At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over San Antonio.  We played on the Spurs in each of their last two games, and were rewarded with upset wins over both the Clippers and Lakers.  But off those two big upset wins, we will fade the Spurs as a road favorite tonight.  Indeed, teams off back to back upset wins are a soft 42% as favorites vs. foes with losing SU/ATS records.  And the Spurs have covered 12 of their last 39 when favored, including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets come into this game off back to back upset wins over the Pelicans last night, and these Hawks on Wednesday.  But off those two upset road wins, we'll fade Charlotte tonight, and take the revenge-minded Hawks.  Since 1990, teams off back to back upset wins on the road have covered just 28% as a home underdog vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over the LA Clippers.  We played on Los Angeles on Wednesday, as a 4-point road favorite, and were rewarded with a 7-point victory.  But we will take Golden State in this rematch, as it's 52-27-1 ATS vs. division rivals if it lost its previous game, while the Clippers are 13-35 ATS off a SU/ATS win, when favored by 4+ points vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Sacramento.  The Raptors have (unbelievably) gotten off to a 1-6 start this season.  But there's no reason to panic.  Their slow start is partly due to bad luck, as they could have won/covered three of their six SU/ATS losses.  And a difficult schedule also hasn't helped.  But tonight, the Raptors will play a team they're significantly better than, and I believe they'll take out their frustrations tonight, and blow out Sacramento.  For technical support, consider that Toronto is 15-6 ATS off 3 ATS losses, including 12-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Kings are 11-22 ATS as a home dog of more than 2 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points with the Raptors.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Orlando.  The Rockets check in off back to back SU/ATS losses to Dallas and Indiana, and have been installed as a home favorite vs. Orlando, which has won its last two games (both SU and ATS).  We'll lay the points with the Rockets, as they've covered 58% off back to back losses, if they failed to cover their previous game, and their opponent is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Magic are a poor 52-74 ATS as single-digit underdogs vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Houston.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Perhaps the third time will be the charm for Gregg Popovich's men.  They've played Los Angeles twice already this season, with both games in the Alamo City ending in defeat for the Silver and Black.  But after getting blown out in Game #1, Game #2 went down to the wire for a 109-103 Lakers victory.  We played on San Antone in that game as a 7-point underdog, and we'll play on them here, at Los Angeles.  The Spurs come into this game off an upset win over the Clippers on Tuesday, and are now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this season.  They're also 57-36 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 14-7 ATS when playing with double-revenge.  Meanwhile, the Lakers are 26-43 ATS as a favorite in the regular season vs. a foe they defeated twice earlier in the season.  Finally, San Antonio falls into a 90-40 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Steve Kerr's men must like the number 137, as that's been their point total in each of their last two games.  They poured in 137 in a 31-point upset win over Sacramento on Monday, and also scored 137 vs. Portland the night before that, in a 15-point win.  But off those back to back upsets, we'll fade Golden State tonight.  And they will be welcoming a Clippers team in an ornery mood off an upset home loss yesterday to San Antonio.  That was Los Angeles' 3rd loss of the season.  In their previous defeats, they bounced back to win and cover vs. Minnesota (124-101) and Phoenix (112-107).  L.A. is now 34-13 ATS off a loss, while the Warriors are a poor 18-33 ATS off a win.  And NBA underdogs are a horrid 2-16 ATS after scoring 120+ in back to back upset wins.  Take the Clippers tonight to crush Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over New Orleans.  These two teams met last Thursday in Oklahoma, and the Pelicans blew out the Thunder, 113-80, as a 6-point road favorite.  We'll take OKC in this re-match, as the Thunder are 18-7 ATS their last 25 when playing with revenge, including 8-0 ATS when priced from +4 to +10 points.  Meanwhile, the Pelicans have covered just 8 of 22 as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes, and are 8-21 ATS at home off a SU loss.  Finally, the Thunder fall into a 143-83 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New York.  The Knicks have won two straight -- both as big underdogs -- while the Jazz were blown out last night by 34 points in Brooklyn.  It will be a short trip to Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks on Wednesday, and we'll lay the points with Utah.  Since 1990, .563 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% after losing their previous game by more than 28 points, if their opponent was off back to back wins.  And home dogs off upset road wins have cashed just 39% over the last 31 years vs. foes off upset road losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets blew out Minnesota, 124-109, on Sunday, in Minneapolis.  But we'll take Minnesota in the rematch tonight.  And, unlike Sunday's game, this will be played in Denver.  That's good news for the T-Wolves, who are 20-2 ATS their last 22 in Denver, when priced as an underdog of +1.5 to +15 points.  And, regardless of where the point spread is, the ROAD TEAM has gone 41-10-1 ATS its last 52 in this series!  That's one reason I love Minnesota tonight.  Another is that rested, revenge-minded double-digit underdogs are 300-234 ATS against division rivals.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers bested Memphis here, on Beale Street, on Sunday, by a 108-94 count.  That was the Lakers' 3rd straight road win.  Unfortunately for the defending champs, they're a dreadful 110-163-4 ATS when favored by 8+ points against a revenge-minded opponent, including 21-58 their last 79 if they won by more than 5 points in the previous meeting.  And the Lakers also fall into a negative 40-84 ATS system of mine which fades certain road favorites that were playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Golden State.  We had a big play on the Warriors last night, and were rewarded with an upset win by Steph Curry (62 points) and Co. against Portland.  But off that win, we will fade Steve Kerr's crew tonight, as Golden State falls into negative 99-143, 56-118 and 33-70 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins.  Even worse for the Warriors:  Golden State is 17-33 ATS off a straight-up win, while Sacramento is 26-11 ATS on the road off a road loss.  Lay the small number with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Houston.  The Mavericks lost their previous game, last night, at Chicago, 118-108.  And Dallas entered that game as a 4-point favorite.  Meanwhile, the Rockets downed Sacramento, 102-94, as a 2-point home underdog on Saturday.  We'll take the Mavericks to bounce back tonight, as they're 111-63 ATS off a loss, if matched up against an opponent which was off a win.  And the Rockets are a woeful 1-13 ATS their last 14 off an upset win at home, if matched up against an opponent which failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Finally, the Rockets fall into negative 2-29, 31-69 and 13-54 ATS systems of mine.