12-04-11 |
North Carolina State v. Stanford UNDER 140 |
Top |
72-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
NCSU likes to run and gun and they are averaging 150 points per game with their opponent but their game at home with Princeton was only 60-58 (118 points!). Stanford played a high scoring game in Madison Square Garden with Okla State but their home games have been much lower even though they played weaker competition. Keep in mind the travel to the west coast.
I think we see a game in the low 130's and under.
|
12-04-11 |
NY Jets v. Washington Redskins OVER 38.5 |
|
34-19 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 52 m |
Show
|
NY Jets have overs in 23 of the last 32 games as they allow more points than you would expect. Redskins have overs in last 2 and are able to run the ball and Grossman is a decent passer. I think both get to 20 and see a game in the 40's and an over.
|
12-01-11 |
Georgetown v. Alabama OVER 131 |
Top |
57-55 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
GTown has averaged 83 PPg in recent action while Alabama played a high scoring game vs. VCU on Sunday which was our Game Of The Month. GTown should pick up the action with 3's and inside scoring.
I think we see 135 points reached. GL!
|
11-30-11 |
Wisconsin v. North Carolina OVER 135 |
Top |
57-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 12 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin at UNC over 135 15 units
These two played back in 2005 and the halftime score was 88-82 (170 points!). Wisconsin has yet to play a true road game. They did play BYU (34-32 halftime score) and made it to 66 points at the break. Wisconsin games average 112 ppg while UNC is at 159 so they put the total near the middle and came up with 135. They are expecting 63 in the 1st Half and 72 in the 2nd half.
Zeller played poorly in Las Vegas so I expect UNC to get the ball down low to him. Harrison Barnes may or may not play but UNC does have McAdoo, Hairston and Bullock as nice bench players who can score. Here are UNC halftime totals:
UNLV 80 So Car 77 Tenn St 97 Miss V 68 UNCA 87 Mich St 61
The UNC/Michigan State game on the ship even made it to 61 points with all the airballs, missed FT's and ragged play.
The Badgers have played overs in 8 of the last 10 vs. the ACC. Here are the last four halftime scores for Wisconsin in the Challenge:
NCSU 65 Duke 70 Va Tech 68 Duke 73
Wisconsin has 5 players who average 9.5 ppg or more. Brust, Berggren, Taylor, Gassor and Evans can score as well as others. In their last five games the Badgers have made 13, 8, 13, 9 and 10 3-pointers.
UNC likes to push it and play fast, especially at home in the Dean Dome. They do struggle from the line and don't shoot 3's well but there should be plenty of chances for this to reach 135+ and go over.
Wisconsin/UNC over 135
|
11-29-11 |
Michigan v. Virginia Cavaliers OVER 112 |
Top |
58-70 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 11 m |
Show
|
112 is a low total. Michigan just travelled to Hawaii and should have some tired legs after playing good teams like Duke and Memphis. Virginia likes to play low scoring games but their game at Minnesota in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge was very high scoring.
Mike Scott should score inside and Tim Hardaway all over for the Wolverines. Go OVER!
|
11-27-11 |
Oklahoma v. St. Louis OVER 128 |
Top |
63-83 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
I expect an over due to the offense of St. Louis and Oklahoma being a little faster tempo than in past years. Rick Majeras stresses defense but I think we see some layups and 3's to get this one into the 130's and over the total.
over 128
|
11-22-11 |
Tennessee St. v. North Carolina OVER 145.5 |
Top |
69-102 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
Tenn State at UNC 7pm eastern (Nov. 22)
over 145.5 Tennessee State has played some low scoring games this year vs. Western KY, South Carolina and St. Louis. Their final scores have ended with 127, 138, 101 and 108 points. They do have all starters back from last year and are led by Robert Covington at 16.5 ppg. Kenny Moore, Miller, Cyphers and Peters also provide scoring. Let's look at the games that Tenn State played last year and check out the scores:
Memphis 177 (91-86) Belmont 159 (87-72) Air Force 159 (87-72) Eastern Ky 158
UNC has played three games and their game on the ship vs. Michigan State ended with just 122 points scored. Their game at UNC-A ended with 166 points and their last game (only home game so far) made it to 176 (101-75) vs. Miss Valley State. There was no line for their first home game.
UNC should be able to push it at home and get the ball inside to Zeller and Henson and Barnes. Strickland has played well but the Tar Heels have struggled at the line and making 3's but they do have three good offensive players coming off the bench (McAdoo, Hairston and Bullock). Kendall Marshall has struggled with his shot but he is known for his passing. He doesn't get the easy layups and dunks that Felton and Lawson used to get.
