50* CELTICS/HEAT NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 213.5)

As much as I want to fire back on the Heat at +3.5 after cashing on them in Game 4, I'm going to take the UNDER 213.5. Game 4 ended up going over the total by 9 points, but the OVER didn't look good for the majority of that game. We got a 35-33 4th quarter (a lot of late scoring). I get it happens, but I don't see Game 5 coming close to this number. 

Miami wants to finish this thing off and the Celtics are facing elimination. We haven't seen a lot of games go OVER the total since the first round completed, especially late in the series like we are here. Give me the UNDER 213.5!  

40* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA NO-BRAINER (Under 216.5)

There's really no choice here but to take a shot with the UNDER in Game 7 between the Rockets and Thunder. With the Nuggets/Jazz going well under the total last night (combined for just 158 points with a total of 215.5), UNDERS are now a perfect 7-0 in Game 7s going back to the start of last postseason. 

The Rockets have been such a high-scoring team this season that I just think people have a hard time taking the UNDER. Thing is playoffs are a different beast and the Thunder matchup really well with them on the defensive side. UNDER has cashed in each of the last two in the series. Give me the UNDER 216.5!

40* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Over 238) 

I want to take Dallas and the points, but I try to stay clear of public dogs. Wouldn't surprise if they did cover. With that said, I feel the better bet is on the OVER. The Clippers made easy work of the Mavs defense in Game 4. They put 154 points on 63% shooting. I just don't think Dallas will be able to slow them down. They seemed to come out with a different fire in Game 4 and I don't see that going away. Key here is Luka and the Mavs will not go down without a fight and with Luka the Mavs are going to score. Give me the OVER 238! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 234.5)

I wanted to take the points with the Mavs and might have a little side action on them, but I believe the real value in this game is the OVER. These are two of the best offenses the NBA has to offer. Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 straight games. Luka Doncic has taken his game to another level and this Dallas team is oozing with confidence after winning Game 4 on a buzzer beater. There's just too much star-power and great shooters on the floor. I think this total should be closer 240. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 219)

I think we are getting a steal with the total sitting less than 220 for Game 5 between the Nuggets and Jazz. Utah has Denver's defense figured out and I don't think there's anything they are going to implement in this one that will change the outcome. Jazz have scored at least 124 points in all 4 games to this point. They have shot 51% or better in the last 3, including 58% in Game 4, a game Denver had to have. Nuggets have allowed 50% or better shooting in 6 of their last 7 overall. It is what it is at this point. All we need is for Denver to not have a horrible night shooting and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 217) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 217 in Game 4 between the Nuggets and Jazz. These two flew past the posted totals in Game 1 and Game 2. They combined for 160 in Game 1 and 129 in Game 2. They did go for just 211 in Game 3, but that was with the Nuggets scoring just 87 points on a miserable 38% shooting. Denver had shot 52% and 46% in the first two games. Utah has scored at least 124 in all 3 games. I see this easily getting to 220 and wouldn't be shocked if it eclipsed 230. Give me the OVER 217! 

50* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

The books keeping dropping the total, but I don't think they have adjusted enough for Game 3. The Lakers/Blazers combined for just 193 points in Game 1, which had a total of 234. They then had just 199 in Game 2 with a total of 227.5

The Lakers defense has completely shut down the Blazers offense. Portland shot a mere 39% in their win in Game 1 and hit only 40% in Game 2. Lakers had a great offensive game and still only had 111 points. LA shot 48% from the field and connected on 14 3-pointers after making only 5 in Game 1. 

I just think we are going to see more of the same from the Lakers defense. With how inconsistent the Lakers shooting has been, they likely regress from their strong Game 2 performance. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 229.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER at 229.5 in Game 1 between the Clippers/Mavs. I know Dallas didn't play great defense in their 8-game bubble restart, but you have to keep in mind they really had nothing to play for. They were all but locked into the No. 7 seed in the west. I think the intensity goes up a lot for the Mavs. As for the Clippers, they are a top tier defensive team, but I feel they got another level they can take it to. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

50* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 222.5) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 222.5. Last time out the Magic played a very low scoring game against the Raptors, which ended at 208 with a total of 222. However, each of their first 3 games had gone over the total. All 3 seeing at least 229 and all 3 the Magic gave up 116 or more. 

While the 76ers won't have Ben Simmons for this game, I think that could play to our advantage. It gets another guy who can hit a 3-ball on the floor. I actually think the loss of Simmons hurts them more on the defensive side and the 76ers defense has stunk in the bubble so far. I could easily see both teams hitting 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Jazz. I just don't see either team looking to push the pace all that much in this one. Toronto is playing their 5th straight on the road in about as bad a spot as you can get, playing in Utah on no rest after a game last night in Sacramento. As for the Jazz, they had Sunday off, but had to play back-to-back on the road Friday/Saturday to close out a 4-game east coast trip. Another thing here is Utah has won 5 straight and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 20-point loss at Toronto earlier this season, where they gave up 77 in the 1st half to the Raptors. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Utah's last 20 home games when they are on a win streak of 4 or more and 6- 1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 222) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222 in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs hosting visiting the Cavs. We see totals in the 230's on the reg in the NBA now a days and I just feel with how bad these two are playing defensively this should be closer to 230 than 220. Cleveland has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 54% or better from the field. San Antonio has allowed each of their last 4 to shoot 47% or better, including 53% last time out at Brooklyn. Cavs give up 115 ppg at home and Spurs allow 117 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 222! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 246.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 246.5. This might seem crazy, but I actually think there's value here. Minnesota is playing absolutely zero defense right now. They have allowed 126 or more in each of their last 4 road games, all of which saw a combined score of 244 or more, with 3 of those going for 250+. Pelicans are built for a shootout, as they are scoring 118.2 ppg and giving up 117.0 ppg in their last 5. I think both teams easily hit 120 with New Orleans going for 130+. Give me the OVER 246.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 230.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's matchup that has the Rockets visiting the Knicks. These two teams just played on Feb. 24th and combined for 135 points in a 123-112 Rockets win. I think we are going to see even more offense in this one. 

I'm pretty confident Westbrook and Harden will be motivated to show out at Madison Square Garden. They only get to play their once a season. Houston's small ball has them scoring a ton here lately. Only the Celtics have been able to keep them under 120 points since the break. 