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Cavaliers were absolutely annihilated in their previous game -- a 119-99 defeat at Indiana on Thursday.  The Cavaliers had last night off, but Atlanta was in action at Brooklyn, and pulled off a big upset as a 6.5-point underdog, 114-96.  That sets up Cleveland well tonight, as they will be rested against an unrested foe.  And the Hawks are a dreadful 44-85 ATS vs. rested foes off 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Take Cleveland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  This is the 2nd of a back-to-back match-up here in San Antonio.  The Lakers won the first game on Wednesday, 121-107.  But we'll take the points with the Spurs tonight, as they're 21-4 ATS their last 25 at home when playing with revenge against .550 (or better) foes.  Take San Antonio.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Chicago.  This will be the 3rd time this season we played on Milwaukee after it lost its previous game.  We easily cashed the first two, as Milwaukee blew out Golden State (138-99) and Miami (144-97) after its first two losses.  Now, it gets to take out its frustration on an unrested Chicago Bulls squad.  The Bulls won their game last night in Washington.  But Chicago is 14-31 ATS off a win, while the Bucks are 29-10 ATS in the regular season off a loss.  Lay the double-digits with the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets come into tonight's game off back to back upsets of Brooklyn and Dallas.  And they were underdogs of +11.5 and +8 points, respectively, in those games.  Unfortunately, NBA teams off back to back wins as underdogs of +8 (or more points), have cashed just 3 of 21 games vs. .470 (or worse) foes.  Take Memphis + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over the Miami Heat.  The Mavericks lost here, at home, on Wednesday to Charlotte.  And Dallas was an 8-point favorite in that game.  But, perhaps, that loss should not have come as a surprise.  After all, Dallas exacted revenge in their game previous to that when they blew out the Clippers by 51 points.  So, a letdown was certainly in order.  Now, however, the Mavericks are locked into their best point spread role.  The Mavericks are a powerful 110-63-5 ATS off a loss when they're matched up against an opponent off a win.  And Dallas also falls into a 52-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Pels are off a 25-point loss at Phoenix, but now fall into a 400-293 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites off road defeats.  Even better:  .345 (or worse) NBA teams have gone 83-136-4 ATS at home if they weren't favored by more than 5 points, and their opponent was off a loss by 24+ points.  Take New Orleans to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over New York.  Out of the many surprises so far this season, perhaps none is as surprising as Toronto's 0-3 start.  The 2019 Champs will try to get off the schneid tonight in this "home" game in Tampa.  And Toronto is 17-1 ATS at home in the regular season vs. division rivals when Toronto was favored by less than 10 points.  Lay the points with the Raptors.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  These two teams met on Tuesday, and the Bulls upended Washington, 115-107, as a 6-point road underdog.  But that game as placed the Wizards in 100-57, 165-101 and 213-133 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, as faithful followers know, I love to go against bad NBA teams off wins.  And the Bulls are a bad team.  Last season, Chicago won just 33.8% of its games.  And it's a dreadful 8-36 SU and 13-31 ATS its last 44 games off a victory. Take Washington.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  We played on Milwaukee on Christmas Day vs. Golden State, as the Bucks came into that game off a SU loss to the Celtics.  And, as I noted then, Milwaukee's been "money-in-the-bank" in the regular season off a loss ever since coach Mike Budenholzer was hired, as it's 33-5 SU and 28-10 ATS in this role.  I won't go against those numbers.  And especially not tonight when Milwaukee will be out to avenge its playoff series ouster by Miami last summer.  Take the Bucks to blow out the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers have burst out to a 3-0 SU/ATS start this season.  But the thing to bear in mind is that the Cavs were underdogs in each of those three games.  Now, for tonight's game vs. the Knicks, the Cavaliers have been installed as a favorite.  And, notwithstanding their current 3-0 record, the Cavs won just 29% of their games last seasons, and are NOT a very good team.  Similar to our play last night against the Atlanta Hawks as a big favorite vs. the Pistons, we're going to fade Cleveland tonight as it cannot be relied up to lay points -- even to teams like the Knicks.  Indeed, last season, Cleveland was a disastrous 0-7 ATS as a favorite (and it won just one of those seven games, straight-up)!  Take New York + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers won the first of this back-to-back series in Indianapolis, with a 108-107 upset victory on Sunday, which moved their record to 3-0.  But off their upset win, we'll fade Indiana in the rematch, as NBA teams with a W/L Pct > .600 have covered just 51 of 124 off an upset home win vs. foes off an upset loss.  And Boston's 20-11 ATS on the road off an upset loss.  Take the Celtics.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia.  The Raptors are 0-2 SU/ATS after dropping their first two games to the Pelicans and Spurs.  But the Raptors are a solid 58-29 ATS off exactly 2 losses, which bodes well for them in Philly tonight.  Additionally, NBA teams off back to back upset losses to start a season have cashed 62% over the last 41 years.  And, finally, Philly has covered just 3 of 23 as a division favorite vs. foes off an upset loss that don't have a winning ATS record.  Take Toronto + the points tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Jazz were upset, 116-111, at home by the Timberwolves on Saturday night.  And Utah was a 9-point favorite in that game.  Tonight, they're a big road favorite, and we'll lay the points.  For technical support, the Jazz are a solid 67-38 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points off an upset home loss when playing a .250 (or better) opponent, including 18-0 ATS their last 18 if the Jazz didn't own a winning record.  Take Utah minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta's off to a 2-0 start notwithstanding the fact that it won less than 30% of its games last season.  Now, it's a huge home favorite against the 0-2 Pistons.  But Atlanta can't be trusted to lay this number, as it has covered just 23 of 65 as a home favorite of -9 (or more) points.  We'll take the points with Detroit, as NBA home teams that are undefeated on the season (like Atlanta) have covered just 26.0% over the last 31 years if they had a sub-.400 record the previous season.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets were favored by 11 points last night at Charlotte, but were upset, 106-104.  Tonight, they're back home in Brooklyn, and the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Brooklyn to bounce back against the 0-2 Grizzlies.  But NBA home teams off an upset road loss in which they were favored by more than 9 points have covered just 29.6% since 1992 when playing a losing team off a SU loss.  Take Memphis + the points.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings upset Phoenix, 106-103, last night to move to 2-0 on the season.  The Pacific Division foes will face off in Sacramento once again this evening, and we'll lay the points with the Suns in the rematch.  