40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I really like the UNDER at 225.5 in Monday's big NBA matchup between the Warriors and 76ers. The spread for this game looked way off with the 76ers sitting as a 9-point favorite, but now that we see Steph Curry listed as questionable it makes more sense. The line tells me that Curry isn't likely to play. 

Even if he does, I think the 76ers will come to play, as Curry and Embiid are two of the top choices right now for MVP. I also think the scoring in this game could be hindered by the fact that Philadelphia has two key guys listed as questionable with Seth Curry and Tobias Harris. Those are two big losses, as both are shooting over 40% from 3. 

Neither Curry played in the first meeting between these two and that game ended with a mere 206 points. Give me the UNDER 225.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 223.5) 

Give me the OVER 223.5 in Friday's game between the Rockets and Nuggets. I just feel like this total should be closer to 230 with the way Houston is defending. Houston has allowed at least 125 in each of their last 4 and 118 or more in 9 of their last 10. If the Rockets can simply put up 110 in this one at home, this thing should fly past the total. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 212) 

I'll take my chances her with the UNDER 212 in Thursday's TNT late night matchup between the Celtics and Lakers. It doesn't matter who is available to play, when these two franchises face off, they are going to treat it a little differently. Add in the fact that it's on TNT and I think we get a really strong defensive effort from two really good defensive teams. 

UNDER has also been a really strong play for both of these teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 for Boston and 10 of the last 15 for LA. UNDER is also 9-1 in Boston's last 10 as a favorite and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 at home. Give me the UNDER 212! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (OVER 229)

I will take my chances with the OVER 229 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Grizzlies. Both of these teams have been strong OVER plays of late. OVER has cashed in each of Chicago's last 3 games and the last 4 for the Grizzlies. 

The Bulls have been a team that played in a decent amount of high scoring games, but I feel they are even more offensive-minded after the moves they made at the trade deadline. They gave up defense for offense by getting Vucevic and it also strengthened their bench. They got a lot more fire-power on the bench than they had early in the year. 

Memphis has scored 110 or more points in 12 of their last 13 games. Even the game where they didn't that contest still had 218 points scored. With Bulls on no rest and playing their 5th and final game of their road trip, I don't see them playing a whole lot of defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Over 231.5) 

I like the value here with the OVER 231.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup that has the Pacers visiting the Grizzlies. The OVER has cashed in 3 straight for Memphis and this Grizzlies offense has been on an absolute tear for a few weeks now. Memphis has scored 116 or more in 5 straight and 110 or more in 11 of 12.

They should be able to put up a big number here against a Pacers team that is without their best interior defender in Myles Turner. It's just not the same defense without one of the league's best shot blockers on the floor. Key here is the Pacers should be able to keep pace offensively with Memphis. This is a game I think we could see both teams eclipse 120 points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 227) 

The OVER 227 is definitely a play for me tonight in the Pelicans/76ers matchup. New Orleans has been one of the worst defensive teams all season and are really playing poorly on that side of the ball right now. Pelicans are giving up 123.6 ppg on 50% shooting over their last 5 games with all 5 opponents scoring at least 115 points. 

With the 76ers playing at close to full strength and coming in fresh off 2 days of rest, I would be shocked if they don't put up at least 120 in this game. If they do that, this should fly past the mark, as the Pelicans are averaging 116.7 ppg at home. I also don't think Philadelphia will be laying it all on the line defensively like they did in their last game at Boston. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 225.5 in tonight's big Western Conference showdown between the Suns and Jazz. These two own the two best records in the NBA, as Utah is 38-12 and the Suns are 35-14. 

Both are playing extremely well coming in as both have gone 9-1 SU over their last 10 games. I just think the intensity level is going to be turned up a notch in this game and we are going to see both teams come out looking to defend at a high level. 

That's what they do, as Utah is 3rd in the league in defensive efficiency and the Suns are 6th. Also adding to this, both teams like to slow it down and play a little more in the halfcourt. They also played once earlier this season back on Dec. 31 and the two combined for a mere 201 points with a total of 219. Give me the UNDER 225.5!  

50* (NBA) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Over 231) 

I love the OVER 231 in tonight's game between the Pelicans and Nets. While Brooklyn won't have the services of James Harden for a while, they are expected to get back Kevin Durant. The duo of Durant and Irving with all the role players they got is more than enough. 

I look for the Nets to have a field day offensively against an awful Pelicans defense that is giving up 117.6 ppg over their last 5. They didn't even try to defend the 3-point line in last night's 107-123 loss to the Hawks, as Atlanta went 20 of 31 (64.5%) from deep. They give those Nets the same looks and Brooklyn could easily score 140+

The key here is I think the Nets aren't going to be all that locked in defensively. They got a lot of new pieces and it's going to take some time before they are a cohesive defensive unit. New Orleans is also a very strong offensive team. Give me the OVER 231! 

50* (NBA) - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 225.5) 

I love the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Hawks. I think we are getting a discount on the total due to the fact that New Orleans could be playing again without Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Both are listed as questionable, but there's been no indication that they will play. If they do that's great, but I don't think they need them to eclipse this number. 

In the Pelicans last 4 games they have combined for 124 with the Celtics, 125 with the Magic, 129 with these same Hawks and 137 in their last game with the Rockets. Going back even further, NO has seen a combined score of at least 120 in 7 of their last 8. 

Add that with how the Hawks have been playing and this is a no-brainer. In Atlanta's last 5 games they are scoring 117.8 ppg on 49% shooting and giving up 117.2 ppg on 48% shooting. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (UNDER 224) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 224 in Friday's game between the Pelicans and Hawks. I just don't see these two coming anywhere close to this total given the circumstances. 

For Atlanta, they will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after a grueling 134-129 OT win at San Antonio last night. A game in which 4 different Hawks' players logged 35 or more minutes. On top of that, this is Atlanta's 8th and final game of a brutal 8-game road trip. 

As for the Pelicans, they might be extremely short-handed here, as Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and Lonza Ball are all questionable. Given that the line for this game is right around a pick'em that tells me there's a good chance at least two of these guys aren't suiting up and maybe all 3. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 224.5) 

I really like the OVER 224.5 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Warriors. Chicago added Nikola Vucevic at the deadline and he really gives the Bulls a legit second option to pair with Zach LaVine. It no doubt makes the bulls a better offensive team. The problem is they got worse defensively and weren't a good defensive team to start with. Not to mention there's going to be a drop in their defense adding in new players, as the chemistry just isn't there. 

It's why I'm not concerned with the Warriors offensive struggles of late. There's also a chance here that Golden State could be getting Steph Curry back from injury, which would definitely make this an even stronger play if he suits up. Either way I look for this game to easily get into the 230's. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 219.5) 

I really like the UNDER 219.5 in Friday's matchup between the Blazers and Magic. I know Portland is coming off a 125-122 win over Miami that flew past the total of 215.5, but I just don't see them wanting or needing to push the pace in the 2nd of a back-to-back. 

A big reason for that is this could get really ugly for Orlando. The Magic were big time sellers at the trade deadline, parting ways with three of their best players in Vucevic, Gordon and Fournier. Cole Anthony is still out with an injury and they have lost Fultz and Isaac for the season. They added Otto Porter Jr, Wendell Carter Jr, and Gary Harris, but unlikely they play this game. Simply put the Magic are going to be playing a bunch of scrubs in this one and might struggle to score 90. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total MASSACRE (Over 229) 

I like the OVER 229 in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Mavs visiting the Timberwolves. Dallas is in a groove offensively right now. The Mavs just scored 132 points on 56% shooting from the field in a 132-92 win over the Blazers. That's 3 straight games now where the Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field. 

Unless they don't show up at all, you can pretty much bank on them extending that to 4 straight against the Timberwolves. Opponents are shooting 48% against the Timberwolves on the season. Key here is Minnesota has got their offense going. In the 7 games since they returned from the All-Star break they are averaging 116.9 ppg. Mavs defense has been better, but it's still not great and this feels like a game they won't put forth a big effort on that side of the ball. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 230) 

I think we are getting a great price with the OVER at just 230 in Thursday's NBA game between the Wolves and Suns. It's tempting to take the big number with Minnesota in this game, but after how they burned me on Tuesday against the Lakers, I'm gonna pass. 