As for the Knicks offense, they have been shooting really well. New York has hit 50% from the field in 3 straight games. Coming off a big road game at Boston on Saturday and a huge home game against the Clippers looming on Thursday, plus having just beat the Knicks, I don't see Houston being overly invested on playing defense in this one. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 214) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 214 between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just think with the trade of Drummond Detroit has went into full on rebuild mode. The defense has not been good and they are going up against a Denver offense that just shot 59% while scoring 128 at home against the Wolves. That was the 4th time in 5 games the Nuggets shot 50% or better from the field. Pistons can score and should be able to hit at least 105. I think the total here should be closer to 225. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 210 between the Hornets and Pacers. I just think we are getting big time value here on the OVER due to how awful these two teams just played offensively in their last game. Charlotte scored just 86 at home to the Nets and Indiana managed just 81 on the road at Toronto. Both teams did allow 115+ in those losses. Pacers score 110 ppg at home and Hornets allow that same number on the season. I think we see Indiana get to 120 and that means we need a mere 91 from Charlotte to cash. Give me the OVER 210! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 226) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226 in Friday's NBA clash that has Boston visiting Minnesota. I think we are getting some value here with the OVER due to a couple big names sitting this out. Kemba Walker won't play for Boston and Karl-Anthony Towns is out for the Wolves. 

Celtics got more than enough offensive fire-power to score a bunch against this awful Minnesota defense. It's going to be a big struggle on that side of the ball for the Wolves with all the new pieces. 

I like the offensive weapons a little more after the moves. Not having Towns is huge, but I also think him not playing really makes it hard for Boston to show up thinking they need to play hard defensively to win this game. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 236 between Washington and Cleveland. No doubt this is a big number, but it's really not when you factor in the two teams that are playing. Wizards and Cavs are atrocious on the defensive end. Wizards combine their lack of defense with an uptempo offensive attack and I'm confident they control the tempo here on their home floor and they should be really looking to push it given the long layoff and fresh legs. 

I also think Cavs are a better offensive team with the addition of Drummond and will be a little more explosive offensively now that head coach Beilein is gone. The players simply didn't like him or his ways of coaching. They are going to want to show out now that he's gone to make him look even worse. Give me the OVER 236! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 between the Raptors and Pistons. I played and won on the OVER last night with Toronto in their game at Cleveland. I thought that total was way too low given how good the Raptors have been offensively and how bad the Cavs defense had been playing. It's basically the same story here. Since Toronto has got healthy their offense has been lights out. Pistons are giving up 118.4 ppg on 48% shooting in their last 5. Toronto will be on no rest, but I think that will impact them more on defense and actually adds value to the over. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 221.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 221.5 between the Raptors and Cavs. With how good Toronto has been offensively of late and how bad Cleveland has been defensively, I don't know how you don't take a shot on this OVER at this price. 

Raptors have scored 110 or more in 7 of their last 8 games and 5 times during this stretch have scored 122 or more. If they hit that mark, we would only need Cleveland to chip in 100 to cash a winner. Cavs have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 51% or better from the field. They have also scored 106 or more in 6 of their last 7 and this isn't a great spot for Toronto to be shelling out a ton of effort on defense. Give me the OVER 221.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Knicks hosting the Grizzlies. I think we are seeing a big overreaction with this total because of how much the UNDER has been hitting for both of these teams. UNDER is 7-1 in Memphis' last 8 games and 7-1 in New York's last 8 games. 

Why take the OVER? Both of these teams will be playing on no rest and I just don't see either team being all that locked in defensively. The Knicks especially, who have been downright awful defensively playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. OVER is also 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 when playing on no rest. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Monday's NBA contest that has Detroit hosting the Cavs. These two teams played a home-and-home earlier this month and both games saw a combined score of at least 227. 

Detroit is dealing with some injuries, but it's not slowed them down. Pistons are averaging 117.2 ppg in their last 5. They will be facing a Cleveland team that is playing no defense right now. Cavs have allowed each of their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better with 6 of those going for at least 51%. 

Detroits' defense hasn't been much better in their last two, giving up 125 to the Grizzlies at home and 121 to the Nets. You have to go back to Dec. 3rd to find the last time the Pistons held a team under 100 points. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 224.5 in Saturday's big Western Conference matchup that has Utah facing off against Dallas. The Mavs are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league and just got back one of their biggest offensive weapons in Porzingis. Dallas comes in having scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 5 games. 

Dallas is also vulnerable on defense and even more so right now with the recent loss of big man Dwight Powell. Utah is known for their defense, but they are winning games more with their offense this year. The Jazz come in having scored 118 or more in 6 straight games. I could see both teams scoring 120+ in this one and we likely need just one to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 230 in tonight's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Pistons. Memphis ran into a buzz-saw last time out at Boston scoring just 95 points. However, the fact that they got to 95 is impressive, given they had just 17 points in the 2nd quarter and only 19 in the 3rd quarter. 

Prior to this game the Grizzlies had scored 110 or more in 15 straight games. Defense is always going to be a problem for Memphis and Detroit comes in off a 127 outburst at home against a Kings team that was pushing the tempo. Pistons are averaging 117.8 ppg in their last 5. The return of Reggie Jackson is huge as it allows them to keep the pace up with him and Derrick Rose. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Nets. Since Kyrie Irving has returned from injury the Nets have gone just 1-4 with their only win at home against a Hawks team that was down their best player (Trae Young).

In their 4 losses they have allowed no fewer than 117 points and three of those they allowed the opposing team to shoot 50% or better. After going through the motions last night at the Knicks, I expect a much more aggressive LA offensive attack in this one. 

A big reason for that is Irving is back on the floor for Brooklyn, as I don't think there's a guy LeBron enjoys beating more than Irving after what he did to get out of Cleveland. I think the Lakers could score 130 with ease in this one. 

I also think Brooklyn will score here as we just aren't going to get anything close to a max effort defensively from LA playing on no rest in their 4th straight on the road, especially with a big game at Philly on deck Saturday. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 221) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 221 in Monday's matchup between the 76ers and Nets. Since losing Embiid to injury Philadelphia has really slowed things down. In the 6 games without him they have a pace rating of just  95.42 which is 29th slowest in the league and well below their season average of 101.1. 

