At 8 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Michigan.  Jim Harbaugh's Wolverines won their school's biggest game since they defeated Washington State on January 1, 1998 to earn their last National Championship.  Michigan was a 9-point road underdog, but routed its biggest rival, Ohio State, 45-23, last Saturday in a dominant performance.  It's widely accepted that even a loss to Purdue won't injure Michigan's chances to be in the 4-team playoffs later this month.  So, given this backdrop, we'll have no problem pulling the trigger on the double-digit underdog Boilermakers.  Last week, we had our Big 10 Conference Game of the Year on Purdue, and it rewarded us with a 14-point win over Indiana.  We'll grab the points with the Boilermakers here, and note that Michigan is an awful 0-7 ATS off an upset win over a previously undefeated Big 10 foe.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 7-3-1 in Big 10 Championship games.  And Purdue is 14-1-1 ATS away from home as an underdog of more than 12 points in Big 10 games, if its opponent was off a win.  Take the Boilermakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Troy.  Coastal Carolina was bombed, 47-7, by James Madison last week, while Troy routed Arkansas State, 48-19.  We'll take Coastal Carolina to bounce back, as road underdogs of more than 4 points in Sun Belt Conference games have gone 83-42 ATS off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by 5+ points in that defeat.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Ohio.  Last week, Toledo mustered just 14 points, and was upset, 20-14, by Western Michigan, as a 9.5-point road favorite.  Meanwhile, Ohio put up 38 points in a blowout win over Bowling Green.  We'll lay the points with Toledo, as it's 11-0 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points, if it scored less than 17 points in its previous game.  Even better:  NCAA teams have covered 71% of Conference Title games since 2009 if they scored 20+ less points in their final regular season game than did their current opponent.  Take the Rockets minus the points.

At 1 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Akron/Buffalo game.  Five of the last six meetings (and 10 of the last 15) between these two Mid-American Conference rivals have gone Under the total.  And that's the way we'll look, here.  It's true that Buffalo has played its last four games over the total.  But Mid-American Conference teams are 20-10 UNDER their last 30 after playing their three previous games over the total.  And the Under also falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which has cashed 64%.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMcMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Notre Dame game.  Last week, the Trojans outlasted rival, UCLA, 48-45, while Notre Dame blew out Boston College, 44-0.  These two teams tend to play lower-scoring games, and have gone Under each of the last three meetings, and are 17-10-1 Under the last 28.  Additionally, the Fighting Irish are 17-3 Under when playing an opponent which scored more than 42 points in its previous game.  We'll look for another relatively-low scoring game on Saturday evening.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over LSU.  Brian Kelly's Tigers are having a super season.  They're 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS.  But the one negative spot for them is that they're 0-3 ATS as a favorite away from Baton Rouge.  They lost SU/ATS against Florida St, and also didn't cover as a favorite vs. Auburn and Arkansas.  At 4-7, Texas A&M won't be going to a bowl game this season.  So, tonight's game IS its "Bowl Game."  And the Aggies are a solid 18-6 ATS their last 24 as home underdogs of more than 5 points.  Take Texas A&M + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU.  All good things must eventually come to an end, so don't be surprised if TCU's win streak goes by the wayside on this Saturday.  Iowa State is giving up just 16.5 ppg this season (TCU gives up 25.5).  And at Game 11 forward, NCAA underdogs/pk off a loss, with a defense that gives up less than 17.5 ppg, have gone 57-24-3 ATS vs. foes off a win.   Take Iowa State + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Michigan State.  The Nittany Lions have won all nine games this season other than the two they played against the #2 (Ohio State) and #3 (Michigan) teams in the country.  And dating back to December 5, 2020, the Nittany Lions are 12-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4 to -24 points!  Lay the wood with Penn State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon St. Beavers + the points over Oregon.  The Beavers have been a point spread covering machine in Corvallis.  Over the last 2 seasons, they're a perfect 11-0 ATS.  Even better:  the revenger in this rivalry is 16-7-1 ATS.  With Oregon State off a 38-29 loss to the Ducks last season, we'll take the Beavers + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers snapped their 7-game losing streak last week when they upset Michigan St, 39-31, as a 12.5-point road underdog.  We'll look for Indiana to go back to its losing ways on Saturday, as it's 47-74 ATS as a home underdog, and 0-8 ATS after winning a game, straight-up, as a 9-point (or greater) dog.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors are on a 6-1 ATS run, including back to back ATS wins over Utah St and UNLV in their previous two games.  But the Rainbows are 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS as an underdog on the road off back to back ATS wins.  And they're 9-16 ATS vs. San Jose.  Lay it.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Buffalo.  Both of these teams enter today's game off a loss.  Buffalo fell, 31-27, at Central Michigan in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Golden Flashes were upset, 31-24, by Eastern Michigan last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with Kent St, as MAC Conference teams have gone 58-32-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing an opponent also off a loss.  Take Kent St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Clemson/South Carolina Under the total.  Eight of the last 11 games in this Palmetto State rivalry have gone Under the total, including last year's 30-0 win by the Tigers.  Both teams did go Over the total last week.  