, have allowed 1.4 goals per match in last 10 matches across all competitions. Both Rapid and CFR Cluj are very strong clubs in terms of offensive production but, as you can see, both allowing plenty of goals of late too. OVER 2 goals -140 in Rapid

Rotation #200277: English League Championship Monday OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Blackburn vs Luton @ 12:30 ET - I like the fact we get the over 2.5 here with no juice on the over. Luton has been red hot and is effectively now locked into the playoff seeding they needed as they will have home playoff match now but also can't catch the #2 spot for an automatic promotion. So we could see Luton make some personnel changes for this one. That does two things. One is these guys will be hungry to show what they can to plus extend a long unbeaten streak for this club. The other is that these personnel changes can lead to some miscues on the field that can lead to counterattack opportunities for the opposition. That opposition today is a Blackburn club that is hosting and desperately in need of a win. So the Rovers are going to bring it on their home pitch today I am sure. Blackburn lost 1-0 last week but that was against Burnley club that is the best club in the league. Prior to this, Blackburn had scored an average of 1.3 goals per match in their last dozen across all competitions. However, Blackburn has also allowed 1.5 goals per match in their last 10 matches across all competitions. Blackburn is a strong home club with only 3 draws in 22 matches as a host this season. That said, with needing 3 points badly and a low draw rate on their home pitch and high likelihood each club scores at least once here, you can see why I am expecting nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one! OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Blackburn

Rotation #200157: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham showing renewed spirit as they rallied from 2 goals down under Ryan White and that was against another heavyweight, Manchester United. Now they take on a tough Liverpool club that also has been showing plenty of life of last. Also, Liverpool has been so tough at home this season. They score goals like crazy here but also Tottenham is sure to not go down without a fight. Tottenham just can not beat these guys and Liverpool has scored an average of 2 goals per match in the last 5 meetings. There has not been a clean sheet in any of those 5 matches for either club and, keep in mind, Tottenham still without Hugo Lloris in goal. Tottenham's last 4 matches have all totaled 3 or more goals and their last 3 matches have all totaled 4 or more goals. Liverpool's last 4 matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and the first three in that stretch all totaled at least 4 goals. This should be a very entertaining wide open match given the current situation for each club as well as the history in their match-ups. Liverpool again scores well on these guys but Tottenham, very hungry, is sure to answer. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool

Rotation #200141: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in Manchester United vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - With Emery patrolling the sidelines, Aston Villa has scored at least 1 goal in 20 straight premier league matches. This is a streak since he took over the reins so it is quite impressive to say the least. You can see why one can feel confident in Aston Villa making the net ripple given numbers like that. The other key here is that Manchester United is, of course, favored for a reason. That said, this one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final. I am expecting 4 or more here as each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have topped the 4-goal mark! The most recent meeting totaled 6 goals. 10* OVER 3 +110 in Manchester United

Rotation #206813: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi vs Farul @ 2:45 ET - Farul off a 1-0 victory last week but that was preceded by 4 of 5 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Farul has scored 1.7 goals per match last 6 matches. Sepsi needs to respond on their home pitch after a tough run in the play-off. They are off a 3-0 win Wednesday over CFR Cluj in the Cupa României so they certainly bring some momentum into this match. 12 of last 16 Sepsi matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals as they also beat CS Mioveni 4-1 in their first match-up in the Cupa României earlier in April. Sepsi has scored 1.7 goals per match last 15 matches across all competitions. You can see why this total is posted at higher than 2 but also why there is solid value with this total in terms of the over and expecting at least 3 goals given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi

Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - Petrolul Ploiesti has revenge for a 5-0 loss to FC Botosani when these clubs met in February. The prior match this season also topped the 2-goal mark as it was a 2-1 win for Petrolul Ploiesti. I look for the hosts to be relentless here in the revenge role and we have fantastic value with this total at 2 goals. I know that FC Botosani is off a scoreless draw last week but they had scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches prior to that. Considering that plus the revenge of Petrolul Ploiesti, you have a nice situation for goals here. There have only been 2 times this entire season, and these were many months ago, that FC Botosani was shutout in B2B games. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches and averaged 1.3 goals per match in those 7 matches. OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti

Rotation #200137: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - I know that Nottingham Forest has been so bad on the road this season but they can rally off last week's 3-1 win over Brighton & Hove and should score on the road now this week even though that is rare for them. The issue for Nottingham Forest is that they generally can not stop clubs and this has particularly been true on the road where they have been dreadful in that regard. That said, Brentford should have a huge performance here and the Bees are averaging 2 goals scored per match when on their home pitch this season. Building off the momentum of a 2-0 win over Chelsea, even though that victory was ugly, Brentford can now take advantage of a porous back line and score plenty in this one. The key is a rejuvenated Nottingham Forest desperate to avoid relegation as they are likely to find the back of the net once in this once but the hosts a big favorite for a reason. OVER 2.5 in Brentford

Rotation #200233: English League Championship Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Blackpool vs Millwall @ 3 ET - I do play a high percentage of overs rather than sides or unders in football. However, it is only when the situation is right and this is another one of those situations that is a good one. Blackpool is relegation-threatened and, arguably relegation-likely. However they got a key win last week and do still have life and will push hard for the full 3 points in the table here. At the same time, Millwall is trying to earn a playoff position but has hurt themselves with consecutive losses. That means they are also pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. When you consider those factors plus the fact each club is likely to score at least a goal, you have likelihood of a 2-1 final at a minimum here. Blackpool has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. However, prior to last week's 1-0 win, Blackpool had conceded an average of 2.5 goals last 6 matches. The hosts have scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 home matches. Millwall has seen 3 of last 4 meetings with them total at least 3 goals. These clubs combine for a 25% draw rate so, based on odds alone, 75% chance this match will not end in a draw. Millwall has had a tough April but did score a goal in their most recent match and also scored 2 goals in their most recent victory which preceded the B2B losses. They are fired up and know it is do or die time and they will take advantage of facing a club near the very bottom of the table. But the hosts will put up a fight here. Look for a 2-1 type match as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Blackpool

Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in U Craiova 1948 vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1:30 ET - The value of an over 2 here well worth the -135 price in a match that is going to see U Craiova 1948 come out strong after a scoreless draw last week. Prior to that one, 4 of their last 5 matches had totaled at least 3 goals. In those 4 matches U Craiova 1948 scored an average of 2.2 goals but allowed an average of 2 goals. I know the recent history of matches between these two clubs is one of a low-scoring nature but the current situation and current form suggests we will see quite a different result here! Note that Chindia Targoviste comes into this one with some momentum. They have won 2 of last 4 matches and are off a 2-1 victory and two of their last three matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Considering that plus the recent high-scoring ways of U Craiova 1948, I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. The visitors have not had a draw in any of their last 5 matches and both clubs going strong for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in U Craiova 1948

Rotation #200125: English Premier League Thursday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - With the managerial change after the embarrassing 6-1 loss, Tottenham is sure to respond here. However, they lost their current top goalie and now go back to the guy that had been demoted to the #2 goalie spot. So, instead of the injured Lloris it will be Forster in between the sticks for the hosts in this one. It will be a challenge as Manchester United, even without the injured Fernandes, has plenty of scoring threat and they are fired up for some big scoring here after the scoreless draw versus Brighton. That one actually featured solid chances and I know Man U is going to bring it here as they have not scored a goal in last two matches. The thing is, Tottenham will have extra aggression on the attack here too as they respond to the ugly loss and subsequent managerial change. What I like about this total being at a 2.5 or 3 in most spots, is the fact that Tottenham has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches. Not only that, there has not been a draw in an EPL match at this stadium since 2021. So the point is, we can fully expect at least a 2-1 final in this one the way I see it. But truly I am expecting at least 4 goals as both clubs bring their A game on the Attack in this one! The last meeting between these clubs was a 2-0 Man U win but this followed 4 matches that all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged nearly 5 goals per match! We'll see plenty of scoring in this one is my strong prediction here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham

Rotation #200229: English League Championship Thursday OVER 2 in Rotherham United vs Cardiff City @ 3 ET - Excellent line value with this total at a 2 even with juice in the -135 range. Both clubs should score at least once and that would mean nothing less than a push and a 1-1 final. However, considering both clubs proximity to the relegation zone, they also are pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and all signs point to at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. Note that Rotherham has allowed at least 1 goal (and average of 1.6 goals conceded) in last 7 matches on their home pitch. Rotherham also has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 on home pitch and averaged scoring 2.2 goals in those 5 matches. Cardiff has both scored and conceded in 5 of their 6 matches this month. Those 5 matches averaged totaling 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 to be a winner here. Also, Ryan Allsop has an abductor injury and is expected to miss the rest of the season. He is the starting goalie for Cardiff so that means little used #2 Jak Alnwick (struggling in 2023) will get the start here. OVER 2 in Rotherham

Rotation #200117: English Premier League Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 2:45 ET - If I could write the script for this I would say Everton scores an early goal and then Newcastle immediately responds to tie and then eventually wins the match 2-1. That is the type of match I am expecting here. Newcastle is off that 6-1 thrashing of Tottenham so I could see them coming out flat here and Everton - finally getting some key players back - takes advantage and gets an early marker. The issue for Everton is that they will have then poked the bear so to speak and this Newcastle club has it sights set on a top four finish in the Premier League. They are in excellent current form and there solid goal-scoring run should continue here. However, in support of my script for this one, do note that Newcastle has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight road matches. Overall, 4 straight Newcastle matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these 4 matches have averaged nearly 5 goals per match! Everton is off a shocking scoreless draw but this was preceded by a 7-match stretch that averaged 3 goals apiece. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Everton

Rotation #200221: English League Championship Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Sheffield United vs West Bromwich Albion @ 3 ET - Sheffield can clinch automatic promotion with a win. For West Bromwich, this match is ultra important due to playoff reasons. That said, both clubs going strong here for the full 3 points in the table and I expect at least a 2-1 match here at a minimum. West Bromwich is averaging 1.24 goals per match on the road this season. Sheffield is averaging 2 goals match at home this season. In terms of recent form, Sheffield has won each of last 4 as a host and is averaging 2.2 goals per match during that 4-0 run. West Bromwich has scored 2 goals in each of last 2 road matches and has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight road matches. Overall, 4 of last 5 West Bromwich matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this one to reach that mark as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Sheffield United

Rotation #200105: English Premier League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Liverpool @ 2:45 ET - West Ham has scored 10 goals last 3 matches across all competitions. West Ham also has averaged 2.2 goals last 9 matches across all competitions as a host. Their last two matches with Liverpool have both been 1-0 wins for the Reds but this one sure looks different. Note also that the 3 meetings prior to those 2 all totaled 3 or more goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. As for the key to why this one will be more like the former 3 rather than the latter 2 , both of these clubs enter this one having scored goals like crazy of late. Liverpool has scored 11 goals last 3 matches. However, Liverpool also has allowed 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches. Looking at just EPL matches, Liverpool has scored 2.3 goals per match last 9 matches! Given all of the above, I would not be surprised to see each of these clubs get to the 2 goal mark in this one. 2-2 draw or a 3-2 final and, in my mind, at the very least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United