The offense without Embiid has been especially bad on the road, scoring just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. It's why I'm not concerned at all about the fact that these two teams just combined for 223 points in their meeting last week at Philly. If anything the fact these two teams just played each other adds more value to the UNDER. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 225.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans. Really hard to not like the over when you look at just how good these two teams have been on the offensive side of the ball of late. 

Utah is averaging 122.0 ppg and shooting 52% from the field over their last 5 games, while the Pelicans are scoring 118.8 ppg in their last 5. New Orleans also averages 115.7 ppg at home and have scored 112 or more points in 9 of their last 10. 

Utah is perceived as a great defensive team, but the Jazz have a tendency to not show up on that side of the ball away from home. In their last two road games against the Wizards and Nets, they let both shoot 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 218) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 218 between the Nets and 76ers. The highest combined score in the 76ers last 3 games without Embiid is 207. They are clearly playing at a slower pace too, which is evident by the fact the Mavs only put up 109 points despite making 11 3-pointers and shooting 51% from the field. Nets are T-9th in defensive efficiency and opposing teams are only shooting 43.3% against them, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228.5 in Tuesday's NBA clash between the Suns and Hawks. I think there's come value here due to the fact that Phoenix is off a couple of lower-scoring games against the Magic and Hornets, who are also two of the slowest paced teams in the league. In their last game against Charlotte they shot 50% from the field but yet only had 100 because of the pace. Hawks managed just 86 in their last game, but that was with Trae Young sidelined and he's cleared to go for this one. Neither of these teams are great defensively and both can light it up offensively. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Hornets. For starters, the average combined score in Phoenix' home games this season is 230.1 ppg, as they are scoring 115.3 ppg and giving up 114.8 ppg. 

Hornets allow 111 ppg and are giving up 112.4 ppg in their last 5, so we can expect to see Phoenix at least hit their average. Charlotte is coming off a game at Utah where they only scored 92, but that was with them scoring just 13 first quarter points. They averaged 26.3/quarter over the final 3. Hornets had also scored 104 or more in their previous 4 and if they simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224) 

I'll take my chances here on the OVER 224 in Saturday's NBA showdown between the 76ers and Mavs. Even though Dallas is playing on no rest after last night's ugly loss at home to the Lakers, they should be ready to go here as the starters didn't have to play big minutes because of the lopsided score.

Note that Dallas shot a mere 40.6% from the field and still put up 114 points against LA. This team is just so explosive on offense and play at such a quick pace that more times than not they will find themselves in shootouts. 

76ers are without leading score Embiid, but his loss actually hurts them more defensively than it does offensively. Philadelphia shot 49% and put up 109 points against Boston without him in their last game and the Celtics are a way better defensive team than Dallas. Give me the OVER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 224 in tonight's matchup between Portland and Minnesota. If you look at the overall resume of these two teams the OVER might seem like the obvious play here. However, both teams are dealing with serious injuries and tough scheduling spots, which I think make the UNDER the clear choice. 

Portland is playing their 5th and final game of a brutal 5-game road trip and in their last 6 games rank a mere 23rd in pace of play at 97.2. As for Minnesota, they have really been a different team without Karl Anthony Towns. In the 11 games he's missed the Timberwolves have the 29th worst offensive rating and the best defensive rating. I just think given the circumstances there's a ton of value here. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 216 in Thursday's big matchup between the 76ers and Celtics. I'm just not sure why the total is this high. I get the Celtics just gave up 129 points at home to the Spurs last night and will be on no rest, but I'm convinced that was more of a lack of effort than anything, as they had their eyes set on this matchup. 

On top of that, the 76ers won't have their best player, as Embiid is out with a dislocated finger. That's a massive blow for Philadelphia's offense. He's by far their best offensive threat and he was the main reason that the 76ers won in Boston earlier this season, as he scored 38 points on 12 of 21 shooting. 

Key here is that I do think those that will be playing for Philadelphia are going to give a max effort here with Embiid sidelined and that's going to come on the defensive end. Also, while I expect a much better effort from Boston, I do think they will be playing at a slower pace than normal with their tough schedule of late. Give me the UNDER 216! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 215.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 215.5 between the Jazz and Knicks. I originally liked Utah at -11, but the line has gotten out of control and in turn see a lot more value on the OVER. Knicks played last night in LA and are giving up 120 ppg when playing on no rest this season (124.3 ppg if it's against a team with a winning record). 

Utah is known for their defense, but they are quietly transitioning into a more offensive team. Jazz are 11-1 in their last 12 games and in this stretch have scored 109 or more points in 9 of those games. I also don't see them being all that focused defensively against a bad Knicks team. Note that while New York did score just 87 in last night's loss to the Lakers, they had scored 112 or more in each of their previous 3 games. If they can simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 215.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 220.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 between Boston and San Antonio. OVER has cashed in 11 of the Spurs last 15 games as they continue to show signs of progress offensively, while continuing to struggle on the defensive end. In the Spurs last 5 games they are scoring 120 ppg and giving up 112.4 ppg. 

Celtics are a good defensive team, but I don't think we see them play up to their potential on that side of the ball tonight, as they will have a hard time not holding back for tomorrow's huge division game against the 76ers. Also 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series have gone OVER, including a game earlier this season where they two combined for 250. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER SLAUGHTER (Over 226) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226 in tonight's late action between the Kings and Suns. No one has been playing at a faster pace in their last 3 games than Sacramento and the Suns have been a consistent Top 10 team all season in pace of play (3-points higher at home). I not only think these two teams eclipse the mark, but I think they fly past it. 

In the Kings last 5 games they are giving up 112.6 ppg and scoring 111.2 ppg. In the Suns last 5 they are scoring 115 ppg and giving up 115.2 ppg. Take that combined with the pace of play and both teams have a realistic shot of scoring 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 226! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 220) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in tonight's matchup that has Toronto hosting Portland. I just think the number here is way too high given the circumstances for both teams. For Toronto they just can't catch a break. Already down Siakam, Powell and Gasol, they are now going to be missing VanVleet. That's a big loss, as he's a big scorer for them right now and also a guy that gets people easy shots. 