Sacramento is a poor 16-39 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, when playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  And, finally, road favorites off an upset road loss have covered 70% since 2008 vs. foes off an upset win at home, if their foe also was off back to back wins.  Take Phoenix to blow out Sacramento.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Orlando Magic.  We played (and lost) on the Wizards last night vs. this Magic squad, but will come right back with Washington on this Sunday.  Like last night's game, this will also be played in Washington, D.C., as the NBA has scheduled back-to-back games at the same venue to limit travel in the COVID-19 environment.  The Wizards fall into a 96-51 ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain teams that were upset at home in their previous meeting.  And teams off a SU loss have covered 61.5% over the last 31 years vs. foes off back to back upset wins to start the season.  Finally, winning teams off back to back upset wins, that covered each of those two games by 10+ points, have gone 117-176 ATS, including 19-48 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take the Wizards.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  We played against both New Orleans and San Antonio in their previous games.  We cashed the Heat vs. the Pelicans, in a 111-98 Christmas Day win, but lost last night with the Raptors, who were outscored 9-0 down the stretch to fall to the Spurs, 119-114.  We will play against Gregg Popovich's crew again tonight, as they're 7-37 SU and 16-27-1 ATS as underdogs of +4 or more points vs. Western Conference rivals.  And they have also covered just 25.8% over the last 31 years on the road vs. .500 (or better) foes off a loss by more than 8 points.  Take the Pelicans.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the LA Clippers.  The Mavericks lost to the Clippers in last year's playoffs, 4 games to 2.  And that series defeat has triggered several of my best NBA Playoff revenge systems, with records of 76-45, 96-51 and 31-19 ATS since 1990.  It's true that Dallas has gotten off to an 0-2 start, while LA is undefeated after its first two games -- both on the road.  But the Mavs are 109-63-5 ATS off a SU loss when playing an opponent off a SU win, including 15-5 ATS when the Mavs lost by more than 20 in their previous game.  And undefeated NBA teams, that won 57+ percent of their games the previous season, have covered their home openers just 33.9% since 1991.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Raptors blew a 57-50 halftime lead against the New Orleans Pelicans in their season opener, and fell by 14, 113-99, at home.  Meanwhile, the Spurs upset Memphis on Beale Street, 131-119.  But off that win, we will fade Gregg Popovich's crew tonight, as the once-reliable Spurs are now a wallet-breaking 1-16 ATS at home off a win since March 20, 2019!   In contrast, over the last two years, the Raptors have been exceptionally reliable with Nick Nurse at the helm.  The Raptors were 53-19 (.736) last season, including a 27-9 record on the road.  Moreover, the Raptors are an awesome 12-1 ATS their last 13 off a loss by more than 11 points.  And their 26-11 ATS off an ATS defeat.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Indiana.  The Pacers won by 14, 114-107, vs. the New York Knicks on Wednesday, while Chicago was blown out by 20, 124-104, by the Atlanta Hawks.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to fade Chicago off that dismal performance.  But consider that NBA teams off a loss by 20+ points in their season opener have covered 70% since 1990 when not getting more than 7 points in Game 2.  Even better:  mid-priced NBA road favorites of -4 to -8.5 points have covered just 10 of 35 off a win in their season opener at home, including 1-11 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset Miami, at home, 113-107, on Wednesday, while Washington lost by an identical score to the 76ers, but covered the spread as a 7-point road underdog.  The silver lining for the Wizards is that NBA teams that lost, but covered the spread in their season opener, have proceeded to cover 67.5% in Game 2 since 2008, including 75% when not favored by 3+ points.  Meanwhile, the Magic have covered just 7 of 23 off an upset home win. and they're also 13-21-1 ATS their last 35 vs. Washington.  Lay the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Pistons lost by 10, 111-101, at Minnesota, on Wednesday, while the Cavaliers won their home opener, 121-114, against Charlotte.  But the Cavs were the Eastern Conference's worst team last season, with a 19-46 record.  And NBA teams playing their home opener, like Detroit, have cashed 67% since 1991 if they were off a double-digit loss, and were playing an opponent off a win in its home opener, if that opponent had a worse record the previous season.  Take Detroit minus the points.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Hawks were a losing team last season, but opened their 2020-21 campaign with a road win at Chicago.  They will now play the Grizzlies who lost their season opener at home, 131-119, on Wednesday to the Spurs.  We'll take Memphis at home, as NBA teams have cashed 77% at home since 1991 off a loss in their home opener, if their opponent was off a SU win, and our home team owned a better record the previous season.  Additionally, the Hawks are a poor 11-24 ATS after winning on the road, if the Hawks weren't getting 9+ points in their current game.  Take Memphis on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the LA Clippers.  The Clips opened their season with a "road" win against the Lakers, while Denver lost at home to the Sacramento Kings.  But over the last 31 years, NBA home teams have covered 67% in Game 2, if they lost at home in their season opener, and their opponent was off an upset road win.  Moreover, the Clippers are a poor 7-20 ATS on the non-division road when priced from -2.5 to +9 points, if they were off a SU win.  Take Denver to bounce back on Christmas, and blow out the Clippers.  Good luck, a always...Al McMordie.

At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Golden State.  Both of these teams lost their season openers.  Golden State was blown out by Brooklyn on Tuesday, while the Bucks fell at the buzzer to Boston by a single point.  Since his arrival in Milwaukee, coach Mike Budenholzer's men have been exceptional in the regular season when coming off a straight-up loss.  They're 32-5 SU and 27-10 ATS, including 8-1 ATS at home when not laying more than 11 points.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.

At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  On Wednesday, Stan Van Gundy's Pelicans upset Toronto to kick off their 2020-21 campaign, while Miami lost as a road favorite against the Orlando Magic.  We'll play on the Heat on Thursday, as they've gone 43-23 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent off an upset win.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Miami.  After covering the point spread in Game 1, the Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of the four next games.  On Sunday, the Lakers will attempt (for the 2nd time) to win their 17th NBA championship.  In Game 5, Anthony Davis re-aggravated a heel injury, but he swears he will be fine for Game 6.  One of the things I love to do when betting on the NBA is play on .710 (or better) teams off an upset playoff loss as a 3-point (or greater) favorite, provided they don't trail in a 7-game series.  Since 1990, these teams have rebounded to cash 61% ATS.  Even better:  the Lakers are a solid 16-7-1 ATS in the Playoffs off a loss in which they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points.  