But Clemson is 20-11 UNDER off an Over, while South Carolina is 24-12 Under off an Over.  Take the UNDER.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Georgia played (for it) a lackluster game last week.  It won by 10 points over Kentucky, 16-6, as a 22-point favorite.  Still, the Bulldogs have been the best team in football over the past two seasons.  They're 25-1 SU and 16-10 ATS.  And they're 8-1 ATS off a point spread defeat. This afternoon, they'll welcome their cross-state rival, Georgia Tech, to Athens.  But it hasn't been much of a rivalry the past 31 seasons.  Since 1991, Georgia is 24-6 SU and 21-8-1 ATS vs. the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 21-36 ATS its last 57, including 5-17 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Georgia.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Florida St.  The Gators were upset by Vandy last week, as a double-digit favorite.  This week, they're an underdog, and the Gators are 12-4 ATS their last 16 as a dog (compare to 3-16-1 ATS their last 20 as a favorite).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the California/UCLA game Under the total.  The last nine meetings (and 11 of the last 12) between the Bruins and Bears have gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we'll look in this game, as the UNDER also falls into a 62% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into this game off an upset road win at Central Michigan.  But they're back home today, and they're a horrid 8-22 ATS as a home underdog.  Take Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears defeated Texas, 31-24, last season.  We'll lay the points in this revenge match, as Baylor's 0-26 straight-up, an 8-16-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, and getting 6+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati/Tulane game UNDER the total.  The winner of this game will claim the AAC regular season title, so the stakes are high.  The game is priced near Pk'em.  And that bodes well for a low-scoring game, as the Bearcats have gone UNDER 33-16 in competitively-priced games with a spread of 3 or less.  They've also gone UNDER 88-63 vs. conference foes.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Bowling Green.  This game is between the top 2 teams in the MAC East division.  Ohio comes in with a 6-1 conference record, while Bowling Green enters with a 5-2 record.  Last week, Bowling Green upset Toledo, 42-35, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But MAC road underdogs of +4 (or more) points have covered just 34% off a win, if they were matched up against an opponent with a better conference record playing its final home game of the season.  The Bobcats are riding a 6-game win streak, and have covered each of their last seven games.  Take Ohio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado/Washington game Under the total.  These two teams have generally played low-scoring contests, as the last 5 meetings have all gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look here, as the Under falls into a 62% totals system of mine.  For their part, the Huskies have played their last 3 games Under, and are also 14-9 Under off 3+ unders.  Meanwhile, the Buffaloes have gone Under in 10 of 13 November home games.  Take the Under.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/UCLA game. It’s true that USC has gone OVER the total in its last 4 games, and that the last 4 meetings between these two schools have also gone OVER. But teams off 3 or more overs have gone UNDER the total 61.9% when the OU line was greater than 71 points.  Take the Under.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Wake Forest.  The Orange come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and only scored 12 points combined in their 2 previous games.  But we'll grab the points, as road underdogs are 108-82 ATS in conference games, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and failed to score 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  Take Syracuse.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Tigers were blown out last week, 66-24, by Tennessee.  The good news is that the Aggies are nowhere near as talented as Tennessee.  We'll take Missouri to bounce back in a big way on Saturday night, as it's 14-1 ATS at home off a loss the previous week, if it was favored by 13 or more points in its current game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri/New Mexico St game to go UNDER the total. Missouri had gone UNDER 8 straight games before last week's game at Tennessee, while New Mexico St had gone UNDER in 3 straight games (and 6 of 8) before last week's game vs. Lamar.  I look for these teams to play to form on Saturday night, and for this to be a low-scoring game.  For technical support, consider that Missouri has gone under 16-0-1 since October 26, 2013 at home, if it wasn't getting 7+ points in the game, and the OU Line was 54 or less points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Temple.  The Bearcats have lost each of their last 5 games ATS.  And this long ATS losing streak is working to confer betting value on the side of the Bearcats.  We'll lay the points today, as we note that Temple is a wallet-busting 7-15 ATS its last 22 as underdogs.  Take the Bearcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Iowa.  The Gophers will look to snap their 7-game losing streak to Iowa today.  And I think they'll get the job done, as the Gophers have given up just 6.67 ppg in their six home games this season (5-1 ATS).  Minnesota is 17-10-1 ATS at home vs. FBS schools the past 5 seasons, including 6-3 ATS with revenge.  And revenge-minded teams with stellar defenses that allow less than 14.6 ppg, have covered 65% of their final home games of the season.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Warhawks upset Georgia State last week, 31-28, as a 13.5-point road underdog.  We'll fade Monroe on this Saturday afternoon, as Troy has gone 18-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 7-0-1 ATS if Troy owned a W/L percentage of .700+.  Additionally, Sun Belt teams have covered just 10 of 35 games off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .700.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Boston College.  BC upset NC State last week, 21-20, as an 18-point underdog.  We'll fade the Eagles on Saturday in South Bend, as underdogs of +15 (or more) points have gone 1-12 ATS in non-conference games off an upset road win as a 15-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Notre Dame minus the points