Thing is, while there's likely value with the Timberwolves right now, I think there's more value on the OVER. Minnesota is playing better right now because they are scoring points. A team that only averages 109.4 ppg on the season is scoring 118.6 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5. 

The other key here is that while the offense is improved, the defense has remained a weakness. Minnesota is giving up 120.0 ppg on the road this year and 122.8 ppg in their last 5. Suns have shot worse than 47% from the field once in their last 18 games and will have fresh legs here having been off the last 2 days. Give me the OVER 230! 

50* BLAZERS/WOLVES NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 233.5) 

I really considered take the Timberwolves as a home dog here, but I think the real value in this game is the OVER 233.5. Minnesota looked like a different team out of the break, as they went on the road and crushed the Pelicans 135-105. Timberwolves shot 53.7% from the field in that game and while some of that was New Orleans subpar defense, it's not like the Blazers are a good defensive team. Portland just allowed the Suns to shoot 59% from the field in a crushing 121-127 loss at home on Thursday. 

I think there's a good chance that Minnesota carries over that strong offensive showing and I definitely don't trust this Timberwolves defense to slow down a potent Blazers offense. This is one of those games where it feels like both teams could easily get into the 120s and it wouldn't shock me if it got way up there with both in the 230s. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

40* RAPTORS/HORNETS NBA TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 230.5) 

I like the OVER 230.5 in Saturday's NBA matchup that has the Raptors visiting the Hornets. Toronto has a bunch of guys out right now in Quarantine and I think it has them a bit undervalued on the offensive side. Toronto has not slowed down at all offensively, they played short-handed at Boston right before the break and put up 125 and then came out of the break with 120 at home against the Hawks. 

Thing is, they have to score like that because all those guys out is really hurting them defensively. Raptors are giving up 121.8 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5. I just feel like with the current form of Toronto and the Hornets being a very capable offensive team with a sub-par defense, this game will easily get into the 230's. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* CAVS/PELICANS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 228.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 228.5 in Friday's NBA game that has the Pelicans hosting the Cavs. I'm expecting a big bounce back game offensively for New Orleans after they stunk it up last night against the Timberwolves, scoring just 105 points on 43% shooting. This is just too good of an offensive team to play that poorly and the Cavs are definitely a team that can be exposed on the defensive side. 

The big key here is the Pelicans just aren't a good defensive team at all. They just let a depleted Minnesota team put up 135 points on 54% shooting. Clearly some of that is effort, but more of it is just they don't have the pieces to be any good on that side of the ball. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* CELTICS/NETS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 234.5) 

I'm going to take the OVER 234.5 in Thursday's game that has the Boston Celtics visiting the Brooklyn Nets. I know 234.5 might seem like a big number for a total, but it feels like a discount to me given the teams involved. 

The Nets are simply the ideal team to back the OVER with and the books have had a hard time setting the bar high enough. The OVER has cashed in 24 of Brooklyn's last 31 games. 

Even though they aren't the offensive juggernaut they would be if Kevin Durant was healthy, they got more than enough offensive fire-power with the duo of Kyrie Irving and James Harden. Nets have scored 124 or more points in 7 of their last 10 games and Durant only played in 1 of those games. 

Boston in years past has been known for their defense, but they have had their struggles on that side of the ball this season. They are giving up on average 110.8 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 47% from the field. They are expected to get back one of their top defenders in Marcus Smart, but he hasn't played since the end of Jan. I just think given the rust and lack of conditioning, he's not likely to have a huge impact in slowing down this Nets offense. 

This is just one of those games where I think both teams have a really good shot at reaching 120 points. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* SPURS/MAVS NBA OVER/UNDER DESTROYER (Over 222.5)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 222.5 in Wednesday's NBA showdown between the Mavs and Spurs. I just think this total should be closer to 230 than 220. Dallas has really come alive of late. They won 9 of their last 11 games before the All-Star break. A big reason they surged is they got healthy and their offense starting producing close to the level it did last year when it was one of the best the league has ever seen. 

This is a team that can score 120 points and not even play well. Thing is they almost have to score that much because of how bad they are defensively. San Antonio is healthy and got most of their guys back after playing short-handed for most of February because of Covid. I think this a better offense than they are getting credit for right now. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* BUCKS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 234.5) 

I know the UNDER has hit in each of the Grizzlies last 5 games and the last 2 for the Bucks, but I can't help myself with the OVER when these two face off tonight. I know it's been better here of late, but the Grizzlies are not a good defensive team. They have allowed 9 of their last 14 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

After scoring a mere 97 points on 40.5% shooting in Tuesday's ugly 31-point loss to the Nuggets at home, I feel really good about the Bucks offense showing up in a big way in this one. I could easily see Milwaukee scoring 130 in this one. 

I also think the Grizzlies could put up a big number here. Memphis has scored 120+ in 3 of their last 5 and are as healthy as they have been all season. Bucks are also not a great defensive team. They have given up 110 or more in 10 of their last 12 and are allowing 115.1 ppg on 47% shooting in road games this season. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* HORNETS/WOLVES NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 232)

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 232 in tonight's game between the Hornets and Timberwolves. The OVER has been free money during Charlotte's current 6-game road trip. Each of the first 5 games on this trip have gone OVER the total and all 5 have seen a combined score of at least 234 points with 4 of the 5 going for more than 240. 

I think the only reason this total isn't closer to 240 is because the Timberwolves are coming off a game against the Suns at home where they only scored 99 points. That's just not a big concern for me when you factor in how bad the Hornets have been defensively of late. Charlotte has allowed at least 121 points in all 5 games on this trip and all 5 teams have shot 51% or better from the field. Minnesota also plays no defense, having allowed 118 or more in 4 straight with 3 of those teams going for 128 or more. Give me the OVER 232! 

40* JAZZ/76ERS NBA TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 227.5) 

I just can't help myself here with the OVER with a total of just 227.5 in Wednesday's game between the Jazz and 76ers. These two teams just played on Feb. 15 at Utah and combined for 157 points in a 134-123 win for the Jazz. Neither team had an answer for the opposing offense, as both teams shot 50% or better from the field. Philadelphia also got to 123 points despite only making 8 of 23 from long-distance (avg 12 made 3's at home). 

I just don't think it's asking a lot for these two teams to each hit 114 points in this game, as that would be enough to cash the OVER right there. Utah hasn't scored fewer than 112 in 11 straight games and the 76ers are averaging 117.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 227.5! 

40* HORNETS/BLAZERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Over 233) 

I like the OVER 233 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. The OVER has been cash money in games with Charlotte as the road team. The Hornets have played 16 games away from home and 12 have gone OVER the total. Charlotte is averaging 114.1 ppg on the road and giving up 117.3 ppg. In just the last 5 games the Hornets are scoring 116.8 ppg and giving up 121.8 ppg. 

Key here is the Blazers figure to get back on track offensively after really struggling on that side in their 4-game skid. Portland just ran out of gas playing short-handed. They should have their legs back under them in this one, as they have had the last 2 days off. Prior to losing 4 straight, Blazers had scored at least 115 in 5 straight and I think they easily get there in this one. In fact, I see both teams reaching 120. Give me the OVER 233! 

40* CLIPPERS/BUCKS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Under 237)

There's no denying that these are two of the better offensive teams in the league, but the total here suggests that neither of these two teams will play any defense. I know the defensive numbers aren't great at times for either of these teams, but I think a lot of that is these two teams have a tendency to play defense when they want. I think both can be elite on that side of the ball if they so choose. 

I think both of these teams are going to treat this game a little different. I see it more as a final statement for each team before the All-Star break. I also think the unusual 3:30 EST start time will have both teams a little bit out of their comfort zone on the offensive side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 237! 