Meanwhile, LeBron James' teams are 22-11 ATS in the Playoffs as a favorite following a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  And Miami's 4-9 ATS in the Playoffs when playing on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Lay the points in Game 6 with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  We stayed away from Game 4, and it went right down to the wire, with Tyler Herro draining a 3-pointer at the buzzer to cover the 7.5-point spread for Miami.  We'll step in and take the points in this "do-or-die" game for Miami, as it falls into a 59-33 ATS NBA system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any .576 (or better) team in the Playoffs if they were off a loss, and an underdog of +7 (or more) points.  Since 1990, these teams have gone 77-49-2, 61.1% ATS, including 10-4 ATS in the NBA Finals.  Even better:  Erik Spoelstra's men are 32-11-1 ATS off a loss, including 5-0 ATS when getting 6 or more points.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is the Miami Heat + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers have won the first two games by double-digits to take a commanding 2-games-to-none series lead.  Since no NBA team has ever successfully come back from a 3-0 series deficit, tonight's game is a "virtual must-win" for Miami.  We'll grab the points with the Heat, as .605 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 60% in the Playoffs over the last 31 years off back to back double-digit defeats.  Even better:  the Heat are an awesome 48-24-2 ATS off back to back losses, including 34-8 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  This NBA Finals match-up had the potential to be a fascinating series.  Unfortunately, the Heat sustained injuries in Game 1, and now will be hard-pressed to upset the Lakers.  But I love Miami + the points in this Game 2, as the adjusted point spread has more-than-compensated for the concomitant loss of talent.  And one of the things I love to do when betting NBA playoffs is to take a team in Game 2 when it's getting significantly more (or laying significantly less) points in Game 2 than it did in Game 1.  Sometimes this happens due to injuries (like in this game), while other times, the line gets adjusted off an unexpected result in Game 1.  But what I've found is that it generally pays (87% since 1990) to play on the team getting a better number in Game 2 than in Game 1.  Likewise, teams off a loss in Game 1 have gone 48-31 ATS in Game 2 when they were an underdog of more than nine points.  This will be a competitive game tonight.  Take Miami + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets got back into the series with a blowout win over Los Angeles on Tuesday. We stayed away from that Game, but will jump back into the fray tonight, and play on the Los Angeles Lakers.  Since 1990, #3-seeded NBA teams are a poor 37-57-3 ATS after upsetting their opponent in the previous playoff game.  Even better:  LeBron James teams are a jaw-dropping 21-0 straight-up, and 17-4 ATS as a favorite in the Playoffs vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Los Angeles.  We played on the Lakers in Game 1, and were rewarded with a 126-114 victory, as a 7-point favorite.  We'll switch gears tonight, and grab the points, as .600 (or better) underdogs, at the quarterfinal round forward, have cashed 60% in Game 2 of an NBA series off a SU loss in Game 1.  Additionally, the Nuggets are a terrific 36-13-1 ATS when not favored by 3+ points, if they lost by more than five points in their previous game, including 12-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Nuggets + the points in Game 2.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Denver.   The Nuggets come into this game off back to back upset wins to defeat the Clippers in seven games.  Unfortunately for Denver, NBA teams off back to back upset wins have only cashed the opening game of a series eight of 29 games since 1991.  That doesn't bode well for Denver.  Nor does the fact that LeBron James' teams have gone 50-27 ATS in his career when they were favored by 2+ points, provided they were not leading in the series.  Finally, teams off back to back playoff wins have only covered 24 of 63 games if they were an underdog away from home, and they were off back to back covers by 10+ points.  Take Los Angeles minus the points in Game 1.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Miami.  The Celtics lost Game 1 in overtime, 117-114, and now trail the Miami Heat 1-0 in the series.  We'll lay the points with Boston as it's 23-13 ATS when it trails by exactly one game in a Playoff series, including 16-5 ATS away from home.  Even better:  Boston is 50-30 ATS its last 80 vs. the Heat, including 26-9 ATS when the line was between +4.5 and -4.5 points.  And, finally, teams off a SU/ATS win to open a series have cashed just 36% over the last 31 years if they scored more than 115 points in their Game 1 victory.  Take Boston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver.  The Clippers surely did not expect this quarterfinals series to last this long.  But here we are, and the Clippers now have their backs against the wall.  I expect them to react well to the pressure, and to take care of business tonight.  It's true that Denver showed its mettle by coming back from large deficits twice in the last two games.  Still, NBA teams are a dreadful 26-46 ATS off back to back upset wins, if they were an underdog of 8+ points in those two victories.  Meanwhile, the Clippers are 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS off a straight-up loss, if priced between -4 and -8 points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Clippers game.  This will be the Nuggets' fourth straight "Game 7" dating back to last year's playoffs.  In 2019, the Nuggets played Game 7s vs. the San Antonio Spurs and Portland Trail Blazers.  This season, Denver downed Utah in a Game 7 earlier this month, and now it will play another decisive game tonight.  Each of Denver's other Game 7s easily went 'under' the total -- and by very large margins.  Its game vs. San Antonio sailed under by 31.5 points; the Portland game went under by 15; and the Game 7 win over Utah went under by 59.5 points.  These two teams have gone under 4-0-2 in the last six meetings, and 21-9-3 under in the last 33 meetings.  Finally, the 'under' falls into 87-47 and 63-33 Totals systems of mine.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, in EARLY action on this Sunday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver.  The #3-seeded Nuggets upset Los Angeles in Game 5 to force this sixth game.  But it's still an uphill climb for Denver, as it trails 3-games-to-2 in the series.  We'll go against Denver this afternoon, as #3-seeded Playoff teams are a dismal 35-57-3 ATS off an upset playoff win.  And the Clippers are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS their last 11 away from home, if they lost their previous game, and are favored by 4 (or more) points.  Lay it!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Toronto Raptors/Boston Celtics Game 6.  The first five games of this series have each gone 'under' the total, which has driven down the number from 217.5 in Game 1 to 210 for this Game 6.  Some may take the 'over' today because of the relative "value,", but consider that each of the five games have also gone 'under' 210, as well.  Indeed, the average score of the five games in this series has been just 201.4 points.  The Celtics have now played seven straight 'unders' and 10 of their past 11, while the Raptors have gone 'under' in seven of eight.  And, dating back to the 2018 post-season, the Celtics have gone 'under' in 21 of 28 Playoff games, including 15-1 'under' when priced from 205 to 219.  