Tenn State just won at South Carolina 64-63 so it should get UNC's attention. Tenn State could pack it in and force UNC to shoot from the outside and make plenty of passes before shooting on offense. It does concern me that the teams may play a sloppy game with Thanksgiving only two days away and UNC's next game will be against South Carolina on Friday in Las Vegas.
It should be an interesting game to see if the Tennessee State Tigers can keep it close and keep it under the total but I like our chances for an over.
over 145.5
|
11-14-11 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
7-45 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
The weather looks to be cold with highs near 34 and windy. These two are division rivals. GB is an offensive powerhouse but the Vikings like to run and that will use up the clock. I think we see a game in the 40's. Take the under!
|
11-09-11 |
Duquesne v. Arizona OVER 145.5 |
Top |
59-67 |
Loss |
-160 |
30 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take the over. AZ just played one game and the Dukes of Duquesne played 5 exhibition games up in Canada and they ended with 163, 139, 160, 177 and 185 points scored. Point guard TJ McConnell should help his team score a few points to stay with AZ., who have played overs in 9 of the last 12 at home.
over the total
|
11-07-11 |
William Mary v. St John's UNDER 136.5 |
|
59-74 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
Only one of W&M's first 10 games last year went over this total. I would expect the Tribe to slow it down. They aren't as athletic as the Red Storm. Their game at Syracuse ended with 123 points last year in an early game. Go under!
|
11-06-11 |
NY Jets v. Buffalo Bills OVER 44 |
Top |
27-11 |
Loss |
-102 |
47 h 33 m |
Show
|
New York Jets vs. Buffalo 1pm
over 44
The Jets have played 10 overs in their last 12 road games and get offensice production form QB March Sanchez who feels less pressure on the road. The Jets recently gave up 30+ points in 3 games in a row.
The NYJ defense is average and led by Revis who is a threat to score off an int. every game.
Buffalo is led by QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is who known for an almost perfect test score for NFL players. The Bills can make plays in the air and on the ground. I think we see a score that ends close to 50 points and an OVER!
|
11-05-11 |
Army v. Air Force UNDER 57 |
Top |
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
Army vs. Air Force under 57.5
Last year's meeting went over the total as 64 points were scored but the previous meetings saw 42, 23, 40, 50, 51, 53 and 34 points scored.
The Army QB (Steelman) is not expected to play much today and won't be 100%. The Cadets rely on the ground game and that should keep the clock running. AF QB Tim Jefferson was injured last week but is probable. If he has a great game this total will end up going over.
AF has won the last 5 meetings easily and has already played Navy. The Navy game went into OT but there were 56 points scored in regulation.
Hopefully, the AF Falcons will jump ahead and have a comfortable lead and run the ball safely in the 4th quarter and we end with a game in the low 50's.
under 57.5
|
10-20-11 |
Texas Rangers v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 8 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
The weather is cold and the wind is blowing in toward first in St. Louis. Last night ended 3-2 so I expect a similar type of score for Game two on Thursday night. Take the under.
|
10-15-11 |
Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 49 |
Top |
14-28 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
Take the under as MSU has allowed just 108 yards rushing per game and is one of the best in scoring defense. Michigan St. should be prepared for Robinson. The Wolverines and Spartans are rivals and it should come down to 3 to 7 points but I like the under in the game on Saturday afternoon. Take under 49.
|
10-08-11 |
Auburn v. Arkansas OVER 63.5 |
Top |
14-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
49 h 47 m |
Show
|
over 63.5 Arkansas has scored 40 or more in the last two meetings while Auburn 28 and 42 in those games. The coaches of the two teams used to work together under Tommy Tuberville. Arkansas lost to Alabama recently and will be happy to see a weak defesne like Auburn.
Arkansas has a nice short passing game to negate the rush of the Tigers. They had Ryan Mallet in Bobby Perino's sytem last year and still have a decent QB who should generate 30+ points.
Auburn can run and pass well and should get 30+ too. Look for a high scoring game that reaches 70.
My guess is 40-35. GL!
|
10-01-11 |
North Carolina v. East Carolina UNDER 58.5 |
Top |
35-20 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 19 m |
Show
|
UNC has a solid defense and just played at Ga tech so they are road veterans. ECU has had trouble with turnovers and when they played Va Tech they only put up 10 points at home. LOook for a game in the low 50's that stays under.
|
09-28-11 |
St.Louis Cardinals v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
8-0 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Carpenter and Myers have pitched well lately as each has an ERA under 2 in the last 3 starts. It should be a pressure filled game that stays under even with last night's slugfest.
|
09-27-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
I think we see both teams put up close to 5 runs. The Sox need the win the O's will be relaxed vs. former starter Eric Bedard. I think it gets to 10 runs!
|
09-26-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 32 m |
Show
|
Philadelphia at Atlanta under 7 (+100)
I like the under on Monday night. Atlanta is trying to stay ahead of the Cardinals for the Wild Card and have to face Cliff Lee, who has great stuff and some consideration for the NL Cy Young.
