Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-16-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Fulham OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200153: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Fulham vs Tottenham @ 1:30 ET - These clubs have a history of lower-scoring matches but Tottenham is on a tear in the attacking zone since they got Son Heung-min back from his time with South Korea. Tottenham has now scored 7 goals in last two matches and also this total is available at 3 goals and a -135 price. Yes, we have to lay some juice to have the total of 3 goals but that is a key number in soccer betting! Note that Tottenham has had 17 of last 20 matches across all competitions - including a current run of 6 in a row - all total at least 3 goals. Also, in EPL matches, Tottenham has had 10 in a row total at least 3 goals and 7 of those totaled 4 or more so this is a 100% streak going for 8 in a row here! As for Fulham, they have had 6 straight EPL matches total at least 3 goals and they have both scored and conceded in all but one of those. That said, and with Tottenham a heavy goal line favorite for a reason, look for at least a 3-1 final in this one! OVER 3 -135 in Fulham |
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03-16-24 | Nottingham Forest v. Luton Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #200145: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest @ 11 AM ET - Luton Town just played on Wednesday and there could be some weary legs on defense! Why? Because they just blew a 3-0 lead (incredibly) and lost 4-3 at Bournemouth in most recent match! Luton Town allowing 2.1 goals per match this season but they do also score about 1.5 goals per match and have a long 16-match run (in EPL matches) of scoring at least 1 goal! Yes, 16 in a row and yet they just can not seem to stop anyone which is why I like the over so much in this match-up. Note that 13 of those 16 matches totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing an 81% EPL run with this play. Also, Nottingham Forest is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Nottingham knotted up Luton at 2-2 in the first meeting and I anticipate a similar result here. Nottingham on a stretch of low-scoring results but they will open things up here against a weak Luton Town backline. Also, Nottingham has not had a stretch of 4 straight matches failing to reach 3 goals since the mid-Sept to early-Oct timeframe more than 5 months ago. The high-scoring ways resume here given a favorable match-up after some tougher opposition. OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town |
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03-15-24 | Cadiz CF v. Real Sociedad OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #201801: Spanish La Liga: Friday OVER 2 -120 in Real Sociedad vs Cadiz @ 4 ET - Cadiz has been scoring better of late as they continue to push hard in hopes of avoiding relegation. Cadiz has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches and now they visit Real Sociedad. The hosts have had 4 straight La Liga matches total at least 3 goals and I don't see things slowing down here. They have had 7 straight matches across all competitions total at least 2 goals and these 7 matches have averaged 3.4 goals apiece. In other words, goals should fly in this one. Cadiz gets on the board but struggles to stop their superior foe in this one and I look for a final of at least 2-1 as a result. Cadiz, prior to their 2-0 upset of Atletico Madrid, had allowed 1.8 goals per match last 4 matches. OVER 2 -120 in Real Sociedad |
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03-15-24 | RB Leipzig v. FC Koln OVER 2.75 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #202577: German Bundesliga: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 -125 in FC Koln vs RB Leipzig @ 3:30 ET - I known Koln has struggled but they are off a 3-3 draw plus they are on their home pitch. So they should have their shooting boots on here and be able to get on the scoreboard. At the same time of course, RB Leipzig is a solid favorite here with good reason. Believe it or not Leipzig is averaging both allowing AND conceding nearly 2 goals per match when traveling in Bundesliga action this season. Could see a 2-2 or 3-2 type battle here. 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. RB Leipzig is off a 2-0 win but had allowed 4 goals in 3 matches prior to that and allowed at least 1 goal in all 3. I envision at least a 2-1 type final here as RB Leipzig also has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions as well. OVER 2.75 -125 in FC Koln |
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03-14-24 | Sporting Lisbon v. Atalanta OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #224453: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished in a 1-1 draw but Atalanta' other 3 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. Sporting Lisbon's other 4 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. The point is that the first meeting was a bit of an outlier and I am looking for at least a 2-1 result in this match-up that is currently tied on the aggregate. Note that Atalanta had numerous shots off the bar in their first meeting - tight misses. Sporting Lisbon averaging scoring 3 goals per match in Portugese Primeira Liga action. Atalanta averaging 2.2 goals scored per match when at home this season in Italian Serie A action. Two confident clubs that score well and you'll see much more scoring in the rematch. OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta |
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03-14-24 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Aston Villa OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #219925: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa vs Ajax Amsterdam @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished scoreless yet this total opened up at a 3 and even moving toward 3.5 in some books. You know what this generally means, right? A 0-0 1st leg and then a total of 3 goals getting action on the over in the 2nd leg? Exactly! This one should fly over the total after the very surprising 1st leg result! Aston Villa's other 8 recent matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. Ajax Amsterdam, other than that scoreless draw, has scored at least 2 goals in 22 of last 26 matches! You can see, given the above, why it would not be surprising at all to see both clubs reach the 2-goal mark in the rematch. Ajax known for scoring well and they are one of the top scoring teams in the Dutch Eredivisie. At the same time, Villa at home will be relentless on the attack here after the disappointing first leg result and now back on their home pitch! OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa |
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03-14-24 | SC Freiburg v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #224443: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham United vs SC Freiburg @ 1:45 ET - West Ham is on their home pitch and down 1-0 in this one because of losing the 1st Leg. That sets this up well for plenty of goals because Freiburg has a talented attack but West Ham is going to respond on their home pitch. The Hammers are favored here with good reason but I also can not anticipate them delivering a clean sheet. In other words, this situation translates to at least a 2-1 final. West Ham had scored a pair of goals in the last two meetings before the shutout loss at Freiburg. Also, the Hammers come into this one having allowed at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches and have conceded an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Freiburg has allowed 2 goals per match in their last 11 matches as well. OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham |
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03-14-24 | Maccabi Haifa v. Fiorentina OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #219905: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina vs Maccabi Haifa @ 1:45 ET - The first meeting finished in a 4-3 thriller in favor of Fiorentina. That means Maccabi Haifa has to be aggressive here on the road and will be on the attack as they look to make up for the 1-goal deficit. However, Fiorentina has the firepower - particularly on their home pitch - to make them pay in this one! In Italian Serie A action, Fiorentina has averaged 2 goals scored per match this season when at home. As for Maccabi Haifa, the Israeli Premier League club has scored 2.2 goals per match this season and they are the highest scoring club in the league. Look for the goals to fly again in this one as 4-3 aggregate thus far in favor of the hosts sets this up for another exciting match which the visitors pushing hard on the attack and the hosts taking advantage on the counterattack. Plenty of scoring opportunities in this one. OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina |
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03-13-24 | OGC Nice v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #203613: Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-German vs Nice @ 4:10 ET - PSG just too much for Nice and they have scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches with them. However, Nice has averaged 2 goals in last two meetings in Paris. Nice does enter this match in poor current form and are conceding too many goals which has led to 4 of last 6 totaling at least 3 goals. PSG also has revenge on their mind from a home loss to Nice back in September so they will be relentless on the attack here. PSG has scored at least 2 goals in 13 of last 15 matches. They have also conceded in 8 of last 11 matches. You can see, given all of the above, we should be looking at a 2-1 match here at the very least. OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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03-13-24 | Inter Milan v. Atletico Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #224229: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan @ 4 ET - Atletico Madrid has struggled recently including losing the first leg of this battle with Inter Milan by a count of 1-0. However, they are a different club when on their home pitch and this will be just their 2nd home match in the past 4 weeks! Their last two home matches have seen them win by an aggregate score of 7 to 1. Also, Atletico Madrid is 13-1 at home this season in Spanish La Liga matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match! Inter Milan has won 13 straight matches and averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this winning streak. The point is both clubs are certainly solid defensively but you can also see their goal scoring prowess in these numbers. That said, I see at least a 2-1 final resulting here as the hosts must push hard here as they are down 1-0 already via that 1st leg result so they must be aggressive on the attack here but Inter Milan has been red hot as well so the goals should fly in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid |
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03-13-24 | Luton Town v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth vs Luton Town @ 3:30 ET - These clubs had a match abandoned at the 60' mark earlier this season and it was 1-1 at that point. They appeared on target for at least 3 goals given the way that one was playing out. In terms of their most recently completed matches, those were in League Championship action and the last two of those each totaled at least 3 goals. Luton Town enters this match off a 1-1 draw but this followed 9 straight matches each totaling at least 3 goals. Those 9 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Each one of these clubs allowing an average of about 2 goals per match in EPL action this season. Also, Bournemouth has seen 10 of last 15 matches overall total at least 3 goals. They have also scored an average of 2 goals per match last 19 matches overall. Given all of the above we should see an entertaining battle here in which it would not surprise to see each club reach the 2-goal mark! OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth |
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03-12-24 | FC Porto v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs FC Porto @ 4 ET - Down 1-0 in this one, Arsenal need to not only respond at home but respond in a big way. Look for them to do just that as Arsenal has averaged scoring 4 GOALS per match in their last 8 matches in English Premier League action. In other words, the 1-0 loss to FC Porto in the reverse fixture is certainly an outlier! Also, Arsenal has allowed an average of 1 goal in their last 18 matches across all competitions and they are favored by 1.5 on the goal line here with good reason! In other words, look for a 3-1 type final here. Porto has scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this stretch. Many times these 1st and 2nd leg matches are polar opposites. The first one a 1-0 battle, don't be surprised if this one is a high-scoring thriller. Porto also still dealing with injuries to defensive personnel which also helps the cause. OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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03-12-24 | Middlesbrough v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200209: English League Championship | Gameweek 29: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough @ 3:45 ET - Both clubs will push hard for the full 3 points here as Birmingham City is perilously close to the relegation zone and Middlesbrough still has hopes of a top six finish in the league. Birmingham City is a different club when they are at home and 4 of their last 5 matches on their home pitch have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Middlesbrough has scored in 5 of last 6 road matches in English League Championship action and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 5 matches! They are favored here on the road for a reason and I can't see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Middlesbrough averaging 1.8 goals scored per road match and Birmingham City averaging 1.5 goals scored per home match. This one gets to at least 3 goals. OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City |
