Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-12-24 | Napoli +0.5 v. Barcelona FC | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #224217: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday Napoli +0.5 goal line +115 @ Barcelona @ 4 ET - Barcelona is on their home pitch and they are expected to be strong here but that has resulted in them being overvalued in this spot. Keep in mind, this one is 1-1 on the aggregate and Napoli is now much stronger than when they met about 3 weeks ago. That meeting was right after a managerial change. Napoli has been a different club ever since and appears rejuvenated. Keep in mind a 1-1 final here again - with the match then decided after the 90 minutes plus injury time - certainly is possible. Napoli just has not been conceding much at all and, in comparison with Barcelona, they are the much healthier team entering this one. Battling for a 1-1 draw on the road that extends their chances into AET (added extra time) in a match decided after 120 minutes would not surprise me in the least. That said, I like the plus plus option here with Napoli on the goal line at plus half a goal and plus money. Napoli has allowed 1 goal or less in 11 of last 12 matches and Barcelona has allowed goals in 10 of last 11 matches outside of La Liga action. In fact they have allowed an average of 1.8 goals in those 10 matches. This is tough competition for Barcelona and this one likely a draw or possibly even an upset win. Grab the dog value. NAPOLI +0.5 goal line +105 |
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03-10-24 | Burnley v. West Ham United -0.75 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200110: English Premier League Sunday West Ham United Goal Line vs Burnley @ 10 AM ET - Burnley is now in the cellar of the 20-club Premier League after Sheffield United moved out of the basement via a 2-2 draw yesterday. Unlike Sheffield United, Burnley has shown no signs of goal-scoring life of late. Burnley has lost 3 straight matches by a combined score of 10 to 0 and overall has been outscored 13 to 1 in losing 4 straight matches. The most concerning aspect is the last two defeats have come against clubs that only have a combined 7 wins in 55 EPL matches this season! Indeed, Burnley in horrific form right now and getting ready to take on a West Ham club that is threatening for a Top Six finish in the league! Also, West Ham is off B2B wins in EPL action by a combined score of 7 to 3. West Ham undefeated the last 5 meetings between these clubs and won 3 of those and the way they are scoring goals (and Burnley is not) of late, this looks like a home blowout. West Ham United Goal Line |
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02-14-24 | Real Sociedad v. Paris Saint-Germain -0.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #224214: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Wednesday Paris-St Germain Goal Line -0.5 -145 vs Real Sociedad @ 3 ET - PSG top scorer Kylian Mbappe is expected back for this match and the home side is going to have too much firepower for a Real Sociedad club that is struggling to score goals. Certainly Real Sociedad is a strong club but PSG knows they need to pressure them on their attack and that is their gameplan going into this one. PSG has actually scored 30 goals last 9 matches! Even if you take out the one outlier (9-goal win) from that sample size, you are still talking about a club averaging nearly 3 goals per match their last 8 as PSG totaled 22 goals in the other 8 matches! This team is so strong on the attack! Certainly Real Sociedad is impressive defensively but Paris-St Germain is going to force them to be more aggressive here and that will take them out of their comfort zone. The hosts are a solid favorite here for a reason and I have no hesitation in backing them. While they have been scoring goals extremely well, Real Sociedad has amazingly scored only 8 goals in their last 13 matches across all competitions! Lay it! Paris-St Germain Goal Line -0.5 -145 |
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02-13-24 | Manchester City -1.5 v. FC Copenhagen | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Tuesday Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 -125 @ FC Copenhagen @ 3 ET - Manchester City is healthy again and they will play their full top lineup in this one as they look to get the upper hand in this first leg in the Round of 16. The value in this one is on the goal line where we get a reasonable line on laying the 1.5 goals and looking for multi-goal victory for the travelers in this one. Note that the loss of Leragen due to suspension for this match is a big loss for Copenhagen. The last meeting here was in October of 2022 and ended in a scoreless draw. However, City had a red card at the 30' mark and still outplayed Copenhagen in that 0-0 final. Also, that was on the heels of a 5-0 win at City the prior week which showed the dominance that Manchester City is capable of when focused as they were in that first meeting. They will again be focused here and Copenhagen will prove to be no match. Copenhagen is having a disappointing run in Danish Superliga right now. The opposite is true of City as they are on a 10-match winning streak across all competitions and this includes 8 of those 10 victories coming by a multi-goal margin. This one will too! MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 -125 |
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02-05-24 | Hermannstadt v. Voluntari | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206910: Romania Liga 1: Monday FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -105 vs Hermannstadt @ 10 AM ET - Home pitch has mattered plenty in meetings between these clubs. Also, Voluntari is going to get a boost here with new manager and the hosts are dead set on escaping the relegation zone. Even though Hermannstadt is much further up the table in comparison with Voluntari, note that the visitors have only 1 more victory than the hosts on the season! The fact is Hermanndstadt have been draw specialists. That said, I feel we have excellent line value here with the hosts available at a PK -105 on the goal line. That means a draw at least gets us our wager back. I am expecting the outright win for the hosts or I would not be involved here but the added insurance of a draw being a push for our wagers certainly helps the cause here. Voluntari has won or drawn in 13 of 23 matches this season while Hermannstadt has only won 7 of 23 matches this season! Home club value here especially riding the emotions and motivation of a new manager. VOLUNTARI Pick -105 |
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01-31-24 | Chelsea +1 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200197: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play Chelsea Goal Line +1 +100 @ Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - Each of the last 7 meetings between these clubs, amazingly, have been draws! Now, for us to lose this play, Liverpool must win by 2 goals! I like the value here of having a full +1 goal on Chelsea. I know the Reds are tough at home and I know they are having a much stronger season than the Blues thus far, but the fact is Chelsea has been surging in league action. Also, though Liverpool just destroyed a lower-tier opponent in English FA Cup action, this will be a much tougher test as the Reds continue to adjust to the fact that Jurgen Klopp will be leaving the club after this season. Liverpool did win their most recent home match in EPL action 4-2 but their 3 prior home matches in league action featured two draws and a 1-goal win. The value is with the +1 goal here on a hungry Chelsea side. Chelsea, other than Reece James, is finally getting healthy again with the core group really coming together again. Liverpool is still without Mohamed Salah. Chelsea has played 13 matches in December and January and only 1 of the 13 was a loss by more than 1 goal. The aggregate score of the other 12 matches was 24-12 (average score 2-1) in favor of Chelsea. They have been much better after a slow start to the season and they will make things very tough on Liverpool in this one. Another draw would not surprise me and neither would an upset. 10* Chelsea +1 |
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01-29-24 | Voluntari v. CFR Cluj -1 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #206874: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play: CFR Cluj Goal Line -1 -125 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj is off a terrible result? How bad was it? Bad enough to get their manager fired! CFR Cluj is one of the top clubs in the league but they returned from the break and promptly lost at FC Botosani which is the worst club in the league! Now they are back home with a new manger and will stomp all over this slumping FC Voluntari side. CFR Cluj has won each of the last 5 meetings and by an aggregate score of 14-2! CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals in last 9 home matches. FC Voluntari has just 1 win in last 5 matches and, other than the victory, has scored just 1 goal in the other 4 matches combined! This one gets ugly and CFR Cluj is a heavy home favorite with good reason. That is why the goal line is a great option here! 10* CFR Cluj -1 -125 |
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01-25-24 | Sevilla v. Atletico Madrid -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #202214: Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals: Thursday 10* Top Play Atletico Madrid -1 -140 vs Sevilla @ 3 ET - This is a pair of Spanish La Liga clubs squaring off in this one. I know Sevilla would love nothing more than to score a huge upset here, and they had success outside the league last season, but this is just not their year! Sevilla is struggling so badly and Atletico Madrid is on their home pitch and they are the healthier club and they are playing extremely well. In league action they are undefeated at home with 9 wins and 1 push. As for Sevilla, they have just 3 wins in 21 matches in league action this season. Not only that, they enter this one off a 5-1 loss to Girona. In league action they have lost 4 straight matches and by an average score of 3 to 1. I project another multi-goal loss here as the last 10 wins for Atletico Madrid across all competitions have come by an average margin of 2 goals apiece! Blowout time here. 10* Atletico Madrid -1 -140 |
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01-19-24 | CSMS Iasi +0.5 v. Sepsi | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1: Friday Poli Iasi +0.5 goals +100 @ Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - This is the first match after the long winter break. Also, rain is moving into Sfantu Gheorghe for this game which is set for 5 PM local time in Romania. That means the value of the 1/2 goal is even greater and I also like the fact Iasi is off a 3-1 loss prior to the break. Note that Iasi has not had B2B losses since August! That was when they were mired in a rough start to the season with 5 losses in first 6 matches. Since then, Iasi has only 3 losses in last 15 matches and all we need here is a draw to cash our ticket. Don't be surprised if the road team springs the upset here. Iasi has only one loss in the last five meetings between these clubs. Also, Sepsi was hot before the break and the last thing a club with momentum wants is a break as that can cool them off. The weather and situational edges here plus line value all favor the road underdog. POLI IASI +0.5 goals +100 |