40* MAVS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (OVER 238.5)

I know we have had hit a bit of a rough stretch here with the OVERs in Brooklyn games, as the UNDER has cashed in 3 of their last 4, but I'm not ready to jump off the ship just yet. I think we are actually getting some decent value here, as my numbers suggest that this total should be closer to 245. 

I just think the fact that Dallas is coming off a game where they score just 97 points at Philly and the Nets off a game where they held the Magic to 92, has this total much lower than it should be. Brooklyn is still scoring at an elite level and the Mavs when right are one of the best offensive teams in the league. Key here for me is I think Porzingis will be back for Dallas, as he practiced on Friday. I also think Doncic should be able to expose Harding and Irving, as neither of those like to play defense. I see both teams in the 120s. Give me the OVER 238.5! 

50* MAGIC/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228) 

If you have been following my NBA picks this year, you knew that the OVER in tonight's Brooklyn/Orland game was going to be on the board. I just don't know the books can make the numbers high enough for these Nets games.

I definitely will be a little more cautious with the OVER going forward when Brooklyn plays a top tier team, as we did just see the UNDER cash in their two games with the Lakers and Clippers, but no way am I not taking the OVER when they are playing a sub-par team like Orlando. 

The Nets are so good offensively, even without Durant, that they know they don't have to play all that hard on the defensive end to win games. I definitely don't see them being interested in giving that extra effort against the Magic and it's not like we need 240 in this one, we just need to get to 230. These two combined for 137 in a recent meeting on Jan. 16 and that was with them only reaching 102 at the half. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* KINGS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (Over 242)

We have lost with the OVER in each of the Nets last two games against the Lakers and Clippers and looking back it probably wasn't the best move to take the OVER in those two games given just how badly the Nets wanted to beat those two teams. We are still way in the profit with the OVER in Brooklyn games this season and will take another shot with the OVER here against the Kings. 

I got a good feeling that the Nets are going to revert right back to their sluggish defensive ways now that they are facing a bad team in the Kings. You also have to factor in that these two teams just played roughly a week ago and combined for 261 points in a 136-125 Brooklyn win. I wouldn't be shocked if we saw a very similar score in the rematch. Give me the OVER 242! 

50* HORNETS/JAZZ NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 229) 

I love the OVER 229 in today's game between the Jazz and Hornets. These two teams played earlier this month (Feb. 5) and combined for a ridiculous 259 points as the Jazz won 138-121 on the road. Now I'm not expecting them to approach to 260 again, but I don't think getting to 230 is asking a lot. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Utah score 130 on their own in this one. 

The big key here being how good a 3-point shooting team Utah is and how bad the Hornets are at defending it. Jazz are shooting 39% and averaging 16 made 3-pointers on the season. Charlotte is allowing opponents to shoot 40% from deep with an average of 16 made 3-pointers on the road. 

The other thing here is because the Jazz figure to have such an easy time scoring, are fresh off two grueling games against the Clippers and have a big home game on deck against LeBron and the Lakers, I don't see them really investing a lot of energy on defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* GRIZZLIES/MAVS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5) 

I will take my chances here with the OVER 231.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Mavs and Grizzlies. Dallas might not be on the same level as the Nets in terms of an OVER team, but they aren't far off. Mavericks are exceptional on the offensive side of the ball and really have no choice but to try and outscore their opponents with how much they struggle defensively. 

The OVER has cashed in each of the last 7 games for the Mavs and 12 of their last 15 overall. Every game during this 7 game OVER streak has seen at least 235 combined points. This play becomes even easier to make when you look at how Memphis has been playing. Grizzlies consistently have been in high-scoring games as they too are clicking offensively and struggling defensively. OVER is 7-1 in their last 8 and 10-2-1 in their last 13. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* NETS/CLIPPERS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 237) 

We didn't get there with the OVER in Brooklyn's last game against the Lakers, but I'm confident we will see a shootout here in LA against the Clippers. I think both of these teams are going to have a hard time bringing their "A" game on the defensive side of the ball. The Nets just played as good a defense as they could in their last game against LeBron and the Lakers. Same thing for the Clippers, who laid it all on the line in their revenge game against Utah. 

With Leonard and George back in the mix for the Clippers, they should really score at will against this Nets defense. Same thing for Brooklyn's offense with Harden and Irving. I got both teams hitting 120 in this one. Play the OVER 237! 

40* PISTONS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 220.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 in tonight's NBA game between the Pistons and Grizzlies. Memphis is just one of those teams that you almost have to take the OVER blindly right now. The OVER has cashed in 6 straight and is 9-1-1 in the Grizzlies' last 11 games. The average combined score in Memphis' last 5 games is 238 and all we need here is 221. 

I think the only reason the total here isn't more is because the Pistons aren't a great offensive team, but they are going to score against this Memphis defense. Grizzlies have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 50% or better and given up 110 or more in 9 straight. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* SUNS/PELICANS NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 231)

I got no problem taking a shot with the OVER 231 in tonight's matchup between the Suns and Pelicans. The OVER has cashed in each of New Orleans' last 6 games. The Pelicans have scored 124 or more in 4 of their last 6 and at least 110 in 9 straight and 14 of their last 15. Hard to see them not scoring 120+ in this one, as the Suns are slipping on defense right now, having allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

Thing is the Pelicans have to score a lot because they are not a good defensive team. New Orleans is giving up 114.5 ppg on 47% shooting on the season and in their last 5 games are allowing 126.8 ppg on 54% shooting. That defense will have to work tonight without big man Steven Adams, so don't expect this to be the game they turn it around. Give me the OVER 231! 

50* BULLS/76ERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 230.5)

I really like the OVER 230.5 in tonight's game between the Bulls and 76ers. The OVER had cashed in 3 straight games for Chicago before Wednesday's low-scoring game with Detroit, where both teams had an awful quarter that kept it UNDER. With the way Chicago can score and their limitations on defense, this is team that should be in a lot of high-scoring games. 

I definitely think that's the case here. The 76ers are really clicking on offense. Philadelphia has scored at least 111 points in 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They also have allowed 110 or more in 8 of their last 9. With the uptempo style the Bulls like to play and their lack of defense, I could see this flying past the number here. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NETS/LAKERS NBA TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 235.5)

We are back at it again with another OVER in a game involving the Nets. After flying past their total of 226.5 in their last game at Phoenix (won 128-124) the OVER is now 21-3 in the Nets last 24 games. 

While Durant is out for Brooklyn, they still figure to score at will in this game with the duo of Kyrie Irving and James Harden. As for the Lakers, they won't have AD. I think his loss hurts them a lot more defensively in this matchup. Offensively the Lakers should be just fine here, as Brooklyn has no one that can defend James. I think both teams have a very good shot at getting to 120 in this game. Give me the OVER 235.5! 

50* PISTONS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 220)

I love the value here with the OVER 220 in Wednesday's game between the Bulls and Pistons. This is a late addition to the slate, as the league threw this game together last minute after both teams had their original schedule opponents unavailable to play. 

I believe it's going to lead to a more high-scoring game than what me night normally see between these two division rivals. Detroit went from suppose to playing the Spurs at home last night and the Mavs in Dallas tonight to traveling to Chicago. I just don't see them being locked in, especially on the defensive side of the ball. 

Chicago is scoring 114.8 ppg over their last 5 games and really matchup well here. Bulls are a great 3-point shooting team, hitting 38.3% as a team and will be facing a Detroit defense that is allowing opponents to shoot 39% from deep. 

As for the Bulls defense, it's one of the worst in the league. Chicago is giving up 116.0 ppg on 48% shooting. Pistons aren't known for their offense and are only averaging 108.9 ppg on the season, but are averaging 115.4 ppg in their last 5. A stretch that has seen them eclipse 120 on 3 different occasions. If either team hits 120 (both are more than capable) this should fly past the mark. Give me the OVER 220! 

40* NETS/SUNS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5)

If you have been following me of late, you shouldn't be the least bit surprised that I'm taking the OVER 231.5 in Tuesday's game between the Suns and Nets. At this point, it's going to take quite a bit for me to get off the OVER bandwagon in Brooklyn games. The OVER has cashed in 20 of the Nets last 23 games. To no surprise, given how good Brooklyn is offensively and how bad they are defensively. 

