Commanders +6

The Commanders have been the surprise of the playoffs and they have the value on Sunday. Washington beat the Eagles earlier this year without Hurts, but there is plenty they can still build off of from that game. Washington is playing with all the confidence right now as they dominated Detroit to advance last week. Daniels is playing at just an unreal level right now and this offense is rolling. They can match the Eagles spark and they will cause so many issues once again for this defense. Grab the points in this spot.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Buckeyes -8

The Buckeyes and Fighting Irish meet in the National Championship and it’s Ohio State that has a ton of value. The Buckeyes are just the better team overall. They are red hot right now and it’s both sides of the ball that has seen them dominate. The Buckeyes come in after just running through top opponents and the latest was a dominant defensive effort against Texas. The Fighting Irish simply don’t have the firepower to keep up. They don’t have the explosiveness and Ohio State can strike at any moment really. This is a game Ohio State will get out early and keep their foot on the gas from the start. Back the Buckeyes.

MONDAY 5% NCAAF ATS *TOP PLAY* 

Ravens PK

Baltimore and Buffalo play in what could be the game of the playoffs as these two juggernauts go at each other. Baltimore ran for 271 yards in the first meeting between these two teams and with Jackson and Henry both playing at such a high level right now, they are poised to run for a lot of yards on Sunday. This Ravens offense is rolling right now and they are wearing opponents down with the usage of Henry. He is running downhill and creating a lot of gaps within the defenses, which is opening up passing lanes as the game goes on. Baltimore will have the edge on both sides of the ball and this is too nice of a line to pass up on.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Rams +6

The Rams are catching too many points in this spot on Sunday. Los Angeles struggled this year at times when they weren't completely healthy, but times are different now as they're at full strength. They dominated the Vikings in their Wild Card matchup and now they have the value of getting a lot of points against Phili. Los Angeles has one of the best offenses with Williams in the backfield and Kupp out wide with Nacua. They are going to continue to fire away both with the run game and their ability to pass deep down field. This defense will overwhelm the Eagles offensive line and this game will be much closer than this line indicates.

Saturday 7* NFL ATS Play

Lions -8.5

Detroit welcomes in the Commanders and this is just a complete mismatch. While Daniels won in Tampa last week, this is a far different environment. This crowd will be rocking and this defense has been swarming lately. The Lions defense has been causing so much havoc in the opposition backfield and they’re going to give Daniels a ton of pressure from the start. Combine that with this offense being near the top of the league in so many categories and the Lions will have the edge on both sides of the ball. At the end of the day, Washington just can’t keep up with the offensive firepower Detroit brings.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Texas +9.5

Houston heads into Kansas City on Saturday and this is a great spot for the Texans. Houston was just 3.5 point underdogs back on Dec 21st in KC and they trailed by just one point before Tank Dell had a horrific injury in the third quarter. The Texans are playing well and this is a nice spot to fade the public. Houston looked unstoppable against a good Chargers defense last week and they can sustain drives. That’s important as they’ll keep Mahomes off the field and frustrate the Chiefs as a whole. Grab the points as this has the makings of a one score game.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play 

Rams +2.5

This is a nice spot to fade the Vikings. Minnesota had a fantastic season, but ultimately put themselves in this spot on Monday thanks to a poor offensive performance on Sunday in Detroit. This is a game where they’ll come in on a low and they’re going to struggle against a Rams team that is healthy now and playing well. Los Angeles has so many weapons on the offensive side and they won the first meeting by 10 against this Vikings team. After benching everyone last week, the Rams will be fresh and have the edge in this spot.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bucs -2.5

Sunday Night #6 Commanders and the #3 Bucs. Both teams enter with momentum: the Commanders are riding a 5-game win streak, while Tampa Bay has won 6/7, including 2 straight, boasting a 5-4 home record. I’m taking the Bucs at -3. Commanders’ defense will likely struggle against the Bucs' dynamic trio of Mayfield, Evans, and Irving. Tampa’s offense offers versatility, thriving on the ground with Irving or through the air, depending on the game flow. Their defense is equally impressive, capable of delivering key stops and forcing turnovers in high-pressure moments. Washington's D is unlikely to contain Tampa’s attack, and their offense won't keep up in a shootout. Commanders are 3-8 SU in their last 11 visits to Tampa, while the Bucs are 6-3 ATS in their last 9. Back the Bucs to cover.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -4

This is too tough of a spot for the Packers against the Eagles. Green Bay is going up against a red hot team that right now is firing on all cylinders. Jordan Love is also banged up as he injured his had on Sunday against the Bears. Combine that with the Packers missing a few key pieces on the defensive side and this is a mismatch for them. Hurts and this Eagles offense continue to roll and they will ride their momentum right into this matchup. Grab the Eagles as they’ll have plenty of energy coming from this home crowd as well.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Steelers +10

This is far too many points as AFC North foes meet in the Wild Card round. Pittsburgh and Tomlin are the kind of team that will be up and ready for this kind of game as they’ll game plan better than anyone. Pittsburgh will look to almost take the air out of the ball and slow everything down, keeping Jackson and the Ravens offense off the field. The Steelers defense tends to show up in big games as well, which adds more value to grabbing this many points. Divisional underdogs have covered 10 out of the last 14 opportunities in the playoffs and this is a great spot to continue that trend.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

UT +6

The Longhorns have value here as we’re fading the Buckeyes public backing. Texas isn’t getting enough respect and for starters they’re playing close to home. While Ohio State travels well, this is still a game where the Longhorns will have a huge piece of the crowd. Texas will take the air out of the ball as they love to sustain drives and chew clock. They’ll run a balanced attack and their goal will be to keep the Buckeyes offense off the field. They will want to turn this into a grind and force Ohio State into some frustrating situations, which will give them the edge. Texas has the talent on both sides of the ball and they will have their chances to steal this one outright. Back Texas.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Lions -2.5

The Lions have value here on SNF as they take on Minnesota. Detroit continues to find ways to win and they had to come from behind against the 49ers last week. The Lions won the first meeting in Minnesota without some key players and this game they'll be much healthier. This Lions defense is also going to be hungry to bounce back as well. They were torched against the 49ers last week, which was a rare occurrence. Detroit will pin their ears back and blitz Sam Darnold all game long, which should result in them forcing him into some tough passes and turnovers. Combine that with the Lions offense clicking on all cylinders and this is a good spot for the Lions at home.

Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins +1

Miami has the value here over the Jets. Tyler Huntley played very well last week in Cleveland as he beat them both with his arm and legs. He's stepping up and Miami still has outside hopes for the playoffs coming into play here. They have won 6 of 8 and they're getting good play all around. Miami has also dominated this series. They come in winning 4 straight in this head to head series and have won 12 of the last 14. This is the perfect spot for them to beat up on a Jets team that has given up. Grab Miami.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -7

The Seahawks are the move as they take on the Rams. The Rams have already clinched the division and this game means nothing to them. Oddsmakers believe they're going to bench players and as the game goes on they'll see starters sit out more and more. Seattle can still get to double digit wins and there is a lot to play for in terms of Geno Smith in terms of his contract incentives. The Hawks are playing well and they're going to come out with much more fire in this game. Look for them to pick apart this Rams side, who will be depleted and playing with a lot of 2nd stringers. Lay the points in this spot.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Falcons -7.5

The Falcons are the move here against the Panthers. Michael Penix Jr has been solid since taking over. The offense looks more in sync and they will pick apart this Panthers secondary. Defensively, the Falcons are going to have a ton of success against the Panthers as they will be without Chuba Hubbard. They will stack the box and force Young into some tough passes, as he has struggled against the blitz. This is a good spot for Atlanta to dominate on both sides of the ball. The value is with them.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Bucs -14

The Bucs are the move as they take on the lowly Saints on Sunday. Tampa Bay is playing exceptionally well right now as Baker Mayfield has this offense rolling. Over the last 3 games, they are averaging 7.0 yards per play. That also works with the combination of Bucky Irving producing a lot with his legs. The Bucs put up 51 points in the first meeting and the Saints overall have scored just 10 points in their last two games. This is a complete mismatch. Grab the Bucs in what will be a completely lopsided game.  

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Steelers +2.5

While the Steelers likely will know they’re out of the AFC North race by the time this game starts, they still have value as they are playing for seeding. Pittsburgh is looking to lock in a matchup with the Texans and with Pickens back, there’s good value here. This Bengals defense is too hard to trust. They still have a lot of gaps and issues, which Pittsburgh’s offense will expose Saturday night. The Steelers will control the possession and they will sustain drives against the Bengals, which will open up a lot of gaps downfield in this secondary. Grab the points in the AFC North battle.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Lions -3.5

Detroit has the value here as they look to keep pace in the division with the Vikings. They’ll have their key matchup next week with them, but for now they matchup well with the 49ers who have been so disappointing. The 49ers come in eliminated from postseason play, while the Lions continue to battle for the 1 seed. San Francisco is playing terrible at home and Brock Purdy hasn’t looked good. Detroit is red hot on both sides of the ball and they’re going to overwhelm this San Fran side. The motivation is all with the Lions and the value sits with them.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Iowa +2.5

The Hawkeyes and Tigers meet in the Music City Bowl and this is a great spot for the Hawkeyes. Iowa and Missouri do have some key opt outs, but Iowa still has the better overall side here. This Hawkeyes team is built to wear teams down and they’ll do that here with the run game. Look for them to come out and run downhill at the Tigers front, which will open up many rushing lanes as this game goes on. Defensively, they don’t allow much over the top either and they’ll force Missouri into some long yardage situations. Grab the points. 

Monday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Falcons +3.5

The Falcons and Commanders both came through with crucial wins last week, keeping their playoff hopes alive. Now, two rookie quarterbacks take center stage on Sunday Night Football in a game with major postseason implications. Daniels faces off against Penix Jr., and I’m expecting the Falcons to deliver. Atlanta’s offense is hitting its stride. In Week 16, the Falcons put up 34 points against the Giants, fueled by a 17-point second quarter and 14 in the third. Penix Jr. was efficient, completing 18 of 27 passes for 202 yards, while Bijan dominated on the ground with 94 yards and two touchdowns on 22 carries. This balanced attack will catch the Commanders off guard. Recent trends back the Falcons: they’re 6-3 SU in their last nine against Washington and 7-3 SU against NFC opponents in their last 10. Meanwhile, the Commanders are just 2-4 ATS in their last six and a dismal 3-8 ATS in their last 11 December matchups. As it stands, Atlanta is sitting atop the NFC South, poised for a playoff berth, while Washington’s path likely hinges on snagging a wildcard spot. With the Falcons getting +3.5, it’s time to ride with the “Dirty Birds” on Sunday! 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Vikings PK

The Vikings are primed for a strong performance Sunday and should cover in this matchup. Fresh off a dominant 34-0 shutout of the Saints in Week 16, the Packers improved to 11-4, but the Vikings are on an absolute tear. They head into Week 17 riding an eight-game winning streak, boasting a 13-2 record after a thrilling 27-24 victory over the Seahawks. Before that, Minnesota notched back-to-back double-digit wins, dismantling the Bears 30-12 in Week 15 and outscoring the Falcons 42-28 in Week 14. This team is firing on all cylinders, with the Darnold-to-Jefferson connection hitting its stride. Minnesota's offense is humming, averaging 26.4 points per game (9th in the NFL). Meanwhile, their defense has been more reliable than Green Bay’s, which gives the Vikings an edge in what should be a hard-fought contest. Aaron Jones facing his former team adds an interesting subplot, and I trust the Vikings to get the job done. Both teams have plenty on the line, but Minnesota’s trends are impossible to ignore. They’re 10-4-1 against the spread in their last 15 games, 8-0 straight up in their last eight, and 7-1 straight up at home over their last eight games. While I loved grabbing the Vikings at +1.5 earlier this week, I’m still happy to back them at pick 'em odds. Roll with the Vikings on Sunday. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys +7.5

Dallas feels like a great pick this Sunday. As we head into Week 17, the Cowboys are riding some serious momentum, winning two straight and four of their last five to improve to 7-8. After a tough Week 14 loss to the Bengals, Dallas rebounded impressively with a 30-14 win over the Panthers and a nail-biting 26-24 victory against the Buccaneers. They were underdogs in both games, even closing as +4.5 against Tampa Bay, but still managed to come out on top. Meanwhile, Philadelphia, needing a win to lock up the NFC East, will have to rely on Kenny Pickett as Jalen Hurts remains sidelined with an injury. I’m backing Dallas here—take the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Saints +2

The Saints are in a great spot to bounce back on Sunday as they host the Las Vegas Raiders. With a dismal 3-12 record, the Raiders sit at the bottom of the AFC West and have had a season to forget. They did manage to break a six-game losing streak in Week 16 with a 19-14 win over the Jaguars, covering as 2-point favorites, but it feels like too little, too late for Vegas. Meanwhile, the Saints (5-10) are coming off back-to-back losses, including a crushing 34-0 defeat to the Packers in Week 16, where they failed to cover as 14-point underdogs.