This will be another low-scoring game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Raptors were blown out by 22 points on Monday night, so they are in a MUST-WIN situation tonight.  I love the Raptors to bounce back, as they've gone 11-1 SU/ATS off a loss by more than 11 points.  Additionally, .600 (or better) teams have cashed 79% in Game 6 of the quarterfinals, if down 3-games-to-2, and off a double-digit loss.  Grab the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Clippers were upset by the #3-seeded Nuggets, 110-101, on Saturday.  But off that upset win, we will fade Denver in this Game 3.  Since 1990, #3-seeded NBA teams have been awful off an upset playoff win, and especially when installed as an underdog of more than 5 points.  In that role, they've gone 2-25 straight-up, and 7-19-1 ATS.  Even better, Kawhi Leonard's teams have gone 24-1 straight-up, and 19-6 ATS their last 25 off a loss by more than eight points, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  Lay the points with Doc Rivers' men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Houston.  In LeBron James' storied career, his teams (Cleveland, Miami, Los Angeles) have been terrific in the NBA Playoffs when they were favored by at least 2 points, and were not winning the series.  Dating back to his first season in the Playoffs (2006), LeBron's teams have gone 61-14 straight-up, and 48-27 ATS, including 7-0 straight-up and 5-2 ATS when down 1 game to none.  That's one reason I love LeBron & Co. to bounce back off their dismal effort on Friday.  Another is that teams seeded #3 (or worse) and installed as underdogs of more than 5 points away from home, have covered just 71 of 183 games off an upset playoff win. Take the Lakers in Game #2.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Miami.  The Heat will aim to go 8-0 SU/ATS in the playoffs with a win and cover this afternoon.  But their long SU/ATS win streak has led to a big movement in this point spread.  If Miami was an underdog once again (they were a 5-point underdog in the series' first three games), I would consider grabbing the points.  But they're a small favorite now.  Consider that underdogs up 3-games-to-none have gone 14-4-1 ATS.  However, small favorites of less than 3 points (or PK) have only covered 4 of 13 when up 3-games-to-none.  We'll grab the value with Milwaukee, and fade the Heat.  For technical support, also consider that, over the last 29 years, sub-.666 teams off an upset win that had covered their previous seven games have cashed just 47 of 139 games.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets needed 7 games to put away a game Oklahoma City squad.  And their reward for that victory is a date against the #1-seeded Lakers.  In contrast to Houston, Los Angeles had a relatively easy time against the #8-seeded Trail Blazers (though the Lakers were aided, somewhat, by key injuries to Portland).  We'll fade Mike D'Antoni's men, as underdogs of +6 to +11.5 points have cashed just 32% in Game 1 of a series, if their previous Playoff series went the distance.  And #1-seeds are an awesome 67% in Game 1 of a quarterfinals series, if priced from -4.5 to -11.5 points.  It's true that the Rockets have won the last two meetings vs. the Lakers.  But L.A. is a staggering 38-3 straight-up when favored, and playing with double-revenge, including 5-0 ATS their last five; 11-2 ATS their last 13; and 70.9% ATS since Feb. 18, 2003.  Take the Lakers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Heat have stormed out to a 2-games-to-none series lead, so this Game 3 becomes a virtual 'must-win' for the Bucks, given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-games-to-none deficit.  We'll lay the points with the Bucks, as favorites of more than 4 points have cashed 70.3 since 1990 in the quarterfinals, if they were down 2 games in the series.  And, since Giannis Antetokounmpo entered the league, the Bucks are 39-28 ATS off exactly two losses.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over Boston.  The #2-seeded Raptors are down 2-games-to-none, and are in a "virtual" must-win situation tonight, given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit to win a 7-game series.  We'll take Toronto, as NBA favorites off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and down 2-games-to-none in a series, have covered 60.8% over the last 30 years.  Even better:  the Raptors are an awesome 44-19 ATS off exactly two SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raptors in Game 3.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Heat have taken three of four vs. Milwaukee this season.  But I love the Bucks to bounce back off their Game 1 upset loss on Monday.  Since Mike Budenholzer assumed the head coaching duties, Milwaukee is 35-9 straight-up, and 30-14 ATS off a loss, including 19-5 ATS off a loss by 7+ points.  Even better:  in the 2nd round of the NBA Playoffs, underdogs of more than 4 points, off back to back wins by more than 10 points, are a horrid 1-19 SU and 3-17 ATS.  Finally, the Heat have covered just 1 of their last 16 when facing a revenge-minded foe off an upset loss.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets pulled even with Utah in this series with a 119-107 win in Game 6.  Now, after being an underdog in Games 3 through 6, Denver's been installed as a small favorite for Game 7 (though not as big as a favorite as it was in Games 1 + 2).  The Nuggets are a horrid 0-17 ATS away from home as a favorite (or PK) off a win by more than eight points, including a blowout, 19-point loss in Game 2 of this series.  Meanwhile, the Jazz are a super 43-25 ATS on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 18-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Jazz + the points in this decisive Game 7.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Celtics snapped Toronto's 8-game winning streak on Sunday, when they upset Toronto, 112-94, as a 2-point underdog.  That extended Boston's current win streak to 5 games.  But turnabout is fair play, and we'll look for the Raptors to level this series at 1-game apiece this evening.  Toronto is a super 32-15-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including 12-5 ATS when playing with revenge.  And it's 11-0 SU/ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and covered those 11 games by an average of 9.36 points.  Number 3 seeds, like Boston, are an awful 32-57 ATS off an upset playoff win vs. their opponent.  Lay the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Nuggets have been demolished over the last two ball games, as they've given up 124 points in back-to-back games to the Jazz.  On the other hand, they also gave up more than 124 points in Game 1, but they won that game (135-125) in overtime.  Down 2-games-to-1, we'll grab the points with the underdog Nuggets, as teams down 2-1 in a series have cashed 80.9% of the time off a loss by more than 22 points.  Even better:  Denver's an awesome 30-16 ATS when playing with double-revenge, including a perfect 5-0 ATS off a loss by 15 points or more.  Take the Nuggets to level this series at 2 games apiece.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Houston.  The Thunder were actually favored by a point in Game 1.  But after falling behind 2-games-to-none to James Harden & Co., the Thunder now find themselves installed as a small underdog in Game 3.  I believe it's an overreaction, so we'll step in and take the points with OKC.  Admittedly, the Thunder have lost their last three games SU/ATS.  But Oklahoma City is a tremendous 29-9 ATS away from home when they were on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And prior to dropping these two Playoff games to Houston, Oklahoma City had covered the last five meetings (and nine of the last 11).  