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07-03-23 | Gimnasia +0.5 v. Newell's Old Boys | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22 Gimnasia La Plata +0.5 goals -110 @ Newell's Old Boys @ 7 ET - I know Newell's Old Boys have the better overall record on the season and have been strong at home while Gimnasia La Plata has been weaker on the road. However, there is value with the +0.5 goals here as it turns a draw into a winning bet and note that Newell's has only 3 wins in last 13 matches in Argentine Primera Division action. Gimnasia has only 2 losses in last 9 matches in Argentine Primera Division action. So, as you can see, the odds based on recent trending over quite a long stretch in league action certainly favors the underdog here. I like that value and will not hesitate to get involved here as the underdog also has delivered a clean sheet in 5 of last 7 matches. Of course if they do that again here we can't lose but, either way, I like this situation for the underdog. Gimnasia La Plata +0.5 goals -110 |
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06-18-23 | Spain v. Croatia +0.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #235660: Nations League | Final Sunday Croatia Goal Line +0.5 goals -120 vs Spain @ 2:45 ET - Of course Spain is favored for a reason here and they have the long-term reputation and have more resources being a bigger nation. However, this Croatia team is tactical and clinical and will prove very tough to beat. I am expecting either an upset here or for this match to be pushed past the stoppage time mark and end up a draw for grading purposes which of course would mean a win here for goal line betting purposes no matter who prevails after that point. This Croatia club has been very tough to beat and has only lost twice in last 25 matches! Spain has only 7 wins last 14 matches and just 14 victories in last 25. Remember a draw here after the normal added stoppage time would mean a win for us. Given the above numbers and the current form of the underdogs here, we have solid value with the goal line here. CROATIA +0.5 goals -120 |
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06-15-23 | Italy +0.5 v. Spain | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #235655: Nations League Semi-Finals Thursday 10* Top Play Italy Goal Line +0.5 goals -140 vs Spain @ 2:45 ET - Spain only has 1 win last 5 matches and in the 4 non-victories they have scored an average of only 0.5 goals! I like having the 1/2 goal on our side with Italy here. They will be tough to beat and I would not be surprised to see this one finish as a draw after stoppage time. Look for it to be decided in added extra time like yesterday's Croatia / Netherlands battle. Italy has just 3 losses last 10 matches and I like the cohesiveness of their group and this Spain roster heading into this one is much different than the one that ousted Italy in the 2021 semi-finals. Payback time. Italy is the big dog but I see them being tough to beat here and will gladly grab the 1/2 a goal here as the value play. 10* ITALY +0.5 -140 |
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06-10-23 | Inter Milan +1.5 v. Manchester City | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League Final Saturday 10* Top Play Inter Milan Goal Line +1.5 -155 vs Manchester City at 3 ET in Istanbul, Turkey - Manchester City is a 2 to 1 favorite on the money line here in the biggest match of the year. However, while everyone is practically handing them the title before this match has even taking place, I have a strong feeling we could see an upset here. Now I am not convinced Inter Milan will do it before extra time nor penalty kicks but I have a strong feeling their tough defensive style of play is going to create headaches for Manchester City. This will keep Inter Milan in this match all the way through. That said, I can not envision City winning this match comfortably, if they even win it all! A lot of value with a tough defensive-minded underdog catching 1.5 goals on the goal line at a reasonable price and so this is the route I am going to go here. Note that, across all competitions, only 3 of last 10 and NONE of last 4 City matches have been Manchester City victories by more than a 1-goal margin. Inter Milan, dating all the way back to mid-/November has had only ONE loss by a multi-goal margin in 42 matches! Yes this is a 41-1 angle in favor of Inter Milan. For sure, Manchester City is something special this season and that really goes without saying. However, this Inter Milan club is tough and even if City finds a way to win this final I feel it will be by the slimmest of margins - 1 goal. 10* Inter Milan +1.5 -155 |
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05-23-23 | Girona +0.5 v. Celta de Vigo | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #201881: Spanish La Liga Tuesday Girona +0.5 goals -120 @ Celta de Vigo @ 1:30 ET - It is true that Girona has struggled on the road this season but they are in much better current form than Celta de Vigo. Also, Girona is currently #7 in the standings so they are still trying to lock up a spot for European Football which would be a major accomplishment for them. They also lost 1-0 to Celta de Vigo in the reverse fixture earlier this season. They also carry motivation here from that as well as entering this match off a loss after having played so well for an extended stretch. So all of this sets up well for value on the road club in that a victory or a draw (either way) puts us in the winners circle. That is key as Celta de Vigo has only 10 victories in 35 matches this season and Girona has only 13 losses in 35 matches this season! GIRONA +0.5 goals -120 |
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04-29-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200134: English Premier League Saturday Brighton & Hove -1 -120 vs Wolverhampton @ 10 AM ET - Wolverhampton has won just 2 of 16 road matches this season and is facing an angry host here. Brighton has lost just 4 of 14 home matches this season but they are coming off B2B disappointing results and this has them fired up here. They will respond big on their home pitch. They had a scoreless draw end in a loss on penalty kicks to Manchester United in the English FA Cup two matches ago. After that heart-breaking loss they were flat against Nottingham Forest and paid the price with a 3-1 loss on the road. Brighton will surely be at their best today to make up for those losses and I am expecting a blowout home win to result. BRIGHTON -1 -120 |
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04-13-23 | Sevilla v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #224406: Europa League Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 +115 vs Sevilla @ 3 ET - Sevilla is a big name team but having a down season and in poor current form. Manchester United is red hot right now and should dominate this match. They also can get payback here for a 2-1 loss to Sevilla when these clubs last met in Europa League action. Sevilla has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches. Manchester United has allowed a TOTAL of only 2 goals in last 6 matches! I am forecasting a 2-0 final here but we could see much more than that and, either way, looking for the hosts to make a statement here in the first leg of this one and win this one by a multi-goal margin. 10* Manchester United -1.5 +115 |
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04-10-23 | Rotherham United v. Norwich City -1 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200234: English Championship League Monday 10* Top Play Norwich City Goal Line -1 goal vs Rotherham United @ 10 AM ET - Both clubs back on track with wins Friday but Norwich has a huge edge on home pitch here and is working hard to get back into the Premier League. They are on the cusp of a playoff position but again need maximum points in the table this week. Norwich City was relegated from the Premier League last season and they continue to battle to get back into it. They have had only modest success on their home pitch this season but that is an extra motivator here as well and they will take advantage of a road-adverse side in this one. Rotherham United is 2-9-9 on the road this season with a league-worst 11 goals on enemy pitch in those 20 matches. They have been outscored 28-11 on the road and I look for the motivated hosts to roll in this one. 10* NORWICH CITY Goal Line -1 |
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04-08-23 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Southampton | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #200185: EPL Saturday 10* Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 -125 @ Southampton @ 12:30 ET - This should be a complete blowout. Manchester City did defeat Southampton early this season in the reverse fixture 4-0. However, the club with revenge here is actually City! Why? Because they got knocked out of the English Carabao Cup 2-0 by Southampton in January! This will be payback and goal machine Erling Braut Haaland is expected back for this one for City. Note that Manchester City enters this match having won 7 straight matches across all competitions. Not only that, the aggregate score of those 7 matches is 27 to 2. I know Southampton has been competitive of late and has not had many multi-goal losses recently but this one sets up differently. This Manchester City club will be relentless on the attack and has too many weapons for this Southampton team that is in last place in the table this season. In fact, note that City has not allowed a single goal to a last placed club in any of last 14 meetings with a club at the bottom of the table. Also, they have won 10 straight in those fixtures against bottom-laden clubs. Road team rolls here. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 -125 |
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04-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton +0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
English Premier League Monday Everton Goal Line +0.5 -130 vs Tottenham @ 3 ET - Everton has been a different team since Sean Dyche took over from Frank Lampard. Also, I know they are in the relegation zone but they have been a respectable home club all season long. Tottenham has struggled away from home. Both teams have some issues off the field right now but how about Antonio Conte stepping away from Tottenham? The Hotspur are in a dogfight near the top of the table and I feel that this club which has struggled some on the road will possibly have a one-match speedbump with Conte's sudden departure and Cristian Stellini again stepping in on an interim basis. Note that, across all competitions, Tottenham has just one win last 5 matches. Everton is on a 3-match unbeaten run and only has 3 losses last 8 matches. They have been even better since Dyche took over and I love the value of having the plus half a goal on our side here. EVERTON +0.5 -130 |
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03-31-23 | VfL Bochum v. Eintracht Frankfurt -1 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday Goal Line Frankfurt -1 -115 vs Vfl Bochum @ 2:30 ET - Frankfurt needed the international break to hit the reset button while it could have taken some of the momentum away from Vfl Bochum. A big key here is the home road dichotomy as Eintracht Frankfurt has outscored opponents 27-13 at home and has 7 victories on their home pitch this season. Vfl Bochum is off just their second road victory of the season and has been outscored 35-9 away from home. No team has more road losses than Vfl Bochum with 11 on this season. That said, the money line is too pricey for my liking but we'll grab the value on the goal line here and I fully expect a solid win for the hosts in this one. FRANKFURT -1 -115 |