Despite their struggles, I expect the Saints to turn things around here. The numbers support New Orleans as well: Las Vegas is 1-10 straight up in their last 11 games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 matchups against the Saints. On the flip side, New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against the Raiders. With both teams officially out of the playoff picture, look for the Saints' defense to make it a tough day for Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bills -10

I’m all in on the Bills to cover this Sunday. It’s a classic AFC East showdown, featuring the struggling Jets (4-11) taking on the dominant Bills (12-3). The Jets have been abysmal against the spread this season (5-10) and simply don’t have the firepower to keep up with Allen and the Bills’ explosive offense. New York ranks 12th in third-down conversions and 16th in red-zone efficiency—mediocre at best. They’re also 1-5 straight up in their last six games and have lost seven of their last nine against Buffalo. It’s hard to envision them turning things around here. On the other hand, the Bills sit atop the AFC East and are one of the top Super Bowl contenders in the league. They rank 2nd in the NFL in PPG (31.3) and 7th in YPG (366), making them a nightmare for opposing defenses. Buffalo has been lights-out at home, riding a 7-game winning streak at Highmark. The Bills are also 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games and 9-1 straight up over the same stretch. This feels like another statement game for the Bills as they gear up for the postseason. 

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

BYU +3.5

BYU has value as the public continues to pound Colorado. BYU had quite the start in the Big 12 as they finished 10-2 overall and they looked good all season long. Defensively, they gave up just 20 ppg and they really looked good at times when it came to shutting down receivers out wide. They were one of the best in the conference at not allowing the big play and they’ll bottle this Colorado side. The Buffs are an easy team to frustrate and this BYU defense will be up for the task. Grab the points in this spot.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

ECU +7

This is a solid spot to fade NC State as they take on ECU. Bowl games have been a nightmare for the Wolfpack, who have lost 4 straight bowl games. They have struggled in bowl season overall and their inability to close out games has been an issue. ECU rarely makes bowl games and they’ll get up for this one as they go up against a bad defense from NC State. They have given up over 30 ppg and ECU will pull out all the stops. Grab the points with ECU.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

New England +5.5

The public continues to pound the Chargers and this is a nice spot to fade them on Saturday. New England has been fighting until the end and QB Drake Maye has been developing more and more. New England should have success against this Chargers defense that has regressed from their hot start. The Pats took the Bills to the brink last week and they’re going to come out with some inspired play. Grab the points in this spot.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

USC +4

The Trojans have value here catching points against A&M. USC back here in Vegas, which ironically is the same spot they started their season when they took down LSU. A&M limps in losing 3 of 4 overall and they have struggled after their season kind of flopped with the Playoff in their sights. We’re getting great value on what should be a motivated Trojans side. Grab the points here as they have the experience and coaching edge with Riley.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Navy +2.5

This is a solid spot for Navy on Friday afternoon. Oklahoma finished 6-6 and they were hit very hard in the transfer portal. They’re going to be without many key pieces, which includes their QB, star receivers, and many other players on both sides of the ball. They aren’t going to come in motivated, which is the opposite of what this Navy team is. They upset Army and they’re feeling good for this one. They’ll come out with the same fire and they’re going to wear down this Sooners team. Grab Navy.

Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Seahawks -4

Seattle and Chicago meet and this is a good spot for the Hawks. Chicago has dropped 9 in a row and they’re going through some serious growth pains here on both sides of the ball. Seattle does come in off a tough loss, but they’re beating up on bad teams and this is a must win spot for them. Look for Seattle to establish their run game early and they will wear down this Chicago front. Lay the points in this spot.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Toledo +6.5

Toledo has value here catching points against Pitt. Pittsburgh will come in missing some key pieces because of injuries and transfers which will leave them lacking depth on Thursday. They may also be without their starting QB as well here Which adds more value to the Rockets. Toledo’s offense will be able to pick apart this depleted secondary as they love to sling it all over the place. Grab the points in a game Toledo will have the edge in many areas.

Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Ravens -5.5

The Ravens have value on Christmas Day against the Texans. Everything is on the line for the Ravens here as they are playing to put themselves in the drivers seat of the AFC North. Baltimore will catch Houston short handed even more after the loss of Tank Dell last week. They were already thin and the depth right now just isn’t there. Baltimore is the better overall team and they’re going to pick apart this Houston defense. Baltimore will control the possession and they’ll sustain a lot of drives deep into Houston territory.

Wednesday 7* NFL ATS Play

Packers -14

The Packers have the value here as they take on the Saints. Green Bay will take on a decimated Saints team that’ll march out Spencer Rattler. He struggled last week and he has not looked good as a starter as they continue to lose games by big margins. Green Bay is rolling right now and playing a night game here on national tv will be such a tough spot for Rattler and company. Green Bay will lean on the rushing attack early and it’s going to open up so many passing lanes for Love. This is a complete mismatch. Grab Green Bay.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

49ers -1.5

Both the Dolphins and 49ers come in with identical record, but it’s San Fran with the value. They have been leaning on this defense all season long and they’re only giving up 22.9 ppg. They can slow down this Miami offense that has been very inconsistent. They have dropped 2 of their last 3 and their inability to come up with 3rd down conversions and sustain drives has killed them. San Fran can expose that here and force the Dolphins into some tough 3rd down situations. Grab the 49ers who are the better team and have more weapons.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Jags +2.5

The Jaguars have the edge as they take on the Raiders. Las Vegas is a debacle and they just don’t have any sort of firepower to keep up. The Jags took the Jets to the brink last week and they’re still fighting here. Jacksonville’s Mac Jones is battling and he’s putting together some solid drives. He’s going to be able to build off the last couple of weeks and he’ll be able to pass on this Raiders defense. Jacksonville is still the better team and there Raiders are simply too hard to trust. Lay the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Giants +9

The Falcons are going to try to switch things up and this is a spot for the Giants to take advantage of that. Atlanta will go with Michael Penix Jr and him laying this many points is tough to justify. This will be a game where they’re conservative with the play calling at first, not allowing him to take many chances with deep balls. The Giants can keep this game close as they will come in with the idea of controlling the clock. This is just too many points to lay with the Falcons.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Jets +3