Raptors have also slowed the pace way down with all these injuries. Since losing all those guys in that game at Detroit back on 12/18 their pace of play rating is a mere 24th and figures to drop even more without VanVleet. 

Blazers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 7 days, as they have had to go from New York, to Washington, to Miami to Toronto. They too are decimated with injuries and I think they will be happy slowing things down and playing at Toronto's new slow pace. Give me the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 223.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 between the Celtics and Hawks. Atlanta will be getting back their best offensive player in Trae Young and their offensive net rating is 13.9 points higher with him on the floor compared to when he's not. Not to mention he also makes their defense worse. Atlanta just can't defend the pick and roll and Celtics are one of the best in the league at pick and roll offense. 

Other big key here is that because Boston is so much better than Atlanta, this is not a game where they are going to feel the need to lockdown defensively. The proof of that is in recent matchups. OVER has gone 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams including 4-0 in the last 4 games in Boston. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 209.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 209.5 as the Bulls host the Jazz on Thursday. Chicago has been great against bad teams this year, but are just 1-12 SU when playing a team with a winning record and just gave up 123 pontis on 55% shooting in a home loss to the Bucks. I just don't think their defense can keep up against Utah. 

Jazz are known as a defensive team, but they really clicking on offense right now. The addition of Jordan Clarkson has really lit a fire under them. They have scored 100 plus in 9 straight games and are averaging 112.6 ppg in their last 5. Bulls are also playing better offensively of late at 108.4 ppg in their last 5 and a big part of that is the emergence of rookie Coby WHite, who has scored 18+ in 3 of the last 4 and is shooting 61% from deep during this run. Give me the OVER 209.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220 in Tuesday's NBA showdown with the Nuggets and Rockets. I know James Harden may or may not play, but I don't think it will matter. If Harden plays the Rockets are going to put up points, as Houston is averaging 118.8 ppg at home. if he doesn't they still probably score a lot as they got more than enough weapons. 

Keep in mind the Nuggets come in averaging 116 ppg in their last 5 and are giving up 110.4 ppg during thsi stretch, so they have been in a lot of up tempo games of late. You also factor in both defenses probably not giving a max effort here on New Year's Eve and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 220! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225 in Thursday's NBA matchup between Memphis and Oklahoma City. Since Ja Morant returned from injury the Grizzlies have been playing at a super fast pace and that combined with their lack of defense has led to the OVER cashing in 6 of their last 7 games. Thunder are also trending up offensively, as they are averaging 116.2 ppg in their last 5 a stretch that has seen an average combined score of 227.8 ppg. Give me the OVER 225! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 226.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in tonight's game that has the Mavericks hosting the Spurs. Dallas should have Doncic back in the lineup and with him they should do whatever they please against a bad Spurs defense that is giving up 116.2 ppg. In fact, both teams could go off here. San Antonio is averaging 120.0 ppg in their last 5 and the Mavs are scoring 117.2 ppg on the season. Both have also brought the offense in division games. Spurs are averaging 121.2 ppg against division opponents and the Mavs are even better at 127.2 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NBA XMAS DAY VEGAS SHARP TOP PLAY (Under 223) 

My money is on the UNDER 223 in the huge Christmas Day matchup between the Lakers and Clippers. These two teams are so good that their numbers can sometimes be misleading, especially on the defensive end. Because they have so much offensive talent they don't have to bring it defensively on a nightly basis. There's no concern here with them showing up on that side of the ball in this one. These two have played once already and only combined for 114 points and that was with the Clippers shooting 51% from the field and the two combining for 24 made 3-pointers. I just think a slower pace and a little more defensive intensity are going to keep this thing well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 223! 

40* NBA XMAS DAY TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in the big Christmas Day showdown between the Bucks and 76ers. Not many teams have had much success slowing down Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee offense, but few teams have the size and athleticism that the 76ers bring to the table. I really think Philadelphia is going to be able to slow this game down and play more at their tempo at home. Not to mention these are two really good defensive teams. Bucks lead the league in defensive efficiency and the 76ers are sitting in 7th. UNDER is also 6-1 in Milwaukee's last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 11-4-1 in the 76ers last 16 home games vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll once again take my chances here with the OVER in a game involving the Grizzlies. We should have cashed the OVER last night with Memphis and Cleveland, but the Grizzlies were a no show in the 4th quarter and Ja Morant was off with just 8 points. I fully expect Morant to bounce back and for this thing to fly past the total. OVER is still 4-1 in the Grizzlies last 5 and each of their last 6 have seen at last 220 points. OVER is also 2-0 since Fox returned for Memphis. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

50* VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 223)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223 between the Grizzlies and Cavs. Memphis' is rolling offensively right now and pushing the pace while they are at it. Grizzlies have scored 110 or more points in 7 straight games. They have also allowed 111 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 115.4 ppg on the road. OVER has cashed in each of their last 4 games. 

Cavs aren't the best offensive team, but are scoring 109.6 ppg in their last 5 and should be able to score plenty here at home against a soft Memphis defense. Prior to their last game against Charlotte where the two combined for just 198 points, Cleveland had played 4 straight games with a combined score of 126 or more. Give me the OVER 223! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 234.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 234.5 in Thursday's big NBA showdown on TNT between the Rockets and Clippers. These big TNT games on Thursday are often some of the biggest bet NBA games of the week and the books definitely inflate the total to the OVER in these games. Which is what I think is happening here. 

These two teams have played twice already, so there's familiarity between the two, which favors the defense. They did combine for 141 points in their most recent meeting, but LA shot 52% and Houston shot 46%. I just don't think we are going to see that good of shooting in this one, as I expect max effort defensively. Not to mention the previous meeting this season only saw 195 points and the total for that game was 233.5. GIve me the UNDER 234.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 225 in Thursday's big NBA showdown on TNT between the Lakers and Bucks. These big TNT games on Thursday are often some of the biggest bet NBA games of the week and the books definitely inflate the total to the OVER in these games. Which is what I think is happening here. 