Rotation #200225: English League Championship Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Blackburn vs Burnley @ 3 ET - Burnley wants to clinch the title finally after a rare 3-match winless streak and what better place to do that than at rival Blackburn. However, you know the hosts will do all they can to prevent that from happening. I expect all this to translate to goals because Blackburn will put up a fight on their home pitch but they have conceded 14 times in last 9 matches. Burnley has conceded 10 goals in last 5 matches away from home across all competitions. Blackburn has given up late equalizers in each of their last two matches and Burnley also frustrated with not getting winning results of late. This will lead to extra goal-scoring push in this one the way I see it. A strong attack from both clubs likely in an entertaining affair that should get to at least 2-1 the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Blackburn

Rotation #200085 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - These are two of the worst clubs in the league in terms of goals allowed but both have been scoring decently of late as well. These two clubs are down near the bottom of the table so both are pushing for the full 3 points here and I don't foresee a draw as a result. Look for at least a 2-1 final. Note that Leeds home matches have averaged about 3 goals apiece this season and Leicester road matches have averaged about 4 goals apiece this season. The fact that their recent meetings (the last 3) have all totaled 2 or less goals is helping to keep this total lower than it should be. The two meetings prior to those each totaled 4 or more goals. Leeds last 7 matches have ALL totaled 3 or more goals and have averaged FIVE goals apiece! 9 of last 13 Leicester City matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 9 have averaged 4 goals apiece. All signs pointing to a wide open affair here totaling at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds

Rotation #200073: English Premier League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace @ 2:30 ET - Crystal Palace is off a scoreless draw last week so the low total of 2 here makes sense in that regard. However, under Hodgson, Palace has been revitalized and I am not going to let one tough effort against a nemesis impact the thought process here. The fact is that Crystal Palace had won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 3 goals per match. As for Wolverhampton, they should also get on the board here on their home pitch and they also have had just 2 draws in 16 home matches this season. In other words, a 1-1 match is very likely to end up at least 2-1. Note that the Wolves have scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches! Also, Crystal Palace has scored 2 goals in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs. This is why I feel we have excellent value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* OVER 2 in Wolverhampton

Rotation #200373: English League Championship Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Luton Town vs Middlesbrough @ 3 ET - Middlesbrough has been scoring a lot of goals of late but this is also a club that allows about twice as many goals on the road as they have at home this season. They are traveling here and facing the club that is just above them in the standings and this Luton Town club actually has allowed more goals at home than on the road this season. So this one sets up well for goals and we should see plenty here as the recent trending of Middlesbrough has been for very high-scoring matches. Luton Town is not as high-scoring as their opponents for this one but they are averaging scoring 1.8 goals per match their last 5 matches. Middlesbrough has seen 12 of last 14 matches total at least 3 goals! Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Luton Town

Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - The value of an over 2 is big in Romania and I definitely look for 3 or more here but like the fact that 2 would be a push rather than a loss. 14 of last 17 FC Voluntari matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 14 matches have averaged 3 goals! Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 20 of last 27 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 20 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti had scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches before being shutout at home in most recent match. They should respond here as they have scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight road matches. Of course you know that FC Voluntari is favored for a reason here. So you can see, given the above, there is reasoning behind why I am expecting a 2-1 final at the very least in this one. Neither club has had many losses of late so they are playing with plenty of confidence too as the defeat for Petrolul Ploiesti last week was a rare one. They had won 4 straight before that loss. Also, the hosts in this one are unbeaten last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari

Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Rapid and FCSB last 3 matches have averaged 3.3 goals and two of those were 3-1 finals. Rapid enters this one having allowed 2 goals per match last 5 matches. However, Rapid has scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 16 home matches this season. You can see why this match getting to 2-2 would not be shocking in the least given numbers like this. The key here is FCSB has seen 7 of last 12 matches total at least 3 goals. 9 of last 10 FCSB matches have seen them both score and concede at least 1 time. These clubs each had only about a 20% draw rate in the regular season but have each had 2 draws in 4 matches in the play-off round. In other words, extra effort a win here to earn full points and long-term trending shows the odds favor that as well. Look for a 2-1 final at least here and 4 or more would not surprise me at all here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid