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Arizona.  Last week, the Wildcats shocked UCLA as a 20-point underdog, 34-28.  But Pac-12 teams with a losing record are a horrid 17-40 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points.  Before last week's upset, Arizona had lost its four previous games -- each by more than 7 points -- so I expect it to revert to form on Saturday.  Lay the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Kansas St.  The Wildcats blew out Baylor, 31-3, as a 2.5-point road underdog last week.  We'll fade Kansas State here, as road favorites have covered just 36% since 1980 in conference games following an upset win by 28+ points against a conference foe.  Take West Virginia + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/East Carolina game.  The Cougars have scored 42, 63 and 43 in their last three games.  And they've given up 27, 77 and 36.  Dating back to 2013, NCAA Football games have gone Under 67% of the time if a team scored 140+ points, and gave up 140+ points in its three previous games.  And the Under also falls into one of my two favorite College Football totals systems, which has cashed 62%.  Take the Under.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are having a nice season, with a 6-3 SU/ATS record.  But we'll fade them in this game, as the Panthers are 24-12-1 ATS away from home vs. .500 (or better) teams.  Take Georgia State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas-San Antonio/Rice game.  The Roadrunners have gone under in four of their last five games and that's the way we'll look for this game vs. the Owls.  This will be the 10th meeting between these schools since 2012, and seven of the previous nine have gone under the total (including all four games played here, at Rice).  The Under also falls into a College Football totals system of mine which has cashed 61.8% since 2013.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over TCU.  Baylor's 3-game win streak was snapped by Kansas State last week, as the Wildcats blew out the Bears, 31-3.  They'll now take on undefeated TCU.  The Horned Frogs upset Texas last week, 17-10, as a 7.5-point underdog, and have a clear path toward the playoffs if they can continue to win.  Of course, that's easier said than done.  And we'll look for the mild upset in Waco, on Saturday.  Indeed, Big 12 teams have covered just 22.7% since 1981 off an upset win as a dog of more than 5 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss, and weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game.  Take Baylor + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores snapped their 5-game losing streak last week, as they went into Lexington, and upset Kentucky, 24-21, as a 17-point underdog.  Unfortunately for Vanderbilt, SEC teams off an upset conference win as a dog of more than 9 points have fallen flat the next week when matched up against winning SEC teams, as they've gone 9-24 ATS (and 0-7 ATS when getting more than 10 points).  Moreover, the Commodores are 4-16 ATS their last 20 home games, including 0-9 ATS when not getting 16+ points.  Take Florida minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Florida St.  We played against the Orange last week, and got the $$$$ with Pittsburgh in its 19-9 triumph.  Today, we'll back Syracuse as Florida State is a dreadful 35-62-4 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Syracuse + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over TCU.  The Longhorns are 6-3 on the season, while TCU is 9-0, including 3 double-digit wins in its last three games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the undefeated Frogs.  But consider that, since 1980, .667 (or worse) teams have cashed 83%, at Game 7 forward, when favored by 6+ points over an .888 (or better) foe off a double-digit win.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over North Carolina.  We played against Wake Forest in each of its two previous games, and we got the $$$ in each, as the Demon Deacons lost to both Louisville and NC State.  But those two games were on the road.  Here, in Winston-Salem, the Deacs have gone 11-1 ATS its last 12 home games vs. conference foes.  Meanwhile, North Carolina is an ugly 1-12 ATS on the road off a conference win.  With UNC, indeed, off a win last week vs. Virginia, we'll fade the Tar Heels tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Auburn/Texas A/M game.  Something's gotta give today, as each of these two teams enters this game on a 5-game losing streak.  The problem for each has largely been on the defensive side of the ball.  Auburn has given up 38.2 ppg over its last five games, while A&M has given up 33.6 ppg.  I look for a lower scoring game here, as NCAA games between 2 losing teams have gone under the total 62% of the time if each went Over the total in its previous game, and the current game is competitively-priced with a point spread of less than 3 points.  Take the Under.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Georgia.  We played on Georgia last week over Tennessee, and were rewarded with a double-digit win against the then-No. 1 team in the country.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Bulldogs this evening.  Indeed, defending National Champs are an awful 11-26 ATS after winning SU/ATS the previous week vs. an undefeated foe.  Take Mississippi State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green routed Florida International, 52-14, last Saturday.  But off that 38-point win, we'll fade North Texas this afternoon, as it's 13-35 ATS as an underdog off a straight-up win.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Georgia Tech.  These two teams are 4-5 on the season.  So, both need a win in this game in order to have a chance to play in a Bowl game at season's end.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 0-8 ATS its last eight games as a favorite vs. FBS schools.  And it's 5-17 ATS its last 22, when the game was priced with a point spread less than 10 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Houston/Temple game.  The Cougars gave up a ghastly 77 points in last week's loss to SMU.  