No question these two have a ton of star power and come in scoring at a high rate, but I'm expecting a playoff like atmosphere in this one and both of these teams can be really good defensively when they want to. In fact, Bucks are No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Lakers are No. 3. Both are also going to be without some key players, as Bledsoe is a no go for Milwaukee and Kuzma is likely out. Anthony Davis is also likely playing here at less than 100%. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Grizzlies visiting the Thunder. This is not your Grizzlies from the last decade. Memphis is pushing the pace behind rookie point guard Ja Morant, who has really been playing well. Grizzlies have posted two of their best offensive ratings in their last two games. Memphis loves to get out in transition and that's one area OKC is struggling. Thunder 30th in PPP allowed in transition. On the flip side the Grizzlies are not a good defensive team. They are giving up 114.5 ppg on the road nad while OKC's offense isn't great, they are averaging 112.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in Tuesday's NBA matchup that has the Suns visiting the Clippers. These two teams played at Phoenix earlier this season and combined for 152 points with the two combining for 28 made 3-pointers and 58 made free throws. Suns will finally get back DeAndre Ayton from his 25-game suspension and he's a big add offensively. Devin Booker is questionable, but I think he could play here. 

Also, Phoenix played a grueling game last night at home against Portland, so don't expect a big defensive effort here. Offensively this team has scored at least 108 points in 10 straight games. Clippers are scoring 116.4 ppg at home and the Suns give up 113.6 ppg on the road. LA could also come out a bit flat defensively, as they just recently finished up a 6-game road trip and have a much bigger game on deck Thursday at home against the Rockets. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 223.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 in Friday's matchup that has the Hawks hosting the Pacers. Atlanta is just a great team for the OVER, as they are capable of going off on the offensive side of the ball, but play absolutely no defense. Hawks are giving up 118.8 ppg on the season and opposing teams are shooting 48% against them. Indiana is a strong offensive team and while they can be really good defensively, I don't think we get a great effort on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Pacers are fresh off a max effort in a big upset win at home over Boston and two days prior to that hosted the Clippers. They have to go play this game at Atlanta and then head right back home for 3 more at home, so really easy for them to kinda take the night off defensively against a bad Hawks team. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

50* NBA ATLANTIC DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 210.5) 

My money is on the UNDER 210.5 in Thursday's big showdown between the Celtics and 76ers. Both of these teams are trying to lay claim as the best team in the east and both are going to bring it. 76ers are not the same offensive team on the road as they are at home, while Boston is likely down one of their top scorers in Hayward. Both teams are also in some tough scheduling spots with not a lot of rest, so the pace should be even slower than it typically would. Give me the UNDER 210.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 233)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 233 in Thursday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Wizards. Washington is just an ideal OVER team, as they like to push the pace and don't play any defense. Wizards are No. 1in the league in pace of play and No. 30 in defensive efficiency. With Thomas Bryant a no go for Washington, Wizards frontcourt is in big trouble here against Embiid. Note backup big man Ian Mahinmi is also out and Mortiz Wagner is questionable. I could see Philadelphia scoring 130+ in this one, but they likely only need to hit 120 for us to cash this one, as Washington is averaging 121.4 ppg at home. GIve me the OVER 233! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER. The Clippers just put on a defensive clinic last night against the Mavs and have the looks of an elite defensive team when they want to be. I don't think we get that same effort on the defensive side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back, especially against a bad Memphis team. Grizzlies are awful defensively and I could see the Clippers scoring 125 or more here. I think we get more than enough offense from Memphis at home to push this over. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 216.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 216.5. I was on the OVER and lost in Chicago's last game, as the Pistons were a complete no-show scoring just 89 points and shooting 34% from the field. I'm not buying that being a sign of the Bulls defense turning a corner. IT's also the second time this season Chicago has held an opponent under 100 points. 

Bulls aren't the best offense, but they are playing as fast as anyone right now and I don't think we get a max effort here from Miami on the defensive side in the first game of a back-to-back with a much bigger at Philly on deck tomorrow. I do think the Heat's offense has a big game. Miami has hit 50% or better from the field in 4 straight games and will have their way against this Bulls defense. Give me the OVER 216.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 227.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 227.5 in Thursday's TNT matchup that has the Bucks hosting the Blazers. Portland's offense figures to be in a world of hurt in this one, as star point guard Damian Lillard is out with a bad back. They got no choice here but to try and slow this game down, as they simply can't go score for score with the Bucks and expect to keep it close. As for Milwaukee, I think they too will be looking to play at a slower pace given they are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just finished up a 3-game road trip. Also, good chance this gets out of hand and I think blowouts are much more favorable to games staying under the mark. Give me the UNDER 227.5! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 219)

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 219, as I think these two could easily get into the 230's. Chicago might be a bad team, but they got some playmakers on offense and love to push the pace. Bulls have played at a 107.6 pace in their last 5 games, which is the best mark in the league over that span. Chicago loves to attack in transition and the Pistons are one of the worst at defending in transition. Bulls also have a bad defense. Chicago is giving up 111.3 ppg and 115 over their last 5. Detroit is averaging 111.2 ppg over their last 5 and giving up 112 ppg. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 208) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 208. I just think we are going to see a very slow paced game and both of these teams are strong defensively. Magic play at one of the slowest paces in the league and the Raptors pace of play has been on the decline, largely because they haven't had Kyle Lowry in the lineup. He's still out. Toronto has gone 6 straight games holding opponents to 44% or worse from the field and are facing a Magic team that is only scoring 98.5 ppg on the road this season. These two played back on 10/28 and combined for just 199 and I wouldn't be surprised if they stayed below the 200 mark in this one. Give me the UNDER 208! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 234) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 234. No reason to overthink this one. The OVER is almost an automatic play with the Pelicans right now. OVER is 6-1 in New Orleans' first 7 games, as they are scoring 119 ppg and giving up 124 ppg. Pelicans love to push the pace and should be flying up and down the court here coming off 3 days of rest. Toronto also has fresh legs, as they will be playing just their 3rd game in the last 9 days. Give me the OVER 234! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 236 in Monday's NBA tilt between Golden State and New Orleans. Both of these teams love to play up-tempo, as each ranks in the Top 10 in pace of play. Both are also poor defensively, ranking in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. You don't get a much better combo than that for a high-scoring game. Give me the OVER 236! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 222)

I'll gladly take the OVER at just 222 in tonight's game between Chicago and Memphis. The Bulls are going to be a great OVER team with all that offensive talent. They didn't have anywhere close to their best game and still put up 125 in their opener. Defense will be a problem. They let the Hornets shoot 23 of 44 (52%) from deep. Memphis only scored 101 in their opener, but only had 41 in the 2nd half. That was on the road against a good Miami team. They will be better at home. Give me the OVER 222! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 227.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Friday's matchup between the Hornets and Wolves. I was shocked at how well Charlotte shot the ball from deep in their opener against the Bulls. Some of that was bad defense by Chicago, but you don't make 23 3-pointers on accident. Half of the HOrnets shots were 3's and they had 3 different guys make 5 or more. Minnesota to me is the ideal over team with the talent they got on offense and the lack of defense that is played. Minnesota put up 43 3-pointers in their opener against the Nets. BET THE OVER 227.5!

50* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 232.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 232.5 in tonight's matchup between the Suns and Kings.   A ton of young talent on both of these rosters and one thing young teams struggle with is playing defense, especially in games that don't matter this early in the season. Not to mention, these two were playing at two of the fastest paces in the preseason, so the tempo is going to be ideal for a high-scoring game. BET THE OVER 232.5! 

40* NBA (OVER 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in tonight's Central Division showdown between the Pacers and Pistons. Indiana was really pushing the pace this preseason and I don't think the Pistons are going to slow them down on their home floor. Detroit will be without Griffin, but I still think they got enough shooters to push this thing over the small total. BET THE OVER 210! 

50* NBA OPENING NIGHT MAX BET WINNER  (Over 231) 

You can't read a ton from preseason games, but one thing I like to look at is pace. Both these teams ranked in the Top 5 in pace of play this preseason. I think without Kawhi the Raptors will be looking to push the pace a lot more, as they need those easy buckets in transition. As for the Pelicans, they are a young group of kids that want to fly up and down the floor. No Zion no problem, there's a lot more talent than him on this team. They got a lot of guys who can shoot the 3. I got both teams reaching 120 in this one. BET THE OVER 231! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER  in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. I know we just saw these two fly past the total in Game 3, but that was simply a result of the Warriors not bringing the energy on the defensive side of the ball. Raptors were getting way too many layups, which in turn upped their confidence and I believe led to them going 17-38 (44%) from deep. They were +5 on 3-pointers over the Warriors. They were just 11-38 (29%) in Game 2, so we should expect to see regression from Game 3. Golden State can't go down 3-1 with 2 of the next 3 in Toronto. They have to win, which means max effort defensively. I think the same applies for the Raptors. If they are serious about dethroning the champs they need to win this game with Durant out and Thompson at less than 100%. Give me the UNDER! 

50* RAPTORS/WARRIORS GAME 3 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 213.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 3. It took an unthinkable scoring drought at the end of Game 2 for that to stay UNDER the total. I think that has a lot of people going back to the OVER in Game 3. Not me. Durant has already been ruled out and I think there's a decent chance that Klay Thompson doesn't play or plays at way less than 100%. We saw how hard it was for the Warriors to score once Thompson went out and I think the effort is going to be there for Toronto, especially on the defensive end. I could easily see both teams not getting to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 213.5! 

50* BUCKS/RAPTORS GAME 6 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 212.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 6. We cashed in an easy winner on the UNDER in Game 5 and I think we are going to see a very similar type of game tonight. I could actually see it being even more low scoring. Raptors defense has been great all playoffs and Milwaukee has no choice but to give everything they got on that side of the ball facing elimination. Easily see both teams fail to get to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 212.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 216.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in Game 5 of the Raptors/Bucks series. The last 3 in the series have gone OVER the total, but two of those were results of blowouts and the other is a game that went to double-overtime. I just think with the thing tied 2-2 and how good these two teams are defensively, we are going to see this thing stay well below the number here. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to reach 100 points. Give me the UNDER 216.5! 

50* BUCKS/RAPTORS GAME 4 VEGAS TOP PLAY (Under 217.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in Game 4. Each of the last two in the series have gone OVER the total, but Game 3 going over was a joke. It was 96-96 at the end of regulation, which is a total of 192. The two teams proceeded to score 38 more points in two overtime periods to finish with 230. As much as people want to focus on the offensive stars, these are two elite defensive teams and this game is massive, as we either have the Bucks go up 3-1 or Toronto tie it up at 2-2. Both teams are going to bring it tonight. Give me the UNDER 217.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 209.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Raptors and 76ers staying UNDER the total in Game 7. I honestly don't think either team is going to reach 100 points. Keep in mind that in the first 3 games played in Toronto, Philadelphia has managed to score just 95, 94 and 89 points. The 76ers defense has been hit or miss, but we know we are getting a max effort in a winner take all scenario. Give me the UNDER 209.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 214.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 4 on Sunday. These two have stayed UNDER the total in each of the first 3 games of the series and the UNDER is 7-1 in Toronto's 8 playoff games and 6-2 in the 76ers 8 games. Philadelphia seems to have figured out this Raptors offense and it just got easier with Siakam unlikely to play. As for Toronto's defense, the energy wasn't where it needed to be in Game 3. I'm pretty confident the intensity will be there as they try to avoid going down 3-1 and tie this thing up at 2-2 going back to Toronto. Give me the UNDER 214.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 219.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 2 between the Nuggets and Blazers. These two flew past the total in Game 1, as both teams shot better than 50% from the field and 37% from deep. These two will have a much better understanding of what the other team wants to do offensively and this a really big game for both teams. I also don't foresee the two combining for 47 made free throws. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* NBA PLAYOFFS OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 2 between the Celtics and Bucks. Yesterday the 76ers/Raptors UNDER 221 was my favorite play and that game ended up with a combined score of 183. Keep in mind this was after Game 1 saw just 203 points with a total around 223. 

I think there's very similar value in this play. The Bucks and 76ers combined for 202 points in Game 1, finishing well below the mark of 223. That was with the Celtics shooting a ridiculous 54% from the field. Again, they adjust the total, but only by a couple points. 