Since 1990, NBA teams off back to back Playoff losses by 13+ points have covered 59%, so we'll grab the points with the Thunder on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas.  The Clippers lost Game 2, 127-114, as a 5-point favorite.  But they had won (and covered) the previous five games in this series.  I love Los Angeles to bounce back tonight in Game 3, as NBA teams that failed to cover Game 2 by 18+ points, have rebounded to cover Game 3 58% of the time since 1990.  Doc Rivers' men are 27-13 their last 40 when playing with revenge from a defeat earlier in the season.  And they're an awesome 30-10 ATS their last 40 off a straight-up loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from -4 to -7 points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets 'under' the total.  The first two games of this series were extremely high scoring.  Game 1 saw the Nuggets win, in overtime, 135-125, while Game 2 went to the Jazz, 124-105.  I actually look for a much lower-scoring game this afternoon, as NBA playoff games have sailed 'under' the total 60% of the time  since 1992 following two games in the series that each produced 225+ points.  Even better:  this series has gone 'under' the total in 21 of the last 29 meetings. Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  Damian Lillard & Co. upset the Lakers in Game 1, 100-93.  But Portland's never performed well off a Playoff victory, as it's 25-45-3 ATS, including 5-17 ATS when getting more than four points.  Meanwhile, LeBron James' teams have gone 47-26 ATS in the Playoffs if they weren't winning the series, and were favored by two or more points.  And his teams have also gone 97-66 ATS in his career when favored, and playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  It's true that the Lakers have dropped their last six to the spread.  But NBA teams have gone 13-2 ATS in the Playoffs when priced from -4 to -9.5 points, if they were on a 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Take the L.A. Lakers.  Good luck, always....Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic stunned Milwaukee, 122-110, as a 13.5-point underdog on Tuesday.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with the Bucks in Game 2.  Since Mike Budenholzer took over as head coach, the Bucks are an awesome 34-9 SU and 29-14 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 18-5 ATS when priced from -7 to -13 points!  Moreover, teams that owned a win percentage at least .05 better than their opponent, have cashed over 69% since 1990 off a loss to start the opening round of the Playoffs.  Meanwhile, the Magic are a dreadful 3-12 ATS away from home as an underdog of 3+ points following a Playoff win vs. their opponent.  Take the Bucks to blow out Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Denver.  The Jazz handed their backers a really bad beat on Monday, as they fell in overtime by 10 points, as a 4.5-point underdog.  Still, Donovan Mitchell was brilliant in defeat, as he led the way with 57 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists.  Remarkably, the Nuggets, who have won greater than 65% of their games the past two seasons, are a jaw-dropping 0-16 ATS their last 16 away from home as a favorite off a win by more than eight points!  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  In Game 1, the Raptors smacked the Nets, 134-110.  But I love taking double-digit underdogs off a SU/ATS double-digit loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS double-digit win, as they're 474-374 ATS.  Even better:  The Nets are a solid 42-25 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when getting more than 9 points.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Indiana.  These two teams met at the conclusion of the regular season, and we played on the Pacers in their blowout victory.  That was also Indiana's second straight upset win heading into these playoffs.  Unfortunately, over the last 30 seasons, NBA teams off back to back upset wins to end the regular season generally do poorly in Game 1 of the Playoffs, as they've covered just 33% of the time.  Also, Erik Spoelstra's teams are 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS when favored in Game 1 of a Playoff series, including a perfect 5-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Miami Heat.  These two teams met four days ago, and Miami got the better of Indy, 114-92, as a 4-point favorite.  These two teams will also play each other in the first round of the Playoffs, so this is a "tune-up" for both squads.  I expect Indiana will want to gain a measure of confidence, and play better this afternoon than it did on Monday.  Indiana also falls into a 228-148 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact it has lost all three meetings to the Heat this season.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Utah.  Although the Spurs can still reach the playoffs for the 23rd consecutive season, their chances to do so are small, as they need at least two of three other teams (Memphis, Phoenix, Portland) to lose today, while they win their own game vs. the Jazz.  By the time this game tips off, the Spurs will know whether they've been knocked out, or if they're still alive.  But even if they're knocked out, I still expect them to put forth a solid effort to end the season on a high note, because that's what a Gregg Popovich team would do.  The Spurs fall into 115-55 and 98-45 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Heat come into this game off a 114-92 win over Indiana, while the Thunder were blown out, 128-101 by the Phoenix Suns.  We played on Phoenix in that game, as the Suns have been "playing to win."  And the fact that OKC was annihilated gives an indication as to what its mindset is at this late stage of the NBA season.  I expect a similar result tonight.  We'll lay the points with the much more interested club (Miami), which also falls into 81-37 and 115-54 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Dallas.  If the Blazers can win their final two games, they will make the Playoffs "play-in" series, so there's great incentive tonight -- much more so than the Mavericks possess, since Dallas is guaranteed to be either the #6 or #7 seed.  Portland plays with revenge from a 133-125 defeat in January, but McCollum and Nurkic were out for that game.  Both will be on the floor tonight.  We'll lay the points with the Trail Blazers, as they fall into a 128-63 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a "late season" system which is 79-36 ATS.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City.  This 8-game re-start schedule in Orlando was, of course, necessary for several reasons.  The most important were that the players needed to shake off the rust to prepare for the playoffs, and teams on the outside-looking-in needed a final opportunity to make a run at the post-season.  And that last reason has impelled the Phoenix Suns to play their best basketball of the year.  Phoenix is the lone unbeaten team at Disney World, with a 5-0 SU/ATS record.  And it retains a shot to make the play-in round, if it wins its final three games.  The first of those is this afternoon against a Thunder squad which blew out Washington yesterday.  Phoenix will thus have an advantage in terms of rest.  And NBA teams playing with extra rest have gone 14-9 ATS at Disney.  We'll lay the points with the Suns, as we look for them to win (and cover) their 6th straight game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In the preseason, I released two NBA futures plays:  the Clippers to win the Western Conference, and the Bucks to win the Eastern Conference.  And I still believe that will be the Finals match-up in October.  