The Jets have the value here grabbing the points. New York’s offense has been clicking the last three weeks and they’re off a 32 point performance last week against the Jags. This team hasn’t given up and Rodgers right now is flinging the ball all over the place. The Jets offensively are clicking on all cylinders and they’re going to have success against this Rams secondary that has struggled at times. Los Angeles has been too inconsistent to trust and we’re getting good value here. Grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Clemson +13.5

Clemson catches a lot of points in this matchup and they have the value. This is going to be a game where Dabo Sweeney comes out swinging and opens the playbook up. As big underdogs, they have flourished and this is a chance for them to make a huge splash. Texas has had some issues this season and Clemson can put some doubts into their minds early. Expect a game where the Tigers take their chances down field and for them to put a ton of pressure on them defensively from the start. Grab the points.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Texans +3.5

Houston has the value here as they take on Kansas City. The Chiefs have clinched basically everything and they will have Patrick Mahomes not at 100% coming into play. He injured his ankle against the Browns last week and while he’s expected to play, he won’t be completely healthy. The Texans have won back to back games and they’ve leaned on their defense to step up. They’ve given up just 20 and 12 points in the last two games and they can hold this Chiefs team down. This will be a grind of a game and it’ll be close throughout, which will benefit the Texans. Grab the points.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

SMU +8.5

SMU catches points here and this is a tricky spot for Penn State. The Mustangs were right there in the ACC Championship and fell just short to the Tigers. This is a talented team that can cause some havoc here. They’re averaging 38.5 ppg and they have been a run and gun style all year. Their speed can cause some issues for Penn State, who has struggled themselves in big games. If SMU can get out early, it’s going to put a ton of doubt into this Nittany Lion’s side. They can take the crowd out of it with this noon start and the Mustangs can stay in this throughout. Grab the points. 

Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Notre Dame -6.5

The Fighting Irish will welcome in Indiana on Friday for the first CFP game. This is a good spot on Notre Dame, who has been heating up as of late. They’ve torched the opposition over the last several weeks and it’s been both sides of the ball that has stepped up. They’re going to establish a run game against this Hoosiers defense and it’ll open up a ton of passing lanes for Leonard and company. Defensively, they’re going to blitz and suffocate these outside receivers, which will cause Indiana to be put into some long 3rd down situations. The edge sits with the Fighting Irish, who are the better team overall and will have the crowd behind them. Lay the points.

Friday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Tulane +10.5

Tulane has the value here as they catch points against Florida. This is a game where Tulane will get up for it, while we may see Florida not have as much motivation. The Gators were a let down this season going just 7-5 and they struggled at times on both sides of the ball. This Tulane team can move the ball and they put up over 37 ppg this season. If they can get out early against Florida, they can put some doubt in the their minds and have the Gators defense on their heels. Grab the points. 

Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Ohio -6

Ohio has the value here against Jax State. The Bobcats won their final 6 games, which included a MAC Title as they dominated the final stretch of the season. This is a game where they’re going to establish their run game early and wear down this Jax State defense. The Bobcats were one of the best run games in the conference and they have a compliment of backs that can cause a lot of havoc. Look for them to open up passing lanes with their ability to run and this will be a game they have the edge offensively. Grab the Bobcats.

Friday 6* NCAAF ATS Play

Chargers -2.5

The Chargers have the value over the Broncos on TNF. Denver’s offense has looked inconsistent as of late and now they run into the best defense in the NFL in this one. LA dominated the first meeting between these two teams as they led 23-0 heading into the 4th quarter. This is going to be a game where the Chargers lean on their defense and put a ton of pressure on Nix and this Broncos backfield. They’ll force him into some tough throws and not allow them to get their run game working. Grab the Chargers in this spot as they have the edge on both sides of the ball.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

CAL +3.5

Both teams will deal with portal losses and this is a good spot on Cal. While Cal did lose their starting QB to the transfer portal, they will lean on their defense here. They will have a full compliment of their defenders that allowed 21 points or less in 5 games so far this season. They’re going to blitz this UNLV side and really suffocate the receivers out wide. UNLV lost their head coach as well, which will also cause them some issues on both sides of the ball. Cal getting points here is the move.

Wednesday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Vikings -7

The Vikings have the value here as they take on the Bears on Monday. Minnesota blew out the Falcons last week and they are the better overall team right now. They’re playing at a high level while the Bears have just been too inconsistent to trust. Chicago 7 straight games and they have looked atrocious offensively. This is a game where they’re going to struggle to slow down this Vikings attack, while their offense will see a lot of 3 and outs. This Chicago defense will be gassed and struggle all game long, allowing more and more big yardage plays. Lay the points.

Monday Night Football 7* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks +3

This is a good matchup for Seattle, who welcomes in the Packers on Sunday. Green Bay has lost to teams such as the Lions, Vikings, and the Eagles this season and they have had their hands full with teams like the Hawks. Seattle’s defense has been on fire, as they’ve allowed 21 points or less during this 4 game winning streak. Seattle is getting production on both sides of the ball and they’re going to cause some havoc against this Packers backfield. They can slow the run game down and force them into some long third down situations. This line is a bit off and the Seahawks can even win this game outright. Grab the points. 

Sunday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Broncos -3.5

The Broncos have the value here on Sunday as they welcome in the Colts. This is a tale of two completely different defenses. Denver has ranked near the top in many defensive categories throughout the season as they rank 2nd in net yards per game for example. They blitz all game long and their ability to suffocate opposing receivers has been top notch. On the flip side, the Colts have been the complete opposite. They rank 23rd in that same category and they’ve got torched consistently. Bo Nix and this offense will pick apart the secondary and the Broncos will have a ton of offensive success. This is such a tough place to play with the altitude, especially for a team that plays in a dome. Lay the points.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Panthers -2.5

The Panthers and Cowboys will clash on Sunday afternoon and this is a great spot for the Panthers. Carolina’s Bryce Young has vastly improved week by week and he’s getting much better protection from the offensive line. The Panthers have dropped 3 in a row, but taken 3 top teams to the brink in each week. The Cowboys are off a demoralizing loss to the Bengals and they just are too inconsistent to trust. We’re getting great value against this Cowboys defense, that has struggled mightily. Carolina will come in and feed off the positive momentum and they’re the move here on Sunday.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Commanders -7

The Commanders have the value here as they take on the Saints on Sunday. New Orleans will be without QB Derek Carr, which will have this offense all out of sorts. Regardless of which backup QB starts, the Saints have had zero success with both of them. This is a well rested Commanders side that will come out quickly. They’ll lean on Brian Robinson, who is healthy, and going against a weak rush defense. They rank at the bottom in rush yards before contact, while the Commanders have rushed for more than 200 yards five different times. Lay the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Jets -3

The Jets have the value here as they head into Jacksonville. New York will have the major QB edge here with Rodgers over Mac Jones. The Jets offense is starting to figure some things out as well, as they’ve scored a combined 73 points over their last 3 games. This is the number 31 ranked pass defense Rodgers will go up against on Sunday and he should have a field day with this secondary. Look for them to take plenty of shots down field and really open things up as they have the major edge here. New York hasn’t shown any quit and they’ll come out with fire here. Grab the visitors. 