These are two very good defensive teams and no one knows how to disrupt an offense like Brad Stevens and he appears to have a pretty good game plan for Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee will match that defensive intensity in a must-win spot. Take the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 221)

I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 221 in Game 2 between the 76ers and Raptors. These two teams combined for just 203 points in Game 1, which closed with a total of 223. The game stayed under the mark by 20-points, even with the two teams combining for 70 points in the 1st quarter (280 pace). The most points the Raptors have allowed in the postseason so far is 104 and that was Game 1 of the first round against the Magic. Since then they have gone 5 straight not allowing more than 96. I expect more of the same with a much better effort on the defensive side from Philly. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 224.5) 

No disrespect to the rest of the league, but I think this is the best series we are going to see the entire postseason, as I firmly believe your 2019 NBA Champion will be whoever wins this series. Golden State knows they were lucky that Chris Paul got hurt last year and I think both teams really have a good understanding of what's at stake here. As much talent as these two teams have in terms of offensive playmakers, both are very strong defensively and I think we see this stay well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 223.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER at this price all day. I'm actually a bit shocked the number here is more than 220, as I think these are two elite defensive teams. In the most recent meeting, back in late February, the Bucks won by a final score of 98-97 with a total of 227. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 100 in this one, but even if they do we got room to work with. Give me the UNDER 223.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 219) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 219 in Monday's NBA action between the Jazz and Hornets. Charlotte is playing a lot of young guys and are getting abused on the defensive side of the floor here of late. Hornets just let the Warriors shoot 60% from the field for the game and have allowed 56% or worse in 3 of their last 4. Utah is known for their defense, but have scored 110 or more in 10 straight. I think this easily eclipses 220. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225)

I"ll take my chances with Tuesdays' marquee matchup between the Bucks/Rockets going UNDER the total set by the books. Anytime you get two elite teams paired against each other, I think both teams come out looking to make a statement, especially when those teams each have an MVP-caliber player like we have here with James Harden and Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

There's also other incentives here. Milwaukee is trying to secure the No. 1 seed so they can start getting some guys like Giannis some much-needed rest over the final few weeks. Houston on the other is desperately trying to stay in the No. 3 seed in the west. 

These are also two teams that are very underrated on the defensive side of things and both have been playing really well on that side of the ball of late. Houston is only giving up 105.6 ppg over their last 5 and Milwaukee isn't far back allowing 106.0 in their last 5. UNDER is 15-5-1 in Rockets last 21 and 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 at home vs a team with a winning record. Give me the UNDER 225! 

 40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's marquee matchup between the Spurs and Warriors. Golden State is coming off one of it's best defensive performances of the season, as they held Russell Westbrook, Paul George and the OKC Thunder to just 88 points on 32.3% shooting in Saturday's 22-point blowout win. The game before they limited James Harden and the Rockets to 104 points. Spurs have won 8 straight and during this run have been locking opponents down. San Antonio has allowed more than 105 in just one game during this hot stretch and we can bank on a big effort here. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 234.5) 

I wanted to take the Warriors here off that embarrassing loss to the Celtics, but the spread is just a little too high for my liking. Good news is I like the OVER just as much, if not more, as these are two of the top offensive teams in the league. Both of which are not playing all that great defensively as they try to adjust to playing with a new star. For Golden State it's DeMarcus Cousins and for Denver it's Isaiah Thomas. Last time these two teams played the Warriors won 142-111 as they combined for 253. I don't know if they get there, but they easily hit 235. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 233.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 233.5 in Sunday's Western Conference showdown between Denver and Los Angeles. Nuggets are finally healthy and simply have a plethora of playmakers at their disposal. I just think they are going to be extremely tough to contain and we saw that in their first game back from the break. Denver shot a miserable 40.8% from the field and yet still put up 114 points. Clippers will have no answer and really have no choice but to try to outshoot the Nuggets, which should have this thing flying past the number. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 213.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Clippers and Grizzlies going OVER the total of 213.5. I just think there's some value here on both sides. I think the perception is that LAC is not going to be as potent offensively after trading away one of their top scorers in Tobias Harris, but they made some sneaky good additions in other trades and put up 120+ in each of their final 3 before the break. 

As for the Grizzlies, it's the opposite. This team has the perception of being this defensive juggernaut. However, that was before they traded away the anchor in the middle in Marc Gasol. Memphis is in full on rebuilding mode and just aren't going to bring that energy and effort on the defensive side of the ball down the stretch. Give me the OVER 213.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 229) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers and Nets combining for at least 230 points. Brooklyn is a team that likes to get up and down the floor and are averaging a healthy 114.9 ppg at home this season. Portland can run and gun as well and giving up 113.3 ppg on the road. 

More than anything, I think the pace will be up there in this game with both teams well rested out of the All-Star break. Last year the OVER was 9-5 in the first game back from the break and the few that went UNDER barely stayed under the mark. Last time these two played in Brooklyn they combined for 252. 

It's also worth noting the Blazers have recently added Rodney Hood and Enes Kanter and we almost always see teams struggle defensively when new pieces are added. Give me the OVER 229! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 218) 

I'll gladly take my chances here in this bottom-feeder showdown between the Suns and Cavs. I just don't see a whole lot of defense being played in this one. These are two awful teams that really are better off losing than winning right now. There's just no motivation for either side to be 100% locked in on the defensive side. 

Not that these two teams could play quality defense if they wanted to. Phoenix has allowed at least 116 points in 13 straight games. I know the Cavs aren't a great offensive team, but they are a lot better now that Kevin Love is back in the lineup. Cleveland gives up 113 points/game and Suns have only failed to reach 100 points once in their last 8 games. I think this thing finishes a lot closer to 230 than 220. Give me the OVER 218! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 208.5) 

*I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 208.5 in Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Grizzlies. Memphis just held Anthony Davis and the Pelicans to 90 points on 39.5% shooting. This team is starting to find its rhythm defensively again and they really need it with how their offense is struggling to get easy looks. Memphis hasn't shot better than 44% from the field in 6 straight games. Spurs defense has been the culprit in their 4-game losing streak. I think we see a big effort on that side following a much-needed 2-day break. Give me the UNDER 208.5! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 227) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's Central Division clash between the Bulls and Bucks. OVER is perfect 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 and they are playing ideal basketball for the OVER to cash. Bulls are shooting lights out, hitting 50% or better in 6 straight and are playing little to no defense in the process. Don't be fooled by Milwaukee's 83-points last time out with the Greek Freak sidelined. This team will have no problem scoring 120+ here against the Bulls. I'm confident Chicago adds enough to push this well past the mark. Give me the OVER 227! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 234) 