I don't have many concerns with the Nets offense, as long as they got at least 2 of their big 3 in action. As for their defense, I think they could be in for a long night here against a red-hot Suns team, especially given Brooklyn is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and have massive road games against the Lakers and Clippers looming. I think at least one of these teams will hit 130 points and could see both eclipsing 120. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* PELICANS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 231.5)

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 231.5 between the Pelicans and Grizzlies. You will be hard pressed to find two teams playing worse on the defensive side of the ball going into a matchup than what we have here. 

In the Pelicans last 3 games they have allowed 129 to the Bulls, 143 to the Mavs and 123 to the Pistons. All 3 of those teams shot at least 54% from the field and all 3 games saw at least 235 points. Note that that while the defense has been sloppy, New Orleans is playing great offensively, averaging 121.2 ppg in their last 5. They have scored 109 or more in 13 straight games. 

As for Grizzlies, they have allowed 5 straight opponents and 6 of their last 7 to shoot 50% or better from the field. Memphis has allowed 110 or more points in 7 straight games. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* NETS/KINGS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 241.5)

I feel like a broken record with the OVER in Nets games, but it's been one of the best bets in the NBA for well over a month now. The OVER is 19-3 in their last 22 games. It's also 6-0 in their last 6 and 7-1 on the season in games with a total of 238 or more. 

Even with Durant out for this game, I still feel great about the Nets and Kings eclipsing the mark here of 241.5. Brooklyn is still elite offensively with the duo of Irving and Harden and will be up against a Sacramento defense that has allowed 110 or more in 6 straight. 

As for the Kings offense, they have scored 110 or more in 7 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Brooklyn has allowed 115 or more in 13 of their last 15 with 11 of those teams scoring 120 or more. I think both teams hit 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 241.5! 

50* WIZARDS/ROCKETS NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 228.5)

I love the value here with the UNDER 228.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Wizards. A lot of people just see the fact that Washington is giving up 119.1 ppg and just immediately look to play the OVER. 

Thing is the Wizards have had a bit of bad luck on the defensive end this year. They advanced stats suggest they should be allowing a lot less than they have been and those stats are starting to show as the UNDER has hit in 6 of the last 7 games for the Wizards. 

Not only is it their defense, but it's also their struggles offensively, as Washington has shot 42% or worse from the field in 6 of 7. Houston is in a major offensive funk right now as well, as they are really missing Christian Wood and will also be without Oladipo. Rockets have shot 43% or worse in 5 straight and are scoring just 98.8 ppg during this stretch. Give me the UNDER 228.5! 

40* BLAZERS/MAVS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 235.5) 

I just think the OVER is a really strong play right now in games involving the Mavs. Dallas has finally gotten healthy and we are starting to see them regain that elite offensive form they showed last year. The Mavs are averaging 127.6 ppg on 49.4% shooting in their last 5. 

As good as they have been offensively, they have been just as bad, if not worse, on the defensive side. Dallas is giving up 129.6 ppg over this same 5-game stretch. Blazers are down two starters in Nurkic and McCollum, which I think has people thinking they aren't as strong offensively. Thing is, as long as they got Lillard running the point they are going to be an offensive juggernaut and they got plenty of other guys who can score. Blazers are scoring 117.0 ppg and giving up 115.9 ppg in road games this year. Play the OVER 235.5! 

50* SPURS/HORNETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228.5) 

I love the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's matchup between San Antonio and Charlotte. I see these two teams easily getting to 230 points. That's basically been every game here of late for the Hornets. In Charlotte's last 5 games they are scoring 118.6 ppg and giving up 114.6 ppg. 

Spurs aren't exactly viewed as a great offensive team, but they are quietly averaging 110.7 ppg and that jumps up to 113.2 ppg on the road. In their last road game at Atlanta on Friday they scored 125 points on 53% shooting and were better than that as they had 110 points thru 3 quarters before throwing in the scrubs in the 4th. 

Spurs are also not a great defensive team. They are giving up 111.5 ppg on 47% shooting from the field and 39% from behind the 3-point line on the season. That poor 3-point defense figures to be a major problem against the Hornets. Charlotte is averaging 14 made 3's and shooting 38% from deep on the season. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NETS/WARRIORS NBA STEAMROLLER (Over 242.5) 

I'm not about to give up with the OVER in Brooklyn games after one low-scoring game. The Nets are off a 104-94 win at home against the Pacers. That was the first time in 8 games they held a team under 120 points. I just think it was more of Indiana not being able to buy a shot in the 1st half. Pacers had 30 points at intermission and then scored 64 in the 2nd half. 

I don't see the Nets slowing down the Warriors, especially with how well Curry is playing right now. At the same time, Brooklyn could go off in this one. They will be getting back Durant and you know he's going to be excited for this one. Nets scored 60+ points on the Warriors in each half when these two met on opening night. Brooklyn has gotten even strong on offense since that game with the addition of Harden and worse defensively. Warriors are also a completely different offensive team now compared to then. Give me the OVER 242.5! 

50* KNICKS/WIZARDS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 218.5) 

I really like the UNDER 218.5 in Friday's slate between the Knicks and Wizards. Washington's defensive numbers don't look great, as they are giving up 120.9 ppg on the season and 126.4 ppg at home. I'm not saying this is a great defensive team, but the advance stats strongly suggest they are a better defensive team than what it shows. Teams have just shot lights out against them. 

That's where the Knicks come into play. New York is one of the few, if not the only, team that wants to win games strictly on their defense. New York is only scoring 101.7 ppg on the road this season. 101.7 ppg would be decent 10 years ago. It's awful in this day an age. With Bradley Beal sitting out this game for rest, the Knicks should be able to turn this into more of a half-court game and keep it well below the number. Give me the UNDER 218.5! 

40* RAPTORS/CELTICS NBA SHARP STAKE (Under 223) 

Most will be quick to take the OVER in Thursday's game between Toronto and Boston, as the OVER has gone a perfect 7-0 in the Raptors' last 7 games. While Toronto has clearly got some things figured out on offense, they have played a bunch of bad defensive teams during this stretch. 

I believe there's reason to believe that this game will be lower-scoring than expected. The Raptors will be playing their 6th straight road game and will be playing this game on no rest. It's also their 5th game in the last 7 days. 

While Toronto figures to be playing at a slower pace than they have been, they also figure to be up against a very motivated Celtics team that will be looking to snap a 2 game skid. Boston did give up 122 at Utah in their last game, but had allowed just 106.8 ppg over their previous 5. They also only give up 107.4 ppg at home. 

UNDER is 8-1 in Toronto's last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 5-1 in their last 6 after a game where they scored 125 or more (had 137 last night). UNDER has also cashed 7 straight times when they are playing their 5th road game in 7 days and is 5-0 this season after allowing 110 or more in 4 straight games. Give me the UNDER 223! 

40* PELICANS/BULLS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231)

I like the OVER quite a bit with the Pelicans at the Bulls. New Orleans has scored at least 109 points in 10 straight games and have failed to reach that mark only 3 times all season. The Bulls are giving up 114.8 ppg on 48% shooting at home this season. 

I believe the only reason the total here isn't higher, is the fact that Chicago has been in a bunch of low scoring games here of late. However, that's more a result of who they have played, as their last 5 have come against the Knicks (twice), Magic (twice) and Wizards. 

I'm confident the Pelicans will get to at least 120 in this game, but the real key here is that we should get a big output from Chicago as well with New Orleans playing the second of a back-to-back on the road. OVER is 6-1 in the Pelicans last 7 on no rest and 8-1 in their last 9 as a favorite. Give me the OVER 231! 

40* PACERS/NETS NBA OVER/UNDER STEAMROLLER (Over 235)

I'm going to keep playing the OVER in Brooklyn games until they quit going OVER the total at this ridiculous rate. The OVER is 18-2 in the Nets last 20 games. You really can't ask for a better over team. The Nets are one of the best offensive teams in the league and play absolutely no defense. Even without Durant they got more than enough fire-power with Irving and Harden to keep cashing these overs. 