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03-25-23 | Romania -1.5 v. Andorra | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Saturday Romania Goal Line -1.5 -150 @ Andorra @ 3:45 ET - Romania has qualified in 2000 and 2008 and 2016 and keeps alternating with years like 2004 and 2012 and 2020 in which they did not qualify. That said, they will bring a little extra edginess here as a result and I expect a blowout victory over an outclassed foe. Andorra is at home which is keeping this line more manageable but Romania still should dominate and win this by 2 or more goals. If you saw Moldova barely tie Faroe Islands yesterday (penalty kick at 87' mark) note that essentially that is the same level of Moldova club that beat Andorra last June while Romania hammered neighboring Moldova last November by a 5-0 count. That is just one example of the disparity between these clubs. Another is that Romania has beaten Andorra 4 straight times by a combined score of 14 to 1. This one also has blowout written all over it and so I am willing to lay the price here to have the goal line at less than 2 in this one. ROMANIA -1.5 -150 |
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03-19-23 | Fulham v. Manchester United -1 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
English FA Cup Sunday Manchester United -1 -145 vs Fulham @ 12:30 ET - I like the ability to get Manchester United at -1 goal here. They should dominate this one in the quarterfinals. They have gone 4-0 with one draw in their last 5 meetings with Fulham and they won those 4 matches by a an average score of 3-1 which is the type of match I am expecting here. Looking at EPL results for guidance here, note that Manchester United has lost just once in 13 home matches this season and has outscored the opposition 24 to 8. As for Fulham, they have 6 road losses in their 13 EPL matches away from home and this is, of course, a tough match-up. Overall, in all competitions, Man U has allowed a TOTAL of only ONE goal in last THREE matches while Fulham has allowed THREE goals in EACH of last TWO matches! Look for a home blowout here. MANCHESTER UNITED -1 -145 |
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03-15-23 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line -1 -130 vs Crystal Palace @ 3:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been horrible of late not only in terms of scoring goals but in terms of even registering a shot on goal. That said, just can not see them keeping up with a Brighton & Hove club that is on their home pitch and has had plenty of multi-goal outputs this season. I am looking for a 2-0 type final here. Brighton & Hove still seeking redemption for frustrating 1-1 draw at Crystal Palace in mid-February. This is payback time here and Palace has not scored in 3 straight matches while the hosts in this one have scored 3 goals per match last two matches. 10* BRIGHTON Goal Line -1 -130 |
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03-11-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Tottenham -1.5 goals +125 vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Tottenham has played horribly of late so this is the perfect spot for them to bounce back in a big way. The Hotspur are at home and hosting a Nottingham Forest club that has won only one road match all season and been outscored by an aggregate of 29 to 3 in away matches on the season! I know they have been more competitive of late but you still can not ignore their road struggles. Tottenham has struggled badly in non-league action but within the league and in home matches they have been solid. The Hotspur have won 9 of 13 home matches and scored an average of 2 goals per match. So in this one they should get a multi-goal win the way I see it. History is on their side with each of the last 4 meetings (including two recent ones in 2022) featuring multi-goal wins for Tottenham. The aggregate score of the victories was 10 to 1 and this shapes up to be another blowout. 10* TOTTENHAM -1.5 goals +125 |
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03-09-23 | Betis v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
UEFA Europa League, Round of 16 Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 goals +120 vs Real Betis @ 3 ET - Manchester United beat Barcelona 2-1 to advance to this state. Barcelona's only goal in that match came on a penalty kick. The point is that Barcelona is at the top of La Liga and vastly superior to Real Betis. If Man U was able to knock off the top team 2-1 they can definitely beat Real Betis by a multi-goal margin here at home. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 14 straight home matches and has a long unbeaten run here too. They also enter this match off a humiliating 7-0 loss to Liverpool so you know the hosts are going to bring a very strong effort to this match as they look to get right back on track by dominating on their home pitch. Considering the embarrassing outcome against Liverpool, the hosts will be relentless here and should win comfortably by a multi-goal margin. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED -1.5 goals +120 |
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02-24-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. UTA Arad | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Farul Goal Line PK -130 @ UTA @ 1:30 ET - UTA has been playing well enough that this line on Farul is very reasonable here. Since UTA is on their home pitch plus playing decently of late, we can get Farul on the goal line at a very reasonable -130 price. This is a great line value because it means UTA has to win this match for us to lose our bet. A loss for UTA and we win with Farul of course. A draw in this match means we get our money back so we settle for a push. This is noteworthy as UTA has only 5 victories in 26 matches this season and Farul is at the very top of the table with only 3 losses in their 26 matches this season. So we have exceptional line value here and I like the fact Farul has allowed only 1 goal in 3 matches this month! Amazingly, since opening the season with a 2-0 win at home, UTA actually has allowed at least 1 goal in their dozen home matches since then! In those 12 matches at home, UTA has conceded an average of 1.5 goals. Lot of value with the top team in the league on the road for this one. 10* FARUL Goal Line PK -130 |
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02-05-23 | Leeds United v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Leeds United Goal Line Pick -105 @ Nottingham Forest @ 9 AM ET - When you look at this line I feel it says a lot about this match-up. There is a reason this match is priced as a pick'em even though Leeds has won only 1 of 9 road matches in the league and Nottingham Forest has lost only 3 of 10 matches in league action. I do feel Leeds will draw momentum from recent successes in the English FA Cup. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has been getting throttled in the English Carabao Cup. They also are currently without their top goalie Dean Henderson so it will likely be Keylor Navas between the pipes since Wayne Hennessey has been struggling. However, will Navas prove to be an upgrade? At least at first I think that is absolutely a no. Navas has not been playing much at all and will be rusty here. 10* LEEDS Goal Line Pick -105 |
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01-28-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Petrolul 52 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 @ Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - Winter weather is here in the Bucuresti area where I am currently residing and this means extra value with the underdog in a match-up like this. Ploiesti is just north of Bucuresti and we continue to get a lot of snow here today. We saw a scoreless draw in the first match of the weekend last night in inclement weather. This one should be another tight low-scoring battle and I like the fact that Chindia Targoviste had to settle for a draw instead of a win in their most recent match only because of a "fluke play" that resulted in a collision between a goalie and his teammate and the opposition. The opponent then was kicking the ball into a wide-open empty net on a breakaway. It was a one in a million type play you rarely see. They were the better team throughout the game and deserved to win. Suffice to say Chindia Targoviste hungry for the full 3 points in the table here after that frustrating result. But even if the visitors settle for a draw that still gives us a push here with this goal line available at Pick +102 so that is the play here. 10* Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 |
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01-27-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line Pick -115 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Rapid is offering a lot of line value here with this goal line at a pick'em. In their last 10 matches Rapid has only one loss as they have had wins or draws in the other 9 matches. Universitatea Cluj is off a win but, prior to that, had only 1 win in last 8 matches! The value of the pick'em goal line is big here. The line is not a mistake as it is simply priced this way because Rapid is on the road. What I like here though this they have been the much hotter club and have a great shot at the win plus we have the added bonus that any draw is a push rather than a loss for our bet. Rapid has been on a "mission" for some time now and that has catapulted them up the table. They continue that rise with picking up another victory here. 10* RAPID Goal Line Pick -115 |
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01-23-23 | Arges v. Chindia Targoviste | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Money Line +105 vs FC Arges @ 10 AM ET - There is a reason that Chindia Targoviste is favored here on the 3-way line and odds makers are offering you odds that are 3 times as good if you take FC Arges here. The fact is that Chindia Targoviste has not scored a goal in any of its last 3 matches but faced a very tough slate of opponents. Now they host a struggling FC Arges club and will take full advantage here. Keep in mind, only 1 of Chindia Targoviste's last 3 matches were at home. They will take advantage of being back on their home pitch here. FC Arges won the first match this season way back in August and Chindia Targoviste actually led that match at half-time and they want payback here! FC Arges has only 1 victory in last 7 road matches and has been outscored 16 to 6 in road matches this season. 10* Chindia Targoviste |
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12-30-22 | Leicester v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 -125 vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Home blowout likely here. Liverpool allowing just 1 goal per match on average at home and known for scoring well when on their home pitch. The Reds will prove to be too much for a Leicester club still licking their wounds from getting drilled 3-0 by Newcastle in their most recent match. Leicester is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season and now face a match in one of the tougher venues to visit so I am looking for a 3-0 or 3-1 type affair here which will get us the cash on the goal line with the hosts in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 -125 |