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03-12-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Saarbrucken OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #203001: German DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken vs Borussia Monchengladbach @ 3:30 ET - Saarbrucken are a 3rd tier club in Germany but enjoying an impressive run in the DFB-Pokal competition. They are also the host in this match-up and they have scored 2 goals in each of their 3 matches in this competition thus far. At home, I do expect them to put on another strong showing here but Borussia Monchengladbach is in the top flight Bundesliga in Germany. The visitors in this match are having a rather "middling" season in Bundesliga so this competition has become even more important to them in terms of a chance to win some hardware! They are well aware that there is only one other Bundesliga competitor remaining and so they have a solid shot at winning it all. They too will bring a strong effort here as a result and they have allowed an average of 2 goals last 4 matches but also scored an average of 3 goals last 3 matches and those were against top flight competition. You can see why one can anticipate at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken |
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03-11-24 | Newcastle United v. Chelsea OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200121: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - These clubs have met 4 times in less than a year across all competitions and there has not been a clean sheet yet. I feel we have strong odds on much more scoring here after many of those matches ended in 1-1 draws. Newcastle is allowing 2.3 goals per match when on the road this season. Chelsea has significant injuries impacting their defensive players. This one should be a high-scoring battle that would not surprise me if we saw each club get to the 2-goal mark. Newcastle is off a 3-0 victory at home and in EPL action this followed 8 straight matches all totaling at least 4 goals! That said, the over is now 8-0 and one push in Newcastle's last 9 EPL matches. The over is also 4-1 in Chelsea's last 5 EPL matches and those 4 overs all totaled at least 4 goals. This one will too as we test that 100% trend involving Newcastle Premier League matches and look for the 100% run to make it 9 in a row! OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea |
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03-11-24 | Udinese v. Lazio OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 128 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #201237: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio vs Udinese @ 3:45 ET - Lazio has only a 15% draw rate, 2nd lowest among the 20 clubs in Serie A, so if you like both clubs to score it stands to reason you like at least a 2-1 final. That is the case for me in this one too as Lazio is not in a good mood and will respond big at home but I also don't see Udinese being held off the scoresheet here. Both clubs are dealing with injury and/or suspension issues effecting the rearguard. The defensive stability of each club could be impacted here as a result. The first meeting this season was a 2-1 final two months ago and I expect a similar result here. Udinese is scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season. Lazio will be ready to respond after a 3-0 loss in Champions League followed a 1-0 home loss in Serie A action! Lazio had scored 9 goals and scored at least once in all 6 matches leading into this rare tough stretch of futility in front of the goalmouth. They now will take advantage of facing a lower-tier club that has allowed 1.5 goals per match this season. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above as you will see a spirited effort from the home side forcing a faster tempo filled with attacking in this match. Both clubs look to take advantage of the defensive absences as well. OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio |
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03-11-24 | CSMS Iasi v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206953: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati vs Poli Iasi @ 2 ET - The value of this over available at 2 goals is a big one. 4 straight Galati matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Poli Iasi is off a scoreless draw at home but 5 straight matches for Poli Iasi away from home have totaled at least 2 goals! These 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals apiece. So both these teams have UNBEATEN trends going here and, within those trends, there are 100% PERFECT records. 4-0 on the road for Poli Iasi to the over 2 goals and 3-0 to the over 2 goals overall matches for Galati. Take advantage of the solid line value here as both teams preparing for the playout phase of the season and 3 points is a critical step in the right direction as they are right next to each other in the table right now. So look for a big push for the victory here rather than a sharing of the spoils so we should see at least a 2-1 final as a result. OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati |
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03-10-24 | CS U Craiova v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2:45 ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has played 8 matches in the new calendar year and these have averaged 8 goals apiece Universitatea Craiova has played 11 matches since early December and 10 in a row had totaled at least 3 goals before last week's 1-1 draw. That was the 6th straight match that Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded. Considering that, plus the fact that FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - look for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that we are testing the 10-1 run to the over involving Universitatea Craiova in this one. That's a 91% run. 10* OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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03-10-24 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:45 AM ET - The last meeting was a 1-1 draw but this followed 7 of last 8 meetings having totaled at least 4 goals and this one should get there as well considering the way these two clubs are rolling right now! Manchester City has scored an average of 2.7 goals over last 20 matches across all competitions. City has also conceded at least 1 goal in 7 of last 10 matches across all competitions. Liverpool has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 7 matches overall and they have Mohamed Salah now back as well. The over is a perfect 4-0 L4 Liverpool matches on their home pitch and these have averaged 5 goals apiece. Look for a 3-2 type final here in what is the final time that Jurgen Klopp will meet Pep Guardiola in a Premier League battle with the former moving on after this season. That said, no holding back here and plenty of fireworks expected. OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool |
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03-10-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 9 AM ET - In EPL action, Aston Villa's last 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. 6 of their last 9 matches overall have totaled at least 4 goals so don't let this big total scare you away from backing the over in this one. Tottenham has seen it's last 8 EPL matches average 4.1 goals apiece and 6 of the 8 totaled at least 4 goals. Don't be surprised if each club gets to the 2-goal mark in this one and I anticipate a 3-2 or 2-2 type match in this one given the recent trending of both clubs in English Premier League matches. OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa |
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03-09-24 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #206969: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FSCB @ 1 ET - 3 of the last 4 meetings (75%) have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. 5 of last 6 Rapid matches (83%) when they are at home have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. As for FCSB, this match is in their home city but NOT their home venue as they are the road club here. 3 of their last 4 road matches (75%) have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 3.3 goals apiece. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the league and FSCB has only a 24% draw rate this season. So the odds favor each team scoring plus the match NOT being a draw and that means at least a 2-1 final in what should be a fantastic match in Romania's capital Saturday. OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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03-09-24 | Brentford v. Arsenal OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #200101: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5 +115 in Brentford vs Arsenal @ 12:30 PM ET - Arsenal is scoring goals like crazy and that is why I am fully expecting 4 or more goals here! Arsenal has had 5 straight matches in EPL action total 4 or more goals and these matches actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Now they visit Brentford and when the Bees are on their home pitch in EPL action, they have also seen 5 straight matches total at least 4 goals and these matches have averaged 4.6 goals apiece. So here we are testing 5-0 / 100% Double Perfect runs and, the way each of these clubs has been attacking of late, I fully expect the goals to fly in this one. Each of those runs improving to PERFECT 6-0 as a result! OVER 3.5 +115 in Brentford |
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03-09-24 | Luton Town v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200093: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -120 in Crystal Palace vs Luton Town @ 10 AM ET - Crystal Palace is a different club under Glasner as they are a little more aggressive on the attack and have already scored 4 goals in 2 matches since he took over. However, they still are not watertight at the back for sure and this has also played a role in 10 of their last 12 matches in Premier League action totaling at least 3 goals. Also, Luton Town has scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches across all competitions. The last 9 of those have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 5 goals apiece. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above as that streak should make it 10 in a row here. OVER 2.5 -120 in Crystal Palace |
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03-09-24 | Everton v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 or 2.75 in Manchester United vs Everton @ 7:30 AM ET - Manchester United has some injury issues so that is keeping this total a little lower than it would otherwise be. I see a high-scoring match resulting in this one as the wounded dog often bites the hardest and Man U is a little angry right now after recent results as they have lost B2B premier league games. Note that 9 straight Man U matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals! That means we are testing a 9-0 run here going for 10 IN A ROW! I like our chances here as 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Everton has allowed 1.8 goals last 5 matches. Look for the aforementioned run to make it 10 in a row as we cash in on the line value with this one available at less than 3 goals in the market place. OVER 2.5 or 2.75 in Manchester United |
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03-08-24 | PSV Eindhoven v. Go Ahead Eagles OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #203941: Dutch Eredivisie Friday OVER 3.5 +103 in Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven @ 2 ET - PSV Eindhoven is the top club in the league and averaging an insane 3.7 goals scored per match on the road this season! As for the Go Ahead Eagles, they do have the home pitch edge here and they are averaging 2.2 goals scored per match when at home this season. Yes, this has a big total on it but you can see why. Don't be surprised if this turns into a 3-2 battle filled with goals as you have the best club in the league on the road facing a solid club trying to maintain a top 6 position in the table. The set-up is perfect for an entertaining affair here with plenty of scoring. OVER 3.5 +103 in Go Ahead Eagles |
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03-08-24 | FC Porto v. Portimonense OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #206649: Portugese Primeira Liga: Friday OVER 3 +100 in Portimonense vs FC Porto @ 1:45 ET - Porto is one of the top clubs in the league and scores and average of about 2 goals per match. They are favored by 2 goals here on the goal line. I anticipate a 3-1 type match as, even though Portimonense has been struggling, they should be good for at least 1 goal on their home pitch. They are scoring an average of 1 goal per match on the season but also allowing 2 goals per match on the season. Portimonense is off a scoreless draw at home but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 10 of first 11 home matches this season! Porto has been red hot and has scored 2.5 goals per match last 11 matches across all competitions. They have averaged 2.8 goals scored in last 5 versus Portimonense. More of the same here. OVER 3 +100 in Portimonense |
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03-08-24 | Hermannstadt v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #206961: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Off B2B draws, CFR Cluj wants to finish the regular season right with a strong win on their home pitch. They have scored 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches but also allowed 8 goals last 8 matches. Look for a 2-1 type final here as CFR Cluj is one of the best clubs in the league and the highest scoring. They should get the win here but also allow at least 1 goal. Hermannstadt had been struggling to score goals but they are off a momentum-boosting 4-1 win versus Galati last week. They remain motivated for the full 3 points in the table here based on their current position so the goals should fly here. No one is sitting back on their heels for this match. OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj |
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03-08-24 | Universitatea Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #206965: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - This is a huge match for Universitatea Cluj as they are trying to earn a spot in the top 6 and that gets them in the playoff round instead of the playout round which is coming up after this week's action. All they have to do is take care of business and they do control their own destiny. So they will be pushing hard for for the full 3 points in the table here. Facing Voluntari should help them! Voluntari has given up multiple goal totals in each of last 3 matches and allowed 2.7 goals per match during this stretch. I know Universitatea Cluj has been involved in some low-scoring matches of late but the situation here is the key and is also the reason the total on this one is set at 2.5 goals. Also, each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals! Voluntari has been struggling to score goals but they are on their home pitch for this one and every point in the table counts as they are getting ready to battle in the playout round of the post-season. They are averaging a goal per match this season and I am envisioning a 2-1 type match here in what should be a battle played with an attacking mindset. OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari |
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03-07-24 | West Ham United v. SC Freiburg OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #224425: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 +100 in Freiburg vs West Ham @ 3 ET - West Ham has scored 2 goals in each of the 2 recent meetings between these clubs but Freiburg will answer on the attacking front on their home pitch as well. Note that Freiburg has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches and those matches averaged 4.5 goals apiece and all 4 totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing a 4-0 run to the over here. As for West Ham, they have scored at least 3 goals in B2B matches plus have the recent success against Freiburg plus 4 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. A lot of signs pointing to an entertaining match-up here. OVER 2.5 +100 in Freiburg |
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03-07-24 | Aston Villa v. Ajax Amsterdam OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #219809: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Ajax Amsterdam vs Aston Villa @ 12:45 ET - Aston Villa has had 7 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 4 of the 7 totaled 4 or more so this is testing a 4-0 run in terms of matches totaling more than the 3-goal total posted on this match. Those 7 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece and Aston Villa has scored an average of 2.7 goals per match in their last 6 matches. So I look for the goals to fly here as Ajax will be tough on their home pitch too. Ajax is known for high-scoring matches as theirs are the highest scoring in the Dutch Eredivisie with a crazy average of 4 goals per match in their two dozen matches this season! Don't be surprised when this one also gets to at least the 4-goal mark here on their home pitch. OVER 3 -120 in Ajax Amsterdam |
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03-07-24 | Liverpool v. AC Sparta Prague OVER 3 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #224413: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 3 +110 in Sparta Prague vs Liverpool @ 12:45 ET - I know Liverpool has a huge match against Manchester City on deck this weekend but this club is still loaded with attacking depth and Sparta Prague are dealing with some injuries effecting the back line. That said, the Reds could surprise with a bigger than usual effort on the road in this one. However, Sparta Prague is no pushover on their home pitch and they have averaged 2.2 goals in scored in last 5 matches in Europa League action. Each of their last 3 have gone over the total and totaled at least 4 goals. I know Liverpool has produced a clean sheet in 3 straight matches but this followed a 6-match stretch in which their games were crazy and averaged 5 goals apiece. Sparta Prague can breach this backline and, at the same time, even if the Reds go with some substitute players here, these guys will be looking to impress and this one finishes with at least 3 but, even more likely, 4 or more goals! Take advantage of the over being offered at plus money in this one. OVER 3 +110 in Sparta Prague |
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03-06-24 | RB Leipzig v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #224213: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Wednesday OVER 3 -120 in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig @ 3 ET - This is a great spot for goals. RB Leipzig completely outplayed Real Madrid in the first meeting yet they are down 1-0 after that 1st leg match. RB Leipzig knows they can create chances against this club and this time they will be cashing in on those chances. At the same time, Real Madrid is on their home pitch and they will have their scoring boots on for this one as well. Note that Real Madrid has scored at least 1 goal in 23 straight matches and has averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this stretch! As for RB Leipzig, other than the 1-0 loss to Real Madrid, they have scored at least 1 goal in 16 of last 17 matches and they scored an average of 2 goals per match in that 17-match stretch. We could see a 2-2 final here and the total available at 3 is a good value in case this match ends at 2-1 but look for both teams to score multiple goals in another match filled with a lot of chances. Real Madrid because they are at home and will be challenged by an RB Leipzig club that is fired up after an undeserved 1-nill loss and so the visitors push on the attack strong here. 2-2 or 3-2 the most likely outcomes the way I see it. OVER 3 -120 in Real Madrid |
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03-06-24 | Atalanta v. Sporting Lisbon OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #224401: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -130 in Sporting Lisbon vs Atalanta @ 12:45 ET - Portuguese Primeira Liga club hosting an Italian Serie A club in this one. Each of the last two meetings have seen both clubs score. Sporting Lisbon enters this one averaging an incredible 2.7 goals scored per match in their last 38 matches across all competitions. I just do not see Atalanta slowing this freight train down! However, Sporting Lisbon has allowed 7 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions and Atalanta should make the net ripple at least once here as well. Atalanta has scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 11 across all competitions. Atlanta has allowed 1.5 goals per match last 6 matches. Of course, Sporting Lisbon is favored here with good reason and, with the way both these clubs have been both scoring and conceding of late, I expect at least a 2-1 final here and we might even see 2-2 or 3-2 in this one as the goals should fly here. OVER 2.5 -130 in Sporting Lisbon |
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03-05-24 | Lazio v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 -115 in Bayern Munich vs Lazio @ 3 ET - Bayern lost the first match 1-0 and must respond on their home pitch. They are a different club when at home and have plenty of firepower and will approach this one aggressively considering the circumstances. Bayern have scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches since losing at Lazio. However, they also have allowed an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions and conceded at least once in all 5 of those! Bayern won the two prior meetings with Lazio by an average score of 3 to 1 and that is the type of final I am looking for here. Lazio is off a 1-0 loss in Serie A action but scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions prior to that one and averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 6 matches. Of course Bayern Munich is a 1.5 favorite on the goal line for a reason and this match has 3-1 written all over it! OVER 3 -115 in Bayern Munich |
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03-05-24 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Real Sociedad OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -105 in Real Sociedad vs Paris Saint-German @ 3 ET - Real Sociedad lost the first match 2-0 and must respond in a big way on their home pitch. Down 2 goals in this one, the hosts must risk everything to try and get on the level with PSG. I am envisioning a 2-1 type match as a result. Real Sociedad will be aggressive and they will score this time around but the aggressiveness will open things up on the counterattack as well. That said, the goals should fly well in this one. Real Sociedad had a number of high quality chances in the first half of the first meeting between these clubs but they had nothing to show for it. They will get even better chances in the rematch on their home pitch and some of these will be cashed in. Keep in mind, 3 straight Real Sociedad matches in Spanish Liga 1 action have totaled at least 3 goals and 4 straight matches across all competitions have seen them both score and concede. PSG is off a scoreless draw but this followed them scoring at least 1 goal in 26 straight matches across all competitions and these averaged 2.6 goals apiece. I know PSG has a great goalie but this club is facing a desperate host that is averaging 1.5 goals scored per match on home pitch in La Liga action this season and they are going to be on the attack here and throw caution to the wind. OVER 2.5 -105 in Real Sociedad |
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03-04-24 | Arsenal v. Sheffield United OVER 3.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 105 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Monday OVER 3.5 +100 in Sheffield United vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Yes, this is a big total but Arsenal could get this all by themselves. They won the first meeting 5-0 and also are on a current run of incredible form in Premier League action. In their last 7 EPL matches, all 7 have totaled at least 3 goals and gone over the total. Arsenal has averaged an incredible 3.7 goals scored in those 7 matches. Like I said above, they just might get this total all by themselves. Even though Sheffield is off a road loss in which they failed to score, they certainly had some quality chances. I look for them to cash one of those types of opportunities here as Arsenal could get caught being overconfident and make a mistake in the defensive end. But the visitors should be good for at least 3 goals here the way they are going and that puts this one likely to finish at 3-1 at a minimum though I truly expect 5 or more. Note that Sheffield has allowed an average of 4 goals in their last 5 home matches across all competitions including allowing 5 goals in each of the last three! Their over run is 5-0 L5 home matches across all competitions and Arsenal over run is 7-0 L7 matches in EPL action. So we are testing Double 100% Perfect runs here with this one! OVER 3.5 +100 in Sheffield United |
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03-04-24 | Genoa v. Inter Milan OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #201289: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 -130 in Inter Milan vs Genoa @ 2:45 ET - Inter Milan is a heavy home favorite with good reason of course. But this Genoa club has only lost once in last 11 matches. So I do expect Genoa to keep this interesting with a most likely outcome of 3-2 or 3-1. Note that Inter Milan is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line in this one but I just can not envision a clean sheet here. By the way, even if it was a clean sheet, note that Inter Milan won the last two home meetings with Genoa by scores of 3-0 and 4-0. Either one of those outcomes would also give us a winning ticket here. But what I like the most in this one is that Genoa has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches so they should get on the board here. They will struggle, however, to try to stop this Inter Milan freight train. Inter Milan has scored 4 goals in each of last 4 matches in Serie A action for a perfect 4-0 run to the over as they are firing on all cylinders right now. Don't be surprised if this match makes it a perfect 5 IN A ROW for over the total. OVER 2.5 -130 in Inter Milan |
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03-04-24 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Big match between two of the better clubs in this league. Universitatea Craiova is seeking revenge for a 2-0 loss in Bucuresti earlier this season. That one followed 3 straight meetings that each totaled at least 4 goals so you can expect the goals to fly here. Rapid is off a 4-1 win preceded by a 3-1 loss. Speaking of high-scoring matches, Universitatea Craiova has gone over the total in 10 STRAIGHT matches! Those 10 matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. Hosting one of the top clubs in the league, you know the hosts are going to bring an aggressive attacking style here as they have been scoring well for months now and they want revenge here. The goals should fly here and these are two of the highest scoring clubs in the league. OVER 2.5 -120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-04-24 | Voluntari v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 +100 in Sepsi vs Voluntari @ 10 AM ET - This line has ticked up a bit from 2.25 to 2.5 and is an indication of what to expect here in terms of goals. Sepsi got back on track with a 2-1 road win and now carries that momentum back home. Voluntari seeks revenge for a 2-0 home loss the last time these clubs met. Voluntari is off B2B 2-1 losses and I look for another result like that here. The odds favor both clubs scoring at least once and the odds favor a result here rather than a draw as only 2 of Sepsi's last 12 matches and just 3 of Voluntari's last 10 matches have resulted in a draw. Both clubs, for differing reasons, are in need of the full 3 points in the table available from this match. Look for at least a 2-1 final as the end result here. OVER 2.5 +100 in Sepsi |
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03-03-24 | Toronto FC v. New England OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #209913: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 2.75 -120 or OVER 3 +100 in New England vs Toronto @ 2 ET - The NE defense was dreadful in their 3-1 loss last week. Toronto is amped up to end a long road losing streak. That said, look for the visitor to push hard on the attack here as new manager, Herdman, knows this team needs to get some offense going and this is the perfect spot to do it given the struggles of New England along the backline. Toronto gained a bit of a "victory" with a 0-0 draw last week but they face NE off a loss and the hosts will be on the attack early and often. It is not like Toronto was not conceding chances last week but their goalie bailed them out. New England scored 2 goals per match at home last season! Toronto allowed 2 goals per match on the road last season. But the hosts are not a huge favorite here with good reason. Their defense can not be trusted. Don't be surprised if we see a 3-2 final here or even a 2-2 draw. OVER 2.75 -120 or OVER 3 +100 in New England |
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03-03-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -110 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti put up a valiant effort in their 3-2 home loss to Universitatea Craiova in their most recent match. I liked the aggression I saw from them in this match and now they face FCSB in Bucuresti. FCSB is at the top of the table in the league and off wins by counts of 2-1 and 3-2. Also, each of the last two meeting with Petrolul Ploiesti have totaled at least 4 goals. FCSB continues to battle strong and show their depth even with some players out with injury or due to red card suspension. Petrolul Ploiesti is still mathematically alive to get into the playoff rounds rather than the playout positions so don't be surprised if you see another valiant effort here and the goals should fly in this one as a result. The visitors going strong for the full 3 points in the table and the league leaders will surely score well at home. OVER 2.5 -110 in FCSB |