Nets defensively are as bad as I have seen. They have given up 120 or more points in each of their last 7 games and several of those have come against bad offensive teams. With the way Indiana can score and Brooklyn playing here on no rest, I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Pacers eclipsed 130 in this game. Nets are going to score at least 110 and more than likely will be in the 120s. Give me the OVER 235!

50* RAPTORS/WIZARDS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 232)

I love the OVER 232 in today's game between the Raptors and Wizards. Washington has seen the UNDER cash in 4 straight, but all of those were on the road and against some subpar offensive teams in the Heat (twice), Hornets and Bulls. Prior to this recent stretch the OVER had cashed in 11 of 16 games involving the Wizards. OVER is also a dominant 7-2 in the 9 home games Washington has played. Not a big surprise that the Wizards are an OVER team at home. They play at one of the fastest tempos in the league, are scoring 121.3 ppg at home and giving up 125.2 ppg. 

As for the Raptors, they are red-hot offensively right now. Toronto is averaging 122.0 ppg over their last 5 and are scoring 116.5 and giving up 115.7 ppg on the road this season. OVER has cashed in each of the Raptors last 6 games and is 9-4 in their 13 road games. Give me the OVER 232! 

50* NETS/PISTONS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 230)

I love the OVER between Brooklyn and Detroit tonight. Even with Kevin Durant sidelined, the Nets are still an offensive juggernaut with Irving and Harden. Those two can more than carry the load and I expect both to be on point here to make sure the Nets don't lose a 3rd straight game. 

Thing is those two are also a big liability on the defensive side of the ball and we have seen the Nets consistently give up a ton of points to bad offensive teams like Detroit. Brooklyn has allowed 120 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games. There's a good chance both teams hit 120 points in this game. The total here should be closer to 240. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* RAPTORS/NETS NBA STEAMROLLER (OVER 241.5) 

I know a total in the 240's is extremely high for an NBA game, but I don't think it's that big of a challenge in a game involving this Nets team. Brooklyn has turned into an offensive juggernaut with their big 3 of Durant, Harden and Irving. Because it's so easy for them on offense, they don't really invest a lot on the defensive end. The Nets have allowed at least 115 in points in 12 of their last 14 games. They have scored 120+ in 8 of their last 10. 

The Raptors are giving up 114.2 ppg on the road this season and 116 ppg over their last 5. I just don't see Toronto being able to slow down this Nets offense. On the flip side, I don't think it's asking much for the Raptors to hit the 120 mark, especially when you factor in Brooklyn likely not playing much defense here with a big game on deck tomorrow at Philadelphia. Give me the OVER 241.5! 

40* WARRIORS/MAVS NBA STEAMROLLER (OVER 227) 

We cashed the OVER last night in the Mavs 122-116 win at Atlanta, which easily surpassed the total of 224. I will fire right back with the OVER in tonight's home game for Dallas against the Warriors. I just don't see a lot of defense being played in this one. 

For the Mavs, they just aren't going to have the legs to give the kind of effort needed on the defensive end. Not only is Dallas playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, but this will be their 5th game in the last 7 days. 

For the Warriors, they got no choice but to play small-ball as their top 3 centers are all out with injuries after Kevin Looney went down in their last game against the Celtics. They are really forced to try and win with their offense. If Porzingis plays (he could sit due to rest), he will have a field day inside, but even if he doesn't the Mavs should score with relative ease. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* MAVERICKS/HAWKS NBA ANNIHILATOR (Over 222.5) 

I like the OVER 222.5 between the Mavs and Hawks. Both of these teams are far from dominant on the defensive side of the ball. Atlanta is giving up 110.0 ppg and Dallas is giving up 110.7 ppg. I don't see either team being all that invested defensively in this one. The Mavs have been running on fumes for weeks and while they are as healthy as they have been, a lot of those guys are still working their way back into shape. 

Hawks are clearly a team built around their offense and after a big defensive effort on Monday against the defending champs, I don't see them being all that invested on that side of the ball, especially with another game on deck tomorrow against the red-hot Jazz. I really think the total here should be closer to 230 and not 220. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* CLIPPERS/NETS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 242.5) 

I just can't help myself here with the OVER in Tuesday's big matchup between the Nets and Clippers. I know 242.5 looks like a big number and it is, but not so much when you look at how Brooklyn's games have been playing out. 

The Nets might be the best offensive team we have seen. They are scoring at will and are expected to have their big 3 of Durant, Irving and Harden for this game. One of the big reasons they are scoring so much is they aren't playing any defense. They have been letting mediocre offenses score 120+ points at will. The Clippers are far from mediocre.

In the Nets last 9 games they have seen a combined score of 237 points or more with each of their last 3 games going for at least 160. All we need here is for both teams to score in the 120's to cash this ticket and I think that's about as low as these two could go. Give me the OVER 242.5!  

50* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 222.5) 

I love the OVER 222.5 in Monday's matchup between the Thunder and Rockets. I really think this Rockets team is better than they get credit for and could end up being quite the juggernaut offensively. They come into this game off 126 point outburst in a 14-point win at New Orleans and I look for the offense to have another big game on the road against OKC tonight. 

Thunder just gave up 147 points in regulation to the Nets and have allowed 112 or more in 8 of their last 10 games. OVER is 6-2 in OKC's last 8 games and in their last 5 they are scoring 111.6 ppg and giving up 118.8 ppg. They also are allowing a staggering 121.9 ppg at home this season. I just think the total here should be closer to 230. Give me the OVER 222.5!  

40* MAGIC/RAPTORS NBA SHARP STAKE (Under 220.5)

The books have missed the mark in Sunday's NBA total between the Raptors and Magic. Orlando is one of the worst offensive teams in the league. The only teams worse than the Magic in offensive efficiency this season are the Cavs and Timberwolves and keep in mind this is a Orlando team that has lost one of their best offensive playmakers in Markelle Fultz. Toronto has a decent offense with a bad defense, which I believe is why the total is in the 220s, but the Raptors will be playing here without two of their top offensive options in Norman Powell and OG Anunoby. On top of all that, the UNDER has cashed in 10 of the last 13 meetings and each of the last 9 meetings have seen fewer points than the total posted here. Give me the UNDER 220.5! 

40* BULLS/HORNETS NBA SHARP STAKE (OVER 227) 

I really like the OVER 227 in Friday's NBA matchup between Chicago and Charlotte. The Bulls have really been playing well here of late and almost all of their games during this stretch have been high-scoring. The OVER is 5-1 in their last 6. Not a huge surprise given that Chicago is playing at the second fastest pace in the league and are also one of the worst defensive teams in the league. 

Charlotte games this season have seen an average of 115.7 ppg, but when you factor in the pace that this one will be played at, it's easy to see them getting to 230. Note that both teams are going to have fresh legs. Bulls are playing on 3 days of rest and the Hornets are playing on 5 days of rest. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* THUNDER/NUGGETS NBA SLAUGHTER (Over 220.5) 

I look for the Nuggets and Thunder to easily eclipse the total of 220.5 tonight. Denver is kind of built for high-scoring games, as they rely on their offense to win them games. The Nuggets are 4th in the NBA in offensive efficiency and 25th in defensive efficiency.

Denver has played 13 gams this season. They have scored at least 103 points in every game and only once have they held their opponents under 100 points and that was the Knicks. In the Nuggets last 10 games they have allowed their opponent to shoot 46% or better 8 times. The Knicks game and a game against a depleted 76ers team because of Covid are the only two teams they held under that mark during this stretch. 