The good news for Dana Holgorsen's men today is that Temple's offense is not very explosive, as it's scored more than 20 points just twice this season.  We'll take the Under as teams that gave up 59+ points in their previous game have bounced back to go under 63.7% if their current opponent's offensive avg. was less than 20.9 ppg.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Temple.  The Cougars lost against the spread for the 2nd consecutive game last week.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon, as it's 8-1 ATS its last nine off a point spread loss.  Take Houston.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks come into this game off back to back point spread defeats at  Penn State, and at Northwestern.  But Ohio St is back home at the Horseshoe today, and we'll lay the points.  Indeed, OSU is 41-27-2 ATS in Big 10 games after not cover the spread in each of its two previous games.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over the Liberty Flames.  The Flames pulled off two big upsets in their two previous games.  They defeated BYU, as a 7-point dog, and followed that up with a win at Arkansas, as a 14.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, road favorites have cashed just 28% the past 43 years after back to back upset wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs.  Take Connecticut + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the under in SMU/South Florida.  Last week, the Mustangs outlasted Houston, 77-63.  Off that high-scoring win, we'll take the Under this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams have gone Under in 11 straight after giving up 63+ points in their previous game, if their current game had an O/U line of 63+ points.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Illinois.  The Illinois have been historically poor in this point spread range, as they're 17-50-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points.  Take Purdue.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over LSU.  We had a huge play on LSU over Alabama last week, and were rewarded with an outright win, as a 13-point underdog.  Unfortunately for the Tigers, they've covered just 28% over the last 43 years off an upset win as a double-digit underdog.  Grab the points with Arkansas.

At 8 pm our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Wake Forest.  We played against Wake last week, and easily got the $$$$ when Louisville upset it in blowout fashion.  And we'll once again go against the Demon Deacons on the road in Raleigh.  NC State lost last season's meeting 45-42, but is a solid 31-19 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog.  Meanwhile, Wake is a horrible 6-14-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take North Carolina State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles come into this rivalry game off a SU/ATS win last week against Georgia Tech, while Miami outlasted Virginia in overtime, 14-12, but failed to cover the 3-point spread.  We'll take the underdog Hurricanes, as the underdog has gone 27-13-1 ATS, including 22-6 ATS if getting 9 or less points.  And Florida State is a dreadful 34-62 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Miami + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Clemson.  The Fighting Irish have been installed as a home dog vs. the undefeated (8-0) Tigers.  We'll go against Clemson, as undefeated teams -- at Game 8 forward -- have covered just 41.7% the past 43 years away from home in the regular season vs. foes that weren't undefeated, provided our unbeaten team wasn't laying 5.5 or more points.  This system was a perfect 4-0 ATS last year, and is already 1-0 ATS this season coming into tonight.  Finally, Notre Dame is a perfect 6-0-1 ATS as a home dog since 1985 vs. undefeated foes with a 4-0 (or better) record!  Take the Fighting Irish.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Louisville.  We played on the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 48-21.  Unfortunately, Louisville is a wallet-busting 2-13 ATS off an upset win, if it wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take James Madison.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this home game off back to back double-digit wins.  They went into Gainesville on October 15, and downed Florida, 45-35.  Then two weeks ago, they blew out Ole Miss, 45-20.  They had last week off to prepare for this big game.  And rested home dogs of +7 or more points, off back-to-back wins have gone 47-21 ATS, including 38-12 ATS vs. foes off wins by 7+ points.  Moreover, NCAA home dogs off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 90 points combined over those two games, have covered 65% the past 43 seasons.  Take LSU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Boise State.  The Cougars have lost 4 straight games, while Boise has won its last four.  But we'll still take the ice cold Cougars on Saturday, as single-digit underdogs have covered 69% off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they were playing an opponent off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And the Cougars are 8-3 ATS their last 11 meetings vs. Boise.  Take BYU + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns + the points over Troy.  The Trojans went into Mobile last week, and upset South Alabama, 10-6.  But that upset win has triggered one of my very best college football systems which goes against certain teams on the road off upset wins.  Troy's been installed as a road favorite for this Sun Belt contest.  Unfortunately road teams off a SU/ATS win have covered just 23.1% at Louisiana Lafayette if the Cajuns were off an ATS loss (and 0-6 ATS their last 6 in this situation as a favorite or PK).  Take Louisiana + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Liberty.   The Flames come into this game off a 41-14 upset win over BYU, as a 7-point home dog.  Unfortunately, Arkansas has been strong at home vs. foes off upset wins, as it's gone 18-9 ATS.  And double-digit road dogs have cashed just 37% since 1980 off an upset win, if they covered the spread by 31+ points in their previous game, and their opponent was off back to back wins.  Lay the points with the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Tennessee.  It's often said that defense wins championships.  Of course, a lot of times people say things that sound good, but aren't actually true.  However, in football, it's absolutely true.  