Lee has been involved in 12 overs and 19 unders this year. His last 3 starts ended with scores of 3-0, 2-1 and 3-2. He has allowed 2 runs or less in his last 9 starts. The team is 21-10 when he takes the mound.
The Braves counter with Randall Delgado and he faces a Phils team that has lost 8 in a row and stuck on 99 wins. The Phils have played unders in 14 of their last 17 games. Delgado has allowed 0, 1, 1, 3, 1 and 3 runs in his starts. The total runs scored in those games were 4, 5, 7, 7, 3 and 8.
It does concern me that the Braves were shut out on Sunday with just a few hits and look to bounce back on Monday but they do face Cliff Lee.
The game looks to be low scoring based on the pitchers and the playoff atmosphere of the Braves needing to win.
under 7 (+100)
|
09-24-11 |
North Carolina v. Georgia Tech UNDER 58 |
Top |
28-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
93 h 52 m |
Show
|
UNC has a much better defense than Kansas or MTSU and have faced the GT attack every year. Onlky one of 10 meetings has gone over this total. I think we see plenty of points but not in the 60's as this stays under.
|
09-20-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 9 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
105 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
The two pitchers have combined for 0 overs and 6 unders in their last 6 starts. TB has played 10 unders in the last 15 on the road. The Rays need this to stay with Boston in the Wild Card race. Take under 9.
|
09-18-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 50 |
Top |
31-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
I think we see an under in the night game where Vick and his Eagles play at Atlanta. 49.5 is plenty of points for an NFL game. Atlanta played poorly last week at Chicago and Vick ran well but was just 14-42 passing. Play the UNDER!
|
09-13-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
pick: under 8.5 Zack Greinke has pitched 8 unders in his last 10 starts. Milwaukee is a tough team at home and Colorado hits .20 points lower on the road. The Brewers need to win this game to protect their lead in the Central. I think we see a game in the 4-2 range.
|
09-11-11 |
Minnesota Vikings v. San Diego Chargers OVER 41.5 |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
San Diego missed the playoffs last year as the #1 offense in the NFL. Today, at home I expect the Chargers to win easily and score plenty of points. I think the Vikings can get 14 to 17 points and help this go over!
|
09-11-11 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
2364 h 33 m |
Show
|
Peyton Manning had neck surgery over the summer but should be healthy in time for this game but opening day between these division rivals should be close to the vest a Houston. This is one of the highest totals of the day. Both teams are better than you think on defense even though both can score quickly via the pass. I like the under in this one!
|
09-10-11 |
Virginia Tech v. East Carolina OVER 63.5 |
Top |
17-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 24 m |
Show
|
Take the over. The last few ECU games ended with 93, 71, 83, 100, 96 and 111 points. VT is known for defesne but last year's game got into the 70's (49-27) and the Hokies first game reached 79 points in a 66-13 win at home.
ECU is at home and QB Dominique Davis should air it out after the Pirates get behind. VT can run and pass well. I expect 70+ on Saturday.
|
09-06-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees OVER 10.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
Let's go with the over 10.5. Hughes is the starter for both teams and both have been lit up in the last 3 starts. Their ERA's are in the 7+ range. Yesterday's game was 11-10. I look for 12 runs tonight.
|
09-03-11 |
South Carolina v. East Carolina OVER 61 |
Top |
56-37 |
Win
|
100 |
506 h 24 m |
Show
|
Take the over in the Septmeber 3rd game. ECU allowed the most points per game and near the bottom and yards allowed. Stephen Garcia is an experienced QB for the Gamecocks and ECU's QB (Patrick Pickney) has experience too. ECU gave up lots of points to C-USA schools last year and to ACC schools like UNC and Va Tech. Navy put up 72 on them at ECU.
This game will be on a neutral field in Charlotte, NC. I like our chances for an over.
|
09-01-11 |
UNLV Rebels v. Wisconsin UNDER 55 |
Top |
17-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
461 h 9 m |
Show
|
Take the under. It may take awhile for Wisconsin to get going with a new QB and the running game should eat up plenty of clock. UNLV will struggle to get much going and the Badgers will be happy to win this by 4 TD's.