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12-17-22 | Morocco v. Croatia | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Croatia Goal Line Pick -145 vs Morocco @ 10 AM ET - Morocco has been a great story in the World Cup and has been so solid defensively. However, Croatia has the stronger firepower and will play more aggressively here. This is a shot at the bronze medal and I like the value of the Pick on the goal line in this one. That means if these teams are still tied up after the added stoppage time and heading into the extra time, we still get a push here. I do expect Croatia to win this match before it goes to extra time but I do like this added value for sure. Morocco has scored just 1 goal in last 3 matches. When these clubs met in a scoreless draw in the group stage, Croatia did dominate possession time 65% to 35%. Also, Croatia's loss to Argentina was their first defeat in last dozen matches! Croatia had scored a goal in each of prior two matches and I do not see them being denied here by Morocco and especially like the value of the pick'em offered on this one on the goals line. 10* CROATIA Pick -145 |
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12-11-22 | CFR Cluj -1 v. Botosani | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj -1 +110 @ FC Botosani @ 10:30 AM ET - CFR Cluj is one of the top clubs in the league and has been red hot. FC Botosani is one of the weaker clubs in the league and has been struggling. The kicker for me that insured this play would make my card is the fact that CFR Cluj lost at home to FC Botosani 1-0 in mid-August in their earlier meeting this season. This will be a payback match for the visitors as they look to return their favor and beat the hosts now on their own pitch. Look for them to do just that and dominate. So we will lay the goal line here to avoid laying a heavy money line price. FC Botosani has 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 4 matches and just lost by an 8-0 count at Farul last week. The visitors are a red hot 10-1-1 last 12 matches. Lay it! 10* CFR Cluj -1 +110 |
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12-01-22 | Spain -1.5 v. Japan | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play Spain -1.5 goals +120 vs Japan @ 2 ET - Spain just too much for Japan here. Getting plus money with a multi-goal win is too much value to pass up on here. 4 of last 6 victories for Spain have been by a multiple goal margin. The average margin of Spain's last 6 wins is 3 goals so we should see a win by at least 2 goals here! Japan's recent results do not show many blowout defeats but they most often are not facing competition anywhere close to the level of Spain. Also, though they defeated Germany in this World Cup, Japan was heavily out played on possession and shots on goal as well. Coming into the World Cup, Spain one of the favorites while Japan a "middle of the pack" club. That said, Japan's victory over Germany, despite being outplayed, is helping to give us line value here. One could easily argue that Spain should be an even heavier favorite here as Japan also just lost to Costa Rica. How did they not score there after Spain had just hung a "TD" (7 goals) on Costa Rica. 10* Spain -1.5 goals +120 |
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11-30-22 | Denmark -1 v. Australia | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play Denmark -1 -115 vs Australia @ 10 AM ET - Interesting scenario here as Denmark is tied with Tunisia in the standings and France is playing Tunisia today at the same time, of course, as this Denmark match with Australia. That said, France is already advancing and could be a big flat against Tunisia. If Tunisia would happen to win than even if Denmark wins, which I do expect, they would still be tied in the table. The key would then be goal differential and then if that did not decide it then it is most goals scored. That being said, I look for Denmark to go hard here in an effort to score plenty not only to win but also just to "be sure" of advancing. Certainly Australia wants to win here as they need at least a draw to advance but Denmark is simply the much better club and will bring their A game today. Look for at least a 2-0 final here as a result. 10* DENMARK -1 -115 |
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11-26-22 | Mexico v. Argentina -1 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play Argentina -1 goal +100 vs Mexico @ 2 ET - Argentina had 3 goals disallowed in a 13 minute span in the first half of their eventual shocking 2-1 loss to Saudi Arabia. That huge upset loss has set up phenomenal line value here in my opinion. This Argentina club can, and will, respond. Mexico is off a scoreless draw with Poland and is not as strong as past squads. That said, this sets up well to be a bloodbath in favor of the favorites who I am sure are going to put on a display here and dominate from start to finish. Mexico goalie Ochoa had a huge save on a penalty shot in the match with Poland but, other than that, it was a quiet match for him. This one will not be quiet and he allowed a goal in 7 straight matches for Mexico (and average of 1.4 per match) before the clean sheet against a sluggish Poland side. That said, he will be very tested here and I feel strongly we'll see multiple goals from Argentina and you can bet the favorites will be hell bent on delivering a clean sheet of their own here! 10* ARGENTINA -1 goal +100 |
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11-25-22 | United States v. England -1 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play England -1 -115 vs United States @ 2 ET - England has scored 9 goals in last 2 matches. Granted they also have surrendered some big goals too but they have firepower that the USA will not be able to match here. USA let one get away in blowing the 1-0 lead they held for a long time against Wales. That was a club that the United States matched up better with. Here, they are over-matched as you can tell by the line. Of course we hope not to get a push here and that we do get a win but there is nice value here in the fact that a 1-goal win at least gets us our money back. The reason to expect a big margin win though? The USA has scored a total of only 2 goals last 4 matches. England has scored 9 goals in just the last 2 matches as noted above. Also, the last 10 matches have included 5 shutout defeats for the United States and especially against tougher competition they struggle to score. I expect at least a 2-0 win for the favorites here. 10* ENGLAND -1 -115 |
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11-24-22 | Ghana v. Portugal -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play Portugal -1.5 +130 vs Ghana @ 11 AM ET - With all the Ronaldo controversy going on, Portugal is ready to get on the pitch and let their play do the talking. I am expecting a dominating win here. Portugal just beat Nigeria 4-0 and I feel strongly that they are going to make a statement in this game. Ghana split with that same Nigeria club a couple months ago with a composite tally of 2-2 in the two matches. The key point is that there is a talent disparity between these two clubs and the favorites are coming in fired up wanting to make a statement. That is why I am very comfortable with the goal line in this one. 10* PORTUGAL -1.5 +130 |
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11-21-22 | Wales v. United States | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play Wales Goal Line PK +135 vs United States @ 2 ET - Big line move toward USA in this one. I know Wales is without Joe Allen but they are otherwise healthy and have a star on the pitch in Gareth Bale. Grabbing the goal line here means we get a push if this match ends in a draw yet we still get some solid plus money if Wales wins which is what I am expecting here. I know a lot of people are pointing at the fact that Wales struggled coming into this match but their last 5 matches have included Netherlands twice and Belgium twice. Those are very strong clubs and, though Wales did lose the other match in last five they generated twice as many shots as Poland in that one. Wales has had some tight defeats lately but has faced a tough slate and I feel that stronger level of competition helps them here. They now take on a USA club that has many questions about the tactics and decision-making of manager Gregg Berhalter when it comes to this roster. Don't be surprised if that proves to cause some team chemistry issues with this club. Wales will prove to be the more cohesive unit entering this match and manager Rob Page helps tip the scales in their favor here. The USA has not faced the same level of competition last 3 matches that Wales has faced last 5 matches and yet the United States went an uninspiring 0-1-2 with just one goal scored. Lot of value here with the underdog in my opinion and we'll take it. 10* WALES PK +135 |
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11-12-22 | CS U Craiova v. Rapid Bucuresti | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line PK +100/+105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs had been playing well but Rapid is off a loss to rival FCSB last week and then lost in Cupa action in mid-week to a very strong Farul club. Both defeats were by a 2-goal margin. That sets this one up well for a home victory. I really like the way Rapid has been playing and like having them here off those defeats. Rapid has been playing a very tough schedule of late and will make the most of this home match against Universitatea Craiova. Yes the visitors have won 9 of 16 this season but the hosts have lost just 5 of 17 matches. I feel we have good value on the goal line here as the pick'em in this case turns a draw into a push at the betting window. Rapid is undefeated (6-0-2) at home this season. Universitatea Craiova has won last two matches away from home but this was preceded by 3 straight losses as travelers in league action! 10* RAPID Goal Line PK +100/+105 |
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10-29-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -130 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - We could take plus money on the money line here but then if the match ends in a draw we lose our bet. By playing the goal line at a pick'em, a draw is a push with our bet. I do expect a win here or I would not be betting it, but I will have the added insurance of playing this on the goal line. This is great spot for FC Voluntari as they are off an ugly 3-0 loss on their home pitch. They are ready to bounce back strong here and they will take advantage of a Petrolul Ploiesti that has lost 3 straight road matches by a combined score of 5 to 2. Note that FC Voluntari, prior to ugly loss last week, was on a 5-match unbeaten streak which including winning both home matches by a combined score of 4 to 1. The home/road dichotomy here is a big difference maker. 10* FC Voluntari PK -130 |
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10-24-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi | Top | 1-0 | Win | 107 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 @ Sepsi @ 2 ET - FCSB was #2 in the table last season and #1 in the table the season before that. Yes, this team is currently down in the table this season but they are on a mission to move back up. For one thing, some of the clubs have played as many as 15 matches now but FCSB has only played 12 so they can still make a big move up the table. In fact, they can jump all the way to #6 in the table and move just in front of Sepsi with a win here. That is what I am fully expecting here but 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw and I like the value of the goal line here of having FCSB at a Pick +105 so if the match ends in a draw we get a push and get our money back. But I am absolutely expecting a win here. FCSB has won all 3 league matches this season and by a combined score of 7 to 3. Sepsi is off B2B losses against CFR Cluj and Farul Constanta. Those are two of the top clubs in the league but still FCSB has been right up there at the top with CFR Cluj in each of the past two seasons so truly this is another top club for Sepsi to deal with. That said, these hosts have scored just 1 goal in last two matches combined while FCSB has scored at least 2 goals in EACH of last 3 matches in league action. Look for the road team to continue their strong push. 10* FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 |