Defense does win championships.  And Georgia brings the better defense into this game.  It's giving up just 10.5 ppg, while Tennessee is allowing 21.0 ppg.  It's true that the Vols have the higher-scoring offense, as they're averaging 49.3 ppg, while Georgia is scoring 41.7 ppg.  We'll take Georgia in this match-up, as the team with the better defense has covered the spread 60% of the time in games between unbeaten teams with a 6-0 (or better) record.  And in these match-ups of unbeatens, teams with the lower-scoring offense have covered 63%.  And if a team has both the better defense, and the lower-scoring offense, they've covered 71%. Take Georgia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our American Athletic Conf. Underdog of the Year is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Central Florida.  After losing a heartbreaker at home, 33-32, vs. Houston (the Cougars scored 2 TDs in the final two minutes to stun Memphis), the Tigers fell flat on the road the next two weeks.  They lost, 47-45, at East Carolina, and then fell by 10 points to Tulane, 38-28. But they're back home for this game, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. Central Florida.  Memphis is 17-9 ATS at home when not favored by more than 1 point, if it's off a loss, and its foe is off a SU/ATS win.  And UCF is a horrid 3-15 ATS as a road favorite, priced from -3 to -9.5 points, vs. conference foes.  Finally, Memphis falls into a 72-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs against foes off a win.  Grab the points with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers minus the points over Syracuse.  Pat Narduzzi's men come into this home game off back to back road losses against North Carolina and Louisville.  But Pitt has been terrific at home off back to back losses, as it's 12-1 straight-up, and 11-2 ATS (with one of its two ATS losses by a mere half-point).  And the Panthers are 17-3 SU its last 20 meetings vs Syracuse, including 9-0-2 ATS when priced from +4 to -9 points.  Take the Panthers.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies have lost 5 straight games to fall to 2-6 on the season.  And one of those two wins was against FCS Wofford, where it was favored by 39 points.  Going back further, we find that the Hokies have gone 12-21 ATS their last 33, and 19-37 ATS their last 57 vs revenge-minded foes.  With Georgia Tech, indeed, playing with revenge from a 26-17 loss last season, we'll take the points with Georgia Tech.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northwestern/Ohio State game Under the total.  The Wildcats have gone UNDER the total 39-17-1 at home in FBS games, including 14-1 UNDER their last 15 after going Over in their previous game.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Tulane.  Tulane is 7-1 (.875) on the season.  But Tulsa has been stellar vs. .777 (or better) foes when not laying more than 3 points, as it's 10-0 ATS.  And the Golden Hurricane are 14-4-1 ATS when dressed up as an underdog.  Meanwhile, Tulane is a poor 11-21 ATS on the road off back to back wins.  Grab the points with Tulsa.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Charlotte.  This match-up has an historic footnote.  Last week, the Hilltoppers were upset by North Texas, 40-13, as a 10-point favorite, while Charlotte upset Rice, 56-23, as a 15.5-point underdog.  So, Western Kentucky failed to cover by 37 points, while Charlotte covered by 48.5 (for a combined differential of 85.5 points).  And that 85.5-point relative point spread differential for the two teams' previous game is the 7th-highest since 1980!  Unfortunately, teams that covered the spread by 39+ points in their previous game are a miserable 0-16 ATS when priced from +10 to +23.5 points.  Lay the points with Western Kentucky.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Under in the Wisconsin/Maryland game.  The Badgers opened the season with back-to-back unders, but have proceeded to play six straight overs in a row.  And this 6-0 'over' streak has led to an inflated total for this game.  Maryland also comes into this game off back to back games where it tallied 30+ points.  And the Terrapins have now gone Over the total 9 straight following back to back games where they scored 30+ points.  Take Wisconsin + Maryland Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over North Carolina.  The Cavaliers lost last season to North Carolina, 59-39, in Chapel Hill.  We'll take the Cavaliers here, at home, as they’re 37-17 ATS when playing with revenge at home, if the point spread was 8 or less points.  Even better, Virginia lost in overtime to Miami last week, here at home.  And home underdogs off a home overtime game where they didn't win SU/ATS have gone 37-19 ATS.  Finally, North Carolina blew out Pitt last week, 48-34.  But the Tar Heels are a dismal 4-16 ATS off a conference win, including 0-8 ATS when laying more than 6 points, and 1-11 ATS on the road. Grab the points with Virginia.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon State.  The Beavers and Huskies are both 6-2 on the season, and 3-2 in Pac-12 play, and need to win to stay alive in the race for the conference title.  Oregon State has not had any success on the road late in the season, as it's 0-21 straight-up, at Game 9 forward when playing on the road, including 0-6 ATS when not getting more than 8 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Beavers tonight.  Nor does the fact that it's 1-9 SU/4-6 ATS the last 10 meetings vs. Washington.  Finally, Washington is 18-8 ATS at home when favored by 13 or less points, including 7-0 ATS vs. foes that covered the spread by 10+ points in their previous game.  Lay the points with the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Buffalo.  This game will go a long way toward determining the MAC Conference's East division crown.  Buffalo is on top with a 4-0 record, while Ohio sits at 3-1 entering this pivotal contest.  The Bulls currently own a 5-game win streak, while Ohio is also playing well, with its win streak at three games.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog Bobcats, as the home team is 19-4 straight-up in this series, and 15-7 ATS, including 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.  Even better:  the Bobcats are 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of +1.5 (or more) points if they won their previous game.  