Take under 55.
|
08-20-11 |
New Orleans Saints v. Houston Texans OVER 38.5 |
Top |
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
Both teams didn't produce much offense last week. They should focus more on offense this week. Houston has played overs 5-0 in week 2 in the last 5 years. Look for Drew Brees and Matt Schaub to play well and for us to get over 40 points scored!
Take over 38.5 points
|
07-05-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
The D-Backs are hitting the ball well under Kirk Gibson and their starter is Zack Duke, who has an ERA of 8 in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee is a tough home team. I think we see a 7-4 type of score. Play OVER 9 on Tuesday.
|
06-26-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Florida Marlins UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
under 6.6
These two pitchers (Fister and Sanchez) have ERA's inthe 2.76 range and have combined for 10 overs and 17 unders. The offenses have little power. Play under!
|
06-15-11 |
Boston Bruins v. Vancouver Canucks UNDER 5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
Game 7's have a tendency to go under in hockey. Goalie Tim Thomas of the Bruins has been great at home and has lost two 1-0 games at Vancouver as well as a 3-2 OT game. I think we see a 3-1 or 2-1 game on Wednesday night. Play UNDER!
|
06-05-11 |
Miami Heat v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 188.5 |
Top |
88-86 |
Loss |
-106 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
I think the Mavs push the pace on Sunday and hit some 3's and force Miami to score with them. The last game was right at the total and Game 3 should be in the 190's. Look for an over with Dirk and Jason Terry scoring 20+ for Dallas and Wade and Lebron for the Heat.
|
05-31-11 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat OVER 187 |
Top |
84-92 |
Loss |
-106 |
30 h 54 m |
Show
|
The two regular season games went over the total. I would play it up to 190. Dirk, Jason terry and Jason Kidd can score for Dallas as well as Barea. They can make their 3's. Miami is led by Lebron James, Bosh and DWade as well as get points from Mike Miller and Haslem. Both teams should plenty of free throws and make them. I think we see a score in the 190's.
|
05-22-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 |
Top |
9-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
|
St. Louis at Kansas City 2:10pm
under 8
Jaime Garcia of the Cards has pitched well lately and has an ERA of 1.84. St. Louis has played well when he starts. The Cardinals and Royals have split 3-0 games on Friday and Saturday. Lance Berkman has been out for the last few games and so has David Freese. Albert Pujols has struggled this year too.
The Royals starter should give up a few runs but KC has played great defense this year and should keep it close in this getaway afternoon game. I think we see an Under.
|
05-19-11 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 200 |
Top |
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 13 m |
Show
|
These teams like to play fast and Durant and Dirk are great free throw shooters. The teams put up lots of points in Game one and we have seen how much can change from one to another. I like Dallas to putup points and think we see over 200 on Thursday.
|
05-17-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies OVER 8 |
Top |
3-5 |
Push |
0 |
16 h 5 m |
Show
|
over 8
The Monday night game between the Giants and the Rockies went over as the score is 7-4 in the 6th. The four home games before that reached 10, 16, 19 and 14 runs. Back in April, these two played three games at Coors Field that ended with 9, 9 and 12 runs scored.
In Monday's game, homers were hit by guys named Seth Smith and Nate Schierholtz, not exactly household names. The Giants hitters don't exactly scare you as most guys are in the mid-.200's. The Rockies are led by Troy Tulowitzi, who was hot and then cold and seems to be hitting again. Helton, Fowler, Spilborghs and Iannetta are solid at the plate.
The Rockies start Ubaldo Jiminez and he has pitched 6 overs and 0 unders this year. In his last home start he gave up 6 walks and has given up 6, 5, 4 and 4 runs in his last four times on the hill. He has given up 5, 4, 4 and 5 runs in his home starts. Sanchez has givven up 3 and 5 runs in his last start and beat the Rockies 6-3 in a previous matchup.
The ball seems to be travelling well at Colorado lately and with Jiminez on the hill. Throw in the fact that it should be 66 degrees on Tuesday afternoon, it looks like a good chance for an over.
over 8
|
05-13-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 195.5 |
Top |
83-95 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 30 m |
Show
|
Look for the under to profit on Friday night. The last game was very low scoring as the Thunder jumped out to a quick lead and won easily and held the Grizzlies to under 20 points in all four quarters. Zack Randolph and the rest of the Memphis team struggled.
The first two gamesin Memphis went to overtime and were under the total at the end of regulation. It is always risky to play unders when Kevin Durant is involved but I think we see an under as the teams should be tired after a long season and into the sixth game of the series.