I'll take my chances with the Lakers and 76ers going OVER the mark of 234. I just think there's too much offensive fire-power in this one. Not to mention teams just don't play real hard defensively in the weeks leading up to the All-Star break. Not only are players looking ahead to the break, but they are starting to wear down. Lakers last two games have saw them give up 136 to the Pacers and 128 to the Celtics. They have allowed 120 or more points in 8 of their last 10 games. 76ers have allowed 110 or more in 5 of their last 7 and have scored at least 106 in every game they have played since the calendar turned to 2019. Give me the OVER! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's NBA clash between the Hawks and Hornets. No team plays at a faster pace in the NBA than Atlanta and only the Knicks, Suns and Cavs are ranked lower in defensive efficiency than the Hawks. That's a pretty good combo for high-scoring games. Charlotte only managed 93 last time out at Dallas, but had scored 115+ in their previous 2 and will be facing a Hawks defense that has allowed 7 straight opponents to reach at least 112 points. Atlanta has also scored 112 or more in 7 of their last 8. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 222.5)

I'll take my chances with the Jazz and Rockets combining for at least 223 points. Houston doesn't figure to have Chris Paul, who is one of the better defenders. It's just going to be run and gun and hope Harden puts up 50 because the defensive effort won't be there on no rest. Utah's defense has been shaky of late and the Jazz are also playing on no rest. I think both teams could score 125 points and all we really need is for one of the two to get there to secure a win. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 226.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 on the total for the Hawks/Jazz. I usually don't like playing the OVER in games involving Utah, but I like the spot we are in. Atlanta's the ideal over team. The Hawks play at the fastest tempo in the league and are also one of the worst defensive teams. 

Utah's defense has been slipping of late and while some might expect a big effort here after giving up 132 at Portland last time out, I just don't see the Jazz laying it all on the line against a bad team like the Hawks, especially with James Harden and the Rockets coming to town tomorrow. 

OVER is 7-2 in Utah's last 9 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 9-2-1 in their last 12 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. OVER is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 234) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in this one. I just think the number here has been set way too high. Both teams have to be battling fatigue, as each will be playing their 3rd game in the last 4 days. For New Orleans they are playing on no rest, as they hosted Detroit last night. Pelicans are also without their best player in Anthony Davis. On top of that, both E'Twaun Moore and Nikola Mirotic were banged up against the Pistons and are questionable to play. I think these two will be lucky to hit 220. Give me the UNDER 234! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 219.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 219.5 in this one. Both Charlotte and Indiana will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back set, as the Hornets hosted the Suns on Saturday while the Pacers hosted the Mavs. Both teams won rather easily, so I'm expecting a little more edge defensive than you would typically see in a game with both teams on no rest. UNDER is 35-17 in the Pacers last 52 home games 13-4-1 in their last 18 vs a team with a losing record and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on 0 days of rest. UNDER is also 22-7 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams in Indiana. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's Eastern Conference showdown between the 76ers and Pacers. Both teams come in playing well, as the Pacers are 9-2 in their last 11, while Philadelphia is 6-2 in their last 8 and off a 149-107 blowout win against Minnesota. I just think the defensive effort is going to be there for both teams and when these two want to, they can be elite defensive teams. Clearly there's offensive talent on both sides, but with the total where it is it's too much value to pass up. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 226.5) 

First off, for those that don't know, this game is being played in London. That right there has me thinking there will be a lack of defense played. That's even more so when you factor the caliber a teams we have here with the Knicks and Wizards. Washington has been playing decent, surprisingly since John Wall went down. I just think the ball is moving a little more and it's resulted in the ball going in the hoop more frequently. Wizards have scored at least 109 in 8 straight and 121 ppg over their last 7. Knicks are giving up 117 ppg on the road, so 120+ from Washington should be easy. All we need is for New York to hit around 110-115 for this to fly over and the Wizards are giving up 118.7 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224.5)

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in tonight's NBA action between the Jazz and Clippers. With their top 3 point guards all injured, Utah has really had to rely on their defense of late and they come in having held each of their last 4 opponents to 41.2% or worse from the field. 

While they have scored 100+ in 4 straight, they have not shot the ball well at all of late. The Jazz are shooting 42.4% from the field in their last 5. Clippers have held their last 5 opponents to 43.2% shooting and I think we get a big effort on that side from LA, as they come in having lost 3 straight and really can't afford to lose here with their upcoming schedule not all that favorable. Give me the UNDER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 207.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in this one. The Rockets are a great offensive team, but are playing short-handed right now and in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. I just don't see them playing with the same pace offensively and tired legs is bad news for a team that loves to shoot 3-pointers like the Rockets. Add in Memphis desperately needing a win and the Grizzlies being a team that wants to grind games out with a methodical pace and stingy defense. All adds up to a low scoring game. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 224) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's TNT clash between the Spurs and Thunder. This just feels like way too many points given how well both of these teams are playing on the defensive side of the ball. San Antonio has been playing great defense for over a month now and OKC has held each of their last 5 opponents under 44% from the field. Spurs are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and Thunder are running on fumes as well, which will keep the pace down. While these two haven't played yet this season, 6 of the last 7 meetings have gone UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in tonight's NBA action that has the Kings and Suns going head-to-head. These two teams are ideal for a high-scoring game. Sacramento plays at the second fastest pace in the NBA, so possessions for both teams will be up there. The even bigger key is the lack of defense these two teams play. Both rank in the bottom 10 in the league in defensive efficiency. Kings give up 117.9 ppg on the road and the Suns allow 112.9 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Kings hosting the Lakers. I'm expecting zero defense to be played here. The Lakers are coming off that huge win on the road over the Warriors Christmas Day. They are primed for a letdown off that huge win, especially given they won't have LeBron or Rondo for this contest. Kings love to push the pace and I the young Lakers will gladly play that style here and both teams should eclipse 120. Bet the OVER 231! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 222.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER. There's always a ton of value with the UNDER in these Christmas Day games, as this isn't just another regular-season game. Players consider it an honor to play on Christmas and more times than not we see playoff-like intensity. There's no doubt we get that level of intensity from these two division rivals. I think we could see both teams struggle to simply get to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 222.5!