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03-03-24 | Manchester United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -115 in Manchester City vs Manchester United @ 10:30 AM ET - The last 2 meetings in EPL have each totaled 3 goals but the last 4 meetings in EPL action have averaged 5 goals apiece. I am looking for at least 4 here as City is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match at home this season. United is scoring 1.4 goals per match this season. The key about Man U though is they flipped a switch after Christmas. Since then, in their 11 matches across all competitions, United has averaged 2.3 goals scored per match. They will get theirs here but City is a heavy favorite with good reason of course. City is coming off a 6-2 thrashing of Luton Town in FA Cup action and Haaland scored 5 goals in that amazing performance! Man U comes in with confidence too as they have won their 6 road fixtures across all competitions since the calendar turned the page to 2024! Man City is favored by as much as 2 goals on the goal line here and I am forecasting at least a 3-1 final here. City will show no mercy against their rivals but also they had conceded at least once in 12 of last 14 matches in EPL action prior to B2B 1-0 wins in their last two in league action. Look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 3.5 -115 in Manchester City |
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03-03-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in Burnley vs Bournemouth @ 8 AM ET - Bournemouth could get a boost with the return of Dominic Solanke for this one. If nothing else, they get a morale boost based on his MRI coming back negative. There is still much work to be done for Bournemouth as they are 13th in the table but 7 points away from 12th position. Speaking of work to do, Burnley is in the relegation zone and has its work cut out in terms of trying to get out of this hole they've put themselves into. That said, I look for a strong push from both clubs here as they each need the full 3 points in the table. On that note Bournemouth has only 3 draws in 13 matches on the road this season and Burnley has just 4 draws in 26 matches on the season! Chances of a draw are slim and odds on both teams scoring are strong so at least a 2-1 final has a great shot here! Bournemouth allowing 2.2 goals per match when traveling. Burnley allowing 2.5 goals as a host this season. Look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 2.5 -145 in Burnley |
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03-03-24 | Botosani v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206937: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Universitatea Cluj won the first meeting this season 3-0 at Botosani. Also, the last time they hosted Botosani they won 2-0. They are going to get their goals again here but they will not shutout Botosani this time around. The visitors have been playing a much more aggressive style ever since the winter break. This has led to them both scoring and conceding in all 5 matches last month! All 5 of those matches went over the total and totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this perfect totals run to make it 6 IN A ROW here on Sunday. OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-02-24 | Columbus v. Minnesota United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #209865: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 2.5 -160 or 3 -105 in Minnesota United vs Columbus @ 2 ET - Both clubs like to play aggressive on the attack. Minnesota has some injury issues but you know the place is going to be jumping for the home opener and the fact they are hosting the defending champs. However, Columbus is certainly still favored for a reason. I would not be surprised to see a 3-2 type match here given the propensity of each club to attack. However, even a 2-1 final at least avoids a loss for us here and that is an added insurance value for sure. Note that Minnesota won their first match 2-1 on the road. Columbus off a tight 1-0 win at home but allowed 38 goals in 23 road matches last season yet still won the title! Columbus was the leading scoring club in the league last season with an average of 2 goals scored per match. Minnesota scored 1.4 goals per match as a host last season and they fired their coach 4 months ago as this team looks to be more aggressive and improve on the attack. Though their new head coach is not yet on the sideline they did respond well under the interim manager last week and I look for another solid performance here after netting twice last week on the road. The result should be a high-scoring entertaining affair. OVER 2.5 -160 or 3 -105 in Minnesota |
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03-02-24 | Aston Villa v. Luton Town OVER 3 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200069: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Luton Town vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last two meetings totaled 4 goals! Luton Town has been scoring better but still can not stop anyone and Aston Villa will breach these weak back-line early and often in this one. Aston Villa has seen 6 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 4 of the 6 totaled at least 4 goals. Luton Town has had 8 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 5 of last 6 have all totaled at least 4 goals. OVER 3 -135 in Luton Town |
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03-02-24 | Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -115 in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Tottenham continues to concede goals even when on their home pitch. They do have plenty of dangerous attacking assets however and they are well-rested after having a break of 2 weeks off prior to this one. I look for the Hotspur to be relentless on the attack here as a result. Each of their last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches averaged 4 goals apiece. 5 of last 6 Crystal Palace matches have all totaled at least 3 goals. Palace has been scoring better with an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches. But they still struggle to stop the opposition and prior to their shutout of a struggling Burnley club, had allowed an average of 3 goals per match last 5 matches. The goals should fly in this one as well! OVER 3 -115 in Tottenham |
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03-02-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. UTA Arad OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 -105 in UTA vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 7 AM ET - This total has ticked up some in the market place from 2.25 to a 2.5 and it is a good sign of what to expect here. UTA took the first meeting at FCU 1948 Craiova by a count of 3-2 so now the visitors come into this one looking for a little road revenge. They will be aggressive from the outset but the hosts are not going to be held quiet either! UTA has actually scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and averaged 1.7 goals per match during this run. The issue for UTA is they are conceding far too many goals as well. They have allowed 14 goals in last 8 matches for an average of 1.8 goals per match. FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 14 of last 17 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 14 matches. Each club scores at least once here and FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - so look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 -105 in UTA |
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03-01-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #206933: Romania Liga 1: Friday Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Poli Iasi vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - These clubs had a scoreless draw the last time these teams met. It is the only time this season that Dinamo had a scoreless draw and I look for a much different outcome this time. Iasi has had 3 other scoreless draws in their other matches this season and note what happened the other time they met those same 3 opponents - each match totaled 3 or more goals! Look for this 4th and final such situation to improve that angle to a perfect 4-0 on the season for Iasi matches. Iasi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 home matches and averaged scoring 2 goals in those 9 matches! They are a stronger club at home! As for Dinamo, they have scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches as they have been much more competitive in recent matches and are showing signs they can escape the relegation zone. Dinamo has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 8 matches so the odds of each team scoring here are strong. Also, Dinamo has only 4 draws in 28 matches this season for the lowest draw rate (14%) of any club in the league! So this one should find its way to at least a 2-1 final. Dinamo off a 1-0 win over Hermannstadt but this was preceded by 4 of last 5 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Those 5 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and this one will get there as well as both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. Neither benefits enough from a draw here so look for a lot of scoring just like we saw in yesterday's Liga 1 matches. OVER 2.5 +120 in Poli Iasi |
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03-01-24 | Sivasspor v. Kasimpasa OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #207945: Turkish Super Lig: Friday Top Play OVER 3 +110 in Kasimpasa vs Silvasspor @ Noon ET - Both clubs have been playing well of late so confidence is running very high for both squads. That means there will be no hesitation in terms of taking on an attacking mindset in this battle. Kasimpasa has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches. Good odds of this getting to at least 1-1 with numbers like that so what about making sure we at least get to 3 goals here? Well, Kasimpasa has just 3 draws in 13 home matches and Silvasspor has just 3 draws in 14 road matches this season. Odds favor this one getting to at least a 2-1 final. Silvasspor has extra confidence coming in off a 4-1 win. They have scored 10 goals in last 7 matches and are unbeaten in last 5 matches. They are out for revenge in this one after a rare home shutout loss (1-0) to Kasimpasa earlier this season. That means an aggressive attack and note the road team has won 5 straight meetings between these clubs. Speaking of 5 straight, prior to that 1-0 result, 5 straight meetings between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals! Strong odds on that again here as Kasimpasa has seen 15 of last 18 matches total at least 3 goals! Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and I am expecting this one to get to 4 as well. Nice line value here wit the over 3 available at plus money. OVER 3 +110 in Kasimpasa |
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02-29-24 | Rennes v. Le Puy F43 Auvergne OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #203609: Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals: Thursday OVER 3 -115 in Le Puy F43 Auvergne vs Rennes @ 2:45 ET -Le Puy F43 Auvergne is a 4th tier level club in France while Rennes is from the strongest league, Ligue 1, in France! Making matters worse for Le Puy is that they are facing Rennes when the visitors will not be in a good mood. They were knocked out of the Europa League via a loss to AC Milan. That makes this match even more important for one of the strongest Ligue 1 clubs. That translates to a relentless attack being likely here. Rennes is a heavy 2-goal favorite in this one and I love overs in situations like this. You know Rennes should be bringing an A game effort in a spot like this but also you know the hosts are fired up about this rare opportunity on their home pitch. Look for the hosts to scratch a goal but the Ligue 1 club dominates as expected and that translates to at least a 3-1 final here as Rennes is projected to win this by a 2-goal margin. LePuy has been playing well and is loaded with confidence right now as a result. They also have scored at least 2 goals in all their victories on their match through the Coupe de France. They should get 1 by Rennes here as they are going with their #2 goalie here. Some of the top players from Rennes could be rested here but they still have far too much talent and should score at least 3 goals on their own in this one. OVER 3 -115 in Le Puy F43 Auvergne |
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02-29-24 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari vs FCSB @ 2 ET - FCSB got back on track after a rare scoreless draw by notching a big 3-2 win versus Botosani last week. Speaking of scoreless draws, they had one with Voluntari earlier this season. Both clubs will make up for that here. FCSB has scored an average of 2 goals per match this season on the road. Their scoreless draw at Universitatea Cluj in their most recent road match was the first time they scored away from home. Even though this match is in Voluntari, a suburb of Bucuresti, it is technically still an away match for FCSB. Look for their high-scoring ways on the road to quickly resume. They are such a strong club and sometimes they seem to be more focused when they are away from their home venue. Hence, the higher scoring results we consistently see when they travel. As for Voluntari, they have struggled to score goals lately but are coming off a 2-1 road loss after being shutout in their most recent home match. They will be amped to face their "big brother" in the league and I look for them to make the net ripple at least once and, of course, FCSB is favored for a reason. This one has 2-1 written all over it. OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari |
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02-29-24 | CS U Craiova v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova @ 11:30 AM ET - Petro is a different club when they are at home and they also have the rest edge over Universitatea Craiova in this one. Petro has struggled on the road lately but on their home pitch they have scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches. In fact, they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals per match in those 5 matches. That bodes well for an entertaining match here as the Universitatea Craiova manager is preaching to his players they must go hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Universitatea Craiova enters this one on an incredible 9-match streak of high-scoring matches that all have totaled 3 or more goals! Look for this one to make it 10 in a row! OVER 2.5 +110 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-29-24 | Sepsi v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 114 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1: Thursday OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani vs Sepsi @ 9:15 AM ET - Botosani is in better current form but Sepsi is favored on the road for a reason. This is why I am anticipating goals here. Sepsi, of course, must score to win and they are a decent favorite as a visitor in this one. But when you look at this Botosani club, they have scored 2 goals in each of their 4 matches this month! This included 2 wins and a draw so they have been picking up points in the table. All 4 of their matches this month totaled at least 3 goals and this one should too. 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs each got to the 7-goal mark! Tremendous value with this total posted at only 2 goals. I know that Sepsi has struggled for goals lately but the style this host has been playing is going to open things up for both clubs to have plenty of scoring chances. OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani |
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02-28-24 | Leeds United v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #200417: English FA Cup | Fifth Round: Wednesday OVER 3 +105 in Chelsea vs Leeds United @ 2:30 ET - Chelsea lost to Liverpool 1-0 late in extra time to lose a shot at earning some hardware with the Carabao Cup at Wembley Stadium. Now Chelsea returns home with much to be fired up about. They were far too conservative in the match with Liverpool and ultimately paid for it. Also, they lost had a tough 1-1 draw with Manchester City in their most recent Premier League match. This is Chelsea's first home match in over 3 weeks so I know they are going to be fired up for a big performance at home. Also, prior to these B2B disappointing results, Chelsea had 4 straight matches across all competitions all total at least 4 goals! Those matches averaged 5 goals apiece and I expect a return to that type of action here as they face a confident Leeds United group! Leeds is currently a level below the Premier League as they are in the English League Championship this season. But the fact is they are on fire right now so they are playing with a ton of confidence. Leeds United is undefeated in their dozen matches this season with 11 wins and 1 draw and has scored an average of 2.5 goals per match during this run. We'll see aggressiveness from both sides here given all of the above. The result should be 4 goals or more here! OVER 3 +105 in Chelsea |
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02-28-24 | UTA Arad v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #206889: Romania Liga 1: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -123 in Rapid Bucuresti vs UTA @ 2 ET - Rapid ready to respond on their home pitch off a 3-1 road loss last week. However, since returning from the winter break, Rapid has allowed 8 goals in 6 matches and I look for the trend to continue here. Rapid is favored by 1 goal on the goal line with good reason here. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here and that is why you see this one, rare for a Romanian match, actually has a bit of a price on the over. Don't let that keep you away from this great spot. Rapid has scored 2 goals per match since coming back from the break and Bucuresti will be rocking for this home match tonight. The last meeting was a 2-2 draw and UTA is a talented club that can be tough to shut down. UTA has scored 1.8 goals per match in last 5 matches and 5 straight UTA matches had totaled at least 4 goals before the last two have been 1-0 UTA wins. UTA has gotten on the scoresheet in 5 straight matches and that should continue here. However, they are not slowing down a determined Rapid club on their home pitch either! 2-1 ... at least ... is my call in this one. OVER 2.5 -123 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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02-28-24 | Napoli v. Sassuolo Calcio OVER 2.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #201245: Italian Serie A: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Sassuolo vs Napoli @ Noon ET - Sassuolo is allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season. Napoli has scored an average of 3 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. Sassuolo has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight home matches and I do not see that trend ending here. However, of course Napoli is favored for a reason here and I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here as a result. Napoli has not been scoring as well of late but this is still a club with a shot at moving into a top six spot in the table and ready for a breakout match against an opponent that has been giving up goals in bunches this month. Look for a relentless attack from the visitors in this one as they look to maintain their long-term success against this host. OVER 2.5 -135 in Sassuolo |
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02-28-24 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #206909: Romania Liga 1: Wednesday OVER 2 -133 in Universitatea Cluj vs Farul @ 11:30 AM ET - This total is moving lower as it is down to a 2 and available at a very fair price. Each of the last 3 meetings have totaled 2 goals so getting a 2 here is a key value. Why will this one get to 3 or more though? Universitatea Cluj is at home and off ridiculous B2B scoreless draws. Note that this season, when off 2 or more consecutive matches totaling 2 or less goals, their next match has totaled at least 2 goals ALL 5 times and that includes 4 of the 5 totaling 3 or more. In fact, these 5 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Farul typically was known for scoring better at home than on the road but the opposite is true this season and they have scored 1.4 goals per match last 9 matches on the road. More of the same here and this one gets to at least a 2-1 final as Farul continues to battle to secure a top 6 spot in the table while Universitatea Cluj has not yet secured avoiding the dreaded bottom 4 area of the table. Both clubs attack for the full 3 points in this one. OVER 2 -133 in Universitatea Cluj |
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02-27-24 | Manchester City v. Luton Town OVER 3 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup | Fifth Round: Tuesday OVER 3 -130 in Luton Town vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Both clubs expected to start back-up goalkeepers here. Not only that but scrappy Luton Town is usually good for a goal when they are on their home pitch. Manchester City is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line with good reason. In other words, you can see why I am anticipating a 3-1 type match here. Also, City has played some low-scoring matches of late but Luton Town is known for conceding in bunches and I look for the visitors to really open things up with an aggressive attack on display throughout this one. Note that Luton Town has had 7 straight matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and 4 of those totaled at least 4 goals. Look for this one to do the same as City goes ballistic here and the energy at Luton Town also spurs on a great effort from the hosts here in a high-scoring affair. OVER 3 -130 in Luton Town |
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02-27-24 | Hermannstadt v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday OVER 2 -110 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs Hermanndstadt @ 11:30 AM ET - Excellent value on the over here considering the total on this one is two goals. Hermannstadt is hungry for the full 3 points in the table as they are trying to remain in the top 6 in the table. Dinamo is trying to avoid a potential slip to the bottom of the table and they had a lot of momentum before losing most recent match. They will bounce back here and certainly are also going for the full 3 points in the table rather than being willing to settle for a draw. Note that Dinamo has had 5 straight matches total at least 2 goals and those 5 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. Before getting throttled 4-0 last week, Dinamo had scored 7 goals in the 4 matches leading into that one. They are fully capable of a bounce back here on their home pitch where they get a lot of fan support. Hermannstadt is known for lower-scoring matches but they have allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight road matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals in those 8 matches. All 8 of those matches totaled at least 2 goals and this one will too and I look for the extra push to help result in a 2-1 final here as both clubs hungry for the full 3 points in the table as noted above. Also, Dinamo has one of the lowest draw rates in the league with just a 15% draw rate! OVER 2 -110 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
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02-27-24 | CSMS Iasi v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #206893: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -105 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Poli Iasi @ 9:15 AM ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has the fewest draws in the league with just an 11% draw rate! This match is also critical for each club to get the full 3 points in the table as each club looking to avoid being dropped into the final 4 spots in the table. That said a strong effort for the victory here coupled with that low draw rate means that if each club can be expected to score here then logically at least a 2-1 final can be expected as well! FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight home matches and averaged 1.6 goals scored during this stretch. They also have conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and allowed 1.8 goals per match during this stretch. Poli Iasi has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 3 goals and these 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. We only need 3 to be a winner here and I expect at least a 2-1 battle given all of the above. OVER 2.5 -105 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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02-26-24 | Rayo Vallecano v. Girona OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #201913: Spanish La Liga: Monday OVER 2.5 -135 in Girona vs Rayo Vallecano @ 3 ET - Girona is the highest scoring club in the league with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match. A lot of value here with this total at 2.5 goals. Yes Rayo Vallecano is not known for scoring big but each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have seen them both score and concede! These meetings averaged 3.6 goals apiece and all 5 matches totaled at least 3 goals and I am happy to test this 5-0 RUN to the over here with a solid shot for at least a 3-goal result here. Rayo Vallecano has both scored an conceded in 4 straight matches and the first 3 of those all totaled at least 3 goals. You can see why both teams expected to score here plus Girona has only a 16% draw rate in home matches this season which increases the odds of this one getting to at least a 2-1 final. In matches across all competitions, Girona matches have seen 5 of last 7 total at least 4 goals. Those 5 averaged 5 goals apiece. Coming off B2B road losses and with most recent match on home pitch a rare scoreless draw, Girona is primed for an offensive onslaught here but Girona hangs around which helps force this one over the total. OVER 2.5 -135 in Girona |
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02-26-24 | Brentford v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200041: English Premier League: Monday OVER 2.5 -135 in West Ham United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - West Ham and Brentford both have seen their matches average 3 goals apiece this season and with strong odds each team scores here plus the fact Brentford has only an 8% draw rate in road matches this season, this one is destined for at least a 2-1 final. Both clubs hungry to get back on track after some tough recent results and I like the fact Brentford has scored at least 2 goals on West Ham in 4 of the last 5 meetings. West Ham has faced some tough recent competition but certainly should be able to get back on track offensively against a Bees club allowing 1.8 goals per match this season! The problem for West Ham is they continue to see their backline breached. West Ham has allowed 3 goals per match in their last 5 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 -135 in West Ham United |
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02-26-24 | Voluntari v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #206857: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -105 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - This total is moving up even though the last 4 meetings between these clubs have averaged just 1 goal apiece! The reason for the movement is sharp money on the over and we are getting in on this as well! Universitatea Craiova had meetings with players and management and coaching staff all involved and they are at home here and desperate to turn around a disappointing stretch. That means goals here as they push hard for the full 3 points in the table and take advantage of an also struggling FC Voluntari side. Note that 8 straight Universitatea Craiova matches have gone over the total. They will be relentless on the attack which will open things up for FC Voluntari opportunities as well and the visitors are trying to escape the lower reaches of the table. This all translates to at least a 2-1 final and I look for that 8-0 over trend to make it 9 in a row here! OVER 2.5 -105 in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-26-24 | Torino v. Roma OVER 2 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #201237: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2 -130 in Roma vs Torino @ 12:30 ET - This total is offering exceptional value on the over at just 2 goals. Roma just played Thursday so Torino has the rest edge and will push the pace a little bit here as a result. Torino will be more aggressive than usual on the attack. However, Roma can certainly counter at home where they have been so strong this season. Roma is averaging 2.3 goals scored at home this season while conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Torino is known for lower-scoring matches but, again, given the situation here goals can be expected. Also, Torino is both scoring and conceding at a rate of 1 goal scored and 1 goal allowed per match on the season. Roma has only a 20% draw rate in home matches this season. That is why the odds are favoring a 2-1 final here but we also have added value of this total available at 2 goals. Roma has had 6 straight Serie A matches total at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. No hesitation for me in testing this 6-0 RUN to the over with a solid situation here. OVER 2 -130 in Roma |