Play under.
|
05-10-11 |
San Jose Sharks v. Detroit Red Wings OVER 5.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
28 h 44 m |
Show
|
The last 6 in Detroit have gone over the total. The last three meetings have all ended 4-3. SJ has overs on the road 12-2-2 in his 16 and 10 of the last 14 meetings have gone over. SJ overs 11-1-1 last 13 vs. a winning team. Hope to see another 4-3 game on Tuesday.
|
05-10-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-109 |
17 h 45 m |
Show
|
TB has played under in 22 of 33 games this year. Cleveland is coming back from a long road trip to California and their starter (Tomlin) has an ERA of 2.14 in his last 3. I think we see a game in the 4-3 range. Play under!
|
05-09-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 198 |
Top |
133-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
The last game at Memphis stayed under with overtime. The game only had 172 points after regualtion. With added pressure look for an under tonight. Play under 198 and let's hope Durant doesn't get hot!
|
05-04-11 |
Florida Marlins v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7.5 |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
Fla 15 overs, 12 unders STL 18 overs, 11 unders
Javier Vazquez of Florida has an ERA of 6.39 with 3 overs/2 unders and Carpenter has 4 overs and 2 unders. He has allowed 6 HR's in his last 5 starts. He has lasted 6, 4, 7, 6 and 7 innings in his last five starts.
|
05-01-11 |
Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 182.5 |
Top |
90-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 22 m |
Show
|
pick: under 182
These two played twice this year and both were unders. The games were 100-77 (177 points) and 85-82 (167 points). Some trends point to an under on Sunday as the Celtics have played 19 overs, 6 unders and a push in their last 26 games and Miami has played unders in 6 of its last 8.
Both teams have veterans who play good defense. The Celtics have Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen and Paul Pierce who are known for offense but are long and good on defense. They have been off for a few days after a sweep and should have legs to focus on defense.
I think we see a game in the 170's that stays under on Sunday. Play UNDER!
|
04-29-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7 |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
|
St. Louis at Atlanta over 7 (-105)
All 4 games in Atlanta went over last year as there were 10, 9, 14 and 15runs scored. Even when they met in St. Louis there were 14, 6, 9 and 7 scored.
The Cards are scoring runs and allowing them too. Carpenter and Hudson face each other but the Cards are 0-5 in his starts. The two have combined for 6 overs and 4 unders and their ERA's are close to 5 in their last 3 starts. Hudson has 5 overs, 1 under and 2 pushes in his last 8 vs. St. Louis.
The Braves are led by Chipper Jones, Justin Heyward, Brian McCann and Dan Uggla and just scored 7 and 8 runs in San Diego. It does worry me that the Braves may suffer some jet lag after a trip out west but the Cardinal bullpen seems to give up their share of runs and all it takes is one big inning to get over the low total of 7.
Lance Berkman has been hot for the Cards and is now over .400. The Cards are now leading the National League in hitting by close to 17 points. I haven't even mentioned Albert Pujols and he is due for a big game.
StL/Atlanta over 7
|
04-28-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 |
Top |
11-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
8pm April 28, 2011 over 8.5 (-120)
These two have split 6-5 games the last two nights. The St. Louis bullpen has allowed late runs in both games, barely holding on last night. Ryan Franklin has an ERA of 10.13 and I am still surprised they are still using him as he struggles to even get one man out. Mitchell Boggs has moved into the role of closer and he blew the save on Tuesday night.
The Cardinals lead the NL in batting at .290 and have 10 overs, 4 unders and a push in their last 15 overall games. The Astros have 16 overs and only 8 unders this season.
Figueroa starts for Houston and he has an ERA of 8.55 this year and 4 overs with 0 unders. Kyle McClellan is pitching well and has been a pleasant surprise for the Cards but he has only been going 6 innings in most starts. Then, it's up to the bullpen.
I was able to win my wager last night on Lance Berkman -130 vs. Lee in total bases as Lee was hitless and Berkman was 2-4 vs. his former team. Hopefully, both can do well tonight to add to the scoring.
Here are some batting averages for each team:
Cardinals Holiday .429 Berkman .385 Freese .342 Greene .333 Rasmus .315 Theriot .311 McClellan .300 (pitcher)
Astros Wallace .367 Quintero .308 Sanchez .305 Bourn .291 Pence .286 Figueroa .287 (pitcher)
St. Louis is now 13-11 and they were my future play to win over 84 games. The starting pitching has been good without Wainwright but the bullpen and defense needs work. Albert Pujols has been in a mild slump for him. I hope to see them win tonight and score enough runs to help get to over 8.5 with Houston.