In the Thunders' last 5 games they are averaging 111.6 ppg and giving up 114.0 ppg. To me this total should be closer to 230 than 220. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* BULLS/MAVERICKS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Over 227) 

I don't expect a whole lot of defense to be played in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Bulls and Mavericks. Chicago's not a great defensive team to start with, but more than anything the Bulls just can't have much gas left in the tank. This will be their 6th straight road game and 9th road game in their last 10 overall. Their spirits also have to be a bit crushed coming off that horrific collapse at OKC on Friday. They have allowed 117 or more in each of the last 4. Dallas can definitely score, but with them coming off a massive game at Milwaukee on Friday and them leaving for a 3-game road trip that starts tomorrow in Toronto, I don't see them being all that invested on the defensive side either. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* GRIZZLIES/CELTICS NBA SHARP STAKE (Under 221) 

I just don't see tonight's game between the Grizzlies and Celtics getting into the 220s. On one side you have a Memphis team that is going to be without their best player in star point guard Ja Morant. Not to mention they are still missing two other key pieces in Justice Winslow and Jaren Jackson Jr. I know they scored 116 in their last game against the Nets after Morant went down early, but Brooklyn sat their two stars in Durant and Irving. 

As for Boston, the Celtics just played a massive a huge game at Indiana last night. A game Boston desperately wanted after losing their last two, including the game before at Indiana by 1-point. Celtics had to use a ton of energy up to rally for that win last night as they trailed by double-digits going into the 4th quarter. I just don't see the energy being there for Boston on no rest. They certainly aren't going to be looking to push the tempo. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* BULLS/WIZARDS NBA SHARP STAKE (Over 234) 

I got no problem playing the OVER with the high total in Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Bulls. This is the ideal matchup for a high-scoring game, as we have two teams that like to push the pace and are not good defensively. Both are on a day of rest, so their legs should be fresh. They also both turn it over a decent amount, so both offenses should get a lot of quick easy scores in transition. 

Bulls are 23rd in the league in defensive efficiency, while the Wizards are sitting at 26th. Chicago is 2nd in the league in pace behind only the Warriors and Washington is 3rd. Bulls have allowed 124 or more points in each of their 3 games so far, including 129 to the Warriors who are dead last right now in offensive efficiency. Wizards aren't much better, giving up 121 ppg. Give me the OVER 234! 

50* PELICANS/RAPTORS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228.5) 

I will gladly take the OVER 228.5 in Wednesday's NBA season opener between the Pelicans and Raptors. I feel like these are going to be two of the highest scoring teams in the league this year. Toronto is a team that shot and made a lot of 3's last year and from the looks of it will be shooting it even more. That's pretty evident with them replacing their two big men of Ibaka and Gasol with Aron Baynes. They were jacking up 40+ 3's in the preseason. 

As for the Pelicans, the minutes restrictions are off for Zion and this team is built to get up and down the floor with all their youth and athleticism. They also got plenty of guys who shoot from deep. I look for Zion to feast against the small-ball Raptors lineup and for this game to fly past the total. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* WARRIORS/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 231.5) 

I think we are going to see the Warriors and Nets fly past the total of 231.5 tonight. Golden State won't have Draymond Green for this game and lost Klay Thompson for the year. The loss of Thompson is big, but his absence will be more felt on defense than offense. I don't see the offense having any trouble to score with the trio of Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre Jr. These 3 are going to shoot and make a ton of 3-pointers this year. 

As for the Nets, we finally get to see the dynamic duo of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. These are two of the most skilled offensive players in the league. While Durant is a solid defender, Irving is a major liability on that side of the ball. 

You also have to factor in all the new pieces both teams are working in compared to last year. The lack of chemistry usually impacts the defense a lot more than the offense. I wouldn't be surprised if both teams scored 120+ points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

50* CELTICS/HEAT NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 213.5)

As much as I want to fire back on the Heat at +3.5 after cashing on them in Game 4, I'm going to take the UNDER 213.5. Game 4 ended up going over the total by 9 points, but the OVER didn't look good for the majority of that game. We got a 35-33 4th quarter (a lot of late scoring). I get it happens, but I don't see Game 5 coming close to this number. 

Miami wants to finish this thing off and the Celtics are facing elimination. We haven't seen a lot of games go OVER the total since the first round completed, especially late in the series like we are here. Give me the UNDER 213.5!  

40* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA NO-BRAINER (Under 216.5)

There's really no choice here but to take a shot with the UNDER in Game 7 between the Rockets and Thunder. With the Nuggets/Jazz going well under the total last night (combined for just 158 points with a total of 215.5), UNDERS are now a perfect 7-0 in Game 7s going back to the start of last postseason. 

The Rockets have been such a high-scoring team this season that I just think people have a hard time taking the UNDER. Thing is playoffs are a different beast and the Thunder matchup really well with them on the defensive side. UNDER has cashed in each of the last two in the series. Give me the UNDER 216.5!

40* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Over 238) 

I want to take Dallas and the points, but I try to stay clear of public dogs. Wouldn't surprise if they did cover. With that said, I feel the better bet is on the OVER. The Clippers made easy work of the Mavs defense in Game 4. They put 154 points on 63% shooting. I just don't think Dallas will be able to slow them down. They seemed to come out with a different fire in Game 4 and I don't see that going away. Key here is Luka and the Mavs will not go down without a fight and with Luka the Mavs are going to score. Give me the OVER 238! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 234.5)

I wanted to take the points with the Mavs and might have a little side action on them, but I believe the real value in this game is the OVER. These are two of the best offenses the NBA has to offer. Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 straight games. Luka Doncic has taken his game to another level and this Dallas team is oozing with confidence after winning Game 4 on a buzzer beater. There's just too much star-power and great shooters on the floor. I think this total should be closer 240. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 219)

I think we are getting a steal with the total sitting less than 220 for Game 5 between the Nuggets and Jazz. Utah has Denver's defense figured out and I don't think there's anything they are going to implement in this one that will change the outcome. Jazz have scored at least 124 points in all 4 games to this point. They have shot 51% or better in the last 3, including 58% in Game 4, a game Denver had to have. Nuggets have allowed 50% or better shooting in 6 of their last 7 overall. It is what it is at this point. All we need is for Denver to not have a horrible night shooting and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 217) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 217 in Game 4 between the Nuggets and Jazz. These two flew past the posted totals in Game 1 and Game 2. They combined for 160 in Game 1 and 129 in Game 2. They did go for just 211 in Game 3, but that was with the Nuggets scoring just 87 points on a miserable 38% shooting. Denver had shot 52% and 46% in the first two games. Utah has scored at least 124 in all 3 games. I see this easily getting to 220 and wouldn't be shocked if it eclipsed 230. Give me the OVER 217! 

50* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

The books keeping dropping the total, but I don't think they have adjusted enough for Game 3. The Lakers/Blazers combined for just 193 points in Game 1, which had a total of 234. They then had just 199 in Game 2 with a total of 227.5

The Lakers defense has completely shut down the Blazers offense. Portland shot a mere 39% in their win in Game 1 and hit only 40% in Game 2. Lakers had a great offensive game and still only had 111 points. LA shot 48% from the field and connected on 14 3-pointers after making only 5 in Game 1. 

I just think we are going to see more of the same from the Lakers defense. With how inconsistent the Lakers shooting has been, they likely regress from their strong Game 2 performance. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 229.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER at 229.5 in Game 1 between the Clippers/Mavs. I know Dallas didn't play great defense in their 8-game bubble restart, but you have to keep in mind they really had nothing to play for. They were all but locked into the No. 7 seed in the west. I think the intensity goes up a lot for the Mavs. As for the Clippers, they are a top tier defensive team, but I feel they got another level they can take it to. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

50* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 222.5) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 222.5. Last time out the Magic played a very low scoring game against the Raptors, which ended at 208 with a total of 222. However, each of their first 3 games had gone over the total. All 3 seeing at least 229 and all 3 the Magic gave up 116 or more. 