Take Ohio U.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Michigan State.  Last season, Michigan lost just once in the regular season, and it was to Mel Tucker's Spartans, 37-33.  Kenneth Walker rushed for 197 yards and 5 touchdowns in the game last season.  But Walker is now wearing a Seahawks uniform, so MSU's ground attack has sputtered this season (3.6 ypr).  Michigan's 10-4 ATS its last 14 home games vs. Big 10 Conference rivals, when laying 6+ points.  And, in his NCAA career, coach Jim Harbaugh's teams have gone 13-5 ATS when favored by -6 (or more) points, and playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Wake Forest.  The Cards come into this game off back to back double digit wins (and also back to back double-digit covers).  And they also play with revenge from a 3-point loss to the Demon Deacons last season.  We'll grab the points with the home dog, as it falls into a 90-41 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back covers by 10+ points.  Even better:  Wake Forest is a wallet-busting 22-38-2 ATS as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-11 ATS vs. foes that won their previous game by 7+ points.  Take Louisville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Florida Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers upset Georgia Tech, 16-9, in their previous game, and are now 3-4 on the season. Miami is also 3-4 after getting blown out, 45-21, by Duke.  Today, the 'Canes will turn to Jake Garcia as their starting quarterback after erstwhile starter, Tyler Van Dyke, was injured in last week's loss.  Miami was actually favored by 10.5 points in that Duke game.  It was a nightmarish performance all the way around, including a ghastly 8 turnovers (5 by Garcia).  But I love Miami to bounce back today, as NCAA favorites have covered 62% over the last 43 years off a loss by 20+ points as a double-digit favorite, when they were playing, in their current game, an opponent off a SU win. And Virginia's covered just 33% as a home dog since 1980 vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the Penn State/Ohio State game.  Ohio State comes into this game scoring 49.5 ppg, and outscoring their foes by 34.71 ppg.  But I expect a relatively-low scoring game this afternoon, as Penn State has gone UNDER 89% since 2013 against opponents that score more than 47.5 ppg, and UNDER 78% against opponents with a scoring margin greater than 32 ppg.  And 71% of Nittany Lion home games have gone UNDER the total if the O/U line was greater than 55 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes have had a creampuff schedule thus far.  They've played six of their seven games at home.  And their only road game was against Michigan State, which is having a down year.  (The Buckeyes were favored by 27 on the road in that game.)  So, this game will be the sternest test for Ohio State yet this season.  It's on the road.  And it's the first time this season that Ohio State wasn't favored by 17+ points.  Penn State enters off a 45-17 blowout of Minnesota, and falls into several of my best 'momentum' systems, with records of 202-115, 323-216 and 119-52 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Nitts are 44-23 ATS at home off a conference win, including 15-4 ATS if they won their previous game by 25+ points.  Grab the points with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Washington.  The Bears come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Washington State and Colorado.  But both of those games were on the road (where Cal is 0-3 on the season).  At home, it's been a different story, as California is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS.  The Bears play this game with revenge from a 31-24 loss in Seattle last season.  And Washington is an awful 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 13-31-1 ATS its last 45) as road favorites vs. revenge-minded conference foes, if the Huskies were off a win, and owned a winning record.  Grab the points with California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Louisville/Pittsburgh game.  The Cardinals have scored 33+ points in each of their last three games.  But the Panthers have not allowed more than 31 points in regulation in any of their six games this season.  I look for a relatively-low scoring game here, as Louisville has gone under in 9 of 10 games after scoring 31+ points in three (or more) games in a row.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Alabama/Mississippi State game.  The Crimson Tide lost last week to the Tennessee Volunteers, 52-49, as a 9-point favorite.  Off that horrible game, we'll look for a much better effort here by Nick Saban's troops -- and especially on the defensive end.  Indeed, over the last nine years, Alabama is 6-0 SU off a loss, and all six games have gone UNDER the total, as the Tide held those six foes to 13, 0, 6, 7, 16 and 9 points (8.5 ppg).  Additionally, Alabama is 7-0 Under its last 7 following a game that went Over the total.  Meanwhile, Mississippi State also comes into this game off an upset defeat, 27-17, at the hands of Kentucky.  And the Bulldogs have gone UNDER 14 of 15 following a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in their previous game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Fresno State.  The Bulldogs upset San Jose State, 17-10, last week as a 7-point home dog, and they covered the spread for the first time all season, after an 0-5 ATS start to the season.  Now, Fresno has been installed as a big road favorite in Albuquerque.  But I look for a reversion to form for Fresno, as road favorites have covered just 33% over the last 42 years off an upset win, if they were on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak prior to that upset victory.  Additionally, the Lobos are 13-2 ATS against foes that won outright as a 7-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game.  Take New Mexico.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over UCLA.  Both of these teams are undefeated (3-0) in Pac-12 conference play, though UCLA owns the better overall record, at 6-0 (compared to Oregon's 5-1).  In the Bruins' last game, they upset Utah, 42-32, as a 3-point home underdog.  I played on UCLA in that game, but will go against Chip Kelly's men on this Saturday, as undefeated Pac-12 Conference teams are 14-27-1 ATS off an upset conference win.  