Cardinals/Astros over 8.5 runs
|
04-27-11 |
Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 205 |
Top |
97-100 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 25 m |
Show
|
The under has been profitable in 21 of 31 playoff games. I expect Oklahoma City to win and keep the Denver Nuggets under their average. This total is set higher than any other series and I think we see a game in the 190's.
|
04-27-11 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
Gallardo's ERA is 7 in his last 3 starts. Jay Bruce and Joey Votto should be able to help the Reds score 4 or 5 runs while Milwaukee is at home. I think we see The Brew Crew win by 5-4 and go over the total.
|
04-20-11 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 196 |
Top |
87-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Look for an over tonight. Mau Ginobili returns for the Spurs to help Tim Dncan and Tony Parker. The Grizzilies should have confidence with a win in Game One. Look for Battier and company to help this one go over!
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04-14-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees OVER 10 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
New York defeated the Orioles by 7-4 last night to get over the total. The Yankees had the most home overs in the majors last year and have a loaded lineup with Jeter, Cano, Texiera and Posado along with Brett Gardner. And you can add ARod to the mix.
The Orioles get hits from Lee, Markakis, Guerrero and Wieters and lead off man Brian Roberts.
The pitching matchup favors the over with Arrieta and his 7 ERA facing Phil Hughes and his high ERA of close to 15. Look for 10 or more runs on Thursday.
Play over 10.
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04-13-11 |
Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
97-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
Miami is going to rest Wade, Bosh and Lebron James while Mike Miller should play some as well as Mike Bibby. The Raptors have some injury problems as well and tonight is the last game of the season. Bargnani has played well this year but he will not see action tonight and Ivan Calderon is out too. I expect Toronto to win as they are a 5 point favorite for the home finale.
Miami has seen 188, 177, 200+ and 175 scored in the last 4 while Toronto has played totals of 179, 191 and 191 in their last three.
Look for a game to reach the low 190's and stay under. Play the under.
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04-11-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. New York Mets OVER 8 |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Mets have played all overs this year except for one push. That's 7 over's and 0 unders. Hammel for the Rockies has an ERA of 7.20 and Pelphrey's ERA is 15.63 in two starts. Hammel has allowed at least 4 earned runs in his last 6 starts. Let's play the over streak till it loses. Take over 8 as our TOTAL of The Month!
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04-11-11 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. New Jersey Nets OVER 196 |
Top |
105-103 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
Last home game for the Nets and even though Deron Williams is out they Nets and Bobcats played on Sunday and should have tired legs for defense. Brook Lopez for the Nets should score well as should Kwame brown inside for Charlotte. Look for a game to go over 200 on Monday night.
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04-06-11 |
New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 213 |
Top |
97-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
Look for the Knicks and 76ers to go over the total on Wednesday night. The 76ers are off two low scoring games and will be happy to face the uptempo New York squad led by Carmello Anthony in Mike D'Antoni's fast paced system. Look for a game with close to 220 points.
Good luck as always!
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04-04-11 |
Butler v. Connecticut OVER 128.5 |
Top |
41-53 |
Loss |
-108 |
29 h 54 m |
Show
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This could easily be an ugly game that stays under as the UConn vs. Kentucky game was. The Wildcats missed many free throws and that cost them the game as one player was 0-5 fromthe line. The teams should be used to the court and background. Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lamb can score for the Huskies while Howard and Shelvin Mack can rack up points insdie and outside for the Bulldogs.
I think the game reaches 130 and goes over.
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04-02-11 |
Kentucky v. Connecticut UNDER 140 |
Top |
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 46 m |
Show
|
I like our chances for an under on Saturday as the Wildcats play grea defense and have 11 overs and 18 unders this year with 6 unders, one over and a push in their last 8. 145, 122, 134, 116, 124, 130, 141 and 134 have been the finals tallies in Kentucky's last 8 games.
UConn plays good defense under Jim Calhoun and have a reliable scorer in Kemba Walker and are patient to get him shots. The last six games made it to 128, 141, 127, 132, 135 and 136 before OT.
Play the under on Saturday and good luck!
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04-02-11 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Butler UNDER 134 |
Top |
62-70 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 48 m |
Show
|
pick: under 134 This total is anywhere from 133 to 134. Butler has had all week to study VCU and play defense vs. the Ram attack that has been scoring well due to making 3-pointers. They made 12 3's in their last 4 NCAA toruney games, coming from Rodriguez, Burgess, Skeen and Rozzell. Joey Rodriguez has not been shooting as well as the other three players but does have range.
Butler did play in the Fianl Four last year and the two scores reached 102 vs. Michigan State and 120 vs. Duke in the final. The same caoch (Brad Stevens) and players except for Gordon Hayward is still in place. Only Mack and Matt Howard scored 10+ for the Bulldogs this year.
VCU has scored 132 with Kansas, 130 with FSU before OT, 170 with Purdue and 130 with Georgetown. They totaled 105 with USC in the opener.