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02-25-24 | Toronto FC v. FC Cincinnati OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #209849: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 3 -125 in FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC @ 2:30 ET - Toronto was bottom of the league last season and gave up 2 goals per match on the road. Cincinnati was top of the league and scored 2 goals when at home. Toronto did outshoot their opponent 12-5 in their season finale last year which is only significant because it was the first under new head coach John Herdman. He had been coaching the men's national team and is now ready to begin his first full season at the helm for Toronto. The point is that, though shots actually on goal were 3-3 in that game, the emphasis on attack was there and that was evidenced by that 12-5 statistic. In this match there will be plenty of attacking as Cincy so dangerous and wants to utilize that at home after a disappointing playoff exit last season to eventual champion Columbus. That said, the goals should fly here as Cincinnati does have some defensive injuries and Toronto also still has plenty of defensive liability. Couple that with Toronto's emphasis being on improving from being the lowest-scoring club in the league last season and you have a great match for expecting big goals. It is with good reason that Cincy is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here. Look for a 3-1 type final in this one! OVER 3 -125 in Cincinnati |
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02-25-24 | Botosani v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Botosani @ 1 ET - This is a match-up of the top club with the bottom club in the table. However, don't look for a snooze-fest here because of that. FSCB has some injury issues which has impacted their depth defensively. Botosani will take advantage as, despite their poor season record, their current level of play has exceeded that by a solid margin. They are scoring goals well but still have trouble preventing goals on the counterattack. That means this should be a back and forth shootout, truly. Botosani has scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches! However, Botosani has also conceded 7 goals in last 4 matches. FCSB will take advantage and is at home and looking to bounce back after scoring just 2 goals total in last 3 matches after they had enjoyed a red hot scoring run. Facing a Botosani club on a run of 3 straight overs increases the odds of FSCB returning to their high-scoring ways. OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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02-25-24 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #200601: EFL Cup | Final: Sunday OVER 3 in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ Wembley Stadium in London @ 10 AM ET - This is a huge match as it is a chance to win some hardware. This is helping keeping this total low as, of course, a match like this would not be expected to be as free-flowing as a regular season match. We take advantage of this over 3 available at even money. The fact is the Chelsea backline has looked great recently but is still missing some players and Liverpool has the firepower to take advantage. This is particularly true with a few players likely back for this match as well after being rested in mid-week action. The problem for the Reds is not the scoring aspect however, it is a very leaky backline as they continue to concede goals consistently in each match. 6 straight Liverpool matches - across all competitions - have totaled at least 4 goals! Chelsea has allowed 11 goals last 5 matches. They also have scored 10 goals during this 5-match stretch. This included a 4-1 loss to Liverpool. Look for another high-scoring but more evenly played match this time around and a 2-2 draw decided on penalty kicks would not surprise me in the least. Either way, look for the over run of 6-0 in Liverpool matches to make it 7 STRAIGHT overs with another wild one here. OVER 3 in Chelsea |
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02-25-24 | Sheffield United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or OVER 3 in Wolverhampton vs Sheffield United @ 8:30 AM ET - The over is a PERFECT 7-0 this YEAR, in 2024, in Sheffield United matches as all 7 - across all competitions - have totaled at least 4 goals! Yes, Sheffield has been known for a long time for allowing goals at an alarming rate but the most impressive aspect of this high-scoring match streak from the perspective of Sheffield, is they have actually averaged 3 goals scored per match in the 3 matches away from home in 2024. That said, the goals should fly here as the Wolves are at home and are dangerous on the attack. They suffered a rare shutout in most recent home match but this followed a stretch of scoring at least 1 goal in 14 straight home matches and they averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this streak. Couple that with facing the weak defense of Sheffield and you have the perfect setup for a goal-fest here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Wolverhampton |
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02-24-24 | Newcastle United v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Arsenal vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Newcastle is getting healthier and should have both Isak and Willock back for this one. Also, Arsenal will not be in a good mood after losing 1-0 at FC Porto in Champions League action. As a result, they will be aggressive on the attack on their home pitch here but a Newcastle side rejuvenated by returning players, including their leading scorer, is also going to be ready to attack as well. This one sets up perfectly to be an entertaining affair with solid scoring from each club. Note that Arsenal has gone 6-0 to the over in their last 6 Premier League matches and they have scored 4.2 goals per match in their last 5 in EPL action! Also, Newcastle has seen 7 straight Premier League matches go over the total and these have averaged 5 goals apiece! We should see plenty of goals here but I will grab the over 3 just to be safe but certainly expecting 4 or more. Given the situation and all of the above, plenty of scoring likely in this one. OVER 3 -135 in Arsenal |
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02-24-24 | Atlanta United v. Columbus OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #209805: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 3 in Columbus vs Atlanta United @ 2 ET - These were the two highest scoring clubs in the league last season. Atlanta United has revenge here from losing to Columbus in the post-season last year on the way to the latter eventually winning their 3rd MLS Cup. The average score of Columbus home matches last season was 3-1 and certainly there is nothing average about that! Both of these clubs like to attack but it also leaves them open to getting burned on the counterattack. Atlanta United scored an average of 2 goals per match last season but also allowed an average of 2 goals per match when on the road. Columbus also allowed an average of 2 goals per match when on the road. Again, Columbus is at home for this one but it just goes to show you how frequently both these clubs get burned for goals even though they themselves also score goals aplenty. Per all of the above I am expecting a 3-2 type final here and we only need 4 to be a winner in this one. OVER 3 in Columbus |
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02-24-24 | Manchester City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200029: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -130 in Bournemouth vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - City had been scoring like crazy, as per usual, but then scored only 1 goal in their 1-nil victory over Brentford. I believe they coasted there at home and also there were certainly missed scoring opportunities in that match. Going on the road, in my opinion, is going to force City to get back into that attacking mindset. Keep in mind, even on the road they average 2.3. goals scored per game. However, away from home City is also conceding 1.3 goals per game. City has now scored 1 goal in B2B matches as they had the tough 1-1 draw with Chelsea prior to the win over the Bees. They need to, and will, wake up here and they will score like crazy against this Bournemouth club. The hosts have allowed an average of 2 goals per match this season. Also, each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and City has actually scored at least 4 goals in each of the last 3 meetings! Bournemouth has scored at least 1 goal in 17 of last 18 matches across all competitions and actually averaged 2 goals scored per match during this stretch. That is why I fully expect 4 or more goals here and certainly we have extra value with this total available at 3 goals. OVER 3 -130 in Bournemouth |
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02-24-24 | Fulham v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200017: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 in Manchester United vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - I was involved with the Manchester United match over 3 last week and would you believe it was Man U up 2-1 after just 14 minutes and YET no one scored the rest of the way? Brutal push to say the least but I expect to get the win this week that we so much deserved last week. The fact is Man U has had their scoring boots on again and they continue to pile up goals but they also have some concerns defensively in terms of absentees for this one. Fulham will take advantage of that and should score at least once. Fulham is scoring 1.4 goals per match this season but also allowing 2.2 goals per match away from home. Man U has only 2 draws this season so the odds of a draw are just 8% the way their matches have played out this season. In other words, strong odds this one gets to at least 2-1 though I am certainly expecting much more. Since Christmas, Man U has flipped a switch and they have scored an average of 2.6 goals per match since then. More of the same here. Also, all 7 of their Premier League matches since Christmas have totaled at least 3 goals and those averaged 4 goals apiece! At over 3 goals here, we are testing a 7-0 unbeaten run. No hesitation in doing just that! OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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02-24-24 | Petrolul 52 v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -129 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2 -125 in UTA vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 7 AM ET - UTA is off a 1-0 win. That was a rare low-scoring match for them. The 5 most recent matches for UTA prior to that had all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 3.6 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti finally got back into the win column with a 2-1 win over Poli Iasi in most recent match. Look for them to use that as a springboard here as, with the Hermannstadt win yesterday, Petrolul Ploiesti needs a win here to get back in front of them for the #6 spot in the table! Being top 6 is a key in this league. UTA is not far behind either so, what you will see here is two clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and I see this one getting to at least 2-1 as a result. We have the added insurance of the over at 2 goals which makes a 1-1 final a push here though I am certainly getting involved here with the expectation of 3 or more goals. The fact each club is buoyed with confidence off a win last week will also result in an attacking mindset here as well. OVER 2 -125 in UTA |
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02-23-24 | Mainz v. Bayer Leverkusen OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #202469: German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz @ 2:30 ET - Bayer Leverkusen is trying to work on winning the Bundesliga this season and they are currently at the top of the table and scoring an average of 3 goals per match as a host in league action! Mainz is really struggling but they are battling in the relegation zone so they will go all out here. They should get at least a goal - as they are averaging that in road matches this season - and must be aggressive here. However, they are allowing 2 goals per match this season when away from home and should give up 3 or more as they face the best team in Germany! Incredible undefeated run is intact for Bayer Leverkusen and this one looks like a 3-1 final! Either way we see 4 or more goals here the way I see this one playing out. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Bayer Leverkusen |
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02-23-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206881: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in CFR Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Dinamo is playing much better but, of course, is not a mistake that CFR Cluj is favored by 1 goal on the goal line. That said, we have excellent line value here given the way both of these clubs have been trending. Dinamo has scored 7 goals in its last 4 matches. 3 of the 4 totaled at least 3 goals. CFR Cluj has scored 9 goals in its last 4 matches. 3 of the 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals! CFR Cluj was shutout in most recent match at home but they faced a tough Rapid Bucuresti club. Now they face another Bucuresti club but this time it is a Dinamo club that has more defensive liability. CFR Cluj had scored 2 goals per match so far in home matches this season prior to that home shutout loss to Rapid. In other words, this match has 2-1 written all over it as Dinamo is improving but they won't be able to stop a determined host here either! 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in CFR Cluj |
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02-23-24 | Caykur Rizespor v. Samsunspor OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #207897: Turkish Super Lig: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -110 in Samsunspor vs Caykur Rizespor @ Noon ET - Caykur Rizespor is allowing 2 goals per match in road games this season. Samsunspor should get their two goals here but also note that the hosts are allowing 1.4 goals per match this season. This one shapes up to be a 2-1 battle as Samsunspor is unbeaten in 6 of last 7 matches with the only loss to league-leader Galatasaray. In the other 6 matches, Samsunspor did average 1.5 goals scored per match. Also, though they have been tough at home this season, I can not forecast a shutout here against a Caykur Rizespor club that is much higher in the table with good reason. Off a 3-1 loss to 2nd place Fenerbahce, Caykur Rizespor will take advantage here of facing a club in the lower half of the table. The result is an entertaining battle with scoring from both clubs. So what about the odds of a 1-1 draw here? Well, Caykur Rizespor has only a 23% draw rate this season and Samsunspor has only a 15% draw rate at home this season. In other words, strong odds on at least a 2-1 battle here. 10* OVER 2.5 -110 in Samsunspor |