Even worse for the Bruins:  they're 15-36-1 ATS off back to back wins, including 1-7 ATS as an underdog off a double-digit win.  And the Ducks are 26-9-1 ATS vs. conference foes, if the Ducks owned a worse season W/L record, and were not getting 4+ points.  Lay the points with Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our Conference USA Game of the Month is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green come into this game off back to back blowout wins over Florida Atlantic (45-28) and Louisiana Tech (47-27).  They've now been installed as an underdog at UTSA, which doesn't bode well for the Mean Green.  Indeed, underdogs are a horrible 13-45 ATS after back to back games where they scored more than 40 points, including 0-10 ATS their last 10 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  With the Roadrunners seeking revenge from a 22-point loss in Denton last season, we'll lay the points with UTSA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes suffered their first loss of the season last week following a 5-0 SU/ATS start.  We'll go against James Madison on Saturday, as double-digit favorites off a SU/ATS loss have covered just 63 of 169 if that loss was their first of the season after a 5-0 (or better) start.  Take Marshall + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Florida International/Charlotte game.  Last week, we played on the Charlotte 49ers and UAB under the total as our Conference USA game of the Year.  We were rewarded with a 54-point game which went under the total by 11 points.  But here, we'll look for a return to form by Charlotte, as it had gone over the total in each of its five games previous to last week.  Take Charlotte/Florida International Over.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane/Memphis game to go Under the total.  The Tigers come into this game off back to back high-scoring games.  Memphis lost, 47-45, last week, and 33-32 the game before that.  But the Tigers have gone under the total 17-8 off back to back 60-point games.  Meanwhile, Tulane also played a high-scoring game last week, as it routed South Florida, 45-31.  But the Green Wave have gone under 18-7 after a game which went over the total, if the line in the current game was less than 58 points.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Iowa.  Our strongest football play so far this year was on the Ohio State Buckeyes, Sept. 17, vs. Toledo.  The Bucks were averaging just 33 ppg, and were 0-2 ATS on the season going into that contest.  But Ohio State erupted for 77 points, and that was a harbinger of things to come.  Since that game, Ohio State has scored 52, 49, and 49 points.  And they're 3-0-1 ATS their last four games.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as NCAA teams have covered 63.3% of their home games since 1980 vs. conference foes, if they scored 49+ points in each of their three previous games, and did not fail to cover the spread in any of those three games.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over North Carolina.  The Blue Devils were upset in overtime, 23-20, by Georgia Tech last week to fall to 4-2 on the season.  They'll now welcome their rival, North Carolina, to Durham, and have been installed as a home underdog.  UNC is 5-1 this year following its upset win at Miami last Saturday.  Unfortunately for Carolina, favorites off an upset win have covered just 32% over the last 43 years when playing a .666 (or better) conference foe off an upset loss.  Take Duke + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Southern Cal.  The Utes were upset on the road last week by UCLA, 42-32.  And that was Utah's 2nd loss on the season.  But both losses were away from home; here, in Salt Lake City, Utah is 19-1 SU its last 20 vs. Division 1 FBS teams, and 14-6 ATS.  USC is now 6-0 after its blowout of Washington State.  But undefeated teams, with a 6-0 (or better) record, are a soft 33% as underdogs of more than 3 points against foes off an upset loss.  Additionally, Utah is 12-4 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against a foe off a double-digit win.  And USC is a poor 26-48-1 ATS on the road off a win.  Take the Utes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Clemson.  The Seminoles lost by 10 points to Clemson last season, so they play with revenge on Saturday night vs. the undefeated Tigers.  FSU's been installed as a home underdog in this ACC contest.  And the Seminoles have covered 67% as revenge-minded home dogs since 1980 vs. conference rivals.  Even better:  Florida State lost on the road, 19-17, to NC State last week, which was its second straight loss.  But the Seminoles are 41-23-3 ATS off a SU road loss.  And single-digit ACC home dogs, off back to back losses, are a super 75% ATS vs. conference rivals off back to back wins.  Grab the points with Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Mississippi State.  QB Will Levis was injured in Kentucky's 22-19 loss at Mississippi two weeks ago, and missed last week's home loss to South Carolina.  But Levis has been upgraded to 'probable' for this game.  The Wildcats have a solid defense, and are giving up just 16.3 ppg.  And that's key, as .666 (or better) home underdogs off back to back losses, that give up 20.5 (or less) points per game, have covered 64.7% since 1980.  Take Kentucky + the points.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Arizona game.  The Huskies lost at Arizona State, 45-38, last Saturday.  And that game total of 83 points was the most for a Huskies conference game since it beat California, 66-27, in 2016.  We'll look for a much lower-scoring game this evening, as Pac-12 teams have gone under 59% in conference games after a conference game that totaled more than 77 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Texas State.  The Bobcats pulled off a major upset last week, as a 20-point home underdog against Appalachian State.  Texas State was outgained by 102 yards, yet stunned the Mountaineers, 36-24.  But off that upset win, we'll look for a letdown at Troy on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, Sun Belt underdogs of more than 3 points have cashed just 12 of 49 games vs. conference foes off a straight-up win.  The Trojans come into this game on a 3-game win streak (and 4-game ATS win streak).  