Butler did play a 61-54 game with Wisconsin and 60-58 with ODU as both easily went under.
I like our chances for a game that stays in the 120's. Play the UNDER and good luck on Saturday!
Thanks for using RED DOG SPORTS!
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03-29-11 |
Alabama v. Colorado OVER 143 |
Top |
62-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
over 143 Colorado can score, score , score as they averaged 154 points in a typical game with their opponent and only had a few low scoring games such as 124 points with Nebraska, 136 with Baylor and 127 with Oklahoma. They get 11 points or more from Burks, Higgins, Knutson and Relphorde.
Alabama plays good defense and just played 3 games at home but did play 143 with Miami and 141 with New Mexico. However, they played 158 points total with Alabama (81-77), 152 with Providence and 161 at Seton Hall, which is located next to New York City.
The Tide get 15 points per game from Green and Mitchell, and 11 from Releford.
The players should be nervous away from home and playing on national TV but getting to 144 or more should be doable. Colorado can make the 3's and Bama showed they can score if needed. I won't be shocked with a low score in the 130's in Madison Square Garden but like our chances for an over.
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03-27-11 |
Kentucky v. North Carolina UNDER 150 |
Top |
76-69 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 46 m |
Show
|
The stakes will be high for this game. Just look at the Ohio State game tonight that went well under as well as the UNC/Marquette game that stayed under by about 6 points.
The Ky defense is pretty good and I expect a game in the 140's that stays under.
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03-27-11 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Kansas UNDER 146.5 |
Top |
71-61 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
VCU/Kansas under 146.5
VCU just played an overtime game vs. Florida State to help that game go into the 140's. They beat Purdue in a game that saw 170 points scored. Here are the VCU Ram's scores before that:
GTown 130 USC 105 ODU 135 GMU 142 Drexel 122 JMU 141 Drexel 124 Wich St 135
Kansas has played 13 unders in their last 16 NCAA tourney games and have allowed just 57, 59 and 53 points to Richmond, Illinois and Boston. The Jayhawks played a 70-66 (136 points) in a game at fast-paced Missouri.
Kansas did play some overs with Texas this year and can score in bunches. VCU does have Jamie Skeen inside and the hot shooting of Rozzell and Burgess outside. Joey Rodriguez doesn't turn the ball over much and sets up his teammates but his shooting has been off.
146.5 is at many books and seems a little high. I think we see a game in the 72-62 range on Sunday that stays under.
under 146.5
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03-25-11 |
Marquette v. North Carolina UNDER 150 |
Top |
63-81 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 29 m |
Show
|
I think we see an under on Friday night. UNC has played their first two games in Charlotte after three low scoring games in the ACC tourney. The Tar Heels don't shoot many threes and only Barnes and McDonald can consistently make them.
Marquette can try and run with UNC but I expect them to play solid defense as they did in an 66-55 win over Xavier.
Play the under on Friday as we see a game in the 140's.
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03-24-11 |
Arizona v. Duke OVER 147.5 |
Top |
93-77 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 33 m |
Show
|
Kyrie Irving should play much more on Thursday night and help the pace of the game. Earlier in the year he led Duke to a game in the 160's at Oregon of the Pac-10. Duke plays plenty of unders in the ACC but did play 159 vs. Marquette, 152 vs. Butler and 163 vs. Michigan State. Duke gets points from Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler as well as the Plumlees and Andre Dawkins and Curry.
Arizona gets points ffomr all everything Derrick Williams. He shot 60% from 3-point range and scored 20 ppg. They played the totals below:
152 Memphis 172 Oregon 173 Wash 149 Wash St 152 BYU 166 Kansas
Look for a game in the 150's and the over.
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03-17-11 |
Belmont v. Wisconsin OVER 125.5 |
|
58-72 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 44 m |
Show
|
pick: over 125.5 It may be available at 126 but I like the over. This Belmont team has 5 players that shoot close to 50% from the field yet they only average between 8 and 12.5 points a game. Why? Because the team wins their games by an average of 80-61. The most any players is on the court is just 24 minutes per game. Their scoring averagesd would be a little higher if the games were close.
Belmont did play Duke several years ago and only lost by 71-70. They played Tennessee and Vanderbilt this year so they have played some decent teams and did play Kansas last year.
Clark, Hedgepeth, Saunders, Campbell and Johnson are the scorers for Belmont and they all shoot 3's well too as 4 of them are near the 40% range. This will give them some options to score on Thursday.
Wisconsin just lost an ugly 36-33 game to Penn State in the Big Ten tourney but the three games before that reached 158, 144 and 141. The Badgers have played overs in 6 of their last 8 games.