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10-23-22 | Newcastle United +0.5 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Sunday EPL 10* Newcastle United Goal Line +0.5 -120 @ Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Even though Newcastle is hurt some by the Joelinton injury, Tottenham is hurt even more coming into this match as Richarlison (calf) and Dejan Kulusevski (hamstring) are both expected to miss this one and that really hurts the hosts. I also feel strongly that disappointment is setting in at Tottenham after their 2-0 loss to Manchester United. I know the Hotspur are undefeated at home this season but situationally and, with the injuries, Newcastle is the play here. In recent seasons Newcastle was known for playing very poorly on the road and only being tough at home. That is not the case at all this season and the visitors are one of only 3 clubs in the league that has just 1 loss on the campaign. The only other two are Arsenal and Manchester City. That is pretty elite company for sure and the fact is Newcastle has been "kings of the draw" this season with 6 already in 11 matches. That said, I love having half-goal with the visitors here at a very fair price. Tottenham has even been tinkering with formations because of the absences or Richarlison and Kulusevski. The Hotspur just not the same club without those guys and the visitors are the ones entereding this match with momentum off a 1-0 win versus Everton. 10* NEWCASTLE UNITED +0.5 -120 |
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10-03-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Botosani | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 8* FC Botosani Goal Line PK +100 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 11 AM ET - FC Botosani will respond here on their home pitch after getting drilled 7-0 on the road in their most recent match. To put that in proper perspective as to how bad that loss was, their opponent today has scored only 7 goals this entire season in 11 matches! Indeed, Universitatea Cluj is the lowest-scoring team in the league this season and I am very comfortable with the goal line in this one. It means Universitatea Cluj has to win the match for us to lose our bet. A draw here and we get our money back. Note that Universitatea Cluj has only won 2 matches in their 11 so far this season. As for FC Botosani, prior to last week's ugly loss their goal differential was 0 as they had 9 for and 9 against and they had only 3 losses in 9 matches at that time on the season. The hosts are sure to respond this week! 8* FC Botosani |
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09-18-22 | Steaua Bucharesti +0.25 v. CS U Craiova | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line Pick +130 @ Universitatea Craiova @ 2:30 ET - Utilizing the goal line here means that even if this match ends in a draw we still do not lose the pick. That is a nice added value to have here because FCSB is much better than people realize even this season. The problem is they continue to be "kings of the draw" as they have finished equal with their opponent in 5 matches already this season. Even though FCSB is down low in the standings, this is a club that has only 2 losses so far on the campaign. Out of the 16-club league, FCSB is one of only 3 clubs with 2 or less losses on the season. That said, a lot of value here in grabbing the goal line and fading a Universitatea Craiova that has won just 4 of 9 matches. That is a respectable win rate for sure but still the odds, as you can see, still slightly favor the hosts not winning this match. Tipping the odds even more in a our favor though is the fact that FCSB got ripped off last week and gave up a late tying goal on a penalty shot in the waning minutes of extra time. It was a sickening draw for FCSB against Voluntari and I feel they will be relentless on the road in this match as a result. I do expect a win here but hard to trust FCSB to claim victory considering how many draws they have had this season. That said, the value is there with the goal line giving us some extra insurance in the event of a draw. Great spot for the visitors though. No doubt about that and they catch Universitatea Craiova off 2 shutout losses in last 3 matches! 10* FCSB Goal Line Pick +130 |
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09-02-22 | Mioveni v. Sepsi -1 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Sepsi is a heavy favorite here with good reason. Of course we are not going to lay -200 odds on the money line but I do like Sepsi -1 goal here on the goal line in what should be a dominating win. Mioveni winless on the season and has a -9 goal differential which is worst in the league. Sepsi has suffered B2B losses but one was on the road and one was at home against a Rapid team that is tied with Farul for 1st place in the table. Sepsi has a +3 goal differential on the season and their two victories by a combined 5-0 margin. Look for big victory here for the hosts. Sepsi Goal Line -1 -111 |
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08-31-22 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 -125 vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Liverpool is not going to win 9-0 again but certainly that dominating victory over Bournemouth (which led to coach Scott Parker being relieved of his duties!) has given the Reds a huge boost of confidence after a slow start to the season. I know that Newcastle managed a draw versus Manchester City earlier this month but that was at home and City did outplay them on possession time and scoring chances. Newcastle is known for being tough to face on their home pitch but often struggling as a traveler and I fully expect that pattern to continue here and will lay the goal line with the hosts in this one. Liverpool has outscored opponents 59-10 in last 21 home matches in league competition. That means an average score of approx 3 to 0.5 goal. A 2.5 goal margin and they are favored at 1.5 goals here. Newcastle has been outscored 36 to 19 in last 21 road matches. Keep in mind that is against all competition not just elite competition and they are averaging about a -1 goal differential in road matches since the start of last season. I have no hesitation in expecting the Reds to win this on their home pitch by a multi-goal margin. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 |
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08-28-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -1 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 -115 vs Nottingham Forest @ 11:30 AM ET - Nottingham Forest has performed better than expected so far this season in a return to the EPL after a long time away after being relegated many years ago. Now they take a major step up in class as, other than Arsenal, no one has looked as strong as Tottenham early this season. The Hotspur should get it done again here and I love the value here since they are on the road. If they were at home they would be too pricey to back here but, because they are traveling, Tottenham is available at a -115 price on the goal line with having to lay just 1 goal. Yes a push is not the ultimate desire but it is some added insurance in a match I am expecting this rock solid Tottenham club to win by a multi-goal margin. The visitors are so strong on both ends of the pitch and I just do not see them being denied here. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 -115 |
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08-27-22 | Fulham +1.5 v. Arsenal | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
10* Fulham Goal Line +1.5 -105 - Tremendous value on the goal line here. Fulham is playing well so far this season with a victory and two draws. One of the two draws was against Liverpool so it was a quality earn of points for Fulham. Arsenal has been red hot to start this season and also was red hot in the summer friendly action leading into this campaign. All of this I do not deny. However, they are over-valued here. Fulham is built well to be the type of club to give them some issues. These clubs played to a 1-1 draw when they last met in April. I would not be surprised to see another draw here and, at worst, perhaps a 1-goal loss. Consider who Arsenal has faced too because Bournemouth is newly promoted and Leicester is still winless on the campaign. The point is that Arsenal, as well as they have been playing, might be a little over-rated right now and I see Fulham giving them all they can handle. In addition to a 3-2 win, the visitors have also played to a scoreless draw and a 2-2 draw. The point is that Fulham has proven they can be competitive in all types of matches. Fulham is newly promoted this season but they are playing very well already and the season (2020-21) before last season Fulham was known for being tough to beat on the road. They only lost 7 of 19 matches away from home. Keep in mind, even a loss here can still be a win for us if it is by just a 1-goal margin. That, to me, is the most likely out come here as I really like the way the visitors have been playing and they are in this one all the way. 10* FULHAM +1.5 -105 |
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08-06-22 | Steaua Bucharesti -0.75 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -127 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Saturday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line -0.5 -127 @ CS Mioveni @ 7 ET - We get line value here because Football Club Steaua Bucharesti is winless on the season, just like CS Mioveni, but is on the road for this one so we get a manageable goal line. I will not hesitate to step in and get involved here. Yes FCSB still seeking first win but at least they have been somewhat competitive. Mioveni, on the other hand, has been totally blown out in all 3 matches and has lost each by a multiple goal margin. The hosts for this one have been outscored 9-2 this season and I look for a very hungry visitor to take advantage of facing a downtrodden host and get the road win here. 10* FCSB Goal Line -0.5 -127 |
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05-15-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leeds United | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove PK -115 @ Leeds United @ 9 AM ET - Even though Leeds are hosting this one, they are slumping and have less rest and are a bit of a depleted squad right now. Conversely, Brighton is playing extremely well of late and has the rest edge here plus has won 7 road matches this season while Leeds have only 4 victories on their home pitch this season. A lot of pressure on the hosts as they are looking to avoid relegation while Brighton is loaded with confidence and playing without any pressure. Leeds allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season while the visitors allowing only 1 goal per match when traveling this season. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE PK -115 |