The Clippers, for the most part, have nothing to play for in their remaining four games.  They're 2 games ahead of Denver for the #2 seed, and have a game vs. the Nuggets on Wednesday.  Los Angeles could go 1-3 in its final four games, but would still get the #2 seed if it defeated Denver next week.  So, that's pretty much the highest priority game on L.A.'s schedule.  Portland, on the other hand, needs to win each of its last four games because, if it slips up just once, it could miss the Playoffs.  Portland, thus, has a big edge in the "motivation' department this afternoon.  And it also falls into a 212-132 ATS revenge system of mine, as it lost by 20 points at Los Angeles when the two teams last met.  The Trail Blazers are 9-0-2 ATS their last 11 (and 22-7-2 ATS their last 31) when playing with revenge from a loss by 12+ points, if they weren't getting more than 4 points.  Take the Trail Blazers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Bucks pulled a rare clunker in their last game, as they lost outright as an 18.5-point favorite to Brooklyn.  It was the 3rd biggest NBA upset in the past 30 seasons!  But off that defeat, I love Mike Budenholzer's men to bounce back this afternoon, as his Milwaukee teams are 32-7 straight-up and 27-12 ATS off a loss, including 9-1 ATS when priced from -9 to -11 points.  It also will help Milwaukee that Budenholzer has promised to play his starters more than on Tuesday, when none played more than 20 minutes.  The Heat are a poor 15-26 ATS off a win this season.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Portland.  The Rockets are 2-0 in Walt Disney World, and have defeated two very good teams (Milwaukee, Dallas).  Tonight, they'll get a relative breather when they take on Portland.  The Blazers have struggled to a 28-37 ATS mark this season, and are 24-38 ATS their last 62 when priced between +3.5 and +9.5 points.  Meanwhile, Houston plays with double-revenge, and is 20-7 ATS its last 27 when playing with double-revenge.  Take the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston.  We played against the Heat yesterday, and got the $$$ with Toronto.  But we will switch gears and grab the points with Erik Spoelstra's men this evening, as Miami is 17-6 ATS off a loss this season.  And the Heat fall into a great 109-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain unrested teams off a loss vs. foes off a win.  Grab the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Indiana.  The Magic are playing great ball, with 5 straight wins (and six straight covers), and fall into a 123-87 ATS system of mine which plays are certain revenge-minded squads.  With Orlando, indeed, playing with revenge from a 111-106 defeat, we'll lay the points with the Magic.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs moved to 2-0 since the restart yesterday when they upset the Grizzlies, 108-106, as a 3-point underdog.  San Antonio is trying to make the playoffs for the 23rd consecutive year, but it still has an uphill battle to qualify for the post-season in 2020.  After opening its Walt Disney schedule against two teams below .500 (Kings, Grizzlies), the Spurs' schedule will be difficult from this point forward, with games against the Sixers, Jazz (twice), Rockets, Nuggets and Pelicans.  The Spurs are an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a win vs. foes off an upset loss, including 2-10 ATS as an underdog of less than nine points.  And this is a horrible match-up for San Antone, as LaMarcus Aldridge and Trey Lyles are out, and it will have no one on the inside to guard Joel Embiid.  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Miami.  The Raptors come into this game off a big win over the Lakers -- their fifth straight, overall.  But I don't foresee a letdown tonight, as Toronto will be seeking major revenge from a beatdown administered by Miami back in January.  In that previous meeting between these two teams, the Raptors had their worst offensive game since 2015, as they shot just 31% from the floor, and scored just 76 points, in an 8-point defeat.  But the Raptors are a spectacular 14-1 ATS away from home (including 10-0 ATS their last 10) when they are matched up against a team that held them to 82 or less points in the previous meeting.  And Toronto also falls into a 106-47 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with Nick Nurse's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Mavs absolutely collapsed in the final minute of Friday night's game vs. Houston.  They led by seven points with 45 seconds left, but lost in overtime, 153-149.  To put that defeat in perspective, consider that NBA teams were 711-2 in the previous 713 games when leading by 7+ points with a minute or less to go in regulation!  So, Dallas will seek to redeem itself tonight vs. a Phoenix team which blew out the Mavs, 133-104, in the last meeting.  The Mavericks are an awesome 47-28-1 ATS off a loss when playing with revenge vs. a foe off a straight-up win.  And Phoenix is 2-9 ATS its last 11 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  We played against Kawhi Leonard & Co. this past Sunday, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Lakers.  But off that upset defeat, we'll lay the points with the Clippers tonight, as Los Angeles is a spectacular 29-7 SU and 26-10 ATS off a loss.  Additionally, the Warriors won a rare game this past Saturday when they upset the 76ers, 118-114.  Unfortunately for Steve Kerr's men, they're a poor 55-82-2 ATS off a straight-up win, including 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS as an underdog of 8+ points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Cleveland.  The Spurs will have a scheduling advantage tonight, as they had Saturday off, while Cleveland played here, at home, vs. the Nuggets.  And the Spurs are a super 96-65 ATS vs. unrested foes.  But that's not the best part.  If the Spurs lost failed to cover the spread by more than 11 points in their previous game, then our unrested opponents have gone 0-29 straight-up, and 3-26 ATS vs. San Antonio!  With the Spurs, indeed, off a blowout loss to the Nets where they failed to cover by 16.5 points, we will lay the wood with San Antonio tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Washington.  The Wizards and Heat have traded home victories over the first three meetings this season.  But I love Miami to break through and win tonight on Washington's home court, notwithstanding Miami's current 4-game road losing streak.  The Wizards come into this game off a 118-112 victory over Atlanta, as a 5.5-point favorite, while Miami lost by 6 at New Orleans, as a 1.5-point underdog (Miami's second straight ATS loss).  Unfortunately for the Wizards, they're an awful 16-29 ATS off a SU/ATS win when facing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +7 points.  And the Wizards have also covered just one of their last 11 (and 22 of their last 62) vs. foes off back to back ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, Miami's a superb 41-16-3 ATS off back to back point spread losses, including 26-6 ATS on the road!  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The NBA couldn't be happier that the two best Western Conference teams both reside in Los Angeles, as this budding rivalry should provide great entertainment in late May.  The Lakers have been installed as an underdog in this game, notwithstanding the fact they have won 10 of 11 games, own the conference's best record, and just beat Milwaukee, the league's #1 team.  The only thing not on the Lakers' regular season resume is a win over the rival Clippers, as the Lakers lost the first two meetings of the season.  We'll grab the points, as LeBron James' teams have gone 52-36 ATS when playing with double-revenge vs. a division foe.  