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Texans -2.5

This is a bad matchup for the Dolphins, who take on the Texans on Sunday. Houston matches up well with this Dolphins rushing attack, that ranks 30th with their ground game. Miami struggles enough to run the ball, but their pass game will have so many issues against the 2nd best pass defense in the NFL. Houston can lean on their defense here and set their offense up with some short fields in this one. With two weeks to prepare for this game, Stroud and this offense will be fresh and come out firing against this secondary. Look for them to dominate on both sides of the ball here. Grab the Texans.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys +5.5

Dallas and Cinci battle on MNF and this is a good spot on the Cowboys. Dallas actually has played much better as of late and they’re off back to back impressive wins over the Commanders and Giants. They’re finally getting the offense rolling as they’ve put up 34 and 27 points in the two wins. This is a good matchup against a Bengals team that just can’t figure it out this year. They’re struggling and inconsistent at times on both sides of the ball which has led to them being a mess at times. Dallas has the momentum and they can get out of the gates early in this one given how much the Bengals have struggled defensively. Grab the points. 

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -3.5

The Chiefs have the value Saturday as they welcome in the Chargers on SNF. Kansas City is just so tough to solve as they continue to find ways to win every week. They have that clutch factor that no other team has and they’re going to come out and try to make a statement against the Chargers here. This will be a tough travel spot for LA, who will go into the cold this week. They also are in a tough spot with JK Dobbins out once again. This offense lacks a spark with him out and the Chiefs will pick that apart. With the home crowd rocking as well, there’s just too many factors against the Chargers. Lay the points.

Sunday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Bills -3.5

The Bills are the move as they head into LA. This will feel almost like a home game across the country as the Bills travel exceptionally well and they’re expected to pack this stadium on Sunday. They’ve covered 6 of their last 7 and they’ve dominated the NFC as a whole. They’re playing at such a high level and they run into an inconsistent Rams team. Los Angeles is just 5-7 ATS this season and they’ve had issues on both sides of the ball. Buffalo is just too talented and they’ll roll offensively in this matchup. Lay the points in what’s a lopsided game from the start.

Sunday 10* *RARE* NFL ATS Top Play

Seahawks +3

This is a great spot on the Hawks here’s catching 3 points. Seattle and Geno Smith already took down the Cards once this season and now they look to do it again. They’re playing exceptionally well and Murray right now is tough to trust. He’s struggled in back to back weeks and this Hawks defense loves to pin its ears back and fire away with blitzes. Seattle will stop this rushing attack and force the Cards into some long third down situations as well. This is a great spot and matchup for Seattle, who is the better team and has the edge on Sunday.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Vikings -5.5

Minnesota has the value here as they welcome back Kirk Cousins and the Falcons. This Vikings team is just too good on both sides of the ball. They are one of the best in the league when it comes to stopping the run and they are going to stack the box here to make Cousins throw. He’s been turning the ball over more this season and the Vikings will force him into some tough passing windows. Minnesota will also pick apart this Falcons defense. Look for them to establish the run early and it’ll open up a lot of receivers as this game goes on. Lay the points.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Giants +5.5

This is too many points in this spot for the Giants. The Saints will travel outdoors to some frigid temps in New York and some teams don’t typically fare well in situations like this. They’re also going to be without Taysom Hill, who is out once against Sunday. They’re just 1-5 in their last 6 without him and this will be another struggle spot. They’ve only averaged 15.3 ppg in that 1-5 stretch and it’s going to be a struggle for them to move the ball in general. The Giants defense will blitz all game long and they're going to have a nice edge in this spot. Grab the home side. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Marshall +6

Marshall has value here grabbing points against Lafayette on Saturday. Marshall has been the most profitable team in the NCAA, as they’ve gone 11-1 ATS so far this season. Marshall QB, Braylon Braxton is a perfect 7-0 this year and when he’s under center, the Thundering Herd have averaged over 37 ppg. Marshall finished the season winning 6 straight, which includes the final 2 on the road to get here. They matchup well with Lafayette, who has had some issues defensively. Marshall can matchup with them in every which facet and they’ll have the edge here Saturday offensively. Grab the points in this one. 

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

UT -2.5

It’s a revenge spot for Texas and they have value here laying the small number. Texas let Georgia come into their house and got dominated earlier this season. They haven’t forgot that and they get another chance at things against them with a spot in the Playoff on the line. Texas has been playing far better than Georgia down the stretch and the Bulldogs have struggled lately in SEC title games. Kirby Smart is just 2-4 in SEC Championships and they’re going up against one of the best defenses in the nation. Texas is giving up just 11.7 ppg this year and they’re going to come out with a ton of fire defensively in this one. Yeah the Longhorns to get their revenge.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

UNLV +4

We’re fading the public here as UNLV takes on Boise State on Friday night. Boise State will host this game and a win sees them into the playoff. The money has been flowing in on Boise State, but this is a game where UNLV should not be overlooked. They won 4 straight to end the season and they averaged nearly 39 ppg this season. They can keep up with this Boise State offense and they nearly upset them back on 10/25. They can put some doubt early in their minds with a fast start and they’ll look to dictate the time of possession and keep this Broncos offense off the field. The longer this game stays close, the more frustrating the Broncos will get. Grab the points.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Tulane -4.5

Tulane has value here as they will look to bounce back from their crushing loss last week. They couldn’t figure out Memphis and it led them to being eliminated from any sort of CFP spot, but they’re still going to come out with some fire here against Army. Tulane has fared well against bowl eligible teams still, going 5-2 SU and they still have one of the best offenses that has put up nearly 40 ppg. They will overwhelm Army and they even have one of the best defenses in the nation, that gives up just 18.4 ppg. This is a good spot for Tulane to have a lopsided win.

Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Packers +3.5

This is a revenge spot for the Packers on Thursday night as they head into Detroit. The Lions won by 10 in Green Bay last month, but that game saw the Packers have many injuries heading into it. Green Bay is healthier and Jordan Love is playing at such a high level right now. They picked apart Miami on Thanksgiving night and they continue to produce some big numbers time and time again. This is a game where they’re going to come out and try to make an impact right from the start. They’ll get things going with Josh Jacobs and the run game, which will open up a lot of passing lanes. Green Bay can keep up with the Lions offensively and this is a spot where they’ll have a ton of motivation. Grab the points. 

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Rams -2.5

The Saints switched coaches and they come in on a high, but this is a let down spot for them as they take on the Rams. The Rams have a dangerous offense that will put together some big plays down field as they have multiple threats out wide. With them getting healthy, Nucua and Kupp both are threats down field and they’ll have plenty of targets on Sunday. The Saints secondary has been burned by many teams and the Rams can cause them a lot of issues in this spot. Overall, the Rams are the more talented club and worth laying the small number. 

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks +1

The Jets are in turmoil on and off the field and this is a good spot to fade them. Seattle is just well coached and this team has continued to improve week after week. Meanwhile, the Jets and Aaron Rodgers experiment continues to be a drag and they’re struggling every week as the fan base has become very frustrated. This is a spot for the Hawks to utilize their speed and really find some chunks of yards down field on passes. The weapons Smith has outside are so dangerous and they’re going to find a lot of open space against this secondary. Grab the Hawks as they’re the better team at this price.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cardinals +4

The Cardinals are in a good spot here against the Vikings. Minnesota is going to be without a couple key pieces as Cam Robinson and Ivan Pace are missing on Sunday. This is a spot where Arizona will utilize Murray’s legs and arm and they can take out the gaps in this Vikings defense. Look for them to open things up a bit and take a few shots down field, as this Minnesota secondary is vulnerable. They’ll get out to a fast start and this will be a game where they can dictate the time of possession. Grab the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bengals -3

The Bengals have the value at this line here on Sunday. Pittsburgh has fared well this year, but this team has had issues still at times and this is a spot for the Bengals to get back into things. Burrow and company have done well offensively and they can pick apart this Pittsburgh secondary. The Steelers have some injuries on the defensive side and Cinci can take advantage of that. This has been an overachieving season for Pittsburgh and they’re going to have some regression. Cinci matches up well and this is a good spot on them.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

LSU -5.5

Oklahoma is off their most impressive win of the year, but will run into a fired up LSU side. The value sits with the Tigers, who will come out and take out some frustrations here from this season. LSU bounced back and snuck by Vandy, but things have been bad this year for a team with such high hopes. They will make a point to come out with much more fire and finish this off with a win. Oklahoma is in the biggest let down spot here too. After knocking off Bama, they became bowl eligible and sent their home fans out with a win. They got what they needed and they’ll come out flat here after being on such a high last week. Grab the Tigers.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Missouri -3

Missouri has been a different team at home and they have the value here. Missouri will finish the season with a home game here on Senior Day, as they look to finish off a perfect home campaign here in 2024. The Tigers have won 2 of 3 and they have dominated defensively all season long. Allowing just 20.0 ppg, this defense swarms to the ball and they aren’t shy about pinning their ears back to blitz. They’ll have a huge edge here and get a nice push against the Razorback’s offensive line in a game where they can dictate a lot. They’ll win the battle of possession as well, as this offense has been good at sustaining drives. Lay the small number.

Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Notre Dame -7.5

The Fighting Irish have one task and one task only Saturday. Win and they’re in. They have it all in front of them and they’re firing away right now as they come in with value. Notre Dame has won 9 in a row and in their last 6 games, the closest margin has been 17 points. They’re firing on all cylinders offensively and it’s been a case where they’re just wearing teams down. USC has had no luck in their first season in the big 10 and they just haven’t won a big game yet. This is a mismatch and they’re going to struggle to slow down this red hot offense right now. Lay the points.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Auburn +11

The Iron Bowl closes out the season for both Auburn and Bama on Saturday. Auburn needs a giant upset to become bowl eligible, while the Crimson Tide look for a win as they hold onto whatever playoff hopes they can have. Auburn has the value as this will be an inspired game. This is essentially their bowl game and they always tend to give Alabama fits in this game. The Tigers have won back to back games which includes an impressive 4 OT win last week against A&M. They’re rolling offensively and they have a lot of confidence coming into play. They’ll pull out all the stops and take every chance here. Bama is in off a blowout upset loss to Oklahoma and right now has to feel like everything is going against them. Grab the points.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

UTSA +7

UTSA has the value here as they take on Army on Saturday. Army was smacked around by Notre Dame last week and the common theme here is that teams struggle after getting to deal with Notre Dame. So far this season, teams are 0-9-1 ATS after playing the Fighting Irish. Army has to be deflated after losing and seeing their perfect season come to an end. UTSA is a tricky team that can cause them plenty of issues. They’ve won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall and this will be a game where they come out with much more fire. Grab the points in a game they can steal outright.

Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

San Jose State -2.5

The Spartans have the value against a Stanford team that has been extremely disappointing. Stanford is just 3-8 in their first season in the ACC as they have looked bad on both sides of the ball. They’ve lost 7 of 8 and when you’re averaging just 22.1 ppg, it’s always going to be difficult. San Jose State is bowl bound and can solidify a better bowl here with a win. They have got through the tough part of their schedule and this will be a game where they can dictate far more. Lay the points here in this spot as it’s a low number.

Black Friday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Chiefs -12.5

The Chiefs and Raiders meet on Friday and this is a good spot for the Chiefs here laying the points. Kansas City and Vegas are just on different levels right now. Vegas comes in 2-9 and they’ve dropped 7 in a row as this team has been abysmal on both sides of the ball. Vegas has given up 28.5 ppg while scoring just 18.7. They won’t keep up with this firepower from KC, who just keeps finding ways to win. They’re the better team and this offense is going to roll the Vegas secondary. This is also a revenge spot for the Chiefs after losing last Christmas to this Raiders team. Lay the points.

Black Friday 8* NFL ATS Play

Ohio -17

Ohio is rolling right now and they have the value here against the Ball State Cardinals on Friday. Ohio has won 4 straight games this defense has been on another level. They’re swarming to the ball and they’ve given up just 33 points combined over the last 4 games. The Bobcats are forcing teams into long third down situations and that’s going to be the key here. Ball State just doesn’t have much firepower offensively and they’re going to struggle with this Bobcats defense. Ohio has the edge in every which way. Lay the points.