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05-07-22 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Manchester United PK -108 vs Brighton & Hove @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United undervalued in my opinion. They are off a key win in the last match and look revitalized. I feel that Brighton & Hove is overvalued here. This is a host that has won only 3 matches in 17 on their home pitch this season. Conversely, Manchester United is a club that has won 16 matches this season and seems revitalized of late. I feel strongly that the visitors will continue their strong recent run of play and get the big victory here. The nice thing is that a draw gets us a push here since the goal line is a pick'em. Man U has played 36 matches this season and only 10 were losses so, based on odds alone, we have value here with a 26 of 36 spot. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED PK -108 |
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04-30-22 | Burnley v. Watford | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
8* BURNLEY Goal Line Pick -103 @ 10 AM ET - Burnley has a great shot at the win here here based on current form but they only have 1 win on the road this season. That makes it hard to fully trust for the win but I do like the fact they have earned at least a point in half their road matches this season. Only 8 losses in 16 matches away from home for Burnley. Note that Watford has lost 13 of 16 matches on their home pitch this season. No team has more home losses. 8* BURNLEY -103 |
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04-30-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 101 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line Pick +101 - Brighton & Hove have lost only 4 of 17 road matches this season. They are coming off a match on their home pitch in which they had to settle for a draw despite jumping out to a 2-0 lead. This means extra motivation here for the visitors and note that Wolverhampton is in poor current form overall plus already has 7 losses on the season in 16 matches on their home pitch. The value of the goal line at a pick'em is that a draw becomes a push at the betting window and based on the current situation as well as current form and the fact that the visitors have picked up at least a point in 13 of 17 road matches this season, this is a top play for me on the side. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +101 |
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04-19-22 | Manchester United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 102 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Liverpool -1.5 goals +102 vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Ronaldo will miss this game for Man U plus Fernandes was involved in a car accident Monday. Unfortunately for the visitors there have been some distractions heading into this huge match-up Tuesday. Liverpool has been so strong for many weeks now plus they are one of the best clubs on their home pitch this season. The hosts have a goal differential of +32 in their 15 matches on home soil this season. Manchester United has won just 6 of 15 matches away from home and will get dominated here as the absence of Ronaldo hurts this club both emotionally and in terms of personnel on the field for this one. It has the makings of a rout. Liverpool is off a draw versus Manchester City in most recent match within league action. This followed 10 straight wins in league action and all but 2 of the wins were by at least a 2-goal margin. Liverpool blasted Man U by a 5-0 count earlier this season. Amazingly, Manchester United had only 3 victories in last 12 matches across all competitions prior to a victory Saturday over Norwich City. I just don't see the visitors as being able to keep up here against a host that has an aggregate score of 39 to 7 in home matches this season. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 +102 |
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04-10-22 | Liverpool +0.5 v. Manchester City | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 9* Top Play Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 @ Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Very short write-up here. There is no way to bash Manchester City of course. This a match-up of the top two clubs in the league. What I like about the dog here though is the fantastic price. In fact, I almost took Liverpool in the +250 range on the money line but instead we'll go ahead and utilize the goal line here and grab the +1/2 goal at a -120 price range on the underdog here. Liverpool has been the hottest team in the league. Yes, Manchester City is having a great season but they are at home here and all the pressure is on them and the road dogs come in playing with a ton of confidence as they have just looked so strong for months now! 9* Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 |
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02-10-22 | Arsenal v. Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Thursday 9* Top Play Wolverhampton +1/2 goal vs Arsenal @ 2:45 ET - Both these clubs have issues when it comes to scoring goals. This is likely to be a tight, low-scoring battle as evidenced by the posted O/U on this match of only 2 goals. That said, having the + on the goal line is likely to prove to be a big value in this one. Wolverhampton has earned at least a point in the table in 14 of 21 matches or 67%. Arsenal, on the road has won only 4 of 10 road matches or 40%. Also, in terms of current form, Wolverhampton has won 3 straight in Premier League action and overall 4 of last 5 across all competitions. Arsenal has not won any of its last 5 matches across all competitions and has not scored a single goal in the last 4! The hosts in this match-up are known for being stingy too as the Wolves have allowed only 16 goals on the season and only table-topping Manchester City has been better with just 14 goals conceded. A lot of home dog value here in my opinion. 9* WOLVERHAMPTON +1/2 goal |
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02-08-22 | Watford v. West Ham United -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play West Ham United -1 +105 vs Watford @ 2:45 ET - West Ham has dominated Watford in recent meetings. Watford is emphasizing defense but continues to struggle to score goals. The visitors will not be able to keep up with a West Ham club that is scoring an average of 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Also, the hosts have pounded Watford for at least 3 goals in each of last 4 meetings. The visitors are in the regulation zone in the table for a reason and West Ham is off a disappointing effort in their most recent match and will respond strongly here. Lay it! 9* WEST HAM UNITED -1 +105 |
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01-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham +0.5 +110 @ Chelsea @ 11:30 AM ET - These clubs have met twice very recently and Tottenham deserved a much better fate in the second fixture compared to the first. That said, and with Chelsea missing some key players including their #1 goalkeeper for this one, I feel we have excellent value with Tottenham plus a half goal and plus money too. The visitors have only lost 5 matches all season and, keep in mind, a win or a draw here gets us the money. Yes, Chelsea is one of the best clubs in the league but they have not been as dominant of a late and are a bit short-handed here and they have won only 12 of 23 matches in league action. In other words, about a 50-50 chance they don't win this match but those chances go even lower when you consider they are facing a Tottenham squad that is only 8 points behind them in the table but has played 4 less fixtures! The point is the, the losses and draws for Chelsea are going to come in matches like this again quality competition and I look for a very strong effort from the visitors here to get us the win at the betting counter! 10* TOTTENHAM +0.5 +110 |
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01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Game of the Week Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +110 vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - We are getting some line value here because Crystal Palace has played a little better of late. The better results had a lot to do with scheduling and so I don't expect it to continue here. Now Palace is on the road where they have won just 1 match all season. Also, Crystal Palace is without a few players who are playing in the Africa Cup of Nations and this includes Zaha who is one of their top scorers. Also, Brighton & Hove has revenge on their minds here from losing most recent match versus Palace. The hosts do come into this match hot as they have been winning and playing well on both ends of the pitch and the only draw in their 4 game unbeaten streak was versus Chelsea and there certainly is no shame in playing out to a draw against those guys. Considering all these factors look for the club on its home pitch to get the full 3 points in the table by notching a key victory in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +110 |
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01-12-22 | Norwich City +1.5 v. West Ham United | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play Norwich City +1.5 -115 @ West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - Of course it goes without saying that West Ham is the much stronger club this season. However, ironically the original match was postponed because Norwich had covid and injury concerns but now it is West Ham that has the issues and yet this match will be played. As hungry as Norwich is to taste victory and with the hosts being the more short-handed club, I like our chances here with the road dog on the goal line. We can get +1.5 goals at a reasonable price and I look for Norwich to build off their 1-0 win in English FA Cup action over the weekend. That was a confidence boost this club needed and remember a few games back in English Premier League action they lost by only a 1-0 count to a tough Manchester United club! Note that West Ham has won only 4 of 9 home matches this season and has a positive goal differential of only +3 in their 9 home matches. The point is that this match is likely to be much closer and more hard-fought than many are expecting. 10* NORWICH CITY +1.5 -115 |
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12-16-21 | Everton v. Chelsea -1.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation Thursday 8* Chelsea Goal Line -1.5 goals -115 vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Chelsea has been conceding more goals than usual of late but now host a road-adverse Everton club that has a depleted group of attackers. This sets up well for the hosts to win a blowout. Chelsea is so strong overall and continue to score plenty and I look for them to button things up defensively in this one too. Everton is known for struggling to score goals here at Chelsea and with just 1 win on enemy soil this season and averaging only 1 goal per match away from home, the visitors are in trouble here. I am predicting at least a 2-0 final here. 8* CHELSEA -1.5 goals -115 |
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08-22-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.25 | 1-0 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Early Goal Line - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 8* Wolverhampton +0.5 goal vs Tottenham @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham off the huge opening week win 1-0 over Manchester City. After beating the champions now the Spurs are on the road and have to face a Wolverhampton club that will be chomping at the bit to get into the win column. Even though the Wanderers lost last week's match 1-0 they were quite impressive for long stretches against Leicester City and I expect a huge performance this week from the Wolves. This is all about the set-up and the line value. With catching Tottenham off such a huge win and now getting a home dog that will cash our ticket with either a win or draw, the value here is too good to pass up on. I like the way the Wolves are responding under new head coach Bruno Lage. 8* Wolverhampton +0.5 goal |