Rotation #200405: English FA Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -145 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET from Wembley Stadium in London - Fernandes and Rashford both should play for Man U here but each club has some injury issues defensively. 4 of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. Man U had scored 2 goals in 3 straight before getting shutout 3-0 by Sevilla which was the 2nd time in 3 matches in which they had allowed at least 2 goals. Also, they have won all 4 of their English FA Cup matches by identical 3-1 scores. We should again see 4 goals here for a 5th straight match but we only need 3 to be a winner here. That is noteworthy too as Brighton has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 3 goals. In fact, those have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton

Rotation #200065 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 9 AM ET - Both clubs scoring quite well of late while Tottenham has had issues all season with allowing too many goals on the road. Newcastle normally solid on their home pitch in terms of goals allowed but that has not been the case recently. They are having trouble lately with a leaky backline. I am sure Tottenham is going to take advantage of this weakness and will generate plenty of chances with an aggressive attack. However, Newcastle is sure to get their high quality scoring chances at home too. That means at least a 2-1 final here is likely the way I see it. The last 4 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Tottenham enters this match with 4 of last 5 totaling at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals. Newcastle has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 3 goals and those have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle

Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 -130 in Farul vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Laying a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals but, this way, if it lands on 2 we get a push rather than a loss. In the regular season, these were the two highest-scoring clubs in the league! Not only that, their two meetings this season each totaled at least 3 goals. Also, their current trending absolutely supports a play on the over here as well. Farul tends to be so strong at home but, though they do score well, they also have been conceding goals of late as well. In fact, Farul has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. As for CFR Cluj, their story is similar as 8 of their last 9 matches have seen both they and their opponent find the back of the net! Those 9 matches have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. I am expecting 4 goals in this one but 3 also serves our purposes just fine and I do love the value of a push if this one shocks me and ends with only 2 goals. This should be a high-scoring wide-open affair. OVER 2 -130 in Farul

Rotation #200401: English FA Cup Saturday OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City vs Sheffield United @ 11:45 AM ET - Of course the huge underdogs, Sheffield United, would love to turn this match into a low-scoring grinder. However, Manchester City simply is too talented and strong and will not let that happen. Of course once City starts going goals it will put pressure on Sheffield to open things and take risks. I would not be surprised to see them find the back of the net in this one but City is a 2-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. I am looking for a 3 to 1 type of final here. Either way we get to 4 goals even if City goes ballistic and gets to that number all by themselves. Yes they have a big match on deck with Arsenal but this one is also very important and they will likely use this as a tune-up to be a well-oiled machine heading into Wednesday's big EPL match. Remember that City is averaging 2.6 goals scored per match in league action this season. Also, City has averaged scoring 4 goals per match last 7 matches across all competitions. As for Sheffield, they average about 1.6 goals per match in Championship League action and, again, they will be forced to be aggressive on the attack here and take some risks as this match goes along. OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City

Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 -135 in FC Botosani vs U Craiova 1948 @ 10:30 AM ET - Laying a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals but, this way, if it lands on 2 we get a push rather than a loss. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches overall. Also, as a host, FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals in the process. As for U Craiova 1948, they have had 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 4 matches, in fact, have averaged 4 goals apiece! As for FC Botosani matched up with U Craiova 1948, their two matches this season were each 1-0 finals. However, this followed 3 straight that totaled at least 2 goals and the last two averaged 4 goals apiece. The way these clubs are trending right now (including FC Botosani solid scoring at home), that is the type of result I expect here. OVER 2 -135 in FC Botosani