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02-23-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -126 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206885: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Hermannstadt vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 10 AM ET - The value of a 2 is big here. 8 of last 9 Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those matches averaged 2.4 goals apiece and with Hermannstadt off a rare scoreless draw in their most recent home match I know they should bring an aggressive effort to the pitch on Friday. As for FCU 1948 Craiova, 20 of their 26 matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals. They are off a 3-1 loss at home and also off a 1-0 loss in their most recent road match. So, like Hermannstadt, FCU 1948 Craiova will put an emphasis on the attacking side of things after being shutout on their most recent travels. Their last 10 matches that have totaled at least 2 goals did average 3.4 goals apiece so expecting 3 or more here is well within reason and we'll take advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 2 -120 in Hermannstadt |
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02-22-24 | Galatasaray v. AC Sparta Prague OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 115 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #224449: Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 +115 in AC Sparta Prague vs Galatasaray @ 3 ET - Down 3-2 based on the 1st Leg result, Sparta Prague must be aggressive from the onset here. While I am expect that to result in some scoring from the home side here, it also opens things up for the red hot attacking side of Galatasaray on the counter. Note that Galatasary enters this one having scored an average of 3 goals per match in their last 8 matches across all competitions. 8 straight Galatasaray matches have seen them score at least 2 goals. 4 straight Sparta Prague matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Also, they have scored at least 2 goals in 11 straight matches! So you have two red hot attacks matched up here and I see at least a 2-1 final here as the hosts battle hard, and must be aggressive, to try and stave off elimination. Look for another 3-2 final or perhaps 2-2 draw here. OVER 3 +115 in AC Sparta Prague |
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02-22-24 | Molde v. Legia Warsaw OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #236061: Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -120 in Legia Warsaw vs Molde @ 3 ET - In the first leg Legia was down 3-0 and it looked like all hope was lost. However, they rallied for 2 goals which sets this one up perfectly. Yes, Legia is still down 3-2 but at least they have hope now and truly they have much more than just hope. That's because this club has been great on their home pitch! As a result, the goals should fly in this one. Down a goal on the aggregate, Legia must be aggressive here but the club from Norway (Molde) already showed what their attacking style is capable of in jumping out to that 3-0 lead in the first meeting. That said, goals will be the story in this one. Molde has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches. Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and 4 of the 5 did total at least 4 goals and we only need 3 to be a winner here. Legia has scored 19 goals in last 11 matches as a host and they'll need at least 2 here to stay alive in this one because Molde will continue scoring well also. That sets this up in good shape for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 -120 in Legia Warsaw |
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02-22-24 | Benfica v. Toulouse OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #224433: Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -130 in Toulouse vs Benfica @ 12:45 ET - Down 2-1 based on the 1st Leg result, Toulouse must be aggressive from the onset here. While I am expect that to result in some scoring from the home side here, it also opens things up for the red hot attacking side of Benfica on the counter. Note that Benfica enters this one having scored an average of 3 goals per match in their last 11 matches across all competitions. 6 straight Benfica matches have totaled at least 3 goals. 4 straight Toulouse matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Double Perfect trends favoring the over here. OVER 2.5 -130 in Toulouse |
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02-22-24 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Bodo / Glimt OVER 3.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #236041: Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3.5 +100 in Bodo / Glimt vs Ajax Amsterdam @ 12:45 ET - Ajax had to rally for the 2-2 draw in the first leg. As tough as that match was for them as they finally responded twice very late, Ajax again proved why their attacking style is so tough on the opposition. Ajax is known for goals and Bodo / Glimt will also enjoy success on their home pitch here in the type of match that could work itself into another 2-2 draw. Note that Ajax has both scored and conceded in a remarkable run of 14 straight matches - no clean sheets for them or the opposition! Note also that 6 straight Ajax road matches have totaled at least 4 goals and those 6 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Look for this one to take that run to a PERFECT 7-0 L7! As for Bodo / Glimt, the club from Norway has averaged 2 goals per match last 6 all competitions but also allowed 3 goals per match in that 6-match stretch across all competitions. Look for a 3-2 type final here or at least 2-2. Don't let the big number scare you away on this one. OVER 3.5 +100 in Bodo / Glimt |
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02-21-24 | Real Salt Lake v. Inter Miami OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #209801: Major League Soccer: Wednesday OVER 3 -130 in Inter Miami vs Real Salt Lake @ 8 ET - Real Salt Lake gave up 1.5 goals per match last season and was one of the better road clubs in the league last season. Inter Miami gave up 1.6 goals per match last season and they have not looked great in their recent matches leading up to the new MLS season in terms of being a bit disorganized and these mistakes leading to too many goals conceded. At the same time Real Salt Lake is known for issues at the back and making mistakes in front of their own goal. That sets this one up well to be a back and forth match with plenty of scoring chances. Inter Miami made some big offseason additions and looks much improved as Lionel Messi now has more talent around him. They will look to make a big statement here at home in their season opener and they are a 1-goal favorite with good reason. However, Real Salt Lake has the attacking power to stick around in this match and I would not be surprised to see a 3-2 type match here in an exciting season opener to lift the lid on a new season. OVER 3 -130 in Inter Miami |
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02-21-24 | Barcelona FC v. Napoli OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #224225: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg Wednesday OVER 2.5 -130 in Napoli vs Barcelona @ 3 ET - Napoli is on their 3rd head coach already this season! He is newly appointed and Francesco Calzona will be leading the club for the first time here. I expect a "manager bounce" here as a result. What I mean by this is a huge response from Napoli and they are on their home pitch and the players know they certainly have played a role in now working on a 3rd manager just this season alone! Napoli, having underachieved this season, will be very aggressive on their home pitch here. However, while I expect this to lead to some goal-scoring success, they will struggle to stop a Barcelona club that has been consistently finding the back of the net! Barcelona has scored at least 1 goal in 21 straight matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this red hot run. However, Barcelona has also allowed 2 goals per match on average in their last 17 matches. In other words, the goals should absolutely fly in this one! Barcelona's last 8 road matches have averaged 5 goals apiece and all 8 of them totaled at least 3 goals and went over the total. PERFECT 8-0 RUN to the Over in Barcelona away matches! OVER 2.5 -130 in Napoli |
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02-21-24 | Luton Town v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3.5 -110 in Liverpool vs Luton Town @ 2:30 ET - I am well aware each club has some injury issues. However, Luton Town has been allowing goals at an alarming rate for much of this season and now they visit a Liverpool club that averages scoring 3 goals per match when they are hosting in EPL action. Also, the Reds have allowed at least 1 goal in 7 straight home matches! So, with Liverpool not exactly stellar defensively (even on their home pitch) but also lethal on the attack and with plenty of goal-scoring options, it makes sense to expect plenty of goals here. Liverpool is favored by 2 goals on the goal line with good reason and, given all of the above, one can logically expect a 3-1 type match here at a minimum. Luton Town has seen their 7 matches since Christmas Day average 4.4 goals apiece! Liverpool has seen ALL 6 of their matches in league action total at least 4 goals (and average 5 goals) so far in 2024! Look for this run to reach a PERFECT 7-0 on the year here as another high-scoring battle looms large in this one! OVER 3.5 -110 in Liverpool |
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02-21-24 | Maccabi Haifa v. Gent OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #236033: Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg Wednesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Gent vs Maccabi Haifa @ Noon ET - Gent lost the 1st Leg 1-0 at Maccabi Haifa. However, now they are back home where they have been strong historically in Europa Conference League matches and, in fact, have won 5 straight of them here and scored an average of 3.6 goals per victory in that 5-match winning streak! Down 1-0, Gent must be aggressive here on the attack. They can not just sit back as they must get the equalizer. However, Maccabi Haifa has scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches across all competitions and averaged 2 goals per match during this stretch. Given their overall strength coupled with the strength of this host when on their home pitch, I am banking on a 2-1 type final in this one! OVER 2.5 -115 in Gent |
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02-20-24 | Atletico Madrid v. Inter Milan UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #224218: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Tuesday UNDER 2.5 -135 in Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid @ 3 ET - Inter Milan is at the very top of the Serie A table thanks in part to incredible play in the defensive end. They have allowed only a 1/2 goal per match on the season! Many clean sheets for Inter Milan. This being the 1st Leg of this battle and with stingy Inter Milan on their home pitch, I fully expect a defensive-minded masterpiece here. If either club does get on the board early they will then go into a lead-protect mode even with the match only 1-0. I say that because Atletico Madrid is in 4th place in the La Liga table as they are allowing only 1 goal per match. Trust me, I know both teams have attacking talents but neither one has a fear of winning 1-0 matches and this will be a tight, defensive-minded battle as both clubs play a protective brand of football in the first leg of this round of 16. UNDER 2.5 -135 in Inter Milan |
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02-20-24 | Borussia Dortmund v. PSV Eindhoven OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 +105 in PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund @ 3 ET - PSV is top of the Dutch Eredivisie table and averaging scoring 3 goals per match! Dortmund is a solid 4th in the Bundesliga table and averaging scoring 2 goals per match! Of course both clubs capable of playing some defense but attacking is the name of the game with PSV and their manager used to be a manager at Dortmund as well! Peter Bosz knows it is imperative for his side to take full advantage of home pitch here as they know it will be much tougher on the road in the 2nd leg. That said, you will see a lot of attacking here from a PSV club that loves to function in attack mode. PSV is known for this but Dortmund has the firepower to match them goal for goal here and this one sets up to be a 2-2 type of match with a sharing of the spoils! Note that Dortmund off a 1-1 draw but this was preceded by them scoring at least 3 goals in 4 of 5 matches! PSV has scored multiple goals in 10 of last 14 matches. We'll see goals galore here! OVER 3 +105 in PSV Eindhoven |
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02-20-24 | Brentford v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #200001: English Premier League Tuesday OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City vs Brentford @ 2:30 ET - Brentford is in the wrong place at the wrong time. The Bees just got hammered 4-1 by Liverpool and that match was on Brentford's home pitch! Now they go on the road and face a Manchester City club that is not in a good mood for multiple reasons! They have watched Liverpool extend their lead at the top of the table and are coming off a disappointing 1-1 draw with Chelsea in which they had so many chances but failed to convert. Also, Haaland had a horrible game and will be ready to respond here. Another motivating factor is even though City got some revenge for last season with a 3-1 win at Brentford this season, note that the Bees won both matches with City last season including the one at Manchester! That was a RARE home loss for City and they will be out for revenge here and I expect them to be relentless on the attack here! City is favored by 2 goals on the goal line for this one and that is why I feel the best way to play this one for maximum value is the over 3.5 at plus money. Look for at least a 3-1 final here and we might see much more given the scenario here. Note too that Brentford should be good for making the net ripple as City is allowing 1 goal per match this season. Also, the Bees have scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches! OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City |