Black Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Oklahoma State +16.5

It’s been a disappointing season for the Cowboys, but they’ll get one more shot at making some noise as they look to spoil Colorado’s end to the season. This is will be a game where the Cowboys come out with all the plays and throw all the stops at this Buffs bunch. Colorado is a team you can frustrate and cause a lot of issues too. The Buffs were knocked around by Kansas last week and they’re coming in on a low. Oklahoma State will take their chances down field and they can connect on some big monument swing plays.

Black Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Dolphins +3.5

Miami has the value in this night spot as they take on the Packers. Miami has been playing well and this is a matchup for them where they’re being undervalued a bit. Offensively, they have all their weapons back and Tua has 4 or even 5 receivers out wide who can make a huge impact. Defensively, Miami has improved each week and they will see a Packers team that does have some key injuries they’re dealing with. With cold temps, this be a game where Tua can be a difference maker with his legs as well. This is just too many points in this spot with both teams on short rest. Grab the visitors here.

Thanksgiving Day 9* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys -3

The Cowboys have value as they take on the Giants. New York will go with Drew Lock at QB as he will take over for the injured Tommy DeVito. The Giants have just been a debacle from the start as they’ve handled so many off the field situations wrong. Combine that with their inability to find consistency offensively and they’re just a struggle overall. Dallas hasn’t been any better, but they do have a win over Washington last week to build off of. They looked much more competent on both sides of the ball and they’re always ready for this Thanksgiving spot. Lay the small number as this is a good spot for them to grab a home win.

Thanksgiving Day 8* NFL ATS Play

Lions -9.5

The Lions and Bears open the Thanksgiving slate and this is a good spot on the Lions. Detroit is winning and continues to win big. They’ve gone 10-1 SU, but also 9-2 ATS as they’re cashing left and right. They’re dominating on the offensive end as they’re putting up 32.7 ppg. The Bears right now just don’t have the firepower to keep up. Chicago and Caleb Williams have had some bright moments, but this offense just doesn’t have it to score in flurries like the Lions. Look for Detroit to control the possession and continue to pick up big yardage chunks as they’ll overwhelm the Bears from the start. Lay the points.

Thanksgiving Day 7* NFL ATS Play

Akron +8

Akron and Toledo meet on Tuesday night and we’re on the Zips here, grabbing points. Toledo had their chance to make another bid for a spot in the MAC Championship, but flopped at home last week to OU. This turnaround now will be a let down spot as they still know that they’ll at least still be bowl bound. Akron comes in with momentum after beating arch rival Kent State last week and they will look to close things out with a bang. The Zips will go for their 4th win and they found a few things last week that’ll work here against the Rockets. Akron will lean on their rushing attack that put up 277 yards last week and look to wear Toledo down. This is a good spot for them to come out with some fire, while I project the Rockets coming out flat.

Tuesday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Chargers +3

The Chargers and Ravens meet on MNF and this is a good spot on the Chargers. They’re flying under the radar right now as they continue to dominate in every facet. They’re putting up big numbers offensively and they’re getting a ton of key stops on the defensive end. They rank at the top of the defensive rankings in terms of scoring defense as they’re allowing just 14.5 ppg. They’re blitzing continuously and they’re causing a lot of havoc in opponents backfields. This will be a game they come out and look to make a statement as the Ravens right now are one of the top teams in the league. Grab the home side on Monday.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -2.5

This will be a battle of two offenses who have a ton of talent and have been roller coasters all season. We’re on the Eagles here as they’re coming in healthy and close to full strength. They’re at their best when they have playmaker AJ Brown out wide. They’re 7-0 and averaging almost 30 ppg when he’s playing and this offense runs through him. He adds such a dynamic threat and that’s going to be the case here as this Eagles offense will pick apart the Rams. Look for Phili to pick up some big yardage plays and push the tempo on this Rams defense. The Rams have struggle to stop teams like Phili and that’ll be the case on Sunday. Lay the number.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks PK

Seattle and Arizona have an interesting matchup here and this is a good spot for the Hawks grabbing a point. Seattle’s defense can stop the run and that’s what they’ll do here on Sunday. Arizona loves to run the ball and with the Seahawks getting back LB Ernest Jones, they’re going to have the capabilities to slow this rushing attack down. Look for Seattle to win the battle at the line of scrimmage and really push back when the Cards work the run game in. We’ve seen the Seattle offense be threatening and they’ll find some gaps in this Cards defense. Grab the Seahawks as they’re the better overall team.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Raiders +6

This is a let down spot for the Broncos as they go into Vegas. Denver is off a huge win against the Falcons, but it was a game where they played off the charts. This will be a let down kind of spot and a game where they regress a little bit. It’s always tricky to play in Vegas and the Raiders will blitz Nix all game long. They’re at their best when they can mix together some solid blitz packages and force opposing QBs into some bad decisions. Look for the Raiders to win the time of possession and really put an emphasis on establishing the run game early. They can keep this Broncos offense off the field and start to frustrate them as the game goes on. Grab the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Colts +7.5

This is a great spot for the Colts against the Lions on Sunday. Indianapolis has been underrated a bit as they’ve dealt with a very tough schedule so far. The Colts have been beaten up by injuries throughout the year, but this team is finally near full health and they can compete with this Lions side. They love to establish the run with Taylor and they can take the air out of the ball and turn this into a slow developing game. The Colts are 6-1 ATS when Richardson starts and they’re going to keep this one close. Grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Commanders -10

The Commanders welcome in the Cowboys and this is a good spot on Washington here. Dallas is just a mess. They have nothing going right now and with all the injuries, this team just has no spark. The turmoil on and off the field continues and they’re getting a good Washington team in this spot. Jayden Daniels has looked sharper and sharper every week and this offense is rolling. Combine that with the defense stepping up now and this team has become a force. Look for them to make things miserable for the Cowboys and for Washington to control the possession in this game. This is a good spot on the Commanders to have a lopsided game.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

AF +3

Air Force takes on Nevada and this is a good spot on Air Force with the points. Air Force is catching fire and with back to back wins, they’ve covered 3 straight games overall. They’re getting production offensively and defensively they’re coming up with big stops. Time of possession has also been key for them as they held it for over 45 minutes in the win over Fresno State. They’re going to control the tempo and win the battle of the possession here as Nevada has struggled with teams like this. Grab the points.

Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play

Fresno State -3

Fresno State welcomes in Colorado State and there’s good value on the Bulldogs here. This is a nice fade spot on the Rams, who have played one of the easiest schedules in the NCAA. They have just one win against teams with winning records. This is a must win spot for the Bulldogs as they try to become bowl eligible and they have been up and down all season long. They have some talent and their ability to slow down teams defensively has been good at times. They are giving up just 25.3 ppg and they can lean on this defense on Saturday night. Lay the small number.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Notre Dame -14

Notre Dame and Army meet and this is a good spot for Notre Dame laying the points. They are poised for a spot in the playoff if they can run the table, but they still need as many impressive wins as possible. Army has looked good but they’re most impressive so. Is probably against North Texas and they’re running into a red hot Notre Dame team right now. The Fighting Irish have a top 10 defense and they already shut down Navy with ease this season. They’re going to have that same game plan and really put a ton of pressure on in the backfield as they will force Army into some long yardage situations. Lay the points.

Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

CAL -14.5

Cal and Stanford renew their rivalry and it’s Cal with the value. These two former conference foes will meet with a rich history and Cal comes in winners in 2 of their last 3 games. Their record doesn’t indicate how talented this team is and they’ve been able to get some good stops defensively. Coming into play, they’re allowing just 20.3 ppg and they’ve forced a lot of issues for opposing offenses. They’re forcing them into some long yardage situations and coming up with turnovers thanks to their suffocating secondary. Stanford is going to struggle all night and this is a good spot for the Cal defense to have a field day.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Ball State +11.5

Ball State is the move here against the Bowling Green Falcons on Saturday. Ball State has played some incredibly close games that they’ve found themselves on the wrong side of. They have seen 7 of their 8 games be decided by 10 points or less and this game should be closer than expected. Combining all 6 MAC games they’ve played, they have been decided by a combined 19 points. Bowling Green has won 4 straight, but Ball State matches up well with them. They play at a similar pace and the Cardinals can win the battle of the line of scrimmage offensively. This will be a close game throughout and it’s just too many points in this spot.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Maryland +4

Maryland and Iowa meet Saturday at noon and it’s a must win for Maryland in terms of bowl eligibility. This is a good matchup for them as Iowa will turn to a former walk on to be under center. The Terps will play this game at their pace and try to get Iowa out of rhythm. We’ve seen Iowa want to play slow and run the ball, but Maryland can speed the game up on them. They tend to take many chances down field and they’re going to push the issue even more here. Maryland has shown a couple good signs this year and has an impressive win over USC already. They’re going to open things up more in the playbook and they’ll get to Iowa early.

Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

UTSA -17

UTSA has the edge here as this offense is rolling right now. They come in averaging 40 ppg at home, which is one of the best marks in the nation. They play extremely quick and they can strike both on the ground and through the air. Temple has been a disaster defensively as well. They have given up 45 ppg on the road and their struggles have come from allowing big yardage plays. This is a complete mismatch and we’re getting good value here with the UTSA. Lay the points.

Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Browns +3.5

This is a clear mismatch record wise, but Cleveland is going to get up for this game. Under the lights and against their arch rival? This is a good spot for Cleveland to come out firing. The Browns and Winston have had some signs where they have looked good offensively and they’re going to lean on Chubb here with the run game. He continues to get healthier and healthier and this will be a game where he wants to come out with aggression after what happened last year in Pittsburgh. Cleveland’s defense will blitz and they’re going to do everything to rattle this Pittsburgh backfield. There could be some rain in the forecast as well, which will play into the Browns favor. Grab the points as this is just too many for a divisional game where the Browns will treat this like it’s their playoff game.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

GT -8.5

Georgia Tech and NC State meet on Thursday night and this is a great spot for the Yellow Jackets. The Wolfpack have been a great fade all season long as they come in just 2-8 ATS. They have struggled to find any sort of consistency in their game and this is a bad matchup against a confident Georgia Tech side. They took down Miami last time out and this offense has become a very threatening team with the big play. This will be a case where they control the time of possession and put a lot of pressure on early against this Wolfpack defense. They’ll control this game and frustrate the Wolfpack, giving them the value.

Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

EMU -1

EMU and Buffalo meet on Wednesday and this is a great spot on the Eagles here. This is a fade spot on Buffalo’s defense. They have struggled all season long to get stops and they’ve given up at least 30 points in each of their last 4 games. The Eagles offense can expose that find some big plays down field as this defense has been vulnerable when it comes to giving up big chunks of yards. The Eagles will open the playbook up a bit and take their chances down field, that’ll result in them finding some gaps behind this secondary. Eastern Michigan needs to get back on track and this is a perfect spot to do so. Grab the home side.

Wednesday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

NIU +2.5

NIU has the value against Miami Ohio as they both come in with identical 6-4 records. The Huskies have won back to back games and they’ve got their offense rolling right now. They scored 71 points combined in the 2 wins and they’re doing it with a dominant run game. They rumbled for nearly 300 yards against Akron last week as they’re getting a huge push from their offensive line. They’re wearing teams down and as this game goes on, that’s what they’ll do to the Redhawks. Look for this game to be won by their offensive line as they’re going to run down hill at this Miami defensive front. Grab the Huskies.

Tuesday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

KENT STATE +10.5

It’s the battle for the wagon wheel as Kent State and Akron meet on Tuesday night. The value is with Kent State as this is pretty much the only thing they have to play for this season. It’s been abysmal for them as they continue a massive rebuild. They showed some better signs against Miami Ohio last week that they can bring into play here. They’re going to pull out all the stops and open the playbook up completely against an Akron team that isn’t good either. The Zips have just 2 wins with one coming against Colgate. They have been a struggle defensively and have given up 70 points combined over the last two games. Kent will stay in this and this has the makings of a game where they can cause some frustrations for Akron. Back the Golden Flashes.

Tuesday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Chargers -1

The Chargers and Bengals headline SNF and there’s good value here on the Chargers laying the small number. Los Angeles has the top scoring defense in the NFL so far and they’ve done it with blitzing all game long and they just suffocate opposing receivers. They’re forcing turnovers and putting together short fields for their offense that has led them to a ton of success early in games. Cincinnati just has been far too inconsistent to trust. They’ve struggled to get anything going offensively and their inability to get off the field on third downs defensively has led them to a lot of struggles. The Chargers are the better team and they will lean on their defense from the start here. Grab the home side on Sunday night.

Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY

Titans +6

The Titans and Vikings meet on Sunday and this is a good spot for the Titans. Tennessee continues to play much better at home and this will be a game they get up for here. Three of their four home games have been decided by one score or less as they’ve been able to keep games close with their tough pass defense. The Vikings offense has been sputtering a bit and that bodes well here for a Tennessee team that can force them into some long third down situations to get off the field. This game will be a grind and be one of those close games throughout where neither team pulls away. Grab the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play