Rotation #200049: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2 -130 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 10 AM ET - Don't be surprised if Dominic Calvert-Lewin ends up playing some for Everton in this match and that would certainly give the visitors a boost. However, even if he does not play, I expect Everton to find the back of the net here as last week's clean sheet that Crystal Palace delivered was a rare one for them of late. But what has not been rare of late for them is plenty of goals. They have absolutely enjoyed a resurgence under manager Roy Hodgson. They have scored in each of last 4 matches and have averaged 2.5 goals scored per match. Getting this total at 2 goals is a great bargain here even at a price in the -130 range. Crystal Palace, prior to last week's 2-0 win, had allowed a goal in 6 straight matches. They are playing a more aggressive style under Hodgson now and should score well in this one but could struggle to an Everton club desperate for a victory. They are winless in their last 4 matches and those averaged a total of 3 goals apiece and manager Sean Dyche is desperate to get his club back on track. As a result, we'll see more attacking in this match than you might would normally expect. Everton has scored 7 goals in last 6 matches but also conceded an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches. OVER 2 -130 in Crystal Palace

Rotation #200033: English Premier League Friday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Southampton @ 3 ET - Amazingly, in English Premier League matches, Arsenal has had 9 of last 10 including 7 straight total at least 3 goals! Those 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and I am expecting to get to at least the 4 goal mark in this one. Look for Arsenal to be relentless on the attack here as their last two matches have been 2-2 draws as a result of letting 2-0 leads slip away in each match. They will push hard to get to at least the 3 goal mark here I am sure! As for Southampton, they have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches and now face one of the top clubs in the league. However, Arsenal does have a huge match Wednesday against Manchester City. That said, if they get caught looking ahead Southampton could certainly make this one interesting! They have not been scoring much but certainly should do some damage here against a leaky Arsenal defense. The storyline though will be a huge rout for the hosts though ultimately as they are massive favorites here - including -2 goals on the goal line - with good reason! OVER 3 in Arsenal

Rotation #206897 Friday OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET -  Universitatea Craiova won 1-0 here when these clubs last met way back in October. However, the two prior meetings each totaled 4 goals. Also, each of the 3 prior meetings saw each club score at least one goal in each match. Likewise, Universitatea Craiova has played 5 straight matches overall in which they have both scored and conceded at least once in every single match. Their last two matches have each totaled at least 4 goals and I am looking for more of the same here. As for Sepsi, their last 18 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. I love the value here of the over 2.5 goals at plus money. Sepsi has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 9 at home. Also, last week's 2-1 loss was the 5th time last 8 matches in which Sepsi has conceded at least 2 goals. We'll see plenty of scoring here as Universitatea Craiova will enjoy plenty of success as well. OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi

Rotation #224429 Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 in Sevilla vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Sevilla always seems to rise to the occasion in events like this. I am looking for plenty of goals here as Manchester United is certainly hungry to advance as well and they are not happy about giving up 2 late goals and blowing a 2-goal lead in their 2-2 draw with Sevilla in the first meeting. That is all part of a 4-match stretch in which Sevilla has scored 2 goals in all 4 matches. The thing is, Manchester United has been playing well also and they have scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches. They will also have Rashford back for this one. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and note that each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same in another highly entertaining affair between these clubs. After what happened in the first one, Manchester United knows no lead is safe and they will be relentless here but of course they are on the road for this one too. The hosts will be on the attack on their home pitch as well. OVER 2.5 in Sevilla

Champions League OVER 3 in Bayern Munich - Manchester City won the first meeting 3-0 so Bayern Munich must be aggressive on their home pitch and they are known for scoring goals here. However, Manchester City is on an incredible goal-scoring run of their own. That means the hosts being forced to be aggressive will absolutely open things up for the visitors to continue their onslaught of goal-scoring across all competitions. OVER 3 in Bayern Munich

Rotation #224217: Champions League Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - Down 2-0 on the aggregate so far in this one, Chelsea has to dig deep and get a miracle 3-goal win to advance. Of course that is a tall order and I am not forecasting that but I am forecasting a very aggressive effort on the part of Chelsea. They can not afford to sit back here. Of course this will open up the scoring options for Real Madrid on the counterattack and this could result in a very entertaining high-scoring affair here with some great breakaway opportunities. Note that Chelsea did finally make the net ripple in their recent 2-1 loss to Brighton. They can at least take something from that as it finally ended their scoreless drought. The issue here is they are hosting a Real Madrid club that has scored an average of 3.2 goals last 5 matches and will be up to the challenge here no matter how spirited the effort of the hosts in this one! OVER 2.5 in Chelsea