Unfortunately for the Bobcats, they're 9-18 ATS on the road vs. foes off a win, including 0-5 ATS their last five.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our Conference USA Total of the Year is on the UNDER in the Charlotte/UAB game.  Charlotte has the worst defense in college football, as it's giving up 46.3 ppg.  Not surprisingly, its last five games have all sailed over the total.  And each of its last four games have totaled more than 75 points.  But this horrendous defense has led to our Over/Under line being a bit inflated here.  If one throws out UAB's first game - a 59-0 win against FCS foe Alabama A&M - then its four games against Division 1 FBS teams have averaged 49.5 ppg.  UAB comes into this game off a 27-point blowout win over Middle Tenn.  And UAB has gone 'under' the total 16 of 24 following a double-digit win.  The Under also falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 64.5%.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over NC State.  In a battle of top 20-ranked clubs, we'll lay the points with the undefeated home team.  Syracuse has stormed out to a 5-0 record.  And it's also 4-1 ATS.  On Saturday, it will welcome a Wolfpack squad which is 5-1 SU, but just 2-4 ATS after dropping its 3rd straight "in Vegas" last weekend.  This will be the Wolfpack's 3rd road game of the season.  It lost ATS its first two.  And it's a wallet-breaking 8-33-2 ATS on the road when unrested, and priced from +7.5 to -7.5 points.  Take the Orange.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Oklahoma State.  TCU comes into this game with an unblemished 5-0 record.  And it's also an undefeated 4-0-1 ATS.  That bodes well for it on Saturday, as over the last 42 years, at Game 6 forward, NCAA teams that were undefeated both SU and ATS have covered the spread 64% of the time, if they weren't favored by 7+ points, and were playing at home, or on a neutral field.  Additionally, the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Last year, the Cowboys crushed the Frogs, 63-17.  But TCU is a solid 15-1 SU and 13-3 ATS when playing with revenge, if it was favored at home, and owned an .800 (or better) win percentage.  Take TCU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Northern Illinois/Eastern Michigan game.  The Huskies have played all six of their games over the total this season, including their last two games that each totaled > 80 points, which has led to an inflated over/under line for this contest.  Northern Illinois has gone under the total 70% after back to back games where 70+ points were scored.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game here.  Take the Under.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ohio/Western Michigan game.  Both of these teams come into this afternoon's game off high-scoring contests.  The Bobcats put up 55 points last week in a 55-34 blowout of Akron, while Western Michigan lost, 45-23, at home to Eastern Michigan.  The Broncos are 12-6 Under after allowing 40+ points, while Ohio is 16-8 Under after scoring 40+ points.  Take the Under.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Navy.  The Mustangs lost at Central Florida, 41-19, last week.  And that was their third straight loss, and 4th straight ATS defeat.  Meanwhile, Navy pulled off a big upset win against Tulsa, 53-21, as a 4.5-point home dog.  We'll lay the points with SMU tonight, as conference favorites of -3 (or more) points, on a 4-game ATS losing streak, have covered 75.8% since 1980 vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, if their foe was off a SU win the previous week.  Moreover, SMU is a solid 29-18 ATS in Conference games off back to back losses, if it was also on a 2-game ATS losing streak.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Louisiana.  The Rajin' Cajuns come into tonight's game off 3 straight losses, but they covered the spread in their most recent game -- a 20-17 home loss to South Alabama.  Meanwhile, Marshall defeated Gardner Webb, 28-7, to start October, but failed to cover the 31.5-point spread.  And that was the Thundering Herd's third straight ATS defeat.  Marshall's been installed as a double-digit favorite tonight.  And NCAA home teams, priced from -7 to -25 points, have been solid (108-75-3 ATS) off three straight ATS losses when matched up against foes off a point spread win.  Lay the points with Marshall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Boston College.  The Eagles stunned Louisville last week, 34-33, as a 13.5-point home underdog.  And that was the first time all season that Boston College covered the point spread (BC is 2-3 SU, and 1-4 ATS, and has failed to cover by an average of 5.25 ppg this season).  The Eagles will remain in Chestnut Hill on Saturday night to take on the highly-ranked Tigers.  Unfortunately for the Eagles, they're a terrible 10-17-1 ATS at home off an upset win, including 0-6 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  And with Clemson in off a 30-20 win over then-No. 10 ranked-NC State, our 0-6 angle is satisfied.  Even worse for the Eagles:  Clemson is a dominant 23-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 16-0 ATS vs. < .750 foes that have an average point spread differential less than 3 ppg.  Lay the points with Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  Both teams enter this game with identical 3-2 SU/ATS records.  The Hilltoppers lost at home, 34-27, as a 5-point home favorite to Troy last Saturday, while UTSA defeated Middle Tennessee, 45-30.  This game is a rematch of last season's Conference USA championship game, which was won by the Roadrunners, 49-41.  We'll take Western Kentucky to avenge that defeat, as it is 16-0 ATS on the road when priced from -3 to +12 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on Texas-San Antonio and Western Kentucky Under the total.  The Roadrunners have played all five of their games over the total.  And their games have totaled 72, 79, 61, 76 and 75 points.  These extremely high-scoring games have led to a very high Over/Under line for this game.  I think the line is too high.  Indeed, NCAA games with Over/Under lines greater than 71 points have gone under the total 58% of the time if a team's previous two games went over the total, and each totaled more than 71 points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 64.1%.  Take the Hilltoppers and Roadrunners Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.