Meanwhile, the Clippers are an awful 59-109-4 ATS vs. .589 (or better) foes playing with double-revenge, including 11-31 ATS as a favorite!  Finally, the Lakers are 11-5 straight-up, and 13-3 ATS their last 16 as underdogs.  Take the Lakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Rockets come into this evening's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to the New York Knicks and Los Angeles Clippers.  But Houston was 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS immediately preceding this losing streak.  I love Houston to rebound today on the road, as it's a super 84-51 ATS on the road off back to back SU/ATS defeats.  Admittedly, the Hornets are playing well, as they've covered five straight.  But Charlotte's a very poor 10-30 ATS at home off 3 straight ATS wins, including 4-19 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Finally, the Rockets have dominated the Hornets, as they're 17-1 SU and 11-4-3 ATS since 2011.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets come into this game on a 4-game point spread win streak, but tonight's game is an example of facing the wrong opponent at the wrong time.  The Nuggets were favored by 16 points over Golden State on Tuesday, but actually lost by 16, 116-100.  After the game, Denver's All-Star center, Nikola Jokic said, "it happens."  Well, it hasn't happened very often.  Since 1990, it was just the fourth time that an NBA team lost by more than 15 points after being favored by more than 15.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back off that embarrassing defeat, as they're 12-7 ATS on the road off an upset home loss.  Even better:  Charlotte's a wallet-busting 1-14 ATS at home off 4 point spread wins.  Take the Nuggets to rebound on Thursday, and blow out Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana.  We had our biggest NBA play of the season-to-date when these two teams last met.  That game was in Indiana, and the Pacers blew out Milwaukee to snap a long, 6-game losing streak.  For this game, however, it's a Bucks team which is off a loss, while Indiana's won four straight.  Since Mike Budenholzer took over as head coach, the Bucks are an awesome 23-6 ATS in the regular season off a loss, including a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs. winning teams.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Detroit.  The Thunder come into tonight's game off back to back losses.  Of course, those were to possibly the two best teams in basketball -- the Milwaukee Bucks and Los Angeles Clippers -- so there's no great shame in losing them.  Tonight, the Thunder will step down in class to play the Detroit Pistons, who have lost eight of their last nine games, including a 108-101 setback to the Thunder on February 7.  Overall, the Thunder have won 13 of the last 17 meetings vs. Detroit.  And they've also covered nine of 11 off back to back losses.  The Pistons have covered their last two games -- both on the road -- but are an awful 6-18-1 ATS their last 25 off a point spread win, including 0-7 ATS at home.  Take the Thunder to blow out Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Phoenix.  After winning 17 of 18 games, the Raptors have hit a mini-speed bump.  Toronto's lost its last three games, but two of those three games were vs. the 52-9 Milwaukee Bucks, and on the road to the 41-19 Nuggets.  So, it's best not to view the Raptors' glass as half-empty.  Tonight, the Raptors should snap their losing streak, as they'll be facing a Suns team which has gone 10-16 SU and 7-19 ATS its last 26.  Even better:  Phoenix is 3-14 SU and 6-10-1 ATS its last 17 as a home underdog, while the Raptors are an awesome 39-12-2 ATS off back to back losses when priced from -2.5 to -11 points.  Finally, .700 (or better) road favorites, off 3+ losses, have cashed 64% over the last 30 years vs. losing teams.  Lay the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the New York Knicks.  New York defeated Chicago here on Saturday night, 125-115.  But it had lost its six previous games (1-4-1 ATS).  I love going against bad teams off victories, and we'll do that here, as we note that double-digit home underdogs, with a win percentage of .300 (or less), have covered just 24.0% over the last 30 years if they won at home in their previous game.  That doesn't bode well for New York this evening.  Even worse:  the Knicks are a wallet-busting 0-20 SU and 6-13-1 ATS its last 20 games as a double-digit home underdog, and they're 4-15 ATS their last 19 at home vs. Houston.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Last night, Golden State pulled off a big upset when it went into Phoenix, and upset the Suns, 115-99, as an 11-point road underdog.  That was just Golden State's 13th win of the season (against 47 losses), and faithful followers know I love playing against bad teams off wins.  We won't make an exception here, and will play against the Warriors as a home underdog tonight.  For technical support, consider that the Warriors are an awful 1-11-1 ATS when playing without rest off a straight-up win.  Additionally, .375 (or worse) NBA home teams have covered just 37% over the last 30 years, if they were off exactly one win (on the road), and were playing without rest vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Take the Wizards minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Boston.  The Jazz were ripped, 131-111, by the Phoenix Suns, on Monday.  And that 20-point home loss, as an 8.5-point favorite, was Utah's 2nd biggest home defeat as a favorite of more than 7 points, over the last 30 years.  We'll take the Jazz to rebound tonight, as they've gone 31-12 ATS at home off a double-digit home upset loss.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Los Angeles.  New Orleans has won 8 of 11, with its only three defeats to the Rockets, Bucks and Thunder -- all Playoff teams.  And the Pelicans will look for their 3rd straight win tonight -- all on the road -- against a Lakers team also playing well, with five straight wins.  We'll grab the points, as New Orleans is 14-3 ATS off back to back road ATS wins.  And it also falls into a 207-130 ATS system which plays on certain revenge-minded teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Milwaukee.  The Raptors have been installed as a home underdog tonight, notwithstanding the fact that they've won 17 of their last 18 games (12-6 ATS), including a most-impressive 127-81 win over Indiana on Sunday.  Even better:  the Raptors are 34-22 ATS vs. the league's better teams (with win percentages greater than .625), while the Bucks have fared poorly as a favorite of 4 points or less (9-20 ATS).  And, finally, the Raptors are an incredible 13-0 ATS their last 13 at home after not giving up more than 90 points in their previous game.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Phoenix.  The Jazz come into this game off a double-digit, upset loss to Houston, on Saturday.  But off that defeat, we'll look for Quin Snyder's men to rebound here, at home, on Monday.  Indeed, Utah's 35-12 ATS if it was favored off a double-digit home loss, and its foe was not off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  the Jazz have won eight straight in this series (6-2 ATS), and 15 of 16 (10-5-1 ATS) over the last five seasons.  Lay the points with Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics embarrassed the Lakers, 139-107, at Boston, on January 20.  But we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Lakers this afternoon, as NBA favorites of 4+ points, with a win percentage greater than .706, have covered 72% in the Regular season since 1990, when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 24 points.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.