While the 76ers won't have Ben Simmons for this game, I think that could play to our advantage. It gets another guy who can hit a 3-ball on the floor. I actually think the loss of Simmons hurts them more on the defensive side and the 76ers defense has stunk in the bubble so far. I could easily see both teams hitting 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Jazz. I just don't see either team looking to push the pace all that much in this one. Toronto is playing their 5th straight on the road in about as bad a spot as you can get, playing in Utah on no rest after a game last night in Sacramento. As for the Jazz, they had Sunday off, but had to play back-to-back on the road Friday/Saturday to close out a 4-game east coast trip. Another thing here is Utah has won 5 straight and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 20-point loss at Toronto earlier this season, where they gave up 77 in the 1st half to the Raptors. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Utah's last 20 home games when they are on a win streak of 4 or more and 6- 1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 222) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222 in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs hosting visiting the Cavs. We see totals in the 230's on the reg in the NBA now a days and I just feel with how bad these two are playing defensively this should be closer to 230 than 220. Cleveland has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 54% or better from the field. San Antonio has allowed each of their last 4 to shoot 47% or better, including 53% last time out at Brooklyn. Cavs give up 115 ppg at home and Spurs allow 117 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 222! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 246.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 246.5. This might seem crazy, but I actually think there's value here. Minnesota is playing absolutely zero defense right now. They have allowed 126 or more in each of their last 4 road games, all of which saw a combined score of 244 or more, with 3 of those going for 250+. Pelicans are built for a shootout, as they are scoring 118.2 ppg and giving up 117.0 ppg in their last 5. I think both teams easily hit 120 with New Orleans going for 130+. Give me the OVER 246.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 230.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's matchup that has the Rockets visiting the Knicks. These two teams just played on Feb. 24th and combined for 135 points in a 123-112 Rockets win. I think we are going to see even more offense in this one. 

I'm pretty confident Westbrook and Harden will be motivated to show out at Madison Square Garden. They only get to play their once a season. Houston's small ball has them scoring a ton here lately. Only the Celtics have been able to keep them under 120 points since the break. 

As for the Knicks offense, they have been shooting really well. New York has hit 50% from the field in 3 straight games. Coming off a big road game at Boston on Saturday and a huge home game against the Clippers looming on Thursday, plus having just beat the Knicks, I don't see Houston being overly invested on playing defense in this one. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 214) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 214 between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just think with the trade of Drummond Detroit has went into full on rebuild mode. The defense has not been good and they are going up against a Denver offense that just shot 59% while scoring 128 at home against the Wolves. That was the 4th time in 5 games the Nuggets shot 50% or better from the field. Pistons can score and should be able to hit at least 105. I think the total here should be closer to 225. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 210 between the Hornets and Pacers. I just think we are getting big time value here on the OVER due to how awful these two teams just played offensively in their last game. Charlotte scored just 86 at home to the Nets and Indiana managed just 81 on the road at Toronto. Both teams did allow 115+ in those losses. Pacers score 110 ppg at home and Hornets allow that same number on the season. I think we see Indiana get to 120 and that means we need a mere 91 from Charlotte to cash. Give me the OVER 210! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 226) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226 in Friday's NBA clash that has Boston visiting Minnesota. I think we are getting some value here with the OVER due to a couple big names sitting this out. Kemba Walker won't play for Boston and Karl-Anthony Towns is out for the Wolves. 

Celtics got more than enough offensive fire-power to score a bunch against this awful Minnesota defense. It's going to be a big struggle on that side of the ball for the Wolves with all the new pieces. 

I like the offensive weapons a little more after the moves. Not having Towns is huge, but I also think him not playing really makes it hard for Boston to show up thinking they need to play hard defensively to win this game. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 236 between Washington and Cleveland. No doubt this is a big number, but it's really not when you factor in the two teams that are playing. Wizards and Cavs are atrocious on the defensive end. Wizards combine their lack of defense with an uptempo offensive attack and I'm confident they control the tempo here on their home floor and they should be really looking to push it given the long layoff and fresh legs. 

I also think Cavs are a better offensive team with the addition of Drummond and will be a little more explosive offensively now that head coach Beilein is gone. The players simply didn't like him or his ways of coaching. They are going to want to show out now that he's gone to make him look even worse. Give me the OVER 236! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 between the Raptors and Pistons. I played and won on the OVER last night with Toronto in their game at Cleveland. I thought that total was way too low given how good the Raptors have been offensively and how bad the Cavs defense had been playing. It's basically the same story here. Since Toronto has got healthy their offense has been lights out. Pistons are giving up 118.4 ppg on 48% shooting in their last 5. Toronto will be on no rest, but I think that will impact them more on defense and actually adds value to the over. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 221.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 221.5 between the Raptors and Cavs. With how good Toronto has been offensively of late and how bad Cleveland has been defensively, I don't know how you don't take a shot on this OVER at this price. 

Raptors have scored 110 or more in 7 of their last 8 games and 5 times during this stretch have scored 122 or more. If they hit that mark, we would only need Cleveland to chip in 100 to cash a winner. Cavs have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 51% or better from the field. They have also scored 106 or more in 6 of their last 7 and this isn't a great spot for Toronto to be shelling out a ton of effort on defense. Give me the OVER 221.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Knicks hosting the Grizzlies. I think we are seeing a big overreaction with this total because of how much the UNDER has been hitting for both of these teams. UNDER is 7-1 in Memphis' last 8 games and 7-1 in New York's last 8 games. 

Why take the OVER? Both of these teams will be playing on no rest and I just don't see either team being all that locked in defensively. The Knicks especially, who have been downright awful defensively playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. OVER is also 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 when playing on no rest. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Monday's NBA contest that has Detroit hosting the Cavs. These two teams played a home-and-home earlier this month and both games saw a combined score of at least 227. 

Detroit is dealing with some injuries, but it's not slowed them down. Pistons are averaging 117.2 ppg in their last 5. They will be facing a Cleveland team that is playing no defense right now. Cavs have allowed each of their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better with 6 of those going for at least 51%. 

Detroits' defense hasn't been much better in their last two, giving up 125 to the Grizzlies at home and 121 to the Nets. You have to go back to Dec. 3rd to find the last time the Pistons held a team under 100 points. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 224.5 in Saturday's big Western Conference matchup that has Utah facing off against Dallas. The Mavs are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league and just got back one of their biggest offensive weapons in Porzingis. Dallas comes in having scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 5 games. 

Dallas is also vulnerable on defense and even more so right now with the recent loss of big man Dwight Powell. Utah is known for their defense, but they are winning games more with their offense this year. The Jazz come in having scored 118 or more in 6 straight games. I could see both teams scoring 120+ in this one and we likely need just one to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 230 in tonight's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Pistons. Memphis ran into a buzz-saw last time out at Boston scoring just 95 points. However, the fact that they got to 95 is impressive, given they had just 17 points in the 2nd quarter and only 19 in the 3rd quarter. 

Prior to this game the Grizzlies had scored 110 or more in 15 straight games. Defense is always going to be a problem for Memphis and Detroit comes in off a 127 outburst at home against a Kings team that was pushing the tempo. Pistons are averaging 117.8 ppg in their last 5. The return of Reggie Jackson is huge as it allows them to keep the pace up with him and Derrick Rose. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Nets. Since Kyrie Irving has returned from injury the Nets have gone just 1-4 with their only win at home against a Hawks team that was down their best player (Trae Young).

In their 4 losses they have allowed no fewer than 117 points and three of those they allowed the opposing team to shoot 50% or better. After going through the motions last night at the Knicks, I expect a much more aggressive LA offensive attack in this one. 

A big reason for that is Irving is back on the floor for Brooklyn, as I don't think there's a guy LeBron enjoys beating more than Irving after what he did to get out of Cleveland. I think the Lakers could score 130 with ease in this one. 

I also think Brooklyn will score here as we just aren't going to get anything close to a max effort defensively from LA playing on no rest in their 4th straight on the road, especially with a big game at Philly on deck Saturday. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 221) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 221 in Monday's matchup between the 76ers and Nets. Since losing Embiid to injury Philadelphia has really slowed things down. In the 6 games without him they have a pace rating of just  95.42 which is 29th slowest in the league and well below their season average of 101.1. 

The offense without Embiid has been especially bad on the road, scoring just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. It's why I'm not concerned at all about the fact that these two teams just combined for 223 points in their meeting last week at Philly. If anything the fact these two teams just played each other adds more value to the UNDER. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 225.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans. Really hard to not like the over when you look at just how good these two teams have been on the offensive side of the ball of late. 