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02-19-24 | Crystal Palace v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #200101: English Premier League: Monday OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Most are looking under here and I get it. I understand it. But this is a huge value with the plus money on an over when you consider Everton should score well at home and Crystal Palace will play with an edge here. The visitors want to win this one for their manager who has been in a recent stay in the hospital. Crystal Palace fully capable of scoring here and will be motivated but their weak rearguard is a major concern. These clubs had some recent low-scoring battles in English FA Cup action but Everton has scored 3 goals in 2 of the last 3 meetings and Palace had 2 goals in the most recent meeting. Everton has allowed 2 goals in 3 of last 4 matches across all competitions. Also, Everton has scored 4 goals in their last 3 matches on their home pitch across all competitions. Yes, Everton is known for defense first but, at home and facing a leaky opposing backline, look for the hosts to be more aggressive than usual as they look to take advantage. Crystal Palace, in English Premier League matches, had had 5 straight total at least 3 goals and also 8 of last 9 total at least 3 goals and that includes 4 in a row in on enemy soil in EPL action. Considering these numbers and the unique situation here involving the CP manager, look for plenty of scoring in this one. OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton |
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02-19-24 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #206853: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have seen both clubs score and those meetings averaged 3 goals apiece. 4 of the last 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj have totaled at least 3 goals. However, they have not won any of their last 3 matches and will be hungry to topple the table-leading club from FCSB in this one! Note that FCSB has not won any of the last 3 meetings between these clubs so they will be extra hungry for a road win here as well. Given all of the above I fully expect an entertaining 2-1 type match in this one. FCSB has a 1-0 win and 1-1 draw so far this month but they will open up the offensive production here in a road match in which they desperately want the full 3 points. Note that FCSB preceded those 2 matches with 4 straight totaling at least 3 goals and the goals will be flying again in this one given the way Universitatea Cluj has seen goals galore in 4 of their last 5 matches. Amazingly, FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in all 12 of their road matches this season and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in these dozen matches away from home! Universitatea Cluj has scored 5 goals in their 4 matches since the winter break and will again make the net ripple here at home in this one! OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Cluj |
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02-19-24 | Konyaspor v. Besiktas OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #207849: Turkish Super Lig: Monday OVER 2.5 -120 in Besiktas vs Torku Konyaspor @ Noon ET - Besiktas won the prior meeting this season 2-0 but this followed both clubs scoring in each of the 3 most recent meetings prior to that. The last 4 meetings averaged 3 goals apiece and we should get there again today. Konyaspor has seen their road matches average approximately 3 goals apiece this season with roughly an average result of a loss by a 2-1 count. That looks like a highly probable outcome here as Besiktas is favored by one goal on the goal line with good reason. Besiktas is averaging 1.5 goals scored per match when at home this season and, now facing a club in the relegation zone they certainly will take advantage and produce a multi-goal output here. Besiktas will be ready to go after a scoreless draw in most recent match which was on road. Now they are back at home where they scored 2 goals in most recent match. Also, in their 5 home matches across all competitions from late November to mid-January all 5 totaled at least 3 goals plus averaged 4 goals apiece. This is a bounce back spot for them on their home pitch coming off a draw and they will take full advantage of facing a lesser foe but look for Konyaspor to make the net ripple as well. Besitkas has some injury issues so this will also help open things up for the attackers that the visitors possess but ultimately the hosts prevail 2-1 mostly likely here. Either way, even if an upset occurs, 3 or more goals appears likely here. OVER 2.5 -120 in Besiktas |
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02-19-24 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 +105 in Sepsi vs Farul @ 10:30 AM ET - Farul scored 7 goals in the 4 meetings between these clubs in calendar year 2023. Sepsi scored at least once in each of the last 3 meetings so you can see why I am anticipating another 2-1 type match between these clubs. Helping the cause is both clubs are coming off shutout losses. I like coming back with overs in spots like this when both clubs are off a match in which they failed to score. Prior to last week's embarrassing 2-0 home loss to Dinamo, Farul had scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches. Sepsi, prior to last week's 1-0 road loss to 1st place club FCSB, had scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this stretch. 4 straight Sepsi home matches have totaled at least 3 goals and look for that 100% trend to make it 5 in a row here! OVER 2.5 +105 in Sepsi |
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02-18-24 | Otelul v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206845: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 +125 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs Otelul Galati @ 1 ET - Low total here because of the long-term history of these clubs but the ere is too much value to pass up on in this one. Not only is the total just 2 goals in this one but the over is available as high as a +125 in the marketplace. Note that Dinamo can build on momentum off a 2-0 win in their most recent match and they have now scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches. Prior to the shutout win however, Dinamo allowed 1.7 goals last 3 matches and they are far from being water-tight defensively! Galati is off a 1-0 win but they allowed 13 goals in their 9 matches preceding that one. Also, Galati has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight road matches for an average of 1.7 goals scored per match away from home! Given these numbers above and the recent improved play of Dinamo the over is the play here. Each club will have added confidence coming off respective victories as well and there will be more attacking in this one than what most are expecting. OVER 2 +125 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
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02-18-24 | Manchester United v. Luton Town OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200097: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3 -115 in Luton Town vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Luton Town just got hammered 3-1 by Sheffield and this was on their home pitch! Now they are home again but facing a much tougher foe so I can not see this one turning out any better for Luton Town! Note that they have had 5 of last 6 matches in league action total at least 4 goals and those 6 matches averaged 5 goals apiece. On the season they are averaging 1.5 goals scored when at home but, overall, allowing 2 goals per match on the season. Luton Town scoring better of late but still struggling defensively and in goal in most of their matches. Man U only won 1-0 in the first meeting this season but won the prior match-up at Luton Town 3-0. Also, Manchester United enters this match-up undefeated in last 6 matches across all competitions and they have scored 3 goals per match during this streak! In other words, Man U getting to 3 here all by themselves would certainly not be a shock but I do expect Luton Town to contribute to the scoring on their home pitch and that helps insure we see 4 or more in this one! OVER 3 -115 in Luton Town |
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02-18-24 | CS U Craiova v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #206841: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 +120 in FC Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova @ 10:15 AM ET - Universitatea Craiova has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 meetings. FC Botosani has scored an average of 1.5 goals in last 2 meetings on their home pitch. As bad as the Botosani season has been, they have shown signs of life lately. They are 3-1-1 in last 5 matches and have scored 1.4 goals per match during this stretch. They have allowed 1.7 goals in last 3 matches however and conceding too many goals has been a consistent problem for Botosani all season long. Universitatea Craiova will take advantage of that just like they did in a 5-1 home win earlier this season. Entering this match, Universitatea Craiova has had 7 straight matches total at least 3 goals and I am happy to put this 7-0 run to the over to the test in this one! Look for at least a 2-1 final here and take advantage of the plus money available on the over in this one. OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-18-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Sheffield United OVER 3 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3 -105 in Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove @ 9 AM ET - Sheffield off a rare win so they will be playing with rare added confidence here but this is still a club in the basement of the league that is allowing 2.5 goals per match on the campaign! They recently got hammered by Brighton too when they faced off in the English FA Cup and lost 5 to 2. Note that 6 straight Sheffield matches across all competitions have totaled at least 4 goals and those matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Brighton enters this one hungry as they are off a 2-1 loss so I expect them to be relentless on the attack here. Brighton has had 4 straight matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Incredibly, before the 2-1 loss at Tottenham, Brighton had either scored or conceded at least 4 goals in 4 of last 5 matches. 4 makes us a winner here and I am looking for a 3-1 or 3-2 type match here given all of the above. OVER 3 -105 in Sheffield United |
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02-17-24 | CFR Cluj v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 -110 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 2:30 ET - One of the things I like about getting involved with totals involving this FCU 1948 Craiova club is they have the fewest draws in the league with just 3 in 25 matches. That is a 12% draw rate. Logically, the odds favor at least a 2-1 final in any match where it is also within reason to expect each club to score. Summary, both clubs score and the match does not end in a draw then this means a 2-1 final at least! I feel we certainly have strong odds of that here as FCU 1948 Craiova matches are averaging 3 goals this season. Also, CFR Cluj does allow an average of 1 goal per match but also is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league as they average 1.7 goals scored per match. CFR Cluj is fired up off a 1-0 home loss to Rapid Bucuresti and CFR Cluj entered that one averaging 2 goals scored per match in their last 6 matches. Also, CFR Cluj has averaged 1.8 goals scored in the last 5 meetings between these clubs plus FCU 1948 Craiova scored 3 goals the most recent time they hosted CFR Cluj. I love the fact that both clubs enter this match off 1-0 losses. Note that FCU 1948 Craiova had scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 13 matches prior to that. They bounce back at home here but CFR Cluj also in bounce back mode and this one will feature a lot of attacking. OVER 2.5 -110 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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02-17-24 | Chelsea v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Manchester City vs Chelsea @ 12:30 ET - The last meeting was a crazy 4-4 draw in November. This one may not see that many goals but don't be surprised if each club scores multiple goals. Chelsea is scoring better of late and Manchester City continues to be a beast. Neither club has been great defensively. City has allowed at least 1 goal in 11 of last 13 matches in league action. Chelsea is allowing 2 goals per match on the road this season. City has scored 4 goals in 2 of last 3 meetings between these clubs. Mauricio Pochettino has helped Chelsea improve since he took over as manager and the bigger goal production expected is starting to come to fruition. Chelsea has scored an average of 2.5 goals over last 6 matches across all competitions. Specific to EPL action. Chelsea has had 3 straight matches total at least 4 goals and this one should too! City is scoring an average of nearly 3 goals in home matches in league action and this looks like a 3-2 or 3-1 type match. Manchester City has scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 8 EPL matches and scored at least 2 goals in all 8 of those matches! In EPL action, off a 2-0 win, but had allowed at least 1 goal in 11 of 12 matches before that. The only time in that 12-match stretch they did not it was against bottom feeders Sheffield United. That is why I am fully expecting plenty of scoring here. The over improves to 4-0 L4 Chelsea matches in EPL action! OVER 3 -135 in Manchester City |
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02-17-24 | West Ham United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #200093: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 -105 in Nottingham Forest vs West Ham United @ 10 AM ET - West Ham United off the 6-0 home beating at the hands of Arsenal last week. While they certainly would like to bounce back this week on the road, they actually are allowing an average of 2 goals per match when on the road this season. They are facing a Nottingham Forest club that scores and average of 1.5 goals when on their home pitch. The issue for Forest, just like West Ham, is they have certainly not been water tight defensively on the back line. West Ham has allowed an average of 3 goals in last 4 matches. I do expect them to get their attack going again here but again can not trust them defensively. As for Nottingham, they are getting healthier and certainly have some attacking options. However, they have allowed 9 goals in last 4 matches in league action. Forest also has scored and conceded in 7 straight EPL matches! Those matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Also, 4 straight Nottingham EPL matches as a host have totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this one to make it 5 IN A ROW Saturday! OVER 2.5 -105 in Nottingham Forest |