Jon Leuer puts up 18.6 ppg and should score inside while Taylor is at 18 a game. Nankivil is next at 10 points. Their top four scorers all shoot over 80% at the line so they can score late if fouled.
I think we see a game with over 130 points that goes over on Thursday night. Play OVER!
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03-17-11 |
Old Dominion v. Butler UNDER 122.5 |
Top |
58-60 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 22 m |
Show
|
Last year, ODU and Notre Dame played an ugly 51-50 game. Butler played a 51-49 game vs. Duke in the title game. ODU is a good rebounding team and can control pace. ODU can score in certain games but I expect a slower type of game in this early 12:40pm start.
Look for ODU to win and under 122.5 to profit.
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03-12-11 |
San Diego St v. Brigham Young UNDER 140.5 |
Top |
72-54 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is their 3rd game in 3 days and SDSU will want to control Jimmer Fredette tonight. Gay, Leonard and White are solid on defense. They have played unders in 7 of the last 10 meetings. I think we see an under tonight!
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03-11-11 |
Maryland Terrapins v. Duke UNDER 147 |
Top |
71-87 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
Duke has played unders in 40 of the last 57 ACC games. The Terps like to run and play fast but I expect a game in the low 140's that stays under after a long season and after Maryland played last night!
Duke is still without Irving and will focus on stopping the Terps.
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03-08-11 |
Oral Roberts v. Oakland OVER 167.5 |
Top |
76-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
Oakland and SD State played a game in the 200 point range on Monday. Oakland is an offensive team that scores quickly. I like their chances for another over tonight vs. Oral Roberts. This is the second game in two nights but I would worry if it was their third game as they would possibly have tired legs.
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03-07-11 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Old Dominion OVER 125 |
Top |
65-70 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
515 VCU vs. 516 ODU These two have played overs in 15 of 19 but most of the overs have occurred at ODU. I do worry that this is the fourth game in 4 days for VCU and they could have tired legs. The game is at Richmond and the two split games this year with them being a 59-50 ugly VCU win that stayed way under and the 70-59 ODU win that went over by 1/2 point.
ODU gets points from Hassell, Bazemore, Finney and Carter but don't shoot well but should get some inside points. VCU was 11-25 from 3's vs. GMU and will need to get steals and layups to win vs. a tough ODU defense and their rebounding. I guess there is a 10% chance for OT and that would help the over.
They have played OT games before as it was 62-62 (124 points) before an OT sent it over but played an ugly 61-54 gamne in the CAA tourney a few years back.
Rodgiguez, Rozzell and Burgess need to stay hot and make 3's for an over. I think we see close to 129 points and an OVER. Good luck!
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03-02-11 |
Maryland Terrapins v. Miami (Fla) OVER 144 |
Top |
66-80 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
OVER 143.5 Miami has played their share of unders but will have a nice chance for an over on Wednesday night facing the Maryland Terps. Maryland just faced UNC and they reached 163 points. Here are the last few games involving Md:
UNC 163 FSU 140 NCSU 167 VT 174 BC 148 Longwood 158 WF 161 Duke 142
Miami gets scoring from their guards and played an 81-71 game vs. Duke for a total of 152 and vs. UNC got to 74-71 (145). They can make 3's and I expect 7 or 8 3-pointers from them on Wednesday night. Jordan Williams, Cliff Tucker and Terrell Stoglin score for Maryland. I think we see a game near 150 that goes over.
|
03-01-11 |
Boston College v. Virginia Tech OVER 135 |
Top |
76-61 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
Virginia tech has played overs in 7 of 8 home games. They just played Duke at home and played an ugly low scoring game in the 60's that was under by over 15 points. Malcolm Delaney and Jeff Allen should up their scoring tonight vs. a BC team that struggles on defesne. VT did score 102 and 92 in previous home games before Duke. The Eagles get 18 ppg from Reggie Jackson and 14 from Joe Trapani. Look for over tonight!
|
02-26-11 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech OVER 142 |
Top |
60-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
Virginia Tech has scored 102 and 91 at home in their last two with all 5 starters in double figures. Duke has Nolan Smith and Singler to score. Look for 145-148 scored and an over.
|
02-25-11 |
Siena v. Fairfield UNDER 132 |
Top |
55-68 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
These two have combined for 16 overs and 29 unders this year. Siena has 8 unders in their last 9 on Fridays. The last game saw 127 scored. Play under on Friday night!
|
02-09-11 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Delaware OVER 133 |
|
84-74 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
VCU has played over in 65% of their road games the last 3 years. The last game at Delaware ended with an 81-79 score for 160 points. VCU is favored and should control tempo to get close to 140 and an over!
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