Utah is averaging 122.0 ppg and shooting 52% from the field over their last 5 games, while the Pelicans are scoring 118.8 ppg in their last 5. New Orleans also averages 115.7 ppg at home and have scored 112 or more points in 9 of their last 10. 

Utah is perceived as a great defensive team, but the Jazz have a tendency to not show up on that side of the ball away from home. In their last two road games against the Wizards and Nets, they let both shoot 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 218) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 218 between the Nets and 76ers. The highest combined score in the 76ers last 3 games without Embiid is 207. They are clearly playing at a slower pace too, which is evident by the fact the Mavs only put up 109 points despite making 11 3-pointers and shooting 51% from the field. Nets are T-9th in defensive efficiency and opposing teams are only shooting 43.3% against them, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228.5 in Tuesday's NBA clash between the Suns and Hawks. I think there's come value here due to the fact that Phoenix is off a couple of lower-scoring games against the Magic and Hornets, who are also two of the slowest paced teams in the league. In their last game against Charlotte they shot 50% from the field but yet only had 100 because of the pace. Hawks managed just 86 in their last game, but that was with Trae Young sidelined and he's cleared to go for this one. Neither of these teams are great defensively and both can light it up offensively. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Hornets. For starters, the average combined score in Phoenix' home games this season is 230.1 ppg, as they are scoring 115.3 ppg and giving up 114.8 ppg. 

Hornets allow 111 ppg and are giving up 112.4 ppg in their last 5, so we can expect to see Phoenix at least hit their average. Charlotte is coming off a game at Utah where they only scored 92, but that was with them scoring just 13 first quarter points. They averaged 26.3/quarter over the final 3. Hornets had also scored 104 or more in their previous 4 and if they simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224) 

I'll take my chances here on the OVER 224 in Saturday's NBA showdown between the 76ers and Mavs. Even though Dallas is playing on no rest after last night's ugly loss at home to the Lakers, they should be ready to go here as the starters didn't have to play big minutes because of the lopsided score.

Note that Dallas shot a mere 40.6% from the field and still put up 114 points against LA. This team is just so explosive on offense and play at such a quick pace that more times than not they will find themselves in shootouts. 

76ers are without leading score Embiid, but his loss actually hurts them more defensively than it does offensively. Philadelphia shot 49% and put up 109 points against Boston without him in their last game and the Celtics are a way better defensive team than Dallas. Give me the OVER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 224 in tonight's matchup between Portland and Minnesota. If you look at the overall resume of these two teams the OVER might seem like the obvious play here. However, both teams are dealing with serious injuries and tough scheduling spots, which I think make the UNDER the clear choice. 

Portland is playing their 5th and final game of a brutal 5-game road trip and in their last 6 games rank a mere 23rd in pace of play at 97.2. As for Minnesota, they have really been a different team without Karl Anthony Towns. In the 11 games he's missed the Timberwolves have the 29th worst offensive rating and the best defensive rating. I just think given the circumstances there's a ton of value here. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 216 in Thursday's big matchup between the 76ers and Celtics. I'm just not sure why the total is this high. I get the Celtics just gave up 129 points at home to the Spurs last night and will be on no rest, but I'm convinced that was more of a lack of effort than anything, as they had their eyes set on this matchup. 

On top of that, the 76ers won't have their best player, as Embiid is out with a dislocated finger. That's a massive blow for Philadelphia's offense. He's by far their best offensive threat and he was the main reason that the 76ers won in Boston earlier this season, as he scored 38 points on 12 of 21 shooting. 

Key here is that I do think those that will be playing for Philadelphia are going to give a max effort here with Embiid sidelined and that's going to come on the defensive end. Also, while I expect a much better effort from Boston, I do think they will be playing at a slower pace than normal with their tough schedule of late. Give me the UNDER 216! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 215.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 215.5 between the Jazz and Knicks. I originally liked Utah at -11, but the line has gotten out of control and in turn see a lot more value on the OVER. Knicks played last night in LA and are giving up 120 ppg when playing on no rest this season (124.3 ppg if it's against a team with a winning record). 

Utah is known for their defense, but they are quietly transitioning into a more offensive team. Jazz are 11-1 in their last 12 games and in this stretch have scored 109 or more points in 9 of those games. I also don't see them being all that focused defensively against a bad Knicks team. Note that while New York did score just 87 in last night's loss to the Lakers, they had scored 112 or more in each of their previous 3 games. If they can simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 215.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 220.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 between Boston and San Antonio. OVER has cashed in 11 of the Spurs last 15 games as they continue to show signs of progress offensively, while continuing to struggle on the defensive end. In the Spurs last 5 games they are scoring 120 ppg and giving up 112.4 ppg. 

Celtics are a good defensive team, but I don't think we see them play up to their potential on that side of the ball tonight, as they will have a hard time not holding back for tomorrow's huge division game against the 76ers. Also 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series have gone OVER, including a game earlier this season where they two combined for 250. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER SLAUGHTER (Over 226) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226 in tonight's late action between the Kings and Suns. No one has been playing at a faster pace in their last 3 games than Sacramento and the Suns have been a consistent Top 10 team all season in pace of play (3-points higher at home). I not only think these two teams eclipse the mark, but I think they fly past it. 

In the Kings last 5 games they are giving up 112.6 ppg and scoring 111.2 ppg. In the Suns last 5 they are scoring 115 ppg and giving up 115.2 ppg. Take that combined with the pace of play and both teams have a realistic shot of scoring 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 226! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 220) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in tonight's matchup that has Toronto hosting Portland. I just think the number here is way too high given the circumstances for both teams. For Toronto they just can't catch a break. Already down Siakam, Powell and Gasol, they are now going to be missing VanVleet. That's a big loss, as he's a big scorer for them right now and also a guy that gets people easy shots. 

Raptors have also slowed the pace way down with all these injuries. Since losing all those guys in that game at Detroit back on 12/18 their pace of play rating is a mere 24th and figures to drop even more without VanVleet. 

Blazers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 7 days, as they have had to go from New York, to Washington, to Miami to Toronto. They too are decimated with injuries and I think they will be happy slowing things down and playing at Toronto's new slow pace. Give me the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 223.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 between the Celtics and Hawks. Atlanta will be getting back their best offensive player in Trae Young and their offensive net rating is 13.9 points higher with him on the floor compared to when he's not. Not to mention he also makes their defense worse. Atlanta just can't defend the pick and roll and Celtics are one of the best in the league at pick and roll offense. 

Other big key here is that because Boston is so much better than Atlanta, this is not a game where they are going to feel the need to lockdown defensively. The proof of that is in recent matchups. OVER has gone 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams including 4-0 in the last 4 games in Boston. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 209.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 209.5 as the Bulls host the Jazz on Thursday. Chicago has been great against bad teams this year, but are just 1-12 SU when playing a team with a winning record and just gave up 123 pontis on 55% shooting in a home loss to the Bucks. I just don't think their defense can keep up against Utah. 

Jazz are known as a defensive team, but they really clicking on offense right now. The addition of Jordan Clarkson has really lit a fire under them. They have scored 100 plus in 9 straight games and are averaging 112.6 ppg in their last 5. Bulls are also playing better offensively of late at 108.4 ppg in their last 5 and a big part of that is the emergence of rookie Coby WHite, who has scored 18+ in 3 of the last 4 and is shooting 61% from deep during this run. Give me the OVER 209.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220 in Tuesday's NBA showdown with the Nuggets and Rockets. I know James Harden may or may not play, but I don't think it will matter. If Harden plays the Rockets are going to put up points, as Houston is averaging 118.8 ppg at home. if he doesn't they still probably score a lot as they got more than enough weapons. 

Keep in mind the Nuggets come in averaging 116 ppg in their last 5 and are giving up 110.4 ppg during thsi stretch, so they have been in a lot of up tempo games of late. You also factor in both defenses probably not giving a max effort here on New Year's Eve and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 220!