Rotation #200029: English Premier League OVER 3 in Leeds United vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool very hungry for a win and should build momentum off last week's comeback against Arsenal as they rallied for the 2-2 draw. However, it is hard to trust the Reds to get the victory here considering how they have struggled on the road all season. Also, they enter this match having failed to notch a victory in 5 straight matches. That said, the play here is the over. Leeds has a leaky defense but they are solid up front and should pressure (and have success) against a Liverpool club known for conceding more goals on the road. Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last 5 meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals apiece. Liverpool has seen 2 of last 3 matches total at least 4 goals. Leeds United has had 5 straight matches total at least 3 goals and these 5 have averaged 5 goals apiece! They should notch at least 1 goal here on their home pitch but you know Liverpool is going to be relentless on the attack as they are desperate to notch a victory and get back into the win column finally. OVER 3 in Leeds United 

Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Farul @ 1:30 ET - This match-up has goals written all over it. These are two of the top clubs in the league now meeting in the play-off stage. Note the last 3 meetings have each totaled at least 4 goals and, also at least one of the clubs has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last 5 meetings. We'll see goals here! Farul enters this one with 3 of last 4 matches each totaling at least 3 goals. In each of those 4 matches both Farul and their opponent has scored at least once in every single match. As for FCSB, 6 of last 11 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. These 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and considering FCSB is now matched up with a very high-scoring Farul club for this one, goals should be aplenty! On the season FCSB has averaged 1.9 goals scored in their 16 home matches! On the season, in all matches, Farul has averaged 1.8 goals scored per match! You can see, given numbers like that, why 4 goals in this one would not be a shock at all and why I am absolutely expecting at least 3 goals in this one. OVER 2.5 in FCSB

Rotation # 206881: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid @ 2 ET - We need 3 here to be a winner but I like our odds on that in this one. Universitatea Craiova is off a 3-2 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and they have both scored and conceded in all 4 matches! Rapid is off a 2-0 loss and will respond after being held scoreless. Prior to that match, Rapid had both scored and conceded in 3 straight matches and those averaged 3 goals apiece. Both clubs have had 2 draws and a loss so far in the play-off post-season and so they are extra hungry for a victory here. That said, and given both clubs propensity to both score and concede in recent weeks, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova

Rotation #200017 Sunday OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - There is a hidden key to the value in this one because if you look at overall stats rather than home/road stats it could lead you astray here. No team has conceded fewer goals at home than Man U this season and no team on the road has scored fewer goals than Nottingham Forest this season. However, this match is at Nottingham Forest. They are a scrappy bunch at home and Man U has had trouble giving up too many road goals all season long. That said, I am looking for Man U to push hard after what just happened against Seville when they blew a late 2-0 lead in Europa League action. Both of these clubs are currently dealing with injury issues right now but I just can't see Man U being held down here as they will be relentless on the attack no matter which players are out there on the pitch. At the same time, I do not see the hosts being held scoreless at home as they have been so strong here this season. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest

Rotation # 200021: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - We should see plenty of goals here as Arsenal should be ruthless on the attack after blowing a 2-0 lead at Liverpool last week and having to settle for a 2-2 draw. The key to the over here is I do expect West Ham United to make the net ripple at least once as they are at home and will put up a fight here. Across all competitions, West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight and they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals during this stretch. 4 of last 5 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and these averaged 3.6 goals apiece. 9 of Arsenal's last 11 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and those 11 have averaged 4 goals apiece. Arsenal is a great club but has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 and actually allowed 2 goals in 3 of those 6. Excellent line value here. OVER 2.5 in West Ham United