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08-14-21 | Crystal Palace v. Chelsea -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Early Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 8* Chelsea -1.5 goals +107 vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Chelsea was the best club in the premier league last season once they made the managerial change. They dominated defensively and in goal and now take on a Crystal Palace club known for struggling to score. I just don't see the visitors having any luck finding the back of the net here as they will struggle to even generate scoring chances. At the same time, the hosts are a big money line favorite for a reason and where we get the value here is the goal line. Chelsea won the two meetings last season by a combined score of 8 to 1. Similar domination expected here. 8* CHELSEA -1.5 goals +107 |
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05-23-21 | Crystal Palace v. Liverpool -2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -52.5 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Liverpool Goal Line -2.25 goals -105 vs Crystal Palace @ 11 AM ET - Liverpool has been on a tear and now sits in a great position for a top four spot in the table. I do not seem being denied and feel strongly that Liverpool is going to win by plenty because they know they control their own destiny here other than the outside chance that Leicester wins and also ends up with an edge on goal differential. However, Liverpool already up 4 goals in the goal differential department and so I completely expect the hosts here to blast Crystal Palace and leave no doubt. Liverpool has won 4 straight matches by a combined score of 11 to 3. Additionally, they have won last two matches against Crystal Palace by a combined score of 11 to 0. This one, given the situation, gets very ugly. Crystal Palace is capable of being competitive but Liverpool has too much of a talent edge, too much momentum, and is highly motivated. Also, keep in mind, Tottenham's Harry Kane is knotted up with Liverpool's Mohamed Salah in the race for the Golden Boot so the hosts will not hesitate to get Salah heavily involved even if this is a blowout - and a rout is precisely what I expect. Lay it! 10* LIVERPOOL goal line -2.25 goals |
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05-19-21 | Liverpool -1.75 v. Burnley | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Game of the Year - Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 or -1.75 goals @ Burnley @ 3:15 ET - Earlier this season Burnley got the shocking upset win at Liverpool to end the long run of dominance the hosts had been having on their home pitch. Not only is this a revenge game, Liverpool also has been playing very well of late. They are on a big-time heater in Premier League games and now have their sights set on a top four finish! Even though Liverpool lost the first match with Burnley, they actually completely outplayed them in terms of possession and shots on goal. I do not see Liverpool being denied again and note that Burnley has had some big goals allowed totals in recent matches. Liverpool will be relentless on the attack in this one while Burnley is known for struggling to score goals and this is particularly true on their home pitch. While Liverpool has tallied 36 times away from home this season for one of the best marks in the league, Burnley has but 14 markers in 18 games on their home pitch this season. This one will be a road rout as Liverpool is focused and angry and out for revenge and I just do not seem them being denied nor do I see them settling for just a 1-goal win here. This should be a dominating road win. Lay it! 10* LIVERPOOL Goal Line -1.5 or -1.75 goals |
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05-08-21 | Southampton v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 goals -125 vs Southampton @ 3:15 ET - Liverpool has played better than their recent results would indicate. They have simply just missed converting after creating some fantastic scoring chances. I feel confident they will get their just rewards in this one and come up with a multi-goal victory over Southampton. For one thing this is a revenge match because of what happened in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Additionally, Southampton is horrible in terms of conceding goals as travelers as they have allowed 38 goals on the road this season and that is the worst mark in the league! Look for Liverpool, hungry for a dominant win to avenge the earlier season defeat with a convincing victory here. Liverpool, as host versus Southampton, has won the two most recent matches by a combined score of 7 to 0. Look for a victory for them on their home pitch by at least a 2-goal margin in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL |
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04-10-21 | Chelsea -1 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Chelsea -1 -115 @ Crystal Palace @ 12:30 ET - Chelsea had been dominant since Thomas Tuchel had taken over at manager but then got embarrassed, in part to being down a man due to a red card, in a 5-2 lost to West Bromwich Albion. Chelsea immediately responded with a 2-0 dominating win over FC Porto in UEFA Champions League action. Look for Chelsea to carry momentum from that fixture right into this one as they now look to immediately get back on track in Premier League action. Chelsea has been playing extremely well overall ever since Tuchel took over and they are pushing hard for a top four spot in the table. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, is essentially stuck in mid-table as they are generally safe from relegation but also generally too far from the top 8 to move into a more favorable spot. The road side is the much more talented club in this fixture and, per the above, will prove to be the much more motivated club as well and I expect a road rout. With Chelsea, unsurprisingly, posted in the -200 range on the money line, we will of course utilize the goal line here instead to reduce our cost for investing here. Of course we do not want the push result of a 1-goal win but I am truly expecting domination here given the situation. 10* CHELSEA -1 -115 |
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03-13-21 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Fulham | Top | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 goals +110 @ Fulham @ 3 ET - Their 21-match winning streak ended, Manchester City responded in a big way with a 5-2 win against Southampton Wednesday. Manchester City entered that match coming off a 2-0 loss that also ended a 28-match unbeaten run. City has a goal differential of +40 on the season while Fulham has a goal differential of -10 on their home pitch this season. Fulham has played better of late but that had a lot to do with level of competition faced. I know they just beat Liverpool 1-0 but that is a club that has some major internal issues going and continues to struggle on their home pitch. Speaking of struggling as a host, Fulham has but two wins in 15 matches on their own turf this season. Considering they now face the best team in the league, that is why the money line is a massive one here at nearly a -300 price...but the value is with the goal line and certainly this should be a blowout. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 goals +110 |
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03-10-21 | Southampton v. Manchester City -1.75 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Manchester City Goal Line -1.75 goals -130 in Manchester City vs Southampton @ 1 ET - Their 21-match winning streak ended, Manchester City will respond in a big way here against Southampton. The visitors in this one just saw Danny Ings get hurt in their most recent match. That will not help matters for Southampton and they visit an angry club in Manchester City coming off a 2-0 loss that also ended a 28-match unbeaten run. City has a goal differential of +37 on the season and is healthier here while Southampton has a goal differential of -11 and has some injury concerns. Factoring in that the visitors are off a 2-0 win after back to back shutout defeats while the hosts are off a 2-0 loss after months of dominance, you have the ideal set up to lay it here! Of course that is why the money line is a massive in this one...greater than a -500 price...but the value is with the goal line and certainly this should be a blowout. 10* MANCHESTER CITY |
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03-07-21 | Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Hotspur -1 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 -116 vs Crystal Palace @ 2:15 ET - Tottenham is very healthy compared to most teams in premier league action at this point in the season. Conversely, Crystal Palace is one of the teams dealing with the most injury issues at this point in the campaign. It certainly shows in level of play on the pitch of late as Crystal Palace has not scored a goal in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions. The lone fixture in which they did manage to find the back of the net it was a 2-1 win over Brighton & Hove but Crystal Palace was very much outplayed in that on. Also, their last two losses in premier league action have come by a combined 5-0 score and their last two losses to Tottenham have come by a combined 6-0 score. Overall, Crystal Palace is winless in last 4 meetings with the Hotspur. Of course all of the above is a big part of the reason Tottenham is a 2 to 1 favorite on the money line in this one. That said, where the value lies is with the goal line in this one. We can lay a small price in the -116 range to take Tottenham at -1 goal in this fixture. Note that Tottenham has won 4 of its last 5 across all competitions and the 4 victories have come by a combined margin of 13 to 1. Look for another dominating victory here. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 goal -116 |
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03-04-21 | Chelsea +0.25 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Thursday 10* Top Play Chelsea Goal Line +0.25 goals -107 @ Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - Liverpool used to be unbeatable at home but that trend has completely reversed of late and now they have struggled badly at Anfield. That said, I love the value here with a Chelsea club that has played so well, particularly on defense, since Thomas Tuchel took over. Since Chelsea is the traveler in this one, we can get extra line value here with the goal line. With the +0.25 goal, even a draw for Chelsea cashes a ticket for us. Since Tuchel took over, Chelsea is unbeaten with 6 victories and 3 draws and they have conceded only 2 goals in these 9 matches! Liverpool has now gone 7 straight matches on their home pitch without a victory! Indeed, their last win at Anfield was in mid-December. That said, I like the value here of just needing a draw with Chelsea to cash our bet. Considering all of the above, a low-scoring duel is likely and the travelers have a great shot at the upset and I also fancy our chances of at least a draw in this one as the aforementioned streaks are long-term and continue their run here. 10* CHELSEA Goal Line +0.25 goals -107 |
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02-28-21 | Burnley v. Tottenham Hotspur -1 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 goals -105 vs Burnley @ 9 AM ET - In recent weeks, looking at Tottenham performances does not impress but they were without Harry Kane for much of that time. Now he is back and overall this club is very healthy and in much better shape on the health front than that of Burnley. Also, this game is on the home pitch of Tottenham and note that Burnley has not traveled well at all this season. They have won just 3 of 12 matches on enemy pitch plus have scored a total of only 8 goals in those dozen affairs. Only Sheffield United, dead last in the table by the way, has scored fewer goals as a traveler in this campaign. That said, the host should dominate in this one. Of course that is why they are nearly a 2 to 1 favorite on the money line. Where have value here, in my opinion, is by reducing our lay amount to a pick'em price by taking the Hotspur on the goal line which is at a -1 goal even. I look for Tottenham to roll big here. The Hotspur have 2 recent victories that came by a combined score of 8 to 1 in UEFA Europa League action. Though not in premier league those are confidence boosters and Burnley's last two non-draw decisions across all competitions were each decided by multi-goal margins. I feel strongly that this match-up will be as well. Odds favor a home club victory and I expect a solid margin as Tottenham has scored 4 goals in 3 of its last 5 matches across all competitions and Burnley has been held to 1 goal or less in 4 of its last 5 matches across all competitions. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 goal -105 |
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02-27-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 v. West Bromwich Albion | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
Early TV Blowout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove -105 vs West Bromwich @ 10 AM ET - West Bromwich is the host here but has just 2 wins on the entire campaign and just 1 home win and their average goal differential on their home pitch is actually 2 goals per match. Just horrible numbers. Conversely, Brighton & Hove is a respectable 4-4-4 as a traveler this season and their goal differential is nearly dead even on the road. However, Brighton & Hove still need to get a big win here as they are not safely away from the relegation zone. Even though Brighton & Hove are off a draw and a loss in their last two matches they have dominated both incredibly! They actually out shot their competitors 31 to 8 in those matches including 13 to 3 in terms of shots on goal. Brighton & Hove simply has not gotten what they deserved in their last two matches and they will make the most of facing a weak West Bromwich club here. The road team has allowed just 1.3 goals per match as travelers this season while the host team here has allowed 2.7 goals per match on their home pitch. I don't see the road team being denied here. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE -105 |
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02-15-21 | Newcastle United v. Chelsea -1.75 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 50 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play Chelsea Goal Line -1.75 goals vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - We have to win this match by a multiple goal margin to cash our ticket but Chelsea truly looks like a different club since Thomas Tuchel took over managerial duties. Coming off a casual effort in English FA Cup action against Barnsley, the stakes are again high now in Premier League action and Chelsea should dominate Newcastle. This game is on Chelsea's home pitch and they have allowed just 1 goal total in their last 5 matches. With that type of defensive dominance, a clean sheet can be expected here. So, the question becomes, can Chelsea score at least 2 goals here? Well, after the listless performance against Barnsley which included a lot of playing time for younger players, Chelsea will have the big guns back for this one and they will be taking on a Newcastle side dealing with numerous injury issues. Also, Newcastle has allowed at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches and this was all against clubs that certainly have not been playing at the peak level that Chelsea has since Tuchel took over. That said, this one should be dominated by the team on its home pitch. Lay it! CHELSEA -1.75 goals |
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02-06-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Burnley +0.25 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 53.5 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Early Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Burnley +0.25 +107 vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 AM ET - Brighton & Hove is off a huge upset win versus Liverpool. That makes this a great spot to fade Brighton & Hove. Burnley is off back to back losses but faced a resurgent Chelsea team with a new manager and a strong Manchester City team. In other words, no shame in those defeats and that was on the heels of 3 straight victories for Burnley across all competitions. As a result, I feel Burnley is still flying under the radar a bit and they have played a little better than most realize. Note that no team in the premier league has as many draws this season as Brighton & Hove with 9 thus far. The Albion have only 5 victories in 22 matches this season. That is why I like the value here with the "plus plus" on Burnley. A win or even a draw gives us a winning wager here and Burnley has won 4 and drawn once in 10 home matches this season. You can see why I like the odds here with the home dog especially given the huge victory that the visitor is coming off of. 10* BURNLEY +0.25 GOALS |
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01-21-21 | Burnley v. Liverpool -1.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - EPL 10* Top Play Liverpool -1.75 goals vs Burnley @ 3 ET Thursday - Look for Liverpool to win this one by at least 2 goals. In recent seasons they have been the best home team in the premier league. Also, they are coming off a scoreless draw in their most recent match and will be hungry to respond here as goal-scoring has been a problem of late for Liverpool. The good news for Liverpool here is they are facing a Burnley squad that always has trouble scoring goals and has just 4 in their 9 games on enemy pitch this season. Compare that with a Liverpool club that has scored 21 times in their 9 games on their home pitch on the campaign. I fully expect something along the lines of a 3-0 or 4-1 type win for the hosts in this one as Burnley can be strong on defense at times that is for certain but Liverpool is going to be very aggressive on the attack in this one knowing that Burnley is unlikely to burn them on the other end of the pitch. The host is very much in need of a big win and they get it here. 10* LIVERPOOL |
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01-17-21 | Crystal Palace v. Manchester City -2 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Manchester City Goal Line -2 goals -105 vs Crystal Palace @ 2:15 ET - Manchester City are one of the hottest clubs in the Premier League right now and are on their home pitch here and are a -500 money line favorite with good reason. I am going to lay the goal line here to take advantage of a great situation and a spot in which I am expecting a blowout win for the home side. Manchester City has lost and had a draw in their two most recent home meetings with Crystal Palace. That will insure the proper focus here and Manchester City has scored 15 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace can be stingy on defense but Manchester City is simply too hot on the attack right now and they are seeking a big payback win here. Also, Crystal Palace's problem is they have been struggling to score goals. They have scored a total of only 5 goals in their last 8 matches across all competitions. Also, in their last 3 losses Crystal Palace has allowed an average of 3.7 goals per match. With this one expected to be a defeat you can also plainly see why I am expecting it to also be by a blowout margin. 10* MANCHESTER CITY goal line -2 goals |
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10-31-20 | Chelsea -1 v. Burnley | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Rotation #200153 Saturday 10* Top Play Chelsea Goal Line -1 -110 @ Burnley @ 11 AM ET - Chelsea has had a sluggish start to the season but their prized acquisitions to give them more on the offensive attack are starting to come together. That means the next team in line will have to pay for the frustrating start to the season for the Blues. That said, this situation has all the elements I look for in a very big play. As a result of Chelsea being on the road for this one we get line value. Burnley, though on their home pitch, is likely to prove to be the perfect punching bag for the Blues to take out their frustration. Of course that is why the money line on this is up to as high as a -200 because I am not the only one that sees the likelihood of a Chelsea win here! There are other sharps out there that see the same thing. That said, where the value is here is with the goal line. With this particular match that means laying 1 goal on Chelsea and that gives us a pick'em price in the -110 range. I feel that is the much better value than laying nearly 2 to 1 odds on the money line. That said, of course a 1-goal win for the Blues would result in a push with our bet here but I am quite confident of a blowout in this one. Why? Burnley has totaled just 3 goals in their 5 fixtures this season! Chelsea, on the other hand, is off a 4-0 win in Champions League action and AVERAGING 2 goals per match in Premier League action this season and they averaged 2 goals per game in their road matches last season! Burnley was delivered a clean sheet in their only two matches on their home pitch this season. They will again struggle to score in this one and the road team pulls away for a win by a multiple goal margin. 10* CHELSEA Goal Line -1 goal -110 |
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10-26-20 | Tottenham Hotspur -1 v. Burnley | Top | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Rotation #200093 Monday 10* Top Play Tottenham Goal Line -1 -110 @ Burnley @ 4 ET - Tottenham blew a 3-0 lead and had to settle for a 3-3 draw against West Ham in last week's league action. That means the next team in line will have to pay for that frustrating end result for the Hotspur. That said, this situation has all the elements I look for in a very big play. As a result of Tottenham being on the road for this one we get line value. Burnley, though on their home pitch, is likely to prove to be the perfect punching bag for the Hotspur to take out their frustration. Of course that is why the money line on this is up to as high as a -200 because I am not the only one that sees the likelihood of a Tottenham win here! There are other sharps out there that see the same thing. That said, where the value is with the goal line. With this particular match that means laying 1 goal on Tottenham and that gives us a pick'em price in the -110 range. I feel that is the much better value than laying nearly 2 to 1 odds on the money line. That said, of course a 1-goal win for the Hotspur would result in a push with our bet here but I am quite confident of a blowout in this one. Why? Burnley has totaled just 3 goals in their 4 fixtures this season! Tottenham, on the other hand, is AVERAGING 3 goals per match this season! Additionally the Hotspur are 2-0 on the road and won those matches by a combined score of 11 to 3. Burnley was delivered a clean sheet in their only match on their home pitch this season. They will again struggle to score in this one and the road team pulls away for a win by a multiple goal margin. 10* TOTTENHAM Goal Line -1 goal -110 |